                                                                                
Enter "INPUT FILE=fn ;" (no quotes): 
  Fair-Parke Program   November 11, 2013

MAIN:  Space allowed in SPA    =  40000000
       Space allowed in LA     =   2000000
       Space allowed in DPA    =     20000
       Space allowed in LSTACK =    500000
       Space allowed in L      =      4000
SPACE FIRSTPER=1952.1 LASTPER=2022.4 MAXVAR=19800 MAXS=1689 MAXFSR=45         
   NOSMATRIX;                                                                 
MC                                                                      
Space allocations are:
 MAXVAR     =     19800
 MAXS       =      1689
 MAXCOEF    =        20
 MAXFSR     =        45
 MAXCOV     =         0
Quarterly data. FIRSTPER =  1952.1 LASTPER =  2022.4
Initial space used:
                Used          Allocated
  SPA        13106505      40000000
  LA          1359327       2000000
  DPA           19810         20000
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL 1689 OR 1700                                                        
@ SPECIAL 1692 FOR EURO                                                       
@ 1689 for regular version, 1700 when housing price and oil shock equations   
@                                                                             
@ Note that @ at the beginning of a line means the line is a comment.         
@ When there is a @ at the beginning of a command line, this simply           
@ means that the command is not used.  You can ignore these commands.         
@                                                                             
@ The following four SETLA commands should always be used.                    
@ LA(344)=1 tells the FP program that the overall MC model is to be solved.   
@ LA(350)=1 tells the program to continue the solution even if an error is    
@ found for a particular country.                                             
@ Both LA(344) and LA(350) should always be set to 1 when working with        
@ the MC model.                                                               
@ LA(357) and LA(358) set the number of iterations to perform.                
@                                                                             
SETLA 344 1;                                                                  
LA( 344) changed from           0 TO           1
SETLA 350 1;                                                                  
LA( 350) changed from           0 TO           1
SETLA 357 10;                                                                 
LA( 357) changed from           0 TO          10
SETLA 358 10;                                                                 
LA( 358) changed from           0 TO          10
@                                                                             
@ LA(349)=3 means no nothing in SOLK (used for distribution).                 
@ LA(349) should always be set to 3.                                          
@                                                                             
SETLA 349 3;                                                                  
LA( 349) changed from           0 TO           3
@                                                                             
@ Setup commands:                                                             
@                                                                             
SETUPEST ALT2SLS;                                                             
SETUPEST options are:
MAXRHO      =    50
TOLRHO      =    0.000010000000
MAXLAD      =    20
TOLLAD      =    0.002000000000
Q           =    0.500000000000
-DIVIDET
-NOMISS
-PRINTONLY
-LOGLHS
ALT2SLS
-HANSENM
SETUPSOLVE NOMSG;                                                             
SETUPSOLVE options are:
MAXITERS =     100
MINITERS =       1
MAXCHECK =       0
TOLALL   =      0.001000000000
DAMPALL  =      1.000000000000
MAXERR   =       0
-NOMISS
-TOLALLABS
NOMSG
-DEBUGPRINT
-TESTEQS
@                                                                             
@ Read in all the data                                                        
@                                                                             
SMPL 1960.1 2022.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2022.4 Internally:    33 to   284
READDATA FILE=MC.BIN;                                                         
Data read from data set MC.BIN           for the period  1960.1 -   2022.4
SMPL 1952.1 1959.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  1959.4 Internally:     1 to    32
LOADDATA FILE=MCUS.DAT;                                                       
 SMPL    1952.1   1959.4 ;                                                    
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  1959.4 Internally:     1 to    32
 LOAD CS       ;                                                              
 LOAD CN       ;                                                              
 LOAD CD       ;                                                              
 LOAD IHH      ;                                                              
 LOAD L1       ;                                                              
 LOAD L2       ;                                                              
 LOAD L3       ;                                                              
 LOAD LM       ;                                                              
 LOAD NONE9    ;                                                              
 LOAD PF       ;                                                              
 LOAD Y        ;                                                              
 LOAD IKF      ;                                                              
 LOAD JF       ;                                                              
 LOAD HF       ;                                                              
 LOAD HO       ;                                                              
 LOAD WF       ;                                                              
 LOAD MF       ;                                                              
 LOAD DF       ;                                                              
 LOAD NONE19   ;                                                              
 LOAD NONE20   ;                                                              
 LOAD NONE21   ;                                                              
 LOAD NONE22   ;                                                              
 LOAD RB       ;                                                              
 LOAD RM       ;                                                              
 LOAD CG       ;                                                              
 LOAD CUR      ;                                                              
 LOAD IM       ;                                                              
 LOAD UB       ;                                                              
 LOAD INTG     ;                                                              
 LOAD RS       ;                                                              
 LOAD PX       ;                                                              
 LOAD PEX      ;                                                              
 LOAD PD       ;                                                              
 LOAD PH       ;                                                              
 LOAD PCS      ;                                                              
 LOAD PCN      ;                                                              
 LOAD PCD      ;                                                              
 LOAD PIH      ;                                                              
 LOAD PIK      ;                                                              
 LOAD PG       ;                                                              
 LOAD PS       ;                                                              
 LOAD PIV      ;                                                              
 LOAD WH       ;                                                              
 LOAD WG       ;                                                              
 LOAD WM       ;                                                              
 LOAD WS       ;                                                              
 LOAD THG      ;                                                              
 LOAD THS      ;                                                              
 LOAD TFG      ;                                                              
 LOAD TFS      ;                                                              
 LOAD IBTG     ;                                                              
 LOAD IBTS     ;                                                              
 LOAD SIHG     ;                                                              
 LOAD SIFG     ;                                                              
 LOAD PKH      ;                                                              
 LOAD INTGR    ;                                                              
 LOAD USROW    ;                                                              
 LOAD KD       ;                                                              
 LOAD KH       ;                                                              
 LOAD X        ;                                                              
 LOAD XX       ;                                                              
 LOAD HN       ;                                                              
 LOAD V        ;                                                              
 LOAD YT       ;                                                              
 LOAD SH       ;                                                              
 LOAD AH       ;                                                              
 LOAD CCF1     ;                                                              
 LOAD PIEF     ;                                                              
 LOAD SF       ;                                                              
 LOAD AF       ;                                                              
 LOAD MB       ;                                                              
 LOAD SB       ;                                                              
 LOAD AB       ;                                                              
 LOAD SR       ;                                                              
 LOAD AR       ;                                                              
 LOAD SG       ;                                                              
 LOAD AG       ;                                                              
 LOAD SS       ;                                                              
 LOAD AS       ;                                                              
 LOAD TESTZERO ;                                                              
 LOAD M1       ;                                                              
 LOAD GDP      ;                                                              
 LOAD GDPR     ;                                                              
 LOAD GDPD     ;                                                              
 LOAD E        ;                                                              
 LOAD U        ;                                                              
 LOAD UR       ;                                                              
 LOAD ZERO1    ;                                                              
 LOAD AA       ;                                                              
 LOAD D1GM     ;                                                              
 LOAD D1SM     ;                                                              
 LOAD KK       ;                                                              
 LOAD KKMIN    ;                                                              
 LOAD JHMIN    ;                                                              
 LOAD JJ       ;                                                              
 LOAD CDH      ;                                                              
 LOAD NICD     ;                                                              
 LOAD YS       ;                                                              
 LOAD YNL      ;                                                              
 LOAD HFF      ;                                                              
 LOAD TF1      ;                                                              
 LOAD TCG      ;                                                              
 LOAD SIG      ;                                                              
 LOAD PUG      ;                                                              
 LOAD RECG     ;                                                              
 LOAD EXPG     ;                                                              
 LOAD SGP      ;                                                              
 LOAD TCS      ;                                                              
 LOAD SIS      ;                                                              
 LOAD PUS      ;                                                              
 LOAD PFA      ;                                                              
 LOAD RECS     ;                                                              
 LOAD EXPS     ;                                                              
 LOAD SSP      ;                                                              
 LOAD YD       ;                                                              
 LOAD SRZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD IVF      ;                                                              
 LOAD PROD     ;                                                              
 LOAD WR       ;                                                              
 LOAD POP      ;                                                              
 LOAD SHRPIE   ;                                                              
 LOAD PCGDPR   ;                                                              
 LOAD PCGDPD   ;                                                              
 LOAD PCM1     ;                                                              
 LOAD UBR      ;                                                              
 LOAD WA       ;                                                              
 LOAD RSA      ;                                                              
 LOAD RMA      ;                                                              
 LOAD GNP      ;                                                              
 LOAD GNPR     ;                                                              
 LOAD GNPD     ;                                                              
 LOAD PIEFRET  ;                                                              
 LOAD AG1      ;                                                              
 LOAD AG2      ;                                                              
 LOAD AG3      ;                                                              
 LOAD BO       ;                                                              
 LOAD BR       ;                                                              
 LOAD CCGQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD CCHQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD CCSQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD CDA      ;                                                              
 LOAD COG      ;                                                              
 LOAD COS      ;                                                              
 LOAD CTB      ;                                                              
 LOAD CTF1     ;                                                              
 LOAD CTGB     ;                                                              
 LOAD CTGMB    ;                                                              
 LOAD CTH      ;                                                              
 LOAD CTNN     ;                                                              
 LOAD CTR      ;                                                              
 LOAD CTS      ;                                                              
 LOAD D1G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D1S      ;                                                              
 LOAD D2G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D2S      ;                                                              
 LOAD D3G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D3S      ;                                                              
 LOAD D4G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D5G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D6G      ;                                                              
 LOAD D593     ;                                                              
 LOAD D594     ;                                                              
 LOAD D601     ;                                                              
 LOAD D691     ;                                                              
 LOAD D692     ;                                                              
 LOAD D714     ;                                                              
 LOAD D721     ;                                                              
 LOAD D794823  ;                                                              
 LOAD DBQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD DELD     ;                                                              
 LOAD DELH     ;                                                              
 LOAD DELK     ;                                                              
 LOAD ZERO4    ;                                                              
 LOAD DG       ;                                                              
 LOAD DISB     ;                                                              
 LOAD DISF     ;                                                              
 LOAD DISG     ;                                                              
 LOAD DISH     ;                                                              
 LOAD DISR     ;                                                              
 LOAD DISS     ;                                                              
 LOAD DRQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD DS       ;                                                              
 LOAD EX       ;                                                              
 LOAD FA       ;                                                              
 LOAD GSBQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD GSCA     ;                                                              
 LOAD GSMA     ;                                                              
 LOAD GSNNQ    ;                                                              
 LOAD HFS      ;                                                              
 LOAD HG       ;                                                              
 LOAD HM       ;                                                              
 LOAD HS       ;                                                              
 LOAD IGZQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD IHB      ;                                                              
 LOAD IHF      ;                                                              
 LOAD IHHA     ;                                                              
 LOAD IKB      ;                                                              
 LOAD IKG      ;                                                              
 LOAD IKH      ;                                                              
 LOAD INS      ;                                                              
 LOAD INTS     ;                                                              
 LOAD INTZQ    ;                                                              
 LOAD ISZQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD IVA      ;                                                              
 LOAD JG       ;                                                              
 LOAD JJP      ;                                                              
 LOAD JM       ;                                                              
 LOAD JS       ;                                                              
 LOAD LAM      ;                                                              
 LOAD MDIF     ;                                                              
 LOAD MGQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD MHQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD MRQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD MSQ      ;                                                              
 LOAD MUH      ;                                                              
 LOAD NNF      ;                                                              
 LOAD NNG      ;                                                              
 LOAD NNH      ;                                                              
 LOAD NNR      ;                                                              
 LOAD NNS      ;                                                              
 LOAD PIM      ;                                                              
 LOAD POP1     ;                                                              
 LOAD POP2     ;                                                              
 LOAD POP3     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI1     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI2     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI3     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI4     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI5     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI6     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI7     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI8     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI9     ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI10    ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI11    ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI12    ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI13    ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI14    ;                                                              
 LOAD PSI15    ;                                                              
 LOAD QQ       ;                                                              
 LOAD RNTQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD SIFS     ;                                                              
 LOAD SIGG     ;                                                              
 LOAD SIHS     ;                                                              
 LOAD SISS     ;                                                              
 LOAD STAT     ;                                                              
 LOAD STATP    ;                                                              
 LOAD SUBG     ;                                                              
 LOAD SUBS     ;                                                              
 LOAD T        ;                                                              
 LOAD TAUG     ;                                                              
 LOAD TAUS     ;                                                              
 LOAD TFR      ;                                                              
 LOAD TBGQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD TBS      ;                                                              
 LOAD TFA      ;                                                              
 LOAD THETA1   ;                                                              
 LOAD THETA2   ;                                                              
 LOAD THETA3   ;                                                              
 LOAD THETA4   ;                                                              
 LOAD TRFG     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRFH     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRFR     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRFS     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGHQ    ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGR     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGSQ    ;                                                              
 LOAD TRHR     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRSHQ    ;                                                              
 LOAD USAFF    ;                                                              
 LOAD USOTHER  ;                                                              
 LOAD INTF     ;                                                              
 LOAD ZERO2    ;                                                              
 LOAD ZERO3    ;                                                              
 LOAD CCG      ;                                                              
 LOAD CCH      ;                                                              
 LOAD CCS      ;                                                              
 LOAD DB       ;                                                              
 LOAD DR       ;                                                              
 LOAD GSB      ;                                                              
 LOAD GSNN     ;                                                              
 LOAD IGZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD INTZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD ISZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD MG       ;                                                              
 LOAD MH       ;                                                              
 LOAD MR       ;                                                              
 LOAD MS       ;                                                              
 LOAD Q        ;                                                              
 LOAD RNT      ;                                                              
 LOAD TBG      ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGH     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGS     ;                                                              
 LOAD TRSH     ;                                                              
 LOAD RECGZGDP ;                                                              
 LOAD EXPGZGDP ;                                                              
 LOAD SGPZGDP  ;                                                              
 LOAD AGZGDP   ;                                                              
 LOAD INTGZGDP ;                                                              
 LOAD SRZGDP   ;                                                              
 LOAD ASZGDP   ;                                                              
 LOAD PCGDPR4  ;                                                              
 LOAD PCGDPD4  ;                                                              
 LOAD USX00$   ;                                                              
 LOAD USM00$A  ;                                                              
 LOAD USPM     ;                                                              
 LOAD USPMP    ;                                                              
 LOAD USPSI2   ;                                                              
 LOAD USPW$    ;                                                              
 LOAD USA      ;                                                              
 LOAD USM      ;                                                              
 LOAD USMS     ;                                                              
 LOAD USM00$B  ;                                                              
 LOAD USPX     ;                                                              
 LOAD USS      ;                                                              
 LOAD USTT     ;                                                              
 LOAD USXS     ;                                                              
 LOAD CNST2    ;                                                              
 LOAD TB       ;                                                              
 LOAD C        ;                                                              
 LOAD ZERO     ;                                                              
 LOAD CSZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD CNZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD CDZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD IHHZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD L1Z      ;                                                              
 LOAD L2Z      ;                                                              
 LOAD L3Z      ;                                                              
 LOAD LL1Z     ;                                                              
 LOAD LL2Z     ;                                                              
 LOAD LL3Z     ;                                                              
 LOAD LMZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD LLMZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LPF      ;                                                              
 LOAD LJF1     ;                                                              
 LOAD LHF1     ;                                                              
 LOAD LHFL1A   ;                                                              
 LOAD LHO      ;                                                              
 LOAD LWF      ;                                                              
 LOAD LWFQ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LMFZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LY1      ;                                                              
 LOAD LHF      ;                                                              
 LOAD LXMFAZ   ;                                                              
 LOAD RB1      ;                                                              
 LOAD RS1      ;                                                              
 LOAD LCURZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD IMZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD LUB      ;                                                              
 LOAD CGZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD GAP      ;                                                              
 LOAD GAPA     ;                                                              
 LOAD GAPAM    ;                                                              
 LOAD LGAPA    ;                                                              
 LOAD XMFAZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LXMFA    ;                                                              
 LOAD UMM      ;                                                              
 LOAD LU       ;                                                              
 LOAD LWFD5    ;                                                              
 LOAD PCM1L1A  ;                                                              
 LOAD LMFL1Q   ;                                                              
 LOAD LCURL1Q  ;                                                              
 LOAD LEXL     ;                                                              
 LOAD LY       ;                                                              
 LOAD LYZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD YDZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD AAZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD YNLZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LYNLZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD KHZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD KDZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD LPIM     ;                                                              
 LOAD LPIMZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LYDZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD RSB      ;                                                              
 LOAD EXKK     ;                                                              
 LOAD RBA      ;                                                              
 LOAD PCPD     ;                                                              
 LOAD PCPD4    ;                                                              
 LOAD PCPD8    ;                                                              
 LOAD RBA4     ;                                                              
 LOAD Y1       ;                                                              
 LOAD COGS     ;                                                              
 LOAD LCOGSZ   ;                                                              
 LOAD JHGSZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LJHGSZ   ;                                                              
 LOAD TRGSZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LTRGSZ   ;                                                              
 LOAD ODHM     ;                                                              
 LOAD LODHM    ;                                                              
 LOAD EXL      ;                                                              
 LOAD LEX      ;                                                              
 LOAD LEXZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD TFGS     ;                                                              
 LOAD LCSZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LAAZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LCNZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LCNZ1    ;                                                              
 LOAD LCDZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LKHZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LIHHZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LV       ;                                                              
 LOAD LVZ      ;                                                              
 LOAD LEXKK    ;                                                              
 LOAD LIMZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LXXXZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD WAZPH    ;                                                              
 LOAD LWAZPH   ;                                                              
 LOAD LKDZ     ;                                                              
 LOAD LDF      ;                                                              
 LOAD LDF1     ;                                                              
 LOAD LPFZPIM  ;                                                              
 LOAD LWFZPF   ;                                                              
 LOAD LWFQZPF  ;                                                              
 LOAD RBMRSL2  ;                                                              
 LOAD RSMRSL2  ;                                                              
 LOAD RSLMRSL2 ;                                                              
 LOAD RMMRSL2  ;                                                              
 LOAD RBLMRSL2 ;                                                              
 LOAD RMLMRSL2 ;                                                              
 LOAD RMACDZ   ;                                                              
 LOAD RMALIHHZ ;                                                              
 LOAD LKK      ;                                                              
 LOAD LPH      ;                                                              
 LOAD UR1      ;                                                              
 LOAD PIEFA    ;                                                              
 LOAD PIEFAMM  ;                                                              
 LOAD LPIEFAZ  ;                                                              
 LOAD TPIEM    ;                                                              
 LOAD TPIEM1   ;                                                              
 LOAD TPIEM1Z  ;                                                              
 LOAD AAF      ;                                                              
 LOAD AAG      ;                                                              
 LOAD INTFZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD INTGZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD RQF      ;                                                              
 LOAD RQG      ;                                                              
 LOAD LX       ;                                                              
 LOAD CGZ3     ;                                                              
 LOAD LKK1     ;                                                              
 LOAD DKDZCDL1 ;                                                              
 LOAD CDZ1     ;                                                              
 LOAD DKHZIHL1 ;                                                              
 LOAD IHHZ1    ;                                                              
 LOAD SGPPRIM  ;                                                              
 LOAD PRIMZGDP ;                                                              
 LOAD USEXDS   ;                                                              
 LOAD USIMDS   ;                                                              
 LOAD DEL3     ;                                                              
 LOAD DEL4     ;                                                              
 LOAD LPXA     ;                                                              
 LOAD LPXB     ;                                                              
 LOAD USC      ;                                                              
 LOAD USI      ;                                                              
 LOAD USV1PCT  ;                                                              
 LOAD USSPCT   ;                                                              
 LOAD DD1      ;                                                              
 LOAD DD2      ;                                                              
 LOAD DD3      ;                                                              
 LOAD T1       ;                                                              
 LOAD T2       ;                                                              
 LOAD CNST1    ;                                                              
 LOAD TA       ;                                                              
 LOAD BETA1    ;                                                              
 LOAD BETA2    ;                                                              
 LOAD DELTA1   ;                                                              
 LOAD LWFQZ    ;                                                              
 LOAD LPFZ     ;                                                              
 END;                                                                         
@                                                                             
@ Data for FP example                                                         
@                                                                             
@SMPL 1952.1 2013.3;                                                          
@CREATE C=CS+CN+CD;                                                           
@CREATE I=IHH+IKF+IKH+IKB+IKG+IHF+IHB;                                        
@CREATE Y=GDPR;                                                               
@CREATE R=RS;                                                                 
@CREATE G=Y-C-I;                                                              
@PRINTVAR C I Y G R FILEOUT=IS.DAT LOADFORMAT;                                
@QUIT;                                                                        
@                                                                             
@ No estimation                                                               
@                                                                             
@READCOEF FILE=MC.COF;                                                        
@                                                                             
@ Set up the model                                                            
@                                                                             
SMPL 1952.1 2022.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  2022.4 Internally:     1 to   284
GENR EUEURS=EU1*EURS+(1-EU1)*GEGERS;                                          
GENR EUEURB=EU1*EURB+(1-EU1)*GEGERB;                                          
GENR USRS=RS;                                                                 
GENR USPY=GDPD;                                                               
GENR USY=Y;                                                                   
GENR USYS=YS;                                                                 
GENR USPOP=POP;                                                               
GENR GEGERSN=(GEGERS+GEGERS(1)+GEGERS(2)+GEGERS(3))/4;                        
GENR GEGEPYN=(GEGEPY+GEGEPY(1)+GEGEPY(2)+GEGEPY(3))/4;                        
GENR GEGEYN=GEGEY+GEGEY(1)+GEGEY(2)+GEGEY(3);                                 
GENR GEGEYSN=GEGEYS+GEGEYS(1)+GEGEYS(2)+GEGEYS(3);                            
GENR GEGEPOPN=(GEGEPOP+GEGEPOP(1)+GEGEPOP(2)+GEGEPOP(3))/4;                   
GENR GEGEEN=(GEGEE+GEGEE(1)+GEGEE(2)+GEGEE(3))/4;                             
GENR EUEURSN=(EUEURS+EUEURS(1)+EUEURS(2)+EUEURS(3))/4;                        
GENR EUEURBN=(EUEURB+EUEURB(1)+EUEURB(2)+EUEURB(3))/4;                        
GENR USRSN=(USRS+USRS(1)+USRS(2)+USRS(3))/4;                                  
GENR USPYN=(USPY+USPY(1)+USPY(2)+USPY(3))/4;                                  
GENR USYN=USY+USY(1)+USY(2)+USY(3);                                           
GENR USYSN=USYS+USYS(1)+USYS(2)+USYS(3);                                      
GENR USPOPN=(USPOP+USPOP(1)+USPOP(2)+USPOP(3))/4;                             
@                                                                             
GENR CSZ=CS/POP   ;                                                           
GENR CNZ=CN/POP   ;                                                           
GENR CDZ=CD/POP   ;                                                           
GENR IHHZ=IHH/POP ;                                                           
GENR L1Z=L1/POP1  ;                                                           
GENR L2Z=L2/POP2  ;                                                           
GENR L3Z=L3/POP3  ;                                                           
GENR LL1Z=LOG(L1Z);                                                           
GENR LL2Z=LOG(L2Z);                                                           
GENR LL3Z=LOG(L3Z);                                                           
GENR LMZ=LM/POP   ;                                                           
GENR LLMZ=LOG(LMZ);                                                           
GENR LPF=LOG(PF)       ;                                                      
GENR LJF1=LOG(JF/JF(-1)) ;                                                    
GENR LHF1=LOG(HF/HF(-1)) ;                                                    
GENR LHFL1A=LOG(HF(-1)/HFS(-1));                                              
GENR LHO=LOG(HO)         ;                                                    
GENR LWF=LOG(WF)         ;                                                    
GENR LWFQ=LOG(WF)-LOG(LAM);                                                   
GENR LMFZ=LOG(MF/PF)     ;                                                    
GENR LY1=LOG(Y/Y(-1))    ;                                                    
GENR LHF=LOG(HF)         ;                                                    
GENR LXMFAZ=LOG((X-FA)/POP)      ;                                            
GENR RB1=RB-RB(-1)       ;                                                    
GENR RS1=RS-RS(-1);                                                           
GENR LCURZ=LOG(CUR/(POP*PF)) ;                                                
GENR IMZ=IM/POP          ;                                                    
GENR LUB=LOG(UB)         ;                                                    
@ SPECIAL MCPOST (for some), MCNEWE, MCPROG, MCCRIS, MCCRI2                   
@GENR CGZ=CG/(PX(-1)*YS(-1));                                                 
GENR GAP=(YS-Y)/YS;                                                           
GENR GAPA=(YS-Y)/YS+.04;                                                      
GENR GAPAM=(ABS(GAPA-.00001)+GAPA-.00001)/2+.00001;                           
GENR LGAPA=LOG(GAPAM);                                                        
GENR XMFAZ=(X-FA)/POP            ;                                            
GENR LXMFA=LOG(X-FA)           ;                                              
GENR UMM=(ABS(U-1.0)+U-1.0)/2 + 1.0;                                          
GENR LU=LOG(UMM);                                                             
GENR LWFD5=LOG(WF*(1+D5G)) - LOG(LAM);                                        
GENR PCM1L1A=D794823*PCM1(-1) ;                                               
GENR LMFL1Q=LOG(MF(-1)/PF)           ;                                        
GENR LCURL1Q=LOG(CUR(-1)/(POP(-1)*PF)) ;                                      
GENR LEXL=LOG(JF/(JHMIN/HFS))   ;                                             
GENR LY=LOG(Y)            ;                                                   
GENR LYZ=LOG(Y/POP);                                                          
GENR YDZ=YD/(POP*PH)      ;                                                   
GENR AAZ=AA/POP           ;                                                   
GENR YNLZ=YNL/(POP*PH);                                                       
GENR LYNLZ=LOG(YNLZ);                                                         
GENR KHZ=KH/POP           ;                                                   
GENR KDZ=KD/POP;                                                              
GENR LPIM=LOG(PIM)        ;                                                   
GENR LPIMZ=LOG(PIM/PF);                                                       
GENR LYDZ=LOG(YD/(POP*PH)) ;                                                  
GENR RSB=RS*(1-D2G-D2S)    ;                                                  
GENR EXKK=KK-KKMIN         ;                                                  
GENR RBA=RB*(1-D2G-D2S)        ;                                              
GENR PCPD=100*((PD/PD(-1))**4-1) ;                                            
GENR PCPD4=100*(PD/PD(-4)-1);                                                 
GENR PCPD8=100*((PD/PD(-8))**.5-1);                                           
GENR RBA4=RBA-PCPD4;                                                          
GENR Y1=Y-Y(-1)            ;                                                  
GENR COGS=COG+COS         ;                                                   
GENR LCOGSZ=LOG(COGS/POP)       ;                                             
GENR JHGSZ=(JG*HG+JM*HM+JS*HS)/POP ;                                          
GENR LJHGSZ=LOG(JHGSZ)              ;                                         
GENR TRGSZ=(TRGH+TRSH)/(POP*PH(-1)) ;                                         
GENR LTRGSZ=LOG(TRGSZ)         ;                                              
GENR ODHM=1-D1GM-D1SM-D4G  ;                                                  
GENR LODHM=LOG(ODHM)           ;                                              
GENR EXL=JF-JHMIN/HFS             ;                                           
GENR LEX=LOG(EX)               ;                                              
GENR LEXZ=LOG(EX/POP);                                                        
GENR TFGS=TFG+TFS              ;                                              
GENR LCSZ=LOG(CSZ)             ;                                              
GENR LAAZ=LOG(AAZ)             ;                                              
GENR LCNZ=LOG(CNZ)             ;                                              
GENR LCNZ1=LCNZ-LCNZ(-1);                                                     
GENR LCDZ=LOG(CDZ)             ;                                              
GENR LKHZ=LOG(KHZ)             ;                                              
GENR LIHHZ=LOG(IHHZ)           ;                                              
GENR LV=LOG(V)                 ;                                              
GENR LVZ=LOG(V/X);                                                            
GENR LEXKK=LOG(KK/KKMIN)       ;                                              
GENR LIMZ=LOG(IMZ)             ;                                              
GENR LXXXZ=LOG((CS+CN+CD+IHH+IKF+IKH+IKB+IHF+IHB)/POP);                       
GENR WAZPH=WA/PH;                                                             
GENR LWAZPH=LOG(WAZPH);                                                       
GENR LKDZ=LOG(KDZ);                                                           
GENR LDF=LOG(DF);                                                             
GENR LDF1=LOG(DF/DF(-1));                                                     
GENR LPFZPIM=LOG(PF/PIM);                                                     
GENR LWFZPF=LWF-LPF;                                                          
GENR LWFQZPF=LWFQ-LPF;                                                        
GENR RBMRSL2=RB-RS(-2);                                                       
GENR RSMRSL2=RS-RS(-2);                                                       
GENR RSLMRSL2=RS(-1)-RS(-2);                                                  
GENR RMMRSL2=RM-RS(-2);                                                       
GENR RBLMRSL2=RB(-1)-RS(-2);                                                  
GENR RMLMRSL2=RM(-1)-RS(-2);                                                  
GENR RMACDZ=RMA*CDA;                                                          
GENR RMALIHHZ=RMA(-1)*IHHA;                                                   
GENR LKK=LOG(KK);                                                             
GENR LPH=LOG(PH);                                                             
GENR UR1=UR-UR(-1);                                                           
GENR PIEFA=PIEF-TFG-TFS-TFR  ;                                                
GENR PIEFAMM=(ABS(PIEFA-4.)+PIEFA-4.)/2+4.;                                   
GENR LPIEFAZ=LOG(PIEFAMM/DF(-1));                                             
GENR TPIEM=PIEF-TFG-TFS-TFR;                                                  
GENR TPIEM1=TPIEM-TPIEM(-1);                                                  
GENR TPIEM1Z=TPIEM1/(PX(-1)*YS(-1));                                          
GENR AAF=-AF;                                                                 
GENR AAG=-(AG-200);                                                           
GENR INTFZ=INTF/AAF;                                                          
GENR INTGZ=INTG/AAG;                                                          
GENR RQF=(.4*(RS/400)+.6*(1/8)*(1/400)*(RB                                    
 +RB(-1)+RB(-2)+RB(-3)+RB(-4)+RB(-5)+RB(-6)+RB(-7)));                         
GENR RQG=(.4*(RS/400)+.75*.6*(1/8)*(1/400)*(RB                                
 +RB(-1)+RB(-2)+RB(-3)+RB(-4)+RB(-5)+RB(-6)+RB(-7)));                         
GENR LX=LOG(X);                                                               
GENR CGZ3=(CG+CG(-1)+CG(-2))/(PX*YS+PX(-1)*YS(-1)+PX(-2)*YS(-2));             
GENR LKK1=LKK-LKK(-1);                                                        
GENR DKDZCDL1=(DELD*KD(-1)-CD(-1))/POP(-1);                                   
GENR CDZ1=CDZ-CDZ(-1);                                                        
GENR DKHZIHL1=(DELH*KH(-1)-IHH(-1))/POP(-1);                                  
GENR IHHZ1=IHHZ-IHHZ(-1);                                                     
@                                                                             
GENR CCG=CCGQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR CCH=CCHQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR CCS=CCSQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR DB=DBQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR DR=DRQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR GSB=GSBQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR GSNN=GSNNQ*GDPD;                                                         
GENR IGZ=IGZQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR INTZ=INTZQ*GDPD;                                                         
GENR ISZ=ISZQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR MG=MGQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR MH=MHQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR MR=MRQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR MS=MSQ*GDPD;                                                             
GENR Q=QQ*GDPD;                                                               
GENR RNT=RNTQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR TBG=TBGQ*GDPD;                                                           
GENR TRGH=TRGHQ*GDPD;                                                         
GENR TRGS=TRGSQ*GDPD;                                                         
GENR TRSH=TRSHQ*GDPD;                                                         
GENR RECGZGDP=RECG/GDP;                                                       
GENR EXPGZGDP=EXPG/GDP;                                                       
GENR SGPZGDP=-SGP/GDP;                                                        
GENR AGZGDP=-AG/(4*GDP);                                                      
GENR INTGZGDP=INTG/GDP;                                                       
GENR SRZGDP=SR/GDP;                                                           
GENR ASZGDP=-AS/(4*GDP);                                                      
GENR PCGDPR4=100*((GDPR/GDPR(-4))**1-1)    ;                                  
GENR PCGDPD4=100*((GDPD/GDPD(-4))**1-1)    ;                                  
@                                                                             
@ Special to MC model                                                         
@                                                                             
GENR LPX=LOG(USPX);                                                           
GENR LUSPW$=LOG(USPW$);                                                       
@                                                                             
@ End of special to MC model                                                  
@                                                                             
@ For equation 16                                                             
@                                                                             
GENR LWFQZ=LWFQ-DELTA1*LPF(-1);                                               
GENR LPFZ=LPF-DELTA1*LPF(-1);                                                 
@                                                                             
@ End of for equation 16                                                      
@                                                                             
EQ   1 LCSZ CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 LCSZ(-1) LYDZ RSA LAAZ(-1)                    
 FSR CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 LCSZ(-1) LAAZ(-1) T LYDZ(-1) RSA(-1)                 
 LODHM(-1) LIMZ(-1) LJHGSZ LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1) PCPD(-1)                       
 LCOGSZ LTRGSZ RS(-2) RB(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) UR(-1)                           
 LYDZ ;                                                                       
EQUATION 1  LCSZ  
   RHS     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  LCSZ(-1)  LYDZ  RSA  LAAZ(-1)  
   FSR     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  LCSZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  T  
   FSR     LYDZ(-1)  RSA(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LJHGSZ  
   FSR     LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  LCOGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     RS(-2)  RB(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  UR(-1)  LYDZ  
LHS CS=EXP(LCSZ)*POP;                                                         
EQ   2 LCNZ CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 LCNZ(-1) LCNZ1(-1) LAAZ(-1) LYDZ RMA          
 FSR CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 LCNZ(-1) LCNZ1(-1) LAAZ(-1) LYDZ(-1) RMA(-1)         
 LCOGSZ LEXZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LIMZ(-1)                                           
 LTRGSZ LJHGSZ LYNLZ(-1) LPIMZ(-1) PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LVZ(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2)      
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 2  LCNZ  
   RHS     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  LCNZ(-1)  LCNZ1(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  
   RHS     LYDZ  RMA  
   FSR     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  LCNZ(-1)  LCNZ1(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  
   FSR     LYDZ(-1)  RMA(-1)  LCOGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  
   FSR     LIMZ(-1)  LTRGSZ  LJHGSZ  LYNLZ(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LVZ(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  T  
LHS CN=EXP(LCNZ)*POP;                                                         
EQ   3 CDZ1 CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 DKDZCDL1 KDZ(-1) YDZ RMACDZ AAZ(-1)           
 FSR CNST2 C AG1 AG2 AG3 KDZ(-1) AAZ(-1) YDZ(-1) RMACDZ(-1)                   
 LCOGSZ LEXZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) LIMZ(-1)                           
 LTRGSZ LYNLZ(-1) LPIMZ(-1)                                                   
 DKDZCDL1                                                                     
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 3  CDZ1  
   RHS     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  DKDZCDL1  KDZ(-1)  YDZ  
   RHS     RMACDZ  AAZ(-1)  
   FSR     CNST2  C  AG1  AG2  AG3  KDZ(-1)  AAZ(-1)  YDZ(-1)  
   FSR     RMACDZ(-1)  LCOGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LYZ(-1)  
   FSR     LVZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LTRGSZ  LYNLZ(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     DKDZCDL1  T  
LHS CD=(CDZ1+CD(-1)/POP(-1))*POP;                                             
EQ   4 IHHZ1 CNST2 C DKHZIHL1 KHZ(-1) YDZ RMALIHHZ RHO=2                      
 FSR CNST2 CNST2(-1) CNST2(-2) C KHZ(-1) RMALIHHZ YDZ(-1)                     
 KHZ(-2) KHZ(-3) RMALIHHZ(-1) RMALIHHZ(-2) YDZ(-2)                            
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1) PCPD(-1)                   
 LIMZ(-1)                                                                     
 DKHZIHL1 DKHZIHL1(-1) DKHZIHL1(-2) IHHZ1(-1) IHHZ1(-2)                       
;                                                                             
EQUATION 4  IHHZ1  RHO=2  
   RHS     CNST2  C  DKHZIHL1  KHZ(-1)  YDZ  RMALIHHZ  
   FSR     CNST2  CNST2(-1)  CNST2(-2)  C  KHZ(-1)  RMALIHHZ  
   FSR     YDZ(-1)  KHZ(-2)  KHZ(-3)  RMALIHHZ(-1)  RMALIHHZ(-2)  
   FSR     YDZ(-2)  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  
   FSR     LYNLZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  DKHZIHL1  DKHZIHL1(-1)  
   FSR     DKHZIHL1(-2)  IHHZ1(-1)  IHHZ1(-2)  
LHS IHH=(IHHZ1+IHH(-1)/POP(-1))*POP;                                          
EQ   5 LL1Z C LL1Z(-1) LAAZ(-1) UR                                            
 FSR C LL1Z(-1) LAAZ(-1) UR(-1)                                               
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) PCPD(-1)                   
 LODHM(-1) LIMZ(-1)                                                           
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 5  LL1Z  
   RHS     C  LL1Z(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  UR  
   FSR     C  LL1Z(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  UR(-1)  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     LYNLZ(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  LODHM(-1)  
   FSR     LIMZ(-1)  T  
LHS L1=EXP(LL1Z)*POP1;                                                        
EQ   6 LL2Z C LL2Z(-1) LWAZPH LAAZ(-1)                                        
 FSR C LAAZ(-1) LWAZPH(-1) T ;                                                
EQUATION 6  LL2Z  
   RHS     C  LL2Z(-1)  LWAZPH  LAAZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  LAAZ(-1)  LWAZPH(-1)  T  
LHS L2=EXP(LL2Z)*POP2;                                                        
EQ   7 LL3Z C LL3Z(-1) LWAZPH LAAZ(-1) UR                                     
 FSR C LL3Z(-1) LAAZ(-1) LWAZPH(-1) UR(-1)                                    
 LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) PCPD(-1) LYZ(-1) T ;     
EQUATION 7  LL3Z  
   RHS     C  LL3Z(-1)  LWAZPH  LAAZ(-1)  UR  
   FSR     C  LL3Z(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  LWAZPH(-1)  UR(-1)  LJHGSZ  
   FSR     LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  LYZ(-1)  T  
LHS L3=EXP(LL3Z)*POP3;                                                        
EQ   8 LLMZ C LLMZ(-1) LWAZPH UR                                              
 FSR C LLMZ(-1) LWAZPH(-1)  UR(-1)                                            
 LJHGSZ LPIMZ(-1) PCPD(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2) RB(-1)                               
 LCOGSZ LTRGSZ LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1) LAAZ(-1) LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) 
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 8  LLMZ  
   RHS     C  LLMZ(-1)  LWAZPH  UR  
   FSR     C  LLMZ(-1)  LWAZPH(-1)  UR(-1)  LJHGSZ  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  RB(-1)  LCOGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LODHM(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  T  
LHS LM=EXP(LLMZ)*POP;                                                         
EQ   9 NONE9 C;                                                               
EQUATION 9  NONE9  
   RHS     C  
COEF;                                                                         
COEF(   1,   9) =       1.00000000
EQ  10  LPF LPF(-1) LWFD5 CNST2 TB C T LPIM UR                                
 FSR LPF(-1) LWFD5(-1) CNST2 TB C T LPIMZ(-1) UR(-1)                          
 LCOGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1)                                 
 LTRGSZ LAAZ(-1) LYZ(-1)                                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 10  LPF  
   RHS     LPF(-1)  LWFD5  CNST2  TB  C  T  LPIM  UR  
   FSR     LPF(-1)  LWFD5(-1)  CNST2  TB  C  T  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     UR(-1)  LCOGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     LTRGSZ  LAAZ(-1)  LYZ(-1)  
LHS PF=EXP(LPF);                                                              
EQ  11  LY C LY(-1) LX LV(-1) D593 D594 D601 RHO=3                            
 FSR C LY(-1) LV(-1) LY(-2) LY(-3) LY(-4) LV(-2) LV(-3) LV(-4)                
 D593 D594 D601 D601(-1) D601(-2) D601(-3)                                    
 T LCOGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1) UR(-1)       
 RS(-1) RB(-1)                                                                
 PCPD(-1);                                                                    
EQUATION 11  LY  RHO=3  
   RHS     C  LY(-1)  LX  LV(-1)  D593  D594  D601  
   FSR     C  LY(-1)  LV(-1)  LY(-2)  LY(-3)  LY(-4)  LV(-2)  
   FSR     LV(-3)  LV(-4)  D593  D594  D601  D601(-1)  D601(-2)  
   FSR     D601(-3)  T  LCOGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  UR(-1)  RS(-1)  
   FSR     RB(-1)  PCPD(-1)  
LHS Y=EXP(LY);                                                                
EQ  12 LKK1 CNST2 C LEXKK(-1) LKK1(-1) LY1 LY1(-1) LY1(-2) LY1(-3) LY1(-4)    
 RBA4(-2) CGZ3(-2)                                                            
 FSR CNST2 C LKK(-1) LKK(-2) LY(-1) LY(-2) LY(-3) LY(-4) LY(-5)               
 LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1) UR(-1)                                     
 LEXZ(-1) LAAZ(-1) RBA4(-2) CGZ3(-2) LEXKK(-1)                                
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 12  LKK1  
   RHS     CNST2  C  LEXKK(-1)  LKK1(-1)  LY1  LY1(-1)  LY1(-2)  
   RHS     LY1(-3)  LY1(-4)  RBA4(-2)  CGZ3(-2)  
   FSR     CNST2  C  LKK(-1)  LKK(-2)  LY(-1)  LY(-2)  LY(-3)  
   FSR     LY(-4)  LY(-5)  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LODHM(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     UR(-1)  LEXZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  RBA4(-2)  CGZ3(-2)  
   FSR     LEXKK(-1)  T  
LHS KK=EXP(LKK1)*KK(-1);                                                      
EQ  13  LJF1 C LEXL(-1) LJF1(-1) LY1 D593                                     
 FSR C LEXL(-1) LJF1(-1) LY1(-1) D593                                         
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1)    
 RS(-1) RS(-2) RB(-1)                                                         
 LTRGSZ LYNLZ(-1) LAAZ(-1) LPIMZ(-1)                                          
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 13  LJF1  
   RHS     C  LEXL(-1)  LJF1(-1)  LY1  D593  
   FSR     C  LEXL(-1)  LJF1(-1)  LY1(-1)  D593  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  
   FSR     LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  RB(-1)  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LYNLZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  T  
LHS JF=EXP(LJF1)*JF(-1);                                                      
EQ  14  LHF1 C LHFL1A LEXL(-1) LY1 T                                          
 FSR C LHFL1A LEXL(-1) LY1(-1) T                                              
 LJHGSZ PCPD(-1) UR(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2)                                         
 LPIMZ(-1) ;                                                                  
EQUATION 14  LHF1  
   RHS     C  LHFL1A  LEXL(-1)  LY1  T  
   FSR     C  LHFL1A  LEXL(-1)  LY1(-1)  T  LJHGSZ  PCPD(-1)  
   FSR     UR(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  LPIMZ(-1)  
LHS HF=EXP(LHF1)*HF(-1);                                                      
EQ  15  LHO C HFF HFF(-1) RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 15  LHO  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  HFF  HFF(-1)  
LHS HO=EXP(LHO);                                                              
EQ  16  LWFQZ LWFQZPF(-1) LPFZ C T                                            
 FSR LWFQZPF(-1) LPFZ(-1) C T                                                 
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1) UR(-1)                     
 LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) LPIMZ(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2) RB(-1);                              
EQUATION 16  LWFQZ  
   RHS     LWFQZPF(-1)  LPFZ  C  T  
   FSR     LWFQZPF(-1)  LPFZ(-1)  C  T  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  
   FSR     LVZ(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  RB(-1)  
LHS WF=EXP(LWFQZ+DELTA1*LPF(-1))*LAM;                                         
EQ  17  LMFZ C LMFL1Q LXMFA  RSB                                              
 FSR C LMFZ(-1) LXMFA(-1) RSB(-1)                                             
 T LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1) PCPD(-1)     
 UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1)                                                       
 RS(-2) RB(-1) ;                                                              
EQUATION 17  LMFZ  
   RHS     C  LMFL1Q  LXMFA  RSB  
   FSR     C  LMFZ(-1)  LXMFA(-1)  RSB(-1)  T  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  RS(-2)  RB(-1)  
LHS MF=EXP(LMFZ)*PF;                                                          
EQ  18  LDF1 LPIEFAZ                                                          
 FSR LPIEFAZ(-1) C                                                            
 LJHGSZ PCPD(-1) UR(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2)                                         
 LPIMZ(-1)                                                                    
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 18  LDF1  
   RHS     LPIEFAZ  
   FSR     LPIEFAZ(-1)  C  LJHGSZ  PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  RS(-1)  
   FSR     RS(-2)  LPIMZ(-1)  T  
LHS DF=EXP(LDF1)*DF(-1);                                                      
EQ  19  NONE19 C;                                                             
EQUATION 19  NONE19  
   RHS     C  
COEF;                                                                         
ERROR IN RD9: INCORRECT ENTRY
EQ  20  NONE20 C;                                                             
EQUATION 20  NONE20  
   RHS     C  
COEF;                                                                         
COEF(   1,  20) =       1.00000000
EQ  21  NONE21 C;                                                             
EQUATION 21  NONE21  
   RHS     C  
COEF;                                                                         
COEF(   1,  21) =       1.00000000
EQ  22  NONE22 C;                                                             
EQUATION 22  NONE22  
   RHS     C  
COEF;                                                                         
COEF(   1,  22) =       1.00000000
EQ  23  RBMRSL2 C RBLMRSL2 RSMRSL2 RSLMRSL2 RHO=1                             
 FSR C RB(-1) RB(-2) RS(-1) RS(-2) RS(-3)                                     
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1)         
 PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1)                                              
 LAAZ(-1) T;                                                                  
EQUATION 23  RBMRSL2  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  RBLMRSL2  RSMRSL2  RSLMRSL2  
   FSR     C  RB(-1)  RB(-2)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  RS(-3)  LCOGSZ  
   FSR     LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     LYNLZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  
   FSR     T  
LHS RB=RBMRSL2+RS(-2);                                                        
EQ  24  RMMRSL2 C RMLMRSL2 RSMRSL2 RSLMRSL2                                   
 FSR C RM(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2)                                                   
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1)         
 PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1)                                              
 LAAZ(-1) T;                                                                  
EQUATION 24  RMMRSL2  
   RHS     C  RMLMRSL2  RSMRSL2  RSLMRSL2  
   FSR     C  RM(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  T  
LHS RM=RMMRSL2+RS(-2);                                                        
EQ  25  CGZ C RB1 TPIEM1Z                                                     
 FSR C RB1(-1) TPIEM1Z(-1)                                                    
 T LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1)       
 PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) RS(-1) RS(-2) RB(-1)                         
 LAAZ(-1);                                                                    
EQUATION 25  CGZ  
   RHS     C  RB1  TPIEM1Z  
   FSR     C  RB1(-1)  TPIEM1Z(-1)  T  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  
   FSR     RB(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  
@ SPECIAL MCPOST (for some), MCCRIS, MCCRI2                                   
GENR CG=CGZ*PX(-1)*YS(-1);                                                    
@ SPECIAL MCPROG, MCNEWE, MCCRIS, MCCRI2                                      
@LHS CG=CGZ*PX(-1)*YS(-1);                                                    
EQ  26  LCURZ C LCURL1Q LXMFAZ RSA RHO=1                                      
 FSR C LCURZ(-1) LXMFAZ(-1) RSA(-1) LCURL1Q(-1)                               
 T LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1)       
 UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) RS(-2) RB(-1)                                         
 LAAZ(-1) PCPD(-1);                                                           
EQUATION 26  LCURZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  LCURL1Q  LXMFAZ  RSA  
   FSR     C  LCURZ(-1)  LXMFAZ(-1)  RSA(-1)  LCURL1Q(-1)  
   FSR     T  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  
   FSR     LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  
   FSR     RS(-2)  RB(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  
LHS CUR=EXP(LCURZ)*(POP*PF);                                                  
EQ  27  LIMZ CNST2 C LIMZ(-1) LXXXZ LPFZPIM D691 D692 D714 D721               
 FSR CNST2 C LIMZ(-1) LXXXZ(-1) LPFZPIM(-1) D691 D692 D714 D721               
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LYNLZ(-1)                            
 PCPD(-1) UR(-1) LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1) RS(-1) RB(-1)                                
 LAAZ(-1)                                                                     
 T ;                                                                          
EQUATION 27  LIMZ  
   RHS     CNST2  C  LIMZ(-1)  LXXXZ  LPFZPIM  D691  D692  
   RHS     D714  D721  
   FSR     CNST2  C  LIMZ(-1)  LXXXZ(-1)  LPFZPIM(-1)  D691  
   FSR     D692  D714  D721  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  
   FSR     LODHM(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  LYZ(-1)  
   FSR     LVZ(-1)  RS(-1)  RB(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  T  
LHS IM=EXP(LIMZ)*POP;                                                         
EQ  28  LUB C LUB(-1) LU LWF RHO=1                                            
 FSR C LUB(-1) LU(-1) LWF(-1) LUB(-2)                                         
 LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1) PCPD(-1)         
 RS(-1) RS(-2) T;                                                             
EQUATION 28  LUB  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  LUB(-1)  LU  LWF  
   FSR     C  LUB(-1)  LU(-1)  LWF(-1)  LUB(-2)  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  
   FSR     LTRGSZ  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     PCPD(-1)  RS(-1)  RS(-2)  T  
LHS UB=EXP(LUB);                                                              
EQ  29 INTGZ C INTGZ(-1) RQG RHO=1;                                           
EQUATION 29  INTGZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  INTGZ(-1)  RQG  
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL FOR MPLE                                                            
@                                                                             
LHS INTG=(INTGZ)*AAG*1.0;                                                     
EQ  30  RS C RS(-1) PCPD UR UR1 PCM1(-1) PCM1L1A RS1(-1) RS1(-2)              
 FSR C RS(-1) PCPD(-1) UR(-1) UR1(-1) PCM1(-1) PCM1L1A RS1(-1) RS1(-2)        
 T LCOGSZ LJHGSZ LTRGSZ LEXZ(-1) LIMZ(-1) LODHM(-1) LPIMZ(-1) LYNLZ(-1)       
 LYZ(-1) LVZ(-1)                                                              
 LAAZ(-1);                                                                    
EQUATION 30  RS  
   RHS     C  RS(-1)  PCPD  UR  UR1  PCM1(-1)  PCM1L1A  RS1(-1)  
   RHS     RS1(-2)  
   FSR     C  RS(-1)  PCPD(-1)  UR(-1)  UR1(-1)  PCM1(-1)  
   FSR     PCM1L1A  RS1(-1)  RS1(-2)  T  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  
   FSR     LEXZ(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  LPIMZ(-1)  LYNLZ(-1)  
   FSR     LYZ(-1)  LVZ(-1)  LAAZ(-1)  
LHS RS=(ABS(RS-.0)+RS-.0)/2.+.0;                                              
@                                                                             
IDENT PX=(PF*(X-FA)+PFA*FA)/X;                                                
@IDENT PEX=PSI1*PX            ;                                               
IDENT PD=(PX*X-PEX*EX+PIM*IM)/(X-EX+IM);                                      
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL For YUAN Table 8                                                    
@                                                                             
IDENT PH=(PCS*CS+PCN*CN+PCD*CD+PIH*IHH+IBTG+IBTS)/(CS+CN+CD+IHH);             
@                                                                             
IDENT PCS=PSI2*(1+D3G+D3S)*PD                                   ;             
IDENT PCN=PSI3*(1+D3G+D3S)*PD                                   ;             
IDENT PCD=PSI4*(1+D3G+D3S)*PD                                   ;             
IDENT PIH=PSI5*PD                                               ;             
IDENT PIK=PSI6*PD                                               ;             
IDENT PG=PSI7*PD                                                ;             
IDENT PS=PSI8*PD                                                ;             
IDENT PIV=PSI9*PD                                               ;             
IDENT WH=100*((WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)+WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM+WS*JS*HS)/                 
(JF*(HN+1.5*HO)+JG*HG+JM*HM+JS*HS))                             ;             
IDENT WG=PSI10*WF                                               ;             
IDENT WM=PSI11*WF                                               ;             
IDENT WS=PSI12*WF                                               ;             
IDENT THG=(D1G+((TAUG*YT)/(POP*PH)))*YT                              ;        
IDENT THS=(D1S+((TAUS*YT)/(POP*PH)))*YT                              ;        
IDENT TFG=D2G*(PIEF-TFS)                                        ;             
IDENT TFS=D2S*PIEF                                              ;             
IDENT IBTG=(D3G/(1+D3G))*(PCS*CS+PCN*CN+PCD*CD-IBTS)            ;             
IDENT IBTS=(D3S/(1+D3S))*(PCS*CS+PCN*CN+PCD*CD-IBTG)            ;             
IDENT SIHG=D4G*(WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO))               ;                            
IDENT SIFG=D5G*(WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO))                    ;                       
IDENT PKH=PSI14*PD;                                                           
IDENT INTGR=PSI15*INTG;                                                       
IDENT USROW=-INTGR+DR+PIEFRET+USOTHER;                                        
IDENT KD=(1-DELD)*KD(-1)+CD                                     ;             
IDENT KH=(1-DELH)*KH(-1)+IHH                                    ;             
IDENT X=CS+CN+CD+IHH+IKF+EX-IM+COG+COS+IKH+IKB+IKG+IHF+IHB;                   
IDENT XX=PCS*CS+PCN*CN+PCD*CD+PIH*(IHB+IHF+IHH)+PIK*(IKH+IKG+IKB+IKF)         
 +PEX*EX-PIM*IM+PG*COG+PS*COS-IBTG-IBTS;                                      
IDENT HN=HF-HO                                                  ;             
IDENT V=V(-1)+Y-X ;                                                           
IDENT YT=WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)+WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM+WS*JS*HS                         
+RNT+INTZ+INTF+INTG-INTGR+INTS+DF+DB+DR+DG+DS+TRFH-TRHR-SIGG-SISS;            
IDENT SH=YT-SIHG-SIHS+USAFF-THG-THS                                           
-PCS*CS-PCN*CN-PCD*CD+TRGH+TRSH+UB                                            
+INS+NICD+CCH-CTH-PIH*IHH-CDH-PIK*IKH-NNH;                                    
IDENT AH=AH(-1)+SH-MH+MH(-1)+CG-DISH                            ;             
IDENT CCF1=D6G*(PIK*IKF+PIK(-1)*IKF(-1)+PIK(-2)*IKF(-2)+PIK(-3)*IKF(-3))/4.;  
IDENT PIEF=XX+PIV*IVF+SUBS+SUBG+USOTHER                                       
-WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)-RNT-INTZ-INTF-TRFH-NICD-CCH+CDH                            
-TBS-TRFS-CCS-TRFR-DB-GSB-CTGB                                                
-GSMA-GSCA-TBG-TRFG-CCG                                                       
-SIFG-SIFS                                                                    
-GSNN-IVA-CCF1-TFA-STAT                                                       
;                                                                             
IDENT SF=XX+SUBS+SUBG+USOTHER+PIEFRET                                         
-WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)-RNT-INTZ-INTF-TRFH-NICD-CCH+CDH                            
-TBS-TRFS-CCS                                                                 
-TRFR                                                                         
-DB-GSB-CTGB                                                                  
-GSMA-GSCA-TBG-TRFG-CCG                                                       
-SIFG-SIFS                                                                    
-STAT                                                                         
-DF-TF1-TFA                                                                   
-PIK*IKF-PIH*IHF-NNF-CTF1-CTNN                                                
;                                                                             
IDENT AF=AF(-1)+SF-MF+MF(-1) -DISF;                                           
IDENT MB=MB(-1) -MH+MH(-1) -MF+MF(-1) -MR+MR(-1) -MG+MG(-1) -MS+MS(-1)        
 +CUR-CUR(-1);                                                                
IDENT SB=GSB-CTB-PIH*IHB-PIK*IKB;                                             
IDENT AB=AB(-1)+SB-MB+MB(-1) -(BR-BO)+(BR(-1) -BO(-1)) -DISB ;                
IDENT SR=-PEX*EX-USROW+PIM*IM+TFR+TRFR+TRHR+TRGR-USAFF-CTR-NNR;               
IDENT AR=AR(-1)+SR-MR+MR(-1)+Q-Q(-1) -DISR                     ;              
IDENT SG=GSMA+GSCA+THG+IBTG+TBG+TFG+SIHG+SIFG-DG+TRFG                         
-PG*COG-WG*JG*HG-WM*JM*HM                                                     
-TRGH-TRGR-TRGS-INTG-SUBG                                                     
+CCG-INS-USAFF-CTGMB-NNG-PIK*IKG+SIGG;                                        
IDENT AG=AG(-1)+SG-MG+MG(-1)+CUR-CUR(-1)+(BR-BO) -(BR(-1) -BO(-1))            
 -Q+Q(-1) -DISG ;                                                             
IDENT SS=THS+IBTS+TBS+TFS+SIHS+SIFS-DS+TRGS+TRFS                              
-PS*COS-WS*JS*HS                                                              
-TRSH-UB-INTS-SUBS                                                            
+CCS-CTS-NNS+SISS;                                                            
IDENT AS=AS(-1)+SS-MS+MS(-1) -DISS                               ;            
IDENT TESTZERO=SH+SF+SB+SR+SG+SS+STAT+USAFF;                                  
IDENT M1=M1(-1)+MH-MH(-1)+MF-MF(-1)+MR-MR(-1)+MS-MS(-1)+MDIF    ;             
IDENT GDP=XX+PIV*(V-V(-1))+IBTG+IBTS+WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM+WS*JS*HS;              
IDENT GDPR=Y+PSI13*(JG*HG+JM*HM+JS*HS) +STATP      ;                          
IDENT GDPD=GDP/GDPR                                             ;             
IDENT E=JF+JG+JM+JS-LM                                          ;             
IDENT U=L1+L2+L3-E                                              ;             
IDENT UR=U/(L1+L2+L3-JM)                                        ;             
IDENT AA=(AH+MH)/PH+(KH*PKH)/PH ;                                             
IDENT D1GM=D1G+(2*TAUG*YT)/(POP*PH)                                  ;        
IDENT D1SM=D1S+(2*TAUS*YT)/(POP*PH)                                  ;        
IDENT IKF=KK-(1-DELK)*KK(-1);                                                 
IDENT KKMIN=Y/MUH                                               ;             
IDENT JHMIN=Y/LAM                                               ;             
IDENT JJ=(JF*HF+JG*HG+JM*HM+JS*HS)/POP                          ;             
IDENT CDH=THETA2*PCD*CD;                                                      
IDENT NICD=THETA3*PCD*CD;                                                     
IDENT YS=LAM*(JJP*POP-JG*HG-JM*HM-JS*HS)                        ;             
IDENT YNL=RNT+INTZ+INTF+INTG-INTGR+INTS+DF+DB+DR+DG+DS+TRFH+TRGH+TRSH+UB;     
IDENT HFF=HF-HFS                                           ;                  
IDENT TF1=TFG+TFS+TFR-TFA;                                                    
IDENT TCG=TFG+TBG                                           ;                 
IDENT SIG=SIHG+SIFG+SIGG                                        ;             
IDENT PUG=PG*COG+WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM;                                           
IDENT RECG=THG+TCG+IBTG+SIG+TRFG-DG;                                          
IDENT EXPG=PUG+TRGH+TRGR+TRGS+INTG+SUBG-IGZ               ;                   
IDENT SGP=RECG-EXPG                                             ;             
IDENT TCS=TFS+TBS                                               ;             
IDENT SIS=SIHS+SIFS+SISS                                        ;             
IDENT PUS=PS*COS+WS*JS*HS;                                                    
IDENT PFA=THETA1*GDPD;                                                        
IDENT RECS=THS+TCS+IBTS+SIS+TRGS+TRFS-DS;                                     
IDENT EXPS=PUS+TRSH+UB+INTS+SUBS-ISZ                    ;                     
IDENT SSP=RECS-EXPS                                             ;             
IDENT YD=WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)+WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM+WS*JS*HS                         
+RNT+INTZ+INTF+INTG-INTGR+INTS+DF+DB+DR+DG+DS                                 
 +TRFH+TRGH+TRSH+UB                                                           
-SIHG-SIHS                                                                    
+USAFF-THG-THS-TRHR-SIGG-SISS;                                                
IDENT SRZ=(YD-PCS*CS-PCN*CN-PCD*CD)/YD                          ;             
IDENT IVF=V-V(-1)                                               ;             
IDENT PROD=Y/(JF*HF)                                            ;             
IDENT WR=WF/PF                                                  ;             
IDENT POP=POP1+POP2+POP3                                        ;             
IDENT SHRPIE=((1-D2G-D2S)*PIEF)/(WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO))             ;             
IDENT PCGDPR=100*((GDPR/GDPR(-1))**4-1)                          ;            
IDENT PCGDPD=100*((GDPD/GDPD(-1))**4-1)                          ;            
IDENT PCM1=100*((M1/M1(-1))**4-1)                                ;            
IDENT UBR=BR-BO                                                 ;             
IDENT WA=100*((1-D1GM-D1SM-D4G)*WF*JF*(HN+1.5*HO)+                            
(1-D1GM-D1SM)*(WG*JG*HG+WM*JM*HM+WS*JS*HS-SIGG-SISS))/(JF*(HN                 
       +1.5*HO)+JG*HG+JM*HM+JS*HS);                                           
IDENT RSA=RS*(1-D1GM-D1SM)                                      ;             
IDENT RMA=RM*(1-D1GM-D1SM)                                      ;             
IDENT GNP=GDP+USROW;                                                          
IDENT GNPR=GDPR+USROW/GDPD;                                                   
IDENT GNPD=GNP/GNPR;                                                          
IDENT PIEFRET=THETA4*PIEF;                                                    
@                                                                             
@ Special to MC model                                                         
@                                                                             
CREATE USEXDS=1000*EX-USX00$-USXS;                                            
CREATE USIMDS=1000*IM-USM-USMS;                                               
CREATE DEL3=PEX/USPX;                                                         
CREATE DEL4=PIM/USPM;                                                         
IDENT USPM=USPSI2*USPMP;                                                      
IDENT PEX=DEL3*USPX;                                                          
IDENT USM=1000*IM-USMS-USIMDS;                                                
IDENT USM00$A=USM-USM00$B;                                                    
IDENT USS=USPX*(USX00$+USXS)-USPM*(USM+USMS)+USTT;                            
  IDENT PIM=DEL4*USPM;                                                        
@ SPECIAL MCCRI2 WHEN EX EXPERIMENT                                           
@  IDENT EX=(USX00$+USXS+USEXDS)/1000;                                        
CREATE USXS=1000*(.1259*YS)-USX00$-USEXDS;                                    
GENR EX=(USX00$+USXS+USEXDS)/1000;                                            
@                                                                             
GENR LPXA=LOG(USPX)-LOG(USPW$);                                               
GENR LPXB=LOG(GDPD)-LOG(USPW$);                                               
EQ  31  LPXA LPXB RHO=2;                                                      
EQUATION 31  LPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     LPXB  
LHS USPX=EXP(LPXA)*USPW$;                                                     
@                                                                             
@ End of special to MC model                                                  
@                                                                             
@IDENT CAV1=CAY-CAX;                                                          
IDENT CAV1PCT=CAV1/CAYS;                                                      
IDENT CAV=CAV(-1)+CAV1;                                                       
 IDENT CAM=(CAIM-CAIMDS)/CAPM00-CAMS;                                         
  IDENT CAEX=CAPX00*(CAE00*CAX00$+CAXS)+CAEXDS;                               
  IDENT CAX=CAC+CAI+CAG+CAEX-CAIM+CASTAT;                                     
  IDENT CAS=CAPX*(CAE00*CAX00$+CAXS)-CAPM*(CAM+CAMS)+CATT;                    
  IDENT CAY=CAX+CAV1;                                                         
IDENT CASPCT=CAS/(CAYS*CAPY);                                                 
IDENT CAA=CAA(-1)+CAS;                                                        
IDENT CAM00$A=CAM/CAE00-CAM00$B;                                              
IDENT CAEE=2*CAPSI1*CAE-CAEE(-1);                                             
IDENT CAUR=(CAL1-CAJ)/(CAL1);                                                 
IDENT CAJMIN=CAY/CALAM;                                                       
  IDENT CAZZ=LOG(CAY)-LOG(CAYS);                                              
IDENT CAPM=CAPSI2*CAPMP;                                                      
IDENT CAH=CAE/GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT CANW=CANW(-1)+CAI+CAV1+CAEX-CAIM;                                       
IDENT CAPX$=(CAE00/CAE)*CAPX;                                                 
GENR CALIMZ=LOG(CAIM/CAPOP);                                                  
GENR CALCIGZ=LOG((CAC+CAI+CAG)/CAPOP);                                        
GENR CALPY=LOG(CAPY);                                                         
GENR CALPM=LOG(CAPM);                                                         
GENR CALYZ=LOG(CAY/CAPOP);                                                    
GENR CAAZ=CAA/(CAYS*CAPY);                                                    
GENR CALW=LOG(CAW);                                                           
GENR CALWQ=LOG(CAW)-LOG(CALAM);                                               
GENR CALCZ=LOG(CAC/CAPOP);                                                    
GENR CALM1Z=LOG(CAM1/(CAPOP*CAPY));                                           
GENR CALM1ZL=LOG(CAM1(-1)/(CAPOP(-1)*CAPY));                                  
GENR CALE=LOG(CAE);                                                           
GENR CALF=LOG(CAF);                                                           
GENR CALEE=LOG(CAEE);                                                         
GENR CALJ1=LOG(CAJ/CAJ(-1));                                                  
GENR CALY1=LOG(CAY/CAY(-1));                                                  
GENR CALEXL=LOG(CAJ/CAJMIN);                                                  
GENR CALL1Z=LOG(CAL1/CAPOP1);                                                 
GENR CAPCPY=100*((CAPY/CAPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR CALRSZ=.25*LOG((1+CARS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR CALPYZ=LOG(CAPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR CALPYZZ=LOG(CAPY/    CAPM);                                              
GENR CARBZ=      CARB-    CARS(-2);                                           
GENR CARBZZ=     CARB(-1)-CARS(-2);                                           
GENR CARSZ=      CARS-    CARS(-2);                                           
GENR CARSZZ=     CARS(-1)-CARS(-2);                                           
GENR CALWZ=LOG(  CAW/     CAPY);                                              
GENR CALEA=CALPYZ-CALE(-1);                                                   
GENR CALE1=CALE-CALE(-1);                                                     
GENR CALPXA=LOG(CAPX/(CAPW$*(CAE/CAE00)));                                    
GENR CALPXB=LOG(CAPY/(CAPW$*(CAE/CAE00)));                                    
GENR CALPXC=LOG(CAPW$*(CAE/CAE00));                                           
GENR CALPX=LOG(CAPX);                                                         
GENR CALI=LOG(CAI);                                                           
GENR CALY=LOG(CAY);                                                           
GENR CAYZ=CAY/CAPOP;                                                          
GENR CAGA2=100*((CAYZ/CAYZ(-1))**4-1.)                                        
          -100*(((USY/USPOP)/(USY(-1)/USPOP(-1)))**4-1.);                     
CREATE CALGZ=LOG(CAG/CAPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: CALGZ           
CREATE CALEXZ=LOG(CAEX/CAPOP);                                                
Name added to list: CALEXZ          
@                                                                             
EQ  32 CALIMZ C CALIMZ(-1) CALPYZZ CALCIGZ RHO=1 ;                            
EQUATION 32  CALIMZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  CALIMZ(-1)  CALPYZZ  CALCIGZ  
LHS CAIM=EXP(CALIMZ)*CAPOP;                                                   
EQ  33 CALCZ C CALCZ(-1) CARB(-1) CALYZ                                       
;                                                                             
EQUATION 33  CALCZ  
   RHS     C  CALCZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  CALYZ  
LHS CAC=EXP(CALCZ)*CAPOP;                                                     
EQ  34 CALI C CALI(-1) CALY CARB(-1)                                          
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CALI(-1) CALY(-1);                                                           
EQUATION 34  CALI  
   RHS     C  CALI(-1)  CALY  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CALI(-1)  CALY(-1)  
LHS CAI=EXP(CALI);                                                            
EQ  35 CALPY CALPY(-1) C T CALPM CAZZ(-1) RHO=1                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 35  CALPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     CALPY(-1)  C  T  CALPM  CAZZ(-1)  
EQ  36 CALM1Z C CALM1ZL CARS CALYZ                                            
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CALM1ZL CARS(-1)                                                             
 CALM1Z(-1)                                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 36  CALM1Z  
   RHS     C  CALM1ZL  CARS  CALYZ  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CALM1ZL  CARS(-1)  CALM1Z(-1)  
LHS CAM1=EXP(CALM1Z)*CAPOP*CAPY;                                              
LHS CAPY=EXP(CALPY);                                                          
EQ  37 CARS C CARS(-1) CAZZ USRS                                              
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CARS(-1) CAZZ(-1) USRS(-1)                                                   
 CALPY(-2)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 37  CARS  
   RHS     C  CARS(-1)  CAZZ  USRS  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CARS(-1)  CAZZ(-1)  USRS(-1)  CALPY(-2)  
LHS CARS=(ABS(CARS-.0)+CARS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ  38 CARBZ C CARBZZ CARSZ CARSZZ                                            
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CARB(-2) CARS(-1) CARS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 38  CARBZ  
   RHS     C  CARBZZ  CARSZ  CARSZZ  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CARB(-2)  CARS(-1)  CARS(-2)  
LHS  CARB=       CARBZ+   CARS(-2);                                           
GENR CALE1Z=CALE1-.05*CALEA;                                                  
EQ  39 CALE1Z C CALRSZ RHO=1                                                  
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CALE1(-1) CALEA(-1) CALRSZ(-1)                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 39  CALE1Z  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  CALRSZ  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CALE1(-1)  CALEA(-1)  CALRSZ(-1)  
EQ  40  CALF CALEE CALRSZ RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 40  CALF  RHO=1  
   RHS     CALEE  CALRSZ  
LHS CAF=EXP(CALF);                                                            
EQ  41  CALPXA CALPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 41  CALPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     CALPXB  
LHS CAPX=EXP(CALPXA)*(CAPW$*(CAE/CAE00));                                     
LHS CAE=EXP(CALE1Z+.050*CALEA)*CAE(-1);                                       
EQ  42  CALJ1 C T CALEXL(-1) CALY1 CALY1(-1)                                  
 FSR C CALGZ CALEXZ(-1) CALPY(-1) CALYZ(-1) CARB(-1)                          
 CALJ1(-1) CALEXL(-1) CALY1(-1) T                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 42  CALJ1  
   RHS     C  T  CALEXL(-1)  CALY1  CALY1(-1)  
   FSR     C  CALGZ  CALEXZ(-1)  CALPY(-1)  CALYZ(-1)  CARB(-1)  
   FSR     CALJ1(-1)  CALEXL(-1)  CALY1(-1)  T  
LHS CAJ=EXP(CALJ1)*CAJ(-1);                                                   
@IDENT JAV1=JAY-JAX;                                                          
IDENT JAV1PCT=JAV1/JAYS;                                                      
IDENT JAV=JAV(-1)+JAV1;                                                       
 IDENT JAM=(JAIM-JAIMDS)/JAPM00-JAMS;                                         
  IDENT JAEX=JAPX00*(JAE00*JAX00$+JAXS)+JAEXDS;                               
  IDENT JAX=JAC+JAI+JAG+JAEX-JAIM+JASTAT;                                     
  IDENT JAS=JAPX*(JAE00*JAX00$+JAXS)-JAPM*(JAM+JAMS)+JATT;                    
  IDENT JAY=JAX+JAV1;                                                         
IDENT JASPCT=JAS/(JAYS*JAPY);                                                 
IDENT JAA=JAA(-1)+JAS;                                                        
IDENT JAM00$A=JAM/JAE00-JAM00$B;                                              
IDENT JAEE=2*JAPSI1*JAE-JAEE(-1);                                             
IDENT JAUR=(JAL1-JAJ)/(JAL1);                                                 
IDENT JAJMIN=JAY/JALAM;                                                       
  IDENT JAZZ=LOG(JAY)-LOG(JAYS);                                              
IDENT JAPM=JAPSI2*JAPMP;                                                      
IDENT JAH=JAE/GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT JANW=JANW(-1)+JAI+JAV1+JAEX-JAIM;                                       
IDENT JAPX$=(JAE00/JAE)*JAPX;                                                 
GENR JALCIGZ=LOG((JAC+JAI+JAG)/JAPOP);                                        
GENR JALIMZ=LOG(JAIM/JAPOP);                                                  
GENR JALPY=LOG(JAPY);                                                         
GENR JALPM=LOG(JAPM);                                                         
GENR JALYZ=LOG(JAY/JAPOP);                                                    
GENR JAAZ=JAA/(JAYS*JAPY);                                                    
GENR JALW=LOG(JAW);                                                           
GENR JALCZ=LOG(JAC/JAPOP);                                                    
GENR JALM1Z=LOG(JAM1/(JAPOP*JAPY));                                           
GENR JALM1ZL=LOG(JAM1(-1)/(JAPOP(-1)*JAPY));                                  
GENR JALE=LOG(JAE);                                                           
GENR JALF=LOG(JAF);                                                           
GENR JALEE=LOG(JAEE);                                                         
GENR JALJ1=LOG(JAJ/JAJ(-1));                                                  
GENR JALY1=LOG(JAY/JAY(-1));                                                  
GENR JALEXL=LOG(JAJ/JAJMIN);                                                  
GENR JALL1Z=LOG(JAL1/JAPOP1);                                                 
GENR JAPCPY=100*((JAPY/JAPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR JALRSZ=.25*LOG((1+JARS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR JALPYZ=LOG(JAPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR JALPYZZ=LOG(JAPY/    JAPM);                                              
GENR JARBZ=      JARB-    JARS(-2);                                           
GENR JARBZZ=     JARB(-1)-JARS(-2);                                           
GENR JARSZ=      JARS-    JARS(-2);                                           
GENR JARSZZ=     JARS(-1)-JARS(-2);                                           
GENR JALWZ=LOG(  JAW/     JAPY);                                              
GENR JALEA=JALPYZ-JALE(-1);                                                   
GENR JALE1=JALE-JALE(-1);                                                     
GENR JALPXA=LOG(JAPX/(JAPW$*(JAE/JAE00)));                                    
GENR JALPXB=LOG(JAPY/(JAPW$*(JAE/JAE00)));                                    
GENR JALPXC=LOG(JAPW$*(JAE/JAE00));                                           
GENR JALPX=LOG(JAPX);                                                         
GENR JALI=LOG(JAI);                                                           
GENR JALY=LOG(JAY);                                                           
CREATE JALGZ=LOG(JAG/JAPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: JALGZ           
CREATE JALEXZ=LOG(JAEX/JAPOP);                                                
Name added to list: JALEXZ          
@                                                                             
EQ  43 JALIMZ C JALIMZ(-1) JALCIGZ JALPYZZ RHO=1;                             
EQUATION 43  JALIMZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  JALIMZ(-1)  JALCIGZ  JALPYZZ  
LHS JAIM=EXP(JALIMZ)*JAPOP;                                                   
EQ  44 JALCZ C JALCZ(-1) JARB JALYZ RHO=1                                     
 FSR C JALGZ JALEXZ(-1) JALPY(-1) JALYZ(-1) JARB(-1)                          
 JALCZ(-1) JALCZ(-2)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 44  JALCZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  JALCZ(-1)  JARB  JALYZ  
   FSR     C  JALGZ  JALEXZ(-1)  JALPY(-1)  JALYZ(-1)  JARB(-1)  
   FSR     JALCZ(-1)  JALCZ(-2)  
LHS JAC=EXP(JALCZ)*JAPOP;                                                     
EQ  45 JALPY JALPY(-1) C T JALPM RHO=1                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 45  JALPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     JALPY(-1)  C  T  JALPM  
LHS JAPY=EXP(JALPY);                                                          
EQ  46 JARS C JARS(-1) JAPCPY USRS RHO=1                                      
 FSR C JALGZ JALEXZ(-1) JALPY(-1) JALYZ(-1) JARB(-1)                          
 JARS(-1) JARS(-2) USRS(-1)                                                   
JALPY(-2)                                                                     
 JAZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 46  JARS  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  JARS(-1)  JAPCPY  USRS  
   FSR     C  JALGZ  JALEXZ(-1)  JALPY(-1)  JALYZ(-1)  JARB(-1)  
   FSR     JARS(-1)  JARS(-2)  USRS(-1)  JALPY(-2)  JAZZ(-1)  
LHS JARS=(ABS(JARS-.0)+JARS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ  47 JARBZ C JARBZZ JARSZ JARSZZ                                            
 FSR C JALGZ JALEXZ(-1) JALPY(-1) JALYZ(-1) JARB(-1)                          
 JARB(-2) JARS(-1) JARS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 47  JARBZ  
   RHS     C  JARBZZ  JARSZ  JARSZZ  
   FSR     C  JALGZ  JALEXZ(-1)  JALPY(-1)  JALYZ(-1)  JARB(-1)  
   FSR     JARB(-2)  JARS(-1)  JARS(-2)  
LHS  JARB=       JARBZ+   JARS(-2);                                           
GENR JALE1Z=JALE1-.05*JALEA;                                                  
EQ  48 JALE1Z C JALRSZ RHO=1                                                  
 FSR C JALGZ JALEXZ(-1) JALPY(-1) JALYZ(-1) JARB(-1)                          
 JALE1(-1) JALEA(-1) JALRSZ(-1)                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 48  JALE1Z  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  JALRSZ  
   FSR     C  JALGZ  JALEXZ(-1)  JALPY(-1)  JALYZ(-1)  JARB(-1)  
   FSR     JALE1(-1)  JALEA(-1)  JALRSZ(-1)  
EQ  49  JALF JALEE JALRSZ RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 49  JALF  RHO=1  
   RHS     JALEE  JALRSZ  
LHS JAF=EXP(JALF);                                                            
EQ  50  JALPXA JALPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 50  JALPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     JALPXB  
LHS JAPX=EXP(JALPXA)*(JAPW$*(JAE/JAE00));                                     
LHS JAE=EXP(JALE1Z+.050*JALEA)*JAE(-1);                                       
EQ  51  JALJ1 C T JALEXL(-1) JALY1 ;                                          
EQUATION 51  JALJ1  
   RHS     C  T  JALEXL(-1)  JALY1  
LHS JAJ=EXP(JALJ1)*JAJ(-1);                                                   
EQ  52  JALL1Z C T JALL1Z(-1)                                                 
 JAUR                                                                         
 FSR C JALGZ JALEXZ(-1) JALPY(-1) JALYZ(-1) JARB(-1)                          
 JALL1Z(-1) T                                                                 
 JAUR(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 52  JALL1Z  
   RHS     C  T  JALL1Z(-1)  JAUR  
   FSR     C  JALGZ  JALEXZ(-1)  JALPY(-1)  JALYZ(-1)  JARB(-1)  
   FSR     JALL1Z(-1)  T  JAUR(-1)  
LHS JAL1=EXP(JALL1Z)*JAPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT AUV1=AUY-AUX;                                                          
IDENT AUV1PCT=AUV1/AUYS;                                                      
IDENT AUV=AUV(-1)+AUV1;                                                       
 IDENT AUM=(AUIM-AUIMDS)/AUPM00-AUMS;                                         
  IDENT AUEX=AUPX00*(AUE00*AUX00$+AUXS)+AUEXDS;                               
  IDENT AUX=AUC+AUI+AUG+AUEX-AUIM+AUSTAT;                                     
  IDENT AUS=AUPX*(AUE00*AUX00$+AUXS)-AUPM*(AUM+AUMS)+AUTT;                    
  IDENT AUY=AUX+AUV1;                                                         
IDENT AUSPCT=AUS/(AUYS*AUPY);                                                 
IDENT AUA=AUA(-1)+AUS;                                                        
IDENT AUM00$A=AUM/AUE00-AUM00$B;                                              
IDENT AUEE=2*AUPSI1*AUE-AUEE(-1);                                             
IDENT AUUR=(AUL1-AUJ)/(AUL1);                                                 
IDENT AUJMIN=AUY/AULAM;                                                       
  IDENT AUZZ=LOG(AUY)-LOG(AUYS);                                              
IDENT AUPM=AUPSI2*AUPMP;                                                      
IDENT AUE=AUH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT AUNW=AUNW(-1)+AUI+AUV1+AUEX-AUIM;                                       
IDENT AUPX$=(AUE00/AUE)*AUPX;                                                 
GENR AULCIGZ=LOG((AUC+AUI+AUG)/AUPOP);                                        
GENR AULIMZ=LOG(AUIM/AUPOP);                                                  
GENR AULPY=LOG(AUPY);                                                         
GENR AULPM=LOG(AUPM);                                                         
GENR AULYZ=LOG(AUY/AUPOP);                                                    
GENR AUAZ=AUA/(AUYS*AUPY);                                                    
GENR AULW=LOG(AUW);                                                           
GENR AULCZ=LOG(AUC/AUPOP);                                                    
GENR AULM1Z=LOG(AUM1/(AUPOP*AUPY));                                           
GENR AULM1ZL=LOG(AUM1(-1)/(AUPOP(-1)*AUPY));                                  
GENR AULE=LOG(AUE);                                                           
GENR AULF=LOG(AUF);                                                           
GENR AULEE=LOG(AUEE);                                                         
GENR AULJ1=LOG(AUJ/AUJ(-1));                                                  
GENR AULY1=LOG(AUY/AUY(-1));                                                  
GENR AULEXL=LOG(AUJ/AUJMIN);                                                  
GENR AULL1Z=LOG(AUL1/AUPOP1);                                                 
GENR AUPCPY=100*((AUPY/AUPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR AULRSZ=.25*LOG((1+AURS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR AULPYZ=LOG(AUPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR AULPYZZ=LOG(AUPY/    AUPM);                                              
GENR AURBZ=      AURB-    AURS(-2);                                           
GENR AURBZZ=     AURB(-1)-AURS(-2);                                           
GENR AURSZ=      AURS-    AURS(-2);                                           
GENR AURSZZ=     AURS(-1)-AURS(-2);                                           
GENR AULWZ=LOG(  AUW/     AUPY);                                              
GENR AULRSZG=.25*LOG((1+AURS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR AULPYZG=LOG(AUPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR AULH=LOG(AUH);                                                           
GENR AULH1=AULH-AULH(-1);                                                     
GENR AULHA=AULPYZG-AULH(-1);                                                  
GENR AULPXA=LOG(AUPX/(AUPW$*(AUE/AUE00)));                                    
GENR AULPXB=LOG(AUPY/(AUPW$*(AUE/AUE00)));                                    
GENR AULPXC=LOG(AUPW$*(AUE/AUE00));                                           
GENR AULPX=LOG(AUPX);                                                         
GENR AULI=LOG(AUI);                                                           
GENR AULY=LOG(AUY);                                                           
GENR AUYZ=AUY/AUPOP;                                                          
GENR AUGA2=100*((AUYZ/AUYZ(-1))**4-1.)                                        
          -100*(((GEGEY/GEGEPOP)/(GEGEY(-1)/GEGEPOP(-1)))**4-1.);             
CREATE AULGZ=LOG(AUG/AUPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: AULGZ           
CREATE AULEXZ=LOG(AUEX/AUPOP);                                                
Name added to list: AULEXZ          
EQ  53 AULIMZ C AULIMZ(-1) AULCIGZ AULPYZZ;                                   
EQUATION 53  AULIMZ  
   RHS     C  AULIMZ(-1)  AULCIGZ  AULPYZZ  
LHS AUIM=EXP(AULIMZ)*AUPOP;                                                   
EQ  54 AULCZ C AULCZ(-1) AULYZ AURS                                           
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULCZ(-1) AURS(-1)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 54  AULCZ  
   RHS     C  AULCZ(-1)  AULYZ  AURS  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULCZ(-1)  AURS(-1)  
LHS AUC=EXP(AULCZ)*AUPOP;                                                     
EQ  55 AULI C AULI(-1) AULY AURB                                              
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULI(-1) AULY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 55  AULI  
   RHS     C  AULI(-1)  AULY  AURB  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULI(-1)  AULY(-1)  
LHS AUI=EXP(AULI);                                                            
EQ  56 AULPY AULPY(-1) C T AULPM RHO=1                                        
 AUZZ(-1)                                                                     
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULPY(-2) T AULPM(-1)                                                        
 AUZZ(-1)                                                                     
 AUZZ(-2)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 56  AULPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     AULPY(-1)  C  T  AULPM  AUZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULPY(-2)  T  AULPM(-1)  AUZZ(-1)  AUZZ(-2)  
LHS AUPY=EXP(AULPY);                                                          
EQ  57 AURSA C AURS(-1) AUZZ USRS                                             
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AURS(-1) GEGERS(-1) USRS(-1)                                                 
 AUZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 57  AURSA  
   RHS     C  AURS(-1)  AUZZ  USRS  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AURS(-1)  GEGERS(-1)  USRS(-1)  AUZZ(-1)  
LHS AURS=(1-EU1)*AURSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
EQ  58 AURBZ C AURBZZ AURSZ AURSZZ RHO=1                                      
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AURB(-2) AURS(-1) AURS(-2) AURS(-3)                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 58  AURBZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  AURBZZ  AURSZ  AURSZZ  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AURB(-2)  AURS(-1)  AURS(-2)  AURS(-3)  
LHS  AURB=      (1-EU1)*(AURBZ+   AURS(-2))+EU1*EUEURB;                       
GENR AULH1Z=AULH1-.050*AULHA;                                                 
EQ  59 AULH1Z C RHO=1                                                         
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULH1(-1) AULHA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 59  AULH1Z  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULH1(-1)  AULHA(-1)  
LHS AUH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(AULH1Z+.050*AULHA)*AUH(-1))+EU1*1;                       
EQ  60  AULF AULEE AULRSZ                                                     
  RHO=1                                                                       
;                                                                             
EQUATION 60  AULF  RHO=1  
   RHS     AULEE  AULRSZ  
LHS AUF=EXP(AULF);                                                            
EQ  61  AULPXA AULPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 61  AULPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     AULPXB  
LHS AUPX=EXP(AULPXA)*(AUPW$*(AUE/AUE00));                                     
EQ  62 AULJ1 C T AULEXL(-1)  AULY1                                            
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULJ1(-1) AULEXL(-1) T AULY1(-1)                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 62  AULJ1  
   RHS     C  T  AULEXL(-1)  AULY1  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULJ1(-1)  AULEXL(-1)  T  AULY1(-1)  
LHS AUJ=EXP(AULJ1)*AUJ(-1);                                                   
EQ  63 AULL1Z C T AULL1Z(-1) AUUR                                             
 FSR C AULGZ AULEXZ(-1) AULPY(-1) AULYZ(-1) AURB(-1)                          
 AULL1Z(-1) T AUUR(-1)                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 63  AULL1Z  
   RHS     C  T  AULL1Z(-1)  AUUR  
   FSR     C  AULGZ  AULEXZ(-1)  AULPY(-1)  AULYZ(-1)  AURB(-1)  
   FSR     AULL1Z(-1)  T  AUUR(-1)  
LHS AUL1=EXP(AULL1Z)*AUPOP1;                                                  
  IDENT FRX=FRC+FRI+FRG+FREX-FRIM+FRSTAT;                                     
IDENT FRV1=FRY-FRX;                                                           
IDENT FRV1PCT=FRV1/FRYS;                                                      
IDENT FRV=FRV(-1)+FRV1;                                                       
 IDENT FRM=(FRIM-FRIMDS)/FRPM00-FRMS;                                         
  IDENT FREX=FRPX00*(FRE00*FRX00$+FRXS)+FREXDS;                               
  IDENT FRS=FRPX*(FRE00*FRX00$+FRXS)-FRPM*(FRM+FRMS)+FRTT;                    
IDENT FRSPCT=FRS/(FRYS*FRPY);                                                 
IDENT FRA=FRA(-1)+FRS;                                                        
IDENT FRM00$A=FRM/FRE00-FRM00$B;                                              
IDENT FREE=2*FRPSI1*FRE-FREE(-1);                                             
IDENT FRUR=(FRL1-FRJ)/(FRL1);                                                 
IDENT FRJMIN=FRY/FRLAM;                                                       
  IDENT FRZZ=LOG(FRY)-LOG(FRYS);                                              
IDENT FRPM=FRPSI2*FRPMP;                                                      
IDENT FRE=FRH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT FRNW=FRNW(-1)+FRI+FRV1+FREX-FRIM;                                       
IDENT FRPX$=(FRE00/FRE)*FRPX;                                                 
GENR FRLCIGZ=LOG((FRC+FRI+FRG)/FRPOP);                                        
GENR FRLIMZ=LOG(FRIM/FRPOP);                                                  
GENR FRLPY=LOG(FRPY);                                                         
GENR FRLPM=LOG(FRPM);                                                         
GENR FRLYZ=LOG(FRY/FRPOP);                                                    
GENR FRAZ=FRA/(FRYS*FRPY);                                                    
GENR FRLW=LOG(FRW);                                                           
GENR FRLCZ=LOG(FRC/FRPOP);                                                    
GENR FRLM1Z=LOG(FRM1/(FRPOP*FRPY));                                           
GENR FRLM1ZL=LOG(FRM1(-1)/(FRPOP(-1)*FRPY));                                  
GENR FRLE=LOG(FRE);                                                           
GENR FRLF=LOG(FRF);                                                           
GENR FRLEE=LOG(FREE);                                                         
GENR FRLJ1=LOG(FRJ/FRJ(-1));                                                  
GENR FRLY1=LOG(FRY/FRY(-1));                                                  
GENR FRLEXL=LOG(FRJ/FRJMIN);                                                  
GENR FRLL1Z=LOG(FRL1/(FRPOP1));                                               
GENR FRPCPY=100*((FRPY/FRPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR FRLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+FRRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR FRLPYZ=LOG(FRPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR FRLPYZZ=LOG(FRPY/    FRPM);                                              
GENR FRRBZ=      FRRB-    FRRS(-2);                                           
GENR FRRBZZ=     FRRB(-1)-FRRS(-2);                                           
GENR FRRSZ=      FRRS-    FRRS(-2);                                           
GENR FRRSZZ=     FRRS(-1)-FRRS(-2);                                           
GENR FRLWZ=LOG(  FRW/     FRPY);                                              
GENR FRLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+FRRS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR FRLPYZG=LOG(FRPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR FRLH=LOG(FRH);                                                           
GENR FRLH1=FRLH-FRLH(-1);                                                     
GENR FRLHA=FRLPYZG-FRLH(-1);                                                  
GENR FRLPXA=LOG(FRPX/(FRPW$*(FRE/FRE00)));                                    
GENR FRLPXB=LOG(FRPY/(FRPW$*(FRE/FRE00)));                                    
GENR FRLPXC=LOG(FRPW$*(FRE/FRE00));                                           
GENR FRLPX=LOG(FRPX);                                                         
GENR FRLI=LOG(FRI);                                                           
GENR FRLY=LOG(FRY);                                                           
GENR FRLX=LOG(FRX);                                                           
GENR FRLV=LOG(FRV);                                                           
GENR FRGA1=100*(FRY/FRYS-GEGEY/GEGEYS);                                       
CREATE FRLGZ=LOG(FRG/FRPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: FRLGZ           
CREATE FRLEXZ=LOG(FREX/FRPOP);                                                
Name added to list: FRLEXZ          
EQ  64 FRLIMZ C FRLIMZ(-1) FRLPYZZ FRLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRLIMZ(-1) FRLPYZZ(-1) FRLCIGZ(-1)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 64  FRLIMZ  
   RHS     C  FRLIMZ(-1)  FRLPYZZ  FRLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRLIMZ(-1)  FRLPYZZ(-1)  FRLCIGZ(-1)  
LHS FRIM=EXP(FRLIMZ)*FRPOP;                                                   
EQ  65 FRLCZ C FRLCZ(-1) FRLYZ                                                
  FRRS                                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 65  FRLCZ  
   RHS     C  FRLCZ(-1)  FRLYZ  FRRS  
LHS FRC=EXP(FRLCZ)*FRPOP;                                                     
EQ  66 FRLI C FRLI(-1) FRLY FRRB(-1)                                          
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRLI(-1) FRLY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 66  FRLI  
   RHS     C  FRLI(-1)  FRLY  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRLI(-1)  FRLY(-1)  
LHS FRI=EXP(FRLI);                                                            
EQ  67 FRLY C FRLY(-1) FRLX FRLV(-1) RHO=1;                                   
EQUATION 67  FRLY  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  FRLY(-1)  FRLX  FRLV(-1)  
LHS FRY=EXP(FRLY);                                                            
EQ  68 FRLPY FRLPY(-1) C T FRLPM FRZZ(-1) RHO=1                               
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRLPY(-2) T                                                                  
 FRZZ(-1) FRLPM(-1)                                                           
 FRZZ(-2) FRLPM(-2)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 68  FRLPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     FRLPY(-1)  C  T  FRLPM  FRZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRLPY(-2)  T  FRZZ(-1)  FRLPM(-1)  FRZZ(-2)  FRLPM(-2)  
LHS FRPY=EXP(FRLPY);                                                          
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 69 FRRSA GERS;                                                            
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 69 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  69 FRRSA C FRRS(-1) USRS GEGERS                                           
  FRPCPY                                                                      
 FRZZ                                                                         
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRRS(-1) USRS(-1) GEGERS(-1)                                                 
 FRZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 69  FRRSA  
   RHS     C  FRRS(-1)  USRS  GEGERS  FRPCPY  FRZZ  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRRS(-1)  USRS(-1)  GEGERS(-1)  FRZZ(-1)  
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
LHS FRRS=(1-EU1)*FRRSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 70 FRRB GERB;                                                             
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 70 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  70 FRRBZ C FRRBZZ FRRSZ FRRSZZ RHO=1                                      
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRRB(-2) FRRS(-1) FRRS(-2) FRRS(-3)                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 70  FRRBZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  FRRBZZ  FRRSZ  FRRSZZ  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRRB(-2)  FRRS(-1)  FRRS(-2)  FRRS(-3)  
LHS  FRRB=  (1-EU1)*(FRRBZ+   FRRS(-2))+EU1*EUEURB;                           
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 71 FRH C;                                                                 
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 71 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  71 FRLH1 C FRLHA RHO=1                                                    
 FSR C FRLGZ FRLEXZ(-1) FRLPY(-1) FRLYZ(-1) FRRB(-1)                          
 FRLH1(-1) FRLHA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 71  FRLH1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  FRLHA  
   FSR     C  FRLGZ  FRLEXZ(-1)  FRLPY(-1)  FRLYZ(-1)  FRRB(-1)  
   FSR     FRLH1(-1)  FRLHA(-1)  
LHS FRH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(FRLH1)*FRH(-1))+EU1*1;                                   
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
EQ  72  FRLF FRLEE FRLRSZ ;                                                   
EQUATION 72  FRLF  
   RHS     FRLEE  FRLRSZ  
LHS FRF=EXP(FRLF);                                                            
EQ  73  FRLPXA FRLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 73  FRLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     FRLPXB  
LHS FRPX=EXP(FRLPXA)*(FRPW$*(FRE/FRE00));                                     
EQ  74  FRLJ1 C T FRLEXL(-1) FRLY1 RHO=1                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 74  FRLJ1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  T  FRLEXL(-1)  FRLY1  
LHS FRJ=EXP(FRLJ1)*FRJ(-1);                                                   
@IDENT GEV1=GEY-GEX;                                                          
IDENT GEV1PCT=GEV1/GEYS;                                                      
IDENT GEV=GEV(-1)+GEV1;                                                       
 IDENT GEM=(GEIM-GEIMDS)/GEPM00-GEMS;                                         
  IDENT GEEX=GEPX00*(GEE00*GEX00$+GEXS)+GEEXDS;                               
  IDENT GEX=GEC+GEI+GEG+GEEX-GEIM+GESTAT;                                     
  IDENT GES=GEPX*(GEE00*GEX00$+GEXS)-GEPM*(GEM+GEMS)+GETT;                    
  IDENT GEY=GEX+GEV1;                                                         
IDENT GESPCT=GES/(GEYS*GEPY);                                                 
IDENT GEA=GEA(-1)+GES;                                                        
IDENT GEM00$A=GEM/GEE00-GEM00$B;                                              
IDENT GEEE=2*GEPSI1*GEE-GEEE(-1);                                             
IDENT GEUR=(GEL1-GEJ)/(GEL1);                                                 
IDENT GEJMIN=GEY/GELAM;                                                       
  IDENT GEZZ=LOG(GEY)-LOG(GEYS);                                              
IDENT GEPM=GEPSI2*GEPMP;                                                      
IDENT GENW=GENW(-1)+GEI+GEV1+GEEX-GEIM;                                       
IDENT GEPX$=(GEE00/GEE)*GEPX;                                                 
GENR GELCIGZ=LOG((GEC+GEI+GEG)/GEPOP);                                        
GENR GELIMZ=LOG(GEIM/GEPOP);                                                  
GENR GELPY=LOG(GEPY);                                                         
GENR GELPM=LOG(GEPM);                                                         
GENR GELYZ=LOG(GEY/GEPOP);                                                    
GENR GEAZ=GEA/(GEYS*GEPY);                                                    
GENR GELW=LOG(GEW);                                                           
GENR GELCZ=LOG(GEC/GEPOP);                                                    
GENR GELM1Z=LOG(GEM1/(GEPOP*GEPY));                                           
GENR GELM1ZL=LOG(GEM1(-1)/(GEPOP(-1)*GEPY));                                  
GENR GELE=LOG(GEE);                                                           
GENR GELF=LOG(GEF);                                                           
GENR GELEE=LOG(GEEE);                                                         
GENR GELJ1=LOG(GEJ/GEJ(-1));                                                  
GENR GELY1=LOG(GEY/GEY(-1));                                                  
GENR GELEXL=LOG(GEJ/GEJMIN);                                                  
GENR GELL1Z=LOG(GEL1/(GEPOP1));                                               
GENR GEPCPY=100*((GEPY/GEPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR GELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+GERS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR GELPYZ=LOG(GEPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR GELPYZZ=LOG(GEPY/    GEPM);                                              
GENR GERBZ=      GERB-    GERS(-2);                                           
GENR GERBZZ=     GERB(-1)-GERS(-2);                                           
GENR GERSZ=      GERS-    GERS(-2);                                           
GENR GERSZZ=     GERS(-1)-GERS(-2);                                           
GENR GELWZ=LOG(  GEW/     GEPY);                                              
GENR GELE1=GELE-GELE(-1);                                                     
GENR GELEA=GELPYZ-GELE(-1);                                                   
GENR GELPXA=LOG(GEPX/(GEPW$*(GEE/GEE00)));                                    
GENR GELPXB=LOG(GEPY/(GEPW$*(GEE/GEE00)));                                    
GENR GELPXC=LOG(GEPW$*(GEE/GEE00));                                           
GENR GELPX=LOG(GEPX);                                                         
GENR GELI=LOG(GEI);                                                           
GENR GELY=LOG(GEY);                                                           
CREATE GELGZ=LOG(GEG/GEPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: GELGZ           
CREATE GELEXZ=LOG(GEEX/GEPOP);                                                
Name added to list: GELEXZ          
EQ  75 GELIMZ C GELIMZ(-1) GELCIGZ                                            
 GELPYZZ                                                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 75  GELIMZ  
   RHS     C  GELIMZ(-1)  GELCIGZ  GELPYZZ  
LHS GEIM=EXP(GELIMZ)*GEPOP;                                                   
EQ  76 GELCZ C GELCZ(-1) GELYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 76  GELCZ  
   RHS     C  GELCZ(-1)  GELYZ  
LHS GEC=EXP(GELCZ)*GEPOP;                                                     
EQ  77 GELI C GELI(-1) GELY GERB                                              
;                                                                             
EQUATION 77  GELI  
   RHS     C  GELI(-1)  GELY  GERB  
LHS GEI=EXP(GELI);                                                            
EQ  78 GELPY GELPY(-1) C T GELPM                                              
 GEZZ(-1)                                                                     
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 T                                                                            
 GELPM(-1)                                                                    
 GEZZ(-1) GEZZ(-2) GELPY(-2)                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 78  GELPY  
   RHS     GELPY(-1)  C  T  GELPM  GEZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     T  GELPM(-1)  GEZZ(-1)  GEZZ(-2)  GELPY(-2)  
EQ  79 GELM1Z C GELM1Z(-1) GERS GELYZ                                         
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 GELM1Z(-1) GERS(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 79  GELM1Z  
   RHS     C  GELM1Z(-1)  GERS  GELYZ  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     GELM1Z(-1)  GERS(-1)  
LHS GEM1=EXP(GELM1Z)*GEPOP*GEPY;                                              
LHS GEPY=EXP(GELPY);                                                          
EQ  80 GERSA C GERS(-1) GEZZ USRS GEPCPY(-1)                                  
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 GERS(-1) GEZZ(-1) USRS(-1) GELPY(-2)                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 80  GERSA  
   RHS     C  GERS(-1)  GEZZ  USRS  GEPCPY(-1)  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     GERS(-1)  GEZZ(-1)  USRS(-1)  GELPY(-2)  
LHS GERS=(1-EU1)*GERSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
EQ  81 GERBZ C GERBZZ GERSZ GERSZZ                                            
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 GERB(-2) GERS(-1) GERS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 81  GERBZ  
   RHS     C  GERBZZ  GERSZ  GERSZZ  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     GERB(-2)  GERS(-1)  GERS(-2)  
LHS  GERB=  (1-EU1)*(GERBZ+   GERS(-2))+EU1*EUEURB;                           
EQ  82 GELE1 C GELEA GELRSZ RHO=1                                             
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 GELE1(-1) GELEA(-1) GELRSZ(-1)                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 82  GELE1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  GELEA  GELRSZ  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     GELE1(-1)  GELEA(-1)  GELRSZ(-1)  
EQ  83  GELF GELEE GELRSZ RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 83  GELF  RHO=1  
   RHS     GELEE  GELRSZ  
LHS GEF=EXP(GELF);                                                            
EQ  84  GELPXA GELPXB RHO=2 ;                                                 
EQUATION 84  GELPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     GELPXB  
LHS GEPX=EXP(GELPXA)*(GEPW$*(GEE/GEE00));                                     
LHS GEE=(1-EU1)*(EXP(GELE1)*GEE(-1))+EU1*EUE;                                 
EQ  85  GELJ1 C T GELEXL(-1) GELY1                                            
 FSR C GELGZ GELEXZ(-1) GELPY(-1) GELYZ(-1) GERB(-1)                          
 GELJ1(-1) T GELEXL(-1) GELY1(-1)                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 85  GELJ1  
   RHS     C  T  GELEXL(-1)  GELY1  
   FSR     C  GELGZ  GELEXZ(-1)  GELPY(-1)  GELYZ(-1)  GERB(-1)  
   FSR     GELJ1(-1)  T  GELEXL(-1)  GELY1(-1)  
LHS GEJ=EXP(GELJ1)*GEJ(-1);                                                   
GENR GEGERS=GERS;                                                             
GENR GEGEPY=GEPY;                                                             
GENR GEGEY=GEY;                                                               
GENR GEGEYS=GEYS;                                                             
GENR GEGEPOP=GEPOP;                                                           
GENR GEGEE=GEE;                                                               
GENR GEGERB=GERB;                                                             
  IDENT ITX=ITC+ITI+ITG+ITEX-ITIM+ITSTAT;                                     
IDENT ITV1=ITY-ITX;                                                           
IDENT ITV1PCT=ITV1/ITYS;                                                      
IDENT ITV=ITV(-1)+ITV1;                                                       
 IDENT ITM=(ITIM-ITIMDS)/ITPM00-ITMS;                                         
  IDENT ITEX=ITPX00*(ITE00*ITX00$+ITXS)+ITEXDS;                               
  IDENT ITS=ITPX*(ITE00*ITX00$+ITXS)-ITPM*(ITM+ITMS)+ITTT;                    
IDENT ITSPCT=ITS/(ITYS*ITPY);                                                 
IDENT ITA=ITA(-1)+ITS;                                                        
IDENT ITM00$A=ITM/ITE00-ITM00$B;                                              
IDENT ITEE=2*ITPSI1*ITE-ITEE(-1);                                             
IDENT ITUR=(ITL1-ITJ)/(ITL1);                                                 
IDENT ITJMIN=ITY/ITLAM;                                                       
  IDENT ITZZ=LOG(ITY)-LOG(ITYS);                                              
IDENT ITPM=ITPSI2*ITPMP;                                                      
IDENT ITE=ITH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT ITNW=ITNW(-1)+ITI+ITV1+ITEX-ITIM;                                       
IDENT ITPX$=(ITE00/ITE)*ITPX;                                                 
GENR ITLCIGZ=LOG((ITC+ITI+ITG)/ITPOP);                                        
GENR ITLIMZ=LOG(ITIM/ITPOP);                                                  
GENR ITLPY=LOG(ITPY);                                                         
GENR ITLPM=LOG(ITPM);                                                         
GENR ITLYZ=LOG(ITY/ITPOP);                                                    
GENR ITAZ=ITA/(ITYS*ITPY);                                                    
GENR ITLW=LOG(ITW);                                                           
GENR ITLCZ=LOG(ITC/ITPOP);                                                    
GENR ITLM1Z=LOG(ITM1/(ITPOP*ITPY));                                           
GENR ITLM1ZL=LOG(ITM1(-1)/(ITPOP(-1)*ITPY));                                  
GENR ITLE=LOG(ITE);                                                           
GENR ITLF=LOG(ITF);                                                           
GENR ITLEE=LOG(ITEE);                                                         
GENR ITLJ1=LOG(ITJ/ITJ(-1));                                                  
GENR ITLY1=LOG(ITY/ITY(-1));                                                  
GENR ITLEXL=LOG(ITJ/ITJMIN);                                                  
GENR ITLL1Z=LOG(ITL1/ITPOP1);                                                 
GENR ITPCPY=100*((ITPY/ITPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR ITLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+ITRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR ITLPYZ=LOG(ITPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR ITLPYZZ=LOG(ITPY/    ITPM);                                              
GENR ITRBZ=      ITRB-    ITRS(-2);                                           
GENR ITRBZZ=     ITRB(-1)-ITRS(-2);                                           
GENR ITRSZ=      ITRS-    ITRS(-2);                                           
GENR ITRSZZ=     ITRS(-1)-ITRS(-2);                                           
GENR ITLWZ=LOG(  ITW/     ITPY);                                              
GENR ITLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+ITRS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR ITLPYZG=LOG(ITPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR ITLH=LOG(ITH);                                                           
GENR ITLH1=ITLH-ITLH(-1);                                                     
GENR ITLHA=ITLPYZG-ITLH(-1);                                                  
GENR ITLPXA=LOG(ITPX/(ITPW$*(ITE/ITE00)));                                    
GENR ITLPXB=LOG(ITPY/(ITPW$*(ITE/ITE00)));                                    
GENR ITLPXC=LOG(ITPW$*(ITE/ITE00));                                           
GENR ITLPX=LOG(ITPX);                                                         
GENR ITLI=LOG(ITI);                                                           
GENR ITLY=LOG(ITY);                                                           
GENR ITLX=LOG(ITX);                                                           
GENR ITLV=LOG(ITV+50000);                                                     
CREATE ITLGZ=LOG(ITG/ITPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: ITLGZ           
CREATE ITLEXZ=LOG(ITEX/ITPOP);                                                
Name added to list: ITLEXZ          
EQ  86 ITLIMZ C ITLIMZ(-1) ITLPYZZ ITLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITLIMZ(-1) ITLPYZZ(-1) ITLCIGZ(-1)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 86  ITLIMZ  
   RHS     C  ITLIMZ(-1)  ITLPYZZ  ITLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITLIMZ(-1)  ITLPYZZ(-1)  ITLCIGZ(-1)  
LHS ITIM=EXP(ITLIMZ)*ITPOP;                                                   
EQ  87 ITLCZ C ITLCZ(-1) ITRS ITLYZ                                           
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITLCZ(-1) ITRS(-1)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 87  ITLCZ  
   RHS     C  ITLCZ(-1)  ITRS  ITLYZ  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITLCZ(-1)  ITRS(-1)  
LHS ITC=EXP(ITLCZ)*ITPOP;                                                     
EQ  88 ITLI C ITLI(-1) ITLY ITRB(-1)                                          
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITLI(-1) ITLY(-2)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 88  ITLI  
   RHS     C  ITLI(-1)  ITLY  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITLI(-1)  ITLY(-2)  
LHS ITI=EXP(ITLI);                                                            
EQ  89  ITLY C ITLY(-1) ITLX ITLV(-1) RHO=1;                                  
EQUATION 89  ITLY  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  ITLY(-1)  ITLX  ITLV(-1)  
LHS ITY=EXP(ITLY);                                                            
EQ  90 ITLPY ITLPY(-1) C T ITLPM                                              
 ITZZ(-1)                                                                     
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 T ITLPM(-1)                                                                  
 ITZZ(-1) ITZZ(-2) ITLPY(-2)                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 90  ITLPY  
   RHS     ITLPY(-1)  C  T  ITLPM  ITZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     T  ITLPM(-1)  ITZZ(-1)  ITZZ(-2)  ITLPY(-2)  
LHS ITPY=EXP(ITLPY);                                                          
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 91 ITRSA GERS;                                                            
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 91 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  91 ITRSA C ITRS(-1) ITPCPY ITZZ RHO=1                                     
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITRS(-1) ITRS(-2) ITZZ(-1)                                                   
 ITZZ(-2) ITLPY(-2)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 91  ITRSA  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  ITRS(-1)  ITPCPY  ITZZ  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITRS(-1)  ITRS(-2)  ITZZ(-1)  ITZZ(-2)  ITLPY(-2)  
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
LHS ITRS=(1-EU1)*ITRSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 92 ITRB GERB;                                                             
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 92 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  92 ITRBZ C ITRBZZ ITRSZ ITRSZZ RHO=1                                      
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITRB(-2) ITRS(-1) ITRS(-2) ITRS(-3)                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 92  ITRBZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  ITRBZZ  ITRSZ  ITRSZZ  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITRB(-2)  ITRS(-1)  ITRS(-2)  ITRS(-3)  
LHS  ITRB= (1-EU1)*(ITRBZ+   ITRS(-2))+EU1*EUEURB;                            
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
GENR ITLH1Z=ITLH1-.050*ITLHA;                                                 
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 93 ITH C;                                                                 
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 93 1.0                                                                     
@0                                                                            
EQ  93 ITLH1Z C RHO=1                                                         
 FSR C ITLGZ ITLEXZ(-1) ITLPY(-1) ITLYZ(-1) ITRB(-1)                          
 ITLH1(-1) ITLHA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 93  ITLH1Z  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  
   FSR     C  ITLGZ  ITLEXZ(-1)  ITLPY(-1)  ITLYZ(-1)  ITRB(-1)  
   FSR     ITLH1(-1)  ITLHA(-1)  
LHS ITH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(ITLH1Z+.050*ITLHA)*ITH(-1))+EU1*1;                       
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
EQ  94  ITLF ITLEE ITLRSZ ;                                                   
EQUATION 94  ITLF  
   RHS     ITLEE  ITLRSZ  
LHS ITF=EXP(ITLF);                                                            
EQ  95  ITLPXA ITLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 95  ITLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     ITLPXB  
LHS ITPX=EXP(ITLPXA)*(ITPW$*(ITE/ITE00));                                     
EQ  96  ITLJ1 C T ITLEXL(-1) ITLY1                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 96  ITLJ1  
   RHS     C  T  ITLEXL(-1)  ITLY1  
LHS ITJ=EXP(ITLJ1)*ITJ(-1);                                                   
@IDENT NEV1=NEY-NEX;                                                          
IDENT NEV1PCT=NEV1/NEYS;                                                      
IDENT NEV=NEV(-1)+NEV1;                                                       
 IDENT NEM=(NEIM-NEIMDS)/NEPM00-NEMS;                                         
  IDENT NEEX=NEPX00*(NEE00*NEX00$+NEXS)+NEEXDS;                               
  IDENT NEX=NEC+NEI+NEG+NEEX-NEIM+NESTAT;                                     
  IDENT NES=NEPX*(NEE00*NEX00$+NEXS)-NEPM*(NEM+NEMS)+NETT;                    
  IDENT NEY=NEX+NEV1;                                                         
IDENT NESPCT=NES/(NEYS*NEPY);                                                 
IDENT NEA=NEA(-1)+NES;                                                        
IDENT NEM00$A=NEM/NEE00-NEM00$B;                                              
IDENT NEEE=2*NEPSI1*NEE-NEEE(-1);                                             
IDENT NEUR=(NEL1-NEJ)/(NEL1);                                                 
IDENT NEJMIN=NEY/NELAM;                                                       
  IDENT NEZZ=LOG(NEY)-LOG(NEYS);                                              
IDENT NEPM=NEPSI2*NEPMP;                                                      
IDENT NEE=NEH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT NENW=NENW(-1)+NEI+NEV1+NEEX-NEIM;                                       
IDENT NEPX$=(NEE00/NEE)*NEPX;                                                 
GENR NELCIGZ=LOG((NEC+NEI+NEG)/NEPOP);                                        
GENR NELIMZ=LOG(NEIM/NEPOP);                                                  
GENR NELPY=LOG(NEPY);                                                         
GENR NELPM=LOG(NEPM);                                                         
GENR NELYZ=LOG(NEY/NEPOP);                                                    
GENR NEAZ=NEA/(NEYS*NEPY);                                                    
GENR NELW=LOG(NEW);                                                           
GENR NELCZ=LOG(NEC/NEPOP);                                                    
GENR NELM1Z=LOG(NEM1/(NEPOP*NEPY));                                           
GENR NELM1ZL=LOG(NEM1(-1)/(NEPOP(-1)*NEPY));                                  
GENR NELE=LOG(NEE);                                                           
GENR NELF=LOG(NEF);                                                           
GENR NELEE=LOG(NEEE);                                                         
GENR NELJ1=LOG(NEJ/NEJ(-1));                                                  
GENR NELY1=LOG(NEY/NEY(-1));                                                  
GENR NELEXL=LOG(NEJ/NEJMIN);                                                  
GENR NELL1Z=LOG(NEL1/NEPOP1);                                                 
GENR NEPCPY=100*((NEPY/NEPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR NELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+NERS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR NELPYZ=LOG(NEPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR NELPYZZ=LOG(NEPY/    NEPM);                                              
GENR NERBZ=      NERB-    NERS(-2);                                           
GENR NERBZZ=     NERB(-1)-NERS(-2);                                           
GENR NERSZ=      NERS-    NERS(-2);                                           
GENR NERSZZ=     NERS(-1)-NERS(-2);                                           
GENR NELWZ=LOG(  NEW/     NEPY);                                              
GENR NELRSZG=.25*LOG((1+NERS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR NELPYZG=LOG(NEPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR NELH=LOG(NEH);                                                           
GENR NELH1=NELH-NELH(-1);                                                     
GENR NELHA=NELPYZG-NELH(-1);                                                  
GENR NELPXA=LOG(NEPX/(NEPW$*(NEE/NEE00)));                                    
GENR NELPXB=LOG(NEPY/(NEPW$*(NEE/NEE00)));                                    
GENR NELPXC=LOG(NEPW$*(NEE/NEE00));                                           
GENR NELPX=LOG(NEPX);                                                         
GENR NELI=LOG(NEI);                                                           
GENR NELY=LOG(NEY);                                                           
CREATE NELGZ=LOG(NEG/NEPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: NELGZ           
CREATE NELEXZ=LOG(NEEX/NEPOP);                                                
Name added to list: NELEXZ          
EQ  97 NELIMZ C NELIMZ(-1) NELPYZZ NELCIGZ                                    
     FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                      
 NELIMZ(-1) NELPYZZ(-1) NELCIGZ(-1);                                          
EQUATION 97  NELIMZ  
   RHS     C  NELIMZ(-1)  NELPYZZ  NELCIGZ  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NELIMZ(-1)  NELPYZZ(-1)  NELCIGZ(-1)  
LHS NEIM=EXP(NELIMZ)*NEPOP;                                                   
EQ  98 NELCZ C NELCZ(-1) NELYZ NERB ;                                         
EQUATION 98  NELCZ  
   RHS     C  NELCZ(-1)  NELYZ  NERB  
LHS NEC=EXP(NELCZ)*NEPOP;                                                     
EQ  99 NELI C NELI(-1) NELY NERB(-1)                                          
 FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                          
 NELI(-1) NELY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 99  NELI  
   RHS     C  NELI(-1)  NELY  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NELI(-1)  NELY(-1)  
LHS NEI=EXP(NELI);                                                            
EQ 100 NELPY NELPY(-1) C T NELPM  NEZZ(-1) ;                                  
EQUATION 100  NELPY  
   RHS     NELPY(-1)  C  T  NELPM  NEZZ(-1)  
EQ 101 NELM1Z C NELM1ZL NERS NELYZ                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 101  NELM1Z  
   RHS     C  NELM1ZL  NERS  NELYZ  
LHS NEM1=EXP(NELM1Z)*NEPOP*NEPY;                                              
LHS NEPY=EXP(NELPY);                                                          
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 102 NERSA GERS;                                                           
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 102 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 102 NERSA C NERS(-1) NEZZ GEGERS USRS                                      
 FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                          
 NERS(-1) NEZZ(-1) GEGERS(-1) USRS(-1)                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 102  NERSA  
   RHS     C  NERS(-1)  NEZZ  GEGERS  USRS  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NERS(-1)  NEZZ(-1)  GEGERS(-1)  USRS(-1)  
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
LHS NERS=(1-EU1)*NERSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 103 NERB GERB;                                                            
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 103 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 103 NERBZ C NERBZZ NERSZ NERSZZ                                            
 FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                          
 NERB(-2) NERS(-1) NERS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 103  NERBZ  
   RHS     C  NERBZZ  NERSZ  NERSZZ  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NERB(-2)  NERS(-1)  NERS(-2)  
LHS  NERB=  (1-EU1)*(NERBZ+   NERS(-2))+EU1*EUEURB;                           
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
GENR NELH1Z=NELH1-.050*NELHA;                                                 
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 104 NEH C;                                                                
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 104 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 104 NELH1Z C NELRSZG                                                       
 FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                          
 NELH1(-1) NELHA(-1) NELRSZG(-1)                                              
;                                                                             
EQUATION 104  NELH1Z  
   RHS     C  NELRSZG  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NELH1(-1)  NELHA(-1)  NELRSZG(-1)  
LHS NEH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(NELH1Z+.050*NELHA)*NEH(-1))+EU1*1;                       
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
EQ 105  NELF NELEE NELRSZ ;                                                   
EQUATION 105  NELF  
   RHS     NELEE  NELRSZ  
LHS NEF=EXP(NELF);                                                            
EQ 106  NELPXA NELPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 106  NELPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     NELPXB  
LHS NEPX=EXP(NELPXA)*(NEPW$*(NEE/NEE00));                                     
EQ 107 NELJ1 C T NELEXL(-1) NELY1                                             
 FSR C NELGZ NELEXZ(-1) NELPY(-1) NELYZ(-1) NERB(-1)                          
 NELJ1(-1) NELEXL(-1) T NELY1(-1)                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 107  NELJ1  
   RHS     C  T  NELEXL(-1)  NELY1  
   FSR     C  NELGZ  NELEXZ(-1)  NELPY(-1)  NELYZ(-1)  NERB(-1)  
   FSR     NELJ1(-1)  NELEXL(-1)  T  NELY1(-1)  
LHS NEJ=EXP(NELJ1)*NEJ(-1);                                                   
@IDENT STV1=STY-STX;                                                          
IDENT STV1PCT=STV1/STYS;                                                      
IDENT STV=STV(-1)+STV1;                                                       
 IDENT STM=(STIM-STIMDS)/STPM00-STMS;                                         
  IDENT STEX=STPX00*(STE00*STX00$+STXS)+STEXDS;                               
  IDENT STX=STC+STI+STG+STEX-STIM+STSTAT;                                     
  IDENT STY=STX+STV1;                                                         
  IDENT STS=STPX*(STE00*STX00$+STXS)-STPM*(STM+STMS)+STTT;                    
IDENT STSPCT=STS/(STYS*STPY);                                                 
IDENT STA=STA(-1)+STS;                                                        
IDENT STM00$A=STM/STE00-STM00$B;                                              
IDENT STEE=2*STPSI1*STE-STEE(-1);                                             
IDENT STUR=(STL1-STJ)/(STL1);                                                 
IDENT STJMIN=STY/STLAM;                                                       
  IDENT STZZ=LOG(STY)-LOG(STYS);                                              
IDENT STPM=STPSI2*STPMP;                                                      
IDENT STE=STH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT STNW=STNW(-1)+STI+STV1+STEX-STIM;                                       
IDENT STPX$=(STE00/STE)*STPX;                                                 
GENR STLCIGZ=LOG((STC+STI+STG)/STPOP);                                        
GENR STLIMZ=LOG(STIM/STPOP);                                                  
GENR STLPY=LOG(STPY);                                                         
GENR STLPM=LOG(STPM);                                                         
GENR STLYZ=LOG(STY/STPOP);                                                    
GENR STAZ=STA/(STYS*STPY);                                                    
GENR STLW=LOG(STW);                                                           
GENR STLCZ=LOG(STC/STPOP);                                                    
GENR STLM1Z=LOG(STM1/(STPOP*STPY));                                           
GENR STLM1ZL=LOG(STM1(-1)/(STPOP(-1)*STPY));                                  
GENR STLE=LOG(STE);                                                           
GENR STLF=LOG(STF);                                                           
GENR STLEE=LOG(STEE);                                                         
GENR STLJ1=LOG(STJ/STJ(-1));                                                  
GENR STLY1=LOG(STY/STY(-1));                                                  
GENR STLEXL=LOG(STJ/STJMIN);                                                  
GENR STLL1Z=LOG(STL1/STPOP1);                                                 
GENR STPCPY=100*((STPY/STPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR STLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+STRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR STLPYZ=LOG(STPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR STLPYZZ=LOG(STPY/    STPM);                                              
GENR STRBZ=      STRB-    STRS(-2);                                           
GENR STRBZZ=     STRB(-1)-STRS(-2);                                           
GENR STRSZ=      STRS-    STRS(-2);                                           
GENR STRSZZ=     STRS(-1)-STRS(-2);                                           
GENR STLWZ=LOG(  STW/     STPY);                                              
GENR STLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+STRS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR STLPYZG=LOG(STPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR STLH=LOG(STH);                                                           
GENR STLH1=STLH-STLH(-1);                                                     
GENR STLHA=STLPYZG-STLH(-1);                                                  
GENR STLPXA=LOG(STPX/(STPW$*(STE/STE00)));                                    
GENR STLPXB=LOG(STPY/(STPW$*(STE/STE00)));                                    
GENR STLPXC=LOG(STPW$*(STE/STE00));                                           
GENR STLPX=LOG(STPX);                                                         
GENR STLI=LOG(STI);                                                           
GENR STLY=LOG(STY);                                                           
CREATE STLGZ=LOG(STG/STPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: STLGZ           
CREATE STLEXZ=LOG(STEX/STPOP);                                                
Name added to list: STLEXZ          
EQ 108 STLIMZ C STLIMZ(-1) STLCIGZ STLPYZZ RHO=1;                             
EQUATION 108  STLIMZ  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  STLIMZ(-1)  STLCIGZ  STLPYZZ  
LHS STIM=EXP(STLIMZ)*STPOP;                                                   
EQ 109 STLCZ C STLCZ(-1) STRB STLYZ                                           
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLCZ(-1) STLCZ(-2)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 109  STLCZ  
   RHS     C  STLCZ(-1)  STRB  STLYZ  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLCZ(-1)  STLCZ(-2)  
LHS STC=EXP(STLCZ)*STPOP;                                                     
EQ 110 STLI C STLI(-1) STLY STRB                                              
@     FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                     
@ STLI(-1) STLY(-1)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 110  STLI  
   RHS     C  STLI(-1)  STLY  STRB  
LHS STI=EXP(STLI);                                                            
EQ 111 STLPY STLPY(-1) C T STLPM RHO=1                                        
 STZZ(-1)                                                                     
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLPY(-2) T                                                                  
 STZZ(-1) STZZ(-2) STLPM(-1)                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 111  STLPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     STLPY(-1)  C  T  STLPM  STZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLPY(-2)  T  STZZ(-1)  STZZ(-2)  STLPM(-1)  
EQ 112 STLM1Z C STLM1Z(-1) STRS                                               
  STLYZ                                                                       
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLM1Z(-1) STRS(-1) STLM1Z(-2)                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 112  STLM1Z  
   RHS     C  STLM1Z(-1)  STRS  STLYZ  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLM1Z(-1)  STRS(-1)  STLM1Z(-2)  
LHS STM1=EXP(STLM1Z)*STPOP*STPY;                                              
LHS STPY=EXP(STLPY);                                                          
EQ 113 STRS C STRS(-1) RHO=1 STPCPY                                           
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STRS(-1) STRS(-2) STZZ(-1)                                                   
 STLPY(-2)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 113  STRS  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  STRS(-1)  STPCPY  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STRS(-1)  STRS(-2)  STZZ(-1)  STLPY(-2)  
LHS STRS=(ABS(STRS-.0)+STRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 114 STRBZ C STRBZZ STRSZ STRSZZ                                            
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STRB(-2) STRS(-1) STRS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 114  STRBZ  
   RHS     C  STRBZZ  STRSZ  STRSZZ  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STRB(-2)  STRS(-1)  STRS(-2)  
LHS  STRB=       STRBZ+   STRS(-2);                                           
GENR STLH1Z=STLH1-.05*STLHA;                                                  
Name added to list: STLH1Z          
EQ 115 STLH1Z C                                                               
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLH1(-1) STLHA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 115  STLH1Z  
   RHS     C  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLH1(-1)  STLHA(-1)  
LHS STH=EXP(STLH1Z+.050*STLHA)*STH(-1);                                       
EQ 116  STLF STLEE STLRSZ ;                                                   
EQUATION 116  STLF  
   RHS     STLEE  STLRSZ  
LHS STF=EXP(STLF);                                                            
EQ 117  STLPXA STLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 117  STLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     STLPXB  
LHS STPX=EXP(STLPXA)*(STPW$*(STE/STE00));                                     
EQ 118  STLJ1 C T STLEXL(-1) STLY1                                            
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLJ1(-1) T STLEXL(-1) STLY1(-1)                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 118  STLJ1  
   RHS     C  T  STLEXL(-1)  STLY1  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLJ1(-1)  T  STLEXL(-1)  STLY1(-1)  
LHS STJ=EXP(STLJ1)*STJ(-1);                                                   
EQ 119  STLL1Z C T STLL1Z(-1)                                                 
 STUR                                                                         
 FSR C STLGZ STLEXZ(-1) STLPY(-1) STLYZ(-1) STRB(-1)                          
 STLL1Z(-1) T STUR(-1)                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 119  STLL1Z  
   RHS     C  T  STLL1Z(-1)  STUR  
   FSR     C  STLGZ  STLEXZ(-1)  STLPY(-1)  STLYZ(-1)  STRB(-1)  
   FSR     STLL1Z(-1)  T  STUR(-1)  
LHS STL1=EXP(STLL1Z)*STPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT UKV1=UKY-UKX;                                                          
IDENT UKV1PCT=UKV1/UKYS;                                                      
IDENT UKV=UKV(-1)+UKV1;                                                       
 IDENT UKM=(UKIM-UKIMDS)/UKPM00-UKMS;                                         
  IDENT UKEX=UKPX00*(UKE00*UKX00$+UKXS)+UKEXDS;                               
  IDENT UKX=UKC+UKI+UKG+UKEX-UKIM+UKSTAT;                                     
  IDENT UKS=UKPX*(UKE00*UKX00$+UKXS)-UKPM*(UKM+UKMS)+UKTT;                    
  IDENT UKY=UKX+UKV1;                                                         
IDENT UKSPCT=UKS/(UKYS*UKPY);                                                 
IDENT UKA=UKA(-1)+UKS;                                                        
IDENT UKM00$A=UKM/UKE00-UKM00$B;                                              
IDENT UKEE=2*UKPSI1*UKE-UKEE(-1);                                             
IDENT UKUR=(UKL1-UKJ)/(UKL1);                                                 
IDENT UKJMIN=UKY/UKLAM;                                                       
  IDENT UKZZ=LOG(UKY)-LOG(UKYS);                                              
IDENT UKPM=UKPSI2*UKPMP;                                                      
IDENT UKE=UKH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT UKNW=UKNW(-1)+UKI+UKV1+UKEX-UKIM;                                       
IDENT UKPX$=(UKE00/UKE)*UKPX;                                                 
GENR UKLCIGZ=LOG((UKC+UKI+UKG)/UKPOP);                                        
GENR UKLIMZ=LOG(UKIM/UKPOP);                                                  
GENR UKLPY=LOG(UKPY);                                                         
GENR UKLPM=LOG(UKPM);                                                         
GENR UKLYZ=LOG(UKY/UKPOP);                                                    
GENR UKAZ=UKA/(UKYS*UKPY);                                                    
GENR UKLW=LOG(UKW);                                                           
GENR UKLWQ=LOG(UKW)-LOG(UKLAM);                                               
GENR UKLCZ=LOG(UKC/UKPOP);                                                    
GENR UKLM1Z=LOG(UKM1/(UKPOP*UKPY));                                           
GENR UKLM1ZL=LOG(UKM1(-1)/(UKPOP(-1)*UKPY));                                  
GENR UKLE=LOG(UKE);                                                           
GENR UKLF=LOG(UKF);                                                           
GENR UKLEE=LOG(UKEE);                                                         
GENR UKLJ1=LOG(UKJ/UKJ(-1));                                                  
GENR UKLY1=LOG(UKY/UKY(-1));                                                  
GENR UKLEXL=LOG(UKJ/UKJMIN);                                                  
GENR UKLL1Z=LOG(UKL1/UKPOP1);                                                 
GENR UKPCPY=100*((UKPY/UKPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR UKLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+UKRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR UKLPYZ=LOG(UKPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR UKLPYZZ=LOG(UKPY/    UKPM);                                              
GENR UKRBZ=      UKRB-    UKRS(-2);                                           
GENR UKRBZZ=     UKRB(-1)-UKRS(-2);                                           
GENR UKRSZ=      UKRS-    UKRS(-2);                                           
GENR UKRSZZ=     UKRS(-1)-UKRS(-2);                                           
GENR UKLWZ=LOG(  UKW/     UKPY);                                              
GENR UKLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+UKRS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR UKLPYZG=LOG(UKPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR UKLH=LOG(UKH);                                                           
GENR UKLH1=UKLH-UKLH(-1);                                                     
GENR UKLHA=UKLPYZG-UKLH(-1);                                                  
GENR UKLPXA=LOG(UKPX/(UKPW$*(UKE/UKE00)));                                    
GENR UKLPXB=LOG(UKPY/(UKPW$*(UKE/UKE00)));                                    
GENR UKLPXC=LOG(UKPW$*(UKE/UKE00));                                           
GENR UKLPX=LOG(UKPX);                                                         
GENR UKLI=LOG(UKI);                                                           
GENR UKLY=LOG(UKY);                                                           
CREATE UKLGZ=LOG(UKG/UKPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: UKLGZ           
CREATE UKLEXZ=LOG(UKEX/UKPOP);                                                
Name added to list: UKLEXZ          
EQ 120 UKLIMZ C UKLIMZ(-1) UKLPYZZ UKLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKLIMZ(-1) UKLPYZZ(-1) UKLCIGZ(-1)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 120  UKLIMZ  
   RHS     C  UKLIMZ(-1)  UKLPYZZ  UKLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKLIMZ(-1)  UKLPYZZ(-1)  UKLCIGZ(-1)  
LHS UKIM=EXP(UKLIMZ)*UKPOP;                                                   
EQ 121 UKLCZ C UKLCZ(-1) UKRB UKLYZ                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 121  UKLCZ  
   RHS     C  UKLCZ(-1)  UKRB  UKLYZ  
LHS UKC=EXP(UKLCZ)*UKPOP;                                                     
EQ 122 UKLI C UKLI(-1) UKLY UKRB(-1)                                          
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKLI(-1) UKLY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 122  UKLI  
   RHS     C  UKLI(-1)  UKLY  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKLI(-1)  UKLY(-1)  
LHS UKI=EXP(UKLI);                                                            
EQ 123 UKLPY UKLPY(-1) C T UKLPM(-1) UKZZ(-1) RHO=1                           
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 T UKLPM(-1)                                                                  
 UKZZ(-1) UKZZ(-2) UKLPY(-2) UKLPM(-2)                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 123  UKLPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     UKLPY(-1)  C  T  UKLPM(-1)  UKZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     T  UKLPM(-1)  UKZZ(-1)  UKZZ(-2)  UKLPY(-2)  UKLPM(-2)  
EQ 124 UKLM1Z C UKLM1Z(-1) UKRS UKLYZ                                         
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKLM1Z(-1) UKRS(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 124  UKLM1Z  
   RHS     C  UKLM1Z(-1)  UKRS  UKLYZ  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKLM1Z(-1)  UKRS(-1)  
LHS UKM1=EXP(UKLM1Z)*UKPOP*UKPY;                                              
LHS UKPY=EXP(UKLPY);                                                          
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 125 UKRS GERS;                                                            
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 125 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 125 UKRS C UKRS(-1) UKPCPY UKZZ USRS                                       
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKRS(-1) UKZZ(-1) USRS(-1)                                                   
 UKPCPY(-1)                                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 125  UKRS  
   RHS     C  UKRS(-1)  UKPCPY  UKZZ  USRS  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKRS(-1)  UKZZ(-1)  USRS(-1)  UKPCPY(-1)  
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
LHS UKRS=(ABS(UKRS-.0)+UKRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 126 UKRB GERB;                                                            
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 126 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 126 UKRBZ C UKRBZZ UKRSZ UKRSZZ                                            
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKRB(-2) UKRS(-1) UKRS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 126  UKRBZ  
   RHS     C  UKRBZZ  UKRSZ  UKRSZZ  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKRB(-2)  UKRS(-1)  UKRS(-2)  
LHS  UKRB=       UKRBZ+   UKRS(-2);                                           
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
GENR UKLH1Z=UKLH1-.050*UKLHA;                                                 
@ SPECIAL EURO                                                                
@EQ 127 UKH C;                                                                
@COEF;                                                                        
@1 127 1.0                                                                    
@0                                                                            
EQ 127 UKLH1Z C UKLRSZG                                                       
 FSR C UKLGZ UKLEXZ(-1) UKLPY(-1) UKLYZ(-1) UKRB(-1)                          
 UKLH1(-1) UKLHA(-1) UKLRSZG(-1)                                              
;                                                                             
EQUATION 127  UKLH1Z  
   RHS     C  UKLRSZG  
   FSR     C  UKLGZ  UKLEXZ(-1)  UKLPY(-1)  UKLYZ(-1)  UKRB(-1)  
   FSR     UKLH1(-1)  UKLHA(-1)  UKLRSZG(-1)  
LHS UKH=EXP(UKLH1Z+.050*UKLHA)*UKH(-1);                                       
@ SPECIAL EURO END                                                            
EQ 128  UKLF UKLEE UKLRSZ RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 128  UKLF  RHO=1  
   RHS     UKLEE  UKLRSZ  
LHS UKF=EXP(UKLF);                                                            
EQ 129  UKLPXA UKLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 129  UKLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     UKLPXB  
LHS UKPX=EXP(UKLPXA)*(UKPW$*(UKE/UKE00));                                     
EQ 130  UKLJ1 C T UKLEXL(-1) UKLY1 RHO=1                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 130  UKLJ1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  T  UKLEXL(-1)  UKLY1  
LHS UKJ=EXP(UKLJ1)*UKJ(-1);                                                   
@IDENT FIV1=FIY-FIX;                                                          
IDENT FIV1PCT=FIV1/FIYS;                                                      
IDENT FIV=FIV(-1)+FIV1;                                                       
 IDENT FIM=(FIIM-FIIMDS)/FIPM00-FIMS;                                         
  IDENT FIEX=FIPX00*(FIE00*FIX00$+FIXS)+FIEXDS;                               
  IDENT FIX=FIC+FII+FIG+FIEX-FIIM+FISTAT;                                     
  IDENT FIY=FIX+FIV1;                                                         
  IDENT FIS=FIPX*(FIE00*FIX00$+FIXS)-FIPM*(FIM+FIMS)+FITT;                    
IDENT FISPCT=FIS/(FIYS*FIPY);                                                 
IDENT FIA=FIA(-1)+FIS;                                                        
IDENT FIM00$A=FIM/FIE00-FIM00$B;                                              
IDENT FIEE=2*FIPSI1*FIE-FIEE(-1);                                             
IDENT FIUR=(FIL1-FIJ)/(FIL1);                                                 
IDENT FIJMIN=FIY/FILAM;                                                       
  IDENT FIZZ=LOG(FIY)-LOG(FIYS);                                              
IDENT FIPM=FIPSI2*FIPMP;                                                      
IDENT FIE=FIH*GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT FINW=FINW(-1)+FII+FIV1+FIEX-FIIM;                                       
IDENT FIPX$=(FIE00/FIE)*FIPX;                                                 
GENR FILCIGZ=LOG((FIC+FII+FIG)/FIPOP);                                        
GENR FILIMZ=LOG(FIIM/FIPOP);                                                  
GENR FILPY=LOG(FIPY);                                                         
GENR FILPM=LOG(FIPM);                                                         
GENR FILYZ=LOG(FIY/FIPOP);                                                    
GENR FIAZ=FIA/(FIYS*FIPY);                                                    
GENR FILW=LOG(FIW);                                                           
GENR FILCZ=LOG(FIC/FIPOP);                                                    
GENR FILM1Z=LOG(FIM1/(FIPOP*FIPY));                                           
GENR FILM1ZL=LOG(FIM1(-1)/(FIPOP(-1)*FIPY));                                  
GENR FILE=LOG(FIE);                                                           
GENR FILF=LOG(FIF);                                                           
GENR FILEE=LOG(FIEE);                                                         
GENR FILJ1=LOG(FIJ/FIJ(-1));                                                  
GENR FILY1=LOG(FIY/FIY(-1));                                                  
GENR FILEXL=LOG(FIJ/FIJMIN);                                                  
GENR FILL1Z=LOG(FIL1/FIPOP1);                                                 
GENR FIPCPY=100*((FIPY/FIPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR FILRSZ=.25*LOG((1+FIRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR FILPYZ=LOG(FIPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR FILPYZZ=LOG(FIPY/    FIPM);                                              
GENR FIRBZ=      FIRB-    FIRS(-2);                                           
GENR FIRBZZ=     FIRB(-1)-FIRS(-2);                                           
GENR FIRSZ=      FIRS-    FIRS(-2);                                           
GENR FIRSZZ=     FIRS(-1)-FIRS(-2);                                           
GENR FILWZ=LOG(  FIW/     FIPY);                                              
GENR FILRSZG=.25*LOG((1+FIRS/100.)/(1+GEGERS/100.));                          
GENR FILPYZG=LOG(FIPY/GEGEPY);                                                
GENR FILH=LOG(FIH);                                                           
GENR FILH1=FILH-FILH(-1);                                                     
GENR FILHA=FILPYZG-FILH(-1);                                                  
GENR FILPXA=LOG(FIPX/(FIPW$*(FIE/FIE00)));                                    
GENR FILPXB=LOG(FIPY/(FIPW$*(FIE/FIE00)));                                    
GENR FILPXC=LOG(FIPW$*(FIE/FIE00));                                           
GENR FILPX=LOG(FIPX);                                                         
GENR FILI=LOG(FII);                                                           
GENR FILY=LOG(FIY);                                                           
CREATE FILGZ=LOG(FIG/FIPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: FILGZ           
CREATE FILEXZ=LOG(FIEX/FIPOP);                                                
Name added to list: FILEXZ          
EQ 131 FILIMZ C FILIMZ(-1) FILCIGZ FILPYZZ                                    
     FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1)                               
 FILIMZ(-1) FILPYZZ(-1) FILCIGZ(-1)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 131  FILIMZ  
   RHS     C  FILIMZ(-1)  FILCIGZ  FILPYZZ  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FILIMZ(-1)  
   FSR     FILPYZZ(-1)  FILCIGZ(-1)  
LHS FIIM=EXP(FILIMZ)*FIPOP;                                                   
EQ 132 FILCZ C FILCZ(-1) FIRS FILYZ                                           
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1)                                   
 FILCZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 132  FILCZ  
   RHS     C  FILCZ(-1)  FIRS  FILYZ  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FILCZ(-1)  
   FSR     FIRS(-1)  
LHS FIC=EXP(FILCZ)*FIPOP;                                                     
EQ 133 FILI C FILI(-1) FILY FIRS                                              
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILI(-1) FILY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 133  FILI  
   RHS     C  FILI(-1)  FILY  FIRS  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILI(-1)  FILY(-1)  
LHS FII=EXP(FILI);                                                            
EQ 134 FILPY FILPY(-1) C T FILPM                                              
 FIZZ                                                                         
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILPM(-1) T                                                                  
 FIZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 134  FILPY  
   RHS     FILPY(-1)  C  T  FILPM  FIZZ  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILPM(-1)  T  FIZZ(-1)  
EQ 135 FILM1Z C FILM1ZL FIRS FILYZ                                            
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILM1Z(-1) FILM1ZL                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 135  FILM1Z  
   RHS     C  FILM1ZL  FIRS  FILYZ  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILM1Z(-1)  FILM1ZL  
LHS FIM1=EXP(FILM1Z)*FIPOP*FIPY;                                              
LHS FIPY=EXP(FILPY);                                                          
EQ 136 FIRSA C FIRS(-1)  FIZZ                                                 
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FIZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 136  FIRSA  
   RHS     C  FIRS(-1)  FIZZ  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FIZZ(-1)  
LHS FIRS=(1-EU1)*FIRSA+EU1*EUEURS;                                            
EQ 137 FILH1 C FILHA FILRSZG RHO=1                                            
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILH1(-1) FILHA(-1) FILRSZG(-1)                                              
;                                                                             
EQUATION 137  FILH1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  FILHA  FILRSZG  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILH1(-1)  FILHA(-1)  FILRSZG(-1)  
LHS FIH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(FILH1)*FIH(-1))+EU1*1;                                   
EQ 138  FILF FILEE FILRSZ RHO=1;                                              
EQUATION 138  FILF  RHO=1  
   RHS     FILEE  FILRSZ  
LHS FIF=EXP(FILF);                                                            
EQ 139  FILPXA FILPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 139  FILPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     FILPXB  
LHS FIPX=EXP(FILPXA)*(FIPW$*(FIE/FIE00));                                     
EQ 140  FILJ1 C T FILEXL(-1) FILY1                                            
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILJ1(-1) T FILEXL(-1) FILEXL(-2) FILY1(-1)                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 140  FILJ1  
   RHS     C  T  FILEXL(-1)  FILY1  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILJ1(-1)  T  FILEXL(-1)  FILEXL(-2)  FILY1(-1)  
LHS FIJ=EXP(FILJ1)*FIJ(-1);                                                   
EQ 141  FILL1Z C T FILL1Z(-1) FIUR                                            
 FSR C FILGZ FILEXZ(-1) FILPY(-1) FILYZ(-1) FIRS(-1)                          
 FILL1Z(-1) T FIUR(-1)                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 141  FILL1Z  
   RHS     C  T  FILL1Z(-1)  FIUR  
   FSR     C  FILGZ  FILEXZ(-1)  FILPY(-1)  FILYZ(-1)  FIRS(-1)  
   FSR     FILL1Z(-1)  T  FIUR(-1)  
LHS FIL1=EXP(FILL1Z)*FIPOP1;                                                  
  IDENT ASX=ASC+ASI+ASG+ASEX-ASIM+ASSTAT;                                     
IDENT ASV1=ASY-ASX;                                                           
IDENT ASV1PCT=ASV1/ASYS;                                                      
IDENT ASV=ASV(-1)+ASV1;                                                       
 IDENT ASM=(ASIM-ASIMDS)/ASPM00-ASMS;                                         
  IDENT ASEX=ASPX00*(ASE00*ASX00$+ASXS)+ASEXDS;                               
  IDENT ASS=ASPX*(ASE00*ASX00$+ASXS)-ASPM*(ASM+ASMS)+ASTT;                    
IDENT ASSPCT=ASS/(ASYS*ASPY);                                                 
IDENT ASA=ASA(-1)+ASS;                                                        
IDENT ASM00$A=ASM/ASE00-ASM00$B;                                              
IDENT ASEE=2*ASPSI1*ASE-ASEE(-1);                                             
IDENT ASUR=(ASL1-ASJ)/(ASL1);                                                 
IDENT ASJMIN=ASY/ASLAM;                                                       
  IDENT ASZZ=LOG(ASY)-LOG(ASYS);                                              
IDENT ASPM=ASPSI2*ASPMP;                                                      
IDENT ASH=ASE/GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT ASNW=ASNW(-1)+ASI+ASV1+ASEX-ASIM;                                       
IDENT ASPX$=(ASE00/ASE)*ASPX;                                                 
GENR ASLCIGZ=LOG((ASC+ASI+ASG)/ASPOP);                                        
GENR ASLIMZ=LOG(ASIM/ASPOP);                                                  
GENR ASLPY=LOG(ASPY);                                                         
GENR ASLPM=LOG(ASPM);                                                         
GENR ASLYZ=LOG(ASY/ASPOP);                                                    
GENR ASAZ=ASA/(ASYS*ASPY);                                                    
GENR ASLW=LOG(ASW);                                                           
GENR ASLWQ=LOG(ASW)-LOG(ASLAM);                                               
GENR ASLCZ=LOG(ASC/ASPOP);                                                    
GENR ASLM1Z=LOG(ASM1/(ASPOP*ASPY));                                           
GENR ASLM1ZL=LOG(ASM1(-1)/(ASPOP(-1)*ASPY));                                  
GENR ASLE=LOG(ASE);                                                           
GENR ASLF=LOG(ASF);                                                           
GENR ASLEE=LOG(ASEE);                                                         
GENR ASLJ1=LOG(ASJ/ASJ(-1));                                                  
GENR ASLY1=LOG(ASY/ASY(-1));                                                  
GENR ASLEXL=LOG(ASJ/ASJMIN);                                                  
GENR ASLL1Z=LOG(ASL1/ASPOP1);                                                 
GENR ASPCPY=100*((ASPY/ASPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR ASLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+ASRS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR ASLPYZ=LOG(ASPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR ASLPYZZ=LOG(ASPY/    ASPM);                                              
GENR ASRBZ=      ASRB-    ASRS(-2);                                           
GENR ASRBZZ=     ASRB(-1)-ASRS(-2);                                           
GENR ASRSZ=      ASRS-    ASRS(-2);                                           
GENR ASRSZZ=     ASRS(-1)-ASRS(-2);                                           
GENR ASLWZ=LOG(  ASW/     ASPY);                                              
GENR ASLE1=ASLE-ASLE(-1);                                                     
GENR ASLEA=ASLPYZ-ASLE(-1);                                                   
GENR ASLPXA=LOG(ASPX/(ASPW$*(ASE/ASE00)));                                    
GENR ASLPXB=LOG(ASPY/(ASPW$*(ASE/ASE00)));                                    
GENR ASLPXC=LOG(ASPW$*(ASE/ASE00));                                           
GENR ASLPX=LOG(ASPX);                                                         
GENR ASLI=LOG(ASI);                                                           
GENR ASLY=LOG(ASY);                                                           
GENR ASLX=LOG(ASX);                                                           
GENR ASLV=LOG(ASV);                                                           
CREATE ASLGZ=LOG(ASG/ASPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: ASLGZ           
CREATE ASLEXZ=LOG(ASEX/ASPOP);                                                
Name added to list: ASLEXZ          
EQ 142 ASLIMZ C ASLIMZ(-1) ASLPYZZ ASLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASLIMZ(-1) ASLPYZZ(-1) ASLCIGZ(-1) ASLIMZ(-2)                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 142  ASLIMZ  
   RHS     C  ASLIMZ(-1)  ASLPYZZ  ASLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASLIMZ(-1)  ASLPYZZ(-1)  ASLCIGZ(-1)  ASLIMZ(-2)  
LHS ASIM=EXP(ASLIMZ)*ASPOP;                                                   
EQ 143 ASLCZ C ASLCZ(-1) ASLYZ                                                
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASLCZ(-1)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 143  ASLCZ  
   RHS     C  ASLCZ(-1)  ASLYZ  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASLCZ(-1)  
LHS ASC=EXP(ASLCZ)*ASPOP;                                                     
EQ 144 ASLI C ASLI(-1) ASLY ASRB                                              
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASLI(-1) ASLY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 144  ASLI  
   RHS     C  ASLI(-1)  ASLY  ASRB  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASLI(-1)  ASLY(-1)  
LHS ASI=EXP(ASLI);                                                            
EQ 145 ASLY C ASLY(-1) ASLX ASLV(-1) RHO=1;                                   
EQUATION 145  ASLY  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  ASLY(-1)  ASLX  ASLV(-1)  
LHS ASY=EXP(ASLY);                                                            
EQ 146 ASLPY ASLPY(-1) C T ASZZ(-1) RHO=1                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 146  ASLPY  RHO=1  
   RHS     ASLPY(-1)  C  T  ASZZ(-1)  
EQ 147 ASLM1Z C ASLM1ZL ASRS ASLYZ                                            
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRS(-1)                          
 ASLIMZ(-1) ASLM1ZL                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 147  ASLM1Z  
   RHS     C  ASLM1ZL  ASRS  ASLYZ  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRS(-1)  
   FSR     ASLIMZ(-1)  ASLM1ZL  
LHS ASM1=EXP(ASLM1Z)*ASPOP*ASPY;                                              
LHS ASPY=EXP(ASLPY);                                                          
EQ 148 ASRS C ASRS(-1) ASPCPY ASZZ USRS                                       
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASRS(-1) ASZZ(-1) USRS(-1) ASLPY(-2)                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 148  ASRS  
   RHS     C  ASRS(-1)  ASPCPY  ASZZ  USRS  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASRS(-1)  ASZZ(-1)  USRS(-1)  ASLPY(-2)  
LHS ASRS=(ABS(ASRS-.0)+ASRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 149 ASRBZ C ASRBZZ ASRSZ ASRSZZ                                            
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASRB(-2) ASRS(-1) ASRS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 149  ASRBZ  
   RHS     C  ASRBZZ  ASRSZ  ASRSZZ  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASRB(-2)  ASRS(-1)  ASRS(-2)  
LHS  ASRB=       ASRBZ+   ASRS(-2);                                           
EQ 150 ASLE1 C ASLEA RHO=1                                                    
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASLE1(-1) ASLEA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 150  ASLE1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  ASLEA  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASLE1(-1)  ASLEA(-1)  
EQ 151  ASLF ASLEE ASLRSZ ;                                                   
EQUATION 151  ASLF  
   RHS     ASLEE  ASLRSZ  
LHS ASF=EXP(ASLF);                                                            
EQ 152  ASLPXA ASLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 152  ASLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     ASLPXB  
LHS ASPX=EXP(ASLPXA)*(ASPW$*(ASE/ASE00));                                     
LHS ASE=EXP(ASLE1)*ASE(-1);                                                   
EQ 153  ASLJ1 C T ASLEXL(-1) ASLY1 RHO=1                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 153  ASLJ1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  T  ASLEXL(-1)  ASLY1  
LHS ASJ=EXP(ASLJ1)*ASJ(-1);                                                   
EQ 154  ASLL1Z C T ASLL1Z(-1) ASUR                                            
 FSR C ASLGZ ASLEXZ(-1) ASLPY(-1) ASLYZ(-1) ASRB(-1)                          
 ASLL1Z(-1) T ASUR(-1)                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 154  ASLL1Z  
   RHS     C  T  ASLL1Z(-1)  ASUR  
   FSR     C  ASLGZ  ASLEXZ(-1)  ASLPY(-1)  ASLYZ(-1)  ASRB(-1)  
   FSR     ASLL1Z(-1)  T  ASUR(-1)  
LHS ASL1=EXP(ASLL1Z)*ASPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT SOV1=SOY-SOX;                                                          
IDENT SOV1PCT=SOV1/SOYS;                                                      
IDENT SOV=SOV(-1)+SOV1;                                                       
 IDENT SOM=(SOIM-SOIMDS)/SOPM00-SOMS;                                         
  IDENT SOEX=SOPX00*(SOE00*SOX00$+SOXS)+SOEXDS;                               
  IDENT SOX=SOC+SOI+SOG+SOEX-SOIM+SOSTAT;                                     
  IDENT SOY=SOX+SOV1;                                                         
  IDENT SOS=SOPX*(SOE00*SOX00$+SOXS)-SOPM*(SOM+SOMS)+SOTT;                    
IDENT SOSPCT=SOS/(SOYS*SOPY);                                                 
IDENT SOA=SOA(-1)+SOS;                                                        
IDENT SOM00$A=SOM/SOE00-SOM00$B;                                              
IDENT SOEE=2*SOPSI1*SOE-SOEE(-1);                                             
IDENT SOUR=(SOL1-SOJ)/(SOL1);                                                 
IDENT SOJMIN=SOY/SOLAM;                                                       
  IDENT SOZZ=LOG(SOY)-LOG(SOYS);                                              
IDENT SOPM=SOPSI2*SOPMP;                                                      
IDENT SOH=SOE/GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT SONW=SONW(-1)+SOI+SOV1+SOEX-SOIM;                                       
IDENT SOPX$=(SOE00/SOE)*SOPX;                                                 
GENR SOLCIGZ=LOG((SOC+SOI+SOG)/SOPOP);                                        
GENR SOLIMZ=LOG(SOIM/SOPOP);                                                  
GENR SOLPY=LOG(SOPY);                                                         
GENR SOLPM=LOG(SOPM);                                                         
GENR SOLYZ=LOG(SOY/SOPOP);                                                    
GENR SOAZ=SOA/(SOYS*SOPY);                                                    
GENR SOLW=LOG(SOW);                                                           
GENR SOLCZ=LOG(SOC/SOPOP);                                                    
GENR SOLM1Z=LOG(SOM1/(SOPOP*SOPY));                                           
GENR SOLM1ZL=LOG(SOM1(-1)/(SOPOP(-1)*SOPY));                                  
GENR SOLE=LOG(SOE);                                                           
GENR SOLF=LOG(SOF);                                                           
GENR SOLEE=LOG(SOEE);                                                         
GENR SOLJ1=LOG(SOJ/SOJ(-1));                                                  
GENR SOLY1=LOG(SOY/SOY(-1));                                                  
GENR SOLEXL=LOG(SOJ/SOJMIN);                                                  
GENR SOLL1Z=LOG(SOL1/SOPOP1);                                                 
GENR SOPCPY=100*((SOPY/SOPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR SOLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+SORS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR SOLPYZ=LOG(SOPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR SOLPYZZ=LOG(SOPY/    SOPM);                                              
GENR SORBZ=      SORB-    SORS(-2);                                           
GENR SORBZZ=     SORB(-1)-SORS(-2);                                           
GENR SORSZ=      SORS-    SORS(-2);                                           
GENR SORSZZ=     SORS(-1)-SORS(-2);                                           
GENR SOLWZ=LOG(  SOW/     SOPY);                                              
GENR SOLE1=SOLE-SOLE(-1);                                                     
GENR SOLEA=SOLPYZ-SOLE(-1);                                                   
GENR SOLPXA=LOG(SOPX/(SOPW$*(SOE/SOE00)));                                    
GENR SOLPXB=LOG(SOPY/(SOPW$*(SOE/SOE00)));                                    
GENR SOLPXC=LOG(SOPW$*(SOE/SOE00));                                           
GENR SOLPX=LOG(SOPX);                                                         
GENR SOLI=LOG(SOI);                                                           
GENR SOLY=LOG(SOY);                                                           
CREATE SOLGZ=LOG(SOG/SOPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: SOLGZ           
CREATE SOLEXZ=LOG(SOEX/SOPOP);                                                
Name added to list: SOLEXZ          
EQ 155 SOLIMZ C SOLIMZ(-1) SOLCIGZ SOLPYZZ;                                   
EQUATION 155  SOLIMZ  
   RHS     C  SOLIMZ(-1)  SOLCIGZ  SOLPYZZ  
LHS SOIM=EXP(SOLIMZ)*SOPOP;                                                   
EQ 156 SOLCZ C SOLCZ(-1) SORS(-1) SOLYZ                                       
 FSR C SOLGZ SOLEXZ(-1) SOLPY(-1) SOLYZ(-1) SORB(-1)                          
 SOLCZ(-1) SORS(-1)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 156  SOLCZ  
   RHS     C  SOLCZ(-1)  SORS(-1)  SOLYZ  
   FSR     C  SOLGZ  SOLEXZ(-1)  SOLPY(-1)  SOLYZ(-1)  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     SOLCZ(-1)  SORS(-1)  
LHS SOC=EXP(SOLCZ)*SOPOP;                                                     
EQ 157 SOLI C SOLI(-1) SOLY SORB(-1)                                          
 FSR C SOLGZ SOLEXZ(-1) SOLPY(-1) SOLYZ(-1) SORB(-1)                          
 SOLI(-1) SOLY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 157  SOLI  
   RHS     C  SOLI(-1)  SOLY  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     C  SOLGZ  SOLEXZ(-1)  SOLPY(-1)  SOLYZ(-1)  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     SOLI(-1)  SOLY(-1)  
LHS SOI=EXP(SOLI);                                                            
EQ 158 SOLPY SOLPY(-1) C T SOLPM                                              
 FSR C SOLGZ SOLEXZ(-1) SOLPY(-1) SOLYZ(-1) SORB(-1)                          
 T SOLPM(-1)                                                                  
 SOZZ(-1)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 158  SOLPY  
   RHS     SOLPY(-1)  C  T  SOLPM  
   FSR     C  SOLGZ  SOLEXZ(-1)  SOLPY(-1)  SOLYZ(-1)  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     T  SOLPM(-1)  SOZZ(-1)  
LHS SOPY=EXP(SOLPY);                                                          
EQ 159 SORS C SORS(-1) USRS RHO=1                                             
 FSR C SOLGZ SOLEXZ(-1) SOLPY(-1) SOLYZ(-1) SORB(-1)                          
 SORS(-1) SORS(-2)  USRS(-1)                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 159  SORS  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  SORS(-1)  USRS  
   FSR     C  SOLGZ  SOLEXZ(-1)  SOLPY(-1)  SOLYZ(-1)  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     SORS(-1)  SORS(-2)  USRS(-1)  
LHS SORS=(ABS(SORS-.0)+SORS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 160 SORBZ C SORBZZ SORSZ SORSZZ                                            
 FSR C SOLGZ SOLEXZ(-1) SOLPY(-1) SOLYZ(-1) SORB(-1)                          
 SORB(-2) SORS(-1) SORS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 160  SORBZ  
   RHS     C  SORBZZ  SORSZ  SORSZZ  
   FSR     C  SOLGZ  SOLEXZ(-1)  SOLPY(-1)  SOLYZ(-1)  SORB(-1)  
   FSR     SORB(-2)  SORS(-1)  SORS(-2)  
LHS  SORB=       SORBZ+   SORS(-2);                                           
EQ 161  SOLPXA SOLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 161  SOLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     SOLPXB  
LHS SOPX=EXP(SOLPXA)*(SOPW$*(SOE/SOE00));                                     
@IDENT KOV1=KOY-KOX;                                                          
IDENT KOV1PCT=KOV1/KOYS;                                                      
IDENT KOV=KOV(-1)+KOV1;                                                       
 IDENT KOM=(KOIM-KOIMDS)/KOPM00-KOMS;                                         
  IDENT KOEX=KOPX00*(KOE00*KOX00$+KOXS)+KOEXDS;                               
  IDENT KOX=KOC+KOI+KOG+KOEX-KOIM+KOSTAT;                                     
  IDENT KOS=KOPX*(KOE00*KOX00$+KOXS)-KOPM*(KOM+KOMS)+KOTT;                    
  IDENT KOY=KOX+KOV1;                                                         
IDENT KOSPCT=KOS/(KOYS*KOPY);                                                 
IDENT KOA=KOA(-1)+KOS;                                                        
IDENT KOM00$A=KOM/KOE00-KOM00$B;                                              
IDENT KOEE=2*KOPSI1*KOE-KOEE(-1);                                             
IDENT KOUR=(KOL1-KOJ)/(KOL1);                                                 
IDENT KOJMIN=KOY/KOLAM;                                                       
  IDENT KOZZ=LOG(KOY)-LOG(KOYS);                                              
IDENT KOPM=KOPSI2*KOPMP;                                                      
IDENT KOH=KOE/GEGEE;                                                          
IDENT KONW=KONW(-1)+KOI+KOV1+KOEX-KOIM;                                       
IDENT KOPX$=(KOE00/KOE)*KOPX;                                                 
GENR KOLCIGZ=LOG((KOC+KOI+KOG)/KOPOP);                                        
GENR KOLIMZ=LOG(KOIM/KOPOP);                                                  
GENR KOLPY=LOG(KOPY);                                                         
GENR KOLPM=LOG(KOPM);                                                         
GENR KOLYZ=LOG(KOY/KOPOP);                                                    
GENR KOAZ=KOA/(KOYS*KOPY);                                                    
GENR KOLW=LOG(KOW);                                                           
GENR KOLCZ=LOG(KOC/KOPOP);                                                    
GENR KOLM1Z=LOG(KOM1/(KOPOP*KOPY));                                           
GENR KOLM1ZL=LOG(KOM1(-1)/(KOPOP(-1)*KOPY));                                  
GENR KOLE=LOG(KOE);                                                           
GENR KOLF=LOG(KOF);                                                           
GENR KOLEE=LOG(KOEE);                                                         
GENR KOLJ1=LOG(KOJ/KOJ(-1));                                                  
GENR KOLY1=LOG(KOY/KOY(-1));                                                  
GENR KOLEXL=LOG(KOJ/KOJMIN);                                                  
GENR KOLL1Z=LOG(KOL1/KOPOP1);                                                 
GENR KOPCPY=100*((KOPY/KOPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR KOLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+KORS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR KOLPYZ=LOG(KOPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR KOLPYZZ=LOG(KOPY/    KOPM);                                              
GENR KORBZ=      KORB-    KORS(-2);                                           
GENR KORBZZ=     KORB(-1)-KORS(-2);                                           
GENR KORSZ=      KORS-    KORS(-2);                                           
GENR KORSZZ=     KORS(-1)-KORS(-2);                                           
GENR KOLWZ=LOG(  KOW/     KOPY);                                              
GENR KOLE1=KOLE-KOLE(-1);                                                     
GENR KOLEA=KOLPYZ-KOLE(-1);                                                   
GENR KOLPXA=LOG(KOPX/(KOPW$*(KOE/KOE00)));                                    
GENR KOLPXB=LOG(KOPY/(KOPW$*(KOE/KOE00)));                                    
GENR KOLPXC=LOG(KOPW$*(KOE/KOE00));                                           
GENR KOLPX=LOG(KOPX);                                                         
GENR KOLI=LOG(KOI);                                                           
GENR KOLY=LOG(KOY);                                                           
CREATE KOLGZ=LOG(KOG/KOPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: KOLGZ           
CREATE KOLEXZ=LOG(KOEX/KOPOP);                                                
Name added to list: KOLEXZ          
EQ 162 KOLIMZ C KOLIMZ(-1) KOLCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 162  KOLIMZ  
   RHS     C  KOLIMZ(-1)  KOLCIGZ  
LHS KOIM=EXP(KOLIMZ)*KOPOP;                                                   
EQ 163 KOLCZ C KOLCZ(-1) KOLYZ KORB                                           
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KOLCZ(-1)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 163  KOLCZ  
   RHS     C  KOLCZ(-1)  KOLYZ  KORB  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KOLCZ(-1)  
LHS KOC=EXP(KOLCZ)*KOPOP;                                                     
EQ 164 KOLI C KOLI(-1) KOLY                                                   
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KOLI(-1) KOLY(-1)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 164  KOLI  
   RHS     C  KOLI(-1)  KOLY  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KOLI(-1)  KOLY(-1)  
LHS KOI=EXP(KOLI);                                                            
EQ 165 KOLPY KOLPY(-1) C T KOZZ(-1)                                           
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KOLPY(-2) T KOLPM(-1)                                                        
 KOZZ(-1) KOZZ(-2)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 165  KOLPY  
   RHS     KOLPY(-1)  C  T  KOZZ(-1)  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KOLPY(-2)  T  KOLPM(-1)  KOZZ(-1)  KOZZ(-2)  
EQ 166 KOLM1Z C KOLM1ZL KOLYZ                                                 
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KOLM1Z(-1) KOLM1ZL                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 166  KOLM1Z  
   RHS     C  KOLM1ZL  KOLYZ  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KOLM1Z(-1)  KOLM1ZL  
LHS KOM1=EXP(KOLM1Z)*KOPOP*KOPY;                                              
LHS KOPY=EXP(KOLPY);                                                          
EQ 167 KORBZ C KORBZZ KORSZ KORSZZ                                            
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KORB(-2) KORS(-1) KORS(-2)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 167  KORBZ  
   RHS     C  KORBZZ  KORSZ  KORSZZ  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KORB(-2)  KORS(-1)  KORS(-2)  
LHS  KORB=       KORBZ+   KORS(-2);                                           
EQ 168 KOLE1 C KOLEA RHO=1                                                    
 FSR C KOLGZ KOLEXZ(-1) KOLPY(-1) KOLYZ(-1) KORB(-1)                          
 KOLE1(-1) KOLEA(-1)                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 168  KOLE1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  KOLEA  
   FSR     C  KOLGZ  KOLEXZ(-1)  KOLPY(-1)  KOLYZ(-1)  KORB(-1)  
   FSR     KOLE1(-1)  KOLEA(-1)  
EQ 169  KOLPXA KOLPXB RHO=2;                                                  
EQUATION 169  KOLPXA  RHO=2  
   RHS     KOLPXB  
LHS KOPX=EXP(KOLPXA)*(KOPW$*(KOE/KOE00));                                     
LHS KOE=EXP(KOLE1)*KOE(-1);                                                   
@IDENT BEV1=BEY-BEX;                                                          
IDENT BEV1PCT=BEV1/BEYS;                                                      
IDENT BEV=BEV(-4)+BEV1;                                                       
 IDENT BEM=(BEIM-BEIMDS)/BEPM00-BEMS;                                         
  IDENT BEEX=BEPX00*(BEE00*BEX00$+BEXS)+BEEXDS;                               
  IDENT BEX=BEC+BEI+BEG+BEEX-BEIM+BESTAT;                                     
  IDENT BEY=BEX+BEV1;                                                         
  IDENT BES=BEPX*(BEE00*BEX00$+BEXS)-BEPM*(BEM+BEMS)+BETT;                    
IDENT BESPCT=BES/(BEYS*BEPY);                                                 
IDENT BEA=BEA(-4)+BES;                                                        
IDENT BEM00$A=BEM/BEE00-BEM00$B;                                              
IDENT BEUR=(BEL1-BEJ)/(BEL1);                                                 
IDENT BEJMIN=BEY/BELAM;                                                       
  IDENT BEZZ=LOG(BEY)-LOG(BEYS);                                              
IDENT BEPM=BEPSI2*BEPMP;                                                      
IDENT BEE=BEH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT BENW=BENW(-4)+BEI+BEV1+BEEX-BEIM;                                       
IDENT BEPX$=(BEE00/BEE)*BEPX;                                                 
GENR BELCIGZ=LOG((BEC+BEI+BEG)/BEPOP);                                        
GENR BELIMZ=LOG(BEIM/BEPOP);                                                  
GENR BELPY=LOG(BEPY);                                                         
GENR BELPM=LOG(BEPM);                                                         
GENR BELYZ=LOG(BEY/BEPOP);                                                    
GENR BEAZ=BEA/(BEYS*BEPY);                                                    
GENR BELW=LOG(BEW);                                                           
GENR BELCZ=LOG(BEC/BEPOP);                                                    
GENR BELM1Z=LOG(BEM1/(BEPOP*BEPY));                                           
GENR BELM1ZL=LOG(BEM1(-4)/(BEPOP(-4)*BEPY));                                  
GENR BELE=LOG(BEE);                                                           
GENR BELJ1=LOG(BEJ/BEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR BELY1=LOG(BEY/BEY(-4));                                                  
GENR BELEXL=LOG(BEJ/BEJMIN);                                                  
GENR BELL1Z=LOG(BEL1/BEPOP1);                                                 
GENR BEPCPY=100*((BEPY/BEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR BELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+BERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR BELPYZ=LOG(BEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR BELPYZZ=LOG(BEPY/    BEPM);                                              
GENR BERBZ=      BERB-    BERS(-4);                                           
GENR BERBZZ=     BERB(-4)-BERS(-4);                                           
GENR BERSZ=      BERS-    BERS(-4);                                           
GENR BELWZ=LOG(  BEW/     BEPY);                                              
GENR BELRSZG=.25*LOG((1+BERS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR BELPYZG=LOG(BEPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR BELH=LOG(BEH);                                                           
GENR BELH1=BELH-BELH(-4);                                                     
GENR BELHA=BELPYZG-BELH(-4);                                                  
GENR BELPXA=LOG(BEPX/(BEPW$*(BEE/BEE00)));                                    
GENR BELPXB=LOG(BEPY/(BEPW$*(BEE/BEE00)));                                    
GENR BELPXC=LOG(BEPW$*(BEE/BEE00));                                           
GENR BELPX=LOG(BEPX);                                                         
GENR BELI=LOG(BEI);                                                           
GENR BELY=LOG(BEY);                                                           
CREATE BELGZ=LOG(BEG/BEPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: BELGZ           
CREATE BELEXZ=LOG(BEEX/BEPOP);                                                
Name added to list: BELEXZ          
EQ 170 BELIMZ C BELIMZ(-4) BELPYZZ BELCIGZ                                    
 FSR C BELGZ BELEXZ(-4) BELPY(-4) BELYZ(-4) BERB(-4)                          
 BELIMZ(-4) BELPYZZ(-4) BELCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 170  BELIMZ  
   RHS     C  BELIMZ(-4)  BELPYZZ  BELCIGZ  
   FSR     C  BELGZ  BELEXZ(-4)  BELPY(-4)  BELYZ(-4)  BERB(-4)  
   FSR     BELIMZ(-4)  BELPYZZ(-4)  BELCIGZ(-4)  
LHS BEIM=EXP(BELIMZ)*BEPOP;                                                   
EQ 171 BELCZ C BELCZ(-4) BELYZ                                                
 FSR C BELGZ BELEXZ(-4) BELPY(-4) BELYZ(-4) BERB(-4)                          
 BELCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 171  BELCZ  
   RHS     C  BELCZ(-4)  BELYZ  
   FSR     C  BELGZ  BELEXZ(-4)  BELPY(-4)  BELYZ(-4)  BERB(-4)  
   FSR     BELCZ(-4)  
LHS BEC=EXP(BELCZ)*BEPOP;                                                     
EQ 172 BELI C BELI(-4) BELY BERB                                              
 FSR C BELGZ BELEXZ(-4) BELPY(-4) BELYZ(-4) BERB(-4)                          
 BELI(-4) BELY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 172  BELI  
   RHS     C  BELI(-4)  BELY  BERB  
   FSR     C  BELGZ  BELEXZ(-4)  BELPY(-4)  BELYZ(-4)  BERB(-4)  
   FSR     BELI(-4)  BELY(-4)  
LHS BEI=EXP(BELI);                                                            
EQ 173 BELPY BELPY(-4) C TN BELPM                                             
 BEZZ(-4)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 173  BELPY  
   RHS     BELPY(-4)  C  TN  BELPM  BEZZ(-4)  
EQ 174 BELM1Z C BELM1Z(-4) BERS BELYZ                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 174  BELM1Z  
   RHS     C  BELM1Z(-4)  BERS  BELYZ  
LHS BEM1=EXP(BELM1Z)*BEPOP*BEPY;                                              
LHS BEPY=EXP(BELPY);                                                          
EQ 175 BERSA C BERS(-4) GEGERSN                                               
 BEPCPY BEZZ                                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 175  BERSA  
   RHS     C  BERS(-4)  GEGERSN  BEPCPY  BEZZ  
LHS BERS=(1-EU1)*BERSA+EU1*EUEURSN;                                           
EQ 176 BERBZ C BERBZZ BERSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 176  BERBZ  
   RHS     C  BERBZZ  BERSZ  
LHS  BERB=  (1-EU1)*(BERBZ+   BERS(-4))+EU1*EUEURBN;                          
EQ 177 BELH1 C BELHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 177  BELH1  
   RHS     C  BELHA  
LHS BEH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(BELH1)*BEH(-4))+EU1*1;                                   
@EQ  11 BELPXA BELPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 178  BELPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 178  BELPXA  
NLEQ BELPXA=COEF(1,178)*(BELPXB-COEF(2,178)*BELPXB(-4)-COEF(3,178)*BELPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,178)*BELPXA(-4)+COEF(3,178)*BELPXA(-8);                              
LHS BEPX=EXP(BELPXA)*(BEPW$*(BEE/BEE00));                                     
EQ 179  BELJ1 C TN BELEXL(-4) BELY1 ;                                         
EQUATION 179  BELJ1  
   RHS     C  TN  BELEXL(-4)  BELY1  
LHS BEJ=EXP(BELJ1)*BEJ(-4);                                                   
EQ 180  BELL1Z C TN BELL1Z(-4) BEUR ;                                         
EQUATION 180  BELL1Z  
   RHS     C  TN  BELL1Z(-4)  BEUR  
LHS BEL1=EXP(BELL1Z)*BEPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT DEV1=DEY-DEX;                                                          
IDENT DEV1PCT=DEV1/DEYS;                                                      
IDENT DEV=DEV(-4)+DEV1;                                                       
 IDENT DEM=(DEIM-DEIMDS)/DEPM00-DEMS;                                         
  IDENT DEEX=DEPX00*(DEE00*DEX00$+DEXS)+DEEXDS;                               
  IDENT DEX=DEC+DEI+DEG+DEEX-DEIM+DESTAT;                                     
  IDENT DEY=DEX+DEV1;                                                         
  IDENT DES=DEPX*(DEE00*DEX00$+DEXS)-DEPM*(DEM+DEMS)+DETT;                    
IDENT DESPCT=DES/(DEYS*DEPY);                                                 
IDENT DEA=DEA(-4)+DES;                                                        
IDENT DEM00$A=DEM/DEE00-DEM00$B;                                              
IDENT DEUR=(DEL1-DEJ)/(DEL1);                                                 
IDENT DEJMIN=DEY/DELAM;                                                       
  IDENT DEZZ=LOG(DEY)-LOG(DEYS);                                              
IDENT DEPM=DEPSI2*DEPMP;                                                      
IDENT DEE=DEH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT DENW=DENW(-4)+DEI+DEV1+DEEX-DEIM;                                       
IDENT DEPX$=(DEE00/DEE)*DEPX;                                                 
GENR DELCIGZ=LOG((DEC+DEI+DEG)/DEPOP);                                        
GENR DELIMZ=LOG(DEIM/DEPOP);                                                  
GENR DELPY=LOG(DEPY);                                                         
GENR DELPM=LOG(DEPM);                                                         
GENR DELYZ=LOG(DEY/DEPOP);                                                    
GENR DEAZ=DEA/(DEYS*DEPY);                                                    
GENR DELW=LOG(DEW);                                                           
GENR DELCZ=LOG(DEC/DEPOP);                                                    
GENR DELM1Z=LOG(DEM1/(DEPOP*DEPY));                                           
GENR DELM1ZL=LOG(DEM1(-4)/(DEPOP(-4)*DEPY));                                  
GENR DELE=LOG(DEE);                                                           
GENR DELJ1=LOG(DEJ/DEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR DELY1=LOG(DEY/DEY(-4));                                                  
GENR DELEXL=LOG(DEJ/DEJMIN);                                                  
GENR DELL1Z=LOG(DEL1/DEPOP1);                                                 
GENR DEPCPY=100*((DEPY/DEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR DELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+DERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR DELPYZ=LOG(DEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR DELPYZZ=LOG(DEPY/    DEPM);                                              
GENR DERBZ=      DERB-    DERS(-4);                                           
GENR DERBZZ=     DERB(-4)-DERS(-4);                                           
GENR DERSZ=      DERS-    DERS(-4);                                           
GENR DELWZ=LOG(  DEW/     DEPY);                                              
GENR DELRSZG=.25*LOG((1+DERS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR DELPYZG=LOG(DEPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR DELHH=LOG(DEH);                                                          
GENR DELH1=DELHH-DELHH(-4);                                                   
GENR DELHA=DELPYZG-DELHH(-4);                                                 
GENR DELPXA=LOG(DEPX/(DEPW$*(DEE/DEE00)));                                    
GENR DELPXB=LOG(DEPY/(DEPW$*(DEE/DEE00)));                                    
GENR DELPXC=LOG(DEPW$*(DEE/DEE00));                                           
GENR DELPX=LOG(DEPX);                                                         
GENR DELI=LOG(DEI);                                                           
GENR DELY=LOG(DEY);                                                           
GENR DEGA1=100*(DEY/DEYS-GEGEYN/GEGEYSN);                                     
CREATE DELGZ=LOG(DEG/DEPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: DELGZ           
CREATE DELEXZ=LOG(DEEX/DEPOP);                                                
Name added to list: DELEXZ          
EQ 181 DELIMZ C DELIMZ(-4) DELCIGZ DELPYZZ                                    
 FSR C DELGZ DELEXZ(-4) DELPY(-4) DELYZ(-4) DERB(-4)                          
 DELIMZ(-4) DELPYZZ(-4) DELCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 181  DELIMZ  
   RHS     C  DELIMZ(-4)  DELCIGZ  DELPYZZ  
   FSR     C  DELGZ  DELEXZ(-4)  DELPY(-4)  DELYZ(-4)  DERB(-4)  
   FSR     DELIMZ(-4)  DELPYZZ(-4)  DELCIGZ(-4)  
LHS DEIM=EXP(DELIMZ)*DEPOP;                                                   
EQ 182 DELCZ C DELCZ(-4) DELYZ                                                
 FSR C DELGZ DELEXZ(-4) DELPY(-4) DELYZ(-4) DERB(-4)                          
 DELCZ(-4) DEAZ(-4)                                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 182  DELCZ  
   RHS     C  DELCZ(-4)  DELYZ  
   FSR     C  DELGZ  DELEXZ(-4)  DELPY(-4)  DELYZ(-4)  DERB(-4)  
   FSR     DELCZ(-4)  DEAZ(-4)  
LHS DEC=EXP(DELCZ)*DEPOP;                                                     
EQ 183 DELI C DELI(-4) DELY DERB                                              
 FSR C DELGZ DELEXZ(-4) DELPY(-4) DELYZ(-4) DERB(-4)                          
 DELI(-4) DELY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 183  DELI  
   RHS     C  DELI(-4)  DELY  DERB  
   FSR     C  DELGZ  DELEXZ(-4)  DELPY(-4)  DELYZ(-4)  DERB(-4)  
   FSR     DELI(-4)  DELY(-4)  
LHS DEI=EXP(DELI);                                                            
EQ 184 DELPY DELPY(-4) C TN DELPM                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 184  DELPY  
   RHS     DELPY(-4)  C  TN  DELPM  
EQ 185 DELM1Z C DELM1ZL DERS DELYZ                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 185  DELM1Z  
   RHS     C  DELM1ZL  DERS  DELYZ  
LHS DEM1=EXP(DELM1Z)*DEPOP*DEPY;                                              
LHS DEPY=EXP(DELPY);                                                          
EQ 186 DERS C DERS(-4) GEGERSN                                                
 DEZZ DEPCPY                                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 186  DERS  
   RHS     C  DERS(-4)  GEGERSN  DEZZ  DEPCPY  
LHS DERS=(ABS(DERS-.0)+DERS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 187 DERBZ C DERBZZ DERSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 187  DERBZ  
   RHS     C  DERBZZ  DERSZ  
LHS  DERB=       DERBZ+   DERS(-4);                                           
GENR DELH1Z=DELH1-.050*DELHA;                                                 
EQ 188 DELH1Z C                                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 188  DELH1Z  
   RHS     C  
LHS DEH=EXP(DELH1Z+.050*DELHA)*DEH(-4);                                       
@EQ  11 DELPXA DELPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 189  DELPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 189  DELPXA  
NLEQ DELPXA=COEF(1,189)*(DELPXB-COEF(2,189)*DELPXB(-4)-COEF(3,189)*DELPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,189)*DELPXA(-4)+COEF(3,189)*DELPXA(-8);                              
LHS DEPX=EXP(DELPXA)*(DEPW$*(DEE/DEE00));                                     
EQ 190  DELJ1 C TN DELEXL(-4) DELY1 ;                                         
EQUATION 190  DELJ1  
   RHS     C  TN  DELEXL(-4)  DELY1  
LHS DEJ=EXP(DELJ1)*DEJ(-4);                                                   
@IDENT NOV1=NOY-NOX;                                                          
IDENT NOV1PCT=NOV1/NOYS;                                                      
IDENT NOV=NOV(-4)+NOV1;                                                       
 IDENT NOM=(NOIM-NOIMDS)/NOPM00-NOMS;                                         
  IDENT NOEX=NOPX00*(NOE00*NOX00$+NOXS)+NOEXDS;                               
  IDENT NOX=NOC+NOI+NOG+NOEX-NOIM+NOSTAT;                                     
  IDENT NOS=NOPX*(NOE00*NOX00$+NOXS)-NOPM*(NOM+NOMS)+NOTT;                    
  IDENT NOY=NOX+NOV1;                                                         
IDENT NOSPCT=NOS/(NOYS*NOPY);                                                 
IDENT NOA=NOA(-4)+NOS;                                                        
IDENT NOM00$A=NOM/NOE00-NOM00$B;                                              
IDENT NOUR=(NOL1-NOJ)/(NOL1);                                                 
IDENT NOJMIN=NOY/NOLAM;                                                       
  IDENT NOZZ=LOG(NOY)-LOG(NOYS);                                              
IDENT NOPM=NOPSI2*NOPMP;                                                      
IDENT NOE=NOH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT NONW=NONW(-4)+NOI+NOV1+NOEX-NOIM;                                       
IDENT NOPX$=(NOE00/NOE)*NOPX;                                                 
GENR NOLCIGZ=LOG((NOC+NOI+NOG)/NOPOP);                                        
GENR NOLIMZ=LOG(NOIM/NOPOP);                                                  
GENR NOLPY=LOG(NOPY);                                                         
GENR NOLPM=LOG(NOPM);                                                         
GENR NOLYZ=LOG(NOY/NOPOP);                                                    
GENR NOAZ=NOA/(NOYS*NOPY);                                                    
GENR NOLW=LOG(NOW);                                                           
GENR NOLCZ=LOG(NOC/NOPOP);                                                    
GENR NOLM1Z=LOG(NOM1/(NOPOP*NOPY));                                           
GENR NOLM1ZL=LOG(NOM1(-4)/(NOPOP(-4)*NOPY));                                  
GENR NOLE=LOG(NOE);                                                           
GENR NOLJ1=LOG(NOJ/NOJ(-4));                                                  
GENR NOLY1=LOG(NOY/NOY(-4));                                                  
GENR NOLEXL=LOG(NOJ/NOJMIN);                                                  
GENR NOLL1Z=LOG(NOL1/NOPOP1);                                                 
GENR NOPCPY=100*((NOPY/NOPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR NOLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+NORS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR NOLPYZ=LOG(NOPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR NOLPYZZ=LOG(NOPY/    NOPM);                                              
GENR NORBZ=      NORB-    NORS(-4);                                           
GENR NORBZZ=     NORB(-4)-NORS(-4);                                           
GENR NORSZ=      NORS-    NORS(-4);                                           
GENR NOLWZ=LOG(  NOW/     NOPY);                                              
GENR NOLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+NORS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR NOLPYZG=LOG(NOPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR NOLH=LOG(NOH);                                                           
GENR NOLH1=NOLH-NOLH(-4);                                                     
GENR NOLHA=NOLPYZG-NOLH(-4);                                                  
GENR NOLPXA=LOG(NOPX/(NOPW$*(NOE/NOE00)));                                    
GENR NOLPXB=LOG(NOPY/(NOPW$*(NOE/NOE00)));                                    
GENR NOLPXC=LOG(NOPW$*(NOE/NOE00));                                           
GENR NOLPX=LOG(NOPX);                                                         
GENR NOLI=LOG(NOI);                                                           
GENR NOLY=LOG(NOY);                                                           
GENR NOYZ=NOY/NOPOP;                                                          
GENR NOGA2=100*((NOYZ/NOYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((GEGEYN/GEGEPOPN)/(GEGEYN(-4)/GEGEPOPN(-4)))-1.);            
CREATE NOLGZ=LOG(NOG/NOPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: NOLGZ           
CREATE NOLEXZ=LOG(NOEX/NOPOP);                                                
Name added to list: NOLEXZ          
EQ 191 NOLIMZ C NOLIMZ(-4) NOLPYZZ NOLCIGZ                                    
     FSR C NOLGZ NOLEXZ(-4) NOLPY(-4) NOLYZ(-4) NORB(-4)                      
 NOLIMZ(-4) NOLPYZZ(-4) NOLCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 191  NOLIMZ  
   RHS     C  NOLIMZ(-4)  NOLPYZZ  NOLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  NOLGZ  NOLEXZ(-4)  NOLPY(-4)  NOLYZ(-4)  NORB(-4)  
   FSR     NOLIMZ(-4)  NOLPYZZ(-4)  NOLCIGZ(-4)  
LHS NOIM=EXP(NOLIMZ)*NOPOP;                                                   
EQ 192 NOLCZ C NOLCZ(-4) NOLYZ                                                
 FSR C NOLGZ NOLEXZ(-4) NOLPY(-4) NOLYZ(-4) NORB(-4)                          
 NOLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 192  NOLCZ  
   RHS     C  NOLCZ(-4)  NOLYZ  
   FSR     C  NOLGZ  NOLEXZ(-4)  NOLPY(-4)  NOLYZ(-4)  NORB(-4)  
   FSR     NOLCZ(-4)  
LHS NOC=EXP(NOLCZ)*NOPOP;                                                     
EQ 193 NOLI C NOLI(-4) NOLY  NORS                                             
 FSR C NOLGZ NOLEXZ(-4) NOLPY(-4) NOLYZ(-4) NORB(-4)                          
 NOLI(-4) NORS(-4) NOLY(-4)                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 193  NOLI  
   RHS     C  NOLI(-4)  NOLY  NORS  
   FSR     C  NOLGZ  NOLEXZ(-4)  NOLPY(-4)  NOLYZ(-4)  NORB(-4)  
   FSR     NOLI(-4)  NORS(-4)  NOLY(-4)  
LHS NOI=EXP(NOLI);                                                            
EQ 194 NOLPY NOLPY(-4) C TN NOLPM                                             
 NOZZ(-4)                                                                     
 FSR C NOLGZ NOLEXZ(-4) NOLPY(-4) NOLYZ(-4) NORB(-4)                          
 TN NOLPM(-4) NOZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 194  NOLPY  
   RHS     NOLPY(-4)  C  TN  NOLPM  NOZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  NOLGZ  NOLEXZ(-4)  NOLPY(-4)  NOLYZ(-4)  NORB(-4)  
   FSR     TN  NOLPM(-4)  NOZZ(-4)  
LHS NOPY=EXP(NOLPY);                                                          
EQ 195 NORS C NORS(-4) GEGERSN                                                
 NOZZ                                                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 195  NORS  
   RHS     C  NORS(-4)  GEGERSN  NOZZ  
LHS NORS=(ABS(NORS-.0)+NORS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 196 NORBZ C NORBZZ NORSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 196  NORBZ  
   RHS     C  NORBZZ  NORSZ  
LHS  NORB=       NORBZ+   NORS(-4);                                           
GENR NOLH1Z=NOLH1-.050*NOLHA;                                                 
Name added to list: NOLH1Z          
EQ 197 NOLH1Z C                                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 197  NOLH1Z  
   RHS     C  
LHS NOH=EXP(NOLH1Z+.050*NOLHA)*NOH(-4);                                       
EQ 198  NOLJ1 C TN NOLEXL(-4) NOLY1 ;                                         
EQUATION 198  NOLJ1  
   RHS     C  TN  NOLEXL(-4)  NOLY1  
LHS NOJ=EXP(NOLJ1)*NOJ(-4);                                                   
EQ 199  NOLL1Z C TN NOLL1Z(-4) NOUR ;                                         
EQUATION 199  NOLL1Z  
   RHS     C  TN  NOLL1Z(-4)  NOUR  
LHS NOL1=EXP(NOLL1Z)*NOPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT SWV1=SWY-SWX;                                                          
IDENT SWV1PCT=SWV1/SWYS;                                                      
IDENT SWV=SWV(-4)+SWV1;                                                       
 IDENT SWM=(SWIM-SWIMDS)/SWPM00-SWMS;                                         
  IDENT SWEX=SWPX00*(SWE00*SWX00$+SWXS)+SWEXDS;                               
IDENT SWX=SWC+SWI+SWG+SWEX-SWIM+SWSTAT;                                       
  IDENT SWS=SWPX*(SWE00*SWX00$+SWXS)-SWPM*(SWM+SWMS)+SWTT;                    
  IDENT SWY=SWX+SWV1;                                                         
IDENT SWSPCT=SWS/(SWYS*SWPY);                                                 
IDENT SWA=SWA(-4)+SWS;                                                        
IDENT SWM00$A=SWM/SWE00-SWM00$B;                                              
IDENT SWUR=(SWL1-SWJ)/(SWL1);                                                 
IDENT SWJMIN=SWY/SWLAM;                                                       
  IDENT SWZZ=LOG(SWY)-LOG(SWYS);                                              
IDENT SWPM=SWPSI2*SWPMP;                                                      
IDENT SWE=SWH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT SWNW=SWNW(-4)+SWI+SWV1+SWEX-SWIM;                                       
IDENT SWPX$=(SWE00/SWE)*SWPX;                                                 
GENR SWLCIGZ=LOG((SWC+SWI+SWG)/SWPOP);                                        
GENR SWLIMZ=LOG(SWIM/SWPOP);                                                  
GENR SWLPY=LOG(SWPY);                                                         
GENR SWLPM=LOG(SWPM);                                                         
GENR SWLYZ=LOG(SWY/SWPOP);                                                    
GENR SWAZ=SWA/(SWYS*SWPY);                                                    
GENR SWLW=LOG(SWW);                                                           
GENR SWLWQ=LOG(SWW)-LOG(SWLAM);                                               
GENR SWLCZ=LOG(SWC/SWPOP);                                                    
GENR SWLM1Z=LOG(SWM1/(SWPOP*SWPY));                                           
GENR SWLM1ZL=LOG(SWM1(-4)/(SWPOP(-4)*SWPY));                                  
GENR SWLE=LOG(SWE);                                                           
GENR SWLJ1=LOG(SWJ/SWJ(-4));                                                  
GENR SWLY1=LOG(SWY/SWY(-4));                                                  
GENR SWLEXL=LOG(SWJ/SWJMIN);                                                  
GENR SWLL1Z=LOG(SWL1/SWPOP1);                                                 
GENR SWPCPY=100*((SWPY/SWPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR SWLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+SWRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR SWLPYZ=LOG(SWPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR SWLPYZZ=LOG(SWPY/    SWPM);                                              
GENR SWRBZ=      SWRB-    SWRS(-4);                                           
GENR SWRBZZ=     SWRB(-4)-SWRS(-4);                                           
GENR SWRSZ=      SWRS-    SWRS(-4);                                           
GENR SWLWZ=LOG(  SWW/     SWPY);                                              
GENR SWLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+SWRS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR SWLPYZG=LOG(SWPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR SWLH=LOG(SWH);                                                           
GENR SWLH1=SWLH-SWLH(-4);                                                     
GENR SWLHA=SWLPYZG-SWLH(-4);                                                  
GENR SWLPXA=LOG(SWPX/(SWPW$*(SWE/SWE00)));                                    
GENR SWLPXB=LOG(SWPY/(SWPW$*(SWE/SWE00)));                                    
GENR SWLPXC=LOG(SWPW$*(SWE/SWE00));                                           
GENR SWLPX=LOG(SWPX);                                                         
GENR SWLI=LOG(SWI);                                                           
GENR SWLY=LOG(SWY);                                                           
GENR SWGA1=100*(SWY/SWYS-GEGEYN/GEGEYSN);                                     
CREATE SWLGZ=LOG(SWG/SWPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: SWLGZ           
CREATE SWLEXZ=LOG(SWEX/SWPOP);                                                
Name added to list: SWLEXZ          
EQ 200 SWLIMZ SWLIMZ(-4) SWLCIGZ                                              
 C SWLPYZZ                                                                    
 FSR C SWLGZ SWLEXZ(-4) SWLPY(-4) SWLYZ(-4) SWRS(-4)                          
 SWLIMZ(-4) SWLPYZZ(-4) SWLCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 200  SWLIMZ  
   RHS     SWLIMZ(-4)  SWLCIGZ  C  SWLPYZZ  
   FSR     C  SWLGZ  SWLEXZ(-4)  SWLPY(-4)  SWLYZ(-4)  SWRS(-4)  
   FSR     SWLIMZ(-4)  SWLPYZZ(-4)  SWLCIGZ(-4)  
EQ 201 SWLCZ C SWLCZ(-4) SWLYZ                                                
 FSR C SWLGZ SWLEXZ(-4) SWLPY(-4) SWLYZ(-4) SWRS(-4)                          
 SWLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 201  SWLCZ  
   RHS     C  SWLCZ(-4)  SWLYZ  
   FSR     C  SWLGZ  SWLEXZ(-4)  SWLPY(-4)  SWLYZ(-4)  SWRS(-4)  
   FSR     SWLCZ(-4)  
LHS SWC=EXP(SWLCZ)*SWPOP;                                                     
EQ 202 SWLI C SWLI(-4) SWLY SWRS                                              
 FSR C SWLGZ SWLEXZ(-4) SWLPY(-4) SWLYZ(-4) SWRS(-4)                          
 SWLI(-4) SWLY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 202  SWLI  
   RHS     C  SWLI(-4)  SWLY  SWRS  
   FSR     C  SWLGZ  SWLEXZ(-4)  SWLPY(-4)  SWLYZ(-4)  SWRS(-4)  
   FSR     SWLI(-4)  SWLY(-4)  
LHS SWI=EXP(SWLI);                                                            
EQ 203 SWLPY SWLPY(-4) C TN SWLPM                                             
 SWZZ(-4)                                                                     
 FSR C SWLGZ SWLEXZ(-4) SWLPY(-4) SWLYZ(-4) SWRS(-4)                          
 TN SWLPM(-4) SWZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 203  SWLPY  
   RHS     SWLPY(-4)  C  TN  SWLPM  SWZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  SWLGZ  SWLEXZ(-4)  SWLPY(-4)  SWLYZ(-4)  SWRS(-4)  
   FSR     TN  SWLPM(-4)  SWZZ(-4)  
EQ 204 SWLM1Z C SWRS SWLYZ                                                    
  SWLM1Z(-4)                                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 204  SWLM1Z  
   RHS     C  SWRS  SWLYZ  SWLM1Z(-4)  
LHS SWM1=EXP(SWLM1Z)*SWPOP*SWPY;                                              
LHS SWPY=EXP(SWLPY);                                                          
EQ 205 SWRS C SWRS(-4) USRSN                                                  
  SWPCPY SWZZ                                                                 
;                                                                             
EQUATION 205  SWRS  
   RHS     C  SWRS(-4)  USRSN  SWPCPY  SWZZ  
LHS SWRS=(ABS(SWRS-.0)+SWRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 206 SWLH1 C SWLHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 206  SWLH1  
   RHS     C  SWLHA  
LHS SWH=EXP(SWLH1)*SWH(-4);                                                   
@EQ  11 SWLPXA SWLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 207  SWLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 207  SWLPXA  
NLEQ SWLPXA=COEF(1,207)*(SWLPXB-COEF(2,207)*SWLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,207)*SWLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,207)*SWLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,207)*SWLPXA(-8);                              
LHS SWPX=EXP(SWLPXA)*(SWPW$*(SWE/SWE00));                                     
EQ 208  SWLJ1 C TN SWLEXL(-4) SWLY1 ;                                         
EQUATION 208  SWLJ1  
   RHS     C  TN  SWLEXL(-4)  SWLY1  
LHS SWJ=EXP(SWLJ1)*SWJ(-4);                                                   
EQ 209  SWLL1Z C TN SWLL1Z(-4) SWUR                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 209  SWLL1Z  
   RHS     C  TN  SWLL1Z(-4)  SWUR  
LHS SWL1=EXP(SWLL1Z)*SWPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT GRV1=GRY-GRX;                                                          
IDENT GRV1PCT=GRV1/GRYS;                                                      
IDENT GRV=GRV(-4)+GRV1;                                                       
 IDENT GRM=(GRIM-GRIMDS)/GRPM00-GRMS;                                         
  IDENT GREX=GRPX00*(GRE00*GRX00$+GRXS)+GREXDS;                               
  IDENT GRX=GRC+GRI+GRG+GREX-GRIM+GRSTAT;                                     
  IDENT GRY=GRX+GRV1;                                                         
  IDENT GRS=GRPX*(GRE00*GRX00$+GRXS)-GRPM*(GRM+GRMS)+GRTT;                    
IDENT GRSPCT=GRS/(GRYS*GRPY);                                                 
IDENT GRA=GRA(-4)+GRS;                                                        
IDENT GRM00$A=GRM/GRE00-GRM00$B;                                              
IDENT GRUR=(GRL1-GRJ)/(GRL1);                                                 
IDENT GRJMIN=GRY/GRLAM;                                                       
  IDENT GRZZ=LOG(GRY)-LOG(GRYS);                                              
IDENT GRPM=GRPSI2*GRPMP;                                                      
IDENT GRE=GRH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT GRNW=GRNW(-4)+GRI+GRV1+GREX-GRIM;                                       
IDENT GRPX$=(GRE00/GRE)*GRPX;                                                 
GENR GRLCIGZ=LOG((GRC+GRI+GRG)/GRPOP);                                        
GENR GRLIMZ=LOG(GRIM/GRPOP);                                                  
GENR GRLPY=LOG(GRPY);                                                         
GENR GRLPM=LOG(GRPM);                                                         
GENR GRLYZ=LOG(GRY/GRPOP);                                                    
GENR GRAZ=GRA/(GRYS*GRPY);                                                    
GENR GRLW=LOG(GRW);                                                           
GENR GRLCZ=LOG(GRC/GRPOP);                                                    
GENR GRLM1Z=LOG(GRM1/(GRPOP*GRPY));                                           
GENR GRLM1ZL=LOG(GRM1(-4)/(GRPOP(-4)*GRPY));                                  
GENR GRLE=LOG(GRE);                                                           
GENR GRLJ1=LOG(GRJ/GRJ(-4));                                                  
GENR GRLY1=LOG(GRY/GRY(-4));                                                  
GENR GRLEXL=LOG(GRJ/GRJMIN);                                                  
GENR GRLL1Z=LOG(GRL1/GRPOP1);                                                 
GENR GRPCPY=100*((GRPY/GRPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR GRLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+GRRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR GRLPYZ=LOG(GRPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR GRLPYZZ=LOG(GRPY/    GRPM);                                              
GENR GRRBZ=      GRRB-    GRRS(-4);                                           
GENR GRRBZZ=     GRRB(-4)-GRRS(-4);                                           
GENR GRRSZ=      GRRS-    GRRS(-4);                                           
GENR GRLWZ=LOG(  GRW/     GRPY);                                              
GENR GRLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+GRRS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR GRLPYZG=LOG(GRPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR GRLH=LOG(GRH);                                                           
GENR GRLH1=GRLH-GRLH(-4);                                                     
GENR GRLHA=GRLPYZG-GRLH(-4);                                                  
GENR GRLPXA=LOG(GRPX/(GRPW$*(GRE/GRE00)));                                    
GENR GRLPXB=LOG(GRPY/(GRPW$*(GRE/GRE00)));                                    
GENR GRLPXC=LOG(GRPW$*(GRE/GRE00));                                           
GENR GRLPX=LOG(GRPX);                                                         
GENR GRLI=LOG(GRI);                                                           
GENR GRLY=LOG(GRY);                                                           
GENR GRYZ=GRY/GRPOP;                                                          
GENR GRGA2=100*((GRYZ/GRYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((GEGEYN/GEGEPOPN)/(GEGEYN(-4)/GEGEPOPN(-4)))-1.);            
GENR GRRS=(1-EU2)*GRRS+EU2*EUEURSN;                                           
CREATE GRLGZ=LOG(GRG/GRPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: GRLGZ           
CREATE GRLEXZ=LOG(GREX/GRPOP);                                                
Name added to list: GRLEXZ          
EQ 210 GRLIMZ C GRLIMZ(-4) GRLPYZZ GRLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C GRLGZ GRLEXZ(-4) GRLPY(-4) GRLYZ(-4) GRRS(-4)                          
 GRLIMZ(-4) GRLPYZZ(-4) GRLCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 210  GRLIMZ  
   RHS     C  GRLIMZ(-4)  GRLPYZZ  GRLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  GRLGZ  GRLEXZ(-4)  GRLPY(-4)  GRLYZ(-4)  GRRS(-4)  
   FSR     GRLIMZ(-4)  GRLPYZZ(-4)  GRLCIGZ(-4)  
LHS GRIM=EXP(GRLIMZ)*GRPOP;                                                   
EQ 211 GRLCZ C GRLCZ(-4) GRLYZ                                                
 GRRS                                                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 211  GRLCZ  
   RHS     C  GRLCZ(-4)  GRLYZ  GRRS  
LHS GRC=EXP(GRLCZ)*GRPOP;                                                     
EQ 212 GRLI C GRLI(-4) GRLY                                                   
 GRRS                                                                         
 FSR C GRLGZ GRLEXZ(-4) GRLPY(-4) GRLYZ(-4) GRRS(-4)                          
 GRLI(-4) GRLY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 212  GRLI  
   RHS     C  GRLI(-4)  GRLY  GRRS  
   FSR     C  GRLGZ  GRLEXZ(-4)  GRLPY(-4)  GRLYZ(-4)  GRRS(-4)  
   FSR     GRLI(-4)  GRLY(-4)  
LHS GRI=EXP(GRLI);                                                            
EQ 213 GRLH1 C GRLHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 213  GRLH1  
   RHS     C  GRLHA  
LHS GRH=(1-EU2)*(EXP(GRLH1)*GRH(-4))+EU2*1;                                   
@IDENT IRV1=IRY-IRX;                                                          
IDENT IRV1PCT=IRV1/IRYS;                                                      
IDENT IRV=IRV(-4)+IRV1;                                                       
 IDENT IRM=(IRIM-IRIMDS)/IRPM00-IRMS;                                         
  IDENT IREX=IRPX00*(IRE00*IRX00$+IRXS)+IREXDS;                               
  IDENT IRX=IRC+IRI+IRG+IREX-IRIM+IRSTAT;                                     
  IDENT IRS=IRPX*(IRE00*IRX00$+IRXS)-IRPM*(IRM+IRMS)+IRTT;                    
  IDENT IRY=IRX+IRV1;                                                         
IDENT IRSPCT=IRS/(IRYS*IRPY);                                                 
IDENT IRA=IRA(-4)+IRS;                                                        
IDENT IRM00$A=IRM/IRE00-IRM00$B;                                              
IDENT IRUR=(IRL1-IRJ)/(IRL1);                                                 
IDENT IRJMIN=IRY/IRLAM;                                                       
  IDENT IRZZ=LOG(IRY)-LOG(IRYS);                                              
IDENT IRPM=IRPSI2*IRPMP;                                                      
IDENT IRE=IRH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT IRNW=IRNW(-4)+IRI+IRV1+IREX-IRIM;                                       
IDENT IRPX$=(IRE00/IRE)*IRPX;                                                 
GENR IRLCIGZ=LOG((IRC+IRI+IRG)/IRPOP);                                        
GENR IRLIMZ=LOG(IRIM/IRPOP);                                                  
GENR IRLPY=LOG(IRPY);                                                         
GENR IRLPM=LOG(IRPM);                                                         
GENR IRLYZ=LOG(IRY/IRPOP);                                                    
GENR IRAZ=IRA/(IRYS*IRPY);                                                    
GENR IRLW=LOG(IRW);                                                           
GENR IRLCZ=LOG(IRC/IRPOP);                                                    
GENR IRLM1Z=LOG(IRM1/(IRPOP*IRPY));                                           
GENR IRLM1ZL=LOG(IRM1(-4)/(IRPOP(-4)*IRPY));                                  
GENR IRLE=LOG(IRE);                                                           
GENR IRLJ1=LOG(IRJ/IRJ(-4));                                                  
GENR IRLY1=LOG(IRY/IRY(-4));                                                  
GENR IRLEXL=LOG(IRJ/IRJMIN);                                                  
GENR IRLL1Z=LOG(IRL1/IRPOP1);                                                 
GENR IRPCPY=100*((IRPY/IRPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR IRLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+IRRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR IRLPYZ=LOG(IRPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR IRLPYZZ=LOG(IRPY/    IRPM);                                              
GENR IRRBZ=      IRRB-    IRRS(-4);                                           
GENR IRRBZZ=     IRRB(-4)-IRRS(-4);                                           
GENR IRRSZ=      IRRS-    IRRS(-4);                                           
GENR IRLWZ=LOG(  IRW/     IRPY);                                              
GENR IRLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+IRRS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR IRLPYZG=LOG(IRPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR IRLH=LOG(IRH);                                                           
GENR IRLH1=IRLH-IRLH(-4);                                                     
GENR IRLHA=IRLPYZG-IRLH(-4);                                                  
GENR IRLPXA=LOG(IRPX/(IRPW$*(IRE/IRE00)));                                    
GENR IRLPXB=LOG(IRPY/(IRPW$*(IRE/IRE00)));                                    
GENR IRLPXC=LOG(IRPW$*(IRE/IRE00));                                           
GENR IRLPX=LOG(IRPX);                                                         
GENR IRLI=LOG(IRI);                                                           
GENR IRLY=LOG(IRY);                                                           
GENR IRYZ=IRY/IRPOP;                                                          
GENR IRGA2=100*((IRYZ/IRYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((GEGEYN/GEGEPOPN)/(GEGEYN(-4)/GEGEPOPN(-4)))-1.);            
CREATE IRLGZ=LOG(IRG/IRPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: IRLGZ           
CREATE IRLEXZ=LOG(IREX/IRPOP);                                                
Name added to list: IRLEXZ          
EQ 214 IRLIMZ C IRLIMZ(-4) IRLPYZZ IRLCIGZ;                                   
EQUATION 214  IRLIMZ  
   RHS     C  IRLIMZ(-4)  IRLPYZZ  IRLCIGZ  
LHS IRIM=EXP(IRLIMZ)*IRPOP;                                                   
EQ 215 IRLCZ C IRLCZ(-4) IRLYZ IRRB                                           
 FSR C IRLGZ IRLEXZ(-4) IRLPY(-4) IRLYZ(-4) IRRB(-4)                          
 IRLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 215  IRLCZ  
   RHS     C  IRLCZ(-4)  IRLYZ  IRRB  
   FSR     C  IRLGZ  IRLEXZ(-4)  IRLPY(-4)  IRLYZ(-4)  IRRB(-4)  
   FSR     IRLCZ(-4)  
LHS IRC=EXP(IRLCZ)*IRPOP;                                                     
EQ 216 IRLI C IRLI(-4) IRLY  IRRB ;                                           
EQUATION 216  IRLI  
   RHS     C  IRLI(-4)  IRLY  IRRB  
LHS IRI=EXP(IRLI);                                                            
EQ 217 IRLPY IRLPY(-4) C TN IRLPM(-4)                                         
 IRZZ(-4)                                                                     
 FSR C IRLGZ IRLEXZ(-4) IRLPY(-4) IRLYZ(-4) IRRB(-4)                          
 TN IRLPM(-4) IRZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 217  IRLPY  
   RHS     IRLPY(-4)  C  TN  IRLPM(-4)  IRZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  IRLGZ  IRLEXZ(-4)  IRLPY(-4)  IRLYZ(-4)  IRRB(-4)  
   FSR     TN  IRLPM(-4)  IRZZ(-4)  
EQ 218 IRLM1Z C IRLM1ZL IRLYZ IRRS                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 218  IRLM1Z  
   RHS     C  IRLM1ZL  IRLYZ  IRRS  
LHS IRM1=EXP(IRLM1Z)*IRPOP*IRPY;                                              
LHS IRPY=EXP(IRLPY);                                                          
EQ 219 IRRSA C IRPCPY GEGERSN USRSN                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 219  IRRSA  
   RHS     C  IRPCPY  GEGERSN  USRSN  
LHS IRRS=(1-EU1)*IRRSA+EU1*EUEURSN;                                           
EQ 220 IRRBZ C IRRBZZ IRRSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 220  IRRBZ  
   RHS     C  IRRBZZ  IRRSZ  
LHS  IRRB=  (1-EU1)*(IRRBZ+   IRRS(-4))+EU1*EUEURBN;                          
EQ 221 IRLH1 C IRLHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 221  IRLH1  
   RHS     C  IRLHA  
LHS IRH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(IRLH1)*IRH(-4))+EU1*1;                                   
@EQ   11 IRLPX IRLPXB IRLPXC RHO=8;                                           
EQ 222  IRLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 222  IRLPXA  
NLEQ IRLPXA=COEF(1,222)*(IRLPXB-COEF(2,222)*IRLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,222)*IRLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,222)*IRLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,222)*IRLPXA(-8);                              
LHS IRPX=EXP(IRLPXA)*(IRPW$*(IRE/IRE00));                                     
EQ 223  IRLJ1 C TN IRLEXL(-4) IRLY1 ;                                         
EQUATION 223  IRLJ1  
   RHS     C  TN  IRLEXL(-4)  IRLY1  
LHS IRJ=EXP(IRLJ1)*IRJ(-4);                                                   
EQ 224  IRLL1Z C TN IRLL1Z(-4) IRUR                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 224  IRLL1Z  
   RHS     C  TN  IRLL1Z(-4)  IRUR  
LHS IRL1=EXP(IRLL1Z)*IRPOP1;                                                  
@IDENT POV1=POY-POX;                                                          
IDENT POV1PCT=POV1/POYS;                                                      
IDENT POV=POV(-4)+POV1;                                                       
 IDENT POM=(POIM-POIMDS)/POPM00-POMS;                                         
  IDENT POEX=POPX00*(POE00*POX00$+POXS)+POEXDS;                               
  IDENT POX=POC+POI+POG+POEX-POIM+POSTAT;                                     
  IDENT POY=POX+POV1;                                                         
  IDENT POS=POPX*(POE00*POX00$+POXS)-POPM*(POM+POMS)+POTT;                    
IDENT POSPCT=POS/(POYS*POPY);                                                 
IDENT POA=POA(-4)+POS;                                                        
IDENT POM00$A=POM/POE00-POM00$B;                                              
IDENT POUR=(POL1-POJ)/(POL1);                                                 
IDENT POJMIN=POY/POLAM;                                                       
  IDENT POZZ=LOG(POY)-LOG(POYS);                                              
IDENT POPM=POPSI2*POPMP;                                                      
IDENT POE=POH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT PONW=PONW(-4)+POI+POV1+POEX-POIM;                                       
IDENT POPX$=(POE00/POE)*POPX;                                                 
GENR POLCIGZ=LOG((POC+POI+POG)/POPOP);                                        
GENR POLIMZ=LOG(POIM/POPOP);                                                  
GENR POLPY=LOG(POPY);                                                         
GENR POLPM=LOG(POPM);                                                         
GENR POLYZ=LOG(POY/POPOP);                                                    
GENR POAZ=POA/(POYS*POPY);                                                    
GENR POLW=LOG(POW);                                                           
GENR POLCZ=LOG(POC/POPOP);                                                    
GENR POLM1Z=LOG(POM1/(POPOP*POPY));                                           
GENR POLM1ZL=LOG(POM1(-4)/(POPOP(-4)*POPY));                                  
GENR POLE=LOG(POE);                                                           
GENR POLJ1=LOG(POJ/POJ(-4));                                                  
GENR POLY1=LOG(POY/POY(-4));                                                  
GENR POLEXL=LOG(POJ/POJMIN);                                                  
GENR POLL1Z=LOG(POL1/POPOP1);                                                 
GENR POPCPY=100*((POPY/POPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR POLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+PORS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR POLPYZ=LOG(POPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR POLPYZZ=LOG(POPY/    POPM);                                              
GENR PORBZ=      PORB-    PORS(-4);                                           
GENR PORBZZ=     PORB(-4)-PORS(-4);                                           
GENR PORSZ=      PORS-    PORS(-4);                                           
GENR POLWZ=LOG(  POW/     POPY);                                              
GENR POLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+PORS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR POLPYZG=LOG(POPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR POLH=LOG(POH);                                                           
GENR POLH1=POLH-POLH(-4);                                                     
GENR POLHA=POLPYZG-POLH(-4);                                                  
GENR POLPXA=LOG(POPX/(POPW$*(POE/POE00)));                                    
GENR POLPXB=LOG(POPY/(POPW$*(POE/POE00)));                                    
GENR POLPXC=LOG(POPW$*(POE/POE00));                                           
GENR POLPX=LOG(POPX);                                                         
GENR POLI=LOG(POI);                                                           
GENR POLY=LOG(POY);                                                           
GENR POYZ=POY/POPOP;                                                          
GENR POGA2=100*((POYZ/POYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((GEGEYN/GEGEPOPN)/(GEGEYN(-4)/GEGEPOPN(-4)))-1.);            
CREATE POLGZ=LOG(POG/POPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: POLGZ           
CREATE POLEXZ=LOG(POEX/POPOP);                                                
Name added to list: POLEXZ          
EQ 225 POLIMZ C POLIMZ(-4) POLPYZZ POLCIGZ ;                                  
EQUATION 225  POLIMZ  
   RHS     C  POLIMZ(-4)  POLPYZZ  POLCIGZ  
LHS POIM=EXP(POLIMZ)*POPOP;                                                   
EQ 226 POLCZ C POLCZ(-4) POLYZ PORB                                           
 FSR C POLGZ POLEXZ(-4) POLPY(-4) POLYZ(-4) PORB(-4)                          
 POLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 226  POLCZ  
   RHS     C  POLCZ(-4)  POLYZ  PORB  
   FSR     C  POLGZ  POLEXZ(-4)  POLPY(-4)  POLYZ(-4)  PORB(-4)  
   FSR     POLCZ(-4)  
LHS POC=EXP(POLCZ)*POPOP;                                                     
EQ 227 POLI C POLI(-4) POLY PORB                                              
 FSR C POLGZ POLEXZ(-4) POLPY(-4) POLYZ(-4) PORB(-4)                          
 POLI(-4) POLY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 227  POLI  
   RHS     C  POLI(-4)  POLY  PORB  
   FSR     C  POLGZ  POLEXZ(-4)  POLPY(-4)  POLYZ(-4)  PORB(-4)  
   FSR     POLI(-4)  POLY(-4)  
LHS POI=EXP(POLI);                                                            
EQ 228 POLPY POLPY(-4) C TN POLPM                                             
 POZZ(-4)                                                                     
 FSR C POLGZ POLEXZ(-4) POLPY(-4) POLYZ(-4) PORB(-4)                          
 TN POLPM(-4) POZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 228  POLPY  
   RHS     POLPY(-4)  C  TN  POLPM  POZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  POLGZ  POLEXZ(-4)  POLPY(-4)  POLYZ(-4)  PORB(-4)  
   FSR     TN  POLPM(-4)  POZZ(-4)  
EQ 229 POLM1Z C POLM1Z(-4) PORS POLYZ                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 229  POLM1Z  
   RHS     C  POLM1Z(-4)  PORS  POLYZ  
LHS POM1=EXP(POLM1Z)*POPOP*POPY;                                              
LHS POPY=EXP(POLPY);                                                          
EQ 230 PORSA C PORS(-4) POPCPY                                                
  POZZ                                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 230  PORSA  
   RHS     C  PORS(-4)  POPCPY  POZZ  
LHS PORS=(1-EU1)*PORSA+EU1*EUEURSN;                                           
EQ 231 PORBZ C PORBZZ PORSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 231  PORBZ  
   RHS     C  PORBZZ  PORSZ  
LHS  PORB= (1-EU1)*(PORBZ+   PORS(-4))+EU1*EUEURBN;                           
EQ 232 POLH1 C POLHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 232  POLH1  
   RHS     C  POLHA  
LHS POH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(POLH1)*POH(-4))+EU1*1;                                   
@IDENT SPV1=SPY-SPX;                                                          
IDENT SPV1PCT=SPV1/SPYS;                                                      
IDENT SPV=SPV(-4)+SPV1;                                                       
 IDENT SPM=(SPIM-SPIMDS)/SPPM00-SPMS;                                         
  IDENT SPEX=SPPX00*(SPE00*SPX00$+SPXS)+SPEXDS;                               
  IDENT SPX=SPC+SPI+SPG+SPEX-SPIM+SPSTAT;                                     
  IDENT SPY=SPX+SPV1;                                                         
  IDENT SPS=SPPX*(SPE00*SPX00$+SPXS)-SPPM*(SPM+SPMS)+SPTT;                    
IDENT SPSPCT=SPS/(SPYS*SPPY);                                                 
IDENT SPA=SPA(-4)+SPS;                                                        
IDENT SPM00$A=SPM/SPE00-SPM00$B;                                              
IDENT SPUR=(SPL1-SPJ)/(SPL1);                                                 
IDENT SPJMIN=SPY/SPLAM;                                                       
  IDENT SPZZ=LOG(SPY)-LOG(SPYS);                                              
IDENT SPPM=SPPSI2*SPPMP;                                                      
IDENT SPE=SPH*GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT SPNW=SPNW(-4)+SPI+SPV1+SPEX-SPIM;                                       
IDENT SPPX$=(SPE00/SPE)*SPPX;                                                 
GENR SPLCIGZ=LOG((SPC+SPI+SPG)/SPPOP);                                        
GENR SPLIMZ=LOG(SPIM/SPPOP);                                                  
GENR SPLPY=LOG(SPPY);                                                         
GENR SPLPM=LOG(SPPM);                                                         
GENR SPLYZ=LOG(SPY/SPPOP);                                                    
GENR SPAZ=SPA/(SPYS*SPPY);                                                    
GENR SPLW=LOG(SPW);                                                           
GENR SPLCZ=LOG(SPC/SPPOP);                                                    
GENR SPLM1Z=LOG(SPM1/(SPPOP*SPPY));                                           
GENR SPLM1ZL=LOG(SPM1(-4)/(SPPOP(-4)*SPPY));                                  
GENR SPLE=LOG(SPE);                                                           
GENR SPLJ1=LOG(SPJ/SPJ(-4));                                                  
GENR SPLY1=LOG(SPY/SPY(-4));                                                  
GENR SPLEXL=LOG(SPJ/SPJMIN);                                                  
GENR SPLL1Z=LOG(SPL1/SPPOP1);                                                 
GENR SPPCPY=100*((SPPY/SPPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR SPLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+SPRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR SPLPYZ=LOG(SPPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR SPLPYZZ=LOG(SPPY/    SPPM);                                              
GENR SPRBZ=      SPRB-    SPRS(-4);                                           
GENR SPRBZZ=     SPRB(-4)-SPRS(-4);                                           
GENR SPRSZ=      SPRS-    SPRS(-4);                                           
GENR SPLWZ=LOG(  SPW/     SPPY);                                              
GENR SPLRSZG=.25*LOG((1+SPRS/100.)/(1+GEGERSN/100.));                         
GENR SPLPYZG=LOG(SPPY/GEGEPYN);                                               
GENR SPLH=LOG(SPH);                                                           
GENR SPLH1=SPLH-SPLH(-4);                                                     
GENR SPLHA=SPLPYZG-SPLH(-4);                                                  
GENR SPLPXA=LOG(SPPX/(SPPW$*(SPE/SPE00)));                                    
GENR SPLPXB=LOG(SPPY/(SPPW$*(SPE/SPE00)));                                    
GENR SPLPXC=LOG(SPPW$*(SPE/SPE00));                                           
GENR SPLPX=LOG(SPPX);                                                         
GENR SPLI=LOG(SPI);                                                           
GENR SPLY=LOG(SPY);                                                           
CREATE SPLGZ=LOG(SPG/SPPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: SPLGZ           
CREATE SPLEXZ=LOG(SPEX/SPPOP);                                                
Name added to list: SPLEXZ          
EQ 233 SPLIMZ C SPLIMZ(-4) SPLPYZZ SPLCIGZ;                                   
EQUATION 233  SPLIMZ  
   RHS     C  SPLIMZ(-4)  SPLPYZZ  SPLCIGZ  
LHS SPIM=EXP(SPLIMZ)*SPPOP;                                                   
EQ 234 SPLCZ C SPLCZ(-4) SPLYZ                                                
 FSR C SPLGZ SPLEXZ(-4) SPLPY(-4) SPLYZ(-4) SPRS(-4)                          
 SPLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 234  SPLCZ  
   RHS     C  SPLCZ(-4)  SPLYZ  
   FSR     C  SPLGZ  SPLEXZ(-4)  SPLPY(-4)  SPLYZ(-4)  SPRS(-4)  
   FSR     SPLCZ(-4)  
LHS SPC=EXP(SPLCZ)*SPPOP;                                                     
EQ 235 SPLI C SPLI(-4) SPLY SPRS                                              
 FSR C SPLGZ SPLEXZ(-4) SPLPY(-4) SPLYZ(-4) SPRS(-4)                          
 SPLI(-4) SPLY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 235  SPLI  
   RHS     C  SPLI(-4)  SPLY  SPRS  
   FSR     C  SPLGZ  SPLEXZ(-4)  SPLPY(-4)  SPLYZ(-4)  SPRS(-4)  
   FSR     SPLI(-4)  SPLY(-4)  
LHS SPI=EXP(SPLI);                                                            
EQ 236 SPLPY SPLPY(-4) C TN SPLPM(-4) SPZZ(-4)                                
 FSR C SPLGZ SPLEXZ(-4) SPLPY(-4) SPLYZ(-4) SPRS(-4)                          
 TN SPLPM(-4) SPZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 236  SPLPY  
   RHS     SPLPY(-4)  C  TN  SPLPM(-4)  SPZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  SPLGZ  SPLEXZ(-4)  SPLPY(-4)  SPLYZ(-4)  SPRS(-4)  
   FSR     TN  SPLPM(-4)  SPZZ(-4)  
EQ 237 SPLM1Z C SPLM1ZL SPRS SPLYZ                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 237  SPLM1Z  
   RHS     C  SPLM1ZL  SPRS  SPLYZ  
LHS SPM1=EXP(SPLM1Z)*SPPOP*SPPY;                                              
LHS SPPY=EXP(SPLPY);                                                          
EQ 238 SPRSA C SPRS(-4) USRSN                                                 
  SPPCPY                                                                      
;                                                                             
EQUATION 238  SPRSA  
   RHS     C  SPRS(-4)  USRSN  SPPCPY  
LHS SPRS=(1-EU1)*SPRSA+EU1*EUEURSN;                                           
EQ 239 SPLH1 C SPLHA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 239  SPLH1  
   RHS     C  SPLHA  
LHS SPH=(1-EU1)*(EXP(SPLH1)*SPH(-4))+EU1*1;                                   
@EQ  11 SPLPXA SPLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 240  SPLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 240  SPLPXA  
NLEQ SPLPXA=COEF(1,240)*(SPLPXB-COEF(2,240)*SPLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,240)*SPLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,240)*SPLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,240)*SPLPXA(-8);                              
LHS SPPX=EXP(SPLPXA)*(SPPW$*(SPE/SPE00));                                     
@IDENT NZV1=NZY-NZX;                                                          
IDENT NZV1PCT=NZV1/NZYS;                                                      
IDENT NZV=NZV(-4)+NZV1;                                                       
 IDENT NZM=(NZIM-NZIMDS)/NZPM00-NZMS;                                         
  IDENT NZEX=NZPX00*(NZE00*NZX00$+NZXS)+NZEXDS;                               
  IDENT NZX=NZC+NZI+NZG+NZEX-NZIM+NZSTAT;                                     
  IDENT NZS=NZPX*(NZE00*NZX00$+NZXS)-NZPM*(NZM+NZMS)+NZTT;                    
  IDENT NZY=NZX+NZV1;                                                         
IDENT NZSPCT=NZS/(NZYS*NZPY);                                                 
IDENT NZA=NZA(-4)+NZS;                                                        
IDENT NZM00$A=NZM/NZE00-NZM00$B;                                              
IDENT NZUR=(NZL1-NZJ)/(NZL1);                                                 
IDENT NZJMIN=NZY/NZLAM;                                                       
  IDENT NZZZ=LOG(NZY)-LOG(NZYS);                                              
IDENT NZPM=NZPSI2*NZPMP;                                                      
IDENT NZH=NZE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT NZNW=NZNW(-4)+NZI+NZV1+NZEX-NZIM;                                       
IDENT NZPX$=(NZE00/NZE)*NZPX;                                                 
GENR NZLCIGZ=LOG((NZC+NZI+NZG)/NZPOP);                                        
GENR NZLIMZ=LOG(NZIM/NZPOP);                                                  
GENR NZLPY=LOG(NZPY);                                                         
GENR NZLPM=LOG(NZPM);                                                         
GENR NZLYZ=LOG(NZY/NZPOP);                                                    
GENR NZAZ=NZA/(NZYS*NZPY);                                                    
GENR NZLW=LOG(NZW);                                                           
GENR NZLCZ=LOG(NZC/NZPOP);                                                    
GENR NZLM1Z=LOG(NZM1/(NZPOP*NZPY));                                           
GENR NZLM1ZL=LOG(NZM1(-4)/(NZPOP(-4)*NZPY));                                  
GENR NZLE=LOG(NZE);                                                           
GENR NZLJ1=LOG(NZJ/NZJ(-4));                                                  
GENR NZLY1=LOG(NZY/NZY(-4));                                                  
GENR NZLEXL=LOG(NZJ/NZJMIN);                                                  
GENR NZLL1Z=LOG(NZL1/NZPOP1);                                                 
GENR NZPCPY=100*((NZPY/NZPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR NZLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+NZRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR NZLPYZ=LOG(NZPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR NZLPYZZ=LOG(NZPY/    NZPM);                                              
GENR NZRBZ=      NZRB-    NZRS(-4);                                           
GENR NZRBZZ=     NZRB(-4)-NZRS(-4);                                           
GENR NZRSZ=      NZRS-    NZRS(-4);                                           
GENR NZLWZ=LOG(  NZW/     NZPY);                                              
GENR NZLE1=NZLE-NZLE(-4);                                                     
GENR NZLEA=NZLPYZ-NZLE(-4);                                                   
GENR NZLPXA=LOG(NZPX/(NZPW$*(NZE/NZE00)));                                    
GENR NZLPXB=LOG(NZPY/(NZPW$*(NZE/NZE00)));                                    
GENR NZLPXC=LOG(NZPW$*(NZE/NZE00));                                           
GENR NZLPX=LOG(NZPX);                                                         
GENR NZLI=LOG(NZI);                                                           
GENR NZLY=LOG(NZY);                                                           
GENR NZYZ=NZY/NZPOP;                                                          
GENR NZGA2=100*((NZYZ/NZYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((USYN/USPOPN)/(USYN(-4)/USPOPN(-4)))-1.);                    
CREATE NZLGZ=LOG(NZG/NZPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: NZLGZ           
CREATE NZLEXZ=LOG(NZEX/NZPOP);                                                
Name added to list: NZLEXZ          
EQ 241 NZLIMZ C NZLIMZ(-4) NZLPYZZ NZLCIGZ                                    
 FSR C NZLGZ NZLEXZ(-4) NZLPY(-4) NZLYZ(-4) NZRB(-4)                          
 NZLIMZ(-4) NZLPYZZ(-4) NZLCIGZ(-4)                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 241  NZLIMZ  
   RHS     C  NZLIMZ(-4)  NZLPYZZ  NZLCIGZ  
   FSR     C  NZLGZ  NZLEXZ(-4)  NZLPY(-4)  NZLYZ(-4)  NZRB(-4)  
   FSR     NZLIMZ(-4)  NZLPYZZ(-4)  NZLCIGZ(-4)  
LHS NZIM=EXP(NZLIMZ)*NZPOP;                                                   
EQ 242 NZLCZ C NZLCZ(-4) NZRB NZLYZ                                           
 FSR C NZLGZ NZLEXZ(-4) NZLPY(-4) NZLYZ(-4) NZRB(-4)                          
 NZLCZ(-4)                                                                    
;                                                                             
EQUATION 242  NZLCZ  
   RHS     C  NZLCZ(-4)  NZRB  NZLYZ  
   FSR     C  NZLGZ  NZLEXZ(-4)  NZLPY(-4)  NZLYZ(-4)  NZRB(-4)  
   FSR     NZLCZ(-4)  
LHS NZC=EXP(NZLCZ)*NZPOP;                                                     
EQ 243 NZLI C NZLI(-4) NZLY NZRB                                              
 FSR C NZLGZ NZLEXZ(-4) NZLPY(-4) NZLYZ(-4) NZRB(-4)                          
 NZLI(-4) NZLY(-4)                                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 243  NZLI  
   RHS     C  NZLI(-4)  NZLY  NZRB  
   FSR     C  NZLGZ  NZLEXZ(-4)  NZLPY(-4)  NZLYZ(-4)  NZRB(-4)  
   FSR     NZLI(-4)  NZLY(-4)  
LHS NZI=EXP(NZLI);                                                            
EQ 244 NZLPY NZLPY(-4) C TN NZLPM                                             
 NZZZ(-4)                                                                     
 FSR C NZLGZ NZLEXZ(-4) NZLPY(-4) NZLYZ(-4) NZRB(-4)                          
 TN NZLPM(-4) NZZZ(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 244  NZLPY  
   RHS     NZLPY(-4)  C  TN  NZLPM  NZZZ(-4)  
   FSR     C  NZLGZ  NZLEXZ(-4)  NZLPY(-4)  NZLYZ(-4)  NZRB(-4)  
   FSR     TN  NZLPM(-4)  NZZZ(-4)  
LHS NZPY=EXP(NZLPY);                                                          
EQ 245 NZRS C NZRS(-4) NZPCPY NZZZ ;                                          
EQUATION 245  NZRS  
   RHS     C  NZRS(-4)  NZPCPY  NZZZ  
LHS NZRS=(ABS(NZRS-.0)+NZRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 246 NZRBZ C NZRBZZ NZRSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 246  NZRBZ  
   RHS     C  NZRBZZ  NZRSZ  
LHS  NZRB=       NZRBZ+   NZRS(-4);                                           
GENR NZLE1Z=NZLE1-.050*NZLEA;                                                 
Name added to list: NZLE1Z          
EQ 247 NZLE1Z C  NZLRSZ;                                                      
EQUATION 247  NZLE1Z  
   RHS     C  NZLRSZ  
@EQ  11 NZLPXA NZLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 248  NZLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 248  NZLPXA  
NLEQ NZLPXA=COEF(1,248)*(NZLPXB-COEF(2,248)*NZLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,248)*NZLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,248)*NZLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,248)*NZLPXA(-8);                              
LHS NZPX=EXP(NZLPXA)*(NZPW$*(NZE/NZE00));                                     
LHS NZE=EXP(NZLE1Z+.050*NZLEA)*NZE(-4);                                       
@IDENT SAV1=SAY-SAX;                                                          
IDENT SAV1PCT=SAV1/SAYS;                                                      
IDENT SAV=SAV(-4)+SAV1;                                                       
 IDENT SAM=(SAIM-SAIMDS)/SAPM00-SAMS;                                         
  IDENT SAEX=SAPX00*(SAE00*SAX00$+SAXS)+SAEXDS;                               
  IDENT SAX=SAC+SAI+SAG+SAEX-SAIM+SASTAT;                                     
  IDENT SAY=SAX+SAV1;                                                         
  IDENT SAS=SAPX*(SAE00*SAX00$+SAXS)-SAPM*(SAM+SAMS)+SATT;                    
IDENT SASPCT=SAS/(SAYS*SAPY);                                                 
IDENT SAA=SAA(-4)+SAS;                                                        
IDENT SAM00$A=SAM/SAE00-SAM00$B;                                              
IDENT SAUR=(SAL1-SAJ)/(SAL1);                                                 
IDENT SAJMIN=SAY/SALAM;                                                       
  IDENT SAZZ=LOG(SAY)-LOG(SAYS);                                              
IDENT SAPM=SAPSI2*SAPMP;                                                      
IDENT SAH=SAE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT SANW=SANW(-4)+SAI+SAV1+SAEX-SAIM;                                       
IDENT SAPX$=(SAE00/SAE)*SAPX;                                                 
GENR SALCIGZ=LOG((SAC+SAI+SAG)/SAPOP);                                        
GENR SALIMZ=LOG(SAIM/SAPOP);                                                  
GENR SALPY=LOG(SAPY);                                                         
GENR SALPM=LOG(SAPM);                                                         
GENR SALYZ=LOG(SAY/SAPOP);                                                    
GENR SAAZ=SAA/(SAYS*SAPY);                                                    
GENR SALW=LOG(SAW);                                                           
GENR SALCZ=LOG(SAC/SAPOP);                                                    
GENR SALM1Z=LOG(SAM1/(SAPOP*SAPY));                                           
GENR SALM1ZL=LOG(SAM1(-4)/(SAPOP(-4)*SAPY));                                  
GENR SALE=LOG(SAE);                                                           
GENR SALJ1=LOG(SAJ/SAJ(-4));                                                  
GENR SALY1=LOG(SAY/SAY(-4));                                                  
GENR SALEXL=LOG(SAJ/SAJMIN);                                                  
GENR SALL1Z=LOG(SAL1/SAPOP1);                                                 
GENR SAPCPY=100*((SAPY/SAPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR SALRSZ=.25*LOG((1+SARS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR SALPYZ=LOG(SAPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR SALPYZZ=LOG(SAPY/    SAPM);                                              
GENR SARBZ=      SARB-    SARS(-4);                                           
GENR SARBZZ=     SARB(-4)-SARS(-4);                                           
GENR SARSZ=      SARS-    SARS(-4);                                           
GENR SALWZ=LOG(  SAW/     SAPY);                                              
GENR SALI=LOG(SAI);                                                           
GENR SALY=LOG(SAY);                                                           
EQ 249 SALIMZ C SALIMZ(-4) SALCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 249  SALIMZ  
   RHS     C  SALIMZ(-4)  SALCIGZ  
LHS SAIM=EXP(SALIMZ)*SAPOP;                                                   
EQ 250 SALCZ C SALCZ(-4) SALYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 250  SALCZ  
   RHS     C  SALCZ(-4)  SALYZ  
LHS SAC=EXP(SALCZ)*SAPOP;                                                     
@IDENT VEV1=VEY-VEX;                                                          
IDENT VEV1PCT=VEV1/VEYS;                                                      
IDENT VEV=VEV(-4)+VEV1;                                                       
 IDENT VEM=(VEIM-VEIMDS)/VEPM00-VEMS;                                         
  IDENT VEEX=VEPX00*(VEE00*VEX00$+VEXS)+VEEXDS;                               
  IDENT VEX=VEC+VEI+VEG+VEEX-VEIM+VESTAT;                                     
  IDENT VES=VEPX*(VEE00*VEX00$+VEXS)-VEPM*(VEM+VEMS)+VETT;                    
  IDENT VEY=VEX+VEV1;                                                         
IDENT VESPCT=VES/(VEYS*VEPY);                                                 
IDENT VEA=VEA(-4)+VES;                                                        
IDENT VEM00$A=VEM/VEE00-VEM00$B;                                              
IDENT VEUR=(VEL1-VEJ)/(VEL1);                                                 
IDENT VEJMIN=VEY/VELAM;                                                       
  IDENT VEZZ=LOG(VEY)-LOG(VEYS);                                              
IDENT VEPM=VEPSI2*VEPMP;                                                      
IDENT VEH=VEE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT VENW=VENW(-4)+VEI+VEV1+VEEX-VEIM;                                       
IDENT VEPX$=(VEE00/VEE)*VEPX;                                                 
GENR VELCIGZ=LOG((VEC+VEI+VEG)/VEPOP);                                        
GENR VELIMZ=LOG(VEIM/VEPOP);                                                  
GENR VELPY=LOG(VEPY);                                                         
GENR VELPM=LOG(VEPM);                                                         
GENR VELYZ=LOG(VEY/VEPOP);                                                    
GENR VEAZ=VEA/(VEYS*VEPY);                                                    
GENR VELW=LOG(VEW);                                                           
GENR VELCZ=LOG(VEC/VEPOP);                                                    
GENR VELM1Z=LOG(VEM1/(VEPOP*VEPY));                                           
GENR VELM1ZL=LOG(VEM1(-4)/(VEPOP(-4)*VEPY));                                  
GENR VELE=LOG(VEE);                                                           
GENR VELJ1=LOG(VEJ/VEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR VELY1=LOG(VEY/VEY(-4));                                                  
GENR VELEXL=LOG(VEJ/VEJMIN);                                                  
GENR VELL1Z=LOG(VEL1/VEPOP1);                                                 
GENR VEPCPY=100*((VEPY/VEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR VELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+VERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR VELPYZ=LOG(VEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR VELPYZZ=LOG(VEPY/    VEPM);                                              
GENR VERBZ=      VERB-    VERS(-4);                                           
GENR VERBZZ=     VERB(-4)-VERS(-4);                                           
GENR VERSZ=      VERS-    VERS(-4);                                           
GENR VELWZ=LOG(  VEW/     VEPY);                                              
GENR VELE1=VELE-VELE(-4);                                                     
GENR VELEA=VELPYZ-VELE(-4);                                                   
GENR VELI=LOG(VEI);                                                           
GENR VELY=LOG(VEY);                                                           
EQ 251 VELIMZ C VELIMZ(-4) VELCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 251  VELIMZ  
   RHS     C  VELIMZ(-4)  VELCIGZ  
LHS VEIM=EXP(VELIMZ)*VEPOP;                                                   
EQ 252 VELCZ C VELCZ(-4) VELYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 252  VELCZ  
   RHS     C  VELCZ(-4)  VELYZ  
LHS VEC=EXP(VELCZ)*VEPOP;                                                     
EQ 253 VELM1Z C VELM1Z(-4) VERS VELYZ                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 253  VELM1Z  
   RHS     C  VELM1Z(-4)  VERS  VELYZ  
LHS VEM1=EXP(VELM1Z)*VEPOP*VEPY;                                              
@IDENT COV1=COY-COX;                                                          
IDENT COV1PCT=COV1/COYS;                                                      
IDENT COV=COV(-4)+COV1;                                                       
 IDENT COM=(COIM-COIMDS)/COPM00-COMS;                                         
  IDENT COEX=COPX00*(COE00*COX00$+COXS)+COEXDS;                               
  IDENT COX=COC+COI+COGZ+COEX-COIM+COSTAT;                                    
  IDENT COSZ=COPX*(COE00*COX00$+COXS)-COPM*(COM+COMS)+COTT;                   
  IDENT COY=COX+COV1;                                                         
IDENT COSPCT=COSZ/(COYS*COPY);                                                
IDENT COA=COA(-4)+COSZ;                                                       
IDENT COM00$A=COM/COE00-COM00$B;                                              
IDENT COUR=(COL1-COJ)/(COL1);                                                 
IDENT COJMIN=COY/COLAM;                                                       
  IDENT COZZ=LOG(COY)-LOG(COYS);                                              
IDENT COPM=COPSI2*COPMP;                                                      
IDENT COH=COE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT CONW=CONW(-4)+COI+COV1+COEX-COIM;                                       
IDENT COPX$=(COE00/COE)*COPX;                                                 
GENR COLCIGZ=LOG((COC+COI+COGZ)/COPOP);                                       
GENR COLIMZ=LOG(COIM/COPOP);                                                  
GENR COLPY=LOG(COPY);                                                         
GENR COLPM=LOG(COPM);                                                         
GENR COLYZ=LOG(COY/COPOP);                                                    
GENR COAZ=COA/(COYS*COPY);                                                    
GENR COLW=LOG(COW);                                                           
GENR COLCZ=LOG(COC/COPOP);                                                    
GENR COLM1Z=LOG(COM1/(COPOP*COPY));                                           
GENR COLM1ZL=LOG(COM1(-4)/(COPOP(-4)*COPY));                                  
GENR COLE=LOG(COE);                                                           
GENR COLJ1=LOG(COJ/COJ(-4));                                                  
GENR COLY1=LOG(COY/COY(-4));                                                  
GENR COLEXL=LOG(COJ/COJMIN);                                                  
GENR COLL1Z=LOG(COL1/COPOP1);                                                 
GENR COPCPY=100*((COPY/COPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR COLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+CORS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR COLPYZ=LOG(COPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR COLPYZZ=LOG(COPY/    COPM);                                              
GENR CORBZ=      CORB-    CORS(-4);                                           
GENR CORBZZ=     CORB(-4)-CORS(-4);                                           
GENR CORSZ=      CORS-    CORS(-4);                                           
GENR COLWZ=LOG(  COW/     COPY);                                              
GENR COLPXA=LOG(COPX/(COPW$*(COE/COE00)));                                    
GENR COLPXB=LOG(COPY/(COPW$*(COE/COE00)));                                    
GENR COLPXC=LOG(COPW$*(COE/COE00));                                           
GENR COLPX=LOG(COPX);                                                         
GENR COLI=LOG(COI);                                                           
GENR COLY=LOG(COY);                                                           
EQ 254 COLIMZ C COLIMZ(-4) COLCIGZ COLPYZZ;                                   
EQUATION 254  COLIMZ  
   RHS     C  COLIMZ(-4)  COLCIGZ  COLPYZZ  
LHS COIM=EXP(COLIMZ)*COPOP;                                                   
EQ 255 COLCZ C COLCZ(-4) COLYZ ;                                              
EQUATION 255  COLCZ  
   RHS     C  COLCZ(-4)  COLYZ  
LHS COC=EXP(COLCZ)*COPOP;                                                     
EQ 256 NONE256 C;                                                             
EQUATION 256  NONE256  
   RHS     C  
@EQ  11 COLPXA COLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 257  COLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 257  COLPXA  
NLEQ COLPXA=COEF(1,257)*(COLPXB-COEF(2,257)*COLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,257)*COLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,257)*COLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,257)*COLPXA(-8);                              
LHS COPX=EXP(COLPXA)*(COPW$*(COE/COE00));                                     
@IDENT JOV1=JOY-JOX;                                                          
IDENT JOV1PCT=JOV1/JOYS;                                                      
IDENT JOV=JOV(-4)+JOV1;                                                       
 IDENT JOM=(JOIM-JOIMDS)/JOPM00-JOMS;                                         
  IDENT JOEX=JOPX00*(JOE00*JOX00$+JOXS)+JOEXDS;                               
  IDENT JOX=JOC+JOI+JOG+JOEX-JOIM+JOSTAT;                                     
  IDENT JOY=JOX+JOV1;                                                         
  IDENT JOS=JOPX*(JOE00*JOX00$+JOXS)-JOPM*(JOM+JOMS)+JOTT;                    
IDENT JOSPCT=JOS/(JOYS*JOPY);                                                 
IDENT JOA=JOA(-4)+JOS;                                                        
IDENT JOM00$A=JOM/JOE00-JOM00$B;                                              
IDENT JOUR=(JOL1-JOJ)/(JOL1);                                                 
IDENT JOJMIN=JOY/JOLAM;                                                       
  IDENT JOZZ=LOG(JOY)-LOG(JOYS);                                              
IDENT JOPM=JOPSI2*JOPMP;                                                      
IDENT JOH=JOE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT JONW=JONW(-4)+JOI+JOV1+JOEX-JOIM;                                       
IDENT JOPX$=(JOE00/JOE)*JOPX;                                                 
GENR JOLCIGZ=LOG((JOC+JOI+JOG)/JOPOP);                                        
GENR JOLIMZ=LOG(JOIM/JOPOP);                                                  
GENR JOLPY=LOG(JOPY);                                                         
GENR JOLPM=LOG(JOPM);                                                         
GENR JOLYZ=LOG(JOY/JOPOP);                                                    
GENR JOAZ=JOA/(JOYS*JOPY);                                                    
GENR JOLW=LOG(JOW);                                                           
GENR JOLCZ=LOG(JOC/JOPOP);                                                    
GENR JOLM1Z=LOG(JOM1/(JOPOP*JOPY));                                           
GENR JOLM1ZL=LOG(JOM1(-4)/(JOPOP(-4)*JOPY));                                  
GENR JOLE=LOG(JOE);                                                           
GENR JOLJ1=LOG(JOJ/JOJ(-4));                                                  
GENR JOLY1=LOG(JOY/JOY(-4));                                                  
GENR JOLEXL=LOG(JOJ/JOJMIN);                                                  
GENR JOLL1Z=LOG(JOL1/JOPOP1);                                                 
GENR JOPCPY=100*((JOPY/JOPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR JOLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+JORS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR JOLPYZ=LOG(JOPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR JOLPYZZ=LOG(JOPY/    JOPM);                                              
GENR JORBZ=      JORB-    JORS(-4);                                           
GENR JORBZZ=     JORB(-4)-JORS(-4);                                           
GENR JORSZ=      JORS-    JORS(-4);                                           
GENR JOLWZ=LOG(  JOW/     JOPY);                                              
GENR JOLE1=JOLE-JOLE(-4);                                                     
GENR JOLEA=JOLPYZ-JOLE(-4);                                                   
GENR JOLPXA=LOG(JOPX/(JOPW$*(JOE/JOE00)));                                    
GENR JOLPXB=LOG(JOPY/(JOPW$*(JOE/JOE00)));                                    
GENR JOLPXC=LOG(JOPW$*(JOE/JOE00));                                           
GENR JOLPX=LOG(JOPX);                                                         
GENR JOLI=LOG(JOI);                                                           
GENR JOLY=LOG(JOY);                                                           
EQ 258 JOLIMZ C JOLIMZ(-4) JOLCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 258  JOLIMZ  
   RHS     C  JOLIMZ(-4)  JOLCIGZ  
LHS JOIM=EXP(JOLIMZ)*JOPOP;                                                   
EQ 259 JOLPY JOLPY(-4) C TN JOLPM                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 259  JOLPY  
   RHS     JOLPY(-4)  C  TN  JOLPM  
LHS JOPY=EXP(JOLPY);                                                          
@IDENT SYV1=SYY-SYX;                                                          
IDENT SYV1PCT=SYV1/SYYS;                                                      
IDENT SYV=SYV(-4)+SYV1;                                                       
 IDENT SYM=(SYIM-SYIMDS)/SYPM00-SYMS;                                         
  IDENT SYEX=SYPX00*(SYE00*SYX00$+SYXS)+SYEXDS;                               
  IDENT SYX=SYC+SYI+SYG+SYEX-SYIM+SYSTAT;                                     
  IDENT SYY=SYX+SYV1;                                                         
  IDENT SYS=SYPX*(SYE00*SYX00$+SYXS)-SYPM*(SYM+SYMS)+SYTT;                    
IDENT SYSPCT=SYS/(SYYS*SYPY);                                                 
IDENT SYA=SYA(-4)+SYS;                                                        
IDENT SYM00$A=SYM/SYE00-SYM00$B;                                              
IDENT SYUR=(SYL1-SYJ)/(SYL1);                                                 
IDENT SYJMIN=SYY/SYLAM;                                                       
  IDENT SYZZ=LOG(SYY)-LOG(SYYS);                                              
IDENT SYPM=SYPSI2*SYPMP;                                                      
IDENT SYH=SYE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT SYNW=SYNW(-4)+SYI+SYV1+SYEX-SYIM;                                       
IDENT SYPX$=(SYE00/SYE)*SYPX;                                                 
GENR SYLCIGZ=LOG((SYC+SYI+SYG)/SYPOP);                                        
GENR SYLIMZ=LOG(SYIM/SYPOP);                                                  
GENR SYLPY=LOG(SYPY);                                                         
GENR SYLPM=LOG(SYPM);                                                         
GENR SYLYZ=LOG(SYY/SYPOP);                                                    
GENR SYAZ=SYA/(SYYS*SYPY);                                                    
GENR SYLW=LOG(SYW);                                                           
GENR SYLCZ=LOG(SYC/SYPOP);                                                    
GENR SYLM1Z=LOG(SYM1/(SYPOP*SYPY));                                           
GENR SYLM1ZL=LOG(SYM1(-4)/(SYPOP(-4)*SYPY));                                  
GENR SYLE=LOG(SYE);                                                           
GENR SYLJ1=LOG(SYJ/SYJ(-4));                                                  
GENR SYLY1=LOG(SYY/SYY(-4));                                                  
GENR SYLEXL=LOG(SYJ/SYJMIN);                                                  
GENR SYLL1Z=LOG(SYL1/SYPOP1);                                                 
GENR SYPCPY=100*((SYPY/SYPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR SYLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+SYRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR SYLPYZ=LOG(SYPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR SYLPYZZ=LOG(SYPY/    SYPM);                                              
GENR SYRBZ=      SYRB-    SYRS(-4);                                           
GENR SYRBZZ=     SYRB(-4)-SYRS(-4);                                           
GENR SYRSZ=      SYRS-    SYRS(-4);                                           
GENR SYLWZ=LOG(  SYW/     SYPY);                                              
GENR SYLE1=SYLE-SYLE(-4);                                                     
GENR SYLEA=SYLPYZ-SYLE(-4);                                                   
GENR SYLPXA=LOG(SYPX/(SYPW$*(SYE/SYE00)));                                    
GENR SYLPXB=LOG(SYPY/(SYPW$*(SYE/SYE00)));                                    
GENR SYLPXC=LOG(SYPW$*(SYE/SYE00));                                           
GENR SYLPX=LOG(SYPX);                                                         
GENR SYLI=LOG(SYI);                                                           
GENR SYLY=LOG(SYY);                                                           
EQ 260 SYLIMZ C SYLIMZ(-4) SYLPYZZ SYLCIGZ;                                   
EQUATION 260  SYLIMZ  
   RHS     C  SYLIMZ(-4)  SYLPYZZ  SYLCIGZ  
LHS SYIM=EXP(SYLIMZ)*SYPOP;                                                   
EQ 261 SYLCZ C SYLYZ                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 261  SYLCZ  
   RHS     C  SYLYZ  
LHS SYC=EXP(SYLCZ)*SYPOP;                                                     
EQ 262 SYLPY SYLPY(-4) C TN SYLPM                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 262  SYLPY  
   RHS     SYLPY(-4)  C  TN  SYLPM  
LHS SYPY=EXP(SYLPY);                                                          
GENR SYLPXAZ=SYLPXA-SYLPXB;                                                   
@IDENT IDV1=IDY-IDX;                                                          
IDENT IDV1PCT=IDV1/IDYS;                                                      
IDENT IDV=IDV(-4)+IDV1;                                                       
 IDENT IDM=(IDIM-IDIMDS)/IDPM00-IDMS;                                         
  IDENT IDEX=IDPX00*(IDE00*IDX00$+IDXS)+IDEXDS;                               
  IDENT IDX=IDC+IDI+IDG+IDEX-IDIM+IDSTAT;                                     
  IDENT IDY=IDX+IDV1;                                                         
  IDENT IDS=IDPX*(IDE00*IDX00$+IDXS)-IDPM*(IDM+IDMS)+IDTT;                    
IDENT IDSPCT=IDS/(IDYS*IDPY);                                                 
IDENT IDA=IDA(-4)+IDS;                                                        
IDENT IDM00$A=IDM/IDE00-IDM00$B;                                              
IDENT IDUR=(IDL1-IDJ)/(IDL1);                                                 
IDENT IDJMIN=IDY/IDLAM;                                                       
  IDENT IDZZ=LOG(IDY)-LOG(IDYS);                                              
IDENT IDPM=IDPSI2*IDPMP;                                                      
IDENT IDH=IDE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT IDNW=IDNW(-4)+IDI+IDV1+IDEX-IDIM;                                       
IDENT IDPX$=(IDE00/IDE)*IDPX;                                                 
GENR IDLCIGZ=LOG((IDC+IDI+IDG)/IDPOP);                                        
GENR IDLIMZ=LOG(IDIM/IDPOP);                                                  
GENR IDLPY=LOG(IDPY);                                                         
GENR IDLPM=LOG(IDPM);                                                         
GENR IDLYZ=LOG(IDY/IDPOP);                                                    
GENR IDAZ=IDA/(IDYS*IDPY);                                                    
GENR IDLW=LOG(IDW);                                                           
GENR IDLCZ=LOG(IDC/IDPOP);                                                    
GENR IDLM1Z=LOG(IDM1/(IDPOP*IDPY));                                           
GENR IDLM1ZL=LOG(IDM1(-4)/(IDPOP(-4)*IDPY));                                  
GENR IDLE=LOG(IDE);                                                           
GENR IDLJ1=LOG(IDJ/IDJ(-4));                                                  
GENR IDLY1=LOG(IDY/IDY(-4));                                                  
GENR IDLEXL=LOG(IDJ/IDJMIN);                                                  
GENR IDLL1Z=LOG(IDL1/IDPOP1);                                                 
GENR IDPCPY=100*((IDPY/IDPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR IDLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+IDRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR IDLPYZ=LOG(IDPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR IDLPYZZ=LOG(IDPY/    IDPM);                                              
GENR IDRBZ=      IDRB-    IDRS(-4);                                           
GENR IDRBZZ=     IDRB(-4)-IDRS(-4);                                           
GENR IDRSZ=      IDRS-    IDRS(-4);                                           
GENR IDLWZ=LOG(  IDW/     IDPY);                                              
GENR IDLE1=IDLE-IDLE(-4);                                                     
GENR IDLEA=IDLPYZ-IDLE(-4);                                                   
GENR IDLPXA=LOG(IDPX/(IDPW$*(IDE/IDE00)));                                    
GENR IDLPXB=LOG(IDPY/(IDPW$*(IDE/IDE00)));                                    
GENR IDLPXC=LOG(IDPW$*(IDE/IDE00));                                           
GENR IDLPX=LOG(IDPX);                                                         
GENR IDLI=LOG(IDI);                                                           
GENR IDLY=LOG(IDY);                                                           
EQ 263 IDLIMZ C IDLIMZ(-4) IDLCIGZ;                                           
EQUATION 263  IDLIMZ  
   RHS     C  IDLIMZ(-4)  IDLCIGZ  
LHS IDIM=EXP(IDLIMZ)*IDPOP;                                                   
EQ 264 IDLCZ C IDLCZ(-4) IDLYZ IDRS                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 264  IDLCZ  
   RHS     C  IDLCZ(-4)  IDLYZ  IDRS  
LHS IDC=EXP(IDLCZ)*IDPOP;                                                     
EQ 265 IDLI C IDLI(-4) IDLY                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 265  IDLI  
   RHS     C  IDLI(-4)  IDLY  
LHS IDI=EXP(IDLI);                                                            
EQ 266 IDLM1Z C IDLM1ZL IDLYZ IDRS                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 266  IDLM1Z  
   RHS     C  IDLM1ZL  IDLYZ  IDRS  
LHS IDM1=EXP(IDLM1Z)*IDPOP*IDPY;                                              
EQ 267 IDRS C IDRS(-4) IDPCPY                                                 
@ IDZZ                                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 267  IDRS  
   RHS     C  IDRS(-4)  IDPCPY  
LHS IDRS=(ABS(IDRS-.0)+IDRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
@EQ  11 IDLPXA IDLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 268  IDLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 268  IDLPXA  
NLEQ IDLPXA=COEF(1,268)*(IDLPXB-COEF(2,268)*IDLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,268)*IDLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,268)*IDLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,268)*IDLPXA(-8);                              
LHS IDPX=EXP(IDLPXA)*(IDPW$*(IDE/IDE00));                                     
@IDENT MAV1=MAY-MAX;                                                          
IDENT MAV1PCT=MAV1/MAYS;                                                      
IDENT MAV=MAV(-4)+MAV1;                                                       
 IDENT MAM=(MAIM-MAIMDS)/MAPM00-MAMS;                                         
  IDENT MAEX=MAPX00*(MAE00*MAX00$+MAXS)+MAEXDS;                               
  IDENT MAX=MAC+MAI+MAG+MAEX-MAIM+MASTAT;                                     
  IDENT MAY=MAX+MAV1;                                                         
  IDENT MAS=MAPX*(MAE00*MAX00$+MAXS)-MAPM*(MAM+MAMS)+MATT;                    
IDENT MASPCT=MAS/(MAYS*MAPY);                                                 
IDENT MAA=MAA(-4)+MAS;                                                        
IDENT MAM00$A=MAM/MAE00-MAM00$B;                                              
IDENT MAUR=(MAL1-MAJ)/(MAL1);                                                 
IDENT MAJMIN=MAY/MALAM;                                                       
  IDENT MAZZ=LOG(MAY)-LOG(MAYS);                                              
IDENT MAPM=MAPSI2*MAPMP;                                                      
IDENT MAH=MAE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT MANW=MANW(-4)+MAI+MAV1+MAEX-MAIM;                                       
IDENT MAPX$=(MAE00/MAE)*MAPX;                                                 
GENR MALCIGZ=LOG((MAC+MAI+MAG)/MAPOP);                                        
GENR MALIMZ=LOG(MAIM/MAPOP);                                                  
GENR MALPY=LOG(MAPY);                                                         
GENR MALPM=LOG(MAPM);                                                         
GENR MALYZ=LOG(MAY/MAPOP);                                                    
GENR MAAZ=MAA/(MAYS*MAPY);                                                    
GENR MALW=LOG(MAW);                                                           
GENR MALCZ=LOG(MAC/MAPOP);                                                    
GENR MALM1Z=LOG(MAM1/(MAPOP*MAPY));                                           
GENR MALM1ZL=LOG(MAM1(-4)/(MAPOP(-4)*MAPY));                                  
GENR MALE=LOG(MAE);                                                           
GENR MALJ1=LOG(MAJ/MAJ(-4));                                                  
GENR MALY1=LOG(MAY/MAY(-4));                                                  
GENR MALEXL=LOG(MAJ/MAJMIN);                                                  
GENR MALL1Z=LOG(MAL1/MAPOP1);                                                 
GENR MAPCPY=100*((MAPY/MAPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR MALRSZ=.25*LOG((1+MARS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR MALPYZ=LOG(MAPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR MALPYZZ=LOG(MAPY/    MAPM);                                              
GENR MARBZ=      MARB-    MARS(-4);                                           
GENR MARBZZ=     MARB(-4)-MARS(-4);                                           
GENR MARSZ=      MARS-    MARS(-4);                                           
GENR MALWZ=LOG(  MAW/     MAPY);                                              
GENR MALPXA=LOG(MAPX/(MAPW$*(MAE/MAE00)));                                    
GENR MALPXB=LOG(MAPY/(MAPW$*(MAE/MAE00)));                                    
GENR MALPXC=LOG(MAPW$*(MAE/MAE00));                                           
GENR MALPX=LOG(MAPX);                                                         
GENR MALI=LOG(MAI);                                                           
GENR MALY=LOG(MAY);                                                           
EQ 269 MALIMZ C MALIMZ(-4) MALCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 269  MALIMZ  
   RHS     C  MALIMZ(-4)  MALCIGZ  
LHS MAIM=EXP(MALIMZ)*MAPOP;                                                   
EQ 270 MALCZ C MALCZ(-4) MALYZ ;                                              
EQUATION 270  MALCZ  
   RHS     C  MALCZ(-4)  MALYZ  
LHS MAC=EXP(MALCZ)*MAPOP;                                                     
EQ 271 MALPY MALPY(-4) C TN MALPM                                             
;                                                                             
EQUATION 271  MALPY  
   RHS     MALPY(-4)  C  TN  MALPM  
LHS MAPY=EXP(MALPY);                                                          
@EQ  11 MALPXA MALPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 272  MALPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 272  MALPXA  
NLEQ MALPXA=COEF(1,272)*(MALPXB-COEF(2,272)*MALPXB(-4)-COEF(3,272)*MALPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,272)*MALPXA(-4)+COEF(3,272)*MALPXA(-8);                              
LHS MAPX=EXP(MALPXA)*(MAPW$*(MAE/MAE00));                                     
  IDENT PAX=PAC+PAI+PAG+PAEX-PAIM+PASTAT;                                     
IDENT PAV1=PAY-PAX;                                                           
IDENT PAV1PCT=PAV1/PAYS;                                                      
IDENT PAV=PAV(-4)+PAV1;                                                       
 IDENT PAM=(PAIM-PAIMDS)/PAPM00-PAMS;                                         
  IDENT PAEX=PAPX00*(PAE00*PAX00$+PAXS)+PAEXDS;                               
  IDENT PAS=PAPX*(PAE00*PAX00$+PAXS)-PAPM*(PAM+PAMS)+PATT;                    
IDENT PASPCT=PAS/(PAYS*PAPY);                                                 
IDENT PAA=PAA(-4)+PAS;                                                        
IDENT PAM00$A=PAM/PAE00-PAM00$B;                                              
IDENT PAUR=(PAL1-PAJ)/(PAL1);                                                 
IDENT PAJMIN=PAY/PALAM;                                                       
  IDENT PAZZ=LOG(PAY)-LOG(PAYS);                                              
IDENT PAPM=PAPSI2*PAPMP;                                                      
IDENT PAH=PAE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT PANW=PANW(-4)+PAI+PAV1+PAEX-PAIM;                                       
IDENT PAPX$=(PAE00/PAE)*PAPX;                                                 
GENR PALCIGZ=LOG((PAC+PAI+PAG)/PAPOP);                                        
GENR PALIMZ=LOG(PAIM/PAPOP);                                                  
GENR PALPY=LOG(PAPY);                                                         
GENR PALPM=LOG(PAPM);                                                         
GENR PALYZ=LOG(PAY/PAPOP);                                                    
GENR PAAZ=PAA/(PAYS*PAPY);                                                    
GENR PALW=LOG(PAW);                                                           
GENR PALCZ=LOG(PAC/PAPOP);                                                    
GENR PALM1Z=LOG(PAM1/(PAPOP*PAPY));                                           
GENR PALM1ZL=LOG(PAM1(-4)/(PAPOP(-4)*PAPY));                                  
GENR PALE=LOG(PAE);                                                           
GENR PALJ1=LOG(PAJ/PAJ(-4));                                                  
GENR PALY1=LOG(PAY/PAY(-4));                                                  
GENR PALEXL=LOG(PAJ/PAJMIN);                                                  
GENR PALL1Z=LOG(PAL1/PAPOP1);                                                 
GENR PAPCPY=100*((PAPY/PAPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR PALRSZ=.25*LOG((1+PARS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR PALPYZ=LOG(PAPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR PALPYZZ=LOG(PAPY/    PAPM);                                              
GENR PARBZ=      PARB-    PARS(-4);                                           
GENR PARBZZ=     PARB(-4)-PARS(-4);                                           
GENR PARSZ=      PARS-    PARS(-4);                                           
GENR PALWZ=LOG(  PAW/     PAPY);                                              
GENR PALE1=PALE-PALE(-4);                                                     
GENR PALEA=PALPYZ-PALE(-4);                                                   
GENR PALPXA=LOG(PAPX/(PAPW$*(PAE/PAE00)));                                    
GENR PALPXB=LOG(PAPY/(PAPW$*(PAE/PAE00)));                                    
GENR PALPXC=LOG(PAPW$*(PAE/PAE00));                                           
GENR PALPX=LOG(PAPX);                                                         
GENR PALI=LOG(PAI);                                                           
GENR PALY=LOG(PAY);                                                           
GENR PALX=LOG(PAX);                                                           
GENR PALV=LOG(PAV);                                                           
EQ 273 PALIMZ C PALIMZ(-4) PALCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 273  PALIMZ  
   RHS     C  PALIMZ(-4)  PALCIGZ  
LHS PAIM=EXP(PALIMZ)*PAPOP;                                                   
EQ 274 PALCZ C PALCZ(-4) PALYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 274  PALCZ  
   RHS     C  PALCZ(-4)  PALYZ  
LHS PAC=EXP(PALCZ)*PAPOP;                                                     
EQ 275 PALI C PALI(-4) PALY                                                   
;                                                                             
EQUATION 275  PALI  
   RHS     C  PALI(-4)  PALY  
LHS PAI=EXP(PALI);                                                            
EQ 276 PALY C PALY(-4) PALX PALV(-4) ;                                        
EQUATION 276  PALY  
   RHS     C  PALY(-4)  PALX  PALV(-4)  
LHS PAY=EXP(PALY);                                                            
EQ 277 PALPY PALPY(-4) C TN                                                   
 PALPM                                                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 277  PALPY  
   RHS     PALPY(-4)  C  TN  PALPM  
EQ 278 PALM1Z C PALM1ZL PARS PALYZ                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 278  PALM1Z  
   RHS     C  PALM1ZL  PARS  PALYZ  
LHS PAM1=EXP(PALM1Z)*PAPOP*PAPY;                                              
LHS PAPY=EXP(PALPY);                                                          
EQ 279 PARS C PARS(-4) PAPCPY                                                 
 PAZZ                                                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 279  PARS  
   RHS     C  PARS(-4)  PAPCPY  PAZZ  
LHS PARS=(ABS(PARS-.0)+PARS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
@EQ  11 PALPXA PALPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 280  PALPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 280  PALPXA  
NLEQ PALPXA=COEF(1,280)*(PALPXB-COEF(2,280)*PALPXB(-4)-COEF(3,280)*PALPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,280)*PALPXA(-4)+COEF(3,280)*PALPXA(-8);                              
LHS PAPX=EXP(PALPXA)*(PAPW$*(PAE/PAE00));                                     
@IDENT PHV1=PHY-PHX;                                                          
IDENT PHV1PCT=PHV1/PHYS;                                                      
IDENT PHV=PHV(-4)+PHV1;                                                       
 IDENT PHM=(PHIM-PHIMDS)/PHPM00-PHMS;                                         
  IDENT PHEX=PHPX00*(PHE00*PHX00$+PHXS)+PHEXDS;                               
  IDENT PHX=PHC+PHI+PHG+PHEX-PHIM+PHSTAT;                                     
  IDENT PHY=PHX+PHV1;                                                         
  IDENT PHS=PHPX*(PHE00*PHX00$+PHXS)-PHPM*(PHM+PHMS)+PHTT;                    
IDENT PHSPCT=PHS/(PHYS*PHPY);                                                 
IDENT PHA=PHA(-4)+PHS;                                                        
IDENT PHM00$A=PHM/PHE00-PHM00$B;                                              
IDENT PHUR=(PHL1-PHJ)/(PHL1);                                                 
IDENT PHJMIN=PHY/PHLAM;                                                       
  IDENT PHZZ=LOG(PHY)-LOG(PHYS);                                              
IDENT PHPM=PHPSI2*PHPMP;                                                      
IDENT PHH=PHE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT PHNW=PHNW(-4)+PHI+PHV1+PHEX-PHIM;                                       
IDENT PHPX$=(PHE00/PHE)*PHPX;                                                 
GENR PHLCIGZ=LOG((PHC+PHI+PHG)/PHPOP);                                        
GENR PHLIMZ=LOG(PHIM/PHPOP);                                                  
GENR PHLPY=LOG(PHPY);                                                         
GENR PHLPM=LOG(PHPM);                                                         
GENR PHLYZ=LOG(PHY/PHPOP);                                                    
GENR PHAZ=PHA/(PHYS*PHPY);                                                    
GENR PHLW=LOG(PHW);                                                           
GENR PHLCZ=LOG(PHC/PHPOP);                                                    
GENR PHLM1Z=LOG(PHM1/(PHPOP*PHPY));                                           
GENR PHLM1ZL=LOG(PHM1(-4)/(PHPOP(-4)*PHPY));                                  
GENR PHLE=LOG(PHE);                                                           
GENR PHLJ1=LOG(PHJ/PHJ(-4));                                                  
GENR PHLY1=LOG(PHY/PHY(-4));                                                  
GENR PHLEXL=LOG(PHJ/PHJMIN);                                                  
GENR PHLL1Z=LOG(PHL1/PHPOP1);                                                 
GENR PHPCPY=100*((PHPY/PHPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR PHLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+PHRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR PHLPYZ=LOG(PHPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR PHLPYZZ=LOG(PHPY/    PHPM);                                              
GENR PHRBZ=      PHRB-    PHRS(-4);                                           
GENR PHRBZZ=     PHRB(-4)-PHRS(-4);                                           
GENR PHRSZ=      PHRS-    PHRS(-4);                                           
GENR PHLWZ=LOG(  PHW/     PHPY);                                              
GENR PHLE1=PHLE-PHLE(-4);                                                     
GENR PHLEA=PHLPYZ-PHLE(-4);                                                   
GENR PHLPXA=LOG(PHPX/(PHPW$*(PHE/PHE00)));                                    
GENR PHLPXB=LOG(PHPY/(PHPW$*(PHE/PHE00)));                                    
GENR PHLPXC=LOG(PHPW$*(PHE/PHE00));                                           
GENR PHLPX=LOG(PHPX);                                                         
GENR PHLI=LOG(PHI);                                                           
GENR PHLY=LOG(PHY);                                                           
GENR PHYZ=PHY/PHPOP;                                                          
GENR PHGA2=100*((PHYZ/PHYZ(-4))-1.)                                           
          -100*(((USYN/USPOPN)/(USYN(-4)/USPOPN(-4)))-1.);                    
EQ 281 PHLIMZ C PHLIMZ(-4) PHLCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 281  PHLIMZ  
   RHS     C  PHLIMZ(-4)  PHLCIGZ  
LHS PHIM=EXP(PHLIMZ)*PHPOP;                                                   
EQ 282 PHLCZ C PHLCZ(-4) PHLYZ                                                
 PHRS                                                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 282  PHLCZ  
   RHS     C  PHLCZ(-4)  PHLYZ  PHRS  
LHS PHC=EXP(PHLCZ)*PHPOP;                                                     
EQ 283 PHLPY PHLPY(-4) C TN PHLPM(-4) PHZZ(-4)                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 283  PHLPY  
   RHS     PHLPY(-4)  C  TN  PHLPM(-4)  PHZZ(-4)  
EQ 284 PHLM1Z C PHLM1ZL PHRS PHLYZ                                            
;                                                                             
EQUATION 284  PHLM1Z  
   RHS     C  PHLM1ZL  PHRS  PHLYZ  
LHS PHM1=EXP(PHLM1Z)*PHPOP*PHPY;                                              
LHS PHPY=EXP(PHLPY);                                                          
EQ 285 PHRS C PHRS(-4) PHPCPY USRSN                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 285  PHRS  
   RHS     C  PHRS(-4)  PHPCPY  USRSN  
LHS PHRS=(ABS(PHRS-.0)+PHRS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 286 PHLE1 C PHLEA                                                          
;                                                                             
EQUATION 286  PHLE1  
   RHS     C  PHLEA  
GENR PHLPXAZ=PHLPXA-PHLPXB;                                                   
LHS PHE=EXP(PHLE1)*PHE(-4);                                                   
@IDENT THV1=THY-THX;                                                          
IDENT THV1PCT=THV1/THYS;                                                      
IDENT THV=THV(-4)+THV1;                                                       
 IDENT THM=(THIM-THIMDS)/THPM00-THMS;                                         
  IDENT THEX=THPX00*(THE00*THX00$+THXS)+THEXDS;                               
  IDENT THX=THC+THI+THGZ+THEX-THIM+THSTAT;                                    
  IDENT THY=THX+THV1;                                                         
  IDENT THSZ=THPX*(THE00*THX00$+THXS)-THPM*(THM+THMS)+THTT;                   
IDENT THSPCT=THSZ/(THYS*THPY);                                                
IDENT THA=THA(-4)+THSZ;                                                       
IDENT THM00$A=THM/THE00-THM00$B;                                              
IDENT THUR=(THL1-THJ)/(THL1);                                                 
IDENT THJMIN=THY/THLAM;                                                       
  IDENT THZZ=LOG(THY)-LOG(THYS);                                              
IDENT THPM=THPSI2*THPMP;                                                      
IDENT THH=THE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT THNW=THNW(-4)+THI+THV1+THEX-THIM;                                       
IDENT THPX$=(THE00/THE)*THPX;                                                 
GENR THLCIGZ=LOG((THC+THI+THGZ)/THPOP);                                       
GENR THLIMZ=LOG(THIM/THPOP);                                                  
GENR THLPY=LOG(THPY);                                                         
GENR THLPM=LOG(THPM);                                                         
GENR THLYZ=LOG(THY/THPOP);                                                    
GENR THAZ=THA/(THYS*THPY);                                                    
GENR THLW=LOG(THW);                                                           
GENR THLCZ=LOG(THC/THPOP);                                                    
GENR THLM1Z=LOG(THM1/(THPOP*THPY));                                           
GENR THLM1ZL=LOG(THM1(-4)/(THPOP(-4)*THPY));                                  
GENR THLE=LOG(THE);                                                           
GENR THLJ1=LOG(THJ/THJ(-4));                                                  
GENR THLY1=LOG(THY/THY(-4));                                                  
GENR THLEXL=LOG(THJ/THJMIN);                                                  
GENR THLL1Z=LOG(THL1/THPOP1);                                                 
GENR THPCPY=100*((THPY/THPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR THLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+THRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR THLPYZ=LOG(THPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR THLPYZZ=LOG(THPY/    THPM);                                              
GENR THRBZ=      THRB-    THRS(-4);                                           
GENR THRBZZ=     THRB(-4)-THRS(-4);                                           
GENR THRSZ=      THRS-    THRS(-4);                                           
GENR THLWZ=LOG(  THW/     THPY);                                              
GENR THLPXA=LOG(THPX/(THPW$*(THE/THE00)));                                    
GENR THLPXB=LOG(THPY/(THPW$*(THE/THE00)));                                    
GENR THLPXC=LOG(THPW$*(THE/THE00));                                           
GENR THLPX=LOG(THPX);                                                         
GENR THLI=LOG(THI);                                                           
GENR THLY=LOG(THY);                                                           
EQ 287 THLIMZ C THLIMZ(-4) THLCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 287  THLIMZ  
   RHS     C  THLIMZ(-4)  THLCIGZ  
LHS THIM=EXP(THLIMZ)*THPOP;                                                   
EQ 288 THLCZ C THLCZ(-4) THLYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 288  THLCZ  
   RHS     C  THLCZ(-4)  THLYZ  
LHS THC=EXP(THLCZ)*THPOP;                                                     
EQ 289 THLPY THLPY(-4) C TN THLPM                                             
 THZZ(-4)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 289  THLPY  
   RHS     THLPY(-4)  C  TN  THLPM  THZZ(-4)  
LHS THPY=EXP(THLPY);                                                          
EQ 290 THRBZ C THRBZZ THRSZ ;                                                 
EQUATION 290  THRBZ  
   RHS     C  THRBZZ  THRSZ  
LHS  THRB=       THRBZ+   THRS(-4);                                           
@EQ  11 THLPXA THLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 291  THLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 291  THLPXA  
NLEQ THLPXA=COEF(1,291)*(THLPXB-COEF(2,291)*THLPXB(-4)-COEF(3,291)*THLPXB(-8))
 +COEF(2,291)*THLPXA(-4)+COEF(3,291)*THLPXA(-8);                              
LHS THPX=EXP(THLPXA)*(THPW$*(THE/THE00));                                     
@IDENT CHV1=CHY-CHX;                                                          
IDENT CHV1PCT=CHV1/CHYS;                                                      
IDENT CHV=CHV(-4)+CHV1;                                                       
 IDENT CHM=(CHIM-CHIMDS)/CHPM00-CHMS;                                         
  IDENT CHEX=CHPX00*(CHE00*CHX00$+CHXS)+CHEXDS;                               
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL For YUAN Table 5                                                    
@                                                                             
  IDENT CHX=CHC+CHI+CHG+CHEX-CHIM+CHSTAT;                                     
@                                                                             
  IDENT CHY=CHX+CHV1;                                                         
  IDENT CHS=CHPX*(CHE00*CHX00$+CHXS)-CHPM*(CHM+CHMS)+CHTT;                    
IDENT CHSPCT=CHS/(CHYS*CHPY);                                                 
IDENT CHA=CHA(-4)+CHS;                                                        
IDENT CHM00$A=CHM/CHE00-CHM00$B;                                              
IDENT CHUR=(CHL1-CHJ)/(CHL1);                                                 
IDENT CHJMIN=CHY/CHLAM;                                                       
  IDENT CHZZ=LOG(CHY)-LOG(CHYS);                                              
IDENT CHPM=CHPSI2*CHPMP;                                                      
IDENT CHH=CHE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT CHNW=CHNW(-4)+CHI+CHV1+CHEX-CHIM;                                       
IDENT CHPX$=(CHE00/CHE)*CHPX;                                                 
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL For YUAN Table 5                                                    
@                                                                             
@CREATE CHLCIGZ=LOG((CHC+CHI+CHG)/CHPOP);                                     
GENR CHLCIGZ=LOG((CHC+CHI+CHG)/CHPOP);                                        
@                                                                             
GENR CHLIMZ=LOG(CHIM/CHPOP);                                                  
GENR CHLPY=LOG(CHPY);                                                         
GENR CHLPM=LOG(CHPM);                                                         
GENR CHLYZ=LOG(CHY/CHPOP);                                                    
GENR CHAZ=CHA/(CHYS*CHPY);                                                    
GENR CHLW=LOG(CHW);                                                           
GENR CHLCZ=LOG(CHC/CHPOP);                                                    
GENR CHLM1Z=LOG(CHM1/(CHPOP*CHPY));                                           
GENR CHLM1ZL=LOG(CHM1(-4)/(CHPOP(-4)*CHPY));                                  
GENR CHLE=LOG(CHE);                                                           
GENR CHLJ1=LOG(CHJ/CHJ(-4));                                                  
GENR CHLY1=LOG(CHY/CHY(-4));                                                  
GENR CHLEXL=LOG(CHJ/CHJMIN);                                                  
GENR CHLL1Z=LOG(CHL1/CHPOP1);                                                 
GENR CHPCPY=100*((CHPY/CHPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR CHLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+CHRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR CHLPYZ=LOG(CHPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR CHLPYZZ=LOG(CHPY/    CHPM);                                              
GENR CHRBZ=      CHRB-    CHRS(-4);                                           
GENR CHRBZZ=     CHRB(-4)-CHRS(-4);                                           
GENR CHRSZ=      CHRS-    CHRS(-4);                                           
GENR CHLWZ=LOG(  CHW/     CHPY);                                              
GENR CHLE1=CHLE-CHLE(-4);                                                     
GENR CHLEA=CHLPYZ-CHLE(-4);                                                   
GENR CHLPXA=LOG(CHPX/(CHPW$*(CHE/CHE00)));                                    
GENR CHLPXB=LOG(CHPY/(CHPW$*(CHE/CHE00)));                                    
GENR CHLPXC=LOG(CHPW$*(CHE/CHE00));                                           
GENR CHLPX=LOG(CHPX);                                                         
GENR CHLI=LOG(CHI);                                                           
GENR CHLY=LOG(CHY);                                                           
CREATE CHLGZ=LOG(CHG/CHPOP);                                                  
Name added to list: CHLGZ           
CREATE CHLEXZ=LOG(CHEX/CHPOP);                                                
Name added to list: CHLEXZ          
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL For YUAN Table 2                                                    
@                                                                             
@GENR CHLIMZA=CHLIMZ-.2*CHLPYZZ;                                              
@EQ 292 CHLIMZA C CHLIMZ(-4) CHLCIGZ ;                                        
@LHS CHIM=EXP(CHLIMZA+.2*CHLPYZZ)*CHPOP;                                      
EQ 292 CHLIMZ C CHLIMZ(-4) CHLCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 292  CHLIMZ  
   RHS     C  CHLIMZ(-4)  CHLCIGZ  
LHS CHIM=EXP(CHLIMZ)*CHPOP;                                                   
@                                                                             
EQ 293 CHLCZ C CHLCZ(-4) CHLYZ CHRS                                           
;                                                                             
EQUATION 293  CHLCZ  
   RHS     C  CHLCZ(-4)  CHLYZ  CHRS  
LHS CHC=EXP(CHLCZ)*CHPOP;                                                     
EQ 294 CHLI C CHLI(-4) CHLY                                                   
 CHRS                                                                         
;                                                                             
EQUATION 294  CHLI  
   RHS     C  CHLI(-4)  CHLY  CHRS  
LHS CHI=EXP(CHLI);                                                            
EQ 295 CHLPY CHLPY(-4) C TN                                                   
 CHZZ                                                                         
 CHLPM(-4)                                                                    
 FSR C CHLGZ CHLEXZ(-4) CHLPY(-4) CHLYZ(-4) CHRS(-4)                          
 TN CHZZ(-4) CHLPM(-4);                                                       
EQUATION 295  CHLPY  
   RHS     CHLPY(-4)  C  TN  CHZZ  CHLPM(-4)  
   FSR     C  CHLGZ  CHLEXZ(-4)  CHLPY(-4)  CHLYZ(-4)  CHRS(-4)  
   FSR     TN  CHZZ(-4)  CHLPM(-4)  
LHS CHPY=EXP(CHLPY);                                                          
@EQ  11 CHLPXA CHLPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 296  CHLPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 296  CHLPXA  
@                                                                             
@ SPECIAL For YUAN Table 3                                                    
@                                                                             
NLEQ CHLPXA=.5*(CHLPXB-COEF(1,296)*CHLPXB(-4)-COEF(2,296)*CHLPXB(-8))         
 +COEF(1,296)*CHLPXA(-4)+COEF(2,296)*CHLPXA(-8);                              
@NLEQ CHLPXA=.8*(CHLPXB-COEF(1,296)*CHLPXB(-4)-COEF(2,296)*CHLPXB(-8))        
@ +COEF(1,296)*CHLPXA(-4)+COEF(2,296)*CHLPXA(-8);                             
@                                                                             
LHS CHPX=EXP(CHLPXA)*(CHPW$*(CHE/CHE00));                                     
@IDENT ARV1=ARY-ARX;                                                          
IDENT ARV1PCT=ARV1/ARYS;                                                      
IDENT ARV=ARV(-4)+ARV1;                                                       
 IDENT ARM=(ARIM-ARIMDS)/ARPM00-ARMS;                                         
  IDENT AREX=ARPX00*(ARE00*ARX00$+ARXS)+AREXDS;                               
  IDENT ARX=ARC+ARI+ARG+AREX-ARIM+ARSTAT;                                     
  IDENT ARY=ARX+ARV1;                                                         
  IDENT ARS=ARPX*(ARE00*ARX00$+ARXS)-ARPM*(ARM+ARMS)+ARTT;                    
IDENT ARSPCT=ARS/(ARYS*ARPY);                                                 
IDENT ARA=ARA(-4)+ARS;                                                        
IDENT ARM00$A=ARM/ARE00-ARM00$B;                                              
IDENT ARUR=(ARL1-ARJ)/(ARL1);                                                 
IDENT ARJMIN=ARY/ARLAM;                                                       
  IDENT ARZZ=LOG(ARY)-LOG(ARYS);                                              
IDENT ARPM=ARPSI2*ARPMP;                                                      
IDENT ARH=ARE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT ARNW=ARNW(-4)+ARI+ARV1+AREX-ARIM;                                       
IDENT ARPX$=(ARE00/ARE)*ARPX;                                                 
GENR ARLCIGZ=LOG((ARC+ARI+ARG)/ARPOP);                                        
GENR ARLIMZ=LOG(ARIM/ARPOP);                                                  
GENR ARLPY=LOG(ARPY);                                                         
GENR ARLPM=LOG(ARPM);                                                         
GENR ARLYZ=LOG(ARY/ARPOP);                                                    
GENR ARAZ=ARA/(ARYS*ARPY);                                                    
GENR ARLW=LOG(ARW);                                                           
GENR ARLCZ=LOG(ARC/ARPOP);                                                    
GENR ARLM1Z=LOG(ARM1/(ARPOP*ARPY));                                           
GENR ARLM1ZL=LOG(ARM1(-4)/(ARPOP(-4)*ARPY));                                  
GENR ARLE=LOG(ARE);                                                           
GENR ARLJ1=LOG(ARJ/ARJ(-4));                                                  
GENR ARLY1=LOG(ARY/ARY(-4));                                                  
GENR ARLEXL=LOG(ARJ/ARJMIN);                                                  
GENR ARLL1Z=LOG(ARL1/ARPOP1);                                                 
GENR ARPCPY=100*((ARPY/ARPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR ARLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+ARRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR ARLPYZ=LOG(ARPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR ARLPYZZ=LOG(ARPY/    ARPM);                                              
GENR ARRBZ=      ARRB-    ARRS(-4);                                           
GENR ARRBZZ=     ARRB(-4)-ARRS(-4);                                           
GENR ARRSZ=      ARRS-    ARRS(-4);                                           
GENR ARLWZ=LOG(  ARW/     ARPY);                                              
GENR ARLE1=ARLE-ARLE(-4);                                                     
GENR ARLEA=ARLPYZ-ARLE(-4);                                                   
GENR ARLPXA=LOG(ARPX/(ARPW$*(ARE/ARE00)));                                    
GENR ARLPXB=LOG(ARPY/(ARPW$*(ARE/ARE00)));                                    
GENR ARLPXC=LOG(ARPW$*(ARE/ARE00));                                           
GENR ARLPX=LOG(ARPX);                                                         
GENR ARLI=LOG(ARI);                                                           
GENR ARLY=LOG(ARY);                                                           
EQ 297 ARLCZ ARLYZ                                                            
 ARLCZ(-4) C                                                                  
;                                                                             
EQUATION 297  ARLCZ  
   RHS     ARLYZ  ARLCZ(-4)  C  
LHS ARC=EXP(ARLCZ)*ARPOP;                                                     
@IDENT BRV1=BRY-BRX;                                                          
IDENT BRV1PCT=BRV1/BRYS;                                                      
IDENT BRV=BRV(-4)+BRV1;                                                       
 IDENT BRM=(BRIM-BRIMDS)/BRPM00-BRMS;                                         
  IDENT BREX=BRPX00*(BRE00*BRX00$+BRXS)+BREXDS;                               
  IDENT BRX=BRC+BRI+BRG+BREX-BRIM+BRSTAT;                                     
  IDENT BRY=BRX+BRV1;                                                         
  IDENT BRS=BRPX*(BRE00*BRX00$+BRXS)-BRPM*(BRM+BRMS)+BRTT;                    
IDENT BRSPCT=BRS/(BRYS*BRPY);                                                 
IDENT BRA=BRA(-4)+BRS;                                                        
IDENT BRM00$A=BRM/BRE00-BRM00$B;                                              
IDENT BRUR=(BRL1-BRJ)/(BRL1);                                                 
IDENT BRJMIN=BRY/BRLAM;                                                       
  IDENT BRZZ=LOG(BRY)-LOG(BRYS);                                              
IDENT BRPM=BRPSI2*BRPMP;                                                      
IDENT BRH=BRE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT BRNW=BRNW(-4)+BRI+BRV1+BREX-BRIM;                                       
IDENT BRPX$=(BRE00/BRE)*BRPX;                                                 
GENR BRLCIGZ=LOG((BRC+BRI+BRG)/BRPOP);                                        
GENR BRLIMZ=LOG(BRIM/BRPOP);                                                  
GENR BRLPY=LOG(BRPY);                                                         
GENR BRLPM=LOG(BRPM);                                                         
GENR BRLYZ=LOG(BRY/BRPOP);                                                    
GENR BRAZ=BRA/(BRYS*BRPY);                                                    
GENR BRLW=LOG(BRW);                                                           
GENR BRLCZ=LOG(BRC/BRPOP);                                                    
GENR BRLM1Z=LOG(BRM1/(BRPOP*BRPY));                                           
GENR BRLM1ZL=LOG(BRM1(-4)/(BRPOP(-4)*BRPY));                                  
GENR BRLE=LOG(BRE);                                                           
GENR BRLJ1=LOG(BRJ/BRJ(-4));                                                  
GENR BRLY1=LOG(BRY/BRY(-4));                                                  
GENR BRLEXL=LOG(BRJ/BRJMIN);                                                  
GENR BRLL1Z=LOG(BRL1/BRPOP1);                                                 
GENR BRPCPY=100*((BRPY/BRPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR BRLRSZ=.25*LOG((1+BRRS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR BRLPYZ=LOG(BRPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR BRLPYZZ=LOG(BRPY/    BRPM);                                              
GENR BRRBZ=      BRRB-    BRRS(-4);                                           
GENR BRRBZZ=     BRRB(-4)-BRRS(-4);                                           
GENR BRRSZ=      BRRS-    BRRS(-4);                                           
GENR BRLWZ=LOG(  BRW/     BRPY);                                              
GENR BRLE1=BRLE-BRLE(-4);                                                     
GENR BRLEA=BRLPYZ-BRLE(-4);                                                   
GENR BRLPXA=LOG(BRPX/(BRPW$*(BRE/BRE00)));                                    
GENR BRLPXB=LOG(BRPY/(BRPW$*(BRE/BRE00)));                                    
GENR BRLPXC=LOG(BRPW$*(BRE/BRE00));                                           
GENR BRLPX=LOG(BRPX);                                                         
GENR BRLI=LOG(BRI);                                                           
GENR BRLY=LOG(BRY);                                                           
EQ 298 BRLIMZ C BRLIMZ(-4) BRLCIGZ;                                           
EQUATION 298  BRLIMZ  
   RHS     C  BRLIMZ(-4)  BRLCIGZ  
LHS BRIM=EXP(BRLIMZ)*BRPOP;                                                   
EQ 299 BRLCZ C BRLCZ(-4) BRLYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 299  BRLCZ  
   RHS     C  BRLCZ(-4)  BRLYZ  
LHS BRC=EXP(BRLCZ)*BRPOP;                                                     
@IDENT CEV1=CEY-CEX;                                                          
IDENT CEV1PCT=CEV1/CEYS;                                                      
IDENT CEV=CEV(-4)+CEV1;                                                       
 IDENT CEM=(CEIM-CEIMDS)/CEPM00-CEMS;                                         
  IDENT CEEX=CEPX00*(CEE00*CEX00$+CEXS)+CEEXDS;                               
  IDENT CEX=CEC+CEI+CEG+CEEX-CEIM+CESTAT;                                     
  IDENT CEY=CEX+CEV1;                                                         
  IDENT CES=CEPX*(CEE00*CEX00$+CEXS)-CEPM*(CEM+CEMS)+CETT;                    
IDENT CESPCT=CES/(CEYS*CEPY);                                                 
IDENT CEA=CEA(-4)+CES;                                                        
IDENT CEM00$A=CEM/CEE00-CEM00$B;                                              
IDENT CEUR=(CEL1-CEJ)/(CEL1);                                                 
IDENT CEJMIN=CEY/CELAM;                                                       
  IDENT CEZZ=LOG(CEY)-LOG(CEYS);                                              
IDENT CEPM=CEPSI2*CEPMP;                                                      
IDENT CEH=CEE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT CENW=CENW(-4)+CEI+CEV1+CEEX-CEIM;                                       
IDENT CEPX$=(CEE00/CEE)*CEPX;                                                 
GENR CELCIGZ=LOG((CEC+CEI+CEG)/CEPOP);                                        
GENR CELIMZ=LOG(CEIM/CEPOP);                                                  
GENR CELPY=LOG(CEPY);                                                         
GENR CELPM=LOG(CEPM);                                                         
GENR CELYZ=LOG(CEY/CEPOP);                                                    
GENR CEAZ=CEA/(CEYS*CEPY);                                                    
GENR CELW=LOG(CEW);                                                           
GENR CELCZ=LOG(CEC/CEPOP);                                                    
GENR CELM1Z=LOG(CEM1/(CEPOP*CEPY));                                           
GENR CELM1ZL=LOG(CEM1(-4)/(CEPOP(-4)*CEPY));                                  
GENR CELE=LOG(CEE);                                                           
GENR CELJ1=LOG(CEJ/CEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR CELY1=LOG(CEY/CEY(-4));                                                  
GENR CELEXL=LOG(CEJ/CEJMIN);                                                  
GENR CELL1Z=LOG(CEL1/CEPOP1);                                                 
GENR CEPCPY=100*((CEPY/CEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR CELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+CERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR CELPYZ=LOG(CEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR CELPYZZ=LOG(CEPY/    CEPM);                                              
GENR CERBZ=      CERB-    CERS(-4);                                           
GENR CERBZZ=     CERB(-4)-CERS(-4);                                           
GENR CERSZ=      CERS-    CERS(-4);                                           
GENR CELWZ=LOG(  CEW/     CEPY);                                              
GENR CELE1=CELE-CELE(-4);                                                     
GENR CELEA=CELPYZ-CELE(-4);                                                   
GENR CELPXA=LOG(CEPX/(CEPW$*(CEE/CEE00)));                                    
GENR CELPXB=LOG(CEPY/(CEPW$*(CEE/CEE00)));                                    
GENR CELPXC=LOG(CEPW$*(CEE/CEE00));                                           
GENR CELPX=LOG(CEPX);                                                         
GENR CELI=LOG(CEI);                                                           
GENR CELY=LOG(CEY);                                                           
EQ 300 CELIMZ C CELIMZ(-4) CELCIGZ ;                                          
EQUATION 300  CELIMZ  
   RHS     C  CELIMZ(-4)  CELCIGZ  
LHS CEIM=EXP(CELIMZ)*CEPOP;                                                   
EQ 301 CELCZ C CELCZ(-4) CELYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 301  CELCZ  
   RHS     C  CELCZ(-4)  CELYZ  
LHS CEC=EXP(CELCZ)*CEPOP;                                                     
EQ 302 CELPY CELPY(-4) C TN CELPM                                             
 CEZZ(-4)                                                                     
;                                                                             
EQUATION 302  CELPY  
   RHS     CELPY(-4)  C  TN  CELPM  CEZZ(-4)  
LHS CEPY=EXP(CELPY);                                                          
@IDENT MEV1=MEY-MEX;                                                          
IDENT MEV1PCT=MEV1/MEYS;                                                      
IDENT MEV=MEV(-4)+MEV1;                                                       
 IDENT MEM=(MEIM-MEIMDS)/MEPM00-MEMS;                                         
  IDENT MEEX=MEPX00*(MEE00*MEX00$+MEXS)+MEEXDS;                               
  IDENT MEX=MEC+MEI+MEG+MEEX-MEIM+MESTAT;                                     
  IDENT MEY=MEX+MEV1;                                                         
  IDENT MES=MEPX*(MEE00*MEX00$+MEXS)-MEPM*(MEM+MEMS)+METT;                    
IDENT MESPCT=MES/(MEYS*MEPY);                                                 
IDENT MEA=MEA(-4)+MES;                                                        
IDENT MEM00$A=MEM/MEE00-MEM00$B;                                              
IDENT MEUR=(MEL1-MEJ)/(MEL1);                                                 
IDENT MEJMIN=MEY/MELAM;                                                       
  IDENT MEZZ=LOG(MEY)-LOG(MEYS);                                              
IDENT MEPM=MEPSI2*MEPMP;                                                      
IDENT MEH=MEE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT MENW=MENW(-4)+MEI+MEV1+MEEX-MEIM;                                       
IDENT MEPX$=(MEE00/MEE)*MEPX;                                                 
GENR MELCIGZ=LOG((MEC+MEI+MEG)/MEPOP);                                        
GENR MELIMZ=LOG(MEIM/MEPOP);                                                  
GENR MELPY=LOG(MEPY);                                                         
GENR MELPM=LOG(MEPM);                                                         
GENR MELYZ=LOG(MEY/MEPOP);                                                    
GENR MEAZ=MEA/(MEYS*MEPY);                                                    
GENR MELW=LOG(MEW);                                                           
GENR MELCZ=LOG(MEC/MEPOP);                                                    
GENR MELM1Z=LOG(MEM1/(MEPOP*MEPY));                                           
GENR MELM1ZL=LOG(MEM1(-4)/(MEPOP(-4)*MEPY));                                  
GENR MELE=LOG(MEE);                                                           
GENR MELJ1=LOG(MEJ/MEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR MELY1=LOG(MEY/MEY(-4));                                                  
GENR MELEXL=LOG(MEJ/MEJMIN);                                                  
GENR MELL1Z=LOG(MEL1/MEPOP1);                                                 
GENR MEPCPY=100*((MEPY/MEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR MELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+MERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR MELPYZ=LOG(MEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR MELPYZZ=LOG(MEPY/    MEPM);                                              
GENR MERBZ=      MERB-    MERS(-4);                                           
GENR MERBZZ=     MERB(-4)-MERS(-4);                                           
GENR MERSZ=      MERS-    MERS(-4);                                           
GENR MELWZ=LOG(  MEW/     MEPY);                                              
GENR MELE1=MELE-MELE(-4);                                                     
GENR MELEA=MELPYZ-MELE(-4);                                                   
GENR MELPXA=LOG(MEPX/(MEPW$*(MEE/MEE00)));                                    
GENR MELPXB=LOG(MEPY/(MEPW$*(MEE/MEE00)));                                    
GENR MELPXC=LOG(MEPW$*(MEE/MEE00));                                           
GENR MELPX=LOG(MEPX);                                                         
GENR MELI=LOG(MEI);                                                           
GENR MELY=LOG(MEY);                                                           
EQ 303 MELIMZ C MELIMZ(-4) MELPYZZ  MELCIGZ;                                  
EQUATION 303  MELIMZ  
   RHS     C  MELIMZ(-4)  MELPYZZ  MELCIGZ  
LHS MEIM=EXP(MELIMZ)*MEPOP;                                                   
EQ 304 MELCZ C MELCZ(-4) MELYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 304  MELCZ  
   RHS     C  MELCZ(-4)  MELYZ  
LHS MEC=EXP(MELCZ)*MEPOP;                                                     
@EQ  11 MELPXA MELPXB RHO=8;                                                  
EQ 305  MELPXA;                                                               
EQUATION 305  MELPXA  
NLEQ MELPXA=.5*(MELPXB-COEF(1,305)*MELPXB(-4)-COEF(2,305)*MELPXB(-8))         
 +COEF(1,305)*MELPXA(-4)+COEF(2,305)*MELPXA(-8);                              
LHS MEPX=EXP(MELPXA)*(MEPW$*(MEE/MEE00));                                     
@IDENT PEV1=PEY-PEXZ;                                                         
IDENT PEV1PCT=PEV1/PEYS;                                                      
IDENT PEV=PEV(-4)+PEV1;                                                       
 IDENT PEM=(PEIM-PEIMDS)/PEPM00-PEMS;                                         
  IDENT PEEX=PEPX00*(PEE00*PEX00$+PEXS)+PEEXDS;                               
  IDENT PEXZ=PEC+PEI+PEG+PEEX-PEIM+PESTAT;                                    
  IDENT PEY=PEXZ+PEV1;                                                        
  IDENT PES=PEPX*(PEE00*PEX00$+PEXS)-PEPM*(PEM+PEMS)+PETT;                    
IDENT PESPCT=PES/(PEYS*PEPY);                                                 
IDENT PEA=PEA(-4)+PES;                                                        
IDENT PEM00$A=PEM/PEE00-PEM00$B;                                              
IDENT PEUR=(PEL1-PEJ)/(PEL1);                                                 
IDENT PEJMIN=PEY/PELAM;                                                       
  IDENT PEZZ=LOG(PEY)-LOG(PEYS);                                              
IDENT PEPM=PEPSI2*PEPMP;                                                      
IDENT PEH=PEE/GEGEEN;                                                         
IDENT PENW=PENW(-4)+PEI+PEV1+PEEX-PEIM;                                       
IDENT PEPX$=(PEE00/PEE)*PEPX;                                                 
GENR PELCIGZ=LOG((PEC+PEI+PEG)/PEPOP);                                        
GENR PELIMZ=LOG(PEIM/PEPOP);                                                  
GENR PELPY=LOG(PEPY);                                                         
GENR PELPM=LOG(PEPM);                                                         
GENR PELYZ=LOG(PEY/PEPOP);                                                    
GENR PEAZ=PEA/(PEYS*PEPY);                                                    
GENR PELW=LOG(PEW);                                                           
GENR PELCZ=LOG(PEC/PEPOP);                                                    
GENR PELM1Z=LOG(PEM1/(PEPOP*PEPY));                                           
GENR PELM1ZL=LOG(PEM1(-4)/(PEPOP(-4)*PEPY));                                  
GENR PELE=LOG(PEE);                                                           
GENR PELJ1=LOG(PEJ/PEJ(-4));                                                  
GENR PELY1=LOG(PEY/PEY(-4));                                                  
GENR PELEXL=LOG(PEJ/PEJMIN);                                                  
GENR PELL1Z=LOG(PEL1/PEPOP1);                                                 
GENR PEPCPY=100*((PEPY/PEPY(-4))**1-1);                                       
GENR PELRSZ=.25*LOG((1+PERS/100.)/(1+USRSN/100.));                            
GENR PELPYZ=LOG(PEPY/USPYN);                                                  
GENR PELPYZZ=LOG(PEPY/    PEPM);                                              
GENR PERBZ=      PERB-    PERS(-4);                                           
GENR PERBZZ=     PERB(-4)-PERS(-4);                                           
GENR PERSZ=      PERS-    PERS(-4);                                           
GENR PELWZ=LOG(  PEW/     PEPY);                                              
GENR PELE1=PELE-PELE(-4);                                                     
GENR PELEA=PELPYZ-PELE(-4);                                                   
GENR PELPXA=LOG(PEPX/(PEPW$*(PEE/PEE00)));                                    
GENR PELPXB=LOG(PEPY/(PEPW$*(PEE/PEE00)));                                    
GENR PELPXC=LOG(PEPW$*(PEE/PEE00));                                           
GENR PELPX=LOG(PEPX);                                                         
GENR PELI=LOG(PEI);                                                           
GENR PELY=LOG(PEY);                                                           
EQ 306 PELIMZ C PELCIGZ;                                                      
EQUATION 306  PELIMZ  
   RHS     C  PELCIGZ  
LHS PEIM=EXP(PELIMZ)*PEPOP;                                                   
EQ 307 PELCZ C PELCZ(-4) PELYZ                                                
;                                                                             
EQUATION 307  PELCZ  
   RHS     C  PELCZ(-4)  PELYZ  
LHS PEC=EXP(PELCZ)*PEPOP;                                                     
IDENT EUY=EU1*(GEY+AUY/(AUE00/GEE00)+FRY/(FRE00/GEE00)+ITY/(ITE00/GEE00)      
 +NEY/(NEE00/GEE00)+FIY/(FIE00/GEE00))+(1-EU1)*GEY                            
;                                                                             
@ +BEYQ/(BEE00Q/GEE00)+IRYQ/(IRE00Q/GEE00)+POYQ/(POE00Q/GEE00)                
@ +SPYQ/(SPE00Q/GEE00);                                                       
IDENT EUYS=EU1*(GEYS+AUYS/(AUE00/GEE00)+FRYS/(FRE00/GEE00)+ITYS/(ITE00/GEE00) 
 +NEYS/(NEE00/GEE00)+FIYS/(FIE00/GEE00))+(1-EU1)*GEYS                         
;                                                                             
@ +BEYSQ/(BEE00Q/GEE00)+IRYSQ/(IRE00Q/GEE00)+POYSQ/(POE00Q/GEE00)             
@ +SPYSQ/(SPE00Q/GEE00);                                                      
IDENT EUYY=EU1*(GEPY*GEY+(AUPY*AUY)/AUH+(FRPY*FRY)/FRH+(ITPY*ITY)/ITH         
 +(NEPY*NEY)/NEH+(FIPY*FIY)/FIH)+(1-EU1)*GEPY*GEY                             
;                                                                             
@ +(BEPYQ*BEYQ)/(BEEQ/GEE)+(IRPYQ*IRYQ)/(IREQ/GEE)                            
@ +(POPYQ*POYQ)/(POEQ/GEE)+(SPPYQ*SPYQ)/(SPEQ/GEE);                           
IDENT EUPY=EUYY/EUY;                                                          
IDENT EUZZ=LOG(EUY)-LOG(EUYS);                                                
GENR EULPY=LOG(EUPY);                                                         
GENR EUYZ=EUY/EUPOP;                                                          
GENR EULYZ=LOG(EUY/EUPOP);                                                    
GENR EULE=LOG(EUE);                                                           
GENR EUPCPY=100*((EUPY/EUPY(-1))**4-1);                                       
GENR EULRSZ=.25*LOG((1+EURS/100.)/(1+USRS/100.));                             
GENR EULPYZ=LOG(EUPY/USPY);                                                   
GENR EURBZ=      EURB-    EURS(-2);                                           
GENR EURBZZ=     EURB(-1)-EURS(-2);                                           
GENR EURSZ=      EURS-    EURS(-2);                                           
GENR EURSZZ=     EURS(-1)-EURS(-2);                                           
GENR EULE1=EULE-EULE(-1);                                                     
GENR EULEA=EULPYZ-EULE(-1);                                                   
GENR EUGA1=100*(EUY/EUYS-USY/USYS);                                           
GENR EUGA2=100*((EUYZ/EUYZ(-1))**4-1.)                                        
          -100*(((USY/USPOP)/(USY(-1)/USPOP(-1)))**4-1.);                     
EQ 308 EURS C EURS(-1) EUZZ USRS EUPCPY(-1)                                   
 FSR C EULPY(-1) EULYZ(-1) EURB(-1)                                           
 EURS(-1) EUZZ(-1) USRS(-1) EUPCPY(-1)                                        
;                                                                             
EQUATION 308  EURS  
   RHS     C  EURS(-1)  EUZZ  USRS  EUPCPY(-1)  
   FSR     C  EULPY(-1)  EULYZ(-1)  EURB(-1)  EURS(-1)  EUZZ(-1)  
   FSR     USRS(-1)  EUPCPY(-1)  
LHS EURS=(ABS(EURS-.0)+EURS-.0)/2.+.0;                                        
EQ 309 EURBZ C EURBZZ EURSZ EURSZZ                                            
 FSR C EULPY(-1) EULYZ(-1) EURB(-1)                                           
 EURB(-2) EURS(-1) EURS(-2)                                                   
 EUZZ(-1) USRS(-1) EUPCPY(-1)                                                 
;                                                                             
EQUATION 309  EURBZ  
   RHS     C  EURBZZ  EURSZ  EURSZZ  
   FSR     C  EULPY(-1)  EULYZ(-1)  EURB(-1)  EURB(-2)  EURS(-1)  
   FSR     EURS(-2)  EUZZ(-1)  USRS(-1)  EUPCPY(-1)  
LHS  EURB=       EURBZ+   EURS(-2);                                           
EQ 310 EULE1 C EULEA EULRSZ RHO=1                                             
 FSR C EULPY(-1) EULYZ(-1) EURB(-1)                                           
 EULE1(-1) EULEA(-1) EULRSZ(-1)                                               
;                                                                             
EQUATION 310  EULE1  RHO=1  
   RHS     C  EULEA  EULRSZ  
   FSR     C  EULPY(-1)  EULYZ(-1)  EURB(-1)  EULE1(-1)  EULEA(-1)  
   FSR     EULRSZ(-1)  
LHS  EUE=EXP(EULE1)*EUE(-1);                                                  
@                                                                             
@ The following are tricks needed to link the annual and quarterly data.      
@                                                                             
GENR VV1=BEE;                                                                 
GENR BEEN=CC*VV1+CC(-1)*VV1(-1)+CC(-2)*VV1(-2)+CC(-3)*VV1(-3);                
GENR BEEQ=(BEEN/BEEA)*BEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV2=BEPX;                                                                
GENR BEPXN=CC*VV2+CC(-1)*VV2(-1)+CC(-2)*VV2(-2)+CC(-3)*VV2(-3);               
GENR BEPXQ=(BEPXN/BEPXA)*BEPXZ;                                               
GENR BEPX$Q=(BEE00Z/BEEQ)*BEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV3=BEM00$A;                                                             
GENR BEM00$AN=CC*VV3+CC(-1)*VV3(-1)+CC(-2)*VV3(-2)+CC(-3)*VV3(-3);            
GENR BEM00$AQ=(BEM00$AN/BEM00$AA)*BEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV4=DEE;                                                                 
GENR DEEN=CC*VV4+CC(-1)*VV4(-1)+CC(-2)*VV4(-2)+CC(-3)*VV4(-3);                
GENR DEEQ=(DEEN/DEEA)*DEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV5=DEPX;                                                                
GENR DEPXN=CC*VV5+CC(-1)*VV5(-1)+CC(-2)*VV5(-2)+CC(-3)*VV5(-3);               
GENR DEPXQ=(DEPXN/DEPXA)*DEPXZ;                                               
GENR DEPX$Q=(DEE00Z/DEEQ)*DEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV6=DEM00$A;                                                             
GENR DEM00$AN=CC*VV6+CC(-1)*VV6(-1)+CC(-2)*VV6(-2)+CC(-3)*VV6(-3);            
GENR DEM00$AQ=(DEM00$AN/DEM00$AA)*DEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV7=NOE;                                                                 
GENR NOEN=CC*VV7+CC(-1)*VV7(-1)+CC(-2)*VV7(-2)+CC(-3)*VV7(-3);                
GENR NOEQ=(NOEN/NOEA)*NOEZ;                                                   
GENR VV8=NOPX;                                                                
GENR NOPXN=CC*VV8+CC(-1)*VV8(-1)+CC(-2)*VV8(-2)+CC(-3)*VV8(-3);               
GENR NOPXQ=(NOPXN/NOPXA)*NOPXZ;                                               
GENR NOPX$Q=(NOE00Z/NOEQ)*NOPXQ;                                              
GENR VV9=NOM00$A;                                                             
GENR NOM00$AN=CC*VV9+CC(-1)*VV9(-1)+CC(-2)*VV9(-2)+CC(-3)*VV9(-3);            
GENR NOM00$AQ=(NOM00$AN/NOM00$AA)*NOM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV10=SWE;                                                                
GENR SWEN=CC*VV10+CC(-1)*VV10(-1)+CC(-2)*VV10(-2)+CC(-3)*VV10(-3);            
GENR SWEQ=(SWEN/SWEA)*SWEZ;                                                   
GENR VV11=SWPX;                                                               
GENR SWPXN=CC*VV11+CC(-1)*VV11(-1)+CC(-2)*VV11(-2)+CC(-3)*VV11(-3);           
GENR SWPXQ=(SWPXN/SWPXA)*SWPXZ;                                               
GENR SWPX$Q=(SWE00Z/SWEQ)*SWPXQ;                                              
GENR VV12=SWM00$A;                                                            
GENR SWM00$AN=CC*VV12+CC(-1)*VV12(-1)+CC(-2)*VV12(-2)+CC(-3)*VV12(-3);        
GENR SWM00$AQ=(SWM00$AN/SWM00$AA)*SWM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV13=GRE;                                                                
GENR GREN=CC*VV13+CC(-1)*VV13(-1)+CC(-2)*VV13(-2)+CC(-3)*VV13(-3);            
GENR GREQ=(GREN/GREA)*GREZ;                                                   
GENR VV14=GRPX;                                                               
GENR GRPXN=CC*VV14+CC(-1)*VV14(-1)+CC(-2)*VV14(-2)+CC(-3)*VV14(-3);           
GENR GRPXQ=(GRPXN/GRPXA)*GRPXZ;                                               
GENR GRPX$Q=(GRE00Z/GREQ)*GRPXQ;                                              
GENR VV15=GRM00$A;                                                            
GENR GRM00$AN=CC*VV15+CC(-1)*VV15(-1)+CC(-2)*VV15(-2)+CC(-3)*VV15(-3);        
GENR GRM00$AQ=(GRM00$AN/GRM00$AA)*GRM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV16=IRE;                                                                
GENR IREN=CC*VV16+CC(-1)*VV16(-1)+CC(-2)*VV16(-2)+CC(-3)*VV16(-3);            
GENR IREQ=(IREN/IREA)*IREZ;                                                   
GENR VV17=IRPX;                                                               
GENR IRPXN=CC*VV17+CC(-1)*VV17(-1)+CC(-2)*VV17(-2)+CC(-3)*VV17(-3);           
GENR IRPXQ=(IRPXN/IRPXA)*IRPXZ;                                               
GENR IRPX$Q=(IRE00Z/IREQ)*IRPXQ;                                              
GENR VV18=IRM00$A;                                                            
GENR IRM00$AN=CC*VV18+CC(-1)*VV18(-1)+CC(-2)*VV18(-2)+CC(-3)*VV18(-3);        
GENR IRM00$AQ=(IRM00$AN/IRM00$AA)*IRM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV19=POE;                                                                
GENR POEN=CC*VV19+CC(-1)*VV19(-1)+CC(-2)*VV19(-2)+CC(-3)*VV19(-3);            
GENR POEQ=(POEN/POEA)*POEZ;                                                   
GENR VV20=POPX;                                                               
GENR POPXN=CC*VV20+CC(-1)*VV20(-1)+CC(-2)*VV20(-2)+CC(-3)*VV20(-3);           
GENR POPXQ=(POPXN/POPXA)*POPXZ;                                               
GENR POPX$Q=(POE00Z/POEQ)*POPXQ;                                              
GENR VV21=POM00$A;                                                            
GENR POM00$AN=CC*VV21+CC(-1)*VV21(-1)+CC(-2)*VV21(-2)+CC(-3)*VV21(-3);        
GENR POM00$AQ=(POM00$AN/POM00$AA)*POM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV22=SPE;                                                                
GENR SPEN=CC*VV22+CC(-1)*VV22(-1)+CC(-2)*VV22(-2)+CC(-3)*VV22(-3);            
GENR SPEQ=(SPEN/SPEA)*SPEZ;                                                   
GENR VV23=SPPX;                                                               
GENR SPPXN=CC*VV23+CC(-1)*VV23(-1)+CC(-2)*VV23(-2)+CC(-3)*VV23(-3);           
GENR SPPXQ=(SPPXN/SPPXA)*SPPXZ;                                               
GENR SPPX$Q=(SPE00Z/SPEQ)*SPPXQ;                                              
GENR VV24=SPM00$A;                                                            
GENR SPM00$AN=CC*VV24+CC(-1)*VV24(-1)+CC(-2)*VV24(-2)+CC(-3)*VV24(-3);        
GENR SPM00$AQ=(SPM00$AN/SPM00$AA)*SPM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV25=NZE;                                                                
GENR NZEN=CC*VV25+CC(-1)*VV25(-1)+CC(-2)*VV25(-2)+CC(-3)*VV25(-3);            
GENR NZEQ=(NZEN/NZEA)*NZEZ;                                                   
GENR VV26=NZPX;                                                               
GENR NZPXN=CC*VV26+CC(-1)*VV26(-1)+CC(-2)*VV26(-2)+CC(-3)*VV26(-3);           
GENR NZPXQ=(NZPXN/NZPXA)*NZPXZ;                                               
GENR NZPX$Q=(NZE00Z/NZEQ)*NZPXQ;                                              
GENR VV27=NZM00$A;                                                            
GENR NZM00$AN=CC*VV27+CC(-1)*VV27(-1)+CC(-2)*VV27(-2)+CC(-3)*VV27(-3);        
GENR NZM00$AQ=(NZM00$AN/NZM00$AA)*NZM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV28=SAE;                                                                
GENR SAEN=CC*VV28+CC(-1)*VV28(-1)+CC(-2)*VV28(-2)+CC(-3)*VV28(-3);            
GENR SAEQ=(SAEN/SAEA)*SAEZ;                                                   
GENR VV29=SAPX;                                                               
GENR SAPXN=CC*VV29+CC(-1)*VV29(-1)+CC(-2)*VV29(-2)+CC(-3)*VV29(-3);           
GENR SAPXQ=(SAPXN/SAPXA)*SAPXZ;                                               
GENR SAPX$Q=(SAE00Z/SAEQ)*SAPXQ;                                              
GENR VV30=SAM00$A;                                                            
GENR SAM00$AN=CC*VV30+CC(-1)*VV30(-1)+CC(-2)*VV30(-2)+CC(-3)*VV30(-3);        
GENR SAM00$AQ=(SAM00$AN/SAM00$AA)*SAM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV31=VEE;                                                                
GENR VEEN=CC*VV31+CC(-1)*VV31(-1)+CC(-2)*VV31(-2)+CC(-3)*VV31(-3);            
GENR VEEQ=(VEEN/VEEA)*VEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV32=VEPX;                                                               
GENR VEPXN=CC*VV32+CC(-1)*VV32(-1)+CC(-2)*VV32(-2)+CC(-3)*VV32(-3);           
GENR VEPXQ=(VEPXN/VEPXA)*VEPXZ;                                               
GENR VEPX$Q=(VEE00Z/VEEQ)*VEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV33=VEM00$A;                                                            
GENR VEM00$AN=CC*VV33+CC(-1)*VV33(-1)+CC(-2)*VV33(-2)+CC(-3)*VV33(-3);        
GENR VEM00$AQ=(VEM00$AN/VEM00$AA)*VEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV34=COE;                                                                
GENR COEN=CC*VV34+CC(-1)*VV34(-1)+CC(-2)*VV34(-2)+CC(-3)*VV34(-3);            
GENR COEQ=(COEN/COEA)*COEZ;                                                   
GENR VV35=COPX;                                                               
GENR COPXN=CC*VV35+CC(-1)*VV35(-1)+CC(-2)*VV35(-2)+CC(-3)*VV35(-3);           
GENR COPXQ=(COPXN/COPXA)*COPXZ;                                               
GENR COPX$Q=(COE00Z/COEQ)*COPXQ;                                              
GENR VV36=COM00$A;                                                            
GENR COM00$AN=CC*VV36+CC(-1)*VV36(-1)+CC(-2)*VV36(-2)+CC(-3)*VV36(-3);        
GENR COM00$AQ=(COM00$AN/COM00$AA)*COM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV37=JOE;                                                                
GENR JOEN=CC*VV37+CC(-1)*VV37(-1)+CC(-2)*VV37(-2)+CC(-3)*VV37(-3);            
GENR JOEQ=(JOEN/JOEA)*JOEZ;                                                   
GENR VV38=JOPX;                                                               
GENR JOPXN=CC*VV38+CC(-1)*VV38(-1)+CC(-2)*VV38(-2)+CC(-3)*VV38(-3);           
GENR JOPXQ=(JOPXN/JOPXA)*JOPXZ;                                               
GENR JOPX$Q=(JOE00Z/JOEQ)*JOPXQ;                                              
GENR VV39=JOM00$A;                                                            
GENR JOM00$AN=CC*VV39+CC(-1)*VV39(-1)+CC(-2)*VV39(-2)+CC(-3)*VV39(-3);        
GENR JOM00$AQ=(JOM00$AN/JOM00$AA)*JOM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV40=SYE;                                                                
GENR SYEN=CC*VV40+CC(-1)*VV40(-1)+CC(-2)*VV40(-2)+CC(-3)*VV40(-3);            
GENR SYEQ=(SYEN/SYEA)*SYEZ;                                                   
GENR VV41=SYPX;                                                               
GENR SYPXN=CC*VV41+CC(-1)*VV41(-1)+CC(-2)*VV41(-2)+CC(-3)*VV41(-3);           
GENR SYPXQ=(SYPXN/SYPXA)*SYPXZ;                                               
GENR SYPX$Q=(SYE00Z/SYEQ)*SYPXQ;                                              
GENR VV42=SYM00$A;                                                            
GENR SYM00$AN=CC*VV42+CC(-1)*VV42(-1)+CC(-2)*VV42(-2)+CC(-3)*VV42(-3);        
GENR SYM00$AQ=(SYM00$AN/SYM00$AA)*SYM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV43=IDE;                                                                
GENR IDEN=CC*VV43+CC(-1)*VV43(-1)+CC(-2)*VV43(-2)+CC(-3)*VV43(-3);            
GENR IDEQ=(IDEN/IDEA)*IDEZ;                                                   
GENR VV44=IDPX;                                                               
GENR IDPXN=CC*VV44+CC(-1)*VV44(-1)+CC(-2)*VV44(-2)+CC(-3)*VV44(-3);           
GENR IDPXQ=(IDPXN/IDPXA)*IDPXZ;                                               
GENR IDPX$Q=(IDE00Z/IDEQ)*IDPXQ;                                              
GENR VV45=IDM00$A;                                                            
GENR IDM00$AN=CC*VV45+CC(-1)*VV45(-1)+CC(-2)*VV45(-2)+CC(-3)*VV45(-3);        
GENR IDM00$AQ=(IDM00$AN/IDM00$AA)*IDM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV46=MAE;                                                                
GENR MAEN=CC*VV46+CC(-1)*VV46(-1)+CC(-2)*VV46(-2)+CC(-3)*VV46(-3);            
GENR MAEQ=(MAEN/MAEA)*MAEZ;                                                   
GENR VV47=MAPX;                                                               
GENR MAPXN=CC*VV47+CC(-1)*VV47(-1)+CC(-2)*VV47(-2)+CC(-3)*VV47(-3);           
GENR MAPXQ=(MAPXN/MAPXA)*MAPXZ;                                               
GENR MAPX$Q=(MAE00Z/MAEQ)*MAPXQ;                                              
GENR VV48=MAM00$A;                                                            
GENR MAM00$AN=CC*VV48+CC(-1)*VV48(-1)+CC(-2)*VV48(-2)+CC(-3)*VV48(-3);        
GENR MAM00$AQ=(MAM00$AN/MAM00$AA)*MAM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV49=PAE;                                                                
GENR PAEN=CC*VV49+CC(-1)*VV49(-1)+CC(-2)*VV49(-2)+CC(-3)*VV49(-3);            
GENR PAEQ=(PAEN/PAEA)*PAEZ;                                                   
GENR VV50=PAPX;                                                               
GENR PAPXN=CC*VV50+CC(-1)*VV50(-1)+CC(-2)*VV50(-2)+CC(-3)*VV50(-3);           
GENR PAPXQ=(PAPXN/PAPXA)*PAPXZ;                                               
GENR PAPX$Q=(PAE00Z/PAEQ)*PAPXQ;                                              
GENR VV51=PAM00$A;                                                            
GENR PAM00$AN=CC*VV51+CC(-1)*VV51(-1)+CC(-2)*VV51(-2)+CC(-3)*VV51(-3);        
GENR PAM00$AQ=(PAM00$AN/PAM00$AA)*PAM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV52=PHE;                                                                
GENR PHEN=CC*VV52+CC(-1)*VV52(-1)+CC(-2)*VV52(-2)+CC(-3)*VV52(-3);            
GENR PHEQ=(PHEN/PHEA)*PHEZ;                                                   
GENR VV53=PHPX;                                                               
GENR PHPXN=CC*VV53+CC(-1)*VV53(-1)+CC(-2)*VV53(-2)+CC(-3)*VV53(-3);           
GENR PHPXQ=(PHPXN/PHPXA)*PHPXZ;                                               
GENR PHPX$Q=(PHE00Z/PHEQ)*PHPXQ;                                              
GENR VV54=PHM00$A;                                                            
GENR PHM00$AN=CC*VV54+CC(-1)*VV54(-1)+CC(-2)*VV54(-2)+CC(-3)*VV54(-3);        
GENR PHM00$AQ=(PHM00$AN/PHM00$AA)*PHM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV55=THE;                                                                
GENR THEN=CC*VV55+CC(-1)*VV55(-1)+CC(-2)*VV55(-2)+CC(-3)*VV55(-3);            
GENR THEQ=(THEN/THEA)*THEZ;                                                   
GENR VV56=THPX;                                                               
GENR THPXN=CC*VV56+CC(-1)*VV56(-1)+CC(-2)*VV56(-2)+CC(-3)*VV56(-3);           
GENR THPXQ=(THPXN/THPXA)*THPXZ;                                               
GENR THPX$Q=(THE00Z/THEQ)*THPXQ;                                              
GENR VV57=THM00$A;                                                            
GENR THM00$AN=CC*VV57+CC(-1)*VV57(-1)+CC(-2)*VV57(-2)+CC(-3)*VV57(-3);        
GENR THM00$AQ=(THM00$AN/THM00$AA)*THM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV58=CHE;                                                                
GENR CHEN=CC*VV58+CC(-1)*VV58(-1)+CC(-2)*VV58(-2)+CC(-3)*VV58(-3);            
GENR CHEQ=(CHEN/CHEA)*CHEZ;                                                   
GENR VV59=CHPX;                                                               
GENR CHPXN=CC*VV59+CC(-1)*VV59(-1)+CC(-2)*VV59(-2)+CC(-3)*VV59(-3);           
GENR CHPXQ=(CHPXN/CHPXA)*CHPXZ;                                               
GENR CHPX$Q=(CHE00Z/CHEQ)*CHPXQ;                                              
GENR VV60=CHM00$A;                                                            
GENR CHM00$AN=CC*VV60+CC(-1)*VV60(-1)+CC(-2)*VV60(-2)+CC(-3)*VV60(-3);        
GENR CHM00$AQ=(CHM00$AN/CHM00$AA)*CHM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV61=ARE;                                                                
GENR AREN=CC*VV61+CC(-1)*VV61(-1)+CC(-2)*VV61(-2)+CC(-3)*VV61(-3);            
GENR AREQ=(AREN/AREA)*AREZ;                                                   
GENR VV62=ARPX;                                                               
GENR ARPXN=CC*VV62+CC(-1)*VV62(-1)+CC(-2)*VV62(-2)+CC(-3)*VV62(-3);           
GENR ARPXQ=(ARPXN/ARPXA)*ARPXZ;                                               
GENR ARPX$Q=(ARE00Z/AREQ)*ARPXQ;                                              
GENR VV63=ARM00$A;                                                            
GENR ARM00$AN=CC*VV63+CC(-1)*VV63(-1)+CC(-2)*VV63(-2)+CC(-3)*VV63(-3);        
GENR ARM00$AQ=(ARM00$AN/ARM00$AA)*ARM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV64=BRE;                                                                
GENR BREN=CC*VV64+CC(-1)*VV64(-1)+CC(-2)*VV64(-2)+CC(-3)*VV64(-3);            
GENR BREQ=(BREN/BREA)*BREZ;                                                   
GENR VV65=BRPX;                                                               
GENR BRPXN=CC*VV65+CC(-1)*VV65(-1)+CC(-2)*VV65(-2)+CC(-3)*VV65(-3);           
GENR BRPXQ=(BRPXN/BRPXA)*BRPXZ;                                               
GENR BRPX$Q=(BRE00Z/BREQ)*BRPXQ;                                              
GENR VV66=BRM00$A;                                                            
GENR BRM00$AN=CC*VV66+CC(-1)*VV66(-1)+CC(-2)*VV66(-2)+CC(-3)*VV66(-3);        
GENR BRM00$AQ=(BRM00$AN/BRM00$AA)*BRM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV67=CEE;                                                                
GENR CEEN=CC*VV67+CC(-1)*VV67(-1)+CC(-2)*VV67(-2)+CC(-3)*VV67(-3);            
GENR CEEQ=(CEEN/CEEA)*CEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV68=CEPX;                                                               
GENR CEPXN=CC*VV68+CC(-1)*VV68(-1)+CC(-2)*VV68(-2)+CC(-3)*VV68(-3);           
GENR CEPXQ=(CEPXN/CEPXA)*CEPXZ;                                               
GENR CEPX$Q=(CEE00Z/CEEQ)*CEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV69=CEM00$A;                                                            
GENR CEM00$AN=CC*VV69+CC(-1)*VV69(-1)+CC(-2)*VV69(-2)+CC(-3)*VV69(-3);        
GENR CEM00$AQ=(CEM00$AN/CEM00$AA)*CEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV70=MEE;                                                                
GENR MEEN=CC*VV70+CC(-1)*VV70(-1)+CC(-2)*VV70(-2)+CC(-3)*VV70(-3);            
GENR MEEQ=(MEEN/MEEA)*MEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV71=MEPX;                                                               
GENR MEPXN=CC*VV71+CC(-1)*VV71(-1)+CC(-2)*VV71(-2)+CC(-3)*VV71(-3);           
GENR MEPXQ=(MEPXN/MEPXA)*MEPXZ;                                               
GENR MEPX$Q=(MEE00Z/MEEQ)*MEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV72=MEM00$A;                                                            
GENR MEM00$AN=CC*VV72+CC(-1)*VV72(-1)+CC(-2)*VV72(-2)+CC(-3)*VV72(-3);        
GENR MEM00$AQ=(MEM00$AN/MEM00$AA)*MEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV73=PEE;                                                                
GENR PEEN=CC*VV73+CC(-1)*VV73(-1)+CC(-2)*VV73(-2)+CC(-3)*VV73(-3);            
GENR PEEQ=(PEEN/PEEA)*PEEZ;                                                   
GENR VV74=PEPX;                                                               
GENR PEPXN=CC*VV74+CC(-1)*VV74(-1)+CC(-2)*VV74(-2)+CC(-3)*VV74(-3);           
GENR PEPXQ=(PEPXN/PEPXA)*PEPXZ;                                               
GENR PEPX$Q=(PEE00Z/PEEQ)*PEPXQ;                                              
GENR VV75=PEM00$A;                                                            
GENR PEM00$AN=CC*VV75+CC(-1)*VV75(-1)+CC(-2)*VV75(-2)+CC(-3)*VV75(-3);        
GENR PEM00$AQ=(PEM00$AN/PEM00$AA)*PEM00$AZ;                                   
GENR VV76=BEY;                                                                
GENR BEYQ=.25*(CC*VV76+CC(-1)*VV76(-1)+CC(-2)*VV76(-2)+CC(-3)*VV76(-3));      
GENR VV77=BEPY;                                                               
GENR BEPYQ=CC*VV77+CC(-1)*VV77(-1)+CC(-2)*VV77(-2)+CC(-3)*VV77(-3);           
GENR VV78=BEYS;                                                               
GENR BEYSQ=.25*(CC*VV78+CC(-1)*VV78(-1)+CC(-2)*VV78(-2)+CC(-3)*VV78(-3));     
GENR VV79=BES;                                                                
GENR BESQ=.25*(CC*VV79+CC(-1)*VV79(-1)+CC(-2)*VV79(-2)+CC(-3)*VV79(-3));      
GENR VV80=BEE00;                                                              
GENR BEE00Q=CC*VV80+CC(-1)*VV80(-1)+CC(-2)*VV80(-2)+CC(-3)*VV80(-3);          
GENR VV81=IRY;                                                                
GENR IRYQ=.25*(CC*VV81+CC(-1)*VV81(-1)+CC(-2)*VV81(-2)+CC(-3)*VV81(-3));      
GENR VV82=IRPY;                                                               
GENR IRPYQ=CC*VV82+CC(-1)*VV82(-1)+CC(-2)*VV82(-2)+CC(-3)*VV82(-3);           
GENR VV83=IRYS;                                                               
GENR IRYSQ=.25*(CC*VV83+CC(-1)*VV83(-1)+CC(-2)*VV83(-2)+CC(-3)*VV83(-3));     
GENR VV84=IRS;                                                                
GENR IRSQ=.25*(CC*VV84+CC(-1)*VV84(-1)+CC(-2)*VV84(-2)+CC(-3)*VV84(-3));      
GENR VV85=IRE00;                                                              
GENR IRE00Q=CC*VV85+CC(-1)*VV85(-1)+CC(-2)*VV85(-2)+CC(-3)*VV85(-3);          
GENR VV86=POY;                                                                
GENR POYQ=.25*(CC*VV86+CC(-1)*VV86(-1)+CC(-2)*VV86(-2)+CC(-3)*VV86(-3));      
GENR VV87=POPY;                                                               
GENR POPYQ=CC*VV87+CC(-1)*VV87(-1)+CC(-2)*VV87(-2)+CC(-3)*VV87(-3);           
GENR VV88=POYS;                                                               
GENR POYSQ=.25*(CC*VV88+CC(-1)*VV88(-1)+CC(-2)*VV88(-2)+CC(-3)*VV88(-3));     
GENR VV89=POS;                                                                
GENR POSQ=.25*(CC*VV89+CC(-1)*VV89(-1)+CC(-2)*VV89(-2)+CC(-3)*VV89(-3));      
GENR VV90=POE00;                                                              
GENR POE00Q=CC*VV90+CC(-1)*VV90(-1)+CC(-2)*VV90(-2)+CC(-3)*VV90(-3);          
GENR VV91=SPY;                                                                
GENR SPYQ=.25*(CC*VV91+CC(-1)*VV91(-1)+CC(-2)*VV91(-2)+CC(-3)*VV91(-3));      
GENR VV92=SPPY;                                                               
GENR SPPYQ=CC*VV92+CC(-1)*VV92(-1)+CC(-2)*VV92(-2)+CC(-3)*VV92(-3);           
GENR VV93=SPYS;                                                               
GENR SPYSQ=.25*(CC*VV93+CC(-1)*VV93(-1)+CC(-2)*VV93(-2)+CC(-3)*VV93(-3));     
GENR VV94=SPS;                                                                
GENR SPSQ=.25*(CC*VV94+CC(-1)*VV94(-1)+CC(-2)*VV94(-2)+CC(-3)*VV94(-3));      
GENR VV95=SPE00;                                                              
GENR SPE00Q=CC*VV95+CC(-1)*VV95(-1)+CC(-2)*VV95(-2)+CC(-3)*VV95(-3);          
@                                                                             
@ End of tricks.                                                              
@                                                                             
GENR USE=1;                                                                   
GENR USE00=1;                                                                 
GENR USPX$=USPX;                                                              
CREATE SUMUS=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMCA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMJA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMAU=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMFR=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMGE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIT=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMNE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMST=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMUK=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMFI=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMAS=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMKO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMBE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMDE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMNO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSW=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMGR=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIR=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMPO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSP=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMNZ=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMVE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMCO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMJO=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSY=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMID=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMMA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMPA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMPH=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMTH=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMCH=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMAR=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMBR=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMCE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMME=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMPE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMTU=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMPD=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMRU=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMUE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMEG=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIS=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMKE=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMBA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMHK=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMSI=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMVI=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMNI=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMAL=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIN=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMIQ=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMKU=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMLI=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMUA=1;                                                               
CREATE SUMAO=1;                                                               
@                                                                             
@ Do estimation of structural equations                                       
@                                                                             
@ *                                                                           
@ Begin no estimation (comment out)                                           
@                                                                             
INPUT FILE=MCESTSTR.INP;                                                      
Control passed to data set MCESTSTR.INP    
2SLS ;                                                                        
@US                                                                           
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     1  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    1
**********************

Dependent variable = LCSZ    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
  174 AG1      (  0)
  175 AG2      (  0)
  176 AG3      (  0)
  436 LCSZ     ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  415 LYDZ     ( -1)
  168 RSA      ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  415 LYDZ     (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        1.472625842

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.022445661       0.003401602   6.59856     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)      -0.133993171       0.022868372  -5.85932     1.000000
  174 AG1     (  0)      -0.052103091       0.024838332  -2.09769     0.320965
  175 AG2     (  0)      -0.287774383       0.034131929  -8.43124    -0.086665
  176 AG3     (  0)       0.247344973       0.061554386   4.01832    -0.067461
  436 LCSZ    ( -1)       0.817531291       0.023210853  35.22194     1.467453
  415 LYDZ    (  0)       0.120221515       0.023504887   5.11475     1.881586
  168 RSA     (  0)      -0.001151254       0.000226842  -5.07513     3.824044
  437 LAAZ    ( -1)       0.037866131       0.005688147   6.65702     4.766640

SE of equation            =     0.003733070
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.320523727E-02  -0.371003284E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.002860475
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.683653427    
R squared                 =   0.99990
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.50986
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =  15)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.663439144E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     2  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    2
**********************

Dependent variable = LCNZ    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
  174 AG1      (  0)
  175 AG2      (  0)
  176 AG3      (  0)
  438 LCNZ     ( -1)
  439 LCNZ1    ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  415 LYDZ     ( -1)
  169 RMA      ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.561478697

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)      -0.014670677       0.007865448  -1.86521     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)      -0.341126954       0.067733518  -5.03631     1.000000
  174 AG1     (  0)       0.124153787       0.050762509   2.44578     0.320965
  175 AG2     (  0)       0.124364799       0.059613214   2.08620    -0.086665
  176 AG3     (  0)      -0.309846196       0.118744472  -2.60935    -0.067461
  438 LCNZ    ( -1)       0.740457997       0.043677356  16.95290     0.558622
  439 LCNZ1   ( -1)       0.214353698       0.059630067   3.59473     0.002834
  437 LAAZ    ( -1)       0.047949154       0.010857881   4.41607     4.766640
  415 LYDZ    (  0)       0.119179299       0.031039046   3.83966     1.881586
  169 RMA     (  0)      -0.000919452       0.000516800  -1.77913     6.363393

SE of equation            =     0.006578902
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.991156768E-02   0.479011136E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.004880680
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.16648242    
R squared                 =   0.99886
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95265
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =  14)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.202349884E-02
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     3  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    3
**********************

Dependent variable = CDZ1    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
  174 AG1      (  0)
  175 AG2      (  0)
  176 AG3      (  0)
  412 KDZ      ( -1)
  408 AAZ      ( -1)
  407 YDZ      ( -1)
  462 RMACDZ   ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  482 DKDZCDL1 (  0)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.005078653

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.062234867       0.015666226   3.97255     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)      -0.247662249       0.071493436  -3.46413     1.000000
  174 AG1     (  0)       0.181660845       0.113265762   1.60385     0.320965
  175 AG2     (  0)       2.637716046       0.420443640   6.27365    -0.086665
  176 AG3     (  0)      -2.346852708       0.426475204  -5.50291    -0.067461
  482 DKDZCDL1(  0)       0.231672293       0.045441455   5.09826    -0.095734
  412 KDZ     ( -1)      -0.027704393       0.004081017  -6.78860     8.585965
  407 YDZ     (  0)       0.063889774       0.010287490   6.21043     6.883520
  462 RMACDZ  (  0)      -0.010051761       0.002539865  -3.95760     3.299496
  408 AAZ     ( -1)       0.000629958       0.000163568   3.85135   129.870051

SE of equation            =     0.014548924
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.484727008E-01  -0.327921024E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.010249032
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.44951871    
R squared                 =   0.20705
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95327
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =  10)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.857095772E-02
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     4  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    4
**********************

Dependent variable = IHHZ1   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
  359 CNST2    ( -1)
  359 CNST2    ( -2)
   40 C        (  0)
  411 KHZ      ( -1)
  463 RMALIHHZ (  0)
  407 YDZ      ( -1)
  411 KHZ      ( -2)
  411 KHZ      ( -3)
  463 RMALIHHZ ( -1)
  463 RMALIHHZ ( -2)
  407 YDZ      ( -2)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  484 DKHZIHL1 (  0)
  484 DKHZIHL1 ( -1)
  484 DKHZIHL1 ( -2)
  485 IHHZ1    ( -1)
  485 IHHZ1    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.395181478  0.133438183
   2     0.422539158  0.177839970
   3     0.442302380  0.204347100
   4     0.460640461  0.227602458
   5     0.480885706  0.252309358
   6     0.505561957  0.281010378
   7     0.535653832  0.312274862
   8     0.568111628  0.334651386
   9     0.595563803  0.337572276
  10     0.610863952  0.334207248
  11     0.617369189  0.332779402
  12     0.620167579  0.332475394
  13     0.621493337  0.332490032
  14     0.622182042  0.332560152
  15     0.622563749  0.332621354
  16     0.622783946  0.332664403
  17     0.622913999  0.332692518
  18     0.622991875  0.332710302
  19     0.623038885  0.332721378
  20     0.623067399  0.332728220
  21     0.623084744  0.332732426
  22     0.623095313  0.332735007
  23     0.623101760  0.332736587

Number of iterations for RHO =   23


Mean of dependent variable        0.000416100

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.146331387       0.082713019   1.76915     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)       0.589739454       0.229176432   2.57330     1.000000
  484 DKHZIHL1(  0)       0.299657696       0.048373302   6.19469    -0.245763
  411 KHZ     ( -1)      -0.020417755       0.009047761  -2.25666    39.409752
  407 YDZ     (  0)       0.043920571       0.034336405   1.27913     6.883520
  463 RMALIHHZ(  0)      -0.025455467       0.004765586  -5.34152     3.401850
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.623101760       0.071580315   8.70493     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.332736587       0.068543992   4.85435     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.015683589
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.568202197E-01   0.242844541E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.011390468
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.72232196    
R squared                 =   0.42428
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00611
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00552         (df =  19)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.909301689E-02
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     5  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    5
**********************

Dependent variable = LL1Z    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  370 LL1Z     ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.063496851

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.014625130       0.005574449   2.62360     1.000000
  370 LL1Z    ( -1)       0.937965166       0.024472738  38.32694    -0.063096
  437 LAAZ    ( -1)      -0.003672616       0.001381693  -2.65806     4.766640
  128 UR      (  0)      -0.023902444       0.013141440  -1.81886     0.059999

SE of equation            =     0.002461276
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.142360212E-02   0.736023395E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.001876534
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.448491631    
R squared                 =   0.99182
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20273
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =  10)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.305053523E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     6  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    6
**********************

Dependent variable = LL2Z    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  449 LWAZPH   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.496349638

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.008441746       0.022772185   0.37070     1.000000
  371 LL2Z    ( -1)       0.991233511       0.006440619 153.90345    -0.499060
  449 LWAZPH  (  0)       0.005849552       0.007137788   0.81952     0.390876
  437 LAAZ    ( -1)      -0.002600000       0.004670101  -0.55673     4.766640

SE of equation            =     0.005650451
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.750298625E-02  -0.367702535E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.004096307
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.979017381    
R squared                 =   0.99942
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94351
Overid test: p-value      = 9.90000         (df =   0)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.582821301E-23
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     7  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    7
**********************

Dependent variable = LL3Z    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  372 LL3Z     ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  449 LWAZPH   ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.748476795

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.045140895       0.018477726   2.44299     1.000000
  372 LL3Z    ( -1)       0.965339193       0.015069667  64.05843    -0.748117
  449 LWAZPH  (  0)       0.029978911       0.010697525   2.80242     0.390876
  437 LAAZ    ( -1)      -0.015751514       0.005689089  -2.76872     4.766640
  128 UR      (  0)      -0.134458335       0.031860845  -4.22017     0.059999

SE of equation            =     0.005359591
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.672170128E-02  -0.264762545E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.004130416
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.987169433    
R squared                 =   0.98596
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12338
Overid test: p-value      = 0.06410         (df =   9)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.453808037E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     8  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    8
**********************

Dependent variable = LLMZ    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  374 LLMZ     ( -1)
  449 LWAZPH   ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable       -3.318024939

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.355366323       0.069051852  -5.14637     1.000000
  374 LLMZ    ( -1)       0.865697168       0.024080227  35.95054    -3.316130
  449 LWAZPH  (  0)       0.026016406       0.015004551   1.73390     0.390876
  128 UR      (  0)      -1.701079049       0.300922991  -5.65287     0.059999

SE of equation            =     0.046338810
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.504612042       0.126971766E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.037345959
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.92568415    
R squared                 =   0.93955
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04160
Overid test: p-value      = 0.37077         (df =  16)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.363816119E-01
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST     9  ;                                                                  

Equation number =    9
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE9   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000**********     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.294590244E-29   0.265343303E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.265343303E-13
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    10  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   10
**********************

Dependent variable = LPF     

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  375 LPF      ( -1)
  400 LWFD5    ( -1)
  359 CNST2    (  0)
  360 TB       (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
   23 T        (  0)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.894240051

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  375 LPF     ( -1)       0.905233048       0.011860818  76.32130    -0.902089
  400 LWFD5   (  0)       0.048085510       0.010950749   4.39107    -1.395709
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.002319768       0.006054301   0.38316     0.583682
  360 TB      (  0)      -0.000125674       0.000019026  -6.60521   102.633891
   40 C       (  0)       0.006057586       0.017433354   0.34747     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000251806       0.000037982   6.62953   128.000000
  413 LPIM    (  0)       0.039196747       0.002841735  13.79325    -0.680191
  128 UR      (  0)      -0.176815327       0.019647423  -8.99942     0.059999

SE of equation            =     0.003597723
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.298997404E-02   0.203635546E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.002709130
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.647482133    
R squared                 =   0.99997
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.81991
Overid test: p-value      = 0.28007         (df =   8)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.122478148E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    11  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   11
**********************

Dependent variable = LY      

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  405 LY       ( -1)
  443 LV       ( -1)
  405 LY       ( -2)
  405 LY       ( -3)
  405 LY       ( -4)
  443 LV       ( -2)
  443 LV       ( -3)
  443 LV       ( -4)
  202 D593     (  0)
  203 D594     (  0)
  204 D601     (  0)
  204 D601     ( -1)
  204 D601     ( -2)
  204 D601     ( -3)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1            2            3
   1     0.371357508  0.255458917 -0.015814391
   2     0.394007875  0.281111200  0.040504706
   3     0.398365244  0.315810663  0.094252985
   4     0.394793169  0.355955518  0.144139925
   5     0.394701520  0.383506840  0.160615308
   6     0.399335370  0.391908414  0.158001786
   7     0.401548127  0.393637385  0.156644048
   8     0.402327937  0.394060159  0.156233909
   9     0.402589794  0.394188134  0.156104366
  10     0.402677490  0.394230260  0.156061884
  11     0.402706984  0.394244454  0.156047697
  12     0.402716938  0.394249262  0.156042920

Number of iterations for RHO =   12


Mean of dependent variable        7.322275849

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.321424684       0.089742924   3.58162     1.000000
  405 LY      ( -1)       0.359233845       0.041448302   8.66703     7.314140
  479 LX      (  0)       0.800859188       0.044116090  18.15345     7.317813
  443 LV      ( -1)      -0.212725906       0.023861401  -8.91506     6.986823
  202 D593    (  0)      -0.009894640       0.003460108  -2.85963     0.004184
  203 D594    (  0)      -0.004036445       0.003373887  -1.19638     0.004184
  204 D601    (  0)       0.008379405       0.003439196   2.43644     0.004184
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.402716938       0.072102550   5.58534     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.394249262       0.066422475   5.93548     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -3)       0.156042920       0.068614757   2.27419     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.003783749
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.327853656E-02   0.220450655E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.002869783
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.685878046    
R squared                 =   0.99996
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04738
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01574         (df =  20)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.492669021E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    12  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   12
**********************

Dependent variable = LKK1    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
  464 LKK      ( -1)
  464 LKK      ( -2)
  405 LY       ( -1)
  405 LY       ( -2)
  405 LY       ( -3)
  405 LY       ( -4)
  405 LY       ( -5)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  422 RBA4     ( -2)
  480 CGZ3     ( -2)
  445 LEXKK    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.007384738

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)      -0.000371128       0.000116524  -3.18499     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)       0.000614816       0.000218930   2.80828     1.000000
  445 LEXKK   ( -1)      -0.006958504       0.002510712  -2.77153     0.016710
  481 LKK1    ( -1)       0.905444441       0.015723745  57.58453     0.007409
  383 LY1     (  0)       0.012767183       0.008916017   1.43194     0.008136
  383 LY1     ( -1)       0.011167793       0.004756910   2.34770     0.008069
  383 LY1     ( -2)       0.003993484       0.004254712   0.93860     0.008016
  383 LY1     ( -3)       0.004034571       0.004004718   1.00745     0.008058
  383 LY1     ( -4)       0.006558717       0.003938529   1.66527     0.008150
  422 RBA4    ( -2)      -0.000005404       0.000018599  -0.29053     1.382244
  480 CGZ3    ( -2)       0.000800026       0.000201084   3.97857     0.112554

SE of equation            =     0.000437583
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.436571088E-04  -0.389183983E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.000311171
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.743698481E-01
R squared                 =   0.97832
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.76066
Overid test: p-value      = 0.03072         (df =   9)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.336265428E-05
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    13  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   13
**********************

Dependent variable = LJF1    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  404 LEXL     ( -1)
  376 LJF1     ( -1)
  383 LY1      ( -1)
  202 D593     (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.003277203

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.000219835       0.000531357   0.41372     1.000000
  404 LEXL    ( -1)      -0.036215017       0.011702456  -3.09465     0.026629
  376 LJF1    ( -1)       0.605629676       0.039061533  15.50450     0.003207
  383 LY1     (  0)       0.264923965       0.042879681   6.17831     0.008136
  202 D593    (  0)      -0.018104615       0.003471973  -5.21450     0.004184

SE of equation            =     0.003355060
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.263400392E-02   0.721403839E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.002601584
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.621778608    
R squared                 =   0.71832
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17184
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01302         (df =  17)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.358226918E-03
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    14  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   14
**********************

Dependent variable = LHF1    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  378 LHFL1A   (  0)
  404 LEXL     ( -1)
  383 LY1      ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.000528204

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.003900691       0.000686419  -5.68267     1.000000
  378 LHFL1A  (  0)      -0.173785019       0.029716987  -5.84800    -0.005787
  404 LEXL    ( -1)      -0.026727781       0.009784646  -2.73160     0.026629
  383 LY1     (  0)       0.186937819       0.042015140   4.44930     0.008136
   23 T       (  0)       0.000012169       0.000002776   4.38296   128.000000

SE of equation            =     0.002658909
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.165433240E-02  -0.210519536E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.001993801
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.476518376    
R squared                 =   0.37056
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01467
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00408         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.131852086E-03
 SMPL 1956.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1956.1 to  2013.3 Internally:    17 to   247
EST    15  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   15
**********************

Dependent variable = LHO     

 1956.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  231 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.936637443
   2     0.968342303
   3     0.969141372
   4     0.969195975
   5     0.969199878

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable        3.820595122

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       3.935156249       0.104309913  37.72562     1.000000
  141 HFF     (  0)       0.017682252       0.002219169   7.96796    -2.594205
  141 HFF     ( -1)       0.008160581       0.002216885   3.68110    -2.580574
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.969199878       0.016888523  57.38808     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.047152124
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.504694270       0.443063943E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.034979665
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.08030255    
R squared                 =   0.95738
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.64761
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1956.1   2013.3    231
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    16  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   16
**********************

Dependent variable = LWFQZ   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  455 LWFQZPF  ( -1)
  509 LPFZ     ( -1)
   40 C        (  0)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.583471714

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  455 LWFQZPF ( -1)       0.935893000       0.017900535  52.28296    -0.546115
  509 LPFZ    (  0)       0.766471006       0.073109779  10.48384    -0.036389
   40 C       (  0)      -0.051175994       0.013336707  -3.83723     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000052350       0.000025977   2.01522   128.000000

SE of equation            =     0.007690435
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.138985551E-01  -0.157429625E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.005965038
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.42564416    
R squared                 =   0.96838
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.91207
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02604         (df =  13)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.143054086E-02
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    17  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   17
**********************

Dependent variable = LMFZ    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  382 LMFZ     ( -1)
  397 LXMFA    ( -1)
  416 RSB      ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.039893717

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.232551851       0.085544355   2.71849     1.000000
  402 LMFL1Q  (  0)       0.935321574       0.020063985  46.61694     6.027807
  397 LXMFA   (  0)       0.025529661       0.007660991   3.33242     7.310140
  416 RSB     (  0)      -0.005730946       0.001816224  -3.15542     3.004996

SE of equation            =     0.039678883
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.369987236      -0.126136435E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.027539869
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.58202868    
R squared                 =   0.97750
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.68130
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01915         (df =  14)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.418258411E-01
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    18  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   18
**********************

Dependent variable = LDF1    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  469 LPIEFAZ  ( -1)
   40 C        (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.018288009

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  469 LPIEFAZ (  0)       0.024618959       0.005639292   4.36561     0.727433

SE of equation            =     0.070769550
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.19198236       0.906668385E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.047396189
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.3276892    
R squared                 =   0.02717
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55639
Overid test: p-value      = 0.81003         (df =   8)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.224135556E-01
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    19  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   19
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE19  

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000**********     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.294590244E-29   0.265343303E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.265343303E-13
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    20  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   20
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE20  

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000**********     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.294590244E-29   0.265343303E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.265343303E-13
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    21  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   21
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE21  

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000**********     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.294590244E-29   0.265343303E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.265343303E-13
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    22  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   22
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE22  

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000**********     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.294590244E-29   0.265343303E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.265343303E-13
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    23  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   23
**********************

Dependent variable = RBMRSL2 

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
   64 RB       ( -1)
   64 RB       ( -2)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   71 RS       ( -3)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.191932692
   2     0.201195146
   3     0.201968179
   4     0.202034858
   5     0.202040626

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable        2.309719665

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.205576288       0.043469869   4.72917     1.000000
  460 RBLMRSL2(  0)       0.914657952       0.016080010  56.88168     2.303974
  457 RSMRSL2 (  0)       0.327196920       0.053784330   6.08350    -0.014301
  458 RSLMRSL2(  0)      -0.273844752       0.063179419  -4.33440    -0.008250
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.202040626       0.067705766   2.98410     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.275478426
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.7578770       0.534988489E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.200933874
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.0231960    
R squared                 =   0.96305
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00945
Overid test: p-value      = 0.13945         (df =  16)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.64332316    
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    24  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   24
**********************

Dependent variable = RMMRSL2 

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
   65 RM       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        3.118429568

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.388182518       0.067870429   5.71946     1.000000
  461 RMLMRSL2(  0)       0.876206482       0.020467100  42.81049     3.120061
  457 RSMRSL2 (  0)       0.326169848       0.076738422   4.25041    -0.014301
  458 RSLMRSL2(  0)      -0.132574377       0.100083486  -1.32464    -0.008250

SE of equation            =     0.351410568
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.0200060       0.149478208E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.251172727
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.0302816    
R squared                 =   0.90508
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83528
Overid test: p-value      = 0.11923         (df =  14)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              =  2.47202927    
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    25  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   25
**********************

Dependent variable = CGZ     

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  386 RB1      ( -1)
  472 TPIEM1Z  ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.117252386

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.106548240       0.022280614   4.78211     1.000000
  386 RB1     (  0)      -0.144461957       0.108366261  -1.33309     0.005746
  472 TPIEM1Z (  0)      11.958362670      10.440524352   1.14538     0.000965

SE of equation            =     0.307213202
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.2736685       0.110894072E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.213595306
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.0492781    
R squared                 =   0.02269
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83719
Overid test: p-value      = 0.26029         (df =  17)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.88975239    
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    26  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   26
**********************

Dependent variable = LCURZ   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  388 LCURZ    ( -1)
  385 LXMFAZ   ( -1)
  168 RSA      ( -1)
  403 LCURL1Q  ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1    -0.104098179
   2    -0.105124829
   3    -0.105131829

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable        0.762535230

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.056718273       0.007808710  -7.26346     1.000000
  403 LCURL1Q (  0)       0.957976131       0.006943577 137.96581     0.750360
  385 LXMFAZ  (  0)       0.048662345       0.006461622   7.53098     2.167808
  168 RSA     (  0)      -0.001324997       0.000495905  -2.67188     3.824044
    0 RHO     ( -1)      -0.105131829       0.065263012  -1.61089     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.010072293
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.237395530E-01  -0.416629530E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.007971522
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.90519382    
R squared                 =   0.99928
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98120
Overid test: p-value      = 0.16691         (df =  17)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.223303749E-02
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    27  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   27
**********************

Dependent variable = LIMZ    

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
   40 C        (  0)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  447 LXXXZ    ( -1)
  453 LPFZPIM  ( -1)
  205 D691     (  0)
  206 D692     (  0)
  207 D714     (  0)
  208 D721     (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   64 RB       ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.290556463

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.038242807       0.013478942   2.83723     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)      -0.960968612       0.165865019  -5.79368     1.000000
  446 LIMZ    ( -1)       0.790889765       0.032792089  24.11831    -0.301261
  447 LXXXZ   (  0)       0.432912798       0.075789894   5.71201     2.091451
  453 LPFZPIM (  0)       0.089628456       0.016926204   5.29525    -0.214049
  205 D691    (  0)      -0.118100256       0.027868350  -4.23779     0.004184
  206 D692    (  0)       0.136549809       0.028247147   4.83411     0.004184
  207 D714    (  0)      -0.086596239       0.027743497  -3.12132     0.004184
  208 D721    (  0)       0.097727986       0.028016423   3.48824     0.004184

SE of equation            =     0.027555880
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.174645104       0.131469391E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.020059382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.79419220    
R squared                 =   0.99887
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.62040
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00241         (df =  14)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.245046283E-01
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    28  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   28
**********************

Dependent variable = LUB     

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
  390 LUB      ( -1)
  399 LU       ( -1)
  380 LWF      ( -1)
  390 LUB      ( -2)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -1)
   71 RS       ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.608686648
   2     0.684313245
   3     0.732152091
   4     0.768983930
   5     0.798582303
   6     0.821961052
   7     0.839766163
   8     0.852846293
   9     0.862162142
  10     0.868621819
  11     0.872999578
  12     0.875911664
  13     0.877821447
  14     0.879061120
  15     0.879860116
  16     0.880372630
  17     0.880700346
  18     0.880909468
  19     0.881042736
  20     0.881127592
  21     0.881181594
  22     0.881215947
  23     0.881237797
  24     0.881251692
  25     0.881260528

Number of iterations for RHO =   25


Mean of dependent variable        1.128713774

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.820033197       0.446911722   1.83489     1.000000
  390 LUB     ( -1)       0.261527850       0.101212436   2.58395     1.112840
  399 LU      (  0)       1.147380516       0.252921735   4.53650     1.822440
  380 LWF     (  0)       0.443836800       0.065343219   6.79239    -4.701968
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.881260528       0.039490732  22.31563     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.065932870
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.01723153      -0.323876628E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.047583869
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.3725446    
R squared                 =   0.99704
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27846
Overid test: p-value      = 0.13067         (df =  12)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.746176026E-01
 SMPL 1954.1 2013.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
EST    29  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   29
**********************

Dependent variable = INTGZ   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.157449008
   2     0.193311002
   3     0.205894210
   4     0.210825559
   5     0.212836567
   6     0.213669650
   7     0.214016990
   8     0.214162195
   9     0.214222965
  10     0.214248409
  11     0.214259065
  12     0.214263528

Number of iterations for RHO =   12


Mean of dependent variable        0.017695626

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.001474905       0.000278417   5.29746     1.000000
  476 INTGZ   ( -1)       0.793276755       0.034072563  23.28198     0.017697
  478 RQG     (  0)       0.172879142       0.028290764   6.11080     0.012618
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.214263528       0.073192579   2.92739     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000508954
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.608729466E-04  -0.267968628E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.000355659
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.850026004E-01
R squared                 =   0.98849
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08918
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
 SMPL 1954.1 2008.3 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2008.3 Internally:     9 to   227
EST    30  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   30
**********************

Dependent variable = RS      

 1954.1 -   2008.3,    0 missing obs.,  219 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
   71 RS       ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  128 UR       ( -1)
  466 UR1      ( -1)
  165 PCM1     ( -1)
  401 PCM1L1A  (  0)
  387 RS1      ( -1)
  387 RS1      ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  414 LPIMZ    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  406 LYZ      ( -1)
  444 LVZ      ( -1)
  437 LAAZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        5.134135464

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.699034668       0.149497015   4.67591     1.000000
   71 RS      ( -1)       0.918646249       0.017803851  51.59818     5.134104
  419 PCPD    (  0)       0.066738897       0.016911354   3.94640     3.381802
  128 UR      (  0)     -10.846126078       3.022996972  -3.58787     0.057564
  466 UR1     (  0)     -69.675303212      13.364488291  -5.21347     0.000106
  165 PCM1    ( -1)       0.013063605       0.005142730   2.54021     4.756015
  401 PCM1L1A (  0)       0.217236472       0.022721863   9.56068     0.289354
  387 RS1     ( -1)       0.265907305       0.054641943   4.86636    -0.001804
  387 RS1     ( -2)      -0.315064084       0.050083224  -6.29081    -0.000728

SE of equation            =     0.476222609
Sum of squared residuals  =  47.6254745       0.139570799E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.341620997
Sum of ABS residuals      =  74.8149983    
R squared                 =   0.97189
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.79698
Overid test: p-value      = 0.14120         (df =  12)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2008.3    219
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.74666156    
 SMPL 1962.1 2012.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST    31  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   31
**********************

Dependent variable = LPXA    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.149881420 -0.187899778
   2     1.287648873 -0.291114284
   3     1.381771460 -0.384711833
   4     1.399966968 -0.402836313
   5     1.403217293 -0.406074825
   6     1.403787360 -0.406642847
   7     1.403887006 -0.406742137
   8     1.403904413 -0.406759482
   9     1.403907454 -0.406762511

Number of iterations for RHO =    9


Mean of dependent variable        0.087658574

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  493 LPXB    (  0)       0.854263192       0.030200939  28.28598    -0.145726
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.403907454       0.064970853  21.60827     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.406762511       0.064894315  -6.26808     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.011349098
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.258892082E-01   0.727236796E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.008141161
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.66079689    
R squared                 =   0.98351
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
@ CA                                                                          
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    32  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   32
**********************

Dependent variable = CALIMZ  

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.283062451
   2     0.310875019
   3     0.317356156
   4     0.319053007
   5     0.319509996
   6     0.319633993
   7     0.319667706
   8     0.319676877

Number of iterations for RHO =    8


Mean of dependent variable        7.392703279

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.160020131       0.293669401  -0.54490     1.000000
  570 CALIMZ  ( -1)       0.942635190       0.025113845  37.53448     7.382611
  591 CALPYZZ (  0)       0.086830552       0.035035296   2.47837    -0.231363
  571 CALCIGZ (  0)       0.068868108       0.050995654   1.35047     8.911809
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.319676877       0.072610045   4.40265     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.027874116
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.158501135       0.210584212E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.020857183
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.35915119    
R squared                 =   0.99807
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    33  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   33
**********************

Dependent variable = CALCZ   

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.349488942

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.006129790       0.020322487  -0.30163     1.000000
  578 CALCZ   ( -1)       0.901003623       0.018408761  48.94428     8.344487
  549 CARB    ( -1)      -0.001168210       0.000202166  -5.77846     7.490448
  574 CALYZ   (  0)       0.094460609       0.018600436   5.07841     8.955649

SE of equation            =     0.007253191
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.107847989E-01   0.985849002E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.005531372
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.15605685    
R squared                 =   0.99935
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09387
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    34  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   34
**********************

Dependent variable = CALI    

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  603 CALI     ( -1)
  604 CALY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.506126318

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.356603231       0.142073158  -2.51000     1.000000
  603 CALI    ( -1)       0.912883533       0.025879066  35.27498    10.495842
  604 CALY    (  0)       0.105638725       0.033542896   3.14936    12.222495
  549 CARB    ( -1)      -0.001324377       0.000516687  -2.56321     7.490448

SE of equation            =     0.021182262
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.919810901E-01  -0.314843120E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.015142933
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.16487305    
R squared                 =   0.99875
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.39620
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01048         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.579520731E-02
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    35  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   35
**********************

Dependent variable = CALPY   

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.571279555
   2     0.583888352
   3     0.585202242
   4     0.585347750
   5     0.585363969
   6     0.585365778

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable       -0.703066651

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  572 CALPY   ( -1)       0.997101638       0.019623096  50.81266    -0.713343
   40 C       (  0)       0.028426464       0.023428335   1.21334     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000096591       0.000108345  -0.89152   142.000000
  573 CALPM   (  0)       0.008826792       0.014919723   0.59162    -0.471703
  562 CAZZ    ( -1)       0.089538652       0.040701904   2.19986    -0.025459
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.585365778       0.058397357  10.02384     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.006833011
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.947807803E-02   0.377781973E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.004961274
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.03690637    
R squared                 =   0.99991
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08843
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
 SMPL  1968.1  2008.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1968.1 to  2008.4 Internally:    65 to   228
EST    36  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   36
**********************

Dependent variable = CALM1Z  

 1968.1 -   2008.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  580 CALM1ZL  (  0)
  550 CARS     ( -1)
  579 CALM1Z   ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.653495870

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.287356477       0.112812234  -2.54721     1.000000
  580 CALM1ZL (  0)       0.930653262       0.017243590  53.97097     8.637033
  550 CARS    (  0)      -0.002948291       0.001128561  -2.61243     7.048658
  574 CALYZ   (  0)       0.102651585       0.025186599   4.07564     8.996950

SE of equation            =     0.027202498
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.118396144       0.402742550E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.019994691
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.27912931    
R squared                 =   0.99544
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29459
Overid test: p-value      = 0.15795         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.1   2008.4    164
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.575312211E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST    37  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   37
**********************

Dependent variable = CARS    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  550 CARS     ( -1)
  562 CAZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        6.507838018

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.196171567       0.132879497   1.47631     1.000000
  550 CARS    ( -1)       0.816250118       0.035922382  22.72261     6.522727
  562 CAZZ    (  0)       6.637424006       2.175328685   3.05123    -0.028872
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.225080946       0.045134430   4.98690     5.238679

SE of equation            =     0.779821067
Sum of squared residuals  =  97.9074644      -0.581622861E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.535323018
Sum of ABS residuals      =  88.3282980    
R squared                 =   0.96460
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.63170
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00007         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              =  16.9750364    
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    38  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   38
**********************

Dependent variable = CARBZ   

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -2)
  550 CARS     ( -1)
  550 CARS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.344132316

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.097274865       0.042746823   2.27560     1.000000
  593 CARBZZ  (  0)       0.921917174       0.024429761  37.73746     1.356780
  594 CARSZ   (  0)       0.343408452       0.135129446   2.54133    -0.021866
  595 CARSZZ  (  0)      -0.300531191       0.163227919  -1.84118    -0.011738

SE of equation            =     0.375543136
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.9116926       0.190790495E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.266939943
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.7904481    
R squared                 =   0.94205
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96272
Overid test: p-value      = 0.06909         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.41456562    
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST    39  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   39
**********************

Dependent variable = CALE1Z  

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  598 CALE1    ( -1)
  597 CALEA    ( -1)
  589 CALRSZ   ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.383345366
   2     0.383837087
   3     0.383838832

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable        0.007430874

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.009144316       0.004109859   2.22497     1.000000
  589 CALRSZ  (  0)      -0.582520912       0.930290267  -0.62617     0.002938
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.383838832       0.072617077   5.28579     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.024232580
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.951293071E-01   0.132124759E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.017068457
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.81629548    
R squared                 =   0.13882
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.90545
Overid test: p-value      = 0.08404         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.723186699E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1997.3  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1997.3 Internally:    82 to   183
EST    40  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   40
**********************

Dependent variable = CALF    

 1972.2 -   1997.3,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.783158735
   2     0.791706878
   3     0.792591549
   4     0.792689858
   5     0.792700867
   6     0.792702101

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable        0.182767977

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  583 CALEE   (  0)       0.982426601       0.019955043  49.23200     0.180415
  589 CALRSZ  (  0)       1.761486642       0.478887159   3.67829     0.004165
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.792702101       0.068130375  11.63508     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.009555982
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.904036315E-02  -0.724840326E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.004903842
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.500191872    
R squared                 =   0.99311
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28401
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1997.3    102
 SMPL  1961.2  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    38 to   244
EST    41  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   41
**********************

Dependent variable = CALPXA  

 1961.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  207 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.273482719 -0.300364048
   2     1.279026931 -0.298051096
   3     1.279329904 -0.298233076
   4     1.279333900 -0.298235500

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.031691217

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  600 CALPXB  (  0)       0.651603810       0.044404048  14.67442    -0.141704
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.279333900       0.067104346  19.06484     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.298235500       0.066545275  -4.48169     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.016704084
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.569213935E-01   0.750454115E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.011461442
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.37251850    
R squared                 =   0.98093
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96282
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2012.4    207
 SMPL  1961.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    38 to   246
EST    42  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   42
**********************

Dependent variable = CALJ1   

 1961.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18958 CALGZ    (  0)
18959 CALEXZ   ( -1)
  572 CALPY    ( -1)
  574 CALYZ    ( -1)
  549 CARB     ( -1)
  584 CALJ1    ( -1)
  586 CALEXL   ( -1)
  585 CALY1    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        0.005194925

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.004328050       0.001363170   3.17499     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000010260       0.000005731  -1.79019   142.000000
  586 CALEXL  ( -1)      -0.148421489       0.028071207  -5.28732     0.009438
  585 CALY1   (  0)       0.311003073       0.086765537   3.58441     0.008051
  585 CALY1   ( -1)       0.152839226       0.046791171   3.26641     0.007988

SE of equation            =     0.003974551
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.322259904E-02   0.176194476E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.003024484
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.632117069    
R squared                 =   0.54412
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.63610
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00215         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2013.2    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.288856485E-03
@ JA                                                                          
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    43  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   43
**********************

Dependent variable = JALIMZ  

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.124577241
   2     0.133319350
   3     0.134217423
   4     0.134312515
   5     0.134322615
   6     0.134323688

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable        4.165387442

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.015843085       0.158060737  -0.10023     1.000000
  666 JALIMZ  ( -1)       0.962902731       0.019230188  50.07245     4.153419
  665 JALCIGZ (  0)       0.028325705       0.035389954   0.80039     6.572180
  685 JALPYZZ (  0)       0.032748494       0.011419717   2.86772    -0.129083
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.134323688       0.075833612   1.77129     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.031947705
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.188821328       0.645452037E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.022894465
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.34994836    
R squared                 =   0.99704
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02994
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    44  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   44
**********************

Dependent variable = JALCZ   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18960 JALGZ    (  0)
18961 JALEXZ   ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -1)
  669 JALYZ    ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -1)
  672 JALCZ    ( -1)
  672 JALCZ    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1    -0.222574111
   2    -0.231777302
   3    -0.231883220
   4    -0.231884384

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable        6.031405508

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.129616105       0.020749830   6.24661     1.000000
  672 JALCZ   ( -1)       0.905876786       0.032622181  27.76874     6.024720
  644 JARB    (  0)      -0.001112762       0.000362099  -3.07309     4.741084
  669 JALYZ   (  0)       0.068505368       0.030622861   2.23707     6.560161
    0 RHO     ( -1)      -0.231884384       0.071845209  -3.22756     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.009888481
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.180896817E-01   0.838454991E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.006937697
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.31816247    
R squared                 =   0.99915
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05136
Overid test: p-value      = 0.04048         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.951799770E-03
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    45  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   45
**********************

Dependent variable = JALPY   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.472484878
   2     0.478229064
   3     0.478495570
   4     0.478508260
   5     0.478508865

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable       -0.168512077

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  667 JALPY   ( -1)       0.985894946       0.005332079 184.89878    -0.173932
   40 C       (  0)       0.017620980       0.004933686   3.57156     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000094197       0.000027454  -3.43114   151.500000
  668 JALPM   (  0)       0.004806606       0.003605478   1.33314    -0.039429
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.478508865       0.061514944   7.77874     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.007059502
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.921976637E-02   0.466995630E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.004666120
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.886562760    
R squared                 =   0.99958
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07137
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST    46  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   46
**********************

Dependent variable = JARS    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18960 JALGZ    (  0)
18961 JALEXZ   ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -1)
  669 JALYZ    ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -1)
  645 JARS     ( -1)
  645 JARS     ( -2)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -2)
  657 JAZZ     ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.370788726
   2     0.390416440
   3     0.393563101
   4     0.394113536
   5     0.394211223
   6     0.394228604
   7     0.394231698

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        3.579903935

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.124995904       0.136511147  -0.91565     1.000000
  645 JARS    ( -1)       0.809942886       0.038414568  21.08426     3.610512
  682 JAPCPY  (  0)       0.111846618       0.022781909   4.90945     1.740559
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.112191951       0.034176820   3.28269     5.238679
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.394231698       0.085942112   4.58718     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.540345302
Sum of squared residuals  =  46.7156872       0.235955373E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.357181319
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.9349176    
R squared                 =   0.97795
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06808
Overid test: p-value      = 0.03352         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              =  4.30340646    
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    47  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   47
**********************

Dependent variable = JARBZ   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18960 JALGZ    (  0)
18961 JALEXZ   ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -1)
  669 JALYZ    ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -2)
  645 JARS     ( -1)
  645 JARS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        0.646478239

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.036431304       0.040629633   0.89667     1.000000
  687 JARBZZ  (  0)       0.893924369       0.036171103  24.71377     0.696006
  688 JARSZ   (  0)       0.432575312       0.195348800   2.21437    -0.063865
  689 JARSZZ  (  0)      -0.462407223       0.286193649  -1.61571    -0.033512

SE of equation            =     0.407648375
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.9089588      -0.503157516E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.259552231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.3149239    
R squared                 =   0.90997
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08818
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02643         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              =  2.06484548    
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST    48  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   48
**********************

Dependent variable = JALE1Z  

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18960 JALGZ    (  0)
18961 JALEXZ   ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -1)
  669 JALYZ    ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -1)
  692 JALE1    ( -1)
  691 JALEA    ( -1)
  683 JALRSZ   ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.288586922
   2     0.292686545
   3     0.292831145
   4     0.292836336

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.121753139

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.126801246       0.006408932 -19.78508     1.000000
  683 JALRSZ  (  0)      -1.335982412       0.918996016  -1.45374    -0.003996
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.292836336       0.077207771   3.79284     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.047780481
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.369841850       0.848311983E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.037060677
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.11501170    
R squared                 =   0.09593
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.91687
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01916         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.375194531E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  2006.3  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2006.3 Internally:    82 to   219
EST    49  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   49
**********************

Dependent variable = JALF    

 1972.2 -   2006.3,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.358714975
   2     0.359289940
   3     0.359292056

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable       -1.829330847

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  677 JALEE   (  0)       1.001029538       0.0007688861301.92227    -1.822230
  683 JALRSZ  (  0)       1.182492133       0.172710447   6.84667    -0.004352
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.359292056       0.080367019   4.47064     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.008747970
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.103311413E-01  -0.852526465E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.004648732
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.641525065    
R squared                 =   0.99949
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83662
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2006.3    138
 SMPL  1966.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
EST    50  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   50
**********************

Dependent variable = JALPXA  

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.338438230 -0.363884768
   2     1.283359169 -0.292378814
   3     1.268477548 -0.277695530
   4     1.267443712 -0.276675704
   5     1.267371480 -0.276604452
   6     1.267366431 -0.276599472

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable        0.223207235

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  694 JALPXB  (  0)       0.394107119       0.022987423  17.14447    -0.136365
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.267366431       0.070587897  17.95444     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.276599472       0.069788462  -3.96340     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.013358084
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.330111071E-01  -0.149851878    
Average absolute error    =     0.010046947
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.88882597    
R squared                 =   0.99462
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96299
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    51  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   51
**********************

Dependent variable = JALJ1   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.001451034

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.005113799       0.001028138   4.97384     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000024388       0.000005549  -4.39527   151.500000
  680 JALEXL  ( -1)      -0.045467380       0.013670333  -3.32599     0.013225
  679 JALY1   (  0)       0.074911359       0.022001294   3.40486     0.008455

SE of equation            =     0.003345912
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.208229394E-02  -0.142247325E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.002588553
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.491825122    
R squared                 =   0.20603
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10637
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST    52  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   52
**********************

Dependent variable = JALL1Z  

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18960 JALGZ    (  0)
18961 JALEXZ   ( -1)
  667 JALPY    ( -1)
  669 JALYZ    ( -1)
  644 JARB     ( -1)
  681 JALL1Z   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  649 JAUR     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.466707935

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.011660708       0.006905232  -1.68868     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000011151       0.000012358   0.90229   151.500000
  681 JALL1Z  ( -1)       0.972224459       0.017162882  56.64692    -0.466160
  649 JAUR    (  0)      -0.120043207       0.043954419  -2.73108     0.029362

SE of equation            =     0.003129364
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.182148247E-02   0.840083558E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.002341673
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.444917960    
R squared                 =   0.98754
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18316
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00325         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.170318423E-03
@ AU                                                                          
 SMPL  1970.1 2013.1 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    53  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   53
**********************

Dependent variable = AULIMZ  

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.524927211

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.675327373       0.457065204  -1.47753     1.000000
  757 AULIMZ  ( -1)       0.925227057       0.024400578  37.91824     7.513383
  756 AULCIGZ (  0)       0.145373018       0.071023031   2.04684     8.625210
  776 AULPYZZ (  0)       0.024113891       0.035070634   0.68758    -0.215793

SE of equation            =     0.028263002
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.134996740      -0.249182364E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.018980768
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.28367285    
R squared                 =   0.99756
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.85912
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
 SMPL  1970.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    54  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   54
**********************

Dependent variable = AULCZ   

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  763 AULCZ    ( -1)
  734 AURS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.066077032

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.134146058       0.040607430   3.30349     1.000000
  763 AULCZ   ( -1)       0.944375797       0.035880078  26.32034     8.061065
  760 AULYZ   (  0)       0.037245951       0.034564364   1.07758     8.623930
  734 AURS    (  0)      -0.000391419       0.000534983  -0.73165     4.981504

SE of equation            =     0.012307013
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.255971723E-01  -0.110956400E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.006675951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.15493944    
R squared                 =   0.99744
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74194
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00782         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.204781719E-02
 SMPL  1970.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    55  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   55
**********************

Dependent variable = AULI    

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  791 AULI     ( -1)
  792 AULY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        9.219415739

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.470254541       0.139460480   3.37196     1.000000
  791 AULI    ( -1)       0.933375969       0.032888694  28.37984     9.213907
  792 AULY    (  0)       0.016914944       0.031925203   0.52983    10.685171
  733 AURB    (  0)      -0.004721431       0.001789617  -2.63824     6.696462

SE of equation            =     0.024556135
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.101907637       0.118457955E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.014497934
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.50814266    
R squared                 =   0.99126
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38381
Overid test: p-value      = 0.48778         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.202360384E-02
 SMPL  1970.1 2013.1 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    56  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   56
**********************

Dependent variable = AULPY   

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)
  759 AULPM    ( -1)
  746 AUZZ     ( -1)
  746 AUZZ     ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1    -0.235006041
   2    -0.236763737
   3    -0.236770727

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable       -0.324767468

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  758 AULPY   ( -1)       0.974248337       0.005854254 166.41718    -0.332659
   40 C       (  0)      -0.006987951       0.005997675  -1.16511     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000052929       0.000028893   1.83191   159.000000
  759 AULPM   (  0)       0.013772785       0.006213788   2.21649    -0.108975
  746 AUZZ    ( -1)       0.063138778       0.026809271   2.35511    -0.009718
    0 RHO     ( -1)      -0.236770727       0.074798398  -3.16545     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.006557194
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.718046509E-02  -0.592882731E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.003898183
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.674385632    
R squared                 =   0.99969
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00204
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.146573426E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    57  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   57
**********************

Dependent variable = AURSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  734 AURS     ( -1)
    1 GEGERS   ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
  746 AUZZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.361343271

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.388993834       0.298313264   4.65616     1.000000
  734 AURS    ( -1)       0.752003124       0.041415398  18.15757     6.371203
  746 AUZZ    (  0)      43.011061129       6.095240722   7.05650    -0.007930
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.075850788       0.030257035   2.50688     6.885595

SE of equation            =     0.708911565
Sum of squared residuals  =  51.7632275       0.258811861E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.535433400
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.2913738    
R squared                 =   0.89549
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.89434
Overid test: p-value      = 0.31125         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.43716370    
 SMPL  1970.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    73 to   188
EST    58  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   58
**********************

Dependent variable = AURBZ   

 1970.1 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  116 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -2)
  734 AURS     ( -1)
  734 AURS     ( -2)
  734 AURS     ( -3)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.377247642
   2     0.391144393
   3     0.391968542
   4     0.392019638
   5     0.392022814

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable        1.634189052

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.064122761       0.065876783   0.97337     1.000000
  778 AURBZZ  (  0)       0.947925858       0.031022667  30.55591     1.657235
  779 AURSZ   (  0)       0.169724589       0.105836493   1.60365    -0.024693
  780 AURSZZ  (  0)      -0.069730134       0.080421390  -0.86706    -0.011649
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.392022814       0.094027442   4.16924     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.263870375
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.72866082      -0.235872519E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.200373204
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.2432916    
R squared                 =   0.97141
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92090
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01557         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   1998.4    116
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.04482689    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    59  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   59
**********************

Dependent variable = AULH1Z  

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  785 AULH1    ( -1)
  786 AULHA    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.476227927
   2     0.476412788
   3     0.476413050

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable        0.002971321

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.002879814       0.000817749   3.52163     1.000000
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.476413050       0.083880991   5.67963     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.004425816
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.205672437E-02  -0.537606909E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.002601801
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.278392718    
R squared                 =   0.23502
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12599
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00943         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.358088013E-03
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    60  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   60
**********************

Dependent variable = AULF    

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.240639264
   2     0.249673121
   3     0.250316221
   4     0.250363351
   5     0.250366813

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable        0.037340984

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  768 AULEE   (  0)       0.993049944       0.003313395 299.70772     0.039880
  774 AULRSZ  (  0)       1.048962972       0.127146432   8.25004    -0.001203
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.250366813       0.096434420   2.59624     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.005786537
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.348233707E-02  -0.803746163E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.003596959
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.384874616    
R squared                 =   0.99937
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09893
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST    61  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   61
**********************

Dependent variable = AULPXA  

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.088571641 -0.160736225
   2     0.902063271  0.079437727
   3     0.821971044  0.161575788
   4     0.822040030  0.161513701
   5     0.822040282  0.161513473

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable       -0.072334726

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  788 AULPXB  (  0)       0.867595805       0.023315170  37.21164    -0.220517
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.822040282       0.075727181  10.85529     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.161513473       0.074781887   2.15979     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.009108034
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.140196109E-01  -0.105656572    
Average absolute error    =     0.006128882
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.05416764    
R squared                 =   0.98931
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99870
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172
 SMPL  1970.1  2013.1 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    62  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   62
**********************

Dependent variable = AULJ1   

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  769 AULJ1    ( -1)
  771 AULEXL   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  770 AULY1    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.001798345

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.001920495       0.002449165  -0.78414     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000027200       0.000012043   2.25858   159.000000
  771 AULEXL  ( -1)      -0.107608968       0.029493115  -3.64861     0.008228
  770 AULY1   (  0)       0.044751633       0.141275059   0.31677     0.006244

SE of equation            =     0.006203197
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.650306078E-02   0.278713771E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.004441472
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.768374622    
R squared                 =   0.07984
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19822
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00637         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.674512299E-03
 SMPL  1970.1  2013.1 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    73 to   245
EST    63 ;                                                                   

Equation number =   63
**********************

Dependent variable = AULL1Z  

 1970.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18962 AULGZ    (  0)
18963 AULEXZ   ( -1)
  758 AULPY    ( -1)
  760 AULYZ    ( -1)
  733 AURB     ( -1)
  772 AULL1Z   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  738 AUUR     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.574817146

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.069362114       0.020819640  -3.33157     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000097457       0.000035317   2.75945   159.000000
  772 AULL1Z  ( -1)       0.901227052       0.030051053  29.98987    -0.575330
  738 AUUR    (  0)      -0.073831861       0.091633850  -0.80573     0.033156

SE of equation            =     0.005879465
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.584201006E-02   0.720736804E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.004367160
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.755518707    
R squared                 =   0.97927
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40618
Overid test: p-value      = 0.25837         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2013.1    173
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.220365496E-03
@ FR                                                                          
 SMPL  1961.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    64  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   64
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLIMZ  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  852 FRLIMZ   ( -1)
  871 FRLPYZZ  ( -1)
  851 FRLCIGZ  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.672183463

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.321353705       0.365164521  -3.61852     1.000000
  852 FRLIMZ  ( -1)       0.873540630       0.030140618  28.98217     6.660638
  871 FRLPYZZ (  0)       0.064594318       0.015638331   4.13051    -0.291736
  851 FRLCIGZ (  0)       0.257617157       0.066567955   3.86999     8.516683

SE of equation            =     0.027456258
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.153784600      -0.717418125E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.018343121
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.81536913    
R squared                 =   0.99849
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92103
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00392         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.128096738E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    65  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   65
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLCZ   

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.951836619

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.014331416       0.021526786  -0.66575     1.000000
  858 FRLCZ   ( -1)       0.810220832       0.028200082  28.73115     7.946591
  855 FRLYZ   (  0)       0.179644188       0.028298651   6.34815     8.511247
  829 FRRS    (  0)      -0.000206827       0.000130778  -1.58151     6.389056

SE of equation            =     0.006931552
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.980146714E-02   0.708657231E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.005110708
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.06302730    
R squared                 =   0.99949
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95930
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    66  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   66
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLI    

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  886 FRLI     ( -1)
  887 FRLY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.866933826

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.226705234       0.046234882   4.90334     1.000000
  886 FRLI    ( -1)       0.957172683       0.016994986  56.32089    10.859765
  887 FRLY    (  0)       0.020865284       0.016346531   1.27643    12.527251
  828 FRRB    ( -1)      -0.002031459       0.000447109  -4.54354     7.790915

SE of equation            =     0.017112749
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.597406219E-01   0.303684189E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.011450365
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.38167582    
R squared                 =   0.99795
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98334
Overid test: p-value      = 0.48718         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.987797121E-03
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    67  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   67
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLY    

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.508289885
   2     0.753174027
   3     0.773324446
   4     0.775577900
   5     0.775868168
   6     0.775906220
   7     0.775911219

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable       12.527250513

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.196415069       0.046000603   4.26984     1.000000
  887 FRLY    ( -1)       0.140475728       0.018054244   7.78076    12.520443
  888 FRLX    (  0)       0.880174108       0.018661009  47.16648    12.519221
  889 FRLV    ( -1)      -0.035318675       0.018169082  -1.94389    12.661722
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.775911219       0.048655071  15.94718     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.004190480
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.356470530E-02  -0.160639786E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.003207086
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.667073978    
R squared                 =   0.99989
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.88027
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    68  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   68
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLPY   

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)
  841 FRZZ     ( -1)
  854 FRLPM    ( -1)
  841 FRZZ     ( -2)
  854 FRLPM    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.369433241
   2     0.397489844
   3     0.401531059
   4     0.402137575
   5     0.402229122
   6     0.402242952
   7     0.402245042

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable       -0.738263907

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  853 FRLPY   ( -1)       0.895176561       0.022348812  40.05477    -0.749505
   40 C       (  0)      -0.096336426       0.031521764  -3.05619     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000459575       0.000146114   3.14532   140.500000
  854 FRLPM   (  0)       0.074515999       0.013614574   5.47325    -0.446528
  841 FRZZ    ( -1)       0.188869586       0.045524690   4.14873    -0.012248
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.402245042       0.067199415   5.98584     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.007076371
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.101151541E-01  -0.302141876E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.004692417
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.976022689    
R squared                 =   0.99992
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09322
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.189729658E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    69  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   69
**********************

Dependent variable = FRRSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  829 FRRS     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
    1 GEGERS   ( -1)
  841 FRZZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.876285234

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.224589615       0.380116642  -0.59084     1.000000
  829 FRRS    ( -1)       0.742459487       0.047600115  15.59785     8.891986
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.169851640       0.048310352   3.51584     6.885595
    1 GEGERS  (  0)       0.196119126       0.057517210   3.40975     6.032337
  868 FRPCPY  (  0)       0.032495992       0.033016290   0.98424     6.182778
  841 FRZZ    (  0)       2.482656837       7.844870285   0.31647    -0.021979

SE of equation            =     0.883769699
Sum of squared residuals  =  78.8859369       0.439280168E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.647835212
Sum of ABS residuals      =  69.3183677    
R squared                 =   0.92894
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.61933
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01178         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  9.50956054    
 SMPL  1961.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    37 to   188
EST    70  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   70
**********************

Dependent variable = FRRBZ   

 1961.1 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  152 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -2)
  829 FRRS     ( -1)
  829 FRRS     ( -2)
  829 FRRS     ( -3)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.161987879
   2     0.240337074
   3     0.272827626
   4     0.286156489
   5     0.291702259
   6     0.294029392
   7     0.295009758
   8     0.295423471
   9     0.295598185
  10     0.295671991
  11     0.295703173
  12     0.295716348
  13     0.295721915

Number of iterations for RHO =   13


Mean of dependent variable        1.206902961

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.042338518       0.063369100   0.66813     1.000000
  873 FRRBZZ  (  0)       0.946564265       0.036725609  25.77396     1.229984
  874 FRRSZ   (  0)       0.277877494       0.143191580   1.94060    -0.008224
  875 FRRSZZ  (  0)      -0.173656916       0.138604647  -1.25289    -0.005658
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.295721915       0.098004361   3.01744     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.385745944
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.8735902      -0.460069945E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.274323397
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.6971563    
R squared                 =   0.96160
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00318
Overid test: p-value      = 0.16156         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   1998.4    152
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.32686612    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    71  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   71
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLH1   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18964 FRLGZ    (  0)
18965 FRLEXZ   ( -1)
  853 FRLPY    ( -1)
  855 FRLYZ    ( -1)
  828 FRRB     ( -1)
  880 FRLH1    ( -1)
  881 FRLHA    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.185720525
   2     0.210613681
   3     0.216500438
   4     0.218026892
   5     0.218431690
   6     0.218539668
   7     0.218568516
   8     0.218576226

Number of iterations for RHO =    8


Mean of dependent variable        0.006941802

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.010895552       0.002734900   3.98389     1.000000
  881 FRLHA   (  0)       0.172486833       0.051750570   3.33304    -0.022611
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.218576226       0.111349807   1.96297     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.019913186
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.412396367E-01   0.202635682E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.013464351
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.44068560    
R squared                 =   0.16575
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03637
Overid test: p-value      = 0.40328         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.238205365E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1989.3  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1989.3 Internally:    82 to   151
EST    72  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   72
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLF    

 1972.2 -   1989.3,    0 missing obs.,   70 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.159205295

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  863 FRLEE   (  0)       1.007606260       0.003017696 333.89920    -0.159505
  869 FRLRSZ  (  0)       0.643970930       0.134691615   4.78108     0.004690

SE of equation            =     0.007116717
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.344404046E-02  -0.105551487    
Average absolute error    =     0.003987956
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.279156921    
R squared                 =   0.99919
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.54304
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1989.3     70
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    73  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   73
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLPXA  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.199899963 -0.281042865
   2     1.025030238 -0.034781595
   3     0.966516042  0.024889385
   4     0.960547274  0.030814740
   5     0.959974768  0.031383070
   6     0.959920287  0.031437153
   7     0.959915106  0.031442296

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        0.112095348

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  883 FRLPXB  (  0)       0.765702971       0.028360149  26.99926    -0.210860
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.959915106       0.071168743  13.48788     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.031442296       0.070621610   0.44522     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.011555508
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.273736011E-01  -0.171855700    
Average absolute error    =     0.007871078
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.63718416    
R squared                 =   0.99035
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98878
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.2 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1961.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    38 to   244
EST    74  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   74
**********************

Dependent variable = FRLJ1   

 1961.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  207 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1    -0.308410098
   2    -0.354695879
   3    -0.358951085
   4    -0.359320174
   5    -0.359352018
   6    -0.359354764

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable        0.001347663

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.000055788       0.000715040   0.07802     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000006080       0.000004109   1.47987   141.000000
  866 FRLEXL  ( -1)      -0.099441076       0.018741983  -5.30579     0.004366
  865 FRLY1   (  0)       0.128029825       0.029333487   4.36463     0.006764
    0 RHO     ( -1)      -0.359354764       0.067698764  -5.30814     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.004340984
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.380651616E-02  -0.448063149E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.003184342
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.659158811    
R squared                 =   0.23409
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.93033
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.2   2012.4    207
@ GE                                                                          
@ SPECIAL GE                                                                  
 SMPL  1971.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    77 to   244
EST    75  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   75
**********************

Dependent variable = GELIMZ  

 1971.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  168 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.107382184

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.113166239       0.227742063  -0.49691     1.000000
  955 GELIMZ  ( -1)       0.987817102       0.011293112  87.47076     7.095699
  954 GELCIGZ (  0)       0.025013830       0.034915170   0.71642     8.574047
  974 GELPYZZ (  0)       0.021859672       0.015265056   1.43201    -0.145222

SE of equation            =     0.023228338
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.884871304E-01  -0.716508630E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.017210550
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.89137235    
R squared                 =   0.99847
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95430
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2012.4    168
 SMPL  1963.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    45 to   246
EST    76  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   76
**********************

Dependent variable = GELCZ   

 1963.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  202 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.968838288

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.025165404       0.023956664   1.05046     1.000000
  961 GELCZ   ( -1)       0.930516706       0.020533084  45.31792     7.963489
  958 GELYZ   (  0)       0.062789862       0.021133140   2.97116     8.496800

SE of equation            =     0.009516344
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.180216017E-01   0.238638265E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.006847008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.38309562    
R squared                 =   0.99908
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31171
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2013.2    202
 SMPL  1963.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    45 to   246
EST    77  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   77
**********************

Dependent variable = GELI    

 1963.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  202 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       11.257852679

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.437154160       0.134008397   3.26214     1.000000
  986 GELI    ( -1)       0.803771495       0.039798237  20.19616    11.253559
  987 GELY    (  0)       0.138533584       0.031628194   4.38007    12.888056
  926 GERB    (  0)      -0.001554970       0.001611696  -0.96480     6.444025

SE of equation            =     0.033662679
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.224368836      -0.188749514E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.022139340
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.47214676    
R squared                 =   0.98316
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06260
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2013.2    202
 SMPL  1963.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    45 to   246
EST    78  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   78
**********************

Dependent variable = GELPY   

 1963.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  202 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  957 GELPM    ( -1)
  939 GEZZ     ( -1)
  939 GEZZ     ( -2)
  956 GELPY    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.400906070

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  956 GELPY   ( -1)       0.997203638       0.005691313 175.21504    -0.407701
   40 C       (  0)       0.014299807       0.006125997   2.33428     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000044395       0.000030159  -1.47205   145.500000
  957 GELPM   (  0)       0.004090563       0.004256191   0.96109    -0.218695
  939 GEZZ    ( -1)       0.102139939       0.025232155   4.04801    -0.012640

SE of equation            =     0.006626634
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.865071922E-02  -0.760887880E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.004479751
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.904909642    
R squared                 =   0.99976
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09480
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2013.2    202
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.194116479E-02
@ SPECIAL GE                                                                  
 SMPL  1966.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
EST    79  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   79
**********************

Dependent variable = GELM1Z  

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
  962 GELM1Z   ( -1)
  927 GERS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.355141449

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.374104843       0.166022034  -2.25334     1.000000
  962 GELM1Z  ( -1)       0.968837531       0.015327559  63.20886     8.343171
  927 GERS    (  0)      -0.003263495       0.001397136  -2.33585     4.838623
  958 GELYZ   (  0)       0.077591746       0.033620372   2.30788     8.530035

SE of equation            =     0.033998337
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.212683199       0.581812820E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.021130099
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.97245861    
R squared                 =   0.99755
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27557
Overid test: p-value      = 0.25003         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.609198213E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    80  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   80
**********************

Dependent variable = GERSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
  927 GERS     ( -1)
  939 GEZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        6.032337290

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.667179553       0.245586921   2.71667     1.000000
  927 GERS    ( -1)       0.849536852       0.034274826  24.78603     6.039378
  939 GEZZ    (  0)      32.907047841       4.711261179   6.98476    -0.012851
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.075977961       0.030054679   2.52799     6.885595
  971 GEPCPY  ( -1)       0.040259030       0.029917326   1.34568     3.333516

SE of equation            =     0.716215256
Sum of squared residuals  =  52.3223579      -0.519865662E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.472540243
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.5618060    
R squared                 =   0.92222
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95076
Overid test: p-value      = 0.24863         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.24802076    
 SMPL  1963.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    45 to   246
EST    81  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   81
**********************

Dependent variable = GERBZ   

 1963.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  202 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -2)
  927 GERS     ( -1)
  927 GERS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.707154832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.117489046       0.048320197   2.43147     1.000000
  976 GERBZZ  (  0)       0.926101226       0.022448962  41.25363     1.723575
  977 GERSZ   (  0)       0.488564432       0.091327080   5.34961    -0.027700
  978 GERSZZ  (  0)      -0.499696555       0.117143990  -4.26566    -0.013997

SE of equation            =     0.398355432
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.4200360      -0.925803878E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.292025712
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.9891938    
R squared                 =   0.94068
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94852
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00436         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2013.2    202
UDU for 2SLS              =  2.65611243    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    82  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   82
**********************

Dependent variable = GELE1   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
  980 GELE1    ( -1)
  981 GELEA    ( -1)
  972 GELRSZ   ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.270604916
   2     0.295338513
   3     0.300487698
   4     0.301673097
   5     0.301951956
   6     0.302017886
   7     0.302033493
   8     0.302037188

Number of iterations for RHO =    8


Mean of dependent variable       -0.006107450

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.030674789       0.013233417  -2.31798     1.000000
  981 GELEA   (  0)       0.087617147       0.043115759   2.03214     0.233868
  972 GELRSZ  (  0)      -1.960245537       1.263381370  -1.55159    -0.001996
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.302037188       0.108704478   2.77852     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.048953106
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.246829876      -0.214948396E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.039658431
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.24345215    
R squared                 =   0.11891
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97764
Overid test: p-value      = 0.33993         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.156817678E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    83  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   83
**********************

Dependent variable = GELF    

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.708292976
   2     0.719340920
   3     0.720107287
   4     0.720162013
   5     0.720165928

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable        0.027083312

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  966 GELEE   (  0)       0.996002595       0.003977353 250.41846     0.032169
  972 GELRSZ  (  0)       1.197929446       0.109960238  10.89421    -0.001996
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.720165928       0.067518947  10.66613     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.003206106
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.106902776E-02  -0.750612560E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.001898304
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.203118571    
R squared                 =   0.99980
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21214
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
 SMPL  1963.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    45 to   244
EST    84  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   84
**********************

Dependent variable = GELPXA  

 1963.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  200 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.103870255 -0.185157478
   2     1.042398797 -0.061491847
   3     1.053995700 -0.067673874
   4     1.055459976 -0.069072557
   5     1.055496505 -0.069107490
   6     1.055497411 -0.069108357

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable       -0.098892211

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  983 GELPXB  (  0)       0.800472751       0.019277900  41.52282    -0.229259
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.055497411       0.071014039  14.86322     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.069108357       0.070215574  -0.98423     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.008068551
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.128249989E-01   0.160224492E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.005340070
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.06801391    
R squared                 =   0.99422
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98592
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2012.4    200
 SMPL  1963.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1963.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    45 to   246
EST    85  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   85
**********************

Dependent variable = GELJ1   

 1963.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  202 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18966 GELGZ    (  0)
18967 GELEXZ   ( -1)
  956 GELPY    ( -1)
  958 GELYZ    ( -1)
  926 GERB     ( -1)
  967 GELJ1    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
  969 GELEXL   ( -1)
  968 GELY1    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.000606226

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.007853840       0.001727934  -4.54522     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000044312       0.000009340   4.74454   145.500000
  969 GELEXL  ( -1)      -0.119919553       0.032540790  -3.68521     0.011183
  968 GELY1   (  0)       0.575045600       0.119071737   4.82940     0.005832

SE of equation            =     0.005705372
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.644515213E-02  -0.549932495E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.003975558
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.803062642    
R squared                 =  -0.96798
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.85529
Overid test: p-value      = 0.30931         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1963.1   2013.2    202
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.227381486E-03
@ IT                                                                          
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    86  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   86
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLIMZ  

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1044 ITLIMZ   ( -1)
 1063 ITLPYZZ  ( -1)
 1043 ITLCIGZ  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.537519448

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.672535166       0.248107025  -2.71067     1.000000
 1044 ITLIMZ  ( -1)       0.913529254       0.022287543  40.98833     6.526832
 1063 ITLPYZZ (  0)       0.050891646       0.014793022   3.44025    -0.161715
 1043 ITLCIGZ (  0)       0.150191964       0.046612638   3.22213     8.361519

SE of equation            =     0.035127281
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.252954797      -0.534676392E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.026726977
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.58593818    
R squared                 =   0.99741
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.80625
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.374363213E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    87  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   87
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLCZ   

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1050 ITLCZ    ( -1)
 1021 ITRS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.805864530

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.033284112       0.043589713   0.76358     1.000000
 1050 ITLCZ   ( -1)       0.936715950       0.031757461  29.49593     7.800163
 1021 ITRS    (  0)      -0.000004417       0.000094631  -0.04668     8.251864
 1047 ITLYZ   (  0)       0.055792689       0.034697241   1.60799     8.353771

SE of equation            =     0.007088731
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.103012722E-01  -0.171782720E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.005447767
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.13858331    
R squared                 =   0.99964
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.35746
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00431         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.748926240E-03
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    88  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   88
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLI    

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1078 ITLI     ( -1)
 1079 ITLY     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable       10.850542600

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.281883824       0.071441096   3.94568     1.000000
 1078 ITLI    ( -1)       0.938867669       0.024343823  38.56698    10.846732
 1079 ITLY    (  0)       0.031653015       0.017290575   1.83065    12.379030
 1020 ITRB    ( -1)      -0.000756030       0.000354723  -2.13133     9.022440

SE of equation            =     0.019705433
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.796023349E-01   0.865174599E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.014736612
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.07995193    
R squared                 =   0.99500
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.28472
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.133515740E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    89  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   89
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLY    

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.413237610
   2     0.469460674
   3     0.477373059
   4     0.478528388
   5     0.478698418
   6     0.478723472
   7     0.478727165

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable       12.379029914

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000676005       0.036319762  -0.01861     1.000000
 1079 ITLY    ( -1)       0.441100304       0.044625402   9.88451    12.372776
 1080 ITLX    (  0)       0.562274680       0.045869428  12.25816    12.381041
 1081 ITLV    ( -1)      -0.003538849       0.001637808  -2.16072    11.164101
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.478727165       0.068741391   6.96418     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.006841611
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.954875957E-02  -0.120381134E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.004967142
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.03813261    
R squared                 =   0.99970
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.93959
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    90  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   90
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLPY   

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1046 ITLPM    ( -1)
 1033 ITZZ     ( -1)
 1033 ITZZ     ( -2)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable       -1.219572319

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1045 ITLPY   ( -1)       0.953100788       0.004574307 208.35962    -1.236059
   40 C       (  0)       0.026094554       0.008848737   2.94896     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000074816       0.000044106  -1.69626   141.000000
 1046 ITLPM   (  0)       0.051351270       0.003858061  13.31012    -1.057857
 1033 ITZZ    ( -1)       0.146524183       0.029966093   4.88967    -0.018472

SE of equation            =     0.009939417
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.201535693E-01  -0.490857355E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.007096539
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.48317675    
R squared                 =   0.99993
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.48131
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.467509939E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    91  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   91
**********************

Dependent variable = ITRSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1021 ITRS     ( -1)
 1021 ITRS     ( -2)
 1033 ITZZ     ( -1)
 1033 ITZZ     ( -2)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.284027426
   2     0.314296951
   3     0.321647447
   4     0.323651838
   5     0.324214656
   6     0.324373970
   7     0.324419169
   8     0.324432001
   9     0.324435644

Number of iterations for RHO =    9


Mean of dependent variable       12.450834006

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.168584408       0.571316773   2.04542     1.000000
 1021 ITRS    ( -1)       0.875641799       0.052727887  16.60681    12.478239
 1060 ITPCPY  (  0)       0.064406920       0.030819849   2.08979    10.573151
 1033 ITZZ    (  0)      20.781519493      10.174087311   2.04259    -0.015766
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.324435644       0.110451266   2.93736     0.000000

SE of equation            =     1.074134169
Sum of squared residuals  =  117.683950      -0.292151368E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.743179955
Sum of ABS residuals      =  79.5202551    
R squared                 =   0.92999
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.93177
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02177         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  18.0280378    
 SMPL  1961.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    37 to   188
EST    92  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   92
**********************

Dependent variable = ITRBZ   

 1961.1 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  152 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -2)
 1021 ITRS     ( -1)
 1021 ITRS     ( -2)
 1021 ITRS     ( -3)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.400244354
   2     0.484586107
   3     0.523058368
   4     0.544410907
   5     0.557479054
   6     0.565916022
   7     0.571536641
   8     0.575354420
   9     0.577980159
  10     0.579800973
  11     0.581070621
  12     0.581959293
  13     0.582582928
  14     0.583021361
  15     0.583329980
  16     0.583547413
  17     0.583700698
  18     0.583808806
  19     0.583885075
  20     0.583938895
  21     0.583976878
  22     0.584003688
  23     0.584022612
  24     0.584035971
  25     0.584045402

Number of iterations for RHO =   25


Mean of dependent variable        0.340062857

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.096572595       0.093153577   1.03670     1.000000
 1065 ITRBZZ  (  0)       0.704955730       0.096974629   7.26949     0.346795
 1066 ITRSZ   (  0)       0.495298470       0.127171055   3.89474    -0.016806
 1067 ITRSZZ  (  0)      -0.291946945       0.093418478  -3.12515    -0.005936
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.584045402       0.116437081   5.01597     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.443440123
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.9059540      -0.137605349E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.316254785
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.0707273    
R squared                 =   0.93392
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94806
Overid test: p-value      = 0.88211         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   1998.4    152
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.451788744    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST    93  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   93
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLH1Z  

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18968 ITLGZ    (  0)
18969 ITLEXZ   ( -1)
 1045 ITLPY    ( -1)
 1047 ITLYZ    ( -1)
 1020 ITRB     ( -1)
 1072 ITLH1    ( -1)
 1073 ITLHA    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.335074323
   2     0.335079681

Number of iterations for RHO =    2


Mean of dependent variable        0.024227411

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.024156939       0.004840276   4.99082     1.000000
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.335079681       0.092033015   3.64086     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.033291030
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.116370731      -0.120587146E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.023627981
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.52819393    
R squared                 =   0.11209
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95224
Overid test: p-value      = 0.11438         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.126196166E-01
@ SPECIAL IT                                                                  
 SMPL  1976.3 1998.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  1998.4 Internally:    99 to   188
EST    94  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   94
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLF    

 1976.3 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.371520478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1055 ITLEE   (  0)       0.996721046       0.003864670 257.90586    -0.385693
 1061 ITLRSZ  (  0)       1.057420405       0.122621147   8.62348     0.012889

SE of equation            =     0.010546544
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.978820311E-02  -0.648738324E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.006402224
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.576200194    
R squared                 =   0.99828
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.74414
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   1998.4     90
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST    95  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   95
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLPXA  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.919526908  0.042954461
   2     0.920157468  0.041536666
   3     0.920206761  0.041437257
   4     0.920209931  0.041430910

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.235149545

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1075 ITLPXB  (  0)       0.621961282       0.038301278  16.23866    -0.356703
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.920209931       0.070021693  13.14178     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.041430910       0.068970865   0.60070     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.017940892
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.659844972E-01  -0.336020309    
Average absolute error    =     0.013225167
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.75083474    
R squared                 =   0.98696
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98171
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    96  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   96
**********************

Dependent variable = ITLJ1   

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.000299012

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000616157       0.001288059  -0.47836     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000012612       0.000007103   1.77572   141.000000
 1058 ITLEXL  ( -1)      -0.110952977       0.020784591  -5.33823     0.016402
 1057 ITLY1   (  0)       0.152982713       0.040636654   3.76465     0.006254

SE of equation            =     0.005429923
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.604423209E-02  -0.425007252E-16
Average absolute error    =     0.003858507
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.806427917    
R squared                 =   0.17205
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04756
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
@ NE                                                                          
 SMPL  1961.1 2013.1 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    97  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   97
**********************

Dependent variable = NELIMZ  

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1139 NELIMZ   ( -1)
 1158 NELPYZZ  ( -1)
 1138 NELCIGZ  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.631612557

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.033656144       0.240261666  -0.14008     1.000000
 1139 NELIMZ  ( -1)       0.946870207       0.019456945  48.66490     7.620385
 1158 NELPYZZ (  0)       0.069391407       0.018444214   3.76223    -0.418467
 1138 NELCIGZ (  0)       0.055896737       0.042982907   1.30044     8.565641

SE of equation            =     0.021641255
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.960105034E-01  -0.116947048E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.016699379
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.49017029    
R squared                 =   0.99897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.85558
Overid test: p-value      = 0.03125         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.563741929E-02
@ SPECIAL NE                                                                  
 SMPL 1967.1 2013.1 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1967.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    61 to   245
EST    98  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   98
**********************

Dependent variable = NELCZ   

 1967.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.992024283

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.163455711       0.038493846   4.24628     1.000000
 1145 NELCZ   ( -1)       0.941728362       0.021434271  43.93564     7.988080
 1142 NELYZ   (  0)       0.035610064       0.020326959   1.75186     8.675499
 1115 NERB    (  0)      -0.000446156       0.000583434  -0.76471     6.651935

SE of equation            =     0.009718977
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.170969900E-01  -0.158111515E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.007251210
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.34147386    
R squared                 =   0.99796
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14208
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.1   2013.1    185
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST    99  ;                                                                  

Equation number =   99
**********************

Dependent variable = NELI    

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1173 NELI     ( -1)
 1174 NELY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        9.671683733

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.260503324       0.110049897   2.36714     1.000000
 1173 NELI    ( -1)       0.821278365       0.042782177  19.19674     9.666261
 1174 NELY    (  0)       0.133167617       0.036565480   3.64189    11.273953
 1115 NERB    ( -1)      -0.004466200       0.001967853  -2.26958     6.456475

SE of equation            =     0.052657603
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.568428747       0.470387995E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.031528205
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.58939491    
R squared                 =   0.97906
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56751
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00024         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.587813968E-01
@ SPECIAL NE                                                                  
 SMPL  1967.1 2013.1 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1967.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    61 to   245
EST   100  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  100
**********************

Dependent variable = NELPY   

 1967.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.445395933

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1140 NELPY   ( -1)       0.991698657       0.009457623 104.85707    -0.454072
   40 C       (  0)       0.016247695       0.012303394   1.32059     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000043443       0.000055606  -0.78126   153.000000
 1141 NELPM   (  0)       0.004316033       0.006070306   0.71101    -0.082312
 1128 NEZZ    ( -1)       0.158527185       0.023848312   6.64731    -0.027373

SE of equation            =     0.006563351
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.775396299E-02   0.687105234E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.004939069
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.913727799    
R squared                 =   0.99978
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.57925
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.1   2013.1    185
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST   101  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  101
**********************

Dependent variable = NELM1Z  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.789305918

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.072802262       0.054823406  -1.32794     1.000000
 1147 NELM1ZL (  0)       0.923910405       0.014655081  63.04369     8.772652
 1116 NERS    (  0)      -0.004571145       0.000767103  -5.95897     4.955165
 1142 NELYZ   (  0)       0.090642871       0.020011535   4.52953     8.600946

SE of equation            =     0.020320548
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.842366344E-01   0.498912556E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.015113535
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.14361525    
R squared                 =   0.99813
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16182
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST   102  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  102
**********************

Dependent variable = NERSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1116 NERS     ( -1)
 1128 NEZZ     ( -1)
    1 GEGERS   ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.303302336

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.025362578       0.494092647   0.05133     1.000000
 1116 NERS    ( -1)       0.515647642       0.071723874   7.18934     6.301496
 1128 NEZZ    (  0)       8.108298813       6.993515797   1.15940    -0.033121
    1 GEGERS  (  0)       0.360794332       0.089438463   4.03400     6.032337
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.162761873       0.068197557   2.38662     6.885595

SE of equation            =     1.439652204
Sum of squared residuals  =  211.405044       0.372247566E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.794269395
Sum of ABS residuals      =  84.9868252    
R squared                 =   0.74703
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.67515
Overid test: p-value      = 0.04953         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  21.9212305    
 SMPL  1961.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    37 to   188
EST   103  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  103
**********************

Dependent variable = NERBZ   

 1961.1 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  152 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -2)
 1116 NERS     ( -1)
 1116 NERS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.412916316

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.178735064       0.072465946   2.46647     1.000000
 1160 NERBZZ  (  0)       0.871705751       0.043277379  20.14230     1.412982
 1161 NERSZ   (  0)       0.366241582       0.102732783   3.56499     0.010833
 1162 NERSZZ  (  0)      -0.296894619       0.093132063  -3.18789     0.005022

SE of equation            =     0.490701011
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.6365474      -0.188115301E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.342656341
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.0837638    
R squared                 =   0.93616
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95103
Overid test: p-value      = 0.47122         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   1998.4    152
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.07029079    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST   104  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  104
**********************

Dependent variable = NELH1Z  

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1167 NELH1    ( -1)
 1168 NELHA    ( -1)
 1164 NELRSZG  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.006122819

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.007083070       0.000901662   7.85557     1.000000
 1164 NELRSZG (  0)      -1.545796948       0.279341284  -5.53372     0.000621

SE of equation            =     0.009152515
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.879569633E-02   0.497815070E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.005316791
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.568896679    
R squared                 =   0.00038
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02400
Overid test: p-value      = 0.10393         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.978132244E-03
 SMPL  1972.2  1990.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1990.4 Internally:    82 to   156
EST   105  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  105
**********************

Dependent variable = NELF    

 1972.2 -   1990.4,    0 missing obs.,   75 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.093366442

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1150 NELEE   (  0)       0.992134535       0.005381356 184.36517     0.098020
 1156 NELRSZ  (  0)       1.153858839       0.182832659   6.31101    -0.002871

SE of equation            =     0.008611474
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.541349626E-02  -0.426793555E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.004930361
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.369777089    
R squared                 =   0.99775
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.90745
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1990.4     75
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST   106  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  106
**********************

Dependent variable = NELPXA  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.010199776 -0.107621842
   2     1.029374081 -0.052322034
   3     1.133851843 -0.143867805
   4     1.155743918 -0.165496076
   5     1.158094584 -0.167820064
   6     1.158347759 -0.168070381
   7     1.158375034 -0.168097348
   8     1.158377973 -0.168100254

Number of iterations for RHO =    8


Mean of dependent variable        0.055627908

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1170 NELPXB  (  0)       0.556818752       0.044425671  12.53372    -0.319668
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.158377973       0.068827330  16.83020     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.168100254       0.068154885  -2.46644     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.016609133
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.565519781E-01  -0.442046427E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.012679122
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.63725730    
R squared                 =   0.93850
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01214
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.1 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    37 to   245
EST   107  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  107
**********************

Dependent variable = NELJ1   

 1961.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  209 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18970 NELGZ    (  0)
18971 NELEXZ   ( -1)
 1140 NELPY    ( -1)
 1142 NELYZ    ( -1)
 1115 NERB     ( -1)
 1151 NELJ1    ( -1)
 1153 NELEXL   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1152 NELY1    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.002929232

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.003152079       0.000838768   3.75799     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000000344       0.000004897   0.07023   141.000000
 1153 NELEXL  ( -1)      -0.153746238       0.025613766  -6.00248     0.012919
 1152 NELY1   (  0)       0.250952570       0.052700290   4.76188     0.006834

SE of equation            =     0.003782492
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.293298519E-02  -0.129102024E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.002692943
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.562825142    
R squared                 =  -0.18216
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.51870
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.1    209
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.801636316E-03
@ ST                                                                          
 SMPL  1971.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    77 to   246
EST   108  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  108
**********************

Dependent variable = STLIMZ  

 1971.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.236901329
   2     0.286278216
   3     0.307814468
   4     0.319291423
   5     0.326004537
   6     0.330136670
   7     0.332758288
   8     0.334453103
   9     0.335561962
  10     0.336293107
  11     0.336777661
  12     0.337099872
  13     0.337314609
  14     0.337457933
  15     0.337553687
  16     0.337617703
  17     0.337660519
  18     0.337689164
  19     0.337708332
  20     0.337721161
  21     0.337729747

Number of iterations for RHO =   21


Mean of dependent variable        1.410287727

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.395901561       0.295415461  -1.34015     1.000000
 1231 STLIMZ  ( -1)       0.906885288       0.040979961  22.12997     1.402186
 1230 STLCIGZ (  0)       0.211436458       0.132623477   1.59426     2.577223
 1250 STLPYZZ (  0)       0.042657064       0.033099672   1.28875    -0.243133
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.337729747       0.086413175   3.90831     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.022680369
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.848758549E-01  -0.841082597E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.017625647
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.99636001    
R squared                 =   0.99727
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07801
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2013.2    170
@ SPECIAL ST                                                                  
 SMPL  1977.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2013.2 Internally:   101 to   246
EST   109  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  109
**********************

Dependent variable = STLCZ   

 1977.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1237 STLCZ    ( -1)
 1237 STLCZ    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        2.178081435

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.043862837       0.013435739   3.26464     1.000000
 1237 STLCZ   ( -1)       0.925528383       0.032141479  28.79545     2.175631
 1209 STRB    (  0)      -0.001390053       0.000351350  -3.95632     3.740228
 1234 STLYZ   (  0)       0.046782226       0.028045654   1.66807     2.689260

SE of equation            =     0.004547246
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.293619783E-02  -0.384918830E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.003342820
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.488051779    
R squared                 =   0.99768
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95290
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01345         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2013.2    146
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.253256863E-03
 SMPL  1971.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    77 to   246
EST   110  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  110
**********************

Dependent variable = STLI    

 1971.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        3.023655390

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.023435935       0.131521299   0.17819     1.000000
 1265 STLI    ( -1)       0.966627211       0.035953645  26.88537     3.019785
 1266 STLY    (  0)       0.020768719       0.049635462   0.41843     4.587977
 1209 STRB    (  0)      -0.003499722       0.001952040  -1.79285     4.021373

SE of equation            =     0.021174566
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.744281339E-01  -0.243458809E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.015998922
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.71981674    
R squared                 =   0.99184
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.52197
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2013.2    170
 SMPL  1971.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    77 to   246
EST   111  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  111
**********************

Dependent variable = STLPY   

 1971.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)
 1222 STZZ     ( -1)
 1222 STZZ     ( -2)
 1233 STLPM    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.496131465
   2     0.497475293
   3     0.497494100
   4     0.497494366

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.245053540

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1232 STLPY   ( -1)       0.981474131       0.008154071 120.36615    -0.251445
   40 C       (  0)       0.004992485       0.009563921   0.52201     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000002653       0.000045835  -0.05787   161.500000
 1233 STLPM   (  0)       0.010210158       0.009166762   1.11382    -0.001920
 1222 STZZ    ( -1)       0.097264368       0.018327928   5.30689    -0.029153
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.497494366       0.068326919   7.28109     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.003593462
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.211772667E-02  -0.218620233E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.002504750
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.425807496    
R squared                 =   0.99986
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00751
Overid test: p-value      = 0.03382         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2013.2    170
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.170023305E-03
 SMPL  1976.1  2013.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2013.1 Internally:    97 to   245
EST   112  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  112
**********************

Dependent variable = STLM1Z  

 1976.1 -   2013.1,    0 missing obs.,  149 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1238 STLM1Z   ( -1)
 1210 STRS     ( -1)
 1238 STLM1Z   ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        3.084509089

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.067260883       0.086822772   0.77469     1.000000
 1238 STLM1Z  ( -1)       0.972876019       0.016151513  60.23436     3.075578
 1210 STRS    (  0)      -0.007569119       0.001975062  -3.83235     3.055058
 1234 STLYZ   (  0)       0.017977676       0.039372972   0.45660     2.681990

SE of equation            =     0.035578920
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.183549639      -0.321520588E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.025882260
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.85645677    
R squared                 =   0.99068
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.81871
Overid test: p-value      = 0.12365         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2013.1    149
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.106617900E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   113  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  113
**********************

Dependent variable = STRS    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1210 STRS     ( -1)
 1210 STRS     ( -2)
 1222 STZZ     ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.397287724
   2     0.442481548
   3     0.454404946
   4     0.457872596
   5     0.458908435
   6     0.459220322
   7     0.459314455
   8     0.459342886
   9     0.459351475

Number of iterations for RHO =    9


Mean of dependent variable        3.382749506

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.181472295       0.145756443   1.24504     1.000000
 1210 STRS    ( -1)       0.835889698       0.060919367  13.72125     3.419901
 1247 STPCPY  (  0)       0.141400418       0.063005311   2.24426     2.436065
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.459351475       0.087027253   5.27825     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.562206974
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.8883457       0.568724661E-05
Average absolute error    =     0.362988713
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.8931376    
R squared                 =   0.95178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.88851
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02121         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              =  5.07727480    
 SMPL  1971.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    77 to   246
EST   114  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  114
**********************

Dependent variable = STRBZ   

 1971.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -2)
 1210 STRS     ( -1)
 1210 STRS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        0.485704004

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.020602144       0.025323820   0.81355     1.000000
 1252 STRBZZ  (  0)       0.943184970       0.019632702  48.04153     0.513057
 1253 STRSZ   (  0)       0.529835188       0.102184095   5.18510    -0.072118
 1254 STRSZZ  (  0)      -0.538140891       0.143073761  -3.76128    -0.036059

SE of equation            =     0.293017229
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.2526101       0.468477479E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.228075779
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.7728824    
R squared                 =   0.95345
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96033
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01403         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2013.2    170
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.19570365    
@ SPECIAL ST                                                                  
 SMPL  1977.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2013.2 Internally:   101 to   246
EST   115  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  115
**********************

Dependent variable = STLH1Z  

 1977.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1259 STLH1    ( -1)
 1260 STLHA    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.325826129

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.325826129       0.001874924-173.78102     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.022654787
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.744197123E-01   0.248689958E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.016818446
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.45549313    
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.57887
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00314         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2013.2    146
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.109428126E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   116  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  116
**********************

Dependent variable = STLF    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.458486455

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1242 STLEE   (  0)       1.000311614       0.000087399**********    -6.451495
 1248 STLRSZ  (  0)       1.111228071       0.074400531  14.93575    -0.004399

SE of equation            =     0.005943298
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.575761468E-02  -0.154240782E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.003647270
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.601799566    
R squared                 =   0.99967
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.48613
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
 SMPL  1971.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    77 to   244
EST   117  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  117
**********************

Dependent variable = STLPXA  

 1971.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  168 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.849654702  0.105528845
   2     0.810601218  0.170892511
   3     0.813974615  0.167926931
   4     0.814021334  0.167884376
   5     0.814021935  0.167883829

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable       -0.158487944

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1262 STLPXB  (  0)       0.860381578       0.025036030  34.36574    -0.232258
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.814021935       0.077100371  10.55795     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.167883829       0.076668365   2.18974     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.012014891
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.238190033E-01   0.522295244E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.008909154
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.49673791    
R squared                 =   0.99602
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06255
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2012.4    168
 SMPL  1971.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    77 to   246
EST   118  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  118
**********************

Dependent variable = STLJ1   

 1971.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1243 STLJ1    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1245 STLEXL   ( -1)
 1244 STLY1    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.002038525

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.004403624       0.001993118   2.20941     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000000299       0.000010848   0.02754   161.500000
 1245 STLEXL  ( -1)      -0.190143292       0.031300975  -6.07468     0.013506
 1244 STLY1   (  0)       0.040043088       0.102224148   0.39172     0.003866

SE of equation            =     0.006801713
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.767970722E-02  -0.947887602E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.003730675
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.634214675    
R squared                 =   0.20898
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36568
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00008         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2013.2    170
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.128573783E-02
@ SPECIAL ST                                                                  
 SMPL  1977.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2013.2 Internally:   101 to   246
EST   119  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  119
**********************

Dependent variable = STLL1Z  

 1977.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18972 STLGZ    (  0)
18973 STLEXZ   ( -1)
 1232 STLPY    ( -1)
 1234 STLYZ    ( -1)
 1209 STRB     ( -1)
 1246 STLL1Z   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1214 STUR     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.397058097

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.014032720       0.013063432  -1.07420     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000060163       0.000029896   2.01244   173.500000
 1246 STLL1Z  ( -1)       0.979694958       0.026071245  37.57761    -0.397706
 1214 STUR    (  0)      -0.160225942       0.083757160  -1.91298     0.023922

SE of equation            =     0.006588950
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.616482579E-02   0.472594186E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.003263262
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.476436192    
R squared                 =   0.97125
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.78436
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00082         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2013.2    146
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.885530755E-03
@ UK                                                                          
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   120  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  120
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLIMZ  

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1321 UKLIMZ   ( -1)
 1341 UKLPYZZ  ( -1)
 1320 UKLCIGZ  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.391757781

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.192559824       0.426379349  -5.14227     1.000000
 1321 UKLIMZ  ( -1)       0.753634092       0.045932675  16.40736     6.382038
 1341 UKLPYZZ (  0)       0.021459183       0.016036287   1.33816    -0.250186
 1320 UKLCIGZ (  0)       0.466734831       0.088622821   5.26653     8.098742

SE of equation            =     0.027744460
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.158569547      -0.363371058E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.020602406
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.32650523    
R squared                 =   0.99838
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.90056
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00612         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.122843618E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   121  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  121
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLCZ   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.556483355

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.342311856       0.063937976  -5.35381     1.000000
 1328 UKLCZ   ( -1)       0.805435674       0.031343000  25.69747     7.550464
 1299 UKRB    (  0)      -0.001302552       0.000299579  -4.34794     8.202315
 1324 UKLYZ   (  0)       0.225674116       0.036964128   6.10522     8.100469

SE of equation            =     0.010355034
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.220887048E-01  -0.572424943E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.007679799
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.61275772    
R squared                 =   0.99940
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.63337
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   122  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  122
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLI    

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1356 UKLI     ( -1)
 1357 UKLY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.331702375

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.017007452       0.097354756   0.17470     1.000000
 1356 UKLI    ( -1)       0.903646424       0.032244218  28.02507    10.326032
 1357 UKLY    (  0)       0.081788934       0.032223038   2.53821    12.150308
 1299 UKRB    ( -1)      -0.001234376       0.000749921  -1.64601     8.221218

SE of equation            =     0.032505085
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.217655600      -0.341704087E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.024460501
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.13670524    
R squared                 =   0.99305
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15274
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00026         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.221984000E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   123  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  123
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLPY   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1323 UKLPM    ( -1)
 1312 UKZZ     ( -1)
 1312 UKZZ     ( -2)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -2)
 1323 UKLPM    ( -2)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.424677167
   2     0.430948727
   3     0.431237078
   4     0.431250667
   5     0.431251309

Number of iterations for RHO =    5


Mean of dependent variable       -0.921830986

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1322 UKLPY   ( -1)       0.896242894       0.016777840  53.41825    -0.935228
   40 C       (  0)      -0.057248610       0.021604881  -2.64980     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000287910       0.000100326   2.86976   141.500000
 1323 UKLPM   ( -1)       0.089723792       0.012958069   6.92416    -0.683789
 1312 UKZZ    ( -1)       0.158613133       0.039922747   3.97300    -0.036461
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.431251309       0.065469664   6.58704     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.009905437
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.200160077E-01  -0.176344106E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.006854709
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.43948891    
R squared                 =   0.99990
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27208
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.467564067E-02
 SMPL  1971.2  2006.1  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1971.2 to  2006.1 Internally:    78 to   217
EST   124  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  124
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLM1Z  

 1971.2 -   2006.1,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1329 UKLM1Z   ( -1)
 1300 UKRS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        6.314904212

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.144130547       0.082792944   1.74086     1.000000
 1329 UKLM1Z  ( -1)       0.975850086       0.008047380 121.26308     6.314611
 1300 UKRS    (  0)      -0.003030931       0.000499334  -6.06995     8.454794
 1324 UKLYZ   (  0)       0.004209991       0.006111258   0.68889     8.143874

SE of equation            =     0.013661813
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.253837400E-01  -0.906142716E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.009977652
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.39687123    
R squared                 =   0.99288
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13487
Overid test: p-value      = 0.27403         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.2   2006.1    140
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.930468302E-03
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   125  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  125
**********************

Dependent variable = UKRS    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1300 UKRS     ( -1)
 1312 UKZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
 1338 UKPCPY   ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.425239182

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.408740055       0.162998108   2.50764     1.000000
 1300 UKRS    ( -1)       0.811778115       0.034775567  23.34335     7.449708
 1338 UKPCPY  (  0)       0.010569717       0.016676285   0.63382     5.990881
 1312 UKZZ    (  0)       7.144589556       1.995823487   3.57977    -0.042297
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.230565800       0.040451268   5.69984     5.238679

SE of equation            =     0.868626013
Sum of squared residuals  =  120.721784      -0.136796963E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.626853968
Sum of ABS residuals      =  103.430905    
R squared                 =   0.95462
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.52000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02337         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              =  9.51216428    
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   126  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  126
**********************

Dependent variable = UKRBZ   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -2)
 1300 UKRS     ( -1)
 1300 UKRS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.106990567

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.017959687       0.043877619   0.40931     1.000000
 1343 UKRBZZ  (  0)       0.972798116       0.025490038  38.16386     1.125894
 1344 UKRSZ   (  0)       0.300407324       0.171795315   1.74864    -0.046588
 1345 UKRSZZ  (  0)      -0.310170654       0.207832124  -1.49241    -0.025013

SE of equation            =     0.449575016
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.6362452      -0.123258737E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.328197286
Sum of ABS residuals      =  68.9214301    
R squared                 =   0.94748
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.62654
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00287         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.58173676    
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   127  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  127
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLH1Z  

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18975 UKLGZ    (  0)
18976 UKLEXZ   ( -1)
 1322 UKLPY    ( -1)
 1324 UKLYZ    ( -1)
 1299 UKRB     ( -1)
 1350 UKLH1    ( -1)
 1351 UKLHA    ( -1)
 1347 UKLRSZG  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.004526887

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.002011866       0.004677217  -0.43014     1.000000
 1347 UKLRSZG (  0)      -0.402774810       0.560198181  -0.71899     0.006244

SE of equation            =     0.039882913
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.259275421      -0.569284203E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.030511816
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.03444956    
R squared                 =  -0.00540
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.42113
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00012         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.461787425E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  2006.3  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2006.3 Internally:    82 to   219
EST   128  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  128
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLF    

 1972.2 -   2006.3,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.199357786
   2     0.199363344

Number of iterations for RHO =    2


Mean of dependent variable       -0.545899200

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1333 UKLEE   (  0)       1.002813036       0.001349839 742.91302    -0.551119
 1339 UKLRSZ  (  0)       1.246255048       0.102062386  12.21072     0.005686
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.199363344       0.085884920   2.32128     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.004877578
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.321175374E-02  -0.346028192E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.003676851
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.507405420    
R squared                 =   0.99911
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00702
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2006.3    138
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST   129  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  129
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLPXA  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.969372199 -0.016661125
   2     0.999001272 -0.014409756
   3     1.025321881 -0.037676794
   4     1.027777802 -0.039944345
   5     1.027966220 -0.040118736
   6     1.027980527 -0.040131981
   7     1.027981613 -0.040132986

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable       -0.109952386

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1353 UKLPXB  (  0)       0.692409218       0.040188701  17.22895    -0.349950
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.027981613       0.069968176  14.69213     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.040132986       0.069584289  -0.57675     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.019043257
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.743423578E-01   0.129790403    
Average absolute error    =     0.011755015
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.44504303    
R squared                 =   0.97185
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99646
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   130  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  130
**********************

Dependent variable = UKLJ1   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.400501799
   2     0.442866289
   3     0.447852632
   4     0.448482938
   5     0.448563385
   6     0.448573665
   7     0.448574979

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        0.000846910

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.003045687       0.000990446  -3.07506     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000030670       0.000006689   4.58532   141.500000
 1336 UKLEXL  ( -1)      -0.119789482       0.018428321  -6.50029     0.010001
 1335 UKLY1   (  0)       0.119683716       0.020665387   5.79151     0.006062
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.448574979       0.063583815   7.05486     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.002976805
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.181658086E-02  -0.156012828E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.002229815
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.468261105    
R squared                 =   0.48910
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14685
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
@ FI                                                                          
@ SPECIAL FI                                                                  
 SMPL  1965.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    53 to   246
EST   131  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  131
**********************

Dependent variable = FILIMZ  

 1965.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  194 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1418 FILIMZ   ( -1)
 1437 FILPYZZ  ( -1)
 1417 FILCIGZ  ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.129608479

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.268535253       0.281887304  -0.95263     1.000000
 1418 FILIMZ  ( -1)       0.952134428       0.026977480  35.29368     7.119517
 1417 FILCIGZ (  0)       0.073226613       0.053598265   1.36621     8.528257
 1437 FILPYZZ (  0)       0.033845374       0.029476585   1.14821    -0.150347

SE of equation            =     0.053799668
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.549936821      -0.218832952E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.039015831
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.56907121    
R squared                 =   0.99228
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49590
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2013.2    194
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.116018293    
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   132  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  132
**********************

Dependent variable = FILCZ   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1424 FILCZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.832926102

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.025993243       0.028336285   0.91731     1.000000
 1424 FILCZ   ( -1)       0.844843381       0.033790267  25.00257     7.826599
 1396 FIRS    (  0)      -0.000379284       0.000251310  -1.50923     7.543264
 1421 FILYZ   (  0)       0.141556248       0.033165584   4.26817     8.459845

SE of equation            =     0.012672328
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.330811057E-01  -0.452326780E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.009438967
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.98218307    
R squared                 =   0.99881
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43023
Overid test: p-value      = 0.02519         (df =   3)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.147002846E-02
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   133  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  133
**********************

Dependent variable = FILI    

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1452 FILI     ( -1)
 1453 FILY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.590057873

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.252798908       0.087888773   2.87635     1.000000
 1452 FILI    ( -1)       0.927452042       0.029240271  31.71831     8.584751
 1453 FILY    (  0)       0.038222292       0.022913926   1.66808    10.053912
 1396 FIRS    (  0)      -0.001189022       0.000863578  -1.37686     7.543264

SE of equation            =     0.041849771
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.360789079       0.209551576E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.030117118
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.32459487    
R squared                 =   0.98251
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27644
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.481590222E-01
 SMPL  1961.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   134  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  134
**********************

Dependent variable = FILPY   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1420 FILPM    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1408 FIZZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.807331478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1419 FILPY   ( -1)       0.961448141       0.009391164 102.37795    -0.820261
   40 C       (  0)       0.015129566       0.012405764   1.21956     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000040027       0.000060289  -0.66392   141.500000
 1420 FILPM   (  0)       0.040383407       0.007973542   5.06468    -0.645718
 1408 FIZZ    (  0)       0.041425419       0.024266248   1.70712    -0.050275

SE of equation            =     0.014527469
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.432647084E-01   0.975485318E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.009608525
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.01779019    
R squared                 =   0.99974
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30892
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00036         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.426864751E-02
@ SPECIAL FI                                                                  
 SMPL  1970.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   135  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  135
**********************

Dependent variable = FILM1Z  

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1425 FILM1Z   ( -1)
 1426 FILM1ZL  (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        9.280239701

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.114898197       0.340026107  -3.27886     1.000000
 1426 FILM1ZL (  0)       0.742267443       0.049334339  15.04565     9.257322
 1396 FIRS    (  0)      -0.006328073       0.002056323  -3.07737     7.514230
 1421 FILYZ   (  0)       0.416001973       0.086986783   4.78236     8.584767

SE of equation            =     0.067957867
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.775869649      -0.525297139E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.041750043
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.18100739    
R squared                 =   0.98489
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.84004
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00921         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.607416911E-01
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST   136  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  136
**********************

Dependent variable = FIRSA   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1408 FIZZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.072490280

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.019319678       0.370324058   2.75251     1.000000
 1396 FIRS    ( -1)       0.938622398       0.028529985  32.89951    10.122428
 1408 FIZZ    (  0)       6.900608609       2.008723935   3.43532    -0.064917

SE of equation            =     0.939660831
Sum of squared residuals  =  91.8280976       0.856115179E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.629622307
Sum of ABS residuals      =  67.3695868    
R squared                 =   0.92978
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.77436
Overid test: p-value      = 0.36987         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.67015775    
 SMPL  1972.2  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1998.4 Internally:    82 to   188
EST   137  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  137
**********************

Dependent variable = FILH1   

 1972.2 -   1998.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1446 FILH1    ( -1)
 1447 FILHA    ( -1)
 1443 FILRSZG  ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.305656348
   2     0.339707673
   3     0.349188315
   4     0.352228432
   5     0.353244216
   6     0.353588179
   7     0.353705174
   8     0.353745030
   9     0.353758613
  10     0.353763244

Number of iterations for RHO =   10


Mean of dependent variable        0.007964002

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.008754576       0.008503367   1.02954     1.000000
 1447 FILHA   (  0)       0.077238367       0.056454674   1.36815     0.039396
 1443 FILRSZG (  0)      -0.445570303       0.952165423  -0.46795     0.009291
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.353763244       0.115949699   3.05101     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.029470724
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.894579254E-01  -0.428930810E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.020954647
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.24214723    
R squared                 =   0.11888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00379
Overid test: p-value      = 0.09453         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1998.4    107
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.903523583E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  1989.3  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  1989.3 Internally:    82 to   151
EST   138  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  138
**********************

Dependent variable = FILF    

 1972.2 -   1989.3,    0 missing obs.,   70 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.552305442
   2     0.554825570
   3     0.554881680
   4     0.554882946

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.298999235

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1429 FILEE   (  0)       0.989666534       0.007681978 128.82965    -0.309236
 1435 FILRSZ  (  0)       1.176694385       0.253280638   4.64581     0.007570
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.554882946       0.100474444   5.52263     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.008792325
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.517943389E-02  -0.527817499E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.006233540
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.436347817    
R squared                 =   0.99727
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42225
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   1989.3     70
 SMPL  1961.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    37 to   244
EST   139  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  139
**********************

Dependent variable = FILPXA  

 1961.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  208 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.870949081  0.120580757
   2     0.951835696  0.041082848
   3     0.962803214  0.029981298
   4     0.964359700  0.028402909
   5     0.964581469  0.028177967
   6     0.964613083  0.028145899
   7     0.964617590  0.028141328

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable       -0.155951689

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1449 FILPXB  (  0)       0.452392969       0.048791314   9.27200    -0.183351
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.964617590       0.069079631  13.96385     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.028141328       0.069795392   0.40320     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.022826298
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.106813180      -0.336269821    
Average absolute error    =     0.017875471
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.71809794    
R squared                 =   0.95624
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97447
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2012.4    208
 SMPL 1961.1 2013.2 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   140  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  140
**********************

Dependent variable = FILJ1   

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1430 FILJ1    ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1432 FILEXL   ( -1)
 1432 FILEXL   ( -2)
 1431 FILY1    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        0.000790245

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000527281       0.001574967  -0.33479     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000009095       0.000008376   1.08574   141.500000
 1432 FILEXL  ( -1)      -0.084767630       0.016768771  -5.05509     0.016909
 1431 FILY1   (  0)       0.208745435       0.073884940   2.82528     0.007013

SE of equation            =     0.006804564
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.953823114E-02  -0.462565099E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.004975690
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.04489485    
R squared                 =   0.19200
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.52223
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.285233501E-02
 SMPL 1961.1 2013.2 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1961.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    37 to   246
EST   141  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  141
**********************

Dependent variable = FILL1Z  

 1961.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  210 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18977 FILGZ    (  0)
18978 FILEXZ   ( -1)
 1419 FILPY    ( -1)
 1421 FILYZ    ( -1)
 1396 FIRS     ( -1)
 1433 FILL1Z   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1400 FIUR     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.475949278

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.022773701       0.007256146  -3.13854     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000002416       0.000009798  -0.24663   141.500000
 1433 FILL1Z  ( -1)       0.949268750       0.017235038  55.07784    -0.475265
 1400 FIUR    (  0)      -0.025691584       0.013364813  -1.92233     0.065365

SE of equation            =     0.005624396
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.651656879E-02  -0.134400269E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.003952291
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.829981054    
R squared                 =   0.97417
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18704
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00017         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1961.1   2013.2    210
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.763599883E-03
@ AS                                                                          
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   142  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  142
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLIMZ  

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1508 ASLIMZ   ( -1)
 1528 ASLPYZZ  ( -1)
 1507 ASLCIGZ  ( -1)
 1508 ASLIMZ   ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        6.961119832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.816688583       0.386490053  -4.70048     1.000000
 1508 ASLIMZ  ( -1)       0.840353871       0.034363660  24.45473     6.950669
 1528 ASLPYZZ (  0)       0.076714457       0.021829100   3.51432    -0.163740
 1507 ASLCIGZ (  0)       0.327810597       0.069332513   4.72809     8.997109

SE of equation            =     0.037303252
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.258825060       0.360169494E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.026610954
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.05608120    
R squared                 =   0.99671
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.45899
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00001         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.456246533E-01
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   143  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  143
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLCZ   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1515 ASLCZ    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.459497778

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.077908410       0.026920255  -2.89404     1.000000
 1515 ASLCZ   ( -1)       0.898860502       0.021206181  42.38672     8.454577
 1511 ASLYZ   (  0)       0.103732585       0.022148138   4.68358     9.041721

SE of equation            =     0.006998707
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.915961483E-02   0.274154566E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.005315097
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.00986843    
R squared                 =   0.99933
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99161
Overid test: p-value      = 0.88109         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.569709397E-04
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   144  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  144
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLI    

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1540 ASLI     ( -1)
 1541 ASLY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.346155648

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.226856759       0.126660136  -1.79107     1.000000
 1540 ASLI    ( -1)       0.953154403       0.022577730  42.21657    10.335138
 1541 ASLY    (  0)       0.061831021       0.029730116   2.07974    11.858637
 1486 ASRB    (  0)      -0.001340418       0.000659918  -2.03119     8.356697

SE of equation            =     0.026566388
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.131273773       0.700341829E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.020148416
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.82819898    
R squared                 =   0.99808
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.78289
Overid test: p-value      = 0.08479         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.566005377E-02
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   145  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  145
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLY    

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.071545637
   2     0.098012310
   3     0.108396686
   4     0.112544405
   5     0.114211717
   6     0.114883598
   7     0.115154611
   8     0.115263972
   9     0.115308106
  10     0.115325920
  11     0.115333111

Number of iterations for RHO =   11


Mean of dependent variable       11.858636760

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.316713553       0.070365340   4.50099     1.000000
 1541 ASLY    ( -1)       0.470813655       0.052739023   8.92724    11.850172
 1542 ASLX    (  0)       0.552362625       0.053043422  10.41340    11.854496
 1543 ASLV    ( -1)      -0.050398603       0.012968408  -3.88626    11.612970
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.115333111       0.085473997   1.34934     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.007680823
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.109140837E-01   0.342535589E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.005681022
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.07939423    
R squared                 =   0.99971
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00609
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
@ SPECIAL AS                                                                  
 SMPL  1969.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1969.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    69 to   246
EST   146  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  146
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLPY   

 1969.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.450632517
   2     0.467014677
   3     0.468668019
   4     0.468843543
   5     0.468862274
   6     0.468864274

Number of iterations for RHO =    6


Mean of dependent variable       -0.623506408

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1509 ASLPY   ( -1)       0.994279248       0.006029162 164.91167    -0.637165
   40 C       (  0)       0.021242860       0.016857241   1.26016     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000060776       0.000082734  -0.73459   157.500000
 1499 ASZZ    ( -1)       0.155839202       0.056814267   2.74296    -0.010152
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.468864274       0.069067187   6.78852     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.008935522
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.138129345E-01   0.570961942E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.006380461
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.13572214    
R squared                 =   0.99984
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18124
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.1   2013.2    178
 SMPL  1966.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
EST   147  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  147
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLM1Z  

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1487 ASRS     ( -1)
 1508 ASLIMZ   ( -1)
 1517 ASLM1ZL  (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        8.533099505

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.527743878       0.132449929  -3.98448     1.000000
 1517 ASLM1ZL (  0)       0.945697062       0.013017214  72.64973     8.510812
 1487 ASRS    (  0)      -0.003205070       0.000906312  -3.53639     7.797668
 1511 ASLYZ   (  0)       0.114767249       0.026685058   4.30081     9.037296

SE of equation            =     0.023885489
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.104975047       0.284743429E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.015731082
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.95744338    
R squared                 =   0.99855
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02945
Overid test: p-value      = 0.11424         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.415608097E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   148  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  148
**********************

Dependent variable = ASRS    

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1487 ASRS     ( -1)
 1499 ASZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        8.211797576

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.170325217       0.187226777   0.90973     1.000000
 1487 ASRS    ( -1)       0.888392790       0.024873490  35.71645     8.225303
 1525 ASPCPY  (  0)       0.022373521       0.023090075   0.96897     5.739516
 1499 ASZZ    (  0)      11.255225200       4.303598468   2.61531    -0.010835
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.138910148       0.037491235   3.70514     5.238679

SE of equation            =     0.974325150
Sum of squared residuals  =  151.889520       0.207352580E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.649587725
Sum of ABS residuals      =  107.181975    
R squared                 =   0.94594
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.72476
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00093         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              =  19.0426779    
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   149  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  149
**********************

Dependent variable = ASRBZ   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -2)
 1487 ASRS     ( -1)
 1487 ASRS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        0.593740733

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.020794486       0.041725719   0.49836     1.000000
 1530 ASRBZZ  (  0)       0.953484003       0.038100310  25.02562     0.603811
 1531 ASRSZ   (  0)       0.345381895       0.150329362   2.29750    -0.016570
 1532 ASRSZZ  (  0)      -0.373065492       0.164088845  -2.27356    -0.007895

SE of equation            =     0.469576959
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.0134689       0.144548068E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.348314152
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.1796889    
R squared                 =   0.93573
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.65795
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00484         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.63178538    
 SMPL  1972.2  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2013.2 Internally:    82 to   246
EST   150  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  150
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLE1   

 1972.2 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1534 ASLE1    ( -1)
 1535 ASLEA    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.271794046
   2     0.294770848
   3     0.299117017
   4     0.300017305
   5     0.300207129
   6     0.300247301
   7     0.300255809

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        0.001121635

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.012096623       0.008244491   1.46724     1.000000
 1535 ASLEA   (  0)       0.049020995       0.029238813   1.67657    -0.221883
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.300255809       0.084278348   3.56267     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.046110285
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.344437652       0.458512896E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.031341667
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.17137502    
R squared                 =   0.08824
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94774
Overid test: p-value      = 0.04704         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2013.2    165
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.266322635E-01
@ SPECIAL AS                                                                  
 SMPL  1976.1  2006.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2006.4 Internally:    97 to   220
EST   151  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  151
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLF    

 1976.1 -   2006.4,    0 missing obs.,  124 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.249081458

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1520 ASLEE   (  0)       1.003755336       0.002188200 458.71288     0.239863
 1526 ASLRSZ  (  0)       1.141532296       0.071528385  15.95915     0.007178

SE of equation            =     0.006524357
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.519320192E-02   0.154742217E-01
Average absolute error    =     0.004280373
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.530766275    
R squared                 =   0.99922
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95323
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2006.4    124
 SMPL  1966.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
EST   152  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  152
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLPXA  

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.344825520 -0.374915481
   2     1.344781147 -0.375194491
   3     1.344780306 -0.375195874

Number of iterations for RHO =    3


Mean of dependent variable       -0.007011183

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1537 ASLPXB  (  0)       0.491544319       0.060304624   8.15102    -0.161560
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.344780306       0.067895927  19.80649     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.375195874       0.067897506  -5.52592     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.032058274
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.190130596       0.345012320    
Average absolute error    =     0.021977360
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.13174370    
R squared                 =   0.97624
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.89757
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   153  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  153
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLJ1   

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.349485023
   2     0.394124871
   3     0.399541199
   4     0.400223050
   5     0.400309345
   6     0.400320274
   7     0.400321658

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        0.004659488

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.008231994       0.001620257   5.08067     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000013053       0.000009372  -1.39278   151.500000
 1523 ASLEXL  ( -1)      -0.209009950       0.032703645  -6.39103     0.011640
 1522 ASLY1   (  0)       0.094957244       0.029437824   3.22569     0.008464
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.400321658       0.073029102   5.48167     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.004128019
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.315249954E-02  -0.224012930E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.003229446
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.613594728    
R squared                 =   0.36958
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05611
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
 SMPL  1966.1  2013.2  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2013.2 Internally:    57 to   246
EST   154  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  154
**********************

Dependent variable = ASLL1Z  

 1966.1 -   2013.2,    0 missing obs.,  190 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18979 ASLGZ    (  0)
18980 ASLEXZ   ( -1)
 1509 ASLPY    ( -1)
 1511 ASLYZ    ( -1)
 1486 ASRB     ( -1)
 1524 ASLL1Z   ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1491 ASUR     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.471311448

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.053425862       0.015545783  -3.43668     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000058414       0.000016478   3.54509   151.500000
 1524 ASLL1Z  ( -1)       0.899465916       0.029128095  30.87967    -0.471760
 1491 ASUR    (  0)      -0.040313512       0.015577850  -2.58787     0.059614

SE of equation            =     0.003906213
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.283808164E-02  -0.569067016E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.002977596
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.565743210    
R squared                 =   0.98217
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.76835
Overid test: p-value      = 0.38080         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2013.2    190
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.791116149E-04
@ SO                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   155  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  155
**********************

Dependent variable = SOLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.529782949

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.350014355       0.427980579  -0.81783     1.000000
 1601 SOLIMZ  ( -1)       0.914202610       0.034928255  26.17373     7.525196
 1600 SOLCIGZ (  0)       0.112694058       0.068750789   1.63917     8.896536
 1620 SOLPYZZ (  0)       0.017463513       0.034051131   0.51286    -0.134157

SE of equation            =     0.070299736
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.988410578      -0.678140211E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.053260432
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.8651282    
R squared                 =   0.92079
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83164
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   156  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  156
**********************

Dependent variable = SOLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18981 SOLGZ    (  0)
18982 SOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1602 SOLPY    ( -1)
 1604 SOLYZ    ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -1)
 1607 SOLCZ    ( -1)
 1580 SORS     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        8.405286660

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.083659290       0.124368700   0.67267     1.000000
 1607 SOLCZ   ( -1)       0.955176411       0.027079437  35.27313     8.402837
 1580 SORS    ( -1)      -0.000597126       0.000298981  -1.99721     9.189248
 1604 SOLYZ   (  0)       0.033718140       0.028035809   1.20268     8.924656

SE of equation            =     0.019497098
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.760273663E-01   0.143276679E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.014310695
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.91938184    
R squared                 =   0.96446
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23264
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00002         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.992938460E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   157  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  157
**********************

Dependent variable = SOLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18981 SOLGZ    (  0)
18982 SOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1602 SOLPY    ( -1)
 1604 SOLYZ    ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -1)
 1632 SOLI     ( -1)
 1633 SOLY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.840938047

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.074036057       0.090563093   0.81751     1.000000
 1632 SOLI    ( -1)       0.954572370       0.014136579  67.52499    10.832884
 1633 SOLY    (  0)       0.037300775       0.013714946   2.71972    12.428498
 1579 SORB    ( -1)      -0.003416450       0.000771330  -4.42930    10.965212

SE of equation            =     0.037972606
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.288383758      -0.105445075E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.027554976
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.62121515    
R squared                 =   0.98852
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11816
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00426         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.215185061E-01
 SMPL  1962.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   158  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  158
**********************

Dependent variable = SOLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18981 SOLGZ    (  0)
18982 SOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1602 SOLPY    ( -1)
 1604 SOLYZ    ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -1)
   23 T        (  0)
 1603 SOLPM    ( -1)
 1592 SOZZ     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       -1.886876587

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1602 SOLPY   ( -1)       0.953586630       0.009253462 103.05187    -1.910314
   40 C       (  0)       0.024081797       0.036084367   0.66737     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)      -0.000030275       0.000171072  -0.17697   142.500000
 1603 SOLPM   (  0)       0.048492704       0.008287384   5.85139    -1.752720

SE of equation            =     0.017077699
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.583295621E-01  -0.291414948E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.013069479
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.66617375    
R squared                 =   0.99989
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.86944
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00000         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.963969355E-02
 SMPL  1972.2  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
EST   159  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  159
**********************

Dependent variable = SORS    

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18981 SOLGZ    (  0)
18982 SOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1602 SOLPY    ( -1)
 1604 SOLYZ    ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -1)
 1580 SORS     ( -1)
 1580 SORS     ( -2)
   18 USRS     ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.423233077
   2     0.461640663
   3     0.473808407
   4     0.478431134
   5     0.480297783
   6     0.481069530
   7     0.481391678
   8     0.481526687
   9     0.481583363
  10     0.481607171
  11     0.481617176
  12     0.481621380

Number of iterations for RHO =   12


Mean of dependent variable       10.486482699

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.371309314       0.472786240   0.78536     1.000000
 1580 SORS    ( -1)       0.900389657       0.042222496  21.32488    10.492556
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.125919686       0.048676452   2.58687     5.302119
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.481621380       0.091673897   5.25364     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.978017444
Sum of squared residuals  =  152.086381      -0.204543360E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.596395540
Sum of ABS residuals      =  97.2124731    
R squared                 =   0.95089
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00523
Overid test: p-value      = 0.01584         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163
UDU for 2SLS              =  14.5898726    
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   160  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  160
**********************

Dependent variable = SORBZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18981 SOLGZ    (  0)
18982 SOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1602 SOLPY    ( -1)
 1604 SOLYZ    ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -1)
 1579 SORB     ( -2)
 1580 SORS     ( -1)
 1580 SORS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.787793725

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.148902144       0.083159296   1.79057     1.000000
 1622 SORBZZ  (  0)       0.919553382       0.039651488  23.19089     1.779558
 1623 SORSZ   (  0)       0.836720347       0.325075073   2.57393     0.007925
 1624 SORSZZ  (  0)      -1.151187380       0.448633275  -2.56599     0.003595

SE of equation            =     0.648000878
Sum of squared residuals  =  83.9810276       0.779794673E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.452980935
Sum of ABS residuals      =  92.4081107    
R squared                 =   0.93602
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99152
Overid test: p-value      = 0.06921         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
UDU for 2SLS              =  4.20763437    
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   161  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  161
**********************

Dependent variable = SOLPXA  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  204 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.869103080  0.100752109
   2     0.859839032  0.114456410
   3     0.859823878  0.114522712
   4     0.859823737  0.114523362

Number of iterations for RHO =    4


Mean of dependent variable       -0.138654711

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1629 SOLPXB  (  0)       0.636068814       0.054920292  11.58167    -0.267590
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.859823737       0.070323574  12.22668     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.114523362       0.070328531   1.62841     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.040296457
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.326384696       0.213563810    
Average absolute error    =     0.027752512
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.66151243    
R squared                 =   0.94611
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01425
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4    204
@ KO                                                                          
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   162  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  162
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLIMZ  

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.330518157

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.651669666       0.191036447  -3.41123     1.000000
 1689 KOLIMZ  ( -1)       0.896593220       0.026597755  33.70936     6.309067
 1688 KOLCIGZ (  0)       0.169800546       0.045518505   3.73036     7.806344

SE of equation            =     0.049725584
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.378312959      -0.272446066E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.032795825
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.11614877    
R squared                 =   0.99761
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.87374
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
 SMPL  1974.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   163  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  163
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLCZ   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1695 KOLCZ    ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        7.225657926

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.200562504       0.051637842   3.88402     1.000000
 1695 KOLCZ   ( -1)       0.861432286       0.043755782  19.68728     7.214338
 1692 KOLYZ   (  0)       0.106183604       0.039198021   2.70890     7.741363
 1667 KORB    (  0)      -0.000919143       0.000584730  -1.57191    12.592476

SE of equation            =     0.018598838
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.525793506E-01   0.131545281E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.011168480
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.74228281    
R squared                 =   0.99896
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.88672
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00621         (df =   3)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.416987254E-02
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   164  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  164
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLI    

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1720 KOLI     ( -1)
 1721 KOLY     ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable       10.254441509

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.102628377       0.083183560   1.23376     1.000000
 1720 KOLI    ( -1)       0.959946595       0.023925247  40.12275    10.236361
 1721 KOLY    (  0)       0.028310329       0.026943690   1.05072    11.495911

SE of equation            =     0.048705056
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.362943915       0.426209468E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.034076773
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.31597666    
R squared                 =   0.99682
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.82813
Overid test: p-value      = 0.03664         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.276118747E-01
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   165  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  165
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLPY   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -2)
   23 T        (  0)
 1691 KOLPM    ( -1)
 1680 KOZZ     ( -1)
 1680 KOZZ     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.644356836

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1690 KOLPY   ( -1)       0.972661551       0.004945247 196.68615    -0.662324
   40 C       (  0)      -0.007432367       0.017563357  -0.42317     1.000000
   23 T       (  0)       0.000067543       0.000083960   0.80447   166.500000
 1680 KOZZ    ( -1)       0.116818225       0.031587926   3.69819    -0.033840

SE of equation            =     0.014448945
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.317333462E-01  -0.187597854E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.010940039
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.70664608    
R squared                 =   0.99960
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.76309
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00099         (df =   7)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.495507545E-02
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   166  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  166
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLM1Z  

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1696 KOLM1Z   ( -1)
 1697 KOLM1ZL  (  0)

Mean of dependent variable        6.615835428

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.098921036       0.066302180   1.49197     1.000000
 1697 KOLM1ZL (  0)       0.926373627       0.038230919  24.23101     6.584894
 1692 KOLYZ   (  0)       0.053846111       0.037840455   1.42298     7.741363

SE of equation            =     0.059717990
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.545634459      -0.217347029E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.043297866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.75446705    
R squared                 =   0.99169
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45568
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00938         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.533091738E-01
 SMPL  1974.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   167  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  167
**********************

Dependent variable = KORBZ   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -2)
 1668 KORS     ( -1)
 1668 KORS     ( -2)

Mean of dependent variable        1.855745705

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.119699082       0.121088148   0.98853     1.000000
 1710 KORBZZ  (  0)       0.912816062       0.042383102  21.53726     1.954229
 1711 KORSZ   (  0)       0.387189863       0.156951584   2.46694    -0.155150
 1712 KORSZZ  (  0)      -0.159835483       0.184700830  -0.86538    -0.076752

SE of equation            =     0.998740752
Sum of squared residuals  =  151.617430       0.998142125E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.674183303
Sum of ABS residuals      =  105.172595    
R squared                 =   0.88130
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05087
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00984         (df =   5)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              =  14.7008803    
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   168  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  168
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLE1   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18983 KOLGZ    (  0)
18984 KOLEXZ   ( -1)
 1690 KOLPY    ( -1)
 1692 KOLYZ    ( -1)
 1667 KORB     ( -1)
 1714 KOLE1    ( -1)
 1715 KOLEA    ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.313233076
   2     0.349245522
   3     0.360139249
   4     0.364000100
   5     0.365439286
   6     0.365985610
   7     0.366194418
   8     0.366274433
   9     0.366305124
  10     0.366316902
  11     0.366321422

Number of iterations for RHO =   11


Mean of dependent variable        0.006470044

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.010123945       0.006158052   1.64402     1.000000
 1715 KOLEA   (  0)       0.109425356       0.045676024   2.39568    -0.036073
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.366321422       0.093417935   3.92132     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.047244069
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.341496316      -0.564660210E-06
Average absolute error    =     0.025275863
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.94303463    
R squared                 =   0.14703
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92651
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.107546691E-01
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   169  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  169
**********************

Dependent variable = KOLPXA  

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     1.235656866 -0.301062121
   2     1.210195453 -0.223698389
   3     1.155394864 -0.169355604
   4     1.151920945 -0.165925694
   5     1.151698428 -0.165706040
   6     1.151684168 -0.165691963
   7     1.151683254 -0.165691061

Number of iterations for RHO =    7


Mean of dependent variable        0.257416401

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1717 KOLPXB  (  0)       0.865204121       0.069547870  12.44041    -0.209221
    0 RHO     ( -1)       1.151683254       0.083981478  13.71354     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)      -0.165691061       0.082841195  -2.00010     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.037881347
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.219554458      -0.160797434    
Average absolute error    =     0.022740984
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.54759354    
R squared                 =   0.98122
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.89560
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156
@ BE                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   170  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  170
**********************

Dependent variable = BELIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18985 BELGZ    (  0)
18986 BELEXZ   ( -4)
 1782 BELPY    ( -4)
 1784 BELYZ    ( -4)
 1757 BERB     ( -4)
 1781 BELIMZ   ( -4)
 1798 BELPYZZ  ( -4)
 1780 BELCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.304246910

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.081523848       1.294252124   0.06299     1.000000
 1781 BELIMZ  ( -4)       0.876571334       0.100931916   8.68478     9.259969
 1798 BELPYZZ (  0)       0.275554193       0.091795863   3.00181    -0.201154
 1780 BELCIGZ (  0)       0.116200325       0.219959299   0.52828     9.992473

SE of equation            =     0.050414097
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.119454314       0.769294672E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.036460329
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.85947680    
R squared                 =   0.99416
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.385190308E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   171  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  171
**********************

Dependent variable = BELCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18985 BELGZ    (  0)
18986 BELEXZ   ( -4)
 1782 BELPY    ( -4)
 1784 BELYZ    ( -4)
 1757 BERB     ( -4)
 1787 BELCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.377265123

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.228034205       0.073345005   3.10906     1.000000
 1787 BELCZ   ( -4)       0.804986242       0.085784837   9.38378     9.356475
 1784 BELYZ   (  0)       0.161832358       0.085077396   1.90218     9.994278

SE of equation            =     0.013387055
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.860223604E-02  -0.182242914E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.010436729
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.532273184    
R squared                 =   0.99829
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.152739768E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   172  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  172
**********************

Dependent variable = BELI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18985 BELGZ    (  0)
18986 BELEXZ   ( -4)
 1782 BELPY    ( -4)
 1784 BELYZ    ( -4)
 1757 BERB     ( -4)
 1812 BELI     ( -4)
 1813 BELY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       10.705871025

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.461606433       0.246808975   1.87030     1.000000
 1812 BELI    ( -4)       0.599320839       0.092192904   6.50073    10.681002
 1813 BELY    (  0)       0.321258424       0.086241637   3.72510    12.299173
 1757 BERB    (  0)      -0.015052276       0.003299450  -4.56206     7.194607

SE of equation            =     0.046525419
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.101736886       0.109848841E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.033454522
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.70618064    
R squared                 =   0.98395
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.115555794E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   173  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  173
**********************

Dependent variable = BELPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.681138125

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1782 BELPY   ( -4)       0.975941811       0.032074500  30.42734    -0.717669
   40 C       (  0)       0.093152784       0.039295049   2.37060     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.001601794       0.000826125  -1.93892    28.000000
 1783 BELPM   (  0)       0.053008965       0.026992944   1.96381    -0.479984
 1770 BEZZ    ( -4)       0.316680493       0.196252642   1.61364    -0.011348

SE of equation            =     0.019728500
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.179038304E-01  -0.132175694E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.012595846
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.642388146    
R squared                 =   0.99897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   174  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  174
**********************

Dependent variable = BELM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.949605418

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.505876255       0.238322721   2.12265     1.000000
 1788 BELM1Z  ( -4)       0.923684440       0.042595549  21.68500     8.932334
 1758 BERS    (  0)      -0.009197058       0.001728614  -5.32048     5.077324
 1784 BELYZ   (  0)       0.023990522       0.024584052   0.97586     9.994278

SE of equation            =     0.034132267
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.547555474E-01   0.101595177E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.022976076
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.17177987    
R squared                 =   0.97272
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   175  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  175
**********************

Dependent variable = BERSA   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.987961111

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.713696415       1.093174400   0.65287     1.000000
 1758 BERS    ( -4)       0.600402750       0.169476458   3.54269     6.993208
   10 GEGERSN (  0)       0.419372208       0.189329456   2.21504     6.014229
 1795 BEPCPY  (  0)       0.025047088       0.100223052   0.24991     4.651509
 1770 BEZZ    (  0)      34.227302105      27.105542723   1.26274    -0.016454

SE of equation            =     1.491267040
Sum of squared residuals  =  48.9253024       0.362820884E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.036981306
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.9984953    
R squared                 =   0.72094
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    41 to   188
EST   176  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  176
**********************

Dependent variable = BERBZ   

 1962.1 -   1998.4,  111 missing obs.,   37 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.260135405

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.509113425       0.247783080   2.05467     1.000000
 1800 BERBZZ  (  0)       0.752603503       0.095414168   7.88775     2.312735
 1801 BERSZ   (  0)       0.378431582       0.067054799   5.64362     0.027612

SE of equation            =     0.695719344
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.4568638      -0.154987134E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.500635389
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.5235094    
R squared                 =   0.83655
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   1998.4     37
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   177  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  177
**********************

Dependent variable = BELH1   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.014390652

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.035891521       0.011615477   3.08997     1.000000
 1807 BELHA   (  0)       0.171345846       0.081387192   2.10532    -0.125482

SE of equation            =     0.028753581
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.206692100E-01   0.876035355E-16
Average absolute error    =     0.018012186
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.486329026    
R squared                 =   0.15059
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   178  ;                                                                  
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   179  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  179
**********************

Dependent variable = BELJ1   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.004550162

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.021867243       0.004758679  -4.59523     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000533236       0.000107072   4.98014    28.000000
 1793 BELEXL  ( -4)      -0.196524592       0.106879411  -1.83875     0.000127
 1792 BELY1   (  0)       0.439401461       0.081979142   5.35992     0.026199

SE of equation            =     0.009153045
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.393757734E-02   0.717741838E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.006797130
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.346653605    
R squared                 =   0.42149
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   180  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  180
**********************

Dependent variable = BELL1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.653858113

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.115208625       0.053443873  -2.15569     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000142629       0.000097626   1.46098    28.000000
 1794 BELL1Z  ( -4)       0.826813927       0.081549881  10.13875    -0.653960
 1762 BEUR    (  0)      -0.025976729       0.037520238  -0.69234     0.074691

SE of equation            =     0.007173883
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.241883587E-02   0.244038123E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.004526507
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.230851880    
R squared                 =   0.77740
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ DE                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   181  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  181
**********************

Dependent variable = DELIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18987 DELGZ    (  0)
18988 DELEXZ   ( -4)
 1869 DELPY    ( -4)
 1871 DELYZ    ( -4)
 1846 DERB     ( -4)
 1868 DELIMZ   ( -4)
 1885 DELPYZZ  ( -4)
 1867 DELCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        3.930528812

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.264658474       0.678566914  -1.86372     1.000000
 1868 DELIMZ  ( -4)       0.825932380       0.067615728  12.21509     3.883860
 1867 DELCIGZ (  0)       0.380295464       0.173521765   2.19163     5.249258
 1885 DELPYZZ (  0)       0.046954628       0.108443977   0.43299    -0.189269

SE of equation            =     0.051449347
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.124410659       0.101710418E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.039248950
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.00169647    
R squared                 =   0.99479
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.541794657E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   182  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  182
**********************

Dependent variable = DELCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18987 DELGZ    (  0)
18988 DELEXZ   ( -4)
 1869 DELPY    ( -4)
 1871 DELYZ    ( -4)
 1846 DERB     ( -4)
 1874 DELCZ    ( -4)
 1872 DEAZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        4.639272019

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.234657595       0.061937547   3.78862     1.000000
 1874 DELCZ   ( -4)       0.623066705       0.097933341   6.36215     4.623483
 1871 DELYZ   (  0)       0.287128391       0.081789640   3.51057     5.307299

SE of equation            =     0.021626867
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.224506261E-01  -0.604161166E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.017386363
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.886704535    
R squared                 =   0.99139
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.481447640E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   183  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  183
**********************

Dependent variable = DELI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18987 DELGZ    (  0)
18988 DELEXZ   ( -4)
 1869 DELPY    ( -4)
 1871 DELYZ    ( -4)
 1846 DERB     ( -4)
 1899 DELI     ( -4)
 1900 DELY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        5.145929012

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.906731796       0.370411019  -2.44791     1.000000
 1899 DELI    ( -4)       0.573678714       0.094684457   6.05885     5.118848
 1900 DELY    (  0)       0.459338443       0.118054190   3.89091     6.946513
 1846 DERB    (  0)      -0.008426316       0.002661131  -3.16644     8.866711

SE of equation            =     0.061215380
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.176124167       0.481786167E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.044345017
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.26159586    
R squared                 =   0.98023
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.566165225E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   184  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  184
**********************

Dependent variable = DELPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.729863730

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1869 DELPY   ( -4)       0.920814410       0.043093882  21.36764    -0.779124
   40 C       (  0)       0.043977541       0.041291035   1.06506     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.000556405       0.000925640  -0.60110    28.000000
 1870 DELPM   (  0)       0.075534858       0.037478912   2.01540    -0.540595

SE of equation            =     0.021813490
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.223639332E-01   0.157527463E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.016267443
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.829639571    
R squared                 =   0.99926
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ SPECIAL DE                                                                  
 SMPL 1962.1 2008.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2008.4 Internally:    41 to   228
EST   185  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  185
**********************

Dependent variable = DELM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2008.4,  141 missing obs.,   47 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        3.920702364

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.576271440       0.290479774  -1.98386     1.000000
 1876 DELM1ZL (  0)       0.777156114       0.060772154  12.78803     3.834488
 1847 DERS    (  0)      -0.007841699       0.002789718  -2.81093     7.969556
 1871 DELYZ   (  0)       0.299133377       0.098158988   3.04744     5.280162

SE of equation            =     0.049685181
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.106150540      -0.169300574E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.039524327
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.85764339    
R squared                 =   0.99033
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2008.4     47
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   186  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  186
**********************

Dependent variable = DERS    

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.684069371

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.516758864       0.684352233  -0.75511     1.000000
 1847 DERS    ( -4)       0.631479075       0.097440279   6.48068     7.846752
   10 GEGERSN (  0)       0.503314423       0.155379086   3.23927     4.793157
 1859 DEZZ    (  0)      14.197741325      13.626467077   1.04192    -0.015084
 1882 DEPCPY  (  0)       0.222387315       0.104961949   2.11874     4.710103

SE of equation            =     1.999397174
Sum of squared residuals  =  143.913206       0.786037901E-13
Average absolute error    =     1.324361848
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.2988358    
R squared                 =   0.84293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   187  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  187
**********************

Dependent variable = DERBZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.342851486

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.347775122       0.211291475   1.64595     1.000000
 1887 DERBZZ  (  0)       0.726646972       0.098763573   7.35744     1.433571
 1888 DERSZ   (  0)       0.419363034       0.077404212   5.41783    -0.111176

SE of equation            =     1.094031933
Sum of squared residuals  =  57.4514818       0.199840144E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.767589559
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1470675    
R squared                 =   0.75159
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   188  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  188
**********************

Dependent variable = DELH1Z  

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.227903232

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.227903232       0.003987325 -57.15692     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.025531339
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.260739716E-01   0.324740235E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.020363992
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.834923666    
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   189  ;                                                                  
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   190  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  190
**********************

Dependent variable = DELJ1   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.004636557

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000552139       0.004597994  -0.12008     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000023582       0.000120982   0.19492    28.000000
 1880 DELEXL  ( -4)      -0.410299440       0.074421853  -5.51316     0.005589
 1879 DELY1   (  0)       0.308550958       0.074595013   4.13635     0.022109

SE of equation            =     0.011296406
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.599761258E-02   0.753086829E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.008453711
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.431139247    
R squared                 =   0.55672
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ NO                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   191  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  191
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18989 NOLGZ    (  0)
18990 NOLEXZ   ( -4)
 1958 NOLPY    ( -4)
 1960 NOLYZ    ( -4)
 1935 NORB     ( -4)
 1957 NOLIMZ   ( -4)
 1974 NOLPYZZ  ( -4)
 1956 NOLCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        4.184532823

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.340446731       0.439973721   0.77379     1.000000
 1957 NOLIMZ  ( -4)       0.667458817       0.134279404   4.97067     4.150433
 1974 NOLPYZZ (  0)       0.197267070       0.067320578   2.93026    -0.551058
 1956 NOLCIGZ (  0)       0.218654797       0.162334425   1.34694     5.408289

SE of equation            =     0.051773091
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.125981289       0.597593530E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.037681356
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.92174918    
R squared                 =   0.98841
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.182230330E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   192  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  192
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18989 NOLGZ    (  0)
18990 NOLEXZ   ( -4)
 1958 NOLPY    ( -4)
 1960 NOLYZ    ( -4)
 1935 NORB     ( -4)
 1963 NOLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        4.747920061

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.040988840       0.042271805   0.96965     1.000000
 1963 NOLCZ   ( -4)       0.934043657       0.047297926  19.74809     4.723735
 1960 NOLYZ   (  0)       0.052989608       0.041471259   1.27774     5.562527

SE of equation            =     0.021658908
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.225171974E-01   0.825028934E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.015618353
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.796536016    
R squared                 =   0.99640
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.501973746E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   193  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  193
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18989 NOLGZ    (  0)
18990 NOLEXZ   ( -4)
 1958 NOLPY    ( -4)
 1960 NOLYZ    ( -4)
 1935 NORB     ( -4)
 1988 NOLI     ( -4)
 1936 NORS     ( -4)
 1989 NOLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        5.447057350

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.174214592       0.137843979   1.26385     1.000000
 1988 NOLI    ( -4)       0.895989165       0.067266840  13.31992     5.417635
 1989 NOLY    (  0)       0.066165221       0.054741210   1.20869     7.002097
 1936 NORS    (  0)      -0.006261331       0.002652650  -2.36041     7.122257

SE of equation            =     0.066218205
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.206087980       0.262243560E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.053400123
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.72340625    
R squared                 =   0.97286
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.445178421E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   194  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  194
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18989 NOLGZ    (  0)
18990 NOLEXZ   ( -4)
 1958 NOLPY    ( -4)
 1960 NOLYZ    ( -4)
 1935 NORB     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 1959 NOLPM    ( -4)
 1948 NOZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.866580994

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 1958 NOLPY   ( -4)       0.826974967       0.135191226   6.11708    -0.918571
   40 C       (  0)      -0.247288260       0.236651187  -1.04495     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.006117349       0.004920980   1.24312    28.000000
 1959 NOLPM   (  0)       0.093281961       0.084055424   1.10977    -0.315523
 1948 NOZZ    ( -4)       0.398192018       0.230167200   1.73001    -0.003794

SE of equation            =     0.035968655
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.595122305E-01  -0.432408276E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.027675356
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.41144316    
R squared                 =   0.99815
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.243510844E-01
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   195  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  195
**********************

Dependent variable = NORS    

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.837441949

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.008190840       0.555151404   0.01475     1.000000
 1936 NORS    ( -4)       0.801978602       0.071240864  11.25728     7.918418
   10 GEGERSN (  0)       0.332487782       0.097512853   3.40968     4.793157
 1948 NOZZ    (  0)      25.323248524       8.671119882   2.92041    -0.004534

SE of equation            =     1.433146079
Sum of squared residuals  =  75.9945843       0.306865644E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.027383090
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1227067    
R squared                 =   0.87201
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   196  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  196
**********************

Dependent variable = NORBZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.076375263

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.042045084       0.088678798  -0.47413     1.000000
 1976 NORBZZ  (  0)       0.850591827       0.090932769   9.35407    -0.016261
 1977 NORSZ   (  0)       0.450619084       0.064983299   6.93438    -0.045490

SE of equation            =     0.633022648
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.2344483       0.183186799E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.465297759
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.7301857    
R squared                 =   0.84292
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   197  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  197
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLH1Z  

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.219524699

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.219524699       0.008140656 -26.96646     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.052125632
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.108683260        0.00000000    
Average absolute error    =     0.040582643
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.66388835    
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   198  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  198
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLJ1   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.011232771

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.010360241       0.007000066  -1.48002     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000324565       0.000147126   2.20604    28.000000
 1969 NOLEXL  ( -4)      -0.165521945       0.083473646  -1.98292     0.001682
 1968 NOLY1   (  0)       0.405324305       0.125008757   3.24237     0.031539

SE of equation            =     0.012931015
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.785892380E-02  -0.150920942E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.010121466
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.516194762    
R squared                 =   0.29257
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   199  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  199
**********************

Dependent variable = NOLL1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.496693499

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.022927188       0.038514375  -0.59529     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000263618       0.000310518   0.84896    28.000000
 1970 NOLL1Z  ( -4)       0.951594690       0.060385102  15.75877    -0.500103
 1940 NOUR    (  0)      -0.184465087       0.163635353  -1.12729     0.028474

SE of equation            =     0.012382626
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.720648257E-02  -0.214578355E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.009566282
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.487880405    
R squared                 =   0.97394
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ SW                                                                          
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   200  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  200
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLIMZ  

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18992 SWLGZ    (  0)
18993 SWLEXZ   ( -4)
 2047 SWLPY    ( -4)
 2049 SWLYZ    ( -4)
 2025 SWRS     ( -4)
 2046 SWLIMZ   ( -4)
 2064 SWLPYZZ  ( -4)
 2045 SWLCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        4.162489758

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2046 SWLIMZ  ( -4)       0.938009756       0.101204505   9.26846     4.125136
 2045 SWLCIGZ (  0)       0.128322505       0.258018904   0.49734     5.400505
   40 C       (  0)      -0.400396531       0.984606805  -0.40666     1.000000
 2064 SWLPYZZ (  0)       0.030359967       0.089906457   0.33768     0.015210

SE of equation            =     0.059237052
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.154397246       0.100372954E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.045839222
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.20028264    
R squared                 =   0.98752
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.993693131E-01
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   201  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  201
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLCZ   

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18992 SWLGZ    (  0)
18993 SWLEXZ   ( -4)
 2047 SWLPY    ( -4)
 2049 SWLYZ    ( -4)
 2025 SWRS     ( -4)
 2053 SWLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        4.739003108

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.244508663       0.071534632   3.41805     1.000000
 2053 SWLCZ   ( -4)       0.641027028       0.082605559   7.76010     4.723917
 2049 SWLYZ   (  0)       0.272067109       0.063870523   4.25967     5.389612

SE of equation            =     0.016510811
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.122673092E-01  -0.630487662E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.012519825
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.600951584    
R squared                 =   0.99311
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.491138912E-02
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   202  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  202
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLI    

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18992 SWLGZ    (  0)
18993 SWLEXZ   ( -4)
 2047 SWLPY    ( -4)
 2049 SWLYZ    ( -4)
 2025 SWRS     ( -4)
 2078 SWLI     ( -4)
 2079 SWLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        5.826720728

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.004609452       0.250491023  -0.01840     1.000000
 2078 SWLI    ( -4)       0.695955966       0.097355254   7.14862     5.804922
 2079 SWLY    (  0)       0.244111736       0.088848965   2.74749     7.536291
 2025 SWRS    (  0)      -0.007181195       0.002772898  -2.58978     6.731022

SE of equation            =     0.056647290
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.141192278      -0.248095766E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.038253824
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.83618355    
R squared                 =   0.96461
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.272558159E-01
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   203  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  203
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLPY   

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18992 SWLGZ    (  0)
18993 SWLEXZ   ( -4)
 2047 SWLPY    ( -4)
 2049 SWLYZ    ( -4)
 2025 SWRS     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 2048 SWLPM    ( -4)
 2037 SWZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.715992579

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2047 SWLPY   ( -4)       0.898138128       0.027910799  32.17888    -0.765387
   40 C       (  0)       0.201983759       0.037303134   5.41466     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.003915240       0.000832329  -4.70396    29.500000
 2048 SWLPM   (  0)       0.152726051       0.022886341   6.67324    -0.731203
 2037 SWZZ    ( -4)       0.240293397       0.098896742   2.42974    -0.014064

SE of equation            =     0.018112643
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.141069167E-01  -0.101395697E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.013357284
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.641149647    
R squared                 =   0.99951
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.522988238E-02
@ SPECIAL SW                                                                  
 SMPL 1965.1 2008.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2008.4 Internally:    53 to   228
EST   204  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  204
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLM1Z  

 1965.1 -   2008.4,  132 missing obs.,   44 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        4.641409626

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.021142555       0.166604601   0.12690     1.000000
 2025 SWRS    (  0)      -0.007111254       0.001804126  -3.94166     7.256323
 2049 SWLYZ   (  0)       0.039112666       0.055198892   0.70858     5.355131
 2054 SWLM1Z  ( -4)       0.965839304       0.070591028  13.68218     4.620246

SE of equation            =     0.040383763
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.652339326E-01  -0.571409586E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.031232705
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.37423904    
R squared                 =   0.96233
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2008.4     44
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   205  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  205
**********************

Dependent variable = SWRS    

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.802171805

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.290419451       0.551183723  -0.52690     1.000000
 2025 SWRS    ( -4)       0.760924738       0.097878307   7.77419     6.914387
   24 USRSN   (  0)       0.342423825       0.117868452   2.90514     5.290736
 2061 SWPCPY  (  0)       0.045965458       0.102377068   0.44898     5.132588
 2037 SWZZ    (  0)       9.749819735       9.809576217   0.99391    -0.022188

SE of equation            =     1.638011149
Sum of squared residuals  =  96.5908988      -0.515143483E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.203334331
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.3367076    
R squared                 =   0.86078
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   206  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  206
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLH1   

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.027162048

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.558769331       0.403838248  -3.85989     1.000000
 2073 SWLHA   (  0)       0.330792617       0.084209759   3.92820     4.794337

SE of equation            =     0.059871200
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.139797861      -0.124122934E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.045646994
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.87152674    
R squared                 =   0.28349
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   207  ;                                                                  
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   208  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  208
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLJ1   

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.005019371

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000043466       0.005688710  -0.00764     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000067099       0.000138180   0.48559    29.500000
 2059 SWLEXL  ( -4)      -0.135211367       0.046316532  -2.91929     0.042332
 2058 SWLY1   (  0)       0.379605383       0.092246016   4.11514     0.023201

SE of equation            =     0.013189643
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.765453388E-02  -0.127502175E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.010201882
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.489690345    
R squared                 =   0.43950
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
EST   209  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  209
**********************

Dependent variable = SWLL1Z  

 1965.1 -   2012.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.466867339

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.073644374       0.023158996  -3.17995     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000472694       0.000134494   3.51461    29.500000
 2060 SWLL1Z  ( -4)       0.841407119       0.049165114  17.11391    -0.467659
 2029 SWUR    (  0)      -0.296128558       0.068330388  -4.33378     0.046181

SE of equation            =     0.007407458
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.241429927E-02   0.479699613E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.005488433
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.263444784    
R squared                 =   0.91442
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2012.4     48
@ GR                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    41 to   232
EST   210  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  210
**********************

Dependent variable = GRLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2009.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18994 GRLGZ    (  0)
18995 GRLEXZ   ( -4)
 2141 GRLPY    ( -4)
 2143 GRLYZ    ( -4)
 2118 GRRS     ( -4)
 2140 GRLIMZ   ( -4)
 2157 GRLPYZZ  ( -4)
 2139 GRLCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        7.635909227

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.371682152       1.016193007  -0.36576     1.000000
 2140 GRLIMZ  ( -4)       0.899816291       0.082811547  10.86583     7.578669
 2157 GRLPYZZ (  0)       0.144383041       0.102882987   1.40337    -0.153680
 2139 GRLCIGZ (  0)       0.129138858       0.174451547   0.74026     9.372627

SE of equation            =     0.076161534
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.255225486       0.205662509E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.052215568
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.50634728    
R squared                 =   0.99115
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2009.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.603053998E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    41 to   232
EST   211  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  211
**********************

Dependent variable = GRLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2009.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.891232173

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.008638176       0.136595980   0.06324     1.000000
 2146 GRLCZ   ( -4)       0.880613174       0.039936430  22.05037     8.858769
 2143 GRLYZ   (  0)       0.117299077       0.049772966   2.35668     9.339380
 2118 GRRS    (  0)      -0.001438917       0.000582784  -2.46904     9.767821

SE of equation            =     0.021252018
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.198725243E-01  -0.157358571E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.015004804
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.720230569    
R squared                 =   0.99740
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2009.4     48
 SMPL  1962.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    41 to   232
EST   212  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  212
**********************

Dependent variable = GRLI    

 1962.1 -   2009.4,  144 missing obs.,   48 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18994 GRLGZ    (  0)
18995 GRLEXZ   ( -4)
 2141 GRLPY    ( -4)
 2143 GRLYZ    ( -4)
 2118 GRRS     ( -4)
 2171 GRLI     ( -4)
 2172 GRLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       10.059317007

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.313633801       0.371099421   0.84515     1.000000
 2171 GRLI    ( -4)       0.506959673       0.111021996   4.56630    10.025795
 2172 GRLY    (  0)       0.412168058       0.109641362   3.75924    11.626610
 2118 GRRS    (  0)      -0.013217686       0.003061426  -4.31749     9.767821

SE of equation            =     0.088503435
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.344645755      -0.118122401E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.064115402
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.07753930    
R squared                 =   0.95435
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2009.4     48
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.653560772E-01
 SMPL  1972.1  2000.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2000.4 Internally:    81 to   196
EST   213  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  213
**********************

Dependent variable = GRLH1   

 1972.1 -   2000.4,   87 missing obs.,   29 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.103513741

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.149662632       0.027972340   5.35038     1.000000
 2166 GRLHA   (  0)       0.298966818       0.162479118   1.84003    -0.154361

SE of equation            =     0.066702470
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.120128925       0.791033905E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.046670569
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.35344650    
R squared                 =   0.11142
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2000.4     29
@ IR                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   214  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  214
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.913994470

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.711310448       1.043087596  -1.64062     1.000000
 2232 IRLIMZ  ( -4)       0.813177012       0.079302265  10.25415     8.854403
 2249 IRLPYZZ (  0)       0.117913486       0.096386592   1.22334    -0.352889
 2231 IRLCIGZ (  0)       0.355770495       0.174177074   2.04258     9.744254

SE of equation            =     0.069249863
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.225390545       0.135030653E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.050256607
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.56308696    
R squared                 =   0.99537
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   215  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  215
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18996 IRLGZ    (  0)
18997 IRLEXZ   ( -4)
 2233 IRLPY    ( -4)
 2235 IRLYZ    ( -4)
 2208 IRRB     ( -4)
 2238 IRLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.155009187

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.136116859       0.185111551   6.13747     1.000000
 2238 IRLCZ   ( -4)       0.567487544       0.078149167   7.26159     9.130774
 2235 IRLYZ   (  0)       0.296095431       0.057269741   5.17019     9.683431
 2208 IRRB    (  0)      -0.003415424       0.001174652  -2.90760     8.762531

SE of equation            =     0.025727320
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.311090654E-01   0.412524237E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.018935529
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.965711956    
R squared                 =   0.99648
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.948176701E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   216  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  216
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        9.361578512

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.649083823       0.353592410   1.83568     1.000000
 2263 IRLI    ( -4)       0.923448270       0.098871904   9.33985     9.327309
 2264 IRLY    (  0)       0.012246380       0.102055563   0.12000    10.938793
 2208 IRRB    (  0)      -0.003966110       0.005348306  -0.74156     8.762531

SE of equation            =     0.103459319
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.503080041      -0.213359996E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.079023329
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.03018977    
R squared                 =   0.97503
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   217  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  217
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18996 IRLGZ    (  0)
18997 IRLEXZ   ( -4)
 2233 IRLPY    ( -4)
 2235 IRLYZ    ( -4)
 2208 IRRB     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 2234 IRLPM    ( -4)
 2221 IRZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.989326107

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2233 IRLPY   ( -4)       0.846190561       0.073892889  11.45158    -1.047265
   40 C       (  0)       0.014814671       0.097892004   0.15134     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.000215858       0.002089013  -0.10333    28.000000
 2234 IRLPM   ( -4)       0.158726892       0.058718563   2.70318    -0.682524
 2221 IRZZ    ( -4)       0.311974909       0.090913823   3.43155    -0.011462

SE of equation            =     0.036686579
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.619116348E-01  -0.547486154E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.026728827
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.36317018    
R squared                 =   0.99881
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.358640431E-01
@ SPECIAL IR                                                                  
 SMPL  1983.1 2012.4 ;                                                        
Sample period is now  1983.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   125 to   244
EST   218  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  218
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLM1Z  

 1983.1 -   2012.4,   90 missing obs.,   30 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.789672252

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.210448998       2.129336676  -0.09883     1.000000
 2240 IRLM1ZL (  0)       0.748662643       0.089235576   8.38973     8.692937
 2235 IRLYZ   (  0)       0.260287715       0.233330186   1.11553    10.070981
 2209 IRRS    (  0)      -0.021438807       0.019659477  -1.09051     6.031509

SE of equation            =     0.165559804
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.712661263      -0.472065942E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.107274810
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.21824429    
R squared                 =   0.96069
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.1   2012.4     30
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   219  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  219
**********************

Dependent variable = IRRSA   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       10.515185185

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       2.686903096       1.265306195   2.12352     1.000000
 2246 IRPCPY  (  0)       0.156671181       0.069690727   2.24809     8.309415
   10 GEGERSN (  0)       0.251001911       0.188850955   1.32910     6.014229
   24 USRSN   (  0)       0.731997476       0.188686711   3.87943     6.853648

SE of equation            =     2.050951728
Sum of squared residuals  =  96.7472688      -0.541788836E-13
Average absolute error    =     1.521744984
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.0871146    
R squared                 =   0.67755
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    41 to   188
EST   220  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  220
**********************

Dependent variable = IRRBZ   

 1962.1 -   1998.4,  111 missing obs.,   37 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.060695946

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.474543648       0.232552272   2.04059     1.000000
 2251 IRRBZZ  (  0)       0.545055794       0.119771338   4.55080     1.110182
 2252 IRRSZ   (  0)       0.467646150       0.075333195   6.20770    -0.040541

SE of equation            =     1.154661923
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.3303013       0.555111512E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.796814742
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.4821455    
R squared                 =   0.75406
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   1998.4     37
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   221  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  221
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLH1   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.045395159

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.068668227       0.023517666   2.91986     1.000000
 2258 IRLHA   (  0)       0.141296558       0.123196483   1.14692    -0.164711

SE of equation            =     0.061771716
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.953936240E-01   0.728583860E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.046544909
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.25671255    
R squared                 =   0.04999
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   222  ;                                                                  
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   223  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  223
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLJ1   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.010957914

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.029551816       0.005924559  -4.98802     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000481694       0.000156811   3.07181    28.000000
 2244 IRLEXL  ( -4)      -0.364601958       0.095327458  -3.82473    -0.005536
 2243 IRLY1   (  0)       0.583784459       0.073818052   7.90842     0.042831

SE of equation            =     0.016341666
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.125513522E-01   0.567254577E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.013133366
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.669801676    
R squared                 =   0.68706
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   224  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  224
**********************

Dependent variable = IRLL1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.581239051

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.107272256       0.025877831  -4.14533     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.000794986       0.000169803   4.68182    28.000000
 2245 IRLL1Z  ( -4)       0.816407719       0.043930011  18.58428    -0.582036
 2213 IRUR    (  0)      -0.227975473       0.055153243  -4.13349     0.092323

SE of equation            =     0.012314078
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.712691576E-02  -0.491495733E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.009654005
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.492354242    
R squared                 =   0.96355
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ PO                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   225  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  225
**********************

Dependent variable = POLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.644163618

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.384597655       0.558122544  -2.48081     1.000000
 2323 POLIMZ  ( -4)       0.294765548       0.110080031   2.67774     7.595506
 2340 POLPYZZ (  0)       0.481828196       0.084309852   5.71497    -0.679444
 2322 POLCIGZ (  0)       0.773424072       0.137278682   5.63397     9.202252

SE of equation            =     0.070618334
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.234386606      -0.240319764E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.050101015
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.55515179    
R squared                 =   0.99284
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   226  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  226
**********************

Dependent variable = POLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18998 POLGZ    (  0)
18999 POLEXZ   ( -4)
 2324 POLPY    ( -4)
 2326 POLYZ    ( -4)
 2299 PORB     ( -4)
 2329 POLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        8.731471741

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.246528055       0.107316347   2.29721     1.000000
 2329 POLCZ   ( -4)       0.617763850       0.076964357   8.02662     8.705559
 2326 POLYZ   (  0)       0.340880313       0.076264772   4.46970     9.154146
 2299 PORB    (  0)      -0.001515769       0.000916731  -1.65345     8.908938

SE of equation            =     0.034497810
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.559346485E-01  -0.210733742E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.021979695
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.12096446    
R squared                 =   0.99323
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.136512766E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   227  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  227
**********************

Dependent variable = POLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18998 POLGZ    (  0)
18999 POLEXZ   ( -4)
 2324 POLPY    ( -4)
 2326 POLYZ    ( -4)
 2299 PORB     ( -4)
 2354 POLI     ( -4)
 2355 POLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.928745894

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.434343766       0.313357664   1.38610     1.000000
 2354 POLI    ( -4)       0.850098944       0.127163676   6.68508     9.903577
 2355 POLY    (  0)       0.095043889       0.128981165   0.73688    11.424349
 2299 PORB    (  0)      -0.001171038       0.002419554  -0.48399     8.908938

SE of equation            =     0.078379633
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.288738246       0.230764741E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.059297748
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.02418514    
R squared                 =   0.97531
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.563609580E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   228  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  228
**********************

Dependent variable = POLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
18998 POLGZ    (  0)
18999 POLEXZ   ( -4)
 2324 POLPY    ( -4)
 2326 POLYZ    ( -4)
 2299 PORB     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 2325 POLPM    ( -4)
 2312 POZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -1.646906186

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2324 POLPY   ( -4)       0.731355885       0.017965217  40.70955    -1.728274
   40 C       (  0)      -0.297369499       0.049003220  -6.06837     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.006732853       0.001072429   6.27813    28.000000
 2325 POLPM   (  0)       0.277799282       0.014848301  18.70916    -0.967462
 2312 POZZ    ( -4)       0.315667460       0.111357863   2.83471    -0.016830

SE of equation            =     0.023342007
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.250630677E-01  -0.236570485E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.017653622
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.900334719    
R squared                 =   0.99980
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.856914165E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   229  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  229
**********************

Dependent variable = POLM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.009225243

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.663376849       0.677079487  -0.97976     1.000000
 2330 POLM1Z  ( -4)       0.842891711       0.078320871  10.76203     7.967989
 2300 PORS    (  0)      -0.000937479       0.002692569  -0.34817     8.251456
 2326 POLYZ   (  0)       0.214567866       0.134796529   1.59179     9.154146

SE of equation            =     0.125440126
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.739555586       0.201661798E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.070399230
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.59036073    
R squared                 =   0.97147
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   230  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  230
**********************

Dependent variable = PORSA   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       13.358851852

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.726869918       1.304327838  -0.55728     1.000000
 2300 PORS    ( -4)       0.760999052       0.089280933   8.52365    13.386630
 2337 POPCPY  (  0)       0.327529942       0.077888996   4.20509    14.150577
 2312 POZZ    (  0)      38.533533522      13.701603000   2.81234    -0.019106

SE of equation            =     2.582565528
Sum of squared residuals  =  153.401828      -0.727418126E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.910407316
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.5809975    
R squared                 =   0.86107
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    41 to   188
EST   231  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  231
**********************

Dependent variable = PORBZ   

 1962.1 -   1998.4,  111 missing obs.,   37 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.247392432

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.065239399       0.212588398   0.30688     1.000000
 2342 PORBZZ  (  0)       0.784807945       0.087105810   9.00982     0.218811
 2343 PORSZ   (  0)       0.385841432       0.074637246   5.16956     0.027027

SE of equation            =     1.288212454
Sum of squared residuals  =  56.4227051      -0.355271368E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.889965729
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.9287320    
R squared                 =   0.81866
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   1998.4     37
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   232  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  232
**********************

Dependent variable = POLH1   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.094011141

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.190192630       0.065905395   2.88584     1.000000
 2349 POLHA   (  0)       0.352804439       0.232248338   1.51908    -0.272620

SE of equation            =     0.095058069
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.225900913      -0.856259508E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.075290271
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.03283732    
R squared                 =   0.08450
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
@ SP                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   233  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  233
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.387350580

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.698574997       1.444165065  -1.17616     1.000000
 2414 SPLIMZ  ( -4)       0.680706751       0.085448485   7.96628     7.317446
 2431 SPLPYZZ (  0)       0.312084129       0.071737677   4.35035    -0.326904
 2413 SPLCIGZ (  0)       0.452965663       0.216994571   2.08745     9.287485

SE of equation            =     0.071212253
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.238345693      -0.249522003E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.052096772
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.65693536    
R squared                 =   0.99547
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   234  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  234
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19000 SPLGZ    (  0)
19001 SPLEXZ   ( -4)
 2415 SPLPY    ( -4)
 2417 SPLYZ    ( -4)
 2392 SPRS     ( -4)
 2420 SPLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        8.798314797

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.181539826       0.060414297   3.00491     1.000000
 2420 SPLCZ   ( -4)       0.477663347       0.070238552   6.80059     8.774217
 2417 SPLYZ   (  0)       0.476303944       0.070475438   6.75844     9.291657

SE of equation            =     0.013193233
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.835494728E-02  -0.840196357E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.010304222
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.525515322    
R squared                 =   0.99861
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.205621651E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   235  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  235
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19000 SPLGZ    (  0)
19001 SPLEXZ   ( -4)
 2415 SPLPY    ( -4)
 2417 SPLYZ    ( -4)
 2392 SPRS     ( -4)
 2445 SPLI     ( -4)
 2446 SPLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       11.455280907

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.663552668       0.451966874   1.46814     1.000000
 2445 SPLI    ( -4)       0.868731032       0.095449107   9.10151    11.419290
 2446 SPLY    (  0)       0.070527575       0.113549717   0.62112    12.934707
 2392 SPRS    (  0)      -0.004809471       0.002296098  -2.09463     8.486827

SE of equation            =     0.064999572
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.198572386       0.799115440E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.050788842
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.59023095    
R squared                 =   0.98652
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.864073979E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   236  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  236
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19000 SPLGZ    (  0)
19001 SPLEXZ   ( -4)
 2415 SPLPY    ( -4)
 2417 SPLYZ    ( -4)
 2392 SPRS     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 2416 SPLPM    ( -4)
 2404 SPZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -1.040242937

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2415 SPLPY   ( -4)       0.984740094       0.037888913  25.99019    -1.111210
   40 C       (  0)       0.320466762       0.095087852   3.37022     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.005955728       0.002127396  -2.79954    28.000000
 2416 SPLPM   ( -4)       0.104498013       0.034819756   3.00111    -0.761776
 2404 SPZZ    ( -4)       0.535458421       0.217399118   2.46302    -0.037524

SE of equation            =     0.034411363
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.544705284E-01   0.548606993E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.023003019
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.17315397    
R squared                 =   0.99926
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.360361092E-01
@ SPECIAL SP                                                                  
 SMPL  1962.1  2004.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2004.4 Internally:    41 to   212
EST   237  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  237
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2004.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.070553801

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.748266326       0.232199083   3.22252     1.000000
 2422 SPLM1ZL (  0)       0.860558193       0.105459050   8.16012     7.958730
 2392 SPRS    (  0)      -0.001633255       0.002038070  -0.80137     9.718062
 2417 SPLYZ   (  0)       0.053132022       0.103148247   0.51510     9.207434

SE of equation            =     0.050048819
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.976904890E-01   0.192839167E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.040049169
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.72211426    
R squared                 =   0.97590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2004.4     43
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   238  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  238
**********************

Dependent variable = SPRSA   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       11.944181122

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.833317345       2.093647965   0.87566     1.000000
 2392 SPRS    ( -4)       0.555499382       0.181193555   3.06578    12.064922
   24 USRSN   (  0)       0.208517767       0.288809905   0.72199     6.853648
 2428 SPPCPY  (  0)       0.195462486       0.113465798   1.72266    10.128285

SE of equation            =     3.009184083
Sum of squared residuals  =  208.269343       0.605737682E-12
Average absolute error    =     2.143336984
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.8700986    
R squared                 =   0.52462
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1972.1  1998.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  1998.4 Internally:    81 to   188
EST   239  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  239
**********************

Dependent variable = SPLH1   

 1972.1 -   1998.4,   81 missing obs.,   27 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.053906259

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.054133530       0.013898922   3.89480     1.000000
 2440 SPLHA   (  0)       0.167699471       0.144348703   1.16177    -0.001355

SE of equation            =     0.072213762
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.130370686       0.305311332E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.055845071
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.50781693    
R squared                 =   0.05122
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   1998.4     27
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   240  ;                                                                  
@ NZ                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   241  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  241
**********************

Dependent variable = NZLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19002 NZLGZ    (  0)
19003 NZLEXZ   ( -4)
 2506 NZLPY    ( -4)
 2508 NZLYZ    ( -4)
 2483 NZRB     ( -4)
 2505 NZLIMZ   ( -4)
 2522 NZLPYZZ  ( -4)
 2504 NZLCIGZ  ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        8.587929991

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.148744525       2.167439497  -1.45275     1.000000
 2505 NZLIMZ  ( -4)       0.659670146       0.139615520   4.72491     8.556949
 2522 NZLPYZZ (  0)       0.275299429       0.100716096   2.73342    -0.138759
 2504 NZLCIGZ (  0)       0.608804594       0.326898010   1.86237    10.069094

SE of equation            =     0.071600679
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.235826236      -0.932935862E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.050995791
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.54978955    
R squared                 =   0.97958
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.123614962    
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   242  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  242
**********************

Dependent variable = NZLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19002 NZLGZ    (  0)
19003 NZLEXZ   ( -4)
 2506 NZLPY    ( -4)
 2508 NZLYZ    ( -4)
 2483 NZRB     ( -4)
 2511 NZLCZ    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.580905442

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.033227813       0.140605364   0.23632     1.000000
 2511 NZLCZ   ( -4)       0.562046020       0.099380892   5.65547     9.568604
 2483 NZRB    (  0)      -0.002691712       0.000825592  -3.26034     8.137846
 2508 NZLYZ   (  0)       0.415441620       0.096218829   4.31767    10.089473

SE of equation            =     0.016858721
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.130739585E-01   0.878492656E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.012608337
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.630416860    
R squared                 =   0.99100
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.125226068E-02
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   243  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  243
**********************

Dependent variable = NZLI    

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19002 NZLGZ    (  0)
19003 NZLEXZ   ( -4)
 2506 NZLPY    ( -4)
 2508 NZLYZ    ( -4)
 2483 NZRB     ( -4)
 2533 NZLI     ( -4)
 2534 NZLY     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable        9.696353059

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.588554198       0.720187414  -2.20575     1.000000
 2533 NZLI    ( -4)       0.618993690       0.123798904   4.99999     9.668730
 2534 NZLY    (  0)       0.473490954       0.164228093   2.88313    11.300301
 2483 NZRB    (  0)      -0.006213702       0.003283762  -1.89225     8.137846

SE of equation            =     0.075530345
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.262422317      -0.333484351E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.059061658
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.95308292    
R squared                 =   0.97247
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.309936294E-01
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   244  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  244
**********************

Dependent variable = NZLPY   

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19002 NZLGZ    (  0)
19003 NZLEXZ   ( -4)
 2506 NZLPY    ( -4)
 2508 NZLYZ    ( -4)
 2483 NZRB     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 2507 NZLPM    ( -4)
 2496 NZZZ     ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.815019781

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2506 NZLPY   ( -4)       0.723512104       0.044903105  16.11274    -0.875732
   40 C       (  0)      -0.036988314       0.091830482  -0.40279     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.001673899       0.002236538   0.74843    27.500000
 2507 NZLPM   (  0)       0.275874423       0.034082833   8.09423    -0.676261
 2496 NZZZ    ( -4)       0.140153897       0.146963129   0.95367    -0.027813

SE of equation            =     0.034330272
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.530355423E-01   0.380498272E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.027103749
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.35518743    
R squared                 =   0.99903
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.110614527E-01
@ SPECIAL NZ                                                                  
 SMPL  1979.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   109 to   240
EST   245  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  245
**********************

Dependent variable = NZRS    

 1979.1 -   2011.4,   99 missing obs.,   33 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.806925455

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.524760159       0.775922680   0.67630     1.000000
 2484 NZRS    ( -4)       0.746024242       0.094214172   7.91839     8.979598
 2519 NZPCPY  (  0)       0.311127260       0.062076927   5.01196     5.419376
 2496 NZZZ    (  0)       2.519714771       5.437511276   0.46339    -0.040857

SE of equation            =     1.721713447
Sum of squared residuals  =  85.9646186       0.109245946E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.260248025
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.5881848    
R squared                 =   0.85585
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2011.4     33
@ SPECIAL NZ                                                                  
 SMPL  1989.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1989.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   149 to   240
EST   246  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  246
**********************

Dependent variable = NZRBZ   

 1989.1 -   2011.4,   69 missing obs.,   23 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.368019130

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.144578316       0.107070960  -1.35030     1.000000
 2524 NZRBZZ  (  0)       0.864716028       0.112500456   7.68633     0.042148
 2525 NZRSZ   (  0)       0.491129882       0.069927194   7.02345    -0.529161

SE of equation            =     0.477617978
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.56237866       0.666133815E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.381319586
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.77035047    
R squared                 =   0.90621
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.1   2011.4     23
@ SPECIAL NZ                                                                  
 SMPL  1978.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   105 to   240
EST   247  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  247
**********************

Dependent variable = NZLE1Z  

 1978.1 -   2011.4,  102 missing obs.,   34 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.018989605

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.063613512       0.024901302   2.55463     1.000000
 2520 NZLRSZ  (  0)      -5.586287836       2.246945357  -2.48617     0.007988

SE of equation            =     0.100643205
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.324129750      -0.333066907E-15
Average absolute error    =     0.083038632
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.82331350    
R squared                 =   0.16189
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2011.4     34
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   248  ;                                                                  
@ SA                                                                          
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   249  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  249
**********************

Dependent variable = SALIMZ  

 1970.1 -   2012.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.767385330

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.649405066       0.380254454  -1.70782     1.000000
 2591 SALIMZ  ( -4)       0.563583073       0.114427519   4.92524     2.749020
 2590 SALCIGZ (  0)       0.498988984       0.158952059   3.13924     3.742546

SE of equation            =     0.142562945
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.812967727      -0.230393482E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.111479453
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.79361650    
R squared                 =   0.82345
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4     43
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   250  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  250
**********************

Dependent variable = SALCZ   

 1970.1 -   2012.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.922690164

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.019195197       0.533114727  -0.03601     1.000000
 2597 SALCZ   ( -4)       0.845771733       0.084542052  10.00415     2.914249
 2594 SALYZ   (  0)       0.119312486       0.104345083   1.14344     3.998708

SE of equation            =     0.141068661
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.796014687      -0.656363852E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.086946074
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.73868116    
R squared                 =   0.71773
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4     43
@ VE                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   251  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  251
**********************

Dependent variable = VELIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.944740855

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.487761400       0.405338765  -6.13749     1.000000
 2669 VELIMZ  ( -4)       0.111518948       0.112432638   0.99187     0.934623
 2668 VELCIGZ (  0)       1.401358771       0.203285485   6.89355     2.375034

SE of equation            =     0.128081745
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.787436807      -0.100491837E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.093521271
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.76958483    
R squared                 =   0.76681
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   252  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  252
**********************

Dependent variable = VELCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.903705777

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.493912818       0.293614549  -1.68218     1.000000
 2675 VELCZ   ( -4)       0.726983710       0.078377398   9.27543     1.896055
 2672 VELYZ   (  0)       0.411949328       0.117884664   3.49451     2.474133

SE of equation            =     0.075613106
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.274432407      -0.104189990E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.056278483
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.87020266    
R squared                 =   0.71620
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   253  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  253
**********************

Dependent variable = VELM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.581122086

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.652007798       0.917972997  -1.79963     1.000000
 2676 VELM1Z  ( -4)       0.841642631       0.086130720   9.77169     0.551009
 2648 VERS    (  0)      -0.001890102       0.001616089  -1.16955    22.430392
 2672 VELYZ   (  0)       0.732285790       0.383820798   1.90788     2.474133

SE of equation            =     0.191090288
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.71622841      -0.112287957E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128240768
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.54027916    
R squared                 =   0.84558
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ CO                                                                          
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   254  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  254
**********************

Dependent variable = COLIMZ  

 1970.1 -   2012.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.976253865

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.162677453       1.183960271  -1.82665     1.000000
 2749 COLIMZ  ( -4)       0.139501194       0.142397972   0.97966     6.948485
 2748 COLCIGZ (  0)       0.940704385       0.181062891   5.19546     8.781374
 2766 COLPYZZ (  0)       0.115633901       0.046489857   2.48729    -0.787553

SE of equation            =     0.075139118
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.220189595      -0.401861655E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.056729760
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.43937968    
R squared                 =   0.96239
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4     43
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   255  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  255
**********************

Dependent variable = COLCZ   

 1970.1 -   2012.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.393602803

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.712263715       0.194152631   3.66858     1.000000
 2755 COLCZ   ( -4)       0.494119204       0.100472326   4.91796     8.377372
 2752 COLYZ   (  0)       0.403093990       0.082510396   4.88537     8.786831

SE of equation            =     0.022570728
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.203775104E-01   0.978989334E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.016343036
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.702750557    
R squared                 =   0.98385
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4     43
 SMPL  1970.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
EST   256  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  256
**********************

Dependent variable = NONE256 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,  129 missing obs.,   43 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.000000000

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.000000000       0.000000000   0.00000     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.000000000
Sum of squared residuals  =  0.00000000        0.00000000    
Average absolute error    =     0.000000000
Sum of ABS residuals      =  0.00000000    
R squared                 =   0.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4     43
@ SPECIAL CO                                                                  
 SMPL  1978.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
EST   257  ;                                                                  
@ JO                                                                          
 SMPL  1978.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2009.4 Internally:   105 to   232
EST   258  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  258
**********************

Dependent variable = JOLIMZ  

 1978.1 -   2009.4,   96 missing obs.,   32 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.022141374

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.038417141       0.768535244  -1.35116     1.000000
 2831 JOLIMZ  ( -4)       0.320286755       0.132540016   2.41653     7.010184
 2830 JOLCIGZ (  0)       0.770516648       0.166700269   4.62217     7.547260

SE of equation            =     0.104021312
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.313792565      -0.488773466E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.075839713
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.42687081    
R squared                 =   0.80730
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2009.4     32
 SMPL  1978.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2009.4 Internally:   105 to   232
EST   259  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  259
**********************

Dependent variable = JOLPY   

 1978.1 -   2009.4,   96 missing obs.,   32 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.370519762

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2832 JOLPY   ( -4)       0.872151857       0.072085027  12.09893    -0.418951
   40 C       (  0)       0.162197731       0.171456965   0.94600     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.002169052       0.003883406  -0.55854    34.500000
 2833 JOLPM   (  0)       0.158835224       0.042701484   3.71967    -0.582339

SE of equation            =     0.037378100
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.391194252E-01  -0.106384346E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.028599491
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.915183716    
R squared                 =   0.99337
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2009.4     32
@ SY                                                                          
 SMPL  1965.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    53 to   232
EST   260  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  260
**********************

Dependent variable = SYLIMZ  

 1965.1 -   2009.4,  135 missing obs.,   45 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        9.773007953

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.593677993       1.267179541  -3.62512     1.000000
 2915 SYLIMZ  ( -4)       0.303991985       0.133005684   2.28556     9.740824
 2932 SYLPYZZ (  0)       0.096649682       0.036049868   2.68100    -0.940716
 2914 SYLCIGZ (  0)       1.041937727       0.219653678   4.74355    11.033743

SE of equation            =     0.125265177
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.643345952      -0.181994331E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.096580047
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.34610211    
R squared                 =   0.93874
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2009.4     45
 SMPL  1965.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    53 to   232
EST   261  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  261
**********************

Dependent variable = SYLCZ   

 1965.1 -   2009.4,  135 missing obs.,   45 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       10.600860164

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.512319180       0.375574388   4.02668     1.000000
 2918 SYLYZ   (  0)       0.827415188       0.034180355  24.20733    10.984257

SE of equation            =     0.065923463
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.186873830      -0.145472967E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.049886522
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.24489351    
R squared                 =   0.93164
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2009.4     45
 SMPL  1965.1  2009.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2009.4 Internally:    53 to   232
EST   262  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  262
**********************

Dependent variable = SYLPY   

 1965.1 -   2009.4,  135 missing obs.,   45 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.646734892

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 2916 SYLPY   ( -4)       0.895142699       0.047832176  18.71424    -1.733357
   40 C       (  0)      -0.135067270       0.223334337  -0.60478     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.004272527       0.005015651   0.85184    28.000000
 2917 SYLPM   (  0)       0.112881936       0.026382472   4.27867    -0.706019

SE of equation            =     0.065483809
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.175813301      -0.426939040E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.048771335
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.19471006    
R squared                 =   0.99780
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1965.1   2009.4     45
@ ID                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   263  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  263
**********************

Dependent variable = IDLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.577060196

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.007568216       0.526828202  -1.91252     1.000000
 3000 IDLIMZ  ( -4)       0.845661429       0.096243195   8.78671     0.514132
 2999 IDLCIGZ (  0)       0.397797446       0.199080374   1.99818     2.890533

SE of equation            =     0.103165443
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.510869216       0.183517090E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.076028443
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.87745062    
R squared                 =   0.99000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   264  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  264
**********************

Dependent variable = IDLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.503198731

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.192256435       0.042468534   4.52703     1.000000
 3006 IDLCZ   ( -4)       0.170459038       0.108408327   1.57238     2.478686
 3003 IDLYZ   (  0)       0.665255516       0.082792778   8.03519     2.888888
 2979 IDRS    (  0)      -0.002862784       0.000942077  -3.03880    11.674201

SE of equation            =     0.024971731
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.293086065E-01  -0.246012100E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.017667305
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.901032570    
R squared                 =   0.99580
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   265  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  265
**********************

Dependent variable = IDLI    

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.992581620

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.840826956       0.507428501  -3.62776     1.000000
 3028 IDLI    ( -4)       0.615598839       0.109872217   5.60286     7.926834
 3029 IDLY    (  0)       0.517856376       0.143545984   3.60760     9.565699

SE of equation            =     0.051212527
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.125890703      -0.495556485E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.040298710
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.05523419    
R squared                 =   0.99752
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   266  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  266
**********************

Dependent variable = IDLM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.085739998

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.731486830       0.282093319  -2.59307     1.000000
 3008 IDLM1ZL (  0)       0.647776228       0.130380016   4.96837     0.979927
 3003 IDLYZ   (  0)       0.411455212       0.147705724   2.78564     2.888888
 2979 IDRS    (  0)      -0.000530633       0.002187227  -0.24261    11.674201

SE of equation            =     0.048345327
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.109851719      -0.549488233E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.034391905
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.75398715    
R squared                 =   0.99233
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   267  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  267
**********************

Dependent variable = IDRS    

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       13.368640266

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.280787651       1.171921464   0.23960     1.000000
 2979 IDRS    ( -4)       0.827532395       0.072929181  11.34707    13.263660
 3014 IDPCPY  (  0)       0.262142741       0.061998300   4.22822     8.055705

SE of equation            =     1.562844268
Sum of squared residuals  =  92.8143238      -0.153121960E-11
Average absolute error    =     1.082040623
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.3636655    
R squared                 =   0.78195
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   268  ;                                                                  
@ MA                                                                          
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   269  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  269
**********************

Dependent variable = MALIMZ  

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        9.082351940

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.266029371       0.725354045  -1.74540     1.000000
 3084 MALIMZ  ( -4)       0.793387858       0.074118096  10.70437     9.028299
 3083 MALCIGZ (  0)       0.339481642       0.143630985   2.36357     9.383243

SE of equation            =     0.094410613
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.338707823      -0.124313004E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.074894616
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.07067926    
R squared                 =   0.98422
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   270  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  270
**********************

Dependent variable = MALCZ   

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.766533780

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.367174245       0.177583059   2.06762     1.000000
 3090 MALCZ   ( -4)       0.515839222       0.128960313   3.99998     8.733943
 3087 MALYZ   (  0)       0.410644743       0.109187751   3.76090     9.482768

SE of equation            =     0.043277606
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.711721458E-01  -0.561522384E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.029461356
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.20791558    
R squared                 =   0.98759
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   271  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  271
**********************

Dependent variable = MALPY   

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.515159638

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3085 MALPY   ( -4)       0.352445017       0.112670398   3.12811    -0.558214
   40 C       (  0)      -0.925633832       0.176428251  -5.24652     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.018370448       0.003480230   5.27852    33.000000
 3086 MALPM   (  0)       0.259103286       0.056393338   4.59457     0.003818

SE of equation            =     0.035588239
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.468613428E-01  -0.121005983E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.025445295
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.04325709    
R squared                 =   0.99466
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   272  ;                                                                  
@ PA                                                                          
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   273  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  273
**********************

Dependent variable = PALIMZ  

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.828168708

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.029641813       0.324007987  -3.17783     1.000000
 3168 PALIMZ  ( -4)       0.420078569       0.117965207   3.56104     1.796687
 3167 PALCIGZ (  0)       0.600432141       0.143326436   4.18926     3.502579

SE of equation            =     0.089540844
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.288632260       0.733302308E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.070858083
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.76346524    
R squared                 =   0.89589
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   274  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  274
**********************

Dependent variable = PALCZ   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        3.194298338

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.036223463       0.079216639  -0.45727     1.000000
 3174 PALCZ   ( -4)       0.859239310       0.105015826   8.18200     3.168208
 3171 PALYZ   (  0)       0.146903226       0.102149483   1.43812     3.459919

SE of equation            =     0.034647240
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.432155242E-01   0.123018928E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.026596949
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.03728101    
R squared                 =   0.98124
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   275  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  275
**********************

Dependent variable = PALI    

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.406400814

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.225540114       0.310604080   0.72613     1.000000
 3196 PALI    ( -4)       0.799117646       0.104183362   7.67030     6.359124
 3197 PALY    (  0)       0.133867589       0.111297556   1.20279     8.210891

SE of equation            =     0.088224220
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.280206470       0.111405996E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.064586963
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.51889158    
R squared                 =   0.97578
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   276  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  276
**********************

Dependent variable = PALY    

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.210891341

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.098768702       0.055917985  -1.76631     1.000000
 3197 PALY    ( -4)       0.074843860       0.034579628   2.16439     8.162427
 3198 PALX    (  0)       0.956288769       0.031985518  29.89755     8.195252
 3199 PALV    ( -4)      -0.020651383       0.010700820  -1.92989     6.695653

SE of equation            =     0.003538255
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.438173674E-03  -0.755766560E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.002498617
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.974460817E-01
R squared                 =   0.99996
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   277  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  277
**********************

Dependent variable = PALPY   

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.997286431

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3169 PALPY   ( -4)       0.724272365       0.067665631  10.70370    -1.095820
   40 C       (  0)       0.287310223       0.299612163   0.95894     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.004817045       0.006535807  -0.73702    34.000000
 3170 PALPM   (  0)       0.291611137       0.046305985   6.29748    -1.121854

SE of equation            =     0.032904876
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.378955808E-01  -0.303321812E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.022504638
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.877680878    
R squared                 =   0.99905
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
@ SPECIAL PA                                                                  
 SMPL 1974.1 2007.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2007.4 Internally:    89 to   224
EST   278  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  278
**********************

Dependent variable = PALM1Z  

 1974.1 -   2007.4,  102 missing obs.,   34 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.104284637

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.188160159       0.327209957  -0.57504     1.000000
 3176 PALM1ZL (  0)       0.843956950       0.121471368   6.94778     1.984937
 3147 PARS    (  0)      -0.009925284       0.005513364  -1.80022     8.437951
 3171 PALYZ   (  0)       0.205805624       0.154304256   1.33377     3.406091

SE of equation            =     0.068205361
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.139559139       0.149702473E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.050533600
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.71814239    
R squared                 =   0.94951
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2007.4     34
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   279  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  279
**********************

Dependent variable = PARS    

 1974.1 -   2012.4,  117 missing obs.,   39 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.866847436

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.946426679       0.894620835   2.17570     1.000000
 3147 PARS    ( -4)       0.667867565       0.098002623   6.81479     8.765722
 3182 PAPCPY  (  0)       0.146585340       0.043477888   3.37149    10.480210
 3159 PAZZ    (  0)      15.940543141       7.640167340   2.08641    -0.029495

SE of equation            =     1.394775830
Sum of squared residuals  =  68.0889866       0.125499611E-11
Average absolute error    =     1.061771367
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.4090833    
R squared                 =   0.68891
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4     39
 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
EST   280  ;                                                                  
@ PH                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   281  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  281
**********************

Dependent variable = PHLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.795289810

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.276214699       0.838657953  -1.52173     1.000000
 3254 PHLIMZ  ( -4)       0.781414815       0.088043683   8.87531     2.761380
 3253 PHLCIGZ (  0)       0.474602579       0.260127970   1.82450     4.032260

SE of equation            =     0.159152348
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.21581455       0.290321100E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.107243279
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.46940725    
R squared                 =   0.92081
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   282  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  282
**********************

Dependent variable = PHLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        3.681642501

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.034477616       0.070771788  -0.48717     1.000000
 3260 PHLCZ   ( -4)       0.875194100       0.053677194  16.30477     3.667728
 3257 PHLYZ   (  0)       0.134781327       0.051650644   2.60948     4.014705
 3233 PHRS    (  0)      -0.002488280       0.000608684  -4.08797    14.050195

SE of equation            =     0.019417025
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.177199801E-01  -0.145061740E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.014743713
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.751929365    
R squared                 =   0.98851
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   283  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  283
**********************

Dependent variable = PHLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.715926735

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3255 PHLPY   ( -4)       0.799995643       0.095780242   8.35241    -1.804598
   40 C       (  0)       0.013904631       0.259668777   0.05355     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.001460875       0.005673733   0.25748    28.000000
 3256 PHLPM   ( -4)       0.175030098       0.059967663   2.91874    -1.855187
 3245 PHZZ    ( -4)       0.222560189       0.211260938   1.05348    -0.010566

SE of equation            =     0.064221604
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.189723063       0.116496951E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.037626572
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.91895516    
R squared                 =   0.99833
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ SPECIAL PH                                                                  
 SMPL 1962.1 2007.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2007.4 Internally:    41 to   224
EST   284  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  284
**********************

Dependent variable = PHLM1Z  

 1962.1 -   2007.4,  138 missing obs.,   46 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.587397507

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.415518252       0.327257019  -1.26970     1.000000
 3262 PHLM1ZL (  0)       0.714225741       0.084756006   8.42685     1.481228
 3233 PHRS    (  0)      -0.009394579       0.003659408  -2.56724    14.765810
 3257 PHLYZ   (  0)       0.272361245       0.095319912   2.85734     3.978918

SE of equation            =     0.076512397
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.245874171      -0.389599464E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.060286568
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.77318212    
R squared                 =   0.88509
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2007.4     46
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   285  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  285
**********************

Dependent variable = PHRS    

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       14.251461707

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.289934875       1.144302063   1.12727     1.000000
 3233 PHRS    ( -4)       0.675162458       0.082418269   8.19190    14.503181
 3268 PHPCPY  (  0)       0.163569833       0.047391788   3.45144    10.067225
   24 USRSN   (  0)       0.287829342       0.136366978   2.11070     5.290736

SE of equation            =     2.374914602
Sum of squared residuals  =  208.688117       0.480504525E-12
Average absolute error    =     1.610397998
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.0263179    
R squared                 =   0.81345
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
EST   286  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  286
**********************

Dependent variable = PHLE1   

 1972.1 -   2012.4,  123 missing obs.,   41 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.045899097

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.789822887       0.370101853  -2.13407     1.000000
 3277 PHLEA   (  0)       0.265043974       0.117276945   2.25998     3.153145

SE of equation            =     0.097081359
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.367566818       0.477395901E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.072246065
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.96208866    
R squared                 =   0.11580
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4     41
@ TH                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   287  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  287
**********************

Dependent variable = THLIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        2.852259371

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.967775513       0.321800827  -3.00737     1.000000
 3341 THLIMZ  ( -4)       0.736792167       0.079205968   9.30223     2.781692
 3340 THLCIGZ (  0)       0.453541930       0.137522881   3.29794     3.903732

SE of equation            =     0.103403061
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.513225268      -0.681299461E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.080507833
Sum of ABS residuals      =  4.10589948    
R squared                 =   0.99201
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   288  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  288
**********************

Dependent variable = THLCZ   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        3.415967306

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.067167909       0.020704967   3.24405     1.000000
 3347 THLCZ   ( -4)       0.436396739       0.072054300   6.05650     3.377684
 3344 THLYZ   (  0)       0.479448177       0.061998628   7.73321     3.910306

SE of equation            =     0.024942562
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.298623075E-01  -0.125186084E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.018477765
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.942366040    
R squared                 =   0.99823
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   289  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  289
**********************

Dependent variable = THLPY   

 1962.1 -   2012.4,  153 missing obs.,   51 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.767894974

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3342 THLPY   ( -4)       0.763367480       0.074967759  10.18261    -0.810704
   40 C       (  0)       0.091633346       0.095043963   0.96412     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)      -0.000492174       0.002075084  -0.23718    28.000000
 3343 THLPM   (  0)       0.177754169       0.044396097   4.00382    -1.186624
 3332 THZZ    ( -4)       0.314015107       0.104150681   3.01501    -0.050810

SE of equation            =     0.034912641
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.560690545E-01   0.257974198E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.024174484
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.23289867    
R squared                 =   0.99787
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2012.4     51
@ SPECIAL TH                                                                  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
EST   290  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  290
**********************

Dependent variable = THRBZ   

 1978.1 -   2012.4,  105 missing obs.,   35 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.514469429

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.011793483       0.176810113   0.06670     1.000000
 3360 THRBZZ  (  0)       0.830800164       0.073103827  11.36466     0.667803
 3361 THRSZ   (  0)       0.338747427       0.060409930   5.60748    -0.153905

SE of equation            =     0.998132622
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.8805994      -0.113242749E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.713519818
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.9731936    
R squared                 =   0.88122
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4     35
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
EST   291  ;                                                                  
@ CH                                                                          
 SMPL  1984.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   129 to   240
EST   292  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  292
**********************

Dependent variable = CHLIMZ  

 1984.1 -   2011.4,   84 missing obs.,   28 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        0.484187134

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.850108124       0.300789726  -2.82625     1.000000
 3423 CHLIMZ  ( -4)       0.574331635       0.115345793   4.97922     0.347232
 3422 CHLCIGZ (  0)       0.580617092       0.173650206   3.34360     1.954591

SE of equation            =     0.111070187
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.308414663       0.597799588E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.087583193
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.45232940    
R squared                 =   0.98909
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2011.4     28
 SMPL  1984.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   129 to   240
EST   293  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  293
**********************

Dependent variable = CHLCZ   

 1984.1 -   2011.4,   84 missing obs.,   28 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        1.199695356

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.116684983       0.053680477  -2.17369     1.000000
 3429 CHLCZ   ( -4)       0.593982797       0.092601824   6.41437     1.126978
 3426 CHLYZ   (  0)       0.330254024       0.075458335   4.37664     2.025624
 3402 CHRS    (  0)      -0.002891735       0.003059803  -0.94507     7.606429

SE of equation            =     0.024930819
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.149170981E-01   0.220029550E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.018427320
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.515964968    
R squared                 =   0.99839
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2011.4     28
 SMPL  1984.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   129 to   240
EST   294  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  294
**********************

Dependent variable = CHLI    

 1984.1 -   2011.4,   84 missing obs.,   28 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.077006176

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.286554583       0.672726595  -1.91245     1.000000
 3451 CHLI    ( -4)       0.461774789       0.203429719   2.26995     7.961527
 3452 CHLY    (  0)       0.629938930       0.245514584   2.56579     9.145224
 3402 CHRS    (  0)      -0.009702904       0.008155871  -1.18968     7.606429

SE of equation            =     0.069398379
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.115587241       0.134728939E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.047833351
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.33933382    
R squared                 =   0.99512
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2011.4     28
 SMPL  1984.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   129 to   240
EST   295  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  295
**********************

Dependent variable = CHLPY   

 1984.1 -   2011.4,   84 missing obs.,   28 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
19005 CHLGZ    (  0)
19006 CHLEXZ   ( -4)
 3424 CHLPY    ( -4)
 3426 CHLYZ    ( -4)
 3402 CHRS     ( -4)
   29 TN       (  0)
 3414 CHZZ     ( -4)
 3425 CHLPM    ( -4)

Mean of dependent variable       -0.347929114

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3424 CHLPY   ( -4)       0.544304490       0.120953258   4.50012    -0.404854
   40 C       (  0)      -0.560842563       0.203738552  -2.75276     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.013707330       0.004546181   3.01513    38.500000
 3414 CHZZ    (  0)       0.511769519       0.247192037   2.07033    -0.041405
 3425 CHLPM   ( -4)       0.188745392       0.053094165   3.55492    -0.388170

SE of equation            =     0.038043308
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.332877448E-01   0.111031885E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.026789850
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.750115791    
R squared                 =   0.99450
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
Overid test: p-value      = 0.55504         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2011.4     28
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.184079848E-01
 SMPL  1984.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   129 to   244
EST   296  ;                                                                  
@ AR                                                                          
 SMPL  1994.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1994.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   169 to   244
EST   297  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  297
**********************

Dependent variable = ARLCZ   

 1994.1 -   2012.4,   57 missing obs.,   19 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        9.109392564

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3510 ARLYZ   (  0)       0.468045574       0.095458966   4.90311     9.566122
 3513 ARLCZ   ( -4)       0.385185531       0.145438918   2.64844     9.093598
   40 C       (  0)       1.129289099       0.927579726   1.21746     1.000000

SE of equation            =     0.049936237
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.398980439E-01  -0.398221900E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.030078207
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.571485930    
R squared                 =   0.86315
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1994.1   2012.4     19
@ BR                                                                          
 SMPL  1995.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1995.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   173 to   240
EST   298  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  298
**********************

Dependent variable = BRLIMZ  

 1995.1 -   2011.4,   51 missing obs.,   17 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.160467440

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.514260641       2.628890776  -0.95640     1.000000
 3591 BRLIMZ  ( -4)       0.763755403       0.156085529   4.89319     7.123291
 3590 BRLCIGZ (  0)       0.453231532       0.345789391   1.31072     9.342413

SE of equation            =     0.100784761
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.142205954       0.374758002E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.073372977
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.24734060    
R squared                 =   0.81319
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1995.1   2011.4     17
 SMPL  1995.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1995.1 to  2011.4 Internally:   173 to   240
EST   299  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  299
**********************

Dependent variable = BRLCZ   

 1995.1 -   2011.4,   51 missing obs.,   17 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.870409873

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.749552232       0.513811459   1.45881     1.000000
 3597 BRLCZ   ( -4)       0.451849527       0.123937457   3.64579     8.851404
 3594 BRLYZ   (  0)       0.440780673       0.089920945   4.90187     9.350126

SE of equation            =     0.016033289
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.359892892E-02   0.891287044E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.012619404
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.214529872    
R squared                 =   0.96048
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1995.1   2011.4     17
@ CE                                                                          
 SMPL  1978.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
EST   300  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  300
**********************

Dependent variable = CELIMZ  

 1978.1 -   2012.4,  105 missing obs.,   35 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        6.703841141

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.321849917       0.649866040  -3.57281     1.000000
 3675 CELIMZ  ( -4)       0.342787962       0.151252560   2.26633     6.657944
 3674 CELCIGZ (  0)       0.851173012       0.199796680   4.26020     7.922511

SE of equation            =     0.102158705
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.333964830       0.185744753E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.072109900
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.52384649    
R squared                 =   0.95918
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4     35
 SMPL  1978.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
EST   301  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  301
**********************

Dependent variable = CELCZ   

 1978.1 -   2012.4,  105 missing obs.,   35 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.511477791

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.236688461       0.156208973   1.51520     1.000000
 3681 CELCZ   ( -4)       0.490278247       0.083147705   5.89647     7.481692
 3678 CELYZ   (  0)       0.453153064       0.070352676   6.44116     7.959074

SE of equation            =     0.038324822
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.470013427E-01   0.230311770E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.029932351
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.04763228    
R squared                 =   0.98778
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4     35
 SMPL  1978.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
EST   302  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  302
**********************

Dependent variable = CELPY   

 1978.1 -   2012.4,  105 missing obs.,   35 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.968132905

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
 3676 CELPY   ( -4)       0.593370977       0.074988008   7.91288    -1.094863
   40 C       (  0)      -0.313052808       0.129478445  -2.41780     1.000000
   29 TN      (  0)       0.007210954       0.002815118   2.56151    36.000000
 3677 CELPM   (  0)       0.341147922       0.077421783   4.40636    -0.705039
 3666 CEZZ    ( -4)       0.541021040       0.194457503   2.78221    -0.045270

SE of equation            =     0.048905561
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.717526166E-01  -0.824396107E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.035937517
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.25781308    
R squared                 =   0.99847
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4     35
@ ME                                                                          
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   303  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  303
**********************

Dependent variable = MELIMZ  

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.843750192

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.774936149       1.619538232  -1.71341     1.000000
 3759 MELIMZ  ( -4)       0.825453032       0.070429807  11.72022     8.796055
 3776 MELPYZZ (  0)       0.293547476       0.136765192   2.14636    -0.213174
 3758 MELCIGZ (  0)       0.404388221       0.192275973   2.10317    10.931409

SE of equation            =     0.154174961
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.09341626       0.293423952E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.107211944
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.36059722    
R squared                 =   0.96582
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   304  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  304
**********************

Dependent variable = MELCZ   

 1962.1 -   2011.4,  150 missing obs.,   50 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       10.550677548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.363502819       0.204796173   1.77495     1.000000
 3765 MELCZ   ( -4)       0.492286605       0.093829976   5.24658    10.533848
 3762 MELYZ   (  0)       0.456514700       0.090207186   5.06074    10.955841

SE of equation            =     0.030213468
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.429041209E-01  -0.522550181E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.022258756
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.11293782    
R squared                 =   0.98137
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1962.1   2011.4     50
 SMPL  1962.1  2011.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2011.4 Internally:    41 to   240
EST   305  ;                                                                  
@ PE                                                                          
 SMPL  1992.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1992.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   161 to   244
EST   306  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  306
**********************

Dependent variable = PELIMZ  

 1992.1 -   2012.4,   63 missing obs.,   21 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        7.473276838

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -8.971581238       0.767176161 -11.69429     1.000000
 3842 PELCIGZ (  0)       1.803220463       0.084103882  21.44040     9.119716

SE of equation            =     0.074584456
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.105693980      -0.900870489E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.056130170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  1.17873358    
R squared                 =   0.96031
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1992.1   2012.4     21
 SMPL  1992.1  2012.4  ;                                                      
Sample period is now  1992.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   161 to   244
EST   307  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  307
**********************

Dependent variable = PELCZ   

 1992.1 -   2012.4,   63 missing obs.,   21 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable        8.742901706

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.091298118       0.425395241   2.56537     1.000000
 3849 PELCZ   ( -4)       0.454846934       0.121152632   3.75433     8.718041
 3846 PELYZ   (  0)       0.404058307       0.076438180   5.28608     9.123014

SE of equation            =     0.019969125
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.717778738E-02   0.146908263E-08
Average absolute error    =     0.013783665
Sum of ABS residuals      = 0.289456958    
R squared                 =   0.98465
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   0.00000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1992.1   2012.4     21
 SMPL 1972.2 2012.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
EST   308  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  308
**********************

Dependent variable = EURS    

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
 3873 EULPY    ( -1)
 3875 EULYZ    ( -1)
   33 EURB     ( -1)
   34 EURS     ( -1)
   38 EUZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
 3877 EUPCPY   ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        4.797553092

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.465050880       0.124908243   3.72314     1.000000
   34 EURS    ( -1)       0.849198905       0.026371622  32.20124     4.822563
   38 EUZZ    (  0)      23.006257280       3.388435499   6.78964    -0.013250
   18 USRS    (  0)       0.082868430       0.020811350   3.98189     5.302119
 3877 EUPCPY  ( -1)       0.039855020       0.018336300   2.17356     2.575193

SE of equation            =     0.616120925
Sum of squared residuals  =  59.9775891       0.272140477E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.393086675
Sum of ABS residuals      =  64.0731280    
R squared                 =   0.95261
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.79051
Overid test: p-value      = 0.19073         (df =   3)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163
UDU for 2SLS              =  1.74923927    
 SMPL 1970.3 2012.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1970.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    75 to   244
EST   309  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  309
**********************

Dependent variable = EURBZ   

 1970.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
 3873 EULPY    ( -1)
 3875 EULYZ    ( -1)
   33 EURB     ( -1)
   33 EURB     ( -2)
   34 EURS     ( -1)
   34 EURS     ( -2)
   38 EUZZ     ( -1)
   18 USRS     ( -1)
 3877 EUPCPY   ( -1)

Mean of dependent variable        1.435800506

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.070624055       0.044260703   1.59564     1.000000
 3881 EURBZZ  (  0)       0.939847512       0.021731082  43.24900     1.472073
 3882 EURSZ   (  0)       0.321723486       0.077734141   4.13877    -0.107157
 3883 EURSZZ  (  0)      -0.303506007       0.098380152  -3.08503    -0.053137

SE of equation            =     0.363739903
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.9629151       0.994364591E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.276297614
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.9705943    
R squared                 =   0.94888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.65118
Overid test: p-value      = 0.00032         (df =   6)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.3   2012.4    170
UDU for 2SLS              =  3.24884833    
 SMPL 1972.2 2012.4 ;                                                         
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
EST   310  ;                                                                  

Equation number =  310
**********************

Dependent variable = EULE1   

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

   40 C        (  0)
 3873 EULPY    ( -1)
 3875 EULYZ    ( -1)
   33 EURB     ( -1)
 3884 EULE1    ( -1)
 3885 EULEA    ( -1)
 3878 EULRSZ   ( -1)

Iter   Rhos:  1
   1     0.273812252
   2     0.298195524
   3     0.303162282
   4     0.304279182
   5     0.304535628
   6     0.304594788
   7     0.304608450
   8     0.304611606

Number of iterations for RHO =    8


Mean of dependent variable       -0.004609576

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.027567057       0.010473546  -2.63207     1.000000
 3885 EULEA   (  0)       0.087355578       0.035384894   2.46873     0.242674
 3878 EULRSZ  (  0)      -1.479014620       1.081776700  -1.36721    -0.001167
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.304611606       0.086825545   3.50832     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.046312490
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.341030624      -0.550847883E-07
Average absolute error    =     0.038126724
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.21465601    
R squared                 =   0.12274
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95293
Overid test: p-value      = 0.43406         (df =   4)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.794579904E-02
END ;                                                                         
RETURN ;                                                                      
Control returned to previous input data set.
@ *                                                                           
INPUT FILE=MCESTPX2.INP;                                                      
Control passed to data set MCESTPX2.INP    
@                                                                             
@ Estimate equation 11 for annual countries (must use NLOLS):                 
@                                                                             
 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=178 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.320299044846E-01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    5 FUNCTION EVALS=      87 IER= 4 F=  0.304455684640E-01
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.46610698669E-05  0.22535627950E-05  0.24260601929E-05

X VALUES

  0.49738281034E+00  0.10647397817E+01 -0.15023185062E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.217744771

Equation number =  178
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.497382810       0.028797318   17.27184
  2       1.100000000       1.064739782       0.069426685   15.33617
  3      -0.100000000      -0.150231851       0.070396126   -2.13409

SE of equation          =      0.012216505
Sum of squared residuals =  0.304455685E-01   0.154988466    
Sum of ABS residuals     =  0.907626052    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.99839

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=189 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.221278803716E-01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    7 FUNCTION EVALS=     125 IER= 4 F=  0.162419476160E-01
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.48757830719E-05  0.36237839226E-05  0.35526291836E-05

X VALUES

  0.60671803865E+00  0.10592680956E+01 -0.11464164562E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.231419449

Equation number =  189
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.606718039       0.023024628   26.35083
  2       1.100000000       1.059268096       0.069400225   15.26318
  3      -0.100000000      -0.114641646       0.065173182   -1.75903

SE of equation          =      0.008922858
Sum of squared residuals =  0.162419476E-01  -0.101833952    
Sum of ABS residuals     =  0.700887533    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.99373

 SMPL  1965.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1965.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    53 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=207 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.498827753497E-01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    5 FUNCTION EVALS=      86 IER= 4 F=  0.434927748409E-01
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.13427530920E-06  0.11728291508E-06  0.10669093842E-06

X VALUES

  0.49879884502E+00  0.11693453378E+01 -0.26343812626E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.259323810

Equation number =  207
**********************

NBEG =  1965.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  192


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.498798845       0.036956233   13.49702
  2       1.100000000       1.169345338       0.071051790   16.45765
  3      -0.100000000      -0.263438126       0.068365470   -3.85338

SE of equation          =      0.015050743
Sum of squared residuals =  0.434927748E-01   0.185648772    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   1.06458788    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.99679

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=222 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.398150588601E-01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    6 FUNCTION EVALS=     105 IER= 4 F=  0.369477794652E-01
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

  0.12321725343E-06  0.30843075534E-06  0.32972546279E-08

X VALUES

  0.49406418904E+00  0.11703420639E+01 -0.19125663465E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.267105183

Equation number =  222
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.494064189       0.031439067   15.71498
  2       1.100000000       1.170342064       0.069999975   16.71918
  3      -0.100000000      -0.191256635       0.068578841   -2.78886

SE of equation          =      0.013457955
Sum of squared residuals =  0.369477795E-01  -0.153704107    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   1.12144385    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.99968

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=240 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.109220740444E+03

TERMINATION. ITERS=    5 FUNCTION EVALS=      93 IER= 3 F=  0.109211595262E+03
IER =  3 ALL GRADIENT VALUES LESS THAN ACCG IN ABSOLUTE VALUE.  ACCG =    0.100000E-06

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.19437477506E-06 -0.44643141080E-05 -0.45605757866E-05

X VALUES

  0.53443842154E+00  0.11074232640E+01 -0.14456784305E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.266221063

Equation number =  240
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.534438422       1.590995351    0.33591
  2       1.100000000       1.107423264       3.029102543    0.36559
  3      -0.100000000      -0.144567843       2.905519018   -0.04976

SE of equation          =      0.731676812
Sum of squared residuals =   109.211595        11.4173811    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   12.9869325    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.97809

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=248 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.533747308431E+01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    5 FUNCTION EVALS=      90 IER= 3 F=  0.530848065770E+01
IER =  3 ALL GRADIENT VALUES LESS THAN ACCG IN ABSOLUTE VALUE.  ACCG =    0.100000E-06

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.13029239547E-06  0.19202486256E-06 -0.76888398381E-07

X VALUES

  0.49599104832E+00  0.88984417431E+00 -0.55678360755E-01

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.236941656

Equation number =  248
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.495991048       0.311919385    1.59013
  2       1.100000000       0.889844174       0.334696736    2.65866
  3      -0.100000000      -0.055678361       0.319366785   -0.17434

SE of equation          =      0.161313248
Sum of squared residuals =   5.30848066        4.10385019    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   6.75443996    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.91296

 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=257 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.795294983359E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    6 FUNCTION EVALS=      93 IER= 4 F=  0.749114760919E+00
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.44495766428E-06 -0.20318928329E-04 -0.14652665071E-04

X VALUES

  0.78940814429E+00  0.10115906419E+01 -0.54990129307E-01

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.308185230

Equation number =  257
**********************

NBEG =  1972.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  164


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.789408144       0.129737720    6.08465
  2       1.100000000       1.011590642       0.093434123   10.82678
  3      -0.100000000      -0.054990129       0.091578185   -0.60047

SE of equation          =      0.067585301
Sum of squared residuals =  0.749114761        1.77420212    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   5.16739422    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.67961

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=268 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.189262893436E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    7 FUNCTION EVALS=     112 IER= 4 F=  0.167399482015E+00
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

  0.47279903959E-05 -0.14305678667E-05 -0.70309411419E-06

X VALUES

  0.53519244171E+00  0.87617668609E+00 -0.16916926464E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.281366526

Equation number =  268
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.535192442       0.041233295   12.97962
  2       1.100000000       0.876176686       0.069199654   12.66158
  3      -0.100000000      -0.169169265       0.080334282   -2.10582

SE of equation          =      0.028645867
Sum of squared residuals =  0.167399482       0.377625408    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   2.30068099    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.99567

 SMPL  1972.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=272 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.594914296244E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    6 FUNCTION EVALS=      93 IER= 4 F=  0.525440373367E+00
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

  0.99287391535E-06 -0.10023883634E-05 -0.15198682296E-05

X VALUES

  0.76369096429E+00  0.84572063525E+00  0.10145476222E-01

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.268559931

Equation number =  272
**********************

NBEG =  1972.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  164


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.763690964       0.128127877    5.96038
  2       1.100000000       0.845720635       0.079632635   10.62028
  3      -0.100000000       0.010145476       0.081203536    0.12494

SE of equation          =      0.056603045
Sum of squared residuals =  0.525440373      -0.115635007    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   3.30424824    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.94047

 SMPL  1974.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=280 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.194442474337E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    6 FUNCTION EVALS=     100 IER= 4 F=  0.162491592008E+00
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.65270076608E-09  0.34816422463E-06  0.37288090185E-06

X VALUES

  0.19624919638E+00  0.94764976652E+00 -0.19002735148E-01

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.294372447

Equation number =  280
**********************

NBEG =  1974.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  156


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.196249196       0.079460064    2.46978
  2       1.100000000       0.947649767       0.067547325   14.02942
  3      -0.100000000      -0.019002735       0.067631773   -0.28097

SE of equation          =      0.032274026
Sum of squared residuals =  0.162491592       0.299514090    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   2.02994856    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.97453

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=291 NCOEF=3 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEG.DAT;                
Number of coefficients =      3
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.242680794371E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    6 FUNCTION EVALS=      93 IER= 4 F=  0.168546988397E+00
IER =  4 CONVERGENCE REACHED FOR X VALUES.  TOLERANCE =    0.100000E-03

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.13863360935E-05  0.51650385345E-05  0.32798836896E-05

X VALUES

  0.54165407333E+00  0.93442738654E+00 -0.40801645675E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.273348529

Equation number =  291
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       0.500000000       0.541654073       0.037598038   14.40645
  2       1.100000000       0.934427387       0.063856413   14.63326
  3      -0.100000000      -0.408016457       0.062214150   -6.55826

SE of equation          =      0.028743882
Sum of squared residuals =  0.168546988      -0.183611066    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   2.32703037    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.98089

 SMPL  1984.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   129 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=296 NCOEF=2 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEGA.DAT;               
Number of coefficients =      2
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.516474905589E-01

TERMINATION. ITERS=    2 FUNCTION EVALS=      40 IER= 3 F=  0.490269820799E-01
IER =  3 ALL GRADIENT VALUES LESS THAN ACCG IN ABSOLUTE VALUE.  ACCG =    0.100000E-06

GRADIENT VALUES

  0.21402106228E-11  0.16613578233E-11

X VALUES

  0.11509649142E+01 -0.25059841317E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.262603470

Equation number =  296
**********************

NBEG =  1984.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  116


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       1.100000000       1.150964914       0.089276734   12.89210
  2      -0.100000000      -0.250598413       0.091411614   -2.74143

SE of equation          =      0.020558366
Sum of squared residuals =  0.490269821E-01   0.667277500E-03
Sum of ABS residuals     =  0.861210859    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    1.89392

 SMPL  1962.1  2012.4 ;                                                       
Sample period is now  1962.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    41 to   244
NLOLS EQUATION=305 NCOEF=2 MAXITERS=200 FILESTART=MCPXBEGA.DAT;               
Number of coefficients =      2
MAXITERS =    200
STEPSIZE = 0.100000000E-03
TOLCOEF  = 0.100000000E-03
TOLGRADE = 0.100000000E-06
METHOD IS DFP
INITIAL VALUE OF F =   0.156822658034E+00

TERMINATION. ITERS=    2 FUNCTION EVALS=      39 IER= 3 F=  0.146556932367E+00
IER =  3 ALL GRADIENT VALUES LESS THAN ACCG IN ABSOLUTE VALUE.  ACCG =    0.100000E-06

GRADIENT VALUES

 -0.91270448554E-11 -0.85232151232E-11

X VALUES

  0.11707947952E+01 -0.22795274612E+00

MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE   749999.268810743

Equation number =  305
**********************

NBEG =  1962.1 NEND =  2012.4 NOB =  204


     Initial value        Coef est             SE         T statistic    

  1       1.100000000       1.170794795       0.068199497   17.16721
  2      -0.100000000      -0.227952746       0.066756243   -3.41470

SE of equation          =      0.026803290
Sum of squared residuals =  0.146556932       0.219214180    
Sum of ABS residuals     =   1.80912090    
R squared                =    1.00000
Durbin-Watson statistic  =    2.00000

RETURN;                                                                       
Control returned to previous input data set.
@                                                                             
@ End no estimation                                                           
@                                                                             
@ Begin trade share commands                                                  
@                                                                             
@  USPMM through AOPMM                                                        
@                                                                             
INPUT FILE=MCSHR1.INP;                                                        
Control passed to data set MCSHR1.INP      
@                                                                             
@ The following generate variables needed for the trade share calculations.   
@                                                                             
GENR USPMM =                                                                  
                 ACAUS(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAUS(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUUS(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRUS(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEUS(-1)*GEPX$ +AITUS(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEUS(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTUS(-1)*STPX$ +AUKUS(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIUS(-1)*FIPX$ +AASUS(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOUS(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOUS(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEUS(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEUS(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOUS(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWUS(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRUS(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRUS(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOUS(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPUS(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZUS(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
ACOUS(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOUS(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYUS(-1)*SYPX$Q+                           
AIDUS(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAUS(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAUS(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHUS(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHUS(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHUS(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARUS(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRUS(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEUS(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEUS(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEUS(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUUS(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDUS(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUUS(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEUS(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGUS(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISUS(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEUS(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAUS(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKUS(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIUS(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIUS(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR CAPMM =                                                                  
AUSCA(-1)*USPX$ +                 AJACA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUCA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRCA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGECA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITCA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANECA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTCA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKCA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFICA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASCA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOCA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOCA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABECA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADECA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOCA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWCA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRCA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRCA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOCA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPCA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZCA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOCA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOCA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYCA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDCA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMACA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APACA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHCA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHCA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHCA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARCA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRCA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACECA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMECA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APECA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUCA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDCA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUCA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUECA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGCA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISCA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKECA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABACA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKCA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASICA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVICA(-1)*VIPX$ ;                                            
GENR JAPMM =                                                                  
AUSJA(-1)*USPX$ +ACAJA(-1)*CAPX$ +                 AAUJA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRJA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEJA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITJA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEJA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTJA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKJA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIJA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASJA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOJA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOJA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEJA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEJA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOJA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWJA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRJA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRJA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOJA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPJA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZJA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOJA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOJA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYJA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDJA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAJA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAJA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHJA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHJA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHJA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARJA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRJA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEJA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEJA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEJA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUJA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDJA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUJA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEJA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGJA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISJA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEJA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAJA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKJA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIJA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIJA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR AUPMM =                                                                  
AUSAU(-1)*USPX$ +ACAAU(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAAU(-1)*JAPX$ +                           
AFRAU(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEAU(-1)*GEPX$ +AITAU(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEAU(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTAU(-1)*STPX$ +AUKAU(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIAU(-1)*FIPX$ +AASAU(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOAU(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOAU(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEAU(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEAU(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOAU(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWAU(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRAU(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRAU(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOAU(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPAU(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZAU(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOAU(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOAU(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYAU(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDAU(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAAU(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAAU(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHAU(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHAU(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHAU(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARAU(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRAU(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEAU(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEAU(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEAU(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUAU(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDAU(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUAU(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEAU(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGAU(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISAU(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEAU(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAAU(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKAU(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIAU(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIAU(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR FRPMM =                                                                  
AUSFR(-1)*USPX$ +ACAFR(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAFR(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUFR(-1)*AUPX$ +          
                 AGEFR(-1)*GEPX$ +AITFR(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEFR(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTFR(-1)*STPX$ +AUKFR(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIFR(-1)*FIPX$ +AASFR(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOFR(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOFR(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEFR(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEFR(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOFR(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWFR(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRFR(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRFR(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOFR(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPFR(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZFR(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOFR(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOFR(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYFR(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDFR(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAFR(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAFR(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHFR(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHFR(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHFR(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARFR(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRFR(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEFR(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEFR(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEFR(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUFR(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDFR(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUFR(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEFR(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGFR(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISFR(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEFR(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAFR(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKFR(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIFR(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIFR(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR GEPMM =                                                                  
AUSGE(-1)*USPX$ +ACAGE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAGE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUGE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRGE(-1)*FRPX$ +                 AITGE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEGE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTGE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKGE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIGE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASGE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOGE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOGE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEGE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEGE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOGE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWGE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRGE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRGE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOGE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPGE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZGE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOGE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOGE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYGE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDGE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAGE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAGE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHGE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHGE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHGE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARGE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRGE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEGE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEGE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEGE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUGE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDGE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUGE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEGE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGGE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISGE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEGE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAGE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKGE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIGE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIGE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR ITPMM =                                                                  
AUSIT(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIT(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIT(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIT(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIT(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIT(-1)*GEPX$ +                 ANEIT(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIT(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIT(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIT(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIT(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIT(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIT(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIT(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIT(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIT(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIT(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIT(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRIT(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOIT(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIT(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIT(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIT(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIT(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIT(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIT(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIT(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIT(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIT(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIT(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIT(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIT(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIT(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIT(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIT(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIT(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIT(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIT(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIT(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIT(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIT(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISIT(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEIT(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIT(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIT(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIT(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIT(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR NEPMM =                                                                  
AUSNE(-1)*USPX$ +ACANE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJANE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUNE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRNE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGENE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITNE(-1)*ITPX$ +                           
ASTNE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKNE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFINE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASNE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASONE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKONE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABENE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADENE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANONE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWNE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRNE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRNE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APONE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPNE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZNE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACONE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJONE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYNE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDNE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMANE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APANE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHNE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHNE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHNE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARNE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRNE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACENE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMENE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APENE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUNE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDNE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUNE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUENE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGNE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISNE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKENE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABANE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKNE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASINE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVINE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR STPMM =                                                                  
AUSST(-1)*USPX$ +ACAST(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAST(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUST(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRST(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEST(-1)*GEPX$ +AITST(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEST(-1)*NEPX$ +          
                 AUKST(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIST(-1)*FIPX$ +AASST(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOST(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOST(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEST(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEST(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOST(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWST(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRST(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRST(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOST(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPST(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZST(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOST(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOST(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYST(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDST(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAST(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAST(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHST(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHST(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHST(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARST(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRST(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEST(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEST(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEST(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUST(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDST(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUST(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEST(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGST(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISST(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEST(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAST(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKST(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIST(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIST(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR UKPMM =                                                                  
AUSUK(-1)*USPX$ +ACAUK(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAUK(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUUK(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRUK(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEUK(-1)*GEPX$ +AITUK(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEUK(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTUK(-1)*STPX$ +                 AFIUK(-1)*FIPX$ +AASUK(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOUK(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOUK(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEUK(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEUK(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOUK(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWUK(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRUK(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRUK(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOUK(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPUK(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZUK(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOUK(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOUK(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYUK(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDUK(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAUK(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAUK(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHUK(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHUK(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHUK(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARUK(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRUK(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEUK(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEUK(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEUK(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUUK(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDUK(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUUK(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEUK(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGUK(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISUK(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEUK(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAUK(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKUK(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIUK(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIUK(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR FIPMM =                                                                  
AUSFI(-1)*USPX$ +ACAFI(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAFI(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUFI(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRFI(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEFI(-1)*GEPX$ +AITFI(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEFI(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTFI(-1)*STPX$ +AUKFI(-1)*UKPX$ +                 AASFI(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOFI(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOFI(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEFI(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEFI(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOFI(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWFI(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRFI(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRFI(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOFI(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPFI(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZFI(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOFI(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOFI(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYFI(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDFI(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAFI(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAFI(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHFI(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHFI(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHFI(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARFI(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRFI(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEFI(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEFI(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEFI(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUFI(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDFI(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUFI(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEFI(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGFI(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISFI(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEFI(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAFI(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKFI(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIFI(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIFI(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR ASPMM =                                                                  
AUSAS(-1)*USPX$ +ACAAS(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAAS(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUAS(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRAS(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEAS(-1)*GEPX$ +AITAS(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEAS(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTAS(-1)*STPX$ +AUKAS(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIAS(-1)*FIPX$ +                           
ASOAS(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOAS(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEAS(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEAS(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOAS(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWAS(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRAS(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRAS(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOAS(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPAS(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZAS(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOAS(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOAS(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYAS(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDAS(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAAS(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAAS(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHAS(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHAS(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHAS(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARAS(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRAS(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEAS(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEAS(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEAS(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUAS(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDAS(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUAS(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEAS(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGAS(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISAS(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEAS(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAAS(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKAS(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIAS(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIAS(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SOPMM =                                                                  
AUSSO(-1)*USPX$ +ACASO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
                 AKOSO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWSO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRSO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPSO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZSO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSO(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYSO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDSO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASISO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVISO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR KOPMM =                                                                  
AUSKO(-1)*USPX$ +ACAKO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAKO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUKO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRKO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEKO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITKO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEKO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTKO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKKO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIKO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASKO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOKO(-1)*SOPX$ +                 ABEKO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEKO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOKO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWKO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRKO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRKO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOKO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPKO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZKO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOKO(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOKO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYKO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDKO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAKO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAKO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHKO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHKO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHKO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARKO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRKO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEKO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEKO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEKO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUKO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDKO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUKO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEKO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGKO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISKO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEKO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAKO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKKO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIKO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIKO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR BEPMM =                                                                  
AUSBE(-1)*USPX$ +ACABE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJABE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUBE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRBE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEBE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITBE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEBE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTBE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKBE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIBE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASBE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOBE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOBE(-1)*KOPX$ +                 ADEBE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOBE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWBE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRBE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRBE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOBE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPBE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZBE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOBE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOBE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYBE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDBE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMABE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APABE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHBE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHBE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHBE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARBE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRBE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEBE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEBE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEBE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUBE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDBE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUBE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEBE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGBE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISBE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEBE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABABE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKBE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIBE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIBE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR DEPMM =                                                                  
AUSDE(-1)*USPX$ +ACADE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJADE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUDE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRDE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEDE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITDE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEDE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTDE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKDE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIDE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASDE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASODE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKODE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEDE(-1)*BEPX$Q+                           
ANODE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWDE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRDE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRDE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APODE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPDE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZDE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACODE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJODE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYDE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDDE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMADE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APADE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHDE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHDE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHDE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARDE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRDE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEDE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEDE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEDE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUDE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDDE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUDE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEDE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGDE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISDE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEDE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABADE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKDE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIDE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIDE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR NOPMM =                                                                  
AUSNO(-1)*USPX$ +ACANO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJANO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUNO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRNO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGENO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITNO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANENO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTNO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKNO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFINO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASNO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASONO(-1)*SOPX$ +AKONO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABENO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADENO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
                 ASWNO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRNO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRNO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APONO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPNO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZNO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACONO(-1)*COPX$Q+AJONO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYNO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDNO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMANO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APANO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHNO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHNO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHNO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARNO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRNO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACENO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMENO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APENO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUNO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDNO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUNO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUENO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGNO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISNO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKENO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABANO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKNO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASINO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVINO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SWPMM =                                                                  
AUSSW(-1)*USPX$ +ACASW(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASW(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSW(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSW(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESW(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSW(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESW(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSW(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSW(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISW(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSW(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOSW(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOSW(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESW(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESW(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSW(-1)*NOPX$Q+                 AGRSW(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSW(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSW(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPSW(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZSW(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSW(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSW(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYSW(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDSW(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASW(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASW(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSW(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSW(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSW(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSW(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSW(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESW(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESW(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESW(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSW(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSW(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSW(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESW(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSW(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSW(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESW(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASW(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSW(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASISW(-1)*SIPX$ +AVISW(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR GRPMM =                                                                  
AUSGR(-1)*USPX$ +ACAGR(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAGR(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUGR(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRGR(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEGR(-1)*GEPX$ +AITGR(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEGR(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTGR(-1)*STPX$ +AUKGR(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIGR(-1)*FIPX$ +AASGR(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOGR(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOGR(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEGR(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEGR(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOGR(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWGR(-1)*SWPX$Q+                 AIRGR(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOGR(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPGR(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZGR(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOGR(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOGR(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYGR(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDGR(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAGR(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAGR(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHGR(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHGR(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHGR(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARGR(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRGR(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEGR(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEGR(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEGR(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUGR(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDGR(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUGR(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEGR(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGGR(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISGR(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEGR(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAGR(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKGR(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIGR(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIGR(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR IRPMM =                                                                  
AUSIR(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIR(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIR(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIR(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIR(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIR(-1)*GEPX$ +AITIR(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEIR(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIR(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIR(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIR(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIR(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIR(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIR(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIR(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIR(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIR(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIR(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIR(-1)*GRPX$Q+                           
APOIR(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIR(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIR(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIR(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIR(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIR(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIR(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIR(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIR(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIR(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIR(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIR(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIR(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIR(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIR(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIR(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIR(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIR(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIR(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIR(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIR(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIR(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISIR(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEIR(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIR(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIR(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIR(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIR(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR POPMM =                                                                  
AUSPO(-1)*USPX$ +ACAPO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAPO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUPO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRPO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEPO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITPO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEPO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTPO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKPO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIPO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASPO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOPO(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOPO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEPO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEPO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOPO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWPO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRPO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRPO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
                 ASPPO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZPO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOPO(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOPO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYPO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDPO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAPO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAPO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHPO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHPO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHPO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARPO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRPO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEPO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEPO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEPO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUPO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDPO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUPO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEPO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGPO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISPO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEPO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAPO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKPO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIPO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIPO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SPPMM =                                                                  
AUSSP(-1)*USPX$ +ACASP(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASP(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSP(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSP(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESP(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSP(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESP(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSP(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSP(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISP(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSP(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOSP(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOSP(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESP(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESP(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSP(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWSP(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRSP(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSP(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSP(-1)*POPX$Q+                 ANZSP(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSP(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSP(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYSP(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDSP(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASP(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASP(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSP(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSP(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSP(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSP(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSP(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESP(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESP(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESP(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSP(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSP(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSP(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESP(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSP(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSP(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESP(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASP(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSP(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASISP(-1)*SIPX$ +AVISP(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR NZPMM =                                                                  
AUSNZ(-1)*USPX$ +ACANZ(-1)*CAPX$ +AJANZ(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUNZ(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRNZ(-1)*FRPX$ +AGENZ(-1)*GEPX$ +AITNZ(-1)*ITPX$ +ANENZ(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTNZ(-1)*STPX$ +AUKNZ(-1)*UKPX$ +AFINZ(-1)*FIPX$ +AASNZ(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASONZ(-1)*SOPX$ +AKONZ(-1)*KOPX$ +ABENZ(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADENZ(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANONZ(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWNZ(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRNZ(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRNZ(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APONZ(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPNZ(-1)*SPPX$Q+                                            
                 ACONZ(-1)*COPX$Q+AJONZ(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYNZ(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDNZ(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMANZ(-1)*MAPX$Q+APANZ(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHNZ(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHNZ(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHNZ(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARNZ(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRNZ(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACENZ(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMENZ(-1)*MEPX$Q+APENZ(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUNZ(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDNZ(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUNZ(-1)*RUPX$ +AUENZ(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGNZ(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISNZ(-1)*ISPX$ +AKENZ(-1)*KEPX$ +ABANZ(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKNZ(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASINZ(-1)*SIPX$ +AVINZ(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SAPMM =                                                                  
AUSSA(-1)*USPX$ +ACASA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOSA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOSA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWSA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRSA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPSA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZSA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYSA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDSA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASISA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVISA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR VEPMM =                                                                  
AUSVE(-1)*USPX$ +ACAVE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAVE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUVE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRVE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEVE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITVE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEVE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTVE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKVE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIVE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASVE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOVE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOVE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEVE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEVE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOVE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWVE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRVE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRVE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOVE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPVE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZVE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOVE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOVE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYVE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDVE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAVE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAVE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHVE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHVE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHVE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARVE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRVE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEVE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEVE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEVE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUVE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDVE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUVE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEVE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGVE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISVE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEVE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAVE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKVE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIVE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIVE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR COPMM =                                                                  
AUSCO(-1)*USPX$ +ACACO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJACO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUCO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRCO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGECO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITCO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANECO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTCO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKCO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFICO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASCO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOCO(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOCO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABECO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADECO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOCO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWCO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRCO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRCO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOCO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPCO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZCO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                                  AJOCO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYCO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDCO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMACO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APACO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHCO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHCO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHCO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARCO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRCO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACECO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMECO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APECO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUCO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDCO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUCO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUECO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGCO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISCO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKECO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABACO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKCO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASICO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVICO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR JOPMM =                                                                  
AUSJO(-1)*USPX$ +ACAJO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAJO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUJO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRJO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEJO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITJO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEJO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTJO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKJO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIJO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASJO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOJO(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOJO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEJO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEJO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOJO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWJO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRJO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRJO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOJO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPJO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZJO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOJO(-1)*COPX$Q+                 ASYJO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDJO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAJO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAJO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHJO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHJO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHJO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARJO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRJO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEJO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEJO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEJO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUJO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDJO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUJO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEJO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGJO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISJO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEJO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAJO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKJO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIJO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIJO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SYPMM =                                                                  
AUSSY(-1)*USPX$ +ACASY(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASY(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSY(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSY(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESY(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSY(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESY(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSY(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSY(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISY(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSY(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOSY(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOSY(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESY(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESY(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSY(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWSY(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRSY(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSY(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSY(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPSY(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZSY(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSY(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSY(-1)*JOPX$Q+                           
AIDSY(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASY(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASY(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSY(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSY(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSY(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSY(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSY(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESY(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESY(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESY(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSY(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSY(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSY(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESY(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSY(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSY(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESY(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASY(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSY(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASISY(-1)*SIPX$ +AVISY(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR IDPMM =                                                                  
AUSID(-1)*USPX$ +ACAID(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAID(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUID(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRID(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEID(-1)*GEPX$ +AITID(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEID(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTID(-1)*STPX$ +AUKID(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIID(-1)*FIPX$ +AASID(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOID(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOID(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEID(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEID(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOID(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWID(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRID(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRID(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOID(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPID(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZID(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOID(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOID(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYID(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
                 AMAID(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAID(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHID(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHID(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHID(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARID(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRID(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEID(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEID(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEID(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUID(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDID(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUID(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEID(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGID(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISID(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEID(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAID(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKID(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIID(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIID(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR MAPMM =                                                                  
AUSMA(-1)*USPX$ +ACAMA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAMA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUMA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRMA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEMA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITMA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEMA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTMA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKMA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIMA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASMA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOMA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOMA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEMA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEMA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOMA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWMA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRMA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRMA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOMA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPMA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZMA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOMA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOMA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYMA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDMA(-1)*IDPX$Q+                 APAMA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHMA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHMA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHMA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARMA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRMA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEMA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEMA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEMA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUMA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDMA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUMA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEMA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGMA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISMA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEMA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAMA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKMA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIMA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIMA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR PAPMM =                                                                  
AUSPA(-1)*USPX$ +ACAPA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAPA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUPA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRPA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEPA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITPA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEPA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTPA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKPA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIPA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASPA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOPA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOPA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEPA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEPA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOPA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWPA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRPA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRPA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOPA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPPA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZPA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOPA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOPA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYPA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDPA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAPA(-1)*MAPX$Q+                 APHPA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHPA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHPA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARPA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRPA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEPA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEPA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEPA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUPA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDPA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUPA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEPA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGPA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISPA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEPA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAPA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKPA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIPA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIPA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR PHPMM =                                                                  
AUSPH(-1)*USPX$ +ACAPH(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAPH(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUPH(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRPH(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEPH(-1)*GEPX$ +AITPH(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEPH(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTPH(-1)*STPX$ +AUKPH(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIPH(-1)*FIPX$ +AASPH(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOPH(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOPH(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEPH(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEPH(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOPH(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWPH(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRPH(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRPH(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOPH(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPPH(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZPH(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOPH(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOPH(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYPH(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDPH(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAPH(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAPH(-1)*PAPX$Q+                           
ATHPH(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHPH(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARPH(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRPH(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEPH(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEPH(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEPH(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUPH(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDPH(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUPH(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEPH(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGPH(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISPH(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEPH(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAPH(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKPH(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIPH(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIPH(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR THPMM =                                                                  
AUSTH(-1)*USPX$ +ACATH(-1)*CAPX$ +AJATH(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUTH(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRTH(-1)*FRPX$ +AGETH(-1)*GEPX$ +AITTH(-1)*ITPX$ +ANETH(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTTH(-1)*STPX$ +AUKTH(-1)*UKPX$ +AFITH(-1)*FIPX$ +AASTH(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOTH(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOTH(-1)*KOPX$ +ABETH(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADETH(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOTH(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWTH(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRTH(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRTH(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOTH(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPTH(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZTH(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOTH(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOTH(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYTH(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDTH(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMATH(-1)*MAPX$Q+APATH(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHTH(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
                 ACHTH(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARTH(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRTH(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACETH(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMETH(-1)*MEPX$Q+APETH(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUTH(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDTH(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUTH(-1)*RUPX$ +AUETH(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGTH(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISTH(-1)*ISPX$ +AKETH(-1)*KEPX$ +ABATH(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKTH(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASITH(-1)*SIPX$ +AVITH(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR CHPMM =                                                                  
AUSCH(-1)*USPX$ +ACACH(-1)*CAPX$ +AJACH(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUCH(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRCH(-1)*FRPX$ +AGECH(-1)*GEPX$ +AITCH(-1)*ITPX$ +ANECH(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTCH(-1)*STPX$ +AUKCH(-1)*UKPX$ +AFICH(-1)*FIPX$ +AASCH(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOCH(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOCH(-1)*KOPX$ +ABECH(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADECH(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOCH(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWCH(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRCH(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRCH(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOCH(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPCH(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZCH(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOCH(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOCH(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYCH(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDCH(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMACH(-1)*MAPX$Q+APACH(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHCH(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHCH(-1)*THPX$Q+                 AARCH(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRCH(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACECH(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMECH(-1)*MEPX$Q+APECH(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUCH(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDCH(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUCH(-1)*RUPX$ +AUECH(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGCH(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISCH(-1)*ISPX$ +AKECH(-1)*KEPX$ +ABACH(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKCH(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASICH(-1)*SIPX$ +AVICH(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR ARPMM =                                                                  
AUSAR(-1)*USPX$ +ACAAR(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAAR(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUAR(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRAR(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEAR(-1)*GEPX$ +AITAR(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEAR(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTAR(-1)*STPX$ +AUKAR(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIAR(-1)*FIPX$ +AASAR(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOAR(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOAR(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEAR(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEAR(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOAR(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWAR(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRAR(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRAR(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOAR(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPAR(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZAR(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOAR(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOAR(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYAR(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDAR(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAAR(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAAR(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHAR(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHAR(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHAR(-1)*CHPX$Q+                 ABRAR(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEAR(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEAR(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEAR(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUAR(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDAR(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUAR(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEAR(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGAR(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISAR(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEAR(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAAR(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKAR(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIAR(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIAR(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR BRPMM =                                                                  
AUSBR(-1)*USPX$ +ACABR(-1)*CAPX$ +AJABR(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUBR(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRBR(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEBR(-1)*GEPX$ +AITBR(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEBR(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTBR(-1)*STPX$ +AUKBR(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIBR(-1)*FIPX$ +AASBR(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOBR(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOBR(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEBR(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEBR(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOBR(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWBR(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRBR(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRBR(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOBR(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPBR(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZBR(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOBR(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOBR(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYBR(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDBR(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMABR(-1)*MAPX$Q+APABR(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHBR(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHBR(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHBR(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARBR(-1)*ARPX$Q+                           
ACEBR(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEBR(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEBR(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUBR(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDBR(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUBR(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEBR(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGBR(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISBR(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEBR(-1)*KEPX$ +ABABR(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKBR(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIBR(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIBR(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR CEPMM =                                                                  
AUSCE(-1)*USPX$ +ACACE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJACE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUCE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRCE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGECE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITCE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANECE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTCE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKCE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFICE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASCE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOCE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOCE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABECE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADECE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOCE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWCE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRCE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRCE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOCE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPCE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZCE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOCE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOCE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYCE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDCE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMACE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APACE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHCE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHCE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHCE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARCE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRCE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
                 AMECE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APECE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUCE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDCE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUCE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUECE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGCE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISCE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKECE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABACE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKCE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASICE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVICE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR MEPMM =                                                                  
AUSME(-1)*USPX$ +ACAME(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAME(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUME(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRME(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEME(-1)*GEPX$ +AITME(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEME(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTME(-1)*STPX$ +AUKME(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIME(-1)*FIPX$ +AASME(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOME(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOME(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEME(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEME(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOME(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWME(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRME(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRME(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOME(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPME(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZME(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOME(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOME(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYME(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDME(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAME(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAME(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHME(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHME(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHME(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARME(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRME(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEME(-1)*CEPX$Q+                 APEME(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUME(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDME(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUME(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEME(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGME(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISME(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEME(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAME(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKME(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIME(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIME(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR PEPMM =                                                                  
AUSPE(-1)*USPX$ +ACAPE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAPE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUPE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRPE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEPE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITPE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEPE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTPE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKPE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIPE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASPE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOPE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOPE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEPE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEPE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOPE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWPE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRPE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRPE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOPE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPPE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZPE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOPE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOPE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYPE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDPE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAPE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAPE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHPE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHPE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHPE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARPE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRPE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEPE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEPE(-1)*MEPX$Q+                 ATUPE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDPE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUPE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEPE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGPE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISPE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEPE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAPE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKPE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIPE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIPE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR TUPMM =                                                                  
AUSTU(-1)*USPX$ +ACATU(-1)*CAPX$ +AJATU(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUTU(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRTU(-1)*FRPX$ +AGETU(-1)*GEPX$ +AITTU(-1)*ITPX$ +ANETU(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTTU(-1)*STPX$ +AUKTU(-1)*UKPX$ +AFITU(-1)*FIPX$ +AASTU(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOTU(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOTU(-1)*KOPX$ +ABETU(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADETU(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOTU(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWTU(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRTU(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRTU(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOTU(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPTU(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZTU(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOTU(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOTU(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYTU(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDTU(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMATU(-1)*MAPX$Q+APATU(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHTU(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHTU(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHTU(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARTU(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRTU(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACETU(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMETU(-1)*MEPX$Q+APETU(-1)*PEPX$Q+                           
APDTU(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUTU(-1)*RUPX$ +AUETU(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGTU(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISTU(-1)*ISPX$ +AKETU(-1)*KEPX$ +ABATU(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKTU(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASITU(-1)*SIPX$ +AVITU(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR PDPMM =                                                                  
AUSPD(-1)*USPX$ +ACAPD(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAPD(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUPD(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRPD(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEPD(-1)*GEPX$ +AITPD(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEPD(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTPD(-1)*STPX$ +AUKPD(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIPD(-1)*FIPX$ +AASPD(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOPD(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOPD(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEPD(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEPD(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOPD(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWPD(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRPD(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRPD(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOPD(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPPD(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZPD(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOPD(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOPD(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYPD(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDPD(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAPD(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAPD(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHPD(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHPD(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHPD(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARPD(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRPD(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEPD(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEPD(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEPD(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUPD(-1)*TUPX$ +          
                 ARUPD(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEPD(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGPD(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISPD(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEPD(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAPD(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKPD(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIPD(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIPD(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR RUPMM =                                                                  
AUSRU(-1)*USPX$ +ACARU(-1)*CAPX$ +AJARU(-1)*JAPX$ +AAURU(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRRU(-1)*FRPX$ +AGERU(-1)*GEPX$ +AITRU(-1)*ITPX$ +ANERU(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTRU(-1)*STPX$ +AUKRU(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIRU(-1)*FIPX$ +AASRU(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASORU(-1)*SOPX$ +AKORU(-1)*KOPX$ +ABERU(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADERU(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANORU(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWRU(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRRU(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRRU(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APORU(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPRU(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZRU(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACORU(-1)*COPX$Q+AJORU(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYRU(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDRU(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMARU(-1)*MAPX$Q+APARU(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHRU(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHRU(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHRU(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARRU(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRRU(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACERU(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMERU(-1)*MEPX$Q+APERU(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATURU(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDRU(-1)*PDPX$ +                 AUERU(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGRU(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISRU(-1)*ISPX$ +AKERU(-1)*KEPX$ +ABARU(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKRU(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIRU(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIRU(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR UEPMM =                                                                  
AUSUE(-1)*USPX$ +ACAUE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAUE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUUE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRUE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEUE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITUE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEUE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTUE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKUE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIUE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASUE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOUE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOUE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEUE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEUE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOUE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWUE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRUE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRUE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOUE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPUE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZUE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOUE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOUE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYUE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDUE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAUE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAUE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHUE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHUE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHUE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARUE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRUE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEUE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEUE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEUE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUUE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDUE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUUE(-1)*RUPX$ +                 AEGUE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISUE(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEUE(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAUE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKUE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIUE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIUE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR EGPMM =                                                                  
AUSEG(-1)*USPX$ +ACAEG(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAEG(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUEG(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFREG(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEEG(-1)*GEPX$ +AITEG(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEEG(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTEG(-1)*STPX$ +AUKEG(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIEG(-1)*FIPX$ +AASEG(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOEG(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOEG(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEEG(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEEG(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOEG(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWEG(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGREG(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIREG(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOEG(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPEG(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZEG(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOEG(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOEG(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYEG(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDEG(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAEG(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAEG(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHEG(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHEG(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHEG(-1)*CHPX$Q+AAREG(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABREG(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEEG(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEEG(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEEG(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUEG(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDEG(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUEG(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEEG(-1)*UEPX$ +                           
AISEG(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEEG(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAEG(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKEG(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIEG(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIEG(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR ISPMM =                                                                  
AUSIS(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIS(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIS(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIS(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIS(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIS(-1)*GEPX$ +AITIS(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEIS(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIS(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIS(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIS(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIS(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIS(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIS(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIS(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIS(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIS(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIS(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIS(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRIS(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOIS(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIS(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIS(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIS(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIS(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIS(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIS(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIS(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIS(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIS(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIS(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIS(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIS(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIS(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIS(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIS(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIS(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIS(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIS(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIS(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIS(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIS(-1)*EGPX$ +          
                 AKEIS(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIS(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIS(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIS(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIS(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR KEPMM =                                                                  
AUSKE(-1)*USPX$ +ACAKE(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAKE(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUKE(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRKE(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEKE(-1)*GEPX$ +AITKE(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEKE(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTKE(-1)*STPX$ +AUKKE(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIKE(-1)*FIPX$ +AASKE(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOKE(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOKE(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEKE(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEKE(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOKE(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWKE(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRKE(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRKE(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOKE(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPKE(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZKE(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOKE(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOKE(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYKE(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDKE(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAKE(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAKE(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHKE(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHKE(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHKE(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARKE(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRKE(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEKE(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEKE(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEKE(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUKE(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDKE(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUKE(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEKE(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGKE(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISKE(-1)*ISPX$ +                 ABAKE(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKKE(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIKE(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIKE(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR BAPMM =                                                                  
AUSBA(-1)*USPX$ +ACABA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJABA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUBA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRBA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEBA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITBA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEBA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTBA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKBA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIBA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASBA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOBA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOBA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEBA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEBA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOBA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWBA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRBA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRBA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOBA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPBA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZBA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOBA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOBA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYBA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDBA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMABA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APABA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHBA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHBA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHBA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARBA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRBA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEBA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEBA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEBA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUBA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDBA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUBA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEBA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGBA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISBA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEBA(-1)*KEPX$ +                 AHKBA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIBA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIBA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR HKPMM =                                                                  
AUSHK(-1)*USPX$ +ACAHK(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAHK(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUHK(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRHK(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEHK(-1)*GEPX$ +AITHK(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEHK(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTHK(-1)*STPX$ +AUKHK(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIHK(-1)*FIPX$ +AASHK(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOHK(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOHK(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEHK(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEHK(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOHK(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWHK(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRHK(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRHK(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOHK(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPHK(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZHK(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOHK(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOHK(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYHK(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDHK(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAHK(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAHK(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHHK(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHHK(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHHK(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARHK(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRHK(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEHK(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEHK(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEHK(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUHK(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDHK(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUHK(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEHK(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGHK(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISHK(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEHK(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAHK(-1)*BAPX$ +                           
ASIHK(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIHK(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR SIPMM =                                                                  
AUSSI(-1)*USPX$ +ACASI(-1)*CAPX$ +AJASI(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUSI(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRSI(-1)*FRPX$ +AGESI(-1)*GEPX$ +AITSI(-1)*ITPX$ +ANESI(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTSI(-1)*STPX$ +AUKSI(-1)*UKPX$ +AFISI(-1)*FIPX$ +AASSI(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOSI(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOSI(-1)*KOPX$ +ABESI(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADESI(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOSI(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWSI(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRSI(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRSI(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOSI(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPSI(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZSI(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOSI(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOSI(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYSI(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDSI(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMASI(-1)*MAPX$Q+APASI(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHSI(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHSI(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHSI(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARSI(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRSI(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACESI(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMESI(-1)*MEPX$Q+APESI(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUSI(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDSI(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUSI(-1)*RUPX$ +AUESI(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGSI(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISSI(-1)*ISPX$ +AKESI(-1)*KEPX$ +ABASI(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKSI(-1)*HKPX$ +          
                 AVISI(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR VIPMM =                                                                  
AUSVI(-1)*USPX$ +ACAVI(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAVI(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUVI(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRVI(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEVI(-1)*GEPX$ +AITVI(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEVI(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTVI(-1)*STPX$ +AUKVI(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIVI(-1)*FIPX$ +AASVI(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOVI(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOVI(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEVI(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEVI(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOVI(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWVI(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRVI(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRVI(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOVI(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPVI(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZVI(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOVI(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOVI(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYVI(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDVI(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAVI(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAVI(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHVI(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHVI(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHVI(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARVI(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRVI(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEVI(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEVI(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEVI(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUVI(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDVI(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUVI(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEVI(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGVI(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISVI(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEVI(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAVI(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKVI(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIVI(-1)*SIPX$ ;                                                             
GENR NIPMM =                                                                  
AUSNI(-1)*USPX$ +ACANI(-1)*CAPX$ +AJANI(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUNI(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRNI(-1)*FRPX$ +AGENI(-1)*GEPX$ +AITNI(-1)*ITPX$ +ANENI(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTNI(-1)*STPX$ +AUKNI(-1)*UKPX$ +AFINI(-1)*FIPX$ +AASNI(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASONI(-1)*SOPX$ +AKONI(-1)*KOPX$ +ABENI(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADENI(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANONI(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWNI(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRNI(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRNI(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APONI(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPNI(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZNI(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACONI(-1)*COPX$Q+AJONI(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYNI(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDNI(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMANI(-1)*MAPX$Q+APANI(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHNI(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHNI(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHNI(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARNI(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRNI(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACENI(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMENI(-1)*MEPX$Q+APENI(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUNI(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDNI(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUNI(-1)*RUPX$ +AUENI(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGNI(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISNI(-1)*ISPX$ +AKENI(-1)*KEPX$ +ABANI(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKNI(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASINI(-1)*SIPX$ +AVINI(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR ALPMM =                                                                  
AUSAL(-1)*USPX$ +ACAAL(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAAL(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUAL(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRAL(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEAL(-1)*GEPX$ +AITAL(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEAL(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTAL(-1)*STPX$ +AUKAL(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIAL(-1)*FIPX$ +AASAL(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOAL(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOAL(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEAL(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEAL(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOAL(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWAL(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRAL(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRAL(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOAL(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPAL(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZAL(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOAL(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOAL(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYAL(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDAL(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAAL(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAAL(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHAL(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHAL(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHAL(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARAL(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRAL(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEAL(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEAL(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEAL(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUAL(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDAL(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUAL(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEAL(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGAL(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISAL(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEAL(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAAL(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKAL(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIAL(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIAL(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR IAPMM =                                                                  
AUSIA(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITIA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEIA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRIA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOIA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISIA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEIA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR INPMM =                                                                  
AUSIN(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIN(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIN(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIN(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIN(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIN(-1)*GEPX$ +AITIN(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEIN(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIN(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIN(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIN(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIN(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIN(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIN(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIN(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIN(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIN(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIN(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIN(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRIN(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOIN(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIN(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIN(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIN(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIN(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIN(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIN(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIN(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIN(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIN(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIN(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIN(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIN(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIN(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIN(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIN(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIN(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIN(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIN(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIN(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIN(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIN(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISIN(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEIN(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIN(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIN(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIN(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIN(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR IQPMM =                                                                  
AUSIQ(-1)*USPX$ +ACAIQ(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAIQ(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUIQ(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRIQ(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEIQ(-1)*GEPX$ +AITIQ(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEIQ(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTIQ(-1)*STPX$ +AUKIQ(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIIQ(-1)*FIPX$ +AASIQ(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOIQ(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOIQ(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEIQ(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEIQ(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOIQ(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWIQ(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRIQ(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRIQ(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOIQ(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPIQ(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZIQ(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOIQ(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOIQ(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYIQ(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDIQ(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAIQ(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAIQ(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHIQ(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHIQ(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHIQ(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARIQ(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRIQ(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEIQ(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEIQ(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEIQ(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUIQ(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDIQ(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUIQ(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEIQ(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGIQ(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISIQ(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEIQ(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAIQ(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKIQ(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIIQ(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIIQ(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR KUPMM =                                                                  
AUSKU(-1)*USPX$ +ACAKU(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAKU(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUKU(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRKU(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEKU(-1)*GEPX$ +AITKU(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEKU(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTKU(-1)*STPX$ +AUKKU(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIKU(-1)*FIPX$ +AASKU(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOKU(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOKU(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEKU(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEKU(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOKU(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWKU(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRKU(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRKU(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOKU(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPKU(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZKU(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOKU(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOKU(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYKU(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDKU(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAKU(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAKU(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHKU(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHKU(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHKU(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARKU(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRKU(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEKU(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEKU(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEKU(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUKU(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDKU(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUKU(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEKU(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGKU(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISKU(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEKU(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAKU(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKKU(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIKU(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIKU(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR LIPMM =                                                                  
AUSLI(-1)*USPX$ +ACALI(-1)*CAPX$ +AJALI(-1)*JAPX$ +AAULI(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRLI(-1)*FRPX$ +AGELI(-1)*GEPX$ +AITLI(-1)*ITPX$ +ANELI(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTLI(-1)*STPX$ +AUKLI(-1)*UKPX$ +AFILI(-1)*FIPX$ +AASLI(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOLI(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOLI(-1)*KOPX$ +ABELI(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADELI(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOLI(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWLI(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRLI(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRLI(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOLI(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPLI(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZLI(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOLI(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOLI(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYLI(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDLI(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMALI(-1)*MAPX$Q+APALI(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHLI(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHLI(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHLI(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARLI(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRLI(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACELI(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMELI(-1)*MEPX$Q+APELI(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATULI(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDLI(-1)*PDPX$ +ARULI(-1)*RUPX$ +AUELI(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGLI(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISLI(-1)*ISPX$ +AKELI(-1)*KEPX$ +ABALI(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKLI(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASILI(-1)*SIPX$ +AVILI(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR UAPMM =                                                                  
AUSUA(-1)*USPX$ +ACAUA(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAUA(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUUA(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRUA(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEUA(-1)*GEPX$ +AITUA(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEUA(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTUA(-1)*STPX$ +AUKUA(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIUA(-1)*FIPX$ +AASUA(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOUA(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOUA(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEUA(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEUA(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOUA(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWUA(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRUA(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRUA(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOUA(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPUA(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZUA(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOUA(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOUA(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYUA(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDUA(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAUA(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAUA(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHUA(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHUA(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHUA(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARUA(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRUA(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEUA(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEUA(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEUA(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUUA(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDUA(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUUA(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEUA(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGUA(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISUA(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEUA(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAUA(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKUA(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIUA(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIUA(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
GENR AOPMM =                                                                  
AUSAO(-1)*USPX$ +ACAAO(-1)*CAPX$ +AJAAO(-1)*JAPX$ +AAUAO(-1)*AUPX$ +          
AFRAO(-1)*FRPX$ +AGEAO(-1)*GEPX$ +AITAO(-1)*ITPX$ +ANEAO(-1)*NEPX$ +          
ASTAO(-1)*STPX$ +AUKAO(-1)*UKPX$ +AFIAO(-1)*FIPX$ +AASAO(-1)*ASPX$ +          
ASOAO(-1)*SOPX$ +AKOAO(-1)*KOPX$ +ABEAO(-1)*BEPX$Q+ADEAO(-1)*DEPX$Q+          
ANOAO(-1)*NOPX$Q+ASWAO(-1)*SWPX$Q+AGRAO(-1)*GRPX$Q+AIRAO(-1)*IRPX$Q+          
APOAO(-1)*POPX$Q+ASPAO(-1)*SPPX$Q+ANZAO(-1)*NZPX$Q+                           
                 ACOAO(-1)*COPX$Q+AJOAO(-1)*JOPX$Q+ASYAO(-1)*SYPX$Q+          
AIDAO(-1)*IDPX$Q+AMAAO(-1)*MAPX$Q+APAAO(-1)*PAPX$Q+APHAO(-1)*PHPX$Q+          
ATHAO(-1)*THPX$Q+ACHAO(-1)*CHPX$Q+AARAO(-1)*ARPX$Q+ABRAO(-1)*BRPX$Q+          
ACEAO(-1)*CEPX$Q+AMEAO(-1)*MEPX$Q+APEAO(-1)*PEPX$Q+ATUAO(-1)*TUPX$ +          
APDAO(-1)*PDPX$ +ARUAO(-1)*RUPX$ +AUEAO(-1)*UEPX$ +AEGAO(-1)*EGPX$ +          
AISAO(-1)*ISPX$ +AKEAO(-1)*KEPX$ +ABAAO(-1)*BAPX$ +AHKAO(-1)*HKPX$ +          
ASIAO(-1)*SIPX$ +AVIAO(-1)*VIPX$;                                             
RETURN;                                                                       
Control returned to previous input data set.
@                                                                             
@  Set up trade share equations, generate PJAUS, etc., estimate equations.    
@                                                                             
@ *  This is SHR.INP                                                          
@                                                                             
@ No estimation (comment out bOLS in the file)                                
@                                                                             
INPUT FILE=MCESTSHR.INP;                                                      
Control passed to data set MCESTSHR.INP    
@                                                                             
@ Comment out bOLS when no estimation                                         
@                                                                             
@EQ     1 LAACAUS C LACAUS(-1) PCAUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST    1 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ     2 LAAJAUS C LAJAUS(-1) PJAUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST    2 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUUS=AUPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUUS=LOG(AAAUUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUUS=LOG(AAUUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUUS=EXP(LAAAUUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    3 LAAAUUS C LAAUUS(-1) PAUUS;                                         
EQUATION 311  LAAAUUS  
   RHS     C  LAAUUS(-1)  PAUUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  311 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  311
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.786846650

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.416766675       0.164104953  -2.53963     1.000000
11342 LAAUUS  ( -1)       0.910437648       0.029505565  30.85647    -5.787588
11340 PAUUS   (  0)      -0.093677003       0.056405676  -1.66077     1.076488

SE of equation            =     0.090990668
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.53167081      -0.379136722E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.068316966
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.8435897    
R squared                 =   0.85294
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21470
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.1!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!             +             *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                 *         +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3! *        +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRUS=FRPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRUS=LOG(AAFRUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRUS=LOG(AFRUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRUS=EXP(LAAFRUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    4 LAAFRUS C LAFRUS(-1) PFRUS;                                         
EQUATION 312  LAAFRUS  
   RHS     C  LAFRUS(-1)  PFRUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  312 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  312
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.831782947

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.481499729       0.135991201  -3.54067     1.000000
11345 LAFRUS  ( -1)       0.864311151       0.038036854  22.72299    -3.831475
11343 PFRUS   (  0)      -0.030295796       0.026154799  -1.15833     1.277303

SE of equation            =     0.076161753
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.07311334      -0.162740932E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.058515180
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.0008538    
R squared                 =   0.77608
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44453
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2*          +                           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1968.3! +     *                              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.4!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!        +            *                !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!         *       +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!           +          *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1977.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!             +        *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.1!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.4!                       *      +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!                                  +   *!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                         *     +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                     *       +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                       *     +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                              +     * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!  *      +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEUS=GEPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEUS=LOG(AAGEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEUS=LOG(AGEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEUS=EXP(LAAGEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    5 LAAGEUS C LAGEUS(-1) PGEUS;                                         
EQUATION 313  LAAGEUS  
   RHS     C  LAGEUS(-1)  PGEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  313 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  313
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.752134367

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.143551522       0.079075051  -1.81538     1.000000
11348 LAGEUS  ( -1)       0.929125322       0.028343656  32.78071    -2.749232
11346 PGEUS   (  0)      -0.050484129       0.053019044  -0.95219     1.073634

SE of equation            =     0.084088740
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.30811951       0.523936450E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.060820866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.4343228    
R squared                 =   0.87104
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66096
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!                           *     +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!                           +        * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!                              *      +!!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!                     +               *!!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                        *      +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.1!                  *      +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!      *        +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.4!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!              *     +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!               +      *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!        *    +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!+   *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!    +    *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!    *     +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITUS=ITPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITUS=LOG(AAITUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITUS=LOG(AITUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITUS=EXP(LAAITUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    6 LAAITUS C LAITUS(-1) PITUS;                                         
EQUATION 314  LAAITUS  
   RHS     C  LAITUS(-1)  PITUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  314 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  314
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.512461115

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.087642080       0.054958188  -1.59470     1.000000
11351 LAITUS  ( -1)       0.921802023       0.025862088  35.64299    -3.508819
11349 PITUS   (  0)      -0.203241433       0.068723290  -2.95739     0.936733

SE of equation            =     0.070691471
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.924497552       0.468158845E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.055847868
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4993992    
R squared                 =   0.95666
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44126
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                             *      + !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                        * +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                       +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                    *    +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                             *  +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                          *  +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                        * +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                             *  +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1988.3!                           *   +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                      *  +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!*   +                                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1+*                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!* +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2011.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEUS=NEPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEUS=LOG(AANEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEUS=LOG(ANEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEUS=EXP(LAANEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    7 LAANEUS C LANEUS(-1) PNEUS;                                         
EQUATION 315  LAANEUS  
   RHS     C  LANEUS(-1)  PNEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  315 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  315
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.563394227

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.874678685       0.194823713  -4.48959     1.000000
11354 LANEUS  ( -1)       0.790659647       0.044791554  17.65198    -4.565169
11352 PNEUS   (  0)      -0.064892422       0.045252540  -1.43401     1.220794

SE of equation            =     0.102176978
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.93142495      -0.229199770E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.077148219
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.5038653    
R squared                 =   0.66291
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45335
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!                  *            +      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!          *           +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!             *        +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!              *       +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.3!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.4!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1*         +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.2!    +         *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.3!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                             +       *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.4!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                             +       *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTUS=STPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTUS=LOG(AASTUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTUS=LOG(ASTUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTUS=EXP(LAASTUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ    8 LAASTUS C LASTUS(-1) PSTUS;                                         
EQUATION 316  LAASTUS  
   RHS     C  LASTUS(-1)  PSTUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  316 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  316
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.366132212

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.263838846       0.092279037  -2.85914     1.000000
11357 LASTUS  ( -1)       0.925734394       0.028227485  32.79550    -4.362134
11355 PSTUS   (  0)      -0.066743891       0.042692843  -1.56335     0.960629

SE of equation            =     0.058083337
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.624129689      -0.482045515E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.044316607
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.33152203    
R squared                 =   0.95196
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23263
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                                    + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                *   +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                     +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!      *  +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!   *     +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3! *      +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 2001.4* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2002.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!  *+                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!  *   +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.2! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2012.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ     9 LAAUKUS C LAUKUS(-1) PUKUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST    9 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIUS=FIPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIUS=LOG(AAFIUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIUS=LOG(AFIUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIUS=EXP(LAAFIUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   10 LAAFIUS C LAFIUS(-1) PFIUS;                                         
EQUATION 317  LAAFIUS  
   RHS     C  LAFIUS(-1)  PFIUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  317 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  317
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.726203148

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.087856899       0.361606304  -8.53928     1.000000
11360 LAFIUS  ( -1)       0.376799785       0.069384468   5.43061    -5.722217
11358 PFIUS   (  0)      -0.478479225       0.137618798  -3.47684     1.007810

SE of equation            =     0.228812978
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.68574513      -0.112472698E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.175049477
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.9093017    
R squared                 =   0.27419
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10962
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2! *          +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.3*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!*             +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.2!*        +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!         +        *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!            +         *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!           +            *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.3!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!           +         *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.1!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!             +           *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!            +           *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2002.1!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.2!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!  *              +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2005.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!        *          +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2006.3!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.3!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.3!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                    +                 *!         .    .    .         0
 2010.1!                 *         +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.2!       *            +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.1!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!    *                +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 2011.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!  *                +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 2012.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.2!            *         +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!     *               +                !! 0       .    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASUS=ASPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASUS=LOG(AAASUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASUS=LOG(AASUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASUS=EXP(LAAASUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   11 LAAASUS C LAASUS(-1) PASUS;                                         
EQUATION 318  LAAASUS  
   RHS     C  LAASUS(-1)  PASUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  318 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  318
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.820694080

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.596988049       0.193222343  -3.08964     1.000000
11363 LAASUS  ( -1)       0.876354525       0.037689642  23.25187    -4.814404
11361 PASUS   (  0)      -0.003895172       0.059461711  -0.06551     1.176147

SE of equation            =     0.226036729
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.45213154      -0.559552404E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.185175473
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.8129890    
R squared                 =   0.74526
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.90463
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1966.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1966.3!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1966.4!                        *     +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1967.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1967.3!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1967.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.1!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.4!                            *   +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1969.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1969.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.3!                                +    *!!        .     .     .0       !
 1969.4!                           *       +  !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1970.1!                          +          *!!        .     .     .        0
 1970.2!                                *  +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1970.3!                               +    * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1970.4!                            *     +   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1971.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1971.2!                            +     *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.3!                                +     *!        .     .     . 0      !
 1971.4!                           *        + !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1972.1!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.3!                                +    *!!        .     .     .0       !
 1972.4!                           *       +  !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.2!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.4!                           +          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.1!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.2!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1974.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1974.4!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.1!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1975.3!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.4!                       *        +     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                       +    *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.2!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.3!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.4!                    *      +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1977.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1977.2!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1977.4!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1978.1!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1978.2!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.4!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.1!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1979.2!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.3!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.1!                          +     *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1980.2!                               +      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.3!                              +    *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1980.4!                              *  +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.1!                         *   +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.2!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.4!                      *      +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.1!                      +    *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1982.4!                      *       +       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.4!                    *     +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.4!                    *     +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1985.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.3!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.4!                  *     +             !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                  +     *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1986.2!                    *   +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.4!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.1!                       +    *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.2!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.3!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.1!                     +     *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.2!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.3!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.4!                *       +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1989.1!                 +     *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                      *  +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.1!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.3!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1990.4!                      *     +         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.4!                     *     +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.4!                  *     +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.4!                *      +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1994.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!           *      +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1995.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.4!           *     +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.3!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.4!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!             *       +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1998.1!              +      *                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.2!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.4!               *      +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1999.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.4!                *     +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.4!               *     +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2001.1!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.4!                *      +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.3!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.4!               *     +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.2!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.4!             *      +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.4!          *     +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2005.1!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.3!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.4!      *      +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2006.1!       +  *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!    *       +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2007.1!      +  *                            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!         + *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.4!      *     +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.1!        + *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.2!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.3!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!   *        +                         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.1!     +   *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!         +    *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.4!     *         +                      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2010.1!       +   *                          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.2!      *     +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.3!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.4*      +                               !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.1!  +  *                                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.3!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.4*       +                              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.2!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!     +                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4! *     +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    12 LAASOUS C LASOUS(-1) PSOUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   12 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOUS=KOPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOUS=LOG(AAKOUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOUS=LOG(AKOUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOUS=EXP(LAAKOUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   13 LAAKOUS C LAKOUS(-1) PKOUS;                                         
EQUATION 319  LAAKOUS  
   RHS     C  LAKOUS(-1)  PKOUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  319 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  319
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.068286910

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.158881369       0.037865953  -4.19589     1.000000
11366 LAKOUS  ( -1)       0.932719375       0.015762061  59.17496    -4.086205
11364 PKOUS   (  0)      -0.056592069       0.020685766  -2.73580     1.733859

SE of equation            =     0.082946861
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.27283363       0.579136739E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.062073610
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.6698387    
R squared                 =   0.98860
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.87458
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!*+                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4! +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!    +                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!         *+                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +*                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                  * +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                * +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                      +               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                     * +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                           +*         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                            +         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                             +*       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                              +*      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                              *+      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                              +*      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                               +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                              +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                +     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                 *+   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                                +     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                               +      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                              +*      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                              *+      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1998.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1998.2!                                  * + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.3!                                 *+   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                               * +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                +     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                    * +!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEUS=BEPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEUS=LOG(AABEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEUS=LOG(ABEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEUS=EXP(LAABEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   14 LAABEUS C LABEUS(-1) PBEUS;                                         
EQUATION 320  LAABEUS  
   RHS     C  LABEUS(-1)  PBEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  320 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  320
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.265172990

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.324662530       0.129651512  -2.50412     1.000000
11369 LABEUS  ( -1)       0.907495262       0.028227453  32.14939    -4.259529
11367 PBEUS   (  0)      -0.072617704       0.062987860  -1.15288     1.032912

SE of equation            =     0.111408530
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.29619421       0.117785781E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.087937921
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.5323292    
R squared                 =   0.85147
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53490
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.3!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!                                *   + !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                         *     +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                    *         +       !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!            *     +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.1!             *     +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.2!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!    *      +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.2!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!       *    +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!*   +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!   *+                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!         *    +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!     *     +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.1!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2! *     +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.3!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEUS=DEPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEUS=LOG(AADEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEUS=LOG(ADEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEUS=EXP(LAADEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   15 LAADEUS C LADEUS(-1) PDEUS;                                         
EQUATION 321  LAADEUS  
   RHS     C  LADEUS(-1)  PDEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  321 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  321
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.419815841

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.334730219       0.151173945  -2.21421     1.000000
11372 LADEUS  ( -1)       0.938822669       0.024293345  38.64526    -5.415599
11370 PDEUS   (  0)      -0.000742260       0.058312909  -0.01273     1.076041

SE of equation            =     0.108263351
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.16837634      -0.287414537E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.081786093
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3757854    
R squared                 =   0.89063
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45978
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.2!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                        *      +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                 *      +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1983.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                         *    +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.1!            *      +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.2!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!   *      +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3! *      +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.2!        *        +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2007.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2009.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!          *     +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOUS=NOPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOUS=LOG(AANOUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOUS=LOG(ANOUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOUS=EXP(LAANOUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   16 LAANOUS C LANOUS(-1) PNOUS;                                         
EQUATION 322  LAANOUS  
   RHS     C  LANOUS(-1)  PNOUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  322 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  322
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.301301996

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.537076365       0.234456171  -6.55592     1.000000
11375 LANOUS  ( -1)       0.652991189       0.050605784  12.90349    -5.296846
11373 PNOUS   (  0)      -0.338218379       0.065300853  -5.17939     0.903061

SE of equation            =     0.157434072
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.58531507       0.183145943E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.120493191
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.6527199    
R squared                 =   0.72296
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22666
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.2!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1966.3!                            +     *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1966.4!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.1!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1967.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1967.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.4!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1968.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.3!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.1!                              +     * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1969.2!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1969.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.4!                   *        +         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1970.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1970.2!                       +    *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1970.3!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.4!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.2!                        +      *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1971.3!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.4!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.1!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1972.2!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.4!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.1!                         *    +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.2!                 *       +            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.1!                      +         *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1974.2!                 *           +        !!0       .     .     .        !
 1974.3!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.4!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1975.1!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.2!                     +        *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.3!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.4!                         +            *!        .     .     .        0
 1976.1!                           *    +     !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.2!                  *      +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.3!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1977.1!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.2!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.3!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.4!  *           +                       !!0       .     .     .        !
 1978.1!        +    *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.2!              +       *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.4!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.2!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.4!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.1!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!             * +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.3!           *   +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1980.4!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.1!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!        *      +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.3!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.1!      *       +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1982.2!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.3*           +                          !!0       .     .     .        !
 1982.4!    * +                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.1!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.4!                  +      *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1984.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.2!               *      +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.4!            *        +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1985.1!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.4!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.1!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.2!                *      +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.3!                 *          +         !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1987.4!                     +    *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.1!                 *         +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1988.2!                     +    *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.3!                           +   *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.4!                        *      +      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.1!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.4!                           *  +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.1!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.2!                            +         *!        .     .     .    0   !
 1990.3!                                 +   *!!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                   *           +      !!0       .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.3!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.1!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                         *     +      !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                             * +      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                         *     +      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.1!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.2!                         *      +     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.3!                           +          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!                              +       *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.3!                                  +   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.1!                             * +      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!                      *        +      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.1!                         *    +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.2!                      *     +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.3!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.1!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.3!                                +     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.2!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.2!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.4!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.1!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2003.1!                              *+      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.4!                             +     *  !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.1!                      *    +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.4!                 +*                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.2!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!         *  +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.4!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!            +      *                  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.2!                +     *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.3!         *        +                   !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2007.4!        +     *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.2!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!    *  +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.1!        +     *                       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2009.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.4!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.1!               +      *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2010.2!         *         +                  !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2010.3!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.4!  *        +                          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.1!    +     *                           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.3!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2011.4!            +    *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.1!     *       +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!     +    *                           !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.4!         +   *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWUS=SWPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWUS=LOG(AASWUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWUS=LOG(ASWUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWUS=EXP(LAASWUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   17 LAASWUS C LASWUS(-1) PSWUS;                                         
EQUATION 323  LAASWUS  
   RHS     C  LASWUS(-1)  PSWUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  323 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  323
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.755769497

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.320419498       0.146581990  -2.18594     1.000000
11378 LASWUS  ( -1)       0.927893750       0.030408427  30.51436    -4.751814
11376 PSWUS   (  0)      -0.021688508       0.042724852  -0.50763     1.206703

SE of equation            =     0.100015427
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.85057086      -0.110168763E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.078226277
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.7065400    
R squared                 =   0.83769
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47242
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!                   *      +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1968.4!                     *         +      !0         .    .    .         !
 1969.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                 *      +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.2!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!            *    +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1980.4!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!             *       +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.1!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!              *    +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!*     +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    18 LAAGRUS C LAGRUS(-1) PGRUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   18 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRUS=IRPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRUS=LOG(AAIRUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRUS=LOG(AIRUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRUS=EXP(LAAIRUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   19 LAAIRUS C LAIRUS(-1) PIRUS;                                         
EQUATION 324  LAAIRUS  
   RHS     C  LAIRUS(-1)  PIRUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  324 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  324
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.386613538

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.102345030       0.075817195  -1.34989     1.000000
11381 LAIRUS  ( -1)       0.957338736       0.023144759  41.36309    -5.400686
11379 PIRUS   (  0)      -0.091744436       0.100176344  -0.91583     1.242394

SE of equation            =     0.146721228
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.98251699       0.932942612E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.109915921
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.6641931    
R squared                 =   0.96679
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62386
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!           * +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.2!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!            *   +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!       *       +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!    *    +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!       +                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                            +         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 *  + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                * +   !!         0.   .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    20 LAAPOUS C LAPOUS(-1) PPOUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   20 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ    21 LAASPUS C LASPUS(-1) PSPUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   21 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ    22 LAANZUS C LANZUS(-1) PNZUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   22 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   23 LAASAUS C LASAUS(-1) PSAUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   23 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   24 LAAVEUS C LAVEUS(-1) PVEUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   24 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOUS=COPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOUS=LOG(AACOUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOUS=LOG(ACOUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOUS=EXP(LAACOUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   25 LAACOUS C LACOUS(-1) PCOUS;                                         
EQUATION 325  LAACOUS  
   RHS     C  LACOUS(-1)  PCOUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  325 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  325
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.327795325

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.470133782       0.162526515  -2.89266     1.000000
11384 LACOUS  ( -1)       0.881643367       0.038438450  22.93650    -5.339161
11382 PCOUS   (  0)      -0.116649930       0.051433581  -2.26797     1.289545

SE of equation            =     0.120966122
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.79983474       0.102167164E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.090267388
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.3736909    
R squared                 =   0.91690
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10424
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*       +                              !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.4! +     *                              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1982.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!     *    +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                          *    +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                           *   +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                     *    +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                     *    +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                      *  +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                      *   +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                               +      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !


     30.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOUS=JOPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOUS=LOG(AAJOUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOUS=LOG(AJOUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOUS=EXP(LAAJOUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   26 LAAJOUS C LAJOUS(-1) PJOUS;                                         
EQUATION 326  LAAJOUS  
   RHS     C  LAJOUS(-1)  PJOUS  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST  326 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  326
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOUS 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.295456967

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.116537609       0.309757752  -0.37622     1.000000
11387 LAJOUS  ( -1)       0.976404530       0.023175041  42.13173    -9.328161
11385 PJOUS   (  0)      -0.061430106       0.126190585  -0.48680     1.153513

SE of equation            =     0.336213424
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.9821834       0.102975406E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.247035635
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9268843    
R squared                 =   0.95309
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66712
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!+*                                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!  *  +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.2!   *           +                      !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!    +   *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!     *       +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1992.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.1!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!     *   +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!   *    +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.3! *      +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1997.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.3!     *   +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.4!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2001.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.4!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.77 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYUS=SYPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYUS=LOG(AASYUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYUS=LOG(ASYUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYUS=EXP(LAASYUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   27 LAASYUS C LASYUS(-1) PSYUS;                                         
EQUATION 327  LAASYUS  
   RHS     C  LASYUS(-1)  PSYUS  
 SMPL 1987.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   141 to   244
 OLS;EST  327 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  327
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYUS 

 1987.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  104 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.486253743

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.214810052       0.762384250  -5.52846     1.000000
11390 LASYUS  ( -1)       0.500193935       0.085862839   5.82550    -9.490674
11388 PSYUS   (  0)      -0.436777669       0.212975498  -2.05084     1.200304

SE of equation            =     0.894062429
Sum of squared residuals  =  80.7341104      -0.189857019E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.708148455
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.6474393    
R squared                 =   0.35149
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24450
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.1   2012.4    104

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.1*+                                     !!       .     0.      .       !
 1987.2*+                                     !!       .     0.      .       !
 1987.3!+         *                           !!       .      .      .0      !
 1987.4! *    +                               !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1988.1!*         +                           !!     0 .      .      .       !
 1988.2!         +      *                     !!       .      .     0.       !
 1988.3! *               +                    !! 0     .      .      .       !
 1988.4!          +              *            !!       .      .      .    0  !
 1989.1!                     +                !!       .      0      .       !
 1989.2!              *    +                  !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1989.3!               +             *        !!       .      .      .    0  !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!       .      0      .       !
 1990.1!*                 +                   !!0      .      .      .       !
 1990.2! *     +                              !!       . 0    .      .       !
 1990.3!       +                *             !!       .      .      .      0!
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!       .    0 .      .       !
 1991.1!                +*                    !!       .      .0     .       !
 1991.2! *              +                     !! 0     .      .      .       !
 1991.3!         +     *                      !!       .      .    0 .       !
 1991.4!     *          +                     !!     0 .      .      .       !
 1992.1!  *        +                          !!      0.      .      .       !
 1992.2!          +            *              !!       .      .      .  0    !
 1992.3!               *    +                 !!       . 0    .      .       !
 1992.4!  *             +                     !!  0    .      .      .       !
 1993.1!          +      *                    !!       .      .     0.       !
 1993.2!                 +      *             !!       .      .    0 .       !
 1993.3!             *       +                !!       .0     .      .       !
 1993.4!               +         *            !!       .      .      .0      !
 1994.1!                 *   +                !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1994.2!                 +   *                !!       .      .   0  .       !
 1994.3!          *        +                  !!      0.      .      .       !
 1994.4!             + *                      !!       .      .0     .       !
 1995.1!                +                     !!       .      0      .       !
 1995.2!               *+                     !!       .     0.      .       !
 1995.3!            *   +                     !!       .   0  .      .       !
 1995.4!          *   +                       !!       .   0  .      .       !
 1996.1!         *   +                        !!       .   0  .      .       !
 1996.2!       *    +                         !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1996.3!       *   +                          !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1996.4!      *    +                          !!       . 0    .      .       !
 1997.1!          *+                          !!       .     0.      .       !
 1997.2!  *           +                       !!     0 .      .      .       !
 1997.3!         *+                           !!       .     0.      .       !
 1997.4!      *      +                        !!       .0     .      .       !
 1998.1!        *  +                          !!       .   0  .      .       !
 1998.2!       *    +                         !!       .  0   .      .       !
 1998.3!         *  +                         !!       .    0 .      .       !
 1998.4!     *       +                        !!       0      .      .       !
 1999.1!           +*                         !!       .      .0     .       !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!       .    0 .      .       !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!       .      .0     .       !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!       .   0  .      .       !
 2000.1!               +  *                   !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!       .     0.      .       !
 2000.3!                 + *                  !!       .      . 0    .       !
 2000.4!                  +       *           !!       .      .      0       !
 2001.1!                     +    *           !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!       .     0.      .       !
 2001.3!                  +   *               !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!       .    0 .      .       !
 2002.1!                +*                    !!       .      .0     .       !
 2002.2!                 +   *                !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2002.3!                  + *                 !!       .      .0     .       !
 2002.4!                  +      *            !!       .      .    0 .       !
 2003.1!                     +          *     !!       .      .      .  0    !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!       .    0 .      .       !
 2003.3!                    +   *             !!       .      .   0  .       !
 2003.4!                 *   +                !!       .   0  .      .       !
 2004.1!                 +              *     !!       .      .      .    0  !
 2004.2!                        +        *    !!       .      .      0       !
 2004.3!                         +       *    !!       .      .     0.       !
 2004.4!                         +            *!       .      .      .   0   !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!       .     0.      .       !
 2005.2!                      +     *         !!       .      .    0 .       !
 2005.3!                       +     *        !!       .      .    0 .       !
 2005.4!                *       +             !!       0      .      .       !
 2006.1!                 + *                  !!       .      .0     .       !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!       .      .0     .       !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!       .    0 .      .       !
 2006.4!                  +           *       !!       .      .      .  0    !
 2007.1!                        *+            !!       .     0.      .       !
 2007.2!           *         +                !!     0 .      .      .       !
 2007.3!         *     +                      !!       . 0    .      .       !
 2007.4!              +    *                  !!       .      .   0  .       !
 2008.1!                   +          *       !!       .      .      . 0     !
 2008.2!          *              +            !! 0     .      .      .       !
 2008.3!               +                 *    !!       .      .      .       0
 2008.4!                     *    +           !!       .  0   .      .       !
 2009.1!                    +    *            !!       .      .   0  .       !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!       .      . 0    .       !
 2009.3!                     +         *      !!       .      .      .0      !
 2009.4!                         +  *         !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2010.1!                        +       *     !!       .      .      0       !
 2010.2!                          +  *        !!       .      .  0   .       !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!       .     0.      .       !
 2010.4!                     +         *      !!       .      .      .0      !
 2011.1!                   *     +            !!       .0     .      .       !
 2011.2!                   +                * !!       .      .      .      0!
 2011.3!                            +*        !!       .      .0     .       !
 2011.4!        *                +            !!0      .      .      .       !
 2012.1!      *       +                       !!       0      .      .       !
 2012.2!      *      +                        !!       . 0    .      .       !
 2012.3!       *     +                        !!       . 0    .      .       !
 2012.4!    *         +                       !!      0.      .      .       !


     32.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.81 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDUS=IDPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDUS=LOG(AAIDUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDUS=LOG(AIDUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDUS=EXP(LAAIDUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   28 LAAIDUS C LAIDUS(-1) PIDUS;                                         
EQUATION 328  LAAIDUS  
   RHS     C  LAIDUS(-1)  PIDUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  328 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  328
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.999594463

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.306535317       0.131904330  -2.32392     1.000000
11393 LAIDUS  ( -1)       0.918256370       0.028057637  32.72750    -5.001525
11391 PIDUS   (  0)      -0.077194647       0.038489688  -2.00559     1.300313

SE of equation            =     0.134882778
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.36577228       0.713917814E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.095700909
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.9917709    
R squared                 =   0.87336
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21211
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!     *      +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!*       +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.2! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.4!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!         *      +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!+       *                             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!*        +                            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.1! +         *                          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1980.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!     *       +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!    *     +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!      *         +                     !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!                              *     + !!     0    .   .   .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAUS=MAPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAUS=LOG(AAMAUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAUS=LOG(AMAUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAUS=EXP(LAAMAUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   29 LAAMAUS C LAMAUS(-1) PMAUS;                                         
EQUATION 329  LAAMAUS  
   RHS     C  LAMAUS(-1)  PMAUS  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  329 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  329
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAUS 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.642047757

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.173128137       0.072008580  -2.40427     1.000000
11396 LAMAUS  ( -1)       0.940778491       0.020695634  45.45782    -4.647710
11394 PMAUS   (  0)      -0.074087293       0.031794267  -2.33021     1.301895

SE of equation            =     0.112467368
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.26415467       0.299755776E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.087019259
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.8375051    
R squared                 =   0.96433
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12619
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!           *   +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!        *  +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!    * +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4*  +                                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1+     *                                !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.2!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.4!   *   +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.3!           *  +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!          *+                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!        + *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!          + *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!         *  +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.4!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!           *    +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      *    +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!          +*                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!            *   +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.4!           *+                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!      *    +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!      *   +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .         0
 1986.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                         *  +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                              * +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                                  *  +!!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                                +    *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1995.3!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                                     +*!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                                  *  +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                              *   +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                           * +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !


     32.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAUS=PAPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAUS=LOG(AAPAUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAUS=LOG(APAUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAUS=EXP(LAAPAUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   30 LAAPAUS C LAPAUS(-1) PPAUS;                                         
EQUATION 330  LAAPAUS  
   RHS     C  LAPAUS(-1)  PPAUS  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  330 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  330
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAUS 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.815498690

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.196687832       0.228307380  -5.24156     1.000000
11399 LAPAUS  ( -1)       0.713401918       0.049555548  14.39601    -6.822318
11397 PPAUS   (  0)      -0.538598220       0.104966162  -5.13116     1.395764

SE of equation            =     0.214826018
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.33788469       0.444329018E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.165947229
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8834511    
R squared                 =   0.88880
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63652
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!    *         +                       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3*        +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.4+           *                          !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!     *     +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!   *     +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1! *     +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!            *    +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!           *       +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!                      *     +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                              *    +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !


     32.10 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHUS=PHPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHUS=LOG(AAPHUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHUS=LOG(APHUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHUS=EXP(LAAPHUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   31 LAAPHUS C LAPHUS(-1) PPHUS;                                         
EQUATION 331  LAAPHUS  
   RHS     C  LAPHUS(-1)  PPHUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  331 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  331
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.959225274

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.274964547       0.153145182  -1.79545     1.000000
11402 LAPHUS  ( -1)       0.936448585       0.030040587  31.17278    -4.951255
11400 PPHUS   (  0)      -0.038705282       0.043005609  -0.90001     1.231486

SE of equation            =     0.136876438
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.46600445      -0.550128831E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.091002475
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.1084653    
R squared                 =   0.84229
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29997
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                        *      +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                     +             *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!                           *         +!!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!                          *    +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                   *     +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.3!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1975.4!                     *       +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHUS=THPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHUS=LOG(AATHUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHUS=LOG(ATHUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHUS=EXP(LAATHUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   32 LAATHUS C LATHUS(-1) PTHUS;                                         
EQUATION 332  LAATHUS  
   RHS     C  LATHUS(-1)  PTHUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  332 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  332
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.126290489

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.096124668       0.063292946  -1.51873     1.000000
11405 LATHUS  ( -1)       0.966195138       0.018248005  52.94799    -5.137193
11403 PTHUS   (  0)      -0.052689922       0.062536823  -0.84254     1.264657

SE of equation            =     0.127711115
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.01737386      -0.293276514E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.084357238
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.8591607    
R squared                 =   0.97260
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56184
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!         *  +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!      *    +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!    *     +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.4! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!     *    +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!          *     +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!            *      +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                            +         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHUS=CHPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHUS=LOG(AACHUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHUS=LOG(ACHUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHUS=EXP(LAACHUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   33 LAACHUS C LACHUS(-1) PCHUS;                                         
EQUATION 333  LAACHUS  
   RHS     C  LACHUS(-1)  PCHUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  333 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  333
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.444837432

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.229239327       0.321849064   0.71226     1.000000
11408 LACHUS  ( -1)       0.973405697       0.024129031  40.34168    -3.472019
11406 PCHUS   (  0)      -0.251626759       0.326782861  -0.77001     1.169962

SE of equation            =     0.199169159
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.87920753       0.506616971E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155894272
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.6426783    
R squared                 =   0.97199
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.90759
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!  *  +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.3!  *   +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1*    +                                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.2+   *                                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.3!  *  +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!* +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!*    +                                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.2! +*                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!   *  +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!   * +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!   * +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!  *   +                               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.2!   + *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!     + *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!        + *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!     *     +                          !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.2!      + *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!       *    +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1992.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!              *     +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1994.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                 *   +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                *   +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                + *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                 *    +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                  *  +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                     +*!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                     *+!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                                      +!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                                    * +!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                      +!         .    0    .         !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    34 LAAARUS C LAARUS(-1) PARUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   34 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRUS=BRPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRUS=LOG(AABRUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRUS=LOG(ABRUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRUS=EXP(LAABRUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   35 LAABRUS C LABRUS(-1) PBRUS;                                         
EQUATION 334  LAABRUS  
   RHS     C  LABRUS(-1)  PBRUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  334 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  334
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.106917691

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.369796943       0.156366604  -2.36494     1.000000
11411 LABRUS  ( -1)       0.819043585       0.042344967  19.34217    -4.104234
11409 PBRUS   (  0)      -0.372124768       0.088289313  -4.21483     1.009269

SE of equation            =     0.126359574
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.96390925      -0.297171177E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.096414675
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.1482491    
R squared                 =   0.82507
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29386
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.4!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1982.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.1!                             *    +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                  *            +      !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                  *     +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!          *       +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.3!                +           *         !!         .    .    .         0
 2002.4!                   *       +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!              +         *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2004.4!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!           +        *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2006.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!*   +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2+      *                               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEUS=CEPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEUS=LOG(AACEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEUS=LOG(ACEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEUS=EXP(LAACEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   36 LAACEUS C LACEUS(-1) PCEUS;                                         
EQUATION 335  LAACEUS  
   RHS     C  LACEUS(-1)  PCEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  335 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  335
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.797456912

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.007021302       0.272692746  -3.69288     1.000000
11414 LACEUS  ( -1)       0.780563974       0.043975813  17.74985    -5.795437
11412 PCEUS   (  0)      -0.214455029       0.126575466  -1.69429     1.243739

SE of equation            =     0.246640036
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.2537919       0.724664773E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.194315958
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.5314001    
R squared                 =   0.64950
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05502
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!                     +                *!           .  .  .           0
 1966.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!      *      +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.3!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1*       +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!         *       +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                   +        *         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.2!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!              +       *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.2!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1988.2!                 *       +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!           *        +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!             *       +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2009.2!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEUS=MEPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEUS=LOG(AAMEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEUS=LOG(AMEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEUS=EXP(LAAMEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   37 LAAMEUS C LAMEUS(-1) PMEUS;                                         
EQUATION 336  LAAMEUS  
   RHS     C  LAMEUS(-1)  PMEUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  336 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  336
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.973654405

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.128239854       0.092080259   1.39270     1.000000
11417 LAMEUS  ( -1)       0.963355067       0.019589398  49.17737    -2.983194
11415 PMEUS   (  0)      -0.183333227       0.106115446  -1.72768     1.243739

SE of equation            =     0.124714282
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.87742564      -0.159849911E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.080376812
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.1108407    
R squared                 =   0.97533
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53787
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!    *  +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!    * +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!   *   +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!   *    +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.3!    *    +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3*     +                                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.4+    *                                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .          0
 1980.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!              *    +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1982.1!                *    +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!            *    +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!          * +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEUS=PEPX$Q/USPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEUS=LOG(AAPEUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEUS=LOG(APEUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEUS=EXP(LAAPEUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   38 LAAPEUS C LAPEUS(-1) PPEUS;                                         
EQUATION 337  LAAPEUS  
   RHS     C  LAPEUS(-1)  PPEUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  337 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  337
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.834348049

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.295818992       0.313339013  -4.13552     1.000000
11420 LAPEUS  ( -1)       0.753307512       0.055399357  13.59777    -5.828954
11418 PPEUS   (  0)      -0.164143318       0.065679538  -2.49915     0.898815

SE of equation            =     0.248481970
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.59442463      -0.261888289E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.172408132
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.7234246    
R squared                 =   0.64633
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34150
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!    *           +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!         +         *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1992.1!     +            *                   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUUS=TUPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUUS=LOG(AATUUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUUS=LOG(ATUUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUUS=EXP(LAATUUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   39 LAATUUS C LATUUS(-1) PTUUS;                                         
EQUATION 338  LAATUUS  
   RHS     C  LATUUS(-1)  PTUUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  338 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  338
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.354167156

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.719858418       0.348103500  -4.94065     1.000000
11423 LATUUS  ( -1)       0.602020599       0.057732737  10.42772    -6.354402
11421 PTUUS   (  0)      -0.650319208       0.200473950  -3.24391     1.243739

SE of equation            =     0.362059975
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.2511737      -0.272883938E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.245799641
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.2103326    
R squared                 =   0.49105
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38486
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                         *   +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                     +                *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.4!          *                    +      !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!             *               +        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                   *         +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!               *                +     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4*                   +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!       *               +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                 *         +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     17.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDUS=PDPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDUS=LOG(AAPDUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDUS=LOG(APDUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDUS=EXP(LAAPDUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   40 LAAPDUS C LAPDUS(-1) PPDUS;                                         
EQUATION 339  LAAPDUS  
   RHS     C  LAPDUS(-1)  PPDUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  339 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  339
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.996866534

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.828416254       0.284494838  -2.91189     1.000000
11426 LAPDUS  ( -1)       0.790063399       0.050019291  15.79517    -6.996658
11424 PPDUS   (  0)      -0.547579124       0.173553832  -3.15510     1.169962

SE of equation            =     0.137076980
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.31118211      -0.407673895E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.092476278
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.6520110    
R squared                 =   0.79652
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23899
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!   *          +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.2!   +                    *             !!           .  .  .           0
 1982.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1! *        +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.2*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.3!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                        *          +  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2010.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                         *      +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ   41 LAARUUS C LARUUS(-1) PRUUS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   41 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   42 LAAUEUS C LAUEUS(-1) PUEUS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   42 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGUS=EGPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGUS=LOG(AAEGUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGUS=LOG(AEGUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGUS=EXP(LAAEGUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   43 LAAEGUS C LAEGUS(-1) PEGUS;                                         
EQUATION 340  LAAEGUS  
   RHS     C  LAEGUS(-1)  PEGUS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  340 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  340
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGUS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.632423222

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.161635777       0.599945971  -1.93623     1.000000
11429 LAEGUS  ( -1)       0.616874966       0.068078515   9.06123    -7.635079
11427 PEGUS   (  0)      -1.505089690       0.492149160  -3.05820     1.169962

SE of equation            =     0.437293587
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.5207588       0.805577827E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.308408893
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.8595205    
R squared                 =   0.52609
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26293
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!            *             +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.2!                   *           +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                   +            *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.4!                *         +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.3! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!      *              +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.3!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !


     19.05 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISUS=ISPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISUS=LOG(AAISUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISUS=LOG(AISUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISUS=EXP(LAAISUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   44 LAAISUS C LAISUS(-1) PISUS;                                         
EQUATION 341  LAAISUS  
   RHS     C  LAISUS(-1)  PISUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  341 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  341
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.981681655

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.172290315       0.111706890  -1.54234     1.000000
11432 LAISUS  ( -1)       0.950318647       0.018964499  50.11040    -4.987013
11430 PISUS   (  0)      -0.063926838       0.071285625  -0.89677     1.097188

SE of equation            =     0.095050897
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.67141452      -0.101476161E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.069879934
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.1374276    
R squared                 =   0.93382
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.79418
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4! *          +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!          *     +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!              *     +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.1!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                              *    +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    45 LAAKEUS C LAKEUS(-1) PKEUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   45 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAUS=BAPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAUS=LOG(AABAUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAUS=LOG(ABAUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAUS=EXP(LAABAUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   46 LAABAUS C LABAUS(-1) PBAUS;                                         
EQUATION 342  LAABAUS  
   RHS     C  LABAUS(-1)  PBAUS  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  342 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  342
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAUS 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.169330146

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.587149561       0.159115828  -3.69008     1.000000
11435 LABAUS  ( -1)       0.878996544       0.029065209  30.24222    -7.177661
11433 PBAUS   (  0)      -0.178318473       0.042672514  -4.17877     1.531200

SE of equation            =     0.146794237
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.42621915       0.964295310E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.106460396
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.2465841    
R squared                 =   0.95831
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27269
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!             *   +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!         *  +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!        +  *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!     *  +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!      *+                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2! *     +                              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1980.3*  +                                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4! +        *                           !!           .  .  .           0
 1981.1!       *   +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!       *  +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!     *   +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.2!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.1!           *  +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.2!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!           *    +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!       *    +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!     *  +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1987.2!                      *  +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                        * +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                     *  +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                             * +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.1!                              *  +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                               *  +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               *  +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !


     25.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKUS=HKPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKUS=LOG(AAHKUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKUS=LOG(AHKUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKUS=EXP(LAAHKUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   47 LAAHKUS C LAHKUS(-1) PHKUS;                                         
EQUATION 343  LAAHKUS  
   RHS     C  LAHKUS(-1)  PHKUS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  343 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  343
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKUS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.821106242

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.234595107       0.058840035  -3.98700     1.000000
11438 LAHKUS  ( -1)       0.904185932       0.022709254  39.81575    -3.827384
11436 PHKUS   (  0)      -0.075507292       0.020579861  -3.66899     1.666650

SE of equation            =     0.080691689
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.20456252      -0.325965921E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.058350768
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.9699444    
R squared                 =   0.97964
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13746
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*   +                                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!    +*                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!   *   +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.2!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!  +   *                               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!*  +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!  +        *                          !!           .  .  .           0
 1975.2!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                * +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!                         * +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                        + *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                           +*         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                        *  +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.1!                                 *+   !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                           *  +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                           * +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!                         * +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIUS=SIPX$/USPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIUS=LOG(AASIUS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIUS=LOG(ASIUS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIUS=EXP(LAASIUS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   48 LAASIUS C LASIUS(-1) PSIUS;                                         
EQUATION 344  LAASIUS  
   RHS     C  LASIUS(-1)  PSIUS  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  344 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  344
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIUS 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.555468210

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.177916209       0.061483319  -2.89373     1.000000
11441 LASIUS  ( -1)       0.947897211       0.019342984  49.00470    -4.566736
11439 PSIUS   (  0)      -0.030028972       0.029125839  -1.03101     1.623633

SE of equation            =     0.110472687
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.13573756       0.568523006E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.085850088
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.2813158    
R squared                 =   0.97078
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47359
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3+*                                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!    +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!     * +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!             *   +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!                *    +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.3!               * +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!               * +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                *+                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                     +                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                *    +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                 *  +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.3!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                        *+            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                        +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.3!                           +          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                           *+         !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                              + *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                               *  +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                               *  +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                               + *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                                  +   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                                   +  *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                                    * +!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                                    + !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.3!                                   + *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!                               +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                               +      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                            +         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                            * +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                            *  +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                           * +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                          * +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !


     25.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    49 LAAVIUS C LAVIUS(-1) PVIUS;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   49 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   50 LAANIUS C LANIUS(-1) PNIUS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   50 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   51 LAAALUS C LAALUS(-1) PALUS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   51 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   52 LAAIAUS C LAIAUS(-1) PIAUS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   52 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   53 LAAINUS C LAINUS(-1) PINUS;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST   53 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   54 LAAIQUS C LAIQUS(-1) PIQUS;SMPL 1997.4 2012.4;OLS;EST   54 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   55 LAAKUUS C LAKUUS(-1) PKUUS;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST   55 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   56 LAALIUS C LALIUS(-1) PLIUS;SMPL 2005.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   56 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   57 LAAUAUS C LAUAUS(-1) PUAUS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   57 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSCA=USPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSCA=LOG(AAUSCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSCA=LOG(AUSCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSCA=EXP(LAAUSCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   58 LAAUSCA C LAUSCA(-1) PUSCA;                                         
EQUATION 345  LAAUSCA  
   RHS     C  LAUSCA(-1)  PUSCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  345 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  345
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.370191761

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.018784834       0.022777891   0.82470     1.000000
11444 LAUSCA  ( -1)       0.905145836       0.035592445  25.43084    -0.371111
11442 PUSCA   (  0)      -0.048674196       0.030215949  -1.61088     1.090252

SE of equation            =     0.019426249
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.698151415E-01  -0.285946267E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.014037409
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.63903286    
R squared                 =   0.93477
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27566
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4! +    *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4*     +                                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.1!+   *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!  *    +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!    +   *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!       *      +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +             *                 !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!               *    +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.1!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJACA=JAPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJACA=LOG(AAJACA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJACA=LOG(AJACA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJACA=EXP(LAAJACA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   59 LAAJACA C LAJACA(-1) PJACA;                                         
EQUATION 346  LAAJACA  
   RHS     C  LAJACA(-1)  PJACA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  346 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  346
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJACA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.369473002

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.113937682       0.070428253  -1.61778     1.000000
11447 LAJACA  ( -1)       0.958293900       0.021502927  44.56574    -3.368117
11445 PJACA   (  0)      -0.021931819       0.028738375  -0.76315     1.271620

SE of equation            =     0.099002983
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.81329428       0.220019558E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.070244342
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.2059363    
R squared                 =   0.92343
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.79448
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*               +                      !0            . . .            !
 1966.2*+                                     !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3+                                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!+*                                    !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!*+                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1967.2!+                                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3! +                                    !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2! + *                                  !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!     +  *                             !!            . . .0           !
 1969.2!        +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!          +  *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1970.2!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1970.3!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1970.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!                 +   *                !!            . . .0           !
 1971.3!                    +    *            !!            . . . 0          !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1972.2!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1972.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1973.2!             *   +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!           +   *                      !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.2!               +  *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1974.3!                  +  *                !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1975.1!                *     +               !!         0  . . .            !
 1975.2!           *    +                     !!         0  . . .            !
 1975.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!           +     *                    !!            . . .   0        !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1976.2!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!                   +  *               !!            . . .0           !
 1977.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1978.2!                   *  +               !!           0. . .            !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!               *   +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                   +    *             !!            . . .  0         !
 1980.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                        +   *         !!            . . . 0          !
 1981.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                              +      *!!            . . .    0       !
 1983.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                               +     *!!            . . .   0        !
 1984.3!                                    + !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!                                 +   *!!            . . .0           !
 1985.4!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                                    *+!!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!                                   +  *!            . . .0           !
 1986.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                               *   +  !!          0 . . .            !
 1987.2!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                            +  *      !!            . . .0           !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!            . . .0           !
 1988.2!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!                           *  +       !!           0. . .            !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                        *  +          !!           0. . .            !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                    *   +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!               *   +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1995.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1995.4!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1996.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!          + *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!            +*                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!             +  *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1999.1!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!               +                      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!              *+                      !!            0 . .            !
 2000.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 2001.2!            +                         !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!            +    *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!           0. . .            !
 2003.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!              +                       !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                 +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2008.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2008.3!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!          *      +                    !!        0   . . .            !
 2009.2!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!             *+                       !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 2011.2!     *    +                           !!         0  . . .            !
 2011.3!      +  *                            !!            . . .0           !
 2011.4!          + *                         !!            . . 0            !
 2012.1!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!         *  +                         !!           0. . .            !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUCA=AUPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUCA=LOG(AAAUCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUCA=LOG(AAUCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUCA=EXP(LAAAUCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   60 LAAAUCA C LAAUCA(-1) PAUCA;                                         
EQUATION 347  LAAAUCA  
   RHS     C  LAAUCA(-1)  PAUCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  347 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  347
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.980974612

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.978781226       0.254632770  -3.84389     1.000000
11450 LAAUCA  ( -1)       0.811547629       0.041149989  19.72170    -5.982356
11448 PAUCA   (  0)      -0.155364307       0.091122871  -1.70500     0.947624

SE of equation            =     0.137892816
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.51766933      -0.422319957E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.105116048
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.7618171    
R squared                 =   0.68351
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51574
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*    +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4! *          +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!               +         *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1968.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                         +            *!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.1!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!             *           +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1974.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!        *       +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.2!         +      *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!     *        +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!     *        +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1980.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                     *       +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!         *       +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2*             +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 1994.3!  +          *                        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!               +         *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1996.3!           *           +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1996.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!     *        +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRCA=FRPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRCA=LOG(AAFRCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRCA=LOG(AFRCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRCA=EXP(LAAFRCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   61 LAAFRCA C LAFRCA(-1) PFRCA;                                         
EQUATION 348  LAAFRCA  
   RHS     C  LAFRCA(-1)  PFRCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  348 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  348
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.389593514

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.844230523       0.180652819  -4.67322     1.000000
11453 LAFRCA  ( -1)       0.761747936       0.046843682  16.26149    -4.390440
11451 PFRCA   (  0)      -0.179514465       0.069888084  -2.56860     1.119431

SE of equation            =     0.146025608
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.94484344       0.142841294E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.107152722
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1447118    
R squared                 =   0.69069
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37255
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2*     +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 1984.1!                        *         +   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                    *    +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                *       +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                     +          *     !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1988.2!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                 *      +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1997.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.3!            *        +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1997.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!               +       *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2003.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGECA=GEPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGECA=LOG(AAGECA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGECA=LOG(AGECA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGECA=EXP(LAAGECA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   62 LAAGECA C LAGECA(-1) PGECA;                                         
EQUATION 349  LAAGECA  
   RHS     C  LAGECA(-1)  PGECA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  349 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  349
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGECA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.658214655

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.285999056       0.106911586  -2.67510     1.000000
11456 LAGECA  ( -1)       0.838026082       0.033626488  24.92161    -3.656005
11454 PGECA   (  0)      -0.326400165       0.074108547  -4.40435     0.944815

SE of equation            =     0.095295387
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.68002401      -0.176187953E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071389202
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.4211700    
R squared                 =   0.84426
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60949
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +           *              !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.1!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.2!                 *      +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!             *      +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                          *      +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!   *      +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!         *      +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2002.1!                    *       +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!*          +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2010.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITCA=ITPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITCA=LOG(AAITCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITCA=LOG(AITCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITCA=EXP(LAAITCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   63 LAAITCA C LAITCA(-1) PITCA;                                         
EQUATION 350  LAAITCA  
   RHS     C  LAITCA(-1)  PITCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  350 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  350
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.274322846

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.695499243       0.119207770  -5.83434     1.000000
11459 LAITCA  ( -1)       0.746144671       0.038152415  19.55694    -4.274122
11457 PITCA   (  0)      -0.470481147       0.073908933  -6.36569     0.828322

SE of equation            =     0.085979984
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.36762316      -0.580411275E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.066667771
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5335409    
R squared                 =   0.90747
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32144
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.3!                         *    +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1995.3!                   *         +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!            *    +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.3!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1*+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNECA=NEPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANECA=LOG(AANECA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANECA=LOG(ANECA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANECA=EXP(LAANECA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   64 LAANECA C LANECA(-1) PNECA;                                         
EQUATION 351  LAANECA  
   RHS     C  LANECA(-1)  PNECA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  351 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  351
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANECA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.377034309

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.934649069       0.225760343  -4.14001     1.000000
11462 LANECA  ( -1)       0.790172887       0.043379328  18.21542    -5.376558
11460 PNECA   (  0)      -0.181278212       0.083335379  -2.17529     1.070039

SE of equation            =     0.128048787
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.03335099      -0.116138210E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.099403722
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.6878997    
R squared                 =   0.67706
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42651
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                *      +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!                   *       +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                *        +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!        +        *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3! +            *                       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1980.4!    *         +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.1!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.1!                    *             +   !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                          +          *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1989.2!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!       *       +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!     *         +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!        +      *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!   *       +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2007.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                *       +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTCA=STPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTCA=LOG(AASTCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTCA=LOG(ASTCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTCA=EXP(LAASTCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   65 LAASTCA C LASTCA(-1) PSTCA;                                         
EQUATION 352  LAASTCA  
   RHS     C  LASTCA(-1)  PSTCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  352 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  352
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.090560477

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.632661295       0.170609307  -3.70825     1.000000
11465 LASTCA  ( -1)       0.859075729       0.037162328  23.11684    -5.088675
11463 PSTCA   (  0)      -0.101702739       0.066078379  -1.53912     0.848968

SE of equation            =     0.144096361
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.84129583       0.496109820E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.112209514
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.0953887    
R squared                 =   0.79762
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44043
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               *  +   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1966.2!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.4!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.1!                                 +    *!        .     .     .0       !
 1967.2!                                   *+ !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.3!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.1!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.2!                             + *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.2!                               +   *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.3!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.4!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.1!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.2!                                +     *!        .     .     . 0      !
 1970.3!                                *   + !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.4!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.1!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1971.2!                            *   +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.1!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.2!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.3!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1972.4!                         *   +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1973.2!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.1!                       +  *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.2!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.3!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.1!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.3!                         +        *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1975.4!                        *       +     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                     *  +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.2!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.3!              *         +             !0        .     .     .        !
 1976.4!               +      *               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1977.3!                        +         *   !!        .     .     .       0!
 1977.4!                       *        +     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1978.1!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.2!                     +    *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1978.3!                 *       +            !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1978.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1979.2!                *      +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!               +          *           !!        .     .     .        0
 1980.1!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.4!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1981.1!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4!                        +        *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1982.1!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.2!                        *    +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.4!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1983.1!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.2!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.3!                             *+       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.4!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.2!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.3!                    *   +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.4!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.1!                       +   *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.3!                            *+        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.4!                           +   *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.1!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.4!                     *         +      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1987.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.2!                     *  +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.3!                     * +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.1!             *         +              !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1989.2!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.3!                  +      *            !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.4!               *         +            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.3!          *       +                   !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1990.4!           + *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.1!              +  *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.2!             *    +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.3!       *      +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!          +   *                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.3!      *     +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.4!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.2!      *  +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.3!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.4!   *   +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.1!    *+                                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.2!     +     *                          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.1!          +     *                     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.2!           *    +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1996.3!    *       +                         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1996.4!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.1!  *   +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.2!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.3!    *+                                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.2!    *    +                            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.3!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!   *  +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1*     +                                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1999.2!  +                                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!     + *                              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.1!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.3!          +*                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!       *     +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2001.1!         + *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.2!             +*                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.4!            *+                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!             +    *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.1!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.2!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.4!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2005.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.2!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.4!                   +      *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2007.1!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!                *    +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2008.2!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.3!             +       *                !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2008.4!                 *  +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.1!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.3!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4!                   *  +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.2!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.4!                   +    *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 2012.1!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.3!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.4!                     +   *            !!        .     .     0        !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKCA=UKPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKCA=LOG(AAUKCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKCA=LOG(AUKCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKCA=EXP(LAAUKCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   66 LAAUKCA C LAUKCA(-1) PUKCA;                                         
EQUATION 353  LAAUKCA  
   RHS     C  LAUKCA(-1)  PUKCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  353 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  353
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.448503738

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.054277251       0.096146620   0.56453     1.000000
11468 LAUKCA  ( -1)       0.950972298       0.020157916  47.17612    -3.438271
11466 PUKCA   (  0)      -0.251883514       0.118793783  -2.12034     0.925349

SE of equation            =     0.117482037
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.55337537       0.578781467E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.090202119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.9579984    
R squared                 =   0.94429
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50582
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                              *   +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                             *  +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                      *  +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                   *   +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!               *    +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!            +*                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.4!         *   +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!        *   +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2003.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.4!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!       +                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!    *      +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2010.3!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.4*       +                              !0          .   .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFICA=FIPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFICA=LOG(AAFICA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFICA=LOG(AFICA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFICA=EXP(LAAFICA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   67 LAAFICA C LAFICA(-1) PFICA;                                         
EQUATION 354  LAAFICA  
   RHS     C  LAFICA(-1)  PFICA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  354 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  354
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFICA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.337602962

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.950196872       0.323493475  -2.93730     1.000000
11471 LAFICA  ( -1)       0.798942404       0.040750661  19.60563    -6.348745
11469 PFICA   (  0)      -0.356448235       0.234023784  -1.52313     0.884068

SE of equation            =     0.309110098
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.6765748      -0.534834399E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.231101964
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.4471691    
R squared                 =   0.67876
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50714
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!  *       +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.3!*      +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1967.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!       *        +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                     +                *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.1!                             *      + !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!                   *     +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!                    *        +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                 *       +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!              *        +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                   *     +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                       *       +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.4!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.1!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                         *       +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASCA=ASPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASCA=LOG(AAASCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASCA=LOG(AASCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASCA=EXP(LAAASCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   68 LAAASCA C LAASCA(-1) PASCA;                                         
EQUATION 355  LAAASCA  
   RHS     C  LAASCA(-1)  PASCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  355 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  355
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.132545689

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.738072050       0.195001715  -3.78495     1.000000
11474 LAASCA  ( -1)       0.835338632       0.041409565  20.17260    -5.131293
11472 PASCA   (  0)      -0.104231099       0.065678607  -1.58699     1.037180

SE of equation            =     0.213627729
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.44280918      -0.207842632E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.168771360
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.7290156    
R squared                 =   0.74002
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66006
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                         +          * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                             *     +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                     +                *!          .   .   .          0
 1974.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                             *    +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                    *       +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                *          +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                    *        +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                        *     +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4! +     *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ   69 LAASOCA C LASOCA(-1) PSOCA;SMPL 1999.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   69 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOCA=KOPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOCA=LOG(AAKOCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOCA=LOG(AKOCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOCA=EXP(LAAKOCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   70 LAAKOCA C LAKOCA(-1) PKOCA;                                         
EQUATION 356  LAAKOCA  
   RHS     C  LAKOCA(-1)  PKOCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  356 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  356
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.180488898

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.385334857       0.095148812  -4.04981     1.000000
11477 LAKOCA  ( -1)       0.854086730       0.032538480  26.24851    -5.203131
11475 PKOCA   (  0)      -0.232358288       0.069835213  -3.32724     1.511585

SE of equation            =     0.237265935
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.4145980      -0.361755070E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.165364276
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.0884838    
R squared                 =   0.94943
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43070
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!* +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!  *   +                               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.1!*   +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.2!* +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!  +        *                          !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1967.4!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2*         +                            !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.3! +  *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1969.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!            +*                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!            *   +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.4!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.2!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                            +*        !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                         *  +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!                               * +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.3!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                             *   +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.3!                                 *  + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBECA=BEPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABECA=LOG(AABECA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABECA=LOG(ABECA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABECA=EXP(LAABECA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   71 LAABECA C LABECA(-1) PBECA;                                         
EQUATION 357  LAABECA  
   RHS     C  LABECA(-1)  PBECA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  357 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  357
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABECA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.230066778

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.450924429       0.188220746  -2.39572     1.000000
11480 LABECA  ( -1)       0.888955793       0.033129168  26.83302    -5.228847
11478 PBECA   (  0)      -0.143844542       0.080037442  -1.79722     0.910206

SE of equation            =     0.137673505
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.50648891      -0.797850674E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.110879562
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.8453577    
R squared                 =   0.79630
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65878
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!               *        +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.4!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!               +       *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                *      +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!          *     +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.4!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!         *      +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                   *       +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                                *    +!!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!                *        +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!     *        +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4! *   +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2! +     *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4! *     +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.1!   +        *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1997.2!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.3!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1998.4!        *          +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1999.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2002.2!                               +      *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.3!                              *     + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                              *    +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                           +         *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                *        +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.3!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDECA=DEPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADECA=LOG(AADECA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADECA=LOG(ADECA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADECA=EXP(LAADECA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   72 LAADECA C LADECA(-1) PDECA;                                         
EQUATION 358  LAADECA  
   RHS     C  LADECA(-1)  PDECA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  358 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  358
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADECA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.086914186

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.491023600       0.318365752  -4.68337     1.000000
11483 LADECA  ( -1)       0.745211333       0.049064640  15.18836    -6.086165
11481 PDECA   (  0)      -0.063878823       0.130135480  -0.49086     0.945720

SE of equation            =     0.191933860
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.81514221      -0.151930024E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.131872141
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.7919626    
R squared                 =   0.55635
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51328
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!    *        +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4! *       +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4*       +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.1!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!     *        +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.4!             *        +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2003.1!              +        *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!              +        *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!             +                      * !!           .  .  .           0
 2006.3!                  *            +      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2006.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                 +            *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!               +                      *!           .  .  .          0!
 2010.1!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                        +        *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.3!                     *       +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.1!             +             *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2011.2!              *         +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.3!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOCA=NOPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOCA=LOG(AANOCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOCA=LOG(ANOCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOCA=EXP(LAANOCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   73 LAANOCA C LANOCA(-1) PNOCA;                                         
EQUATION 359  LAANOCA  
   RHS     C  LANOCA(-1)  PNOCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  359 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  359
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.318958851

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.279146753       0.183727087  -1.51936     1.000000
11486 LANOCA  ( -1)       0.902488355       0.031164050  28.95928    -5.314581
11484 PNOCA   (  0)      -0.304450800       0.129954400  -2.34275     0.799685

SE of equation            =     0.414136403
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.7291577      -0.424105195E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.296803223
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.7990060    
R squared                 =   0.82744
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.08662
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.2!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!       +  *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!           +         *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.2!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.3!             +                 *      !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1983.4!       *                      +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.1!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.2!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                *    +!!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4*   +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWCA=SWPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWCA=LOG(AASWCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWCA=LOG(ASWCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWCA=EXP(LAASWCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   74 LAASWCA C LASWCA(-1) PSWCA;                                         
EQUATION 360  LAASWCA  
   RHS     C  LASWCA(-1)  PSWCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  360 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  360
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.177691612

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.701430640       0.228363472  -3.07155     1.000000
11489 LASWCA  ( -1)       0.854346758       0.040023855  21.34594    -5.174291
11487 PSWCA   (  0)      -0.052502233       0.087291314  -0.60146     1.059423

SE of equation            =     0.156544899
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.53366650       0.495825603E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.122878147
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.1010915    
R squared                 =   0.71127
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74390
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.2!                      *     +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                 *        +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.3!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                +         *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                      *     +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.3!                  *          +        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!               *        +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.4!                +         *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!               *      +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4!                +        *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.1!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.1!                                  * + !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                   *      +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.2!             *      +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!            *        +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!      *        +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.4!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3! *     +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    75 LAAGRCA C LAGRCA(-1) PGRCA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   75 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRCA=IRPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRCA=LOG(AAIRCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRCA=LOG(AIRCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRCA=EXP(LAAIRCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   76 LAAIRCA C LAIRCA(-1) PIRCA;                                         
EQUATION 361  LAAIRCA  
   RHS     C  LAIRCA(-1)  PIRCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  361 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  361
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.450258932

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.135595293       0.242609580  -4.68075     1.000000
11492 LAIRCA  ( -1)       0.701430194       0.049487019  14.17402    -6.457174
11490 PIRCA   (  0)      -0.721883029       0.160014085  -4.51137     1.087998

SE of equation            =     0.207402865
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.95795047       0.351541019E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.158188789
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7394924    
R squared                 =   0.74705
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27667
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *          +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.2!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2*             +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!       *          +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1970.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!          *       +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               *       +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      *       +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    77 LAAPOCA C LAPOCA(-1) PPOCA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   77 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPCA=SPPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPCA=LOG(AASPCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPCA=LOG(ASPCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPCA=EXP(LAASPCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   78 LAASPCA C LASPCA(-1) PSPCA;                                         
EQUATION 362  LAASPCA  
   RHS     C  LASPCA(-1)  PSPCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  362 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  362
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.872022646

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.679928015       0.235203824  -7.14243     1.000000
11495 LASPCA  ( -1)       0.629188498       0.051048915  12.32521    -5.880860
11493 PSPCA   (  0)      -0.455844550       0.085708424  -5.31855     1.079151

SE of equation            =     0.162239272
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.86949255      -0.826219093E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.124049008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.3212135    
R squared                 =   0.79828
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45954
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!  *    +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.2!   *        +                         !0         .    .    .         !
 1967.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!          *    +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!           *     +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1969.3!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!            *    +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.2!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.3!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                     *   +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                        *     +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                         *   +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.2!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                               +      *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.3!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.2!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                      *    +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.4!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                    *      +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                      *   +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                        * +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                       *   +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                  *      +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2011.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZCA=NZPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZCA=LOG(AANZCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZCA=LOG(ANZCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZCA=EXP(LAANZCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   79 LAANZCA C LANZCA(-1) PNZCA;                                         
EQUATION 363  LAANZCA  
   RHS     C  LANZCA(-1)  PNZCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  363 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  363
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.422981945

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.504176469       0.326571020  -4.60597     1.000000
11498 LANZCA  ( -1)       0.755721978       0.048278880  15.65326    -6.420579
11496 PNZCA   (  0)      -0.069673527       0.126933447  -0.54890     0.956362

SE of equation            =     0.263381094
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.8333761      -0.586606319E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.206352834
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.7943328    
R squared                 =   0.57202
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35673
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!      *           +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!       *          +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1969.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.2!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ   80 LAASACA C LASACA(-1) PSACA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   80 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   81 LAAVECA C LAVECA(-1) PVECA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   81 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOCA=COPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOCA=LOG(AACOCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOCA=LOG(ACOCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOCA=EXP(LAACOCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   82 LAACOCA C LACOCA(-1) PCOCA;                                         
EQUATION 364  LAACOCA  
   RHS     C  LACOCA(-1)  PCOCA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  364 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  364
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOCA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.271667129

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.938144973       0.507425365  -5.79030     1.000000
11501 LACOCA  ( -1)       0.576146503       0.073183887   7.87259    -7.278680
11499 PCOCA   (  0)      -0.122189630       0.092714710  -1.31791     1.145237

SE of equation            =     0.247526797
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.53615039      -0.156009428E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.185363674
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.3558229    
R squared                 =   0.39319
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!           +            *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.1!       *             +                !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1983.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3*           +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.4!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!          *         +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!             *        +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1995.2!                      *     +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2005.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                      +               *!         .    .    .         0
 2012.1!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    83 LAAJOCA C LAJOCA(-1) PJOCA;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   83 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   84 LAASYCA C LASYCA(-1) PSYCA;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   84 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDCA=IDPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDCA=LOG(AAIDCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDCA=LOG(AIDCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDCA=EXP(LAAIDCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   85 LAAIDCA C LAIDCA(-1) PIDCA;                                         
EQUATION 365  LAAIDCA  
   RHS     C  LAIDCA(-1)  PIDCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  365 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  365
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.048337399

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.490976312       0.230467776  -2.13035     1.000000
11504 LAIDCA  ( -1)       0.918875495       0.030654865  29.97487    -6.047885
11502 PIDCA   (  0)      -0.000094350       0.076844290  -0.00123     1.142011

SE of equation            =     0.227902513
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.60881775       0.256763499E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.154963987
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.1332295    
R squared                 =   0.84505
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23230
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                +                *    !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.3!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1968.4!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.4!                 +           *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1970.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.1!                            *       + !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1971.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!                      *     +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!    *            +                    !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1973.2!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4! *     +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.1!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4! +   *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMACA=MAPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMACA=LOG(AAMACA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMACA=LOG(AMACA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMACA=EXP(LAAMACA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   86 LAAMACA C LAMACA(-1) PMACA;                                         
EQUATION 366  LAAMACA  
   RHS     C  LAMACA(-1)  PMACA  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  366 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  366
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMACA 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.176343052

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.031543524       0.180066142  -5.72869     1.000000
11507 LAMACA  ( -1)       0.765051363       0.036716961  20.83646    -6.179515
11505 PMACA   (  0)      -0.367025690       0.060167084  -6.10011     1.136578

SE of equation            =     0.150996304
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.08117918       0.134683376E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.115088422
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.9460928    
R squared                 =   0.90109
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27254
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1+*                                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3! *      +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.3!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                      *       +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !


     29.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPACA=PAPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPACA=LOG(AAPACA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPACA=LOG(APACA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPACA=EXP(LAAPACA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   87 LAAPACA C LAPACA(-1) PPACA;                                         
EQUATION 367  LAAPACA  
   RHS     C  LAPACA(-1)  PPACA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  367 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  367
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPACA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.593725715

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.375066906       0.293194763  -4.68994     1.000000
11510 LAPACA  ( -1)       0.717595025       0.054191149  13.24192    -7.599516
11508 PPACA   (  0)      -0.628805943       0.162449395  -3.87078     1.217043

SE of equation            =     0.281759226
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.6227335       0.380033782E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.187843542
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4306537    
R squared                 =   0.79764
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61666
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!             +        *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!          *         +                 !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!       *       +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4*         +                            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1978.1!   +          *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1978.2!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!  *      +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.1!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                *    +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                     +                *!           .  .  .           0
 1986.4!                    *            +    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !


     17.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHCA=PHPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHCA=LOG(AAPHCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHCA=LOG(APHCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHCA=EXP(LAAPHCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   88 LAAPHCA C LAPHCA(-1) PPHCA;                                         
EQUATION 368  LAAPHCA  
   RHS     C  LAPHCA(-1)  PPHCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  368 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  368
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.826048469

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.935410014       0.304429557  -6.35750     1.000000
11513 LAPHCA  ( -1)       0.679354246       0.049303721  13.77896    -6.837324
11511 PPHCA   (  0)      -0.226377262       0.115826704  -1.95445     1.085238

SE of equation            =     0.307340897
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.4748090      -0.408100220E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.195773363
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.8053923    
R squared                 =   0.59293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45538
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.1!        +               *             !!           .  .  .          0!
 1967.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                           +         *!!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                          *       +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                    *           +     !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!               *          +           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                 *      +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1999.2!                           *      +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !


     15.96 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHCA=THPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHCA=LOG(AATHCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHCA=LOG(ATHCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHCA=EXP(LAATHCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   89 LAATHCA C LATHCA(-1) PTHCA;                                         
EQUATION 369  LAATHCA  
   RHS     C  LATHCA(-1)  PTHCA  
 SMPL 1967.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    61 to   244
 OLS;EST  369 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  369
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHCA 

 1967.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  184 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.610041018

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.086752497       0.144782605   0.59919     1.000000
11516 LATHCA  ( -1)       0.913378799       0.023452086  38.94659    -6.624560
11514 PTHCA   (  0)      -0.586412139       0.173169386  -3.38635     1.101718

SE of equation            =     0.296520443
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9143115      -0.983302328E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177665907
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.6905268    
R squared                 =   0.94549
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27296
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.1   2012.4    184

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.1!          +       *                   !!            . . .  0         !
 1967.2!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1968.1!         *    +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1968.3!      * +                             !!            0 . .            !
 1968.4!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1969.2!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!+                                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!    +                   *             !!            . . .            0
 1971.2!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1971.4!                       *   +          !!           0. . .            !
 1972.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1972.2!                     *     +          !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!        *          +                  !!      0     . . .            !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!        +    *                        !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.4!    *      +                          !!         0  . . .            !
 1974.1!  + *                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!  +     *                             !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.3!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!    *    +                            !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!     +    *                           !!            . . . 0          !
 1975.4!     *     +                          !!         0  . . .            !
 1976.1!      +   *                           !!            . . .0           !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!          *   +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!          +    *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1978.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!               *     +                !!          0 . . .            !
 1980.2!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1988.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1991.4!                                    * +!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1999.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                                     *+!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !


     13.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.80 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHCA=CHPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHCA=LOG(AACHCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHCA=LOG(ACHCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHCA=EXP(LAACHCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   90 LAACHCA C LACHCA(-1) PCHCA;                                         
EQUATION 370  LAACHCA  
   RHS     C  LACHCA(-1)  PCHCA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  370 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  370
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHCA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.412593345

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.293173694       0.599440261   0.48908     1.000000
11519 LACHCA  ( -1)       0.988798564       0.016583740  59.62458    -4.435682
11517 PCHCA   (  0)      -0.307508422       0.605097863  -0.50820     1.039876

SE of equation            =     0.175312169
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.78032588      -0.159062541E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.136113016
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.1502400    
R squared                 =   0.97354
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71314
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!*   +                                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.4! +*                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3*     +                                !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.4+     *                                !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.1!  *  +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.2!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.3!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!        *+                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!      * +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!    * +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!     *+                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!     *  +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!         + *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!            *  +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!           *   +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!             *   +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2!             + *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!             + *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                +*                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                                    * +!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                                     +*!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                                     *+!         .  0 .    .         !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    91 LAAARCA C LAARCA(-1) PARCA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST   91 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRCA=BRPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRCA=LOG(AABRCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRCA=LOG(ABRCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRCA=EXP(LAABRCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   92 LAABRCA C LABRCA(-1) PBRCA;                                         
EQUATION 371  LAABRCA  
   RHS     C  LABRCA(-1)  PBRCA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  371 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  371
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRCA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.234400123

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.868105738       0.292155259  -2.97138     1.000000
11522 LABRCA  ( -1)       0.824472255       0.051945850  15.87176    -5.237610
11520 PBRCA   (  0)      -0.053134633       0.124156056  -0.42797     0.903928

SE of equation            =     0.226355820
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.30214577      -0.134745548E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.180137931
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.6973794    
R squared                 =   0.67257
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27222
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!               *                  +   !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                             *     +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!            +             *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2002.4!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!             *         +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .   0      !


     31.75 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCECA=CEPX$Q/CAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACECA=LOG(AACECA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACECA=LOG(ACECA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACECA=EXP(LAACECA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   93 LAACECA C LACECA(-1) PCECA;                                         
EQUATION 372  LAACECA  
   RHS     C  LACECA(-1)  PCECA  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  372 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  372
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACECA 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.222636533

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.936955661       0.770621988   1.21584     1.000000
11525 LACECA  ( -1)       0.633226503       0.058547578  10.81559    -7.245206
11523 PCECA   (  0)      -3.297591093       0.894016551  -3.68851     1.083135

SE of equation            =     0.760155896
Sum of squared residuals  =  103.432820       0.802646838E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.528749418
Sum of ABS residuals      =  96.2323941    
R squared                 =   0.63305
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37787
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!*  +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4*  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!   *          +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!        +               *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!           *         +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!    *            +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!  *                        +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          +                     *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1980.2!      *                      +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1980.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                     +         *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                   *       +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!       *              +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!         +                *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                  *       +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!         *                  +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    *     +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                 *     +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!              *         +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               *      +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!               *     +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                    *     +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  *      +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !


     19.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ   94 LAAMECA C LAMECA(-1) PMECA;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   94 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ    95 LAAPECA C LAPECA(-1) PPECA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   95 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUCA=TUPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUCA=LOG(AATUCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUCA=LOG(ATUCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUCA=EXP(LAATUCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ   96 LAATUCA C LATUCA(-1) PTUCA;                                         
EQUATION 373  LAATUCA  
   RHS     C  LATUCA(-1)  PTUCA  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST  373 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  373
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUCA 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.381008736

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.656386711       1.308105243   1.26625     1.000000
11528 LATUCA  ( -1)       0.790659073       0.058545936  13.50494    -7.401519
11526 PTUCA   (  0)      -3.058058740       1.497077531  -2.04269     1.041614

SE of equation            =     0.378570988
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.3444471       0.389321464E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.276221005
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1849516    
R squared                 =   0.76154
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44192
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!   *         +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.3*       +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.4!   +             *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.1!          *      +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!          +            *              !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.1!            *         +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                           *      +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !


     25.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.58 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ    97 LAAPDCA C LAPDCA(-1) PPDCA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   97 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   98 LAARUCA C LARUCA(-1) PRUCA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST   98 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ   99 LAAUECA C LAUECA(-1) PUECA;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST   99 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGCA=EGPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGCA=LOG(AAEGCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGCA=LOG(AEGCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGCA=EXP(LAAEGCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  100 LAAEGCA C LAEGCA(-1) PEGCA;                                         
EQUATION 374  LAAEGCA  
   RHS     C  LAEGCA(-1)  PEGCA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  374 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  374
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGCA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.584925941

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.540882999       2.340116811  -0.23114     1.000000
11531 LAEGCA  ( -1)       0.543853151       0.074474858   7.30251    -9.584901
11529 PEGCA   (  0)      -3.684347805       2.190698357  -1.68181     1.039876

SE of equation            =     0.711600570
Sum of squared residuals  =  62.2841706       0.266915379E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.540836122
Sum of ABS residuals      =  68.1453514    
R squared                 =   0.32101
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23752
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!           *         +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1*                   +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.2*      +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!       +        *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!               +   *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!*               +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.3!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                    +                 *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.4!              *               +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!     *                 +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1988.3! *         +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!  *       +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!         *        +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!       *           +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!  *          +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!              +             *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.1!        *               +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1993.2!             +            *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.3!  *                    +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1993.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!             *     +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!             +       *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!       *           +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.4!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                +    *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.3!                         +      *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!               *          +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!      *         +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                            +         *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.3!                              +     * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.1!                        *    +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                          +         * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                            +        *!!         .    .    . 0       !


     30.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISCA=ISPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISCA=LOG(AAISCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISCA=LOG(AISCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISCA=EXP(LAAISCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  101 LAAISCA C LAISCA(-1) PISCA;                                         
EQUATION 375  LAAISCA  
   RHS     C  LAISCA(-1)  PISCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  375 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  375
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.764731167

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.436945160       0.385193206  -3.73045     1.000000
11534 LAISCA  ( -1)       0.775191161       0.046325074  16.73373    -6.767955
11532 PISCA   (  0)      -0.084246396       0.203504592  -0.41398     0.965351

SE of equation            =     0.245696897
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.1678886       0.263860045E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.165646208
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.1414870    
R squared                 =   0.60321
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42937
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1*                   +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!             +          *             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!        *                +            !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1969.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!                           +         *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.3!                          *       +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!                      *           +   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!                       *      +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                    *       +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.4!                              *    +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   102 LAAKECA C LAKECA(-1) PKECA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  102 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBACA=BAPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABACA=LOG(AABACA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABACA=LOG(ABACA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABACA=EXP(LAABACA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  103 LAABACA C LABACA(-1) PBACA;                                         
EQUATION 376  LAABACA  
   RHS     C  LABACA(-1)  PBACA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  376 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  376
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABACA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.162078700

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.273005279       0.166540363  -1.63927     1.000000
11537 LABACA  ( -1)       0.935184286       0.025767656  36.29295    -8.180520
11535 PBACA   (  0)      -0.179519718       0.068959958  -2.60325     1.330102

SE of equation            =     0.237477933
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.96692721       0.313011839E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176065232
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.5225675    
R squared                 =   0.94145
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44447
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!     *    +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2*        +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.3!+       *                             !!          .   .   .         0!
 1985.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!           *   +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!        *      +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!     *     +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.1!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !


     29.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKCA=HKPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKCA=LOG(AAHKCA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKCA=LOG(AHKCA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKCA=EXP(LAAHKCA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  104 LAAHKCA C LAHKCA(-1) PHKCA;                                         
EQUATION 377  LAAHKCA  
   RHS     C  LAHKCA(-1)  PHKCA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  377 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  377
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKCA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.098598504

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.164758536       0.077812571  -2.11738     1.000000
11540 LAHKCA  ( -1)       0.941967801       0.026851247  35.08097    -5.106586
11538 PHKCA   (  0)      -0.084750150       0.049875577  -1.69923     1.458405

SE of equation            =     0.152595241
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.30778192       0.109423581E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.081913972
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3998268    
R squared                 =   0.97696
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16952
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          * +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1966.2!          +*                          !!            . . 0            !
 1966.3!           +  *                       !!            . . . 0          !
 1966.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1! *            +                       !0            . . .            !
 1967.2!  + *                                 !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!   *+                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1967.4!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!   *+                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1968.3! * +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 1968.4!  +*                                  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!  *+                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1969.2! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3* +                                    !!           0. . .            !
 1969.4!+*                                    !!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!  +   *                               !!            . . .  0         !
 1970.2! *     +                              !!       0    . . .            !
 1970.3! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4*  +                                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.1!+                                     !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1972.3!+*                                    !!            . . 0            !
 1972.4!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1! +           *                        !!            . . .           0!
 1973.2!            + *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1973.3!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!              +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1974.2!           +   *                      !!            . . .  0         !
 1974.3!            *  +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1974.4!            +  *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1975.1!                +  *                  !!            . . . 0          !
 1975.2!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1975.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                       +  *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1976.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1976.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                            +*        !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                        *    +        !!        0   . . .            !
 1977.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                         +            !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                         *+           !!            0 . .            !
 1978.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                          +*          !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                             +*       !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                                +*    !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                                 +    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 1992.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                                      +!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                                     *+!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                                     +*!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                     +!!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                   *+ !!            0 . .            !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                    + !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !


     10.64 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSICA=SIPX$/CAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASICA=LOG(AASICA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASICA=LOG(ASICA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASICA=EXP(LAASICA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  105 LAASICA C LASICA(-1) PSICA;                                         
EQUATION 378  LAASICA  
   RHS     C  LASICA(-1)  PSICA  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  378 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  378
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASICA 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.241020040

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.930566155       0.217947900  -4.26967     1.000000
11543 LASICA  ( -1)       0.795116382       0.044297607  17.94942    -6.248231
11541 PSICA   (  0)      -0.241298586       0.074745202  -3.22828     1.418919

SE of equation            =     0.241726096
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.2255135       0.246114240E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.163179354
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.0459250    
R squared                 =   0.81947
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32067
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2*        +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1972.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!          *     +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.4!               *     +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.3!               *     +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1998.4!                    *       +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !


     19.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.74 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   106 LAAVICA C LAVICA(-1) PVICA;SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  106 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  107 LAANICA C LANICA(-1) PNICA;SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  107 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  108 LAAALCA C LAALCA(-1) PALCA;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  108 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  109 LAAIACA C LAIACA(-1) PIACA;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  109 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  110 LAAINCA C LAINCA(-1) PINCA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  110 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  111 LAAIQCA C LAIQCA(-1) PIQCA;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  111 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  112 LAAKUCA C LAKUCA(-1) PKUCA;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  112 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  113 LAALICA C LALICA(-1) PLICA;SMPL 2009.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  113 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  114 LAAUACA C LAUACA(-1) PUACA;SMPL 1982.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  114 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   115 LAAUSJA C LAUSJA(-1) PUSJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  115 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   116 LAACAJA C LACAJA(-1) PCAJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  116 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUJA=AUPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUJA=LOG(AAAUJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUJA=LOG(AAUJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUJA=EXP(LAAAUJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  117 LAAAUJA C LAAUJA(-1) PAUJA;                                         
EQUATION 379  LAAAUJA  
   RHS     C  LAAUJA(-1)  PAUJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  379 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  379
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.221595503

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.564405818       0.169930399  -3.32139     1.000000
11546 LAAUJA  ( -1)       0.892954188       0.029531935  30.23690    -6.230155
11544 PAUJA   (  0)      -0.072771474       0.078963598  -0.92158     1.290987

SE of equation            =     0.182695748
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.17488124       0.219246843E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.133773316
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.1493834    
R squared                 =   0.85961
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49791
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+       *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.2*         +                            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1966.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!   *+                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!   *         +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1968.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!            *        +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1969.3!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!           *      +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!       *         +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1972.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!                  *      +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!              *       +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.1!               +        *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!                *        +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!         *         +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                         *    +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                               *    + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                                   * +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                         *     +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.4!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                                 *   +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRJA=FRPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRJA=LOG(AAFRJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRJA=LOG(AFRJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRJA=EXP(LAAFRJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  118 LAAFRJA C LAFRJA(-1) PFRJA;                                         
EQUATION 380  LAAFRJA  
   RHS     C  LAFRJA(-1)  PFRJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  380 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  380
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.419905301

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.500137340       0.125058097  -3.99924     1.000000
11549 LAFRJA  ( -1)       0.844158631       0.038896854  21.70249    -4.426869
11547 PFRJA   (  0)      -0.118956185       0.044603963  -2.66694     1.536605

SE of equation            =     0.122533061
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.77765496      -0.105170095E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.089744793
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.8720210    
R squared                 =   0.89375
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61713
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.4!      *         +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!               *        +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1981.1!                  *      +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.3!                      *       +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.2!                       *      +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                            *    +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                          *   +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEJA=GEPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEJA=LOG(AAGEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEJA=LOG(AGEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEJA=EXP(LAAGEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  119 LAAGEJA C LAGEJA(-1) PGEJA;                                         
EQUATION 381  LAAGEJA  
   RHS     C  LAGEJA(-1)  PGEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  381 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  381
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.351644523

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.261251549       0.096125524  -2.71782     1.000000
11552 LAGEJA  ( -1)       0.918710134       0.031537241  29.13096    -3.351570
11550 PGEJA   (  0)      -0.008747565       0.038114319  -0.22951     1.288547

SE of equation            =     0.090921883
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.52935593       0.611732887E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.070358307
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.2273618    
R squared                 =   0.84900
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49851
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!               *        +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.3!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1! *     +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!        *      +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!       *     +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                            +         *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1990.2!                                 *   +!!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                             *    +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                            *     +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!                       *      +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1994.3!                           *    +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                  *      +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!           *     +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITJA=ITPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITJA=LOG(AAITJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITJA=LOG(AITJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITJA=EXP(LAAITJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  120 LAAITJA C LAITJA(-1) PITJA;                                         
EQUATION 382  LAAITJA  
   RHS     C  LAITJA(-1)  PITJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  382 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  382
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.354829690

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.242045627       0.117323062  -2.06307     1.000000
11555 LAITJA  ( -1)       0.917812859       0.026734777  34.33030    -4.357237
11553 PITJA   (  0)      -0.101408955       0.060374895  -1.67965     1.120771

SE of equation            =     0.121325658
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.72318432       0.813438206E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.088500735
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6381381    
R squared                 =   0.87706
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54451
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!*      +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1*        +                             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1967.2! +      *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!              +         *             !!          .   .   .         0!
 1972.3!                  *     +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!               *      +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                *          +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!            *      +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                   *      +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1988.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEJA=NEPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEJA=LOG(AANEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEJA=LOG(ANEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEJA=EXP(LAANEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  121 LAANEJA C LANEJA(-1) PNEJA;                                         
EQUATION 383  LAANEJA  
   RHS     C  LANEJA(-1)  PNEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  383 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  383
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.274021530

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.817805642       0.208561617  -3.92117     1.000000
11558 LANEJA  ( -1)       0.802803424       0.051009445  15.73833    -5.278301
11556 PNEJA   (  0)      -0.148521487       0.056591326  -2.62446     1.473040

SE of equation            =     0.137480656
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.49667221       0.133401734E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.108287110
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.3579767    
R squared                 =   0.83001
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44108
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1966.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!      *         +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!   *      +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!*      +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.4!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.2!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                        *     +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .  0       !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTJA=STPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTJA=LOG(AASTJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTJA=LOG(ASTJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTJA=EXP(LAASTJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  122 LAASTJA C LASTJA(-1) PSTJA;                                         
EQUATION 384  LAASTJA  
   RHS     C  LASTJA(-1)  PSTJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  384 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  384
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.384271263

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.917270021       0.183662375  -4.99433     1.000000
11561 LASTJA  ( -1)       0.744793398       0.050224441  14.82930    -4.383161
11559 PSTJA   (  0)      -0.175844750       0.047401112  -3.70972     1.151309

SE of equation            =     0.094653161
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.65745585      -0.292064151E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071909435
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.5189737    
R squared                 =   0.78953
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46681
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.2!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!                     *       +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4! *       +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4*          +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1983.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           *      +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.4!                 *       +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1990.4!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!              +      *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .         0
 2009.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4! *       +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKJA=UKPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKJA=LOG(AAUKJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKJA=LOG(AUKJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKJA=EXP(LAAUKJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  123 LAAUKJA C LAUKJA(-1) PUKJA;                                         
EQUATION 385  LAAUKJA  
   RHS     C  LAUKJA(-1)  PUKJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  385 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  385
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.009231465

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.216788686       0.108210156  -2.00340     1.000000
11564 LAUKJA  ( -1)       0.941072886       0.028628646  32.87172    -4.004835
11562 PUKJA   (  0)      -0.018648317       0.046337760  -0.40244     1.265567

SE of equation            =     0.107646646
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.14374306      -0.314828164E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.082261099
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.4650867    
R squared                 =   0.87200
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                                *   + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                             *   +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                          *     +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                         *     +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                   *       +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.3!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!           *     +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!    *        +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!       *      +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1989.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                      *    +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!*      +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.3* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIJA=FIPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIJA=LOG(AAFIJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIJA=LOG(AFIJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIJA=EXP(LAAFIJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  124 LAAFIJA C LAFIJA(-1) PFIJA;                                         
EQUATION 386  LAAFIJA  
   RHS     C  LAFIJA(-1)  PFIJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  386 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  386
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.308577978

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.140542811       0.277283713  -4.11327     1.000000
11567 LAFIJA  ( -1)       0.807726861       0.040907728  19.74509    -6.320583
11565 PFIJA   (  0)      -0.051587041       0.112284014  -0.45943     1.216017

SE of equation            =     0.351049026
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.7985524       0.211777262E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.214675096
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.3589181    
R squared                 =   0.68340
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48892
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!    *            +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!             +                        *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.1!           *                       +  !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.2!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!  *      +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!        *        +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                +               *     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1978.4!                   *          +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   125 LAAASJA C LAASJA(-1) PASJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  125 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   126 LAASOJA C LASOJA(-1) PSOJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  126 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOJA=KOPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOJA=LOG(AAKOJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOJA=LOG(AKOJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOJA=EXP(LAAKOJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  127 LAAKOJA C LAKOJA(-1) PKOJA;                                         
EQUATION 387  LAAKOJA  
   RHS     C  LAKOJA(-1)  PKOJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  387 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  387
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.409899276

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.528926342       0.095338672  -5.54787     1.000000
11570 LAKOJA  ( -1)       0.759995703       0.043627733  17.42001    -3.426952
11568 PKOJA   (  0)      -0.132703731       0.033726269  -3.93473     2.083620

SE of equation            =     0.164209217
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.98846339      -0.134199318E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.095189505
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.8956270    
R squared                 =   0.90885
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26477
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2*        +                             !!     0      . . .            !
 1966.3!   +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1966.4!   *  +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1967.1!       +             *                !!            . . .            0
 1967.2!                    *+                !!            0 . .            !
 1967.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1968.1!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1968.2!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1969.3!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1969.4!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1970.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1971.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                      *    +          !!         0  . . .            !
 1973.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!                      *   +           !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!           0. . .            !
 1974.4!                  *  +                !!           0. . .            !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                      +               !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                       +              !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                        +*            !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                       *  +           !!           0. . .            !
 1980.3!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                           +          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1995.2!                             +        !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                            +         !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                                +   * !!            . . . 0          !
 1998.2!                                 * +  !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!                                *+    !!            0 . .            !
 1998.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!            0 . .            !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !


     14.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEJA=BEPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEJA=LOG(AABEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEJA=LOG(ABEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEJA=EXP(LAABEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  128 LAABEJA C LABEJA(-1) PBEJA;                                         
EQUATION 388  LAABEJA  
   RHS     C  LABEJA(-1)  PBEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  388 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  388
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.077689225

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.860347364       0.187616087  -4.58568     1.000000
11573 LABEJA  ( -1)       0.776031834       0.046346218  16.74423    -5.077237
11571 PBEJA   (  0)      -0.223789729       0.066395402  -3.37056     1.238860

SE of equation            =     0.124112768
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.84973614      -0.177182713E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.095652475
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.9826653    
R squared                 =   0.79614
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42046
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                       *     +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                       *        +     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3*      +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.4! +   *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!             *      +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!        *    +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!                  *     +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.1!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.2!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                          *     +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                         *   +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                             *   +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.4!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!             *    +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .         0
 2011.1!                      *        +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !


     32.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEJA=DEPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEJA=LOG(AADEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEJA=LOG(ADEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEJA=EXP(LAADEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  129 LAADEJA C LADEJA(-1) PDEJA;                                         
EQUATION 389  LAADEJA  
   RHS     C  LADEJA(-1)  PDEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  389 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  389
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.490543863

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.527838519       0.171218521  -3.08284     1.000000
11576 LADEJA  ( -1)       0.895254532       0.033380251  26.81989    -5.493864
11574 PDEJA   (  0)      -0.034265880       0.074430791  -0.46037     1.292793

SE of equation            =     0.203460525
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.65829424      -0.190292226E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.141337296
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.5714117    
R squared                 =   0.82308
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53254
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4! + *                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!     *          +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!            *          +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                     *        +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +                *!          .   .   .          0
 1996.3!                      *             + !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                     +               *!!          .   .   .          0
 1997.4!                        *           + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                         *         +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOJA=NOPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOJA=LOG(AANOJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOJA=LOG(ANOJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOJA=EXP(LAANOJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  130 LAANOJA C LANOJA(-1) PNOJA;                                         
EQUATION 390  LAANOJA  
   RHS     C  LANOJA(-1)  PNOJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  390 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  390
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.866282649

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.636753605       0.266261252  -6.14717     1.000000
11579 LANOJA  ( -1)       0.650271732       0.054281059  11.97972    -5.865498
11577 PNOJA   (  0)      -0.382872292       0.081375264  -4.70502     1.084857

SE of equation            =     0.236661146
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3615722      -0.277191603E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.184128784
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.6162113    
R squared                 =   0.71275
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32549
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!     *        +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!       *            +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1969.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!        *     +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!     *            +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1971.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!      *           +                   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1972.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!           *      +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!          *       +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!        *        +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.3!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!  *      +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!        *    +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2*         +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1977.3! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!           *        +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.4!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!  *       +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3! *         +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                 *      +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWJA=SWPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWJA=LOG(AASWJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWJA=LOG(ASWJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWJA=EXP(LAASWJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  131 LAASWJA C LASWJA(-1) PSWJA;                                         
EQUATION 391  LAASWJA  
   RHS     C  LASWJA(-1)  PSWJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  391 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  391
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.409448832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.683117178       0.183807192  -3.71649     1.000000
11582 LASWJA  ( -1)       0.855429405       0.039067439  21.89622    -5.411012
11580 PSWJA   (  0)      -0.067270536       0.046762795  -1.43855     1.450747

SE of equation            =     0.144920285
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.88534947       0.441824355E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.106557885
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.0328824    
R squared                 =   0.79851
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53414
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.3*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.4! +            *                       !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!        +        *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.4!      *          +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1969.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!               *        +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1971.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.4!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.1*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!+         *                           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!  *        +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!*    +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.4* +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!    *         +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!               *      +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!            *        +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!             *        +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.3!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                          +          *!!         .    .    .        0!
 1996.3!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                             +       *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                       *      +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!        *     +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.2!      *         +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2012.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   132 LAAGRJA C LAGRJA(-1) PGRJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  132 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRJA=IRPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRJA=LOG(AAIRJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRJA=LOG(AIRJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRJA=EXP(LAAIRJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  133 LAAIRJA C LAIRJA(-1) PIRJA;                                         
EQUATION 392  LAAIRJA  
   RHS     C  LAIRJA(-1)  PIRJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  392 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  392
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.286178557

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.196484508       0.116293906  -1.68955     1.000000
11585 LAIRJA  ( -1)       0.953715379       0.023905273  39.89561    -6.302454
11583 PIRJA   (  0)      -0.052744124       0.090463204  -0.58305     1.496792

SE of equation            =     0.266961844
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.1846958      -0.546318546E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177437125
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.3581795    
R squared                 =   0.94277
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.83773
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*    +                                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+       *                             !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1966.3!    *    +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.4!     +          *                     !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.1!     *          +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.2!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.1!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!          *   +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!       *   +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!         *   +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!       * +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.1!         *  +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!        *      +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.1!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!          *    +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!       *      +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!         + *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.2!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOJA=POPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOJA=LOG(AAPOJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOJA=LOG(APOJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOJA=EXP(LAAPOJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  134 LAAPOJA C LAPOJA(-1) PPOJA;                                         
EQUATION 393  LAAPOJA  
   RHS     C  LAPOJA(-1)  PPOJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  393 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  393
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.743668938

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.035632890       0.393491857  -5.17325     1.000000
11588 LAPOJA  ( -1)       0.731529475       0.050183385  14.57713    -7.743486
11586 PPOJA   (  0)      -0.029016645       0.069082131  -0.42003     1.497337

SE of equation            =     0.239017779
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5689573      -0.152256874E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.188496353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.4373144    
R squared                 =   0.53805
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22038
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.3!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!                            +       * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                             +      * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!                 *       +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!         *        +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1976.1!           +        *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4*              +                       !0         .    .    .         !
 1977.1!    +        *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!   *          +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.3!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.4!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!      *            +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1984.2!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!            +      *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                 *              +     !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2007.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                        +             *!         .    .    .        0!
 2007.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPJA=SPPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPJA=LOG(AASPJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPJA=LOG(ASPJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPJA=EXP(LAASPJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  135 LAASPJA C LASPJA(-1) PSPJA;                                         
EQUATION 394  LAASPJA  
   RHS     C  LASPJA(-1)  PSPJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  394 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  394
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.919775359

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.977043837       0.204679148  -4.77354     1.000000
11591 LASPJA  ( -1)       0.776186887       0.046056833  16.85281    -5.929351
11589 PSPJA   (  0)      -0.231426576       0.071029649  -3.25817     1.471080

SE of equation            =     0.207580353
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.97157656       0.896571706E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.154285731
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.0057174    
R squared                 =   0.83318
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26091
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2*         +                            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1966.3! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!    *       +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!  *        +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1968.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.1!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.2!    *          +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1969.3! *      +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.1!                               *   +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.3!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                           *     +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                             *     +  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.1!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                       *         +    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                          *    +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                               *   +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   136 LAANZJA C LANZJA(-1) PNZJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  136 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  137 LAASAJA C LASAJA(-1) PSAJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  137 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  138 LAAVEJA C LAVEJA(-1) PVEJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  138 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   139 LAACOJA C LACOJA(-1) PCOJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  139 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   140 LAAJOJA C LAJOJA(-1) PJOJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  140 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYJA=SYPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYJA=LOG(AASYJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYJA=LOG(ASYJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYJA=EXP(LAASYJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  141 LAASYJA C LASYJA(-1) PSYJA;                                         
EQUATION 395  LAASYJA  
   RHS     C  LASYJA(-1)  PSYJA  
 SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   148 to   244
 OLS;EST  395 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  395
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYJA 

 1988.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   97 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.086019215

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.350629864       0.887843307  -4.90022     1.000000
11594 LASYJA  ( -1)       0.524243602       0.089315900   5.86954   -10.085813
11592 PSYJA   (  0)      -0.342603875       0.336111988  -1.01931     1.307535

SE of equation            =     0.771296189
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.9203943       0.432986980E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.594331725
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.6501774    
R squared                 =   0.30976
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16738
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.4   2012.4     97

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.4*     +                                !!        0     .     .        !
 1989.1!   *+                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.2!    * +                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.4!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.1!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.2!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!   *+                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.4!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1! *    +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.2!  * +                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1991.3!     +    *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.4!   *      +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.1! *    +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.2!     +   *                            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!          +     *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.1!           * +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.2!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.4!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.3!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!       *    +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.1!  *     +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.2!     +    *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.3!   *     +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.4!      +      *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.1!  *        +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.2!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.3!  *   +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.4!      +  *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.1! *       +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.2!     +      *                         !!        .     .     0        !
 1997.3!  *        +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.4!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!       *+                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.2!   *    +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.3!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!       +        *                     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1999.1!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.2!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.4!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.1!        *  +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!         +    *                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.3!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1!          +   *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.2!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!       *   +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.4!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.1!          +  *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!           +    *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.4!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.1!           +     *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.2!             +     *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.3!               +     *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.1!             +               *        !!        .     .     .        0
 2004.2!              *     +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.3!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.4!              +       *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.1!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.2!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!          +   *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!      *     +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.2!     *    +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.1!          +   *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!       *     +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.3!         +   *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!            +  *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.1!    *        +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.2!        +    *                        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.4!        *  +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.1!         +            *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2009.2!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.3!*               +                     !0        .     .     .        !
 2009.4!    * +                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!         +   *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.3!            +          *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2010.4!                  +              *    !!        .     .     .       0!
 2011.1!                       +              *!        .     .     .       0!
 2011.2!            *             +           !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2011.3!            +    *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.4! *             +                      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2012.1!  *   +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.2! *     +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.3!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.4! *      +                             !!       0.     .     .        !


     24.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.22 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   142 LAAIDJA C LAIDJA(-1) PIDJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  142 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAJA=MAPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAJA=LOG(AAMAJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAJA=LOG(AMAJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAJA=EXP(LAAMAJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  143 LAAMAJA C LAMAJA(-1) PMAJA;                                         
EQUATION 396  LAAMAJA  
   RHS     C  LAMAJA(-1)  PMAJA  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  396 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  396
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAJA 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.691749062

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.205695267       0.088189229  -2.33243     1.000000
11597 LAMAJA  ( -1)       0.926853302       0.030230532  30.65951    -3.696599
11595 PMAJA   (  0)      -0.037921211       0.022230122  -1.70585     1.578246

SE of equation            =     0.107859403
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.08242348      -0.337476713E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084232741
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3303588    
R squared                 =   0.93254
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12926
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                    *  +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!               *  +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!             *  +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!       *    +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.1!        +*                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!       *  +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.3! *     +                              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1974.4! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!               +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!               +                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                      + *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                   *   +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                 *  +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                     +*               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1985.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                       *    +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                       *     +        !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                           *   +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                        *   +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                           * +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!                            + *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                           * +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.2!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.2!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                                     +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                 *  + !!       0 .    .    .         !


     29.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   144 LAAPAJA C LAPAJA(-1) PPAJA;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  144 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   145 LAAPHJA C LAPHJA(-1) PPHJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  145 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHJA=THPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHJA=LOG(AATHJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHJA=LOG(ATHJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHJA=EXP(LAATHJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  146 LAATHJA C LATHJA(-1) PTHJA;                                         
EQUATION 397  LAATHJA  
   RHS     C  LATHJA(-1)  PTHJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  397 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  397
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.966787692

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.222541219       0.096796845  -2.29905     1.000000
11600 LATHJA  ( -1)       0.903844875       0.032475645  27.83147    -3.971151
11598 PTHJA   (  0)      -0.101899190       0.053540750  -1.90321     1.520538

SE of equation            =     0.176193001
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.74313511       0.158273394E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.099838889
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.7697112    
R squared                 =   0.89265
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04989
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.1!              +                   *   !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1967.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!      *                      +        !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!            +                    *    !!           .  .  .          0!
 1971.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                                 *   +!!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!                             *   +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!           *                   +      !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!   *        +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1+           *                          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!  *       +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4! +     *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!   +   *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!   *        +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !


     11.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHJA=CHPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHJA=LOG(AACHJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHJA=LOG(ACHJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHJA=EXP(LAACHJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  147 LAACHJA C LACHJA(-1) PCHJA;                                         
EQUATION 398  LAACHJA  
   RHS     C  LACHJA(-1)  PCHJA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  398 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  398
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHJA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.381296290

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.133340883       0.108794919   1.22562     1.000000
11603 LACHJA  ( -1)       0.924548969       0.033109270  27.92417    -2.395510
11601 PCHJA   (  0)      -0.212456927       0.110239695  -1.92723     1.411444

SE of equation            =     0.159020004
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.11034547       0.110844667E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.105808401
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.3318585    
R squared                 =   0.94422
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70515
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1! *         +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.2*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!   *    +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1! *       +                            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1! *      +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1! *        +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1991.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!  *        +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!      *       +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!        *          +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1994.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!               *      +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!               *      +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                *      +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !


     17.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   148 LAAARJA C LAARJA(-1) PARJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  148 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRJA=BRPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRJA=LOG(AABRJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRJA=LOG(ABRJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRJA=EXP(LAABRJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  149 LAABRJA C LABRJA(-1) PBRJA;                                         
EQUATION 399  LAABRJA  
   RHS     C  LABRJA(-1)  PBRJA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  399 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  399
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRJA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.487160497

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.819026662       0.283514718  -2.88883     1.000000
11606 LABRJA  ( -1)       0.776585902       0.056471632  13.75179    -4.487663
11604 PBRJA   (  0)      -0.151389366       0.103389972  -1.46426     1.209318

SE of equation            =     0.192078282
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.53797017       0.250111043E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.147588438
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.5961431    
R squared                 =   0.60842
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33895
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                         +          * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                           +         *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                       *       +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                           *        + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!              *            +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!             *          +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!          *            +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 2001.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.4!       *              +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2003.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!*            +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2004.3!      +       *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!         *              +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2012.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !


     29.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEJA=CEPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEJA=LOG(AACEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEJA=LOG(ACEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEJA=EXP(LAACEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  150 LAACEJA C LACEJA(-1) PCEJA;                                         
EQUATION 400  LAACEJA  
   RHS     C  LACEJA(-1)  PCEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  400 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  400
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.990938488

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.484735286       0.151768960  -3.19390     1.000000
11609 LACEJA  ( -1)       0.844564796       0.040803916  20.69813    -4.993691
11607 PCEJA   (  0)      -0.192813803       0.074490558  -2.58843     1.497337

SE of equation            =     0.188632425
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.58270544       0.218411955E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.138227870
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.9868396    
R squared                 =   0.83798
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44126
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.3!           +                    *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1966.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!     +    *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!*       +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.2!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3! *        +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1*        +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!+ *                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                  *        +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              *    +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                              *    +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                              +      *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEJA=MEPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEJA=LOG(AAMEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEJA=LOG(AMEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEJA=EXP(LAAMEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  151 LAAMEJA C LAMEJA(-1) PMEJA;                                         
EQUATION 401  LAAMEJA  
   RHS     C  LAMEJA(-1)  PMEJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  401 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  401
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.441396657

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.547593044       0.209234039  -2.61713     1.000000
11612 LAMEJA  ( -1)       0.900141061       0.030417339  29.59302    -5.434580
11610 PMEJA   (  0)      -0.001278766       0.074719368  -0.01711     1.497337

SE of equation            =     0.258338294
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.3466547       0.824273982E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.186723556
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.1040285    
R squared                 =   0.82693
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25885
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                    *       +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.1!                  *        +          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1968.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!            *   +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!      *        +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.4!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!   *        +                         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1976.2!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.3!    *       +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.4!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1! *       +                            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.2*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3! +    *                               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2*      +                               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.3! +   *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                         *      +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                            +       * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                           *        + !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.3!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                *    +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.1!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .         0
 2002.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEJA=PEPX$Q/JAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEJA=LOG(AAPEJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEJA=LOG(APEJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEJA=EXP(LAAPEJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  152 LAAPEJA C LAPEJA(-1) PPEJA;                                         
EQUATION 402  LAAPEJA  
   RHS     C  LAPEJA(-1)  PPEJA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  402 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  402
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEJA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.949818590

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.469418258       0.363104284  -4.04682     1.000000
11615 LAPEJA  ( -1)       0.749847606       0.058885356  12.73403    -5.944072
11613 PPEJA   (  0)      -0.021731319       0.064611995  -0.33634     1.069987

SE of equation            =     0.277193832
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.45087976       0.402025080E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.206582949
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.0294515    
R squared                 =   0.56940
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43317
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                          +          *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                *         +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                +              *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.2!    +              *                  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !


     25.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   153 LAATUJA C LATUJA(-1) PTUJA;SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  153 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDJA=PDPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDJA=LOG(AAPDJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDJA=LOG(APDJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDJA=EXP(LAAPDJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  154 LAAPDJA C LAPDJA(-1) PPDJA;                                         
EQUATION 403  LAAPDJA  
   RHS     C  LAPDJA(-1)  PPDJA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  403 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  403
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDJA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.912028599

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.059930482       0.422529202  -2.50854     1.000000
11618 LAPDJA  ( -1)       0.847184179       0.048500556  17.46751    -7.915456
11616 PPDJA   (  0)      -0.103616691       0.153182810  -0.67643     1.411444

SE of equation            =     0.340981964
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.3010500      -0.600852701E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.251797473
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.7264816    
R squared                 =   0.71659
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58727
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                    *       +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                *          +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!               +            *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                    *          +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.1!          +           *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.2!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!               +         *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.3!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                          +         * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                 *               +    !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1989.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                      *           +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!*       +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.1! * +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!    +     *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!*          +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1*       +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!  +     *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!      +     *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.4!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!    +       *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  155 LAARUJA C LARUJA(-1) PRUJA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  155 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  156 LAAUEJA C LAUEJA(-1) PUEJA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  156 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   157 LAAEGJA C LAEGJA(-1) PEGJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  157 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISJA=ISPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISJA=LOG(AAISJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISJA=LOG(AISJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISJA=EXP(LAAISJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  158 LAAISJA C LAISJA(-1) PISJA;                                         
EQUATION 404  LAAISJA  
   RHS     C  LAISJA(-1)  PISJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  404 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  404
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.039568192

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.466929167       0.331496091  -4.42518     1.000000
11621 LAISJA  ( -1)       0.746943402       0.050336380  14.83904    -6.034661
11619 PISJA   (  0)      -0.049445741       0.139904401  -0.35343     1.316361

SE of equation            =     0.308271944
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.5808444      -0.497912822E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.212568997
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9629714    
R squared                 =   0.55099
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3*                  +                   !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1967.4!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.2!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!*         +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.4!    +       *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.1!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.4!                    *           +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1971.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                    +          *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.3!                  *        +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!   *       +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.3! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   159 LAAKEJA C LAKEJA(-1) PKEJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  159 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAJA=BAPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAJA=LOG(AABAJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAJA=LOG(ABAJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAJA=EXP(LAABAJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  160 LAABAJA C LABAJA(-1) PBAJA;                                         
EQUATION 405  LAABAJA  
   RHS     C  LABAJA(-1)  PBAJA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  405 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  405
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAJA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.373555350

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.827545874       0.427122290  -4.27874     1.000000
11624 LABAJA  ( -1)       0.770652370       0.052681548  14.62851    -8.381440
11622 PBAJA   (  0)      -0.046033416       0.033894653  -1.35813     1.886294

SE of equation            =     0.286150386
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.0192449       0.104601661E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.220111115
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.6580006    
R squared                 =   0.61217
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43995
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.3!            *           +             !!0        .    .    .         !
 1974.4!      *      +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2*          +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.3!   +    *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.1!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!             *            +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.3!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.4!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.3!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .        0!
 1987.1!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                 *        +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                 *      +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1995.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!              *      +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                *        +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                 *      +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !


     26.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKJA=HKPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKJA=LOG(AAHKJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKJA=LOG(AHKJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKJA=EXP(LAAHKJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  161 LAAHKJA C LAHKJA(-1) PHKJA;                                         
EQUATION 406  LAAHKJA  
   RHS     C  LAHKJA(-1)  PHKJA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  406 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  406
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKJA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.084403462

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.228637260       0.082538424  -2.77007     1.000000
11627 LAHKJA  ( -1)       0.916861779       0.027157121  33.76138    -4.094460
11625 PHKJA   (  0)      -0.050996724       0.024556518  -2.07671     1.994495

SE of equation            =     0.165744687
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.08219075       0.922195653E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.082712985
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.5500412    
R squared                 =   0.93781
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14170
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1966.2!   *+                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!     +                   *            !!            . . .            0
 1967.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!                        +  *          !!            . . .0           !
 1968.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1968.2!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1969.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 1970.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1970.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!           *                +         !! 0          . . .            !
 1973.2!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!     *      +                         !!         0  . . .            !
 1974.1!     + *                              !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2! *     +                              !!         0  . . .            !
 1974.3! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1975.1! +         *                          !!            . . .    0       !
 1975.2!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!           +   *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1976.4!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!             *   +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                    +   *             !!            . . .0           !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                    + !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !


     10.64 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIJA=SIPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIJA=LOG(AASIJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIJA=LOG(ASIJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIJA=EXP(LAASIJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  162 LAASIJA C LASIJA(-1) PSIJA;                                         
EQUATION 407  LAASIJA  
   RHS     C  LASIJA(-1)  PSIJA  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  407 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  407
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIJA 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.179503832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.368180971       0.115969787  -3.17480     1.000000
11630 LASIJA  ( -1)       0.873962145       0.038824557  22.51055    -4.190041
11628 PSIJA   (  0)      -0.075733193       0.036650879  -2.06634     1.972531

SE of equation            =     0.192905328
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.51218149       0.188391525E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.104541369
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.6083637    
R squared                 =   0.89663
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13618
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1968.4* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2! *  +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!*   +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1969.4!*  +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1970.3!*   +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1970.4! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1971.1!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4! *   +                                !!            0 . .            !
 1972.1!   +                       *          !!            . . .         0  !
 1972.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                          +     *     !!            . . .0           !
 1972.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!    *                           +     !0            . . .            !
 1973.2!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!*       +                             !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.4!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!      +          *                    !!            . . .   0        !
 1974.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!          *      +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.4!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1975.1!   *     +                            !!           0. . .            !
 1975.2!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!     +  *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!         +  *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!             +  *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1979.1!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!               +  *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!             +     *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!              +     *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1982.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                +      *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!              *      +                !!          0 . . .            !
 1986.2!               +  *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                              *  +    !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!                               *  +   !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                                  *  +!!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                  *  +!!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !


      8.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.25 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIJA=VIPX$/JAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIJA=LOG(AAVIJA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIJA=LOG(AVIJA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIJA=EXP(LAAVIJA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  163 LAAVIJA C LAVIJA(-1) PVIJA;                                         
EQUATION 408  LAAVIJA  
   RHS     C  LAVIJA(-1)  PVIJA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  408 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  408
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIJA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.636475821

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.344729964       0.127164830   2.71089     1.000000
11633 LAVIJA  ( -1)       0.899522857       0.025593716  35.14624    -5.668124
11631 PVIJA   (  0)      -0.625315841       0.166300506  -3.76016     1.411444

SE of equation            =     0.173846996
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.71740169       0.347859519E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.121321285
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.2864819    
R squared                 =   0.98221
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.79179
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4! * +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1982.3! *  +                                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!   *+                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!   + *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3*     +                                !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!    * +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!           *  +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                * +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!              *  +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                        * +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  164 LAANIJA C LANIJA(-1) PNIJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  164 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  165 LAAALJA C LAALJA(-1) PALJA;SMPL 2003.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  165 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  166 LAAIAJA C LAIAJA(-1) PIAJA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  166 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  167 LAAINJA C LAINJA(-1) PINJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  167 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  168 LAAIQJA C LAIQJA(-1) PIQJA;SMPL 2004.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  168 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  169 LAAKUJA C LAKUJA(-1) PKUJA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  169 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  170 LAALIJA C LALIJA(-1) PLIJA;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  170 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  171 LAAUAJA C LAUAJA(-1) PUAJA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  171 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSAU=USPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSAU=LOG(AAUSAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSAU=LOG(AUSAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSAU=EXP(LAAUSAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  172 LAAUSAU C LAUSAU(-1) PUSAU;                                         
EQUATION 409  LAAUSAU  
   RHS     C  LAUSAU(-1)  PUSAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  409 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  409
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.859781409

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.874537316       0.185442360  -4.71595     1.000000
11636 LAUSAU  ( -1)       0.707714554       0.051299687  13.79569    -3.856491
11634 PUSAU   (  0)      -0.212363125       0.083246627  -2.55101     1.205243

SE of equation            =     0.197992291
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.25217522       0.366457975E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.149865985
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.1748053    
R squared                 =   0.58505
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41764
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!    +            *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!           +           *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!*          +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!        +            *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!    *          +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.2!                          *     +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                       +            * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                 *       +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!              +                *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.1!                *          +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.2!            +            *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2012.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!    *                    +            !0          .   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   173 LAACAAU C LACAAU(-1) PCAAU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  173 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   174 LAAJAAU C LAJAAU(-1) PJAAU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  174 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRAU=FRPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRAU=LOG(AAFRAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRAU=LOG(AFRAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRAU=EXP(LAAFRAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  175 LAAFRAU C LAFRAU(-1) PFRAU;                                         
EQUATION 410  LAAFRAU  
   RHS     C  LAFRAU(-1)  PFRAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  410 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  410
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.283109761

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.245204643       0.167184951  -7.44807     1.000000
11639 LAFRAU  ( -1)       0.470843164       0.064910964   7.25368    -3.283000
11637 PFRAU   (  0)      -0.400888677       0.073656023  -5.44271     1.227591

SE of equation            =     0.148713933
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.09142927       0.142152956E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.089510833
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.8280366    
R squared                 =   0.56875
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35816
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1967.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!                       +  *           !!            . .0.            !
 1968.2!                        +     *       !!            . . .0           !
 1968.3*                          +           !0            . . .            !
 1968.4!           +         *                !!            . . .   0        !
 1969.1!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 1969.4!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1970.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1970.3!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1971.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1972.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1974.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1974.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1975.1!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1975.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1995.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1999.1!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2012.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !


     11.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEAU=GEPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEAU=LOG(AAGEAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEAU=LOG(AGEAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEAU=EXP(LAAGEAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  176 LAAGEAU C LAGEAU(-1) PGEAU;                                         
EQUATION 411  LAAGEAU  
   RHS     C  LAGEAU(-1)  PGEAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  411 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  411
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.664045818

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.100657954       0.066697098   1.50918     1.000000
11642 LAGEAU  ( -1)       0.801221467       0.047356437  16.91896    -0.664139
11640 PGEAU   (  0)      -0.226068817       0.083490068  -2.70773     1.028807

SE of equation            =     0.025540857
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.120682042      -0.400787181E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.019333776
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.63474985    
R squared                 =   0.80448
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56271
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                   *           +      !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!         *       +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                               *     +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.3!           *       +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4*      +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.1!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!           *       +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!             *      +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.4!                   *       +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITAU=ITPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITAU=LOG(AAITAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITAU=LOG(AITAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITAU=EXP(LAAITAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  177 LAAITAU C LAITAU(-1) PITAU;                                         
EQUATION 412  LAAITAU  
   RHS     C  LAITAU(-1)  PITAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  412 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  412
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.266477224

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.235144672       0.062977368  -3.73380     1.000000
11645 LAITAU  ( -1)       0.742431150       0.042639000  17.41202    -2.265552
11643 PITAU   (  0)      -0.388013795       0.070960063  -5.46806     0.900267

SE of equation            =     0.059462994
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.654131822      -0.329247740E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.043829433
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.23993345    
R squared                 =   0.86279
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52979
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!       *         +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1968.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!     *      +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!         *         +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .          0
 1979.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2! +*                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEAU=NEPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEAU=LOG(AANEAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEAU=LOG(ANEAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEAU=EXP(LAANEAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  178 LAANEAU C LANEAU(-1) PNEAU;                                         
EQUATION 413  LAANEAU  
   RHS     C  LANEAU(-1)  PNEAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  413 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  413
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.297203838

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.081678299       0.055092102  -1.48258     1.000000
11648 LANEAU  ( -1)       0.874939393       0.032051002  27.29835    -3.300758
11646 PNEAU   (  0)      -0.278957696       0.074216131  -3.75872     1.174237

SE of equation            =     0.073466496
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.998505316      -0.295838909E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.053291053
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.0187179    
R squared                 =   0.94971
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56348
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!      + *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4+ *                                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2! +  *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!              +         *             !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1988.3!          *             +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!    *       +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1989.3!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!     *   +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!     *       +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                               *    + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTAU=STPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTAU=LOG(AASTAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTAU=LOG(ASTAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTAU=EXP(LAASTAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  179 LAASTAU C LASTAU(-1) PSTAU;                                         
EQUATION 414  LAASTAU  
   RHS     C  LASTAU(-1)  PSTAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  414 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  414
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.722559331

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.014524006       0.038905703  -0.37331     1.000000
11651 LASTAU  ( -1)       0.905870878       0.029791479  30.40705    -2.717467
11649 PSTAU   (  0)      -0.267632647       0.094611019  -2.82877     0.920518

SE of equation            =     0.078419169
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.13766973      -0.189546157E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.056770112
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.6727810    
R squared                 =   0.96800
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66227
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!                                   +* !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                                 *   +!!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                   *   +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!           *   +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!        *  +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!      *   +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!     +*                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!    * +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!     + *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!      +        *                      !!           .  .  .         0 !
 2003.2!    *         +                       !0           .  .  .           !
 2003.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!*    +                                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2004.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!  +  *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!  *  +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.2!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!  +  *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1*     +                                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2007.2!+ *                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.1!  * +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!* +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!+  *                                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3! * +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.1!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4! +   *                                !!           .  .  .   0       !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKAU=UKPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKAU=LOG(AAUKAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKAU=LOG(AUKAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKAU=EXP(LAAUKAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  180 LAAUKAU C LAUKAU(-1) PUKAU;                                         
EQUATION 415  LAAUKAU  
   RHS     C  LAUKAU(-1)  PUKAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  415 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  415
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.448818967

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.052422681       0.058917132  -0.88977     1.000000
11654 LAUKAU  ( -1)       0.978410851       0.014716264  66.48500    -3.442828
11652 PUKAU   (  0)      -0.027436359       0.053253000  -0.51521     1.016752

SE of equation            =     0.078343229
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.13546739       0.897770747E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.059999727
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.2799487    
R squared                 =   0.96549
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52431
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                            *  +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.1!                                   * +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.1!                                *   + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                            +*        !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                    * +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                  * +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!               *   +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.2!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!           * +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!    *    +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!    *   +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    + *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!         +*                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!            + *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!          * +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!        *  +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!          * +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.2!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!   *    +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2004.2!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2006.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!     *       +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 2006.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!   * +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3+                                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4+ *                                    !!          .   .   0          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIAU=FIPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIAU=LOG(AAFIAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIAU=LOG(AFIAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIAU=EXP(LAAFIAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  181 LAAFIAU C LAFIAU(-1) PFIAU;                                         
EQUATION 416  LAAFIAU  
   RHS     C  LAFIAU(-1)  PFIAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  416 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  416
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.106702695

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.948840541       0.227497946  -4.17077     1.000000
11657 LAFIAU  ( -1)       0.812748796       0.039971741  20.33308    -5.109857
11655 PFIAU   (  0)      -0.004987961       0.103329088  -0.04827     0.968690

SE of equation            =     0.141967813
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.72864906      -0.353601592E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.100834776
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.9569379    
R squared                 =   0.69086
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34516
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.1!                         *        +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!               *        +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!              *           +           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.1!               +          *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!             +        *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.1!           *         +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!            *          +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                         +      *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   182 LAAASAU C LAASAU(-1) PASAU;SMPL 1971.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  182 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  183 LAASOAU C LASOAU(-1) PSOAU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  183 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOAU=KOPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOAU=LOG(AAKOAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOAU=LOG(AKOAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOAU=EXP(LAAKOAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  184 LAAKOAU C LAKOAU(-1) PKOAU;                                         
EQUATION 417  LAAKOAU  
   RHS     C  LAKOAU(-1)  PKOAU  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  417 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  417
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOAU 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.676448266

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.336042973       0.256017362  -5.21856     1.000000
11660 LAKOAU  ( -1)       0.669037468       0.058964086  11.34652    -5.688857
11658 PKOAU   (  0)      -0.369500914       0.077976038  -4.73865     1.446132

SE of equation            =     0.245545332
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.38065890       0.274980039E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.178575431
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.3577112    
R squared                 =   0.82204
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37857
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!+*                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!*      +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!          +                *          !!           .  .  .           0
 1986.4!            *         +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!         *      +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!         +     *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!            +              *          !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1992.1!             *        +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!  *        +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1994.3!     +     *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                      *      +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.1!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                            +         *!           .  .  .     0     !
 2010.3!                           *      +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2010.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEAU=BEPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEAU=LOG(AABEAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEAU=LOG(ABEAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEAU=EXP(LAABEAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  185 LAABEAU C LABEAU(-1) PBEAU;                                         
EQUATION 418  LAABEAU  
   RHS     C  LABEAU(-1)  PBEAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  418 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  418
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.535522809

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.221408983       0.119104097  -1.85895     1.000000
11663 LABEAU  ( -1)       0.827125807       0.038439041  21.51786    -3.536653
11661 PBEAU   (  0)      -0.392819364       0.127983507  -3.06930     0.989912

SE of equation            =     0.086367605
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.37998220       0.294209102E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.062069069
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.6689849    
R squared                 =   0.82081
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66173
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!   *      +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!  +      *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!       +              *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!  *              +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +                *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                           *       +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   186 LAADEAU C LADEAU(-1) PDEAU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  186 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOAU=NOPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOAU=LOG(AANOAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOAU=LOG(ANOAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOAU=EXP(LAANOAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  187 LAANOAU C LANOAU(-1) PNOAU;                                         
EQUATION 419  LAANOAU  
   RHS     C  LANOAU(-1)  PNOAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  419 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  419
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.391874425

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.970311278       0.226763712  -4.27895     1.000000
11666 LANOAU  ( -1)       0.818395838       0.043114671  18.98184    -5.391125
11664 PNOAU   (  0)      -0.010889125       0.064993968  -0.16754     0.871435

SE of equation            =     0.193926095
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.95735610      -0.599928995E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.134312906
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.2508263    
R squared                 =   0.67355
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51066
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!            +               *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!              *             +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1985.3!              +                *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.3!                *                 +   !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!             *         +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!            *             +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2! *      +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   188 LAASWAU C LASWAU(-1) PSWAU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  188 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRAU=GRPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRAU=LOG(AAGRAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRAU=LOG(AGRAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRAU=EXP(LAAGRAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  189 LAAGRAU C LAGRAU(-1) PGRAU;                                         
EQUATION 420  LAAGRAU  
   RHS     C  LAGRAU(-1)  PGRAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  420 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  420
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.158479638

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.198744436       0.352899132  -6.23052     1.000000
11669 LAGRAU  ( -1)       0.567954250       0.060995259   9.31145    -6.156280
11667 PGRAU   (  0)      -0.448688943       0.180516336  -2.48559     1.032451

SE of equation            =     0.261304987
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.6318548       0.337054828E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.201097542
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.8063379    
R squared                 =   0.40742
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51468
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!         *           +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!        *           +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +             *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!    *            +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3!         +                            *!          .   .   .          0
 1968.4!             *             +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!             +                  *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.2!              *          +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!  *           +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4!        +                      *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!           *           +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!              +                 *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3!           *              +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!             *    +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                +                 *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!                  *         +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                +            *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!       *             +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!             +             *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                      *    +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!        *           +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!       *           +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!       *         +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1*           +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!           +                *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!              *        +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!               +       *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                     +    *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                       *   +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                *            +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                        +    *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         *   +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                             +      * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                         *     +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         *  +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                           +    *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                       *  +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!             *        +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!       *         +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!         *    +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!   *           +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!      *    +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!  *          +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!     *     +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!      *     +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!  *          +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!          *  +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!         *     +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!         *     +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!              *    +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!         *      +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!         *       +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     *       +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!           *      +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!     *         +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!    *     +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!         *      +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!         *     +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!       *       +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!       *  +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!     *     +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRAU=IRPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRAU=LOG(AAIRAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRAU=LOG(AIRAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRAU=EXP(LAAIRAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  190 LAAIRAU C LAIRAU(-1) PIRAU;                                         
EQUATION 421  LAAIRAU  
   RHS     C  LAIRAU(-1)  PIRAU  
 SMPL 1974.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
 OLS;EST  421 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  421
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRAU 

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.863356145

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.415033307       0.162398077  -2.55565     1.000000
11672 LAIRAU  ( -1)       0.889795138       0.033476266  26.57988    -5.877906
11670 PIRAU   (  0)      -0.188197303       0.141989225  -1.32543     1.159372

SE of equation            =     0.207518977
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.58881128       0.244284593E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.148558893
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.1751873    
R squared                 =   0.88726
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.03198
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.1!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.1*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.3!*        +                            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.4!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                  *     +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.2!                              *      +!!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !


     19.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOAU=POPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOAU=LOG(AAPOAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOAU=LOG(APOAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOAU=EXP(LAAPOAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  191 LAAPOAU C LAPOAU(-1) PPOAU;                                         
EQUATION 422  LAAPOAU  
   RHS     C  LAPOAU(-1)  PPOAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  422 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  422
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.886418377

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.828960391       0.233953757  -3.54327     1.000000
11675 LAPOAU  ( -1)       0.852268194       0.038433792  22.17497    -5.886054
11673 PPOAU   (  0)      -0.033985993       0.061871161  -0.54930     1.205243

SE of equation            =     0.158661282
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.65707946       0.336841666E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.121039979
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.7555161    
R squared                 =   0.72817
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68391
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!                  *        +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                   *       +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!       *         +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.1!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1976.2!      *             +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1976.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4! *         +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.1!   +      *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.4*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .        0!
 1992.1!                           *       +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!                    *        +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                     *       +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.1!                      *        +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!        *        +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2001.1!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPAU=SPPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPAU=LOG(AASPAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPAU=LOG(ASPAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPAU=EXP(LAASPAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  192 LAASPAU C LASPAU(-1) PSPAU;                                         
EQUATION 423  LAASPAU  
   RHS     C  LASPAU(-1)  PSPAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  423 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  423
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.977183713

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.099811008       0.066343490  -1.50446     1.000000
11678 LASPAU  ( -1)       0.911355836       0.025369521  35.92326    -4.990415
11676 PSPAU   (  0)      -0.279086387       0.090869120  -3.07130     1.180026

SE of equation            =     0.152563172
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.30597145       0.296793701E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.112082896
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.0715845    
R squared                 =   0.96791
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60713
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!  *     +                             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1967.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!*    +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1*+                                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2+ *                                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4! * +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!   *      +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.1!      * +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!       +                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!             *     +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!            *   +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                *  +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!               *   +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                      *  +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                    + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                     *+!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   193 LAANZAU C LANZAU(-1) PNZAU;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  193 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  194 LAASAAU C LASAAU(-1) PSAAU;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  194 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  195 LAAVEAU C LAVEAU(-1) PVEAU;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  195 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   196 LAACOAU C LACOAU(-1) PCOAU;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  196 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   197 LAAJOAU C LAJOAU(-1) PJOAU;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  197 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYAU=SYPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYAU=LOG(AASYAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYAU=LOG(ASYAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYAU=EXP(LAASYAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  198 LAASYAU C LASYAU(-1) PSYAU;                                         
EQUATION 424  LAASYAU  
   RHS     C  LASYAU(-1)  PSYAU  
 SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   149 to   244
 OLS;EST  424 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  424
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYAU 

 1989.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   96 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.441406250

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.841186469       0.807719076  -2.27949     1.000000
11681 LASYAU  ( -1)       0.711564375       0.072485317   9.81667    -8.457840
11679 PSYAU   (  0)      -0.544978061       0.681731637  -0.79940     1.067790

SE of equation            =     1.255335256
Sum of squared residuals  =  146.555594      -0.462385685E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.949752748
Sum of ABS residuals      =  91.1762638    
R squared                 =   0.54629
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20386
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.1   2012.4     96

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.1!    +            *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!         +         *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!   *               +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.1!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!      *       +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!  *       +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1*         +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!   *     +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1! *             +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4! *    +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!   *       +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!  *    +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!*     +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!     +                     *          !!         .    .    .         0
 2000.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!          *              +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.4!            +          *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                       +            * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                       +         *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.1!                        *   +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!      *            +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.1!         +               *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2005.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!         *               +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.4!            +         *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.1!                     +          *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.2!            *               +         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2006.3!              +                     * !!         .    .    .         0
 2006.4!                               +   *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                     *        +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                       *   +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!                            *    +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!                        *     +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!         *             +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !


     30.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.21 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDAU=IDPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDAU=LOG(AAIDAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDAU=LOG(AIDAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDAU=EXP(LAAIDAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  199 LAAIDAU C LAIDAU(-1) PIDAU;                                         
EQUATION 425  LAAIDAU  
   RHS     C  LAIDAU(-1)  PIDAU  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST  425 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  425
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDAU 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.864349166

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.882943142       0.296821661  -2.97466     1.000000
11684 LAIDAU  ( -1)       0.789025797       0.046735662  16.88274    -6.874491
11682 PIDAU   (  0)      -0.482131460       0.169109909  -2.85099     1.155817

SE of equation            =     0.347314854
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.2497479       0.279483103E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.213519954
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.1739132    
R squared                 =   0.74191
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19990
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!  *       +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3*       +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.4!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!               *      +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                    +                 *!           .  .  .           0
 2009.1!                       *          +   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2010.4!                          +           *!           .  .  .      0    !
 2011.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                    *         +       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !


     12.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAAU=MAPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAAU=LOG(AAMAAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAAU=LOG(AMAAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAAU=EXP(LAAMAAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  200 LAAMAAU C LAMAAU(-1) PMAAU;                                         
EQUATION 426  LAAMAAU  
   RHS     C  LAMAAU(-1)  PMAAU  
 SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   109 to   244
 OLS;EST  426 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  426
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAAU 

 1979.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  136 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.241757547

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.569150080       0.210945622  -2.69809     1.000000
11687 LAMAAU  ( -1)       0.890286962       0.037548631  23.71024    -7.248977
11685 PMAAU   (  0)      -0.187863941       0.094082804  -1.99679     1.165404

SE of equation            =     0.293781558
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.4789113      -0.319841931E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.224259739
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4993246    
R squared                 =   0.90512
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42136
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2012.4    136

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.1!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.2!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.3!  * +                                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!  *+                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.1!   +                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.2*    +                                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1980.3! +    *                               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1980.4!  *    +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.1!   + *                                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.2!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.3!   +                                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4! *  +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.1!  +*                                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.2!*  +                                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1982.3! +*                                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.4!   +                                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.1!*   +                                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1983.2! +*                                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.3!   +*                                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.4!    +  *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.2*   +                                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.3+   *                                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.4!   +   *                              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1985.1!       +                              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.2!      *+                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!      +  *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.1!      *   +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.2!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1986.3!        + *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.4!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.3!            +*                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.4!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.1!            *   +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1988.2!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.3!            +     *                   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.1!             *    +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.1!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.4!                   + *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.1!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.4!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.1!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.3!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.4!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.2!                       * +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.3!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1993.4!                           * +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                      *  +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.3!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.4!                       +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!                      +               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.3!                   * +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                    *   +             !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.3!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.1!                     *   +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2001.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.4!                            +       * !!        .     .     .        0
 2002.1!                                  +  *!!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.2!                                *  +  !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2003.1!                              *  +    !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2003.3!                                 +   *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.4!                                *   + !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!                               +      *!        .     .     .      0 !
 2004.2!                              *     + !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2004.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.3!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.4!                             +      * !!        .     .     .       0!
 2006.1!                                 * +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.1!                        *       +     !0        .     .     .        !
 2007.2!                      * +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.4!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.1!                     +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.2!                     + *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.3!                       +   *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.4!                     *     +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.1!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.2!                  *   +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.3!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.1!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.2!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.3!                  *  +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.4!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!                    +   *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2011.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.4!                      * +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.1!               *      +               !!0       .     .     .        !
 2012.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.3!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.4!               *  +                   !!        0     .     .        !


     27.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAAU=PAPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAAU=LOG(AAPAAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAAU=LOG(APAAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAAU=EXP(LAAPAAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  201 LAAPAAU C LAPAAU(-1) PPAAU;                                         
EQUATION 427  LAAPAAU  
   RHS     C  LAPAAU(-1)  PPAAU  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  427 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  427
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAAU 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.280816766

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.404133864       0.409536470  -5.87038     1.000000
11690 LAPAAU  ( -1)       0.629367490       0.059049657  10.65828    -8.279957
11688 PPAAU   (  0)      -0.497123035       0.112956399  -4.40102     1.338798

SE of equation            =     0.312699921
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5472173       0.213903562E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.232427648
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.6532789    
R squared                 =   0.67342
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20534
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!       *                +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3*            +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!              +            *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                       +            * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!             *             +          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !


     25.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   202 LAAPHAU C LAPHAU(-1) PPHAU;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  202 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHAU=THPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHAU=LOG(AATHAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHAU=LOG(ATHAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHAU=EXP(LAATHAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  203 LAATHAU C LATHAU(-1) PTHAU;                                         
EQUATION 428  LAATHAU  
   RHS     C  LATHAU(-1)  PTHAU  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST  428 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  428
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHAU 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.745890613

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.440231996       0.231343509  -1.90294     1.000000
11693 LATHAU  ( -1)       0.798920435       0.047219344  16.91935    -6.757252
11691 PTHAU   (  0)      -0.800020925       0.254246666  -3.14663     1.133910

SE of equation            =     0.266315292
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.07825083       0.229594121E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.179978696
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.5772092    
R squared                 =   0.85699
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37840
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3*           +                          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1980.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.2!           *     +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3*           +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!   *          +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!       *        +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                         *     +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     22.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.58 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHAU=CHPX$Q/AUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHAU=LOG(AACHAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHAU=LOG(ACHAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHAU=EXP(LAACHAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  204 LAACHAU C LACHAU(-1) PCHAU;                                         
EQUATION 429  LAACHAU  
   RHS     C  LACHAU(-1)  PCHAU  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  429 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  429
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHAU 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.842622334

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.073990943       0.151402321   0.48870     1.000000
11696 LACHAU  ( -1)       0.942410911       0.027253367  34.57961    -5.863222
11694 PCHAU   (  0)      -0.337160618       0.170443906  -1.97813     1.159828

SE of equation            =     0.266193720
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.71566889       0.372768483E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188205607
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.7139065    
R squared                 =   0.94998
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68119
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1*       +                              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.2+  *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!     *    +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!   *     +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!            *   +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                  *      +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .          0
 2000.4!                        *      +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  205 LAAARAU C LAARAU(-1) PARAU;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  205 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   206 LAABRAU C LABRAU(-1) PBRAU;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  206 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  207 LAACEAU C LACEAU(-1) PCEAU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  207 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  208 LAAMEAU C LAMEAU(-1) PMEAU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  208 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  209 LAAPEAU C LAPEAU(-1) PPEAU;SMPL 2005.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  209 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUAU=TUPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUAU=LOG(AATUAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUAU=LOG(ATUAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUAU=EXP(LAATUAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  210 LAATUAU C LATUAU(-1) PTUAU;                                         
EQUATION 430  LAATUAU  
   RHS     C  LATUAU(-1)  PTUAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  430 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  430
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.584779443

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.737713168       0.211336319  -3.49071     1.000000
11699 LATUAU  ( -1)       0.807657308       0.042999033  18.78315    -5.591105
11697 PTUAU   (  0)      -0.274940228       0.111024501  -2.47639     1.205243

SE of equation            =     0.249074561
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.4770554       0.122426513E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.178929603
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.6387654    
R squared                 =   0.74140
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*             +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!    +     *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!   *          +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4*           +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!         +   *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!  *           +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!   *              +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       +            *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.1!*                    +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!             +            *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                      *          +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                     *         +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          *   +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  211 LAAPDAU C LAPDAU(-1) PPDAU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  211 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  212 LAARUAU C LARUAU(-1) PRUAU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  212 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  213 LAAUEAU C LAUEAU(-1) PUEAU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  213 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  214 LAAEGAU C LAEGAU(-1) PEGAU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  214 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISAU=ISPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISAU=LOG(AAISAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISAU=LOG(AISAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISAU=EXP(LAAISAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  215 LAAISAU C LAISAU(-1) PISAU;                                         
EQUATION 431  LAAISAU  
   RHS     C  LAISAU(-1)  PISAU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  431 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  431
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISAU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.451929825

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.804638759       0.311803729  -2.58059     1.000000
11702 LAISAU  ( -1)       0.856965289       0.039220035  21.85019    -6.447341
11700 PISAU   (  0)      -0.115394335       0.192168686  -0.60048     1.058488

SE of equation            =     0.261041912
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.6064328      -0.432631708E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.190614534
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.8355325    
R squared                 =   0.72314
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39807
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!    *           +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.2!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!            +               *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1967.4!               *          +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!    +                 *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  216 LAAKEAU C LAKEAU(-1) PKEAU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  216 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAAU=BAPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAAU=LOG(AABAAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAAU=LOG(ABAAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAAU=EXP(LAABAAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  217 LAABAAU C LABAAU(-1) PBAAU;                                         
EQUATION 432  LAABAAU  
   RHS     C  LABAAU(-1)  PBAAU  
 SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   137 to   244
 OLS;EST  432 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  432
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAAU 

 1986.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  108 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.930677523

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.268184751       0.476756983  -2.66002     1.000000
11705 LABAAU  ( -1)       0.728036398       0.067853772  10.72949    -8.959313
11703 PBAAU   (  0)      -0.966014547       0.463704755  -2.08325     1.179886

SE of equation            =     0.512148035
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.5410391       0.197175609E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.310134360
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4945109    
R squared                 =   0.71947
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36364
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.1   2012.4    108

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.1*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!  +*                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3! *    +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1986.4!  *  +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2! *       +                            !!          0 . . .            !
 1987.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!    *    +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!    *    +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2*       +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1988.3!   +                                  *!            . . .            0
 1988.4!                    *           +     !!         0  . . .            !
 1989.1!         *         +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1989.2! *         +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1989.3!     +   *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!             +           *            !!            . . .  0         !
 1990.2!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 1990.3!         *            +               !!         0  . . .            !
 1990.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                    *  +              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!             *         +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1992.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                *    +                !!            0 . .            !
 1993.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                   *   +              !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                        +    *        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!                         +     *      !!            . . .0           !
 1997.2!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                           +    *     !!            . . 0            !
 1999.4!                         *    +       !!            0 . .            !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                      +    *          !!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                     +     *          !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                             +       *!!            . . .0           !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                               +      *!            . . .0           !
 2007.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                              +    *  !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                                 +   *!!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !


     12.96 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKAU=HKPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKAU=LOG(AAHKAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKAU=LOG(AHKAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKAU=EXP(LAAHKAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  218 LAAHKAU C LAHKAU(-1) PHKAU;                                         
EQUATION 433  LAAHKAU  
   RHS     C  LAHKAU(-1)  PHKAU  
 SMPL 1968.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    68 to   244
 OLS;EST  433 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  433
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKAU 

 1968.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  177 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.549711277

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.328100665       0.108677254  -3.01904     1.000000
11708 LAHKAU  ( -1)       0.910751815       0.028399047  32.06980    -5.559797
11706 PHKAU   (  0)      -0.102240290       0.043595182  -2.34522     1.545525

SE of equation            =     0.179171585
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.58582748       0.118438592E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.140261360
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8262608    
R squared                 =   0.95736
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15983
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.4   2012.4    177

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.4!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!     +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!   *+                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!*+                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3*+                                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!+    *                                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.2!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!         *   +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!            + *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!             +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .         0
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                         +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                     *  +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                       +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                   *+                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                     *  +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                    *  +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                     *   +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                      +               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                       + *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!                               +*     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                                  * + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                                    + *!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                                   * +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                               *  +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                           *   +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                          *   +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                          *+          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                        *   +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                       *   +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!         .0   .    .         !


     27.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIAU=SIPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIAU=LOG(AASIAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIAU=LOG(ASIAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIAU=EXP(LAASIAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  219 LAASIAU C LASIAU(-1) PSIAU;                                         
EQUATION 434  LAASIAU  
   RHS     C  LASIAU(-1)  PSIAU  
 SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    96 to   244
 OLS;EST  434 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  434
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIAU 

 1975.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  149 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.968355046

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.492660869       0.194061902  -2.53868     1.000000
11711 LASIAU  ( -1)       0.911789702       0.033976079  26.83622    -6.976618
11709 PSIAU   (  0)      -0.076869789       0.058173202  -1.32140     1.489348

SE of equation            =     0.248434617
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.01108483      -0.271427325E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188289276
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.0551021    
R squared                 =   0.89981
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29891
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.4   2012.4    149

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4! +     *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!*      +                              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3! +     *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1! *   +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.1!      *      +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.1!                          *      +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                  *     +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                *    +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .          0
 2011.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.48 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.37 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIAU=VIPX$/AUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIAU=LOG(AAVIAU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIAU=LOG(AVIAU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIAU=EXP(LAAVIAU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  220 LAAVIAU C LAVIAU(-1) PVIAU;                                         
EQUATION 435  LAAVIAU  
   RHS     C  LAVIAU(-1)  PVIAU  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  435 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  435
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIAU 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.772366014

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.285054656       0.733397688  -0.38868     1.000000
11714 LAVIAU  ( -1)       0.847214682       0.057201447  14.81107    -7.841497
11712 PVIAU   (  0)      -0.783330577       0.657514237  -1.19135     1.077298

SE of equation            =     0.592069649
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.4975428      -0.220090612E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.495767923
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.6191131    
R squared                 =   0.74005
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.01636
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3! + *                                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.4*      +                               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1991.1!   +     *                            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1991.2!           + *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!        *     +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.4!      *   +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.1!         +    *                       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1992.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.3!            *   +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.1!            +    *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.2!            *    +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.3!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.4!       *    +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1994.1!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.2!        *  +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.3!          +  *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!           *  +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.2!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.3!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.4!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.1!        *    +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.2!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.1!         + *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.4!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!          *  +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.2!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.4!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.1!            +       *                 !!        .     .     .        0
 1999.2!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.4!               *    +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2000.1!               +  *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.2!             *   +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.3!             +   *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.4!             *  +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!             +       *                !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2001.2!            *      +                  !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2001.3!            +    *                    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2001.4!             *   +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2002.1!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2002.2!              *    +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.3!              +   *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.4!            *     +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2003.1!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2003.2!                *   +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.4!               *   +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!                +     *               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2004.2!                  *   +               !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.3!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                  *  +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2005.2!                    *   +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.3!                    + *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.2!                   *    +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.4!                   *   +              !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!                    + *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!                     + *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.4!                     * +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.1!                     + *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.2!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2011.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!                              +    *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2012.3!                                +   * !!        .     .     .0       !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!        .     .     .0       !


     35.56 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  221 LAANIAU C LANIAU(-1) PNIAU;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  221 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  222 LAAALAU C LAALAU(-1) PALAU;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  222 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  223 LAAIAAU C LAIAAU(-1) PIAAU;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  223 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  224 LAAINAU C LAINAU(-1) PINAU;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  224 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  225 LAAIQAU C LAIQAU(-1) PIQAU;SMPL 2007.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  225 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  226 LAAKUAU C LAKUAU(-1) PKUAU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  226 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  227 LAALIAU C LALIAU(-1) PLIAU;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  227 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  228 LAAUAAU C LAUAAU(-1) PUAAU;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  228 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSFR=USPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSFR=LOG(AAUSFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSFR=LOG(AUSFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSFR=EXP(LAAUSFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  229 LAAUSFR C LAUSFR(-1) PUSFR;                                         
EQUATION 436  LAAUSFR  
   RHS     C  LAUSFR(-1)  PUSFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  436 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  436
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.956137386

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.995796740       0.153329108  -6.49451     1.000000
11717 LAUSFR  ( -1)       0.656665835       0.050806618  12.92481    -2.953486
11715 PUSFR   (  0)      -0.015472785       0.021839315  -0.70848     1.349926

SE of equation            =     0.088752862
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.45725804      -0.279287704E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071699595
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.4795239    
R squared                 =   0.47502
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30499
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        *            +!! 0      .     .     .        !
 1966.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.3!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1966.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.1!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1967.2!                        +       *     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1967.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.4!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1968.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1968.3!                  *  +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.4!                +*                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.1!   *            +                     !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1969.2!       +    *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1969.3!        *    +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1969.4!          +  *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.1!             +   *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1970.2!                +     *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1970.3!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.4!                +     *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.1!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.2!              *    +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.3!               +   *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1971.4!         *        +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1972.1!           +         *                !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1972.2!     *             +                  !!0       .     .     .        !
 1972.3!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!           +             *            !!        .     .     .       0!
 1973.1!                     +     *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.2!                *      +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.3!       *        +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.1!          +       *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1974.2!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.4!             +        *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1975.1!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1975.2!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.3!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.1!   *              +                   !0        .     .     .        !
 1976.2!       +   *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1976.3!       *     +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1977.1!     *       +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1977.2!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1977.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.1!     *    +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.2!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.3!           +     *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.4!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.2!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.4!                 +           *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1980.1!                         +            *!        .     .     .       0!
 1980.2!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.3!                           +   *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.4!                          +     *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.1!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.3!             *      +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1981.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.1!           *      +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1982.2!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.4!               +     *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.1!           *       +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1983.2!       *    +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.3! *        +                           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1983.4!      +  *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.1!  *        +                          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1984.2!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1984.3!   *    +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.4!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.1!  *       +                           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1985.2!  *   +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1985.3*      +                               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.4!     + *                              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.1!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.2!     *      +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1986.3!         + *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.4!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.1!      *        +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.3!     *       +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.4!         +         *                  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.2!               +   *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.4!                +     *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.1!                          +     *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                        +        *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                   +         *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1993.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1993.2!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.4!                  +      *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.1!                *     +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!                 +       *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.1!               *      +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.3!           *     +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.4!             +     *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.1!             *    +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.4!             +        *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1997.1!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!                +       *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!                +         *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1999.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.3!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.4!                +      *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.1!             *      +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.2!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!             +     *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.2!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!         *     +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2002.4!           +      *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2003.1!    *            +                    !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2003.2!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.3!   *        +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2003.4!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.1!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!        *     +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.4!           +   *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2005.1!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.3!        *    +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.4!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.1!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.4!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.1!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.2!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.3!             * +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.3!             *     +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.1!           *      +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.2!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.4!             +     *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.1!       *          +                   !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2011.2!      *   +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.3!      *   +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.4!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.1!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   230 LAACAFR C LACAFR(-1) PCAFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  230 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAFR=JAPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAFR=LOG(AAJAFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAFR=LOG(AJAFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAFR=EXP(LAAJAFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  231 LAAJAFR C LAJAFR(-1) PJAFR;                                         
EQUATION 437  LAAJAFR  
   RHS     C  LAJAFR(-1)  PJAFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  437 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  437
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.387114784

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.173658843       0.074137522  -2.34239     1.000000
11720 LAJAFR  ( -1)       0.955800198       0.024077779  39.69636    -4.394611
11718 PJAFR   (  0)      -0.008236876       0.026957161  -0.30555     1.588717

SE of equation            =     0.103253242
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.97232794       0.466151562E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.075465966
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.1876017    
R squared                 =   0.96656
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26726
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!   *   +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.2!    +*                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!    * +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!     +*                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!       +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!     * +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!      +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!    *   +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1971.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!               +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!            *   +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!          *  +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!                       *    +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                    *  +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.4!                         *   +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                        *  +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                            *    +    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                           * +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                         * +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!         0.   .   .          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUFR=AUPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUFR=LOG(AAAUFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUFR=LOG(AAUFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUFR=EXP(LAAAUFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  232 LAAAUFR C LAAUFR(-1) PAUFR;                                         
EQUATION 438  LAAAUFR  
   RHS     C  LAAUFR(-1)  PAUFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  438 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  438
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.968020528

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.053334589       0.058607034  -0.91004     1.000000
11723 LAAUFR  ( -1)       0.983266073       0.024272104  40.51013    -4.975098
11721 PAUFR   (  0)      -0.019840711       0.073234008  -0.27092     1.151235

SE of equation            =     0.067816309
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.850824584      -0.940403311E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.046243302
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.69374084    
R squared                 =   0.97884
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46791
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*     +                               !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+  *                                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3*   +                                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.4+ *                                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!  + *                                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!  *  +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.4!   +                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1! *  +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!    +  *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!   *   +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1969.3!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!      +                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!      + *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!    *   +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4*   +                                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!+       *                             !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!     *  +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!       *+                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!         +                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!          +*                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                        * +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                         +            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                          +*          !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                           *  +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                 * +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.3!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  .      0    !
 2012.4!                                    * +!          0.  .  .           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   233 LAAGEFR C LAGEFR(-1) PGEFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  233 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITFR=ITPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITFR=LOG(AAITFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITFR=LOG(AITFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITFR=EXP(LAAITFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  234 LAAITFR C LAITFR(-1) PITFR;                                         
EQUATION 439  LAAITFR  
   RHS     C  LAITFR(-1)  PITFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  439 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  439
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.139480889

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.114799670       0.050447909  -2.27561     1.000000
11726 LAITFR  ( -1)       0.934093334       0.038724003  24.12182    -2.139787
11724 PITFR   (  0)      -0.026002777       0.069347704  -0.37496     0.996839

SE of equation            =     0.059750069
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.660463081      -0.413578061E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.043404406
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.16002825    
R squared                 =   0.89794
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52715
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2!+        *                            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1966.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                 *         +          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!             *       +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!                         *    +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3!                                 *   +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!               *      +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2000.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEFR=NEPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEFR=LOG(AANEFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEFR=LOG(ANEFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEFR=EXP(LAANEFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  235 LAANEFR C LANEFR(-1) PNEFR;                                         
EQUATION 440  LAANEFR  
   RHS     C  LANEFR(-1)  PNEFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  440 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  440
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.765665470

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.157232937       0.072498783  -2.16877     1.000000
11729 LANEFR  ( -1)       0.922955652       0.036933757  24.98949    -2.770021
11727 PNEFR   (  0)      -0.039389886       0.030579873  -1.28810     1.315712

SE of equation            =     0.060277257
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.672169327       0.534994271E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.043329249
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.14589878    
R squared                 =   0.92267
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23764
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*          +                           !0           .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+     *                               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1971.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!                    + *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                 *  +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!            +        *                !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1974.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                  *   +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                  *   +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                 *   +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTFR=STPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTFR=LOG(AASTFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTFR=LOG(ASTFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTFR=EXP(LAASTFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  236 LAASTFR C LASTFR(-1) PSTFR;                                         
EQUATION 441  LAASTFR  
   RHS     C  LASTFR(-1)  PSTFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  441 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  441
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.554987954

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.471521403       0.115411864  -4.08555     1.000000
11732 LASTFR  ( -1)       0.822539254       0.043572449  18.87751    -3.551267
11730 PSTFR   (  0)      -0.160443377       0.066873598  -2.39920     1.012256

SE of equation            =     0.059036813
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.644788881       0.353179708E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.043056710
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.09466152    
R squared                 =   0.83058
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28279
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         *           +!!   0       .  .  .           !
 1966.2!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                            +       * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!          *       +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +                *          !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!           *      +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!      *      +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2008.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!+   *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKFR=UKPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKFR=LOG(AAUKFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKFR=LOG(AUKFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKFR=EXP(LAAUKFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  237 LAAUKFR C LAUKFR(-1) PUKFR;                                         
EQUATION 442  LAAUKFR  
   RHS     C  LAUKFR(-1)  PUKFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  442 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  442
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.666028532

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.157816881       0.074899423  -2.10705     1.000000
11735 LAUKFR  ( -1)       0.936348856       0.025916856  36.12895    -2.666481
11733 PUKFR   (  0)      -0.010168106       0.044548928  -0.22825     1.126624

SE of equation            =     0.079884477
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.18058299      -0.176125781E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.055513118
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4364662    
R squared                 =   0.88292
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16240
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!+*                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!  *       +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!   +         *                        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1974.2!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                    +             *   !!           .  .  .           0
 2006.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.3!                       *             +!!0          .  .  .           !
 2006.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!             *     +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIFR=FIPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIFR=LOG(AAFIFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIFR=LOG(AFIFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIFR=EXP(LAAFIFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  238 LAAFIFR C LAFIFR(-1) PFIFR;                                         
EQUATION 443  LAAFIFR  
   RHS     C  LAFIFR(-1)  PFIFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  443 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  443
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.156114330

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.920755883       0.218024461  -4.22318     1.000000
11738 LAFIFR  ( -1)       0.811427481       0.043903951  18.48188    -5.153929
11736 PFIFR   (  0)      -0.049482546       0.055477328  -0.89194     1.077534

SE of equation            =     0.108925741
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.19499117      -0.749444951E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.083436848
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6861274    
R squared                 =   0.67192
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33201
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.3!                   *      +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.2!                       *   +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                 *     +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!                *      +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!               *      +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!              +         *             !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!               *       +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!       *     +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3*          +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 1975.4!   +          *                       !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.1!         *     +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!   *      +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                *      +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.3!         *       +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.3!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.2!                              +      *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.3!                       *          +   !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                           +        * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.1!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                 *          +         !!0        .    .    .         !
 2009.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   239 LAAASFR C LAASFR(-1) PASFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  239 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   240 LAASOFR C LASOFR(-1) PSOFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  240 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOFR=KOPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOFR=LOG(AAKOFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOFR=LOG(AKOFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOFR=EXP(LAAKOFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  241 LAAKOFR C LAKOFR(-1) PKOFR;                                         
EQUATION 444  LAAKOFR  
   RHS     C  LAKOFR(-1)  PKOFR  
 SMPL 1969.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    71 to   244
 OLS;EST  444 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  444
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOFR 

 1969.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  174 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.960895497

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.755794908       0.188245469  -4.01494     1.000000
11741 LAKOFR  ( -1)       0.819769467       0.042723281  19.18789    -5.976831
11739 PKOFR   (  0)      -0.172593564       0.053142858  -3.24773     1.769923

SE of equation            =     0.284841582
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.8740383      -0.196980210E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.188636907
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.8228218    
R squared                 =   0.89252
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30084
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.3   2012.4    174

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.3!     +          *                     !!           .  .  .           0
 1969.4!           *  +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!      +         *                     !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1970.4!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!          *   +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!       *    +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!    *   +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3*      +                               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!  *  +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!       *  +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.3!                          *    +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2010.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                             +        *!           .  .  .         0 !
 2011.2!                              *     + !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                         *    +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !


     21.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEFR=BEPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEFR=LOG(AABEFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEFR=LOG(ABEFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEFR=EXP(LAABEFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  242 LAABEFR C LABEFR(-1) PBEFR;                                         
EQUATION 445  LAABEFR  
   RHS     C  LABEFR(-1)  PBEFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  445 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  445
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.140420765

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.506059724       0.100475321  -5.03666     1.000000
11744 LABEFR  ( -1)       0.747681794       0.051761963  14.44462    -2.140652
11742 PBEFR   (  0)      -0.030662367       0.027064625  -1.13293     1.103464

SE of equation            =     0.048506923
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.435290487       0.550421930E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.033989641
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.39005248    
R squared                 =   0.60871
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24235
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*                +                     !!0          .  .  .           !
 1966.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                            +         *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1973.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                 *         +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                  +                *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                     *      +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                    *     +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                 *      +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 2003.2!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEFR=DEPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEFR=LOG(AADEFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEFR=LOG(ADEFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEFR=EXP(LAADEFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  243 LAADEFR C LADEFR(-1) PDEFR;                                         
EQUATION 446  LAADEFR  
   RHS     C  LADEFR(-1)  PDEFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  446 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  446
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.878959598

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.515966426       0.144056479  -3.58170     1.000000
11747 LADEFR  ( -1)       0.855656082       0.040028569  21.37613    -4.880385
11745 PDEFR   (  0)      -0.161917042       0.058498196  -2.76790     1.155294

SE of equation            =     0.087375986
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.41239414      -0.944044842E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.065519629
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.3176903    
R squared                 =   0.90905
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38859
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!   *     +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.1!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!*     +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                        *        +    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                       *     +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                             *   +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                   *         +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                             *    +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.4!                                 *   +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOFR=NOPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOFR=LOG(AANOFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOFR=LOG(ANOFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOFR=EXP(LAANOFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  244 LAANOFR C LANOFR(-1) PNOFR;                                         
EQUATION 447  LAANOFR  
   RHS     C  LANOFR(-1)  PNOFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  447 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  447
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.542560307

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.152066443       0.090112610  -1.68752     1.000000
11750 LANOFR  ( -1)       0.946072044       0.022930873  41.25757    -4.546779
11748 PNOFR   (  0)      -0.092207463       0.069846677  -1.32014     0.964279

SE of equation            =     0.187431438
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.49915065       0.368194364E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.137529753
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.8555936    
R squared                 =   0.93000
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69786
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *     +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.4!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.4!       *       +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.1!         *        +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1972.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!      *      +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!    *        +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!       *       +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.1!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!*    +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4*      +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!            *          +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.4!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   245 LAASWFR C LASWFR(-1) PSWFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  245 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   246 LAAGRFR C LAGRFR(-1) PGRFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  246 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRFR=IRPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRFR=LOG(AAIRFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRFR=LOG(AIRFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRFR=EXP(LAAIRFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  247 LAAIRFR C LAIRFR(-1) PIRFR;                                         
EQUATION 448  LAAIRFR  
   RHS     C  LAIRFR(-1)  PIRFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  448 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  448
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.048548682

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.100525222       0.056783254  -1.77033     1.000000
11753 LAIRFR  ( -1)       0.954092863       0.023457013  40.67410    -5.059645
11751 PIRFR   (  0)      -0.089907175       0.073510572  -1.22305     1.341961

SE of equation            =     0.133881203
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.31597264       0.697486513E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.094054832
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6823085    
R squared                 =   0.97725
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31606
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2! *  +                                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.3! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!  * +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .         0!
 1968.2!    *    +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.3! *   +                                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!     +                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!  * +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3*    +                                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.1!   *  +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!         * +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!            +                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!      *      +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!     *   +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!   *  +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           +                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!           *  +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1977.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                     *  +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                 *   +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                * +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                              * +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOFR=POPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOFR=LOG(AAPOFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOFR=LOG(APOFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOFR=EXP(LAAPOFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  248 LAAPOFR C LAPOFR(-1) PPOFR;                                         
EQUATION 449  LAAPOFR  
   RHS     C  LAPOFR(-1)  PPOFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  449 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  449
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.166354069

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.150742854       0.069071122  -2.18243     1.000000
11756 LAPOFR  ( -1)       0.927488905       0.024310175  38.15229    -5.175165
11754 PPOFR   (  0)      -0.159788830       0.060214856  -2.65364     1.349926

SE of equation            =     0.121724295
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.74110872      -0.185984561E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.086294727
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.2234086    
R squared                 =   0.97282
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69621
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.2!   +*                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2! * +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3*  +                                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.4+    *                                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!*   +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!   *    +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4! *          +                         !0           .  .  .           !
 1974.1! +       *                            !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1974.2!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!       *     +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!   *    +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1976.2!      *   +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!  *  +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1977.2!     *  +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!         * +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                   *  +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                 *   +!!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                              * +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2001.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                  * + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPFR=SPPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPFR=LOG(AASPFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPFR=LOG(ASPFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPFR=EXP(LAASPFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  249 LAASPFR C LASPFR(-1) PSPFR;                                         
EQUATION 450  LAASPFR  
   RHS     C  LASPFR(-1)  PSPFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  450 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  450
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.325262635

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.074171700       0.037203923  -1.99365     1.000000
11759 LASPFR  ( -1)       0.930067686       0.029590531  31.43126    -3.338965
11757 PSPFR   (  0)      -0.109147422       0.060155833  -1.81441     1.334229

SE of equation            =     0.116115558
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.49432220       0.588684657E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.076244580
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.3339810    
R squared                 =   0.98044
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77961
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.2+      *                               !!           .  .  .           0
 1966.3!  *   +                               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.4!*+                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!+    *                                !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1967.2! *    +                               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1967.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.4! *  +                                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2! +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3! +  *                                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.4!*   +                                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1969.1! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!   + *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.4!     *   +                            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1971.1!      + *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.3!           * +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.1!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!           * +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!          *+                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!           * +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!               + *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!              * +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                   *    +             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                     + *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                         + *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                           +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                               +     *!!           .  .  .        0  !
 1993.2!                               *     +!!   0       .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                             *  +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                                   +* !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                   + *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                    *+!!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                     *+!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                     *+!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   250 LAANZFR C LANZFR(-1) PNZFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  250 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  251 LAASAFR C LASAFR(-1) PSAFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  251 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  252 LAAVEFR C LAVEFR(-1) PVEFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  252 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOFR=COPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOFR=LOG(AACOFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOFR=LOG(ACOFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOFR=EXP(LAACOFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  253 LAACOFR C LACOFR(-1) PCOFR;                                         
EQUATION 451  LAACOFR  
   RHS     C  LACOFR(-1)  PCOFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  451 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  451
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.528521686

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.192040764       0.577557927  -7.25822     1.000000
11762 LACOFR  ( -1)       0.400275678       0.082263174   4.86579    -7.536808
11760 PCOFR   (  0)      -0.236218451       0.076479600  -3.08865     1.353324

SE of equation            =     0.347829607
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8812085      -0.686650736E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.262036745
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.0166298    
R squared                 =   0.33775
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15130
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1994.3!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2004.3!       *                 +            !!0         .   .   .          !
 2004.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      *           +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2012.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOFR=JOPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOFR=LOG(AAJOFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOFR=LOG(AJOFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOFR=EXP(LAAJOFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  254 LAAJOFR C LAJOFR(-1) PJOFR;                                         
EQUATION 452  LAAJOFR  
   RHS     C  LAJOFR(-1)  PJOFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  452 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  452
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.413100861

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.897987054       0.549992903  -3.45093     1.000000
11765 LAJOFR  ( -1)       0.806621766       0.053426353  15.09783   -10.403922
11763 PJOFR   (  0)      -0.104562969       0.173374649  -0.60310     1.177124

SE of equation            =     0.462698178
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.3330213      -0.222328822E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.331822575
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.8096444    
R squared                 =   0.66492
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37543
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!            *       +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!           +         *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                          +         * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!                     *         +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.1!                              *  +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                +            *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                *          +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                +         *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!   *                  +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1990.4!     +            *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!               *             +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!*          +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2*        +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!  +      *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3! *       +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.4! * +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!   +  *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!     +        *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!   *        +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.3!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!   *       +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!   * +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1! *    +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!  *       +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!     + *                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!     +        *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!    +     *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!*            +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.2!  *+                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!    +*                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!  *  +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!*  +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3*   +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!*   +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4! * +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3! * +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!  +  *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !


     29.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYFR=SYPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYFR=LOG(AASYFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYFR=LOG(ASYFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYFR=EXP(LAASYFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  255 LAASYFR C LASYFR(-1) PSYFR;                                         
EQUATION 453  LAASYFR  
   RHS     C  LASYFR(-1)  PSYFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  453 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  453
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.472541484

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.430150569       0.328797227  -4.34964     1.000000
11768 LASYFR  ( -1)       0.779275669       0.050349937  15.47719    -7.462484
11766 PSYFR   (  0)      -0.073220806       0.027712488  -2.64216     3.101012

SE of equation            =     0.665737571
Sum of squared residuals  =  81.9932049      -0.918287668E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.486734180
Sum of ABS residuals      =  91.5060259    
R squared                 =   0.74361
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14449
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.3!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!                *     +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!   *       +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.3!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.1!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3! *      +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4! *  +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!    *        +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1977.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!          *          +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.2! *         +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1980.3!    +        *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.4!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!  *         +                         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.3!    +         *                       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1985.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                  *      +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.3!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 2004.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.1!                         *         +  !!0        .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                *        +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                *         +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2012.1!           *      +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.2!   *         +                        !!0        .    .    .         !
 2012.3! *      +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDFR=IDPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDFR=LOG(AAIDFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDFR=LOG(AIDFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDFR=EXP(LAAIDFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  256 LAAIDFR C LAIDFR(-1) PIDFR;                                         
EQUATION 454  LAAIDFR  
   RHS     C  LAIDFR(-1)  PIDFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  454 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  454
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.126163914

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.584194771       0.188329404  -3.10198     1.000000
11771 LAIDFR  ( -1)       0.880569568       0.035029566  25.13790    -6.135017
11769 PIDFR   (  0)      -0.098705018       0.045632156  -2.16306     1.414924

SE of equation            =     0.220527614
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.99699931      -0.258806310E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.161969254
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4502198    
R squared                 =   0.84270
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44405
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!               *      +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2*      +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!       *        +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!       *      +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!             *     +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!          *      +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.2!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!    *          +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!    *           +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAFR=MAPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAFR=LOG(AAMAFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAFR=LOG(AMAFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAFR=EXP(LAAMAFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  257 LAAMAFR C LAMAFR(-1) PMAFR;                                         
EQUATION 455  LAAMAFR  
   RHS     C  LAMAFR(-1)  PMAFR  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  455 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  455
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAFR 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.231101787

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.786910348       0.162187928  -4.85184     1.000000
11774 LAMAFR  ( -1)       0.830123968       0.032758858  25.34044    -6.235565
11772 PMAFR   (  0)      -0.189837548       0.038217483  -4.96730     1.411205

SE of equation            =     0.142601390
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.63999298      -0.548867618E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.105481676
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1976650    
R squared                 =   0.94243
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41993
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!       *       +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3! +    *                               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                     *      +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!               *        +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .          0
 2001.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              *   +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !


     29.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAFR=PAPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAFR=LOG(AAPAFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAFR=LOG(APAFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAFR=EXP(LAAPAFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  258 LAAPAFR C LAPAFR(-1) PPAFR;                                         
EQUATION 456  LAAPAFR  
   RHS     C  LAPAFR(-1)  PPAFR  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  456 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  456
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAFR 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.442810732

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.435664721       0.284915305  -5.03892     1.000000
11777 LAPAFR  ( -1)       0.764607091       0.046167885  16.56145    -7.449254
11775 PPAFR   (  0)      -0.212763767       0.053713709  -3.96107     1.463564

SE of equation            =     0.157892578
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.96388052      -0.275575118E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.121751061
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.7236718    
R squared                 =   0.87515
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35243
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!         *     +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.3*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.4!+     *                               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!  *     +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!         *       +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!      *        +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !


     28.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHFR=PHPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHFR=LOG(AAPHFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHFR=LOG(APHFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHFR=EXP(LAAPHFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  259 LAAPHFR C LAPHFR(-1) PPHFR;                                         
EQUATION 457  LAAPHFR  
   RHS     C  LAPHFR(-1)  PPHFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  457 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  457
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.348203367

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.513429781       0.406164416  -6.18821     1.000000
11780 LAPHFR  ( -1)       0.637219285       0.057826398  11.01952    -7.343231
11778 PPHFR   (  0)      -0.116779907       0.074423322  -1.56913     1.331780

SE of equation            =     0.346694385
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.2364444      -0.914681664E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.224699116
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.2434338    
R squared                 =   0.44519
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95501
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *                +         !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1966.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3*                  +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1966.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!             +                 *      !!           .  .  .          0!
 1967.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1969.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                            +         *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.3!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                     *        +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!                *      +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!              *          +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!            *          +              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                       *      +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                            +       * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !


     15.96 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHFR=THPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHFR=LOG(AATHFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHFR=LOG(ATHFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHFR=EXP(LAATHFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  260 LAATHFR C LATHFR(-1) PTHFR;                                         
EQUATION 458  LAATHFR  
   RHS     C  LATHFR(-1)  PTHFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  458 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  458
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.570390333

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.645687223       0.149518687  -4.31844     1.000000
11783 LATHFR  ( -1)       0.814992322       0.035172172  23.17151    -6.576841
11781 PTHFR   (  0)      -0.412111614       0.083939013  -4.90966     1.370086

SE of equation            =     0.221031614
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.03817026      -0.896527297E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.134429066
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.2726644    
R squared                 =   0.93210
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40311
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1967.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!            +       *                 !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1967.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.1!    *              +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!              +            *          !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1972.4!               *          +           !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1973.1!         *     +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!     *     +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1! +      *                             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2*       +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.3!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!  +    *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!  *    +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2*    +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                  *     +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!               *      +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !


     16.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHFR=CHPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHFR=LOG(AACHFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHFR=LOG(ACHFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHFR=EXP(LAACHFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  261 LAACHFR C LACHFR(-1) PCHFR;                                         
EQUATION 459  LAACHFR  
   RHS     C  LACHFR(-1)  PCHFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  459 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  459
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.840794907

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.113238118       0.103732831   1.09163     1.000000
11786 LACHFR  ( -1)       0.956404021       0.022694500  42.14255    -4.864201
11784 PCHFR   (  0)      -0.248718226       0.127348521  -1.95305     1.213788

SE of equation            =     0.191882682
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.52873251      -0.668309852E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.147140785
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.5397390    
R squared                 =   0.97255
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.98404
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!   * +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!*     +                               !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.2!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1* +                                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2+ *                                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!   * +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.4!       +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!     * +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!      + *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!      *  +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!       + *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.1!      *   +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.2!       +*                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!        +*                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!    *     +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.2!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!      *  +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!       *    +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.2!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!          *+                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!      *    +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!            +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!            *     +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!              *   +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!               *   +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                 *   +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                              +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                                    + !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                     +*!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                                   *  +!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   262 LAAARFR C LAARFR(-1) PARFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  262 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   263 LAABRFR C LABRFR(-1) PBRFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  263 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEFR=CEPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEFR=LOG(AACEFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEFR=LOG(ACEFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEFR=EXP(LAACEFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  264 LAACEFR C LACEFR(-1) PCEFR;                                         
EQUATION 460  LAACEFR  
   RHS     C  LACEFR(-1)  PCEFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  460 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  460
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.409881777

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.068716691       0.252318589  -4.23558     1.000000
11789 LACEFR  ( -1)       0.827297802       0.040835796  20.25913    -6.415556
11787 PCEFR   (  0)      -0.024882833       0.063177124  -0.39386     1.349926

SE of equation            =     0.246393523
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.2313071       0.315258930E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.185759374
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9227623    
R squared                 =   0.70899
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23001
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.3!               +              *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1966.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!             *       +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!         *        +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!       *         +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!  *         +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!     *      +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2007.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   265 LAAMEFR C LAMEFR(-1) PMEFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  265 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEFR=PEPX$Q/FRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEFR=LOG(AAPEFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEFR=LOG(APEFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEFR=EXP(LAAPEFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  266 LAAPEFR C LAPEFR(-1) PPEFR;                                         
EQUATION 461  LAAPEFR  
   RHS     C  LAPEFR(-1)  PPEFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  461 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  461
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.818110941

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.739764592       0.596756279  -7.94255     1.000000
11792 LAPEFR  ( -1)       0.354029020       0.079690265   4.44256    -7.817230
11790 PPEFR   (  0)      -0.340148136       0.073922019  -4.60145     0.913778

SE of equation            =     0.236265158
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.86601069       0.143621115E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.172916011
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.7874173    
R squared                 =   0.37224
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.91051
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.1!                        +           * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!                       +            * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                        +             *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +             *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!              *         +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1*               +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.2!              +                 *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!         *            +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!         *              +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!              *       +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUFR=TUPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUFR=LOG(AATUFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUFR=LOG(ATUFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUFR=EXP(LAATUFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  267 LAATUFR C LATUFR(-1) PTUFR;                                         
EQUATION 462  LAATUFR  
   RHS     C  LATUFR(-1)  PTUFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  462 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  462
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.818758573

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.243458343       0.110870859  -2.19587     1.000000
11795 LATUFR  ( -1)       0.907618327       0.029545010  30.71985    -5.830162
11793 PTUFR   (  0)      -0.210188373       0.076442009  -2.74964     1.349926

SE of equation            =     0.188970273
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.60630637      -0.155209179E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.143768686
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0285130    
R squared                 =   0.94068
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45534
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3+    *                                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!*         +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4*    +                                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.2!      *     +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3! *     +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!   *      +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.2!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!    +       *                         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDFR=PDPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDFR=LOG(AAPDFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDFR=LOG(APDFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDFR=EXP(LAAPDFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  268 LAAPDFR C LAPDFR(-1) PPDFR;                                         
EQUATION 463  LAAPDFR  
   RHS     C  LAPDFR(-1)  PPDFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  463 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  463
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.388744321

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.009482564       0.118643616   0.07992     1.000000
11798 LAPDFR  ( -1)       0.945295511       0.026275609  35.97616    -5.404070
11796 PPDFR   (  0)      -0.238743492       0.112210944  -2.12763     1.213788

SE of equation            =     0.195535995
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.70282199       0.131694655E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.127799794
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.1027740    
R squared                 =   0.95109
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.94320
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!  *    +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!    +*                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3*     +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!+             *                       !!           .  .  .           0
 1989.1! *            +                       !!0          .  .  .           !
 1989.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.2!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.2!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  269 LAARUFR C LARUFR(-1) PRUFR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  269 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  270 LAAUEFR C LAUEFR(-1) PUEFR;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  270 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   271 LAAEGFR C LAEGFR(-1) PEGFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  271 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   272 LAAISFR C LAISFR(-1) PISFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  272 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   273 LAAKEFR C LAKEFR(-1) PKEFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  273 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAFR=BAPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAFR=LOG(AABAFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAFR=LOG(ABAFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAFR=EXP(LAABAFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  274 LAABAFR C LABAFR(-1) PBAFR;                                         
EQUATION 464  LAABAFR  
   RHS     C  LABAFR(-1)  PBAFR  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  464 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  464
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAFR 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.189441953

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.308972915       0.123666347  -2.49844     1.000000
11801 LABAFR  ( -1)       0.920017050       0.021357597  43.07681    -8.206306
11799 PBAFR   (  0)      -0.204604314       0.049522011  -4.13158     1.615448

SE of equation            =     0.231675384
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.53408386       0.104831699E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.165463815
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8051381    
R squared                 =   0.97301
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55354
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!      *    +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!       *   +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!    *  +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!        *  +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.1!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.2!         *   +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!  *     +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!    *   +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!    *   +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!     *    +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!      *   +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2!         *+                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2* +                                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3+  *                                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!              +                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!           *  +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                         +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKFR=HKPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKFR=LOG(AAHKFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKFR=LOG(AHKFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKFR=EXP(LAAHKFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  275 LAAHKFR C LAHKFR(-1) PHKFR;                                         
EQUATION 465  LAAHKFR  
   RHS     C  LAHKFR(-1)  PHKFR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  465 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  465
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKFR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.836805176

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.354663559       0.091764184  -3.86495     1.000000
11804 LAHKFR  ( -1)       0.903261614       0.023547395  38.35930    -5.855110
11802 PHKFR   (  0)      -0.104714433       0.029571695  -3.54104     1.847363

SE of equation            =     0.150473971
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.18884693       0.867395045E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.094788693
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.8202743    
R squared                 =   0.98177
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46507
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *+                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1966.2!   +*                                 !!            . . 0            !
 1966.3!    + *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4*      +                               !!   0        . . .            !
 1967.1!+        *                            !!            . . .            0
 1967.2!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!          +*                          !!            . . 0            !
 1967.4!          *+                          !!            0 . .            !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!           0. . .            !
 1968.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!           +*                         !!            . . 0            !
 1969.1!           *+                         !!            0 . .            !
 1969.2!          *+                          !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3!          + *                         !!            . . . 0          !
 1969.4!            +                         !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!            +                         !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!            +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!            + *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1971.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!             *+                       !!            0 . .            !
 1973.1!     *       +                        !! 0          . . .            !
 1973.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!    * +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.1!   +   *                              !!            . . .   0        !
 1974.2!      *+                              !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!     *+                               !!            0 . .            !
 1974.4!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!       +    *                         !!            . . .     0      !
 1975.2!             +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1976.1!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!               +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!               +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                +                     !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                * +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1978.1!                *+                    !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1978.4!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!                     +                !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.1!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                        *+            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!           0. . .            !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                      +               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                        +             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!            0 . .            !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1988.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                             * +      !!           0. . .            !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                                 +*   !!            . . 0            !
 1992.2!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                                   * +!!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 1995.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                                     +!!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                     +!!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                     +*!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                                     *+!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                     +*!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                     +!!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                     +*!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                                    *+!!            0 . .            !
 2001.1!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                    + !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                     *+!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                     +*!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                      +!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                     *+!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                     *+!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                      +!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                     *+!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                    * +!           0. . .            !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                                    + !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                    + !!            .0. .            !


     12.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIFR=SIPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIFR=LOG(AASIFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIFR=LOG(ASIFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIFR=EXP(LAASIFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  276 LAASIFR C LASIFR(-1) PSIFR;                                         
EQUATION 466  LAASIFR  
   RHS     C  LASIFR(-1)  PSIFR  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  466 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  466
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIFR 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.843947469

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.594357129       0.142678717  -4.16570     1.000000
11807 LASIFR  ( -1)       0.834178593       0.036638776  22.76764    -5.859366
11805 PSIFR   (  0)      -0.205594852       0.048562779  -4.23359     1.759930

SE of equation            =     0.169636352
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.03588611      -0.467554884E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.129235873
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.0039853    
R squared                 =   0.95719
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44738
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4* +                                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1! + *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!  *   +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!        *   +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!      * +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!       *      +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!              *  +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!               *   +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!               +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.1!                    *  +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                 *   +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    * +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                       *   +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.1!                            *  +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                         *  +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2010.4!                               *     +!!  0       .   .   .          !
 2011.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !


     28.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIFR=VIPX$/FRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIFR=LOG(AAVIFR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIFR=LOG(AVIFR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIFR=EXP(LAAVIFR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  277 LAAVIFR C LAVIFR(-1) PVIFR;                                         
EQUATION 467  LAAVIFR  
   RHS     C  LAVIFR(-1)  PVIFR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  467 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  467
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIFR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.571713601

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.094591799       0.201541983  -0.46934     1.000000
11810 LAVIFR  ( -1)       0.887679294       0.040887418  21.71033    -7.603982
11808 PVIFR   (  0)      -0.599136023       0.260943424  -2.29604     1.213788

SE of equation            =     0.357663722
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.7345706      -0.263433719E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.262599145
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.0874922    
R squared                 =   0.92599
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45758
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2! *       +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!*       +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.4! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!   *       +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.4!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 *     +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  278 LAANIFR C LANIFR(-1) PNIFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  278 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  279 LAAALFR C LAALFR(-1) PALFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  279 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  280 LAAIAFR C LAIAFR(-1) PIAFR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  280 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  281 LAAINFR C LAINFR(-1) PINFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  281 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  282 LAAIQFR C LAIQFR(-1) PIQFR;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  282 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  283 LAAKUFR C LAKUFR(-1) PKUFR;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  283 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  284 LAALIFR C LALIFR(-1) PLIFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  284 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  285 LAAUAFR C LAUAFR(-1) PUAFR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  285 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   286 LAAUSGE C LAUSGE(-1) PUSGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  286 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   287 LAACAGE C LACAGE(-1) PCAGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  287 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAGE=JAPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAGE=LOG(AAJAGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAGE=LOG(AJAGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAGE=EXP(LAAJAGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  288 LAAJAGE C LAJAGE(-1) PJAGE;                                         
EQUATION 468  LAAJAGE  
   RHS     C  LAJAGE(-1)  PJAGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  468 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  468
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.608512349

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.102421318       0.045081127  -2.27193     1.000000
11813 LAJAGE  ( -1)       0.969956041       0.016134271  60.11775    -3.613580
11811 PJAGE   (  0)      -0.000777640       0.024180863  -0.03216     1.385834

SE of equation            =     0.084568713
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.32309542      -0.156719082E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.061802083
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.6187916    
R squared                 =   0.97111
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77517
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3! * +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.1!*     +                               !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4*  +                                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.3!  *    +                              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1968.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!      + *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!      * +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!         *   +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          + *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!           *   +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.2!                        *+            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                                 *  + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1987.2!                                    * +!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                                  *+  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                                    +*!!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                *   + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                                 * +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                              * +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           * +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                       *  +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                     *  +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                      *+              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                   *  +               !!       0  .   .   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   289 LAAAUGE C LAAUGE(-1) PAUGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  289 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRGE=FRPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRGE=LOG(AAFRGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRGE=LOG(AFRGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRGE=EXP(LAAFRGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  290 LAAFRGE C LAFRGE(-1) PFRGE;                                         
EQUATION 469  LAAFRGE  
   RHS     C  LAFRGE(-1)  PFRGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  469 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  469
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.266618863

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.363996605       0.087533499  -4.15837     1.000000
11816 LAFRGE  ( -1)       0.834854213       0.040500625  20.61337    -2.267399
11814 PFRGE   (  0)      -0.007977989       0.016571120  -0.48144     1.212644

SE of equation            =     0.045335875
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.380238184      -0.521906962E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.034731316
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.52948734    
R squared                 =   0.72229
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36369
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2*        +                             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.3!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1968.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1970.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                       *      +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                           *     +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!               *          +           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.4!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITGE=ITPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITGE=LOG(AAITGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITGE=LOG(AITGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITGE=EXP(LAAITGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  291 LAAITGE C LAITGE(-1) PITGE;                                         
EQUATION 470  LAAITGE  
   RHS     C  LAITGE(-1)  PITGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  470 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  470
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.198225831

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.002569184       0.035090896  -0.07322     1.000000
11819 LAITGE  ( -1)       0.945390577       0.029389202  32.16796    -2.195055
11817 PITGE   (  0)      -0.135493468       0.081021707  -1.67231     0.889136

SE of equation            =     0.056039819
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.580985348       0.948596757E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.040518904
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.61755387    
R squared                 =   0.96321
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                             *    +   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                           *       +  !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                          +           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                             *  +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                          *   +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                                 *   +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                        *    +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                       *  +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                           *   +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.3!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEGE=NEPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEGE=LOG(AANEGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEGE=LOG(ANEGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEGE=EXP(LAANEGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  292 LAANEGE C LANEGE(-1) PNEGE;                                         
EQUATION 471  LAANEGE  
   RHS     C  LANEGE(-1)  PNEGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  471 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  471
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.046355971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.076305346       0.044777236  -1.70411     1.000000
11822 LANEGE  ( -1)       0.960955239       0.022105282  43.47175    -2.049796
11820 PNEGE   (  0)      -0.000249361       0.028083275  -0.00888     1.157888

SE of equation            =     0.048025419
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.426691556       0.161359814E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.031545217
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.93050089    
R squared                 =   0.92268
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44747
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*    +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+   *                                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1970.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                 *        +           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1971.1!                  +           *       !!           .  .  .           0
 1971.2!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                      *   +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1972.2!                           *    +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                      *  +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                          *   +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                  *   +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!      +       *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1997.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!     *    +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.3!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!          +          *                !!           .  .  .          0!
 1999.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTGE=STPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTGE=LOG(AASTGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTGE=LOG(ASTGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTGE=EXP(LAASTGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  293 LAASTGE C LASTGE(-1) PSTGE;                                         
EQUATION 472  LAASTGE  
   RHS     C  LASTGE(-1)  PSTGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  472 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  472
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.079774094

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.281070009       0.092452912  -3.04014     1.000000
11825 LASTGE  ( -1)       0.894989327       0.034958208  25.60169    -3.077883
11823 PSTGE   (  0)      -0.048447371       0.034722076  -1.39529     0.908847

SE of equation            =     0.053942360
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.538308965      -0.931978938E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.038826170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.29932001    
R squared                 =   0.85417
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62440
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                *            +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.2!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!            *           +             !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1972.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.1! +            *                       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.4!                      *          +    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2007.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!  *     +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKGE=UKPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKGE=LOG(AAUKGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKGE=LOG(AUKGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKGE=EXP(LAAUKGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  294 LAAUKGE C LAUKGE(-1) PUKGE;                                         
EQUATION 473  LAAUKGE  
   RHS     C  LAUKGE(-1)  PUKGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  473 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  473
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.733472923

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.085937393       0.103445606  -0.83075     1.000000
11828 LAUKGE  ( -1)       0.953410633       0.025532920  37.34045    -2.733582
11826 PUKGE   (  0)      -0.041297084       0.054392837  -0.75924     1.000298

SE of equation            =     0.058362905
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.630152297      -0.117079679E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.045129166
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.48428318    
R squared                 =   0.89629
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40549
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1966.2!   *      +                           !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1966.3!    +                                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1966.4!    +  *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.1!  *    +                              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1967.2!  +  *                                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.3!     +                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.4!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.1!      + *                             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.2!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.3!     *  +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1968.4!      +                               !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.1!*     +                               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1969.2! +  *                                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.3!     + *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.4!      * +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1970.1!      +    *                          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1970.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.3!          *    +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1970.4!   *       +                          !0        .     .     .        !
 1971.1!   +  *                               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1971.2!      *+                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.3!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.4*       +                              !!0       .     .     .        !
 1972.1!+ *                                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.2! * +                                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.3!  +*                                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.4!    + *                               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1973.1!  *    +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1973.2! * +                                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1973.3!  +  *                                !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.4!    * +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1974.1!    +  *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.2!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.3!       +  *                           !!        .     .     0        !
 1974.4!      *    +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1975.1!       + *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.2!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.3!           + *                        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1975.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.1!           *      +                   !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1976.2!           +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.3!            + *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.1!             +   *                    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.2!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.3!               +        *             !!        .     .     .        0
 1977.4!                 *      +             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1978.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1978.2!                      + *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.4!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1979.1!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.2!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .       0!
 1979.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.4!                                  +  *!!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.1!                              *     + !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1980.2!                           * +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.4!                            +   *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1981.1!                         *     +      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1981.2!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.4!                          +      *    !!        .     .     .       0!
 1982.1!                         *      +     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1982.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!                        +*            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.4!                     *   +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.1!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1983.2!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.3!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.2!                        +    *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1984.3!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.4!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.1!                              +       *!        .     .     .       0!
 1985.2!                                    *+!!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!                                * +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1985.4!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.2!                             * +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.3!                            +*        !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.4!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1987.1!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.3!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.3!                           +   *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.4!                           *  +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.4!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                              + *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.1!                            *   +     !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.2!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.3!                           +*         !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.4!                           +  *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1993.1!                           *  +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.2!                  *       +           !!0       .     .     .        !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!                  +      *            !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1994.2!                     *  +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.3!                          +           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.4!                      *   +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.2!                      +  *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.3!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.3!                       +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.1!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!                       +   *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.4!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                     *  +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.2!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.3!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.4!            *  +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.3!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.1!           +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.1!           +    *                     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2006.2!                +    *                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2006.3!             *       +                !0        .     .     .        !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.1!       *   +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!       + *                            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!      *  +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.3!      +                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!       +*                             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.3!      +  *                            !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.4!       *  +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.1!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.2!  *       +                           !!0       .     .     .        !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.4!    +   *                             !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.1!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!    *   +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.3!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.4!       + *                            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.1!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.2!     *   +                            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!    *+                                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!     +     *                          !!        .     .     .    0   !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIGE=FIPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIGE=LOG(AAFIGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIGE=LOG(AFIGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIGE=EXP(LAAFIGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  295 LAAFIGE C LAFIGE(-1) PFIGE;                                         
EQUATION 474  LAAFIGE  
   RHS     C  LAFIGE(-1)  PFIGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  474 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  474
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.511731908

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.024963414       0.215151616  -4.76391     1.000000
11831 LAFIGE  ( -1)       0.766076311       0.049047034  15.61922    -4.510355
11829 PFIGE   (  0)      -0.032968386       0.077706669  -0.42427     0.955227

SE of equation            =     0.098181445
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.78332528       0.516724441E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.072789170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.6843639    
R squared                 =   0.58792
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48606
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                             *    +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!          *               +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.1!            +        *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!          *       +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.1!            +        *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!        *         +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   296 LAAASGE C LAASGE(-1) PASGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  296 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOGE=SOPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOGE=LOG(AASOGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOGE=LOG(ASOGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOGE=EXP(LAASOGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  297 LAASOGE C LASOGE(-1) PSOGE;                                         
EQUATION 475  LAASOGE  
   RHS     C  LASOGE(-1)  PSOGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  475 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  475
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.212564066

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.693816741       0.209386633  -3.31357     1.000000
11834 LASOGE  ( -1)       0.856966008       0.037359971  22.93808    -5.211307
11832 PSOGE   (  0)      -0.053543637       0.075811243  -0.70628     0.986747

SE of equation            =     0.164453549
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.00331942       0.124789068E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.123634133
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.2432171    
R squared                 =   0.73997
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42937
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1966.4!                         *    +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.3!                             *    +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                  *       +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.1!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.3!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.1!                  *           +       !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!        *        +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.4!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!     *         +                      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!    *           +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3! *        +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.4!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3*        +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.4!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!  *        +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!         +           *                !!         .    .    .        0!
 1998.1!             *       +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                *       +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.1!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    .    0    !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOGE=KOPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOGE=LOG(AAKOGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOGE=LOG(AKOGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOGE=EXP(LAAKOGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  298 LAAKOGE C LAKOGE(-1) PKOGE;                                         
EQUATION 476  LAAKOGE  
   RHS     C  LAKOGE(-1)  PKOGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  476 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  476
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.356545830

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.731935271       0.127257442  -5.75161     1.000000
11837 LAKOGE  ( -1)       0.772568010       0.039578803  19.51974    -5.381283
11835 PKOGE   (  0)      -0.282085048       0.065235033  -4.32413     1.656249

SE of equation            =     0.242123383
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8453905       0.426325641E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.168592993
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.6954827    
R squared                 =   0.93691
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47103
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3*      +                               !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1966.4*  +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!          *         +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.3!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!            *    +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!            *     +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1972.4!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                      *  +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                       *   +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                         *   +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                                  *  +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                                   *  +!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  *  +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                *  +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                                 * +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   299 LAABEGE C LABEGE(-1) PBEGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  299 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEGE=DEPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEGE=LOG(AADEGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEGE=LOG(ADEGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEGE=EXP(LAADEGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  300 LAADEGE C LADEGE(-1) PDEGE;                                         
EQUATION 477  LAADEGE  
   RHS     C  LADEGE(-1)  PDEGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  477 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  477
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.834634492

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.260871736       0.097535328  -2.67464     1.000000
11840 LADEGE  ( -1)       0.899373752       0.032342504  27.80780    -3.833534
11838 PDEGE   (  0)      -0.123508477       0.059746743  -2.06720     1.020034

SE of equation            =     0.061550329
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.700861955      -0.897948382E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.048811805
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.17661930    
R squared                 =   0.88507
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33789
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4*     +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!*    +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!+    *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.1!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.4!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.1!                           *    +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!            *    +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOGE=NOPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOGE=LOG(AANOGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOGE=LOG(ANOGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOGE=EXP(LAANOGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  301 LAANOGE C LANOGE(-1) PNOGE;                                         
EQUATION 478  LAANOGE  
   RHS     C  LANOGE(-1)  PNOGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  478 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  478
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.960434414

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.393477287       0.126340316  -3.11442     1.000000
11843 LANOGE  ( -1)       0.891003754       0.033567979  26.54326    -3.959633
11841 PNOGE   (  0)      -0.045386900       0.041090383  -1.10456     0.857271

SE of equation            =     0.112363574
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.33573095      -0.231805686E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.085443874
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.0634483    
R squared                 =   0.81376
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24781
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1981.1!                       *         +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                                *   + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                    *        +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2009.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   302 LAASWGE C LASWGE(-1) PSWGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  302 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   303 LAAGRGE C LAGRGE(-1) PGRGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  303 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRGE=IRPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRGE=LOG(AAIRGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRGE=LOG(AIRGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRGE=EXP(LAAIRGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  304 LAAIRGE C LAIRGE(-1) PIRGE;                                         
EQUATION 479  LAAIRGE  
   RHS     C  LAIRGE(-1)  PIRGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  479 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  479
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.092831215

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.002238669       0.081312609   0.02753     1.000000
11846 LAIRGE  ( -1)       0.966961870       0.017532022  55.15404    -5.100731
11844 PIRGE   (  0)      -0.138061760       0.100837072  -1.36916     1.179600

SE of equation            =     0.147871504
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.04520659      -0.167656999E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.107851243
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.2760337    
R squared                 =   0.97380
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44578
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *  +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!    *  +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.4! *  +                                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.1! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2! + *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3! *  +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1* +                                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2+*                                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4! + *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1! *  +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3*    +                                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1969.4!+  *                                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!  *+                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!*  +                                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.4!+ *                                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.1!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!     +      *                         !!           .  .  .           0
 1972.4!         *   +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.1!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!        *   +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!          +*                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.1!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                *+                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                + *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                            +         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1998.3!                                    * +!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                 *  + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.1!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                                  * + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!                               *  +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                         *  +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                            * +       !!         0 .  .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOGE=POPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOGE=LOG(AAPOGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOGE=LOG(APOGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOGE=EXP(LAAPOGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  305 LAAPOGE C LAPOGE(-1) PPOGE;                                         
EQUATION 480  LAAPOGE  
   RHS     C  LAPOGE(-1)  PPOGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  480 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  480
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.266074416

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.088757660       0.075875448  -1.16978     1.000000
11849 LAPOGE  ( -1)       0.953437643       0.020387901  46.76487    -5.271562
11847 PPOGE   (  0)      -0.127427119       0.074597125  -1.70820     1.186649

SE of equation            =     0.119223199
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.62962167      -0.369526632E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.092306951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.3537068    
R squared                 =   0.96282
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58762
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *    +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!*   +                                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.4!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!*  +                                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!*+                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.3!*   +                                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.4!+  *                                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4*   +                                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.1+  *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4*  +                                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.1!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!      + *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!    *  +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!        + *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!      *    +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1974.2!     *      +                         !0         .    .    .         !
 1974.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.2!         *     +                      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.3!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.2!       *+                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!    *  +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.4!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.2!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!       *+                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!            *      +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!            + *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                       *+             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                             *  +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                              *  +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                                 *    +!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2001.2!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPGE=SPPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPGE=LOG(AASPGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPGE=LOG(ASPGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPGE=EXP(LAASPGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  306 LAASPGE C LASPGE(-1) PSPGE;                                         
EQUATION 481  LAASPGE  
   RHS     C  LASPGE(-1)  PSPGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  481 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  481
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.973267060

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.397120623       0.109093288  -3.64019     1.000000
11852 LASPGE  ( -1)       0.782160383       0.049405836  15.83134    -3.981708
11850 PSPGE   (  0)      -0.395412216       0.114911820  -3.44101     1.167926

SE of equation            =     0.214267772
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.49347545       0.149347201E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.164703199
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9642014    
R squared                 =   0.87599
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43726
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4+            *                         !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4! +         *                          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4! +           *                        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1969.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!         *     +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                  *     +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                        *     +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                           *     +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                           +        * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                   * +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   307 LAANZGE C LANZGE(-1) PNZGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  307 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  308 LAASAGE C LASAGE(-1) PSAGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  308 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  309 LAAVEGE C LAVEGE(-1) PVEGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  309 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   310 LAACOGE C LACOGE(-1) PCOGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  310 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   311 LAAJOGE C LAJOGE(-1) PJOGE;SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  311 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYGE=SYPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYGE=LOG(AASYGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYGE=LOG(ASYGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYGE=EXP(LAASYGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  312 LAASYGE C LASYGE(-1) PSYGE;                                         
EQUATION 482  LAASYGE  
   RHS     C  LASYGE(-1)  PSYGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  482 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  482
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.258969850

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.239035922       0.312465022  -3.96536     1.000000
11855 LASYGE  ( -1)       0.829679847       0.041621834  19.93376    -8.256487
11853 PSYGE   (  0)      -0.064410464       0.030456980  -2.11480     2.634558

SE of equation            =     0.667578614
Sum of squared residuals  =  82.4473231      -0.656985577E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.465918938
Sum of ABS residuals      =  87.5927604    
R squared                 =   0.77067
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29621
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!             +           *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.3!                 *      +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!*      +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!  +    *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1*        +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2! +            *                       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!*             +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!       +      *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!  *      +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!       *              +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1990.3!          +           *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!              *         +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!              +                      *!!           .  .  .           0
 2000.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                +     *!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                   *             +    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                   +            *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!               *                  +   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDGE=IDPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDGE=LOG(AAIDGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDGE=LOG(AIDGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDGE=EXP(LAAIDGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  313 LAAIDGE C LAIDGE(-1) PIDGE;                                         
EQUATION 483  LAAIDGE  
   RHS     C  LAIDGE(-1)  PIDGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  483 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  483
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.600593617

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.710694930       0.193252143  -3.67755     1.000000
11858 LAIDGE  ( -1)       0.857012838       0.036202386  23.67283    -5.606875
11856 PIDGE   (  0)      -0.068424851       0.054504710  -1.25539     1.238368

SE of equation            =     0.192471589
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.85338284      -0.210764739E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.111557740
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.9728551    
R squared                 =   0.77690
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01591
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!           0. . .            !
 1966.2! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!  +   *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!    *  +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!     +                                *!            . . .            0
 1967.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1968.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1969.2!            *       +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1969.3!             +     *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1969.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1970.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!     *                +               !!      0     . . .            !
 1973.2*       +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1973.3!  +   *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4! *      +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1974.1!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!   *    +                             !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3! *   +                                !!            0 . .            !
 1974.4!    +  *                              !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!  *       +                           !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.3!    +*                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1976.4!       *  +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!         +    *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!       *     +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1978.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!           +   *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                 +  *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!          *     +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1981.3!        *   +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!             +   *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1982.2!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!           *   +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!           *  +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                  *  +                !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1998.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                        +   *         !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2008.4!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2012.4!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !


     12.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAGE=MAPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAGE=LOG(AAMAGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAGE=LOG(AMAGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAGE=EXP(LAAMAGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  314 LAAMAGE C LAMAGE(-1) PMAGE;                                         
EQUATION 484  LAAMAGE  
   RHS     C  LAMAGE(-1)  PMAGE  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST  484 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  484
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAGE 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.590127126

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.089610149       0.169401474  -6.43212     1.000000
11861 LAMAGE  ( -1)       0.728308757       0.039667737  18.36023    -5.599225
11859 PMAGE   (  0)      -0.356048274       0.055023412  -6.47085     1.186784

SE of equation            =     0.119274525
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.14818825      -0.487965224E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084174842
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.9629257    
R squared                 =   0.93750
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15008
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1977.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!    *     +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!   *       +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.2!       *         +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          *     +     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAGE=PAPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAGE=LOG(AAPAGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAGE=LOG(APAGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAGE=EXP(LAAPAGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  315 LAAPAGE C LAPAGE(-1) PPAGE;                                         
EQUATION 485  LAAPAGE  
   RHS     C  LAPAGE(-1)  PPAGE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  485 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  485
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAGE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.002764423

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.741276007       0.311840067  -5.58388     1.000000
11864 LAPAGE  ( -1)       0.692648785       0.052787546  13.12144    -6.999917
11862 PPAGE   (  0)      -0.314849189       0.070519473  -4.46471     1.311754

SE of equation            =     0.164255876
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.28981886       0.258899568E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.117559680
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0446682    
R squared                 =   0.77304
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35058
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!            *              +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!  *         +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!  +              *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.3!     *          +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!   *          +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   316 LAAPHGE C LAPHGE(-1) PPHGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  316 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHGE=THPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHGE=LOG(AATHGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHGE=LOG(ATHGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHGE=EXP(LAATHGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  317 LAATHGE C LATHGE(-1) PTHGE;                                         
EQUATION 486  LAATHGE  
   RHS     C  LATHGE(-1)  PTHGE  
 SMPL 1971.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    78 to   244
 OLS;EST  486 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  486
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHGE 

 1971.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  167 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.011807494

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.441748531       0.144225075  -3.06291     1.000000
11867 LATHGE  ( -1)       0.840600236       0.036330971  23.13729    -6.011753
11865 PTHGE   (  0)      -0.447116680       0.113704423  -3.93227     1.155354

SE of equation            =     0.158219941
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.10550216      -0.105764286E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.098145418
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.3902849    
R squared                 =   0.91259
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.87630
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.2   2012.4    167

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!        *                    +        !0            . . .            !
 1973.2!*        +                            !!        0   . . .            !
 1973.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4! +*                                   !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1+      *                               !!            . . .  0         !
 1974.2!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!+  *                                  !!            . . 0            !
 1974.4!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1975.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!      +   *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!     *     +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.1!        +   *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!              +    *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1977.2!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1977.3!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!              + *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 1979.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1983.4!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                   *  +               !!           0. . .            !
 1984.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                           +          !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                                 +   *!!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!                                     +*!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                                      +!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                                  *  +!!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 2004.2!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !


     16.77 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHGE=CHPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHGE=LOG(AACHGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHGE=LOG(ACHGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHGE=EXP(LAACHGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  318 LAACHGE C LACHGE(-1) PCHGE;                                         
EQUATION 487  LAACHGE  
   RHS     C  LACHGE(-1)  PCHGE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  487 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  487
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHGE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.144441407

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.164560502       0.127179431   1.29392     1.000000
11870 LACHGE  ( -1)       0.966839637       0.020311577  47.60042    -4.165153
11868 PCHGE   (  0)      -0.249695471       0.149662243  -1.66839     1.129244

SE of equation            =     0.160039548
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.15035679      -0.961764002E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.122138751
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3894827    
R squared                 =   0.97366
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66650
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!   *   +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!   + *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!     +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!    +                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1! *  +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1* +                                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2+ *                                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3! +*                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!   *  +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!    *   +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!    *    +                            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1989.2!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!      * +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!      *   +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!    *     +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.2!     +*                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!         + *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1994.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!             *    +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!             *    +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.2!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!              *   +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                              +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                                +     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                                 *  + !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                                     +*!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                     *+!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                     *+!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                                  *  +!!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !


     25.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   319 LAAARGE C LAARGE(-1) PARGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  319 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRGE=BRPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRGE=LOG(AABRGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRGE=LOG(ABRGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRGE=EXP(LAABRGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  320 LAABRGE C LABRGE(-1) PBRGE;                                         
EQUATION 488  LAABRGE  
   RHS     C  LABRGE(-1)  PBRGE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  488 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  488
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRGE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.899960981

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.948169394       0.383545743  -5.07937     1.000000
11873 LABRGE  ( -1)       0.568586278       0.073916727   7.69225    -4.897962
11871 PBRGE   (  0)      -0.171762216       0.100124194  -1.71549     0.971561

SE of equation            =     0.160152548
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.15480717      -0.331539241E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.118009273
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.8691684    
R squared                 =   0.32868
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06346
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                           +          *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                       +        *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                     +             *  !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                       +          *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.1!         +         *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!                    +    *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!              *       +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.1!      *          +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1996.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!           *         +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                +        *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2002.2!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!              +             *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2002.4!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!          *        +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   321 LAACEGE C LACEGE(-1) PCEGE;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  321 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEGE=MEPX$Q/GEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEGE=LOG(AAMEGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEGE=LOG(AMEGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEGE=EXP(LAAMEGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  322 LAAMEGE C LAMEGE(-1) PMEGE;                                         
EQUATION 489  LAAMEGE  
   RHS     C  LAMEGE(-1)  PMEGE  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST  489 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  489
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEGE 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.119300517

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.386275200       0.229799265  -1.68092     1.000000
11876 LAMEGE  ( -1)       0.901975167       0.039404242  22.89031    -6.124272
11874 PMEGE   (  0)      -0.185236438       0.150830246  -1.22811     1.128742

SE of equation            =     0.203915513
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.28085515       0.728039851E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.146845602
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0899282    
R squared                 =   0.84040
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42295
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!      +               *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.1!             *       +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!      +              *                !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.2!         *          +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   323 LAAPEGE C LAPEGE(-1) PPEGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  323 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUGE=TUPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUGE=LOG(AATUGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUGE=LOG(ATUGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUGE=EXP(LAATUGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  324 LAATUGE C LATUGE(-1) PTUGE;                                         
EQUATION 490  LAATUGE  
   RHS     C  LATUGE(-1)  PTUGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  490 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  490
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.878022831

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.442604379       0.143605491  -3.08209     1.000000
11879 LATUGE  ( -1)       0.851219264       0.041373397  20.57407    -4.886404
11877 PTUGE   (  0)      -0.232602186       0.127876942  -1.81895     1.186649

SE of equation            =     0.207757210
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.98516578       0.114566134E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.162720981
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.5915444    
R squared                 =   0.83909
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67249
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  +     *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!  *      +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4! *            +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1971.1!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!       *          +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4*           +                          !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.1! +                   *                !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!   *           +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.1!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!        *         +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.2!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                 *       +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                  *        +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                          *      +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                           *   +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                                 *   +!!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                 *   +!!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                              *     + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDGE=PDPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDGE=LOG(AAPDGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDGE=LOG(APDGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDGE=EXP(LAAPDGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  325 LAAPDGE C LAPDGE(-1) PPDGE;                                         
EQUATION 491  LAAPDGE  
   RHS     C  LAPDGE(-1)  PPDGE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  491 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  491
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDGE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.040813448

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.139201377       0.083389545   1.66929     1.000000
11882 LAPDGE  ( -1)       0.956282518       0.018679709  51.19365    -4.055642
11880 PPDGE   (  0)      -0.267147745       0.105446994  -2.53348     1.129244

SE of equation            =     0.107601462
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.42410318      -0.721200877E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.076494523
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.63830993    
R squared                 =   0.97961
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48682
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!  *    +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!    * +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!  * +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1*   +                                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2+ *                                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3! + *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1! *   +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1! *   +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!      *   +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!              *   +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!           *      +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                  *  +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                      +!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  326 LAARUGE C LARUGE(-1) PRUGE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  326 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  327 LAAUEGE C LAUEGE(-1) PUEGE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  327 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   328 LAAEGGE C LAEGGE(-1) PEGGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  328 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   329 LAAISGE C LAISGE(-1) PISGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  329 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   330 LAAKEGE C LAKEGE(-1) PKEGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  330 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAGE=BAPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAGE=LOG(AABAGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAGE=LOG(ABAGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAGE=EXP(LAABAGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  331 LAABAGE C LABAGE(-1) PBAGE;                                         
EQUATION 492  LAABAGE  
   RHS     C  LABAGE(-1)  PBAGE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  492 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  492
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAGE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.919972991

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.162726266       0.099382300  -1.63738     1.000000
11885 LABAGE  ( -1)       0.935780109       0.020684971  45.23961    -7.940461
11883 PBAGE   (  0)      -0.227370748       0.067304642  -3.37823     1.436952

SE of equation            =     0.197819805
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.22209537       0.223101537E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.141870691
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9830520    
R squared                 =   0.98021
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28112
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1973.3!         *   +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!   *     +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1*  +                                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.2+  *                                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!*+                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.2!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!     +                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!    * +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2! *  +                                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3! + *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.3!     *     +                          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1979.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!   * +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!      * +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!   *   +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!      *   +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!         +                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!       *  +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!     * +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!     *+                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!     +*                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!         +                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!             * +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                     +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !


     23.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKGE=HKPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKGE=LOG(AAHKGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKGE=LOG(AHKGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKGE=EXP(LAAHKGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  332 LAAHKGE C LAHKGE(-1) PHKGE;                                         
EQUATION 493  LAAHKGE  
   RHS     C  LAHKGE(-1)  PHKGE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  493 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  493
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKGE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.861001632

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.211423490       0.081536887  -2.59298     1.000000
11888 LAHKGE  ( -1)       0.934171792       0.025343168  36.86089    -4.869621
11886 PHKGE   (  0)      -0.063077238       0.030197137  -2.08885     1.593534

SE of equation            =     0.101037318
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.88857984      -0.680611123E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.067496703
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.6893802    
R squared                 =   0.98193
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21251
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1966.4!     *+                               !!            0 . .            !
 1967.1! *   +                                !!       0    . . .            !
 1967.2! +  *                                 !!            . . .0           !
 1967.3*    +                                 !!      0     . . .            !
 1967.4!+                                     !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1* +                                    !!           0. . .            !
 1968.2!+*                                    !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3! +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4! +  *                                 !!            . . . 0          !
 1969.1! *   +                                !!         0  . . .            !
 1969.2!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!   +                                  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!     +                                !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!     *+                               !!            0 . .            !
 1970.4! *   +                                !!       0    . . .            !
 1971.1! +   *                                !!            . . .  0         !
 1971.2!    *+                                !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!  *  +                                !!          0 . . .            !
 1971.4*   +                                  !!        0   . . .            !
 1972.1!+*                                    !!            . . 0            !
 1972.2! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!  +*                                  !!            . . 0            !
 1972.4! * +                                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.1! +         *                          !!            . . .            0
 1973.2!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!          + *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!           +   *                      !!            . . .  0         !
 1975.1!               +     *                !!            . . .       0    !
 1975.2!                      +               !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                      +*              !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1976.1!                       * +            !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                     *   +            !!        0   . . .            !
 1977.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                     + *              !!            . . .0           !
 1977.4!                       +              !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                     * +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.2!                      +*              !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!                       +  *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!            0 . .            !
 1979.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                          *+          !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!            . . 0            !
 1980.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                          * +         !!           0. . .            !
 1981.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!            0 . .            !
 1982.1!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                        *+            !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                        +             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                         *+           !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!                       +              !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                      *+              !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!            0 . .            !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!            . . .0           !
 1986.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                           + *        !!            . . .0           !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1987.4!                              *+      !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!            . . .0           !
 1988.2!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                                +*    !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1990.3!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                                   +  *!            . . .  0         !
 1991.1!                                      +!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                                   * +!!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                                  * + !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                                     +*!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                  * + !!           0. . .            !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!            . . .0           !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                               * +    !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                             * +      !!           0. . .            !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                              +       !!            . .0.            !


     14.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIGE=SIPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIGE=LOG(AASIGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIGE=LOG(ASIGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIGE=EXP(LAASIGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  333 LAASIGE C LASIGE(-1) PSIGE;                                         
EQUATION 494  LAASIGE  
   RHS     C  LASIGE(-1)  PSIGE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  494 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  494
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIGE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.440750856

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.318087483       0.118208050  -2.69091     1.000000
11891 LASIGE  ( -1)       0.907665738       0.032758863  27.70749    -5.447263
11889 PSIGE   (  0)      -0.120270091       0.049507928  -2.42931     1.483075

SE of equation            =     0.112369284
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.00767011       0.526174659E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.087260559
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.1362106    
R squared                 =   0.96451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31419
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!*      +                              !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.1!     *   +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!      *   +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!        +*                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!      + *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!     * +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!              *  +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                                   *  +!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.1!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!                               *  +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!                             * +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                          *   +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !


     32.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIGE=VIPX$/GEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIGE=LOG(AAVIGE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIGE=LOG(AVIGE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIGE=EXP(LAAVIGE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  334 LAAVIGE C LAVIGE(-1) PVIGE;                                         
EQUATION 495  LAAVIGE  
   RHS     C  LAVIGE(-1)  PVIGE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  495 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  495
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIGE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.856047104

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.131178849       0.332575325   0.39443     1.000000
11894 LAVIGE  ( -1)       0.952199079       0.027583737  34.52031    -7.891645
11892 PVIGE   (  0)      -0.418694871       0.362840143  -1.15394     1.129244

SE of equation            =     0.431187962
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.8685362       0.317772475E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.338693403
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.6753688    
R squared                 =   0.93980
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.04929
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1*     +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!   +*                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!    *     +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!     +*                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1! *              +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.2*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!+    *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  335 LAANIGE C LANIGE(-1) PNIGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  335 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  336 LAAALGE C LAALGE(-1) PALGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  336 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  337 LAAIAGE C LAIAGE(-1) PIAGE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  337 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  338 LAAINGE C LAINGE(-1) PINGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  338 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  339 LAAIQGE C LAIQGE(-1) PIQGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  339 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  340 LAAKUGE C LAKUGE(-1) PKUGE;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  340 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  341 LAALIGE C LALIGE(-1) PLIGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  341 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  342 LAAUAGE C LAUAGE(-1) PUAGE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  342 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   343 LAAUSIT C LAUSIT(-1) PUSIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  343 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   344 LAACAIT C LACAIT(-1) PCAIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  344 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAIT=JAPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAIT=LOG(AAJAIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAIT=LOG(AJAIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAIT=EXP(LAAJAIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  345 LAAJAIT C LAJAIT(-1) PJAIT;                                         
EQUATION 496  LAAJAIT  
   RHS     C  LAJAIT(-1)  PJAIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  496 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  496
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.448289794

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.202403119       0.099114456  -2.04212     1.000000
11897 LAJAIT  ( -1)       0.950020153       0.030110198  31.55144    -4.452437
11895 PJAIT   (  0)      -0.009914046       0.030201769  -0.32826     1.612040

SE of equation            =     0.112574422
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.34450507       0.148845380E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.080279170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.0924840    
R squared                 =   0.94114
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32023
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.2!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2*    +                                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.3!+*                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!           *    +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!              *+                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!    *       +                         !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.4!          *        +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!             * +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1977.1!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!            *      +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUIT=AUPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUIT=LOG(AAAUIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUIT=LOG(AAUIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUIT=EXP(LAAAUIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  346 LAAAUIT C LAAUIT(-1) PAUIT;                                         
EQUATION 497  LAAAUIT  
   RHS     C  LAAUIT(-1)  PAUIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  497 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  497
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.683436417

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.308011753       0.118110586  -2.60783     1.000000
11900 LAAUIT  ( -1)       0.903294176       0.046538019  19.40981    -3.684346
11898 PAUIT   (  0)      -0.040307337       0.067921174  -0.59344     1.175374

SE of equation            =     0.070394168
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.916737702       0.453104221E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.048126353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.04775442    
R squared                 =   0.85482
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33750
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1966.2!             *    +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1966.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1966.4!             +  *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1967.1!                +    *                !!            . . .0           !
 1967.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1967.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!               *   +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1968.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!         *      +                     !!         0  . . .            !
 1968.3!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1968.4!        +       *                     !!            . . .   0        !
 1969.1!          *     +                     !!         0  . . .            !
 1969.2!       *   +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1969.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!        +      *                      !!            . . .  0         !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!       *        +                     !!        0   . . .            !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1973.4*        +                             !!       0    . . .            !
 1974.1!+                   *                 !!            . . .            0
 1974.2!             *      +                 !!        0   . . .            !
 1974.3!  *          +                        !!     0      . . .            !
 1974.4!   +*                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!        + *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!            +    *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1976.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!              +  *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1976.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1978.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                  +  *                !!            . . .0           !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                         +     *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1980.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                             +        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1981.2!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!           0. . .            !
 1986.1!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!            . . .0           !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                        +   *         !!            . . .0           !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                           +          !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1991.1!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 1992.2!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                     *     +          !!          0 . . .            !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1997.1!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1997.2!                      +               !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1998.1!                       +   *          !!            . . .0           !
 1998.2!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1998.4!                    *     +           !!          0 . . .            !
 1999.1!                    +     *           !!            . . .  0         !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                           +    *     !!            . . . 0          !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                +   * !!            . . .0           !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                                 +   *!!            . . .0           !
 2003.4!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 2004.1!                                 *   +!!           0. . .            !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                               +   *  !!            . . .0           !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                             +        !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 2012.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   347 LAAFRIT C LAFRIT(-1) PFRIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  347 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   348 LAAGEIT C LAGEIT(-1) PGEIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  348 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEIT=NEPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEIT=LOG(AANEIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEIT=LOG(ANEIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEIT=EXP(LAANEIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  349 LAANEIT C LANEIT(-1) PNEIT;                                         
EQUATION 498  LAANEIT  
   RHS     C  LANEIT(-1)  PNEIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  498 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  498
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.019814230

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.175237406       0.088173072  -1.98743     1.000000
11903 LANEIT  ( -1)       0.922298255       0.046164660  19.97845    -3.024731
11901 PNEIT   (  0)      -0.040939640       0.049622589  -0.82502     1.340334

SE of equation            =     0.075178910
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.04559567      -0.555147039E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.054133512
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.1771002    
R squared                 =   0.90560
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31602
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*         +                            !0           .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+      *                              !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1966.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!    *       +                         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1967.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!        *    +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                 *  +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!            *    +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!        *    +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!        +        *                    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1974.2!               * +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1976.1!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.2!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                  *     +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                     *  +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                            *    +    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTIT=STPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTIT=LOG(AASTIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTIT=LOG(ASTIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTIT=EXP(LAASTIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  350 LAASTIT C LASTIT(-1) PSTIT;                                         
EQUATION 499  LAASTIT  
   RHS     C  LASTIT(-1)  PSTIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  499 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  499
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.281448827

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.588784350       0.125883790  -4.67721     1.000000
11906 LASTIT  ( -1)       0.769086923       0.051692291  14.87817    -3.279373
11904 PSTIT   (  0)      -0.164066905       0.065582005  -2.50171     1.039462

SE of equation            =     0.072047104
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.960295266      -0.537245803E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.051446995
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.67203514    
R squared                 =   0.78431
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22953
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                         +            *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1971.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4*            +                         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.1!+                  *                  !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!         *           +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1978.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!     +     *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!            +         *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.4!          *       +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!  *       +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   351 LAAUKIT C LAUKIT(-1) PUKIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  351 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIIT=FIPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIIT=LOG(AAFIIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIIT=LOG(AFIIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIIT=EXP(LAAFIIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  352 LAAFIIT C LAFIIT(-1) PFIIT;                                         
EQUATION 500  LAAFIIT  
   RHS     C  LAFIIT(-1)  PFIIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  500 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  500
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.280360502

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.515767044       0.165798962  -3.11080     1.000000
11909 LAFIIT  ( -1)       0.879589504       0.037023627  23.75752    -5.279396
11907 PFIIT   (  0)      -0.109766779       0.094135138  -1.16606     1.101355

SE of equation            =     0.150879540
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.21145757       0.456772398E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.112039623
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.0634490    
R squared                 =   0.81792
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50799
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!*     +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4! +     *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!  *         +                         !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                           +          *!          .   .   .          0
 2000.4!                            *       + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 2003.3!                       *        +     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASIT=ASPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASIT=LOG(AAASIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASIT=LOG(AASIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASIT=EXP(LAAASIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  353 LAAASIT C LAASIT(-1) PASIT;                                         
EQUATION 501  LAAASIT  
   RHS     C  LAASIT(-1)  PASIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  501 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  501
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.279270532

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.118375650       0.125851095  -0.94060     1.000000
11912 LAASIT  ( -1)       0.972887520       0.023701841  41.04692    -5.267110
11910 PASIT   (  0)      -0.028313234       0.033046124  -0.85678     1.292299

SE of equation            =     0.149296630
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.12355451      -0.221627161E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.118751609
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.3253026    
R squared                 =   0.90392
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30902
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                                 *  + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                  *  +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.4!                  *    +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1975.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.4!                              * +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                           *  +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                             *  +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                        *   +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                       +*             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                           *  +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                        *   +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                +*                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!               *   +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!         *    +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2008.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!          + *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!    *     +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2009.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!     *  +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!*    +                                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOIT=SOPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOIT=LOG(AASOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOIT=LOG(ASOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOIT=EXP(LAASOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  354 LAASOIT C LASOIT(-1) PSOIT;                                         
EQUATION 502  LAASOIT  
   RHS     C  LASOIT(-1)  PSOIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  502 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  502
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.340230812

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.442517412       0.273307561  -5.27800     1.000000
11915 LASOIT  ( -1)       0.724674271       0.049206941  14.72707    -5.334769
11913 PSOIT   (  0)      -0.027859436       0.079673078  -0.34967     1.139410

SE of equation            =     0.237357281
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.4226186      -0.109632303E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.163339949
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.7079105    
R squared                 =   0.54132
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24536
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                +            *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1968.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!              *       +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!           +          *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!      *        +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2! *      +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +             *           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.4!                      +             * !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1991.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                           +          *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!           *              +           !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1992.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!            +                   *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1998.1!             *             +          !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1998.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.1!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!        +        *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2! *        +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOIT=KOPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOIT=LOG(AAKOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOIT=LOG(AKOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOIT=EXP(LAAKOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  355 LAAKOIT C LAKOIT(-1) PKOIT;                                         
EQUATION 503  LAAKOIT  
   RHS     C  LAKOIT(-1)  PKOIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  503 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  503
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.041852207

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.973375067       0.183763477  -5.29689     1.000000
11918 LAKOIT  ( -1)       0.701668443       0.052983018  13.24327    -6.066394
11916 PKOIT   (  0)      -0.419332202       0.086606256  -4.84182     1.936125

SE of equation            =     0.380436344
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.7753852       0.272359912E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.229125501
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.0755943    
R squared                 =   0.91131
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24141
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *   +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4*         +                            !!0          .  .  .           !
 1967.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1967.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1967.3!           *      +                   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.3!                +         *           !!           .  .  .           0
 1968.4!                  *   +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!             +        *               !!           .  .  .          0!
 1969.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!              +       *               !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1970.2!            *       +                 !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1970.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.3!                  * +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!               *   +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!           *    +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!             *      +                 !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                   *    +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                    * +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                        *   +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                +*    !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !


     14.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEIT=BEPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEIT=LOG(AABEIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEIT=LOG(ABEIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEIT=EXP(LAABEIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  356 LAABEIT C LABEIT(-1) PBEIT;                                         
EQUATION 504  LAABEIT  
   RHS     C  LABEIT(-1)  PBEIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  504 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  504
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.076790421

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.531794737       0.114185588  -4.65728     1.000000
11921 LABEIT  ( -1)       0.724427705       0.061423035  11.79407    -3.079426
11919 PBEIT   (  0)      -0.278873811       0.095429217  -2.92231     1.126581

SE of equation            =     0.085475912
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.35163432      -0.249547050E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.063106272
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.8639790    
R squared                 =   0.79480
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58312
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *        +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3*        +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!    *          +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1967.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1! *         +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.2!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.3!      *         +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.1!                      *      +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!     *          +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +             *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                         *     +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   357 LAADEIT C LADEIT(-1) PDEIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  357 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOIT=NOPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOIT=LOG(AANOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOIT=LOG(ANOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOIT=EXP(LAANOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  358 LAANOIT C LANOIT(-1) PNOIT;                                         
EQUATION 505  LAANOIT  
   RHS     C  LANOIT(-1)  PNOIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  505 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  505
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.015491760

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.906592043       0.204320264  -4.43711     1.000000
11924 LANOIT  ( -1)       0.787987705       0.045749550  17.22394    -5.015435
11922 PNOIT   (  0)      -0.159080082       0.074474313  -2.13604     0.985660

SE of equation            =     0.208332082
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.02941747      -0.143653978E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152170276
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.6080119    
R squared                 =   0.70595
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.3!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!               +                    * !!           .  .  .           0
 1972.4!                 *              +     !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1974.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!   *       +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!       +     *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1*         +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!          +       *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.3!      *           +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.2!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!            *        +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2005.1!             +            *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2005.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWIT=SWPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWIT=LOG(AASWIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWIT=LOG(ASWIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWIT=EXP(LAASWIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  359 LAASWIT C LASWIT(-1) PSWIT;                                         
EQUATION 506  LAASWIT  
   RHS     C  LASWIT(-1)  PSWIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  506 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  506
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.360635030

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.938205797       0.202028715  -4.64392     1.000000
11927 LASWIT  ( -1)       0.780985502       0.047860280  16.31803    -4.358791
11925 PSWIT   (  0)      -0.013813607       0.030718242  -0.44969     1.323069

SE of equation            =     0.088929528
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.46306529      -0.160693681E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.064925552
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.2060037    
R squared                 =   0.61034
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34436
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!           *       +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4*             +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.1!    +         *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!           *          +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!     *          +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!               +                    * !!           .  .  .           0
 1978.1!                  *              +    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                   +               *  !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1978.4!                    *           +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                         +            *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.2!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!           *          +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                    *      +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRIT=GRPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRIT=LOG(AAGRIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRIT=LOG(AGRIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRIT=EXP(LAAGRIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  360 LAAGRIT C LAGRIT(-1) PGRIT;                                         
EQUATION 507  LAAGRIT  
   RHS     C  LAGRIT(-1)  PGRIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  507 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  507
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.066786181

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.340138445       0.228317416  -5.86963     1.000000
11930 LAGRIT  ( -1)       0.651591963       0.055492100  11.74207    -5.074305
11928 PGRIT   (  0)      -0.357082273       0.125935964  -2.83543     1.176960

SE of equation            =     0.259944168
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.5006296       0.246140885E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.194986654
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6574910    
R squared                 =   0.60712
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25638
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.1!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!              +             *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1967.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!             *       +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                 *       +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.1!          *      +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!      +         *                     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1975.4!                    *      +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!         *            +               !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!               *      +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.4!             *          +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1986.4!                          *      +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                            +        *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                   *          +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                          *     +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                               +     *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                      *      +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                        *      +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!              *       +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRIT=IRPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRIT=LOG(AAIRIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRIT=LOG(AIRIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRIT=EXP(LAAIRIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  361 LAAIRIT C LAIRIT(-1) PIRIT;                                         
EQUATION 508  LAAIRIT  
   RHS     C  LAIRIT(-1)  PIRIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  508 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  508
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.529087987

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.120898433       0.085013062  -1.42212     1.000000
11933 LAIRIT  ( -1)       0.967169435       0.025381341  38.10553    -5.546141
11931 PIRIT   (  0)      -0.032300650       0.116048759  -0.27834     1.366277

SE of equation            =     0.207437632
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.96061868      -0.373923115E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.136480399
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.6583150    
R squared                 =   0.96632
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25652
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1966.2!+ *                                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!  *   +                               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.1!   + *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!    * +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4! *  +                                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1968.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3*       +                              !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.4!+ *                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!        +  *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.4!            +*                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!            *+                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!          * +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!       *   +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1972.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!               *  +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!          *    +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1974.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!          *    +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!            +       *                 !!           .  .  .          0!
 1975.2!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                *    +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1976.4!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                   + *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                  *+                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                           +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                         *  +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                           +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                             +*       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                     +!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                  *  +!!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !


     17.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOIT=POPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOIT=LOG(AAPOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOIT=LOG(APOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOIT=EXP(LAAPOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  362 LAAPOIT C LAPOIT(-1) PPOIT;                                         
EQUATION 509  LAAPOIT  
   RHS     C  LAPOIT(-1)  PPOIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  509 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  509
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.816082891

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.694028350       0.178838899  -3.88075     1.000000
11936 LAPOIT  ( -1)       0.812201297       0.045489640  17.85464    -5.821448
11934 PPOIT   (  0)      -0.286501481       0.080611805  -3.55409     1.374747

SE of equation            =     0.147580601
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.02930625      -0.226973995E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.110147138
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.7076620    
R squared                 =   0.90210
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51154
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!   *    +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3*       +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!   *           +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!  +          *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!              +       *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                 *           +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                      *      +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPIT=SPPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPIT=LOG(AASPIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPIT=LOG(ASPIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPIT=EXP(LAASPIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  363 LAASPIT C LASPIT(-1) PSPIT;                                         
EQUATION 510  LAASPIT  
   RHS     C  LASPIT(-1)  PSPIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  510 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  510
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.779876983

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.105633476       0.058032378  -1.82025     1.000000
11939 LASPIT  ( -1)       0.900789393       0.036411668  24.73903    -3.795216
11937 PSPIT   (  0)      -0.188768563       0.090769099  -2.07966     1.353791

SE of equation            =     0.181686999
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.10688064      -0.434230429E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.119813957
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.5250239    
R squared                 =   0.95841
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58788
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!    *     +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1967.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!*     +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.2* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!       *    +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1970.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!             *    +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!      *        +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.1!            *     +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!             +                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                      *     +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                            *     +   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !


     17.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   364 LAANZIT C LANZIT(-1) PNZIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  364 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  365 LAASAIT C LASAIT(-1) PSAIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  365 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  366 LAAVEIT C LAVEIT(-1) PVEIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  366 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOIT=COPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOIT=LOG(AACOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOIT=LOG(ACOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOIT=EXP(LAACOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  367 LAACOIT C LACOIT(-1) PCOIT;                                         
EQUATION 511  LAACOIT  
   RHS     C  LACOIT(-1)  PCOIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  511 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  511
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.032934491

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.930447844       0.501572375  -5.84252     1.000000
11942 LACOIT  ( -1)       0.565449043       0.071996455   7.85385    -7.037943
11940 PCOIT   (  0)      -0.086508139       0.055286112  -1.56474     1.420544

SE of equation            =     0.297050507
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8533975       0.441895409E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.207494835
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1443492    
R squared                 =   0.36084
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35775
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!          +                       *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!           *          +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!             +                        *!          .   .   .          0
 1983.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!          *            +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +              *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!            *        +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!               +              *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!        *        +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1*             +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!    *         +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!*            +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!      *       +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!     *        +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!            *          +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   *  +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.4!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !


     23.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOIT=JOPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOIT=LOG(AAJOIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOIT=LOG(AJOIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOIT=EXP(LAAJOIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  368 LAAJOIT C LAJOIT(-1) PJOIT;                                         
EQUATION 512  LAAJOIT  
   RHS     C  LAJOIT(-1)  PJOIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  512 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  512
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.302157853

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.798103788       0.710800712  -5.34342     1.000000
11945 LAJOIT  ( -1)       0.589414060       0.071868932   8.20124    -9.311007
11943 PJOIT   (  0)      -0.012946115       0.184727388  -0.07008     1.237099

SE of equation            =     0.539685375
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.8250174      -0.250990340E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.416957222
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.5366100    
R squared                 =   0.35352
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!  *             +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.1!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!              +         *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!                *          +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   +         *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                     *     +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!        *              +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                +          *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!           *           +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.3!              +                   *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1986.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                         +         *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                    *       +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!                   +                  *!         .    .    .        0!
 1988.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                        +            *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                     *       +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3*                +                     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.4!  *    +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!          +           *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.2!                  *    +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!        *         +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.3!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!    *          +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.3!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!               *   +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     23.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYIT=SYPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYIT=LOG(AASYIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYIT=LOG(ASYIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYIT=EXP(LAASYIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  369 LAASYIT C LASYIT(-1) PSYIT;                                         
EQUATION 513  LAASYIT  
   RHS     C  LASYIT(-1)  PSYIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  513 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  513
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.397498330

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.262056688       0.281487265  -4.48353     1.000000
11948 LASYIT  ( -1)       0.778199737       0.048741168  15.96596    -6.392020
11946 PSYIT   (  0)      -0.051453109       0.021858360  -2.35393     3.132428

SE of equation            =     0.581440099
Sum of squared residuals  =  62.5434290       0.264677169E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.419061087
Sum of ABS residuals      =  78.7834844    
R squared                 =   0.70831
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *     +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1967.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3*             +                        !0           .  .  .           !
 1974.4!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                     *  +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                *     +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!              *     +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +      *!           .  .  .   0       !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                         *        +   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                *            +        !!0          .  .  .           !
 2012.1!               *  +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDIT=IDPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDIT=LOG(AAIDIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDIT=LOG(AIDIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDIT=EXP(LAAIDIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  370 LAAIDIT C LAIDIT(-1) PIDIT;                                         
EQUATION 514  LAAIDIT  
   RHS     C  LAIDIT(-1)  PIDIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  514 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  514
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.639773570

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.410829763       0.146033440  -2.81326     1.000000
11951 LAIDIT  ( -1)       0.898976422       0.032170020  27.94454    -5.649152
11949 PIDIT   (  0)      -0.104783386       0.051155124  -2.04835     1.436197

SE of equation            =     0.198572729
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.29475883       0.375308673E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.133183449
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.0384885    
R squared                 =   0.88902
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75254
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!    +            *                    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1967.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.1!    *             +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1970.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!*           +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.1!+            *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!*            +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!     *      +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAIT=MAPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAIT=LOG(AAMAIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAIT=LOG(AMAIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAIT=EXP(LAAMAIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  371 LAAMAIT C LAMAIT(-1) PMAIT;                                         
EQUATION 515  LAAMAIT  
   RHS     C  LAMAIT(-1)  PMAIT  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  515 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  515
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAIT 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.167493820

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.091757354       0.227733722  -4.79401     1.000000
11954 LAMAIT  ( -1)       0.797222042       0.040101432  19.88014    -6.169825
11952 PMAIT   (  0)      -0.108943213       0.025699951  -4.23904     1.441268

SE of equation            =     0.138941469
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.45554700      -0.750768336E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.105679279
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.2336287    
R squared                 =   0.81488
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36909
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.4!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!             +          *             !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!   *         +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1977.4!     +        *                       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.1!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2! *       +                            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.3*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!*   +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!     +          *                     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1983.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.2!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!  *      +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.2!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!                  *        +          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                 *          +         !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1996.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                         *   +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                  *      +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2004.2!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                    *      +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.4!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!                           *        + !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .      0  !


     29.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAIT=PAPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAIT=LOG(AAPAIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAIT=LOG(APAIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAIT=EXP(LAAPAIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  372 LAAPAIT C LAPAIT(-1) PPAIT;                                         
EQUATION 516  LAAPAIT  
   RHS     C  LAPAIT(-1)  PPAIT  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  516 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  516
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAIT 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.843205999

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.069627081       0.354139507  -5.84410     1.000000
11957 LAPAIT  ( -1)       0.653053494       0.058283344  11.20480    -6.841850
11955 PPAIT   (  0)      -0.201977328       0.046938308  -4.30304     1.512470

SE of equation            =     0.169919497
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.59074905      -0.813678014E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.123887085
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.0697078    
R squared                 =   0.71382
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23139
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                *       +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1973.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!     *            +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!        +            *                !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.3!   *              +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2*             +                        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!*       +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !


     26.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   373 LAAPHIT C LAPHIT(-1) PPHIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  373 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHIT=THPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHIT=LOG(AATHIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHIT=LOG(ATHIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHIT=EXP(LAATHIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  374 LAATHIT C LATHIT(-1) PTHIT;                                         
EQUATION 517  LAATHIT  
   RHS     C  LATHIT(-1)  PTHIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  517 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  517
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.290450893

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.717413328       0.190491245  -3.76612     1.000000
11960 LATHIT  ( -1)       0.818672362       0.041753454  19.60730    -6.294025
11958 PTHIT   (  0)      -0.301509019       0.091702810  -3.28789     1.393967

SE of equation            =     0.272704290
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.7580115      -0.284128276E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176816301
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.2414647    
R squared                 =   0.85293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.1!             *             +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.2!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!             *        +               !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!          *     +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.1!             +       *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!        *      +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2*           +                          !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1975.3!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                 *     +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.3!                      *     +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                      *   +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                       *     +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !


     17.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHIT=CHPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHIT=LOG(AACHIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHIT=LOG(ACHIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHIT=EXP(LAACHIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  375 LAACHIT C LACHIT(-1) PCHIT;                                         
EQUATION 518  LAACHIT  
   RHS     C  LACHIT(-1)  PCHIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  518 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  518
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.393814315

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.102113404       0.087313761   1.16950     1.000000
11963 LACHIT  ( -1)       0.962062720       0.020534619  46.85077    -4.417571
11961 PCHIT   (  0)      -0.193040579       0.104693992  -1.84386     1.274073

SE of equation            =     0.156889976
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.02757913      -0.644284626E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.119905922
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.1081462    
R squared                 =   0.97884
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77057
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3*  +                                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.4+  *                                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!       *+                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!      *   +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.2!       +                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!      * +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!       + *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!        * +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!        *  +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.2!         +*                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1994.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!               *  +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!             *    +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1996.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                     +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                   * +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !


     29.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   376 LAAARIT C LAARIT(-1) PARIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  376 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRIT=BRPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRIT=LOG(AABRIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRIT=LOG(ABRIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRIT=EXP(LAABRIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  377 LAABRIT C LABRIT(-1) PBRIT;                                         
EQUATION 519  LAABRIT  
   RHS     C  LABRIT(-1)  PBRIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  519 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  519
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.513588640

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.871605371       0.353861095  -5.28910     1.000000
11966 LABRIT  ( -1)       0.559754981       0.074309941   7.53271    -4.513796
11964 PBRIT   (  0)      -0.105750364       0.105110597  -1.00609     1.090903

SE of equation            =     0.198761949
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.85927642      -0.431121805E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.151403813
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0768804    
R squared                 =   0.32009
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17955
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!              +                       *!          .   .   .          0
 1982.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                +              *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              *      +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +                 *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.3!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4*               +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            +          *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.4!       *          +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!         *       +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!    *          +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!   *         +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4! *      +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!    *        +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !


     30.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEIT=CEPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEIT=LOG(AACEIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEIT=LOG(ACEIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEIT=EXP(LAACEIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  378 LAACEIT C LACEIT(-1) PCEIT;                                         
EQUATION 520  LAACEIT  
   RHS     C  LACEIT(-1)  PCEIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  520 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  520
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.750411271

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.051230277       0.251269825  -4.18367     1.000000
11969 LACEIT  ( -1)       0.802287703       0.044674301  17.95860    -5.754848
11967 PCEIT   (  0)      -0.059747161       0.073612147  -0.81165     1.374747

SE of equation            =     0.255907847
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.1154328       0.111377574E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.188103297
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3634199    
R squared                 =   0.65729
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47969
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!              +                *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1966.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!       *             +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!     +           *                    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.3!     *           +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3! *            +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.4*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3! *             +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.4!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!             *        +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!         *          +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!       *        +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!             *        +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2010.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   379 LAAMEIT C LAMEIT(-1) PMEIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  379 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEIT=PEPX$Q/ITPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEIT=LOG(AAPEIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEIT=LOG(APEIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEIT=EXP(LAAPEIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  380 LAAPEIT C LAPEIT(-1) PPEIT;                                         
EQUATION 521  LAAPEIT  
   RHS     C  LAPEIT(-1)  PPEIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  521 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  521
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.491846352

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.123363482       0.502898849  -6.21072     1.000000
11972 LAPEIT  ( -1)       0.512637273       0.077074144   6.65122    -6.492349
11970 PPEIT   (  0)      -0.041904570       0.058688033  -0.71402     0.960819

SE of equation            =     0.221713801
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.04631220      -0.246237697E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.168806258
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.2695885    
R squared                 =   0.26760
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14857
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.1!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!            *         +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.4*                 +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!             *            +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +              *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +              *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1992.2!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                           +          *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                  *      +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!         *           +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!       *          +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.3!   *           +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.4!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.3!             *           +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!            *        +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!        *          +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.2!              +           *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!           *            +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.4!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUIT=TUPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUIT=LOG(AATUIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUIT=LOG(ATUIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUIT=EXP(LAATUIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  381 LAATUIT C LATUIT(-1) PTUIT;                                         
EQUATION 522  LAATUIT  
   RHS     C  LATUIT(-1)  PTUIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  522 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  522
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.172220306

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.244555078       0.118329604  -2.06673     1.000000
11975 LATUIT  ( -1)       0.896023433       0.034326700  26.10281    -5.181899
11973 PTUIT   (  0)      -0.206992248       0.091829816  -2.25409     1.374747

SE of equation            =     0.217497139
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.75142602       0.154418700E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.159117145
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.9140233    
R squared                 =   0.90639
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37366
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!   *    +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2*    +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!+     *                               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!   *     +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.3!             *      +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!    *        +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!*          +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.4! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2! +    *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!           *       +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1977.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!   *       +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!      *         +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!             *     +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               *    + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDIT=PDPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDIT=LOG(AAPDIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDIT=LOG(APDIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDIT=EXP(LAAPDIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  382 LAAPDIT C LAPDIT(-1) PPDIT;                                         
EQUATION 523  LAAPDIT  
   RHS     C  LAPDIT(-1)  PPDIT  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  523 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  523
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDIT 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.975458071

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.048164186       0.097865114   0.49215     1.000000
11978 LAPDIT  ( -1)       0.945915344       0.023572010  40.12875    -4.989178
11976 PPDIT   (  0)      -0.238826540       0.091289362  -2.61615     1.274073

SE of equation            =     0.161032257
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.18956070       0.781597009E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.123261893
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.5309986    
R squared                 =   0.96174
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33797
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.4!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3*        +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                *   +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                    * +!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  383 LAARUIT C LARUIT(-1) PRUIT;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  383 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  384 LAAUEIT C LAUEIT(-1) PUEIT;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  384 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   385 LAAEGIT C LAEGIT(-1) PEGIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  385 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   386 LAAISIT C LAISIT(-1) PISIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  386 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   387 LAAKEIT C LAKEIT(-1) PKEIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  387 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAIT=BAPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAIT=LOG(AABAIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAIT=LOG(ABAIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAIT=EXP(LAABAIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  388 LAABAIT C LABAIT(-1) PBAIT;                                         
EQUATION 524  LAABAIT  
   RHS     C  LABAIT(-1)  PBAIT  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  524 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  524
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAIT 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.465496282

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.480311706       0.275098975  -5.38101     1.000000
11981 LABAIT  ( -1)       0.734171301       0.046554297  15.77022    -7.481924
11979 PBAIT   (  0)      -0.295829200       0.056923652  -5.19695     1.663700

SE of equation            =     0.235883614
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.84693165       0.225375274E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.170422374
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.6084246    
R squared                 =   0.89441
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14741
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1973.2!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4! *     +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!*     +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!  +    *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1978.3!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!        *     +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!     *      +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!        *     +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.3!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .         0!
 1988.2!                       *      +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 *     +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !


     27.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKIT=HKPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKIT=LOG(AAHKIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKIT=LOG(AHKIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKIT=EXP(LAAHKIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  389 LAAHKIT C LAHKIT(-1) PHKIT;                                         
EQUATION 525  LAAHKIT  
   RHS     C  LAHKIT(-1)  PHKIT  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  525 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  525
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKIT 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.696085347

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.221272242       0.079705287  -2.77613     1.000000
11984 LAHKIT  ( -1)       0.937076503       0.020167045  46.46573    -5.708339
11982 PHKIT   (  0)      -0.067324617       0.024099218  -2.79364     1.866517

SE of equation            =     0.136667306
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.45542123      -0.141868739E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.089784028
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.8793972    
R squared                 =   0.98171
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20956
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!  *   +                               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.3!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!  +        *                          !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!           +*                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!          * +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!      *    +                          !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1969.2!      + *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.1!        * +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1970.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!       *   +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1972.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!   *   +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2! * +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!+    *                                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1974.2! *   +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3! +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4* +                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!+   *                                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                           *  +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIIT=SIPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIIT=LOG(AASIIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIIT=LOG(ASIIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIIT=EXP(LAASIIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  390 LAASIIT C LASIIT(-1) PSIIT;                                         
EQUATION 526  LAASIIT  
   RHS     C  LASIIT(-1)  PSIIT  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  526 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  526
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIIT 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.405330295

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.749160903       0.212559189  -3.52448     1.000000
11987 LASIIT  ( -1)       0.871670628       0.036105674  24.14221    -6.410819
11985 PSIIT   (  0)      -0.037810155       0.026039099  -1.45205     1.799688

SE of equation            =     0.178789610
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.59400181      -0.597548677E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.126692022
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.5511799    
R squared                 =   0.82457
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58584
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1! +*                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1! +         *                          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!              *         +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!           +         *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            *     +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                           +        * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                +               *     !!           .  .  .       0   !
 2005.2!          *                    +      !0           .  .  .           !
 2005.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                   *       +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !


     24.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIIT=VIPX$/ITPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIIT=LOG(AAVIIT+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIIT=LOG(AVIIT+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIIT=EXP(LAAVIIT)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  391 LAAVIIT C LAVIIT(-1) PVIIT;                                         
EQUATION 527  LAAVIIT  
   RHS     C  LAVIIT(-1)  PVIIT  
 SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   127 to   244
 OLS;EST  527 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  527
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIIT 

 1983.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  118 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.131829753

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.067222407       0.278198106   0.24164     1.000000
11990 LAVIIT  ( -1)       0.949698316       0.028176558  33.70526    -8.178818
11988 PVIIT   (  0)      -0.345629173       0.275856746  -1.25293     1.248861

SE of equation            =     0.453245102
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.6245791      -0.187849736E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.379214164
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.7472714    
R squared                 =   0.94226
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.29731
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.3   2012.4    118

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.3!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!+ *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1! *   +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.1! *      +                             !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.2! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3! +     *                              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1*       +                              !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.2!+     *                               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.3!   *   +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1*   +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.2!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!   *    +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!   * +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1! *    +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!       *   +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!           + *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.2!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                *   +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .        0!
 1997.2!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.2!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.2!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.2!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.4!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.2!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !


     29.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.39 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  392 LAANIIT C LANIIT(-1) PNIIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  392 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  393 LAAALIT C LAALIT(-1) PALIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  393 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  394 LAAIAIT C LAIAIT(-1) PIAIT;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  394 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  395 LAAINIT C LAINIT(-1) PINIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  395 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  396 LAAIQIT C LAIQIT(-1) PIQIT;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  396 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  397 LAAKUIT C LAKUIT(-1) PKUIT;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  397 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  398 LAALIIT C LALIIT(-1) PLIIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  398 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  399 LAAUAIT C LAUAIT(-1) PUAIT;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  399 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   400 LAAUSNE C LAUSNE(-1) PUSNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  400 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   401 LAACANE C LACANE(-1) PCANE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  401 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJANE=JAPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJANE=LOG(AAJANE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJANE=LOG(AJANE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJANE=EXP(LAAJANE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  402 LAAJANE C LAJANE(-1) PJANE;                                         
EQUATION 528  LAAJANE  
   RHS     C  LAJANE(-1)  PJANE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  528 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  528
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJANE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.708836436

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.204169605       0.070666778  -2.88919     1.000000
11993 LAJANE  ( -1)       0.905738220       0.032240693  28.09301    -3.715799
11991 PJANE   (  0)      -0.092614512       0.047041679  -1.96878     1.502201

SE of equation            =     0.129317417
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.09375393      -0.280619972E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.094060728
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6834169    
R squared                 =   0.94623
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40985
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!    *   +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.1*        +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4! *      +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.2!    *     +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1! *    +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!          *    +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 *   +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                   *   +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                      *    +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                           *    +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUNE=AUPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUNE=LOG(AAAUNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUNE=LOG(AAUNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUNE=EXP(LAAAUNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  403 LAAAUNE C LAAUNE(-1) PAUNE;                                         
EQUATION 529  LAAAUNE  
   RHS     C  LAAUNE(-1)  PAUNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  529 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  529
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.033959050

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.411860041       0.156643914  -2.62928     1.000000
11996 LAAUNE  ( -1)       0.918447945       0.031925644  28.76834    -5.032196
11994 PAUNE   (  0)      -0.000262117       0.062002569  -0.00423     1.101409

SE of equation            =     0.077966091
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.12456159       0.197895922E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.055423016
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4195271    
R squared                 =   0.82852
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40264
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1966.3!             *       +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!            +       *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.1!   *                +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!           +              *           !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1974.2!                   *     +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!        *       +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1*         +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.2! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!   +     *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!    +           *                     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1977.2!     *          +                     !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1977.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2001.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!   *       +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2010.1!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   404 LAAFRNE C LAFRNE(-1) PFRNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  404 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   405 LAAGENE C LAGENE(-1) PGENE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  405 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITNE=ITPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITNE=LOG(AAITNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITNE=LOG(AITNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITNE=EXP(LAAITNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  406 LAAITNE C LAITNE(-1) PITNE;                                         
EQUATION 530  LAAITNE  
   RHS     C  LAITNE(-1)  PITNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  530 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  530
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.265732471

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.038453896       0.069572646  -0.55272     1.000000
11999 LAITNE  ( -1)       0.925853203       0.028274062  32.74567    -3.261104
11997 PITNE   (  0)      -0.217332638       0.097272593  -2.23426     0.956944

SE of equation            =     0.081482364
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.22828448       0.445110615E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.061204825
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.5065071    
R squared                 =   0.92997
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54953
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                   *        +         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                           *   +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                          +           *!           .  .  .           0
 1979.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                                 *  + !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                               *  +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!                           *  +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                     *    +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.4!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                  *    +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                    *    +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.3!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!                     *    +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!+*                                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3* +                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4+  *                                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!+*                                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!    * +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTNE=STPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTNE=LOG(AASTNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTNE=LOG(ASTNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTNE=EXP(LAASTNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  407 LAASTNE C LASTNE(-1) PSTNE;                                         
EQUATION 531  LAASTNE  
   RHS     C  LASTNE(-1)  PSTNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  531 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  531
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.406489597

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.721354357       0.166304065  -4.33756     1.000000
12002 LASTNE  ( -1)       0.800833418       0.046139660  17.35673    -4.402477
12000 PSTNE   (  0)      -0.163152560       0.057394844  -2.84263     0.977519

SE of equation            =     0.068731241
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.873936933      -0.331689343E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.053199653
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.0015347    
R squared                 =   0.81838
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39194
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!                              +       *!         .    .    .        0!
 1967.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!        *        +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!              *    +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.1!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!           *      +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1976.4!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 1978.1!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                *      +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!             *    +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.4!                  *    +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!             *   +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                   *   +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.1!                *    +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.3!                 *  +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!             *     +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2005.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2005.4!                 *    +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!      *    +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.3!         *   +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!*  +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   408 LAAUKNE C LAUKNE(-1) PUKNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  408 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFINE=FIPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFINE=LOG(AAFINE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFINE=LOG(AFINE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFINE=EXP(LAAFINE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  409 LAAFINE C LAFINE(-1) PFINE;                                         
EQUATION 532  LAAFINE  
   RHS     C  LAFINE(-1)  PFINE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  532 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  532
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFINE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.822708235

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.661778691       0.164332736  -4.02707     1.000000
12005 LAFINE  ( -1)       0.797525790       0.047194808  16.89859    -4.822791
12003 PFINE   (  0)      -0.304806030       0.106931409  -2.85048     1.032229

SE of equation            =     0.115288894
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.45893289       0.119771748E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.088403481
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6198543    
R squared                 =   0.81211
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31808
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.3!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .        0!
 1967.2!                            *       + !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .         0
 1970.1!                          *      +    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                     *   +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                  *     +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!             *      +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!             *       +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!            *        +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.1!   *       +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3*       +                              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!        *   +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!          *   +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.3!           *        +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1978.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!               *     +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.2!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                           *    +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASNE=ASPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASNE=LOG(AAASNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASNE=LOG(AASNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASNE=EXP(LAAASNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  410 LAAASNE C LAASNE(-1) PASNE;                                         
EQUATION 533  LAAASNE  
   RHS     C  LAASNE(-1)  PASNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  533 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  533
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.573366829

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.836157007       0.293566878  -6.25465     1.000000
12008 LAASNE  ( -1)       0.638014868       0.055823312  11.42918    -5.571309
12006 PASNE   (  0)      -0.151149323       0.054321486  -2.78250     1.208286

SE of equation            =     0.199075436
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.33174043      -0.104867226E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.150116706
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.2219408    
R squared                 =   0.50314
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.70829
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *                 +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!              *           +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!               *         +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                    +             *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.3!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!   *             +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!        *         +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!                      *         +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                         +           *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!            *           +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!       *            +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1997.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!          *           +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2009.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSONE=SOPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASONE=LOG(AASONE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASONE=LOG(ASONE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASONE=EXP(LAASONE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  411 LAASONE C LASONE(-1) PSONE;                                         
EQUATION 534  LAASONE  
   RHS     C  LASONE(-1)  PSONE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  534 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  534
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASONE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.366085913

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.055329986       0.230772636  -4.57303     1.000000
12011 LASONE  ( -1)       0.761291665       0.047280511  16.10160    -5.366069
12009 PSONE   (  0)      -0.211211310       0.093040451  -2.27010     1.068183

SE of equation            =     0.225155473
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.37857258      -0.154027902E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.169255904
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.8201099    
R squared                 =   0.65995
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26973
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                    *     +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                *     +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1969.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                *        +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1990.4!        *         +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1991.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!   *          +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1991.3*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!       +               *              !!           .  .  .           0
 1992.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                      *    +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                       *      +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1999.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                            +         *!           .  .  .      0    !
 2009.1!                             *     +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!               *         +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2010.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2010.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                 *     +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKONE=KOPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKONE=LOG(AAKONE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKONE=LOG(AKONE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKONE=EXP(LAAKONE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  412 LAAKONE C LAKONE(-1) PKONE;                                         
EQUATION 535  LAAKONE  
   RHS     C  LAKONE(-1)  PKONE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  535 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  535
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKONE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.717628492

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.980543233       0.158994719  -6.16714     1.000000
12014 LAKONE  ( -1)       0.656762110       0.052065927  12.61405    -5.738348
12012 PKONE   (  0)      -0.537493297       0.090792386  -5.92003     1.801615

SE of equation            =     0.304400843
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1420765       0.207829309E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.215104672
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.4396783    
R squared                 =   0.93337
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37490
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3*      +                               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!  *      +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.3!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!     *         +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.4!  *     +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.3!                                 *   +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                               *    + !!      0   .   .   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   413 LAABENE C LABENE(-1) PBENE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  413 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDENE=DEPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADENE=LOG(AADENE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADENE=LOG(ADENE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADENE=EXP(LAADENE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  414 LAADENE C LADENE(-1) PDENE;                                         
EQUATION 536  LAADENE  
   RHS     C  LADENE(-1)  PDENE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  536 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  536
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADENE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.723002428

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.468542410       0.124972075  -3.74918     1.000000
12017 LADENE  ( -1)       0.821917858       0.042785048  19.21040    -4.725909
12015 PDENE   (  0)      -0.335718135       0.105458799  -3.18341     1.102564

SE of equation            =     0.101657519
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.91183646      -0.419397850E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.083154550
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6330554    
R squared                 =   0.89096
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45744
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*      +                               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.2+     *                                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.2!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!        *  +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2! *  +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                *     +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.3!                         *      +     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                  *        +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                      *     +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.3!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.2!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                          *   +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                            *   +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                              *  +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                              +     * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.2!                            *       + !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2005.4!                             *    +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2006.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                              *   +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.4!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                       *   +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                      *   +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNONE=NOPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANONE=LOG(AANONE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANONE=LOG(ANONE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANONE=EXP(LAANONE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  415 LAANONE C LANONE(-1) PNONE;                                         
EQUATION 537  LAANONE  
   RHS     C  LANONE(-1)  PNONE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  537 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  537
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANONE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.050658944

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.110573522       0.078823121  -1.40281     1.000000
12020 LANONE  ( -1)       0.964882403       0.018144439  53.17786    -4.057468
12018 PNONE   (  0)      -0.027157068       0.056685121  -0.47909     0.924466

SE of equation            =     0.163798187
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.96352155       0.219602114E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.122056842
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9466863    
R squared                 =   0.94313
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86263
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!    *      +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!*            +                        !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2! +        *                           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1981.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.4!                 *    +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                  *    +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                 *      +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                     *     +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                *     +!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                          *  +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWNE=SWPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWNE=LOG(AASWNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWNE=LOG(ASWNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWNE=EXP(LAASWNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  416 LAASWNE C LASWNE(-1) PSWNE;                                         
EQUATION 538  LAASWNE  
   RHS     C  LASWNE(-1)  PSWNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  538 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  538
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.056577845

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.623467277       0.157623615  -3.95542     1.000000
12023 LASWNE  ( -1)       0.832422840       0.042376814  19.64336    -4.056051
12021 PSWNE   (  0)      -0.045844280       0.031926734  -1.43592     1.238122

SE of equation            =     0.067848231
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.851625751      -0.120889077E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.050157530
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.42961564    
R squared                 =   0.74006
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34528
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!     +              *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.1!     *             +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1976.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.3!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   417 LAAGRNE C LAGRNE(-1) PGRNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  417 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRNE=IRPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRNE=LOG(AAIRNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRNE=LOG(AIRNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRNE=EXP(LAAIRNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  418 LAAIRNE C LAIRNE(-1) PIRNE;                                         
EQUATION 539  LAAIRNE  
   RHS     C  LAIRNE(-1)  PIRNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  539 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  539
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.081398241

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.193002583       0.128890045  -1.49742     1.000000
12026 LAIRNE  ( -1)       0.918227986       0.030730036  29.88047    -5.090954
12024 PIRNE   (  0)      -0.167187959       0.134095768  -1.24678     1.278438

SE of equation            =     0.272026891
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6897464       0.522693000E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.217564653
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.9021547    
R squared                 =   0.90978
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.88489
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1966.2!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1966.3!    +                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1966.4!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.1!     +    *                           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.2!   *       +                          !!0       .     .     .        !
 1967.3!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1967.4*     +                                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1968.1! + *                                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.2! *  +                                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1968.3*   +                                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1968.4! +*                                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.1*    +                                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1969.2! +    *                               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.4!  *     +                             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1970.1!   + *                                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.2!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.3!      + *                             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.4! *       +                            !0        .     .     .        !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.2!  +*                                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.3!    +                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.4!   * +                                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.1!    +*                                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.2!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.3!      +     *                         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1972.4!         *  +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.1!         + *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.2!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.3!           +*                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.4!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1974.1!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.4!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.1!              +                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.2!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.3!                +      *              !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1975.4!                   *   +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1976.1!               *   +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.4!                 * +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.2!               *  +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.3!               +       *              !!        .     .     .       0!
 1977.4!               *      +               !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.2!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.3!                +    *                !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1978.4!                 *   +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.3!                   + *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.4!                  *  +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1980.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.2!                  *  +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.3!                  +   *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.1!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!                     +*               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4!                 *    +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1982.3!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.3!                      +     *         !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1983.4!                     *     +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.4!                        *   +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.1!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1985.4!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.1!                        +             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!                      * +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.4!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.1!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!                          *   +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.4!                         *    +       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!                        * +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1991.2!                         *  +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1991.4!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.1!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.4!                            *  +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                             * +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!                             * +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.3!                               +   *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.4!                               *   +  !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.1!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.3!                               +    * !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1996.4!                               *   +  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!                                +    *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 1997.4!                              *     + !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1998.1!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.3!                               +    * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.4!                                 * +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.3!                                  +   *!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.4!                                   * +!!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                                 * +  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.3!                                 +   *!!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.4!                                  * + !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2002.4!                             *    +   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2003.1!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.3!                                 +    *!        .     .     .  0     !
 2003.4!                                 *   +!!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.4!                               *  +   !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!                             *    +   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.1!                             +        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.4!                           *  +       !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                         *     +      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2008.1!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.4!                         *   +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2009.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.4!                          *    +      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.1!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.4!                          *   +       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.1!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.2!                           +          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.4!                        *    +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.1!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.4!                         *    +       !!    0   .     .     .        !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPONE=POPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPONE=LOG(AAPONE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPONE=LOG(APONE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPONE=EXP(LAAPONE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  419 LAAPONE C LAPONE(-1) PPONE;                                         
EQUATION 540  LAAPONE  
   RHS     C  LAPONE(-1)  PPONE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  540 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  540
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPONE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.812195207

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.263149369       0.121199386  -2.17121     1.000000
12029 LAPONE  ( -1)       0.921664065       0.029165816  31.60083    -5.818492
12027 PPONE   (  0)      -0.145186083       0.087601267  -1.65735     1.283534

SE of equation            =     0.171062976
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.41357020       0.152589053E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.134389086
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.2651481    
R squared                 =   0.92037
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63697
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.4!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!     *    +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.4!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3*   +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.4!+    *                                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!       *     +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!   *      +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!      *    +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!       *      +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.3! *      +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.4!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!    +        *                        !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.2!     *        +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1976.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!*    +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.1! +    *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.3!                  *       +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!               *    +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.1!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                                *  +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                         *    +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                      *    +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPNE=SPPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPNE=LOG(AASPNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPNE=LOG(ASPNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPNE=EXP(LAASPNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  420 LAASPNE C LASPNE(-1) PSPNE;                                         
EQUATION 541  LAASPNE  
   RHS     C  LASPNE(-1)  PSPNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  541 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  541
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.394738412

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.601383496       0.114788029  -5.23908     1.000000
12032 LASPNE  ( -1)       0.752475320       0.046333013  16.24059    -4.403476
12030 PSPNE   (  0)      -0.379900572       0.082645634  -4.59674     1.263088

SE of equation            =     0.124153852
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.85162309       0.340607542E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.091401653
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.1835108    
R squared                 =   0.94109
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26167
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.2! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!         *   +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.1!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!               *    +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!               *  +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                  *   +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                  *  +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                     *  +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                    *  +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                *       +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.4!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                              +       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.2!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                               *  +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   421 LAANZNE C LANZNE(-1) PNZNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  421 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  422 LAASANE C LASANE(-1) PSANE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  422 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  423 LAAVENE C LAVENE(-1) PVENE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  423 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   424 LAACONE C LACONE(-1) PCONE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  424 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJONE=JOPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJONE=LOG(AAJONE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJONE=LOG(AJONE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJONE=EXP(LAAJONE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  425 LAAJONE C LAJONE(-1) PJONE;                                         
EQUATION 542  LAAJONE  
   RHS     C  LAJONE(-1)  PJONE  
 SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   130 to   244
 OLS;EST  542 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  542
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJONE 

 1984.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  115 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.901317830

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.289944580       0.635498264  -3.60338     1.000000
12035 LAJONE  ( -1)       0.738356224       0.061669282  11.97284    -9.905803
12033 PJONE   (  0)      -0.256522855       0.190721449  -1.34501     1.159201

SE of equation            =     0.514453890
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.6422342       0.133457689E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.385737894
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.3598578    
R squared                 =   0.56999
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.2   2012.4    115

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.2!      +   *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!         +              *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.1!          *            +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!*           +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!        *                     +       !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.4!            +                  *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.1!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     +                *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.3!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                *         +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!  *              +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.2!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!*                 +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !


     23.48 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYNE=SYPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYNE=LOG(AASYNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYNE=LOG(ASYNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYNE=EXP(LAASYNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  426 LAASYNE C LASYNE(-1) PSYNE;                                         
EQUATION 543  LAASYNE  
   RHS     C  LASYNE(-1)  PSYNE  
 SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   145 to   244
 OLS;EST  543 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  543
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYNE 

 1988.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  100 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.573378655

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.859666834       0.904637855  -4.26653     1.000000
12038 LASYNE  ( -1)       0.521137217       0.089576924   5.81776    -8.555493
12036 PSYNE   (  0)      -0.229614842       0.575617772  -0.39890     1.111105

SE of equation            =     1.144313300
Sum of squared residuals  =  127.016934       0.957456336E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.936629618
Sum of ABS residuals      =  93.6629618    
R squared                 =   0.27226
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20463
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.1   2012.4    100

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.1!               +    *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!               +     *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.1!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.2!              *       +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.3!              +          *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.4!                *    +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!                 +     *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.4!                   +  *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.3*                   +                  !!0       .     .     .        !
 1992.4!        +     *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.1!               +           *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.2! *                    +               !0        .     .     .        !
 1993.3!         +                  *         !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1993.4! *                     +              !0        .     .     .        !
 1994.1!         +           *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.2!              *    +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!             *   +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.1!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!     *        +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.3!           +        *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.4!             *    +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.2!                +  *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.3!   *              +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1996.4!          +  *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.1!   *           +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.2!   *      +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.3!    *     +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!   *      +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.1!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.2!       *    +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.3!       *    +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!        *   +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.2!          *    +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.3!  *          +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.4!         +  *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.1!     *        +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.2!     *    +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.3!      *   +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.4!      *    +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.1!           +   *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.3!            *     +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.1!                    +      *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.3!                    +       *         !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.2!            *        +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.3!      *       +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.4!           +       *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.1!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.2!                       +    *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.3!                       +              *!        .     .     .    0   !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.2!           *       +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.4!               +             *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2006.1!                       +       *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.2!              *          +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.3!          *     +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.4!              +       *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2007.1!                    +    *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                      +         *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.3!          *              +            !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2007.4!           *  +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!               +           *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2008.2!                   *   +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.4!                     + *              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.1!                    +    *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                     +       *        !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.3!                        +    *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.4!                      * +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!                    +      *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.2!                       +  *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.3!                      +       *       !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.1!                       +        *     !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.2!                         +       *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.3!                          +  *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.4!            *           +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.1!   *           +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2012.2!  *       +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.3!    *     +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.4! *         +                          !!       0.     .     .        !


     30.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDNE=IDPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDNE=LOG(AAIDNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDNE=LOG(AIDNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDNE=EXP(LAAIDNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  427 LAAIDNE C LAIDNE(-1) PIDNE;                                         
EQUATION 544  LAAIDNE  
   RHS     C  LAIDNE(-1)  PIDNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  544 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  544
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.827444191

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.438803646       0.171234337  -2.56259     1.000000
12041 LAIDNE  ( -1)       0.881312747       0.035410693  24.88832    -5.840980
12039 PIDNE   (  0)      -0.179723313       0.082831035  -2.16976     1.340451

SE of equation            =     0.286626347
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.1986126       0.141096024E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.212041434
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.8637896    
R squared                 =   0.84615
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26504
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2! *      +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.3! +         *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!          *        +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!      *             +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!  *        +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!         *      +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!       *     +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                              *    +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMANE=MAPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMANE=LOG(AAMANE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMANE=LOG(AMANE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMANE=EXP(LAAMANE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  428 LAAMANE C LAMANE(-1) PMANE;                                         
EQUATION 545  LAAMANE  
   RHS     C  LAMANE(-1)  PMANE  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  545 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  545
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMANE 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.902150365

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.268596769       0.088988277  -3.01834     1.000000
12044 LAMANE  ( -1)       0.929026891       0.022515222  41.26217    -4.914861
12042 PMANE   (  0)      -0.050221258       0.034904988  -1.43880     1.344363

SE of equation            =     0.151085100
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.08598064      -0.104813935E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.113920419
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.7335162    
R squared                 =   0.94406
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23553
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3+ *                                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!      *   +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!   *   +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!             *  +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           * +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.4!                  *    +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!                  *   +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!            *     +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1977.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.1!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                *     +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                     *      +         !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                *   +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                   *    +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                  *   +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                  *  +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !


     25.82 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPANE=PAPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPANE=LOG(AAPANE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPANE=LOG(APANE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPANE=EXP(LAAPANE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  429 LAAPANE C LAPANE(-1) PPANE;                                         
EQUATION 546  LAAPANE  
   RHS     C  LAPANE(-1)  PPANE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  546 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  546
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPANE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.400770660

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.187998046       0.261760016  -4.53850     1.000000
12047 LAPANE  ( -1)       0.779565018       0.044817669  17.39414    -7.400554
12045 PPANE   (  0)      -0.311300103       0.074786340  -4.16253     1.424861

SE of equation            =     0.206412339
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.77436255      -0.391615629E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.165234965
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7680644    
R squared                 =   0.86093
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61275
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.4!            *   +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.2!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.3!           +      *                   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1973.4!     *      +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1974.1!  +                                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.2!   +    *                             !!        .     .     0        !
 1974.3!*       +                             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1974.4!   +      *                           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.1!      *     +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1975.2!    *    +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1975.3!      +                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.4!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.1!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1976.2!  *       +                           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1976.3!   +     *                            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.1!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.2!    *  +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.3! *   +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.4!   +     *                            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1978.1!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.2!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.3!         +   *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.4!    *       +                         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1979.1!     +       *                        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1979.2!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.3!    *     +                           !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1979.4!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.1!      +         *                     !!        .     .     .        0
 1980.2!        *       +                     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.4!    *       +                         !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1981.1!      +     *                         !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1981.2!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.3!      +  *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1981.4!   *    +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.1! *   +                                !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.2!   +  *                               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!      *  +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.1*       +                              !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1983.2! *+                                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.3!   +   *                              !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.4!        + *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.1!    *     +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.2!     +  *                             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1984.3!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.4!       +     *                        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1985.1!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.2!           +*                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.3!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.4!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.2!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.3!                  +   *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.4!           *        +                 !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1987.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                +     *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.2!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.4!                  *     +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1989.1!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.3!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.1!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!                     +    *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.4!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                         +*           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.2!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.1!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.3!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.1!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.3!                               +      *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1993.4!                                    + !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.4!                                  +   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                             *   +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.3!                               +   *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.1!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.2!                             *  +     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.1!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.1!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.1!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2001.4!                             * +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.2!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.4!                             *   +    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                               +   *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.4!                             *   +    !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.1!                             +       *!!        .     .     .     0  !
 2004.2!                              *    +  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!                             *  +     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.1!                    *        +        !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!                     *    +           !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                      *  +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.2!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!                     *    +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2009.1!                       +       *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2009.2!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.4!                          *  +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.1!                     *     +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.2!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.4!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!                    *   +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                 *      +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.2!              *  +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.3!                 +   *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.4!                  *   +               !!        .0    .     .        !


     28.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHNE=PHPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHNE=LOG(AAPHNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHNE=LOG(APHNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHNE=EXP(LAAPHNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  430 LAAPHNE C LAPHNE(-1) PPHNE;                                         
EQUATION 547  LAAPHNE  
   RHS     C  LAPHNE(-1)  PPHNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  547 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  547
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.550571139

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.339755122       0.176329003  -1.92682     1.000000
12050 LAPHNE  ( -1)       0.904813671       0.030631124  29.53903    -5.544436
12048 PPHNE   (  0)      -0.153602701       0.086725917  -1.77113     1.263877

SE of equation            =     0.280068957
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.5111448      -0.873168204E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.186115195
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9896567    
R squared                 =   0.84085
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51448
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!               *       +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!       *      +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!     *     +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4! *       +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3*      +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!    +            *                    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!    *                 +               !!0          .  .  .           !
 1974.3!     +                   *            !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                    *      +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1977.3!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!         *           +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                               *   +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !


     16.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHNE=THPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHNE=LOG(AATHNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHNE=LOG(ATHNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHNE=EXP(LAATHNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  431 LAATHNE C LATHNE(-1) PTHNE;                                         
EQUATION 548  LAATHNE  
   RHS     C  LATHNE(-1)  PTHNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  548 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  548
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.121765727

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.512613575       0.159352591  -3.21685     1.000000
12053 LATHNE  ( -1)       0.855773954       0.037356631  22.90822    -5.130196
12051 PTHNE   (  0)      -0.168360189       0.099794859  -1.68706     1.299973

SE of equation            =     0.271366975
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6234065       0.542854650E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.164678220
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9595053    
R squared                 =   0.82186
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14174
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2! *          +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!    +         *                       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1967.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!  *                 +                 !!0          .  .  .           !
 1971.2! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.4*      +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!  +                  *                !!           .  .  .           0
 1973.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                         *       +    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                        *      +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !


     17.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHNE=CHPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHNE=LOG(AACHNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHNE=LOG(ACHNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHNE=EXP(LAACHNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  432 LAACHNE C LACHNE(-1) PCHNE;                                         
EQUATION 549  LAACHNE  
   RHS     C  LACHNE(-1)  PCHNE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  549 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  549
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHNE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.013326674

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.254949193       0.123470036   2.06487     1.000000
12056 LACHNE  ( -1)       0.957768570       0.020544783  46.61858    -4.036127
12054 PCHNE   (  0)      -0.335289103       0.146024986  -2.29611     1.200756

SE of equation            =     0.174503713
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.74554014      -0.691313673E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.142936086
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.0099468    
R squared                 =   0.97970
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.94824
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    *  +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!    +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2! +    *                               !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.3!*    +                                !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.4!+ *                                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!* +                                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.2!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4! +*                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2+*                                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!+*                                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.1! *  +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!  + *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!     + *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!     *  +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.2!      +                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!      + *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!      *  +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.2!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!       *+                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!     *  +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.2!      +                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!      * +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!        *+                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!         +*                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!         *+                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!       *  +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.2!        + *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!              *  +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!                *  +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                *   +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                             * +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!                                +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.4!                                    + !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                                  *  +!!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                                 *  + !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                                     +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                                     *+!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !


     33.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   433 LAAARNE C LAARNE(-1) PARNE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  433 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   434 LAABRNE C LABRNE(-1) PBRNE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  434 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCENE=CEPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACENE=LOG(AACENE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACENE=LOG(ACENE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACENE=EXP(LAACENE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  435 LAACENE C LACENE(-1) PCENE;                                         
EQUATION 550  LAACENE  
   RHS     C  LACENE(-1)  PCENE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  550 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  550
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACENE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.941305943

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.892764699       0.303553237  -2.94105     1.000000
12059 LACENE  ( -1)       0.823076476       0.041701903  19.73714    -5.942745
12057 PCENE   (  0)      -0.122480400       0.161659787  -0.75764     1.283534

SE of equation            =     0.441394229
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.0433401      -0.136486378E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.319565965
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.0784014    
R squared                 =   0.68418
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30735
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                        +             *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1966.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!  *      +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.1!     +      *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!               +        *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!           *             +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3*                   +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.4!   +               *                  !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1983.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!     *        +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3*                +                     !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1984.4!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!       *       +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.4!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!        *          +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1993.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!          *        +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1996.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMENE=MEPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMENE=LOG(AAMENE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMENE=LOG(AMENE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMENE=EXP(LAAMENE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  436 LAAMENE C LAMENE(-1) PMENE;                                         
EQUATION 551  LAAMENE  
   RHS     C  LAMENE(-1)  PMENE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  551 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  551
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMENE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.699453836

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.843465526       0.258701770  -3.26038     1.000000
12062 LAMENE  ( -1)       0.822639779       0.045067147  18.25365    -6.706365
12060 PMENE   (  0)      -0.264165536       0.171099254  -1.54393     1.283534

SE of equation            =     0.392425422
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.4895767      -0.298570058E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.259672297
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.8183918    
R squared                 =   0.74079
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22052
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!            *           +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1972.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!              +            *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1974.2!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!      *               +               !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1981.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!          +             *             !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1981.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1! *                   +                !!0          .  .  .           !
 1982.2!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!    +       *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4*           +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4*           +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.1!  +                    *              !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!               *       +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                         *     +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!               *       +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1995.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPENE=PEPX$Q/NEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPENE=LOG(AAPENE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPENE=LOG(APENE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPENE=EXP(LAAPENE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  437 LAAPENE C LAPENE(-1) PPENE;                                         
EQUATION 552  LAAPENE  
   RHS     C  LAPENE(-1)  PPENE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  552 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  552
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPENE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.672256153

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.786618280       0.473707494  -5.88257     1.000000
12065 LAPENE  ( -1)       0.551852859       0.073278927   7.53085    -6.668332
12063 PPENE   (  0)      -0.226095511       0.080399768  -2.81214     0.909792

SE of equation            =     0.282106521
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.78884294      -0.496473973E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.225629686
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.4293405    
R squared                 =   0.40423
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11780
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                +           *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1981.4!                    *  +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.1!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1982.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!                     +     *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.1!                       +              *!        .     .     .      0 !
 1983.2!                 *          +         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1983.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.1!           *        +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.2!              +   *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.3!                  +        *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1984.4!                *      +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.1!                 +              *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1985.2!                          +     *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.3!                    *     +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.4!                    +         *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.3!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.4!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.1!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.3!           *      +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1987.4!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.4!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.1!             + *                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!                +      *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.3!               *     +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.1!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!          *     +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.1!   *          +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.2!          +         *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.3!              *     +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4*                 +                    !0        .     .     .        !
 1992.1!         +            *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1992.2!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                  +      *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!                 *     +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.4!                       +    *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.1!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.2!                            +     *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.3!                            +      *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.2!                        +     *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.3!                          +         * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1995.4!                          *  +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.1!                      * +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.2!                     +     *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.3!                   *    +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.4!                    +     *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!          *        +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.2!  *            +                      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1998.3!          +           *               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1998.4!                 *    +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!          *        +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.2!         *      +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.3!              +    *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.4!           *        +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.1!     *          +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2000.2! *          +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2000.3!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                +       *             !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.1!       *               +              !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2001.2!   *         +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2001.3!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.4!          *    +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.1!             *      +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.2!                 +  *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.3!                  *  +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!           *       +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.2!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.3!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2004.4!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.1!                           +    *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!           +               *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2007.1!          *         +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2007.2!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.3!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!            +   *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.1!               +     *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!              *  +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.4!                +     *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.1!                    +     *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!                  *   +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.3!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.4!         *   +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.1!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.2!       *   +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.4!    *    +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.1!      +  *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!    *   +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.1!         +  *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.2!   *       +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.4!     *   +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !


     30.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUNE=TUPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUNE=LOG(AATUNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUNE=LOG(ATUNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUNE=EXP(LAATUNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  438 LAATUNE C LATUNE(-1) PTUNE;                                         
EQUATION 553  LAATUNE  
   RHS     C  LATUNE(-1)  PTUNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  553 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  553
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.045985893

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.295244756       0.125974902  -2.34368     1.000000
12068 LATUNE  ( -1)       0.882226724       0.035807607  24.63797    -6.056270
12066 PTUNE   (  0)      -0.317668571       0.123063150  -2.58135     1.283534

SE of equation            =     0.193040604
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.89396482      -0.461852778E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.135383312
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4520626    
R squared                 =   0.92287
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73591
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!*    +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!+         *                           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1966.4! *       +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1967.1* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!+    *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!   *    +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!*       +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.4!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!        *      +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!*        +                            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1980.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.4!       *          +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.2!          *     +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             *   +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDNE=PDPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDNE=LOG(AAPDNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDNE=LOG(APDNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDNE=EXP(LAAPDNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  439 LAAPDNE C LAPDNE(-1) PPDNE;                                         
EQUATION 554  LAAPDNE  
   RHS     C  LAPDNE(-1)  PPDNE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  554 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  554
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDNE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.241114932

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.023070452       0.094034649  -0.24534     1.000000
12071 LAPDNE  ( -1)       0.909871087       0.029102435  31.26443    -5.257288
12069 PPDNE   (  0)      -0.361930024       0.124047936  -2.91766     1.200756

SE of equation            =     0.138410367
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.35636386      -0.193640659E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.099308386
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5128566    
R squared                 =   0.96398
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71692
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!*     +                               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1*    +                                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!+      *                              !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!       *   +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!      + *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!    *  +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!    *  +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!       * +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!        *    +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!          *  +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            * +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!            *    +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                  *      +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                         *  +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  440 LAARUNE C LARUNE(-1) PRUNE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  440 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  441 LAAUENE C LAUENE(-1) PUENE;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  441 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   442 LAAEGNE C LAEGNE(-1) PEGNE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  442 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISNE=ISPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISNE=LOG(AAISNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISNE=LOG(AISNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISNE=EXP(LAAISNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  443 LAAISNE C LAISNE(-1) PISNE;                                         
EQUATION 555  LAAISNE  
   RHS     C  LAISNE(-1)  PISNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  555 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  555
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.597585999

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.153677361       0.350204461  -6.14977     1.000000
12074 LAISNE  ( -1)       0.573236721       0.059773168   9.59020    -5.597455
12072 PISNE   (  0)      -0.209120382       0.138608249  -1.50872     1.124910

SE of equation            =     0.161646041
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.83394689       0.834639025E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.127216536
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.9167089    
R squared                 =   0.35041
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26033
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.2!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1966.3! *               +                    !!0       .     .     .        !
 1966.4!      +            *                  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1967.1!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1967.2!       *      +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.3!           +           *              !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1967.4!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.1!               *    +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1968.2!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.3!                 +             *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1968.4!                         +            *!        .     .     .     0  !
 1969.1!                  *         +         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1969.2!                +              *      !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1969.3!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1969.4!                        +           * !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1970.1!                    *      +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.2!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1970.3!                   +      *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1970.4!                      +            *  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1971.1!                       *   +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.2!                     +       *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1971.3!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.4!                          +    *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1972.1!                    *     +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1972.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.3!                  +*                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!                 +            *       !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1973.1!                  *     +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.2!                +  *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.3!         *       +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.1!            +              *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1974.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.3!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.4!                    +     *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1975.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.2!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1975.3!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.2!                 * +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.3!                  +  *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.4!                    +          *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.1!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.2!                *      +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1977.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.4!               +      *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.1!                  + *                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.3!             *    +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.1!*           +                         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1979.2!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.3! *        +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1979.4!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.2!        *     +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.4!          *   +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.1!   *         +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1981.2!  *     +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.3!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.4!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.1*             +                        !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1982.2!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.3!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.4!          +   *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.1!      *        +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1983.2!       *   +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.3!     *     +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.4!          +      *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.1!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.2!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.3!              +       *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.1!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.2!             +     *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.3!             *    +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.4!                *   +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.1!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1987.2!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.2!             *     +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.3!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1988.4!             +           *            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.2!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.1!          *        +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1990.2!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!            + *                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.4!                +    *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.1!   *                +                 !0        .     .     .        !
 1991.2!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.3!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.3!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!        *      +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.1!            +        *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.2!         *         +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.3!            +  *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!               +        *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.1!                *    +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.2!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.4!                +        *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.1!                   *   +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!                 *  +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.4!                    +             *   !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1996.1!                   *       +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1996.2!                   +        *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.3!                   *    +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.4!                   +             *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1997.1!                     *    +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.4!                      +          *    !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1998.1!                          +  *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.2!                        +      *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.3!                         +  *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.4!                        +        *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                    +    *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.2!              *   +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.3!             * +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.4!              +     *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.4!                 +      *             !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.4!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2005.1!                   *    +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!              *    +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!           *    +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.1!       *        +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.2!      *     +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!         *    +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.1!          *        +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2008.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.4!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.1!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.2!            * +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.4!              +     *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.1!              *    +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.2!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.1!         *       +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2011.2!             +  *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.3!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.1!              *    +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.3!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   444 LAAKENE C LAKENE(-1) PKENE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  444 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBANE=BAPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABANE=LOG(AABANE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABANE=LOG(ABANE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABANE=EXP(LAABANE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  445 LAABANE C LABANE(-1) PBANE;                                         
EQUATION 556  LAABANE  
   RHS     C  LABANE(-1)  PBANE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  556 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  556
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABANE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.022911073

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.552311017       0.161304005  -3.42404     1.000000
12077 LABANE  ( -1)       0.887325024       0.028060909  31.62139    -8.035274
12075 PBANE   (  0)      -0.217262554       0.055118105  -3.94176     1.568149

SE of equation            =     0.204133195
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.62558746       0.417736956E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152595189
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.7204206    
R squared                 =   0.96216
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38530
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!    *    +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.4! * +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4*  +                                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!+    *                                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!   *  +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.1!         *     +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!   *       +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!     *     +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!      *    +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                   *   +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          * +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                          * +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                             *  +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !


     27.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKNE=HKPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKNE=LOG(AAHKNE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKNE=LOG(AHKNE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKNE=EXP(LAAHKNE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  446 LAAHKNE C LAHKNE(-1) PHKNE;                                         
EQUATION 557  LAAHKNE  
   RHS     C  LAHKNE(-1)  PHKNE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  557 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  557
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKNE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.337770908

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.165686411       0.069237672  -2.39301     1.000000
12080 LAHKNE  ( -1)       0.948198127       0.020592181  46.04651    -5.349677
12078 PHKNE   (  0)      -0.057438581       0.028050263  -2.04770     1.732829

SE of equation            =     0.113010998
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.36272487      -0.563389335E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.078217538
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.7048971    
R squared                 =   0.98670
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50154
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! * +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2! +   *                                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!    + *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!   *   +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1967.4!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.1!   *   +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.2!    +*                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!    *+                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.1*       +                              !0           .  .  .           !
 1969.2+ *                                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!* +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!      + *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!    *   +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1971.3!   *+                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!  *+                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4*  +                                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.1+   *                                  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.2!   +*                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!    +*                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1975.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!            *  +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!             *+                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                * +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                * +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                  * +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                            +         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSINE=SIPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASINE=LOG(AASINE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASINE=LOG(ASINE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASINE=EXP(LAASINE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  447 LAASINE C LASINE(-1) PSINE;                                         
EQUATION 558  LAASINE  
   RHS     C  LASINE(-1)  PSINE  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  558 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  558
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASINE 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.328104860

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.223614620       0.081096184  -2.75740     1.000000
12083 LASINE  ( -1)       0.892196875       0.030577670  29.17805    -5.340433
12081 PSINE   (  0)      -0.201489456       0.061302483  -3.28681     1.686306

SE of equation            =     0.169304405
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.01619678      -0.367639252E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.133820900
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8201202    
R squared                 =   0.97368
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22821
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!     *+                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.2! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.4* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!+     *                               !!         .    .    .         0
 1972.2!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!        *+                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!        +                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!      *   +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!        *   +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.3!     *  +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!       +                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!      + *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.2!         *  +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!             +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!          *   +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!        *  +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!          +*                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!         *  +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4!         + *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.4!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                  *  +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.4!                              * +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1995.1!                               *   +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                               * +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                              *  +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                                  +   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                                  + * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.1!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.1!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                                     +!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                                     +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                                    + !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                                  *  +!!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.1!                                  *  +!!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!                               *   +  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                               *  +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                               *   +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                *+    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                                +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !


     28.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVINE=VIPX$/NEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVINE=LOG(AAVINE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVINE=LOG(AVINE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVINE=EXP(LAAVINE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  448 LAAVINE C LAVINE(-1) PVINE;                                         
EQUATION 559  LAAVINE  
   RHS     C  LAVINE(-1)  PVINE  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST  559 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  559
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVINE 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.985635419

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.107634906       0.407693985  -0.26401     1.000000
12086 LAVINE  ( -1)       0.924220195       0.024403861  37.87188    -7.049108
12084 PVINE   (  0)      -0.322920813       0.389015285  -0.83010     1.124340

SE of equation            =     0.315480718
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.05705562       0.261568545E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.245371793
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.0649486    
R squared                 =   0.94891
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.50527
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3*  +                                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.4! +                                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.1!   + *                                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.2!       +*                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.3!         *+                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.4!           + *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.1!           *  +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.2!             + *                      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.4!               +*                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1992.3!              *    +                  !0        .     .     .        !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.1!               *  +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.4!                  *  +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1994.2!                    *  +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1994.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.4!                    *   +             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.4!                     *   +            !!0       .     .     .        !
 1996.1!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .        0
 1996.2!                        *  +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1996.4!                        *    +        !0        .     .     .        !
 1997.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1997.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.4!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.2!                             *  +     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.4!                              * +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.2!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                             * +      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!                               +      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.1!                               + *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.3!                                +     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                               +  *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.2!                                * +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!                              *  +    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2005.1!                               +  *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.2!                                    + !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.3!                                    + !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.2!                                    + !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.2!                                    *+!!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!                                    + *!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.2!                                     +!!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.3!                                     +*!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.4!                                      +!        .     .0    .        !


     35.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  449 LAANINE C LANINE(-1) PNINE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  449 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  450 LAAALNE C LAALNE(-1) PALNE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  450 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  451 LAAIANE C LAIANE(-1) PIANE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  451 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  452 LAAINNE C LAINNE(-1) PINNE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  452 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  453 LAAIQNE C LAIQNE(-1) PIQNE;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  453 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  454 LAAKUNE C LAKUNE(-1) PKUNE;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  454 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  455 LAALINE C LALINE(-1) PLINE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  455 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  456 LAAUANE C LAUANE(-1) PUANE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  456 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSST=USPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSST=LOG(AAUSST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSST=LOG(AUSST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSST=EXP(LAAUSST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  457 LAAUSST C LAUSST(-1) PUSST;                                         
EQUATION 560  LAAUSST  
   RHS     C  LAUSST(-1)  PUSST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  560 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  560
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.576303505

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.647257330       0.150763366  -4.29320     1.000000
12089 LAUSST  ( -1)       0.633497579       0.055769342  11.35924    -2.577624
12087 PUSST   (  0)      -0.256300219       0.089808037  -2.85387     1.155395

SE of equation            =     0.157374138
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.58182456       0.192525995E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.122112866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9572188    
R squared                 =   0.48093
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12907
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.2!                     +   *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.3!                     +    *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.4!                  *   +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1967.1!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.2!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1967.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1967.4!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.1!                  +       *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1968.2!                     +    *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1968.3!                     +           *    !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1968.4!                     *    +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1969.1!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.2!                +    *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.3!                  +     *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1970.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.3!               *    +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1970.4!               +     *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.1!                  +  *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.4! *             +                      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1972.1!       +     *                        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1972.2!         *     +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1972.3!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1972.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.1!               *+                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.2!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1973.3!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.4!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1974.1!            * +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.2!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1974.3!           *      +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.4!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.1!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.4!         *        +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.1!       *    +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.2!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.3!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.4!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.1!               +    *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1977.2!               *   +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.3!                +         *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.4!                 *      +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.1!        *         +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.1!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.2!                    +             *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1979.3!                       *     +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.4!                      +           *   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.2!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.3!                *          +          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.1!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.3!                +    *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1981.4!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.1!               + *                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.3!             + *                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.1!              +      *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1983.2!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.3!           +   *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.1!       *       +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.2*         +                            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.3!   +               *                  !!        .     .     .        0
 1984.4!     *         +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1985.1!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.2!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.3*        +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.4*     +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.1!*    +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.2!     + *                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.3!           +     *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.4!     *           +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1987.1!     *    +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.2!          *+                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3! *            +                       !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1987.4!        +  *                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.1!            *  +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!    *           +                     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.1!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.1!          *     +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!           *    +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.4!               +  *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.1!           *       +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1992.2!         *    +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!              +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.2!              +             *         !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1993.3!                         +      *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.4!                        *  +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!             *       +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.3!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.4!        *        +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.1!             +    *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.3!         *          +                 !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1995.4!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.1!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.3!                        +     *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.4!                       *   +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.1!                      +     *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1997.2!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.3!                     *      +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.4!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.1!  *              +                    !!0       .     .     .        !
 1998.2!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.3!          +           *               !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1998.4!                      +         *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1999.1!               *           +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1999.2!       *        +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1999.3!            +              *          !!        .     .     .        0
 1999.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.1!                          +    *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.2!              *           +           !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2000.3!               +     *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!                    +             *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2001.2!                           +   *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.3!           *             +            !!0       .     .     .        !
 2001.4!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!               +   *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.4!             *    +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!                +    *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                *      +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!             *    +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.2!                +                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                  +  *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!                    * +               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.1!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!          *          +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2005.3!              +      *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.4!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!                   +     *            !!        .     .     0        !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.1!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.2!                      +            *  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2007.3!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!                        *   +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!                        +             *!        .     .     .      0 !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.3!                             +      * !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.4!                          *    +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.2!                        +    *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.3!                           +  *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.1!                           +  *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.3!                        +    *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.4!                           +      *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.1!                       *      +       !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.1!                          +      *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.3!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAST=CAPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAST=LOG(AACAST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAST=LOG(ACAST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAST=EXP(LAACAST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  458 LAACAST C LACAST(-1) PCAST;                                         
EQUATION 561  LAACAST  
   RHS     C  LACAST(-1)  PCAST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  561 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  561
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.160980625

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.296045871       0.277040751  -4.67818     1.000000
12092 LACAST  ( -1)       0.667223961       0.053993435  12.35750    -5.158487
12090 PCAST   (  0)      -0.408199476       0.171671628  -2.37779     1.036426

SE of equation            =     0.307298976
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.4700422       0.977706804E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.235399243
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.2550578    
R squared                 =   0.51958
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19021
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.2!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.3!              +   *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.2!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1967.3!          +  *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1967.4!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.1!          +    *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1968.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1968.4!          +   *                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1969.1!             +  *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.2!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.3!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1969.4!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.1!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1970.2!           +   *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.3!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.4!            +                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.1!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.2!           + *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1971.3!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.4!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.1!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.2!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1972.3!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.1!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.2!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.3!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.4!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1974.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.2!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.3!          *    +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1974.4!           +  *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1975.1!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.2!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.4!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1976.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.4!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.1!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.2!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1977.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.4!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.1!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.3!        *     +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.2!         *     +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1979.3!           +   *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.4!                +                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.3!                   +     *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.4!                 *    +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.1!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.1!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.2!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.4!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.1!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1984.1!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1984.2!             +     *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.3!           *    +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.4!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.1!            +      *                  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1985.2!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.4!                +    *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!              *    +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.3!              *     +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1987.4!               +        *             !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.2!                      +     *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.4!                 *      +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!                +        *            !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.3!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.4!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .       0!
 1990.1!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.2!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.3!                     +          *     !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.1!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.2!                  *  +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1992.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.2!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!                     +            *   !!        .     .     .        0
 1992.4!                             +        *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1993.1!                               +      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.2!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.4!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.1!                    +          *      !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1994.2!                           +    *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.4!                  *      +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.1!       *           +                  !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1995.2!            +         *               !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1995.3!               *     +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                      +               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.1!         *          +                 !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1997.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!         *   +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.1!            +     *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.2!                  +    *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.3!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.4!           *     +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!         *      +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.3!     *      +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.4!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.1!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.2!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!         *  +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1*           +                          !!0       .     .     .        !
 2001.2!  *  +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.3! *    +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.4!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.1!*         +                           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2002.2!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.4!             + *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.1!         *      +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.2!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.3!     *       +                        !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2003.4!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.1!      *   +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.4!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.1!            +     *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.3!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.4!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2006.4!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.2!               +      *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2007.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.3!       *    +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.4!          +          *                !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2009.1!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.2!         *       +                    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2009.3!            +     *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.1!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2010.2!             *        +               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2010.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.1!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.2!    *         +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2011.3!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!     *     +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.2!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.3! *         +                          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2012.4!     +       *                        !!        .     .     .  0     !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAST=JAPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAST=LOG(AAJAST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAST=LOG(AJAST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAST=EXP(LAAJAST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  459 LAAJAST C LAJAST(-1) PJAST;                                         
EQUATION 562  LAAJAST  
   RHS     C  LAJAST(-1)  PJAST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  562 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  562
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.870220377

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.280574728       0.093868932  -2.98901     1.000000
12095 LAJAST  ( -1)       0.904553182       0.027121983  33.35129    -3.875018
12093 PJAST   (  0)      -0.062906765       0.035495212  -1.77226     1.343025

SE of equation            =     0.115879415
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.48418717       0.921085430E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.088695145
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6746872    
R squared                 =   0.88875
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99037
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+    *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!             *     +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!           *      +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2009.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                         *           +!0          .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                   *     +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.2!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUST=AUPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUST=LOG(AAAUST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUST=LOG(AAUST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUST=EXP(LAAAUST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  460 LAAAUST C LAAUST(-1) PAUST;                                         
EQUATION 563  LAAAUST  
   RHS     C  LAAUST(-1)  PAUST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  563 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  563
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.222544693

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.348715273       0.142846653  -2.44119     1.000000
12098 LAAUST  ( -1)       0.840853931       0.039087352  21.51217    -3.222233
12096 PAUST   (  0)      -0.165243687       0.096768268  -1.70762     0.994907

SE of equation            =     0.071939708
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.957434504       0.116977095E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.051732775
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.72576162    
R squared                 =   0.72964
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50429
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!    *      +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.3!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!              +       *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.3!                             *     +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2003.2!                     *           +    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!   *            +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!*     +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRST=FRPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRST=LOG(AAFRST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRST=LOG(AFRST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRST=EXP(LAAFRST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  461 LAAFRST C LAFRST(-1) PFRST;                                         
EQUATION 564  LAAFRST  
   RHS     C  LAFRST(-1)  PFRST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  564 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  564
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.284891801

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.143855989       0.073303169  -1.96248     1.000000
12101 LAFRST  ( -1)       0.936146686       0.027339271  34.24183    -2.282885
12099 PFRST   (  0)      -0.003329087       0.031099115  -0.10705     1.177611

SE of equation            =     0.064561726
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.771120053      -0.858868532E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.049988492
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.39783653    
R squared                 =   0.86378
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21836
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!        *      +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                              *      +!!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!            *    +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                   *     +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!             *    +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1999.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!+      *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2012.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEST=GEPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEST=LOG(AAGEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEST=LOG(AGEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEST=EXP(LAAGEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  462 LAAGEST C LAGEST(-1) PGEST;                                         
EQUATION 565  LAAGEST  
   RHS     C  LAGEST(-1)  PGEST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  565 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  565
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.209525377

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000739434       0.051449371  -0.01437     1.000000
12104 LAGEST  ( -1)       0.870717362       0.031424153  27.70854    -1.208215
12102 PGEST   (  0)      -0.157960334       0.053737572  -2.93948     0.992479

SE of equation            =     0.039451559
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.287938713      -0.771971376E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.030305190
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.69737576    
R squared                 =   0.84515
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39851
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!     *    +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4! *       +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                   *     +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!             *    +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!             +        *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.3!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!     *          +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1998.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.2!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.1!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4*         +                            !!0        .    .    .         !
 2012.1!  +        *                          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2012.2!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITST=ITPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITST=LOG(AAITST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITST=LOG(AITST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITST=EXP(LAAITST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  463 LAAITST C LAITST(-1) PITST;                                         
EQUATION 566  LAAITST  
   RHS     C  LAITST(-1)  PITST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  566 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  566
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.165026946

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.599765457       0.097209504  -6.16982     1.000000
12107 LAITST  ( -1)       0.603278363       0.057843946  10.42941    -2.165553
12105 PITST   (  0)      -0.297758147       0.060248611  -4.94216     0.869262

SE of equation            =     0.066524349
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.818715456       0.667621514E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.052393460
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.84997049    
R squared                 =   0.67590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15263
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                             *  +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                             +       *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!                      *         +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                     *      +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                     *     +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!             *            +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                    *        +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                        *      +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!                           +        * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                               *  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                       *       +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                    *      +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                     *      +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                                +     *!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                           +      *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.2!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                  *      +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                                +    *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!             *         +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2004.1!              *        +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!               +             *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2004.3!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!    *       +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!        +               *             !!         .    .    .         0
 2011.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.4!                            +       * !!         .    .    .  0      !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEST=NEPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEST=LOG(AANEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEST=LOG(ANEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEST=EXP(LAANEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  464 LAANEST C LANEST(-1) PNEST;                                         
EQUATION 567  LAANEST  
   RHS     C  LANEST(-1)  PNEST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  567 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  567
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.436868822

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.746045303       0.145747918  -5.11874     1.000000
12110 LANEST  ( -1)       0.665351642       0.055015546  12.09388    -3.437094
12108 PNEST   (  0)      -0.358243191       0.091217181  -3.92737     1.127578

SE of equation            =     0.092177321
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.57188181      -0.703384018E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.066294542
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.4633739    
R squared                 =   0.67433
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20157
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2*                +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1988.3!      +               *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1988.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!          *          +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!           *               +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2011.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKST=UKPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKST=LOG(AAUKST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKST=LOG(AUKST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKST=EXP(LAAUKST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  465 LAAUKST C LAUKST(-1) PUKST;                                         
EQUATION 568  LAAUKST  
   RHS     C  LAUKST(-1)  PUKST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  568 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  568
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.636902377

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.139945608       0.149536183   0.93586     1.000000
12113 LAUKST  ( -1)       0.820162876       0.038499755  21.30307    -2.633462
12111 PUKST   (  0)      -0.630906725       0.177528660  -3.55383     0.977926

SE of equation            =     0.192221685
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.83559763      -0.643929354E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.128734503
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2020866    
R squared                 =   0.80116
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38768
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.1!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!         +    *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!    +      *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!   +             *                    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 2005.2!                +          *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2005.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!             *    +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.3!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1*         +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2007.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!  +         *                         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2007.4!  *         +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2008.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.1!*                  +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!            +        *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                   +               *  !!           .  .  .         0 !
 2011.2!                      *        +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2012.1!                *             +       !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2012.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!*              +                      !! 0         .  .  .           !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIST=FIPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIST=LOG(AAFIST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIST=LOG(AFIST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIST=EXP(LAAFIST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  466 LAAFIST C LAFIST(-1) PFIST;                                         
EQUATION 569  LAAFIST  
   RHS     C  LAFIST(-1)  PFIST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  569 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  569
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.114459236

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.599202608       0.266750418  -5.99513     1.000000
12116 LAFIST  ( -1)       0.661037655       0.049070722  13.47112    -5.120147
12114 PFIST   (  0)      -0.140000167       0.116410794  -1.20264     0.933191

SE of equation            =     0.154221487
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.40008941      -0.142644119E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.115388712
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.6930779    
R squared                 =   0.50159
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26340
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1969.2!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                        *       +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASST=ASPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASST=LOG(AAASST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASST=LOG(AASST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASST=EXP(LAAASST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  467 LAAASST C LAASST(-1) PASST;                                         
EQUATION 570  LAAASST  
   RHS     C  LAASST(-1)  PASST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  570 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  570
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.469818851

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.740678737       0.244356618  -3.03114     1.000000
12119 LAASST  ( -1)       0.838973707       0.040740125  20.59330    -6.470813
12117 PASST   (  0)      -0.276121464       0.171036186  -1.61440     1.087558

SE of equation            =     0.488019861
Sum of squared residuals  =  44.0602261      -0.101878506E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.382919821
Sum of ABS residuals      =  71.9889264    
R squared                 =   0.75950
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23377
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!    *       +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!      +     *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!     *        +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.2!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!    *+                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!         *      +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                  *       +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1989.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                               +      *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.1!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                          *      +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                         *     +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                 *        +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!               *      +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1998.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.4!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                *     +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2007.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!                   *         +        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2008.1!       *          +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2008.2!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.3!       *       +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.4!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .        0!
 2009.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.3!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  468 LAASOST C LASOST(-1) PSOST;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  468 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOST=KOPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOST=LOG(AAKOST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOST=LOG(AKOST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOST=EXP(LAAKOST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  469 LAAKOST C LAKOST(-1) PKOST;                                         
EQUATION 571  LAAKOST  
   RHS     C  LAKOST(-1)  PKOST  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  571 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  571
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOST 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.821274567

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.845384310       0.258334355  -3.27244     1.000000
12122 LAKOST  ( -1)       0.819821799       0.048100517  17.04393    -5.828219
12120 PKOST   (  0)      -0.141344580       0.104259745  -1.35570     1.399341

SE of equation            =     0.438798659
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.7636526       0.516475751E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.270069669
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.3498930    
R squared                 =   0.73180
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64954
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3*    +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4! +    *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!      + *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 1998.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!           *        +                 !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2000.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!     *     +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.2!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!       +             *                !!           .  .  .         0 !
 2012.1!     *             +                  !! 0         .  .  .           !
 2012.2!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEST=BEPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEST=LOG(AABEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEST=LOG(ABEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEST=EXP(LAABEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  470 LAABEST C LABEST(-1) PBEST;                                         
EQUATION 572  LAABEST  
   RHS     C  LABEST(-1)  PBEST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  572 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  572
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.280260815

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.255880173       0.130845461  -1.95559     1.000000
12125 LABEST  ( -1)       0.805969004       0.044863488  17.96492    -3.276521
12123 PBEST   (  0)      -0.401922981       0.153513526  -2.61816     0.954427

SE of equation            =     0.117124099
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.53784011      -0.201789696E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084557401
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.8967914    
R squared                 =   0.76690
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52020
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 1982.4!                           *      +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!             *     +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.2!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!  *           +                       !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2008.2!   +          *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2008.3!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2008.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2! +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4! + *                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!  *    +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEST=DEPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEST=LOG(AADEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEST=LOG(ADEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEST=EXP(LAADEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  471 LAADEST C LADEST(-1) PDEST;                                         
EQUATION 573  LAADEST  
   RHS     C  LADEST(-1)  PDEST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  573 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  573
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.725164068

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.050913218       0.153816628   0.33100     1.000000
12128 LADEST  ( -1)       0.980224883       0.017870243  54.85235    -4.718381
12126 PDEST   (  0)      -0.151998385       0.118197096  -1.28597     0.993447

SE of equation            =     0.085828471
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.36280739      -0.291411340E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.066514572
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5047395    
R squared                 =   0.94279
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45802
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                                 +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .         0
 1966.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                               *   +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.3!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                             *  +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .         0
 1968.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                              *   +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                            *    +    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                                   +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                               *    + !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                              *  +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                          *  +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                       *  +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                     +                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                        +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1981.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                            *    +    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                          *    +      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                           *  +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                          *  +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                       *  +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                          +           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                        * +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!                           * +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                       +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                 *    +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.4!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                    + *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                    * +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!        +                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!       *+                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!       +                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!   *    +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.3! *  +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1+*                                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOST=NOPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOST=LOG(AANOST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOST=LOG(ANOST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOST=EXP(LAANOST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  472 LAANOST C LANOST(-1) PNOST;                                         
EQUATION 574  LAANOST  
   RHS     C  LANOST(-1)  PNOST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  574 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  574
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.467227110

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.417837186       0.258424785  -5.48646     1.000000
12131 LANOST  ( -1)       0.708407456       0.051348696  13.79602    -5.466862
12129 PNOST   (  0)      -0.210578433       0.075242329  -2.79867     0.838757

SE of equation            =     0.199108550
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.33417975       0.271143108E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.155232512
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.1837123    
R squared                 =   0.61484
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33232
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!             *         +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                           +         *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                        *     +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2*         +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!     +   *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!           +              *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2007.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2008.2!        *                   +         !0          .   .   .          !
 2008.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   473 LAASWST C LASWST(-1) PSWST;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  473 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRST=GRPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRST=LOG(AAGRST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRST=LOG(AGRST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRST=EXP(LAAGRST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  474 LAAGRST C LAGRST(-1) PGRST;                                         
EQUATION 575  LAAGRST  
   RHS     C  LAGRST(-1)  PGRST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  575 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  575
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.771284292

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.871159485       0.424809843  -6.75869     1.000000
12134 LAGRST  ( -1)       0.349706593       0.067421761   5.18685    -6.770339
12132 PGRST   (  0)      -1.543302796       0.318668504  -4.84297     0.992995

SE of equation            =     0.363011234
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.3787739       0.446203074E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.264284069
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.6854050    
R squared                 =   0.32915
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18178
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!   *           +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1967.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.1!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!*              +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1969.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.1!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.2!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!                +        *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!      *           +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4*              +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!        *        +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.4!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!             +                    *   !!           .  .  .          0!
 2008.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 2009.3!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRST=IRPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRST=LOG(AAIRST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRST=LOG(AIRST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRST=EXP(LAAIRST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  475 LAAIRST C LAIRST(-1) PIRST;                                         
EQUATION 576  LAAIRST  
   RHS     C  LAIRST(-1)  PIRST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  576 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  576
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.461927708

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.285547128       0.223116956   1.27981     1.000000
12137 LAIRST  ( -1)       0.953327738       0.022603853  42.17545    -5.483457
12135 PIRST   (  0)      -0.452831725       0.268601664  -1.68589     1.148204

SE of equation            =     0.266278318
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.1172664       0.718931581E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.205889239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.7071770    
R squared                 =   0.96589
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.84431
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.3*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!    +*                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1*      +                               !0         .    .    .         !
 1968.2!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!*  +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.1!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.1!   *      +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 1970.2!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!   *   +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!     *+                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!  *   +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.3!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.1!     *   +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.2!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.4!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!      + *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!        +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!      *   +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.2!      + *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!         + *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!        *  +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!       *   +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!            +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                      +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    .     0   !
 2001.4!                                *    +!!   0     .    .    .         !
 2002.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.2!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.1!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                                 *   +!!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                              *   +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                *  +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                              *    +  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2008.3!                                *   + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                               *   +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2011.1!                                 *  + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOST=POPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOST=LOG(AAPOST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOST=LOG(APOST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOST=EXP(LAAPOST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  476 LAAPOST C LAPOST(-1) PPOST;                                         
EQUATION 577  LAAPOST  
   RHS     C  LAPOST(-1)  PPOST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  577 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  577
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.813973415

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.426889319       0.302493021  -4.71710     1.000000
12140 LAPOST  ( -1)       0.740647476       0.049410081  14.98980    -5.813811
12138 PPOST   (  0)      -0.070191859       0.112047110  -0.62645     1.155395

SE of equation            =     0.204371317
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.72701252       0.102525100E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.142132739
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7209549    
R squared                 =   0.55396
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57747
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1979.1!      +                *              !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.4!                           *   +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                             +        *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                             *     +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                            +        *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                            +       * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                *          +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                  +              *    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1983.3!                        *      +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   +        *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!                   *       +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                           +         *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPST=SPPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPST=LOG(AASPST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPST=LOG(ASPST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPST=EXP(LAASPST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  477 LAASPST C LASPST(-1) PSPST;                                         
EQUATION 578  LAASPST  
   RHS     C  LASPST(-1)  PSPST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  578 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  578
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.520324040

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.331908135       0.104866605  -3.16505     1.000000
12143 LASPST  ( -1)       0.866989432       0.035522366  24.40686    -4.530557
12141 PSPST   (  0)      -0.230111251       0.081133044  -2.83622     1.131933

SE of equation            =     0.131155500
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.18232654       0.281685786E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.103098128
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.3824480    
R squared                 =   0.91207
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67223
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+   *                                  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1966.2!    +    *                            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1966.3!  *      +                            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1966.4*  +                                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.1!+   *                                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.2! *  +                                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.3! +  *                                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1967.4!*   +                                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1968.1! +    *                               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1968.2!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.3!    +                                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.4!  * +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1969.1!   +    *                             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.3!      *  +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 1969.4!    *  +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.1!   * +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.2!     +*                               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.3!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 1970.4!     *  +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1971.1!      +  *                            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.2!          +*                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.3!        *   +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1971.4!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.1!           +*                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1972.2!         *   +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1972.3!          + *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1972.4!          *  +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.1!          +*                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.2!           *+                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.3!            + *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.4!         *    +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.1!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1974.2!           +   *                      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1974.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.1!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.2!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.4!          *     +                     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1976.1!           +    *                     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1976.2!          *      +                    !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1976.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.4!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1978.3!                *   +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1978.4!              *  +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1979.1!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.2!             *  +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.3!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.4!           *  +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!             + *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.3!           *    +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1980.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1981.1!           *      +                   !0        .     .     .        !
 1981.2!             +*                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1981.3!                +   *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1981.4!                  * +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.1!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.2!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.3!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.2!                          +*          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.4!                        *  +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.3!                        *   +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.3!                        +             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.4!                       * +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1986.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.2!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.4!                 *   +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.2!                  *    +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.4!                  *    +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.3!                   *   +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1992.1!                     *   +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.3!                   *  +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.4!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.4!                    *  +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.2!                     * +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.4!                     *   +            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.1!                         +    *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1997.2!                         *   +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.3!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!                       *  +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1998.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.2!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!                       *   +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.4!                    *   +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.1!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.3!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.1!                         +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                            + *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.4!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.1!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!                            +         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.1!                            +     *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2005.2!                                 +  * !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.1!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                                +     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.4!                                  *+  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!                                 +   *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.3!                                    + *!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.4!                                    + *!        .     .  0  .        !


     36.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZST=NZPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZST=LOG(AANZST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZST=LOG(ANZST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZST=EXP(LAANZST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  478 LAANZST C LANZST(-1) PNZST;                                         
EQUATION 579  LAANZST  
   RHS     C  LANZST(-1)  PNZST  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  579 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  579
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZST 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.978792484

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.542931017       0.466503403  -5.45104     1.000000
12146 LANZST  ( -1)       0.611986629       0.064229754   9.52809    -7.977478
12144 PNZST   (  0)      -0.559515038       0.256025732  -2.18539     0.989700

SE of equation            =     0.338086178
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.1740599      -0.635775876E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.251687507
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.7733762    
R squared                 =   0.46435
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97570
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4*                  +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.1!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.2!                +        *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!         *           +                !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!         *                 +          !!0          .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!           *          +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                *        +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                              +       *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.2!                              +      *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                          +        *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2000.3!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                              +     * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                  *      +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !


     23.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  479 LAASAST C LASAST(-1) PSAST;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  479 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  480 LAAVEST C LAVEST(-1) PVEST;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  480 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOST=COPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOST=LOG(AACOST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOST=LOG(ACOST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOST=EXP(LAACOST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  481 LAACOST C LACOST(-1) PCOST;                                         
EQUATION 580  LAACOST  
   RHS     C  LACOST(-1)  PCOST  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  580 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  580
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOST 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.397184399

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.890532515       0.355623284  -2.50415     1.000000
12149 LACOST  ( -1)       0.859226318       0.046376449  18.52721    -7.419063
12147 PCOST   (  0)      -0.105496222       0.168229687  -0.62710     1.251210

SE of equation            =     0.656666396
Sum of squared residuals  =  53.0389230      -0.459188243E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.359776239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.3318062    
R squared                 =   0.75466
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05174
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1984.3!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                  +    *              !!            . . .0           !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                       *   +          !!           0. . .            !
 1992.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1993.4!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1994.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                      *      +        !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 1995.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1*                        +             !0            . . .            !
 1996.2*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1996.3*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1996.4*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!   +                        *         !!            . . .            0
 1997.2!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                +     *               !!            . . . 0          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                        +     *       !!            . . . 0          !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                          +      *    !!            . . . 0          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                                +     *!            . . . 0          !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !


     10.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOST=JOPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOST=LOG(AAJOST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOST=LOG(AJOST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOST=EXP(LAAJOST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  482 LAAJOST C LAJOST(-1) PJOST;                                         
EQUATION 581  LAAJOST  
   RHS     C  LAJOST(-1)  PJOST  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  581 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  581
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOST 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.080403786

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.513319295       0.906091201  -2.77380     1.000000
12152 LAJOST  ( -1)       0.702747962       0.075100769   9.35740   -10.100292
12150 PJOST   (  0)      -0.414205945       0.471715696  -0.87808     1.132588

SE of equation            =     1.187388447
Sum of squared residuals  =  122.660545       0.484856599E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.823825876
Sum of ABS residuals      =  74.1443289    
R squared                 =   0.50814
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28986
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!       *  +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!        +                   *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.4!   *                   +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.1!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1*  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!  +   *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1*       +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1*     +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1*   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!               *       +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!  *           +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!            +                         *!          .   .   .          0
 2006.4!                         *   +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3! *               +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2007.4!   +              *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3*       +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1*+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3* +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4* +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1! +                        *           !!          .   .   .         0!
 2010.2!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!        *  +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!    *     +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2*         +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3! +             *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !


     20.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   483 LAASYST C LASYST(-1) PSYST;SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  483 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDST=IDPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDST=LOG(AAIDST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDST=LOG(AIDST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDST=EXP(LAAIDST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  484 LAAIDST C LAIDST(-1) PIDST;                                         
EQUATION 582  LAAIDST  
   RHS     C  LAIDST(-1)  PIDST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  582 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  582
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.944573659

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.262671688       0.239905898  -5.26320     1.000000
12155 LAIDST  ( -1)       0.708226876       0.049276809  14.37242    -5.951198
12153 PIDST   (  0)      -0.388506992       0.105089435  -3.69692     1.202305

SE of equation            =     0.250383490
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.5980000       0.314175352E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.179323592
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.7128353    
R squared                 =   0.70752
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29442
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!              +                *      !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1967.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!              *      +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!          *       +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!         *        +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.1!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2*          +                           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                   +                  *!           .  .  .           0
 1975.4!                           *      +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                 *      +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.2!                          +         * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1978.3!                           *     +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                          *     +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                             *     +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 2012.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAST=MAPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAST=LOG(AAMAST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAST=LOG(AMAST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAST=EXP(LAAMAST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  485 LAAMAST C LAMAST(-1) PMAST;                                         
EQUATION 583  LAAMAST  
   RHS     C  LAMAST(-1)  PMAST  
 SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   102 to   244
 OLS;EST  583 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  583
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAST 

 1977.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  143 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.028986878

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.922075533       0.232858769  -3.95981     1.000000
12158 LAMAST  ( -1)       0.789987566       0.045791939  17.25167    -7.047883
12156 PMAST   (  0)      -0.471084732       0.126741573  -3.71689     1.144532

SE of equation            =     0.310234628
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.4743734       0.140509826E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.236872706
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.8727969    
R squared                 =   0.87592
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46017
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.2   2012.4    143

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.2*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!+    *                                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4*      +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.1!  +   *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .         0
 1978.3!        *        +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.4!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!*        +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1979.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4*     +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.1!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!                              *    +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                              *    +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                       *      +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !


     29.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   486 LAAPAST C LAPAST(-1) PPAST;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  486 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   487 LAAPHST C LAPHST(-1) PPHST;SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  487 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHST=THPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHST=LOG(AATHST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHST=LOG(ATHST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHST=EXP(LAATHST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  488 LAATHST C LATHST(-1) PTHST;                                         
EQUATION 584  LAATHST  
   RHS     C  LATHST(-1)  PTHST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  584 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  584
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.762674513

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.286230856       0.225989366  -1.26657     1.000000
12161 LATHST  ( -1)       0.841683023       0.037620389  22.37305    -5.779765
12159 PTHST   (  0)      -0.523534010       0.217221455  -2.41014     1.168432

SE of equation            =     0.396116361
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.0280118      -0.379873910E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.259259196
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.7407289    
R squared                 =   0.81610
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40926
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.2* +                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!     +              *                 !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!      *         +                     !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1968.2!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1971.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!               *     +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!            *     +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2000.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2009.2!                           *      +   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.4!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                         +           *!!           .  .  .         0 !
 2010.3!                             *    +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                           +          *!           .  .  .        0  !
 2012.4!                            *      +  !!      0    .  .  .           !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHST=CHPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHST=LOG(AACHST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHST=LOG(ACHST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHST=EXP(LAACHST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  489 LAACHST C LACHST(-1) PCHST;                                         
EQUATION 585  LAACHST  
   RHS     C  LACHST(-1)  PCHST  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  585 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  585
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHST 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.174814063

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.174469463       0.223960609  -0.77902     1.000000
12164 LACHST  ( -1)       0.886300278       0.043008824  20.60741    -5.188844
12162 PCHST   (  0)      -0.355587289       0.237588299  -1.49665     1.129037

SE of equation            =     0.289488178
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3078188      -0.218647322E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.207189353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1058585    
R squared                 =   0.85583
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76594
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1*              +                       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1982.2!+    *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!  +              *                    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.1!*                +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!       *         +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!          *       +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   490 LAAARST C LAARST(-1) PARST;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  490 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   491 LAABRST C LABRST(-1) PBRST;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  491 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEST=CEPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEST=LOG(AACEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEST=LOG(ACEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEST=EXP(LAACEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  492 LAACEST C LACEST(-1) PCEST;                                         
EQUATION 586  LAACEST  
   RHS     C  LACEST(-1)  PCEST  
 SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   150 to   244
 OLS;EST  586 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  586
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEST 

 1989.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   95 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.262342091

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.726527887       1.037298265  -0.70040     1.000000
12167 LACEST  ( -1)       0.651875685       0.073847850   8.82728    -7.316467
12165 PCEST   (  0)      -1.638459984       0.930793400  -1.76028     1.078078

SE of equation            =     0.775288738
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.2986817      -0.333395533E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.546557195
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.9229335    
R squared                 =   0.49914
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45531
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.2   2012.4     95

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!      +                 *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.1*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!    *                  +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1994.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                 *       +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                     *          +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                         +   *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !


     23.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEST=MEPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEST=LOG(AAMEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEST=LOG(AMEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEST=EXP(LAAMEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  493 LAAMEST C LAMEST(-1) PMEST;                                         
EQUATION 587  LAAMEST  
   RHS     C  LAMEST(-1)  PMEST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  587 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  587
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.274921984

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.746176604       0.354964321  -2.10212     1.000000
12170 LAMEST  ( -1)       0.872458109       0.035445138  24.61432    -6.269571
12168 PMEST   (  0)      -0.050897897       0.228659369  -0.22259     1.155395

SE of equation            =     0.418975082
Sum of squared residuals  =  32.4749221       0.128181910E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.304118955
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.1743635    
R squared                 =   0.76638
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19006
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                *              +      !0           .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                    *     +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                     *     +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                *      +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!        *        +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1980.4!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4*         +                            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1982.1!  +       *                           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!          *        +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!             *  +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!               *       +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                       *     +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                     *       +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                          *    +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEST=PEPX$Q/STPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEST=LOG(AAPEST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEST=LOG(APEST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEST=EXP(LAAPEST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  494 LAAPEST C LAPEST(-1) PPEST;                                         
EQUATION 588  LAAPEST  
   RHS     C  LAPEST(-1)  PPEST  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  588 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  588
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEST 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.294469822

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.178746721       0.221308749  -0.80768     1.000000
12173 LAPEST  ( -1)       0.914513412       0.033089772  27.63734    -6.285907
12171 PPEST   (  0)      -0.426026143       0.156714334  -2.71849     0.861864

SE of equation            =     0.555564669
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.9642085       0.266986433E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.354584149
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.6776027    
R squared                 =   0.87655
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96160
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!           +   *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!      *        +                      !!         0  . . .            !
 1982.2!    *  +                              !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!  *  +                                !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!    +     *                           !!            . . .0           !
 1983.1!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!   *    +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1983.3!    +  *                              !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!     *  +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!      +    *                          !!            . . .0           !
 1984.2!        *   +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!              +    *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!               *     +                !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1987.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!             +   *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!         *      +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1990.2!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1990.3!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1! *        +                           !!         0  . . .            !
 1991.2!   +        *                         !!            . . .  0         !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                +  *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1994.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!               +    *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1995.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 2001.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                        +     *       !!            . . .0           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                             *    +   !!           0. . .            !
 2004.1!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 2006.3!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2008.4!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                                   +  *!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!     *                          +     !0            . . .            !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!+*                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2! +*                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4+ *                                    !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1! +     *                              !!            . . .0           !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !


     17.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUST=TUPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUST=LOG(AATUST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUST=LOG(ATUST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUST=EXP(LAATUST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  495 LAATUST C LATUST(-1) PTUST;                                         
EQUATION 589  LAATUST  
   RHS     C  LATUST(-1)  PTUST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  589 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  589
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.430066548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.474255769       0.392487810  -3.75618     1.000000
12176 LATUST  ( -1)       0.687551629       0.054751446  12.55769    -5.438613
12174 PTUST   (  0)      -0.187367765       0.226413065  -0.82755     1.155395

SE of equation            =     0.415246082
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.8994221      -0.191846539E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.308675808
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.0310520    
R squared                 =   0.46223
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24746
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.4!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!             +             *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!          +             *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.4!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!   *         +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.4!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!               +              *       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2008.2!              *          +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2008.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!              +                *      !!          .   .   .          0
 2009.1!                         +            *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2009.2!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!              +               *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 2010.3!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!      *        +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .    0     !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDST=PDPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDST=LOG(AAPDST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDST=LOG(APDST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDST=EXP(LAAPDST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  496 LAAPDST C LAPDST(-1) PPDST;                                         
EQUATION 590  LAAPDST  
   RHS     C  LAPDST(-1)  PPDST  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  590 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  590
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDST 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.562227954

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.356857499       0.219322562  -1.62709     1.000000
12179 LAPDST  ( -1)       0.897656978       0.039294569  22.84430    -5.564189
12177 PPDST   (  0)      -0.186564116       0.136997983  -1.36180     1.129037

SE of equation            =     0.195820762
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.71652980      -0.302273762E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.125027271
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.7534361    
R squared                 =   0.83530
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11887
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!        +             *               !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1985.1!      *            +                  !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.2!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1991.4!                             *      + !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.1!         *                  +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1992.2!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1*       +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1997.2!*+                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.2! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !


     15.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  497 LAARUST C LARUST(-1) PRUST;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  497 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  498 LAAUEST C LAUEST(-1) PUEST;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  498 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   499 LAAEGST C LAEGST(-1) PEGST;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  499 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISST=ISPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISST=LOG(AAISST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISST=LOG(AISST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISST=EXP(LAAISST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  500 LAAISST C LAISST(-1) PISST;                                         
EQUATION 591  LAAISST  
   RHS     C  LAISST(-1)  PISST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  591 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  591
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.266935807

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.896259613       0.244289844  -3.66884     1.000000
12182 LAISST  ( -1)       0.758602342       0.046943529  16.15989    -5.262953
12180 PISST   (  0)      -0.371165635       0.173881330  -2.13459     1.018919

SE of equation            =     0.187842300
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.52767500       0.104289910E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.148115991
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.8458062    
R squared                 =   0.64745
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47350
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.3!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4! *            +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1999.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2*           +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2001.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!             +                *       !!          .   .   .          0
 2007.3!                  *        +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.3!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2009.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   501 LAAKEST C LAKEST(-1) PKEST;SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  501 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAST=BAPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAST=LOG(AABAST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAST=LOG(ABAST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAST=EXP(LAABAST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  502 LAABAST C LABAST(-1) PBAST;                                         
EQUATION 592  LAABAST  
   RHS     C  LABAST(-1)  PBAST  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  592 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  592
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAST 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.769358365

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.272337181       0.479055618  -4.74337     1.000000
12185 LABAST  ( -1)       0.716254590       0.057307568  12.49843    -8.778321
12183 PBAST   (  0)      -0.149339776       0.121016111  -1.23405     1.402896

SE of equation            =     0.574417410
Sum of squared residuals  =  51.1430809       0.357998076E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.426388316
Sum of ABS residuals      =  67.3693540    
R squared                 =   0.54620
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38045
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.4!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!     *        +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!  *        +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.4!   *   +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4! *        +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2*        +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!       +             *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.3!  *                 +                 !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1980.4!       +                        *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1981.1!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                  *          +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!                   +              *   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1982.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.3!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                    +             *   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.4!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                           +        * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                *            +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1990.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!        *         +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!             *       +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                     *         +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !


     23.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKST=HKPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKST=LOG(AAHKST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKST=LOG(AHKST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKST=EXP(LAAHKST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  503 LAAHKST C LAHKST(-1) PHKST;                                         
EQUATION 593  LAAHKST  
   RHS     C  LAHKST(-1)  PHKST  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  593 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  593
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKST 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.940556797

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.991140642       0.160354171  -6.18095     1.000000
12188 LAHKST  ( -1)       0.735687296       0.041131099  17.88640    -4.955342
12186 PHKST   (  0)      -0.197852669       0.039623075  -4.99337     1.535656

SE of equation            =     0.176026234
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.73226846       0.559996494E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128417627
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.1425139    
R squared                 =   0.87686
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35881
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*       +                              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.2! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!*     +                               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.3!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!             *       +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIST=SIPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIST=LOG(AASIST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIST=LOG(ASIST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIST=EXP(LAASIST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  504 LAASIST C LASIST(-1) PSIST;                                         
EQUATION 594  LAASIST  
   RHS     C  LASIST(-1)  PSIST  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  594 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  594
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIST 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.460626047

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.405220052       0.160227848  -2.52902     1.000000
12191 LASIST  ( -1)       0.844182608       0.039214372  21.52738    -6.485818
12189 PSIST   (  0)      -0.384272406       0.125596777  -3.05957     1.509845

SE of equation            =     0.400362923
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.0508323       0.889066598E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.261251986
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.5028536    
R squared                 =   0.89625
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92837
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1969.2! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1969.4!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1970.1!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1970.3*  +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1971.1* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1971.2*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1971.4*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1972.1!  +                    *              !!            . . .            0
 1972.2!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!           *         +                !!        0   . . .            !
 1973.2!      *     +                         !!         0  . . .            !
 1973.3!        + *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1974.2!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                     +       *        !!            . . .   0        !
 1991.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                           +    *     !!            . . . 0          !
 1995.1!                          *    +      !!           0. . .            !
 1995.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                       *     +        !!          0 . . .            !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 1997.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                      +     *         !!            . . . 0          !
 1998.1!                            +         *!            . . .    0       !
 1998.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                               *    + !!          0 . . .            !
 1998.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1999.2!                     *   +            !!           0. . .            !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                    *   +             !!           0. . .            !
 2000.2!                     +       *        !!            . . .   0        !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                            *   +     !!           0. . .            !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                             *   +    !!           0. . .            !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 2010.2!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 2011.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                          +   *       !!            . . .0           !
 2012.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !


     14.61 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIST=VIPX$/STPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIST=LOG(AAVIST+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIST=LOG(AVIST+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIST=EXP(LAAVIST)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  505 LAAVIST C LAVIST(-1) PVIST;                                         
EQUATION 595  LAAVIST  
   RHS     C  LAVIST(-1)  PVIST  
 SMPL 1982.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   123 to   244
 OLS;EST  595 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  595
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIST 

 1982.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  122 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.833459985

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.240501441       0.535074109   0.44947     1.000000
12194 LAVIST  ( -1)       0.888162738       0.040180862  22.10412    -7.861742
12192 PVIST   (  0)      -0.970841209       0.567518512  -1.71068     1.124237

SE of equation            =     0.706025299
Sum of squared residuals  =  59.3181350       0.975264314E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.435774576
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.1644983    
R squared                 =   0.86675
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52478
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.3   2012.4    122

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4! *  +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!+   *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1*        +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1989.2!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1! *       +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3! *  +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.2!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                       +              *!           .  .  .           0
 2009.2!                        *           + !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                      +             * !!           .  .  .          0!
 2010.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                      *          +    !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                      *      +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !


     17.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.74 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  506 LAANIST C LANIST(-1) PNIST;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  506 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  507 LAAALST C LAALST(-1) PALST;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  507 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  508 LAAIAST C LAIAST(-1) PIAST;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  508 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  509 LAAINST C LAINST(-1) PINST;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  509 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  510 LAAIQST C LAIQST(-1) PIQST;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  510 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  511 LAAKUST C LAKUST(-1) PKUST;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  511 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  512 LAALIST C LALIST(-1) PLIST;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  512 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  513 LAAUAST C LAUAST(-1) PUAST;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  513 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSUK=USPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSUK=LOG(AAUSUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSUK=LOG(AUSUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSUK=EXP(LAAUSUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  514 LAAUSUK C LAUSUK(-1) PUSUK;                                         
EQUATION 596  LAAUSUK  
   RHS     C  LAUSUK(-1)  PUSUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  596 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  596
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.314811167

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.469555874       0.104599394  -4.48909     1.000000
12197 LAUSUK  ( -1)       0.790003886       0.045440347  17.38552    -2.314796
12195 PUSUK   (  0)      -0.013427413       0.027349045  -0.49096     1.233120

SE of equation            =     0.082414732
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.25655479      -0.326265681E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.063127622
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.8679929    
R squared                 =   0.63087
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28813
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4*          +                           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1967.1!  +           *                       !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!        *          +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1968.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!            +        *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.2!        *           +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1971.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!     *     +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!       +         *                    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1972.2!     *           +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1972.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                           +          *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1980.3!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!       *        +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.3!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                +       *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.2!                   *       +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                +          *          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!               +         *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1997.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!      *      +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   515 LAACAUK C LACAUK(-1) PCAUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  515 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAUK=JAPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAUK=LOG(AAJAUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAUK=LOG(AJAUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAUK=EXP(LAAJAUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  516 LAAJAUK C LAJAUK(-1) PJAUK;                                         
EQUATION 597  LAAJAUK  
   RHS     C  LAJAUK(-1)  PJAUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  597 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  597
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.525205328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.392160772       0.098346741  -3.98753     1.000000
12200 LAJAUK  ( -1)       0.855799738       0.037361082  22.90618    -3.531302
12198 PJAUK   (  0)      -0.076560865       0.039950214  -1.91641     1.449265

SE of equation            =     0.159169159
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.68694194      -0.318456372E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.123190140
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.1597462    
R squared                 =   0.87435
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74449
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3! *    +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.2!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!   *     +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2*          +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1969.3!  +          *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.4!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!          *       +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.4!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                           *    +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUUK=AUPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUUK=LOG(AAAUUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUUK=LOG(AAUUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUUK=EXP(LAAAUUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  517 LAAAUUK C LAAUUK(-1) PAUUK;                                         
EQUATION 598  LAAAUUK  
   RHS     C  LAAUUK(-1)  PAUUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  598 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  598
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.726714990

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.432948772       0.121568816  -3.56135     1.000000
12203 LAAUUK  ( -1)       0.907569355       0.027510260  32.99021    -4.729249
12201 PAUUK   (  0)      -0.001553349       0.042366230  -0.03666     1.058673

SE of equation            =     0.070016014
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.906914799       0.102443387E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.055691193
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4699443    
R squared                 =   0.87108
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23928
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*   +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2!*+                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!  *   +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1967.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                 * +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                            *       + !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1974.2!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                      *   +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                      *    +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                 * +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                   *   +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!             *    +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.2!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!             *    +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                *  +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1998.1!                        *   +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                   *      +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1998.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                          *   +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    .    0    !
 2003.1!                                  *  +!!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                          * +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                     *   +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!                 *   +                !!      0  .    .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRUK=FRPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRUK=LOG(AAFRUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRUK=LOG(AFRUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRUK=EXP(LAAFRUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  518 LAAFRUK C LAFRUK(-1) PFRUK;                                         
EQUATION 599  LAAFRUK  
   RHS     C  LAFRUK(-1)  PFRUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  599 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  599
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.707555984

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.091014814       0.034806531  -2.61488     1.000000
12206 LAFRUK  ( -1)       0.936574156       0.025574811  36.62096    -2.713294
12204 PFRUK   (  0)      -0.059603317       0.037742933  -1.57919     1.264024

SE of equation            =     0.066620025
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.821072142      -0.795807864E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.050238013
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.44474653    
R squared                 =   0.97445
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63751
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *  +                                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.2!*+                                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!     + *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!    *  +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2*     +                                !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!          + *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .         0!
 1973.1!                 *   +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                  * +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                    *  +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                     *  +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                             +*       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                              +       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                                *+    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                                +     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                *  +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                               *  +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                    *+!!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                     +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                * +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                          *+          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                           +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEUK=GEPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEUK=LOG(AAGEUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEUK=LOG(AGEUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEUK=EXP(LAAGEUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  519 LAAGEUK C LAGEUK(-1) PGEUK;                                         
EQUATION 600  LAAGEUK  
   RHS     C  LAGEUK(-1)  PGEUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  600 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  600
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.006230706

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.000674428       0.037297524  -0.01808     1.000000
12209 LAGEUK  ( -1)       0.945143676       0.017936704  52.69327    -2.012122
12207 PGEUK   (  0)      -0.098462450       0.054684602  -1.80055     1.054327

SE of equation            =     0.053100882
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.521645188      -0.113606902E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.037925035
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.12990666    
R squared                 =   0.97596
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45252
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!+*                                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!* +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!    *  +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.2!  *  +                                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.3!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!      + *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1!       * +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!       *+                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!     * +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!           *    +                     !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1974.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!               *  +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                 *  +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.3!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                    + *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                      +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                      +       *       !!           .  .  .           0
 1977.4!                          *  +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                          *   +       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.4!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                                      +!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                                   +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                              * +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                          *  +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                          * +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITUK=ITPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITUK=LOG(AAITUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITUK=LOG(AITUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITUK=EXP(LAAITUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  520 LAAITUK C LAITUK(-1) PITUK;                                         
EQUATION 601  LAAITUK  
   RHS     C  LAITUK(-1)  PITUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  601 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  601
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.904295035

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.078253344       0.047865770  -1.63485     1.000000
12212 LAITUK  ( -1)       0.900798456       0.024792785  36.33309    -2.906382
12210 PITUK   (  0)      -0.226213867       0.067738066  -3.33954     0.919384

SE of equation            =     0.067373148
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.839741094       0.255320209E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.049393664
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.28600880    
R squared                 =   0.95063
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71305
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!    *    +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4*    +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.1!+  *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!     *           +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!                *    +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.1!                                 *   +!!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                            *   +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                         *  +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                             *  +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                               *  +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.3!                                  *  +!!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!             *  +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.2!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEUK=NEPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEUK=LOG(AANEUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEUK=LOG(ANEUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEUK=EXP(LAANEUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  521 LAANEUK C LANEUK(-1) PNEUK;                                         
EQUATION 602  LAANEUK  
   RHS     C  LANEUK(-1)  PNEUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  602 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  602
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.834251493

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.146901609       0.050820918  -2.89057     1.000000
12215 LANEUK  ( -1)       0.892674580       0.031818976  28.05479    -2.840452
12213 PNEUK   (  0)      -0.126151856       0.046873336  -2.69134     1.202917

SE of equation            =     0.062327697
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.718677226      -0.111852749E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.046744786
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.78801968    
R squared                 =   0.95110
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22193
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!      *  +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!    *   +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.4!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!           *  +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!        *    +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.1!                       *    +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    * +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!                   *   +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                 *    +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                     *  +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                     *   +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!           *    +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1996.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .   0      !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTUK=STPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTUK=LOG(AASTUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTUK=LOG(ASTUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTUK=EXP(LAASTUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  522 LAASTUK C LASTUK(-1) PSTUK;                                         
EQUATION 603  LAASTUK  
   RHS     C  LASTUK(-1)  PSTUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  603 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  603
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.828462103

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.297704424       0.100543272  -2.96096     1.000000
12218 LASTUK  ( -1)       0.872432088       0.037795196  23.08315    -3.828077
12216 PSTUK   (  0)      -0.204184771       0.090173623  -2.26435     0.935526

SE of equation            =     0.100637778
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.87367305       0.433351133E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.075242373
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.1455661    
R squared                 =   0.87924
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32259
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                           *     +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.3!                              *      +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3! *           +                        !!0         .   .   .          !
 2000.4*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1! *      +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!*        +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2003.1!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!  +    *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2! *     +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!       +            *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 2010.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!         +           *                !!          .   .   .         0!


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   523 LAAFIUK C LAFIUK(-1) PFIUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  523 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   524 LAAASUK C LAASUK(-1) PASUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  524 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOUK=SOPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOUK=LOG(AASOUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOUK=LOG(ASOUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOUK=EXP(LAASOUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  525 LAASOUK C LASOUK(-1) PSOUK;                                         
EQUATION 604  LAASOUK  
   RHS     C  LASOUK(-1)  PSOUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  604 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  604
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.287491116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.254131351       0.168985442  -1.50387     1.000000
12221 LASOUK  ( -1)       0.938836760       0.025027730  37.51186    -4.276040
12219 PSOUK   (  0)      -0.018502525       0.106775016  -0.17329     1.019120

SE of equation            =     0.227924636
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.61068337       0.613242790E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177569150
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.3830001    
R squared                 =   0.88834
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52923
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                            +         *!          .   .   .          0
 1968.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                            *       + !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3! *    +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!      *     +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1996.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3! *    +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .         0!
 2010.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1! *        +                           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2011.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOUK=KOPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOUK=LOG(AAKOUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOUK=LOG(AKOUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOUK=EXP(LAAKOUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  526 LAAKOUK C LAKOUK(-1) PKOUK;                                         
EQUATION 605  LAAKOUK  
   RHS     C  LAKOUK(-1)  PKOUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  605 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  605
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.423066545

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.839249498       0.145788674  -5.75662     1.000000
12224 LAKOUK  ( -1)       0.713486972       0.048201575  14.80215    -5.447067
12222 PKOUK   (  0)      -0.401007020       0.079556548  -5.04053     1.739136

SE of equation            =     0.298296454
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.4614433       0.122599708E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.225517155
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.3972250    
R squared                 =   0.93577
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2*    +                                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.3! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!*  +                                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2*    +                                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.3!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!   *   +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.1! *    +                               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.3!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!            * +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1971.4!              *   +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.2!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!             *     +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                       *    +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                        *      +      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                        *      +      !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!                                     +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                                 *  + !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!                              *   +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                               *   +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                                *   + !!      0  .    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEUK=BEPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEUK=LOG(AABEUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEUK=LOG(ABEUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEUK=EXP(LAABEUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  527 LAABEUK C LABEUK(-1) PBEUK;                                         
EQUATION 606  LAABEUK  
   RHS     C  LABEUK(-1)  PBEUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  606 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  606
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.000268135

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.094296126       0.054231054  -1.73878     1.000000
12227 LABEUK  ( -1)       0.908228323       0.033052466  27.47838    -3.004526
12225 PBEUK   (  0)      -0.174632864       0.097530396  -1.79055     1.014564

SE of equation            =     0.086428849
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.38194000       0.162638791E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.063675583
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.9710096    
R squared                 =   0.94333
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71198
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!*   +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4! +    *                               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1! *     +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!*        +                            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1972.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!      *        +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!     *      +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                    *    +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .         0!
 1980.2!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                           *   +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                               *  +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   528 LAADEUK C LADEUK(-1) PDEUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  528 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOUK=NOPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOUK=LOG(AANOUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOUK=LOG(ANOUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOUK=EXP(LAANOUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  529 LAANOUK C LANOUK(-1) PNOUK;                                         
EQUATION 607  LAANOUK  
   RHS     C  LANOUK(-1)  PNOUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  607 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  607
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.959909184

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.236299101       0.082642073  -2.85931     1.000000
12230 LANOUK  ( -1)       0.918063891       0.026304399  34.90153    -2.963727
12228 PNOUK   (  0)      -0.003070979       0.043362765  -0.07082     0.885537

SE of equation            =     0.124092777
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.84881819      -0.649702514E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.088861456
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.7059538    
R squared                 =   0.87028
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35153
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!  *     +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.3!                +           *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.4!                     *     +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                 *       +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.3!                       *           +  !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                      *      +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   530 LAASWUK C LASWUK(-1) PSWUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  530 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRUK=GRPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRUK=LOG(AAGRUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRUK=LOG(AGRUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRUK=EXP(LAAGRUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  531 LAAGRUK C LAGRUK(-1) PGRUK;                                         
EQUATION 608  LAAGRUK  
   RHS     C  LAGRUK(-1)  PGRUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  608 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  608
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.029999865

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.409353804       0.316698124  -7.60773     1.000000
12233 LAGRUK  ( -1)       0.480602320       0.064753424   7.42204    -6.031104
12231 PGRUK   (  0)      -0.682223663       0.133672094  -5.10371     1.058426

SE of equation            =     0.233549999
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0909363      -0.638582520E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.169114685
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.7935607    
R squared                 =   0.55408
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25956
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +    *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!  *     +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2! *        +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.3! *     +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4*       +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!             +       *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!        *        +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!     *         +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!    *       +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!    *       +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!   *      +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!*       +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4! +                              *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.1!     *          +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.2!         +                     *      !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1974.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                  +             *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                +       *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!              *       +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!               *    +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                   +    *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!              *    +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!              *      +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                   +    *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!              *        +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                       *  +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                         *     +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                           +        * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                           *  +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!               *         +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                   *      +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                       *  +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                     *      +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                    *    +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!           *          +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!              *     +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!           *    +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!          *    +                      !!           .0 .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRUK=IRPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRUK=LOG(AAIRUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRUK=LOG(AIRUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRUK=EXP(LAAIRUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  532 LAAIRUK C LAIRUK(-1) PIRUK;                                         
EQUATION 609  LAAIRUK  
   RHS     C  LAIRUK(-1)  PIRUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  609 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  609
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.347213382

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.397690165       0.107020894  -3.71600     1.000000
12236 LAIRUK  ( -1)       0.852751763       0.040161047  21.23330    -3.348959
12234 PIRUK   (  0)      -0.076360784       0.034809924  -2.19365     1.226974

SE of equation            =     0.070972086
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.931851835       0.304778425E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.052114008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.79743354    
R squared                 =   0.86189
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15766
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2*  +                                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!      *     +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!     *   +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!  *      +                            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!      *        +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!            *    +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 2002.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.3!                           *       +  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                  *     +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!               *     +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   533 LAAPOUK C LAPOUK(-1) PPOUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  533 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPUK=SPPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPUK=LOG(AASPUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPUK=LOG(ASPUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPUK=EXP(LAASPUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  534 LAASPUK C LASPUK(-1) PSPUK;                                         
EQUATION 610  LAASPUK  
   RHS     C  LASPUK(-1)  PSPUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  610 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  610
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.960579917

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.235016340       0.075003528  -3.13340     1.000000
12239 LASPUK  ( -1)       0.895586884       0.032019921  27.96968    -3.970664
12237 PSPUK   (  0)      -0.138795937       0.054220303  -2.55985     1.221139

SE of equation            =     0.116892740
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.52782386       0.632249808E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.086808032
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.3199101    
R squared                 =   0.95995
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61914
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2+  *                                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!          *    +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.4!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!           *  +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!          *+                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!     *    +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!           *    +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!              *+                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!          *   +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!                       +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                           *  +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                          *  +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    *     +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                         *    +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                        * +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!                              *   +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                               +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   535 LAANZUK C LANZUK(-1) PNZUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  535 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  536 LAASAUK C LASAUK(-1) PSAUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  536 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  537 LAAVEUK C LAVEUK(-1) PVEUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  537 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOUK=COPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOUK=LOG(AACOUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOUK=LOG(ACOUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOUK=EXP(LAACOUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  538 LAACOUK C LACOUK(-1) PCOUK;                                         
EQUATION 611  LAACOUK  
   RHS     C  LACOUK(-1)  PCOUK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  611 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  611
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOUK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.268033266

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.819602089       0.419357050  -4.33903     1.000000
12242 LACOUK  ( -1)       0.718578566       0.062882235  11.42737    -7.280385
12240 PCOUK   (  0)      -0.173786276       0.083623479  -2.07820     1.248100

SE of equation            =     0.280840458
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.70117765       0.198996375E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.213909245
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9525649    
R squared                 =   0.62255
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20982
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     *     +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!     *            +                   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!            +      *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!      *           +                   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!             *      +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!                     *         +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.1!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.1!                    *      +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!            *        +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                         +            *!         .    .    .         0
 2009.2!                               *  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOUK=JOPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOUK=LOG(AAJOUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOUK=LOG(AJOUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOUK=EXP(LAAJOUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  539 LAAJOUK C LAJOUK(-1) PJOUK;                                         
EQUATION 612  LAAJOUK  
   RHS     C  LAJOUK(-1)  PJOUK  
 SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   145 to   244
 OLS;EST  612 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  612
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOUK 

 1988.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  100 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.134081520

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.599084224       0.789282295  -4.55995     1.000000
12245 LAJOUK  ( -1)       0.643690864       0.076351989   8.43057   -10.141707
12243 PJOUK   (  0)      -0.006183433       0.169462926  -0.03649     1.111576

SE of equation            =     0.434525564
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.3148092      -0.172128978E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.258980539
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.8980539    
R squared                 =   0.42354
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30225
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.1   2012.4    100

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.1*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!   *   +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.1!              +            *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                  +                   *!           .  .  .           0
 2003.1!          *                 +         !!0          .  .  .           !
 2003.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.3!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !


     15.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYUK=SYPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYUK=LOG(AASYUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYUK=LOG(ASYUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYUK=EXP(LAASYUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  540 LAASYUK C LASYUK(-1) PSYUK;                                         
EQUATION 613  LAASYUK  
   RHS     C  LASYUK(-1)  PSYUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  613 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  613
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.857381938

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.124651350       0.494328765  -6.32100     1.000000
12248 LASYUK  ( -1)       0.620714782       0.058965103  10.52682    -8.851310
12246 PSYUK   (  0)      -0.086788469       0.037727630  -2.30040     2.749119

SE of equation            =     0.925708208
Sum of squared residuals  =  158.533102       0.224318342E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.729347707
Sum of ABS residuals      =  137.117369    
R squared                 =   0.46590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40718
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *         +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!        *       +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.1!            +                *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1967.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                     *  +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!         *         +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!*           +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!     +                  *             !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1974.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                      +   *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!        *            +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!           *     +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!   *        +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!    *    +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!    *   +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1! *         +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2*     +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!    *   +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!  *     +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1! *           +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.2!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1*           +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2*     +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!    +   *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4*          +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.1!    +     *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!        +                *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4*                     +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1986.1!*     +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!              +           *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4!            *          +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!    *            +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!*               +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!   *         +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!          +          *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!        *            +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!          *               +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!        *                 +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.4!              +               *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                          +         * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!                               +     *!!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                    *      +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                            +   *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!               *          +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!               *         +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!            *       +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                  *     +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                       +   *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!               *          +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                  *           +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                   +             *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.3!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                           +          *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.3!                                +    *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                              * +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!              *         +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                           +   *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!             *          +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!               *        +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!        *         +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!         *    +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!       *      +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!           *      +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!    *         +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDUK=IDPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDUK=LOG(AAIDUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDUK=LOG(AIDUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDUK=EXP(LAAIDUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  541 LAAIDUK C LAIDUK(-1) PIDUK;                                         
EQUATION 614  LAAIDUK  
   RHS     C  LAIDUK(-1)  PIDUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  614 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  614
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.987468108

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.498667152       0.169846611  -2.93599     1.000000
12251 LAIDUK  ( -1)       0.890408066       0.032714837  27.21726    -4.986115
12249 PIDUK   (  0)      -0.038010159       0.030945526  -1.22829     1.292383

SE of equation            =     0.148235091
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.06512379       0.137641010E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.109250961
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.5391807    
R squared                 =   0.80017
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34266
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                           *    +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                       *      +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!              *       +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.1!              +            *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!             *        +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!           +           *              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1971.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                            +       * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.1!                         *        +   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!               *           +          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.1!       *       +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                +            *        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.2!                   *         +        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1976.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!          *            +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!       *         +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1980.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!    *         +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!  *    +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4! *      +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!      *         +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2*   +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                                  +   *!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!                               +      *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                             +       *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.4!                            *      +  !!      0  .    .    .         !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAUK=MAPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAUK=LOG(AAMAUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAUK=LOG(AMAUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAUK=EXP(LAAMAUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  542 LAAMAUK C LAMAUK(-1) PMAUK;                                         
EQUATION 615  LAAMAUK  
   RHS     C  LAMAUK(-1)  PMAUK  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  615 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  615
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAUK 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.289188826

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.339812229       0.102939611  -3.30108     1.000000
12254 LAMAUK  ( -1)       0.912327525       0.022895622  39.84725    -5.290540
12252 PMAUK   (  0)      -0.095786878       0.025718332  -3.72446     1.280668

SE of equation            =     0.104987613
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.97300941      -0.135003120E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.082615670
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.0360519    
R squared                 =   0.94608
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09398
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!         + *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!           +*                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.3!       *    +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.4!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!             +                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!       *   +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!        *   +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!         *   +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!        *  +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.4!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!   *  +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!  *   +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!* +                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4! +   *                                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1! *    +                               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.2* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3+    *                                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.4!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .         0
 1986.2!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.4!                *     +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                                  *  +!!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                                  +   *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.4!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!                    *   +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                 *  +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!            *   +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !


     30.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAUK=PAPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAUK=LOG(AAPAUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAUK=LOG(APAUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAUK=EXP(LAAPAUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  543 LAAPAUK C LAPAUK(-1) PPAUK;                                         
EQUATION 616  LAAPAUK  
   RHS     C  LAPAUK(-1)  PPAUK  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  616 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  616
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAUK 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.520064263

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.056116597       0.311371938  -6.60341     1.000000
12257 LAPAUK  ( -1)       0.612597034       0.055997368  10.93975    -6.518370
12255 PPAUK   (  0)      -0.351694807       0.061954818  -5.67663     1.338700

SE of equation            =     0.160042881
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.07258207      -0.769198039E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.121165857
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.6288689    
R squared                 =   0.75622
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31649
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!              +            *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.1!             *          +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1985.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                          *     +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !


     29.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   544 LAAPHUK C LAPHUK(-1) PPHUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  544 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHUK=THPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHUK=LOG(AATHUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHUK=LOG(ATHUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHUK=EXP(LAATHUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  545 LAATHUK C LATHUK(-1) PTHUK;                                         
EQUATION 617  LAATHUK  
   RHS     C  LATHUK(-1)  PTHUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  617 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  617
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.882820344

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.282443172       0.134073208  -2.10663     1.000000
12260 LATHUK  ( -1)       0.900436716       0.029949679  30.06499    -5.890170
12258 PTHUK   (  0)      -0.236712298       0.095016649  -2.49127     1.253215

SE of equation            =     0.281580650
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.6682176       0.179722903E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152682878
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7043810    
R squared                 =   0.90631
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20048
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!           +    *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1967.1!              +              *        !!            . . .     0      !
 1967.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!          *               +           !!     0      . . .            !
 1968.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!   *   +                              !!            0 . .            !
 1971.1!     +                         *      !!            . . .            0
 1971.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1972.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!   *                    +             !!  0         . . .            !
 1973.2!    +   *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1973.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!    *  +                              !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1975.1!+                                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3! *  +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!   +  *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1976.1!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!         +  *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!     *      +                         !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.4!       +    *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1977.1!         *   +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!       *  +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!          *   +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1979.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!               *  +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                +    *                !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                     +  *             !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                            +         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                   +  *!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2006.4!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !


     11.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHUK=CHPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHUK=LOG(AACHUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHUK=LOG(ACHUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHUK=EXP(LAACHUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  546 LAACHUK C LACHUK(-1) PCHUK;                                         
EQUATION 618  LAACHUK  
   RHS     C  LACHUK(-1)  PCHUK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  618 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  618
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHUK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.366898562

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.208791154       0.298913168   0.69850     1.000000
12263 LACHUK  ( -1)       0.931098396       0.035656903  26.11271    -4.388483
12261 PCHUK   (  0)      -0.433527968       0.332191463  -1.30505     1.129294

SE of equation            =     0.348772751
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.9620191       0.108046905E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.203850345
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.6851435    
R squared                 =   0.91193
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72478
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!  +               *                   !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1983.3!   *             +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1983.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2+  *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!  +                  *                !!           .  .  .           0
 1986.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!  *               +                   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1987.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !


     12.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   547 LAAARUK C LAARUK(-1) PARUK;SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  547 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRUK=BRPX$Q/UKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRUK=LOG(AABRUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRUK=LOG(ABRUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRUK=EXP(LAABRUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  548 LAABRUK C LABRUK(-1) PBRUK;                                         
EQUATION 619  LAABRUK  
   RHS     C  LABRUK(-1)  PBRUK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  619 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  619
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRUK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.067813649

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.966594592       0.374056240  -5.25748     1.000000
12266 LABRUK  ( -1)       0.565498191       0.072150944   7.83771    -5.067235
12264 PBRUK   (  0)      -0.242672955       0.110175517  -2.20260     0.971294

SE of equation            =     0.167762835
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.46175736      -0.501829689E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.133186061
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.7814437    
R squared                 =   0.35940
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04329
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.4!                    *        +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!       *       +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!           +              *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                     +        *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!  *                   +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                     *    +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                *         +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!              *       +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!   *      +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1*                +                     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1999.2!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!     *       +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!             +                *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2002.4!                 *       +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!        *        +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!              +          *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!        *            +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !


     31.75 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   549 LAACEUK C LACEUK(-1) PCEUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  549 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   550 LAAMEUK C LAMEUK(-1) PMEUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  550 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  551 LAAPEUK C LAPEUK(-1) PPEUK;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  551 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUUK=TUPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUUK=LOG(AATUUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUUK=LOG(ATUUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUUK=EXP(LAATUUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  552 LAATUUK C LATUUK(-1) PTUUK;                                         
EQUATION 620  LAATUUK  
   RHS     C  LATUUK(-1)  PTUUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  620 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  620
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.623410342

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.118555859       0.113063894  -1.04857     1.000000
12269 LATUUK  ( -1)       0.937508079       0.025929593  36.15591    -5.634566
12267 PTUUK   (  0)      -0.180358090       0.096546253  -1.86810     1.233120

SE of equation            =     0.222026942
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.11975313      -0.173754344E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152936739
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7521069    
R squared                 =   0.93076
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26840
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.2!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!  *    +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!+  *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!    +    *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!       *    +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.3!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!       +        *                     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!*      +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1! +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!  +  *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!   *       +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.1!    +          *                      !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!     *     +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.3!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3*        +                             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1979.4! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!      +*                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!            +             *           !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!             *         +              !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1986.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!            *    +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.3!           *     +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDUK=PDPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDUK=LOG(AAPDUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDUK=LOG(APDUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDUK=EXP(LAAPDUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  553 LAAPDUK C LAPDUK(-1) PPDUK;                                         
EQUATION 621  LAAPDUK  
   RHS     C  LAPDUK(-1)  PPDUK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  621 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  621
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDUK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.170540523

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.054511504       0.137408649   0.39671     1.000000
12272 LAPDUK  ( -1)       0.955782249       0.028321328  33.74779    -5.184142
12270 PPDUK   (  0)      -0.239212217       0.152955013  -1.56394     1.129294

SE of equation            =     0.162284109
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.23934423      -0.100288666E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.111753567
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.0809495    
R squared                 =   0.94395
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70061
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!  *       +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.4! +     *                              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!  *     +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.3*        +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1986.4!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.4!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1! *              +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1992.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4! * +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!*   +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                   *  +!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  554 LAARUUK C LARUUK(-1) PRUUK;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  554 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  555 LAAUEUK C LAUEUK(-1) PUEUK;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  555 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGUK=EGPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGUK=LOG(AAEGUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGUK=LOG(AEGUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGUK=EXP(LAAEGUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  556 LAAEGUK C LAEGUK(-1) PEGUK;                                         
EQUATION 622  LAAEGUK  
   RHS     C  LAEGUK(-1)  PEGUK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  622 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  622
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGUK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.576391302

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.437138816       0.494686813  -2.90515     1.000000
12275 LAEGUK  ( -1)       0.663378273       0.065865890  10.07165    -7.588775
12273 PEGUK   (  0)      -0.978509041       0.364267323  -2.68624     1.129294

SE of equation            =     0.457139320
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.7040920       0.144870782E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.356161480
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.8763465    
R squared                 =   0.56747
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11237
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                +             *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!   *             +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!    +                *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!       +           *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!     *           +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!        *           +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!       *            +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.3!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3! *            +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!     *  +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!        +                     *       !!          .   .   .          0
 2000.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!         *             +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.2! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!    +     *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   557 LAAISUK C LAISUK(-1) PISUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  557 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   558 LAAKEUK C LAKEUK(-1) PKEUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  558 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAUK=BAPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAUK=LOG(AABAUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAUK=LOG(ABAUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAUK=EXP(LAABAUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  559 LAABAUK C LABAUK(-1) PBAUK;                                         
EQUATION 623  LAABAUK  
   RHS     C  LABAUK(-1)  PBAUK  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  623 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  623
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAUK 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.220358096

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.393130433       0.155648976  -2.52575     1.000000
12278 LABAUK  ( -1)       0.911125087       0.026624818  34.22089    -7.229104
12276 PBAUK   (  0)      -0.163525004       0.045427281  -3.59971     1.471395

SE of equation            =     0.201464871
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.45350701       0.393001187E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.145319788
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.5418057    
R squared                 =   0.94076
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21696
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!        *        +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1975.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!     *     +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.3!*    +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1+      *                               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!             +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!        *     +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2! *     +                              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!   *   +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!      *     +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!       *     +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKUK=HKPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKUK=LOG(AAHKUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKUK=LOG(AHKUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKUK=EXP(LAAHKUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  560 LAAHKUK C LAHKUK(-1) PHKUK;                                         
EQUATION 624  LAAHKUK  
   RHS     C  LAHKUK(-1)  PHKUK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  624 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  624
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKUK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.481969432

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.519616344       0.108110371  -4.80635     1.000000
12281 LAHKUK  ( -1)       0.849176682       0.030491826  27.84932    -4.485732
12279 PHKUK   (  0)      -0.091145435       0.019704896  -4.62552     1.680549

SE of equation            =     0.090798350
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.52520297       0.104769970E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.063578133
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.9526891    
R squared                 =   0.96724
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97611
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!      + *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3*    +                                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.4!+ *                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!     +           *                    !!           .  .  .           0
 1975.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!              *      +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!              *     +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                      *   +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                   *   +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                *   + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                         *   +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIUK=SIPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIUK=LOG(AASIUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIUK=LOG(ASIUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIUK=EXP(LAASIUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  561 LAASIUK C LASIUK(-1) PSIUK;                                         
EQUATION 625  LAASIUK  
   RHS     C  LASIUK(-1)  PSIUK  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  625 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  625
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIUK 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.161959348

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.675831383       0.149737390  -4.51344     1.000000
12284 LASIUK  ( -1)       0.795199254       0.043120746  18.44122    -5.170013
12282 PSIUK   (  0)      -0.234572063       0.054873184  -4.27480     1.598388

SE of equation            =     0.156661448
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.29499163      -0.142836853E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.113261943
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1606258    
R squared                 =   0.93641
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36243
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1+   *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!   +           *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1972.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!    *        +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!   *      +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                             *    +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .          0
 2007.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.4!                         *       +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !


     25.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIUK=VIPX$/UKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIUK=LOG(AAVIUK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIUK=LOG(AVIUK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIUK=EXP(LAAVIUK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  562 LAAVIUK C LAVIUK(-1) PVIUK;                                         
EQUATION 626  LAAVIUK  
   RHS     C  LAVIUK(-1)  PVIUK  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST  626 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  626
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIUK 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.176436515

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.122474212       0.322420320  -0.37986     1.000000
12287 LAVIUK  ( -1)       0.960340985       0.016670228  57.60815    -7.242718
12285 PVIUK   (  0)      -0.090738376       0.303561082  -0.29891     1.085352

SE of equation            =     0.259736660
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.13914505       0.478728168E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.160763417
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.1117612    
R squared                 =   0.97500
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33235
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.1!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3*   +                                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.4! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3! *   +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1992.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!           *      +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!               +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                                      +!          .  0.   .          !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  563 LAANIUK C LANIUK(-1) PNIUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  563 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  564 LAAALUK C LAALUK(-1) PALUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  564 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  565 LAAIAUK C LAIAUK(-1) PIAUK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  565 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  566 LAAINUK C LAINUK(-1) PINUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  566 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  567 LAAIQUK C LAIQUK(-1) PIQUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  567 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  568 LAAKUUK C LAKUUK(-1) PKUUK;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  568 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  569 LAALIUK C LALIUK(-1) PLIUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  569 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  570 LAAUAUK C LAUAUK(-1) PUAUK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  570 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSFI=USPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSFI=LOG(AAUSFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSFI=LOG(AUSFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSFI=EXP(LAAUSFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  571 LAAUSFI C LAUSFI(-1) PUSFI;                                         
EQUATION 627  LAAUSFI  
   RHS     C  LAUSFI(-1)  PUSFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  627 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  627
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.218808601

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.820536903       0.181039566  -4.53236     1.000000
12290 LAUSFI  ( -1)       0.681308602       0.052817499  12.89930    -3.216465
12288 PUSFI   (  0)      -0.179654752       0.089362184  -2.01041     1.151468

SE of equation            =     0.165367008
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.05905574       0.104645181E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.122829414
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.0919298    
R squared                 =   0.50361
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22895
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!       +               *              !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1969.2!       *           +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1969.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!          +       *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!*          +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4! *       +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!        +      *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!              +          *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4! +    *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!  +    *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!   +         *                        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.1!*          +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4*    +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!         +       *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!             +            *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1991.1!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!          +            *              !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1993.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 1996.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                +         *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1998.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.3!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.2! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.3!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3! *      +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAFI=CAPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAFI=LOG(AACAFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAFI=LOG(ACAFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAFI=EXP(LAACAFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  572 LAACAFI C LACAFI(-1) PCAFI;                                         
EQUATION 628  LAACAFI  
   RHS     C  LACAFI(-1)  PCAFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  628 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  628
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.205732720

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.999284938       0.326893734  -6.11601     1.000000
12293 LACAFI  ( -1)       0.575566905       0.060373585   9.53342    -5.206349
12291 PCAFI   (  0)      -0.203128877       0.170367943  -1.19230     1.033067

SE of equation            =     0.324889676
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.5273607      -0.316067172E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.247879679
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.6013797    
R squared                 =   0.35475
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25770
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2*               +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1966.3!       +              *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1966.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!      *        +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.2!            +       *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!     *          +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!     *         +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.4!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.4!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!               +        *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.2!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.2!                    *       +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!          *            +              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1986.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.1!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                    +              *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1988.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!      *            +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1999.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.4!              +             *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.1!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.3!           *          +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   573 LAAJAFI C LAJAFI(-1) PJAFI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  573 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUFI=AUPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUFI=LOG(AAAUFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUFI=LOG(AAUFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUFI=EXP(LAAAUFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  574 LAAAUFI C LAAUFI(-1) PAUFI;                                         
EQUATION 629  LAAAUFI  
   RHS     C  LAAUFI(-1)  PAUFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  629 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  629
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.235810688

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.242273361       0.158285457  -1.53061     1.000000
12296 LAAUFI  ( -1)       0.933200212       0.028771399  32.43500    -4.233455
12294 PAUFI   (  0)      -0.043260112       0.141673570  -0.30535     0.991117

SE of equation            =     0.103110760
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.96688832      -0.144466661E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.082685047
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.5447888    
R squared                 =   0.86113
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65070
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *          +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1966.2!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!          *      +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.1!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.1!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.1!                                *    +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.1!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                               +     *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.3!                                 *  + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.1!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.2!                        *     +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.2!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.2!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.1!           *           +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.1!           *      +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!    +   *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1! *        +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2011.2!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRFI=FRPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRFI=LOG(AAFRFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRFI=LOG(AFRFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRFI=EXP(LAAFRFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  575 LAAFRFI C LAFRFI(-1) PFRFI;                                         
EQUATION 630  LAAFRFI  
   RHS     C  LAFRFI(-1)  PFRFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  630 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  630
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.276158290

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.133169987       0.183167453  -6.18652     1.000000
12299 LAFRFI  ( -1)       0.611328431       0.059037859  10.35485    -3.274832
12297 PFRFI   (  0)      -0.120062979       0.064696233  -1.85580     1.174304

SE of equation            =     0.133300218
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.28725540       0.751843032E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.098957532
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.6040161    
R squared                 =   0.42801
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22551
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!        +            *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!       +                   *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1969.1!    *                +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!       +               *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.4!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!        +            *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!            +              *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1*                     +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                     +                *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.1!                      *       +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!              +       *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                        *     +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!*           +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEFI=GEPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEFI=LOG(AAGEFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEFI=LOG(AGEFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEFI=EXP(LAAGEFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  576 LAAGEFI C LAGEFI(-1) PGEFI;                                         
EQUATION 631  LAAGEFI  
   RHS     C  LAGEFI(-1)  PGEFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  631 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  631
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.644591454

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.053966324       0.075859912  -0.71139     1.000000
12302 LAGEFI  ( -1)       0.891894978       0.033614670  26.53291    -1.641502
12300 PGEFI   (  0)      -0.128024231       0.089931077  -1.42358     0.988704

SE of equation            =     0.061309025
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.695377353       0.190358840E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.047655146
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.95916752    
R squared                 =   0.84899
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68257
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                            +       * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.1!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                 *       +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!           *       +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!          *     +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!            +        *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.2!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                   *          +       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                               *+     !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                                *    +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                             *   +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!           +         *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.2!        *           +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1993.3!*       +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.4! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!*   +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2! +         *                          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.3! *         +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!      *        +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2! *     +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.3*   +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!   +        *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2009.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!  *   +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITFI=ITPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITFI=LOG(AAITFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITFI=LOG(AITFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITFI=EXP(LAAITFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  577 LAAITFI C LAITFI(-1) PITFI;                                         
EQUATION 632  LAAITFI  
   RHS     C  LAITFI(-1)  PITFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  632 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  632
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.228534297

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.211859362       0.099069922  -2.13848     1.000000
12305 LAITFI  ( -1)       0.882049524       0.033880790  26.03391    -3.226419
12303 PITFI   (  0)      -0.197393471       0.089000159  -2.21790     0.865347

SE of equation            =     0.112723816
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.35073185       0.128141942E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084107643
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.8122369    
R squared                 =   0.83888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.82796
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!        *      +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!     *          +                     !!0        .    .    .         !
 1973.2!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.2!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!              *    +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!              *       +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!               +         *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1981.4!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                     *       +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.2!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!     *     +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!     +           *                    !!         .    .    .         0
 2007.2!       *        +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2007.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1*      +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.2!+   *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!*   +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.1!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEFI=NEPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEFI=LOG(AANEFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEFI=LOG(ANEFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEFI=EXP(LAANEFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  578 LAANEFI C LANEFI(-1) PNEFI;                                         
EQUATION 633  LAANEFI  
   RHS     C  LANEFI(-1)  PNEFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  633 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  633
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.097744779

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.007332044       0.058663963   0.12498     1.000000
12308 LANEFI  ( -1)       0.915407474       0.035664035  25.66752    -3.103574
12306 PNEFI   (  0)      -0.234763616       0.109250139  -2.14886     1.124714

SE of equation            =     0.079906012
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.18121959       0.645119513E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.062753255
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.7976119    
R squared                 =   0.94805
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43694
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!     * +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.2!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!     * +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!    *  +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!     +       *                        !!         .    .    .         0
 1971.2!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!        *    +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!    *    +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.4!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!*    +                                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.2!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1*   +                                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2+  *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!        *  +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!       +                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!     *    +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!     *    +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!        * +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!           +                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!          +*                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!          *   +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1999.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.4!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTFI=STPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTFI=LOG(AASTFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTFI=LOG(ASTFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTFI=EXP(LAASTFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  579 LAASTFI C LASTFI(-1) PSTFI;                                         
EQUATION 634  LAASTFI  
   RHS     C  LASTFI(-1)  PSTFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  634 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  634
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.724461288

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.084972708       0.045882607  -1.85196     1.000000
12311 LASTFI  ( -1)       0.910123563       0.028430918  32.01175    -3.715780
12309 PSTFI   (  0)      -0.290323231       0.099364866  -2.92179     0.887528

SE of equation            =     0.089323480
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.47605654       0.807265366E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.066913867
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5798069    
R squared                 =   0.97309
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67023
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                      +!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                                     *+!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                                      +!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                                    + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                                   +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                               * +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                              * +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!                              + *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                              *  +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                           *  +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                   *     +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                      *   +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                      +               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                     * +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                *     +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.2!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!              *   +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .         0
 1993.3!                    *  +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!              *  +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!               +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1996.1!            *   +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!           *+                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!            *  +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.4!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.4!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1!            *+                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!        * +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!        *+                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!       *  +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.4!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!      *+                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!  *+                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.4!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!*+                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3+   *                                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!+*                                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2+ *                                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKFI=UKPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKFI=LOG(AAUKFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKFI=LOG(AUKFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKFI=EXP(LAAUKFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  580 LAAUKFI C LAUKFI(-1) PUKFI;                                         
EQUATION 635  LAAUKFI  
   RHS     C  LAUKFI(-1)  PUKFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  635 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  635
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.425085822

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.011001288       0.089140208   0.12342     1.000000
12314 LAUKFI  ( -1)       0.973938978       0.016993858  57.31123    -2.415977
12312 PUKFI   (  0)      -0.085267510       0.091257239  -0.93436     0.974261

SE of equation            =     0.114418516
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.42194539       0.562816460E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.083497794
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6975852    
R squared                 =   0.94985
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.90462
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                                 *   +!!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                               +      *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1974.2!                          *           +0           .  .  .           !
 1974.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.4!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                            *  +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                         *    +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                    *    +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                  *   +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                 *  +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.1!                 *     +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.3!                  *  +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                *     +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1997.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!        +  *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!     *     +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2007.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2*    +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.3+     *                                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2009.4!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2* +                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3+*                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASFI=ASPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASFI=LOG(AAASFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASFI=LOG(AASFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASFI=EXP(LAAASFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  581 LAAASFI C LAASFI(-1) PASFI;                                         
EQUATION 636  LAAASFI  
   RHS     C  LAASFI(-1)  PASFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  636 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  636
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.811897777

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.841386886       0.263287077  -3.19570     1.000000
12317 LAASFI  ( -1)       0.708943254       0.048499890  14.61742    -5.819008
12315 PASFI   (  0)      -0.779901416       0.213098376  -3.65982     1.083681

SE of equation            =     0.589529747
Sum of squared residuals  =  64.2958846       0.224353869E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.409818369
Sum of ABS residuals      =  77.0458534    
R squared                 =   0.67007
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!      *             +                 !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1967.4!*        +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!     +              *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!      *                +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1968.4*         +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.1!    +                *                !!         .    .    .         0
 1969.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.3!          *             +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1969.4!   *         +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.1!        +               *             !!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!        *              +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1970.4!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!              +               *       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1971.4!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!              *             +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!              +          *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!    *               +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1974.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!    *          +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.4!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                              * +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!        +         *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  582 LAASOFI C LASOFI(-1) PSOFI;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  582 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  583 LAAKOFI C LAKOFI(-1) PKOFI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  583 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEFI=BEPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEFI=LOG(AABEFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEFI=LOG(ABEFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEFI=EXP(LAABEFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  584 LAABEFI C LABEFI(-1) PBEFI;                                         
EQUATION 637  LAABEFI  
   RHS     C  LABEFI(-1)  PBEFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  637 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  637
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.439594840

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.941555426       0.194835069  -4.83258     1.000000
12320 LABEFI  ( -1)       0.685477276       0.053333301  12.85271    -3.439642
12318 PBEFI   (  0)      -0.147483916       0.113719398  -1.29691     0.950903

SE of equation            =     0.108257764
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.16815253      -0.165516489E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.079637418
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.9718346    
R squared                 =   0.49240
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54477
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *            +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.2!               +            *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1966.3!               *           +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1968.1!                  *         +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!           *             +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1968.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!          *                +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!          *       +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2*              +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1971.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.4!     *            +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2! *               +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                 *         +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEFI=DEPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEFI=LOG(AADEFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEFI=LOG(ADEFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEFI=EXP(LAADEFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  585 LAADEFI C LADEFI(-1) PDEFI;                                         
EQUATION 638  LAADEFI  
   RHS     C  LADEFI(-1)  PDEFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  638 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  638
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.175024468

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.575802063       0.149618097  -3.84848     1.000000
12323 LADEFI  ( -1)       0.720841125       0.051170858  14.08695    -3.174845
12321 PDEFI   (  0)      -0.313771783       0.123416340  -2.54238     0.990095

SE of equation            =     0.090904222
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.52876186       0.117066357E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.070050816
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.1695534    
R squared                 =   0.62628
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48229
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.4!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          +         * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.3!       *              +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2005.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2007.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4! *          +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2008.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4! *                  +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 2010.1!      +       *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOFI=NOPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOFI=LOG(AANOFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOFI=LOG(ANOFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOFI=EXP(LAANOFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  586 LAANOFI C LANOFI(-1) PNOFI;                                         
EQUATION 639  LAANOFI  
   RHS     C  LANOFI(-1)  PNOFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  639 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  639
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.184189835

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.718610031       0.126874031  -5.66396     1.000000
12326 LANOFI  ( -1)       0.617475601       0.059705424  10.34204    -3.182020
12324 PNOFI   (  0)      -0.599086975       0.115466102  -5.18842     0.835872

SE of equation            =     0.202395137
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.57830145      -0.387334609E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.158446655
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7879711    
R squared                 =   0.77204
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39193
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!            *        +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                 *        +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1977.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                  *         +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!            *    +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!              *        +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                 *       +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                  *       +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                 *      +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                             +      * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                          *     +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                       *    +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!       *         +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2005.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4*          +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 2006.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!  *       +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2007.1!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!*     +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.4! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3! +       *                            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2008.4!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!    *    +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!  *    +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   587 LAASWFI C LASWFI(-1) PSWFI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  587 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRFI=GRPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRFI=LOG(AAGRFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRFI=LOG(AGRFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRFI=EXP(LAAGRFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  588 LAAGRFI C LAGRFI(-1) PGRFI;                                         
EQUATION 640  LAAGRFI  
   RHS     C  LAGRFI(-1)  PGRFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  640 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  640
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.419573016

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.808412344       0.458984419  -3.94003     1.000000
12329 LAGRFI  ( -1)       0.464195080       0.064913210   7.15101    -6.420390
12327 PGRFI   (  0)      -1.647878239       0.447661236  -3.68108     0.989665

SE of equation            =     0.535640876
Sum of squared residuals  =  53.0785624       0.365139030E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.412643182
Sum of ABS residuals      =  77.5769183    
R squared                 =   0.36887
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25217
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!         *      +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1*          +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!    *         +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!   *            +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!   *           +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!         *        +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              *      +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!          *         +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!               +                      *!          .   .   .          0
 2000.3!                   *        +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!     *             +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!    *            +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.3!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRFI=IRPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRFI=LOG(AAIRFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRFI=LOG(AIRFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRFI=EXP(LAAIRFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  589 LAAIRFI C LAIRFI(-1) PIRFI;                                         
EQUATION 641  LAAIRFI  
   RHS     C  LAIRFI(-1)  PIRFI  
 SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    90 to   244
 OLS;EST  641 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  641
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRFI 

 1974.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  155 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.223043284

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.486275734       0.217160151  -2.23925     1.000000
12332 LAIRFI  ( -1)       0.809211236       0.043238653  18.71500    -5.238932
12330 PIRFI   (  0)      -0.443198581       0.207088548  -2.14014     1.122217

SE of equation            =     0.275116123
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.5047099       0.101429976E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.203619459
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.5610162    
R squared                 =   0.79212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70184
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.2   2012.4    155

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!              *    +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1989.3!                   *       +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     *    +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .         0!
 1999.3!                              *    +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2002.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   590 LAAPOFI C LAPOFI(-1) PPOFI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  590 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPFI=SPPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPFI=LOG(AASPFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPFI=LOG(ASPFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPFI=EXP(LAASPFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  591 LAASPFI C LASPFI(-1) PSPFI;                                         
EQUATION 642  LAASPFI  
   RHS     C  LASPFI(-1)  PSPFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  642 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  642
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.713164143

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.102120506       0.182037308  -6.05437     1.000000
12335 LASPFI  ( -1)       0.503002651       0.065893294   7.63359    -4.720617
12333 PSPFI   (  0)      -1.096384969       0.186583982  -5.87609     1.127853

SE of equation            =     0.277812671
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.2782779       0.199813499E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.208960883
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.2846459    
R squared                 =   0.74104
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35526
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3*         +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.4! +        *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!    *         +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!              *       +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1977.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   592 LAANZFI C LANZFI(-1) PNZFI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  592 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  593 LAASAFI C LASAFI(-1) PSAFI;SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  593 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  594 LAAVEFI C LAVEFI(-1) PVEFI;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  594 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   595 LAACOFI C LACOFI(-1) PCOFI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  595 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  596 LAAJOFI C LAJOFI(-1) PJOFI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  596 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  597 LAASYFI C LASYFI(-1) PSYFI;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  597 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDFI=IDPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDFI=LOG(AAIDFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDFI=LOG(AIDFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDFI=EXP(LAAIDFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  598 LAAIDFI C LAIDFI(-1) PIDFI;                                         
EQUATION 643  LAAIDFI  
   RHS     C  LAIDFI(-1)  PIDFI  
 SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   101 to   244
 OLS;EST  643 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  643
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDFI 

 1977.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  144 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.534268473

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.589995425       0.259418100  -2.27430     1.000000
12338 LAIDFI  ( -1)       0.844532065       0.043437054  19.44266    -6.545630
12336 PIDFI   (  0)      -0.372881775       0.185963011  -2.00514     1.116382

SE of equation            =     0.324937823
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8874271       0.136095579E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.249132444
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.8750719    
R squared                 =   0.79589
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76096
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2012.4    144

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.1!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!      *        +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4! *     +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!   +        *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!    +     *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4*     +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!  +          *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.2!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!           *         +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.3!            +              *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.4!            *             +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.1!              +          *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.2!                         +           *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.3!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                         *          + !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                             *    +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                         *     +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                 *          +         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                   *         +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                           *     +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                   *      +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                               +      *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.2!                                 *  + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.25 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAFI=MAPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAFI=LOG(AAMAFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAFI=LOG(AMAFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAFI=EXP(LAAMAFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  599 LAAMAFI C LAMAFI(-1) PMAFI;                                         
EQUATION 644  LAAMAFI  
   RHS     C  LAMAFI(-1)  PMAFI  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST  644 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  644
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAFI 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.248081817

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.327154079       0.138020758  -2.37033     1.000000
12341 LAMAFI  ( -1)       0.914301174       0.028752807  31.79868    -6.278757
12339 PMAFI   (  0)      -0.164932942       0.120070745  -1.37363     1.092884

SE of equation            =     0.314562502
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.5665951       0.334043904E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.245415965
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.9040755    
R squared                 =   0.93801
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39379
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!    *    +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3*    +                                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4! +      *                             !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.1!       * +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!      *      +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1984.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!         *    +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                          *    +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.1!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.1!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.4!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                                *   + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                             *    +   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !


     29.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.15 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAFI=PAPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAFI=LOG(AAPAFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAFI=LOG(APAFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAFI=EXP(LAAPAFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  600 LAAPAFI C LAPAFI(-1) PPAFI;                                         
EQUATION 645  LAAPAFI  
   RHS     C  LAPAFI(-1)  PPAFI  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
 OLS;EST  645 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  645
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAFI 

 1978.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.604313898

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.325905532       0.395862085  -3.34941     1.000000
12344 LAPAFI  ( -1)       0.793273486       0.050380104  15.74577    -7.616359
12342 PPAFI   (  0)      -0.188499094       0.212296816  -0.88790     1.254929

SE of equation            =     0.547707550
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.0977477       0.627853325E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.353953444
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.5534821    
R squared                 =   0.67539
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48899
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4    140

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!    +      *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1! *          +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.4!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!            +              *          !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1984.3!    *                   +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.4!      +                *              !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1985.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                           +        * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                 *          +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!               +             *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.1!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !


     19.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.71 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   601 LAAPHFI C LAPHFI(-1) PPHFI;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  601 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHFI=THPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHFI=LOG(AATHFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHFI=LOG(ATHFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHFI=EXP(LAATHFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  602 LAATHFI C LATHFI(-1) PTHFI;                                         
EQUATION 646  LAATHFI  
   RHS     C  LATHFI(-1)  PTHFI  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST  646 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  646
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHFI 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.999272549

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.123299449       0.201602254   0.61160     1.000000
12347 LATHFI  ( -1)       0.928636716       0.025421147  36.53009    -6.013725
12345 PTHFI   (  0)      -0.490201981       0.212663366  -2.30506     1.097519

SE of equation            =     0.201593639
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.44575937      -0.108162368E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.150023524
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.5532227    
R squared                 =   0.93641
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49151
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!  *   +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!*  +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.2*       +                              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1980.3!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1! +       *                            !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.2!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!     *     +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!      *      +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1983.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!     *     +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.2!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                          *    +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.2!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!                         *    +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.4!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                                   * +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                               +    * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.4!                            *      +  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2012.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !


     29.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.84 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHFI=CHPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHFI=LOG(AACHFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHFI=LOG(ACHFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHFI=EXP(LAACHFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  603 LAACHFI C LACHFI(-1) PCHFI;                                         
EQUATION 647  LAACHFI  
   RHS     C  LACHFI(-1)  PCHFI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  647 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  647
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHFI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.436152201

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.082066645       0.265823919   0.30873     1.000000
12350 LACHFI  ( -1)       0.953484737       0.031238233  30.52301    -4.464082
12348 PCHFI   (  0)      -0.233907945       0.300617814  -0.77809     1.119177

SE of equation            =     0.357276303
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.7005019      -0.389821508E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.232661517
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.3153512    
R squared                 =   0.93451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69482
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3+  *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!     *     +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!        +          *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.1!   *               +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1990.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!     *      +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!             *        +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2000.4!              +         *             !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  604 LAAARFI C LAARFI(-1) PARFI;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  604 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   605 LAABRFI C LABRFI(-1) PBRFI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  605 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   606 LAACEFI C LACEFI(-1) PCEFI;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  606 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEFI=MEPX$Q/FIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEFI=LOG(AAMEFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEFI=LOG(AMEFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEFI=EXP(LAAMEFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  607 LAAMEFI C LAMEFI(-1) PMEFI;                                         
EQUATION 648  LAAMEFI  
   RHS     C  LAMEFI(-1)  PMEFI  
 SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   110 to   244
 OLS;EST  648 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  648
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEFI 

 1979.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  135 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.159424478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.932672478       0.779743069  -2.47860     1.000000
12353 LAMEFI  ( -1)       0.683600490       0.064896860  10.53365    -8.171787
12351 PMEFI   (  0)      -0.573468178       0.657433142  -0.87228     1.116913

SE of equation            =     1.019098048
Sum of squared residuals  =  137.090030       0.614353013E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.715831779
Sum of ABS residuals      =  96.6372902    
R squared                 =   0.49047
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63953
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.2   2012.4    135

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!        *           +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!       *           +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +                     *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.4!    *                    +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.1!       +                    *         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.2!       *               +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!      +                   *           !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.1!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!             +        *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!     *           +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1! *      +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                       *       +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !


     25.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   608 LAAPEFI C LAPEFI(-1) PPEFI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  608 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  609 LAATUFI C LATUFI(-1) PTUFI;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  609 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDFI=PDPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDFI=LOG(AAPDFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDFI=LOG(APDFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDFI=EXP(LAAPDFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  610 LAAPDFI C LAPDFI(-1) PPDFI;                                         
EQUATION 649  LAAPDFI  
   RHS     C  LAPDFI(-1)  PPDFI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  649 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  649
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDFI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.480861809

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.477087246       0.360054574  -4.10240     1.000000
12356 LAPDFI  ( -1)       0.634600533       0.069497964   9.13121    -4.481102
12354 PPDFI   (  0)      -0.143020164       0.172144935  -0.83081     1.119177

SE of equation            =     0.275787300
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.35521209      -0.784039500E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.206234355
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.9855287    
R squared                 =   0.40826
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23332
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!     *                   +            !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.1!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!              +             *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!              *        +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!      *       +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!               +            *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.1!         *               +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.2!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!       *             +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!     *             +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.2!         +    *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!               +           *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                 +         *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!    *                  +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1993.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!             +               *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.4!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                   +         *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!         *          +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!   *          +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!        *    +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1*            +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.2!*     +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4*          +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!       *      +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                         +            *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.1!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  611 LAARUFI C LARUFI(-1) PRUFI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  611 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  612 LAAUEFI C LAUEFI(-1) PUEFI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  612 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGFI=EGPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGFI=LOG(AAEGFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGFI=LOG(AEGFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGFI=EXP(LAAEGFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  613 LAAEGFI C LAEGFI(-1) PEGFI;                                         
EQUATION 650  LAAEGFI  
   RHS     C  LAEGFI(-1)  PEGFI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  650 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  650
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGFI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.368497891

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.513227738       0.920327793  -3.81737     1.000000
12359 LAEGFI  ( -1)       0.620066800       0.070043560   8.85259    -9.357711
12357 PEGFI   (  0)      -0.047234956       0.492580239  -0.09589     1.119177

SE of equation            =     0.780874898
Sum of squared residuals  =  75.0011696      -0.846966941E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.606031764
Sum of ABS residuals      =  76.3600023    
R squared                 =   0.39388
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40181
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                  *        +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1981.4!                 +       *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.1!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.2!                    +     *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.3!           *          +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1982.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.2!                  +      *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.3!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.4!                   +  *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!                   +             *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1984.2!                           +          *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1984.3!                      *      +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.4!                    +     *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.1!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.4!                 +       *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.3!             *     +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.2!                  *  +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.4!                 +               *    !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1988.1!                  *        +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.2!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.3!   *             +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1988.4!        +        *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.1!                +      *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.3!       *            +                 !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1989.4!          +             *             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1990.1!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!                 +           *        !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1990.3!        *               +             !!0       .     .     .        !
 1990.4!           +                 *        !!        .     .     .        0
 1991.1!          *             +             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1991.2!      *     +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.3!    *     +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!         + *                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!          *  +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.3!        *     +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.4!     *     +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.1!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.2!           +      *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.3!   *             +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1993.4!  *     +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.1!  *    +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.2!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.3!         +      *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!    *           +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1995.1!        +  *                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.2!    *        +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.3!        +          *                  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1995.4!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!              +  *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                +          *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.4!                     +     *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.1!            *         +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1997.2!    *         +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.3!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.2!      *      +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.3!     *    +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.1!     *      +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.2!         + *                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.3!         *   +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.4!       *    +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1! *            +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2001.2!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.3!       *   +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.4!     *    +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.1! *       +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.2!*      +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.3!      +      *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.4*              +                       !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2003.1!     +   *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.2!     *     +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.3!    *    +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!     *    +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.2!   *     +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.3!    *   +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.4!   *    +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.1!        +           *                 !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2005.2!            *      +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.4!           *  +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.1!             + *                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.1!            + *                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!              +       *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.2!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.4!                  +               *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2009.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                         +  *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.1!                   +                * !!        .     .     .        0
 2010.2!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.3!                       +     *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.1!                         +         *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                   *   +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.1!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.3!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.4!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISFI=ISPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISFI=LOG(AAISFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISFI=LOG(AISFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISFI=EXP(LAAISFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  614 LAAISFI C LAISFI(-1) PISFI;                                         
EQUATION 651  LAAISFI  
   RHS     C  LAISFI(-1)  PISFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  651 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  651
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.161046446

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.203145690       0.325729378  -3.69370     1.000000
12362 LAISFI  ( -1)       0.794518633       0.044641511  17.79775    -6.156903
12360 PISFI   (  0)      -0.065171122       0.237661194  -0.27422     1.014666

SE of equation            =     0.254864612
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.0168546       0.139914746E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.192827280
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.2515287    
R squared                 =   0.64335
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68894
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                                 +    *!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                                  +  *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                     *         +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!            *             +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.4!              +             *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                         +          * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                         *   +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!                        *    +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!                       *     +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!               *          +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                +                *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                     *      +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!          *               +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.4!            +            *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.3!                  *         +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!          *         +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1*             +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1992.2!    +     *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!*       +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!    +           *                     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1! *            +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.2!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!            *       +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!               *          +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!            *        +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4!              +         *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.1!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   615 LAAKEFI C LAKEFI(-1) PKEFI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  615 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAFI=BAPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAFI=LOG(AABAFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAFI=LOG(ABAFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAFI=EXP(LAABAFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  616 LAABAFI C LABAFI(-1) PBAFI;                                         
EQUATION 652  LAABAFI  
   RHS     C  LABAFI(-1)  PBAFI  
 SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   139 to   244
 OLS;EST  652 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  652
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAFI 

 1986.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  106 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.490677428

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.373050178       0.614574661  -2.23415     1.000000
12365 LABAFI  ( -1)       0.722841814       0.062250244  11.61187    -8.515767
12363 PBAFI   (  0)      -0.839564372       0.484034802  -1.73451     1.145922

SE of equation            =     0.496391236
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.3796387       0.967048663E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.377819853
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.0489044    
R squared                 =   0.63023
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.87660
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.3   2012.4    106

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.3!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!*              +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.1!*      +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!           +            *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!               *          +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.3!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!       *            +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!         *      +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      *       +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            *    +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                           *     +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                          *       +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                               *  +   !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.77 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKFI=HKPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKFI=LOG(AAHKFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKFI=LOG(AHKFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKFI=EXP(LAAHKFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  617 LAAHKFI C LAHKFI(-1) PHKFI;                                         
EQUATION 653  LAAHKFI  
   RHS     C  LAHKFI(-1)  PHKFI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  653 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  653
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKFI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.410740486

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.328136231       0.081731420  -4.01481     1.000000
12368 LAHKFI  ( -1)       0.854188977       0.029726507  28.73493    -5.426951
12366 PHKFI   (  0)      -0.291854337       0.061782072  -4.72393     1.531457

SE of equation            =     0.164212858
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.98868458       0.203903561E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.107226023
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1584923    
R squared                 =   0.97829
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12452
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *+                              !!            0 . .            !
 1966.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1966.4!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!      +  *                            !!            . . .  0         !
 1967.2!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!         +*                           !!            . . 0            !
 1968.1!*         +                           !0            . . .            !
 1968.2!*+                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1968.3!*+                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1968.4* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1!+        *                            !!            . . .          0 !
 1969.2!        +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!       +*                             !!            . . .0           !
 1970.2!        +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!     * +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1971.2!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!   *+                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!    + *                               !!            . . .0           !
 1972.2!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!    +    *                            !!            . . .   0        !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!            . . 0            !
 1973.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1974.2!   + *                                !!            . . 0            !
 1974.3!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!    +   *                             !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1975.2!              + *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1975.3!              *  +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.4!               +*                     !!            . . 0            !
 1976.1!                 +                    !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!               * +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!            *   +                     !!        0   . . .            !
 1978.1!             + *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!            0 . .            !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                 *  +                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                    +                 !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                   * +                !!           0. . .            !
 1981.3!                   +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                     +                !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                     *+               !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!           0. . .            !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                   * +                !!           0. . .            !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                    *+                !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                          * +         !!           0. . .            !
 1989.2!                          +           !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!            . . 0            !
 1992.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 1994.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                               +  *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!            0 . .            !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 2000.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                              +   *   !!            . . .   0        !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!           0. . .            !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                           * +        !!           0. . .            !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!            . . .0           !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!            . . 0            !
 2003.3!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!            . . . 0          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                    +*!!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                     +*!            . . 0            !
 2005.4!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                    * +!            0 . .            !
 2006.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                                * +   !!           0. . .            !
 2009.4!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                *  +  !!         0  . . .            !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIFI=SIPX$/FIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIFI=LOG(AASIFI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIFI=LOG(ASIFI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIFI=EXP(LAASIFI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  618 LAASIFI C LASIFI(-1) PSIFI;                                         
EQUATION 654  LAASIFI  
   RHS     C  LASIFI(-1)  PSIFI  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST  654 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  654
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIFI 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.040544933

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.441332727       0.176835696  -2.49572     1.000000
12371 LASIFI  ( -1)       0.869811357       0.042930968  20.26070    -6.051047
12369 PSIFI   (  0)      -0.239149399       0.119560575  -2.00024     1.404739

SE of equation            =     0.368899260
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.5077863       0.714894810E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.260315903
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1839106    
R squared                 =   0.88856
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56803
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!*       +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.1!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!+ *                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!    *     +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!    +                *                !!           .  .  .           0
 1984.4!       *           +                  !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1992.2!                         *      +     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.4!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                      *      +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                                *    +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                 *      +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2010.3!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                  *     +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !


     25.18 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  619 LAAVIFI C LAVIFI(-1) PVIFI;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  619 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  620 LAANIFI C LANIFI(-1) PNIFI;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  620 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  621 LAAALFI C LAALFI(-1) PALFI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  621 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  622 LAAIAFI C LAIAFI(-1) PIAFI;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  622 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  623 LAAINFI C LAINFI(-1) PINFI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  623 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  624 LAAIQFI C LAIQFI(-1) PIQFI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  624 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  625 LAAKUFI C LAKUFI(-1) PKUFI;SMPL 1998.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  625 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  626 LAALIFI C LALIFI(-1) PLIFI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  626 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  627 LAAUAFI C LAUAFI(-1) PUAFI;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  627 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   628 LAAUSAS C LAUSAS(-1) PUSAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  628 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   629 LAACAAS C LACAAS(-1) PCAAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  629 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   630 LAAJAAS C LAJAAS(-1) PJAAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  630 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   631 LAAAUAS C LAAUAS(-1) PAUAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  631 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRAS=FRPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRAS=LOG(AAFRAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRAS=LOG(AFRAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRAS=EXP(LAAFRAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  632 LAAFRAS C LAFRAS(-1) PFRAS;                                         
EQUATION 655  LAAFRAS  
   RHS     C  LAFRAS(-1)  PFRAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  655 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  655
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.905800342

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.615215975       0.216824688  -7.44941     1.000000
12374 LAFRAS  ( -1)       0.446754282       0.066201470   6.74840    -3.908057
12372 PFRAS   (  0)      -0.466305916       0.113310000  -4.11531     1.167995

SE of equation            =     0.224242009
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.30262857       0.268371991E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.163494548
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.7369751    
R squared                 =   0.41923
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25265
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!        +                             *!           .  .  .           0
 1966.3!              *       +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!         +                   *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1967.2! *                 +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1967.3!      +                   *           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1967.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.3!     +                   *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1968.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!        *      +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!              +         *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!*          +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!     *         +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!   *       +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!       *       +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!        *    +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!            *    +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!       *       +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                 *    +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!               +        *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                  *    +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                *    +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                    *    +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                        +         *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                          +        *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!             *         +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!               *       +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                    *    +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!                         *  +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                 *      +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!                     +    *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!           *          +               !!         0 .  .  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEAS=GEPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEAS=LOG(AAGEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEAS=LOG(AGEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEAS=EXP(LAAGEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  633 LAAGEAS C LAGEAS(-1) PGEAS;                                         
EQUATION 656  LAAGEAS  
   RHS     C  LAGEAS(-1)  PGEAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  656 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  656
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.679580878

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.325412547       0.114470172  -2.84277     1.000000
12377 LAGEAS  ( -1)       0.810101190       0.046736143  17.33351    -2.677628
12375 PGEAS   (  0)      -0.187940847       0.102525398  -1.83312     0.984450

SE of equation            =     0.103202144
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.97037626      -0.270126144E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.078717759
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.7989386    
R squared                 =   0.70962
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44819
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!          *         +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1977.2!                           *       +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                     *      +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!             *            +           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +             *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1984.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                   *       +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!               *     +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3! *        +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.4*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!  *     +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITAS=ITPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITAS=LOG(AAITAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITAS=LOG(AITAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITAS=EXP(LAAITAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  634 LAAITAS C LAITAS(-1) PITAS;                                         
EQUATION 657  LAAITAS  
   RHS     C  LAITAS(-1)  PITAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  657 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  657
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.395326776

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.648069457       0.119109819  -5.44094     1.000000
12380 LAITAS  ( -1)       0.713526513       0.046174308  15.45289    -3.397769
12378 PITAS   (  0)      -0.373435240       0.080978813  -4.61152     0.864566

SE of equation            =     0.113123406
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.36742743      -0.620201668E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084972870
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.9748996    
R squared                 =   0.79271
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34723
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *        +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEAS=NEPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEAS=LOG(AANEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEAS=LOG(ANEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEAS=EXP(LAANEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  635 LAANEAS C LANEAS(-1) PNEAS;                                         
EQUATION 658  LAANEAS  
   RHS     C  LANEAS(-1)  PNEAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  658 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  658
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.394480441

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.391225173       0.250479406  -5.55425     1.000000
12383 LANEAS  ( -1)       0.679677835       0.054046257  12.57585    -4.395010
12381 PNEAS   (  0)      -0.014376267       0.077291615  -0.18600     1.117407

SE of equation            =     0.119528367
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.64310064      -0.749111884E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.092199548
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.3335150    
R squared                 =   0.46137
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17813
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *        +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.4!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!           *        +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1970.3!                            +         *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.4!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.4!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!              *    +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!         *       +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!     *       +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!  *        +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!*     +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!*        +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!        +     *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.2!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.1!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.2!                *         +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!      *        +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.2!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.2!            *        +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!   *          +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1995.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!  *     +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1! *        +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.2*     +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!    *        +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.3!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.4!            *      +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTAS=STPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTAS=LOG(AASTAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTAS=LOG(ASTAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTAS=EXP(LAASTAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  636 LAASTAS C LASTAS(-1) PSTAS;                                         
EQUATION 659  LAASTAS  
   RHS     C  LASTAS(-1)  PSTAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  659 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  659
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.175325482

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.673553724       0.152524024  -4.41605     1.000000
12386 LASTAS  ( -1)       0.778544628       0.049786776  15.63758    -4.171290
12384 PSTAS   (  0)      -0.287025908       0.086578201  -3.31522     0.885760

SE of equation            =     0.124840154
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.88323686      -0.197393213E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.093753158
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6255937    
R squared                 =   0.84279
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64823
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.4!                          *      +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.2!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!             *         +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.2!           *       +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!       *      +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!     *           +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!      +           *                   !!          .   .   .          0
 1984.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!     *          +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4! *       +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!+       *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2009.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKAS=UKPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKAS=LOG(AAUKAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKAS=LOG(AUKAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKAS=EXP(LAAUKAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  637 LAAUKAS C LAUKAS(-1) PUKAS;                                         
EQUATION 660  LAAUKAS  
   RHS     C  LAUKAS(-1)  PUKAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  660 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  660
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.420898480

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.054571991       0.107878629  -0.50586     1.000000
12389 LAUKAS  ( -1)       0.972779183       0.018601805  52.29488    -2.408997
12387 PUKAS   (  0)      -0.023650448       0.125224568  -0.18886     0.968472

SE of equation            =     0.148009550
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.05276299       0.755084884E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.107624582
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.2334214    
R squared                 =   0.95056
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.96333
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                              *    +  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.1!                                  *  +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                                  * + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                              *   +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!             *       +                !!0         .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!              *  +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!           *   +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!   *        +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 2008.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!        *  +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2*      +                               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2010.3!+                                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1+   *                                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!*+                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   638 LAAFIAS C LAFIAS(-1) PFIAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  638 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOAS=SOPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOAS=LOG(AASOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOAS=LOG(ASOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOAS=EXP(LAASOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  639 LAASOAS C LASOAS(-1) PSOAS;                                         
EQUATION 661  LAASOAS  
   RHS     C  LASOAS(-1)  PSOAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  661 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  661
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.090642726

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.094416692       0.240351158  -4.55341     1.000000
12392 LASOAS  ( -1)       0.746746935       0.049334739  15.13633    -5.088122
12390 PSOAS   (  0)      -0.205784446       0.121755503  -1.69014     0.955791

SE of equation            =     0.265060949
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9976017       0.543476375E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.184840117
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.7499419    
R squared                 =   0.60105
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41184
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                     *        +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1969.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                *        +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!             +       *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.1!   *         +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!   *          +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.4*         +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.1!     +       *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!            +              *          !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1993.1!     *                    +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1993.2!          +          *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                 *       +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1995.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                    *            +    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1995.4!       *             +                !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1996.1!            +                *        !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOAS=KOPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOAS=LOG(AAKOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOAS=LOG(AKOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOAS=EXP(LAAKOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  640 LAAKOAS C LAKOAS(-1) PKOAS;                                         
EQUATION 662  LAAKOAS  
   RHS     C  LAKOAS(-1)  PKOAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  662 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  662
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.585874231

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.037677762       0.044734187  -0.84226     1.000000
12395 LAKOAS  ( -1)       0.913491253       0.024189870  37.76338    -4.617513
12393 PKOAS   (  0)      -0.209006240       0.074447910  -2.80742     1.579564

SE of equation            =     0.192635718
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.86507615       0.139968037E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.141830769
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.6641846    
R squared                 =   0.98546
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53558
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+   *                                  !!         .    .    .         0
 1966.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!   +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!  *+                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!  *+                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!  +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.2! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4! *+                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!    +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!   * +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!       +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .         0
 1972.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!            +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!                 +                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                  +                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.3!                    * +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.4!                    *+                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                   * +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                    *  +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!                      +               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                        +             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                       +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                        *+            !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!                        +             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                         +            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.4!                        *   +         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.2!                          *+          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                         * +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.3!                           * +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                             +        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                            +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.3!                            * +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.1!                             * +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                               +      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.1!                                   +  *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.2!                                      +!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                                     *+!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!                                    *+!!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                                  *+  !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                               * +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                                 *+   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                  * + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                                    + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.1!                                     *+!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEAS=BEPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEAS=LOG(AABEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEAS=LOG(ABEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEAS=EXP(LAABEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  641 LAABEAS C LABEAS(-1) PBEAS;                                         
EQUATION 663  LAABEAS  
   RHS     C  LABEAS(-1)  PBEAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  663 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  663
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.550393567

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.639774477       0.184817544  -3.46165     1.000000
12398 LABEAS  ( -1)       0.827762422       0.039247177  21.09101    -4.552081
12396 PBEAS   (  0)      -0.150326995       0.096907385  -1.55124     0.948448

SE of equation            =     0.143450089
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.80691670      -0.365192321E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.111343470
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.9325724    
R squared                 =   0.72075
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67258
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!        *      +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!  *         +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!    *       +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.3!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!       *       +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!            *       +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!        *        +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!        *      +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *    +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!      *        +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!    *          +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                         +            *!          .   .   .          0
 2002.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.4!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEAS=DEPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEAS=LOG(AADEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEAS=LOG(ADEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEAS=EXP(LAADEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  642 LAADEAS C LADEAS(-1) PDEAS;                                         
EQUATION 664  LAADEAS  
   RHS     C  LADEAS(-1)  PDEAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  664 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  664
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.311052918

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.989555746       0.211943951  -4.66895     1.000000
12401 LADEAS  ( -1)       0.761331216       0.048577738  15.67243    -5.313866
12399 PDEAS   (  0)      -0.279761327       0.148387417  -1.88534     0.986146

SE of equation            =     0.153931220
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.38354177      -0.112944321E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.108804649
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.4552740    
R squared                 =   0.69473
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53316
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!       +                 *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.4!      *                +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!    *           +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                     +               *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.3!                         *        +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                 *         +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                  *           +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                           +         *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 2010.1!                        *         +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOAS=NOPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOAS=LOG(AANOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOAS=LOG(ANOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOAS=EXP(LAANOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  643 LAANOAS C LANOAS(-1) PNOAS;                                         
EQUATION 665  LAANOAS  
   RHS     C  LANOAS(-1)  PNOAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  665 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  665
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.819247853

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.820859185       0.270658461  -6.72752     1.000000
12404 LANOAS  ( -1)       0.592110544       0.057658697  10.26923    -5.812607
12402 PNOAS   (  0)      -0.665952313       0.121691838  -5.47245     0.835920

SE of equation            =     0.277887640
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.2859850       0.499689179E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.211503510
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.7626598    
R squared                 =   0.71618
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33747
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1969.3!                     *         +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                  *       +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.2!                  *        +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!              *       +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!         *       +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2004.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!       *       +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2004.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1! *        +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2006.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!+     *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2012.3!*         +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2012.4! +    *                               !!          .   .   .0         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWAS=SWPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWAS=LOG(AASWAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWAS=LOG(ASWAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWAS=EXP(LAASWAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  644 LAASWAS C LASWAS(-1) PSWAS;                                         
EQUATION 666  LAASWAS  
   RHS     C  LASWAS(-1)  PSWAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  666 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  666
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.160629057

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.490894461       0.275098329  -5.41950     1.000000
12407 LASWAS  ( -1)       0.640807505       0.059913931  10.69547    -4.155806
12405 PSWAS   (  0)      -0.006033446       0.123698877  -0.04878     1.104367

SE of equation            =     0.190543713
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.71677769      -0.384146048E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.146848806
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.6075755    
R squared                 =   0.38362
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44141
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!               *       +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.1!          *            +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1967.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!          *         +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!           *       +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!           *         +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!               +        *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!               *        +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.4!                   *          +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!                         +            *!         .    .    .        0!
 1977.3!                   *            +     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1977.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.1!                  *        +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                  *       +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                *       +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!        *         +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!        *       +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!    *         +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2! *        +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4*             +                        !0         .    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRAS=GRPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRAS=LOG(AAGRAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRAS=LOG(AGRAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRAS=EXP(LAAGRAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  645 LAAGRAS C LAGRAS(-1) PGRAS;                                         
EQUATION 667  LAAGRAS  
   RHS     C  LAGRAS(-1)  PGRAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  667 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  667
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.887999254

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.419030002       0.435754803 -10.14109     1.000000
12410 LAGRAS  ( -1)       0.183784079       0.074267870   2.47461    -6.888234
12408 PGRAS   (  0)      -1.219453441       0.228283655  -5.34183     0.986525

SE of equation            =     0.335278588
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.7961704      -0.106181730E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.254949703
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.9305442    
R squared                 =   0.26962
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04667
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!  *       +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.3!        +        *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!           +            *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1*           +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.2!          +                   *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1969.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.3!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!            *   +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2! *         +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!         +  *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.4!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!     *          +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!      *          +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!     *      +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!   *          +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.2!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!               +     *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!            +         *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!          *          +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!        +            *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                  +               *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                   +                 *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!     *             +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.2!      *       +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!         *       +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                   +        *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                    +                 *!         .    .    .        0!
 1990.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                 +                  * !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.4!      *              +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!            *       +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!    *               +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                 +        *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!   *      +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!  *      +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4! *      +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRAS=IRPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRAS=LOG(AAIRAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRAS=LOG(AIRAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRAS=EXP(LAAIRAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  646 LAAIRAS C LAIRAS(-1) PIRAS;                                         
EQUATION 668  LAAIRAS  
   RHS     C  LAIRAS(-1)  PIRAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  668 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  668
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.548350632

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.258970771       0.148471439  -1.74425     1.000000
12413 LAIRAS  ( -1)       0.919154726       0.030724994  29.91554    -5.560668
12411 PIRAS   (  0)      -0.156956261       0.198334810  -0.79137     1.135767

SE of equation            =     0.209357393
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.10864584       0.107478471E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.160566225
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.1864504    
R squared                 =   0.92134
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46092
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!     +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!     * +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!             *  +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!             + *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!                 *+                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!            *    +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!             +*                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                 *  +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.1!                 *    +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                   +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                 *   +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                       +*             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                     *     +          !!0        .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                          *   +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                          +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                      *  +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                    * +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                     *  +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!                      *   +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                       *  +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                         * +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.4!                         *    +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1998.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                              +     * !!         .    .    .        0!
 1999.3!                                   +* !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                             *      + !0         .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2000.4!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2001.3!                                   +  *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                                +     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                          *  +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                       *     +        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2012.1!                        + *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                        *   +         !!     0   .    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOAS=POPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOAS=LOG(AAPOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOAS=LOG(APOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOAS=EXP(LAAPOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  647 LAAPOAS C LAPOAS(-1) PPOAS;                                         
EQUATION 669  LAAPOAS  
   RHS     C  LAPOAS(-1)  PPOAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  669 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  669
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.960760410

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.783627873       0.384408875  -4.63992     1.000000
12416 LAPOAS  ( -1)       0.709002041       0.052429853  13.52287    -6.958649
12414 PPOAS   (  0)      -0.213139496       0.199188305  -1.07004     1.142144

SE of equation            =     0.329395026
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.0727004      -0.194706473E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.202581053
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.0852380    
R squared                 =   0.52064
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43812
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *    +                               !!           0. . .            !
 1966.2!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!     + *                              !!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1967.2!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1967.3!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!    +    *                            !!            . . .0           !
 1968.1!   *    +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1968.2!    +  *                              !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1969.4!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!     +  *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!      +*                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1973.2!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!       +   *                          !!            . . .0           !
 1973.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!         +   *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!       *   +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1975.4!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!  *  +                                !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!      + *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!   *    +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1978.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!   *    +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1982.1!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!*     +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.3!  +*                                  !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!   *+                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!    +  *                              !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!    *  +                              !!            0 . .            !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!    *  +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1991.4!            +           *             !!            . . .    0       !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1992.4!               +                      *!            . . .            0
 1993.1!          *                  +        !! 0          . . .            !
 1993.2!         +  *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4*         +                            !!       0    . . .            !
 1994.1!  +        *                          !!            . . .   0        !
 1994.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!   *      +                           !!         0  . . .            !
 1995.1!     +       *                        !!            . . .  0         !
 1995.2!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!       +     *                        !!            . . . 0          !
 1996.2!            +   *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1996.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!         +   *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1997.2!            + *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!           +  *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!           +   *                      !!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 2002.1!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!          +   *                       !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!           +  *                       !!            . . 0            !
 2004.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!  *  +                                !!            0 . .            !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1! *    +                               !!           0. . .            !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!*    +                                !!           0. . .            !
 2008.4*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.3!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!           0. . .            !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!            0 . .            !
 2011.3! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2*   +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 2012.3!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !


     15.96 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPAS=SPPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPAS=LOG(AASPAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPAS=LOG(ASPAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPAS=EXP(LAASPAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  648 LAASPAS C LASPAS(-1) PSPAS;                                         
EQUATION 670  LAASPAS  
   RHS     C  LASPAS(-1)  PSPAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  670 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  670
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.303568329

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.614343013       0.159168214  -3.85971     1.000000
12419 LASPAS  ( -1)       0.835277003       0.040966760  20.38914    -5.315188
12417 PSPAS   (  0)      -0.221880144       0.094502010  -2.34789     1.124799

SE of equation            =     0.198002204
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.25290146      -0.156878954E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.157553183
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.6199984    
R squared                 =   0.84850
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72097
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *   +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2*        +                             !0         .    .    .         !
 1967.3! +     *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1971.3!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.4!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.2!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                   *    +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                  *    +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                *     +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                   *      +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                      *      +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.4!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1994.2!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                          *    +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                                  +   *!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.4!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZAS=NZPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZAS=LOG(AANZAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZAS=LOG(ANZAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZAS=EXP(LAANZAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  649 LAANZAS C LANZAS(-1) PNZAS;                                         
EQUATION 671  LAANZAS  
   RHS     C  LANZAS(-1)  PNZAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  671 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  671
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.184071953

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.267223427       0.074658321  -3.57929     1.000000
12422 LANZAS  ( -1)       0.795347218       0.033459609  23.77037    -3.190105
12420 PNZAS   (  0)      -0.380557216       0.083513208  -4.55685     0.997504

SE of equation            =     0.112822576
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.35485273      -0.106856746E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.082264973
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.4658150    
R squared                 =   0.89317
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70691
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3*     +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!         *     +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                   *    +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                      *     +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                          *       +   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                           +         *!!          .   .   .          0
 1992.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                           *    +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                           *    +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  650 LAASAAS C LASAAS(-1) PSAAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  650 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  651 LAAVEAS C LAVEAS(-1) PVEAS;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  651 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOAS=COPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOAS=LOG(AACOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOAS=LOG(ACOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOAS=EXP(LAACOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  652 LAACOAS C LACOAS(-1) PCOAS;                                         
EQUATION 672  LAACOAS  
   RHS     C  LACOAS(-1)  PCOAS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  672 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  672
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOAS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.851908760

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.062877211       0.537460155  -7.55940     1.000000
12425 LACOAS  ( -1)       0.425072995       0.072205906   5.88696    -8.857715
12423 PCOAS   (  0)      -0.836522459       0.130574528  -6.40648     1.223943

SE of equation            =     0.336224714
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.9047882      -0.192814653E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.240226106
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.2684893    
R squared                 =   0.68491
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14338
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  *          +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.4!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!         +                       *    !!           .  .  .           0
 1984.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!        +                 *           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1986.3!         *          +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!              *        +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                       *      +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                            +         *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2001.4!                            *    +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                     *      +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.2!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !


     17.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOAS=JOPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOAS=LOG(AAJOAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOAS=LOG(AJOAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOAS=EXP(LAAJOAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  653 LAAJOAS C LAJOAS(-1) PJOAS;                                         
EQUATION 673  LAAJOAS  
   RHS     C  LAJOAS(-1)  PJOAS  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  673 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  673
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOAS 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.800114056

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.898988748       0.662413496  -2.86677     1.000000
12428 LAJOAS  ( -1)       0.774355445       0.065209934  11.87481    -9.823322
12426 PJOAS   (  0)      -0.257113500       0.261528481  -0.98312     1.144953

SE of equation            =     0.738665180
Sum of squared residuals  =  47.4694836       0.944488932E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.547846444
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.3061799    
R squared                 =   0.63400
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26012
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3*   +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4*   +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!   +    *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!       +              *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.1!   *                 +                !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1992.2!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!      +     *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!             +                    *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1993.1!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                 +                 *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1994.1!                               +      *!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                        *        +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                              +     * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                             *  +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                           +        * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                       *     +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!             *        +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!             *          +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!   *  +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!        +         *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.3!  *               +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2001.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!      +  *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!   *          +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.3!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!       *    +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!   *      +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!     +      *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!     *       +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!*    +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!  +  *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !


     25.56 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  654 LAASYAS C LASYAS(-1) PSYAS;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  654 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDAS=IDPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDAS=LOG(AAIDAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDAS=LOG(AIDAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDAS=EXP(LAAIDAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  655 LAAIDAS C LAIDAS(-1) PIDAS;                                         
EQUATION 674  LAAIDAS  
   RHS     C  LAIDAS(-1)  PIDAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  674 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  674
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.034186277

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.366918206       0.256858551  -5.32168     1.000000
12431 LAIDAS  ( -1)       0.726804411       0.050688349  14.33869    -5.034289
12429 PIDAS   (  0)      -0.006978046       0.050935584  -0.13700     1.193025

SE of equation            =     0.165710929
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.08012074       0.306350501E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.122831843
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.0923865    
R squared                 =   0.52916
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44240
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!              +         *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.1!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!            *         +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!            *            +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!     *           +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1982.3!          +           *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.4!            *         +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!       *             +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.4*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.1!     +             *                  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.2!     *              +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!      *         +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.4!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!          *        +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.1!  *          +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                 *      +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                            *  +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!                           +          *!         .    .    .     0   !
 2012.2!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.4!                        *        +    !!     0   .    .    .         !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAAS=MAPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAAS=LOG(AAMAAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAAS=LOG(AMAAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAAS=EXP(LAAMAAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  656 LAAMAAS C LAMAAS(-1) PMAAS;                                         
EQUATION 675  LAAMAAS  
   RHS     C  LAMAAS(-1)  PMAAS  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  675 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  675
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAAS 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.086429741

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.088724017       0.068381893  -1.29748     1.000000
12434 LAMAAS  ( -1)       0.931549098       0.024501103  38.02070    -4.097354
12432 PMAAS   (  0)      -0.152160258       0.059385474  -2.56225     1.188348

SE of equation            =     0.168434060
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.07823585       0.588906701E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.126071595
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9450302    
R squared                 =   0.95230
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60996
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4*      +                               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.1+*                                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!       *       +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1984.2!       *    +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                *    +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .         0!
 1988.1!                    *      +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                   *      +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                       *  +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .  0       !


     21.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAAS=PAPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAAS=LOG(AAPAAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAAS=LOG(APAAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAAS=EXP(LAAPAAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  657 LAAPAAS C LAPAAS(-1) PPAAS;                                         
EQUATION 676  LAAPAAS  
   RHS     C  LAPAAS(-1)  PPAAS  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  676 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  676
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAAS 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.773469716

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.336119651       0.320786684  -4.16513     1.000000
12437 LAPAAS  ( -1)       0.777182685       0.054011513  14.38920    -6.770851
12435 PPAAS   (  0)      -0.137721939       0.135495080  -1.01643     1.271851

SE of equation            =     0.324143035
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.7059245       0.482023310E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.222775745
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.0896706    
R squared                 =   0.64651
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47242
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.2!           +            *             !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                  +                   *!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!                       *         +    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.3!             *        +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!    *         +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!       *        +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1*           +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.2!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.3!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1! *       +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.3!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!              +             *         !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1982.1!             *           +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.2!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!           *       +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !


     17.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHAS=PHPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHAS=LOG(AAPHAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHAS=LOG(APHAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHAS=EXP(LAAPHAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  658 LAAPHAS C LAPHAS(-1) PPHAS;                                         
EQUATION 677  LAAPHAS  
   RHS     C  LAPHAS(-1)  PPHAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  677 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  677
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.836756913

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.405674390       0.123528539  -3.28405     1.000000
12440 LAPHAS  ( -1)       0.885607278       0.030554577  28.98444    -5.839903
12438 PPHAS   (  0)      -0.228259562       0.080153346  -2.84779     1.135644

SE of equation            =     0.164784070
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.02345110      -0.119104726E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.126896102
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8564672    
R squared                 =   0.92829
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67178
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1*   +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!           +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                            *  +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                         *   +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1997.2!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                         *    +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .          0
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                              *     + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                         *   +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!              *    +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2010.2!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.2!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2011.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHAS=THPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHAS=LOG(AATHAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHAS=LOG(ATHAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHAS=EXP(LAATHAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  659 LAATHAS C LATHAS(-1) PTHAS;                                         
EQUATION 678  LAATHAS  
   RHS     C  LATHAS(-1)  PTHAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  678 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  678
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.875150048

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.025335856       0.070636210  -0.35868     1.000000
12443 LATHAS  ( -1)       0.977821563       0.010177908  96.07294    -4.902188
12441 PTHAS   (  0)      -0.048637364       0.076971896  -0.63188     1.158564

SE of equation            =     0.144804161
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.87912532      -0.246940246E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.104565558
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.6583249    
R squared                 =   0.98804
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38973
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+*                                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2! +*                                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!     *  +                             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1968.2!     *+                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!    * +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!      +                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!       +*                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!         + *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.2!           +*                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!             +                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!            *  +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!            +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         * +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.4!          *  +                        !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.1!          +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .         0
 1975.3!             *+                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!               +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.4!              + *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.1!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!              * +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!               +                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!              * +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.3!             * +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!              + *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                +                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                * +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                + *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                 *  +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .        0!
 1984.2!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                      +*              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                         +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                        +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                        +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                        +             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                        +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                           +          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                          *+          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                           +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                           +          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                           +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                                +     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                                +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                               +      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                                +     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.4!                                +     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                  + * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                                  * + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                                   +  *!         .    .    .       0 !
 2009.2!                                    * +!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                                    + *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.3!                                   *  +!  0      .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHAS=CHPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHAS=LOG(AACHAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHAS=LOG(ACHAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHAS=EXP(LAACHAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  660 LAACHAS C LACHAS(-1) PCHAS;                                         
EQUATION 679  LAACHAS  
   RHS     C  LACHAS(-1)  PCHAS  
 SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   120 to   244
 OLS;EST  679 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  679
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHAS 

 1981.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  125 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.343363473

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.007743706       0.197025086   0.03930     1.000000
12446 LACHAS  ( -1)       0.984787825       0.018510063  53.20283    -3.368444
12444 PCHAS   (  0)      -0.030686749       0.194626114  -0.15767     1.104844

SE of equation            =     0.198948210
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.82880759       0.437427872E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.152084635
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0105793    
R squared                 =   0.96627
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48521
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.4   2012.4    125

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.4!   +   *                              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1982.1!    *   +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.2!  *  +                                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1982.3!  +                                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.4!   +  *                               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1983.1!   *   +                              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1983.2!   +                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.3!   +                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.4!*  +                                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.1!+   *                                 !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1984.2! *  +                                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.3! +*                                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.4!   +*                                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.1*     +                                !0        .     .     .        !
 1985.2*+                                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.3*+                                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.4!+  *                                  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1986.1!*  +                                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.2! +                                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.3!  +                                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!  +   *                               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1987.1!  *    +                              !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1987.2!  +  *                                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1987.3!      +                               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!       +  *                           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.1!      *   +                           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1988.2!   *  +                               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.3!    + *                               !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!       +*                             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.1!     *   +                            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1989.2!    * +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.3!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.4!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.1!     *+                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!    * +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.3!     + *                              !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.4!        +    *                        !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1991.1!          *  +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.2!       *  +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.3!        + *                           !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.4!          + *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.1!          * +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.2!         *+                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!         +  *                         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.4!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.1!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.3!             +   *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.1!              *    +                  !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1995.1!                *     +               !!0       .     .     .        !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.3!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.1!               *    +                 !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1996.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.1!                  *  +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!                       +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.4!                           +          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.2!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.1!                            * +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                               +      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!                              + *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.1!                                * +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.4!                                    + !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.3!                                   + *!!        .     .     0        !
 2010.4!                                     +*!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                                    * +!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.2!                                    + !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.4!                                     +!!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.3!                                     +*!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.4!                                      +!        .     .0    .        !


     29.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARAS=ARPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARAS=LOG(AAARAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARAS=LOG(AARAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARAS=EXP(LAAARAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  661 LAAARAS C LAARAS(-1) PARAS;                                         
EQUATION 680  LAAARAS  
   RHS     C  LAARAS(-1)  PARAS  
 SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    75 to   244
 OLS;EST  680 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  680
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARAS 

 1970.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.191749196

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.328120121       0.459407016  -2.89094     1.000000
12449 LAARAS  ( -1)       0.782235022       0.047926748  16.32147    -7.203239
12447 PARAS   (  0)      -0.199173179       0.275995616  -0.72165     1.149768

SE of equation            =     0.562513832
Sum of squared residuals  =  52.8424425      -0.257207589E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.430479345
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.1814886    
R squared                 =   0.61671
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63946
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.3   2012.4    170

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.1!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.1!             *         +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +             *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.3!                *           +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!       *          +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1! *                 +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1977.2!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +           *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.3!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!         *           +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !


     27.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRAS=BRPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRAS=LOG(AABRAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRAS=LOG(ABRAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRAS=EXP(LAABRAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  662 LAABRAS C LABRAS(-1) PBRAS;                                         
EQUATION 681  LAABRAS  
   RHS     C  LABRAS(-1)  PBRAS  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  681 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  681
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRAS 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.180268676

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.861615740       0.268511700  -3.20886     1.000000
12452 LABRAS  ( -1)       0.763135141       0.061271223  12.45503    -5.169760
12450 PBRAS   (  0)      -0.389593509       0.143999431  -2.70552     0.958506

SE of equation            =     0.234689677
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.77474707      -0.450448567E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.177058484
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.3093690    
R squared                 =   0.69761
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38281
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                      +             * !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                     *         +      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.3!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.1!                          *       +   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                          +           *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1986.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                   *            +     !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2000.1!                       *    +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.4!                   *      +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                 *       +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.4!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2008.4!                   *      +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!          *        +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEAS=CEPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEAS=LOG(AACEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEAS=LOG(ACEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEAS=EXP(LAACEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  663 LAACEAS C LACEAS(-1) PCEAS;                                         
EQUATION 682  LAACEAS  
   RHS     C  LACEAS(-1)  PCEAS  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST  682 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  682
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEAS 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.745271920

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.160660846       1.211086456   0.13266     1.000000
12455 LACEAS  ( -1)       0.729916665       0.072482888  10.07019    -6.777619
12453 PCEAS   (  0)      -1.823506644       1.198112302  -1.52198     1.074214

SE of equation            =     0.480744639
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.9559638       0.143749901E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.382406746
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.4758611    
R squared                 =   0.57672
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28602
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!+            *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!   *        +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!   *        +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.1!            *       +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!  +       *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!  +        *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.4!  *      +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.1! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!  +     *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!         *         +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!             +            *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2007.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                *         +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!               +               *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 2009.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.1!                           *    +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.3!                      *      +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                    +                *!!         .    .    .         0


     32.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEAS=MEPX$Q/ASPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEAS=LOG(AAMEAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEAS=LOG(AMEAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEAS=EXP(LAAMEAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  664 LAAMEAS C LAMEAS(-1) PMEAS;                                         
EQUATION 683  LAAMEAS  
   RHS     C  LAMEAS(-1)  PMEAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  683 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  683
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.844271254

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.308918381       0.239172886  -1.29161     1.000000
12458 LAMEAS  ( -1)       0.926172807       0.030117396  30.75209    -6.853623
12456 PMEAS   (  0)      -0.164352155       0.204397914  -0.80408     1.142144

SE of equation            =     0.315048633
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.3622936      -0.972200098E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.225406122
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.3763508    
R squared                 =   0.86383
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37993
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!*   +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!          *         +                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.2!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!        *       +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.2!        *      +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.4!     *        +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1979.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!    *      +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!    +              *                  !!           .  .  .           0
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!         *     +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.3!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.4!        *        +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  *      +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!   +        *                         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.3!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!        +    *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!    *        +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!         +         *                  !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!               *  +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                  *    +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   665 LAAPEAS C LAPEAS(-1) PPEAS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  665 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  666 LAATUAS C LATUAS(-1) PTUAS;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  666 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDAS=PDPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDAS=LOG(AAPDAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDAS=LOG(APDAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDAS=EXP(LAAPDAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  667 LAAPDAS C LAPDAS(-1) PPDAS;                                         
EQUATION 684  LAAPDAS  
   RHS     C  LAPDAS(-1)  PPDAS  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST  684 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  684
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDAS 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.344239322

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.393940138       0.644728761  -0.61102     1.000000
12461 LAPDAS  ( -1)       0.898777977       0.046311605  19.40719    -7.360685
12459 PPDAS   (  0)      -0.310743447       0.673713715  -0.46124     1.077021

SE of equation            =     0.295093112
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.31755408      -0.917266263E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.216658024
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8323826    
R squared                 =   0.82040
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50164
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!     +     *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!        *        +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.4!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!    *         +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1*         +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!  +      *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.4!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.1!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1! *       +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2! +   *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!        +       *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                   +                  *!           .  .  .           0
 2004.4!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                    *           +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2005.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                          *     +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !


     25.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.64 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  668 LAARUAS C LARUAS(-1) PRUAS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  668 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  669 LAAUEAS C LAUEAS(-1) PUEAS;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  669 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGAS=EGPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGAS=LOG(AAEGAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGAS=LOG(AEGAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGAS=EXP(LAAEGAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  670 LAAEGAS C LAEGAS(-1) PEGAS;                                         
EQUATION 685  LAAEGAS  
   RHS     C  LAEGAS(-1)  PEGAS  
 SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   128 to   244
 OLS;EST  685 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  685
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGAS 

 1983.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  117 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.784160385

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.421524551       0.669182488  -2.12427     1.000000
12464 LAEGAS  ( -1)       0.720692561       0.064747999  11.13073    -9.814289
12462 PEGAS   (  0)      -1.178950085       0.549678918  -2.14480     1.093813

SE of equation            =     0.505118081
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.0864475       0.717097492E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.351423477
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.1165469    
R squared                 =   0.61220
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26427
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.4   2012.4    117

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.4!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!*           +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.4!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                  +                  *!!          .   .   .          0
 2004.2!                        *       +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                      +               *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !


     24.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.27 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISAS=ISPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISAS=LOG(AAISAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISAS=LOG(AISAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISAS=EXP(LAAISAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  671 LAAISAS C LAISAS(-1) PISAS;                                         
EQUATION 686  LAAISAS  
   RHS     C  LAISAS(-1)  PISAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  686 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  686
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.850760629

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.774073899       0.238221310  -3.24939     1.000000
12467 LAISAS  ( -1)       0.845714617       0.034588440  24.45079    -5.857236
12465 PISAS   (  0)      -0.121940975       0.152483802  -0.79970     1.009803

SE of equation            =     0.205717979
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.82917905      -0.656275034E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155779568
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2865588    
R squared                 =   0.76855
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.89569
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                *            +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.4!                 *           +        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.1!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!               +             *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.1!                        *       +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                      *      +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                           *    +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                 *          +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                      *        +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                             *    +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                         *     +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   672 LAAKEAS C LAKEAS(-1) PKEAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  672 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   673 LAABAAS C LABAAS(-1) PBAAS;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  673 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKAS=HKPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKAS=LOG(AAHKAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKAS=LOG(AHKAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKAS=EXP(LAAHKAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  674 LAAHKAS C LAHKAS(-1) PHKAS;                                         
EQUATION 687  LAAHKAS  
   RHS     C  LAHKAS(-1)  PHKAS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  687 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  687
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKAS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.816580413

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.247951562       0.065445851  -3.78865     1.000000
12470 LAHKAS  ( -1)       0.901680921       0.027328130  32.99461    -3.825275
12468 PHKAS   (  0)      -0.078691018       0.030227740  -2.60327     1.517981

SE of equation            =     0.087804028
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.42626627       0.461888305E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.062273004
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.7073248    
R squared                 =   0.97689
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45071
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!    * +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!               + *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!                 +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!             *  +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.1!              +        *              !!           .  .  .           0
 1975.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                          +*          !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                         *  +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                       * +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                        *   +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                *+    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.3!                                *    +!!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                *+    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                           *  +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIAS=SIPX$/ASPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIAS=LOG(AASIAS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIAS=LOG(ASIAS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIAS=EXP(LAASIAS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  675 LAASIAS C LASIAS(-1) PSIAS;                                         
EQUATION 688  LAASIAS  
   RHS     C  LASIAS(-1)  PSIAS  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  688 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  688
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIAS 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.483912304

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.102439859       0.045660185  -2.24353     1.000000
12473 LASIAS  ( -1)       0.926865704       0.025135944  36.87412    -3.501388
12471 PSIAS   (  0)      -0.091950012       0.047986436  -1.91617     1.480761

SE of equation            =     0.117769716
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.42719855       0.359579033E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.085654757
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.2465467    
R squared                 =   0.97071
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50702
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3+                                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!       +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!             *  +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                + *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                 *+                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                  *  +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!           *      +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2!                + *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                     +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                            * +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                              * +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                                    * +!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                     +*!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                   * +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                  *  +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   .  0       !


     28.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.37 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   676 LAAVIAS C LAVIAS(-1) PVIAS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  676 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  677 LAANIAS C LANIAS(-1) PNIAS;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  677 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  678 LAAALAS C LAALAS(-1) PALAS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  678 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  679 LAAIAAS C LAIAAS(-1) PIAAS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  679 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  680 LAAINAS C LAINAS(-1) PINAS;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  680 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  681 LAAIQAS C LAIQAS(-1) PIQAS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  681 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  682 LAAKUAS C LAKUAS(-1) PKUAS;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  682 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  683 LAALIAS C LALIAS(-1) PLIAS;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  683 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  684 LAAUAAS C LAUAAS(-1) PUAAS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  684 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSSO=USPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSSO=LOG(AAUSSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSSO=LOG(AUSSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSSO=EXP(LAAUSSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  685 LAAUSSO C LAUSSO(-1) PUSSO;                                         
EQUATION 689  LAAUSSO  
   RHS     C  LAUSSO(-1)  PUSSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  689 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  689
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.096099805

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.121023273       0.081062783  -1.49296     1.000000
12476 LAUSSO  ( -1)       0.927615444       0.028964829  32.02558    -2.093776
12474 PUSSO   (  0)      -0.027666842       0.057831254  -0.47841     1.187603

SE of equation            =     0.114335129
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.41841654      -0.283906232E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.088310433
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6023613    
R squared                 =   0.85480
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47147
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1967.2!                       *     +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.3!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                   *     +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.2!                      *     +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                                 *+   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                         *     +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!              *       +               !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                   *    +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                            +       * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                             *       +!!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                       *     +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!          *         +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1995.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!             *       +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.3!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!     *    +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.3!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.4!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2*      +                               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.3!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.2!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!   *      +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.4!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.4!   *         +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 2011.1!    +        *                        !!         .    .    .        0!
 2011.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!   *       +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2011.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!     *    +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   686 LAACASO C LACASO(-1) PCASO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  686 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   687 LAAJASO C LAJASO(-1) PJASO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  687 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   688 LAAAUSO C LAAUSO(-1) PAUSO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  688 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRSO=FRPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRSO=LOG(AAFRSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRSO=LOG(AFRSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRSO=EXP(LAAFRSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  689 LAAFRSO C LAFRSO(-1) PFRSO;                                         
EQUATION 690  LAAFRSO  
   RHS     C  LAFRSO(-1)  PFRSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  690 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  690
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.167070350

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.914177390       0.173510594  -5.26871     1.000000
12479 LAFRSO  ( -1)       0.688962786       0.055210206  12.47890    -3.168644
12477 PFRSO   (  0)      -0.057802065       0.104993034  -0.55053     1.207836

SE of equation            =     0.195841972
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.09550442       0.138067335E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.139587166
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.2423872    
R squared                 =   0.50422
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25999
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!                     +                *!          .   .   .          0
 1992.1!                   *           +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.1!           +          *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!            +         *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!     *         +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2007.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGESO=GEPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGESO=LOG(AAGESO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGESO=LOG(AGESO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGESO=EXP(LAAGESO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  690 LAAGESO C LAGESO(-1) PGESO;                                         
EQUATION 691  LAAGESO  
   RHS     C  LAGESO(-1)  PGESO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  691 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  691
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGESO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.706053115

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.075260859       0.051752133  -1.45426     1.000000
12482 LAGESO  ( -1)       0.914895799       0.033231902  27.53065    -1.706916
12480 PGESO   (  0)      -0.067441025       0.067942780  -0.99262     1.025228

SE of equation            =     0.086630591
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.38839896       0.654298837E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.066974756
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5912541    
R squared                 =   0.89083
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60367
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!        *          +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1995.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!*          +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1999.1!+         *                           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1999.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!         *     +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.2!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSO=ITPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSO=LOG(AAITSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSO=LOG(AITSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSO=EXP(LAAITSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  691 LAAITSO C LAITSO(-1) PITSO;                                         
EQUATION 692  LAAITSO  
   RHS     C  LAITSO(-1)  PITSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  692 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  692
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.017329659

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.646753126       0.106105597  -6.09537     1.000000
12485 LAITSO  ( -1)       0.590886943       0.059923364   9.86071    -3.016750
12483 PITSO   (  0)      -0.650263804       0.107811628  -6.03148     0.904277

SE of equation            =     0.134358824
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.33967431      -0.173665526E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.093971610
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6666626    
R squared                 =   0.85105
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50925
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                    *      +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                             *   +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                             +        *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.2!                           *       +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.3!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!       *                    +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                +         *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!           *         +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1999.1!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   692 LAANESO C LANESO(-1) PNESO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  692 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTSO=STPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTSO=LOG(AASTSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTSO=LOG(ASTSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTSO=EXP(LAASTSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  693 LAASTSO C LASTSO(-1) PSTSO;                                         
EQUATION 693  LAASTSO  
   RHS     C  LASTSO(-1)  PSTSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  693 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  693
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.790349406

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.270824953       0.090706333  -2.98573     1.000000
12488 LASTSO  ( -1)       0.846784486       0.044553860  19.00586    -3.782991
12486 PSTSO   (  0)      -0.340967179       0.106146201  -3.21224     0.927205

SE of equation            =     0.142663504
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.76528192       0.656052990E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.101716102
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1226272    
R squared                 =   0.93412
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75867
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                              *      +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                            *    +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                     *      +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!        *        +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1999.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1999.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!     +           *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 2005.4!     *           +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 2006.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3! *     +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!  +    *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKSO=UKPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKSO=LOG(AAUKSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKSO=LOG(AUKSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKSO=EXP(LAAUKSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  694 LAAUKSO C LAUKSO(-1) PUKSO;                                         
EQUATION 694  LAAUKSO  
   RHS     C  LAUKSO(-1)  PUKSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  694 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  694
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.969162701

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.025321081       0.075387755  -0.33588     1.000000
12491 LAUKSO  ( -1)       0.963043964       0.023893899  40.30501    -1.957255
12489 PUKSO   (  0)      -0.058399968       0.095530884  -0.61132     1.008894

SE of equation            =     0.136872736
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.46581697       0.235145237E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.090034191
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.9264280    
R squared                 =   0.93990
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71508
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   *  +!           0. . .            !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!                                 +  * !!            . . .0           !
 1966.4!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 1967.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1968.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.1!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1971.3!                                 +    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                              *  +    !!           0. . .            !
 1972.4!                              +   *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.1!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1974.2!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                             +        !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!                           +  *       !!            . . .0           !
 1979.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                          * +         !!           0. . .            !
 1980.2!                        *+            !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                      +  *            !!            . . .0           !
 1984.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!            . . .0           !
 1985.1!                       +              !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                        +             !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1991.1!                      *  +            !!           0. . .            !
 1991.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                    *  +              !!           0. . .            !
 1992.2!                    +  *              !!            . . .0           !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!            . . .0           !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!          0 . . .            !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                   +   *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1996.1!                      +               !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                  *+                  !!            0 . .            !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!              + *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!         *     +                      !!        0   . . .            !
 1999.1!        +       *                     !!            . . .    0       !
 1999.2!             *  +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1999.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 2001.3!            +                         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!             + *                      !!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!           *   +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 2003.2!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!              +                       !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 2004.3!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 2006.3!      *  +                            !!           0. . .            !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!      *  +                            !!           0. . .            !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!       +*                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!         +   *                        !!            . . . 0          !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 2008.4!          +  *                        !!            . . .0           !
 2009.1!        *    +                        !!         0  . . .            !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!        * +                           !!            0 . .            !
 2010.2!  *     +                             !!        0   . . .            !
 2010.3!   +    *                             !!            . . . 0          !
 2010.4!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!         +        *                   !!            . . .     0      !
 2011.2!  *               +                   !0            . . .            !
 2011.3!  +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!+*                                    !!            . . 0            !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   695 LAAFISO C LAFISO(-1) PFISO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  695 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSO=ASPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSO=LOG(AAASSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSO=LOG(AASSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSO=EXP(LAAASSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  696 LAAASSO C LAASSO(-1) PASSO;                                         
EQUATION 695  LAAASSO  
   RHS     C  LAASSO(-1)  PASSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  695 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  695
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.038867873

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.553639759       0.160978571  -3.43921     1.000000
12494 LAASSO  ( -1)       0.841941589       0.037950125  22.18548    -4.041390
12492 PASSO   (  0)      -0.073703468       0.067117356  -1.09813     1.120897

SE of equation            =     0.242623120
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8902060       0.147846180E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.179787733
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.8000938    
R squared                 =   0.73508
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53787
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                *  +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!           +                       *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1984.3!                          *      +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!             *        +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!          *            +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1987.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!      +        *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1*       +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.4!             +           *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                    *      +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                              +       *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  697 LAAKOSO C LAKOSO(-1) PKOSO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  697 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESO=BEPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESO=LOG(AABESO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESO=LOG(ABESO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESO=EXP(LAABESO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  698 LAABESO C LABESO(-1) PBESO;                                         
EQUATION 696  LAABESO  
   RHS     C  LABESO(-1)  PBESO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  696 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  696
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.747088045

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.589600941       0.153568876  -3.83933     1.000000
12497 LABESO  ( -1)       0.801018193       0.042760339  18.73274    -3.748239
12495 PBESO   (  0)      -0.157231983       0.083687046  -1.87881     0.986310

SE of equation            =     0.144831989
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.88061644      -0.131890054E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.109336234
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.5552121    
R squared                 =   0.69838
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46059
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2*          +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!*     +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!        *           +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!        *             +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                    *         +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                        *     +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                          *        +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                 *          +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 2004.4!                         *        +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESO=DEPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESO=LOG(AADESO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESO=LOG(ADESO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESO=EXP(LAADESO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  699 LAADESO C LADESO(-1) PDESO;                                         
EQUATION 697  LAADESO  
   RHS     C  LADESO(-1)  PDESO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  697 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  697
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.536206292

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.507463078       0.216333057  -2.34575     1.000000
12500 LADESO  ( -1)       0.905861560       0.031196612  29.03718    -5.534887
12498 PDESO   (  0)      -0.014540133       0.131305686  -0.11073     1.024906

SE of equation            =     0.203964592
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.69628766      -0.186428650E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.132033568
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8223108    
R squared                 =   0.82023
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07621
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                 *        +           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                         *     +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                 *                +   !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.2!        *         +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1*          +                           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1989.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!   *      +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!   *     +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                  *        +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1999.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   700 LAANOSO C LANOSO(-1) PNOSO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  700 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  701 LAASWSO C LASWSO(-1) PSWSO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  701 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  702 LAAGRSO C LAGRSO(-1) PGRSO;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  702 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRSO=IRPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRSO=LOG(AAIRSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRSO=LOG(AIRSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRSO=EXP(LAAIRSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  703 LAAIRSO C LAIRSO(-1) PIRSO;                                         
EQUATION 698  LAAIRSO  
   RHS     C  LAIRSO(-1)  PIRSO  
 SMPL 1966.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    59 to   244
 OLS;EST  698 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  698
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRSO 

 1966.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  186 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.658829556

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.236812077       0.221544295  -1.06892     1.000000
12503 LAIRSO  ( -1)       0.929349660       0.021252737  43.72847    -5.675752
12501 PIRSO   (  0)      -0.125335848       0.179280482  -0.69910     1.174918

SE of equation            =     0.283324429
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.6899100       0.408295620E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.207860013
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.6619625    
R squared                 =   0.91644
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59074
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.3   2012.4    186

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.3!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!       + *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!              + *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                  *   +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.3!              *        +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                    +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!               *     +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                *   +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                  *     +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                       *   +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                       *   +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                         *    +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                            *    +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.2!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.1!                           *    +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  704 LAAPOSO C LAPOSO(-1) PPOSO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  704 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPSO=SPPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPSO=LOG(AASPSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPSO=LOG(ASPSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPSO=EXP(LAASPSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  705 LAASPSO C LASPSO(-1) PSPSO;                                         
EQUATION 699  LAASPSO  
   RHS     C  LASPSO(-1)  PSPSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  699 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  699
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.764110327

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.546373136       0.135235624  -4.04016     1.000000
12506 LASPSO  ( -1)       0.817969852       0.040822058  20.03745    -4.781063
12504 PSPSO   (  0)      -0.263555983       0.116719222  -2.25803     1.164730

SE of equation            =     0.233187290
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0596178      -0.205657713E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.169805141
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.9233665    
R squared                 =   0.84410
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69508
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1966.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!   *          +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1969.3!              *        +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1969.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!             *    +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.2!                  *      +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.4!                   *       +          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                          *   +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                           *    +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                              *     + !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .   0      !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   706 LAANZSO C LANZSO(-1) PNZSO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  706 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  707 LAASASO C LASASO(-1) PSASO;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  707 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  708 LAAVESO C LAVESO(-1) PVESO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  708 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   709 LAACOSO C LACOSO(-1) PCOSO;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  709 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  710 LAAJOSO C LAJOSO(-1) PJOSO;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  710 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  711 LAASYSO C LASYSO(-1) PSYSO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  711 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  712 LAAIDSO C LAIDSO(-1) PIDSO;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  712 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  713 LAAMASO C LAMASO(-1) PMASO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  713 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  714 LAAPASO C LAPASO(-1) PPASO;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  714 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  715 LAAPHSO C LAPHSO(-1) PPHSO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  715 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  716 LAATHSO C LATHSO(-1) PTHSO;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  716 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  717 LAACHSO C LACHSO(-1) PCHSO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  717 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   718 LAAARSO C LAARSO(-1) PARSO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  718 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  719 LAABRSO C LABRSO(-1) PBRSO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  719 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCESO=CEPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACESO=LOG(AACESO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACESO=LOG(ACESO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACESO=EXP(LAACESO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  720 LAACESO C LACESO(-1) PCESO;                                         
EQUATION 700  LAACESO  
   RHS     C  LACESO(-1)  PCESO  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST  700 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  700
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACESO 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.284803918

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.801036036       0.490667619  -3.67058     1.000000
12509 LACESO  ( -1)       0.575367175       0.084259781   6.82849    -6.274095
12507 PCESO   (  0)      -0.752872655       0.397922363  -1.89201     1.160701

SE of equation            =     0.531704463
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.9672214       0.221973551E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.424262670
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.2446311    
R squared                 =   0.45209
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31407
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!    *              +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.3!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                       *      +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4*                       +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                      *       +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!   *           +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!     *       +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!         +         *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!      *           +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!    *                  +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!               *  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !


     30.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.75 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  721 LAAMESO C LAMESO(-1) PMESO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  721 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPESO=PEPX$Q/SOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPESO=LOG(AAPESO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPESO=LOG(APESO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPESO=EXP(LAAPESO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  722 LAAPESO C LAPESO(-1) PPESO;                                         
EQUATION 701  LAAPESO  
   RHS     C  LAPESO(-1)  PPESO  
 SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   143 to   244
 OLS;EST  701 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  701
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPESO 

 1987.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.299299944

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.001641721       0.755521487  -5.29653     1.000000
12512 LAPESO  ( -1)       0.503696389       0.087220621   5.77497    -8.286175
12510 PPESO   (  0)      -0.130238373       0.259098923  -0.50266     0.951655

SE of equation            =     1.071796023
Sum of squared residuals  =  113.725925       0.116893162E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.862005104
Sum of ABS residuals      =  87.9245206    
R squared                 =   0.25640
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28867
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.3   2012.4    102

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.3!                 *+                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.1!                +      *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!   *                 +                !!0       .     .     .        !
 1990.2!   *      +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.3!    *     +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.4!    *      +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.1*          +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.2!        +             *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1991.3!   *                +                 !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1991.4!          +   *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.1!       *        +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.2!      *     +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!      *     +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.4!      *    +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.1!                +         *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!  *                  +                !0        .     .     .        !
 1994.4!         +             *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1995.1!                    +          *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.2!                        +   *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!                   *   +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.4!                  +       *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.1!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.3!                      +           *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.4!                         +            *!        .     .     .  0     !
 1997.1!                            +    *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!                         +        *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.4!                       +      *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.2!                 *     +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!            *    +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!              +      *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.2!                   +       *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!              *       +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.1!                 +          *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.2!            *         +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.3!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.4!                  +    *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!            *       +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.2!              +       *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.3!            *       +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!               +          *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2002.1!        *            +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2002.2! *          +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.3!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!        *   +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.1!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.3!       *        +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.4!            +     *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.1!       *         +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!             +        *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.4!        *          +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2005.1!            +       *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.2!         *         +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.3!         *   +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!     *       +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.1!      *    +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.2!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.3!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!       *        +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!           +     *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.3!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2007.4!                    *  +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                 +        *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.4!               *     +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!                +      *              !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.2!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!           *       +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.4!             +         *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.2!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.3!          *      +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.4!            +         *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.1!            *     +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.4!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.1!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!          *     +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !


     34.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  723 LAATUSO C LATUSO(-1) PTUSO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  723 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  724 LAAPDSO C LAPDSO(-1) PPDSO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  724 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  725 LAARUSO C LARUSO(-1) PRUSO;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  725 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  726 LAAUESO C LAUESO(-1) PUESO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  726 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   727 LAAEGSO C LAEGSO(-1) PEGSO;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  727 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISSO=ISPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISSO=LOG(AAISSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISSO=LOG(AISSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISSO=EXP(LAAISSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  728 LAAISSO C LAISSO(-1) PISSO;                                         
EQUATION 702  LAAISSO  
   RHS     C  LAISSO(-1)  PISSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  702 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  702
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.188532178

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.447447331       0.193889024  -2.30775     1.000000
12515 LAISSO  ( -1)       0.880358099       0.031466523  27.97761    -5.193562
12513 PISSO   (  0)      -0.160404239       0.117055197  -1.37033     1.052905

SE of equation            =     0.239168113
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5822564       0.214281926E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.182729308
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.3531100    
R squared                 =   0.81293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60443
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*         +                            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!         *     +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.3!        *          +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                       *     +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                      *      +        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  729 LAAKESO C LAKESO(-1) PKESO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  729 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  730 LAABASO C LABASO(-1) PBASO;SMPL 1995.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  730 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSO=HKPX$/SOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSO=LOG(AAHKSO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSO=LOG(AHKSO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSO=EXP(LAAHKSO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  731 LAAHKSO C LAHKSO(-1) PHKSO;                                         
EQUATION 703  LAAHKSO  
   RHS     C  LAHKSO(-1)  PHKSO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  703 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  703
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.571230743

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.224962367       0.077982688  -2.88477     1.000000
12518 LAHKSO  ( -1)       0.917194605       0.024120973  38.02478    -4.578377
12516 PHKSO   (  0)      -0.093553074       0.035621983  -2.62627     1.571357

SE of equation            =     0.170746105
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.39353299      -0.254019028E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.122957800
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.1160664    
R squared                 =   0.95365
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45111
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.2!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!        *    +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!+      *                              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.3!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!  *    +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!          *    +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                                *   + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                      *     +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1999.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  732 LAASISO C LASISO(-1) PSISO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  732 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  733 LAAVISO C LAVISO(-1) PVISO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  733 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  734 LAANISO C LANISO(-1) PNISO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  734 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  735 LAAALSO C LAALSO(-1) PALSO;SMPL 1999.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  735 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  736 LAAIASO C LAIASO(-1) PIASO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  736 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  737 LAAINSO C LAINSO(-1) PINSO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  737 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  738 LAAIQSO C LAIQSO(-1) PIQSO;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  738 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  739 LAAKUSO C LAKUSO(-1) PKUSO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  739 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  740 LAALISO C LALISO(-1) PLISO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  740 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  741 LAAUASO C LAUASO(-1) PUASO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  741 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   742 LAAUSKO C LAUSKO(-1) PUSKO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  742 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAKO=CAPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAKO=LOG(AACAKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAKO=LOG(ACAKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAKO=EXP(LAACAKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  743 LAACAKO C LACAKO(-1) PCAKO;                                         
EQUATION 704  LAACAKO  
   RHS     C  LACAKO(-1)  PCAKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  704 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  704
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.202881216

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.439518281       0.250436918  -5.74803     1.000000
12521 LACAKO  ( -1)       0.498231282       0.054943646   9.06804    -4.214878
12519 PCAKO   (  0)      -0.605417092       0.184457318  -3.28215     1.095738

SE of equation            =     0.367690647
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.0113362      -0.543565193E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.253292949
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.6190745    
R squared                 =   0.41123
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.66649
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+                                      *!            . . .            0
 1966.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!                    *      +          !!           0. . .            !
 1966.4!           *           +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1967.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!       *               +              !!        0   . . .            !
 1967.3!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4*                       +              !!     0      . . .            !
 1968.1!             +     *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2!           *           +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!                *     +               !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1!            *        +                !!          0 . . .            !
 1969.2!          *        +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1969.3!              *   +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!     *              +                 !!        0   . . .            !
 1970.1!          *     +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1970.2!                 +    *               !!            . . 0            !
 1970.3!             *         +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                     +    *           !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!                      *  +            !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                  *    +              !!            0 . .            !
 1973.1!                  *  +                !!            .0. .            !
 1973.2!                   +    *             !!            . . 0            !
 1973.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!                   *   +              !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!               *    +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1974.4!          *     +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1975.1!              +   *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1975.2!                  +   *               !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!           *      +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1976.1!              +           *           !!            . . .  0         !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                     +       *        !!            . . .0           !
 1979.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                     +      *         !!            . . .0           !
 1980.2!                        +    *        !!            . . 0            !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                     +     *          !!            . . 0            !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                      +       *       !!            . . .0           !
 1981.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                     +       *        !!            . . .0           !
 1982.2!                        +    *        !!            . . 0            !
 1982.3!                         +   *        !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                       +      *       !!            . . .0           !
 1983.2!                           +      *   !!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                            +    *    !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                             +   *    !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                             +     *  !!            . . .0           !
 1984.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                           +      *   !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!                             +     *  !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1985.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                             +    *   !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                             +      * !!            . . .0           !
 1986.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                             +    *   !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                             +       *!!            . . .0           !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                            +     *   !!            . . 0            !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                           +      *   !!            . . .0           !
 1989.2!                              +       *!            . . .0           !
 1989.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                         +     *      !!            . . .0           !
 1990.3!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                           +      *   !!            . . .0           !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                            +    *    !!            . . 0            !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                      *   +           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!                       +     *        !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                         +    *       !!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                          +    *      !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                     *     +          !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                    *   +             !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!                     +       *        !!            . . .0           !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                    *   +             !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                 *   +                !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                 *     +              !!            0 . .            !
 2000.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!            *        +                !!           0. . .            !
 2001.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!            *       +                 !!           0. . .            !
 2003.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!              *   +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!           *      +                   !!           0. . .            !
 2004.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!           *      +                   !!           0. . .            !
 2005.1!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!            *      +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!               *   +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!              *  +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!          *     +                     !!            0 . .            !
 2008.1!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!             *    +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!                 +    *               !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!           *       +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2010.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!           *      +                   !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1!               +    *                 !!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                  + *                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!              *  +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 2012.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!          *       +                   !!           0. . .            !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   744 LAAJAKO C LAJAKO(-1) PJAKO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  744 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   745 LAAAUKO C LAAUKO(-1) PAUKO;SMPL 1973.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  745 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRKO=FRPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRKO=LOG(AAFRKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRKO=LOG(AFRKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRKO=EXP(LAAFRKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  746 LAAFRKO C LAFRKO(-1) PFRKO;                                         
EQUATION 705  LAAFRKO  
   RHS     C  LAFRKO(-1)  PFRKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  705 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  705
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.290554619

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.055473225       0.266859343  -3.95517     1.000000
12524 LAFRKO  ( -1)       0.730730951       0.049889140  14.64709    -4.289016
12522 PFRKO   (  0)      -0.081034483       0.138695370  -0.58426     1.245944

SE of equation            =     0.330638762
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.2245684       0.594901906E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.249587478
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.9224459    
R squared                 =   0.53984
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09820
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!            *              +          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.3!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!                   *           +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                        +            *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                  *        +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.4!                        *       +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                     *        +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!             *            +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEKO=GEPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEKO=LOG(AAGEKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEKO=LOG(AGEKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEKO=EXP(LAAGEKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  747 LAAGEKO C LAGEKO(-1) PGEKO;                                         
EQUATION 706  LAAGEKO  
   RHS     C  LAGEKO(-1)  PGEKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  706 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  706
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.241795243

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.678413621       0.141582552  -4.79165     1.000000
12527 LAGEKO  ( -1)       0.765548303       0.046116224  16.60041    -3.238357
12525 PGEKO   (  0)      -0.078748990       0.057881012  -1.36053     1.070018

SE of equation            =     0.158077093
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.62284795      -0.497868413E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.110946793
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.8579972    
R squared                 =   0.64078
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16465
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                *        +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.3!     *           +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1966.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1967.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.4!                           *      +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                *      +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.4!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!          *      +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1971.3!         *          +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1971.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.1!          *        +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1972.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1*           +                          !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!   *      +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!     +       *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.1!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.2!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!        *    +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITKO=ITPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITKO=LOG(AAITKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITKO=LOG(AITKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITKO=EXP(LAAITKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  748 LAAITKO C LAITKO(-1) PITKO;                                         
EQUATION 707  LAAITKO  
   RHS     C  LAITKO(-1)  PITKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  707 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  707
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.383967835

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.990041824       0.222687818  -4.44587     1.000000
12530 LAITKO  ( -1)       0.762368399       0.047378133  16.09114    -4.385943
12528 PITKO   (  0)      -0.053400482       0.106989276  -0.49912     0.940470

SE of equation            =     0.342170779
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.6599557      -0.128785871E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.216177837
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6414333    
R squared                 =   0.58768
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45184
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +                 *      !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1966.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!                       +            * !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1966.4!                          *     +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.1!         *              +             !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1967.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!           +          *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!                  +                   *!           .  .  .           0
 1968.3!                  *              +    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1968.4!                  +           *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!                  *        +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!               *         +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!        *               +             !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1972.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1*          +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +   *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1! *         +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.2!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!*          +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.2!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!     *         +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !


     17.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEKO=NEPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEKO=LOG(AANEKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEKO=LOG(ANEKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEKO=EXP(LAANEKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  749 LAANEKO C LANEKO(-1) PNEKO;                                         
EQUATION 708  LAANEKO  
   RHS     C  LANEKO(-1)  PNEKO  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST  708 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  708
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEKO 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.171527006

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.649413089       0.245201949  -2.64848     1.000000
12533 LANEKO  ( -1)       0.860519723       0.041079682  20.94757    -5.177933
12531 PNEKO   (  0)      -0.053921757       0.177092153  -0.30448     1.231425

SE of equation            =     0.359198482
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.8049799       0.154667390E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.246532871
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.4036539    
R squared                 =   0.75098
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69630
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!                +               *     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1970.2!            *                  +      !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1970.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!         *           +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!            +                    *    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1972.2!        *                       +     !0           .  .  .           !
 1972.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!   +    *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3! *        +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!    +      *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1*             +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1978.2!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!       +     *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                            *      +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.3!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                         +            *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.2!                         *          + !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                          +       *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTKO=STPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTKO=LOG(AASTKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTKO=LOG(ASTKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTKO=EXP(LAASTKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  750 LAASTKO C LASTKO(-1) PSTKO;                                         
EQUATION 709  LAASTKO  
   RHS     C  LASTKO(-1)  PSTKO  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST  709 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  709
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTKO 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.053266907

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.849238494       0.276111872  -6.69742     1.000000
12536 LASTKO  ( -1)       0.595085721       0.060703817   9.80310    -5.048359
12534 PSTKO   (  0)      -0.199528914       0.067323594  -2.96373     1.001469

SE of equation            =     0.204995632
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.39608479      -0.621831475E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.144057982
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.7863787    
R squared                 =   0.52388
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31141
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                  *             +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1968.4!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1969.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                       +            * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1970.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                         *     +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!                        +             *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1971.1!                      *         +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                     +       *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                *        +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!   *          +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                     +          *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.1!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                        +             *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!    *         +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.3!  *        +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!              *         +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !


     27.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKKO=UKPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKKO=LOG(AAUKKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKKO=LOG(AUKKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKKO=EXP(LAAUKKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  751 LAAUKKO C LAUKKO(-1) PUKKO;                                         
EQUATION 710  LAAUKKO  
   RHS     C  LAUKKO(-1)  PUKKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  710 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  710
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.153596939

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.136837742       0.209969228  -5.41431     1.000000
12539 LAUKKO  ( -1)       0.679130988       0.048192333  14.09210    -4.162508
12537 PUKKO   (  0)      -0.180726562       0.092001334  -1.96439     1.050598

SE of equation            =     0.262087320
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.7076063       0.138857814E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.184970597
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.7744722    
R squared                 =   0.53836
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32604
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2*        +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.3!               *      +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.4!        *         +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.2!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.3!               *        +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.1!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1971.2!                    *          +      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1971.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                        *       +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!                *            +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                *       +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!        *      +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIKO=FIPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIKO=LOG(AAFIKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIKO=LOG(AFIKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIKO=EXP(LAAFIKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  752 LAAFIKO C LAFIKO(-1) PFIKO;                                         
EQUATION 711  LAAFIKO  
   RHS     C  LAFIKO(-1)  PFIKO  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
 OLS;EST  711 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  711
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIKO 

 1978.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.936702309

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.057176936       0.423980836  -4.85205     1.000000
12542 LAFIKO  ( -1)       0.648013639       0.063106744  10.26853    -5.946822
12540 PFIKO   (  0)      -0.024268927       0.220211549  -0.11021     1.067365

SE of equation            =     0.392958736
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.1550698      -0.272555312E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.261479990
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6071986    
R squared                 =   0.43788
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00658
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4    140

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                 *                +   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.3*                     +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1979.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!    *            +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!        *              +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!                       *        +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!       *                 +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                         +           *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                          *       +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                         *     +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                              *  +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                          *     +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                     *       +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                          *  +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        *   +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                          *   +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !


     17.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.71 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASKO=ASPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASKO=LOG(AAASKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASKO=LOG(AASKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASKO=EXP(LAAASKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  753 LAAASKO C LAASKO(-1) PASKO;                                         
EQUATION 712  LAAASKO  
   RHS     C  LAASKO(-1)  PASKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  712 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  712
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.497386402

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.335852212       0.121045657  -2.77459     1.000000
12545 LAASKO  ( -1)       0.901558673       0.029018692  31.06821    -3.505334
12543 PASKO   (  0)      -0.001098141       0.058590352  -0.01874     1.156332

SE of equation            =     0.236487021
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3463306       0.270006240E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.152205262
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.6145892    
R squared                 =   0.83941
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21462
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!              +         *             !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1967.3!             *           +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1967.4!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3*                +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1969.4!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.4!   *        +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1971.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!             +            *           !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1971.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                +        *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                      *      +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                             *     +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                             *     +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  754 LAASOKO C LASOKO(-1) PSOKO;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  754 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEKO=BEPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEKO=LOG(AABEKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEKO=LOG(ABEKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEKO=EXP(LAABEKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  755 LAABEKO C LABEKO(-1) PBEKO;                                         
EQUATION 713  LAABEKO  
   RHS     C  LABEKO(-1)  PBEKO  
 SMPL 1970.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    76 to   244
 OLS;EST  713 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  713
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEKO 

 1970.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  169 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.239818461

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.929611968       0.305469177  -6.31688     1.000000
12548 LABEKO  ( -1)       0.531587713       0.066000103   8.05435    -5.242774
12546 PBEKO   (  0)      -0.491416880       0.158265663  -3.10501     1.064702

SE of equation            =     0.321801115
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1902889      -0.122435395E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.193189334
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.6489974    
R squared                 =   0.43340
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23688
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.4   2012.4    169

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!       *                  +           !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1972.2!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1*                   +                  !!0          .  .  .           !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2! *                 +                  !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1975.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!     *         +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                    +            *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1981.1!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !


     15.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.55 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEKO=DEPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEKO=LOG(AADEKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEKO=LOG(ADEKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEKO=EXP(LAADEKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  756 LAADEKO C LADEKO(-1) PDEKO;                                         
EQUATION 714  LAADEKO  
   RHS     C  LADEKO(-1)  PDEKO  
 SMPL 1973.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    88 to   244
 OLS;EST  714 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  714
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEKO 

 1973.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  157 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.001469243

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.208266372       0.297849378  -4.05664     1.000000
12551 LADEKO  ( -1)       0.716848963       0.056257577  12.74227    -6.006913
12549 PDEKO   (  0)      -0.439534064       0.205216105  -2.14181     1.108341

SE of equation            =     0.328769325
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6457475      -0.143431933E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.224088771
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.1819370    
R squared                 =   0.62970
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31361
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.4   2012.4    157

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!   *               +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.1! *                  +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.3! *                  +                 !!0         .   .   .          !
 1975.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!*              +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!*            +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.4!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.2!                  *           +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                         +           *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                           *      +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                          +         * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !


     22.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.01 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   757 LAANOKO C LANOKO(-1) PNOKO;SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  757 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWKO=SWPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWKO=LOG(AASWKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWKO=LOG(ASWKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWKO=EXP(LAASWKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  758 LAASWKO C LASWKO(-1) PSWKO;                                         
EQUATION 715  LAASWKO  
   RHS     C  LASWKO(-1)  PSWKO  
 SMPL 1972.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
 OLS;EST  715 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  715
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWKO 

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.612962019

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.082043854       0.256354171  -4.22089     1.000000
12554 LASWKO  ( -1)       0.676880902       0.057509742  11.76985    -5.614995
12552 PSWKO   (  0)      -0.593716247       0.172440811  -3.44301     1.229940

SE of equation            =     0.300128895
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.4123766       0.228519426E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.215081857
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.0583427    
R squared                 =   0.66750
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65938
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!              *       +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!            *       +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!             *      +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.1!      *            +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3*          +                           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!             *        +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                            *    +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.75 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   759 LAAGRKO C LAGRKO(-1) PGRKO;SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  759 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   760 LAAIRKO C LAIRKO(-1) PIRKO;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  760 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOKO=POPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOKO=LOG(AAPOKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOKO=LOG(APOKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOKO=EXP(LAAPOKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  761 LAAPOKO C LAPOKO(-1) PPOKO;                                         
EQUATION 716  LAAPOKO  
   RHS     C  LAPOKO(-1)  PPOKO  
 SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   131 to   244
 OLS;EST  716 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  716
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOKO 

 1984.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  114 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.374853383

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.058242359       0.686007232  -5.91574     1.000000
12557 LAPOKO  ( -1)       0.176367266       0.087485976   2.01595    -8.389858
12555 PPOKO   (  0)      -2.282775066       0.458568461  -4.97805     1.242748

SE of equation            =     0.525704083
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.6764909      -0.134061651E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.369602229
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1346542    
R squared                 =   0.30777
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28190
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.3   2012.4    114

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.3!        *         +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                     +                *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1985.3*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                  +             *     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                          +       *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.1!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!           +           *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1999.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !


     22.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPKO=SPPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPKO=LOG(AASPKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPKO=LOG(ASPKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPKO=EXP(LAASPKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  762 LAASPKO C LASPKO(-1) PSPKO;                                         
EQUATION 717  LAASPKO  
   RHS     C  LASPKO(-1)  PSPKO  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST  717 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  717
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPKO 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.082629086

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.124193704       0.334974490  -3.35606     1.000000
12560 LASPKO  ( -1)       0.809044681       0.050561291  16.00127    -6.090409
12558 PSPKO   (  0)      -0.026490094       0.175899975  -0.15060     1.171109

SE of equation            =     0.324125518
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.9181439       0.719202475E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.223271673
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.3743926    
R squared                 =   0.65375
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10785
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!    *           +                     !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.1!*      +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!       *         +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!            *       +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.1!     *        +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1992.1!                     *             +  !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1998.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !


     26.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZKO=NZPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZKO=LOG(AANZKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZKO=LOG(ANZKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZKO=EXP(LAANZKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  763 LAANZKO C LANZKO(-1) PNZKO;                                         
EQUATION 718  LAANZKO  
   RHS     C  LANZKO(-1)  PNZKO  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  718 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  718
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZKO 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.481637913

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.179989437       0.269831267  -4.37306     1.000000
12563 LANZKO  ( -1)       0.721767731       0.057993387  12.44569    -5.483005
12561 PNZKO   (  0)      -0.310836295       0.171554793  -1.81188     1.107311

SE of equation            =     0.295769579
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.9092634      -0.325819371E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.204649680
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.1532481    
R squared                 =   0.61733
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35146
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!*           +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!    +             *                   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4! *             +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.1!*         +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +             *             !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.1!          *            +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                            *      +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     *        +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !


     20.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  764 LAASAKO C LASAKO(-1) PSAKO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  764 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  765 LAAVEKO C LAVEKO(-1) PVEKO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  765 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  766 LAACOKO C LACOKO(-1) PCOKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  766 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  767 LAAJOKO C LAJOKO(-1) PJOKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  767 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  768 LAASYKO C LASYKO(-1) PSYKO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  768 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   769 LAAIDKO C LAIDKO(-1) PIDKO;SMPL 1973.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  769 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAKO=MAPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAKO=LOG(AAMAKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAKO=LOG(AMAKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAKO=EXP(LAAMAKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  770 LAAMAKO C LAMAKO(-1) PMAKO;                                         
EQUATION 719  LAAMAKO  
   RHS     C  LAMAKO(-1)  PMAKO  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  719 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  719
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAKO 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.987555173

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.477749936       0.129484061  -3.68964     1.000000
12566 LAMAKO  ( -1)       0.824440535       0.044533797  18.51269    -3.989509
12564 PMAKO   (  0)      -0.171590023       0.061254194  -2.80128     1.286160

SE of equation            =     0.185459188
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.15672476      -0.159299240E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.141453021
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.7444498    
R squared                 =   0.84888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28559
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                         *     +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                    *       +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.1!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                  *      +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                 *      +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!         *        +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1974.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4*        +                             !0         .    .    .         !
 1975.1! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!        *      +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!           *      +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.2!      *    +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!     *      +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.4!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                             +       *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.1!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                                    *+!!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                               *    + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                               *   +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                             *     +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.1!                               *     +!!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                     *     +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !


     28.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAKO=PAPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAKO=LOG(AAPAKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAKO=LOG(APAKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAKO=EXP(LAAPAKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  771 LAAPAKO C LAPAKO(-1) PPAKO;                                         
EQUATION 720  LAAPAKO  
   RHS     C  LAPAKO(-1)  PPAKO  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST  720 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  720
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAKO 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.658696315

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.240832556       0.331486643  -3.74324     1.000000
12569 LAPAKO  ( -1)       0.710231526       0.059858335  11.86521    -6.671643
12567 PPAKO   (  0)      -0.485593271       0.199356830  -2.43580     1.399221

SE of equation            =     0.428939915
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.0225653       0.162243552E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.286154615
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.7754915    
R squared                 =   0.66535
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38643
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!*              +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1978.4!     +                *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.1!         *          +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!   *        +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!*              +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !


     21.58 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   772 LAAPHKO C LAPHKO(-1) PPHKO;SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  772 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   773 LAATHKO C LATHKO(-1) PTHKO;SMPL 1967.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  773 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHKO=CHPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHKO=LOG(AACHKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHKO=LOG(ACHKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHKO=EXP(LAACHKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  774 LAACHKO C LACHKO(-1) PCHKO;                                         
EQUATION 721  LAACHKO  
   RHS     C  LACHKO(-1)  PCHKO  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  721 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  721
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHKO 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.447956956

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.294838049       0.575545615   0.51228     1.000000
12572 LACHKO  ( -1)       0.799042469       0.055209580  14.47290    -2.487754
12570 PCHKO   (  0)      -0.592960052       0.442601589  -1.33972     1.273229

SE of equation            =     0.479717756
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.0212339       0.911937192E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.209804592
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.8824133    
R squared                 =   0.71071
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46675
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3*                   +                  !0            . . .            !
 1990.4!       +               *              !!            . . .         0  !
 1991.1!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                           +          !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1992.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                         *  +         !!           0. . .            !
 1993.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1994.3!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !


      7.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.22 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  775 LAAARKO C LAARKO(-1) PARKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  775 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  776 LAABRKO C LABRKO(-1) PBRKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  776 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEKO=CEPX$Q/KOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEKO=LOG(AACEKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEKO=LOG(ACEKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEKO=EXP(LAACEKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  777 LAACEKO C LACEKO(-1) PCEKO;                                         
EQUATION 722  LAACEKO  
   RHS     C  LACEKO(-1)  PCEKO  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST  722 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  722
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEKO 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.361421917

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.509727072       0.294379545  -1.73153     1.000000
12575 LACEKO  ( -1)       0.874822726       0.038720476  22.59328    -5.374206
12573 PCEKO   (  0)      -0.119034420       0.211479961  -0.56286     1.261967

SE of equation            =     0.316616074
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.1371064      -0.389910326E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.233425061
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.9474594    
R squared                 =   0.78576
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60172
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1*        +                             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.2!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!  +          *                        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!    *           +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.2!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.3!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.4!                *         +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!          *        +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.1!           +        *                 !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!            *      +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!         *       +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!           *          +               !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                *    +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.2!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!               *      +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                    *    +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.4!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !


     27.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  778 LAAMEKO C LAMEKO(-1) PMEKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  778 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  779 LAAPEKO C LAPEKO(-1) PPEKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  779 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  780 LAATUKO C LATUKO(-1) PTUKO;SMPL 1995.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  780 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  781 LAAPDKO C LAPDKO(-1) PPDKO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  781 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  782 LAARUKO C LARUKO(-1) PRUKO;SMPL 2007.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  782 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  783 LAAUEKO C LAUEKO(-1) PUEKO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  783 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  784 LAAEGKO C LAEGKO(-1) PEGKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  784 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  785 LAAISKO C LAISKO(-1) PISKO;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  785 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  786 LAAKEKO C LAKEKO(-1) PKEKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  786 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   787 LAABAKO C LABAKO(-1) PBAKO;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  787 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKKO=HKPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKKO=LOG(AAHKKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKKO=LOG(AHKKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKKO=EXP(LAAHKKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  788 LAAHKKO C LAHKKO(-1) PHKKO;                                         
EQUATION 723  LAAHKKO  
   RHS     C  LAHKKO(-1)  PHKKO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  723 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  723
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKKO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.184464052

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.267307379       0.086538698  -3.08888     1.000000
12578 LAHKKO  ( -1)       0.890611426       0.027910337  31.90973    -4.192171
12576 PHKKO   (  0)      -0.115812358       0.039373104  -2.94141     1.584991

SE of equation            =     0.162438968
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.88148741       0.949507140E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.103979744
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.5481919    
R squared                 =   0.92487
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20389
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *  +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!             *    +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!         *        +                   !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1968.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!          *    +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1*           +                          !0           .  .  .           !
 1969.2! +        *                           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1969.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!       *     +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.1!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!          *           +               !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!        *   +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3! *     +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.4! +                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!           *  +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                                *   + !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                              *    +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIKO=SIPX$/KOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIKO=LOG(AASIKO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIKO=LOG(ASIKO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIKO=EXP(LAASIKO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  789 LAASIKO C LASIKO(-1) PSIKO;                                         
EQUATION 724  LAASIKO  
   RHS     C  LASIKO(-1)  PSIKO  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  724 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  724
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIKO 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.262479989

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.155579643       0.093395673  -1.66581     1.000000
12581 LASIKO  ( -1)       0.938829478       0.024180763  38.82547    -4.279848
12579 PSIKO   (  0)      -0.055227600       0.059086098  -0.93470     1.608848

SE of equation            =     0.224032009
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.78330966      -0.292343927E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.150137931
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7245517    
R squared                 =   0.92969
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3! * +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4*  +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1! +          *                         !!           .  .  .           0
 1969.2!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!    *      +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1970.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!    *        +                        !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1972.2!      +  *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!     *      +                         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.3!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                *  +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!               *     +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                    *    +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                       *   +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                  *      +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.4!                            *      +  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !


     20.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  790 LAAVIKO C LAVIKO(-1) PVIKO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  790 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  791 LAANIKO C LANIKO(-1) PNIKO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  791 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  792 LAAALKO C LAALKO(-1) PALKO;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  792 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  793 LAAIAKO C LAIAKO(-1) PIAKO;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  793 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  794 LAAINKO C LAINKO(-1) PINKO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  794 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  795 LAAIQKO C LAIQKO(-1) PIQKO;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  795 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  796 LAAKUKO C LAKUKO(-1) PKUKO;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  796 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  797 LAALIKO C LALIKO(-1) PLIKO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  797 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  798 LAAUAKO C LAUAKO(-1) PUAKO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  798 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSBE=USPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSBE=LOG(AAUSBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSBE=LOG(AUSBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSBE=EXP(LAAUSBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  799 LAAUSBE C LAUSBE(-1) PUSBE;                                         
EQUATION 725  LAAUSBE  
   RHS     C  LAUSBE(-1)  PUSBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  725 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  725
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.560893762

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.715028313       0.142766674  -5.00837     1.000000
12584 LAUSBE  ( -1)       0.705348416       0.051950599  13.57729    -2.559746
12582 PUSBE   (  0)      -0.035051522       0.043596523  -0.80400     1.151233

SE of equation            =     0.079253045
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.16199334       0.317315063E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.060396224
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.3544902    
R squared                 =   0.49969
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47101
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.4*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!           +          *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1980.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.2!             *           +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   800 LAACABE C LACABE(-1) PCABE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  800 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJABE=JAPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJABE=LOG(AAJABE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJABE=LOG(AJABE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJABE=EXP(LAAJABE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  801 LAAJABE C LAJABE(-1) PJABE;                                         
EQUATION 726  LAAJABE  
   RHS     C  LAJABE(-1)  PJABE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  726 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  726
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJABE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.996897834

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.180034641       0.059959325  -3.00261     1.000000
12587 LAJABE  ( -1)       0.939351490       0.022086042  42.53145    -4.003102
12585 PJABE   (  0)      -0.042217950       0.038246343  -1.10384     1.339326

SE of equation            =     0.094043110
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.63615971       0.171973547E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.070485800
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.2513304    
R squared                 =   0.96026
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38335
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  +                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3*   +                                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.4* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!    *+                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!     * +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!        * +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1970.4!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                   *   +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                  * +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!              *   +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                + *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                    + *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                       +              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                   *    +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.2!                       * +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                       * +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                        +*            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                       * +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                             *  +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                          * +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                              *   +   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                    * +!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                          *    +      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1995.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.4!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                              * +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                               * +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                           *+         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                          * +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                       *  +           !!      0   .   .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUBE=AUPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUBE=LOG(AAAUBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUBE=LOG(AAUBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUBE=EXP(LAAAUBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  802 LAAAUBE C LAAUBE(-1) PAUBE;                                         
EQUATION 727  LAAAUBE  
   RHS     C  LAAUBE(-1)  PAUBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  727 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  727
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.191358971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.438940538       0.244298458  -1.79674     1.000000
12590 LAAUBE  ( -1)       0.874993235       0.034839542  25.11495    -5.193769
12588 PAUBE   (  0)      -0.209629939       0.211959269  -0.98901     0.991776

SE of equation            =     0.171817238
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.46141522      -0.735287387E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.101229973
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0312349    
R squared                 =   0.78579
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10015
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1966.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1967.2!     *       +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1967.3!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1968.2!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1968.3!          *  +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1969.3!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1969.4!           *    +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1970.1!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!         *      +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1971.1!           +  *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!         *    +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1972.3!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!         *   +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!               +  *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1976.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!               *  +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                   *    +             !!           0. . .            !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                           +    *     !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1988.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                             *   +    !!            0 . .            !
 1989.4!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                     *        +       !!         0  . . .            !
 1997.2!                     +          *     !!            . . .  0         !
 1997.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!  *                             +     !0            . . .            !
 1998.2! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!*   +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1998.4*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1999.1!  +                          *        !!            . . .          0 !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                               +    * !!            . . .0           !
 2001.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2004.4!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !


      9.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   803 LAAFRBE C LAFRBE(-1) PFRBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  803 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEBE=GEPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEBE=LOG(AAGEBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEBE=LOG(AGEBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEBE=EXP(LAAGEBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  804 LAAGEBE C LAGEBE(-1) PGEBE;                                         
EQUATION 728  LAAGEBE  
   RHS     C  LAGEBE(-1)  PGEBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  728 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  728
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.460469596

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.010313004       0.047056132   0.21916     1.000000
12593 LAGEBE  ( -1)       0.985200959       0.017251984  57.10653    -1.457942
12591 PGEBE   (  0)      -0.034797957       0.053318380  -0.65264     0.989043

SE of equation            =     0.038199094
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.269946601       0.532551780E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.028276558
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.31599283    
R squared                 =   0.95738
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57816
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                         *     +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                                   *  +!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                                 *   +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                         *   +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                        *    +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                 *    +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!          *       +                   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1994.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1994.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 2003.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2007.2!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2+*                                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITBE=ITPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITBE=LOG(AAITBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITBE=LOG(AITBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITBE=EXP(LAAITBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  805 LAAITBE C LAITBE(-1) PITBE;                                         
EQUATION 729  LAAITBE  
   RHS     C  LAITBE(-1)  PITBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  729 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  729
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.965502871

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.329749020       0.071149607  -4.63459     1.000000
12596 LAITBE  ( -1)       0.763384725       0.040309864  18.93791    -2.963270
12594 PITBE   (  0)      -0.431055012       0.078075238  -5.52102     0.866801

SE of equation            =     0.064460867
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.768712622       0.312070370E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.045665974
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.58520318    
R squared                 =   0.91897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46546
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                 *            +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                        *     +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.1!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                   *    +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                          *  +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!              *     +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2000.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2002.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.4!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!       *    +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!   +    *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .0          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEBE=NEPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEBE=LOG(AANEBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEBE=LOG(ANEBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEBE=EXP(LAANEBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  806 LAANEBE C LANEBE(-1) PNEBE;                                         
EQUATION 730  LAANEBE  
   RHS     C  LANEBE(-1)  PNEBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  730 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  730
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.849461184

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.000624949       0.043436771   0.01439     1.000000
12599 LANEBE  ( -1)       0.940776036       0.025864929  36.37265    -1.852977
12597 PNEBE   (  0)      -0.095096846       0.045800044  -2.07635     1.123591

SE of equation            =     0.047549235
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.418272011      -0.627298213E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.036159858
Sum of ABS residuals      =  6.79805329    
R squared                 =   0.92616
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16084
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.2!+    *                                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1966.3!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!  +   *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!        *    +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.2!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                *     +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!           *  +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!   *    +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.2!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!        +*                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!     *    +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.3!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2*    +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2*   +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1997.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2! *    +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!        +           *                 !!           .  .  .           0
 1999.2!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTBE=STPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTBE=LOG(AASTBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTBE=LOG(ASTBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTBE=EXP(LAASTBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  807 LAASTBE C LASTBE(-1) PSTBE;                                         
EQUATION 731  LAASTBE  
   RHS     C  LASTBE(-1)  PSTBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  731 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  731
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.286310317

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.552174812       0.134479026  -4.10603     1.000000
12602 LASTBE  ( -1)       0.831550135       0.041868188  19.86114    -4.282253
12600 PSTBE   (  0)      -0.195052103       0.069442338  -2.80884     0.888109

SE of equation            =     0.089245765
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.47348922      -0.102509112E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.069213310
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.0121024    
R squared                 =   0.88550
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65185
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                       *    +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.3!                     *         +      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                    *    +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                *       +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!          *    +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!      *    +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.2!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!  *     +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1*        +                             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2005.2! +    *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.3!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.1!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4! *   +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.2!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKBE=UKPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKBE=LOG(AAUKBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKBE=LOG(AUKBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKBE=EXP(LAAUKBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  808 LAAUKBE C LAUKBE(-1) PUKBE;                                         
EQUATION 732  LAAUKBE  
   RHS     C  LAUKBE(-1)  PUKBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  732 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  732
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.501865066

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.201624494       0.096359732  -2.09241     1.000000
12605 LAUKBE  ( -1)       0.863015661       0.037229207  23.18115    -2.499469
12603 PUKBE   (  0)      -0.146996458       0.063230788  -2.32476     0.973901

SE of equation            =     0.071549854
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.947085597      -0.716502413E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.055471246
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4285942    
R squared                 =   0.77047
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63477
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!              *       +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!              *      +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!               +       *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!             *       +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!           *       +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                            *    +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.2!                    *         +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!               *         +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1994.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!*      +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIBE=FIPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIBE=LOG(AAFIBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIBE=LOG(AFIBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIBE=EXP(LAAFIBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  809 LAAFIBE C LAFIBE(-1) PFIBE;                                         
EQUATION 733  LAAFIBE  
   RHS     C  LAFIBE(-1)  PFIBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  733 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  733
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.214412311

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.532436077       0.186287331  -2.85814     1.000000
12608 LAFIBE  ( -1)       0.872265503       0.035154659  24.81223    -5.214009
12606 PFIBE   (  0)      -0.144194196       0.116394848  -1.23884     0.929136

SE of equation            =     0.135746416
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.40901154      -0.498978636E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.101128701
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0121958    
R squared                 =   0.78697
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63417
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                *    +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.3!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                          *     +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                       *       +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!             *         +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.1!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!            *            +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2! *         +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!    *             +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!   *         +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!           +          *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.1!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.1!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  810 LAAASBE C LAASBE(-1) PASBE;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  810 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOBE=SOPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOBE=LOG(AASOBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOBE=LOG(ASOBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOBE=EXP(LAASOBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  811 LAASOBE C LASOBE(-1) PSOBE;                                         
EQUATION 734  LAASOBE  
   RHS     C  LASOBE(-1)  PSOBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  734 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  734
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.058126797

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.737767555       0.271835959  -6.39271     1.000000
12611 LASOBE  ( -1)       0.554176901       0.059768570   9.27205    -5.053046
12609 PSOBE   (  0)      -0.541287739       0.141129947  -3.83539     0.960816

SE of equation            =     0.274972288
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.9878054       0.263211675E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.178401688
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.5395174    
R squared                 =   0.46974
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11855
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +    *        !!            . . .0           !
 1966.2!                         +            *!            . . .    0       !
 1966.3!                              +    *  !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1967.2!                         +           *!!            . . .    0       !
 1967.3!                              +     * !!            . . .0           !
 1967.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1968.1!                        +   *         !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2!                         +         *  !!            . . .   0        !
 1968.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4*                          +           !0            . . .            !
 1969.1!        +                  *          !!            . . .       0    !
 1969.2!                       +       *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1969.3!                    *     +           !!           0. . .            !
 1969.4!                    +        *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1970.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!                       +       *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1970.3!                        *  +          !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!             *         +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1971.1!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 1971.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                      +       *       !!            . . . 0          !
 1972.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1972.4!            *             +           !!      0     . . .            !
 1973.1!               +      *               !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.2!                    +      *          !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.3!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                 +     *              !!            . . .0           !
 1974.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                 +     *              !!            . . .0           !
 1975.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!               *     +                !!           0. . .            !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!                   +    *             !!            . . .0           !
 1976.3!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!                 +    *               !!            . . .0           !
 1977.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                 +     *              !!            . . .0           !
 1978.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!            +      *                  !!            . . . 0          !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!           +   *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1981.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!              *  +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!          *      +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1986.2!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1990.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                     +  *             !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!               *       +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 2004.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                 *   +                !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2009.2!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!          *    +                      !!           0. . .            !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOBE=KOPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOBE=LOG(AAKOBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOBE=LOG(AKOBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOBE=EXP(LAAKOBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  812 LAAKOBE C LAKOBE(-1) PKOBE;                                         
EQUATION 735  LAAKOBE  
   RHS     C  LAKOBE(-1)  PKOBE  
 SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    92 to   244
 OLS;EST  735 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  735
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOBE 

 1974.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  153 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.841571251

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.714084582       0.205935680  -8.32340     1.000000
12614 LAKOBE  ( -1)       0.475831341       0.054997033   8.65195    -5.865372
12612 PKOBE   (  0)      -0.952077586       0.116110413  -8.19976     1.403834

SE of equation            =     0.280986816
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8430387       0.513198373E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.195435770
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.9016728    
R squared                 =   0.85835
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27090
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.4   2012.4    153

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1*         +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!         +               *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.1!          *       +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!      *      +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!       *        +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!           +             *            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1986.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                           *       +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                           *      +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEBE=DEPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEBE=LOG(AADEBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEBE=LOG(ADEBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEBE=EXP(LAADEBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  813 LAADEBE C LADEBE(-1) PDEBE;                                         
EQUATION 736  LAADEBE  
   RHS     C  LADEBE(-1)  PDEBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  736 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  736
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.214881085

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.647787246       0.185861340  -3.48533     1.000000
12617 LADEBE  ( -1)       0.817506559       0.045854894  17.82812    -5.214092
12615 PDEBE   (  0)      -0.307436965       0.144278606  -2.13086     0.990575

SE of equation            =     0.098768997
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.80473323      -0.269597678E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071651274
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.4704396    
R squared                 =   0.76869
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34971
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!    +           *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!               +                *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.3!                  *          +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!   *              +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!*          +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!  +      *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!*        +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.3!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!  +            *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!    *          +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                      *           +   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1990.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2010.1!          *              +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2010.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4*            +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOBE=NOPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOBE=LOG(AANOBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOBE=LOG(ANOBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOBE=EXP(LAANOBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  814 LAANOBE C LANOBE(-1) PNOBE;                                         
EQUATION 737  LAANOBE  
   RHS     C  LANOBE(-1)  PNOBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  737 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  737
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.890247504

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.243775168       0.114857336  -2.12242     1.000000
12620 LANOBE  ( -1)       0.939381575       0.024230080  38.76923    -4.892283
12618 PNOBE   (  0)      -0.060665792       0.055616793  -1.09078     0.836588

SE of equation            =     0.160628441
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.77327676       0.963407132E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128614353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.1794983    
R squared                 =   0.90002
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73406
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3!              +          *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.4!                 *       +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.1!             *   +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!            *   +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!        *         +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1976.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!+   *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!     *      +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.1!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!              +       *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                            *    +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.2!                              *    +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.3!                                 *   +!!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.1!                                *    +!!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWBE=SWPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWBE=LOG(AASWBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWBE=LOG(ASWBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWBE=EXP(LAASWBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  815 LAASWBE C LASWBE(-1) PSWBE;                                         
EQUATION 738  LAASWBE  
   RHS     C  LASWBE(-1)  PSWBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  738 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  738
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.988153309

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.316407298       0.106028145  -2.98418     1.000000
12623 LASWBE  ( -1)       0.860081681       0.033430719  25.72729    -3.988936
12621 PSWBE   (  0)      -0.216949960       0.063709054  -3.40532     1.110558

SE of equation            =     0.069336865
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.889406168       0.234057218E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.053351559
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.0300932    
R squared                 =   0.87124
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38281
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  + *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.2!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1966.3!               *  +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1966.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.2!                    + *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.3!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1967.4!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.1!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.2!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.3!            *  +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1968.4!            +    *                    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1969.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1970.1!        *     +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1970.2!        +     *                       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1970.3!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1970.4!            *     +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1971.1!            +    *                    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1971.2!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!              *  +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.4!              +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.1!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1972.2!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.3!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.4!               + *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1973.1!              *   +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.3!         *   +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.4!      *   +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.1!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .        0
 1974.2!        *      +                      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.3!         + *                          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.4!          +     *                     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.1!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.2!      *       +                       !!0       .     .     .        !
 1975.3!      + *                             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.4!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.1!   *    +                             !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1976.2!   +    *                             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.3!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.4!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.1! *    +                               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1977.2*  +                                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.3! +                                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.4!    +                                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.1!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.2!  *    +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1978.3! *   +                                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1978.4!   *+                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.1!*     +                               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1979.2!   +       *                          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1979.3!         *  +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.4!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.1!            * +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!       *     +                        !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1980.3!         +*                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.1!            *+                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.2!            * +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.3!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.4!             +    *                   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1982.1!            *      +                  !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1982.2!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1982.3!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1982.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.1!                              + *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.2!                                 +    *!        .     .     .  0     !
 1983.3!                                *    +!!      0 .     .     .        !
 1983.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.1!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.2!                            *   +     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.3!                            +   *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.4!                           *    +     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.1!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1985.2!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.4!                          *      +    !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.2!                         *    +       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1986.3!                        +   *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.4!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.1!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.1!                       *  +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.3!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.4!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.3!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.4!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.3!             + *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.4!          *     +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1991.2!           +                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.3!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.4!               *  +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.2!                               *  +   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.3!                               +   *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.4!                                  + * !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.1!                            *     +   !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.4!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.1!                           +      *   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.1!                         *  +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                          +   *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!                           +    *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.3!                                +    *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.4!                                   +  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.1!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.2!                            *   +     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.4!                              +      *!!        .     .     .     0  !
 2001.1!                             *      + !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2001.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                              +      *!!        .     .     .     0  !
 2001.4!                                   * +!!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                                *  +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.2!                                +     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.4!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!                             +        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.1!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.3!                                +     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!                             * +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.2!                          * +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.4!                       *  +           !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.1!                        +*            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.2!                          + *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.2!                       *  +           !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.4!                    *  +              !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.1!              *      +                !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2009.2!           *    +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2009.3!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.1!               +  *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.4!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.2!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2012.4!                           *   +      !!        0     .     .        !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRBE=GRPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRBE=LOG(AAGRBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRBE=LOG(AGRBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRBE=EXP(LAAGRBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  816 LAAGRBE C LAGRBE(-1) PGRBE;                                         
EQUATION 739  LAAGRBE  
   RHS     C  LAGRBE(-1)  PGRBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  739 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  739
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.549233504

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.624730621       0.349607167  -4.64730     1.000000
12626 LAGRBE  ( -1)       0.728382412       0.049870146  14.60558    -6.550375
12624 PGRBE   (  0)      -0.154810179       0.191936875  -0.80657     0.990405

SE of equation            =     0.264530390
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9456205      -0.394946298E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.204698813
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.4833768    
R squared                 =   0.54808
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26133
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.3!        +            *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1966.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.3!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                  *      +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.4!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.4!                   *         +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!          +          *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                *        +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.2!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!              +           *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!           *          +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.4!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                        +             *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.2!                     *           +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.2!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.1!                  *         +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!    *         +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.1!        +       *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3! *                 +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1999.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!  *        +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!*          +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2001.2*     +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!    +     *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!*        +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.3!*    +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!         +  *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!    *       +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!         +  *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRBE=IRPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRBE=LOG(AAIRBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRBE=LOG(AIRBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRBE=EXP(LAAIRBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  817 LAAIRBE C LAIRBE(-1) PIRBE;                                         
EQUATION 740  LAAIRBE  
   RHS     C  LAIRBE(-1)  PIRBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  740 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  740
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.642147248

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.283526642       0.216007186   1.31258     1.000000
12629 LAIRBE  ( -1)       0.940537386       0.025368582  37.07489    -4.665277
12627 PIRBE   (  0)      -0.470127723       0.270439726  -1.73838     1.143959

SE of equation            =     0.221454168
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.07276048       0.151878510E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.162352963
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.5223570    
R squared                 =   0.96960
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34698
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!   * +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3! *    +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3*  +                                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.1!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .         0!
 1972.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!           *  +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!             *    +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 *  +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                              +      *!!          .   .   .          0
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                  *+  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                     +*!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  * + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOBE=POPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOBE=LOG(AAPOBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOBE=LOG(APOBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOBE=EXP(LAAPOBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  818 LAAPOBE C LAPOBE(-1) PPOBE;                                         
EQUATION 741  LAAPOBE  
   RHS     C  LAPOBE(-1)  PPOBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  741 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  741
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.755641480

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.139858297       0.121553894  -1.15059     1.000000
12632 LAPOBE  ( -1)       0.935434083       0.023811710  39.28462    -5.759646
12630 PPOBE   (  0)      -0.198060602       0.100422281  -1.97228     1.151233

SE of equation            =     0.152162291
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.28337210       0.518909360E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.116235475
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.8522693    
R squared                 =   0.92704
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73529
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .          0
 1972.3!          *       +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1972.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!              *+                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!          *        +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!             *    +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.1!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPBE=SPPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPBE=LOG(AASPBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPBE=LOG(ASPBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPBE=EXP(LAASPBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  819 LAASPBE C LASPBE(-1) PSPBE;                                         
EQUATION 742  LAASPBE  
   RHS     C  LASPBE(-1)  PSPBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  742 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  742
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.485311817

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.106883929       0.052237451  -2.04612     1.000000
12635 LASPBE  ( -1)       0.919012569       0.024181526  38.00474    -4.496064
12633 PSPBE   (  0)      -0.218138177       0.078573190  -2.77624     1.129966

SE of equation            =     0.105385558
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.05463143      -0.452149429E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.079076173
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.8663205    
R squared                 =   0.97559
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65232
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *  +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!  * +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.4!   *    +                             !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1968.1!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3*      +                               !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.4!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.1!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!      +*                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!    *  +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!             +*                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!            *  +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!             + *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!            *  +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                + *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                  *   +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                      +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                           * +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                            +         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                            * +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                               * +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                    +*!!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  * + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZBE=NZPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZBE=LOG(AANZBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZBE=LOG(ANZBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZBE=EXP(LAANZBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  820 LAANZBE C LANZBE(-1) PNZBE;                                         
EQUATION 743  LAANZBE  
   RHS     C  LANZBE(-1)  PNZBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  743 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  743
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.616850310

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.056444910       0.335078241  -3.15283     1.000000
12638 LANZBE  ( -1)       0.828722366       0.041242763  20.09376    -6.607445
12636 PNZBE   (  0)      -0.084478515       0.139252541  -0.60666     1.002239

SE of equation            =     0.232853966
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0308793       0.184989801E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.174828987
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.8678496    
R squared                 =   0.69553
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34448
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1*              +                       !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1975.2!  +     *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!    *           +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1980.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!       *      +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                +         *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.2!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.3!        *                  +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!          *        +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!            *         +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2004.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2010.4! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!   +   *                              !!           .  .  0           !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  821 LAASABE C LASABE(-1) PSABE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  821 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  822 LAAVEBE C LAVEBE(-1) PVEBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  822 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOBE=COPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOBE=LOG(AACOBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOBE=LOG(ACOBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOBE=EXP(LAACOBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  823 LAACOBE C LACOBE(-1) PCOBE;                                         
EQUATION 744  LAACOBE  
   RHS     C  LACOBE(-1)  PCOBE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  744 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  744
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOBE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.766467383

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.925713163       0.368746451  -5.22232     1.000000
12641 LACOBE  ( -1)       0.669060089       0.062187529  10.75875    -6.778424
12639 PCOBE   (  0)      -0.247251479       0.089279854  -2.76940     1.235913

SE of equation            =     0.279579366
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.61424846       0.169935177E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.205710722
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.9195509    
R squared                 =   0.66222
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50429
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!    *      +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!             +         *              !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!        *     +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.4!    *     +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!     +          *                     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!         *      +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.1!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!        *        +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +                *!           .  .  .           0
 1995.1!                  *             +     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   824 LAAJOBE C LAJOBE(-1) PJOBE;SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  824 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYBE=SYPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYBE=LOG(AASYBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYBE=LOG(ASYBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYBE=EXP(LAASYBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  825 LAASYBE C LASYBE(-1) PSYBE;                                         
EQUATION 745  LAASYBE  
   RHS     C  LASYBE(-1)  PSYBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  745 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  745
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.523666336

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.886346076       0.424083331  -4.44806     1.000000
12644 LASYBE  ( -1)       0.799419803       0.044083681  18.13414    -9.525125
12642 PSYBE   (  0)      -0.008966619       0.028348076  -0.31630     2.536802

SE of equation            =     0.700307099
Sum of squared residuals  =  90.7295562      -0.139861456E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.497158713
Sum of ABS residuals      =  93.4658380    
R squared                 =   0.64175
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25506
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!           +                 *        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1966.3!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.1!          +              *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!         *                +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!        +                   *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                   +                 *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!         *           +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!    *           +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!       +      *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4*            +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1*                 +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.2!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!    *              +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!           +           *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.3!  *                   +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.4! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2007.4!                  *          +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDBE=IDPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDBE=LOG(AAIDBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDBE=LOG(AIDBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDBE=EXP(LAAIDBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  826 LAAIDBE C LAIDBE(-1) PIDBE;                                         
EQUATION 746  LAAIDBE  
   RHS     C  LAIDBE(-1)  PIDBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  746 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  746
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.396073782

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.180324719       0.118550738  -1.52108     1.000000
12647 LAIDBE  ( -1)       0.904720012       0.027791583  32.55374    -5.404880
12645 PIDBE   (  0)      -0.271630915       0.097136211  -2.79639     1.199591

SE of equation            =     0.233813489
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.1137183      -0.615774098E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.160954962
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.2595328    
R squared                 =   0.91541
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21241
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!       *     +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2*        +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1969.3!+      *                              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.4!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3! *   +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!          *     +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                    *  +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!       *       +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.4!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  *      +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                           *     +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMABE=MAPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMABE=LOG(AAMABE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMABE=LOG(AMABE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMABE=EXP(LAAMABE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  827 LAAMABE C LAMABE(-1) PMABE;                                         
EQUATION 747  LAAMABE  
   RHS     C  LAMABE(-1)  PMABE  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  747 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  747
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMABE 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.229834174

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.306044450       0.113662036  -2.69258     1.000000
12650 LAMABE  ( -1)       0.918768556       0.023609662  38.91494    -6.235013
12648 PMABE   (  0)      -0.162631166       0.054125816  -3.00469     1.200604

SE of equation            =     0.170312276
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.19212260       0.270414802E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.128636047
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.4117606    
R squared                 =   0.94678
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36575
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3*     +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.4+   *                                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .          0
 1978.4!           *   +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                     *    +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                      *     +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.73 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPABE=PAPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPABE=LOG(AAPABE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPABE=LOG(APABE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPABE=EXP(LAAPABE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  828 LAAPABE C LAPABE(-1) PPABE;                                         
EQUATION 748  LAAPABE  
   RHS     C  LAPABE(-1)  PPABE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  748 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  748
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPABE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.348305546

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.153014857       0.266887489  -4.32023     1.000000
12653 LAPABE  ( -1)       0.743560422       0.051877686  14.33295    -7.351831
12651 PPABE   (  0)      -0.568030420       0.147137441  -3.86054     1.282960

SE of equation            =     0.271373333
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.7093143      -0.190825133E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.185527700
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.0554874    
R squared                 =   0.82291
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65384
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!          +          *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.3!         *         +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.4!           +                 *        !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1975.1!      *                     +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!*           +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!  *      +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.4!         +       *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1*               +                      !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1984.2!  +         *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!          +      *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                             *   +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                            *    +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !


     19.75 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   829 LAAPHBE C LAPHBE(-1) PPHBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  829 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHBE=THPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHBE=LOG(AATHBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHBE=LOG(ATHBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHBE=EXP(LAATHBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  830 LAATHBE C LATHBE(-1) PTHBE;                                         
EQUATION 749  LAATHBE  
   RHS     C  LATHBE(-1)  PTHBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  749 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  749
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.230451390

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.028282310       0.175607803   0.16105     1.000000
12656 LATHBE  ( -1)       0.860409825       0.031396018  27.40506    -6.237514
12654 PTHBE   (  0)      -0.765167608       0.193239505  -3.95969     1.165648

SE of equation            =     0.336820374
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.9878734      -0.137942990E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.207577652
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.0245985    
R squared                 =   0.89876
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18538
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!     *         +                      !!      0     . . .            !
 1966.3*     +                                !!         0  . . .            !
 1966.4! +                  *                 !!            . . .            0
 1967.1!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!               * +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1968.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!        * +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!              +       *               !!            . . .   0        !
 1971.2!                    * +               !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!                  *  +                !!           0. . .            !
 1971.4!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1972.1!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1972.2!                * +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1972.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1973.1!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!            +                         !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!            +                         !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!          +  *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!       +   *                          !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1975.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!           +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!           *    +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1979.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                    *    +            !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1980.2!                        +    *        !!            . . .0           !
 1980.3!                         *  +         !!           0. . .            !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                 *     +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                       +  *           !!            . . .0           !
 1982.3!                 *         +          !!       0    . . .            !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1983.2!                *        +            !!       0    . . .            !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!                     *  +             !!           0. . .            !
 1985.4!                       +              !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                            *    +    !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.3!                             +      * !!            . . .  0         !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                             *      + !!         0  . . .            !
 1992.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                               +     *!!            . . . 0          !
 1993.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !


     16.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHBE=CHPX$Q/BEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHBE=LOG(AACHBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHBE=LOG(ACHBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHBE=EXP(LAACHBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  831 LAACHBE C LACHBE(-1) PCHBE;                                         
EQUATION 750  LAACHBE  
   RHS     C  LACHBE(-1)  PCHBE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  750 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  750
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHBE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.760676523

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.151643583       0.162552640   0.93289     1.000000
12659 LACHBE  ( -1)       0.966140133       0.019458972  49.65011    -4.785979
12657 PCHBE   (  0)      -0.258493375       0.178388483  -1.44905     1.115673

SE of equation            =     0.192998125
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.58153799      -0.765520980E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148517027
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.7131455    
R squared                 =   0.96996
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.95579
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1! *   +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!           *   +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1996.1!             *        +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   832 LAAARBE C LAARBE(-1) PARBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  832 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  833 LAABRBE C LABRBE(-1) PBRBE;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  833 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  834 LAACEBE C LACEBE(-1) PCEBE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  834 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  835 LAAMEBE C LAMEBE(-1) PMEBE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  835 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  836 LAAPEBE C LAPEBE(-1) PPEBE;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  836 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUBE=TUPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUBE=LOG(AATUBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUBE=LOG(ATUBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUBE=EXP(LAATUBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  837 LAATUBE C LATUBE(-1) PTUBE;                                         
EQUATION 751  LAATUBE  
   RHS     C  LATUBE(-1)  PTUBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  751 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  751
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.959609993

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.684548807       0.242947106  -2.81769     1.000000
12662 LATUBE  ( -1)       0.820480580       0.042997771  19.08193    -5.966221
12660 PTUBE   (  0)      -0.329987760       0.176484559  -1.86978     1.151233

SE of equation            =     0.284011698
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.9225892       0.696864788E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.201425898
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.8680689    
R squared                 =   0.73439
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47698
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.4!                    *          +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!       +       *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!         *          +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!             *         +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!           *             +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.1!             +              *         !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1974.2!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4*                     +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!           +         *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!          *        +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!   *          +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                +          *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                   *        +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDBE=PDPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDBE=LOG(AAPDBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDBE=LOG(APDBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDBE=EXP(LAAPDBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  838 LAAPDBE C LAPDBE(-1) PPDBE;                                         
EQUATION 752  LAAPDBE  
   RHS     C  LAPDBE(-1)  PPDBE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  752 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  752
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDBE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.505678334

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.090254690       0.137587124   0.65598     1.000000
12665 LAPDBE  ( -1)       0.946986945       0.023923768  39.58352    -5.517985
12663 PPDBE   (  0)      -0.332062474       0.150178646  -2.21112     1.115673

SE of equation            =     0.161315004
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.20077126       0.109947607E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.116914951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.7312839    
R squared                 =   0.95561
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28419
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1*    +                                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2+        *                             !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4*       +                              !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1+ *                                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2! +      *                             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1! +*                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2! *   +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!    *    +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.1!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2! *      +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!              *   +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   *  +!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  839 LAARUBE C LARUBE(-1) PRUBE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  839 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  840 LAAUEBE C LAUEBE(-1) PUEBE;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  840 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGBE=EGPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGBE=LOG(AAEGBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGBE=LOG(AEGBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGBE=EXP(LAAEGBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  841 LAAEGBE C LAEGBE(-1) PEGBE;                                         
EQUATION 753  LAAEGBE  
   RHS     C  LAEGBE(-1)  PEGBE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  753 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  753
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGBE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.604937311

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.381535112       0.552237446  -4.31252     1.000000
12668 LAEGBE  ( -1)       0.533309451       0.075075076   7.10368    -7.614812
12666 PEGBE   (  0)      -1.041837858       0.365144661  -2.85322     1.115673

SE of equation            =     0.450153213
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.9244635       0.126636479E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.347207000
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.7480820    
R squared                 =   0.42245
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20366
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*               +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.4!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.1!       *           +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.2!  *         +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.3!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                +         *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.4!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!            *        +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.3!                    *      +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.3!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!          *          +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2001.1!                 *      +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.2!       *         +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2001.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                   *       +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.2!                                +    *!!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                          +         * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                          +         * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.1!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                           +         *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.3!                               +      *!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !


     30.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   842 LAAISBE C LAISBE(-1) PISBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  842 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   843 LAAKEBE C LAKEBE(-1) PKEBE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  843 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBABE=BAPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABABE=LOG(AABABE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABABE=LOG(ABABE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABABE=EXP(LAABABE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  844 LAABABE C LABABE(-1) PBABE;                                         
EQUATION 754  LAABABE  
   RHS     C  LABABE(-1)  PBABE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  754 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  754
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABABE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.531227324

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.863173231       0.231376705  -3.73060     1.000000
12671 LABABE  ( -1)       0.835627369       0.037322370  22.38945    -7.536060
12669 PBABE   (  0)      -0.264191719       0.066324177  -3.98334     1.403209

SE of equation            =     0.246680189
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.67532736       0.491153784E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.185179471
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.9990743    
R squared                 =   0.87647
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12754
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.3!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.4!           *       +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.1!     *     +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.2!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!       *     +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.3!*      +                              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.4! +   *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!       *     +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.3*       +                              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!      *     +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!         *      +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!              *       +               !!0        .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!         *         +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                 *        +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                            +         *!         .    .    .         0
 2006.2!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                               *   +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.2!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                               *     +!!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.1!                               *    + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !


     29.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKBE=HKPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKBE=LOG(AAHKBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKBE=LOG(AHKBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKBE=EXP(LAAHKBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  845 LAAHKBE C LAHKBE(-1) PHKBE;                                         
EQUATION 755  LAAHKBE  
   RHS     C  LAHKBE(-1)  PHKBE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  755 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  755
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKBE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.725491992

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.353944342       0.112857401  -3.13621     1.000000
12674 LAHKBE  ( -1)       0.909432923       0.025648534  35.45750    -5.734919
12672 PHKBE   (  0)      -0.101716430       0.032981007  -3.08409     1.533911

SE of equation            =     0.156034118
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.50412952       0.511182208E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.107731531
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.2535278    
R squared                 =   0.95176
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65267
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!  +  *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!    +           *                     !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!          *     +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1968.1!          *       +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1968.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.1!        *        +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1969.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!          *   +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.3!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!         *  +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!*       +                             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1973.2*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!+  *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3+*                                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!            *    +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!         *      +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.1!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                 *  + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIBE=SIPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIBE=LOG(AASIBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIBE=LOG(ASIBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIBE=EXP(LAASIBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  846 LAASIBE C LASIBE(-1) PSIBE;                                         
EQUATION 756  LAASIBE  
   RHS     C  LASIBE(-1)  PSIBE  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  756 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  756
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIBE 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.394512741

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.369909674       0.124513024  -2.97085     1.000000
12677 LASIBE  ( -1)       0.865519654       0.033672526  25.70403    -6.412637
12675 PSIBE   (  0)      -0.315795228       0.083865310  -3.76550     1.502047

SE of equation            =     0.213729134
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.99402497      -0.823696666E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.147402702
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.2376810    
R squared                 =   0.95147
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67593
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!  *        +                          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.4!*        +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.2!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1985.2!         *     +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !


     21.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIBE=VIPX$/BEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIBE=LOG(AAVIBE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIBE=LOG(AVIBE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIBE=EXP(LAAVIBE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  847 LAAVIBE C LAVIBE(-1) PVIBE;                                         
EQUATION 757  LAAVIBE  
   RHS     C  LAVIBE(-1)  PVIBE  
 SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   127 to   244
 OLS;EST  757 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  757
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIBE 

 1983.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  118 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.853886223

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.225149810       0.382699642   0.58832     1.000000
12680 LAVIBE  ( -1)       0.967412623       0.021330178  45.35418    -7.888617
12678 PVIBE   (  0)      -0.405172267       0.358195831  -1.13115     1.104439

SE of equation            =     0.429301618
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.1944861       0.146727075E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.270154894
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.8782775    
R squared                 =   0.95229
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.97725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.3   2012.4    118

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!        *        +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!     *      +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.1!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.2!    *         +                       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1986.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!*         +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1989.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!+          *                          !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                                   *  +!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !


     15.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  848 LAANIBE C LANIBE(-1) PNIBE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  848 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  849 LAAALBE C LAALBE(-1) PALBE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  849 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  850 LAAIABE C LAIABE(-1) PIABE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  850 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  851 LAAINBE C LAINBE(-1) PINBE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  851 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  852 LAAIQBE C LAIQBE(-1) PIQBE;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  852 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  853 LAAKUBE C LAKUBE(-1) PKUBE;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  853 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  854 LAALIBE C LALIBE(-1) PLIBE;SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  854 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  855 LAAUABE C LAUABE(-1) PUABE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  855 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   856 LAAUSDE C LAUSDE(-1) PUSDE;SMPL 1987.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  856 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCADE=CAPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACADE=LOG(AACADE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACADE=LOG(ACADE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACADE=EXP(LAACADE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  857 LAACADE C LACADE(-1) PCADE;                                         
EQUATION 758  LAACADE  
   RHS     C  LACADE(-1)  PCADE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  758 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  758
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACADE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.541209763

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.982616810       0.337735512  -5.87032     1.000000
12683 LACADE  ( -1)       0.629261107       0.056993194  11.04099    -5.543370
12681 PCADE   (  0)      -0.067343748       0.124254268  -0.54198     1.044875

SE of equation            =     0.273921938
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.8811472      -0.600604011E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.213926648
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.2182099    
R squared                 =   0.39896
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31401
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!      *        +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.2!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.2*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1995.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.2!                        +           * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2001.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2002.3!              *           +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2002.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                +           *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   858 LAAJADE C LAJADE(-1) PJADE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  858 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   859 LAAAUDE C LAAUDE(-1) PAUDE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  859 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRDE=FRPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRDE=LOG(AAFRDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRDE=LOG(AFRDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRDE=EXP(LAAFRDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  860 LAAFRDE C LAFRDE(-1) PFRDE;                                         
EQUATION 759  LAAFRDE  
   RHS     C  LAFRDE(-1)  PFRDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  759 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  759
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.130015057

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.253757062       0.079176673  -3.20495     1.000000
12686 LAFRDE  ( -1)       0.885350679       0.035730601  24.77850    -3.132118
12684 PFRDE   (  0)      -0.086922499       0.046668399  -1.86256     1.187667

SE of equation            =     0.076520329
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.08324174      -0.644084786E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.058136485
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.9296593    
R squared                 =   0.89604
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62531
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*    +                                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.2!+    *                                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.3!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!   * +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!  *   +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4!   *   +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!           *  +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!        *      +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1973.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!         *    +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.2!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!         *    +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!               +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .        0!
 1977.4!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!             *  +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1979.4!                  *       +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!              *   +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                 *  +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .        0!
 1991.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.1!                           *      +   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!                            +         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.1!                             *   +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .      0  !
 2002.1!                                *    +!!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!                             *   +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                *    +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                *   +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEDE=GEPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEDE=LOG(AAGEDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEDE=LOG(AGEDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEDE=EXP(LAAGEDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  861 LAAGEDE C LAGEDE(-1) PGEDE;                                         
EQUATION 760  LAAGEDE  
   RHS     C  LAGEDE(-1)  PGEDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  760 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  760
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.425025510

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.087764329       0.059096586  -1.48510     1.000000
12689 LAGEDE  ( -1)       0.761229794       0.042854867  17.76297    -1.424635
12687 PGEDE   (  0)      -0.253307080       0.060842064  -4.16335     0.997947

SE of equation            =     0.040061220
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.296906747      -0.126565425E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.031099430
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.84669277    
R squared                 =   0.75561
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35691
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1966.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!         *      +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4! *         +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1971.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!   *      +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!             +           *            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                *      +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!             *        +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                     *        +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.3!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4*           +                          !0         .    .    .         !
 1996.1! +           *                        !!         .    .    .         0
 1996.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!    *      +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!               +        *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2003.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITDE=ITPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITDE=LOG(AAITDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITDE=LOG(AITDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITDE=EXP(LAAITDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  862 LAAITDE C LAITDE(-1) PITDE;                                         
EQUATION 761  LAAITDE  
   RHS     C  LAITDE(-1)  PITDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  761 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  761
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.090188426

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.289463096       0.106697319  -2.71294     1.000000
12692 LAITDE  ( -1)       0.870125815       0.034790070  25.01075    -3.089932
12690 PITDE   (  0)      -0.128307569       0.062748627  -2.04479     0.873650

SE of equation            =     0.087803379
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.42624516      -0.954347712E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.066677154
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.5353049    
R squared                 =   0.79344
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34775
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!               *       +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.2!               +        *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.3!              *        +              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!             *        +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.4!       *          +                   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1970.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!            *      +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!       *     +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2*        +                             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1971.3!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!       *     +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1! *          +                         !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                  *    +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                 *    +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!         *       +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.1!  *        +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.2!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!         *         +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.1!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                                *   + !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!             *         +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2006.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!*    +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!+ *                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEDE=NEPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEDE=LOG(AANEDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEDE=LOG(ANEDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEDE=EXP(LAANEDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  863 LAANEDE C LANEDE(-1) PNEDE;                                         
EQUATION 762  LAANEDE  
   RHS     C  LANEDE(-1)  PNEDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  762 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  762
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.787106217

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.031338226       0.062394746  -0.50226     1.000000
12695 LANEDE  ( -1)       0.831902768       0.039323721  21.15524    -2.792060
12693 PNEDE   (  0)      -0.381605894       0.100818257  -3.78509     1.134797

SE of equation            =     0.078940086
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.15283439      -0.588062932E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.057258495
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.7645971    
R squared                 =   0.91964
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35221
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!    *     +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3*  +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1! +   *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4! *    +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!    +          *                      !!           .  .  .           0
 1969.4!        *     +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1970.1!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!       *  +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.3!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!              +         *             !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1974.3!                  *   +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                *  +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!             *     +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                     *    +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    +       *         !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                     *  +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                             *  +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                            *     +   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTDE=STPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTDE=LOG(AASTDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTDE=LOG(ASTDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTDE=EXP(LAASTDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  864 LAASTDE C LASTDE(-1) PSTDE;                                         
EQUATION 763  LAASTDE  
   RHS     C  LASTDE(-1)  PSTDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  763 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  763
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.770128896

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.185996675       0.065108400  -2.85672     1.000000
12698 LASTDE  ( -1)       0.858255194       0.034163865  25.12172    -3.763265
12696 PSTDE   (  0)      -0.396394721       0.097031819  -4.08520     0.893783

SE of equation            =     0.088675734
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.45472637       0.146922474E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.065553883
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.3241299    
R squared                 =   0.95585
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35167
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                              *   +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                          *   +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      *  +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                      *+              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!                  *       +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                      *+              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                     *+               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                     * +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                    + *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!          *   +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1! *   +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2006.2!        *      +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2006.3! *      +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 2006.4!* +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1*  +                                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!* +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2+                                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3+*                                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4+                                      !!          .   0   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKDE=UKPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKDE=LOG(AAUKDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKDE=LOG(AUKDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKDE=EXP(LAAUKDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  865 LAAUKDE C LAUKDE(-1) PUKDE;                                         
EQUATION 764  LAAUKDE  
   RHS     C  LAUKDE(-1)  PUKDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  764 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  764
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.347043504

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.014207118       0.089349775  -0.15901     1.000000
12701 LAUKDE  ( -1)       0.962841455       0.020658481  46.60756    -2.341236
12699 PUKDE   (  0)      -0.079945829       0.087096308  -0.91790     0.983132

SE of equation            =     0.104351097
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.01449302       0.106914477E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.076184022
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.3225962    
R squared                 =   0.92534
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23634
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                                 *    +!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                               *   +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!              *     +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                *     +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!             *  +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!             *    +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.2!               +      *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!              *     +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2003.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!           *    +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!           +            *             !!           .  .  .           0
 2006.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!             *             +          !0           .  .  .           !
 2006.4!      *      +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2007.1!  *   +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!+    *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!    *   +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   866 LAAFIDE C LAFIDE(-1) PFIDE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  866 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASDE=ASPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASDE=LOG(AAASDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASDE=LOG(AASDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASDE=EXP(LAAASDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  867 LAAASDE C LAASDE(-1) PASDE;                                         
EQUATION 765  LAAASDE  
   RHS     C  LAASDE(-1)  PASDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  765 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  765
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.544037945

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.455606583       0.385441351  -8.96532     1.000000
12704 LAASDE  ( -1)       0.296912637       0.069151005   4.29369    -6.543770
12702 PASDE   (  0)      -1.046530286       0.182127208  -5.74615     1.094573

SE of equation            =     0.504228961
Sum of squared residuals  =  47.0356663       0.413376000E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.363403353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  68.3198303    
R squared                 =   0.37304
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19673
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!            +  *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!          *    +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!     *         +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!        *        +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3! *             +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!            +           *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!               +         *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!          *        +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1*                   +                  !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1985.2!            +                        *!!           .  .  .           0
 1985.3!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                       +         *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                        +           * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                    +                 *!           .  .  .       0   !
 1998.3!                     *     +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!          *         +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                     +        *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.2!              *        +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!           +     *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!          +       *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  868 LAASODE C LASODE(-1) PSODE;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  868 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKODE=KOPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKODE=LOG(AAKODE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKODE=LOG(AKODE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKODE=EXP(LAAKODE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  869 LAAKODE C LAKODE(-1) PKODE;                                         
EQUATION 766  LAAKODE  
   RHS     C  LAKODE(-1)  PKODE  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  766 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  766
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKODE 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.362432719

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.468822308       0.349985272  -7.05407     1.000000
12707 LAKODE  ( -1)       0.413080574       0.076132831   5.42579    -5.369424
12705 PKODE   (  0)      -0.486659177       0.116583247  -4.17435     1.388252

SE of equation            =     0.442834236
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.2582003      -0.365263375E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.320541236
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.5168555    
R squared                 =   0.42304
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06214
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.4!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.1!      *       +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1978.2!      *    +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.1!     *       +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1979.2!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.1!     *          +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1980.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.3!          *    +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.4!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.1!  *           +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1981.2!    *    +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.3!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.4!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.1*              +                       !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1982.2!        +   *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.3!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.4!          * +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.1! *           +                        !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1983.2!         +                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.3!            +        *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.4!                 +          *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1984.1!    *               +                 !!0       .     .     .        !
 1984.2!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.3!          +               *           !!        .     .     .        0
 1984.4!                  +      *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1985.1! *               +                    !!0       .     .     .        !
 1985.2!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.1!               +        *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.2!           *       +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.3!              +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.3!               +         *            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1988.4!                  +     *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.1!             *    +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.4!    *         +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1990.1!          +  *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!              +    *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!                 +            *       !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                  +     *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.3!                *  +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1991.4!                +          *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1992.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                 +              *     !!        .     .     .       0!
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.3!     *          +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1994.4!  *        +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.1!          +      *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.1!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.1!                           +*         !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.1!                      +     *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.2!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.3!                        +     *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.4!                        +        *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!                  *  +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.2!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.4!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.2!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                         +    *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.1!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2005.4!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2006.3!                       *    +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.4!                       +*             !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.2!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!                   *    +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.2!                  *     +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.3!                 *    +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                           +          *!        .     .     .   0    !
 2009.3!              *                +      !0        .     .     .        !
 2009.4!              *      +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.1!                     +               *!!        .     .     .        0
 2010.2!                 *            +       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2010.3!               *      +               !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.4!                     +        *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.1!                   *       +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.2!                       +     *        !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.3!                   *       +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.4!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.1!                   *    +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.2!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.3!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!                   *    +             !!        .0    .     .        !


     25.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEDE=BEPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEDE=LOG(AABEDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEDE=LOG(ABEDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEDE=EXP(LAABEDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  870 LAABEDE C LABEDE(-1) PBEDE;                                         
EQUATION 767  LAABEDE  
   RHS     C  LABEDE(-1)  PBEDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  767 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  767
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.211829755

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.648511764       0.150101000  -4.32050     1.000000
12710 LABEDE  ( -1)       0.669091674       0.052822450  12.66681    -3.211494
12708 PBEDE   (  0)      -0.431963719       0.116807709  -3.69808     0.959650

SE of equation            =     0.094044007
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.63619093       0.103834275E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.069065580
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.9843289    
R squared                 =   0.61258
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44265
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!  *           +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4*            +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                   +               *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.4!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNODE=NOPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANODE=LOG(AANODE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANODE=LOG(ANODE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANODE=EXP(LAANODE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  871 LAANODE C LANODE(-1) PNODE;                                         
EQUATION 768  LAANODE  
   RHS     C  LANODE(-1)  PNODE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  768 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  768
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANODE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.737835457

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.587736505       0.104927684  -5.60135     1.000000
12713 LANODE  ( -1)       0.689815228       0.051981196  13.27048    -2.738050
12711 PNODE   (  0)      -0.310576785       0.063955247  -4.85616     0.841500

SE of equation            =     0.109454455
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.21635137       0.113575815E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084753756
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.9337061    
R squared                 =   0.81744
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15023
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *       +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.4!          +           *               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.2!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!   *          +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                          *      +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3+    *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!    +           *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2009.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!+              *                      !!          .   .   .          0


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   872 LAASWDE C LASWDE(-1) PSWDE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  872 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRDE=GRPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRDE=LOG(AAGRDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRDE=LOG(AGRDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRDE=EXP(LAAGRDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  873 LAAGRDE C LAGRDE(-1) PGRDE;                                         
EQUATION 769  LAAGRDE  
   RHS     C  LAGRDE(-1)  PGRDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  769 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  769
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.391381396

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.614089936       0.250199897  -2.45440     1.000000
12716 LAGRDE  ( -1)       0.782579747       0.047048143  16.63359    -6.398574
12714 PGRDE   (  0)      -0.770582709       0.304831841  -2.52789     0.999110

SE of equation            =     0.310883248
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.8799528      -0.299102965E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.216293276
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6631360    
R squared                 =   0.76499
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59608
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!*       +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!    +     *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2! *      +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1*       +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1969.2!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!      *      +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!     *     +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!      *      +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!            *      +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                  *         +         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.3!             *          +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.4!              +                 *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1978.1!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                      +              *!!           .  .  .        0  !
 1980.3!                          *       +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                         *      +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.2!                              *     + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                    *       +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.4!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1995.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRDE=IRPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRDE=LOG(AAIRDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRDE=LOG(AIRDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRDE=EXP(LAAIRDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  874 LAAIRDE C LAIRDE(-1) PIRDE;                                         
EQUATION 770  LAAIRDE  
   RHS     C  LAIRDE(-1)  PIRDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  770 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  770
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.528576942

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.004967370       0.139669868   0.03557     1.000000
12719 LAIRDE  ( -1)       0.949678105       0.019919910  47.67482    -5.547624
12717 PIRDE   (  0)      -0.229168726       0.172084275  -1.33172     1.156735

SE of equation            =     0.220987116
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.03453151       0.904787356E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.140970541
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.5024618    
R squared                 =   0.96595
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77222
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+*                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!+   *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!  *   +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.2*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!+ *                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4! *     +                              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1969.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3! *  +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                    +          *      !!           .  .  .          0!
 1977.4!                   *           +      !0           .  .  .           !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                  *      +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.1!                                   *  +!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  875 LAAPODE C LAPODE(-1) PPODE;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  875 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPDE=SPPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPDE=LOG(AASPDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPDE=LOG(ASPDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPDE=EXP(LAASPDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  876 LAASPDE C LASPDE(-1) PSPDE;                                         
EQUATION 771  LAASPDE  
   RHS     C  LASPDE(-1)  PSPDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  771 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  771
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.589335896

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.440567661       0.123118710  -3.57840     1.000000
12722 LASPDE  ( -1)       0.804297182       0.041360715  19.44592    -4.598926
12720 PSPDE   (  0)      -0.393528408       0.108362519  -3.63159     1.143157

SE of equation            =     0.215743099
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.61084070      -0.197464267E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.149884039
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.1781992    
R squared                 =   0.87236
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51459
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2! +    *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4+        *                             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!    +       *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!          *       +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!           *      +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!         *              +             !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1993.4!             +          *             !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1994.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!           *                 +        !0           .  .  .           !
 1997.1!              +                *      !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1997.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZDE=NZPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZDE=LOG(AANZDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZDE=LOG(ANZDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZDE=EXP(LAANZDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  877 LAANZDE C LANZDE(-1) PNZDE;                                         
EQUATION 772  LAANZDE  
   RHS     C  LANZDE(-1)  PNZDE  
 SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    75 to   244
 OLS;EST  772 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  772
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZDE 

 1970.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.160349050

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.707636835       0.445618367  -3.83206     1.000000
12725 LANZDE  ( -1)       0.689779033       0.054848997  12.57596    -7.160567
12723 PNZDE   (  0)      -0.518391649       0.271387392  -1.91015     0.990570

SE of equation            =     0.412539583
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.4215475       0.435242953E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.305744258
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.9765238    
R squared                 =   0.50681
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55715
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.3   2012.4    170

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!    *             +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3! *                  +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!    *         +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                 +                *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.2!      *             +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1990.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.2!           *           +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!            +          *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  878 LAASADE C LASADE(-1) PSADE;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  878 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  879 LAAVEDE C LAVEDE(-1) PVEDE;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  879 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  880 LAACODE C LACODE(-1) PCODE;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  880 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJODE=JOPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJODE=LOG(AAJODE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJODE=LOG(AJODE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJODE=EXP(LAAJODE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  881 LAAJODE C LAJODE(-1) PJODE;                                         
EQUATION 773  LAAJODE  
   RHS     C  LAJODE(-1)  PJODE  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST  773 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  773
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJODE 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -11.062408409

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -5.049419556       1.007052898  -5.01406     1.000000
12728 LAJODE  ( -1)       0.541740907       0.088656727   6.11054   -11.064929
12726 PJODE   (  0)      -0.016760852       0.127363095  -0.13160     1.113569

SE of equation            =     0.316903665
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.13894189      -0.805258082E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.224745375
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.1260653    
R squared                 =   0.29257
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06985
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!  *    +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!   *    +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!*      +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!          *  +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!    +    *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!      *  +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!*      +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2! *          +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4! * +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!  *        +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!   *  +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!  *   +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!  *  +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!*     +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!*   +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!*   +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!*   +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!    +                           *     !!          .   .   .          0
 2000.2!                     +               *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.4!                        +           * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!            *          +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!   *        +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!    *         +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!    +   *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!        +                           * !!          .   .   .          0
 2008.1!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!      *        +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!    +          *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!*       +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!   +       *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  882 LAASYDE C LASYDE(-1) PSYDE;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  882 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDDE=IDPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDDE=LOG(AAIDDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDDE=LOG(AIDDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDDE=EXP(LAAIDDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  883 LAAIDDE C LAIDDE(-1) PIDDE;                                         
EQUATION 774  LAAIDDE  
   RHS     C  LAIDDE(-1)  PIDDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  774 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  774
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.017712607

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.301792431       0.132762366  -2.27318     1.000000
12731 LAIDDE  ( -1)       0.898692131       0.027703532  32.43962    -6.025132
12729 PIDDE   (  0)      -0.248290804       0.076523716  -3.24463     1.213019

SE of equation            =     0.204171524
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.71191207      -0.210063078E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.156751382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.4692599    
R squared                 =   0.91210
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32597
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!       *  +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.1!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.3!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .        0!
 1967.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.2!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.3!             *  +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!      *    +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.1! *    +                               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.2! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3*    +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.4!+        *                            !!         .    .    .         0
 1971.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!   *      +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1971.3!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2*      +                               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1972.3!+  *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4! *  +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.1!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.2!            *    +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!    *       +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.4!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!           *      +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.4!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!            *    +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                *     +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!           *     +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                            *    +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.2!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.4!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.1!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMADE=MAPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMADE=LOG(AAMADE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMADE=LOG(AMADE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMADE=EXP(LAAMADE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  884 LAAMADE C LAMADE(-1) PMADE;                                         
EQUATION 775  LAAMADE  
   RHS     C  LAMADE(-1)  PMADE  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  775 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  775
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMADE 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.395735730

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.965065957       0.196632537  -4.90797     1.000000
12734 LAMADE  ( -1)       0.774000390       0.040747425  18.99508    -6.409832
12732 PMADE   (  0)      -0.387288993       0.093612693  -4.13714     1.212163

SE of equation            =     0.286984195
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7424271       0.238573605E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.200172795
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4314487    
R squared                 =   0.85212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52842
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1*           +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.2! +          *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!      *     +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!               *        +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +        *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.1!               *      +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.1!           *       +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2006.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                             *      + !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !


     23.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPADE=PAPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPADE=LOG(AAPADE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPADE=LOG(APADE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPADE=EXP(LAAPADE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  885 LAAPADE C LAPADE(-1) PPADE;                                         
EQUATION 776  LAAPADE  
   RHS     C  LAPADE(-1)  PPADE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  776 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  776
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPADE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.155420548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.981054421       0.342161764  -5.78982     1.000000
12737 LAPADE  ( -1)       0.657262854       0.055108249  11.92676    -7.160105
12735 PPADE   (  0)      -0.363743632       0.088527813  -4.10881     1.287432

SE of equation            =     0.212597087
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.18640590       0.168496328E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.164110482
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.5858981    
R squared                 =   0.67030
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44622
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!   *          +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!           *          +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1*          +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.2!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +          *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.1!             *        +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.3!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!               *        +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!       *               +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !


     29.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHDE=PHPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHDE=LOG(AAPHDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHDE=LOG(APHDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHDE=EXP(LAAPHDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  886 LAAPHDE C LAPHDE(-1) PPHDE;                                         
EQUATION 777  LAAPHDE  
   RHS     C  LAPHDE(-1)  PPHDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  777 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  777
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.328976540

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.431032495       0.315204800  -4.54001     1.000000
12740 LAPHDE  ( -1)       0.777351907       0.043799578  17.74793    -7.316336
12738 PPHDE   (  0)      -0.182778852       0.092368772  -1.97879     1.152080

SE of equation            =     0.286255969
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.1593587      -0.990825200E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.222525415
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.8347779    
R squared                 =   0.65529
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54394
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!       *                 +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!             *           +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!             *        +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHDE=THPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHDE=LOG(AATHDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHDE=LOG(ATHDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHDE=EXP(LAATHDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  887 LAATHDE C LATHDE(-1) PTHDE;                                         
EQUATION 778  LAATHDE  
   RHS     C  LATHDE(-1)  PTHDE  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  778 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  778
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHDE 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.008541832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.202409320       0.157755537  -1.28306     1.000000
12743 LATHDE  ( -1)       0.860252400       0.032463520  26.49905    -6.019923
12741 PTHDE   (  0)      -0.543348996       0.159817058  -3.39982     1.154836

SE of equation            =     0.254751120
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.3571733      -0.222000196E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.158116470
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.1447317    
R squared                 =   0.89437
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37226
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1969.2+                                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3*+                                     !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4*+                                     !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!*+                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1! +                       *            !!            . . .            0
 1971.2!                  *     +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1971.3!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!  *          +                        !!       0    . . .            !
 1973.2! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!   +    *                             !!            . . .0           !
 1973.4!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!   +           *                      !!            . . .     0      !
 1974.2!   *       +                          !!         0  . . .            !
 1974.3!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!       + *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1976.3!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!        *    +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.3!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!              +   *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!          *       +                   !!         0  . . .            !
 1980.2!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!        *       +                     !!         0  . . .            !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1982.3!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                          *    +      !!           0. . .            !
 1992.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2005.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                         +       *    !!            . . .  0         !
 2006.4!                            *    +    !!           0. . .            !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 2010.4!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 2011.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2011.4!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !


     14.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHDE=CHPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHDE=LOG(AACHDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHDE=LOG(ACHDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHDE=EXP(LAACHDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  888 LAACHDE C LACHDE(-1) PCHDE;                                         
EQUATION 779  LAACHDE  
   RHS     C  LACHDE(-1)  PCHDE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  779 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  779
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHDE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.483314138

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.067755935       0.171104308   0.39599     1.000000
12746 LACHDE  ( -1)       0.973560392       0.022463828  43.33902    -4.509831
12744 PCHDE   (  0)      -0.143074610       0.194723047  -0.73476     1.121635

SE of equation            =     0.225301826
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.24359227      -0.238875586E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.166895475
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.0288298    
R squared                 =   0.96491
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65426
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2*     +                                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.2!*       +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.3!+    *                                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!        +                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!  *   +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!       *     +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                    *    +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                   *  +!          0   .   .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARDE=ARPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARDE=LOG(AAARDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARDE=LOG(AARDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARDE=EXP(LAAARDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  889 LAAARDE C LAARDE(-1) PARDE;                                         
EQUATION 780  LAAARDE  
   RHS     C  LAARDE(-1)  PARDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  780 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  780
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.418863924

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.251271312       0.316632795  -0.79357     1.000000
12749 LAARDE  ( -1)       0.881176080       0.033650472  26.18614    -6.424686
12747 PARDE   (  0)      -0.425536425       0.249576952  -1.70503     1.189822

SE of equation            =     0.505672216
Sum of squared residuals  =  47.3053122      -0.212105888E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.356543344
Sum of ABS residuals      =  67.0301486    
R squared                 =   0.80722
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68320
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!   *         +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.3!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!    *        +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!     *        +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.2!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!        +        *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2*                  +                   !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1975.3!  +       *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                             +        *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.4!                                 *   +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                              +      *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                                *   + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                           *      +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                      *      +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!                    *        +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!      *          +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.4!        +                *            !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1986.1! *                       +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1986.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!      +        *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.4!     *          +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.2!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                         *       +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                      *         +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                            *    +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                              *  +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.4!                              *   +   !!           .0 .  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  890 LAABRDE C LABRDE(-1) PBRDE;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  890 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEDE=CEPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEDE=LOG(AACEDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEDE=LOG(ACEDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEDE=EXP(LAACEDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  891 LAACEDE C LACEDE(-1) PCEDE;                                         
EQUATION 781  LAACEDE  
   RHS     C  LACEDE(-1)  PCEDE  
 SMPL 1988.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   146 to   244
 OLS;EST  781 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  781
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEDE 

 1988.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   99 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.104764631

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.365193550       0.383132128  -0.95318     1.000000
12752 LACEDE  ( -1)       0.893808019       0.037277630  23.97706    -7.131298
12750 PCEDE   (  0)      -0.340461463       0.328089019  -1.03771     1.073718

SE of equation            =     0.296468021
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.43775562       0.202504680E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.204569460
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.2523765    
R squared                 =   0.86813
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33707
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.2   2012.4     99

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.2!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3! *      +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.4*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!  +    *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.1!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!       *          +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1990.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1991.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!             *         +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!          *       +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.4!            +         *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1993.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                                   * +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                                   *  +!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!                                  *  +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !


     17.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.07 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEDE=MEPX$Q/DEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEDE=LOG(AAMEDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEDE=LOG(AMEDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEDE=EXP(LAAMEDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  892 LAAMEDE C LAMEDE(-1) PMEDE;                                         
EQUATION 782  LAAMEDE  
   RHS     C  LAMEDE(-1)  PMEDE  
 SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   109 to   244
 OLS;EST  782 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  782
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEDE 

 1979.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  136 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.497946965

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.012643821       0.416156419  -2.43333     1.000000
12755 LAMEDE  ( -1)       0.769693866       0.055899289  13.76930    -7.512047
12753 PMEDE   (  0)      -0.629661212       0.322532701  -1.95224     1.116993

SE of equation            =     0.451876571
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.1575940       0.220099494E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.322541549
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.8656507    
R squared                 =   0.67058
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36164
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2012.4    136

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!     *               +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.2! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!*        +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    +                   *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.3!  *                   +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!      +                 *             !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!         +        *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!       *             +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.2!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                     *        +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                             *    +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +   *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  893 LAAPEDE C LAPEDE(-1) PPEDE;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  893 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUDE=TUPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUDE=LOG(AATUDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUDE=LOG(ATUDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUDE=EXP(LAATUDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  894 LAATUDE C LATUDE(-1) PTUDE;                                         
EQUATION 783  LAATUDE  
   RHS     C  LATUDE(-1)  PTUDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  783 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  783
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.985115899

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.102916729       0.171264896  -0.60092     1.000000
12758 LATUDE  ( -1)       0.955623323       0.023760245  40.21942    -5.993952
12756 PTUDE   (  0)      -0.132467109       0.154100600  -0.85961     1.164355

SE of equation            =     0.291436068
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.7129717       0.303934655E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.214023238
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.2363688    
R squared                 =   0.91895
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66695
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!           *          +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!             *     +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!          *     +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!       *      +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!     *       +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!   *     +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3*      +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.4!+   *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!           *      +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  895 LAAPDDE C LAPDDE(-1) PPDDE;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  895 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  896 LAARUDE C LARUDE(-1) PRUDE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  896 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  897 LAAUEDE C LAUEDE(-1) PUEDE;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  897 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  898 LAAEGDE C LAEGDE(-1) PEGDE;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  898 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   899 LAAISDE C LAISDE(-1) PISDE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  899 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  900 LAAKEDE C LAKEDE(-1) PKEDE;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  900 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBADE=BAPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABADE=LOG(AABADE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABADE=LOG(ABADE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABADE=EXP(LAABADE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  901 LAABADE C LABADE(-1) PBADE;                                         
EQUATION 784  LAABADE  
   RHS     C  LABADE(-1)  PBADE  
 SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   140 to   244
 OLS;EST  784 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  784
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABADE 

 1986.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  105 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.218152637

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.211494780       0.291592619  -0.72531     1.000000
12761 LABADE  ( -1)       0.921694457       0.030680233  30.04196    -7.269150
12759 PBADE   (  0)      -0.265754088       0.314367920  -0.84536     1.154158

SE of equation            =     0.307210876
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.62660929      -0.799182942E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.223707951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.4893349    
R squared                 =   0.93477
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.11050
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.4   2012.4    105

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1*   +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1! *       +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!      *   +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!           *     +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        * +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.4!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !


     27.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.81 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKDE=HKPX$/DEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKDE=LOG(AAHKDE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKDE=LOG(AHKDE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKDE=EXP(LAAHKDE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  902 LAAHKDE C LAHKDE(-1) PHKDE;                                         
EQUATION 785  LAAHKDE  
   RHS     C  LAHKDE(-1)  PHKDE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  785 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  785
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKDE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.240622836

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.366593519       0.104888437  -3.49508     1.000000
12764 LAHKDE  ( -1)       0.883099126       0.030853208  28.62260    -5.249052
12762 PHKDE   (  0)      -0.153174258       0.046767604  -3.27522     1.557676

SE of equation            =     0.181285274
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.07990487       0.300888203E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.127976226
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.0595305    
R squared                 =   0.95901
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55994
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1*       +                              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1967.2*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!*        +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!  *   +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!    *   +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.2!    *     +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.3!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.2!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!               *    +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.2!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                 *   +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!         0.   .   .          !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  903 LAASIDE C LASIDE(-1) PSIDE;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  903 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  904 LAAVIDE C LAVIDE(-1) PVIDE;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  904 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  905 LAANIDE C LANIDE(-1) PNIDE;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  905 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  906 LAAALDE C LAALDE(-1) PALDE;SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  906 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  907 LAAIADE C LAIADE(-1) PIADE;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  907 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  908 LAAINDE C LAINDE(-1) PINDE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  908 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  909 LAAIQDE C LAIQDE(-1) PIQDE;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  909 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  910 LAAKUDE C LAKUDE(-1) PKUDE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  910 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  911 LAALIDE C LALIDE(-1) PLIDE;SMPL 2011.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  911 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  912 LAAUADE C LAUADE(-1) PUADE;SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  912 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSNO=USPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSNO=LOG(AAUSNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSNO=LOG(AUSNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSNO=EXP(LAAUSNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  913 LAAUSNO C LAUSNO(-1) PUSNO;                                         
EQUATION 786  LAAUSNO  
   RHS     C  LAUSNO(-1)  PUSNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  786 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  786
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.052927029

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.248599571       0.199191113  -6.26835     1.000000
12767 LAUSNO  ( -1)       0.567009566       0.060420042   9.38446    -3.052446
12765 PUSNO   (  0)      -0.064905301       0.075240842  -0.86263     1.133361

SE of equation            =     0.147547918
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.02752178       0.216879847E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.109723978
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.6281078    
R squared                 =   0.32720
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39274
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!            +                   *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!   *           +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!  *           +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!              +              *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .         0!
 1992.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             *         +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!             +             *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.3!       *              +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2001.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2*               +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2002.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   914 LAACANO C LACANO(-1) PCANO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  914 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   915 LAAJANO C LAJANO(-1) PJANO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  915 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUNO=AUPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUNO=LOG(AAAUNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUNO=LOG(AAUNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUNO=EXP(LAAAUNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  916 LAAAUNO C LAAUNO(-1) PAUNO;                                         
EQUATION 787  LAAAUNO  
   RHS     C  LAAUNO(-1)  PAUNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  787 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  787
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.531894109

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.448909678       0.155357793  -2.88952     1.000000
12770 LAAUNO  ( -1)       0.844209289       0.039616343  21.30962    -4.532153
12768 PAUNO   (  0)      -0.263347953       0.133246707  -1.97639     0.975511

SE of equation            =     0.098849411
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.80767310       0.180069293E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.079136986
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.8777534    
R squared                 =   0.79254
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50747
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*       +                              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1966.2! +    *                               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.4!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.1!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.2!       +  *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.3!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.4!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.1!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1968.3!         *  +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.4!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.2!              +   *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.3!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1969.4!                   *  +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.1!                  +       *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1970.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1970.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.4!                    *       +         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1971.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1971.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.1!                          +*          !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.2!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.3!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1972.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1973.1!                         *      +     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1973.2!                     *  +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.1!                     +         *      !!        .     .     .        0
 1974.2!                            *+        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.4!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.1!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.2!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1975.3!                        +      *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.2!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.3!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.1!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.2!                           *  +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1977.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1978.1!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.3!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1978.4!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.1!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.2!                           +     *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1979.3!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.1!                            *    +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.2!                            +         *!        .     .     .        0
 1980.3!                                   *+ !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!                                 *+   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.1!                            *    +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1981.3!                               * +    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.4!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.1!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.2!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.4!                        *      +      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1983.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.2!                      *      +        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1983.3!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1983.4!                        *      +      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1984.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1984.3!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.4!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.1!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.2!                                * +   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.4!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.1!                                +     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.3!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.1!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.3!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.4!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.2!                 *      +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                 +    *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!                      +     *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.4!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.1!              *     +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.2!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.3!               *   +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.1!             *   +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.3!               +    *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.4!              *     +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.1!          *    +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.2!          +   *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.3!           *   +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!              +        *              !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!                *   +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.4!                +     *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.1!                  *   +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.2!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.3!         *        +                   !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1998.4!     *    +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.1!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.2!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2000.1!              *      +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2000.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.3!             *   +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.4!       *      +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2001.1!         +        *                   !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2001.2!               *   +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.3!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!             +  *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.1!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.2!            *      +                  !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2002.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.4!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.2!       * +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!      *    +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.2!        +     *                       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.4!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.2!       * +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.3!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.1!       *   +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.2!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!         +     *                      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2006.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.1!                +        *            !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2007.2!                 *      +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2007.3!                 +    *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.4!                  *  +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.1!                 +   *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.3!             *    +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.4!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.1! *        +                           !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!    +  *                              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4*        +                             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2011.1! *+                                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!    +     *                           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2011.3!      *    +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.4!    *   +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.1!       +  *                           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.2!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!           +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!       *    +                         !!        0     .     .        !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRNO=FRPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRNO=LOG(AAFRNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRNO=LOG(AFRNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRNO=EXP(LAAFRNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  917 LAAFRNO C LAFRNO(-1) PFRNO;                                         
EQUATION 788  LAAFRNO  
   RHS     C  LAFRNO(-1)  PFRNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  788 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  788
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.402653517

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.389830881       0.191066901  -7.27405     1.000000
12773 LAFRNO  ( -1)       0.442592206       0.066084512   6.69737    -3.403866
12771 PFRNO   (  0)      -0.438007528       0.101732430  -4.30549     1.155912

SE of equation            =     0.199891024
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.39193800       0.649080789E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155423884
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2196901    
R squared                 =   0.41483
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11144
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4! *      +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.4!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                +                   * !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.4!           *             +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.2!                     +                *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.3!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                     +              * !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1977.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!               *         +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                        +           * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                +          *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                +         *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.1!                *         +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                    +               * !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1997.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGENO=GEPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGENO=LOG(AAGENO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGENO=LOG(AGENO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGENO=EXP(LAAGENO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  918 LAAGENO C LAGENO(-1) PGENO;                                         
EQUATION 789  LAAGENO  
   RHS     C  LAGENO(-1)  PGENO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  789 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  789
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGENO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.856042075

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.091539769       0.102020339  -0.89727     1.000000
12776 LAGENO  ( -1)       0.578048485       0.056915415  10.15627    -1.854306
12774 PGENO   (  0)      -0.712247375       0.134146548  -5.30947     0.972448

SE of equation            =     0.078230880
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.13221306      -0.167521552E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.061162951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.4986347    
R squared                 =   0.65075
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40449
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!                +             *       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.4!          *             +             !!0        .    .    .         !
 1971.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!            +         *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!             +         *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!           +         *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                           *    +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!                            +         *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.3!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                     *        +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                            *    +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                              +     * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4! *            +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1993.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!    *      +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!       *        +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2001.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!    *               +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 2002.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.1!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!    *      +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!   *        +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!    +  *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4*       +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITNO=ITPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITNO=LOG(AAITNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITNO=LOG(AITNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITNO=EXP(LAAITNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  919 LAAITNO C LAITNO(-1) PITNO;                                         
EQUATION 790  LAAITNO  
   RHS     C  LAITNO(-1)  PITNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  790 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  790
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.455409178

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.461192555       0.149034469  -3.09454     1.000000
12779 LAITNO  ( -1)       0.831009447       0.039904813  20.82479    -3.455742
12777 PITNO   (  0)      -0.143555115       0.089894528  -1.59693     0.853067

SE of equation            =     0.145801385
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.93273814      -0.731237293E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.106984665
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1131170    
R squared                 =   0.71001
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62602
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                +              *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1972.1!            *                +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!   *          +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!*          +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!  *              +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1977.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                           *     +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                     *       +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.1!                         *         +  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNENO=NEPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANENO=LOG(AANENO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANENO=LOG(ANENO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANENO=EXP(LAANENO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  920 LAANENO C LANENO(-1) PNENO;                                         
EQUATION 791  LAANENO  
   RHS     C  LANENO(-1)  PNENO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  791 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  791
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANENO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.102770471

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.323690111       0.158922754  -2.03678     1.000000
12782 LANENO  ( -1)       0.472641052       0.063289018   7.46798    -3.107117
12780 PNENO   (  0)      -1.185980620       0.191421392  -6.19565     1.105017

SE of equation            =     0.182208564
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.14199275       0.213500329E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.138914508
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1159276    
R squared                 =   0.62842
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31909
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3*       +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!        +        *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!   *               +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!             +           *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!          *           +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +                      * !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!         +                  *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!          +              *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.1!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                 *  +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!               *  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!              *     +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!              *     +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         *   +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      *      +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTNO=STPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTNO=LOG(AASTNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTNO=LOG(ASTNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTNO=EXP(LAASTNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  921 LAASTNO C LASTNO(-1) PSTNO;                                         
EQUATION 792  LAASTNO  
   RHS     C  LASTNO(-1)  PSTNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  792 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  792
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.028808871

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.248683546       0.076971261  -3.23086     1.000000
12785 LASTNO  ( -1)       0.870624504       0.035212303  24.72501    -4.023673
12783 PSTNO   (  0)      -0.317297459       0.096799142  -3.27790     0.873051

SE of equation            =     0.094601023
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.65563040       0.585602677E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071928619
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.5225803    
R squared                 =   0.95264
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56186
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.4!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                                 *  + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!                             *    +   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                               * +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.4!                              *   +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                           *   +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.3!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                          *   +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1978.4!                           * +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                       *   +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                       *   +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                       *  +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                  *  +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.4!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!            *  +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!        *   +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!          *    +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.1!      *   +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!      *  +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!       *  +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!        + *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!*   +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.3! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1! *   +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.2!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2005.4!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.1!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!  *  +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .         0
 2008.4!      *      +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 2009.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!  *    +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.3!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1+     *                                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.3!        *   +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.4!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKNO=UKPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKNO=LOG(AAUKNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKNO=LOG(AUKNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKNO=EXP(LAAUKNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  922 LAAUKNO C LAUKNO(-1) PUKNO;                                         
EQUATION 793  LAAUKNO  
   RHS     C  LAUKNO(-1)  PUKNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  793 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  793
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.234411214

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.113910821       0.113674983  -1.00207     1.000000
12788 LAUKNO  ( -1)       0.881018657       0.035486488  24.82688    -2.230594
12786 PUKNO   (  0)      -0.162073270       0.106924647  -1.51577     0.958243

SE of equation            =     0.126679261
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.96881249       0.279554158E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.093878854
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6492246    
R squared                 =   0.78527
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75395
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.4!                       *            + !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!              *        +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!              *        +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1997.4!                    *         +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.3!                 *        +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFINO=FIPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFINO=LOG(AAFINO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFINO=LOG(AFINO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFINO=EXP(LAAFINO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  923 LAAFINO C LAFINO(-1) PFINO;                                         
EQUATION 794  LAAFINO  
   RHS     C  LAFINO(-1)  PFINO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  794 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  794
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFINO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.296244395

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.218383533       0.280122311  -4.34947     1.000000
12791 LAFINO  ( -1)       0.616556148       0.053276829  11.57269    -3.304164
12789 PFINO   (  0)      -0.044557912       0.233265251  -0.19102     0.912477

SE of equation            =     0.232304992
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.98363770      -0.207731610E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.167111184
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.4169025    
R squared                 =   0.41995
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57686
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3*            +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.4!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1! *      +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!        *            +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.3!   *         +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                   *            +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!           *            +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!                    *        +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!          *          +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.1!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.4!                    *        +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASNO=ASPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASNO=LOG(AAASNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASNO=LOG(AASNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASNO=EXP(LAAASNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  924 LAAASNO C LAASNO(-1) PASNO;                                         
EQUATION 795  LAAASNO  
   RHS     C  LAASNO(-1)  PASNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  795 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  795
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.233504196

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.370439012       0.394414087  -6.01003     1.000000
12794 LAASNO  ( -1)       0.565635509       0.060146077   9.40436    -6.235615
12792 PASNO   (  0)      -0.314430467       0.193991462  -1.62085     1.068535

SE of equation            =     0.638788057
Sum of squared residuals  =  75.4892836      -0.950794998E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.478499412
Sum of ABS residuals      =  89.9578894    
R squared                 =   0.35272
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36655
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!        +        *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!        *        +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.2!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!             *    +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!              +                       *!           .  .  .          0!
 1983.1!  *                         +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!*           +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4*           +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!           +    *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!         *       +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.1!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!    *            +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2005.1!          +        *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!        *        +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!    *       +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!       +        *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  925 LAASONO C LASONO(-1) PSONO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  925 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKONO=KOPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKONO=LOG(AAKONO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKONO=LOG(AKONO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKONO=EXP(LAAKONO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  926 LAAKONO C LAKONO(-1) PKONO;                                         
EQUATION 796  LAAKONO  
   RHS     C  LAKONO(-1)  PKONO  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  796 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  796
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKONO 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.776399274

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.639622784       0.326828692  -5.01677     1.000000
12797 LAKONO  ( -1)       0.471250843       0.073387011   6.42145    -4.800395
12795 PKONO   (  0)      -0.645641396       0.196811754  -3.28050     1.354600

SE of equation            =     0.728830318
Sum of squared residuals  =  73.8359148      -0.502353714E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.537486625
Sum of ABS residuals      =  76.3231008    
R squared                 =   0.40764
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20782
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!  *             +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.4*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.1!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!   *             +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.3!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!      *     +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!    *          +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!          +             *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!    *                 +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.2!          +               *           !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1982.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!             +               *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                 +        *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.3!             *         +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!               +            *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!            *        +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.4!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.2!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.1!                          *    +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!             *          +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !


     28.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBENO=BEPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABENO=LOG(AABENO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABENO=LOG(ABENO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABENO=EXP(LAABENO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  927 LAABENO C LABENO(-1) PBENO;                                         
EQUATION 797  LAABENO  
   RHS     C  LABENO(-1)  PBENO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  797 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  797
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABENO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.527899211

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.795693702       0.181170352  -4.39196     1.000000
12800 LABENO  ( -1)       0.737545159       0.050273008  14.67080    -3.526274
12798 PBENO   (  0)      -0.140388810       0.107011872  -1.31190     0.936108

SE of equation            =     0.113942650
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.40184160      -0.271627165E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.088728196
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6809008    
R squared                 =   0.56560
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38867
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1976.4!                     *      +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!             *         +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!                        *       +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.4!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!*        +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!      *        +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!           +           *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.2!   *                 +                !0          .   .   .          !
 2006.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1*          +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2008.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDENO=DEPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADENO=LOG(AADENO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADENO=LOG(ADENO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADENO=EXP(LAADENO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  928 LAADENO C LADENO(-1) PDENO;                                         
EQUATION 798  LAADENO  
   RHS     C  LADENO(-1)  PDENO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  798 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  798
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADENO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.440923753

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.280226438       0.098500795  -2.84492     1.000000
12803 LADENO  ( -1)       0.705128028       0.049460866  14.25628    -2.444095
12801 PDENO   (  0)      -0.448750854       0.122922590  -3.65068     0.974477

SE of equation            =     0.088126343
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.43675668      -0.783462184E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.067330233
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.6580838    
R squared                 =   0.73550
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38128
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+  *                                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.2!  +*                                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1966.3!   +   *                              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.4!       +*                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1967.1!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.2!        +*                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.3!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1967.4!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.1!           +         *                !!        .     .     .        0
 1968.2!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1968.4!    *        +                        !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1969.1!     +     *                          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1969.2!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.3!            +      *                  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1969.4!      *          +                    !0        .     .     .        !
 1970.1!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1970.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1971.1!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.2!            +*                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!              +       *               !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1971.4!             *      +                 !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.2!               +   *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1972.3!               *   +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1972.4!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1973.1!             *   +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.2!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.4!         *      +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1974.1!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1974.2!      *        +                      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1974.3!           +*                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.1!        *    +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.3!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.4!          *  +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.1!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.2!    *      +                          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1976.3!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.4!       *    +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.1!          +  *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1977.2!     *         +                      !0        .     .     .        !
 1977.3!     *   +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.4!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.1!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.2!          +  *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.3!              +    *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.2!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1979.3!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.4!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.1!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.3!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1980.4!                  *      +            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1981.1!                 *   +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                    *  +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.4!             *        +               !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1982.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1982.2!                *      +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.4!              *      +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.2!                     +      *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.4!                   *        +         !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1984.1!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.2!                      +     *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1984.3!                     *      +         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.1!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.2!                   *     +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.1!                      +               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1987.2!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.3!                       +   *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.4!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.2!                         *  +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.3!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .        0
 1988.4!                             *  +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.1!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.2!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.1!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                      *    +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.4!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.1!                       +   *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.2!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.1!                          +         * !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                               +      *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1993.4!                                  +   !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.1!                           *   +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.2!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.3!                              +    *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.4!                            *   +     !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.1!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.2!                          +   *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.3!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.2!                           +    *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.1!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.2!                  *       +           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1998.3!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.4!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.1!                     +       *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.4!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.1!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.2!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.1!                          +    *      !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.3!                             +      * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.1!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.3!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!                    +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!                   +*                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.2!               *   +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.2!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.3!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.4!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.1!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!                  *   +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.3!                  +     *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2009.4!                *     +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.4!              *      +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.1!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.2!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.4!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWNO=SWPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWNO=LOG(AASWNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWNO=LOG(ASWNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWNO=EXP(LAASWNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  929 LAASWNO C LASWNO(-1) PSWNO;                                         
EQUATION 799  LAASWNO  
   RHS     C  LASWNO(-1)  PSWNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  799 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  799
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.595459223

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.541671750       0.086693646  -6.24811     1.000000
12806 LASWNO  ( -1)       0.285520635       0.068792218   4.15048    -1.596059
12804 PSWNO   (  0)      -0.547787861       0.078560261  -6.97284     1.091809

SE of equation            =     0.080495728
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.19871901       0.149835699E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.063039166
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.8513632    
R squared                 =   0.48064
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07724
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!        +     *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!    *        +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.1!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!            +     *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!             +         *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!        *         +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                  +             *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.3!         *            +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!        *         +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                 +               *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1978.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                *        +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                              +       *!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                    *     +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                       +           *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!            *        +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!           *            +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1993.4!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                 *       +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!              *            +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1994.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3*                         +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                    *     +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.1!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRNO=GRPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRNO=LOG(AAGRNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRNO=LOG(AGRNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRNO=EXP(LAAGRNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  930 LAAGRNO C LAGRNO(-1) PGRNO;                                         
EQUATION 800  LAAGRNO  
   RHS     C  LAGRNO(-1)  PGRNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  800 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  800
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.154687791

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.483020368       0.367963938  -4.03034     1.000000
12809 LAGRNO  ( -1)       0.561181521       0.061013201   9.19771    -7.149306
12807 PGRNO   (  0)      -1.703076709       0.389887309  -4.36813     0.974477

SE of equation            =     0.449352248
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.3547270      -0.494457808E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.315666685
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.3453367    
R squared                 =   0.56451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28212
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!                    +  *              !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                *     +               !!           0. . .            !
 1967.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1967.3!                  +    *              !!            . . .0           !
 1967.4!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1968.1!                 *      +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1968.3!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!                    +       *         !!            . . .  0         !
 1969.1!                 *      +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1969.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!                 +         *          !!            . . .   0        !
 1969.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!               *       +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1970.2!                   +      *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1970.3!                      *  +            !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1971.1!                     *   +            !!           0. . .            !
 1971.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1971.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!                 *      +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!                     +    *           !!            . . .0           !
 1973.1!              *        +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!             *     +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.4!              +   *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1974.1!                 +      *             !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.2!                       +     *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1975.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                          +      *    !!            . . . 0          !
 1976.1!                     *        +       !!         0  . . .            !
 1976.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                  *      +            !!          0 . . .            !
 1977.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                *     +               !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!            . . .0           !
 1980.1!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1*                        +             !0            . . .            !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                *       +             !!         0  . . .            !
 1982.2!              *     +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1982.3!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!            *       +                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1983.1!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 1983.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!            *            +            !!       0    . . .            !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 1987.1!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1987.4!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                         *     +      !!          0 . . .            !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1988.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2!                             +    *   !!            . . .0           !
 1989.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1991.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                              +     * !!            . . . 0          !
 1991.3!                             *   +    !!           0. . .            !
 1991.4!                             +    *   !!            . . .0           !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                             +     *  !!            . . . 0          !
 1995.1!                             *   +    !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 2001.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                          +           *!            . . .    0       !
 2004.4!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 2005.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                       +  *           !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                     +    *           !!            . . .0           !
 2007.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 2008.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                      +    *          !!            . . .0           !
 2008.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 2009.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                     +                !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                    +   *             !!            . . 0            !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRNO=IRPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRNO=LOG(AAIRNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRNO=LOG(AIRNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRNO=EXP(LAAIRNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  931 LAAIRNO C LAIRNO(-1) PIRNO;                                         
EQUATION 801  LAAIRNO  
   RHS     C  LAIRNO(-1)  PIRNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  801 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  801
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.418397717

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.173875499       0.253805991   0.68507     1.000000
12812 LAIRNO  ( -1)       0.915312537       0.028155927  32.50870    -5.432905
12810 PIRNO   (  0)      -0.550492119       0.302096973  -1.82224     1.125297

SE of equation            =     0.349140763
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.5513654       0.120898846E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.229901157
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.2214176    
R squared                 =   0.92846
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49794
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1*        +                             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1967.2!+   *                                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4*        +                             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1968.1! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!            +          *              !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1971.1!         *             +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1971.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!             *      +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.2!       *      +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                *     +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.3!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                  *  +!!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             *    +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                          *       +   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   932 LAAPONO C LAPONO(-1) PPONO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  932 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPNO=SPPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPNO=LOG(AASPNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPNO=LOG(ASPNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPNO=EXP(LAASPNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  933 LAASPNO C LASPNO(-1) PSPNO;                                         
EQUATION 802  LAASPNO  
   RHS     C  LASPNO(-1)  PSPNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  802 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  802
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.682477826

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.778684573       0.197965564  -3.93343     1.000000
12815 LASPNO  ( -1)       0.674267395       0.053930698  12.50248    -4.691733
12813 PSPNO   (  0)      -0.665128469       0.170965056  -3.89044     1.113034

SE of equation            =     0.394920093
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.8529478      -0.833377811E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.296296494
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.7037409    
R squared                 =   0.68291
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44663
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!        *          +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!               *          +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                 *        +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2004.2!                      *       +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 2005.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!          *           +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2009.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2011.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   934 LAANZNO C LANZNO(-1) PNZNO;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  934 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  935 LAASANO C LASANO(-1) PSANO;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  935 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  936 LAAVENO C LAVENO(-1) PVENO;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  936 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   937 LAACONO C LACONO(-1) PCONO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  937 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  938 LAAJONO C LAJONO(-1) PJONO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  938 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  939 LAASYNO C LASYNO(-1) PSYNO;SMPL 2001.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  939 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDNO=IDPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDNO=LOG(AAIDNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDNO=LOG(AIDNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDNO=EXP(LAAIDNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  940 LAAIDNO C LAIDNO(-1) PIDNO;                                         
EQUATION 803  LAAIDNO  
   RHS     C  LAIDNO(-1)  PIDNO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  803 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  803
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDNO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.688955772

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.127662987       0.270434610  -4.16982     1.000000
12818 LAIDNO  ( -1)       0.765217632       0.046605901  16.41890    -6.696369
12816 PIDNO   (  0)      -0.369797214       0.140338274  -2.63504     1.182034

SE of equation            =     0.398839760
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.4285335       0.248956411E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.294723320
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.4079841    
R squared                 =   0.70024
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54047
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!           +         *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.4!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4*         +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.4!  *                    +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1972.1!     +          *                     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!             +           *            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1972.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!        *        +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.2!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                     +          *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2012.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMANO=MAPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMANO=LOG(AAMANO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMANO=LOG(AMANO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMANO=EXP(LAAMANO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  941 LAAMANO C LAMANO(-1) PMANO;                                         
EQUATION 804  LAAMANO  
   RHS     C  LAMANO(-1)  PMANO  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST  804 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  804
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMANO 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.885167821

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.717091689       0.399798345  -6.79616     1.000000
12821 LAMANO  ( -1)       0.491215762       0.070766856   6.94133    -6.892774
12819 PMANO   (  0)      -0.699548415       0.143895391  -4.86151     1.118203

SE of equation            =     0.394950638
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.3059989       0.959055058E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.273000866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.8581264    
R squared                 =   0.59704
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25978
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!        +       *                     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                   +                  *!           .  .  .           0
 1993.3!                            +         *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.4!                    *        +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +                 *!           .  .  .          0!
 1994.2!                   *        +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1994.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.1!                 +            *       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2002.2!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                    +            *    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 2008.2!                 *         +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2008.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !


     19.18 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.48 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPANO=PAPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPANO=LOG(AAPANO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPANO=LOG(APANO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPANO=EXP(LAAPANO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  942 LAAPANO C LAPANO(-1) PPANO;                                         
EQUATION 805  LAAPANO  
   RHS     C  LAPANO(-1)  PPANO  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  805 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  805
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPANO 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.500117270

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.410278453       0.284844121  -4.95105     1.000000
12824 LAPANO  ( -1)       0.645726394       0.053528281  12.06328    -7.512453
12822 PPANO   (  0)      -0.988132155       0.192888924  -5.12280     1.253728

SE of equation            =     0.364094529
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.0778074      -0.213962181E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.269597759
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.6748370    
R squared                 =   0.77249
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36309
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       *        +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!            *         +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2! *             +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!    *       +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!    *        +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3*        +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.4!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!        *            +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!            +        *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!           *        +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.4!                             *     +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHNO=PHPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHNO=LOG(AAPHNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHNO=LOG(APHNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHNO=EXP(LAAPHNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  943 LAAPHNO C LAPHNO(-1) PPHNO;                                         
EQUATION 806  LAAPHNO  
   RHS     C  LAPHNO(-1)  PPHNO  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  806 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  806
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHNO 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.226675424

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.962231724       0.498957259  -5.93684     1.000000
12827 LAPHNO  ( -1)       0.613491932       0.058165771  10.54730    -8.211247
12825 PPHNO   (  0)      -0.204740684       0.152522717  -1.34236     1.108281

SE of equation            =     0.450483077
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.3253655       0.664943656E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.334770212
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.9281786    
R squared                 =   0.39104
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40657
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.1!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!                   +                  *!          .   .   .         0!
 1970.3!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.1!             *           +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!               +                 *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!              *           +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.3!               +              *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.4!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!     *                 +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1975.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +                   *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!        *              +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!       *         +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2! *        +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !


     23.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHNO=THPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHNO=LOG(AATHNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHNO=LOG(ATHNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHNO=EXP(LAATHNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  944 LAATHNO C LATHNO(-1) PTHNO;                                         
EQUATION 807  LAATHNO  
   RHS     C  LATHNO(-1)  PTHNO  
 SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    94 to   244
 OLS;EST  807 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  807
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHNO 

 1975.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  151 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.694653823

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.572144348       0.423018379  -1.35253     1.000000
12830 LATHNO  ( -1)       0.807957290       0.052875107  15.28049    -6.719277
12828 PTHNO   (  0)      -0.638773974       0.369869988  -1.72702     1.085863

SE of equation            =     0.398062928
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.4512060       0.102424735E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.241053563
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.3990881    
R squared                 =   0.67053
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23219
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.2   2012.4    151

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.2!  +                *                  !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1975.3!  *              +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1975.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3! *      +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4! *        +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!      +             *                 !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1981.2!       *          +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.2!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                  +           *       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2006.4!                    *       +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                +      *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                  +                   *!           .  .  .           0


     12.58 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.64 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHNO=CHPX$Q/NOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHNO=LOG(AACHNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHNO=LOG(ACHNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHNO=EXP(LAACHNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  945 LAACHNO C LACHNO(-1) PCHNO;                                         
EQUATION 808  LAACHNO  
   RHS     C  LACHNO(-1)  PCHNO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  808 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  808
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHNO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.866367983

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.283141792       0.377737886   0.74957     1.000000
12833 LACHNO  ( -1)       0.881560200       0.041557779  21.21288    -4.891637
12831 PCHNO   (  0)      -0.764224446       0.424652181  -1.79965     1.095538

SE of equation            =     0.469330937
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.0933980      -0.647615295E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.319373989
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.2411226    
R squared                 =   0.86802
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74287
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!*+                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2+                                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .         0!
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!         *        +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!     *             +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!        +            *                !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.4!         *           +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!          +             *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.3!              *          +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!             *       +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !


     19.05 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   946 LAAARNO C LAARNO(-1) PARNO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  946 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   947 LAABRNO C LABRNO(-1) PBRNO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  947 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  948 LAACENO C LACENO(-1) PCENO;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  948 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   949 LAAMENO C LAMENO(-1) PMENO;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  949 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   950 LAAPENO C LAPENO(-1) PPENO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  950 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  951 LAATUNO C LATUNO(-1) PTUNO;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  951 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDNO=PDPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDNO=LOG(AAPDNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDNO=LOG(APDNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDNO=EXP(LAAPDNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  952 LAAPDNO C LAPDNO(-1) PPDNO;                                         
EQUATION 809  LAAPDNO  
   RHS     C  LAPDNO(-1)  PPDNO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  809 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  809
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDNO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.844882944

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.101510658       0.331286492   0.30641     1.000000
12836 LAPDNO  ( -1)       0.889089118       0.039120888  22.72671    -4.864012
12834 PPDNO   (  0)      -0.567623702       0.343781960  -1.65112     1.095538

SE of equation            =     0.422101888
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.9149104      -0.146549439E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.280923650
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3963799    
R squared                 =   0.85546
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.91153
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.2!       *          +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!       +           *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.4!  *               +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!   +           *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.1!*             +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!  *        +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!   *        +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4*         +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.3!                               *    + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.3!                                 *   +!!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  953 LAARUNO C LARUNO(-1) PRUNO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  953 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  954 LAAUENO C LAUENO(-1) PUENO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  954 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   955 LAAEGNO C LAEGNO(-1) PEGNO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  955 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   956 LAAISNO C LAISNO(-1) PISNO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  956 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  957 LAAKENO C LAKENO(-1) PKENO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  957 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBANO=BAPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABANO=LOG(AABANO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABANO=LOG(ABANO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABANO=EXP(LAABANO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  958 LAABANO C LABANO(-1) PBANO;                                         
EQUATION 810  LAABANO  
   RHS     C  LABANO(-1)  PBANO  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST  810 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  810
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABANO 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.963836416

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.905994700       0.417517618  -4.56506     1.000000
12839 LABANO  ( -1)       0.675025179       0.070554850   9.56738    -8.006229
12837 PBANO   (  0)      -0.567892183       0.372317240  -1.52529     1.150633

SE of equation            =     0.427672546
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.5707073      -0.196180849E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.313288240
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4617064    
R squared                 =   0.66515
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29391
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!      *        +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!            *       +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                 *       +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .          0
 2006.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                     *          +     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                       *        +     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !


     23.64 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.27 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKNO=HKPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKNO=LOG(AAHKNO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKNO=LOG(AHKNO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKNO=EXP(LAAHKNO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  959 LAAHKNO C LAHKNO(-1) PHKNO;                                         
EQUATION 811  LAAHKNO  
   RHS     C  LAHKNO(-1)  PHKNO  
 SMPL 1968.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    68 to   244
 OLS;EST  811 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  811
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKNO 

 1968.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  177 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.466471875

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.493901519       0.140749606  -3.50908     1.000000
12842 LAHKNO  ( -1)       0.859715591       0.038495311  22.33300    -5.475934
12840 PHKNO   (  0)      -0.182762149       0.067440916  -2.70996     1.449010

SE of equation            =     0.249710077
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8497913      -0.243618459E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190638674
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.7430453    
R squared                 =   0.92145
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.84601
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.4   2012.4    177

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3! * +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1! +            *                       !!           .  .  .           0
 1973.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                *     +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.4!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                   *   +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.4!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.4!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                              +     * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.4!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !


     25.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSINO=SIPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASINO=LOG(AASINO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASINO=LOG(ASINO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASINO=EXP(LAASINO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  960 LAASINO C LASINO(-1) PSINO;                                         
EQUATION 812  LAASINO  
   RHS     C  LASINO(-1)  PSINO  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  812 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  812
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASINO 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.794732358

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.137500722       0.303150634  -7.05095     1.000000
12845 LASINO  ( -1)       0.461302240       0.066371071   6.95035    -5.801365
12843 PSINO   (  0)      -0.666093885       0.123137207  -5.40936     1.472839

SE of equation            =     0.476107537
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.6687178       0.687849777E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.323678948
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.6148528    
R squared                 =   0.55449
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35634
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!              +            *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.3!        *           +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!          +          *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.3!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1989.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                +                  *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.4!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!           *         +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                     +                *!          .   .   .         0!
 2011.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                       +             *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 2011.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !


     19.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVINO=VIPX$/NOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVINO=LOG(AAVINO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVINO=LOG(AVINO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVINO=EXP(LAAVINO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  961 LAAVINO C LAVINO(-1) PVINO;                                         
EQUATION 813  LAAVINO  
   RHS     C  LAVINO(-1)  PVINO  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  813 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  813
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVINO 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.165485430

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.391100484       0.772088668  -0.50655     1.000000
12848 LAVINO  ( -1)       0.919131478       0.036741754  25.01599    -8.219421
12846 PVINO   (  0)      -0.209129596       0.657937739  -0.31786     1.050337

SE of equation            =     0.522697173
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.7694731       0.878319639E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.427613141
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.4851827    
R squared                 =   0.87817
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.09774
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3*  +                                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.4!* +                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.1*  +                                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.2* +                                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.3* +                                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.4*  +                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.1!  +*                                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.2!     +   *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!   *         +                        !0        .     .     .        !
 1993.2! *   +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.3!  *+                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.4!  * +                                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!    +        *                        !!        .     .     .       0!
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.3!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!         *     +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1995.1!           +   *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.3!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.4!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!               +     *                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.2!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.4!                *   +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.1!                 +       *            !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.2!                          *  +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.4!                       *    +         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1999.2!                          *  +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2000.2!                           * +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2001.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2001.2!                         *  +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                      *    +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2002.1!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.4!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.2!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.4!                        *    +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.1!                        +      *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2004.2!                           *  +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.3!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                        *    +        !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.1!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2005.2!                             *  +     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .     0        !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!                           *  +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.1!                           +    *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!                            +      *  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2008.2!                                 * +  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.4!                                *  +  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.2!                               +   *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.3!                               *  +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.4!                               +   *  !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                                 * +  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!                                +   * !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.3!                                  +   *!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.4!                                   * +!!        .  0  .     .        !


     28.89 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  962 LAANINO C LANINO(-1) PNINO;SMPL 2001.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  962 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  963 LAAALNO C LAALNO(-1) PALNO;SMPL 2003.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  963 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  964 LAAIANO C LAIANO(-1) PIANO;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  964 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  965 LAAINNO C LAINNO(-1) PINNO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  965 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  966 LAAIQNO C LAIQNO(-1) PIQNO;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  966 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  967 LAAKUNO C LAKUNO(-1) PKUNO;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  967 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  968 LAALINO C LALINO(-1) PLINO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  968 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  969 LAAUANO C LAUANO(-1) PUANO;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  969 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   970 LAAUSSW C LAUSSW(-1) PUSSW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  970 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   971 LAACASW C LACASW(-1) PCASW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  971 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJASW=JAPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJASW=LOG(AAJASW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJASW=LOG(AJASW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJASW=EXP(LAAJASW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  972 LAAJASW C LAJASW(-1) PJASW;                                         
EQUATION 814  LAAJASW  
   RHS     C  LAJASW(-1)  PJASW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  814 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  814
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJASW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.971705764

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.338142011       0.111145824  -3.04233     1.000000
12851 LAJASW  ( -1)       0.908476830       0.031191747  29.12555    -3.974430
12849 PJASW   (  0)      -0.016269264       0.045570311  -0.35701     1.406728

SE of equation            =     0.177313138
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.81639057      -0.148800972E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.137083555
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.7717084    
R squared                 =   0.85452
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.93534
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4*     +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1! *       +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.2!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1968.3!    *       +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.4!    *     +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!    *     +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.2!       *     +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.3!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1971.4!           *       +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                *       +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.4!                      *        +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.2!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                    *    +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                    *    +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!         *       +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   973 LAAAUSW C LAAUSW(-1) PAUSW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  973 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRSW=FRPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRSW=LOG(AAFRSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRSW=LOG(AFRSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRSW=EXP(LAAFRSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  974 LAAFRSW C LAFRSW(-1) PFRSW;                                         
EQUATION 815  LAAFRSW  
   RHS     C  LAFRSW(-1)  PFRSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  815 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  815
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.106604228

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.475473228       0.095734131  -4.96660     1.000000
12854 LAFRSW  ( -1)       0.711129285       0.051417133  13.83059    -3.108413
12852 PFRSW   (  0)      -0.341667879       0.072245452  -4.72926     1.231158

SE of equation            =     0.099301936
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.82426180      -0.257962540E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.073043303
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.7321410    
R squared                 =   0.86833
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42594
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*    +                                !!          0 . . .            !
 1966.2!+  *                                  !!            . . .0           !
 1966.3!  +  *                                !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!*   +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1967.2!+  *                                  !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!  +         *                         !!            . . .     0      !
 1967.4!    *    +                            !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.1!  + *                                 !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2*   +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 1968.3+*                                     !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!+   *                                 !!            . . .0           !
 1969.1!  +*                                  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!  +*                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3*   +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 1969.4! *+                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!    + *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!   *   +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1970.4!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1! *   +                                !!           0. . .            !
 1971.2!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3*      +                               !!        0   . . .            !
 1971.4!  +     *                             !!            . . . 0          !
 1972.1!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!       +    *                         !!            . . . 0          !
 1972.3!        *  +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1972.4!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1973.1!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!     *   +                            !!           0. . .            !
 1973.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1974.2!        + *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1974.4!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!            + *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1975.2!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1975.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!       *  +                           !!           0. . .            !
 1977.3!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!       *   +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1978.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!           +  *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!             +  *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1981.2!            + *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1981.3!        *     +                       !!         0  . . .            !
 1981.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!             *      +                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.2!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                    +   *             !!            . . .0           !
 1985.4!                *     +               !!         0  . . .            !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1989.3!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!             *  +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1990.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1992.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!              *  +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1993.2!              +   *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1994.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                   +                  *!            . . .            0
 1995.2!                         *      +     !!        0   . . .            !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1996.2!                    +     *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                        +    *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1998.1!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!                       +   *          !!            . . .0           !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                         +  *         !!            . . .0           !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                       +      *       !!            . . .   0        !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                           +     *    !!            . . .  0         !
 2001.4!                               +   *  !!            . . .0           !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!                          *   +       !!           0. . .            !
 2002.4!                          +   *       !!            . . . 0          !
 2003.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 2003.3!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 2004.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 2007.3!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                   *   +              !!          0 . . .            !
 2012.4!                *    +                !!           0. . .            !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGESW=GEPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGESW=LOG(AAGESW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGESW=LOG(AGESW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGESW=EXP(LAAGESW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  975 LAAGESW C LAGESW(-1) PGESW;                                         
EQUATION 816  LAAGESW  
   RHS     C  LAGESW(-1)  PGESW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  816 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  816
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGESW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.573689905

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.134077332       0.053212840  -2.51964     1.000000
12857 LAGESW  ( -1)       0.845238730       0.037095645  22.78539    -1.572530
12855 PGESW   (  0)      -0.106834514       0.045174494  -2.36493     1.033836

SE of equation            =     0.034435253
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.219370536       0.339810402E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.028037993
Sum of ABS residuals      =  5.27114269    
R squared                 =   0.80810
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49096
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1969.1!                           *    +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                  *      +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.3!                      *       +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                   *      +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                *    +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                       *      +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                            *       + !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                            +         *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.2!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!              *        +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!           *        +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.1!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!  *        +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.2*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2! +         *                          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1994.3!   *       +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.4!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.4!  *    +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!           *     +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2006.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.4!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!             *    +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                *    +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSW=ITPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSW=LOG(AAITSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSW=LOG(AITSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSW=EXP(LAAITSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  976 LAAITSW C LAITSW(-1) PITSW;                                         
EQUATION 817  LAAITSW  
   RHS     C  LAITSW(-1)  PITSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  817 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  817
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.214999206

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.596579244       0.132643686  -4.49761     1.000000
12860 LAITSW  ( -1)       0.768283860       0.043392561  17.70543    -3.212684
12858 PITSW   (  0)      -0.166228399       0.062291369  -2.66856     0.903376

SE of equation            =     0.078538329
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.14112980      -0.724944549E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.060572310
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.3875942    
R squared                 =   0.67900
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47408
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *           +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!    +       *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!      *        +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!           +               *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!          *           +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2000.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNESW=NEPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANESW=LOG(AANESW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANESW=LOG(ANESW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANESW=EXP(LAANESW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  977 LAANESW C LANESW(-1) PNESW;                                         
EQUATION 818  LAANESW  
   RHS     C  LANESW(-1)  PNESW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  818 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  818
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANESW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.986028765

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.050196262       0.059348888  -0.84578     1.000000
12863 LANESW  ( -1)       0.850983348       0.042184367  20.17296    -2.990763
12861 PNESW   (  0)      -0.332080958       0.099002535  -3.35427     1.176650

SE of equation            =     0.079300979
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.16339937      -0.759836638E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.060030423
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.2857195    
R squared                 =   0.93035
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51258
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4! *    +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.2!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.3!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.1!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1+         *                            !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.1!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!   *      +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1985.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.1!         *        +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1994.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .  0       !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTSW=STPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTSW=LOG(AASTSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTSW=LOG(ASTSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTSW=EXP(LAASTSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  978 LAASTSW C LASTSW(-1) PSTSW;                                         
EQUATION 819  LAASTSW  
   RHS     C  LASTSW(-1)  PSTSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  819 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  819
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.795131029

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.058345546       0.037263890  -1.56574     1.000000
12866 LASTSW  ( -1)       0.931731937       0.021751782  42.83474    -3.787232
12864 PSTSW   (  0)      -0.225002298       0.066955338  -3.36048     0.924882

SE of equation            =     0.056575614
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.592148024      -0.223399077E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.045217051
Sum of ABS residuals      =  8.50080550    
R squared                 =   0.98460
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77165
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 * +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!                                   +* !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                                    + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!                                    + *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.2!                                    * +!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.3!                                    + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                                    +*!!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                                  *  +!!   0     .    .    .         !
 1969.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.3!                                    + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                                   *+ !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                                   + *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!                                     +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                                     +*!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                                   * +!!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                                   + *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.1!                                   *+ !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!                                   +* !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                                  * + !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                                 *+   !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!                               *+     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                                *+    !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!                              *+      !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                            * +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                            +         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                           *+         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!                           + *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                           + *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                          *+          !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                         +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.3!                          *+          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                          +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                          +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!                          *+          !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.2!                          *  +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                          + *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.3!                          * +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                          +           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                         +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                        +             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                     * +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                   + *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!               + *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!              *+                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!             + *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.1!               +                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!           *+                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!          * +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.3!          +*                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!          *+                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!          + *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!          * +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!          +                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!         *+                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!         + *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!       +                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!     *  +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2005.4!      +                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!      *  +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2006.4!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!     + *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !0         .    .    .         !
 2008.1!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!   * +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!    +*                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!     +*                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2009.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!   +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1! + *                                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2! *+                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4+ *                                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.1! +*                                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4* +                                    !!     0   .    .    .         !


     34.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKSW=UKPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKSW=LOG(AAUKSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKSW=LOG(AUKSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKSW=EXP(LAAUKSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  979 LAAUKSW C LAUKSW(-1) PUKSW;                                         
EQUATION 820  LAAUKSW  
   RHS     C  LAUKSW(-1)  PUKSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  820 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  820
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.227229891

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.055284370       0.068942233  -0.80189     1.000000
12869 LAUKSW  ( -1)       0.971217978       0.018160302  53.48028    -2.222793
12867 PUKSW   (  0)      -0.012896180       0.055906642  -0.23067     1.018041

SE of equation            =     0.071674835
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.950397177       0.869682104E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.055500691
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4341299    
R squared                 =   0.93932
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66344
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.2!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 1966.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                               * +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!                             *   +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.4!                            *    +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.4!                                *   + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1979.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                         *     +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.1!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.2!                   *    +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                            *     +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.3!                             *   +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                      *    +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!               *   +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!              *   +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                *   +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!              *     +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!     *    +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2006.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!          *     +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2006.4!      *    +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.3! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!  +*                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!*     +                               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2010.3!+     *                               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2010.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3+   *                                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFISW=FIPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFISW=LOG(AAFISW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFISW=LOG(AFISW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFISW=EXP(LAAFISW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  980 LAAFISW C LAFISW(-1) PFISW;                                         
EQUATION 821  LAAFISW  
   RHS     C  LAFISW(-1)  PFISW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  821 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  821
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFISW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.676289618

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.563114387       0.146735491  -3.83762     1.000000
12872 LAFISW  ( -1)       0.745218959       0.045105683  16.52162    -2.680396
12870 PFISW   (  0)      -0.119121318       0.101652161  -1.17185     0.971224

SE of equation            =     0.128600165
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.05953047      -0.245186094E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.093676693
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6112182    
R squared                 =   0.60497
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62846
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*         +                            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1966.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3! *           +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1966.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.2!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.3!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                    +                 *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.1!                          *        +  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                 *       +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                   +        *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1976.1!                   *       +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSW=ASPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSW=LOG(AAASSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSW=LOG(AASSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSW=EXP(LAAASSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  981 LAAASSW C LAASSW(-1) PASSW;                                         
EQUATION 822  LAAASSW  
   RHS     C  LAASSW(-1)  PASSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  822 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  822
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.140316344

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.901014291       0.381891139  -7.59644     1.000000
12875 LAASSW  ( -1)       0.486926306       0.063817813   7.62994    -6.138121
12873 PASSW   (  0)      -0.220942240       0.086081987  -2.56665     1.133734

SE of equation            =     0.285436627
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.0727025      -0.409761114E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.222400706
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.8113328    
R squared                 =   0.29634
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32831
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.1!      *            +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2*                +                     !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1997.1!            *                +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!           +            *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2011.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  982 LAASOSW C LASOSW(-1) PSOSW;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  982 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOSW=KOPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOSW=LOG(AAKOSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOSW=LOG(AKOSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOSW=EXP(LAAKOSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  983 LAAKOSW C LAKOSW(-1) PKOSW;                                         
EQUATION 823  LAAKOSW  
   RHS     C  LAKOSW(-1)  PKOSW  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  823 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  823
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOSW 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.366864229

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.748441919       0.281547236  -6.21012     1.000000
12878 LAKOSW  ( -1)       0.593132416       0.062456385   9.49675    -5.379704
12876 PKOSW   (  0)      -0.288176957       0.077359851  -3.72515     1.483621

SE of equation            =     0.314903029
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.3704072       0.551558799E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.217839659
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4186662    
R squared                 =   0.60489
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48995
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.4!      *               +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!         *           +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!             *          +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!               +              *       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.3!                  *       +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1990.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                          *     +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                             *    +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESW=BEPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESW=LOG(AABESW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESW=LOG(ABESW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESW=EXP(LAABESW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  984 LAABESW C LABESW(-1) PBESW;                                         
EQUATION 824  LAABESW  
   RHS     C  LABESW(-1)  PBESW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  824 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  824
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.217016263

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.539121020       0.141470201  -3.81085     1.000000
12881 LABESW  ( -1)       0.793231062       0.041241338  19.23388    -3.219622
12879 PBESW   (  0)      -0.124742824       0.084149663  -1.48239     0.993973

SE of equation            =     0.080199912
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.18992478       0.889333052E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.061619842
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.5845302    
R squared                 =   0.68465
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42970
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!       *         +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!    +       *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!     *             +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!             *      +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                        *      +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!              *      +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.4!                        *     +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!             *           +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                  *       +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                  *       +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!                            *    +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESW=DEPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESW=LOG(AADESW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESW=LOG(ADESW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESW=EXP(LAADESW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  985 LAADESW C LADESW(-1) PDESW;                                         
EQUATION 825  LAADESW  
   RHS     C  LADESW(-1)  PDESW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  825 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  825
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.417982657

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.209355667       0.075139363  -2.78623     1.000000
12884 LADESW  ( -1)       0.849370491       0.035265820  24.08481    -2.420624
12882 PDESW   (  0)      -0.147310269       0.063187913  -2.33130     1.036045

SE of equation            =     0.057930069
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.620840192       0.163522529E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.042113997
Sum of ABS residuals      =  7.91743152    
R squared                 =   0.82946
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49423
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!+*                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.4!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!        *      +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!            *     +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                +      *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.4!                  *     +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!              *      +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!        *          +                  !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1986.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!               +      *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                    *     +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                  *   +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!               *    +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!           *            +             !0           .  .  .           !
 2000.1!             +         *              !!           .  .  .        0  !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.1!                      *      +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            +         *!           .  .  .       0   !
 2006.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                             *  +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                          *  +        !!          0.  .  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOSW=NOPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOSW=LOG(AANOSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOSW=LOG(ANOSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOSW=EXP(LAANOSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  986 LAANOSW C LANOSW(-1) PNOSW;                                         
EQUATION 826  LAANOSW  
   RHS     C  LANOSW(-1)  PNOSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  826 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  826
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.530073177

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.330358708       0.093890151  -3.51857     1.000000
12887 LANOSW  ( -1)       0.730048796       0.048127533  15.16905    -2.527878
12885 PNOSW   (  0)      -0.406852354       0.098785619  -4.11854     0.870684

SE of equation            =     0.214940429
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.54688678      -0.387245791E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.086128777
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.1922101    
R squared                 =   0.75507
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.79148
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                                    *+!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                     +*!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                               *  +   !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!  *                         +         !0            . . .            !
 2006.2*        +                             !!         0  . . .            !
 2006.3*      +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 2006.4!*     +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 2007.1!       +                    *         !!            . . .         0  !
 2007.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !


      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRSW=GRPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRSW=LOG(AAGRSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRSW=LOG(AGRSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRSW=EXP(LAAGRSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  987 LAAGRSW C LAGRSW(-1) PGRSW;                                         
EQUATION 827  LAAGRSW  
   RHS     C  LAGRSW(-1)  PGRSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  827 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  827
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.416636842

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.604031936       0.323750796  -4.95453     1.000000
12890 LAGRSW  ( -1)       0.616766678       0.054774262  11.26015    -6.422100
12888 PGRSW   (  0)      -0.822765278       0.241257403  -3.41032     1.035128

SE of equation            =     0.313753098
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.2115862      -0.172857284E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.236088738
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.3846828    
R squared                 =   0.54592
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45313
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!   *          +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                +           *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.4!          *            +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.1!            +               *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1969.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1*             +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!        *             +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1974.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!                  +                *  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!        +              *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!  *            +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.1*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRSW=IRPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRSW=LOG(AAIRSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRSW=LOG(AIRSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRSW=EXP(LAAIRSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  988 LAAIRSW C LAIRSW(-1) PIRSW;                                         
EQUATION 828  LAAIRSW  
   RHS     C  LAIRSW(-1)  PIRSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  828 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  828
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.291713780

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.070311463       0.093696300  -0.75042     1.000000
12893 LAIRSW  ( -1)       0.971395723       0.016296727  59.60680    -5.307483
12891 PIRSW   (  0)      -0.054817322       0.111084913  -0.49347     1.199192

SE of equation            =     0.161995470
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.85486845      -0.188125071E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.124180396
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.3459144    
R squared                 =   0.97581
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58628
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!* +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3*  +                                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!* +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3! +*                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!  * +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!*     +                               !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.4! +    *                               !!          .   .   .         0!
 1969.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!     *  +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!  *   +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.4!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.2!       + *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!         * +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!     *   +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.2!      +*                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!         * +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!           * +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!            *  +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!             +                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!              *+                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!               * +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                        + *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                              +*      !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!                                  * + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                                * +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                * +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                               *+     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                    + !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                   *+ !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                   *+ !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                  *  +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2004.1!                                  *   +!    0     .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                            +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                            *  +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .    0     !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ   989 LAAPOSW C LAPOSW(-1) PPOSW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  989 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPSW=SPPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPSW=LOG(AASPSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPSW=LOG(ASPSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPSW=EXP(LAASPSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  990 LAASPSW C LASPSW(-1) PSPSW;                                         
EQUATION 829  LAASPSW  
   RHS     C  LASPSW(-1)  PSPSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  829 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  829
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.623331329

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.312161805       0.104737352  -2.98042     1.000000
12896 LASPSW  ( -1)       0.882531879       0.035124826  25.12559    -4.632418
12894 PSPSW   (  0)      -0.188270662       0.082130326  -2.29234     1.184001

SE of equation            =     0.162423826
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.88057735      -0.837774294E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.117034046
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.0024006    
R squared                 =   0.91388
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!+    *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!  +             *                     !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.4!      *        +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4*       +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!      *       +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!               *          +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1979.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                            *        +!!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                   * +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZSW=NZPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZSW=LOG(AANZSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZSW=LOG(ANZSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZSW=EXP(LAANZSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  991 LAANZSW C LANZSW(-1) PNZSW;                                         
EQUATION 830  LAANZSW  
   RHS     C  LANZSW(-1)  PNZSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  830 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  830
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.884792259

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.203168695       0.496288478  -6.45425     1.000000
12899 LANZSW  ( -1)       0.550682794       0.060010116   9.17650    -7.880602
12897 PNZSW   (  0)      -0.326072448       0.186007525  -1.75301     1.048575

SE of equation            =     0.362156176
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.2640627      -0.997584237E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.264204634
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.6704712    
R squared                 =   0.32917
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32834
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!             +            *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1*                +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.2!        +                     *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!            *          +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!*                +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!*              +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.4!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!*                 +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!         *             +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ  992 LAASASW C LASASW(-1) PSASW;SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;OLS;EST  992 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ  993 LAAVESW C LAVESW(-1) PVESW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST  993 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   994 LAACOSW C LACOSW(-1) PCOSW;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  994 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   995 LAAJOSW C LAJOSW(-1) PJOSW;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST  995 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ   996 LAASYSW C LASYSW(-1) PSYSW;SMPL 1982.4 2012.4;OLS;EST  996 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDSW=IDPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDSW=LOG(AAIDSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDSW=LOG(AIDSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDSW=EXP(LAAIDSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  997 LAAIDSW C LAIDSW(-1) PIDSW;                                         
EQUATION 831  LAAIDSW  
   RHS     C  LAIDSW(-1)  PIDSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  831 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  831
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.293148672

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.775916603       0.201424464  -3.85215     1.000000
12902 LAIDSW  ( -1)       0.859035611       0.034488863  24.90762    -6.303973
12900 PIDSW   (  0)      -0.081124015       0.071552794  -1.13376     1.256034

SE of equation            =     0.228833044
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.68744398      -0.117328369E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.163750669
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.7851259    
R squared                 =   0.80331
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39190
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!+  *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!          +                      *    !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!             *            +           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1969.3!              +          *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1969.4!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!            *        +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                    *        +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!          *         +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                              *     + !!          0.  .  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMASW=MAPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMASW=LOG(AAMASW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMASW=LOG(AMASW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMASW=EXP(LAAMASW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  998 LAAMASW C LAMASW(-1) PMASW;                                         
EQUATION 832  LAAMASW  
   RHS     C  LAMASW(-1)  PMASW  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  832 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  832
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMASW 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.510655130

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.750851608       0.171521683  -4.37759     1.000000
12905 LAMASW  ( -1)       0.825729382       0.035779186  23.07848    -6.518210
12903 PMASW   (  0)      -0.299704336       0.065096808  -4.60398     1.259661

SE of equation            =     0.173412680
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.38288039      -0.183453253E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.136601695
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8615084    
R squared                 =   0.93025
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45749
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!         +*                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!*    +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.4!+    *                                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.1!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!   * +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2*       +                              !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!  *    +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!  +      *                            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.4!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!             *      +                 !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                 *    +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                      *    +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.2!                               +      *!         .    .    .       0 !
 2000.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                    *    +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!                      *   +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2004.2!                      *    +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.4!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                           *     +    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2009.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !


     28.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPASW=PAPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPASW=LOG(AAPASW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPASW=LOG(APASW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPASW=EXP(LAAPASW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ  999 LAAPASW C LAPASW(-1) PPASW;                                         
EQUATION 833  LAAPASW  
   RHS     C  LAPASW(-1)  PPASW  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  833 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  833
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPASW 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.174539975

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.968713229       0.263933618  -3.67029     1.000000
12908 LAPASW  ( -1)       0.821120860       0.043333712  18.94878    -7.176487
12906 PPASW   (  0)      -0.233688613       0.089302167  -2.61683     1.339660

SE of equation            =     0.246116239
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.63113927       0.228350672E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177533820
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7604788    
R squared                 =   0.79458
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43324
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!            *      +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!      *     +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!           *   +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.3!     *      +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!     *    +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!*   +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1! +     *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!     +          *                     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.2!    *          +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!     *    +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.1!           *          +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.4!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!               +         *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1985.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !


     24.07 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1000 LAAPHSW C LAPHSW(-1) PPHSW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1000 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHSW=THPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHSW=LOG(AATHSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHSW=LOG(ATHSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHSW=EXP(LAATHSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1001 LAATHSW C LATHSW(-1) PTHSW;                                         
EQUATION 834  LAATHSW  
   RHS     C  LATHSW(-1)  PTHSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  834 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  834
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.504763287

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.271666639       0.175165135  -1.55092     1.000000
12911 LATHSW  ( -1)       0.805480118       0.039309025  20.49097    -6.516599
12909 PTHSW   (  0)      -0.806334385       0.197735475  -4.07784     1.220468

SE of equation            =     0.342660844
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.7220439      -0.167181824E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.212421201
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9351857    
R squared                 =   0.87766
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07255
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *       +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.3! +             *                      !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1966.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!      *                 +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!        +                *            !!           .  .  .           0
 1971.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!             *          +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !


     13.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHSW=CHPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHSW=LOG(AACHSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHSW=LOG(ACHSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHSW=EXP(LAACHSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1002 LAACHSW C LACHSW(-1) PCHSW;                                         
EQUATION 835  LAACHSW  
   RHS     C  LACHSW(-1)  PCHSW  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  835 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  835
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHSW 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.828015461

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.139504541       0.205203973   0.67983     1.000000
12914 LACHSW  ( -1)       0.941649297       0.030585452  30.78749    -4.852149
12912 PCHSW   (  0)      -0.346122059       0.239259922  -1.44664     1.151320

SE of equation            =     0.276118946
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.37772571      -0.826450020E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.197790339
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.9215827    
R squared                 =   0.94008
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43329
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.4!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!  *   +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3! +     *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!   *    +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!        *    +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!              *         +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            *      +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!            *       +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2000.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .          0
 2001.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !


     23.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1003 LAAARSW C LAARSW(-1) PARSW;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1003 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRSW=BRPX$Q/SWPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRSW=LOG(AABRSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRSW=LOG(ABRSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRSW=EXP(LAABRSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1004 LAABRSW C LABRSW(-1) PBRSW;                                         
EQUATION 836  LAABRSW  
   RHS     C  LABRSW(-1)  PBRSW  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  836 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  836
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRSW 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.489088909

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.748414956       0.438782846  -3.98469     1.000000
12917 LABRSW  ( -1)       0.623905413       0.070147077   8.89425    -5.484649
12915 PBRSW   (  0)      -0.322117544       0.205849889  -1.56482     0.989613

SE of equation            =     0.333661327
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6935754       0.252500243E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.245824119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9738389    
R squared                 =   0.39763
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18710
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                  +         *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                       +    *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!                     +        *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                        +         *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                     +         *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!               +    *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!              *     +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                *  +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!   *          +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!           +      *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!         *            +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!       *      +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!       *    +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!         *    +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!      *     +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!              +                    *  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1999.4!                  *         +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.3!                        +             *!           .  .  .   0       !
 2000.4*                             +        !0           .  .  .           !
 2001.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.2!            *              +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2004.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                +       *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                     +    *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!             +      *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!            +          *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!          *        +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!    *          +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!  *      +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!         +     *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!     *       +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!     *      +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1005 LAACESW C LACESW(-1) PCESW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1005 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1006 LAAMESW C LAMESW(-1) PMESW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1006 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1007 LAAPESW C LAPESW(-1) PPESW;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1007 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1008 LAATUSW C LATUSW(-1) PTUSW;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1008 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDSW=PDPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDSW=LOG(AAPDSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDSW=LOG(APDSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDSW=EXP(LAAPDSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1009 LAAPDSW C LAPDSW(-1) PPDSW;                                         
EQUATION 837  LAAPDSW  
   RHS     C  LAPDSW(-1)  PPDSW  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  837 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  837
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDSW 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.424479630

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.046340199       0.138574684   0.33441     1.000000
12920 LAPDSW  ( -1)       0.931201114       0.032459074  28.68847    -4.436622
12918 PPDSW   (  0)      -0.294820645       0.164426660  -1.79302     1.151320

SE of equation            =     0.189547765
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.41918771       0.927613542E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.127663509
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.0856022    
R squared                 =   0.93311
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.10865
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  *      +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.4!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3*    +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4+       *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.1!*      +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2! +          *                         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.3! *         +                          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!     +           *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1987.3!     *           +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.4!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1010 LAARUSW C LARUSW(-1) PRUSW;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1010 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1011 LAAUESW C LAUESW(-1) PUESW;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1011 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGSW=EGPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGSW=LOG(AAEGSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGSW=LOG(AEGSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGSW=EXP(LAAEGSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1012 LAAEGSW C LAEGSW(-1) PEGSW;                                         
EQUATION 838  LAAEGSW  
   RHS     C  LAEGSW(-1)  PEGSW  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  838 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  838
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGSW 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.307552776

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.981176505       0.760553956  -3.91974     1.000000
12923 LAEGSW  ( -1)       0.567036596       0.073558262   7.70867    -9.313005
12921 PEGSW   (  0)      -0.908141751       0.467213456  -1.94374     1.151320

SE of equation            =     0.721100154
Sum of squared residuals  =  63.9582082       0.539461809E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.488632530
Sum of ABS residuals      =  61.5676988    
R squared                 =   0.38008
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06949
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!  *          +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!       +                   *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1982.4! *                   +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1983.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1! *                +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2! *       +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!        +                   *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.1!   *                    +             !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1993.2*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!*     +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!       +                *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.1!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!              +                       *!          .   .   .          0
 2000.2!                            +         *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                            +        *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!            *               +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!            +              *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!       *               +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2004.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                +         *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!       *                +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2007.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!             +           *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISSW=ISPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISSW=LOG(AAISSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISSW=LOG(AISSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISSW=EXP(LAAISSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1013 LAAISSW C LAISSW(-1) PISSW;                                         
EQUATION 839  LAAISSW  
   RHS     C  LAISSW(-1)  PISSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  839 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  839
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.411845576

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.944201684       0.344056971  -2.74432     1.000000
12926 LAISSW  ( -1)       0.835200961       0.040774634  20.48335    -6.406271
12924 PISSW   (  0)      -0.110419641       0.211725697  -0.52152     1.060681

SE of equation            =     0.240121685
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.6668083      -0.455795401E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.186159077
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9979065    
R squared                 =   0.69419
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30053
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!       +              *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1968.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!                         +            *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1970.1!                        *        +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!    *      +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3! +      *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1014 LAAKESW C LAKESW(-1) PKESW;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1014 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBASW=BAPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABASW=LOG(AABASW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABASW=LOG(ABASW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABASW=EXP(LAABASW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1015 LAABASW C LABASW(-1) PBASW;                                         
EQUATION 840  LAABASW  
   RHS     C  LABASW(-1)  PBASW  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST  840 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  840
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABASW 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.793294201

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.339904006       0.172616728  -1.96913     1.000000
12929 LABASW  ( -1)       0.930065728       0.032175926  28.90564    -7.826199
12927 PBASW   (  0)      -0.130971095       0.113220936  -1.15677     1.332437

SE of equation            =     0.308879356
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.4028394       0.326405569E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.246610410
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.7991845    
R squared                 =   0.94003
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.89749
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4! *   +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.1*  +                                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3! +   *                                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!     +*                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!            +*                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!           *     +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1982.4!        *   +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!         *   +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.3!          +*                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!           + *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!           * +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!           *  +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!              +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!              *   +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.4!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                 *     +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!               *    +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.3!                +      *              !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.4!                    *  +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                     *   +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                     *  +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                   *   +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                   *   +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                        * +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                        + *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                        * +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                          +           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                             *  +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                              *  +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                                *  +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!                                      +!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!         .    0    .         !


     29.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSW=HKPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSW=LOG(AAHKSW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSW=LOG(AHKSW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSW=EXP(LAAHKSW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1016 LAAHKSW C LAHKSW(-1) PHKSW;                                         
EQUATION 841  LAAHKSW  
   RHS     C  LAHKSW(-1)  PHKSW  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  841 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  841
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSW 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.307279643

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.309058275       0.109407476  -2.82484     1.000000
12932 LAHKSW  ( -1)       0.902983178       0.032431625  27.84267    -5.315035
12930 PHKSW   (  0)      -0.123066979       0.050356518  -2.44391     1.615659

SE of equation            =     0.204307418
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.72218139      -0.237019293E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.115383231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.6920474    
R squared                 =   0.95455
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41379
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!  *              +                    !0            . . .            !
 1967.2!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3*    +                                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1967.4! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!   +    *                             !!            . . .  0         !
 1968.3*        +                             !!    0       . . .            !
 1968.4!+     *                               !!            . . .   0        !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1969.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!   *  +                               !!           0. . .            !
 1970.1!    + *                               !!            . . 0            !
 1970.2!    *  +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1970.3!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!       +*                             !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!   *     +                            !!        0   . . .            !
 1971.3!    +*                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!        +  *                          !!            . . .0           !
 1972.4!        *  +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1973.1!        +          *                  !!            . . .        0   !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!                   +   *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.4!                 *   +                !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1974.3!                 + *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                    +   *             !!            . . . 0          !
 1975.2!                         +            !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!           0. . .            !
 1977.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1978.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1978.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!                           +  *       !!            . . .0           !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                            +         !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1982.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                            +         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                              +*      !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                                     +!!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                                    + *!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                                 *   +!!          0 . . .            !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!                                +     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !


     12.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSISW=SIPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASISW=LOG(AASISW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASISW=LOG(ASISW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASISW=EXP(LAASISW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1017 LAASISW C LASISW(-1) PSISW;                                         
EQUATION 842  LAASISW  
   RHS     C  LASISW(-1)  PSISW  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  842 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  842
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASISW 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.738149271

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.138972026       0.261522174  -4.35516     1.000000
12935 LASISW  ( -1)       0.806297386       0.043699694  18.45087    -6.743175
12933 PSISW   (  0)      -0.102903966       0.055110238  -1.86724     1.575966

SE of equation            =     0.273931773
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.1317578      -0.617355056E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.193619077
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4641956    
R squared                 =   0.74713
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29692
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1! * +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!      +               *               !!          .   .   .         0!
 1972.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!     *              +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                           *       +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!              +                *      !!          .   .   .          0
 2002.3!                      *      +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.4!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                    *        +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 2010.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                              *    +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !


     23.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVISW=VIPX$/SWPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVISW=LOG(AAVISW+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVISW=LOG(AVISW+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVISW=EXP(LAAVISW)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1018 LAAVISW C LAVISW(-1) PVISW;                                         
EQUATION 843  LAAVISW  
   RHS     C  LAVISW(-1)  PVISW  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST  843 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  843
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVISW 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.751201636

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.046441119       0.443343331   0.10475     1.000000
12938 LAVISW  ( -1)       0.964697608       0.025282041  38.15743    -7.805339
12936 PVISW   (  0)      -0.243054731       0.412706138  -0.58893     1.102020

SE of equation            =     0.388002202
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.3018423      -0.173470127E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.241169295
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.6345909    
R squared                 =   0.94385
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.05663
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.2!    *         +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1993.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1996.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                *       +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !


     14.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1019 LAANISW C LANISW(-1) PNISW;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1019 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1020 LAAALSW C LAALSW(-1) PALSW;SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1020 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1021 LAAIASW C LAIASW(-1) PIASW;SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1021 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1022 LAAINSW C LAINSW(-1) PINSW;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1022 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1023 LAAIQSW C LAIQSW(-1) PIQSW;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1023 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1024 LAAKUSW C LAKUSW(-1) PKUSW;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1024 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1025 LAALISW C LALISW(-1) PLISW;SMPL 2006.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1025 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1026 LAAUASW C LAUASW(-1) PUASW;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1026 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1027 LAAUSGR C LAUSGR(-1) PUSGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1027 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1028 LAACAGR C LACAGR(-1) PCAGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1028 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1029 LAAJAGR C LAJAGR(-1) PJAGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1029 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUGR=AUPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUGR=LOG(AAAUGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUGR=LOG(AAUGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUGR=EXP(LAAAUGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1030 LAAAUGR C LAAUGR(-1) PAUGR;                                         
EQUATION 844  LAAAUGR  
   RHS     C  LAAUGR(-1)  PAUGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  844 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  844
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.358820628

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.316896623       0.231246013  -5.69479     1.000000
12941 LAAUGR  ( -1)       0.694796026       0.065845062  10.55198    -4.356015
12939 PAUGR   (  0)      -0.013672776       0.123566599  -0.11065     1.125033

SE of equation            =     0.142933460
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.77954520       0.119457777E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.110618795
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.7963335    
R squared                 =   0.49006
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33537
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                            +         *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!              *        +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!           *          +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                +              *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                          +         * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                        *      +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!        *               +             !!0        .    .    .         !
 1985.1!            +            *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!     *          +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!               +             *        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1988.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                +            *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!           *         +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!            *            +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!           *          +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!   *          +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.4*        +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.1!   *  +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!   *           +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.1!        +         *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!     *               +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1996.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!  *            +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!      *           +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2000.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                 *         +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!             *       +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRGR=FRPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRGR=LOG(AAFRGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRGR=LOG(AFRGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRGR=EXP(LAAFRGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1031 LAAFRGR C LAFRGR(-1) PFRGR;                                         
EQUATION 845  LAAFRGR  
   RHS     C  LAFRGR(-1)  PFRGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  845 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  845
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.672129046

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.027836140       0.151159935  -6.79966     1.000000
12944 LAFRGR  ( -1)       0.550256064       0.067326508   8.17295    -2.672835
12942 PFRGR   (  0)      -0.130278606       0.059791561  -2.17888     1.332138

SE of equation            =     0.136559596
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.44997679       0.157749369E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.101934231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1636354    
R squared                 =   0.41746
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39438
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!             +           *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                   +            *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 2000.3!                  *          +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1032 LAAGEGR C LAGEGR(-1) PGEGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1032 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1033 LAAITGR C LAITGR(-1) PITGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1033 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1034 LAANEGR C LANEGR(-1) PNEGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1034 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTGR=STPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTGR=LOG(AASTGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTGR=LOG(ASTGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTGR=EXP(LAASTGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1035 LAASTGR C LASTGR(-1) PSTGR;                                         
EQUATION 846  LAASTGR  
   RHS     C  LASTGR(-1)  PSTGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  846 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  846
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.849410037

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.005417530       0.230688452  -8.69319     1.000000
12947 LASTGR  ( -1)       0.355339879       0.074465081   4.77190    -3.845117
12945 PSTGR   (  0)      -0.473336067       0.082973666  -5.70465     1.009154

SE of equation            =     0.146720408
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.98247243       0.325059979E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.111089240
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.8847771    
R squared                 =   0.54148
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17819
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                          +         * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!    *                      +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!           *      +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!*           +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!     +                *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!      *         +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1*             +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.2*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!         *  +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!          *  +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           +                  *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2007.2!   *               +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2007.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!   *       +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!        +         *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1036 LAAUKGR C LAUKGR(-1) PUKGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1036 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1037 LAAFIGR C LAFIGR(-1) PFIGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1037 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASGR=ASPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASGR=LOG(AAASGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASGR=LOG(AASGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASGR=EXP(LAAASGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1038 LAAASGR C LAASGR(-1) PASGR;                                         
EQUATION 847  LAAASGR  
   RHS     C  LAASGR(-1)  PASGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  847 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  847
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.262835843

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.046911350       0.314480214  -3.32902     1.000000
12950 LAASGR  ( -1)       0.819771694       0.043274723  18.94343    -6.241138
12948 PASGR   (  0)      -0.081243662       0.150299128  -0.54055     1.226139

SE of equation            =     0.543181509
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.5835381      -0.959321511E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.427122239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  80.2989809    
R squared                 =   0.66332
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48086
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!             *            +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1976.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                +       *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.1!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!          *        +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!         *          +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!        *     +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2000.4!                   *         +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!             *      +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!       *       +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.4!         *            +               !0         .    .    .         !
 2006.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!        *      +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!    *      +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3*         +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.4!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1039 LAASOGR C LASOGR(-1) PSOGR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1039 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1040 LAAKOGR C LAKOGR(-1) PKOGR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1040 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1041 LAABEGR C LABEGR(-1) PBEGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1041 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1042 LAADEGR C LADEGR(-1) PDEGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1042 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOGR=NOPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOGR=LOG(AANOGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOGR=LOG(ANOGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOGR=EXP(LAANOGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1043 LAANOGR C LANOGR(-1) PNOGR;                                         
EQUATION 848  LAANOGR  
   RHS     C  LANOGR(-1)  PNOGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  848 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  848
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.785324533

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.664263419       0.218631794  -3.03827     1.000000
12953 LANOGR  ( -1)       0.812963293       0.043274032  18.78640    -4.778026
12951 PNOGR   (  0)      -0.250439200       0.165546904  -1.51280     0.945144

SE of equation            =     0.517715181
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.5853666      -0.865085781E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.415715494
Sum of ABS residuals      =  78.1545129    
R squared                 =   0.69262
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47094
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1966.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!              *           +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!               +            *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.2!               *          +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!       +      *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!   *             +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1990.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.3!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !


     34.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1044 LAASWGR C LASWGR(-1) PSWGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1044 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1045 LAAIRGR C LAIRGR(-1) PIRGR;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1045 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOGR=POPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOGR=LOG(AAPOGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOGR=LOG(APOGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOGR=EXP(LAAPOGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1046 LAAPOGR C LAPOGR(-1) PPOGR;                                         
EQUATION 849  LAAPOGR  
   RHS     C  LAPOGR(-1)  PPOGR  
 SMPL 1973.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    88 to   244
 OLS;EST  849 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  849
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOGR 

 1973.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  157 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.086948951

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.710616855       0.346334275  -4.93921     1.000000
12956 LAPOGR  ( -1)       0.632522324       0.063322035   9.98898    -6.089823
12954 PPOGR   (  0)      -0.405528673       0.170526189  -2.37810     1.293085

SE of equation            =     0.378360120
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.0460826      -0.278097545E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.262330218
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.1858442    
R squared                 =   0.51195
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10616
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.4   2012.4    157

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.4!*              +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!    *               +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                   +                  *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.2!             *                 +      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.3!   *           +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3*             +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!         +                     *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.3!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                    *         +       !!       0  .   .   .          !


     21.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.37 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPGR=SPPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPGR=LOG(AASPGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPGR=LOG(ASPGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPGR=EXP(LAASPGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1047 LAASPGR C LASPGR(-1) PSPGR;                                         
EQUATION 850  LAASPGR  
   RHS     C  LASPGR(-1)  PSPGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  850 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  850
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.074333666

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.177369479       0.131456454  -1.34926     1.000000
12959 LASPGR  ( -1)       0.896297914       0.040909360  21.90936    -4.090417
12957 PSPGR   (  0)      -0.180705691       0.171741771  -1.05219     1.276840

SE of equation            =     0.305005779
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.2102772      -0.738475947E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.216257446
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6563999    
R squared                 =   0.88979
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41026
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!      *      +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!             *        +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1972.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!            *       +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       *     +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!                       *        +     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.1!                   *     +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             *      +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                     *       +        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1048 LAANZGR C LANZGR(-1) PNZGR;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1048 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1049 LAASAGR C LASAGR(-1) PSAGR;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1049 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1050 LAAVEGR C LAVEGR(-1) PVEGR;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1050 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1051 LAACOGR C LACOGR(-1) PCOGR;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1051 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOGR=JOPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOGR=LOG(AAJOGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOGR=LOG(AJOGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOGR=EXP(LAAJOGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1052 LAAJOGR C LAJOGR(-1) PJOGR;                                         
EQUATION 851  LAAJOGR  
   RHS     C  LAJOGR(-1)  PJOGR  
 SMPL 1985.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   133 to   244
 OLS;EST  851 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  851
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOGR 

 1985.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  112 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.882396960

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.911047609       0.687168172  -4.23630     1.000000
12962 LAJOGR  ( -1)       0.666959784       0.071275356   9.35751    -8.881326
12960 PJOGR   (  0)      -0.038384411       0.240770015  -0.15942     1.246920

SE of equation            =     0.721191917
Sum of squared residuals  =  56.6928381      -0.103481668E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.547789222
Sum of ABS residuals      =  61.3523929    
R squared                 =   0.44699
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27265
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.1   2012.4    112

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                     +                *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.1!                           *    +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!               *       +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                +          *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.1!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!          *                  +        !0         .    .    .         !
 1988.3!             +      *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.3!                *           +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!               +     *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!            *        +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!             +         *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!         *            +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.4!             +            *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.1!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                 *       +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!          *                +          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2000.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!*           +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!            *       +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.4!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!     *         +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3! *            +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.4!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1*       +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !


     30.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.68 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYGR=SYPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYGR=LOG(AASYGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYGR=LOG(ASYGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYGR=EXP(LAASYGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1053 LAASYGR C LASYGR(-1) PSYGR;                                         
EQUATION 852  LAASYGR  
   RHS     C  LASYGR(-1)  PSYGR  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST  852 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  852
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYGR 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.335516619

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.109124921       0.468070268  -6.64243     1.000000
12965 LASYGR  ( -1)       0.574692730       0.061173889   9.39441    -7.344305
12963 PSYGR   (  0)      -0.001947999       0.031365741  -0.06211     2.912162

SE of equation            =     0.947438901
Sum of squared residuals  =  157.984723       0.604316597E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.713652324
Sum of ABS residuals      =  127.743766    
R squared                 =   0.33434
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40662
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!            *           +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                *         +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4*                +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!    *                 +               !!0         .   .   .          !
 1988.2!            +                   *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1988.3!                 *          +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                *            +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1997.1!                        *     +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !


     26.82 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDGR=IDPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDGR=LOG(AAIDGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDGR=LOG(AIDGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDGR=EXP(LAAIDGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1054 LAAIDGR C LAIDGR(-1) PIDGR;                                         
EQUATION 853  LAAIDGR  
   RHS     C  LAIDGR(-1)  PIDGR  
 SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    90 to   244
 OLS;EST  853 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  853
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDGR 

 1974.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  155 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.130431204

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.471901151       0.269138728  -1.75338     1.000000
12968 LAIDGR  ( -1)       0.852553867       0.042802960  19.91811    -6.141414
12966 PIDGR   (  0)      -0.327351163       0.213456307  -1.53357     1.291103

SE of equation            =     0.455879734
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.5896025       0.695266067E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.326619062
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.6259546    
R squared                 =   0.79288
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62397
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.2   2012.4    155

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.1!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.2! *             +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.3!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!     +              *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.3!    *              +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1981.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.2!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.2!                           *       +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                          *        +  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !


     27.10 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAGR=MAPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAGR=LOG(AAMAGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAGR=LOG(AMAGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAGR=EXP(LAAMAGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1055 LAAMAGR C LAMAGR(-1) PMAGR;                                         
EQUATION 854  LAAMAGR  
   RHS     C  LAMAGR(-1)  PMAGR  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  854 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  854
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAGR 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.787307864

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.932135688       0.235001351  -3.96651     1.000000
12971 LAMAGR  ( -1)       0.815543975       0.044908434  18.16015    -6.793221
12969 PMAGR   (  0)      -0.230285133       0.082953277  -2.77608     1.367878

SE of equation            =     0.297705520
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.8645152      -0.267030842E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.215395864
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.2020472    
R squared                 =   0.83559
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61903
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!  *   +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!         *      +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!     *      +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!   *       +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.1!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1978.2!       *       +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.3!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1! *        +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!+  *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!   +     *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!     +         *                      !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.4!     *        +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4! *     +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.2!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                         +         *  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1998.3!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 2012.4!                     *             +  !!0          .  .  .           !


     22.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAGR=PAPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAGR=LOG(AAPAGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAGR=LOG(APAGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAGR=EXP(LAAPAGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1056 LAAPAGR C LAPAGR(-1) PPAGR;                                         
EQUATION 855  LAAPAGR  
   RHS     C  LAPAGR(-1)  PPAGR  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  855 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  855
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAGR 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.246079858

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.555347607       0.334222281  -4.65363     1.000000
12974 LAPAGR  ( -1)       0.659427802       0.057508307  11.46665    -7.248175
12972 PPAGR   (  0)      -0.614576787       0.152053208  -4.04185     1.482458

SE of equation            =     0.483878299
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.2914222      -0.505906428E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.346987347
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.8240009    
R squared                 =   0.67658
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04766
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.1!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.2!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.1!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                   *        +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.3!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.4!               +            *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1976.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!              *        +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!*             +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.4!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!             +              *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4*         +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!    +         *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!  *           +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!        +              *              !!         .    .    .         0
 1985.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                   *              +   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.2!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                  *         +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.3!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !


     22.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1057 LAAPHGR C LAPHGR(-1) PPHGR;SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1057 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHGR=THPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHGR=LOG(AATHGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHGR=LOG(ATHGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHGR=EXP(LAATHGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1058 LAATHGR C LATHGR(-1) PTHGR;                                         
EQUATION 856  LAATHGR  
   RHS     C  LATHGR(-1)  PTHGR  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST  856 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  856
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHGR 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.351490323

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.423135391       0.272893585  -1.55055     1.000000
12977 LATHGR  ( -1)       0.904588622       0.037760906  23.95569    -6.366603
12975 PTHGR   (  0)      -0.133069317       0.236053494  -0.56373     1.271506

SE of equation            =     0.377619847
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.2523839       0.238475906E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267001389
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9771820    
R squared                 =   0.86234
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44442
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1! *       +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1*        +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.2! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.3!                *         +           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.2!                       *     +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.4!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2001.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                         +            *!           .  .  .         0 !
 2012.4!                     *              + !0           .  .  .           !


     18.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHGR=CHPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHGR=LOG(AACHGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHGR=LOG(ACHGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHGR=EXP(LAACHGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1059 LAACHGR C LACHGR(-1) PCHGR;                                         
EQUATION 857  LAACHGR  
   RHS     C  LACHGR(-1)  PCHGR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  857 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  857
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHGR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.687105382

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.139297807       0.190664749   0.73059     1.000000
12980 LACHGR  ( -1)       0.927941337       0.031898625  29.09032    -4.722731
12978 PCHGR   (  0)      -0.342004283       0.207878896  -1.64521     1.298188

SE of equation            =     0.333143403
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6510968      -0.601474426E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.229360302
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.8993981    
R squared                 =   0.94269
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62919
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!+     *                               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!   *   +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!    *       +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!    +      *                          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!  *     +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.2!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!  +    *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!   *    +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!      *   +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.2!           *           +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.3!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!        *    +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.2!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARGR=ARPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARGR=LOG(AAARGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARGR=LOG(AARGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARGR=EXP(LAAARGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1060 LAAARGR C LAARGR(-1) PARGR;                                         
EQUATION 858  LAAARGR  
   RHS     C  LAARGR(-1)  PARGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  858 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  858
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.018407483

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.743898102       0.426191870  -4.09181     1.000000
12983 LAARGR  ( -1)       0.697034590       0.053638815  12.99497    -6.009037
12981 PARGR   (  0)      -0.064356103       0.259240140  -0.24825     1.336353

SE of equation            =     0.654105121
Sum of squared residuals  =  79.1528993      -0.915978404E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.516779538
Sum of ABS residuals      =  97.1545531    
R squared                 =   0.48933
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16908
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                                +    *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                                +     *!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                     *        +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!             *           +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.3!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!          +            *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                          +        *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!        *            +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!           +            *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.3!      *                +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.4!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!          +          *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4*                  +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1985.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!        +        *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!    *             +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.1!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!          *         +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.3!            +         *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.3!               *         +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.3!             *             +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1999.4! *              +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2000.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRGR=BRPX$Q/GRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRGR=LOG(AABRGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRGR=LOG(ABRGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRGR=EXP(LAABRGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1061 LAABRGR C LABRGR(-1) PBRGR;                                         
EQUATION 859  LAABRGR  
   RHS     C  LABRGR(-1)  PBRGR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  859 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  859
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRGR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.224626316

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.452198915       0.426375731  -5.75126     1.000000
12986 LABRGR  ( -1)       0.395347496       0.081547175   4.84808    -5.220965
12984 PBRGR   (  0)      -0.636893503       0.226629734  -2.81028     1.112167

SE of equation            =     0.426529894
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.3771133      -0.345501405E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.345071203
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.4789716    
R squared                 =   0.26129
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19592
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.3!                +      *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.4!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.3!               +        *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.4!                   +       *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.2!   *              +                   !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1984.3!        +                   *         !!        .     .     .        0
 1984.4!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1985.1!                  +     *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.2!   *              +                   !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1985.3!          +  *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.4!                +      *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.1!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!                   +             *    !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1986.3!               *          +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1987.1!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.2!                      +    *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.3!                       +  *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!                        +          *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.1!                *         +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.3!                   +       *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!                      +  *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.3!                        +     *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                          +           *!        .     .     .  0     !
 1990.1!                              +       *!        .     .     0        !
 1990.2!                         *   +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.4!               *      +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.1!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1991.2!                    *     +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.3!            *        +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.4!                   +                * !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1992.1!          *             +             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1992.2!               +                   *  !!        .     .     .        0
 1992.3!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.2!          *            +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1993.3!    *           +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.4!           +            *             !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1994.1!          *       +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!              +            *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.3!                      +              *!!        .     .     .    0   !
 1994.4!                          +      *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.1!                         +     *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                         +   *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!                        +         *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.4!                   *      +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.1!                   +       *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.3!                   +             *    !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1996.4!                    *    +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!          *         +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.4!            *       +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.1!                 +   *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.2!             *     +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.3!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.4!            *  +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1!        *        +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.2!             +                *       !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2001.3!            *          +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2001.4!       *        +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2002.1!         *    +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.2!       *     +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.3!                 +              *     !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2002.4!            *            +            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2003.1!          *       +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.2!              *  +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.3!            *     +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!         *       +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.1!                * +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!           *     +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.4!          *       +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.1!          *     +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.3!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!      *        +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.2!       *      +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.1!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!         *        +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.2!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.4!         *  +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.1!         *    +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.2!         *     +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!    *           +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.1!        *    +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.2!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.4! *           +                        !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.1!    *   +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.2!       * +                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!      *   +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!  *      +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.2*       +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.3!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !


     32.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1062 LAACEGR C LACEGR(-1) PCEGR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1062 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1063 LAAMEGR C LAMEGR(-1) PMEGR;SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1063 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1064 LAAPEGR C LAPEGR(-1) PPEGR;SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1064 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUGR=TUPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUGR=LOG(AATUGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUGR=LOG(ATUGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUGR=EXP(LAATUGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1065 LAATUGR C LATUGR(-1) PTUGR;                                         
EQUATION 860  LAATUGR  
   RHS     C  LATUGR(-1)  PTUGR  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST  860 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  860
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUGR 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.675610010

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.456030601       0.292822070  -1.55736     1.000000
12989 LATUGR  ( -1)       0.777959088       0.051179259  15.20067    -4.709902
12987 PTUGR   (  0)      -0.427238831       0.249027566  -1.71563     1.300136

SE of equation            =     0.519250405
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.0507278      -0.685895785E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.327912557
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.6123700    
R squared                 =   0.72963
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66713
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!        *       +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3*              +                       !0           .  .  .           !
 1980.4!     +            *                   !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1981.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!             *         +              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!                   *      +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!                   *             +    !!0          .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.3!                   *       +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                    *       +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.4!                        *   +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                       *     +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !


     15.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.02 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDGR=PDPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDGR=LOG(AAPDGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDGR=LOG(APDGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDGR=EXP(LAAPDGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1066 LAAPDGR C LAPDGR(-1) PPDGR;                                         
EQUATION 861  LAAPDGR  
   RHS     C  LAPDGR(-1)  PPDGR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  861 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  861
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDGR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.441522478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.918076704       0.306011978  -3.00013     1.000000
12992 LAPDGR  ( -1)       0.657289461       0.064101004  10.25397    -5.451106
12990 PPDGR   (  0)      -0.724464441       0.191832445  -3.77655     1.298188

SE of equation            =     0.387610271
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.4797319      -0.878408457E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.281483599
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.4669334    
R squared                 =   0.64316
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37405
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!            +      *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!     +                *               !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1! *         +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!        +             *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.4!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!       +       *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!    *       +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!    +       *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!             +         *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!        *          +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1*               +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1992.2!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3! *               +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1993.4!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.1!              *          +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!  *         +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.2!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                             +        *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.3!                                 +    *!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                           +          *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1067 LAARUGR C LARUGR(-1) PRUGR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1067 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1068 LAAUEGR C LAUEGR(-1) PUEGR;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1068 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1069 LAAEGGR C LAEGGR(-1) PEGGR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1069 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1070 LAAISGR C LAISGR(-1) PISGR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1070 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1071 LAAKEGR C LAKEGR(-1) PKEGR;SMPL 1973.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1071 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAGR=BAPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAGR=LOG(AABAGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAGR=LOG(ABAGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAGR=EXP(LAABAGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1072 LAABAGR C LABAGR(-1) PBAGR;                                         
EQUATION 862  LAABAGR  
   RHS     C  LABAGR(-1)  PBAGR  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST  862 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  862
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAGR 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.791112717

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.375810129       0.488950577  -4.85900     1.000000
12995 LABAGR  ( -1)       0.683175818       0.061475015  11.11306    -8.802175
12993 PBAGR   (  0)      -0.257959698       0.108030898  -2.38783     1.557878

SE of equation            =     0.542239903
Sum of squared residuals  =  42.0454480      -0.143094425E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.408328452
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.6159540    
R squared                 =   0.57731
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44782
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!             *         +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!     *                +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3! *                +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!           +             *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!       +                     *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.4!     *                   +            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1986.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!               *         +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.3*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!  *             +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!         +            *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4! *                +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                      *     +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                 *  +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.1!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                           *    +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKGR=HKPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKGR=LOG(AAHKGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKGR=LOG(AHKGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKGR=EXP(LAAHKGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1073 LAAHKGR C LAHKGR(-1) PHKGR;                                         
EQUATION 863  LAAHKGR  
   RHS     C  LAHKGR(-1)  PHKGR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  863 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  863
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKGR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.046106246

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.268473916       0.105366230  -2.54801     1.000000
12998 LAHKGR  ( -1)       0.926940532       0.026774958  34.61968    -6.055786
12996 PHKGR   (  0)      -0.094907960       0.047518155  -1.99730     1.730931

SE of equation            =     0.211687232
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.29012454       0.216511253E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152881148
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7416558    
R squared                 =   0.95858
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37432
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!*   +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4*   +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.3!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!         *    +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!               *    +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                   *   +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!               *      +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIGR=SIPX$/GRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIGR=LOG(AASIGR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIGR=LOG(ASIGR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIGR=EXP(LAASIGR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1074 LAASIGR C LASIGR(-1) PSIGR;                                         
EQUATION 864  LAASIGR  
   RHS     C  LASIGR(-1)  PSIGR  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  864 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  864
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIGR 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.305371785

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.236334902       0.282767892  -4.37226     1.000000
13001 LASIGR  ( -1)       0.725288744       0.056118749  12.92418    -5.319835
12999 PSIGR   (  0)      -0.125805869       0.053744944  -2.34079     1.674173

SE of equation            =     0.316399680
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5168575       0.116293641E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.221181898
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9467399    
R squared                 =   0.58303
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64088
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!  +          *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3! *             +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!         +              *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.1!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!        +               *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.3!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.4!       +                   *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!         *            +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!            +            *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                +                *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1993.3!                 *         +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !


     20.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1075 LAAVIGR C LAVIGR(-1) PVIGR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1075 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1076 LAANIGR C LANIGR(-1) PNIGR;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1076 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1077 LAAALGR C LAALGR(-1) PALGR;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1077 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1078 LAAIAGR C LAIAGR(-1) PIAGR;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1078 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1079 LAAINGR C LAINGR(-1) PINGR;SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1079 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1080 LAAIQGR C LAIQGR(-1) PIQGR;SMPL 2008.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1080 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1081 LAAKUGR C LAKUGR(-1) PKUGR;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1081 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1082 LAALIGR C LALIGR(-1) PLIGR;SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1082 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1083 LAAUAGR C LAUAGR(-1) PUAGR;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1083 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSIR=USPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSIR=LOG(AAUSIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSIR=LOG(AUSIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSIR=EXP(LAAUSIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1084 LAAUSIR C LAUSIR(-1) PUSIR;                                         
EQUATION 865  LAAUSIR  
   RHS     C  LAUSIR(-1)  PUSIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  865 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  865
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.390124843

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.113583770       0.074867155  -1.51714     1.000000
13004 LAUSIR  ( -1)       0.742058849       0.049287736  15.05565    -2.393407
13002 PUSIR   (  0)      -0.418577486       0.100845079  -4.15070     1.195697

SE of equation            =     0.169304970
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.30287201       0.367639252E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.115199080
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.6574271    
R squared                 =   0.84341
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51842
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!              +                 *     !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1971.2!       *                     +        !0           .  .  .           !
 1971.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1*                +                     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1973.2!+   *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!     +      *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!         +       *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                              *     + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                               *     +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                                *   + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAIR=CAPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAIR=LOG(AACAIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAIR=LOG(ACAIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAIR=EXP(LAACAIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1085 LAACAIR C LACAIR(-1) PCAIR;                                         
EQUATION 866  LAACAIR  
   RHS     C  LACAIR(-1)  PCAIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  866 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  866
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.096785587

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.142081519       0.240174720  -4.75521     1.000000
13007 LACAIR  ( -1)       0.766935537       0.045372873  16.90295    -5.089781
13005 PCAIR   (  0)      -0.047413198       0.074662992  -0.63503     1.079243

SE of equation            =     0.244400074
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0503083       0.231539232E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.199414281
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.4898848    
R squared                 =   0.60953
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27940
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.2!                          *  +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1966.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1967.1!                         +          * !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1967.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.3!                         *   +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1967.4!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.1!                     +   *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.2!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.4!      *         +                     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1969.1!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1969.2!              +      *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1969.3!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.4!              *     +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1970.1!              +    *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1970.2!       *          +                   !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1970.3!        +           *                 !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1970.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.1!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.2!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.3!         *      +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1971.4!          +     *                     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1972.2!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1972.3!           *    +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1972.4!           +         *                !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1973.1!        *          +                  !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1973.2!    *    +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.3!      + *                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.4*        +                             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.1!  +           *                       !!        .     .     .       0!
 1974.2!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1974.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.4!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.1!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.2!    *     +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1975.3! *    +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 1975.4! *  +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.1!   +    *                             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.2!         +    *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.3!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.4!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.1!           +     *                    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.2!       *        +                     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1977.3!  *     +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1977.4!     +     *                          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1978.1!     *      +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1978.2!*      +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1978.3!  *+                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.4!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.1!        +                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.2!    *    +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.3!       +  *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.4!          *+                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.1!           +       *                  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1980.2!                  +         *         !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1980.3!                         +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1981.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.2!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1981.3!                       *       +      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.4!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.2!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.3!                   *   +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4!                  +  *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.1!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.4!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.1!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1987.2!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                   +     *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.4!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.1!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.2!                              +       *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.3!                         *       +    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.3!            +         *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1990.4!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.4!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.1!       *      +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1992.2!   *     +                            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.3!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.4!       +  *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.1!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.2!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.3!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.4!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!    *  +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.2!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.3!   *    +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.4!      +            *                  !!        .     .     .        0
 1995.1!            *     +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.2!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.4!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.2!          *    +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.3!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.4!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!               +     *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.2!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.4!                *      +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!         *         +                  !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2000.1!    *     +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.2!       +   *                          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.1!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!       *  +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.3!     *   +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!       +   *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.1!     *      +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2002.2!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!      + *                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.4!         +      *                     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.1!                +       *             !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2003.2!                 *    +               !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.3!           *     +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.1!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.2!           +      *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.4!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.1!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.2!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.3!    *         +                       !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2005.4!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!   *  +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.2!      +   *                           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.3!    *      +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.4!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.1!*      +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2007.2!   *+                                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!  *   +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.4!     +                                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!  *    +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.2!     + *                              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.4!         +       *                    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2009.1!                +       *             !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2009.2!                 *    +               !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.3!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!               +     *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.1!          *        +                  !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2010.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.3!       *      +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.4!   *     +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.1!      +            *                  !!        .     .     .        0
 2011.2!            *    +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2011.3!       *    +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.4!  *      +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.1*     +                                !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.2!  +    *                              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.3!        +      *                      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2012.4!       *       +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !


     34.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAIR=JAPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAIR=LOG(AAJAIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAIR=LOG(AJAIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAIR=EXP(LAAJAIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1086 LAAJAIR C LAJAIR(-1) PJAIR;                                         
EQUATION 867  LAAJAIR  
   RHS     C  LAJAIR(-1)  PJAIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  867 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  867
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.993480269

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.128827193       0.066096781  -1.94907     1.000000
13010 LAJAIR  ( -1)       0.957506185       0.022940471  41.73873    -3.997868
13008 PJAIR   (  0)      -0.026100387       0.040966480  -0.63712     1.404935

SE of equation            =     0.163659794
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.95513769      -0.205169215E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.121017073
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.7512097    
R squared                 =   0.95102
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50893
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!   *     +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.1!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3*    +                                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3! *   +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.1!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.2!              *      +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.4!               *      +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                               *   +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                            *  +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2012.4!             *        +               !0          .   .   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUIR=AUPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUIR=LOG(AAAUIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUIR=LOG(AAUIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUIR=EXP(LAAAUIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1087 LAAAUIR C LAAUIR(-1) PAUIR;                                         
EQUATION 868  LAAAUIR  
   RHS     C  LAAUIR(-1)  PAUIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  868 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  868
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.599562826

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.577235869       0.270073987  -5.84001     1.000000
13013 LAAUIR  ( -1)       0.634626802       0.054377635  11.67073    -5.605427
13011 PAUIR   (  0)      -0.450706200       0.133257449  -3.38222     1.031653

SE of equation            =     0.257770745
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.2924650       0.121298527E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176290875
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.1426845    
R squared                 =   0.56095
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23560
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*     +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!      *         +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!    *       +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2004.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2005.1!                *             +       !0          .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2009.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.3!                      +             * !!          .   .   .          0
 2012.4!                  *         +         !!   0      .   .   .          !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRIR=FRPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRIR=LOG(AAFRIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRIR=LOG(AFRIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRIR=EXP(LAAFRIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1088 LAAFRIR C LAFRIR(-1) PFRIR;                                         
EQUATION 869  LAAFRIR  
   RHS     C  LAFRIR(-1)  PFRIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  869 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  869
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.304196732

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.434230776       0.105773496  -4.10529     1.000000
13016 LAFRIR  ( -1)       0.795625687       0.047438249  16.77182    -3.309523
13014 PFRIR   (  0)      -0.192776996       0.066594011  -2.89481     1.228488

SE of equation            =     0.158413760
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.64256007       0.141451295E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.121004456
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.7488378    
R squared                 =   0.84031
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50286
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*          +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!        *     +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!        *       +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.4!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                     *     +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                          +         * !!          .   .   .         0!
 1994.3!                             *     +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1997.4!                            *     +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .        0 !
 2002.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEIR=GEPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEIR=LOG(AAGEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEIR=LOG(AGEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEIR=EXP(LAAGEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1089 LAAGEIR C LAGEIR(-1) PGEIR;                                         
EQUATION 870  LAAGEIR  
   RHS     C  LAGEIR(-1)  PGEIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  870 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  870
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.538115827

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.328594144       0.085717605  -3.83345     1.000000
13019 LAGEIR  ( -1)       0.802272066       0.044575710  17.99797    -2.539351
13017 PGEIR   (  0)      -0.167511708       0.055573679  -3.01423     1.028415

SE of equation            =     0.087761459
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.42488362      -0.160405023E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.063064254
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.8560797    
R squared                 =   0.80267
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40029
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *       +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!        *     +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.3!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!   *               +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!  +       *                           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4*      +                               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1+            *                         !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1974.2!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!      *       +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.3!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                *    +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.3!             *           +            !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1994.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!              *      +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITIR=ITPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITIR=LOG(AAITIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITIR=LOG(AITIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITIR=EXP(LAAITIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1090 LAAITIR C LAITIR(-1) PITIR;                                         
EQUATION 871  LAAITIR  
   RHS     C  LAITIR(-1)  PITIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  871 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  871
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.670743934

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.407829587       0.118125577  -3.45251     1.000000
13022 LAITIR  ( -1)       0.839870394       0.038197996  21.98729    -3.672517
13020 PITIR   (  0)      -0.199303886       0.089201361  -2.23431     0.895499

SE of equation            =     0.135215779
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.38241179      -0.119468879E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.100568256
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.9068321    
R squared                 =   0.80635
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50404
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*       +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!     *      +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!   *       +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!      *      +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!          *     +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!     *           +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.3!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.4!                        *     +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.1!                            *      +  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEIR=NEPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEIR=LOG(AANEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEIR=LOG(ANEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEIR=EXP(LAANEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1091 LAANEIR C LANEIR(-1) PNEIR;                                         
EQUATION 872  LAANEIR  
   RHS     C  LANEIR(-1)  PNEIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  872 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  872
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.399017174

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.226316409       0.092085244  -2.45768     1.000000
13025 LANEIR  ( -1)       0.870335430       0.037312490  23.32558    -3.404837
13023 PNEIR   (  0)      -0.178717611       0.067443594  -2.64988     1.171405

SE of equation            =     0.142698356
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.76712187       0.329425376E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.104937993
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.7283426    
R squared                 =   0.87042
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45354
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *       +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!  *      +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1967.3!    +        *                        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1967.4!     *       +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1968.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!    *     +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2*       +                              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.3! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!    *        +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 1971.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!  *     +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.3*         +                            !!0        .    .    .         !
 1973.4+  *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!     *       +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1976.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!     +        *                       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.2!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!      *    +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4!*      +                              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.1!  +        *                          !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!              *     +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!               *      +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!              *     +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.3!                *      +              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.2!                 *        +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    . 0       !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTIR=STPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTIR=LOG(AASTIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTIR=LOG(ASTIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTIR=EXP(LAASTIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1092 LAASTIR C LASTIR(-1) PSTIR;                                         
EQUATION 873  LAASTIR  
   RHS     C  LASTIR(-1)  PSTIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  873 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  873
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.752021237

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.073757979       0.297693384  -6.96609     1.000000
13028 LASTIR  ( -1)       0.561780960       0.060472920   9.28979    -4.754290
13026 PSTIR   (  0)      -0.008081756       0.096546564  -0.08371     0.914851

SE of equation            =     0.211752630
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.29524760       0.343014506E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.155530494
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2397330    
R squared                 =   0.31864
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12596
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!  *            +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!       +                      *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.3!                       +              *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!         +         *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!  *              +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2*                +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!   *          +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                +          *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!     *       +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!               +               *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                  +         *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.3!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                +            *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!         +              *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2011.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.3!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1093 LAAUKIR C LAUKIR(-1) PUKIR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1093 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1094 LAAFIIR C LAFIIR(-1) PFIIR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1094 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASIR=ASPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASIR=LOG(AAASIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASIR=LOG(AASIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASIR=EXP(LAAASIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1095 LAAASIR C LAASIR(-1) PASIR;                                         
EQUATION 874  LAAASIR  
   RHS     C  LAASIR(-1)  PASIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  874 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  874
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.879526039

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.379174890       0.330300327  -4.17552     1.000000
13031 LAASIR  ( -1)       0.787686411       0.044447691  17.72165    -6.869191
13029 PASIR   (  0)      -0.078677284       0.105908235  -0.74288     1.138610

SE of equation            =     0.502784514
Sum of squared residuals  =  46.7665696      -0.703703762E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.369071460
Sum of ABS residuals      =  69.3854344    
R squared                 =   0.62971
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47082
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *         +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.2!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1966.3!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.3!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                   +            *     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1970.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.1!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.2!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!       +      *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!            *          +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.3!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4! *        +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.1*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4! *      +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!    +     *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1! *      +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!*                  +                  !!0          .  .  .           !
 1986.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!     *         +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!         *          +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1990.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                       +             *!!           .  .  .      0    !
 1999.3!                           *     +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1096 LAASOIR C LASOIR(-1) PSOIR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1096 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1097 LAAKOIR C LAKOIR(-1) PKOIR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1097 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEIR=BEPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEIR=LOG(AABEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEIR=LOG(ABEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEIR=EXP(LAABEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1098 LAABEIR C LABEIR(-1) PBEIR;                                         
EQUATION 875  LAABEIR  
   RHS     C  LABEIR(-1)  PBEIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  875 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  875
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.750225106

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.592362617       0.157316685  -3.76542     1.000000
13034 LABEIR  ( -1)       0.786343780       0.045209368  17.39338    -3.750266
13032 PBEIR   (  0)      -0.210935419       0.101966130  -2.06868     0.990180

SE of equation            =     0.205036701
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.77740901      -0.126423316E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.144776815
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.2180412    
R squared                 =   0.68894
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19186
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *                +             !!0          .  .  .           !
 1966.2!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                +                 *   !!           .  .  .           0
 1969.3!                 *             +      !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1969.4!           *     +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!      *       +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.2*          +                           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1971.3!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2! *       +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.3!     +      *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!          *       +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                             *    +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEIR=DEPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEIR=LOG(AADEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEIR=LOG(ADEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEIR=EXP(LAADEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1099 LAADEIR C LADEIR(-1) PDEIR;                                         
EQUATION 876  LAADEIR  
   RHS     C  LADEIR(-1)  PDEIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  876 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  876
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.551355036

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.027904130       0.202798945  -5.06859     1.000000
13037 LADEIR  ( -1)       0.698305983       0.051146541  13.65304    -4.555110
13035 PDEIR   (  0)      -0.331641878       0.105126490  -3.15469     1.033012

SE of equation            =     0.226940641
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.52788010       0.384932086E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.171542455
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.2499815    
R squared                 =   0.63247
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42906
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +      *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4*        +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!    *             +                   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1971.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.2! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3! +  *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!   *       +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.1!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!    *     +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                 *        +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1991.2!               *                +     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!     *          +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1993.2!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!    *             +                   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1994.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                       +          *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2003.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                    +         *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                    +       *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOIR=NOPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOIR=LOG(AANOIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOIR=LOG(ANOIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOIR=EXP(LAANOIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1100 LAANOIR C LANOIR(-1) PNOIR;                                         
EQUATION 877  LAANOIR  
   RHS     C  LANOIR(-1)  PNOIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  877 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  877
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.630662787

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.307377010       0.144437202  -2.12810     1.000000
13040 LANOIR  ( -1)       0.918522291       0.028471832  32.26074    -4.637929
13038 PNOIR   (  0)      -0.072960500       0.093726651  -0.77844     0.866830

SE of equation            =     0.300279917
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6810853       0.333155725E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.212453353
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9412303    
R squared                 =   0.85391
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53255
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!       *          +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.3!        +       *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!    *            +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.4! +                  *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1972.1!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!      *           +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!          *            +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                               *     +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                              *    +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                +             *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2005.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWIR=SWPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWIR=LOG(AASWIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWIR=LOG(ASWIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWIR=EXP(LAASWIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1101 LAASWIR C LASWIR(-1) PSWIR;                                         
EQUATION 878  LAASWIR  
   RHS     C  LASWIR(-1)  PSWIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  878 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  878
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.305762551

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.766365035       0.184956262  -4.14349     1.000000
13043 LASWIR  ( -1)       0.821491161       0.041355568  19.86410    -4.306647
13041 PSWIR   (  0)      -0.001314423       0.043812241  -0.03000     1.160042

SE of equation            =     0.138998935
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.57433022       0.143440815E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.106145189
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.9552955    
R squared                 =   0.68084
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36342
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!        *        +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!             +         *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.2!                  *       +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                        *      +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!            +              *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.2!                *         +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                +           *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.4!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.4!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!                     +               *!!         .    .    .         0
 1978.2!                     *            +   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1978.3!             *       +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                           +          *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                              +       *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.4!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!   *      +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!     *           +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2008.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRIR=GRPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRIR=LOG(AAGRIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRIR=LOG(AGRIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRIR=EXP(LAAGRIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1102 LAAGRIR C LAGRIR(-1) PGRIR;                                         
EQUATION 879  LAAGRIR  
   RHS     C  LAGRIR(-1)  PGRIR  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST  879 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  879
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRIR 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.247079818

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.739348724       0.400938714  -6.83234     1.000000
13046 LAGRIR  ( -1)       0.500977128       0.067617453   7.40899    -7.249898
13044 PGRIR   (  0)      -0.857328620       0.207579429  -4.13012     1.021427

SE of equation            =     0.467951860
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.2264204       0.160662594E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.336580909
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.2284972    
R squared                 =   0.50282
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26116
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!       *        +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.2!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1*              +                       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1973.2* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!  +      *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1*           +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1*               +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1976.2!        +              *              !!          .   .   .         0!
 1976.3!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!        *         +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!        *                +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.2!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!            *          +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !


     23.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.36 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOIR=POPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOIR=LOG(AAPOIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOIR=LOG(APOIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOIR=EXP(LAAPOIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1103 LAAPOIR C LAPOIR(-1) PPOIR;                                         
EQUATION 880  LAAPOIR  
   RHS     C  LAPOIR(-1)  PPOIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  880 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  880
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.079601060

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.414987446       0.269789562  -5.24478     1.000000
13049 LAPOIR  ( -1)       0.709764130       0.054600278  12.99928    -6.082840
13047 PPOIR   (  0)      -0.290401138       0.100462704  -2.89064     1.195697

SE of equation            =     0.216798709
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.69531081      -0.476063633E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155095341
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.1579242    
R squared                 =   0.68157
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40553
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3*          +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!       *           +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!             +           *            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!           *       +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1975.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!         *        +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!   *       +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.2!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!       *        +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!        *       +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.4!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 2008.2!                           *      +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!            *         +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2010.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPIR=SPPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPIR=LOG(AASPIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPIR=LOG(ASPIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPIR=EXP(LAASPIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1104 LAASPIR C LASPIR(-1) PSPIR;                                         
EQUATION 881  LAASPIR  
   RHS     C  LASPIR(-1)  PSPIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  881 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  881
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.780615221

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.670444950       0.144153110  -4.65092     1.000000
13052 LASPIR  ( -1)       0.757504176       0.047818374  15.84128    -4.789481
13050 PSPIR   (  0)      -0.406533503       0.095236428  -4.26868     1.185925

SE of equation            =     0.216578311
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.67764049       0.272271095E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.170905281
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.1301928    
R squared                 =   0.89140
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53526
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!  +     *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4! +      *                             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!*        +                            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1969.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!   *       +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1970.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!     *         +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1973.2!  +   *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1+    *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.3! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.1!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.4!      *          +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1977.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!       *     +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                     *        +       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                         *    +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1989.3!                         *      +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                *        +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.3!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .         0
 1995.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!                         *     +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                           *    +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.2!                                   * +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1105 LAANZIR C LANZIR(-1) PNZIR;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1105 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1106 LAASAIR C LASAIR(-1) PSAIR;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1106 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1107 LAAVEIR C LAVEIR(-1) PVEIR;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1107 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOIR=COPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOIR=LOG(AACOIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOIR=LOG(ACOIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOIR=EXP(LAACOIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1108 LAACOIR C LACOIR(-1) PCOIR;                                         
EQUATION 882  LAACOIR  
   RHS     C  LACOIR(-1)  PCOIR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  882 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  882
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOIR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.081704185

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.219156008       0.491574013  -4.51439     1.000000
13055 LACOIR  ( -1)       0.641927093       0.072581841   8.84418    -7.103497
13053 PCOIR   (  0)      -0.251410301       0.156510714  -1.60635     1.203695

SE of equation            =     0.532511552
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.8789320      -0.118953736E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.403659010
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.8610352    
R squared                 =   0.44848
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03643
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3! *      +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4! *     +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!      +         *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                     *  +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +    *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                +          *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  +         *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!             *     +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!           *      +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!    *     +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3! *       +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4! *     +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!     *             +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.1!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3! *        +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!*      +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!   *        +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!            +          *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!           *        +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!       *                  +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2012.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!            +                         *!          .   .   .          0


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1109 LAAJOIR C LAJOIR(-1) PJOIR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1109 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1110 LAASYIR C LASYIR(-1) PSYIR;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1110 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1111 LAAIDIR C LAIDIR(-1) PIDIR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1111 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAIR=MAPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAIR=LOG(AAMAIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAIR=LOG(AMAIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAIR=EXP(LAAMAIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1112 LAAMAIR C LAMAIR(-1) PMAIR;                                         
EQUATION 883  LAAMAIR  
   RHS     C  LAMAIR(-1)  PMAIR  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  883 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  883
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAIR 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.957463847

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.271067558       0.142288311  -1.90506     1.000000
13058 LAMAIR  ( -1)       0.897458944       0.031032994  28.91951    -5.970112
13056 PMAIR   (  0)      -0.293549570       0.111847569  -2.62455     1.118944

SE of equation            =     0.325853992
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7591345       0.355715457E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.220295188
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.2819167    
R squared                 =   0.92278
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64165
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!+    *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!     *      +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.4!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 1994.4!                            *       + !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !


     20.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAIR=PAPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAIR=LOG(AAPAIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAIR=LOG(APAIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAIR=EXP(LAAPAIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1113 LAAPAIR C LAPAIR(-1) PPAIR;                                         
EQUATION 884  LAAPAIR  
   RHS     C  LAPAIR(-1)  PPAIR  
 SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   107 to   244
 OLS;EST  884 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  884
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAIR 

 1978.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.009799565

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.340867773       0.514377955  -6.49497     1.000000
13061 LAPAIR  ( -1)       0.480171074       0.075154747   6.38910    -8.021995
13059 PPAIR   (  0)      -0.667435597       0.201097036  -3.31897     1.224091

SE of equation            =     0.429332775
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.8840953      -0.775646214E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.299366231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.3125399    
R squared                 =   0.43962
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42001
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.3   2012.4    138

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3! *                  +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1980.3!         *                  +         !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!  *             +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!*               +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                      *     +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !


     22.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.07 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHIR=PHPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHIR=LOG(AAPHIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHIR=LOG(APHIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHIR=EXP(LAAPHIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1114 LAAPHIR C LAPHIR(-1) PPHIR;                                         
EQUATION 885  LAAPHIR  
   RHS     C  LAPHIR(-1)  PPHIR  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST  885 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  885
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHIR 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.329887524

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.366871671       0.318067661  -1.15344     1.000000
13064 LAPHIR  ( -1)       0.931794901       0.031308412  29.76181    -7.331050
13062 PPHIR   (  0)      -0.122721763       0.183911525  -0.66729     1.075450

SE of equation            =     0.360629945
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.6873382      -0.443556303E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.276769574
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.4709708    
R squared                 =   0.86747
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47879
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2*         +                            !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.3!+  *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!  *     +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.3!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!    *        +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1982.3!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!           *   +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!        *     +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.4!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                               *   +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!         +*                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!        *    +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.2!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!           *   +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !


     25.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHIR=THPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHIR=LOG(AATHIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHIR=LOG(ATHIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHIR=EXP(LAATHIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1115 LAATHIR C LATHIR(-1) PTHIR;                                         
EQUATION 886  LAATHIR  
   RHS     C  LATHIR(-1)  PTHIR  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST  886 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  886
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHIR 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.533854917

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.144242231       0.435193719   0.33144     1.000000
13067 LATHIR  ( -1)       0.951386593       0.021716137  43.81012    -6.568969
13065 PTHIR   (  0)      -0.403661414       0.380028735  -1.06219     1.061455

SE of equation            =     0.358571387
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.3288269      -0.368984843E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.250609964
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.5792953    
R squared                 =   0.93797
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72786
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!+        *                            !!          .   .   .         0!
 1981.1!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!      *        +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!        *      +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!    *   +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.1!         *     +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!           *    +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +*                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                              *    +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHIR=CHPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHIR=LOG(AACHIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHIR=LOG(ACHIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHIR=EXP(LAACHIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1116 LAACHIR C LACHIR(-1) PCHIR;                                         
EQUATION 887  LAACHIR  
   RHS     C  LACHIR(-1)  PCHIR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  887 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  887
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHIR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.431191195

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.103924223       0.266814592   0.38950     1.000000
13070 LACHIR  ( -1)       0.985737122       0.015975481  61.70313    -5.461694
13068 PCHIR   (  0)      -0.139157679       0.280129384  -0.49676     1.087408

SE of equation            =     0.249150544
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.63534722      -0.157935887E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.192175430
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2141042    
R squared                 =   0.97846
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52486
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!  +*                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!*+                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!+  *                                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!   * +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3*    +                                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.4+*                                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2! *+                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3! +     *                              !!         .    .    .         0
 1986.4!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!   *  +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.2!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!   *+                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4! +    *                               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.1!   *  +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!   *    +                             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1991.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1991.3!      *   +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.4!    * +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!             *  +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!             *  +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                 +                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                 *   +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                     +!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                                    *+!!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                                    *+!!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                                    *+!!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                                 *  + !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!                                *  +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1117 LAAARIR C LAARIR(-1) PARIR;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1117 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1118 LAABRIR C LABRIR(-1) PBRIR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1118 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEIR=CEPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEIR=LOG(AACEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEIR=LOG(ACEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEIR=EXP(LAACEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1119 LAACEIR C LACEIR(-1) PCEIR;                                         
EQUATION 888  LAACEIR  
   RHS     C  LACEIR(-1)  PCEIR  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST  888 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  888
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEIR 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.005792301

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.946896935       0.878651067  -1.07767     1.000000
13073 LACEIR  ( -1)       0.860717322       0.048114667  17.88888    -8.042150
13071 PCEIR   (  0)      -0.130623016       0.745651256  -0.17518     1.047881

SE of equation            =     0.438018674
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6918512      -0.157864832E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.314732051
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.3258846    
R squared                 =   0.78625
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55253
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!   +           *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!           +           *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.4!    *                   +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEIR=MEPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEIR=LOG(AAMEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEIR=LOG(AMEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEIR=EXP(LAAMEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1120 LAAMEIR C LAMEIR(-1) PMEIR;                                         
EQUATION 889  LAAMEIR  
   RHS     C  LAMEIR(-1)  PMEIR  
 SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   140 to   244
 OLS;EST  889 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  889
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEIR 

 1986.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  105 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.597516667

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.062484225       0.764986528  -0.08168     1.000000
13076 LAMEIR  ( -1)       0.910125184       0.034800677  26.15251    -6.634234
13074 PMEIR   (  0)      -0.470781518       0.721359470  -0.65263     1.055795

SE of equation            =     0.457690143
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.3669872      -0.194537719E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.320467775
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.6491164    
R squared                 =   0.87338
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66903
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.4   2012.4    105

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.4!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2*           +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.3!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.4!     *    +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!       *     +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!         *      +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                            *        +!!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1995.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                *    +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                         *     +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                             *    +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !


     22.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.71 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEIR=PEPX$Q/IRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEIR=LOG(AAPEIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEIR=LOG(APEIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEIR=EXP(LAAPEIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1121 LAAPEIR C LAPEIR(-1) PPEIR;                                         
EQUATION 890  LAAPEIR  
   RHS     C  LAPEIR(-1)  PPEIR  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST  890 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  890
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEIR 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.215774112

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.312669285       0.736276988  -5.85740     1.000000
13079 LAPEIR  ( -1)       0.510171308       0.083434983   6.11460    -9.201716
13077 PPEIR   (  0)      -0.245630101       0.141700838  -1.73344     0.849462

SE of equation            =     0.508490606
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.6662086       0.111469056E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.411530049
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.2683054    
R squared                 =   0.33663
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11211
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!                       +       *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.2!        *           +                 !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1986.3!            +     *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1987.3!             +  *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!    *           +                     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1988.1!          +         *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1988.2!                  +*                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.4!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.1!           *      +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.3!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.4!                +        *            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!              *   +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.4!          *      +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1991.1!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!              +               *       !!        .     .     .        0
 1991.3!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!                  +       *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1992.2!         *            +               !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1992.3!      *      +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.4!   *       +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.1!          +      *                    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.2!       *         +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1993.3!            +      *                  !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.4!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!                +    *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!       *            +                 !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1994.4!            +       *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.1!                  +     *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.1!                  +             *     !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1996.2!                         +          * !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1996.3!                           +      *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1996.4!                  *       +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.1!                  +             *     !!        .     .     .       0!
 1997.2!                         +            *!        .     .     .     0  !
 1997.3!                  *        +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!                +     *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.2!                   +         *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.3!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.4!                   +      *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.1!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!              *        +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.3!             *     +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.1!      *        +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2001.2!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!  *           +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2001.4!          +   *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.1!        *      +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.2!      *      +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.3!       *    +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.4!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.1!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.3!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.4!       *       +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.2!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.3!         *     +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.4!       *     +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.1!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4*             +                        !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2006.1!    * +                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.2!       *+                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!         +        *                   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2006.4!   *           +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2007.1!       *+                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.2!    *    +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!  *      +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.1!    *  +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!           +      *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.4!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.1!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.3!            +  *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.4!        *    +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.1!       *  +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.3!          +      *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.4!    *         +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.1!      +      *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.2!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.3!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.2!           +       *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2012.3!               +      *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.4!        *       +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !


     39.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUIR=TUPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUIR=LOG(AATUIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUIR=LOG(ATUIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUIR=EXP(LAATUIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1122 LAATUIR C LATUIR(-1) PTUIR;                                         
EQUATION 891  LAATUIR  
   RHS     C  LATUIR(-1)  PTUIR  
 SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   101 to   244
 OLS;EST  891 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  891
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUIR 

 1977.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  144 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.414842448

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.250442790       0.378045659  -0.66247     1.000000
13082 LATUIR  ( -1)       0.856611767       0.044564579  19.22181    -6.430314
13080 PTUIR   (  0)      -0.594894479       0.392316352  -1.51636     1.102913

SE of equation            =     0.466600314
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.6979353       0.174971149E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.328863303
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.3563156    
R squared                 =   0.79523
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40024
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2012.4    144

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!               +      *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.3!            *        +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3*                  +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1980.4!   +     *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1*              +                       !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1982.2!  +          *                        !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1982.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!       *        +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.47 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDIR=PDPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDIR=LOG(AAPDIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDIR=LOG(APDIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDIR=EXP(LAAPDIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1123 LAAPDIR C LAPDIR(-1) PPDIR;                                         
EQUATION 892  LAAPDIR  
   RHS     C  LAPDIR(-1)  PPDIR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  892 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  892
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDIR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.698844870

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.336278072       0.345134318  -0.97434     1.000000
13085 LAPDIR  ( -1)       0.895692755       0.042670433  20.99095    -5.709128
13083 PPDIR   (  0)      -0.228931341       0.255237886  -0.89693     1.087408

SE of equation            =     0.271351275
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.05667629       0.132196476E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.189275506
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8487138    
R squared                 =   0.78694
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21296
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!    *        +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2! +                      *             !!           .  .  .           0
 1982.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                *      +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1124 LAARUIR C LARUIR(-1) PRUIR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1124 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1125 LAAUEIR C LAUEIR(-1) PUEIR;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1125 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGIR=EGPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGIR=LOG(AAEGIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGIR=LOG(AEGIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGIR=EXP(LAAEGIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1126 LAAEGIR C LAEGIR(-1) PEGIR;                                         
EQUATION 893  LAAEGIR  
   RHS     C  LAEGIR(-1)  PEGIR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  893 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  893
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGIR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.822342422

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.760535583       0.779243805  -3.54258     1.000000
13088 LAEGIR  ( -1)       0.592566303       0.074717945   7.93071    -8.844053
13086 PEGIR   (  0)      -0.755116132       0.567630313  -1.33030     1.087408

SE of equation            =     0.587634573
Sum of squared residuals  =  42.4736702      -0.541282574E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.445713656
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.1599206    
R squared                 =   0.37980
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02194
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*            +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!   *            +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                  +         *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!   *              +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.4!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!          +             *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                       +            * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.2!                       *     +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                    *    +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!      *             +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!        *         +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.2!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!           *         +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!               +        *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                    +   *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!               *        +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!                 +               *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                          *  +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                    +               * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                  +                   *!         .    .    .         0
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                       +             *!!         .    .    .     0   !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISIR=ISPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISIR=LOG(AAISIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISIR=LOG(AISIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISIR=EXP(LAAISIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1127 LAAISIR C LAISIR(-1) PISIR;                                         
EQUATION 894  LAAISIR  
   RHS     C  LAISIR(-1)  PISIR  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST  894 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  894
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISIR 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.440207660

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.611990838       0.356538479  -1.71648     1.000000
13091 LAISIR  ( -1)       0.853892490       0.039987483  21.35399    -6.445057
13089 PISIR   (  0)      -0.317978187       0.277315923  -1.14663     1.021551

SE of equation            =     0.286772585
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.9245847       0.142552636E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.210329529
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.1287704    
R squared                 =   0.76538
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09758
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.2*              +                       !0           .  .  .           !
 1976.3!  +*                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!     +    *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!           +          *               !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!           *        +                 !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                                +     *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!            *     +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2002.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2003.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2012.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!              +*                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.05 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1128 LAAKEIR C LAKEIR(-1) PKEIR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1128 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1129 LAABAIR C LABAIR(-1) PBAIR;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1129 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKIR=HKPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKIR=LOG(AAHKIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKIR=LOG(AHKIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKIR=EXP(LAAHKIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1130 LAAHKIR C LAHKIR(-1) PHKIR;                                         
EQUATION 895  LAAHKIR  
   RHS     C  LAHKIR(-1)  PHKIR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  895 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  895
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKIR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.086320121

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.301594697       0.111623000  -2.70190     1.000000
13094 LAHKIR  ( -1)       0.929957005       0.024714230  37.62840    -6.096733
13092 PHKIR   (  0)      -0.070477424       0.031217203  -2.25765     1.632095

SE of equation            =     0.177117616
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.80357026      -0.195390371E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.126974426
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8711921    
R squared                 =   0.96769
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49559
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!  *+                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1! *      +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1970.2!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!              *    +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!              *   +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                          *   +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1995.2!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                *    +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                    + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                * +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIIR=SIPX$/IRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIIR=LOG(AASIIR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIIR=LOG(ASIIR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIIR=EXP(LAASIIR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1131 LAASIIR C LASIIR(-1) PSIIR;                                         
EQUATION 896  LAASIIR  
   RHS     C  LASIIR(-1)  PSIIR  
 SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   101 to   244
 OLS;EST  896 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  896
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIIR 

 1977.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  144 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.176395019

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.053526090       0.108091199  -0.49519     1.000000
13097 LASIIR  ( -1)       0.927140879       0.029595587  31.32700    -5.195710
13095 PSIIR   (  0)      -0.219249726       0.128169605  -1.71062     1.394363

SE of equation            =     0.325837282
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.9699608      -0.870459260E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.236986098
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.1259981    
R squared                 =   0.95712
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43125
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.1   2012.4    144

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.1!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2! *     +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.3! +   *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1*     +                                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.2!+  *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!     +          *                     !!           .  .  .           0
 1984.1!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!         *   +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!   *    +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!             *    +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                  *  +!!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.3!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                      *   +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.2!                   *   +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !


     29.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1132 LAAVIIR C LAVIIR(-1) PVIIR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1132 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1133 LAANIIR C LANIIR(-1) PNIIR;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1133 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1134 LAAALIR C LAALIR(-1) PALIR;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1134 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1135 LAAIAIR C LAIAIR(-1) PIAIR;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1135 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1136 LAAINIR C LAINIR(-1) PINIR;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1136 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1137 LAAIQIR C LAIQIR(-1) PIQIR;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1137 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1138 LAAKUIR C LAKUIR(-1) PKUIR;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1138 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1139 LAALIIR C LALIIR(-1) PLIIR;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1139 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1140 LAAUAIR C LAUAIR(-1) PUAIR;SMPL 1982.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1140 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1141 LAAUSPO C LAUSPO(-1) PUSPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1141 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1142 LAACAPO C LACAPO(-1) PCAPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1142 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1143 LAAJAPO C LAJAPO(-1) PJAPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1143 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1144 LAAAUPO C LAAUPO(-1) PAUPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1144 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRPO=FRPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRPO=LOG(AAFRPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRPO=LOG(AFRPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRPO=EXP(LAAFRPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1145 LAAFRPO C LAFRPO(-1) PFRPO;                                         
EQUATION 897  LAAFRPO  
   RHS     C  LAFRPO(-1)  PFRPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  897 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  897
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.380031540

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.286263459       0.077860117  -3.67664     1.000000
13100 LAFRPO  ( -1)       0.834505234       0.043041251  19.38850    -2.381787
13098 PFRPO   (  0)      -0.082609131       0.046707152  -1.76866     1.285020

SE of equation            =     0.106243480
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.08822027      -0.918509713E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.083548427
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.7071043    
R squared                 =   0.80212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35198
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!      *    +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1967.1!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!  +      *                            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.1!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2*         +                            !0         .    .    .         !
 1968.3! +     *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4!   *   +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!         *     +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.4!       *  +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!             *       +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.2!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.3!                    *      +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!                       *  +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.4!                                *  +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1146 LAAGEPO C LAGEPO(-1) PGEPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1146 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITPO=ITPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITPO=LOG(AAITPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITPO=LOG(AITPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITPO=EXP(LAAITPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1147 LAAITPO C LAITPO(-1) PITPO;                                         
EQUATION 898  LAAITPO  
   RHS     C  LAITPO(-1)  PITPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  898 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  898
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.440006915

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.251690122       0.093325990  -2.69689     1.000000
13103 LAITPO  ( -1)       0.843750052       0.040358836  20.90620    -2.440036
13101 PITPO   (  0)      -0.137447074       0.086679501  -1.58569     0.942448

SE of equation            =     0.113131032
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.36774662      -0.516697796E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.083813075
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.7568581    
R squared                 =   0.76814
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!              *        +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.1!                          *       +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1996.1!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2! + *                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2009.3!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEPO=NEPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEPO=LOG(AANEPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEPO=LOG(ANEPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEPO=EXP(LAANEPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1148 LAANEPO C LANEPO(-1) PNEPO;                                         
EQUATION 899  LAANEPO  
   RHS     C  LANEPO(-1)  PNEPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  899 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  899
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.281820364

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.349270930       0.110026839  -3.17442     1.000000
13106 LANEPO  ( -1)       0.753893613       0.049225257  15.31518    -3.287168
13104 PNEPO   (  0)      -0.369993460       0.097500930  -3.79477     1.228061

SE of equation            =     0.135482777
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.39578282       0.556910074E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.102521387
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.2740208    
R squared                 =   0.79767
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62560
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!  *        +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.1!                 *        +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +              *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!           *      +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTPO=STPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTPO=LOG(AASTPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTPO=LOG(ASTPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTPO=EXP(LAASTPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1149 LAASTPO C LASTPO(-1) PSTPO;                                         
EQUATION 900  LAASTPO  
   RHS     C  LASTPO(-1)  PSTPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  900 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  900
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.662777457

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.008813472       0.057884800  -0.15226     1.000000
13109 LASTPO  ( -1)       0.903666007       0.031284750  28.88519    -3.653539
13107 PSTPO   (  0)      -0.365535716       0.135650241  -2.69469     0.964025

SE of equation            =     0.123364531
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.81547939       0.780575604E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.088988704
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.7298763    
R squared                 =   0.96534
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86142
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.4!                        *         +   !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1970.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                              *   +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.4!                               +     *!!           .  .  .      0    !
 1971.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.1!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                                *  +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                            *   +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       * +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!             *  +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!          *    +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.4!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.1!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!      * +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!    *  +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!  *  +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!   +*                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!   *   +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2003.4!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2! * +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2*     +                                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2006.3!+  *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!  *   +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!  *  +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!  +*                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!+  *                                  !!           .  .  . 0         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKPO=UKPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKPO=LOG(AAUKPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKPO=LOG(AUKPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKPO=EXP(LAAUKPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1150 LAAUKPO C LAUKPO(-1) PUKPO;                                         
EQUATION 901  LAAUKPO  
   RHS     C  LAUKPO(-1)  PUKPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  901 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  901
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.500237332

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.047551257       0.078425043  -0.60633     1.000000
13112 LAUKPO  ( -1)       0.971964644       0.017965428  54.10195    -2.493273
13110 PUKPO   (  0)      -0.027538777       0.069771253  -0.39470     1.064438

SE of equation            =     0.120535369
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.68782341      -0.278865819E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.090679511
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.0477481    
R squared                 =   0.94338
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51217
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                              *  +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                             +      * !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1966.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                                  *  +!!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                                  *  +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.2!                                  *+  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                         *    +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!               *      +               !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                 *    +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.4!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!                *     +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                  *   +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.1!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                 *  +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.1!                  *      +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.4!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!            *  +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .         0
 2006.2!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!              *   +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.4!     *        +                       !0         .    .    .         !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!*   +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.3!+  *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1! *   +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!  *   +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.2!  +*                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!   *    +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.2!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4+   *                                  !!         .    .    .0        !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1151 LAAFIPO C LAFIPO(-1) PFIPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1151 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASPO=ASPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASPO=LOG(AAASPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASPO=LOG(AASPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASPO=EXP(LAAASPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1152 LAAASPO C LAASPO(-1) PASPO;                                         
EQUATION 902  LAAASPO  
   RHS     C  LAASPO(-1)  PASPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  902 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  902
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.712828795

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.183657846       0.344514824  -3.43572     1.000000
13115 LAASPO  ( -1)       0.819197636       0.044056046  18.59444    -6.699016
13113 PASPO   (  0)      -0.035019483       0.170214337  -0.20574     1.180847

SE of equation            =     0.593635731
Sum of squared residuals  =  65.1946255       0.891819951E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.470631004
Sum of ABS residuals      =  88.4786288    
R squared                 =   0.65376
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65816
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +                *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!                     *         +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                          *        +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                             *     +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!           *         +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.1!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!    *          +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2008.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.2! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1153 LAASOPO C LASOPO(-1) PSOPO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1153 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1154 LAAKOPO C LAKOPO(-1) PKOPO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1154 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEPO=BEPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEPO=LOG(AABEPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEPO=LOG(ABEPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEPO=EXP(LAABEPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1155 LAABEPO C LABEPO(-1) PBEPO;                                         
EQUATION 903  LAABEPO  
   RHS     C  LABEPO(-1)  PBEPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  903 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  903
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.318899399

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.190350918       0.200815885  -5.92757     1.000000
13118 LABEPO  ( -1)       0.515100500       0.061334755   8.39818    -3.317404
13116 PBEPO   (  0)      -0.405326354       0.123974549  -3.26943     1.035590

SE of equation            =     0.115936093
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.48661789       0.706630310E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.084097660
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.8103600    
R squared                 =   0.37828
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22615
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!               +                      *!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!            *           +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1967.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.2!    +       *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!    *        +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!   *            +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.4!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                +         *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.4!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!    *           +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!   *        +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!      *          +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.3!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!              +        *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                +        *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!           +         *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1156 LAADEPO C LADEPO(-1) PDEPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1156 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOPO=NOPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOPO=LOG(AANOPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOPO=LOG(ANOPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOPO=EXP(LAANOPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1157 LAANOPO C LANOPO(-1) PNOPO;                                         
EQUATION 904  LAANOPO  
   RHS     C  LANOPO(-1)  PNOPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  904 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  904
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.409810664

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.554154863       0.263131608  -9.70676     1.000000
13121 LANOPO  ( -1)       0.235712763       0.070362334   3.34999    -4.408838
13119 PNOPO   (  0)      -0.899118223       0.140567230  -6.39636     0.908041

SE of equation            =     0.353701432
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.1443701       0.192956762E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.285091011
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.5971101    
R squared                 =   0.37229
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14250
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.3!   *             +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.4!   *            +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!         *       +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.3!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!          *          +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!      *             +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                       +          *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!         *              +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!             *         +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                       +              *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.4!                          +         * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                       +            * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!        *             +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!         *          +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.2!           *     +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!       *         +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4*                +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2! *             +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!    *         +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3! *              +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.4! *         +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!               +        *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!   *              +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!               +     *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!            *         +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!   *                    +             !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                  *       +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                 *    +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!              *        +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                           +        * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                     *      +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                    *       +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                       *    +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!            *           +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!     *          +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.2!         +         *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.3!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!               +        *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1! *    +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!*       +                             !!        0.    .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1158 LAASWPO C LASWPO(-1) PSWPO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1158 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1159 LAAGRPO C LAGRPO(-1) PGRPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1159 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRPO=IRPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRPO=LOG(AAIRPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRPO=LOG(AIRPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRPO=EXP(LAAIRPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1160 LAAIRPO C LAIRPO(-1) PIRPO;                                         
EQUATION 905  LAAIRPO  
   RHS     C  LAIRPO(-1)  PIRPO  
 SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    98 to   244
 OLS;EST  905 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  905
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRPO 

 1976.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  147 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.421993697

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.641056438       0.214497483  -2.98864     1.000000
13124 LAIRPO  ( -1)       0.722751102       0.055377598  13.05133    -5.435906
13122 PIRPO   (  0)      -0.705444352       0.206118923  -3.42251     1.207934

SE of equation            =     0.278359625
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.1577076      -0.309530179E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.181201936
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.6366846    
R squared                 =   0.77729
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36176
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.2   2012.4    147

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.2!         +                   *        !!           .  .  .           0
 1976.3!            *              +          !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1976.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1! *                    +               !0           .  .  .           !
 1977.2! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3*      +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!      +   *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !


     19.05 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPPO=SPPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPPO=LOG(AASPPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPPO=LOG(ASPPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPPO=EXP(LAASPPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1161 LAASPPO C LASPPO(-1) PSPPO;                                         
EQUATION 906  LAASPPO  
   RHS     C  LASPPO(-1)  PSPPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  906 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  906
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.165952577

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.028214982       0.060888039   0.46339     1.000000
13127 LASPPO  ( -1)       0.948537488       0.021492522  44.13337    -2.182682
13125 PSPPO   (  0)      -0.100256111       0.072439157  -1.38400     1.234959

SE of equation            =     0.158701770
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.65945661       0.560607116E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.109348288
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.5574781    
R squared                 =   0.96712
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55553
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+ *                                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1966.3! *     +                              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1966.4*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .         0!
 1967.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.3!      *   +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.4!  *   +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4! *     +                              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1969.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!     *   +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.1!          +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!       *  +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!           *   +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!          *    +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!            *    +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                 *  +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!               *   +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!                   *    +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                           *   +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1162 LAANZPO C LANZPO(-1) PNZPO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1162 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1163 LAASAPO C LASAPO(-1) PSAPO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1163 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1164 LAAVEPO C LAVEPO(-1) PVEPO;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1164 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1165 LAACOPO C LACOPO(-1) PCOPO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1165 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1166 LAAJOPO C LAJOPO(-1) PJOPO;SMPL 2009.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1166 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1167 LAASYPO C LASYPO(-1) PSYPO;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1167 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDPO=IDPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDPO=LOG(AAIDPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDPO=LOG(AIDPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDPO=EXP(LAAIDPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1168 LAAIDPO C LAIDPO(-1) PIDPO;                                         
EQUATION 907  LAAIDPO  
   RHS     C  LAIDPO(-1)  PIDPO  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  907 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  907
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDPO 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.054611123

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.589499891       0.247748147  -2.37943     1.000000
13130 LAIDPO  ( -1)       0.854784792       0.043197905  19.78764    -6.070096
13128 PIDPO   (  0)      -0.229637750       0.152315704  -1.50764     1.204006

SE of equation            =     0.298806591
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.4106676      -0.633093578E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.215663093
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.6241592    
R squared                 =   0.78794
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48871
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!         *         +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!         *        +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!           +          *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.2!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!            *          +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!       *           +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!    *          +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.1*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!  +              *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !


     20.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAPO=MAPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAPO=LOG(AAMAPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAPO=LOG(AMAPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAPO=EXP(LAAMAPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1169 LAAMAPO C LAMAPO(-1) PMAPO;                                         
EQUATION 908  LAAMAPO  
   RHS     C  LAMAPO(-1)  PMAPO  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST  908 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  908
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAPO 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.565532334

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.209791939       0.392981203  -5.62315     1.000000
13133 LAMAPO  ( -1)       0.626866517       0.064421288   9.73074    -6.570582
13131 PMAPO   (  0)      -0.189894493       0.070060345  -2.71044     1.247338

SE of equation            =     0.288227495
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8797377      -0.189901428E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.220686902
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.2202877    
R squared                 =   0.52264
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42615
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!          +      *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!    *           +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.2!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!            +          *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.1!     *              +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!   *       +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.2!       +         *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.3!   *            +                     !!0        .    .    .         !
 1980.4!       +              *               !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.1!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!          *       +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!        *           +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1999.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!         *       +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.4!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2006.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2006.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                        +             *!         .    .    .        0!
 2012.3!                     *          +     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !


     24.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAPO=PAPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAPO=LOG(AAPAPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAPO=LOG(APAPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAPO=EXP(LAAPAPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1170 LAAPAPO C LAPAPO(-1) PPAPO;                                         
EQUATION 909  LAAPAPO  
   RHS     C  LAPAPO(-1)  PPAPO  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  909 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  909
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAPO 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.131879690

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.551323381       0.253727009  -2.17290     1.000000
13136 LAPAPO  ( -1)       0.814416552       0.044759978  18.19520    -7.136024
13134 PPAPO   (  0)      -0.553090242       0.193811050  -2.85376     1.390117

SE of equation            =     0.520955715
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.1517823       0.597566441E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.369224887
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.8144318    
R squared                 =   0.81589
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47581
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!        *            +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!           *            +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4! +        *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!*                 +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.4!                         *      +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.4!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                               *   +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                             *    +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                         *       +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !


     22.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1171 LAAPHPO C LAPHPO(-1) PPHPO;SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1171 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHPO=THPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHPO=LOG(AATHPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHPO=LOG(ATHPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHPO=EXP(LAATHPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1172 LAATHPO C LATHPO(-1) PTHPO;                                         
EQUATION 910  LAATHPO  
   RHS     C  LATHPO(-1)  PTHPO  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST  910 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  910
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHPO 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.509719568

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.989681278       0.520666277  -1.90080     1.000000
13139 LATHPO  ( -1)       0.816980036       0.051711251  15.79888    -6.537745
13137 PTHPO   (  0)      -0.150207227       0.502646820  -0.29883     1.190563

SE of equation            =     0.626577845
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.8601741       0.245723442E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.370734751
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.1955177    
R squared                 =   0.72897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43790
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!       +          *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.4*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.1!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!  *            +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.1!*      +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!  *               +                   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1983.1!*      +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.4!     *              +                 !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1984.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!           +                *         !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1984.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                             *      + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                           *   +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !


     15.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHPO=CHPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHPO=LOG(AACHPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHPO=LOG(ACHPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHPO=EXP(LAACHPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1173 LAACHPO C LACHPO(-1) PCHPO;                                         
EQUATION 911  LAACHPO  
   RHS     C  LACHPO(-1)  PCHPO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  911 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  911
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHPO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.581617435

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.188392162       0.162871989   1.15669     1.000000
13142 LACHPO  ( -1)       0.946937697       0.027455436  34.48999    -5.617766
13140 PCHPO   (  0)      -0.367486851       0.211474098  -1.73774     1.225446

SE of equation            =     0.269401030
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.92696054       0.299760217E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.182065809
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9402920    
R squared                 =   0.96869
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30674
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!*     +                               !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.1!   *  +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4*    +                                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!   + *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!     +*                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!  *   +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.3!      * +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.4!            *  +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!           *    +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.2!           + *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.4!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!             *    +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!               +*                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARPO=ARPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARPO=LOG(AAARPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARPO=LOG(AARPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARPO=EXP(LAAARPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1174 LAAARPO C LAARPO(-1) PARPO;                                         
EQUATION 912  LAAARPO  
   RHS     C  LAARPO(-1)  PARPO  
 SMPL 1966.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    58 to   244
 OLS;EST  912 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  912
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARPO 

 1966.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  187 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.843645550

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.588152763       0.480765518  -5.38340     1.000000
13145 LAARPO  ( -1)       0.525612676       0.063141730   8.32433    -5.833018
13143 PARPO   (  0)      -0.147365171       0.264509061  -0.55713     1.286497

SE of equation            =     0.704936993
Sum of squared residuals  =  91.4362542      -0.182343030E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.540210534
Sum of ABS residuals      =  101.019370    
R squared                 =   0.27858
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06241
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.2   2012.4    187

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.2!              *         +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!      *         +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                        +           * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!          *             +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                 +              *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.4!                      *    +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.2!                         +           *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                           +         *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!          *              +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               +            *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1*                    +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.2!         +              *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!           *              +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                    +              *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                *           +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                  +                   *!         .    .    .         0
 1986.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!           *               +          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!              *   +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!               *   +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!    *          +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!                *   +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!         *        +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.3!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!         *         +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.2!           *   +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!           *        +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!        *       +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!         *       +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !


     27.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1175 LAABRPO C LABRPO(-1) PBRPO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1175 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEPO=CEPX$Q/POPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEPO=LOG(AACEPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEPO=LOG(ACEPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEPO=EXP(LAACEPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1176 LAACEPO C LACEPO(-1) PCEPO;                                         
EQUATION 913  LAACEPO  
   RHS     C  LACEPO(-1)  PCEPO  
 SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   139 to   244
 OLS;EST  913 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  913
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEPO 

 1986.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  106 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.501819614

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.530814732       0.780456087  -3.24274     1.000000
13148 LACEPO  ( -1)       0.635238657       0.076100510   8.34736    -7.490003
13146 PCEPO   (  0)      -0.184120916       0.499356207  -0.36872     1.157205

SE of equation            =     0.597684910
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.7944069       0.233963959E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.498213602
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.8106418    
R squared                 =   0.40726
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97011
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.3   2012.4    106

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.3!                         +   *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.4!                         +      *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.1!                           + *        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.2!                         +       *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.4!                             +        *!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.1!                                +   * !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.3!                           +        * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.4!                              +   *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.1!                             +       *!!        .     .     0        !
 1989.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.3!                           +       *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1989.4!                             +   *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!                            +    *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.3!                           +    *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                            +       * !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                          +           *!        .     .     .  0     !
 1991.3!                               +    * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.4!                              +   *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.1!                     *       +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.2!                     +                *!        .     .     .      0 !
 1992.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.4!                   *          +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.1!           *       +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.2!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.3!              *     +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.4!          *     +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!            * +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.2!               +     *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!        *            +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1995.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.2!                  +    *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.3!                  *   +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.4!             *     +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.2!               +          *           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.3!            *           +             !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1996.4!*              +                      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1997.1!       +    *                         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!        *       +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.4*            +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1998.1!     * +                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.2!           +        *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.3!         *          +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1998.4!   *         +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.1!         +          *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!        *               +             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1999.4*            +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2000.1!      +           *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.2!                  +  *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.3!               *    +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.4!           *     +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!              +  *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.4!           *      +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.1!           *  +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!              +      *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.3!           *        +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2002.4!      *       +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.1!           +  *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.2!                +         *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.3!                   *    +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!          *        +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!              +      *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.2!                     +      *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.3!               *         +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.4!    *            +                    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2005.1!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!               +          *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2005.3!                *       +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!             *    +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.2!                +    *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.3!                  *  +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.4!                *  +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.1!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!             *      +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.1!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!          *            +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2009.1!       *      +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.2!            +                   *     !!        .     .     .        0
 2009.3!                    *       +         !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.1!                       +       *      !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.2!                           +   *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.4!                    *     +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.1!                    +        *        !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.4!                *       +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.1!              *   +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.2!                 +     *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.3!                   *  +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!             *      +                 !!        .0    .     .        !


     35.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.83 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1177 LAAMEPO C LAMEPO(-1) PMEPO;SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1177 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1178 LAAPEPO C LAPEPO(-1) PPEPO;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1178 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUPO=TUPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUPO=LOG(AATUPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUPO=LOG(ATUPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUPO=EXP(LAATUPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1179 LAATUPO C LATUPO(-1) PTUPO;                                         
EQUATION 914  LAATUPO  
   RHS     C  LATUPO(-1)  PTUPO  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST  914 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  914
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUPO 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.907318440

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.164838398       0.402163761  -2.89643     1.000000
13151 LATUPO  ( -1)       0.658580042       0.066160696   9.95425    -5.913485
13149 PTUPO   (  0)      -0.694170181       0.284349776  -2.44125     1.221569

SE of equation            =     0.570672691
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.6854170       0.653077592E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.424789619
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.6474401    
R squared                 =   0.54381
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35926
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                  *       +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!         *         +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!         +                *           !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!    *         +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4!       +                 *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1985.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!   *                +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.1!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!   *            +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.4!        +            *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.1!             *        +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2*                 +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1987.3!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!        *         +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.4!               +           *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.1!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!              *        +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!             *        +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                             +        *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.3!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !


     24.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1180 LAAPDPO C LAPDPO(-1) PPDPO;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1180 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1181 LAARUPO C LARUPO(-1) PRUPO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1181 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1182 LAAUEPO C LAUEPO(-1) PUEPO;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1182 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1183 LAAEGPO C LAEGPO(-1) PEGPO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1183 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISPO=ISPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISPO=LOG(AAISPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISPO=LOG(AISPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISPO=EXP(LAAISPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1184 LAAISPO C LAISPO(-1) PISPO;                                         
EQUATION 915  LAAISPO  
   RHS     C  LAISPO(-1)  PISPO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  915 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  915
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISPO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.236491389

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.996771849       0.389091373  -2.56179     1.000000
13154 LAISPO  ( -1)       0.822275503       0.041441087  19.84204    -6.242975
13152 PISPO   (  0)      -0.095887652       0.283657522  -0.33804     1.108322

SE of equation            =     0.459476786
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.0569996       0.280930834E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.304955181
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.3315741    
R squared                 =   0.68307
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36155
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +                    *         !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1966.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!*                         +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.2!*  +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!   +       *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!      *  +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!       *  +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!    *             +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3*              +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1974.4!  +                        *          !!           .  .  .          0!
 1975.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                        +        *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                        +           * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                        +          *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                       +              *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.1!                              *   +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.3!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!       +             *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1994.1!          *         +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!    *            +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.4!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !


     17.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1185 LAAKEPO C LAKEPO(-1) PKEPO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1185 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAPO=BAPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAPO=LOG(AABAPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAPO=LOG(ABAPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAPO=EXP(LAABAPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1186 LAABAPO C LABAPO(-1) PBAPO;                                         
EQUATION 916  LAABAPO  
   RHS     C  LABAPO(-1)  PBAPO  
 SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   138 to   244
 OLS;EST  916 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  916
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAPO 

 1986.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.943527977

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.867884912       0.474919429  -1.82744     1.000000
13157 LABAPO  ( -1)       0.820492686       0.057398239  14.29474    -8.964654
13155 PBAPO   (  0)      -0.577873335       0.328601262  -1.75859     1.246311

SE of equation            =     0.456082841
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.6332021      -0.304751779E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.325799727
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.8605707    
R squared                 =   0.74758
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61637
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.2   2012.4    107

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!         *          +                 !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1989.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!    *          +                      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.2*       +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.3!   +           *                      !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.4!      *          +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1991.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!     *      +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!  *       +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.1!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!               *       +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!              *    +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2007.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                                +     *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !


     23.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.67 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKPO=HKPX$/POPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKPO=LOG(AAHKPO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKPO=LOG(AHKPO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKPO=EXP(LAAHKPO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1187 LAAHKPO C LAHKPO(-1) PHKPO;                                         
EQUATION 917  LAAHKPO  
   RHS     C  LAHKPO(-1)  PHKPO  
 SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   109 to   244
 OLS;EST  917 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  917
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKPO 

 1979.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  136 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.059126255

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.536594682       0.192174009  -2.79223     1.000000
13160 LAHKPO  ( -1)       0.879544262       0.037979255  23.15854    -6.072327
13158 PHKPO   (  0)      -0.133242440       0.086440446  -1.54144     1.363314

SE of equation            =     0.220630346
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.47414069       0.663114008E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.168207001
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8761521    
R squared                 =   0.86397
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44215
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2012.4    136

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.1!  * +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1979.2! *  +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1979.3!*  +                                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.4*  +                                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.1!  +   *                               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.2!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.3!         +  *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.4!         *   +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1981.1!         * +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.2!          + *                         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1981.3!            + *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1981.4!          *   +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.1!    *      +                          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1982.2!     +      *                         !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.1!   *       +                          !0        .     .     .        !
 1983.2!     +     *                          !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1983.3!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.4!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.1!     *     +                          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1984.2!       +                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.3!        + *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.4!        * +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.1!     *   +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.2!      +    *                          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1985.3!         * +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1985.4!          + *                         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.1!        *    +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.2!         +      *                     !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1986.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.3!                  + *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.4!                 *  +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.4!                    *+                !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.1!               *    +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.2!                +      *              !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.2!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.3!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.4!                         *  +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.2!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.2!                          +      *    !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1992.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.2!                               +     *!!        .     .     .   0    !
 1993.3!                                *  +  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.4!                              +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.3!                             +        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.2!                            +  *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.4!                                +     *!        .     .     .     0  !
 1996.1!                             *      + !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.4!                          *   +       !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.4!                         *  +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.2!                      +    *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!                       *  +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.4!                     *   +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                  *   +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.4!                   * +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.2!                        +             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.4!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!                     * +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.2!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.4!                        * +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.1!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .     0        !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!                       *    +         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.1!                         *     +      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!                       *  +           !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.3!                        + *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.4!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.1!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.2!                       +   *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.3!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.1!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.2!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.3!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!                           +          !!        .    0.     .        !


     27.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1188 LAASIPO C LASIPO(-1) PSIPO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1188 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1189 LAAVIPO C LAVIPO(-1) PVIPO;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1189 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1190 LAANIPO C LANIPO(-1) PNIPO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1190 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1191 LAAALPO C LAALPO(-1) PALPO;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1191 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1192 LAAIAPO C LAIAPO(-1) PIAPO;SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1192 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1193 LAAINPO C LAINPO(-1) PINPO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1193 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1194 LAAIQPO C LAIQPO(-1) PIQPO;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1194 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1195 LAAKUPO C LAKUPO(-1) PKUPO;SMPL 2007.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1195 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1196 LAALIPO C LALIPO(-1) PLIPO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1196 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1197 LAAUAPO C LAUAPO(-1) PUAPO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1197 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1198 LAAUSSP C LAUSSP(-1) PUSSP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1198 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1199 LAACASP C LACASP(-1) PCASP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1199 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1200 LAAJASP C LAJASP(-1) PJASP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1200 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUSP=AUPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUSP=LOG(AAAUSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUSP=LOG(AAUSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUSP=EXP(LAAAUSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1201 LAAAUSP C LAAUSP(-1) PAUSP;                                         
EQUATION 918  LAAAUSP  
   RHS     C  LAAUSP(-1)  PAUSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  918 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  918
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.793452487

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.224196232       0.099213741  -2.25973     1.000000
13163 LAAUSP  ( -1)       0.897946662       0.034753827  25.83735    -4.796678
13161 PAUSP   (  0)      -0.220488605       0.104644003  -2.10704     1.188704

SE of equation            =     0.127293954
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.99769389       0.164011027E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.093142379
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.5107672    
R squared                 =   0.92205
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48459
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!  *        +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1967.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!      *      +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!         *       +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!     *      +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!     *    +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4! +      *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!         *       +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                        *      +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1998.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                              *   +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                               *     +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRSP=FRPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRSP=LOG(AAFRSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRSP=LOG(AFRSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRSP=EXP(LAAFRSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1202 LAAFRSP C LAFRSP(-1) PFRSP;                                         
EQUATION 919  LAAFRSP  
   RHS     C  LAFRSP(-1)  PFRSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  919 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  919
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.123037373

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.081338165       0.041618779  -1.95436     1.000000
13166 LAFRSP  ( -1)       0.922564737       0.044761814  20.61053    -2.125862
13164 PFRSP   (  0)      -0.056500282       0.047584282  -1.18737     1.423960

SE of equation            =     0.081686890
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.23445839       0.293298719E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.055490541
Sum of ABS residuals      =  10.4322217    
R squared                 =   0.94747
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45554
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *    +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!        *  +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4!      *  +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2*    +                                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.3!+                                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4! +   *                                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.1!  *  +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!        *    +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1972.2!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!         *    +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.4!    *    +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!    +          *                      !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.2!          *    +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.3!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!               *       +              !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!            *       +                 !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1984.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1984.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   *   +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1987.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                           * +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1991.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGESP=GEPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGESP=LOG(AAGESP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGESP=LOG(AGESP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGESP=EXP(LAAGESP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1203 LAAGESP C LAGESP(-1) PGESP;                                         
EQUATION 920  LAAGESP  
   RHS     C  LAGESP(-1)  PGESP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  920 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  920
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGESP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.888841894

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.223709273       0.063925353  -3.49954     1.000000
13169 LAGESP  ( -1)       0.826097552       0.054873584  15.05456    -1.888214
13167 PGESP   (  0)      -0.088860563       0.061338635  -1.44869     1.184823

SE of equation            =     0.073851765
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.00900540       0.115218945E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.052383811
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.84815639    
R squared                 =   0.79401
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62692
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!            *     +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4*           +                          !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1974.1!+               *                     !!           .  .  .          0!
 1974.2!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!        *        +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                    *     +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.4!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                      +               *!           .  .  .           0
 1991.4!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                 *      +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2000.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSP=ITPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSP=LOG(AAITSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSP=LOG(AITSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSP=EXP(LAAITSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1204 LAAITSP C LAITSP(-1) PITSP;                                         
EQUATION 921  LAAITSP  
   RHS     C  LAITSP(-1)  PITSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  921 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  921
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.413065646

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.131532668       0.078776214  -1.66970     1.000000
13172 LAITSP  ( -1)       0.920317243       0.030581855  30.09357    -2.413461
13170 PITSP   (  0)      -0.058667773       0.078636837  -0.74606     1.029234

SE of equation            =     0.091976303
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.56503345      -0.915667542E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.067416806
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.6743595    
R squared                 =   0.86825
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61635
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *         +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1966.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!   *         +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!      *           +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!      *      +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.4!+             *                       !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!      *             +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2! *     +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                +           *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                            *     +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                               *    + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                          *    +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNESP=NEPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANESP=LOG(AANESP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANESP=LOG(ANESP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANESP=EXP(LAANESP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1205 LAANESP C LANESP(-1) PNESP;                                         
EQUATION 922  LAANESP  
   RHS     C  LANESP(-1)  PNESP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  922 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  922
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANESP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.351055783

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.152046864       0.072423811  -2.09940     1.000000
13175 LANESP  ( -1)       0.915216438       0.038166888  23.97933    -3.355964
13173 PNESP   (  0)      -0.093925393       0.056674437  -1.65728     1.358262

SE of equation            =     0.100301031
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.86115493      -0.353939100E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.071820810
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.5023123    
R squared                 =   0.93464
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46337
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.1!+          *                          !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.2!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!   *      +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .         0!
 1973.2!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!   *         +                        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!       *    +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                  *     +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1206 LAASTSP C LASTSP(-1) PSTSP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1206 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1207 LAAUKSP C LAUKSP(-1) PUKSP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1207 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFISP=FIPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFISP=LOG(AAFISP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFISP=LOG(AFISP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFISP=EXP(LAAFISP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1208 LAAFISP C LAFISP(-1) PFISP;                                         
EQUATION 923  LAAFISP  
   RHS     C  LAFISP(-1)  PFISP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  923 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  923
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFISP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.101159682

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.270794093       0.240945490  -5.27420     1.000000
13178 LAFISP  ( -1)       0.712145953       0.053701313  13.26124    -5.100733
13176 PFISP   (  0)      -0.177639925       0.082937560  -2.14185     1.114048

SE of equation            =     0.158164082
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.62793723       0.301687564E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.123751234
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.2652320    
R squared                 =   0.60342
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13941
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *               +                   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1966.2!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!     *           +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.1!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!               +              *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1970.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!      +          *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!   +           *                      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!*      +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.4!   +       *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!    +  *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.4!   +           *                      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!     *             +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3! *    +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3! *         +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!     +    *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!*          +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.3!          +                *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                *        +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                       +              *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.3!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!          *      +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.2!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSP=ASPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSP=LOG(AAASSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSP=LOG(AASSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSP=EXP(LAAASSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1209 LAAASSP C LAASSP(-1) PASSP;                                         
EQUATION 924  LAAASSP  
   RHS     C  LAASSP(-1)  PASSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  924 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  924
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.910570792

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.718611683       0.320474814  -5.36270     1.000000
13181 LAASSP  ( -1)       0.703779465       0.054454523  12.92417    -5.903338
13179 PASSP   (  0)      -0.028502956       0.061895901  -0.46050     1.309021

SE of equation            =     0.294882698
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.0868240      -0.223767671E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.238503449
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.8386484    
R squared                 =   0.48286
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28458
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!           *         +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.4!              +         *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.4!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                               +      *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.2!                              *  +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                      +              *!!         .    .    .         0
 1977.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!             *         +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                         +           *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.4!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                          +          *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.1!                               * +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                            +        *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.3!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!           *            +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1988.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                  *       +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.3!                  *         +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.3!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.3!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!             *      +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!        *       +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!   *        +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.2*        +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.3! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!  *          +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOSP=SOPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOSP=LOG(AASOSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOSP=LOG(ASOSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOSP=EXP(LAASOSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1210 LAASOSP C LASOSP(-1) PSOSP;                                         
EQUATION 925  LAASOSP  
   RHS     C  LASOSP(-1)  PSOSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  925 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  925
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.367748047

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.928991400       0.301196934  -6.40442     1.000000
13184 LASOSP  ( -1)       0.612846911       0.058042616  10.55857    -5.362695
13182 PSOSP   (  0)      -0.131853486       0.077865064  -1.69336     1.154657

SE of equation            =     0.253403520
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8794686      -0.173496773E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.189966767
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.7137521    
R squared                 =   0.41767
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14127
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!       *                  +           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1968.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!                    +                *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                           +         *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                 *            +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.3!   *             +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!    *         +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!            +             *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                +           *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.4!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!    *           +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOSP=KOPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOSP=LOG(AAKOSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOSP=LOG(AKOSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOSP=EXP(LAAKOSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1211 LAAKOSP C LAKOSP(-1) PKOSP;                                         
EQUATION 926  LAAKOSP  
   RHS     C  LAKOSP(-1)  PKOSP  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  926 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  926
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOSP 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.352998355

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.558097480       0.247151814  -6.30421     1.000000
13187 LAKOSP  ( -1)       0.556033614       0.066907436   8.31049    -5.365889
13185 PKOSP   (  0)      -0.502749260       0.088636721  -5.67202     1.613700

SE of equation            =     0.282900502
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.1245445      -0.126565425E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.203789256
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.9380743    
R squared                 =   0.83924
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19527
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1*          +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!*        +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!    *                +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4! *               +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1992.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !


     22.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESP=BEPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESP=LOG(AABESP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESP=LOG(ABESP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESP=EXP(LAABESP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1212 LAABESP C LABESP(-1) PBESP;                                         
EQUATION 927  LAABESP  
   RHS     C  LABESP(-1)  PBESP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  927 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  927
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.385188824

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.177464361       0.077871660  -2.27893     1.000000
13190 LABESP  ( -1)       0.924371269       0.033502895  27.59079    -3.387450
13188 PBESP   (  0)      -0.067066447       0.076690627  -0.87451     1.140112

SE of equation            =     0.108604039
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.18204492       0.170801151E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.083329549
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6659552    
R squared                 =   0.90272
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59048
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!       *     +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!  *       +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1967.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!  *          +                        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!      *     +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.1!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   *     +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!         *         +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!            *     +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!         *     +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      *     +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESP=DEPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESP=LOG(AADESP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESP=LOG(ADESP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESP=EXP(LAADESP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1213 LAADESP C LADESP(-1) PDESP;                                         
EQUATION 928  LAADESP  
   RHS     C  LADESP(-1)  PDESP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  928 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  928
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.912201022

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.334340185       0.221553471  -6.02266     1.000000
13193 LADESP  ( -1)       0.632694283       0.060456295  10.46532    -4.910849
13191 PDESP   (  0)      -0.394979825       0.080708376  -4.89391     1.191946

SE of equation            =     0.111117978
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.28423295      -0.447633042E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.081643626
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3490018    
R squared                 =   0.80810
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28847
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2! *         +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.3!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.1!             *          +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!              *          +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!              *               +       !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOSP=NOPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOSP=LOG(AANOSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOSP=LOG(ANOSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOSP=EXP(LAANOSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1214 LAANOSP C LANOSP(-1) PNOSP;                                         
EQUATION 929  LAANOSP  
   RHS     C  LANOSP(-1)  PNOSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  929 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  929
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.067627022

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.792764399       0.192073415  -4.12740     1.000000
13196 LANOSP  ( -1)       0.804987419       0.041732519  19.28921    -5.067443
13194 PNOSP   (  0)      -0.196198401       0.073368043  -2.67417     0.997128

SE of equation            =     0.221145058
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.04745028       0.325490745E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.167608050
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.5103134    
R squared                 =   0.73859
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44984
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!             *           +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.1!              +       *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!    *         +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3! *                +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1977.4!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!       *        +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!   *        +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3! +       *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2! *        +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.4!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                          *        +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1215 LAASWSP C LASWSP(-1) PSWSP;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1215 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRSP=GRPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRSP=LOG(AAGRSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRSP=LOG(AGRSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRSP=EXP(LAAGRSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1216 LAAGRSP C LAGRSP(-1) PGRSP;                                         
EQUATION 930  LAAGRSP  
   RHS     C  LAGRSP(-1)  PGRSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  930 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  930
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.308072426

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.988705919       0.387575071  -7.71130     1.000000
13199 LAGRSP  ( -1)       0.441020469       0.067754865   6.50906    -6.309077
13197 PGRSP   (  0)      -0.450672350       0.154754600  -2.91217     1.191408

SE of equation            =     0.402772620
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.0117699       0.343813866E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.274406063
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.5883398    
R squared                 =   0.30722
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16751
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                +            *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                   +                * !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +             *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.4!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!    *           +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!           *         +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRSP=IRPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRSP=LOG(AAIRSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRSP=LOG(AIRSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRSP=EXP(LAAIRSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1217 LAAIRSP C LAIRSP(-1) PIRSP;                                         
EQUATION 931  LAAIRSP  
   RHS     C  LAIRSP(-1)  PIRSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  931 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  931
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.290938136

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.324050583       0.117365427  -2.76104     1.000000
13202 LAIRSP  ( -1)       0.767082304       0.045431338  16.88443    -5.308861
13200 PIRSP   (  0)      -0.646323061       0.152863608  -4.22810     1.384067

SE of equation            =     0.280133074
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.5177897       0.138293821E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.214807512
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.3838122    
R squared                 =   0.90976
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66106
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4*        +                             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1967.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!            *       +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!            *    +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                *     +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!          *    +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   *   +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                 *   +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                 *   +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOSP=POPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOSP=LOG(AAPOSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOSP=LOG(APOSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOSP=EXP(LAAPOSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1218 LAAPOSP C LAPOSP(-1) PPOSP;                                         
EQUATION 932  LAAPOSP  
   RHS     C  LAPOSP(-1)  PPOSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  932 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  932
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.433088990

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.063593176       0.064623046   0.98406     1.000000
13205 LAPOSP  ( -1)       0.941046511       0.025696254  36.62193    -4.445333
13203 PPOSP   (  0)      -0.225437509       0.104344636  -2.16051     1.390263

SE of equation            =     0.167069739
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.16377507       0.130073730E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.124450463
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.3966870    
R squared                 =   0.97848
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32485
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *    +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1966.2!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!    *  +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.4!     + *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!   *   +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.2!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!     +                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1! *  +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.2! +*                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!   *+                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!* +                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.3! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!      +                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!     *  +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.3!        *   +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.4!    *   +                             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.1!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!    *   +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!      *    +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4*      +                               !0         .    .    .         !
 1976.1!+  *                                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.2! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3* +                                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4+ *                                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!*  +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!      +*                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!           + *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!            * +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      *     +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1981.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!            + *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!              +*                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!             *  +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                + *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                           +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                              +       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                              * +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                               *+     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                             * +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                                    + *!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                                    * +!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1219 LAANZSP C LANZSP(-1) PNZSP;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1219 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1220 LAASASP C LASASP(-1) PSASP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1220 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1221 LAAVESP C LAVESP(-1) PVESP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1221 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1222 LAACOSP C LACOSP(-1) PCOSP;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1222 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1223 LAAJOSP C LAJOSP(-1) PJOSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1223 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYSP=SYPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYSP=LOG(AASYSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYSP=LOG(ASYSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYSP=EXP(LAASYSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1224 LAASYSP C LASYSP(-1) PSYSP;                                         
EQUATION 933  LAASYSP  
   RHS     C  LASYSP(-1)  PSYSP  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST  933 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  933
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYSP 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.843949326

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.260950115       0.548061868  -5.94997     1.000000
13208 LASYSP  ( -1)       0.543165654       0.074288319   7.31159    -7.854873
13206 PSYSP   (  0)      -0.131835389       0.050628730  -2.60396     2.400737

SE of equation            =     1.230729183
Sum of squared residuals  =  192.366179      -0.564259750E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.973043477
Sum of ABS residuals      =  126.495652    
R squared                 =   0.44091
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27425
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3*       +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!      +                *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.1*                  +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2*    +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3*   +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!*   +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1*     +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!*    +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!*     +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!              +           *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!           *       +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!            +           *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.1!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!              *   +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!  *           +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!       *         +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!       *       +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!       *          +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!               +                *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.3!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                *            +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.3!                             +       *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                         *   +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!               *          +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.4!                   +          *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                       +   *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                *        +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                           +         *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.3!                               +      *!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                  *            +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!               *          +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!              *        +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!              *          +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!       *                     +        !0         .    .    .         !
 2009.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!          *                +          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                +              *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2010.4!          *                 +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2011.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!            *             +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1!        *        +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!       *        +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !


     26.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1225 LAAIDSP C LAIDSP(-1) PIDSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1225 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMASP=MAPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMASP=LOG(AAMASP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMASP=LOG(AMASP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMASP=EXP(LAAMASP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1226 LAAMASP C LAMASP(-1) PMASP;                                         
EQUATION 934  LAAMASP  
   RHS     C  LAMASP(-1)  PMASP  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  934 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  934
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMASP 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.182737977

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.435818782       0.286367497  -5.01390     1.000000
13211 LAMASP  ( -1)       0.753646781       0.048099367  15.66854    -6.183006
13209 PMASP   (  0)      -0.059244865       0.026726029  -2.21675     1.470448

SE of equation            =     0.181322813
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.88515532      -0.360040886E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.139892764
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4604830    
R squared                 =   0.63607
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25067
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4! *          +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2*          +                           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!           *     +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!             *        +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1994.3!                      *           +   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.4!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 *      +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!               *      +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.3!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.18 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.95 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPASP=PAPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPASP=LOG(AAPASP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPASP=LOG(APASP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPASP=EXP(LAAPASP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1227 LAAPASP C LAPASP(-1) PPASP;                                         
EQUATION 935  LAAPASP  
   RHS     C  LAPASP(-1)  PPASP  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  935 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  935
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPASP 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.970528293

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.510849742       0.331127827  -7.58272     1.000000
13214 LAPASP  ( -1)       0.586829046       0.052915163  11.09000    -6.986130
13212 PPASP   (  0)      -0.234088168       0.054470118  -4.29755     1.537945

SE of equation            =     0.252393650
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.1287062       0.802913291E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176696300
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.6248007    
R squared                 =   0.63891
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26683
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4*             +                        !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1973.1!          +                 *         !!           .  .  .           0
 1973.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                 *        +           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.1!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                         +            *!           .  .  .       0   !
 1975.4!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                    +            *    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1978.3!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!               *      +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                 *      +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                       *       +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !


     22.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHSP=PHPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHSP=LOG(AAPHSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHSP=LOG(APHSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHSP=EXP(LAAPHSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1228 LAAPHSP C LAPHSP(-1) PPHSP;                                         
EQUATION 936  LAAPHSP  
   RHS     C  LAPHSP(-1)  PPHSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  936 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  936
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.601362808

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.771472548       0.452889210  -8.32758     1.000000
13217 LAPHSP  ( -1)       0.437128122       0.063079042   6.92985    -7.591124
13215 PPHSP   (  0)      -0.373945824       0.104723752  -3.57078     1.368104

SE of equation            =     0.428876169
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.0279321      -0.221067609E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.322877926
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.7010500    
R squared                 =   0.31956
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09425
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *            +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1966.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.3!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3*                 +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1972.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!              +                    *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1973.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!       *             +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!  *                  +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1976.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                 +                *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                     +                *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHSP=THPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHSP=LOG(AATHSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHSP=LOG(ATHSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHSP=EXP(LAATHSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1229 LAATHSP C LATHSP(-1) PTHSP;                                         
EQUATION 937  LAATHSP  
   RHS     C  LATHSP(-1)  PTHSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  937 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  937
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.716428443

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.670956698       0.200203982  -3.35137     1.000000
13220 LATHSP  ( -1)       0.786410774       0.042492220  18.50717    -6.722776
13218 PTHSP   (  0)      -0.537629223       0.133338420  -4.03207     1.411025

SE of equation            =     0.426190381
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.6030745      -0.216182627E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.264894302
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.8001288    
R squared                 =   0.84161
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43619
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!     *           +                    !!       0    . . .            !
 1966.3*       +                              !!          0 . . .            !
 1966.4!  +                         *         !!            . . .            0
 1967.1!      *                  +            !!   0        . . .            !
 1967.2!     *  +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1967.3!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!       *    +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1968.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!       +              *               !!            . . .     0      !
 1969.2!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 1969.3!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!             *    +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1971.2!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.4!               *   +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1972.1!         *      +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.2!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1972.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!            +        *                !!            . . .  0         !
 1973.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!          *        +                  !!         0  . . .            !
 1973.4!         +       *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.1!         +    *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!       *    +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1975.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1975.4!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!           +   *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1976.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!       *       +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.3!          +      *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!           *       +                  !!         0  . . .            !
 1981.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1983.4!              +       *               !!            . . .  0         !
 1984.1!             *        +               !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!           *    +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1984.4!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                   *     +            !!           0. . .            !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                         +         *  !!            . . .   0        !
 1987.2!                         *        +   !!         0  . . .            !
 1987.3!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1987.4!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                     *      +         !!          0 . . .            !
 1988.4!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1992.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1997.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                               +    * !!            . . .0           !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                               *   +  !!            0 . .            !
 2001.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                                   +  *!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !


     17.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHSP=CHPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHSP=LOG(AACHSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHSP=LOG(ACHSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHSP=EXP(LAACHSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1230 LAACHSP C LACHSP(-1) PCHSP;                                         
EQUATION 938  LAACHSP  
   RHS     C  LACHSP(-1)  PCHSP  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  938 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  938
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHSP 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.707872208

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.088506836       0.120385780   0.73519     1.000000
13223 LACHSP  ( -1)       0.969195215       0.022494300  43.08626    -4.734995
13221 PCHSP   (  0)      -0.164354008       0.134453490  -1.22239     1.260964

SE of equation            =     0.220694917
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.99086830      -0.597477623E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.149656256
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.8566883    
R squared                 =   0.97023
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86385
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!   +                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.2!*        +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!+      *                              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.1!*      +                              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1985.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!    +*                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!               *   +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1231 LAAARSP C LAARSP(-1) PARSP;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1231 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1232 LAABRSP C LABRSP(-1) PBRSP;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1232 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1233 LAACESP C LACESP(-1) PCESP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1233 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMESP=MEPX$Q/SPPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMESP=LOG(AAMESP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMESP=LOG(AMESP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMESP=EXP(LAAMESP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1234 LAAMESP C LAMESP(-1) PMESP;                                         
EQUATION 939  LAAMESP  
   RHS     C  LAMESP(-1)  PMESP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  939 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  939
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMESP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.692622213

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.377008753       0.183868929  -2.05042     1.000000
13226 LAMESP  ( -1)       0.893812592       0.029883878  29.90952    -4.713669
13224 PMESP   (  0)      -0.073710512       0.111514790  -0.66099     1.390263

SE of equation            =     0.410740250
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.2108973       0.180078175E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.273823502
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.4788184    
R squared                 =   0.83925
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24449
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1966.2!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!        *     +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1966.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                *    +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!          *          +                !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1972.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!          *      +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4*            +                         !0           .  .  .           !
 1976.1!  +       *                           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1976.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!         *     +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.4!     *    +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1977.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!               * +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                              *    +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                              *    +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.1!                         *     +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1235 LAAPESP C LAPESP(-1) PPESP;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1235 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUSP=TUPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUSP=LOG(AATUSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUSP=LOG(ATUSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUSP=EXP(LAATUSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1236 LAATUSP C LATUSP(-1) PTUSP;                                         
EQUATION 940  LAATUSP  
   RHS     C  LATUSP(-1)  PTUSP  
 SMPL 1972.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
 OLS;EST  940 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  940
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUSP 

 1972.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.910024219

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.162101618       0.165574752  -0.97902     1.000000
13229 LATUSP  ( -1)       0.830687731       0.040998323  20.26151    -5.920785
13227 PTUSP   (  0)      -0.622681261       0.170369755  -3.65488     1.332301

SE of equation            =     0.346138501
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.2897098      -0.497379915E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.256393710
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.0485684    
R squared                 =   0.88753
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41873
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4    164

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.1!          *      +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!  *       +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!     *      +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.2!       *       +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3*         +                            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.1!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!  *     +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!         +            *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!        *      +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!        *        +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !


     24.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.10 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1237 LAAPDSP C LAPDSP(-1) PPDSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1237 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1238 LAARUSP C LARUSP(-1) PRUSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1238 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1239 LAAUESP C LAUESP(-1) PUESP;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1239 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGSP=EGPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGSP=LOG(AAEGSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGSP=LOG(AEGSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGSP=EXP(LAAEGSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1240 LAAEGSP C LAEGSP(-1) PEGSP;                                         
EQUATION 941  LAAEGSP  
   RHS     C  LAEGSP(-1)  PEGSP  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  941 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  941
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGSP 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.594253017

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.506890748       0.494532316  -3.04710     1.000000
13232 LAEGSP  ( -1)       0.736572223       0.061322036  12.01154    -6.597350
13230 PEGSP   (  0)      -0.180764350       0.270973298  -0.66709     1.260964

SE of equation            =     0.633946309
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.4322145       0.101429976E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.447030618
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.3258579    
R squared                 =   0.54941
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55019
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!               *              +       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!              +                *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1985.3!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!          *          +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4! *                 +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.3*             +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1988.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                   *       +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISSP=ISPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISSP=LOG(AAISSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISSP=LOG(AISSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISSP=EXP(LAAISSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1241 LAAISSP C LAISSP(-1) PISSP;                                         
EQUATION 942  LAAISSP  
   RHS     C  LAISSP(-1)  PISSP  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  942 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  942
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISSP 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.334908893

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.001983151       0.279250465  -3.58812     1.000000
13235 LAISSP  ( -1)       0.720014069       0.054776638  13.14455    -6.341477
13233 PISSP   (  0)      -0.632269866       0.238901302  -2.64657     1.213047

SE of equation            =     0.342318167
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.6786196      -0.679536427E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.226916022
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.6602121    
R squared                 =   0.66833
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09200
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!*                   +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3*        +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!           +               *          !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1974.2!                  *       +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!             +         *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                 +          *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.4!                      *          +    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1242 LAAKESP C LAKESP(-1) PKESP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1242 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBASP=BAPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABASP=LOG(AABASP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABASP=LOG(ABASP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABASP=EXP(LAABASP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1243 LAABASP C LABASP(-1) PBASP;                                         
EQUATION 943  LAABASP  
   RHS     C  LABASP(-1)  PBASP  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST  943 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  943
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABASP 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.306412933

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.463529893       0.213913312  -2.16691     1.000000
13238 LABASP  ( -1)       0.900337503       0.033608911  26.78865    -8.331079
13236 PBASP   (  0)      -0.216231549       0.079069650  -2.73470     1.582102

SE of equation            =     0.386423531
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.3532098      -0.808508815E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267611031
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.0712105    
R squared                 =   0.91988
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70440
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.4!         *  +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!   *          +                       !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1977.4!   +    *                             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1+             *                        !!           .  .  .           0
 1979.2!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!  *        +                          !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1980.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!*         +                           !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1982.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4! *     +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!     +    *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!    +       *                         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1986.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!       *     +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!           * +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.4!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !


     21.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSP=HKPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSP=LOG(AAHKSP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSP=LOG(AHKSP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSP=EXP(LAAHKSP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1244 LAAHKSP C LAHKSP(-1) PHKSP;                                         
EQUATION 944  LAAHKSP  
   RHS     C  LAHKSP(-1)  PHKSP  
 SMPL 1970.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    74 to   244
 OLS;EST  944 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  944
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSP 

 1970.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  171 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.700866327

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.428081541       0.113597941  -3.76839     1.000000
13241 LAHKSP  ( -1)       0.878735342       0.030357919  28.94584    -5.717906
13239 PHKSP   (  0)      -0.141192026       0.041324821  -3.41664     1.758302

SE of equation            =     0.185453193
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.77800500       0.673239242E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.148735838
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4338283    
R squared                 =   0.96992
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65742
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.2   2012.4    171

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.2!  * +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1970.3!  *+                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.4!  *+                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.1!  + *                                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1971.2!   *+                                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.3!  * +                                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1971.4! * +                                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.1!* +                                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1972.2* +                                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1972.3*+                                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1972.4*+                                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.1!+   *                                 !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1973.2!     + *                              !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.3!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1973.4!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.1!    +    *                            !!        .     .     .       0!
 1974.2!    *   +                             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.3!    +                                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.4!   +*                                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.1!      +*                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1975.2!         + *                          !!        .     .     0        !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.4!            +*                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.1!            * +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.2!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1976.3!            * +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.4!            *+                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.1!           * +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.4!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.1!            *  +                      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1978.2!             +*                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1978.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.4!                   *  +               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1980.3!                         +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.1!                     *   +            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1981.2!                     +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.2!                    + *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.4!                     +    *           !!        .     .     .        0
 1983.1!                     *    +           !0        .     .     .        !
 1983.2!                      + *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.3!                      * +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.4!                       +  *           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1984.1!                     *    +           !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1984.2!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.3!                    *  +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1984.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1985.1!                    *   +             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1985.2!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.3!                     +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.4!                      +*              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1986.3!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1987.1!                          *  +        !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.4!                           + *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.1!                           *  +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.2!                            + *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.1!                           *  +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.4!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.1!                          * +         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1990.2!                          +   *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.3!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.4!                               +*     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.1!                            *   +     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.3!                               + *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.4!                                 + *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.1!                                 * +  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1992.3!                                   +  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                                   +* !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.1!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.2!                                   + *!!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.3!                                    + *!        .     .    0.        !
 1993.4!                                    *+!!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!                                   *+ !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.2!                                  + * !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.3!                                   + *!!        .     .    0.        !
 1994.4!                                    + !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.1!                                  * + !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!                                  + * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                                    +*!!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.1!                                  * + !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.3!                                   + *!!        .     .     0        !
 1996.4!                                   *+ !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!                                  +   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                                  + * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.4!                                   *+ !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.3!                                   +* !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.1!                               *  +   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1999.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.4!                                   *+ !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                                +  *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2000.4!                                  *+  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.2!                                +     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.4!                                 *+   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.4!                                  *+  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!        .     .    0.        !
 2005.4!                                    + !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!                                  * + !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!                                 *  + !!       0.     .     .        !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.1!                                *  +  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.1!                                *  +  !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.3!                                 *+   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.1!                              *   +   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!                              *  +    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.3!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!        .     0     .        !


     30.99 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSISP=SIPX$/SPPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASISP=LOG(AASISP+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASISP=LOG(ASISP+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASISP=EXP(LAASISP)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1245 LAASISP C LASISP(-1) PSISP;                                         
EQUATION 945  LAASISP  
   RHS     C  LASISP(-1)  PSISP  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  945 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  945
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASISP 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.406962803

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.268043784       0.284198997  -4.46182     1.000000
13244 LASISP  ( -1)       0.791763142       0.046347305  17.08326    -6.409498
13242 PSISP   (  0)      -0.034887226       0.029640460  -1.17701     1.837767

SE of equation            =     0.240487200
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.1209664      -0.280424572E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.172997914
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.7936287    
R squared                 =   0.66332
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09849
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!*                    +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1972.2*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!     +               *                !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1973.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!           *      +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                            *    +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                          *     +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                      *      +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.3!                        *         +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2006.4!                       *          +   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                   *            +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !


     26.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.81 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1246 LAAVISP C LAVISP(-1) PVISP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1246 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1247 LAANISP C LANISP(-1) PNISP;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1247 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1248 LAAALSP C LAALSP(-1) PALSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1248 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1249 LAAIASP C LAIASP(-1) PIASP;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1249 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1250 LAAINSP C LAINSP(-1) PINSP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1250 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1251 LAAIQSP C LAIQSP(-1) PIQSP;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1251 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1252 LAAKUSP C LAKUSP(-1) PKUSP;SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1252 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1253 LAALISP C LALISP(-1) PLISP;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1253 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1254 LAAUASP C LAUASP(-1) PUASP;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1254 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1255 LAAUSNZ C LAUSNZ(-1) PUSNZ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1255 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1256 LAACANZ C LACANZ(-1) PCANZ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1256 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1257 LAAJANZ C LAJANZ(-1) PJANZ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1257 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1258 LAAAUNZ C LAAUNZ(-1) PAUNZ;SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1258 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRNZ=FRPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRNZ=LOG(AAFRNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRNZ=LOG(AFRNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRNZ=EXP(LAAFRNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1259 LAAFRNZ C LAFRNZ(-1) PFRNZ;                                         
EQUATION 946  LAAFRNZ  
   RHS     C  LAFRNZ(-1)  PFRNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  946 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  946
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.418124859

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.612374412       0.179266505  -3.41600     1.000000
13247 LAFRNZ  ( -1)       0.685918883       0.053187078  12.89634    -4.422468
13245 PFRNZ   (  0)      -0.663915262       0.173511711  -3.82634     1.163245

SE of equation            =     0.251876614
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.7367383       0.374358322E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.180565706
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.9463528    
R squared                 =   0.71193
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33530
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!   *           +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1968.2! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4*         +                            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.1! +     *                              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.2!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1974.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.3!               *         +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .        0!
 1996.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                       *     +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 2003.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                              +      *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 2004.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2011.2!                         *     +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .       0 !
 2012.1!                        *          +  !0         .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.4!                    *          +      !!0        .    .    .         !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGENZ=GEPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGENZ=LOG(AAGENZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGENZ=LOG(AGENZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGENZ=EXP(LAAGENZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1260 LAAGENZ C LAGENZ(-1) PGENZ;                                         
EQUATION 947  LAAGENZ  
   RHS     C  LAGENZ(-1)  PGENZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  947 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  947
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGENZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.148030789

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.174898253       0.181118190  -6.48691     1.000000
13250 LAGENZ  ( -1)       0.454989641       0.062196633   7.31534    -3.148866
13248 PGENZ   (  0)      -0.548315093       0.117308071  -4.67415     0.985621

SE of equation            =     0.163873033
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.96805865      -0.153801416E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.114062993
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.4438427    
R squared                 =   0.40625
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18055
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      *  +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!     *    +                           !!           0. . .            !
 1966.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1967.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1968.1!      *       +                       !!         0  . . .            !
 1968.2!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!           +        *                 !!            . . .  0         !
 1969.2!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!      *      +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.1!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 1973.2!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!       +   *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!      *   +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!        +      *                      !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.2!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!       * +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!          +     *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1976.2!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1976.3!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!          +     *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1977.1!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1977.2!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1977.3!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!        +      *                      !!            . . . 0          !
 1978.3!            +                         *!            . . .            0
 1978.4!            *         +               !!        0   . . .            !
 1979.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!    *       +                         !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.4!        +     *                       !!            . . . 0          !
 1980.1!             +       *                !!            . . .  0         !
 1980.2!         *      +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1980.3*           +                          !!       0    . . .            !
 1980.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1981.3!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1981.4!            +   *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!        *      +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.4!            +    *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1983.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                 +     *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1983.4!            *      +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.1!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                  +    *              !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                +     *               !!            . . . 0          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!               +   *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1987.2!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1987.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!           +  *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!          +     *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1988.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!         +   *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1990.3!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!        +   *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!       *  +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!      + *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!      +  *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!     *  +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!      +*                              !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!       +    *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1994.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!      + *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!      +*                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!      + *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!   *    +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1997.3!      +   *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!       +   *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!  *    +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1999.1!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1999.4!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 2000.1!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!          +  *                        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!      +   *                           !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!   *      +                           !!          0 . . .            !
 2006.1!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!      *  +                            !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!        * +                           !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!    *     +                           !!           0. . .            !
 2010.3!     *  +                             !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!*       +                             !!         0  . . .            !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!      *   +                           !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!       *     +                        !!           0. . .            !
 2012.3!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITNZ=ITPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITNZ=LOG(AAITNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITNZ=LOG(AITNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITNZ=EXP(LAAITNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1261 LAAITNZ C LAITNZ(-1) PITNZ;                                         
EQUATION 948  LAAITNZ  
   RHS     C  LAITNZ(-1)  PITNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  948 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  948
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.888930727

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.437133452       0.230403483  -6.23746     1.000000
13253 LAITNZ  ( -1)       0.604983236       0.057097648  10.59559    -3.890558
13251 PITNZ   (  0)      -0.113668040       0.095597185  -1.18903     0.862816

SE of equation            =     0.178306213
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.88172456      -0.129882771E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.135302714
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4369103    
R squared                 =   0.38704
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32560
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!        *           +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3! *            +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!         +           *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.4!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!      *          +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.2!              *         +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1993.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1262 LAANENZ C LANENZ(-1) PNENZ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1262 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTNZ=STPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTNZ=LOG(AASTNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTNZ=LOG(ASTNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTNZ=EXP(LAASTNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1263 LAASTNZ C LASTNZ(-1) PSTNZ;                                         
EQUATION 949  LAASTNZ  
   RHS     C  LASTNZ(-1)  PSTNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  949 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  949
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.631099004

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.734754196       0.233455040  -7.43078     1.000000
13256 LASTNZ  ( -1)       0.524370292       0.061274816   8.55768    -4.625920
13254 PSTNZ   (  0)      -0.530381776       0.096976946  -5.46915     0.887379

SE of equation            =     0.181191628
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.07362509      -0.325872662E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.140590597
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.4310323    
R squared                 =   0.63019
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34168
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                *         +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!       *              +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4!              +            *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.1!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!        *           +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1991.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!*          +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.2!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKNZ=UKPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKNZ=LOG(AAUKNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKNZ=LOG(AUKNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKNZ=EXP(LAAUKNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1264 LAAUKNZ C LAUKNZ(-1) PUKNZ;                                         
EQUATION 950  LAAUKNZ  
   RHS     C  LAUKNZ(-1)  PUKNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  950 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  950
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.405415332

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.117178306       0.096220969   1.21780     1.000000
13259 LAUKNZ  ( -1)       0.969595441       0.013903876  69.73562    -2.391197
13257 PUKNZ   (  0)      -0.210716585       0.114940766  -1.83326     0.968599

SE of equation            =     0.143353980
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.80181728      -0.836042346E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.112421020
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.1351517    
R squared                 =   0.97643
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.99892
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                                    + *!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                                     +!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                               *    + !0         .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                                    + *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                                  *   +!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.3!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                                   +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                                 *+   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                                *+    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.1!                                *   + !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                             *  +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                             + *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!                              *+      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                              +*      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                            * +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                           *+         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .         0
 1979.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                       *  +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                   * +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                 *  +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                 *  +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!             +*                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!          + *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!           +                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!          + *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!            +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!           + *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!          * +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.2!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!          + *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!            +                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!         +                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!        + *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.2!         *+                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!        +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!       +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.4!    *  +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!     +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!     +*                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!     + *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.1!    *  +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.2!    + *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.3!      +                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!    *+                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!  * +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.2! *   +                                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2007.3!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3! +                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.1!+*                                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!*  +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1265 LAAFINZ C LAFINZ(-1) PFINZ;SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1265 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASNZ=ASPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASNZ=LOG(AAASNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASNZ=LOG(AASNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASNZ=EXP(LAAASNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1266 LAAASNZ C LAASNZ(-1) PASNZ;                                         
EQUATION 951  LAAASNZ  
   RHS     C  LAASNZ(-1)  PASNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  951 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  951
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.319726949

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.012929270       0.037915394  -0.34100     1.000000
13262 LAASNZ  ( -1)       0.765593722       0.041012456  18.66735    -1.319923
13260 PASNZ   (  0)      -0.277506044       0.054932790  -5.05174     1.067626

SE of equation            =     0.091762578
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.55776857       0.219835261E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.070600857
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.2729610    
R squared                 =   0.87975
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58596
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1968.1!     *            +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!    *         +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!           *        +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.3!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!           *     +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!+*                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSONZ=SOPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASONZ=LOG(AASONZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASONZ=LOG(ASONZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASONZ=EXP(LAASONZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1267 LAASONZ C LASONZ(-1) PSONZ;                                         
EQUATION 952  LAASONZ  
   RHS     C  LASONZ(-1)  PSONZ  
 SMPL 1972.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
 OLS;EST  952 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  952
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASONZ 

 1972.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.920019166

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.217476220       0.386730862  -5.73390     1.000000
13265 LASONZ  ( -1)       0.521748000       0.066225503   7.87835    -5.919214
13263 PSONZ   (  0)      -0.627595307       0.234750650  -2.67346     0.978664

SE of equation            =     0.359416698
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.7980385       0.952393719E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.271644153
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.5496411    
R squared                 =   0.36402
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36431
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4    164

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.1!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!              +        *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!           *        +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!           *        +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.4!   *               +                  !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1980.1!        +       *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1982.3!                *           +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.2*             +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1992.3!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                    +       *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !


     26.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.05 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKONZ=KOPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKONZ=LOG(AAKONZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKONZ=LOG(AKONZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKONZ=EXP(LAAKONZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1268 LAAKONZ C LAKONZ(-1) PKONZ;                                         
EQUATION 953  LAAKONZ  
   RHS     C  LAKONZ(-1)  PKONZ  
 SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    94 to   244
 OLS;EST  953 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  953
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKONZ 

 1975.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  151 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.379740539

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.354410522       0.147030920  -2.41045     1.000000
13268 LAKONZ  ( -1)       0.740330429       0.054182940  13.66353    -4.403480
13266 PKONZ   (  0)      -0.544198427       0.141099799  -3.85683     1.406288

SE of equation            =     0.368637950
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.1123029      -0.156408220E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.220978735
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.3677890    
R squared                 =   0.84178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30508
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.2   2012.4    151

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.2!*       +                             !!        0   . . .            !
 1975.3!     +       *                        !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.4!              +       *               !!            . . .  0         !
 1976.1*                     +                !0            . . .            !
 1976.2!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!        +   *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1976.4!         *   +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1977.1!    *      +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1977.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1978.2!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1978.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1979.1!        *   +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1979.2!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!      *       +                       !!        0   . . .            !
 1980.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!             *    +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1982.4!                   +     *            !!            . . . 0          !
 1983.1!           *            +             !!     0      . . .            !
 1983.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!              +                       !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!                      +               !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1987.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                    +         *       !!            . . .    0       !
 1988.4!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 2009.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !


     13.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.64 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBENZ=BEPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABENZ=LOG(AABENZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABENZ=LOG(ABENZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABENZ=EXP(LAABENZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1269 LAABENZ C LABENZ(-1) PBENZ;                                         
EQUATION 954  LAABENZ  
   RHS     C  LABENZ(-1)  PBENZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  954 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  954
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABENZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.826200664

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.316219593       0.283093706  -4.64941     1.000000
13271 LABENZ  ( -1)       0.688383998       0.052917327  13.00867    -4.826124
13269 PBENZ   (  0)      -0.198563376       0.160213026  -1.23937     0.945565

SE of equation            =     0.206058522
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.85512119      -0.560351765E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.161993333
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4547466    
R squared                 =   0.48783
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22063
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!     *             +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!       *            +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                    *        +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!           *          +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.4!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1270 LAADENZ C LADENZ(-1) PDENZ;SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1270 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNONZ=NOPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANONZ=LOG(AANONZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANONZ=LOG(ANONZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANONZ=EXP(LAANONZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1271 LAANONZ C LANONZ(-1) PNONZ;                                         
EQUATION 955  LAANONZ  
   RHS     C  LANONZ(-1)  PNONZ  
 SMPL 1972.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
 OLS;EST  955 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  955
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANONZ 

 1972.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.286904038

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.257279024       0.383838258  -8.48607     1.000000
13274 LANONZ  ( -1)       0.297003241       0.075852508   3.91554    -6.275329
13272 PNONZ   (  0)      -1.389074413       0.239964597  -5.78866     0.839287

SE of equation            =     0.497219811
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.8036340       0.678390677E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.327610491
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.7281206    
R squared                 =   0.44536
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11139
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4    164

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!               +                *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             +            *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!             +                     *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 +                   *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1991.3!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!               +                     *!!          .   .   .          0
 1993.1!         *             +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                  +                   *!          .   .   .         0!
 1997.2!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!            +            *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2+             *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2008.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!*     +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!   +   *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !


     19.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.10 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1272 LAASWNZ C LASWNZ(-1) PSWNZ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1272 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1273 LAAGRNZ C LAGRNZ(-1) PGRNZ;SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1273 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRNZ=IRPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRNZ=LOG(AAIRNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRNZ=LOG(AIRNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRNZ=EXP(LAAIRNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1274 LAAIRNZ C LAIRNZ(-1) PIRNZ;                                         
EQUATION 956  LAAIRNZ  
   RHS     C  LAIRNZ(-1)  PIRNZ  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST  956 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  956
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRNZ 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.876144641

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.438238253       0.364440341  -3.94643     1.000000
13277 LAIRNZ  ( -1)       0.674129596       0.061993054  10.87428    -5.886589
13275 PIRNZ   (  0)      -0.423751409       0.229424671  -1.84702     1.108155

SE of equation            =     0.311946010
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.0395819      -0.980460158E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.233982424
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.0555921    
R squared                 =   0.53691
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22406
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!           +                  *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.2!                *          +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.3!   *              +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3*           +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1! *          +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                +                 *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1991.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                    *           +     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.3!                    *       +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.4!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                            *       + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1275 LAAPONZ C LAPONZ(-1) PPONZ;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1275 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPNZ=SPPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPNZ=LOG(AASPNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPNZ=LOG(ASPNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPNZ=EXP(LAASPNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1276 LAASPNZ C LASPNZ(-1) PSPNZ;                                         
EQUATION 957  LAASPNZ  
   RHS     C  LASPNZ(-1)  PSPNZ  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST  957 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  957
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPNZ 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.668912840

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.632216625       0.338315655  -4.82454     1.000000
13280 LASPNZ  ( -1)       0.518103526       0.066123302   7.83542    -5.675685
13278 PSPNZ   (  0)      -1.030914324       0.252259505  -4.08672     1.063235

SE of equation            =     0.333520904
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.3528461       0.108233422E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.240875165
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.2991513    
R squared                 =   0.48100
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39405
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!             +         *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!                *      +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!            *         +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!    *         +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1993.3!          +           *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1993.4!      *            +                  !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1994.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1999.3!                 *         +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1999.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2008.1!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !


     22.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1277 LAASANZ C LASANZ(-1) PSANZ;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1277 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1278 LAAVENZ C LAVENZ(-1) PVENZ;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1278 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCONZ=COPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACONZ=LOG(AACONZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACONZ=LOG(ACONZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACONZ=EXP(LAACONZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1279 LAACONZ C LACONZ(-1) PCONZ;                                         
EQUATION 958  LAACONZ  
   RHS     C  LACONZ(-1)  PCONZ  
 SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   143 to   244
 OLS;EST  958 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  958
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACONZ 

 1987.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.709335955

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.726483042       0.793484148  -3.43609     1.000000
13283 LACONZ  ( -1)       0.661691734       0.072368955   9.14331    -8.733091
13281 PCONZ   (  0)      -0.182455518       0.365955315  -0.49857     1.119389

SE of equation            =     0.458285846
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.7925658       0.853095372E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.357692999
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4846859    
R squared                 =   0.45880
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62007
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.3   2012.4    102

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.3!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.4!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.1!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2*                +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.4!                    *            +    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                      *      +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                           *    +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!                   *           +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                   *        +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                       *     +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.3!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                       *     +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.3!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !


     35.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1280 LAAJONZ C LAJONZ(-1) PJONZ;SMPL 2002.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1280 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1281 LAASYNZ C LASYNZ(-1) PSYNZ;SMPL 2001.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1281 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDNZ=IDPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDNZ=LOG(AAIDNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDNZ=LOG(AIDNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDNZ=EXP(LAAIDNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1282 LAAIDNZ C LAIDNZ(-1) PIDNZ;                                         
EQUATION 959  LAAIDNZ  
   RHS     C  LAIDNZ(-1)  PIDNZ  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  959 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  959
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDNZ 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.337120365

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.850441002       0.422938750  -4.37520     1.000000
13286 LAIDNZ  ( -1)       0.633533676       0.062262948  10.17513    -5.339307
13284 PIDNZ   (  0)      -0.092285244       0.226487900  -0.40746     1.127470

SE of equation            =     0.343846639
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.3257292       0.361763952E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.237188120
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.4757230    
R squared                 =   0.40062
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48210
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!       *             +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1975.2!           +             *            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1975.3*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.4!      +              *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!       *             +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.3!           +               *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1977.4!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                     +              * !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2006.2!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.3!                              +       *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.4!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.3!                          +          *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                     +       *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !


     22.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMANZ=MAPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMANZ=LOG(AAMANZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMANZ=LOG(AMANZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMANZ=EXP(LAAMANZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1283 LAAMANZ C LAMANZ(-1) PMANZ;                                         
EQUATION 960  LAAMANZ  
   RHS     C  LAMANZ(-1)  PMANZ  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST  960 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  960
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMANZ 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.498670384

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.299112818       0.157296860  -1.90158     1.000000
13289 LAMANZ  ( -1)       0.806132089       0.041553853  19.39970    -4.512513
13287 PMANZ   (  0)      -0.473950569       0.129174273  -3.66908     1.185516

SE of equation            =     0.389648660
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.1768680      -0.196731520E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.277605350
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.5241736    
R squared                 =   0.80722
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62803
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2! +        *                           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!                        *          +  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                        +           * !!          .   .   .         0!
 1993.3!                        *         +   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         +            *!          .   .   .          0
 1994.2!                       *            + !0          .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   .  0       !


     22.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPANZ=PAPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPANZ=LOG(AAPANZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPANZ=LOG(APANZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPANZ=EXP(LAAPANZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1284 LAAPANZ C LAPANZ(-1) PPANZ;                                         
EQUATION 961  LAAPANZ  
   RHS     C  LAPANZ(-1)  PPANZ  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  961 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  961
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPANZ 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.880966778

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.812941111       0.266664425  -3.04855     1.000000
13292 LAPANZ  ( -1)       0.821722444       0.046242900  17.76970    -6.890629
13290 PPANZ   (  0)      -0.316599830       0.186112109  -1.70112     1.281876

SE of equation            =     0.376221217
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.5052423       0.254729571E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.275429234
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.6195359    
R squared                 =   0.77031
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77176
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!        *           +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!                 *            +       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!           *         +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!  *        +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.1!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!       *         +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.1*              +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                     *            +   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.3!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        *     +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1285 LAAPHNZ C LAPHNZ(-1) PPHNZ;SMPL 1967.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1285 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1286 LAATHNZ C LATHNZ(-1) PTHNZ;SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1286 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHNZ=CHPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHNZ=LOG(AACHNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHNZ=LOG(ACHNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHNZ=EXP(LAACHNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1287 LAACHNZ C LACHNZ(-1) PCHNZ;                                         
EQUATION 962  LAACHNZ  
   RHS     C  LACHNZ(-1)  PCHNZ  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  962 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  962
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHNZ 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.881946421

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.113367491       0.236783810   0.47878     1.000000
13295 LACHNZ  ( -1)       0.975091830       0.022097446  44.12690    -3.908767
13293 PCHNZ   (  0)      -0.163577966       0.241642962  -0.67694     1.124280

SE of equation            =     0.237059618
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.91226327       0.152100554E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.169798625
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.3946267    
R squared                 =   0.95826
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77974
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!   *  +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!*  +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!  *   +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1*   +                                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!   +   *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!  *    +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.2!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.3!  *     +                             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1987.4!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .         0
 1988.1!    *      +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1988.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!     + *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1! *      +                             !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.2!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!     *    +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!          + *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!        *    +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!         +*                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!           + *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!              *   +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!           *     +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1997.2!           +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1997.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                             +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.3!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                    * +!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1288 LAAARNZ C LAARNZ(-1) PARNZ;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1288 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRNZ=BRPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRNZ=LOG(AABRNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRNZ=LOG(ABRNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRNZ=EXP(LAABRNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1289 LAABRNZ C LABRNZ(-1) PBRNZ;                                         
EQUATION 963  LAABRNZ  
   RHS     C  LABRNZ(-1)  PBRNZ  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  963 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  963
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRNZ 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.795510306

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.398819579       0.423127807  -5.66926     1.000000
13298 LABRNZ  ( -1)       0.375254282       0.077385782   4.84914    -5.792979
13296 PBRNZ   (  0)      -1.264780873       0.270360274  -4.67813     0.966848

SE of equation            =     0.342614705
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.4383348       0.406341627E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.253163407
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.8985893    
R squared                 =   0.37659
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                   +                  *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!               +               *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.3!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!  *                    +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!       *          +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.1!      *        +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!*          +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.2!        +               *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!*            +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.3!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!       +               *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2011.2! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !


     25.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1290 LAACENZ C LACENZ(-1) PCENZ;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1290 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMENZ=MEPX$Q/NZPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMENZ=LOG(AAMENZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMENZ=LOG(AMENZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMENZ=EXP(LAAMENZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1291 LAAMENZ C LAMENZ(-1) PMENZ;                                         
EQUATION 964  LAAMENZ  
   RHS     C  LAMENZ(-1)  PMENZ  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST  964 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  964
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMENZ 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.211113710

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.025014538       0.634138915  -1.61639     1.000000
13301 LAMENZ  ( -1)       0.705186738       0.062155926  11.34545    -7.229121
13299 PMENZ   (  0)      -0.973561054       0.584241321  -1.66637     1.117771

SE of equation            =     0.648331001
Sum of squared residuals  =  58.4262990       0.936584144E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.464684894
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.9852550    
R squared                 =   0.55390
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38984
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!*          +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4*                +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!   *              +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!  *              +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +               *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!  *               +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!      +               *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             +            *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                       +              *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.4!        *                       +     !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!           +            *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!       *              +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!     *       +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                        *   +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.75 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1292 LAAPENZ C LAPENZ(-1) PPENZ;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1292 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1293 LAATUNZ C LATUNZ(-1) PTUNZ;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1293 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1294 LAAPDNZ C LAPDNZ(-1) PPDNZ;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1294 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1295 LAARUNZ C LARUNZ(-1) PRUNZ;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1295 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1296 LAAUENZ C LAUENZ(-1) PUENZ;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1296 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1297 LAAEGNZ C LAEGNZ(-1) PEGNZ;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1297 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1298 LAAISNZ C LAISNZ(-1) PISNZ;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1298 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1299 LAAKENZ C LAKENZ(-1) PKENZ;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1299 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1300 LAABANZ C LABANZ(-1) PBANZ;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1300 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKNZ=HKPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKNZ=LOG(AAHKNZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKNZ=LOG(AHKNZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKNZ=EXP(LAAHKNZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1301 LAAHKNZ C LAHKNZ(-1) PHKNZ;                                         
EQUATION 965  LAAHKNZ  
   RHS     C  LAHKNZ(-1)  PHKNZ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  965 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  965
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKNZ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.363444864

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.374029626       0.111659018  -3.34975     1.000000
13304 LAHKNZ  ( -1)       0.858151234       0.038399863  22.34777    -4.368666
13302 PHKNZ   (  0)      -0.159424963       0.053078833  -3.00355     1.508165

SE of equation            =     0.199394836
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.35528559      -0.570077319E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.143835753
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0411216    
R squared                 =   0.91507
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56058
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1! *              +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.2!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3*    +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.4* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!+     *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.4!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!  *      +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.2! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.4!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!     *   +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!    +      *                          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.4!        *       +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1974.3!                 *      +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                       *    +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                 *   +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                  *  +!!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                 *  + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSINZ=SIPX$/NZPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASINZ=LOG(AASINZ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASINZ=LOG(ASINZ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASINZ=EXP(LAASINZ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1302 LAASINZ C LASINZ(-1) PSINZ;                                         
EQUATION 966  LAASINZ  
   RHS     C  LASINZ(-1)  PSINZ  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST  966 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  966
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASINZ 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.764436341

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.256380688       0.114930532  -2.23074     1.000000
13307 LASINZ  ( -1)       0.854754428       0.038574567  22.15850    -3.782406
13305 PSINZ   (  0)      -0.185197724       0.090802400  -2.03957     1.485047

SE of equation            =     0.290923024
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8113360       0.300870440E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.215055838
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.2799392    
R squared                 =   0.85525
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38372
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!       *      +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!              *     +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!              *           +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.3!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                   *         +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                 *     +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.2!                  *          +        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                            *    +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !


     24.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1303 LAAVINZ C LAVINZ(-1) PVINZ;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1303 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1304 LAANINZ C LANINZ(-1) PNINZ;SMPL 2010.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1304 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1305 LAAALNZ C LAALNZ(-1) PALNZ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1305 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1306 LAAIANZ C LAIANZ(-1) PIANZ;SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1306 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1307 LAAINNZ C LAINNZ(-1) PINNZ;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1307 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1308 LAAIQNZ C LAIQNZ(-1) PIQNZ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1308 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1309 LAAKUNZ C LAKUNZ(-1) PKUNZ;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1309 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1310 LAALINZ C LALINZ(-1) PLINZ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1310 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1311 LAAUANZ C LAUANZ(-1) PUANZ;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1311 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSSA=USPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSSA=LOG(AAUSSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSSA=LOG(AUSSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSSA=EXP(LAAUSSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1312 LAAUSSA C LAUSSA(-1) PUSSA;                                         
EQUATION 967  LAAUSSA  
   RHS     C  LAUSSA(-1)  PUSSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  967 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  967
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.677969980

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.099040485       0.156640000  -0.63228     1.000000
13310 LAUSSA  ( -1)       0.858862183       0.036138072  23.76613    -1.672701
13308 PUSSA   (  0)      -0.128424346       0.123487451  -1.03998     1.108121

SE of equation            =     0.135938130
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.41864740      -0.104771747E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.103902296
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.5336316    
R squared                 =   0.75450
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32466
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *       +!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.2!                           *     +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!            *        +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.2!             +         *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1969.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.3!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1975.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                          *    +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                   *     +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!          *     +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!        *       +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                +         *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1998.1!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                *          +          !!0        .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!      *         +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2002.1*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.2! +      *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!  *    +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!    *+                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.1!        *       +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2008.1!         *         +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2008.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!        *     +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1313 LAACASA C LACASA(-1) PCASA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1313 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1314 LAAJASA C LAJASA(-1) PJASA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1314 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUSA=AUPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUSA=LOG(AAAUSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUSA=LOG(AAUSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUSA=EXP(LAAAUSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1315 LAAAUSA C LAAUSA(-1) PAUSA;                                         
EQUATION 968  LAAAUSA  
   RHS     C  LAAUSA(-1)  PAUSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  968 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  968
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.000562525

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.848371052       0.319487610  -5.78542     1.000000
13313 LAAUSA  ( -1)       0.553565105       0.060257690   9.18663    -5.001927
13311 PAUSA   (  0)      -0.398766408       0.186615132  -2.13684     0.961213

SE of equation            =     0.237312027
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.4186447      -0.214690488E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.181750366
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.1690687    
R squared                 =   0.35215
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22155
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.2!          *            +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!  *                +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4*               +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.1!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                       *   +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      +               *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.4!         *                   +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!      *          +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!       *         +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!            +             *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1991.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRSA=FRPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRSA=LOG(AAFRSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRSA=LOG(AFRSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRSA=EXP(LAAFRSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1316 LAAFRSA C LAFRSA(-1) PFRSA;                                         
EQUATION 969  LAAFRSA  
   RHS     C  LAFRSA(-1)  PFRSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  969 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  969
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.155315098

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.531453348       0.137918442  -3.85339     1.000000
13316 LAFRSA  ( -1)       0.737407623       0.055690347  13.24121    -3.156469
13314 PFRSA   (  0)      -0.262047301       0.135004695  -1.94102     1.130551

SE of equation            =     0.161315950
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.81422463      -0.579980508E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.118210448
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.2235642    
R squared                 =   0.66999
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96252
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!        *      +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2*             +                        !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.3!    +      *                          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.4!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.2!                +        *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1969.3!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                   *     +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!              *       +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.2!       *       +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.3!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!               *     +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1984.2!                                +    *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                              *    +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!                *    +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2010.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.3!                            +        *!!           .  .  .      0    !
 2010.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!                   *    +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!               *     +                !!       0   .  .  .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGESA=GEPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGESA=LOG(AAGESA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGESA=LOG(AGESA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGESA=EXP(LAAGESA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1317 LAAGESA C LAGESA(-1) PGESA;                                         
EQUATION 970  LAAGESA  
   RHS     C  LAGESA(-1)  PGESA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  970 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  970
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGESA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.387625859

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.250849092       0.096455233  -2.60068     1.000000
13319 LAGESA  ( -1)       0.798583538       0.043282697  18.45041    -2.386445
13317 PGESA   (  0)      -0.240827917       0.086461460  -2.78538     0.959194

SE of equation            =     0.102818585
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.95575737       0.156510360E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.080902838
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.2097335    
R squared                 =   0.73759
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15830
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +             *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1966.2!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!                  *         +         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.2!                             *   +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                         *     +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!              *          +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!            *            +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!          +          *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.1!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                            +        *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                             +       *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                         +          * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.2!                         *      +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                   *        +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!    *      +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!    *           +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!        +        *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!  *       +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!              +         *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!    *        +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!          +      *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSA=ITPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSA=LOG(AAITSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSA=LOG(AITSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSA=EXP(LAAITSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1318 LAAITSA C LAITSA(-1) PITSA;                                         
EQUATION 971  LAAITSA  
   RHS     C  LAITSA(-1)  PITSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  971 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  971
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.662406342

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.272103325       0.077384665  -3.51624     1.000000
13322 LAITSA  ( -1)       0.739723764       0.048422474  15.27646    -2.658589
13320 PITSA   (  0)      -0.502744006       0.112489274  -4.46926     0.842738

SE of equation            =     0.136967232
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.47060417      -0.518229903E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.107318732
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1759217    
R squared                 =   0.84859
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29669
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *           +          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                   *       +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!            *        +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3!                      *     +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!         *           +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!            *     +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                                +    *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!          *   +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNESA=NEPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANESA=LOG(AANESA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANESA=LOG(ANESA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANESA=EXP(LAANESA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1319 LAANESA C LANESA(-1) PNESA;                                         
EQUATION 972  LAANESA  
   RHS     C  LANESA(-1)  PNESA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  972 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  972
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANESA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.679621677

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.783658279       0.246993431  -3.17279     1.000000
13325 LANESA  ( -1)       0.777827022       0.045496967  17.09624    -3.676813
13323 PNESA   (  0)      -0.033245607       0.161437160  -0.20594     1.084021

SE of equation            =     0.158788010
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.66452197      -0.735189687E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.121326674
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8094148    
R squared                 =   0.61256
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50354
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.3!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!                         *      +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!            *         +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1969.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                               +     *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!              *        +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.4!               +           *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.1!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!               *          +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!      *             +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1975.4!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!        *        +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!           +          *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1978.4!                      *     +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1979.4!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!                      *       +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!         *       +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!       *       +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!      *       +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.4!  *      +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.1!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTSA=STPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTSA=LOG(AASTSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTSA=LOG(ASTSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTSA=EXP(LAASTSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1320 LAASTSA C LASTSA(-1) PSTSA;                                         
EQUATION 973  LAASTSA  
   RHS     C  LASTSA(-1)  PSTSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  973 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  973
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.627763255

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.109418006       0.169064053  -6.56212     1.000000
13328 LASTSA  ( -1)       0.553350272       0.060372373   9.16562    -3.623607
13326 PSTSA   (  0)      -0.591949312       0.106413686  -5.56272     0.867002

SE of equation            =     0.205961685
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.84773991       0.185318427E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.161274724
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.3196482    
R squared                 =   0.65946
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33619
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                                * +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                               +     *!!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                             *    +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!                  *          +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                             *  +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                              *  +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                      *          +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!              *         +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!               *          +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                  *         +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                     *     +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                          +         * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!               +          *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                       +              *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                   +               *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1995.3!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!               +           *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!   *               +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.1!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!*             +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1999.1!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!      *          +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1999.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4*                 +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 2000.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!     *      +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!   * +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!     +     *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!    +   *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!   * +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKSA=UKPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKSA=LOG(AAUKSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKSA=LOG(AUKSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKSA=EXP(LAAUKSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1321 LAAUKSA C LAUKSA(-1) PUKSA;                                         
EQUATION 974  LAAUKSA  
   RHS     C  LAUKSA(-1)  PUKSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  974 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  974
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.392653927

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.050105010       0.108059771   0.46368     1.000000
13331 LAUKSA  ( -1)       0.954894819       0.024640079  38.75372    -2.385263
13329 PUKSA   (  0)      -0.175080841       0.124038443  -1.41150     0.942897

SE of equation            =     0.155875657
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.49498576       0.111466392E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.119061539
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.3835693    
R squared                 =   0.90928
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34180
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.2!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 2003.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!        *+                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!      *     +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2! *    +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFISA=FIPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFISA=LOG(AAFISA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFISA=LOG(AFISA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFISA=EXP(LAAFISA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1322 LAAFISA C LAFISA(-1) PFISA;                                         
EQUATION 975  LAAFISA  
   RHS     C  LAFISA(-1)  PFISA  
 SMPL 1973.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    88 to   244
 OLS;EST  975 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  975
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFISA 

 1973.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  157 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.365684089

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.669673346       0.400642334  -1.67150     1.000000
13334 LAFISA  ( -1)       0.811578371       0.046368423  17.50282    -5.369451
13332 PFISA   (  0)      -0.363791280       0.350276347  -1.03858     0.929875

SE of equation            =     0.362749303
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.2644068       0.713207271E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.270167598
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.4163129    
R squared                 =   0.66821
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65494
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.4   2012.4    157

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!      *          +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.4!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!  *              +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!           *         +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!       *          +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.1!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !


     26.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSA=ASPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSA=LOG(AAASSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSA=LOG(AASSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSA=EXP(LAAASSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1323 LAAASSA C LAASSA(-1) PASSA;                                         
EQUATION 976  LAAASSA  
   RHS     C  LAASSA(-1)  PASSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  976 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  976
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.272591503

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.630070533       0.191838651  -3.28438     1.000000
13337 LAASSA  ( -1)       0.807605582       0.042699482  18.91371    -4.269742
13335 PASSA   (  0)      -0.185486331       0.110758036  -1.67470     1.047265

SE of equation            =     0.344836739
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.9987897       0.725064453E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267339542
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.2598340    
R squared                 =   0.68437
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48426
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!            *                 +       !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!               *              +       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!   *            +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1324 LAASOSA C LASOSA(-1) PSOSA;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1324 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOSA=KOPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOSA=LOG(AAKOSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOSA=LOG(AKOSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOSA=EXP(LAAKOSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1325 LAAKOSA C LAKOSA(-1) PKOSA;                                         
EQUATION 977  LAAKOSA  
   RHS     C  LAKOSA(-1)  PKOSA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST  977 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  977
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOSA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.584557971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.511484982       0.135470684  -3.77561     1.000000
13340 LAKOSA  ( -1)       0.642729630       0.055208304  11.64190    -3.604743
13338 PKOSA   (  0)      -0.545174355       0.107068006  -5.09185     1.387075

SE of equation            =     0.299107431
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.8671146       0.641176001E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.153408801
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2385906    
R squared                 =   0.78185
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37298
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!     *    +                           !!           0. . .            !
 1973.4!    *   +                             !!           0. . .            !
 1974.1!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2!         *     +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!        *     +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.4!        *     +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.1!              +    *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1975.2!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!               *    +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1975.4!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1976.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                    +   *             !!            . . .0           !
 1977.2!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1*                      +               !0            . . .            !
 1993.2!       +                *             !!            . . .        0   !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1996.4!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1998.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                    + *!            . .0.            !


     11.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.53 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESA=BEPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESA=LOG(AABESA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESA=LOG(ABESA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESA=EXP(LAABESA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1326 LAABESA C LABESA(-1) PBESA;                                         
EQUATION 978  LAABESA  
   RHS     C  LABESA(-1)  PBESA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  978 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  978
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.786789614

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.509706801       0.230721527  -6.54342     1.000000
13343 LABESA  ( -1)       0.396958068       0.068954929   5.75678    -3.782534
13341 PBESA   (  0)      -0.840649642       0.192431892  -4.36856     0.922591

SE of equation            =     0.244810554
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0874584      -0.185820248E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.179205008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.6905414    
R squared                 =   0.35963
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12846
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!               +           *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1966.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!    *          +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1968.2!           +              *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1968.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!             +                        *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!         *         +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!     *         +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!             +          *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.4!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!      *          +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!            +       *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.1!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!   *       +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!  *        +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!     +      *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!*      +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESA=DEPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESA=LOG(AADESA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESA=LOG(ADESA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESA=EXP(LAADESA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1327 LAADESA C LADESA(-1) PDESA;                                         
EQUATION 979  LAADESA  
   RHS     C  LADESA(-1)  PDESA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  979 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  979
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.902746887

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.286603816       0.304616200  -4.22369     1.000000
13346 LADESA  ( -1)       0.588377187       0.058047268  10.13617    -4.901841
13344 PDESA   (  0)      -0.764024990       0.240200356  -3.18078     0.958099

SE of equation            =     0.233111378
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0530692      -0.112434506E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.179009306
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.6537495    
R squared                 =   0.44456
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33088
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                    +                *!!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.2!                      *       +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                  *        +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +               *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                  *         +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                    +                *!!         .    .    .         0
 1970.3!                   *           +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                  +               *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1971.2!                             +        *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!         *               +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1972.4!               +           *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.1!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!           +       *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!          *         +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!            +          *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.4!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.1!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!    *         +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4! *             +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!       *          +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  +               *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.2!                    *         +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.4!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                        +        *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2*          +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.3! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!      *         +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.3!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  *        +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!   *         +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1328 LAANOSA C LANOSA(-1) PNOSA;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1328 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWSA=SWPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWSA=LOG(AASWSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWSA=LOG(ASWSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWSA=EXP(LAASWSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1329 LAASWSA C LASWSA(-1) PSWSA;                                         
EQUATION 980  LAASWSA  
   RHS     C  LASWSA(-1)  PSWSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  980 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  980
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.265201399

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.636290596       0.314546445  -5.20206     1.000000
13349 LASWSA  ( -1)       0.474805347       0.064487568   7.36274    -4.265591
13347 PSWSA   (  0)      -0.563028285       0.232602180  -2.42056     1.072034

SE of equation            =     0.253257785
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8658085      -0.680584478E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.193947352
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4621022    
R squared                 =   0.29263
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23681
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!      *             +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1966.3!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!      *           +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.4!             +       *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!              *     +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                    +         *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.3*                          +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!            *        +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!       *        +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!           +        *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                 +            *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.3!            *           +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!        *        +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                 *         +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                          +           *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.2!                       *       +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                    *       +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!             *         +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                +        *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!         *        +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                           +        * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                          +           *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                      +        *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.3!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!                 +             *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2011.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRSA=GRPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRSA=LOG(AAGRSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRSA=LOG(AGRSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRSA=EXP(LAAGRSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1330 LAAGRSA C LAGRSA(-1) PGRSA;                                         
EQUATION 981  LAAGRSA  
   RHS     C  LAGRSA(-1)  PGRSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  981 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  981
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.654152207

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.715383927       0.304109266  -2.35239     1.000000
13352 LAGRSA  ( -1)       0.793000496       0.045673122  17.36252    -5.656561
13350 PGRSA   (  0)      -0.472849545       0.313309179  -1.50921     0.958259

SE of equation            =     0.440948891
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.9706460      -0.270254930E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.327970185
Sum of ABS residuals      =  61.6583948    
R squared                 =   0.68178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59580
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3*               +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.4!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                         *        +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                              *    +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              *             +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                   *        +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!  *             +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.4!      +           *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!              *         +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.3!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.1!    *             +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2008.2!      +           *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4! *           +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!              +       *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!        *           +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!  *                    +              !0          .   .   .          !
 2012.3!     +                *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2012.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1331 LAAIRSA C LAIRSA(-1) PIRSA;SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1331 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOSA=POPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOSA=LOG(AAPOSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOSA=LOG(APOSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOSA=EXP(LAAPOSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1332 LAAPOSA C LAPOSA(-1) PPOSA;                                         
EQUATION 982  LAAPOSA  
   RHS     C  LAPOSA(-1)  PPOSA  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST  982 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  982
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOSA 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.049667542

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.864731514       0.462405896  -1.87007     1.000000
13355 LAPOSA  ( -1)       0.810425258       0.046970038  17.25409    -7.063254
13353 PPOSA   (  0)      -0.420832326       0.338416178  -1.24353     1.094727

SE of equation            =     0.311272282
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9833181       0.301945136E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.227068151
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.1083367    
R squared                 =   0.69904
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58832
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4*           +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!      *       +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!          *          +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 2008.2!                       *           +  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.84 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPSA=SPPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPSA=LOG(AASPSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPSA=LOG(ASPSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPSA=EXP(LAASPSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1333 LAASPSA C LASPSA(-1) PSPSA;                                         
EQUATION 983  LAASPSA  
   RHS     C  LASPSA(-1)  PSPSA  
 SMPL 1971.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    77 to   244
 OLS;EST  983 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  983
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPSA 

 1971.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  168 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.338020254

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.056218354       0.147373584  -0.38147     1.000000
13358 LASPSA  ( -1)       0.853171478       0.041991936  20.31751    -4.344882
13356 PSPSA   (  0)      -0.549152818       0.225740405  -2.43267     1.046836

SE of equation            =     0.198333282
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.49045500       0.267625921E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.151440572
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4420160    
R squared                 =   0.88663
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62840
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2012.4    168

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!   *     +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!+      *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                               *    + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                                 *    +!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                            *       + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1989.3!                        *           + !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !


     29.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.57 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1334 LAANZSA C LANZSA(-1) PNZSA;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1334 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1335 LAAVESA C LAVESA(-1) PVESA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1335 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOSA=COPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOSA=LOG(AACOSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOSA=LOG(ACOSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOSA=EXP(LAACOSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1336 LAACOSA C LACOSA(-1) PCOSA;                                         
EQUATION 984  LAACOSA  
   RHS     C  LACOSA(-1)  PCOSA  
 SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   126 to   244
 OLS;EST  984 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  984
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOSA 

 1983.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  119 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.962023228

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.650421462       0.254331760  -2.55737     1.000000
13361 LACOSA  ( -1)       0.848864321       0.040831589  20.78940    -8.968235
13359 PCOSA   (  0)      -0.587660787       0.182751938  -3.21562     1.189100

SE of equation            =     0.378468410
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6156471       0.385114163E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.223591194
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.6073521    
R squared                 =   0.91176
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94036
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.2   2012.4    119

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.2!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1*           +                          !!0          .  .  .           !
 1984.2+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1+   *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!      +          *                    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1988.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                   *            +     !0           .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                  *   +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!             *    +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !


     15.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOSA=JOPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOSA=LOG(AAJOSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOSA=LOG(AJOSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOSA=EXP(LAAJOSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1337 LAAJOSA C LAJOSA(-1) PJOSA;                                         
EQUATION 985  LAAJOSA  
   RHS     C  LAJOSA(-1)  PJOSA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  985 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  985
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOSA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.544909847

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.562532617       0.363547593  -4.29801     1.000000
13364 LAJOSA  ( -1)       0.715567701       0.062161258  11.51147    -5.549511
13362 PJOSA   (  0)      -0.010436509       0.097277620  -0.10729     1.085257

SE of equation            =     0.293088293
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5657920      -0.318216564E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.196568321
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.7676084    
R squared                 =   0.51864
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25888
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                *      +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                   *      +           !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.4!                     +   *            !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1985.4!                           +   *      !!            . . .0           !
 1986.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                           +      *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1987.1!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1987.2!                            +     *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1987.3!                           *     +    !!           0. . .            !
 1987.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                         *    +       !!           0. . .            !
 1988.2!                          +         * !!            . . .   0        !
 1988.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                           +          *!            . . .   0        !
 1990.1!                             *     +  !!           0. . .            !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                       *    +         !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1*                         +            !0            . . .            !
 1991.2!   *   +                              !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!   *      +                           !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.4!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1992.1!             +            *           !!            . . .     0      !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                          *   +       !!           0. . .            !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1994.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 1996.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 2000.2!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 2003.2!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                               +    * !!            . . .0           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                               +     *!!            . . .0           !
 2007.1!                              *   +   !!            0 . .            !
 2007.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                     *     +          !!           0. . .            !
 2008.4!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2009.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                            +     *   !!            . . . 0          !
 2010.1!                              *  +    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                           *     +    !!           0. . .            !
 2011.2!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 2011.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYSA=SYPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYSA=LOG(AASYSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYSA=LOG(ASYSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYSA=EXP(LAASYSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1338 LAASYSA C LASYSA(-1) PSYSA;                                         
EQUATION 986  LAASYSA  
   RHS     C  LASYSA(-1)  PSYSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  986 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  986
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.946502637

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.921802383       0.151232952  -6.09525     1.000000
13367 LASYSA  ( -1)       0.763547122       0.034946591  21.84897    -5.948377
13365 PSYSA   (  0)      -0.201386401       0.030165473  -6.67606     2.397549

SE of equation            =     0.336594680
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.9597561       0.543520784E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.230195526
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.2767589    
R squared                 =   0.94539
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99173
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                        +*            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!              *   +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!          *     +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1970.3!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!              +*                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!      + *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!  +   *                               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!    +*                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!  * +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2* +                                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!+  *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!    +*                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!       + *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!    *     +                           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1986.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!        *     +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.3!*         +                           !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.4!*   +                                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.2!                       *      +       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                     *      +         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                         * +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                        +*            !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                        *   +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        *   +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2002.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                             +       *!!           .  .  .        0  !
 2004.2!                                   +  *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.3!                                    + *!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                             *     +  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDSA=IDPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDSA=LOG(AAIDSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDSA=LOG(AIDSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDSA=EXP(LAAIDSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1339 LAAIDSA C LAIDSA(-1) PIDSA;                                         
EQUATION 987  LAAIDSA  
   RHS     C  LAIDSA(-1)  PIDSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  987 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  987
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.171786131

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.133885379       0.130118648  -1.02895     1.000000
13370 LAIDSA  ( -1)       0.961970805       0.022504102  42.74646    -4.180899
13368 PIDSA   (  0)      -0.013884247       0.083961049  -0.16537     1.152264

SE of equation            =     0.203000620
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.62371159       0.247180054E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.141902471
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.6776645    
R squared                 =   0.90869
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51478
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!+     *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!     *        +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.4!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!       *      +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.3!+   *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!*     +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!+ *                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!          +          *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.2!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.3!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                           +        * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                             *    +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMASA=MAPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMASA=LOG(AAMASA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMASA=LOG(AMASA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMASA=EXP(LAAMASA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1340 LAAMASA C LAMASA(-1) PMASA;                                         
EQUATION 988  LAAMASA  
   RHS     C  LAMASA(-1)  PMASA  
 SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    95 to   244
 OLS;EST  988 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  988
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMASA 

 1975.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  150 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.226288291

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.365153127       0.136873470  -2.66782     1.000000
13373 LAMASA  ( -1)       0.850502178       0.040108377  21.20510    -5.245358
13371 PMASA   (  0)      -0.356243098       0.140498710  -2.53556     1.122679

SE of equation            =     0.294158751
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.7198175       0.218847163E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.191494873
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7242310    
R squared                 =   0.89940
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26568
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.3   2012.4    150

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.3!       +  *                           !!            . . .0           !
 1975.4!            +     *                   !!            . . .  0         !
 1976.1! *                 +                  !0            . . .            !
 1976.2*    +                                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1976.3!  +        *                          !!            . . .    0       !
 1976.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!           +                          !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!             +  *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!        *        +                    !!       0    . . .            !
 1978.2!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!          +     *                     !!            . . .  0         !
 1978.4!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1979.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!             +  *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1979.3!        *       +                     !!        0   . . .            !
 1979.4!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!           +    *                     !!            . . .  0         !
 1980.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!            *    +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.1!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1981.2!           +   *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!         *     +                      !!         0  . . .            !
 1982.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1983.1!             +                        !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1983.3!         *   +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.4!          +    *                      !!            . . .  0         !
 1984.1!               +  *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                  +  *                !!            . . .0           !
 1985.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                     *   +            !!           0. . .            !
 1987.1!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1987.2!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                              *  +    !!           0. . .            !
 1990.4!                          *   +       !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.1!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                               *  +   !!           0. . .            !
 1994.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                              +  *    !!            . . .0           !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                              +       !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1999.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 2000.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 2006.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 2008.4!                                *    +!!         0  . . .            !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2009.4!                               *   +  !!           0. . .            !
 2010.1!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                 * +  !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !


     22.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPASA=PAPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPASA=LOG(AAPASA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPASA=LOG(APASA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPASA=EXP(LAAPASA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1341 LAAPASA C LAPASA(-1) PPASA;                                         
EQUATION 989  LAAPASA  
   RHS     C  LAPASA(-1)  PPASA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST  989 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  989
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPASA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.102822437

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.972421785       0.235574044  -4.12788     1.000000
13376 LAPASA  ( -1)       0.799283732       0.051554265  15.50374    -5.096116
13374 PPASA   (  0)      -0.045585330       0.114500749  -0.39812     1.253875

SE of equation            =     0.249171209
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.87172032      -0.130695454E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190752083
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9018374    
R squared                 =   0.66199
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30271
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                *           +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                        *       +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!        *               +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.4! *        +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1! *       +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.4!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.4!                   *         +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHSA=PHPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHSA=LOG(AAPHSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHSA=LOG(APHSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHSA=EXP(LAAPHSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1342 LAAPHSA C LAPHSA(-1) PPHSA;                                         
EQUATION 990  LAAPHSA  
   RHS     C  LAPHSA(-1)  PPHSA  
 SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    96 to   244
 OLS;EST  990 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  990
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHSA 

 1975.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  149 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.784839636

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.469960951       0.326465806  -4.50265     1.000000
13379 LAPHSA  ( -1)       0.646488692       0.061370597  10.53418    -6.784978
13377 PPHSA   (  0)      -0.862560649       0.223753335  -3.85496     1.076408

SE of equation            =     0.372069255
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.2115874       0.300293124E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.245728119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6134897    
R squared                 =   0.66605
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38639
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.4   2012.4    149

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.4!   *                 +                !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1976.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2*                   +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1976.3!         +            *               !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1976.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                 *         +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                   *       +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                                *   + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!            +         *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2012.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !


     16.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHSA=THPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHSA=LOG(AATHSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHSA=LOG(ATHSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHSA=EXP(LAATHSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1343 LAATHSA C LATHSA(-1) PTHSA;                                         
EQUATION 991  LAATHSA  
   RHS     C  LATHSA(-1)  PTHSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  991 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  991
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.583019716

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.416889778       0.232622539  -1.79213     1.000000
13382 LATHSA  ( -1)       0.885434631       0.034207540  25.88420    -4.583915
13380 PTHSA   (  0)      -0.095647478       0.167964486  -0.56945     1.122592

SE of equation            =     0.305936727
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.3154970      -0.963806812E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.225114845
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.3215908    
R squared                 =   0.78659
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46944
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 *        +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                  *       +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!        *           +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.4*          +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!             *    +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!           *         +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1982.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                             *    +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                            *    +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                          *      +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                    *     +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.4!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                         *    +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                              *   +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHSA=CHPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHSA=LOG(AACHSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHSA=LOG(ACHSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHSA=EXP(LAACHSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1344 LAACHSA C LACHSA(-1) PCHSA;                                         
EQUATION 992  LAACHSA  
   RHS     C  LACHSA(-1)  PCHSA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  992 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  992
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHSA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.701829894

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.060590397       0.384036876   0.15777     1.000000
13385 LACHSA  ( -1)       0.965947921       0.027116617  35.62199    -3.724343
13383 PCHSA   (  0)      -0.149833874       0.388232403  -0.38594     1.100543

SE of equation            =     0.292646797
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5339841      -0.826272384E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.233307254
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.3967140    
R squared                 =   0.93576
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68779
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.4!     *     +                          !!0       .     .     .        !
 1982.1!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!      +                               !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.4!   *  +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.1!  * +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.2!   + *                                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.3!    * +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4! *  +                                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.1*  +                                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.2!+     *                               !!        .     .     .       0!
 1984.3!     *+                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.4!    *+                                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.1!   *+                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.2!    +  *                              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.3!     * +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.4!      + *                             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.1!   *    +                             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1986.2!    +    *                            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1986.3!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.4!          +                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.1!           +     *                    !!        .     .     .        0
 1987.2!           *     +                    !!0       .     .     .        !
 1987.3!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.4!            + *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.1!          *   +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1988.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.3!            * +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!             +*                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.1!        *     +                       !!0       .     .     .        !
 1989.2!         +    *                       !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.4!             + *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.1!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.4!               * +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!         *      +                     !0        .     .     .        !
 1991.2!          +  *                        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1991.3!              + *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.4!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!           *      +                   !0        .     .     .        !
 1992.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.1!               *  +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.1!                *   +                 !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                    +    *            !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1995.1!                   *     +            !!0       .     .     .        !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.1!                  *    +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1996.2!                   + *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!                  *  +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                        +             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.1!                      * +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                         +            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.1!                       * +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.4!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!                          *  +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.4!                               +      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.1!                            *  +      !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.2!                            +  *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.4!                               * +    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.2!                               +   *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.3!                                  +  *!!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2009.3!                                    + !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.4!                                  * + !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!                                 +   *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 2011.3!                                     +*!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                                    * +!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.2!                                  +   *!        .     .     . 0      !
 2012.3!                                      +!        .     0     .        !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!        . 0   .     .        !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1345 LAAARSA C LAARSA(-1) PARSA;SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1345 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRSA=BRPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRSA=LOG(AABRSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRSA=LOG(ABRSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRSA=EXP(LAABRSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1346 LAABRSA C LABRSA(-1) PBRSA;                                         
EQUATION 993  LAABRSA  
   RHS     C  LABRSA(-1)  PBRSA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  993 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  993
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRSA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.120247027

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.008175865       0.339900527  -2.96609     1.000000
13388 LABRSA  ( -1)       0.736565822       0.061899425  11.89940    -4.132180
13386 PBRSA   (  0)      -0.071818794       0.160999015  -0.44608     0.953070

SE of equation            =     0.269630991
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.94220715      -0.173074888E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.201929144
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4430721    
R squared                 =   0.55803
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10161
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1! *           +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!       +               *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1983.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!*           +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!                *           +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.4!    *            +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +                *           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1987.2!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                     *          +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!             *          +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                  *       +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!         *            +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2002.3!             +                   *    !!          .   .   .          0
 2002.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1347 LAACESA C LACESA(-1) PCESA;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1347 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMESA=MEPX$Q/SAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMESA=LOG(AAMESA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMESA=LOG(AMESA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMESA=EXP(LAAMESA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1348 LAAMESA C LAMESA(-1) PMESA;                                         
EQUATION 994  LAAMESA  
   RHS     C  LAMESA(-1)  PMESA  
 SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   130 to   244
 OLS;EST  994 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  994
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMESA 

 1984.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  115 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.542230682

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.217074765       0.732726956  -0.29626     1.000000
13391 LAMESA  ( -1)       0.834795799       0.051091098  16.33936    -7.578468
13389 PMESA   (  0)      -0.914405999       0.790971619  -1.15605     1.092166

SE of equation            =     0.550298026
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.9167268      -0.175068848E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.410663758
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.2263322    
R squared                 =   0.78472
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00738
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.2   2012.4    115

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.2!   +       *                          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1984.3!     *      +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.4!      *+                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.1!  *    +                              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.2*    +                                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.3!  +          *                        !!        .     .     .        0
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.1!        *         +                   !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1986.2!    *     +                           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1986.3!*      +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.4!    +    *                            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1987.1!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!        *       +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1988.2!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.3!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!       *   +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.1!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1989.4!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.1!              +      *                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!               *       +              !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1991.2!                +      *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.2!                          +*          !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.3!                        *  +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.1!                  *    +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.2!             *     +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.2!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.3!                  *    +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.4!                   +    *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.1!                        +      *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1995.2!                            * +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.4!                         +     *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.2!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.4!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.2!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                         +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.1!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.1!                           *     +    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.1!                 *          +         !0        .     .     .        !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.1!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.4!              +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.1!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.1!                    +     *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2003.2!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.4!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.1!                        +      *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.1!                               +      *!        .     .     .  0     !
 2006.2!                                    + *!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.3!                                    + *!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!                              *    +  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.1!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.3!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.1!                        *      +      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.3!                       +         *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.2!                          *   +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.3!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!                        +       *     !!        .     .     .    0   !


     30.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.22 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1349 LAAPESA C LAPESA(-1) PPESA;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1349 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUSA=TUPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUSA=LOG(AATUSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUSA=LOG(ATUSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUSA=EXP(LAATUSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1350 LAATUSA C LATUSA(-1) PTUSA;                                         
EQUATION 995  LAATUSA  
   RHS     C  LATUSA(-1)  PTUSA  
 SMPL 1975.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    93 to   244
 OLS;EST  995 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  995
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUSA 

 1975.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  152 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.603116452

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.133767448       0.326536607  -0.40966     1.000000
13394 LATUSA  ( -1)       0.952440764       0.021073680  45.19575    -4.624061
13392 PTUSA   (  0)      -0.059462676       0.286802901  -0.20733     1.096573

SE of equation            =     0.273111472
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.1138916       0.508482145E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.207220102
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.4974555    
R squared                 =   0.93212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36186
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.1   2012.4    152

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!       *    +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                    *     +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                      *     +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                       *     +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                             *   +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                *   + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                   *  +!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !


     28.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.61 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDSA=PDPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDSA=LOG(AAPDSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDSA=LOG(APDSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDSA=EXP(LAAPDSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1351 LAAPDSA C LAPDSA(-1) PPDSA;                                         
EQUATION 996  LAAPDSA  
   RHS     C  LAPDSA(-1)  PPDSA  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST  996 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  996
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDSA 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.655625500

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.492095782       0.519818697  -0.94667     1.000000
13397 LAPDSA  ( -1)       0.851647192       0.047201705  18.04272    -6.674749
13395 PPDSA   (  0)      -0.442460001       0.477560187  -0.92650     1.082580

SE of equation            =     0.304158139
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.89880254       0.185078619E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.189229182
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.8152100    
R squared                 =   0.77532
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60775
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!              +          *            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1989.1!             *           +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1989.2!              +            *          !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1989.3!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!         *               +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1990.2!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!       *        +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2006.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                             +        *!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.3!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1352 LAARUSA C LARUSA(-1) PRUSA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1352 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1353 LAAUESA C LAUESA(-1) PUESA;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1353 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGSA=EGPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGSA=LOG(AAEGSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGSA=LOG(AEGSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGSA=EXP(LAAEGSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1354 LAAEGSA C LAEGSA(-1) PEGSA;                                         
EQUATION 997  LAAEGSA  
   RHS     C  LAEGSA(-1)  PEGSA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST  997 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  997
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGSA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.361838994

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.078806782       0.384576504   0.20492     1.000000
13400 LAEGSA  ( -1)       0.839642752       0.048970758  17.14580    -5.376050
13398 PEGSA   (  0)      -0.842024031       0.413091852  -2.03835     1.100543

SE of equation            =     0.310021592
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8219467       0.326605409E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.211599372
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.6615208    
R squared                 =   0.79354
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39002
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!        +        *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!       *        +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4! +                  *                 !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!       *       +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!               *      +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1355 LAAISSA C LAISSA(-1) PISSA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1355 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1356 LAAKESA C LAKESA(-1) PKESA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1356 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBASA=BAPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABASA=LOG(AABASA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABASA=LOG(ABASA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABASA=EXP(LAABASA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1357 LAABASA C LABASA(-1) PBASA;                                         
EQUATION 998  LAABASA  
   RHS     C  LABASA(-1)  PBASA  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST  998 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  998
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABASA 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.650306116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.071848766       0.366304650  -2.92611     1.000000
13403 LABASA  ( -1)       0.816044983       0.047578376  17.15159    -8.679170
13401 PBASA   (  0)      -0.393520452       0.177881151  -2.21227     1.260073

SE of equation            =     0.489611522
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.1635276      -0.259179345E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.328839901
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.7357068    
R squared                 =   0.76963
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67009
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!+     *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!       +                    *         !!           .  .  .           0
 1982.1!       *                  +           !!0          .  .  .           !
 1982.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!            +       *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!*       +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.1!    +             *                   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1988.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.2!          *                    +      !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!              *       +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !


     18.80 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSA=HKPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSA=LOG(AAHKSA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSA=LOG(AHKSA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSA=EXP(LAAHKSA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1358 LAAHKSA C LAHKSA(-1) PHKSA;                                         
EQUATION 999  LAAHKSA  
   RHS     C  LAHKSA(-1)  PHKSA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST  999 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number =  999
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.932589610

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.321097989       0.120190332  -2.67158     1.000000
13406 LAHKSA  ( -1)       0.917528322       0.029414856  31.19268    -4.932700
13404 PHKSA   (  0)      -0.058566992       0.032769207  -1.78726     1.461575

SE of equation            =     0.155791977
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.49016094       0.829825098E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.116007954
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.8094953    
R squared                 =   0.90748
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12318
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!      +                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2*          +                           !!0          .  .  .           !
 1973.3+           *                          !!           .  .  .           0
 1973.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.1!              +       *               !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.2!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!           *    +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!       *    +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4!     *  +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!                     *  +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1986.3!                               *     +!!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                            *   +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1991.3!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                              *   +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                            *   +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                  *    +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                 *    +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2007.4!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2008.2!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                    *    +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                   *    +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                     +*               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                  *  +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSISA=SIPX$/SAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASISA=LOG(AASISA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASISA=LOG(ASISA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASISA=EXP(LAASISA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1359 LAASISA C LASISA(-1) PSISA;                                         
EQUATION 1000  LAASISA  
   RHS     C  LASISA(-1)  PSISA  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1000 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1000
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASISA 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.859239320

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.164219304       0.214070732  -5.43848     1.000000
13409 LASISA  ( -1)       0.716140318       0.049728110  14.40112    -4.865359
13407 PSISA   (  0)      -0.145997490       0.057323990  -2.54688     1.443449

SE of equation            =     0.202944174
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.20760912      -0.259037236E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.147718915
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.2939669    
R squared                 =   0.65414
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29812
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!  *      +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!       *     +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1974.3!                   *       +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                   *        +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!            *      +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!       *        +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.1!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!       *         +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.2!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                *       +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                  *     +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.2!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                *        +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                  *       +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .         0
 2006.4!                          *        +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.2!                       *     +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                     *      +         !!      0  .    .    .         !


     23.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1360 LAAVISA C LAVISA(-1) PVISA;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1360 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1361 LAANISA C LANISA(-1) PNISA;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1361 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1362 LAAALSA C LAALSA(-1) PALSA;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1362 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1363 LAAIASA C LAIASA(-1) PIASA;SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1363 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1364 LAAINSA C LAINSA(-1) PINSA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1364 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1365 LAAIQSA C LAIQSA(-1) PIQSA;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1365 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1366 LAAKUSA C LAKUSA(-1) PKUSA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1366 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1367 LAALISA C LALISA(-1) PLISA;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1367 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1368 LAAUASA C LAUASA(-1) PUASA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1368 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1369 LAAUSVE C LAUSVE(-1) PUSVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1369 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAVE=CAPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAVE=LOG(AACAVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAVE=LOG(ACAVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAVE=EXP(LAACAVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1370 LAACAVE C LACAVE(-1) PCAVE;                                         
EQUATION 1001  LAACAVE  
   RHS     C  LACAVE(-1)  PCAVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1001 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1001
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.264839254

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.254032427       0.216729485  -1.17212     1.000000
13412 LACAVE  ( -1)       0.878708216       0.037383768  23.50507    -3.256131
13410 PCAVE   (  0)      -0.157845586       0.201587726  -0.78301     0.947874

SE of equation            =     0.241504773
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.7900427       0.877742323E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.187241611
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.2014229    
R squared                 =   0.75249
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49503
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                         *      +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.4!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!                            *       + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                    *       +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!              *          +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                             *    +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!              *        +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!      *                +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1998.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!        *          +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4! *        +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1371 LAAJAVE C LAJAVE(-1) PJAVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1371 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1372 LAAAUVE C LAAUVE(-1) PAUVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1372 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1373 LAAFRVE C LAFRVE(-1) PFRVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1373 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEVE=GEPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEVE=LOG(AAGEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEVE=LOG(AGEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEVE=EXP(LAAGEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1374 LAAGEVE C LAGEVE(-1) PGEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1002  LAAGEVE  
   RHS     C  LAGEVE(-1)  PGEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1002 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1002
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.787132628

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.001949686       0.125539153   0.01553     1.000000
13415 LAGEVE  ( -1)       0.917564867       0.029136632  31.49180    -2.778647
13413 PGEVE   (  0)      -0.261475302       0.145360688  -1.79880     0.915930

SE of equation            =     0.182945853
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.19179925      -0.899280650E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.130668731
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.5657214    
R squared                 =   0.87046
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86380
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.1!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                    *    +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.2!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.4!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!               +           *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1993.1!               *          +           !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1993.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!           +                *         !!           .  .  .           0
 1995.2!                *          +          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1995.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.4!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!     *     +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.3!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!  *      +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.3!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITVE=ITPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITVE=LOG(AAITVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITVE=LOG(AITVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITVE=EXP(LAAITVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1375 LAAITVE C LAITVE(-1) PITVE;                                         
EQUATION 1003  LAAITVE  
   RHS     C  LAITVE(-1)  PITVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1003 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1003
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.809492786

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.151446296       0.081620809  -1.85549     1.000000
13418 LAITVE  ( -1)       0.616620131       0.052589036  11.72526    -2.803884
13416 PITVE   (  0)      -1.156481529       0.172588130  -6.70082     0.803398

SE of equation            =     0.174574135
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.63808381       0.296518365E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.135436920
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4621410    
R squared                 =   0.85464
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27437
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                     *       +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.1!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                         *        +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                           +        * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.1!                           *     +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                          +         * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.4!                             *    +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                            *     +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                      *      +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!             *           +            !0         .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1999.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  *      +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!     *      +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEVE=NEPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEVE=LOG(AANEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEVE=LOG(ANEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEVE=EXP(LAANEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1376 LAANEVE C LANEVE(-1) PNEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1004  LAANEVE  
   RHS     C  LANEVE(-1)  PNEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1004 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1004
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.362483811

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.466246058       0.331974909  -4.41674     1.000000
13421 LANEVE  ( -1)       0.605602150       0.058129152  10.41822    -4.360530
13419 PNEVE   (  0)      -0.246881588       0.243054603  -1.01575     1.034874

SE of equation            =     0.250379240
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.5976063       0.885869156E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.192947125
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.2740594    
R squared                 =   0.38271
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21751
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1971.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1979.4!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!              +          *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!      *              +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!       *          +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!         +               *            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2003.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2012.2!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTVE=STPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTVE=LOG(AASTVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTVE=LOG(ASTVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTVE=EXP(LAASTVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1377 LAASTVE C LASTVE(-1) PSTVE;                                         
EQUATION 1005  LAASTVE  
   RHS     C  LASTVE(-1)  PSTVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1005 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1005
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.269067331

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.509608701       0.113498267  -4.49001     1.000000
13424 LASTVE  ( -1)       0.746585208       0.047557967  15.69843    -4.261171
13422 PSTVE   (  0)      -0.698972235       0.155559618  -4.49328     0.827116

SE of equation            =     0.198993032
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.32567194       0.209166018E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.152802725
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7269124    
R squared                 =   0.89091
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                       *       +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.2!                            *     +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.2!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!  *         +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!    +           *                     !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!*        +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1997.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!*        +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1998.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3+    *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2011.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4! +       *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKVE=UKPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKVE=LOG(AAUKVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKVE=LOG(AUKVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKVE=EXP(LAAUKVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1378 LAAUKVE C LAUKVE(-1) PUKVE;                                         
EQUATION 1006  LAAUKVE  
   RHS     C  LAUKVE(-1)  PUKVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1006 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1006
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.459074942

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.088161286       0.165263026  -0.53346     1.000000
13427 LAUKVE  ( -1)       0.829687448       0.040948991  20.26149    -3.449049
13425 PUKVE   (  0)      -0.565654708       0.213014733  -2.65547     0.900339

SE of equation            =     0.249182364
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.4869924       0.891020591E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188107936
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3642920    
R squared                 =   0.78673
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.89156
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                      *       +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.4!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!               *      +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!            *      +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2002.2!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!          *      +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.2!          +              *            !!          .   .   .          0
 2003.3!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4*           +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2008.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!    *        +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!    *      +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1379 LAAFIVE C LAFIVE(-1) PFIVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1379 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASVE=ASPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASVE=LOG(AAASVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASVE=LOG(AASVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASVE=EXP(LAAASVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1380 LAAASVE C LAASVE(-1) PASVE;                                         
EQUATION 1007  LAAASVE  
   RHS     C  LAASVE(-1)  PASVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1007 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1007
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.091919613

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.888504927       0.465724592  -6.20217     1.000000
13430 LAASVE  ( -1)       0.495915544       0.063608315   7.79639    -7.091696
13428 PASVE   (  0)      -0.689029523       0.289462997  -2.38037     0.996376

SE of equation            =     0.786806468
Sum of squared residuals  =  114.526917      -0.161826108E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.604104433
Sum of ABS residuals      =  113.571633    
R squared                 =   0.31086
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29569
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!          *       +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!   *           +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!        +          *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               +           *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!               +          *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!  *           +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!        +         *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!     *       +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!           +           *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!  *                +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!             *     +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!       *         +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!  *            +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.2!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!   *              +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!             +                        *!          .   .   .          0
 2002.3!          *                +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2002.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!    *          +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!            *  +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!          +          *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.4!     *           +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1381 LAASOVE C LASOVE(-1) PSOVE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1381 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOVE=KOPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOVE=LOG(AAKOVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOVE=LOG(AKOVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOVE=EXP(LAAKOVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1382 LAAKOVE C LAKOVE(-1) PKOVE;                                         
EQUATION 1008  LAAKOVE  
   RHS     C  LAKOVE(-1)  PKOVE  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1008 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1008
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOVE 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.769554753

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.416773301       0.175057327  -2.38078     1.000000
13433 LAKOVE  ( -1)       0.792283839       0.051989894  15.23919    -4.786465
13431 PKOVE   (  0)      -0.431315209       0.160632014  -2.68511     1.299612

SE of equation            =     0.426323699
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.2635136      -0.160094160E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.292470120
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.5307571    
R squared                 =   0.82310
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66867
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!  *            +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!       *         +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1992.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                      +              *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1993.3!                       *         +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +               *!!          .   .   .          0
 1994.1!                  *              +    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                            *     +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                               *     +!!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                    *        +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !


     19.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEVE=BEPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEVE=LOG(AABEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEVE=LOG(ABEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEVE=EXP(LAABEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1383 LAABEVE C LABEVE(-1) PBEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1009  LAABEVE  
   RHS     C  LABEVE(-1)  PBEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1009 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1009
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.336923521

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.576123394       0.207390096  -2.77797     1.000000
13436 LABEVE  ( -1)       0.752712714       0.045846247  16.41820    -4.329354
13434 PBEVE   (  0)      -0.570413221       0.197148463  -2.89332     0.880135

SE of equation            =     0.247083920
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.2943357      -0.129523059E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.192485190
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1872157    
R squared                 =   0.66738
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27494
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                       +             *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!           *           +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!    *                 +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!  *            +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!            *          +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!       *          +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.3!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1*           +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.2!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!      *          +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2005.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4*           +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEVE=DEPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEVE=LOG(AADEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEVE=LOG(ADEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEVE=EXP(LAADEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1384 LAADEVE C LADEVE(-1) PDEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1010  LAADEVE  
   RHS     C  LADEVE(-1)  PDEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1010 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1010
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.428963299

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.639700226       0.380778800  -1.67998     1.000000
13439 LADEVE  ( -1)       0.747866237       0.048505030  15.41832    -5.423410
13437 PDEVE   (  0)      -0.802091150       0.423349205  -1.89463     0.914208

SE of equation            =     0.379752105
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.6791574      -0.382360810E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.287245787
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.0022080    
R squared                 =   0.62146
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55719
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1969.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!            *                +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!           *         +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.2!            *              +          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!         *         +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!     *         +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOVE=NOPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOVE=LOG(AANOVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOVE=LOG(ANOVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOVE=EXP(LAANOVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1385 LAANOVE C LANOVE(-1) PNOVE;                                         
EQUATION 1011  LAANOVE  
   RHS     C  LANOVE(-1)  PNOVE  
 SMPL 1971.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    79 to   244
 OLS;EST 1011 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1011
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOVE 

 1971.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  166 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.150423433

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.718092873       0.379666391  -9.79305     1.000000
13442 LANOVE  ( -1)       0.116379527       0.078819025   1.47654    -6.145252
13440 PNOVE   (  0)      -2.176595011       0.306667600  -7.09757     0.788915

SE of equation            =     0.664139173
Sum of squared residuals  =  71.8961772       0.885425067E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.503528496
Sum of ABS residuals      =  83.5857304    
R squared                 =   0.41100
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02120
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.3   2012.4    166

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!               +               *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +                   * !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!          *          +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2! *       +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!            +          *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2*          +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!     +        *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !


     27.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.61 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1386 LAASWVE C LASWVE(-1) PSWVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1386 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1387 LAAGRVE C LAGRVE(-1) PGRVE;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1387 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1388 LAAIRVE C LAIRVE(-1) PIRVE;SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1388 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOVE=POPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOVE=LOG(AAPOVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOVE=LOG(APOVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOVE=EXP(LAAPOVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1389 LAAPOVE C LAPOVE(-1) PPOVE;                                         
EQUATION 1012  LAAPOVE  
   RHS     C  LAPOVE(-1)  PPOVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1012 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1012
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.650288185

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.016987502       0.466467717   0.03642     1.000000
13445 LAPOVE  ( -1)       0.824840908       0.042943991  19.20736    -6.660139
13443 PPOVE   (  0)      -1.111150736       0.450686451  -2.46546     1.056311

SE of equation            =     0.350355768
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.7085954      -0.572928371E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.268720306
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.5194176    
R squared                 =   0.71255
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68782
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.2!           *      +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!        *         +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2*           +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.3!+       *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!  *       +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1! *         +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.3!     *           +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1995.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!   *      +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!     *         +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1999.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!  *      +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 2009.4!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.2!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                           *    +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                         +          * !!          .   .   .       0  !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPVE=SPPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPVE=LOG(AASPVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPVE=LOG(ASPVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPVE=EXP(LAASPVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1390 LAASPVE C LASPVE(-1) PSPVE;                                         
EQUATION 1013  LAASPVE  
   RHS     C  LASPVE(-1)  PSPVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1013 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1013
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.720673498

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.685105360       0.135284883  -5.06417     1.000000
13448 LASPVE  ( -1)       0.594861152       0.051551693  11.53912    -3.730693
13446 PSPVE   (  0)      -0.787544046       0.150250326  -5.24155     1.036544

SE of equation            =     0.209259000
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.10102587      -0.550670620E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.160848091
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.2394411    
R squared                 =   0.73596
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32690
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!      + *                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4*        +                             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1967.1!     +         *                      !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.4!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!          *     +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                        *    +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                    *     +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1991.2!                    *     +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                   *     +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.2!                              +       *!         .    .    .      0  !
 2003.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1391 LAANZVE C LANZVE(-1) PNZVE;SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1391 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1392 LAASAVE C LASAVE(-1) PSAVE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1392 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOVE=COPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOVE=LOG(AACOVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOVE=LOG(ACOVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOVE=EXP(LAACOVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1393 LAACOVE C LACOVE(-1) PCOVE;                                         
EQUATION 1014  LAACOVE  
   RHS     C  LACOVE(-1)  PCOVE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1014 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1014
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOVE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.034283975

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.049238742       0.071183860   0.69171     1.000000
13451 LACOVE  ( -1)       0.876307539       0.030906815  28.35321    -3.039755
13449 PCOVE   (  0)      -0.363489872       0.093444954  -3.88988     1.154811

SE of equation            =     0.175113497
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.77176263       0.624389429E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.125265630
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.7834694    
R squared                 =   0.95212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05376
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!         *  +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!  *      +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!   *  +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1*  +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2+*                                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!+   *                                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!   *+                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!         *   +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                 *    +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                             *   +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                               *   +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                    *            +    !0           .  .  .           !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !


     23.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1394 LAAJOVE C LAJOVE(-1) PJOVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1394 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1395 LAASYVE C LASYVE(-1) PSYVE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1395 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDVE=IDPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDVE=LOG(AAIDVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDVE=LOG(AIDVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDVE=EXP(LAAIDVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1396 LAAIDVE C LAIDVE(-1) PIDVE;                                         
EQUATION 1015  LAAIDVE  
   RHS     C  LAIDVE(-1)  PIDVE  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1015 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1015
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDVE 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.973657844

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.139439827       0.371599923  -0.37524     1.000000
13454 LAIDVE  ( -1)       0.944741831       0.026803910  35.24642    -6.997699
13452 PIDVE   (  0)      -0.215860422       0.324920072  -0.66435     1.033998

SE of equation            =     0.469871393
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.9220655       0.185185201E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.284403585
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.1100805    
R squared                 =   0.90567
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!     *      +                         !!        0   . . .            !
 1980.2!      + *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1980.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!          +                           !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!      *     +                         !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.2!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!       + *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!        *   +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1984.1!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!            +  *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!              +    *                  !!            . . . 0          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1*              +                       !!  0         . . .            !
 1989.2!+                  *                  !!            . . .            0
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!            . . . 0          !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                       +   *          !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!                       *   +          !!           0. . .            !
 1991.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1992.3!                        +  *          !!            . . .0           !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!            . . .0           !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                      *     +         !!         0  . . .            !
 1995.2!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!           0. . .            !
 1996.2!                        +      *      !!            . . .   0        !
 1996.3!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1996.4!                           +    *     !!            . . . 0          !
 1997.1!                           *    +     !!          0 . . .            !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                                 +  * !!            . . .0           !
 2001.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                 +   *!!            . . .0           !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 2008.2!                               +   *  !!            . . .0           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 2009.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                  *  +!!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                                  * + !!            0 . .            !
 2011.3!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !


     17.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.99 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAVE=MAPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAVE=LOG(AAMAVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAVE=LOG(AMAVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAVE=EXP(LAAMAVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1397 LAAMAVE C LAMAVE(-1) PMAVE;                                         
EQUATION 1016  LAAMAVE  
   RHS     C  LAMAVE(-1)  PMAVE  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1016 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1016
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAVE 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.704958536

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.060578783       0.686521770  -3.00148     1.000000
13457 LAMAVE  ( -1)       0.661149172       0.075605472   8.74473    -6.711590
13455 PMAVE   (  0)      -0.221736511       0.515701901  -0.42997     0.933619

SE of equation            =     0.494167507
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.1991449      -0.567546010E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.316369966
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.0042567    
R squared                 =   0.44801
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02793
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3! *              +                     !!0         .   .   .          !
 1988.4*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4*             +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1990.1!       +                *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                       +              *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1997.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !


     16.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.12 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1398 LAAPAVE C LAPAVE(-1) PPAVE;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1398 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1399 LAAPHVE C LAPHVE(-1) PPHVE;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1399 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1400 LAATHVE C LATHVE(-1) PTHVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1400 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHVE=CHPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHVE=LOG(AACHVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHVE=LOG(ACHVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHVE=EXP(LAACHVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1401 LAACHVE C LACHVE(-1) PCHVE;                                         
EQUATION 1017  LAACHVE  
   RHS     C  LACHVE(-1)  PCHVE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1017 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1017
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHVE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.848771228

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.586981226       0.995521003   1.59412     1.000000
13460 LACHVE  ( -1)       0.919520875       0.035544425  25.86962    -4.886741
13458 PCHVE   (  0)      -1.849915824       1.048121816  -1.76498     1.049935

SE of equation            =     0.582805073
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.7783957      -0.302460279E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.390445025
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.1960732    
R squared                 =   0.91370
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55115
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!      *      +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.3!*      +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!+      *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!         *      +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!   *     +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!          *        +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.1!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.3!          *      +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.1!       *           +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!       *      +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !


     16.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1402 LAAARVE C LAARVE(-1) PARVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1402 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1403 LAABRVE C LABRVE(-1) PBRVE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1403 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEVE=CEPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEVE=LOG(AACEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEVE=LOG(ACEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEVE=EXP(LAACEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1404 LAACEVE C LACEVE(-1) PCEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1018  LAACEVE  
   RHS     C  LACEVE(-1)  PCEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1018 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1018
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.997675352

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.241564052       0.424403299   0.56919     1.000000
13463 LACEVE  ( -1)       0.910456820       0.029578761  30.78076    -5.007367
13461 PCEVE   (  0)      -0.643984893       0.444914188  -1.44744     1.056311

SE of equation            =     0.327120177
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.7964079       0.284940960E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.248255378
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.6720111    
R squared                 =   0.87087
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52885
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.2!              *     +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.1*   +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                      *      +        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!               *     +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                *     +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                  *    +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                 *     +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1987.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                      *     +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                     *     +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                *    +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                +        *            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1990.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                  *      +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                         *    +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                          *    +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                     *+!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                             *   +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEVE=MEPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEVE=LOG(AAMEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEVE=LOG(AMEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEVE=EXP(LAAMEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1405 LAAMEVE C LAMEVE(-1) PMEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1019  LAAMEVE  
   RHS     C  LAMEVE(-1)  PMEVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1019 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1019
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.066581813

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.085636550       0.317430398   0.26978     1.000000
13466 LAMEVE  ( -1)       0.948683128       0.023958943  39.59620    -4.078345
13464 PMEVE   (  0)      -0.268065865       0.342726128  -0.78216     1.056311

SE of equation            =     0.232949386
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0391020       0.811590795E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.162012255
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4583040    
R squared                 =   0.92744
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69496
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!           *    +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!               *  +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!        +        *                    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1982.2!   *             +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2*        +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.3!+        *                            !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1983.4!   *     +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!*   +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3! +      *                             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!               *       +              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.4!                     *    +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                           *   +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                           *   +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEVE=PEPX$Q/VEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEVE=LOG(AAPEVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEVE=LOG(APEVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEVE=EXP(LAAPEVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1406 LAAPEVE C LAPEVE(-1) PPEVE;                                         
EQUATION 1020  LAAPEVE  
   RHS     C  LAPEVE(-1)  PPEVE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1020 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1020
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEVE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.368254381

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.332327836       0.275451260  -4.83689     1.000000
13469 LAPEVE  ( -1)       0.662104723       0.062836847  10.53689    -4.374134
13467 PPEVE   (  0)      -0.172924360       0.076651481  -2.25598     0.808399

SE of equation            =     0.273678150
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.21266675       0.724353910E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.191791092
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.1656776    
R squared                 =   0.50131
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32192
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1! *            +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       +                *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.1!                      *        +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .        0 !
 2009.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1407 LAATUVE C LATUVE(-1) PTUVE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1407 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDVE=PDPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDVE=LOG(AAPDVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDVE=LOG(APDVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDVE=EXP(LAAPDVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1408 LAAPDVE C LAPDVE(-1) PPDVE;                                         
EQUATION 1021  LAAPDVE  
   RHS     C  LAPDVE(-1)  PPDVE  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1021 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1021
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDVE 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.984585155

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.366378584       1.085041165  -0.33766     1.000000
13472 LAPDVE  ( -1)       0.806495719       0.051446451  15.67641    -7.023894
13470 PPDVE   (  0)      -0.920091730       1.058983180  -0.86884     1.036273

SE of equation            =     0.624809360
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.7713808      -0.150714996E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.427196912
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.9916603    
R squared                 =   0.71072
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56269
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!  *                  +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4*              +                       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.1!    +                 *               !!          .   .   .         0!
 1989.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                          *       +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                           *     +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                              *     + !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                           *       +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 *         +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                   *         +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.4!          *          +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.64 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.36 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1409 LAARUVE C LARUVE(-1) PRUVE;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1409 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1410 LAAUEVE C LAUEVE(-1) PUEVE;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1410 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1411 LAAEGVE C LAEGVE(-1) PEGVE;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1411 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1412 LAAISVE C LAISVE(-1) PISVE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1412 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1413 LAAKEVE C LAKEVE(-1) PKEVE;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1413 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1414 LAABAVE C LABAVE(-1) PBAVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1414 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKVE=HKPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKVE=LOG(AAHKVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKVE=LOG(AHKVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKVE=EXP(LAAHKVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1415 LAAHKVE C LAHKVE(-1) PHKVE;                                         
EQUATION 1022  LAAHKVE  
   RHS     C  LAHKVE(-1)  PHKVE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1022 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1022
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKVE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.416577548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.499541762       0.154765336  -3.22774     1.000000
13475 LAHKVE  ( -1)       0.886559492       0.032127919  27.59468    -5.420982
13473 PHKVE   (  0)      -0.079682819       0.043614776  -1.82697     1.393181

SE of equation            =     0.221845101
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.10482104       0.123989707E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.143670195
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0099967    
R squared                 =   0.85246
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.90031
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!              + *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!         *     +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.2!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!      +      *                        !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.4!             + *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1974.1!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1974.4!      *   +                           !!           0. . .            !
 1975.1!        +        *                    !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1980.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1981.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1982.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2*                      +               !0            . . .            !
 1983.3! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!     +   *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!           +     *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1985.1!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1989.3!                +     *               !!            . . . 0          !
 1989.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1990.3!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                       +   *          !!            . . .0           !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1992.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                              *    +  !!           0. . .            !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1996.3!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1998.2!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                             *   +    !!           0. . .            !
 1999.1!                            +    *    !!            . . . 0          !
 1999.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2003.4!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 2004.2!                       * +            !!            0 . .            !
 2004.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                       +    *         !!            . . .0           !
 2005.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2005.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2006.4!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 2007.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                   *      +           !!          0 . . .            !
 2010.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                   *     +            !!          0 . . .            !
 2011.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIVE=SIPX$/VEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIVE=LOG(AASIVE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIVE=LOG(ASIVE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIVE=EXP(LAASIVE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1416 LAASIVE C LASIVE(-1) PSIVE;                                         
EQUATION 1023  LAASIVE  
   RHS     C  LASIVE(-1)  PSIVE  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1023 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1023
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIVE 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.825903714

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.050662424       0.435107623  -7.01128     1.000000
13478 LASIVE  ( -1)       0.508429645       0.064987653   7.82348    -6.828199
13476 PSIVE   (  0)      -0.220045031       0.117752770  -1.86870     1.379639

SE of equation            =     0.442328248
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.2394988      -0.218696172E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.322410188
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.3890135    
R squared                 =   0.30372
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06107
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!*       +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4! *         +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.1!      +      *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!   *          +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1*               +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1987.2!      +              *                !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.4!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!*          +                          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1990.1!      +            *                  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!           +       *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                +             *       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1993.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!           +  *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!               +                      *!           .  .  .           0
 2011.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!              *         +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !


     23.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1417 LAAVIVE C LAVIVE(-1) PVIVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1417 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1418 LAANIVE C LANIVE(-1) PNIVE;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1418 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1419 LAAALVE C LAALVE(-1) PALVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1419 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1420 LAAIAVE C LAIAVE(-1) PIAVE;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1420 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1421 LAAINVE C LAINVE(-1) PINVE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1421 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1422 LAAIQVE C LAIQVE(-1) PIQVE;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1422 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1423 LAAKUVE C LAKUVE(-1) PKUVE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1423 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1424 LAALIVE C LALIVE(-1) PLIVE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1424 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1425 LAAUAVE C LAUAVE(-1) PUAVE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1425 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSCO=USPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSCO=LOG(AAUSCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSCO=LOG(AUSCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSCO=EXP(LAAUSCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1426 LAAUSCO C LAUSCO(-1) PUSCO;                                         
EQUATION 1024  LAAUSCO  
   RHS     C  LAUSCO(-1)  PUSCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1024 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1024
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.039631884

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.199771750       0.062985871  -3.17169     1.000000
13481 LAUSCO  ( -1)       0.720071699       0.050482688  14.26374    -1.038130
13479 PUSCO   (  0)      -0.078235972       0.050053267  -1.56305     1.180177

SE of equation            =     0.085514453
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.35285352       0.275179879E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.064253652
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.0796865    
R squared                 =   0.58278
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57046
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                            *    +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                *               +     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                 +                  * !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!                  *          +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!           *            +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!     *               +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                *           +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                +            *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.1!           *              +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCACO=CAPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACACO=LOG(AACACO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACACO=LOG(ACACO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACACO=EXP(LAACACO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1427 LAACACO C LACACO(-1) PCACO;                                         
EQUATION 1025  LAACACO  
   RHS     C  LACACO(-1)  PCACO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1025 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1025
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACACO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.591937580

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.557574889       0.266702923  -2.09062     1.000000
13484 LACACO  ( -1)       0.709282966       0.052725723  13.45231    -3.586984
13482 PCACO   (  0)      -0.465906748       0.260244767  -1.79026     1.052090

SE of equation            =     0.237002781
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3915089      -0.349924534E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.188210081
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3834951    
R squared                 =   0.56272
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47839
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1984.1!                *              +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                        *      +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!             +          *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!      *           +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3*           +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.4!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.1!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1! + *                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1*         +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1428 LAAJACO C LAJACO(-1) PJACO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1428 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUCO=AUPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUCO=LOG(AAAUCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUCO=LOG(AAUCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUCO=EXP(LAAAUCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1429 LAAAUCO C LAAUCO(-1) PAUCO;                                         
EQUATION 1026  LAAAUCO  
   RHS     C  LAAUCO(-1)  PAUCO  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1026 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1026
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUCO 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.875823348

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.663596446       0.406429078  -9.01411     1.000000
13487 LAAUCO  ( -1)       0.244454424       0.076461339   3.19710    -5.878329
13485 PAUCO   (  0)      -0.737220348       0.157790389  -4.67215     1.051576

SE of equation            =     0.311720108
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.1584304       0.221511698E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.236928103
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.6715683    
R squared                 =   0.26283
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16144
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3*                 +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.4!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1974.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!      *              +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!       *          +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!         *           +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!              *      +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                   +            *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!    *          +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1992.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!*        +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.3!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRCO=FRPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRCO=LOG(AAFRCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRCO=LOG(AFRCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRCO=EXP(LAAFRCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1430 LAAFRCO C LAFRCO(-1) PFRCO;                                         
EQUATION 1027  LAAFRCO  
   RHS     C  LAFRCO(-1)  PFRCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1027 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1027
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.641153860

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.719092839       0.210416735  -3.41747     1.000000
13490 LAFRCO  ( -1)       0.717907162       0.050251159  14.28638    -3.645335
13488 PFRCO   (  0)      -0.253491848       0.141921811  -1.78614     1.203387

SE of equation            =     0.285672359
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.0976089       0.482369700E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.220420482
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.4390507    
R squared                 =   0.56977
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37711
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.1*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.2!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4*      +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!   *         +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!       *        +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                         +          * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.1!                         *      +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!                  *        +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 2003.2!                       *          +   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 2009.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                    *       +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.2!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!              *         +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGECO=GEPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGECO=LOG(AAGECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGECO=LOG(AGECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGECO=EXP(LAAGECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1431 LAAGECO C LAGECO(-1) PGECO;                                         
EQUATION 1028  LAAGECO  
   RHS     C  LAGECO(-1)  PGECO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1028 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1028
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGECO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.670157867

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.241312417       0.094577854  -2.55147     1.000000
13493 LAGECO  ( -1)       0.821144360       0.041589551  19.74401    -2.662886
13491 PGECO   (  0)      -0.235937064       0.094735498  -2.49048     1.026680

SE of equation            =     0.185105523
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.33885011       0.501021447E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.146740659
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.5872440    
R squared                 =   0.79411
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44836
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.3!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.3!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                          +           *!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.3!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                          *        +  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.2!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1984.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                    *            +    !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                  *       +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.4!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!   *       +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.4!     +     *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.1!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!  *         +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!*    +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3! *        +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITCO=ITPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITCO=LOG(AAITCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITCO=LOG(AITCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITCO=EXP(LAAITCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1432 LAAITCO C LAITCO(-1) PITCO;                                         
EQUATION 1029  LAAITCO  
   RHS     C  LAITCO(-1)  PITCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1029 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1029
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.544177730

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.750857800       0.148244287  -5.06500     1.000000
13496 LAITCO  ( -1)       0.672713487       0.052020259  12.93176    -3.542692
13494 PITCO   (  0)      -0.456912293       0.104223874  -4.38395     0.897553

SE of equation            =     0.195842806
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.09556489      -0.501865216E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155120921
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.1627332    
R squared                 =   0.68621
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46859
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *+                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1966.2!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1966.3!            *        +                !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1966.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1967.1!                        +             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1967.2!                  *     +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1967.3!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1967.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1968.1!                  *     +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1968.2!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1968.3!           *          +               !0        .     .     .        !
 1968.4!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1969.1!             *        +               !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1969.2!          *      +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1969.3!               +    *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1969.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.1!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 1970.2!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1970.3!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.4!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.1!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1971.2!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.4!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.1!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1972.2!                      +         *     !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1972.3!                           *  +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.4!                     *    +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1973.2!                     *      +         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.3!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.4!                *      +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1974.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.2!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1974.3!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.4!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1975.1!                          *  +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.2!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.4!                           +     *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.1!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.2!                               +    * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.3!                                 +    *!        .     .     0        !
 1976.4!                                  +  *!!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.1!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.2!                        *    +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.3!                  *    +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1977.4!                    +          *      !!        .     .     .       0!
 1978.1!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1978.2!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1978.3!                     *     +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1978.4!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1979.2!                    *       +         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1979.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.4!                         +        *   !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1980.1!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.2!                            +     *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1980.4!                           +   *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1981.1!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.3!                          +          *!!        .     .     .       0!
 1981.4!                         *       +    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1982.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.2!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.3!                         *  +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.3!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.1!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.2!                *         +           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1984.3!                    +     *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1984.4!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.1!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .        0
 1985.2!                        *       +     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1985.3!                   *     +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.4!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.1!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.2!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.3!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.1!                   *   +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.1!                    *     +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.3!           *           +              !!0       .     .     .        !
 1988.4!               +  *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.1!           *       +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.3!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!                *     +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.1!               + *                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                 +      *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.3!                 +   *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.2!                  +    *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!                 +        *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1995.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.1!              +          *            !!        .     .     .       0!
 1996.2!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.3!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.4!                    +        *        !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1997.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.2!               +*                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!              +       *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1998.4!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.1!            +    *                    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.1!                  + *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.2!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.4!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.2!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.3!               *    +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2002.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.4!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.1!         *    +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.2!          +*                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.1!        *    +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.2!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!      *     +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.1!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.2!      *    +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.4!        + *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.1!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.2!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!      +                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!  *    +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.3!     +                                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.1!       *  +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.2!     *  +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.3*       +                              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2009.4!   +                                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!   * +                                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.4!       *+                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.1!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.3!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.4!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.1!            * +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.2!        *     +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!        .     0     .        !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNECO=NEPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANECO=LOG(AANECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANECO=LOG(ANECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANECO=EXP(LAANECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1433 LAANECO C LANECO(-1) PNECO;                                         
EQUATION 1030  LAANECO  
   RHS     C  LANECO(-1)  PNECO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1030 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1030
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANECO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.540023971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.138752870       0.257010349  -4.43077     1.000000
13499 LANECO  ( -1)       0.631908674       0.056943908  11.09704    -4.536129
13497 PNECO   (  0)      -0.462970653       0.189270998  -2.44607     1.155260

SE of equation            =     0.316538386
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.5363618       0.670308253E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.246964627
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.4293499    
R squared                 =   0.50414
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47703
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                         +            *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.3!                            *  +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                        *    +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!             *          +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.3!                +         *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                        +            *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!                            *  +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.4!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                    *        +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                    *      +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4!      *           +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.1!         +        *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!          *         +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!     *      +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3*                  +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.4!     +     *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1! *           +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!   *        +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3! *          +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!         *          +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                *       +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!   *        +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!              +                *      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.3!                    *    +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!           *           +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!          +            *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.4!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                 *       +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTCO=STPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTCO=LOG(AASTCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTCO=LOG(ASTCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTCO=EXP(LAASTCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1434 LAASTCO C LASTCO(-1) PSTCO;                                         
EQUATION 1031  LAASTCO  
   RHS     C  LASTCO(-1)  PSTCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1031 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1031
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.970942915

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.431139293       0.107500169  -4.01059     1.000000
13502 LASTCO  ( -1)       0.781027773       0.043846238  17.81288    -3.963257
13500 PSTCO   (  0)      -0.478449759       0.109415608  -4.37277     0.928812

SE of equation            =     0.203783669
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.68264000      -0.146105350E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.152797317
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7258955    
R squared                 =   0.88804
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52303
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                         *    +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                             *     +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                  *        +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                       *     +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!           *     +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!           *       +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                *        +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!             +           *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4!*+                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!+      *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!*    +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKCO=UKPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKCO=LOG(AAUKCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKCO=LOG(AUKCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKCO=EXP(LAAUKCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1435 LAAUKCO C LAUKCO(-1) PUKCO;                                         
EQUATION 1032  LAAUKCO  
   RHS     C  LAUKCO(-1)  PUKCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1032 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1032
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.760608242

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.174159223       0.116512913  -1.49476     1.000000
13505 LAUKCO  ( -1)       0.896794594       0.032433591  27.65018    -3.751750
13503 PUKCO   (  0)      -0.219549957       0.114000193  -1.92587     1.010705

SE of equation            =     0.242175412
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8500520      -0.124633637E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.181049917
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.0373844    
R squared                 =   0.86080
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63386
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.1!                                *   + !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.1!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                       *      +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!         +          *                 !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1985.2!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!              *       +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!       *      +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!       *    +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!          +              *            !!           .  .  .           0
 1994.4!               *       +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.1!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!      +      *                        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!         *       +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1996.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1999.2!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!* +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3! + *                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFICO=FIPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFICO=LOG(AAFICO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFICO=LOG(AFICO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFICO=EXP(LAAFICO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1436 LAAFICO C LAFICO(-1) PFICO;                                         
EQUATION 1033  LAAFICO  
   RHS     C  LAFICO(-1)  PFICO  
 SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    98 to   244
 OLS;EST 1033 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1033
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFICO 

 1976.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  147 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.486275615

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.517515910       0.390222739  -6.45148     1.000000
13508 LAFICO  ( -1)       0.475232371       0.073113346   6.49994    -5.485151
13506 PFICO   (  0)      -0.355094415       0.162728915  -2.18212     1.019555

SE of equation            =     0.346345550
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.2735546       0.126041400E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.269291018
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.5857796    
R squared                 =   0.29220
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34750
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.2   2012.4    147

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!          *           +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!          *              +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!              *         +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                 *        +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                  *        +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!             *           +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !


     27.89 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASCO=ASPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASCO=LOG(AAASCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASCO=LOG(AASCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASCO=EXP(LAAASCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1437 LAAASCO C LAASCO(-1) PASCO;                                         
EQUATION 1034  LAAASCO  
   RHS     C  LAASCO(-1)  PASCO  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST 1034 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1034
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASCO 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.060798275

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.494702746       0.595807482  -4.18710     1.000000
13511 LAASCO  ( -1)       0.517495904       0.071184555   7.26978    -7.054666
13509 PASCO   (  0)      -0.838582579       0.423800472  -1.97872     1.091526

SE of equation            =     0.945402712
Sum of squared residuals  =  127.811439      -0.289457347E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.720209159
Sum of ABS residuals      =  105.150537    
R squared                 =   0.32352
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22522
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!*           +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!          *       +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!          *  +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!      *       +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!         *  +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!           *  +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!          *     +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!  *          +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!       *    +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!      *     +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1! *          +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3! *          +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!         +              *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!*                    +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.2!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!   *           +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2*               +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!          +                           *!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +    *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!         *        +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!             *       +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!               +             *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                    +    *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                     +           *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!             *         +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!            *  +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!              *     +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!        *             +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +               *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.4!               *        +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                +             *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!               *     +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!              +              *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                *     +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.3!                 *        +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               *  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                  +         *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!             *    +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !


     28.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1438 LAASOCO C LASOCO(-1) PSOCO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1438 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1439 LAAKOCO C LAKOCO(-1) PKOCO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1439 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBECO=BEPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABECO=LOG(AABECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABECO=LOG(ABECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABECO=EXP(LAABECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1440 LAABECO C LABECO(-1) PBECO;                                         
EQUATION 1035  LAABECO  
   RHS     C  LABECO(-1)  PBECO  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1035 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1035
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABECO 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.658059020

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.122198764       0.266169310  -7.97312     1.000000
13514 LABECO  ( -1)       0.359133134       0.069634026   5.15744    -4.658595
13512 PBECO   (  0)      -0.872203505       0.158792167  -5.49274     0.989224

SE of equation            =     0.246605390
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.7033024       0.324291705E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176441218
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.5829779    
R squared                 =   0.43589
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13912
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                       +             *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      +             * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.1!           *             +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!     *                +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1977.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!        *               +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             +              *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1*               +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1993.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!           +            *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.4!     *          +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!   *         +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !


     20.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDECO=DEPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADECO=LOG(AADECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADECO=LOG(ADECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADECO=EXP(LAADECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1441 LAADECO C LADECO(-1) PDECO;                                         
EQUATION 1036  LAADECO  
   RHS     C  LADECO(-1)  PDECO  
 SMPL 1968.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    68 to   244
 OLS;EST 1036 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1036
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADECO 

 1968.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  177 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.819815422

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.645857926       0.364368169  -4.51702     1.000000
13517 LADECO  ( -1)       0.609473826       0.058526544  10.41363    -5.814496
13515 PDECO   (  0)      -0.615259779       0.258075977  -2.38403     1.024242

SE of equation            =     0.405666681
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.6343893      -0.156141766E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.303459214
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.7122808    
R squared                 =   0.44880
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31591
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.4   2012.4    177

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                        +   *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                       +            * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.1!                         *   +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                      +              *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.1!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                      +               *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.4!                              +     * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!                    *      +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!              *           +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.1!                *       +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                     +              * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.4!                      *     +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.2!            +              *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1977.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                     +             *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.1!      *                   +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.2!         +             *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4! *             +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.1! *     +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!       +           *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.3!           +           *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!        *         +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!     *      +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!           *     +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!     *              +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                 +                 *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                      *       +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!         *        +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.4!   *          +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1! *                +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1988.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!       *    +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!        +   *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!           +   *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!         +             *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.3!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!     *         +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!     *   +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!  *     +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!   *     +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!    *            +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.2!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4*             +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.1!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3*            +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!     *        +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !


     24.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOCO=NOPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOCO=LOG(AANOCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOCO=LOG(ANOCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOCO=EXP(LAANOCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1442 LAANOCO C LANOCO(-1) PNOCO;                                         
EQUATION 1037  LAANOCO  
   RHS     C  LANOCO(-1)  PNOCO  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1037 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1037
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOCO 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.692682934

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.998020510       0.478844442  -6.26095     1.000000
13520 LANOCO  ( -1)       0.417955420       0.081024770   5.15837    -6.681017
13518 PNOCO   (  0)      -0.996419968       0.289677130  -3.43976     0.905537

SE of equation            =     0.635235643
Sum of squared residuals  =  51.6511133       0.140421008E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.498683591
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.3275504    
R squared                 =   0.35922
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05988
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!               +            *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!                    +                 *!         .    .    .        0!
 1981.3!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                 +                   *!!         .    .    .         0
 1982.3!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!     *          +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.2!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                       +            * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!     *                 +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1989.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!        *        +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!  *                +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1994.2!            +             *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!         *       +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!                +           *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!            *       +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!       +         *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.58 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1443 LAASWCO C LASWCO(-1) PSWCO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1443 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1444 LAAGRCO C LAGRCO(-1) PGRCO;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1444 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1445 LAAIRCO C LAIRCO(-1) PIRCO;SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1445 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOCO=POPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOCO=LOG(AAPOCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOCO=LOG(APOCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOCO=EXP(LAAPOCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1446 LAAPOCO C LAPOCO(-1) PPOCO;                                         
EQUATION 1038  LAAPOCO  
   RHS     C  LAPOCO(-1)  PPOCO  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST 1038 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1038
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOCO 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.139351918

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.481337944       0.692591229  -5.02654     1.000000
13523 LAPOCO  ( -1)       0.540272618       0.075153557   7.18892    -8.140543
13521 PPOCO   (  0)      -0.215908944       0.351830692  -0.61367     1.203755

SE of equation            =     0.598598370
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.5066411      -0.368913788E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.438283085
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.9768011    
R squared                 =   0.30051
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41245
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!       *          +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4*              +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!    *         +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!        *              +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1997.2!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2008.4!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !


     29.23 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1447 LAASPCO C LASPCO(-1) PSPCO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1447 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1448 LAANZCO C LANZCO(-1) PNZCO;SMPL 1988.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1448 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1449 LAASACO C LASACO(-1) PSACO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1449 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1450 LAAVECO C LAVECO(-1) PVECO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1450 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1451 LAAJOCO C LAJOCO(-1) PJOCO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1451 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1452 LAASYCO C LASYCO(-1) PSYCO;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1452 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDCO=IDPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDCO=LOG(AAIDCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDCO=LOG(AIDCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDCO=EXP(LAAIDCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1453 LAAIDCO C LAIDCO(-1) PIDCO;                                         
EQUATION 1039  LAAIDCO  
   RHS     C  LAIDCO(-1)  PIDCO  
 SMPL 1981.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   118 to   244
 OLS;EST 1039 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1039
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDCO 

 1981.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  127 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.405708198

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.057023027       0.523422308  -0.10894     1.000000
13526 LAIDCO  ( -1)       0.945040297       0.026366075  35.84304    -6.451143
13524 PIDCO   (  0)      -0.214544937       0.429470961  -0.49956     1.175021

SE of equation            =     0.592362435
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.5107635       0.106274989E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.323010186
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.0222936    
R squared                 =   0.91257
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.84090
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.2   2012.4    127

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.2!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3*          +                           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!        +                 *           !!           .  .  .           0
 1989.2!         *                +           !!0          .  .  .           !
 1989.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!     *   +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!              *      +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                  *     +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                 *    +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !


     13.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMACO=MAPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMACO=LOG(AAMACO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMACO=LOG(AMACO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMACO=EXP(LAAMACO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1454 LAAMACO C LAMACO(-1) PMACO;                                         
EQUATION 1040  LAAMACO  
   RHS     C  LAMACO(-1)  PMACO  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1040 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1040
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMACO 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.767662443

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.997448035       0.400616287  -4.98594     1.000000
13529 LAMACO  ( -1)       0.609088218       0.068360898   8.90989    -6.776475
13527 PMACO   (  0)      -0.545573430       0.169556137  -3.21766     1.178106

SE of equation            =     0.444756309
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.9128708       0.891464680E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.314256403
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1103579    
R squared                 =   0.55382
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31319
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3*          +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2*            +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!*            +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.4!    +               *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!              *         +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!  *              +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +           *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!          *          +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.2!          *              +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.3!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!       *            +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +          *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!            +                     *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1996.2!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !


     24.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPACO=PAPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPACO=LOG(AAPACO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPACO=LOG(APACO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPACO=EXP(LAAPACO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1455 LAAPACO C LAPACO(-1) PPACO;                                         
EQUATION 1041  LAAPACO  
   RHS     C  LAPACO(-1)  PPACO  
 SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   150 to   244
 OLS;EST 1041 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1041
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPACO 

 1989.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   95 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.846498413

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.572246790       0.398232655  -1.43697     1.000000
13532 LAPACO  ( -1)       0.883497629       0.049520589  17.84102    -7.863853
13530 PPACO   (  0)      -0.255130318       0.261742105  -0.97474     1.279960

SE of equation            =     0.534273819
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.2612633       0.521893639E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.331601920
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.5021824    
R squared                 =   0.81420
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83441
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.2   2012.4     95

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.2!     *                 +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.3*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.4!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!        *                +            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1995.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.3!                      *       +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !


     18.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1456 LAAPHCO C LAPHCO(-1) PPHCO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1456 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHCO=THPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHCO=LOG(AATHCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHCO=LOG(ATHCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHCO=EXP(LAATHCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1457 LAATHCO C LATHCO(-1) PTHCO;                                         
EQUATION 1042  LAATHCO  
   RHS     C  LATHCO(-1)  PTHCO  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1042 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1042
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHCO 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.913642639

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.304389244       0.336318834  -0.90506     1.000000
13535 LATHCO  ( -1)       0.778052488       0.048208510  16.13932    -5.958410
13533 PTHCO   (  0)      -0.805159341       0.308770823  -2.60763     1.208826

SE of equation            =     0.390565981
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.2711353      -0.422062385E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.290395643
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1356078    
R squared                 =   0.82931
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72101
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3+    *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!       *          +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!              +          *            !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1992.2!            *             +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!       *         +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHCO=CHPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHCO=LOG(AACHCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHCO=LOG(ACHCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHCO=EXP(LAACHCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1458 LAACHCO C LACHCO(-1) PCHCO;                                         
EQUATION 1043  LAACHCO  
   RHS     C  LACHCO(-1)  PCHCO  
 SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   138 to   244
 OLS;EST 1043 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1043
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHCO 

 1986.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.690444695

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.021781599       0.395739629  -0.05504     1.000000
13538 LACHCO  ( -1)       0.949242914       0.029846297  31.80438    -4.750395
13536 PCHCO   (  0)      -0.133138295       0.364661844  -0.36510     1.197136

SE of equation            =     0.543405912
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.7101584      -0.196220817E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.305662141
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.7058491    
R squared                 =   0.92568
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.87938
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.2   2012.4    107

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.2! +        *                           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1986.3!     *    +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.4!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!*             +                       !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.4! +           *                        !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1988.1! *            +                       !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1988.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2*       +                              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1989.3!+    *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!    *      +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!             *     +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1995.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !


     15.89 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.61 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARCO=ARPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARCO=LOG(AAARCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARCO=LOG(AARCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARCO=EXP(LAAARCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1459 LAAARCO C LAARCO(-1) PARCO;                                         
EQUATION 1044  LAAARCO  
   RHS     C  LAARCO(-1)  PARCO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1044 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1044
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARCO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.161291142

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.399693515       0.283609890  -4.93528     1.000000
13541 LAARCO  ( -1)       0.647140534       0.057254658  11.30285    -4.166565
13539 PARCO   (  0)      -0.054071405       0.151656299  -0.35654     1.206637

SE of equation            =     0.286960996
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.2341235       0.154245505E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.213448459
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.1283102    
R squared                 =   0.41399
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20960
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!      *           +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2! *                +                   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1968.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2! *            +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!             *             +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         +             *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.4! *                  +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!            +              *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!             *                +       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!  *             +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.4! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRCO=BRPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRCO=LOG(AABRCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRCO=LOG(ABRCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRCO=EXP(LAABRCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1460 LAABRCO C LABRCO(-1) PBRCO;                                         
EQUATION 1045  LAABRCO  
   RHS     C  LABRCO(-1)  PBRCO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1045 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1045
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRCO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.966454491

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.365821183       0.203804343  -1.79496     1.000000
13544 LABRCO  ( -1)       0.797376245       0.053448850  14.91849    -2.967776
13542 PBRCO   (  0)      -0.226297147       0.125705846  -1.80021     1.034918

SE of equation            =     0.193420271
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.60160236       0.825117752E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.135986390
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.1342851    
R squared                 =   0.64857
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11878
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!               *            +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.2!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!    *              +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!              *        +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!          *          +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                  *       +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          +         * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.4!                               *  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                             +       *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !


     16.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCECO=CEPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACECO=LOG(AACECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACECO=LOG(ACECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACECO=EXP(LAACECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1461 LAACECO C LACECO(-1) PCECO;                                         
EQUATION 1046  LAACECO  
   RHS     C  LACECO(-1)  PCECO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1046 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1046
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACECO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.357197080

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.945809247       0.304070610  -3.11049     1.000000
13547 LACECO  ( -1)       0.743283152       0.048962553  15.18065    -4.365085
13545 PCECO   (  0)      -0.141414200       0.228200380  -0.61969     1.180177

SE of equation            =     0.408741962
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.9079485       0.281596968E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.226449312
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.5724706    
R squared                 =   0.57324
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26082
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *   +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1966.2!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1966.3!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1966.4!         *     +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1967.1*            +                         !!     0      . . .            !
 1967.2!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1968.1!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1968.2!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1968.3!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1969.2!         *   +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1973.1!   *         +                        !!       0    . . .            !
 1973.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!         +   *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1973.4!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1974.1!                  +   *               !!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1981.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1981.2!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1984.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1985.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!             *   +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1988.2!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!               *   +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1989.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                +     *               !!            . . . 0          !
 1989.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                 +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                 +                    *!            . . .            0
 1991.1!                 *               +    !!   0        . . .            !
 1991.2!               * +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!             *   +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1993.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1994.1!            +*                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                 + *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                     +                !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !


     13.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMECO=MEPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMECO=LOG(AAMECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMECO=LOG(AMECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMECO=EXP(LAAMECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1462 LAAMECO C LAMECO(-1) PMECO;                                         
EQUATION 1047  LAAMECO  
   RHS     C  LAMECO(-1)  PMECO  
 SMPL 1970.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    74 to   244
 OLS;EST 1047 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1047
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMECO 

 1970.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  171 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.604919134

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.196328191       0.223165767  -0.87974     1.000000
13550 LAMECO  ( -1)       0.897946695       0.025897475  34.67314    -3.636224
13548 PMECO   (  0)      -0.121525500       0.189549216  -0.64113     1.180454

SE of equation            =     0.337934429
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.1855459      -0.130873090E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.198121446
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.8787673    
R squared                 =   0.88416
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40789
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.2   2012.4    171

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.2+   *                                  !!            . . .0           !
 1970.3! *    +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1970.4!*  +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 1971.1*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1971.2!  +       *                           !!            . . .   0        !
 1971.3!     *      +                         !!         0  . . .            !
 1971.4!*      +                              !!         0  . . .            !
 1972.1!   +                   *              !!            . . .            0
 1972.2!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1975.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                    *   +             !!           0. . .            !
 1975.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1976.3!                     *    +           !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                   *    +             !!           0. . .            !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                  *   +               !!           0. . .            !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                 *    +               !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.1!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                  +    *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                     *   +            !!           0. . .            !
 1984.2!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                    +   *             !!            . . .0           !
 1984.4!                    *    +            !!           0. . .            !
 1985.1!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1985.3!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                           +          !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                            +         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                        *   +         !!           0. . .            !
 1989.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1992.4!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1993.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!                         +            !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                             +        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                               +   *  !!            . . .0           !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                     +!!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                     +!!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !


     19.30 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPECO=PEPX$Q/COPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPECO=LOG(AAPECO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPECO=LOG(APECO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPECO=EXP(LAAPECO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1463 LAAPECO C LAPECO(-1) PPECO;                                         
EQUATION 1048  LAAPECO  
   RHS     C  LAPECO(-1)  PPECO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1048 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1048
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPECO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.890920691

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.812709922       0.189967061  -4.27816     1.000000
13553 LAPECO  ( -1)       0.735631855       0.055188975  13.32933    -3.884712
13551 PPECO   (  0)      -0.242283386       0.062832690  -3.85601     0.910063

SE of equation            =     0.182430410
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.09354510      -0.162190261E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.127973095
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.1246100    
R squared                 =   0.74266
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99205
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                     +   *            !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                       +  *           !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                        +       *     !!            . . . 0          !
 1982.2!                              +       *!            . . . 0          !
 1982.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                                +    *!!            . . 0            !
 1983.1! *                              +     !0            . . .            !
 1983.2!     +  *                             !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!    *        +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.1!        +            *                !!            . . .   0        !
 1984.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                      +       *       !!            . . . 0          !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                            +     *   !!            . . .0           !
 1986.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                         +    *       !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                        *     +       !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!            . . 0            !
 1988.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                    +      *          !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!                    *     +           !!           0. . .            !
 1991.1!          *  +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!             +              *         !!            . . .    0       !
 1991.3!                          +    *      !!            . . 0            !
 1991.4!                 *          +         !!         0  . . .            !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!            *    +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1992.3!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!         *   +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1993.2!          *  +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!       *      +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1994.2!*         +                           !!         0  . . .            !
 1994.3!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4! *    +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!  *  +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!   *  +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!*     +                               !!           0. . .            !
 1995.4*    +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2! *     +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1996.3!      +     *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1996.4!      *      +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1997.1!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!     *      +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1997.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!        *  +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1998.4! *       +                            !!          0 . . .            !
 1999.1!      +   *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                    *   +             !!            0 . .            !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                       +    *         !!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                           +     *    !!            . . .0           !
 2003.2!                         *     +      !!           0. . .            !
 2003.3!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 2003.4!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2004.3!                    +   *             !!            . . 0            !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!      +  *                            !!            . . 0            !
 2007.1!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!     +     *                          !!            . . .0           !
 2008.1!         +   *                        !!            . . 0            !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!         +  *                         !!            . . 0            !
 2008.4!              +       *               !!            . . . 0          !
 2009.1!                     +       *        !!            . . . 0          !
 2009.2!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!            0 . .            !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!    +  *                              !!            . . 0            !
 2010.4!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1! *+                                   !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!+ *                                   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3! + *                                  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!   +   *                              !!            . . 0            !
 2012.1! *   +                                !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2!*+                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!+*                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4*+                                     !!            . 0 .            !


     19.05 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1464 LAATUCO C LATUCO(-1) PTUCO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1464 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1465 LAAPDCO C LAPDCO(-1) PPDCO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1465 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1466 LAARUCO C LARUCO(-1) PRUCO;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1466 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1467 LAAUECO C LAUECO(-1) PUECO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1467 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGCO=EGPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGCO=LOG(AAEGCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGCO=LOG(AEGCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGCO=EXP(LAAEGCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1468 LAAEGCO C LAEGCO(-1) PEGCO;                                         
EQUATION 1049  LAAEGCO  
   RHS     C  LAEGCO(-1)  PEGCO  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1049 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1049
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGCO 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.447676726

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.983342721       0.758751794  -2.61395     1.000000
13556 LAEGCO  ( -1)       0.678362284       0.077528432   8.74985    -9.477352
13554 PEGCO   (  0)      -0.858742078       0.528105579  -1.62608     1.205549

SE of equation            =     0.794375645
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.8998419      -0.234621211E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.433951159
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.0556044    
R squared                 =   0.55425
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.70593
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!*    +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!*    +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!     +                             *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1991.2!                            +         *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                              +      *!!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                             +       *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!*                             +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1992.2*    +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3*    +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4*    +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1*    +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2*    +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!   +            *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!    *         +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!   *  +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!   *  +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!         +    *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!        *        +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !


     11.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1469 LAAISCO C LAISCO(-1) PISCO;SMPL 1980.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1469 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1470 LAAKECO C LAKECO(-1) PKECO;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1470 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1471 LAABACO C LABACO(-1) PBACO;SMPL 2007.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1471 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKCO=HKPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKCO=LOG(AAHKCO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKCO=LOG(AHKCO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKCO=EXP(LAAHKCO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1472 LAAHKCO C LAHKCO(-1) PHKCO;                                         
EQUATION 1050  LAAHKCO  
   RHS     C  LAHKCO(-1)  PHKCO  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1050 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1050
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKCO 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.030602492

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.389079627       0.273968016  -1.42016     1.000000
13559 LAHKCO  ( -1)       0.897217796       0.038038752  23.58694    -6.044818
13557 PHKCO   (  0)      -0.161227558       0.175180224  -0.92035     1.352154

SE of equation            =     0.467535138
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.1652965       0.608402217E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.369348308
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.0781114    
R squared                 =   0.82242
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34870
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!   *       +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.3!      +     *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!    *        +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.4!          *       +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.1!     *      +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!       +            *                 !!         .    .    .         0
 1987.3!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!          *     +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                +      *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!               *       +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.1!         *       +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.2!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                *         +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                        *      +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                         *    +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                                +    *!!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!                                  *  +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                               *  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                                  *  +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                                *   + !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!                               +     *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2!                                 *   +!!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !


     29.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.96 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSICO=SIPX$/COPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASICO=LOG(AASICO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASICO=LOG(ASICO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASICO=EXP(LAASICO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1473 LAASICO C LASICO(-1) PSICO;                                         
EQUATION 1051  LAASICO  
   RHS     C  LASICO(-1)  PSICO  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1051 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1051
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASICO 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.229215553

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.094759496       0.432430879  -7.15666     1.000000
13562 LASICO  ( -1)       0.476492742       0.066969889   7.11503    -6.239833
13560 PSICO   (  0)      -0.106338968       0.112670269  -0.94381     1.516103

SE of equation            =     0.466007923
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.3118148      -0.192281746E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.337123755
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.2769246    
R squared                 =   0.25506
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12729
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!        +                  *          !!          .   .   .         0!
 1973.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.3!                 *          +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.4!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!      *               +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!   *          +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!  *             +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1999.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 2000.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1474 LAAVICO C LAVICO(-1) PVICO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1474 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1475 LAANICO C LANICO(-1) PNICO;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1475 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1476 LAAALCO C LAALCO(-1) PALCO;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1476 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1477 LAAIACO C LAIACO(-1) PIACO;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1477 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1478 LAAINCO C LAINCO(-1) PINCO;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1478 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1479 LAAIQCO C LAIQCO(-1) PIQCO;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1479 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1480 LAAKUCO C LAKUCO(-1) PKUCO;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1480 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1481 LAALICO C LALICO(-1) PLICO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1481 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1482 LAAUACO C LAUACO(-1) PUACO;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1482 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSJO=USPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSJO=LOG(AAUSJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSJO=LOG(AUSJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSJO=EXP(LAAUSJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1483 LAAUSJO C LAUSJO(-1) PUSJO;                                         
EQUATION 1052  LAAUSJO  
   RHS     C  LAUSJO(-1)  PUSJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1052 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1052
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.292707064

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.416707132       0.196338794  -2.12239     1.000000
13565 LAUSJO  ( -1)       0.802264934       0.044931763  17.85519    -2.289243
13563 PUSJO   (  0)      -0.027122872       0.133834158  -0.20266     1.453420

SE of equation            =     0.327016681
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.7838833      -0.132871492E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.253023800
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.5684744    
R squared                 =   0.65038
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44488
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3!      *         +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.4!       +              *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.1!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!          *          +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.2!           +               *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1969.3!                        +             *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.4!                      *          +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                    +               * !!         .    .    .         0
 1970.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!              *              +        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1970.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!                     +               *!!         .    .    .         0
 1971.2!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                  *       +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1976.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!               *         +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!   *             +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.4!     +       *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!       *          +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.3!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!     +     *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4*       +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4! *       +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!     *        +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.3! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!   +       *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.1!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!     +       *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.4!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2! *     +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1! *    +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!  +       *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!*           +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2003.3!  +*                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!    +  *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3*     +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!   +    *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1484 LAACAJO C LACAJO(-1) PCAJO;SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1484 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAJO=JAPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAJO=LOG(AAJAJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAJO=LOG(AJAJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAJO=EXP(LAAJAJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1485 LAAJAJO C LAJAJO(-1) PJAJO;                                         
EQUATION 1053  LAAJAJO  
   RHS     C  LAJAJO(-1)  PJAJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1053 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1053
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.494220032

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.556413409       0.160608312  -3.46441     1.000000
13568 LAJAJO  ( -1)       0.838423647       0.040623388  20.63894    -3.492541
13566 PJAJO   (  0)      -0.005666263       0.050601789  -0.11198     1.690259

SE of equation            =     0.243355484
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.9560499      -0.273780998E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.184657178
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.7155494    
R squared                 =   0.69878
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31790
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3*             +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.4!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!      *                    +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                         *         +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                          *   +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                 *        +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!   *       +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!          +          *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.4!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1486 LAAAUJO C LAAUJO(-1) PAUJO;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1486 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1487 LAAFRJO C LAFRJO(-1) PFRJO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1487 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEJO=GEPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEJO=LOG(AAGEJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEJO=LOG(AGEJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEJO=EXP(LAAGEJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1488 LAAGEJO C LAGEJO(-1) PGEJO;                                         
EQUATION 1054  LAAGEJO  
   RHS     C  LAGEJO(-1)  PGEJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1054 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1054
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.544796443

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.389069946       0.121065793  -3.21371     1.000000
13571 LAGEJO  ( -1)       0.812055274       0.045362777  17.90136    -2.540148
13569 PGEJO   (  0)      -0.073567402       0.073753557  -0.99748     1.263955

SE of equation            =     0.208497588
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.04218015      -0.228972397E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.159266102
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.9420271    
R squared                 =   0.67311
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34448
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1967.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.1!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.2!            +         *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!    *          +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1971.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!            +             *           !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                          +         * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.4!                                +     *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                 *      +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!  *         +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.1*     +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!  +    *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!   *          +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.4!     +*                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!     +         *                      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.2!      *        +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!       *        +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.3!    *            +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 2012.4! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITJO=ITPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITJO=LOG(AAITJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITJO=LOG(AITJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITJO=EXP(LAAITJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1489 LAAITJO C LAITJO(-1) PITJO;                                         
EQUATION 1055  LAAITJO  
   RHS     C  LAITJO(-1)  PITJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1055 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1055
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.912110602

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.629362092       0.137514257  -4.57670     1.000000
13574 LAITJO  ( -1)       0.695261905       0.051949170  13.38350    -2.910996
13572 PITJO   (  0)      -0.233902922       0.080249903  -2.91468     1.106631

SE of equation            =     0.219751585
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.93379044      -0.686339874E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.174265328
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.7618817    
R squared                 =   0.60173
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35085
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *           +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!   *                 +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1967.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!             *          +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.2!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3*              +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1969.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4*              +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1971.1!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                       *     +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                          +         * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                          +           *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!                              *   +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!    *          +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!         +           *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.3!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.3!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.2!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!         *         +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!           +            *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2011.3!             *        +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .0        !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1490 LAANEJO C LANEJO(-1) PNEJO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1490 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1491 LAASTJO C LASTJO(-1) PSTJO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1491 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKJO=UKPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKJO=LOG(AAUKJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKJO=LOG(AUKJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKJO=EXP(LAAUKJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1492 LAAUKJO C LAUKJO(-1) PUKJO;                                         
EQUATION 1056  LAAUKJO  
   RHS     C  LAUKJO(-1)  PUKJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1056 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1056
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.743508218

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.071334051       0.097648155  -0.73052     1.000000
13577 LAUKJO  ( -1)       0.932592696       0.028268936  32.99002    -2.731130
13575 PUKJO   (  0)      -0.100743093       0.085309166  -1.18092     1.242190

SE of equation            =     0.224217227
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.30057249      -0.271249689E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.176939720
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.2646673    
R squared                 =   0.88840
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72154
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                            +         *!         .    .    .         0
 1969.2!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                           *     +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.2!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!               *      +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!            *      +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.4!              *       +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.2!                *  +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.3!            *     +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.2!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!      + *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!*   +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3! +   *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!         0    .    .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIJO=FIPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIJO=LOG(AAFIJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIJO=LOG(AFIJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIJO=EXP(LAAFIJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1493 LAAFIJO C LAFIJO(-1) PFIJO;                                         
EQUATION 1057  LAAFIJO  
   RHS     C  LAFIJO(-1)  PFIJO  
 SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   110 to   244
 OLS;EST 1057 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1057
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIJO 

 1979.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  135 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.544229355

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.211911933       0.385987043  -3.13977     1.000000
13580 LAFIJO  ( -1)       0.723020066       0.060218842  12.00654    -5.553104
13578 PFIJO   (  0)      -0.254042927       0.209225925  -1.21420     1.249048

SE of equation            =     0.572025613
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.1921558      -0.170929937E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.444080884
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.9509194    
R squared                 =   0.54328
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50590
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.2   2012.4    135

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.4!         *                 +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!            +            *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.3!           *           +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4*      +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.3!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!      *       +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!       *        +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!         +  *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!        +     *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.2!*      +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!    +         *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!    *       +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.4!   +          *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.4!       +           *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.1!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!*     +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!     +  *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                          +       *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                                +     *!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                                +     *!         .    .    0         !
 2007.4!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                *       +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!             +          *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.1!    *                 +               !0         .    .    .         !
 2010.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!              +         *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.4!         *            +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2011.1!           +                *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 2011.2!       *                 +            !0         .    .    .         !
 2011.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!              +          *            !!         .    .    .    0    !


     29.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1494 LAAASJO C LAASJO(-1) PASJO;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1494 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1495 LAASOJO C LASOJO(-1) PSOJO;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1495 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1496 LAAKOJO C LAKOJO(-1) PKOJO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1496 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEJO=BEPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEJO=LOG(AABEJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEJO=LOG(ABEJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEJO=EXP(LAABEJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1497 LAABEJO C LABEJO(-1) PBEJO;                                         
EQUATION 1058  LAABEJO  
   RHS     C  LABEJO(-1)  PBEJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1058 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1058
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.913610414

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.079218107       0.208192920  -5.18374     1.000000
13583 LABEJO  ( -1)       0.576428412       0.060760290   9.48693    -3.910206
13581 PBEJO   (  0)      -0.479608988       0.131741281  -3.64054     1.210233

SE of equation            =     0.282450123
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7589434      -0.124646959E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.212676748
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9832286    
R squared                 =   0.50484
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21249
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!        *      +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!   *              +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!      *         +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!       *        +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                +            *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1980.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.3!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEJO=DEPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEJO=LOG(AADEJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEJO=LOG(ADEJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEJO=EXP(LAADEJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1498 LAADEJO C LADEJO(-1) PDEJO;                                         
EQUATION 1059  LAADEJO  
   RHS     C  LADEJO(-1)  PDEJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1059 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1059
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.139733401

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.157013692       0.345374313  -6.24544     1.000000
13586 LADEJO  ( -1)       0.556583972       0.061146258   9.10250    -5.138945
13584 PDEJO   (  0)      -0.097375910       0.134194870  -0.72563     1.257654

SE of equation            =     0.304038078
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1012433       0.205329087E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.241063666
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.3199692    
R squared                 =   0.31474
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27524
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1966.2!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.3!             *      +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1966.4!                +            *        !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1967.1!                 *      +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.2!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1967.3!          *              +            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1967.4!              +     *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.1!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1968.2!                      +        *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1968.3!                     *    +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.4!           *        +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1969.1!               +            *         !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1969.2!                  *     +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.1!                      +  *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1970.2!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1970.3!                       +          *   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1970.4!                           +       *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.1!                            +       * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.2!                             +  *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.3!                          +         * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1971.4!                            +      *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1972.1!                            +    *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1972.2!                       *    +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.3!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1972.4!                          +           *!        .     .     .    0   !
 1973.1!                           *  +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.2!                    *   +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.3!                   *+                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.2!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1974.3!                *         +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1974.4!                  +        *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1975.1!                       +    *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1975.2!                  *     +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.3!                   +      *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1975.4!                  *    +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.1!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1976.2!                   *  +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.3!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1977.1!            *        +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1977.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.3!              *   +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.4!                +        *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1978.2!                   +           *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1978.3!                     *   +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1978.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.1!                   +          *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1979.2!                         +   *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.3!               *         +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1979.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.1!              *      +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.2!                 +    *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.4!                   *   +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!               *    +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.1!             *    +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.2!                +*                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.3!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.4!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.1!              *    +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.1!                    +       *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1984.3!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.1!                       +   *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!            *        +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.4!                +        *            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.1!                       +      *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.2!                    *    +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.3!                  * +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.1!              *    +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.4!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.1!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.2!              +    *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.3!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.4!                   +    *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.1!        *             +               !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1989.2!             +    *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.3!           *      +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.4!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.1!              +                *      !!        .     .     .        0
 1990.2!          *              +            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.4!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.1!               +             *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1991.2!                        +    *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!                    *    +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.2!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!                 *    +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.1!             *    +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.4!                   +        *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.4!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.1!                    *     +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!                  +   *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.1!             *       +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1996.2!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.1!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.2!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.4!                    +     *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!                     +          *     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2000.4!                          +  *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.4!                     +      *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!           *          +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.4!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.2!                     +               *!!        .     .     .       0!
 2003.3!                 *           +        !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2003.4!                  +     *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!          *        +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.3!     *        +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.4!           +      *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2005.1!            *     +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.2!         *     +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2005.3!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!   *          +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2006.2!  *       +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.3!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.4!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.1!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.2!            *    +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!        *      +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.4!   *         +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2008.1!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.2!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.3!     *         +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.4!      *    +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!     *      +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.2*           +                          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.3!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.4!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!         *    +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.2!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.3!          *   +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.4!              +            *          !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2011.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!          *           +               !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.3!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.2!        *       +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1499 LAANOJO C LANOJO(-1) PNOJO;SMPL 2001.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1499 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWJO=SWPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWJO=LOG(AASWJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWJO=LOG(ASWJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWJO=EXP(LAASWJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1500 LAASWJO C LASWJO(-1) PSWJO;                                         
EQUATION 1060  LAASWJO  
   RHS     C  LASWJO(-1)  PSWJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1060 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1060
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.880408572

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.293135424       0.332170266  -6.90349     1.000000
13589 LASWJO  ( -1)       0.516058009       0.062815228   8.21549    -4.878935
13587 PSWJO   (  0)      -0.049310146       0.107281702  -0.45963     1.408629

SE of equation            =     0.290052094
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5640902      -0.253965737E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.224403135
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1877895    
R squared                 =   0.27063
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27629
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!    *                  +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1969.4!          +               *           !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1970.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                +          *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!                     +              * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!             +              *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!            *         +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.4!                        +             *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.1!             *              +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +           *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                +    *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.4!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.4!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!        *          +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!         *      +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!              +                *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1994.1!               *        +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!         *         +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.4!            +           *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.3!                      +              *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                        +           * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.2!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!       *       +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!    *             +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2008.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!   *           +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.2!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!  *          +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4*            +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRJO=GRPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRJO=LOG(AAGRJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRJO=LOG(AGRJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRJO=EXP(LAAGRJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1501 LAAGRJO C LAGRJO(-1) PGRJO;                                         
EQUATION 1061  LAAGRJO  
   RHS     C  LAGRJO(-1)  PGRJO  
 SMPL 1966.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    59 to   244
 OLS;EST 1061 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1061
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRJO 

 1966.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  186 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.375024808

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.703220360       0.399005052  -1.76243     1.000000
13592 LAGRJO  ( -1)       0.609755294       0.057653343  10.57623    -5.374218
13590 PGRJO   (  0)      -1.115420655       0.334821273  -3.33139     1.250512

SE of equation            =     0.603103058
Sum of squared residuals  =  66.5631937       0.105249143E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.456109465
Sum of ABS residuals      =  84.8363605    
R squared                 =   0.51044
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45983
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.3   2012.4    186

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.4!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!              +         *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!           *           +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!        *         +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.4!        *                +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1971.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!               *         +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                +       *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                        +           * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                         +      *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                         +            *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                     *    +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2001.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!    *           +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.2!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!       +               *              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2005.3!      *            +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.4!          +          *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.1*                  +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 2006.2!    +      *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!    *       +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1! *    +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!    +*                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3*        +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.1!     *           +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.2!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!*      +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!   *      +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!       +               *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2011.1!     *             +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2011.2!  *     +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!      +  *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!        +        *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.4!      *         +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !


     25.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1502 LAAIRJO C LAIRJO(-1) PIRJO;SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1502 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1503 LAAPOJO C LAPOJO(-1) PPOJO;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1503 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1504 LAASPJO C LASPJO(-1) PSPJO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1504 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1505 LAANZJO C LANZJO(-1) PNZJO;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1505 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1506 LAASAJO C LASAJO(-1) PSAJO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1506 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1507 LAAVEJO C LAVEJO(-1) PVEJO;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1507 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOJO=COPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOJO=LOG(AACOJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOJO=LOG(ACOJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOJO=EXP(LAACOJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1508 LAACOJO C LACOJO(-1) PCOJO;                                         
EQUATION 1062  LAACOJO  
   RHS     C  LACOJO(-1)  PCOJO  
 SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   150 to   244
 OLS;EST 1062 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1062
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOJO 

 1989.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   95 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.060617389

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.623530855       0.888320535  -4.07908     1.000000
13595 LACOJO  ( -1)       0.520415947       0.087995856   5.91410    -9.102439
13593 PCOJO   (  0)      -0.470082920       0.402697364  -1.16734     1.489167

SE of equation            =     0.761572037
Sum of squared residuals  =  53.3592610      -0.153610458E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.552829351
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.5187884    
R squared                 =   0.31149
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14558
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.2   2012.4     95

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.2*        +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3*         +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.4!*         +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                  +              *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                          +          *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.2!                               +      *!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                               +      *!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                               +     *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!       *                      +       !0         .    .    .         !
 1993.2!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!       *      +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!       *      +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!             +       *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                      +   *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                  *    +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                +      *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!       *              +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.2*             +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.3!*        +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4*          +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1!         +   *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!             *        +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                   +          *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.1!                   *      +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                   *    +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!              *       +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                   *    +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!           *          +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!         *            +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3!              +          *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!   *                 +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2011.2!           +          *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!              *     +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!                +                 *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2012.3!            *              +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                +                    *!!         .    .    .        0!


     26.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.37 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYJO=SYPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYJO=LOG(AASYJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYJO=LOG(ASYJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYJO=EXP(LAASYJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1509 LAASYJO C LASYJO(-1) PSYJO;                                         
EQUATION 1063  LAASYJO  
   RHS     C  LASYJO(-1)  PSYJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1063 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1063
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.798549525

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.817730727       0.162258620  -5.03968     1.000000
13598 LASYJO  ( -1)       0.750955756       0.043397437  17.30415    -4.799616
13596 PSYJO   (  0)      -0.124710818       0.025452762  -4.89970     3.019139

SE of equation            =     0.437101207
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.3456311       0.410560475E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.292940354
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.0727866    
R squared                 =   0.84727
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21404
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!            *        +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!         *         +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1987.3*           +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.4!                    *      +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!           *           +              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1991.2!               +                  *   !!           .  .  .           0
 1991.3!                            *    +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 2004.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                           *      +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !


     16.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1510 LAAIDJO C LAIDJO(-1) PIDJO;SMPL 1971.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1510 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAJO=MAPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAJO=LOG(AAMAJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAJO=LOG(AMAJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAJO=EXP(LAAMAJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1511 LAAMAJO C LAMAJO(-1) PMAJO;                                         
EQUATION 1064  LAAMAJO  
   RHS     C  LAMAJO(-1)  PMAJO  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST 1064 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1064
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAJO 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.712587059

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.758939163       0.444179069  -1.70863     1.000000
13601 LAMAJO  ( -1)       0.647596842       0.062930592  10.29065    -4.749061
13599 PMAJO   (  0)      -0.619747873       0.341023084  -1.81732     1.416981

SE of equation            =     0.890455181
Sum of squared residuals  =  103.078356      -0.229194441E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.558752906
Sum of ABS residuals      =  74.3141366    
R squared                 =   0.55053
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29906
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!          *    +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1980.3!         *     +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1980.4!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!                     +   *            !!            . . 0            !
 1981.2!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3*                        +             !0            . . .            !
 1983.4!        +          *                  !!            . . .    0       !
 1984.1!             *      +                 !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.2!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!          *         +                 !!        0   . . .            !
 1985.2!         *     +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1985.3!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                  +       *           !!            . . .  0         !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1986.3!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                    *      +          !!          0 . . .            !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1988.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2!                          +    *      !!            . . .0           !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                       *     +        !!          0 . . .            !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                         +            *!            . . .     0      !
 1991.1!                         *         +  !!        0   . . .            !
 1991.2!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                            +         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                            +    *    !!            . . . 0          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1997.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                           +     *    !!            . . . 0          !
 2004.2!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 2006.3!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 2006.4!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                           +     *    !!            . . . 0          !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                          *      +    !!          0 . . .            !
 2009.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !


     15.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAJO=PAPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAJO=LOG(AAPAJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAJO=LOG(APAJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAJO=EXP(LAAPAJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1512 LAAPAJO C LAPAJO(-1) PPAJO;                                         
EQUATION 1065  LAAPAJO  
   RHS     C  LAPAJO(-1)  PPAJO  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1065 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1065
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAJO 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.671791038

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.128444007       0.472262828  -2.38944     1.000000
13604 LAPAJO  ( -1)       0.716273871       0.059752005  11.98745    -6.673186
13602 PPAJO   (  0)      -0.474563472       0.245075665  -1.93640     1.608885

SE of equation            =     0.648357636
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.0681587      -0.212097007E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.486627595
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.2080977    
R squared                 =   0.57531
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23078
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1! *            +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.2!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!  *         +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +                 *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.1!              *           +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.48 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1513 LAAPHJO C LAPHJO(-1) PPHJO;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1513 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1514 LAATHJO C LATHJO(-1) PTHJO;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1514 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHJO=CHPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHJO=LOG(AACHJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHJO=LOG(ACHJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHJO=EXP(LAACHJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1515 LAACHJO C LACHJO(-1) PCHJO;                                         
EQUATION 1066  LAACHJO  
   RHS     C  LACHJO(-1)  PCHJO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1066 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1066
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHJO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.711224050

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.191438604       0.249977546   0.76582     1.000000
13607 LACHJO  ( -1)       0.908829282       0.038164381  23.81355    -2.720462
13605 PCHJO   (  0)      -0.291922582       0.200213557  -1.45806     1.473770

SE of equation            =     0.332834055
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6257565      -0.283728596E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.234856575
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.5919284    
R squared                 =   0.88413
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39189
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                              *    +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.1!                                *    +!!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                   *      +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.4!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!       *           +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.3!        *        +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1990.4!  *      +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1*    +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!      *    +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!      *     +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !


     17.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1516 LAAARJO C LAARJO(-1) PARJO;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1516 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRJO=BRPX$Q/JOPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRJO=LOG(AABRJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRJO=LOG(ABRJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRJO=EXP(LAABRJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1517 LAABRJO C LABRJO(-1) PBRJO;                                         
EQUATION 1067  LAABRJO  
   RHS     C  LABRJO(-1)  PBRJO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1067 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1067
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRJO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.540559795

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.914524664       0.556344778  -3.44126     1.000000
13610 LABRJO  ( -1)       0.562563013       0.076572861   7.34677    -4.538365
13608 PBRJO   (  0)      -0.057598603       0.285239885  -0.20193     1.265981

SE of equation            =     0.560999637
Sum of squared residuals  =  38.7106329      -0.358513219E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.428221835
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.9559512    
R squared                 =   0.31337
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09311
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.3!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                +             *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.3!          *                +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                 *        +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.4!               *         +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1518 LAACEJO C LACEJO(-1) PCEJO;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1518 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1519 LAAMEJO C LAMEJO(-1) PMEJO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1519 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1520 LAAPEJO C LAPEJO(-1) PPEJO;SMPL 2001.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1520 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1521 LAATUJO C LATUJO(-1) PTUJO;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1521 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDJO=PDPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDJO=LOG(AAPDJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDJO=LOG(APDJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDJO=EXP(LAAPDJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1522 LAAPDJO C LAPDJO(-1) PPDJO;                                         
EQUATION 1068  LAAPDJO  
   RHS     C  LAPDJO(-1)  PPDJO  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1068 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1068
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDJO 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.169369422

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.561981179       0.455733469  -3.42740     1.000000
13613 LAPDJO  ( -1)       0.661136425       0.071953962   9.18833    -6.178690
13611 PPDJO   (  0)      -0.351667159       0.221142753  -1.59023     1.485584

SE of equation            =     0.419388447
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.8198736      -0.300737213E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.297964930
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.7761422    
R squared                 =   0.50605
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29572
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!        +              *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .         0!
 1987.1!             *                  +     !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!        *             +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1997.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!*            +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2000.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2*           +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!            *          +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2006.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !


     22.73 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.36 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1523 LAARUJO C LARUJO(-1) PRUJO;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1523 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1524 LAAUEJO C LAUEJO(-1) PUEJO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1524 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGJO=EGPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGJO=LOG(AAEGJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGJO=LOG(AEGJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGJO=EXP(LAAEGJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1525 LAAEGJO C LAEGJO(-1) PEGJO;                                         
EQUATION 1069  LAAEGJO  
   RHS     C  LAEGJO(-1)  PEGJO  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1069 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1069
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGJO 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.004242570

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.014375884       0.316746823  -0.04539     1.000000
13616 LAEGJO  ( -1)       0.928018739       0.024767625  37.46902    -5.052563
13614 PEGJO   (  0)      -0.204233515       0.215682951  -0.94692     1.473770

SE of equation            =     0.433291685
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.0922271      -0.483835194E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.290577247
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6127331    
R squared                 =   0.92404
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41707
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    *  +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4*      +                               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1982.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!     *   +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.4!                 *  +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.3!                   *     +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                     *  +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                   *       +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                           * +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                       *   +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        *   +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1526 LAAISJO C LAISJO(-1) PISJO;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1526 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1527 LAAKEJO C LAKEJO(-1) PKEJO;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1527 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1528 LAABAJO C LABAJO(-1) PBAJO;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1528 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKJO=HKPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKJO=LOG(AAHKJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKJO=LOG(AHKJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKJO=EXP(LAAHKJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1529 LAAHKJO C LAHKJO(-1) PHKJO;                                         
EQUATION 1070  LAAHKJO  
   RHS     C  LAHKJO(-1)  PHKJO  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1070 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1070
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKJO 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.426788681

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.352899557       0.131170393  -2.69039     1.000000
13619 LAHKJO  ( -1)       0.903422775       0.033134364  27.26543    -5.433104
13617 PHKJO   (  0)      -0.086596228       0.048282474  -1.79353     1.911159

SE of equation            =     0.272054656
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6925412       0.113176135E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.189331226
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.5942704    
R squared                 =   0.90326
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66295
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.2*               +                      !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.3!+        *                            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1973.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!     +       *                        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!               *      +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                              +     * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.3!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIJO=SIPX$/JOPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIJO=LOG(AASIJO+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIJO=LOG(ASIJO+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIJO=EXP(LAASIJO)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1530 LAASIJO C LASIJO(-1) PSIJO;                                         
EQUATION 1071  LAASIJO  
   RHS     C  LASIJO(-1)  PSIJO  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1071 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1071
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIJO 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.988826272

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.438790852       0.343061374  -4.19398     1.000000
13622 LASIJO  ( -1)       0.705940204       0.056532433  12.48735    -5.992565
13620 PSIJO   (  0)      -0.174307987       0.117052339  -1.48915     1.833780

SE of equation            =     0.494962053
Sum of squared residuals  =  38.2180397      -0.154383173E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.342475468
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.4535994    
R squared                 =   0.54554
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18813
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!      *        +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!     *         +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.3*         +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!          *         +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!              *      +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!       *      +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                           +        * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.4!                    *      +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2010.3!                    *         +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .          0
 2012.4!                  *            +      !!0         .   .   .          !


     22.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1531 LAAVIJO C LAVIJO(-1) PVIJO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1531 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1532 LAANIJO C LANIJO(-1) PNIJO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1532 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1533 LAAALJO C LAALJO(-1) PALJO;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1533 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1534 LAAIAJO C LAIAJO(-1) PIAJO;SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1534 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1535 LAAINJO C LAINJO(-1) PINJO;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1535 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1536 LAAIQJO C LAIQJO(-1) PIQJO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1536 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1537 LAAKUJO C LAKUJO(-1) PKUJO;SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1537 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1538 LAALIJO C LALIJO(-1) PLIJO;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1538 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1539 LAAUAJO C LAUAJO(-1) PUAJO;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1539 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSSY=USPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSSY=LOG(AAUSSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSSY=LOG(AUSSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSSY=EXP(LAAUSSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1540 LAAUSSY C LAUSSY(-1) PUSSY;                                         
EQUATION 1072  LAAUSSY  
   RHS     C  LAUSSY(-1)  PUSSY  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1072 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1072
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSSY 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.364957346

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.263564707       0.169561390  -1.55439     1.000000
13625 LAUSSY  ( -1)       0.916312850       0.049555025  18.49082    -3.334767
13623 PUSSY   (  0)      -0.031778066       0.098469698  -0.32272     1.438187

SE of equation            =     0.469692278
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.8130046       0.851763104E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.348705192
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.5565761    
R squared                 =   0.69551
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43407
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *  +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1966.3!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                              *     + !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                         *      +     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                              +      *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.2!                                *   + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.4!                           *     +    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                              +     * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                               *   +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                           *   +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.2!                             *    +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!                             *    +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                   *    +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!             *            +           !0           .  .  .           !
 2012.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!        *         +                   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2012.3! *       +                            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2012.4*   +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1541 LAACASY C LACASY(-1) PCASY;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1541 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJASY=JAPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJASY=LOG(AAJASY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJASY=LOG(AJASY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJASY=EXP(LAAJASY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1542 LAAJASY C LAJASY(-1) PJASY;                                         
EQUATION 1073  LAAJASY  
   RHS     C  LAJASY(-1)  PJASY  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1073 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1073
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJASY 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.386415689

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.548177530       0.189431276  -2.89381     1.000000
13628 LAJASY  ( -1)       0.835180410       0.052977530  15.76480    -3.366880
13626 PJASY   (  0)      -0.015817140       0.055163093  -0.28673     1.661880

SE of equation            =     0.382699260
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.0948639      -0.325517391E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.254885859
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.9185416    
R squared                 =   0.58078
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04695
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1966.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1966.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                  *        +          !!         0  . . .            !
 1967.4!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1968.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1968.2!                    +   *             !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!                        +   *         !!            . . .0           !
 1968.4!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1970.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!                          +   *       !!            . . .0           !
 1971.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!                              +      *!!            . . . 0          !
 1972.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1973.1!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!                              +   *   !!            . . .0           !
 1975.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                             *   +    !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1978.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1980.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!                          +          *!!            . . .    0       !
 1983.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                            *     +   !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1984.3!                         *    +       !!           0. . .            !
 1984.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1985.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                         +      *     !!            . . . 0          !
 1986.4!                         *     +      !!           0. . .            !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                             +     *  !!            . . . 0          !
 1988.2!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 1988.3!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                          *      +    !!         0  . . .            !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1992.1!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1992.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1992.4!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1994.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                                 *  + !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1996.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                          *     +     !!          0 . . .            !
 1999.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 2000.2!                        +   *         !!            . . 0            !
 2000.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 2001.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                        +             !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 2005.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                          +           !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2008.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                      *     +         !!          0 . . .            !
 2009.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2009.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 2010.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!               *    +                 !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1!                 +    *               !!            . . .0           !
 2011.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2011.3!               *     +                !!          0 . . .            !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                 +     *              !!            . . . 0          !
 2012.2!             *          +             !!       0    . . .            !
 2012.3!               +      *               !!            . . . 0          !
 2012.4*                       +              !0            . . .            !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUSY=AUPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUSY=LOG(AAAUSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUSY=LOG(AAUSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUSY=EXP(LAAAUSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1543 LAAAUSY C LAAUSY(-1) PAUSY;                                         
EQUATION 1074  LAAAUSY  
   RHS     C  LAAUSY(-1)  PAUSY  
 SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   149 to   244
 OLS;EST 1074 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1074
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUSY 

 1989.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   96 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.949972177

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.492068499       0.260056937  -1.89216     1.000000
13631 LAAUSY  ( -1)       0.824777007       0.071780548  11.49026    -4.925916
13629 PAUSY   (  0)      -0.324737343       0.200790554  -1.61729     1.216741

SE of equation            =     0.325875856
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.87614186       0.403721501E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.247023249
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.7142319    
R squared                 =   0.76387
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32473
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.1   2012.4     96

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.1!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1989.2!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                             *     +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!                *       +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                *     +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.2!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.3!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.4!        +     *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.1!        *     +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!          *      +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.4!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2012.1!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3! *           +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 2012.4*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !


     28.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.25 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1544 LAAFRSY C LAFRSY(-1) PFRSY;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1544 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1545 LAAGESY C LAGESY(-1) PGESY;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1545 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSY=ITPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSY=LOG(AAITSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSY=LOG(AITSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSY=EXP(LAAITSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1546 LAAITSY C LAITSY(-1) PITSY;                                         
EQUATION 1075  LAAITSY  
   RHS     C  LAITSY(-1)  PITSY  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1075 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1075
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSY 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.218477387

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.218693984       0.086276103  -2.53482     1.000000
13634 LAITSY  ( -1)       0.751040474       0.065536113  11.45995    -2.207143
13632 PITSY   (  0)      -0.316066329       0.099635803  -3.17222     1.082462

SE of equation            =     0.228100721
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.62553874       0.126165745E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.180248589
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.8867348    
R squared                 =   0.76237
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27818
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!                          *      +    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                      *    +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.2!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.4!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                          *    +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                     *  +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                      *       +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                      *    +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!                   *      +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                   *     +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                *     +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.1!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!        *         +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 2012.3!     *     +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.4*      +                               !!   0     .    .    .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1547 LAANESY C LANESY(-1) PNESY;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1547 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1548 LAASTSY C LASTSY(-1) PSTSY;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1548 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1549 LAAUKSY C LAUKSY(-1) PUKSY;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1549 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1550 LAAFISY C LAFISY(-1) PFISY;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1550 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSY=ASPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSY=LOG(AAASSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSY=LOG(AASSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSY=EXP(LAAASSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1551 LAAASSY C LAASSY(-1) PASSY;                                         
EQUATION 1076  LAAASSY  
   RHS     C  LAASSY(-1)  PASSY  
 SMPL 1984.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   129 to   244
 OLS;EST 1076 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1076
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSY 

 1984.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  116 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.558040391

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.433376439       0.601857226  -5.70464     1.000000
13637 LAASSY  ( -1)       0.507500626       0.081621763   6.21771    -7.582247
13635 PASSY   (  0)      -0.216115368       0.217509278  -0.99359     1.280190

SE of equation            =     1.172141071
Sum of squared residuals  =  155.252360       0.156052948E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.870938191
Sum of ABS residuals      =  101.028830    
R squared                 =   0.30055
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30692
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2012.4    116

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                   +                  *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.3!                       *      +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!       *                +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.2!              +            *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!    *                   +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.4!        *    +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!               +          *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!  *                     +             !0         .    .    .         !
 1986.3!            +             *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.4!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!         *           +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!    *            +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!    *                    +            !!0        .    .    .         !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3*                      +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1989.4!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                 *     +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!         *            +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                +     *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                *      +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                        +             *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!               *               +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!              *    +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!             *         +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                         *   +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                   *      +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                           +      *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                             +        *!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!           *          +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!           *        +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                 *     +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                     +   *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                 *    +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !


     20.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1552 LAASOSY C LASOSY(-1) PSOSY;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1552 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1553 LAAKOSY C LAKOSY(-1) PKOSY;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1553 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESY=BEPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESY=LOG(AABESY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESY=LOG(ABESY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESY=EXP(LAABESY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1554 LAABESY C LABESY(-1) PBESY;                                         
EQUATION 1077  LAABESY  
   RHS     C  LABESY(-1)  PBESY  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1077 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1077
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESY 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.590758881

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.926459038       0.171714368  -5.39535     1.000000
13640 LABESY  ( -1)       0.560652619       0.070078697   8.00033    -3.579090
13638 PBESY   (  0)      -0.555041904       0.122569826  -4.52837     1.184908

SE of equation            =     0.302631491
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.9433766      -0.115809584E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.235146675
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.2075749    
R squared                 =   0.63637
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20888
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.4!                     *         +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1967.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.3!                *       +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                      *     +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                            +        *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.1!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                     *        +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!              *        +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                          +         * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.4!                           *     +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1986.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                       *       +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                  *          +        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                *           +         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1988.4!         *       +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1!              +            *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                             *  +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                            +      *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                       *     +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                          +          *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1995.2!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                     *        +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.2!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                      *      +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!            *       +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESY=DEPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESY=LOG(AADESY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESY=LOG(ADESY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESY=EXP(LAADESY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1555 LAADESY C LADESY(-1) PDESY;                                         
EQUATION 1078  LAADESY  
   RHS     C  LADESY(-1)  PDESY  
 SMPL 1973.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    85 to   244
 OLS;EST 1078 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1078
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESY 

 1973.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  160 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.416648418

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.242122724       0.350656954  -6.39406     1.000000
13643 LADESY  ( -1)       0.500951204       0.076332448   6.56276    -5.401576
13641 PDESY   (  0)      -0.395371800       0.189311599  -2.08847     1.185212

SE of equation            =     0.461323025
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.4125726      -0.730082661E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.321484043
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.4374469    
R squared                 =   0.35590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10044
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.1   2012.4    160

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.3!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!            +             *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.3!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!           +                  *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1986.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!   *                +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!         +            *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!   *                   +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.3!         +           *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1991.1!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3*          +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2007.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !


     22.50 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1556 LAANOSY C LANOSY(-1) PNOSY;SMPL 2007.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1556 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWSY=SWPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWSY=LOG(AASWSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWSY=LOG(ASWSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWSY=EXP(LAASWSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1557 LAASWSY C LASWSY(-1) PSWSY;                                         
EQUATION 1079  LAASWSY  
   RHS     C  LASWSY(-1)  PSWSY  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1079 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1079
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWSY 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.634810203

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.751307399       0.303534692  -5.76971     1.000000
13646 LASWSY  ( -1)       0.603563790       0.064038681   9.42499    -4.622833
13644 PSWSY   (  0)      -0.068442499       0.109281801  -0.62629     1.363596

SE of equation            =     0.403021005
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.5869638       0.211652917E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.302171323
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.0886669    
R squared                 =   0.35292
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16192
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                           +         *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                      *     +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!              *           +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                     *          +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!         *            +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2009.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!    *                    +            !0          .   .   .          !
 2012.1!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4*         +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !


     30.73 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRSY=GRPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRSY=LOG(AAGRSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRSY=LOG(AGRSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRSY=EXP(LAAGRSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1558 LAAGRSY C LAGRSY(-1) PGRSY;                                         
EQUATION 1080  LAAGRSY  
   RHS     C  LAGRSY(-1)  PGRSY  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1080 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1080
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRSY 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.573941172

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.143348370       0.319501848  -6.70841     1.000000
13649 LAGRSY  ( -1)       0.370219013       0.075524732   4.90196    -4.568180
13647 PGRSY   (  0)      -0.611830434       0.181007151  -3.38015     1.208449

SE of equation            =     0.630082669
Sum of squared residuals  =  67.0937048      -0.270983236E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.442960399
Sum of ABS residuals      =  76.1891886    
R squared                 =   0.27015
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03917
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!       *          +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1970.4!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!        *         +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                 +                    *!           .  .  .           0
 1974.1!          *               +           !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1974.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!      *        +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!*             +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2012.4*      +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !


     22.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.07 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1559 LAAIRSY C LAIRSY(-1) PIRSY;SMPL 1975.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1559 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1560 LAAPOSY C LAPOSY(-1) PPOSY;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1560 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1561 LAASPSY C LASPSY(-1) PSPSY;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1561 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1562 LAANZSY C LANZSY(-1) PNZSY;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1562 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1563 LAASASY C LASASY(-1) PSASY;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1563 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1564 LAAVESY C LAVESY(-1) PVESY;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1564 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1565 LAACOSY C LACOSY(-1) PCOSY;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1565 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1566 LAAJOSY C LAJOSY(-1) PJOSY;SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1566 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDSY=IDPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDSY=LOG(AAIDSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDSY=LOG(AIDSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDSY=EXP(LAAIDSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1567 LAAIDSY C LAIDSY(-1) PIDSY;                                         
EQUATION 1081  LAAIDSY  
   RHS     C  LAIDSY(-1)  PIDSY  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1081 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1081
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDSY 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.315933610

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.486768828       0.238573832  -2.04033     1.000000
13652 LAIDSY  ( -1)       0.856722906       0.045823681  18.69607    -4.334704
13650 PIDSY   (  0)      -0.088660913       0.089391204  -0.99183     1.302996

SE of equation            =     0.355645000
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.0159198      -0.168309811E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.260693287
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.5479422    
R squared                 =   0.78630
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74917
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4*            +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1990.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                  *       +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!              *         +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                       *      +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                              *     + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                           *      +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMASY=MAPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMASY=LOG(AAMASY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMASY=LOG(AMASY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMASY=EXP(LAAMASY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1568 LAAMASY C LAMASY(-1) PMASY;                                         
EQUATION 1082  LAAMASY  
   RHS     C  LAMASY(-1)  PMASY  
 SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   109 to   244
 OLS;EST 1082 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1082
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMASY 

 1979.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  136 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.153344915

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.883878660       0.245143860  -3.60555     1.000000
13655 LAMASY  ( -1)       0.787539317       0.062841182  12.53222    -5.160353
13653 PMASY   (  0)      -0.148085344       0.118851224  -1.24597     1.387613

SE of equation            =     0.517862679
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.6681733       0.611510842E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.395390798
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.7731485    
R squared                 =   0.72339
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43122
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2012.4    136

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.1!          +  *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.2!      *        +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1979.3!         +  *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.4!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.1!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.2!   *        +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1980.3!       +  *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.4!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.1!     *       +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1981.2*       +                              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1981.3!   +*                                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.4!       +          *                   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1982.1!     *            +                   !0        .     .     .        !
 1982.2!  *    +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.3!     +        *                       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1982.4!     *         +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1983.1!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.2!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1983.3!       *       +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1983.4!   *     +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.1! *  +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1984.2!  +          *                        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1984.3!     *        +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1984.4!       +    *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.1!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.2!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!          +         *                 !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1985.4!             *      +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.1!         *     +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!              +   *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.1!          *           +               !!0       .     .     .        !
 1987.2!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!           *      +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.1!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.2!           *     +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.3!     *        +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1988.4!         +         *                  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1989.1!                   +        *         !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1989.2!                  *        +          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1989.3!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.1!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.3!                     +         *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1990.4!                      *       +       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!                   *        +         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.4!                     +      *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.1!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.3!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                    *     +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.3!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.4!                      +   *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.2!                          +    *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.2!                            +*        !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.3!                         *  +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.3!                        +       *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1997.4!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.2!                        *     +       !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.1!                            +   *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.4!                               +   *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.1!                              *  +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!                           * +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.2!                            +         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.4!                           +    *     !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.2!                              +       *!        .     .     .  0     !
 2003.3!                                   +  *!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                                   +  *!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.1!                               *   +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!                            +   *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.2!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.3!                           *  +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!                         * +          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.1!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!                         *  +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.3!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.1!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.2!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!                          *  +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!            *            +            !0        .     .     .        !
 2012.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !


     25.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPASY=PAPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPASY=LOG(AAPASY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPASY=LOG(APASY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPASY=EXP(LAAPASY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1569 LAAPASY C LAPASY(-1) PPASY;                                         
EQUATION 1083  LAAPASY  
   RHS     C  LAPASY(-1)  PPASY  
 SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   131 to   244
 OLS;EST 1083 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1083
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPASY 

 1984.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  114 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.329706564

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.171884176       0.490940181  -4.42393     1.000000
13658 LAPASY  ( -1)       0.649118620       0.072359684   8.97072    -7.370846
13656 PPASY   (  0)      -0.257954734       0.236881369  -1.08896     1.447032

SE of equation            =     0.798795541
Sum of squared residuals  =  70.8262492      -0.613731288E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.614607224
Sum of ABS residuals      =  70.0652235    
R squared                 =   0.50724
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33068
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.3   2012.4    114

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1*             +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!          *       +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!     *         +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!           +           *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                 *          +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                   *          +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                    *        +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.4!                      *      +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!                    +               * !!         .    .    .         0
 1994.4!                        *       +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                           +        * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                      *          +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                 *        +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.1!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    . 0       !


     25.44 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1570 LAAPHSY C LAPHSY(-1) PPHSY;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1570 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1571 LAATHSY C LATHSY(-1) PTHSY;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1571 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHSY=CHPX$Q/SYPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHSY=LOG(AACHSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHSY=LOG(ACHSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHSY=EXP(LAACHSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1572 LAACHSY C LACHSY(-1) PCHSY;                                         
EQUATION 1084  LAACHSY  
   RHS     C  LACHSY(-1)  PCHSY  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1084 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1084
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHSY 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.957905493

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.940218457       0.271027674  -3.46909     1.000000
13661 LACHSY  ( -1)       0.674275399       0.066819942  10.09093    -2.962761
13659 PCHSY   (  0)      -0.014228116       0.144547844  -0.09843     1.403561

SE of equation            =     0.549481177
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.1373364      -0.203947970E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.395404808
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.8210058    
R squared                 =   0.45684
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29208
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!*               +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1*            +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!             +           *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!            *            +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!*             +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4! *         +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!       +              *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                      +               *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1988.3!                *               +     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.4!     *           +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!   *                     +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!     *           +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!          *         +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1573 LAAARSY C LAARSY(-1) PARSY;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1573 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1574 LAABRSY C LABRSY(-1) PBRSY;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1574 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1575 LAACESY C LACESY(-1) PCESY;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1575 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1576 LAAMESY C LAMESY(-1) PMESY;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1576 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1577 LAAPESY C LAPESY(-1) PPESY;SMPL 2003.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1577 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1578 LAATUSY C LATUSY(-1) PTUSY;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1578 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1579 LAAPDSY C LAPDSY(-1) PPDSY;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1579 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1580 LAARUSY C LARUSY(-1) PRUSY;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1580 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1581 LAAUESY C LAUESY(-1) PUESY;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1581 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1582 LAAEGSY C LAEGSY(-1) PEGSY;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1582 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1583 LAAISSY C LAISSY(-1) PISSY;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1583 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1584 LAAKESY C LAKESY(-1) PKESY;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1584 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1585 LAABASY C LABASY(-1) PBASY;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1585 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSY=HKPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSY=LOG(AAHKSY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSY=LOG(AHKSY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSY=EXP(LAAHKSY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1586 LAAHKSY C LAHKSY(-1) PHKSY;                                         
EQUATION 1085  LAAHKSY  
   RHS     C  LAHKSY(-1)  PHKSY  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST 1085 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1085
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSY 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.113125075

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.539228318       0.235519179  -2.28953     1.000000
13664 LAHKSY  ( -1)       0.906303766       0.046224729  19.60647    -6.099727
13662 PHKSY   (  0)      -0.028879357       0.095517147  -0.30235     1.582138

SE of equation            =     0.384885319
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.3686430       0.666755540E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.274211438
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.2285615    
R squared                 =   0.79087
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49158
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                 *      +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3*        +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4! +        *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                          *     +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                                 *   +!!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                     *      +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2005.4!                   *             +    !0          .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!       *       +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4! *       +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !


     23.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSISY=SIPX$/SYPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASISY=LOG(AASISY+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASISY=LOG(ASISY+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASISY=EXP(LAASISY)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1587 LAASISY C LASISY(-1) PSISY;                                         
EQUATION 1086  LAASISY  
   RHS     C  LASISY(-1)  PSISY  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1086 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1086
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASISY 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.267762351

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.473464824       0.302959069  -4.86358     1.000000
13667 LASISY  ( -1)       0.731025959       0.056455902  12.94862    -6.268519
13665 PSISY   (  0)      -0.113664151       0.074363433  -1.52850     1.863801

SE of equation            =     0.557743828
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.4386812       0.115392140E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.405636990
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.2033841    
R squared                 =   0.61306
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50957
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4*              +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!       *                   +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!          +             *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!            +         *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!     *              +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                        *    +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                      +               *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1588 LAAVISY C LAVISY(-1) PVISY;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1588 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1589 LAANISY C LANISY(-1) PNISY;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1589 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1590 LAAALSY C LAALSY(-1) PALSY;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1590 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1591 LAAIASY C LAIASY(-1) PIASY;SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1591 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1592 LAAINSY C LAINSY(-1) PINSY;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1592 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1593 LAAIQSY C LAIQSY(-1) PIQSY;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1593 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1594 LAAKUSY C LAKUSY(-1) PKUSY;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1594 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1595 LAALISY C LALISY(-1) PLISY;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1595 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1596 LAAUASY C LAUASY(-1) PUASY;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1596 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1597 LAAUSID C LAUSID(-1) PUSID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1597 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1598 LAACAID C LACAID(-1) PCAID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1598 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1599 LAAJAID C LAJAID(-1) PJAID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1599 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUID=AUPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUID=LOG(AAAUID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUID=LOG(AAUID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUID=EXP(LAAAUID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1600 LAAAUID C LAAUID(-1) PAUID;                                         
EQUATION 1087  LAAAUID  
   RHS     C  LAAUID(-1)  PAUID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1087 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1087
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.601817935

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.476373933       0.338757038  -7.31018     1.000000
13670 LAAUID  ( -1)       0.509291057       0.064735174   7.86730    -5.598359
13668 PAUID   (  0)      -0.220912485       0.085573926  -2.58154     1.241442

SE of equation            =     0.267250338
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.2132075      -0.123379529E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.213260099
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.0928985    
R squared                 =   0.34267
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28386
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *           +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!      *                +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1967.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!        *            +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!           *           +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!          *         +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!          *            +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.3!        *       +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.4!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.1!      *                +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.4!           *               +          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1976.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                 +                  * !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.3!                            +         *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.4!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!             *     +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                        +        *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                          +          *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                            *  +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                 *           +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                   +        *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!               *         +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.1!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!         *    +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                +         *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.4!       *        +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.1!            +           *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!   *            +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.3!          +          *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!   *               +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.1!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!   *         +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1*            +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.2!     + *                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!       *        +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!     *         +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1601 LAAFRID C LAFRID(-1) PFRID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1601 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEID=GEPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEID=LOG(AAGEID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEID=LOG(AGEID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEID=EXP(LAAGEID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1602 LAAGEID C LAGEID(-1) PGEID;                                         
EQUATION 1088  LAAGEID  
   RHS     C  LAGEID(-1)  PGEID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1088 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1088
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.623466569

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.282976322       0.086381747  -3.27588     1.000000
13673 LAGEID  ( -1)       0.861218643       0.043310567  19.88472    -2.616047
13671 PGEID   (  0)      -0.070557877       0.060038214  -1.17522     1.240141

SE of equation            =     0.157640256
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.59733333      -0.247624143E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.116360107
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.8757002    
R squared                 =   0.80184
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63025
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             *        +!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                               *   +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.2!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                          *        +  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!                               *   +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                        *     +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                    *        +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!              *            +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.1!              +              *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                 *               +    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                 +                  * !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.2!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!+  *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITID=ITPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITID=LOG(AAITID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITID=LOG(AITID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITID=EXP(LAAITID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1603 LAAITID C LAITID(-1) PITID;                                         
EQUATION 1089  LAAITID  
   RHS     C  LAITID(-1)  PITID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1089 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1089
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.679488966

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.319353960       0.199812325  -6.60297     1.000000
13676 LAITID  ( -1)       0.559362759       0.064701893   8.64523    -3.676087
13674 PITID   (  0)      -0.279023339       0.077169794  -3.61571     1.089045

SE of equation            =     0.225039257
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.36889345       0.397140099E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176091201
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.1051457    
R squared                 =   0.51410
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41620
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *           +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.2!           +         *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                         +            *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.1!                 *         +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!         *          +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.4!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!           +               *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.2!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!              *       +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.3!         *         +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1976.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.3!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.1!            *             +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!              +             *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1982.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!               +       *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.2!               *         +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3*        +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEID=NEPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEID=LOG(AANEID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEID=LOG(ANEID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEID=EXP(LAANEID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1604 LAANEID C LANEID(-1) PNEID;                                         
EQUATION 1090  LAANEID  
   RHS     C  LANEID(-1)  PNEID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1090 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1090
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.373664131

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.355840392       0.243046377  -5.57853     1.000000
13679 LANEID  ( -1)       0.666247128       0.057092268  11.66966    -4.370635
13677 PNEID   (  0)      -0.075986743       0.089276217  -0.85114     1.393678

SE of equation            =     0.247283488
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.3125878       0.199644745E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.187308125
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.2139275    
R squared                 =   0.46025
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38345
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *      +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!      *       +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!     +              *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!          *        +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.1!                *          +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                *            +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                 +          *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!     *             +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.1!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!         *                +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!                         +          * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                       *      +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!          *          +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +              *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!         *        +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!            +                         *!          .   .   .          0
 1977.4!                       *       +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.2!                     *       +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                         +         *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                        *    +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                        +          *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                        *  +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!            *     +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!             +         *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!           *     +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!      *     +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!         +          *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                *  +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!         +   *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!       *       +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!         *  +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!  *          +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!     +           *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.3!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!           *     +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!             *       +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!           *     +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!    *       +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!   *          +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!*       +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     *  +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!   *     +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3*        +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTID=STPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTID=LOG(AASTID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTID=LOG(ASTID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTID=EXP(LAASTID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1605 LAASTID C LASTID(-1) PSTID;                                         
EQUATION 1091  LAASTID  
   RHS     C  LASTID(-1)  PSTID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1091 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1091
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.295876547

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.393037182       0.215201856  -6.47317     1.000000
13682 LASTID  ( -1)       0.575265272       0.066484415   8.65263    -4.288509
13680 PSTID   (  0)      -0.386255447       0.078156071  -4.94210     1.128292

SE of equation            =     0.188759906
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.59160592       0.191708871E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.142024096
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7005301    
R squared                 =   0.77492
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31929
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                    *        +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!            *               +         !!0         .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +            *           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!             *               +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKID=UKPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKID=LOG(AAUKID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKID=LOG(AUKID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKID=EXP(LAAUKID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1606 LAAUKID C LAUKID(-1) PUKID;                                         
EQUATION 1092  LAAUKID  
   RHS     C  LAUKID(-1)  PUKID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1092 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1092
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.586483647

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.087626178       0.067934405  -1.28986     1.000000
13685 LAUKID  ( -1)       0.962010875       0.026970301  35.66927    -2.575513
13683 PUKID   (  0)      -0.017341234       0.059596191  -0.29098     1.221734

SE of equation            =     0.179959588
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.99130889       0.276001444E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.142115592
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7177314    
R squared                 =   0.91026
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.82562
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                        *   +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                            * +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                                  *  +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                           *    +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.4!                     *       +        !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                   *  +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                         *   +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                       *    +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1990.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                   *     +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!             *     +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                  *   +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                 *   +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                *   +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!             *    +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.3!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!           *     +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!     *    +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!  *       +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 2009.2!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!*  +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!*    +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!  *   +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1607 LAAFIID C LAFIID(-1) PFIID;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1607 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1608 LAAASID C LAASID(-1) PASID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1608 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1609 LAASOID C LASOID(-1) PSOID;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1609 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOID=KOPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOID=LOG(AAKOID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOID=LOG(AKOID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOID=EXP(LAAKOID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1610 LAAKOID C LAKOID(-1) PKOID;                                         
EQUATION 1093  LAAKOID  
   RHS     C  LAKOID(-1)  PKOID  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1093 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1093
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOID 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.383828358

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.218363605       0.162167041  -1.34654     1.000000
13688 LAKOID  ( -1)       0.891818247       0.034298914  26.00135    -4.401881
13686 PKOID   (  0)      -0.126611582       0.089181680  -1.41970     1.893878

SE of equation            =     0.522679680
Sum of squared residuals  =  47.8089583      -0.218047802E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.355505392
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.2799598    
R squared                 =   0.84890
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70568
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!     *      +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!     +       *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!    *         +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1972.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1*           +                          !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.2!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2! *     +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.3!   +          *                       !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.4!    *          +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1977.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!*      +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.3!  +     *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.4!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!            *         +               !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                    *    +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.1!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.4!                         *       +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.1!                       *         +    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!                       *     +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.1!                        *      +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                         *     +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.2!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .         0
 1994.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                          *   +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !


     25.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.87 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1611 LAABEID C LABEID(-1) PBEID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1611 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1612 LAADEID C LADEID(-1) PDEID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1612 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOID=NOPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOID=LOG(AANOID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOID=LOG(ANOID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOID=EXP(LAANOID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1613 LAANOID C LANOID(-1) PNOID;                                         
EQUATION 1094  LAANOID  
   RHS     C  LANOID(-1)  PNOID  
 SMPL 1974.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    89 to   244
 OLS;EST 1094 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1094
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOID 

 1974.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  156 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.023113546

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.678552783       0.407341546  -6.57569     1.000000
13691 LANOID  ( -1)       0.494161126       0.071867725   6.87598    -6.007507
13689 PNOID   (  0)      -0.344185875       0.151899662  -2.26588     1.092097

SE of equation            =     0.571331805
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.9422648       0.680699941E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.423678864
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.0939028    
R squared                 =   0.32039
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08206
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.1   2012.4    156

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.1!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!       *             +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +              *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!            +                 *       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4! *         +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!         +       *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWID=SWPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWID=LOG(AASWID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWID=LOG(ASWID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWID=EXP(LAASWID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1614 LAASWID C LASWID(-1) PSWID;                                         
EQUATION 1095  LAASWID  
   RHS     C  LASWID(-1)  PSWID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1095 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1095
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.642550973

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.124896594       0.243901759  -4.61209     1.000000
13694 LASWID  ( -1)       0.673074073       0.055662270  12.09211    -4.640740
13692 PSWID   (  0)      -0.285698932       0.127677101  -2.23767     1.379398

SE of equation            =     0.356988720
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.5765750       0.123083765E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.261148152
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.0958526    
R squared                 =   0.53572
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49546
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                         +           *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                        *      +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                     +              * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.3!                *             +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.4!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!               +                 *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.3!             *             +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +                     *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.1!                *          +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!               +                      *!          .   .   .          0
 1978.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                *     +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                           +         *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!*         +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!   *         +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!          *  +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!*            +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.1!    +      *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1615 LAAGRID C LAGRID(-1) PGRID;SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1615 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1616 LAAIRID C LAIRID(-1) PIRID;SMPL 1980.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1616 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1617 LAAPOID C LAPOID(-1) PPOID;SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1617 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPID=SPPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPID=LOG(AASPID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPID=LOG(ASPID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPID=EXP(LAASPID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1618 LAASPID C LASPID(-1) PSPID;                                         
EQUATION 1096  LAASPID  
   RHS     C  LASPID(-1)  PSPID  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1096 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1096
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPID 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.188157737

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.646322376       0.360768892  -7.33523     1.000000
13697 LASPID  ( -1)       0.311177462       0.079253315   3.92637    -5.183521
13695 PSPID   (  0)      -0.680019839       0.194595725  -3.49453     1.365902

SE of equation            =     0.450327957
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.6360619      -0.866950955E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.310074866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.3019038    
R squared                 =   0.26352
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03896
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3! *              +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.4*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!             +                 *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.3!      *               +               !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.2!            *            +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !


     18.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1619 LAANZID C LANZID(-1) PNZID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1619 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1620 LAASAID C LASAID(-1) PSAID;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1620 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1621 LAAVEID C LAVEID(-1) PVEID;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1621 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1622 LAACOID C LACOID(-1) PCOID;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1622 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOID=JOPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOID=LOG(AAJOID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOID=LOG(AJOID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOID=EXP(LAAJOID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1623 LAAJOID C LAJOID(-1) PJOID;                                         
EQUATION 1097  LAAJOID  
   RHS     C  LAJOID(-1)  PJOID  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1097 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1097
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOID 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.580374641

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.442988483       0.391307039  -6.24315     1.000000
13700 LAJOID  ( -1)       0.440906010       0.081867152   5.38563    -5.574913
13698 PJOID   (  0)      -0.461780637       0.120762594  -3.82387     1.471204

SE of equation            =     0.458787982
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.8898287      -0.115063514E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.354242132
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.6345086    
R squared                 =   0.43327
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19853
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!      *          +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!           *           +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!         *          +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                +                    *!!         .    .    .         0
 1984.4!                     *      +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!           *               +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                       +             *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!                       +             *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *     +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +              * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                          +          *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!            *               +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                +               *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!            *          +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!      *           +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.2!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!           *         +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                *       +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                   *   +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!            *        +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!             *    +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!   *           +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!        +      *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!     +     *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!  *        +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!  *       +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!        +   *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!   *       +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2*      +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !


     31.75 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1624 LAASYID C LASYID(-1) PSYID;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1624 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1625 LAAMAID C LAMAID(-1) PMAID;SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1625 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1626 LAAPAID C LAPAID(-1) PPAID;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1626 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1627 LAAPHID C LAPHID(-1) PPHID;SMPL 1967.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1627 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1628 LAATHID C LATHID(-1) PTHID;SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1628 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1629 LAACHID C LACHID(-1) PCHID;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1629 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARID=ARPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARID=LOG(AAARID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARID=LOG(AARID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARID=EXP(LAAARID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1630 LAAARID C LAARID(-1) PARID;                                         
EQUATION 1098  LAAARID  
   RHS     C  LAARID(-1)  PARID  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1098 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1098
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARID 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.859507872

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.617607571       0.561609598  -4.66090     1.000000
13703 LAARID  ( -1)       0.518753942       0.077793829   6.66832    -5.858004
13701 PARID   (  0)      -0.131603975       0.297810678  -0.44190     1.542793

SE of equation            =     0.942021101
Sum of squared residuals  =  113.587681       0.133582034E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.661192479
Sum of ABS residuals      =  86.6162147    
R squared                 =   0.27947
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                *           +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                 *          +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!      *              +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.1!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2*                +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.3!            +             *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                          +           *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!  *                           +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.1!             +         *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                     *      +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!               *         +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                    *      +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!                       +        *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!             *          +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!           *             +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                *      +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!           *         +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                     *      +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!            *              +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1998.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                  *        +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRID=BRPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRID=LOG(AABRID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRID=LOG(ABRID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRID=EXP(LAABRID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1631 LAABRID C LABRID(-1) PBRID;                                         
EQUATION 1099  LAABRID  
   RHS     C  LABRID(-1)  PBRID  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1099 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1099
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRID 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.843952645

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.092857986       0.449234454  -4.65872     1.000000
13706 LABRID  ( -1)       0.443302084       0.094935878   4.66949    -4.857471
13704 PBRID   (  0)      -0.452700057       0.240189827  -1.88476     1.320450

SE of equation            =     0.532577330
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.9456682       0.207656115E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.418521034
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.0150614    
R squared                 =   0.28598
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95628
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!                +           *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!                *    +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.1!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.4!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.1!            *      +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.2!               +      *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.3!               *    +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.2!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.3!      *        +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.4!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!              *  +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.2!               +       *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.3!                    +                *!!        .     .     .        0
 1994.4!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.1!                  *       +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.2!           *       +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.3!                +     *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                    +    *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.1!            *         +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.2!           *   +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!       *       +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.2*           +                          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1997.3!  *    +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!         +     *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.1!    *           +                     !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1998.2!  *       +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.3!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.1!    *       +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.2!         +           *                !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.4!                +                *    !!        .     .     .        0
 2000.1!           *            +             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2000.2!               +        *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.3!               *     +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.4!          *      +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.1!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2001.2!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.1!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!                     +                *!        .     .     .        0
 2002.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.2!                       +  *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.4!         *            +               !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2004.1!        *       +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.3!                   +        *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.4!                     *  +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.1!                     +   *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!                     +    *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.1!               *    +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.2!         *      +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!          *      +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.3!           *  +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.4!          *   +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!     *        +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.2!      *     +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.3!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.4!        *   +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!                  +             *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2009.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.1!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.2!                   +     *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.3!             *     +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!          *    +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.3!            +            *            !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2011.4!             *     +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.1!             +            *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.3!                +         *           !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2012.4!                    +        *        !!        .     .     . 0      !


     30.61 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1632 LAACEID C LACEID(-1) PCEID;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1632 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEID=MEPX$Q/IDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEID=LOG(AAMEID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEID=LOG(AMEID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEID=EXP(LAAMEID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1633 LAAMEID C LAMEID(-1) PMEID;                                         
EQUATION 1100  LAAMEID  
   RHS     C  LAMEID(-1)  PMEID  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1100 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1100
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEID 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.655123200

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.634698487       0.537937269  -1.17987     1.000000
13709 LAMEID  ( -1)       0.635366643       0.065799310   9.65613    -6.671005
13707 PMEID   (  0)      -1.211020703       0.377081911  -3.21156     1.471396

SE of equation            =     0.966642591
Sum of squared residuals  =  122.406125      -0.306776826E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.675640316
Sum of ABS residuals      =  90.5358023    
R squared                 =   0.55633
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27979
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!      *                     +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.3!          *    +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                       +             *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.2*                               +      !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.3!       +        *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                 +         *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!    *          +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1*           +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.2!   *    +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!          +      *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!        *            +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!      *               +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.3!             +          *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!               *          +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                 *         +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                       *   +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!         *           +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.2!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!    *      +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!    *     +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!    *      +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                    +    *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!         *          +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!               *    +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!       *              +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1996.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!           *    +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                +    *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!        +    *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     *    +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                              +     * !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                             +        *!           .  .  .0          !


     23.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.48 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1634 LAAPEID C LAPEID(-1) PPEID;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1634 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1635 LAATUID C LATUID(-1) PTUID;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1635 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDID=PDPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDID=LOG(AAPDID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDID=LOG(APDID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDID=EXP(LAAPDID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1636 LAAPDID C LAPDID(-1) PPDID;                                         
EQUATION 1101  LAAPDID  
   RHS     C  LAPDID(-1)  PPDID  
 SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   143 to   244
 OLS;EST 1101 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1101
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDID 

 1987.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.432448089

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.535795229       0.594045485  -4.26869     1.000000
13712 LAPDID  ( -1)       0.596505576       0.078449940   7.60365    -6.420333
13710 PPDID   (  0)      -0.045213893       0.223797952  -0.20203     1.479377

SE of equation            =     0.522346152
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.0117048      -0.178541626E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.349670660
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.6664073    
R squared                 =   0.36969
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04492
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.3   2012.4    102

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1993.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                    +             *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.4!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1996.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4*           +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !


     20.59 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1637 LAARUID C LARUID(-1) PRUID;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1637 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1638 LAAUEID C LAUEID(-1) PUEID;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1638 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGID=EGPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGID=LOG(AAEGID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGID=LOG(AEGID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGID=EXP(LAAEGID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1639 LAAEGID C LAEGID(-1) PEGID;                                         
EQUATION 1102  LAAEGID  
   RHS     C  LAEGID(-1)  PEGID  
 SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   143 to   244
 OLS;EST 1102 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1102
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGID 

 1987.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.510484134

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.423828251       0.848774000  -1.67751     1.000000
13715 LAEGID  ( -1)       0.740175521       0.069776981  10.60773    -6.542928
13713 PEGID   (  0)      -0.164759040       0.577448990  -0.28532     1.479377

SE of equation            =     1.286677170
Sum of squared residuals  =  163.898276       0.522959454E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.814784227
Sum of ABS residuals      =  83.1079912    
R squared                 =   0.55949
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43638
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.3   2012.4    102

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.3!     *            +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!           +              *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2*                          +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.3!*     +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!        *            +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!    *        +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!   *        +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!*                         +           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1992.2!       +                 *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!   *                      +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1993.1!         +          *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!          *                 +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!             *            +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!        *                   +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1996.2!  *          +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!        +          *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!          *            +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.2!              +           *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.3!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     *  +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                               +     *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                 +   *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                +   * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                   +  *!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 +   *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                +   * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !


     20.59 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1640 LAAISID C LAISID(-1) PISID;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1640 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1641 LAAKEID C LAKEID(-1) PKEID;SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1641 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAID=BAPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAID=LOG(AABAID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAID=LOG(ABAID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAID=EXP(LAABAID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1642 LAABAID C LABAID(-1) PBAID;                                         
EQUATION 1103  LAABAID  
   RHS     C  LABAID(-1)  PBAID  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
 OLS;EST 1103 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1103
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAID 

 1978.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.296164807

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.681675503       0.536776302  -6.85886     1.000000
13718 LABAID  ( -1)       0.489853665       0.072814604   6.72741    -7.320842
13716 PBAID   (  0)      -0.016686070       0.148066399  -0.11269     1.698892

SE of equation            =     0.636302390
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.4686601       0.208713047E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.467620704
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.4668986    
R squared                 =   0.26032
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06350
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4    140

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2*                   +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!       *         +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.1!        *      +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                   +                  *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.4!                *             +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.1!*                  +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1980.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                          +          *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!              *               +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!     *            +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!                      *    +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!                     *      +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!         *            +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +           *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                        +          *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3! *                       +            !0         .    .    .         !
 1985.4!            +              *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.1!              *          +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2!        *         +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!             *          +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!         *         +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!            *           +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!             *          +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!     *            +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!   *          +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!  *                +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                 *   +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                    *    +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                    *    +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!           *         +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                     *    +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                  *   +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                          +   *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                          +   *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                          +   *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                        +   *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                            +   *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .   0.         !


     23.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKID=HKPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKID=LOG(AAHKID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKID=LOG(AHKID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKID=EXP(LAAHKID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1643 LAAHKID C LAHKID(-1) PHKID;                                         
EQUATION 1104  LAAHKID  
   RHS     C  LAHKID(-1)  PHKID  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1104 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1104
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKID 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.196899802

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.036739910       0.058237885  -0.63086     1.000000
13721 LAHKID  ( -1)       0.975669828       0.014324839  68.11035    -5.223247
13719 PHKID   (  0)      -0.034583544       0.045351621  -0.76256     1.850459

SE of equation            =     0.205753421
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.83187701       0.430278035E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148487415
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.9156341    
R squared                 =   0.98339
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76974
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*+                                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2*+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1*+                                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!        *+                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!        +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!    *  +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!    * +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!   * +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.3!       *     +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.1!            *+                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!            +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   *   +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *+              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                         * +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1644 LAASIID C LASIID(-1) PSIID;SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1644 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIID=VIPX$/IDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIID=LOG(AAVIID+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIID=LOG(AVIID+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIID=EXP(LAAVIID)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1645 LAAVIID C LAVIID(-1) PVIID;                                         
EQUATION 1105  LAAVIID  
   RHS     C  LAVIID(-1)  PVIID  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1105 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1105
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIID 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.297185574

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.372636882       0.587684503  -2.33567     1.000000
13724 LAVIID  ( -1)       0.708962940       0.079565583   8.91042    -7.326516
13722 PVIID   (  0)      -0.491480947       0.388901188  -1.26377     1.485959

SE of equation            =     0.779954581
Sum of squared residuals  =  57.7912691       0.943245482E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.506303411
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.6177343    
R squared                 =   0.56293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15114
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!    *               +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!          +                *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1989.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!             *           +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!*                    +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.4!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.3!               *            +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.3!             *           +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4*               +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !


     18.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1646 LAANIID C LANIID(-1) PNIID;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1646 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1647 LAAALID C LAALID(-1) PALID;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1647 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1648 LAAIAID C LAIAID(-1) PIAID;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1648 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1649 LAAINID C LAINID(-1) PINID;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1649 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1650 LAAIQID C LAIQID(-1) PIQID;SMPL 1997.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1650 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1651 LAAKUID C LAKUID(-1) PKUID;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1651 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1652 LAALIID C LALIID(-1) PLIID;SMPL 1995.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1652 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1653 LAAUAID C LAUAID(-1) PUAID;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1653 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSMA=USPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSMA=LOG(AAUSMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSMA=LOG(AUSMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSMA=EXP(LAAUSMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1654 LAAUSMA C LAUSMA(-1) PUSMA;                                         
EQUATION 1106  LAAUSMA  
   RHS     C  LAUSMA(-1)  PUSMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1106 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1106
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.193632328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.020553182       0.080233339  -0.25617     1.000000
13727 LAUSMA  ( -1)       0.889259961       0.036657751  24.25844    -2.194085
13725 PUSMA   (  0)      -0.211350560       0.112526629  -1.87823     1.050232

SE of equation            =     0.134579157
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.29630199       0.461986005E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.096957821
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.9371968    
R squared                 =   0.88950
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28052
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1968.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!    *        +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!*     +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!  +      *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4*         +                            !0          .   .   .          !
 1970.1! +       *                            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.4!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                   *    +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                   * +!!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !


     23.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAMA=CAPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAMA=LOG(AACAMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAMA=LOG(ACAMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAMA=EXP(LAACAMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1655 LAACAMA C LACAMA(-1) PCAMA;                                         
EQUATION 1107  LAACAMA  
   RHS     C  LACAMA(-1)  PCAMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1107 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1107
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.894031983

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.878676614       0.230654654  -3.80949     1.000000
13730 LACAMA  ( -1)       0.813267471       0.043121573  18.85988    -4.884216
13728 PCAMA   (  0)      -0.045497931       0.117396390  -0.38756     0.949077

SE of equation            =     0.291288380
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.4425035      -0.158983937E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.216010335
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9619119    
R squared                 =   0.66405
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48035
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                      *     +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                       +              *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.1!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!               *           +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!                          +          *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.4!                 *               +    !0         .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1970.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!            +             *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!             +         *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.1!                      *           +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!      *          +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.4!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2*         +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.3!  +               *                   !!         .    .    .        0!
 2002.4!        *        +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!  *         +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.4!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.57 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAMA=JAPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAMA=LOG(AAJAMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAMA=LOG(AJAMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAMA=EXP(LAAJAMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1656 LAAJAMA C LAJAMA(-1) PJAMA;                                         
EQUATION 1108  LAAJAMA  
   RHS     C  LAJAMA(-1)  PJAMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1108 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1108
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.910482079

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.108586936       0.051035225  -2.12769     1.000000
13733 LAJAMA  ( -1)       0.924143540       0.031890604  28.97855    -1.910682
13731 PJAMA   (  0)      -0.029777437       0.041253911  -0.72181     1.214044

SE of equation            =     0.114572149
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.38907348       0.249400500E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.086132079
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.9344346    
R squared                 =   0.88221
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55948
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.3!+      *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1! *   +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.2!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!   *       +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1970.1!    +       *                         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!          *      +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                *       +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!              *    +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!          *     +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !


     24.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.95 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1657 LAAAUMA C LAAUMA(-1) PAUMA;SMPL 1972.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1657 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1658 LAAFRMA C LAFRMA(-1) PFRMA;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1658 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEMA=GEPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEMA=LOG(AAGEMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEMA=LOG(AGEMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEMA=EXP(LAAGEMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1659 LAAGEMA C LAGEMA(-1) PGEMA;                                         
EQUATION 1109  LAAGEMA  
   RHS     C  LAGEMA(-1)  PGEMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1109 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1109
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.075284566

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.419066888       0.125019878  -3.35200     1.000000
13736 LAGEMA  ( -1)       0.802377290       0.040123300  19.99779    -3.068650
13734 PGEMA   (  0)      -0.212667292       0.085303925  -2.49305     0.912237

SE of equation            =     0.140828242
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.60953208      -0.101501030E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.101214984
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.7247720    
R squared                 =   0.72421
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34728
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!             *               +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!   *        +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!     +            *                   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.1!                 *             +      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !


     25.41 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITMA=ITPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITMA=LOG(AAITMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITMA=LOG(AITMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITMA=EXP(LAAITMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1660 LAAITMA C LAITMA(-1) PITMA;                                         
EQUATION 1110  LAAITMA  
   RHS     C  LAITMA(-1)  PITMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1110 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1110
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.298776871

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.282383475       0.199289035  -6.43479     1.000000
13739 LAITMA  ( -1)       0.560478696       0.058099724   9.64684    -4.291733
13737 PITMA   (  0)      -0.758468130       0.137915377  -5.49952     0.805529

SE of equation            =     0.273501676
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6141764       0.448316939E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190877916
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3124144    
R squared                 =   0.63738
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23453
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                 +     *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1967.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1967.2!               +      *               !!            . . . 0          !
 1967.3!                +   *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1967.4!               +      *               !!            . . .  0         !
 1968.1!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1968.2!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!               + *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1969.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3!            *  +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1969.4!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1970.1!            +   *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1970.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                +   *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1970.4!              *  +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1971.1!              +    *                  !!            . . . 0          !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!           *   +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1972.1!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1972.2!                +                     !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1976.3!        *     +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.4!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1979.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1979.3!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1980.2!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!           *     +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!           *       +                  !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!             *    +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1985.1!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!               * +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1986.1!                +                     *!            . . .            0
 1986.2!                      *     +         !!         0  . . .            !
 1986.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!       *        +                     !!        0   . . .            !
 1987.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!   *        +                         !!        0   . . .            !
 1988.2!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!        *    +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1988.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!    *        +                        !!        0   . . .            !
 1989.2!         +   *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!              * +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1990.1!         *    +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1990.2!            +    *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1990.3!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!             *  +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1991.1!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!             *+                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1993.1!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                 +    *               !!            . . .0           !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1994.3!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                +      *              !!            . . .  0         !
 1997.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1998.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1998.3!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1999.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!             + *                      !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 2004.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!    *    +                            !!           0. . .            !
 2006.3!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 2007.1!     +                                !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!     + *                              !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!*    +                                !!           0. . .            !
 2008.1! + *                                  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!    + *                               !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4*    +                                 !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1! *+                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!  *   +                               !!           0. . .            !
 2012.1!  *  +                                !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!            . . 0            !
 2012.4!    *    +                            !!          0 . . .            !


     24.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.24 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1661 LAANEMA C LANEMA(-1) PNEMA;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1661 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTMA=STPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTMA=LOG(AASTMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTMA=LOG(ASTMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTMA=EXP(LAASTMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1662 LAASTMA C LASTMA(-1) PSTMA;                                         
EQUATION 1111  LAASTMA  
   RHS     C  LASTMA(-1)  PSTMA  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1111 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1111
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTMA 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.104309774

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.728930178       0.260907451  -6.62660     1.000000
13742 LASTMA  ( -1)       0.567670311       0.061341700   9.25423    -5.102563
13740 PSTMA   (  0)      -0.569816434       0.112134101  -5.08156     0.840282

SE of equation            =     0.231166807
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.03103768      -0.286703994E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.175129382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.1222536    
R squared                 =   0.64705
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21034
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!             *            +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1971.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!           *                +         !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                *         +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.3!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3! *                +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1976.4!          +      *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!       *             +                !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!         *           +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!            *           +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!                              +      *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                           *    +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                   *           +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.3!                          *   +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                          +         * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.3!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                         +            *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!                   *      +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.1!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!           +       *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1*          +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.2!*   +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!    *+                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!     + *                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKMA=UKPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKMA=LOG(AAUKMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKMA=LOG(AUKMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKMA=EXP(LAAUKMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1663 LAAUKMA C LAUKMA(-1) PUKMA;                                         
EQUATION 1112  LAAUKMA  
   RHS     C  LAUKMA(-1)  PUKMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1112 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1112
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.212069511

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.042219004       0.094034732   0.44897     1.000000
13745 LAUKMA  ( -1)       0.967318401       0.016424855  58.89357    -3.194425
13743 PUKMA   (  0)      -0.183885203       0.124783497  -1.47363     0.893287

SE of equation            =     0.156033588
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.43105949      -0.333955086E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.120435396
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.2805482    
R squared                 =   0.96578
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74850
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                                     +*!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!                                *  +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                             *  +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1970.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!                                * +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                             *    +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.1!                              *   +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.4!                             *    +   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                             +        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                             +*       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                              + *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                             *  +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                            +*        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                         + *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                          +*          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                        * +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                    + *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                *   +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                *  +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!                + *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                + *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                   + *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!                 *   +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                 *  +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!              *  +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!             + *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!              +                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!           *  +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!          +*                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2000.1!          *     +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 2000.2!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!         +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2001.2!             +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!         * +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.1!         + *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!          *+                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!       * +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2003.3!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!        *    +                        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2004.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.2!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!   +                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!     *+                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1! * +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!* +                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2*  +                                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.3!+                                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!+                                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4*+                                     !!         .0   .    .         !


     28.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIMA=FIPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIMA=LOG(AAFIMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIMA=LOG(AFIMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIMA=EXP(LAAFIMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1664 LAAFIMA C LAFIMA(-1) PFIMA;                                         
EQUATION 1113  LAAFIMA  
   RHS     C  LAFIMA(-1)  PFIMA  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
 OLS;EST 1113 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1113
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIMA 

 1978.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.204704839

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.042722723       0.490579971  -4.16389     1.000000
13748 LAFIMA  ( -1)       0.635930129       0.064820096   9.81069    -6.209458
13746 PFIMA   (  0)      -0.248407304       0.314719980  -0.78930     0.858270

SE of equation            =     0.321487097
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.1594916      -0.355058205E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.254839382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.6775135    
R squared                 =   0.41345
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37641
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4    140

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.1!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3*                +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!          *               +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!  *            +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.3!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!      *            +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.1!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                *         +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.1!                     *      +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                +            *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1996.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.3!                            +         *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!                        *      +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!          *           +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !


     29.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASMA=ASPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASMA=LOG(AAASMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASMA=LOG(AASMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASMA=EXP(LAAASMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1665 LAAASMA C LAASMA(-1) PASMA;                                         
EQUATION 1114  LAAASMA  
   RHS     C  LAASMA(-1)  PASMA  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1114 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1114
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASMA 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.349580912

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.415146312       0.131309370  -3.16159     1.000000
13751 LAASMA  ( -1)       0.851359809       0.040922856  20.80402    -3.340390
13749 PASMA   (  0)      -0.092456921       0.076197292  -1.21339     0.979492

SE of equation            =     0.265280351
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.9635230      -0.297095681E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.169222382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2754722    
R squared                 =   0.75421
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40636
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!                 +                    *!            . . .            0
 1970.1!                *                 +   !! 0          . . .            !
 1970.2!               +                      !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!              +    *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1970.4!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1973.2!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!             +   *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!            +   *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!               +       *              !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.1!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1975.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!               * +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1976.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1977.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1978.1!            +  *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1978.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1978.4!                +   *                 !!            . . .0           !
 1979.1!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1980.2!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!              + *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1980.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1982.1!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!             +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1982.4!         *    +                       !!           0. . .            !
 1983.1!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!          +    *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!          *    +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1984.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!           +   *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1984.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!        +    *                        !!            . . . 0          !
 1991.4!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!         +  *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!           *+                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!       * +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1995.3!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!      *   +                           !!           0. . .            !
 1998.2!       +*                             !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1999.2!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!        +                             !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 2002.2!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 2003.2!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!  *   +                               !!           0. . .            !
 2004.2!    + *                               !!            . . 0            !
 2004.3!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2005.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 2005.3!  * +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 2005.4!  *+                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2006.2! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!  *+                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!  +*                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.1!*+                                    !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2! + *                                  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!*+                                    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!+*                                    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1* +                                    !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!+                                     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2! + *                                  !!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !


     18.50 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1666 LAASOMA C LASOMA(-1) PSOMA;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1666 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOMA=KOPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOMA=LOG(AAKOMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOMA=LOG(AKOMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOMA=EXP(LAAKOMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1667 LAAKOMA C LAKOMA(-1) PKOMA;                                         
EQUATION 1115  LAAKOMA  
   RHS     C  LAKOMA(-1)  PKOMA  
 SMPL 1969.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    71 to   244
 OLS;EST 1115 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1115
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOMA 

 1969.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  174 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.172187311

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.006390252       0.085646333  -0.07461     1.000000
13754 LAKOMA  ( -1)       0.854214135       0.038404482  22.24256    -4.201235
13752 PKOMA   (  0)      -0.425967439       0.140349429  -3.03505     1.354664

SE of equation            =     0.303233971
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.7235938      -0.684119428E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.208236661
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.2331790    
R squared                 =   0.95178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60054
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.3   2012.4    174

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.3!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4*   +                                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!* +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1! +         *                          !!           .  .  .           0
 1972.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!          * +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1974.2!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                *+                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!               *  +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.2!              * +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!                + *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!              *   +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!              * +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!                       *   +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1982.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!                      *     +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1986.1!                         *        +   !!0          .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.1!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                  + * !!           .  .  .0          !


     20.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEMA=BEPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEMA=LOG(AABEMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEMA=LOG(ABEMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEMA=EXP(LAABEMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1668 LAABEMA C LABEMA(-1) PBEMA;                                         
EQUATION 1116  LAABEMA  
   RHS     C  LABEMA(-1)  PBEMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1116 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1116
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.028521127

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.499181782       0.152134485  -3.28119     1.000000
13757 LABEMA  ( -1)       0.828390449       0.038596581  21.46279    -5.018560
13755 PBEMA   (  0)      -0.422670417       0.122625263  -3.44685     0.880146

SE of equation            =     0.204758162
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.63051470      -0.961630775E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.162791111
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.1163556    
R squared                 =   0.83681
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37330
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!                  *      +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1969.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                 *         +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                     *      +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.4!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.1!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.1!                                  *  +!!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                           *    +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                     *    +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                      *   +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.3!                    *        +        !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!             *    +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!           *    +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                *    +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.4!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!             *    +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.1!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!    +   *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!+   *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     32.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEMA=DEPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEMA=LOG(AADEMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEMA=LOG(ADEMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEMA=EXP(LAADEMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1669 LAADEMA C LADEMA(-1) PDEMA;                                         
EQUATION 1117  LAADEMA  
   RHS     C  LADEMA(-1)  PDEMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1117 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1117
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.054613539

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.940599314       0.268408511  -3.50436     1.000000
13760 LADEMA  ( -1)       0.822469246       0.043618350  18.85604    -6.047353
13758 PDEMA   (  0)      -0.153939659       0.173283767  -0.88837     0.911085

SE of equation            =     0.302440422
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6475780       0.571986902E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.214642777
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.7089138    
R squared                 =   0.68491
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76045
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                         *     +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!       *           +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!         +                      *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1976.3!           *                  +       !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1976.4!           +     *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!            +            *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1977.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!              +        *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                 *       +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3!                 +           *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!              +          *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!             *          +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!          *        +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.4!                       *       +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                 +                    *!           .  .  .         0 !
 1991.1!                    *             +   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2*    +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!  +   *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !


     20.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1670 LAANOMA C LANOMA(-1) PNOMA;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1670 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWMA=SWPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWMA=LOG(AASWMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWMA=LOG(ASWMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWMA=EXP(LAASWMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1671 LAASWMA C LASWMA(-1) PSWMA;                                         
EQUATION 1118  LAASWMA  
   RHS     C  LASWMA(-1)  PSWMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1118 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1118
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.882182108

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.597815207       0.227212279  -2.63109     1.000000
13763 LASWMA  ( -1)       0.838413135       0.042458687  19.74656    -4.876092
13761 PSWMA   (  0)      -0.192569619       0.167685420  -1.14840     1.018784

SE of equation            =     0.310672718
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.5661919      -0.390532051E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.232862388
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.0795418    
R squared                 =   0.70906
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56176
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.1!           *         +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1967.2!           +        *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!         *        +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!        +             *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.1!          +           *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                        +             *!         .    .    .         0
 1979.4!                        *          +  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.1!                      *         +     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.3!                    *        +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!              *        +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!*  +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1672 LAAGRMA C LAGRMA(-1) PGRMA;SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1672 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1673 LAAIRMA C LAIRMA(-1) PIRMA;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1673 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOMA=POPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOMA=LOG(AAPOMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOMA=LOG(APOMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOMA=EXP(LAAPOMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1674 LAAPOMA C LAPOMA(-1) PPOMA;                                         
EQUATION 1119  LAAPOMA  
   RHS     C  LAPOMA(-1)  PPOMA  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST 1119 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1119
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOMA 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.933747551

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.800848886       0.792425367  -1.01063     1.000000
13766 LAPOMA  ( -1)       0.848673082       0.047309595  17.93871    -7.926272
13764 PPOMA   (  0)      -0.401510322       0.708427555  -0.56676     1.011394

SE of equation            =     0.560285279
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.8677884      -0.383835186E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.397696327
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.7005225    
R squared                 =   0.71847
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12891
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!     *                    +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!  +    *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.3!*                  +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.4!  +      *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!*   +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!  +    *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!    *            +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1999.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!       +       *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.2!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                     *        +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2009.3!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1! + *                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1! * +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!  +        *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !


     20.77 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.15 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1675 LAASPMA C LASPMA(-1) PSPMA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1675 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZMA=NZPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZMA=LOG(AANZMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZMA=LOG(ANZMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZMA=EXP(LAANZMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1676 LAANZMA C LANZMA(-1) PNZMA;                                         
EQUATION 1120  LAANZMA  
   RHS     C  LANZMA(-1)  PNZMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1120 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1120
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.036027716

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.191815379       0.254839719  -4.67673     1.000000
13769 LANZMA  ( -1)       0.697248635       0.052553038  13.26752    -5.029069
13767 PNZMA   (  0)      -0.367714644       0.149208267  -2.46444     0.918378

SE of equation            =     0.313271127
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.8612614      -0.197974970E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.230291443
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.6039169    
R squared                 =   0.55785
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60285
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!      *             +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1967.1!       +                *             !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1967.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!   *                +                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1968.2!      +                         *     !!           .  .  .           0
 1968.3!                     *     +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!          *       +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!            +         *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!                          +          *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.3!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!                +            *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!                   *      +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                   +           *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                 *         +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!              *        +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                    +               * !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1991.2!                       *       +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                      +               *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1992.2!                 *              +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!       *  +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3*       +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!  +    *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!  *        +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2008.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !


     21.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1677 LAASAMA C LASAMA(-1) PSAMA;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1677 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1678 LAAVEMA C LAVEMA(-1) PVEMA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1678 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1679 LAACOMA C LACOMA(-1) PCOMA;SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1679 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOMA=JOPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOMA=LOG(AAJOMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOMA=LOG(AJOMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOMA=EXP(LAAJOMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1680 LAAJOMA C LAJOMA(-1) PJOMA;                                         
EQUATION 1121  LAAJOMA  
   RHS     C  LAJOMA(-1)  PJOMA  
 SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   140 to   244
 OLS;EST 1121 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1121
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOMA 

 1986.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  105 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.916580125

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -5.278608200       0.667298346  -7.91042     1.000000
13772 LAJOMA  ( -1)       0.206486473       0.093033284   2.21949    -7.913522
13770 PJOMA   (  0)      -0.961766335       0.209109736  -4.59934     1.043847

SE of equation            =     0.663672768
Sum of squared residuals  =  44.9270774      -0.817390600E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.451758832
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.4346773    
R squared                 =   0.30693
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98140
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.4   2012.4    105

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.4!                           +        * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                 *            +       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                              +       *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                  *          +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        *  +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                  *       +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2! *                        +           !0           .  .  .           !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2008.4*                 +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2009.1!*          +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !


     20.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.71 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1681 LAASYMA C LASYMA(-1) PSYMA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1681 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDMA=IDPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDMA=LOG(AAIDMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDMA=LOG(AIDMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDMA=EXP(LAAIDMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1682 LAAIDMA C LAIDMA(-1) PIDMA;                                         
EQUATION 1122  LAAIDMA  
   RHS     C  LAIDMA(-1)  PIDMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1122 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1122
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.770364623

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.646435296       0.223462548  -2.89281     1.000000
13775 LAIDMA  ( -1)       0.862545626       0.039900823  21.61724    -4.769760
13773 PIDMA   (  0)      -0.008922211       0.061642283  -0.14474     1.097637

SE of equation            =     0.201958167
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.42325239       0.335953487E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.144906959
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8077874    
R squared                 =   0.74385
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59399
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!             *       +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!   *      +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.1!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3*         +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!     *     +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 2009.2!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2010.3!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !


     23.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAMA=PAPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAMA=LOG(AAPAMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAMA=LOG(APAMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAMA=EXP(LAAPAMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1683 LAAPAMA C LAPAMA(-1) PPAMA;                                         
EQUATION 1123  LAAPAMA  
   RHS     C  LAPAMA(-1)  PPAMA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1123 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1123
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAMA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.295315130

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.880619655       0.440333835  -4.27090     1.000000
13778 LAPAMA  ( -1)       0.639783113       0.058993282  10.84502    -7.287433
13776 PPAMA   (  0)      -0.651177357       0.278272849  -2.34007     1.155321

SE of equation            =     0.533703391
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.2894503      -0.278310708E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.389291530
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.0652278    
R squared                 =   0.50164
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41530
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                         +          * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!                         +           *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.4!                       *        +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3*           +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.4!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!         *               +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                *       +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                  *        +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1988.1!                     *       +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHMA=PHPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHMA=LOG(AAPHMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHMA=LOG(APHMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHMA=EXP(LAAPHMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1684 LAAPHMA C LAPHMA(-1) PPHMA;                                         
EQUATION 1124  LAAPHMA  
   RHS     C  LAPHMA(-1)  PPHMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1124 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1124
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.149188251

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.049530133       0.144424910  -0.34295     1.000000
13781 LAPHMA  ( -1)       0.923299433       0.024839026  37.17132    -5.148228
13779 PPHMA   (  0)      -0.329897014       0.123244514  -2.67677     1.049728

SE of equation            =     0.408964444
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.4398487       0.733768601E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.294716798
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.5226075    
R squared                 =   0.90543
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30951
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!  *                   +               !0            . . .            !
 1967.2!  +*                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!  +*                                  !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!  +*                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.1!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4*   +                                  !!           0. . .            !
 1970.1!+*                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!  *+                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!   +       *                          !!            . . .  0         !
 1971.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!          *+                          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1972.2!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!         * +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1972.4!        * +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1973.1!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!                 +       *            !!            . . .   0        !
 1973.4!                 *        +           !!        0   . . .            !
 1974.1!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1974.2!           *    +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!            +   *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1974.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1975.3!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1976.1!              *    +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.2!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!            *  +                      !!           0. . .            !
 1976.4!             +    *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1977.1!                  +    *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1977.2!                        +    *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1977.3!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1978.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                       *     +        !!         0  . . .            !
 1978.4!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1979.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1979.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                             +  *     !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1981.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                            +    *    !!            . . . 0          !
 1982.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1983.2!                               +   *  !!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!                              *    +  !!           0. . .            !
 1983.4!                              +     * !!            . . . 0          !
 1984.1!                                 *  + !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                                 *  + !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 1986.3!                          *   +       !!           0. . .            !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!            . . .0           !
 1987.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1989.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!                    *    +            !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.4!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!           0. . .            !
 1992.4!                     +    *           !!            . . .0           !
 1993.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!                     +  *             !!            . . .0           !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1996.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                        +     *       !!            . . . 0          !
 1998.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1999.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2000.3!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 2000.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                              +   *   !!            . . .0           !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                                +   * !!            . . .0           !
 2003.1!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                                     +*!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 2004.4!                                +  *  !!            . . .0           !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                                 +  * !!            . . .0           !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                                +  *  !!            . . .0           !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                               +      !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 2012.4!                 +     *              !!            . . .  0         !


     24.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.24 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1685 LAATHMA C LATHMA(-1) PTHMA;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1685 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1686 LAACHMA C LACHMA(-1) PCHMA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1686 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1687 LAAARMA C LAARMA(-1) PARMA;SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1687 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRMA=BRPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRMA=LOG(AABRMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRMA=LOG(ABRMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRMA=EXP(LAABRMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1688 LAABRMA C LABRMA(-1) PBRMA;                                         
EQUATION 1125  LAABRMA  
   RHS     C  LABRMA(-1)  PBRMA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1125 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1125
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRMA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.313471392

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.604474964       0.367469531  -4.36628     1.000000
13784 LABRMA  ( -1)       0.681161154       0.064443862  10.56984    -5.329715
13782 PBRMA   (  0)      -0.088407068       0.180163088  -0.49071     0.889089

SE of equation            =     0.419920843
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.6890223      -0.372146758E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.308066113
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.8163303    
R squared                 =   0.48067
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33227
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!  *              +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!    *             +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!              *            +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.1!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                               +      *!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                   *        +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1*           +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2001.2!      +   *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!    *            +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.3!          +                       *   !!          .   .   .          0
 2002.4!               *              +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !


     25.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1689 LAACEMA C LACEMA(-1) PCEMA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1689 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1690 LAAMEMA C LAMEMA(-1) PMEMA;SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1690 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEMA=PEPX$Q/MAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEMA=LOG(AAPEMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEMA=LOG(APEMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEMA=EXP(LAAPEMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1691 LAAPEMA C LAPEMA(-1) PPEMA;                                         
EQUATION 1126  LAAPEMA  
   RHS     C  LAPEMA(-1)  PPEMA  
 SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   152 to   244
 OLS;EST 1126 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1126
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEMA 

 1989.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   93 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.238573295

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.242342161       0.419116853  -2.96419     1.000000
13787 LAPEMA  ( -1)       0.797573722       0.066146166  12.05775    -8.240205
13785 PPEMA   (  0)      -0.486457449       0.213751369  -2.27581     0.871731

SE of equation            =     0.565661940
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.7976087      -0.210320650E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.438650092
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.7944585    
R squared                 =   0.84901
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41114
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.4   2012.4     93

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.1!                *    +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1990.2!           *      +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1990.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!         *      +                     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.1!         +        *                   !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1991.2!                    +        *        !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1991.3!                            +   *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.4!                               +     *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.1!                                  *+  !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.2!                               * +    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.2!                              *  +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.3!                              +     * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.1!                                 +    *!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.2!                                    +*!!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.3!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.4!                                 +   *!!        .     .     0        !
 1995.1!                                   +  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.2!                                 + *  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.4!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.1!                                 +  * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.3!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.4!                                 +   *!!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.1!                                  +*  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.3!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.1!                            *   +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.2!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.2!                      +     *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.1!                         *  +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.1!                      *   +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.4!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.1!                      *   +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.2!              *        +              !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2002.3!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.4!                *       +             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2003.1!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!           *     +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2004.3!             +          *             !!        .     .     .        0
 2004.4!            *           +             !0        .     .     .        !
 2005.1!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2005.3!          *         +                 !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2005.4!      *     +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.3!      + *                             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.1!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.2*     +                                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2007.3!+  *                                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!  * +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!   +    *                             !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.2!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.3!       +  *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!           +  *                       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!       *       +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2009.3!        +   *                         !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.4!      *     +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.1!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.3!  *  +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.4!  +         *                         !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2011.1!    *     +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!  +*                                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.4!    +                                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.1!    +      *                          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2012.2!          +   *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.4!       +   *                          !!        .     .     0        !


     29.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1692 LAATUMA C LATUMA(-1) PTUMA;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1692 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1693 LAAPDMA C LAPDMA(-1) PPDMA;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1693 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1694 LAARUMA C LARUMA(-1) PRUMA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1694 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1695 LAAUEMA C LAUEMA(-1) PUEMA;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1695 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1696 LAAEGMA C LAEGMA(-1) PEGMA;SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1696 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1697 LAAISMA C LAISMA(-1) PISMA;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1697 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKEMA=KEPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKEMA=LOG(AAKEMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKEMA=LOG(AKEMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKEMA=EXP(LAAKEMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1698 LAAKEMA C LAKEMA(-1) PKEMA;                                         
EQUATION 1127  LAAKEMA  
   RHS     C  LAKEMA(-1)  PKEMA  
 SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1987.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   143 to   244
 OLS;EST 1127 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1127
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKEMA 

 1987.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  102 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.524768388

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.777416086       0.858712321  -3.23440     1.000000
13790 LAKEMA  ( -1)       0.607144911       0.080323814   7.55872    -9.506959
13788 PKEMA   (  0)      -0.964729802       0.675789873  -1.42756     1.010905

SE of equation            =     0.468367997
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.7174895       0.989066606E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.360312918
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.7519176    
R squared                 =   0.42189
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06039
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1987.3   2012.4    102

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                    +                 *!         .    .    .        0!
 1988.1!                     *       +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!      *            +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!        *        +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!  *            +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.2! *      +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.1!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2! *        +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!*        +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!        *       +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!       +        *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.3!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!            +         *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!          +      *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!              +                  *    !!         .    .    .         0
 2009.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !


     30.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1699 LAABAMA C LABAMA(-1) PBAMA;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1699 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKMA=HKPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKMA=LOG(AAHKMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKMA=LOG(AHKMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKMA=EXP(LAAHKMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1700 LAAHKMA C LAHKMA(-1) PHKMA;                                         
EQUATION 1128  LAAHKMA  
   RHS     C  LAHKMA(-1)  PHKMA  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1128 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1128
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKMA 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.980703743

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.896408080       0.154552021  -5.80004     1.000000
13793 LAHKMA  ( -1)       0.737664482       0.043425252  16.98699    -3.978482
13791 PHKMA   (  0)      -0.107785502       0.021198561  -5.08457     1.387118

SE of equation            =     0.108077782
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.12590688       0.646624976E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.075873981
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.0366865    
R squared                 =   0.81446
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04265
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!    *            +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1970.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                            *    +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                         *    +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !


     23.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIMA=SIPX$/MAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIMA=LOG(AASIMA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIMA=LOG(ASIMA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIMA=EXP(LAASIMA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1701 LAASIMA C LASIMA(-1) PSIMA;                                         
EQUATION 1129  LAASIMA  
   RHS     C  LASIMA(-1)  PSIMA  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1129 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1129
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIMA 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.458913632

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.195456121       0.045765801  -4.27079     1.000000
13796 LASIMA  ( -1)       0.707971897       0.061090615  11.58888    -1.460532
13794 PSIMA   (  0)      -0.170444379       0.043987039  -3.87488     1.346139

SE of equation            =     0.075054716
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.985811813       0.849920134E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.052863119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  9.40963515    
R squared                 =   0.86305
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17158
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                +         *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.1!    +        *                        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1970.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!              +        *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                     *      +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1994.2!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                             *    +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !


     23.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.37 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1702 LAAVIMA C LAVIMA(-1) PVIMA;SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1702 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1703 LAANIMA C LANIMA(-1) PNIMA;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1703 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1704 LAAALMA C LAALMA(-1) PALMA;SMPL 1999.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1704 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1705 LAAIAMA C LAIAMA(-1) PIAMA;SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1705 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1706 LAAINMA C LAINMA(-1) PINMA;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1706 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1707 LAAIQMA C LAIQMA(-1) PIQMA;SMPL 2006.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1707 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1708 LAAKUMA C LAKUMA(-1) PKUMA;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1708 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1709 LAALIMA C LALIMA(-1) PLIMA;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1709 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1710 LAAUAMA C LAUAMA(-1) PUAMA;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1710 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSPA=USPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSPA=LOG(AAUSPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSPA=LOG(AUSPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSPA=EXP(LAAUSPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1711 LAAUSPA C LAUSPA(-1) PUSPA;                                         
EQUATION 1130  LAAUSPA  
   RHS     C  LAUSPA(-1)  PUSPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1130 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1130
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.316801091

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.144168237       0.116501977  -1.23747     1.000000
13799 LAUSPA  ( -1)       0.882076806       0.035474775  24.86490    -2.305769
13797 PUSPA   (  0)      -0.089722394       0.083403097  -1.07577     1.546633

SE of equation            =     0.255161369
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.0448550       0.421129798E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.198117060
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.2460073    
R squared                 =   0.81896
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61381
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!                             *   +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                               +      *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.2!                                *   + !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1970.2!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                        *        +    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.1!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1972.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!                  *       +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!        *      +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1*          +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1999.2!+       *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.3!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!             +            *           !!         .    .    .         0
 2004.2!               *         +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2004.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!        *      +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!           *       +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.3!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!       *       +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2009.3!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!       *     +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAPA=CAPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAPA=LOG(AACAPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAPA=LOG(ACAPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAPA=EXP(LAACAPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1712 LAACAPA C LACAPA(-1) PCAPA;                                         
EQUATION 1131  LAACAPA  
   RHS     C  LACAPA(-1)  PCAPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1131 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1131
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.399303860

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.195201094       0.361328829  -3.30779     1.000000
13802 LACAPA  ( -1)       0.668487787       0.056301311  11.87340    -4.392825
13800 PCAPA   (  0)      -0.193955697       0.232556991  -0.83401     1.379453

SE of equation            =     0.579732451
Sum of squared residuals  =  62.1765971      -0.516831022E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.464901448
Sum of ABS residuals      =  87.4014723    
R squared                 =   0.45378
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44405
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.3!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1966.4!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.3!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.2!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1972.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.4!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                         +            *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!             *         +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.1!              +               *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1975.2!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1975.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.3!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1977.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!               *       +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                +          *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!         *        +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!      *          +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!        *         +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!     *        +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1994.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!        *         +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!    *      +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4*           +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2002.1!    +    *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.2!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!               +        *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!        *          +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2004.2!           +         *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.4!           *         +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!    *         +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1713 LAAJAPA C LAJAPA(-1) PJAPA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1713 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUPA=AUPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUPA=LOG(AAAUPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUPA=LOG(AAUPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUPA=EXP(LAAAUPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1714 LAAAUPA C LAAUPA(-1) PAUPA;                                         
EQUATION 1132  LAAAUPA  
   RHS     C  LAAUPA(-1)  PAUPA  
 SMPL 1971.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    80 to   244
 OLS;EST 1132 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1132
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUPA 

 1971.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  165 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.683928701

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.434445492       0.378485718  -6.43207     1.000000
13805 LAAUPA  ( -1)       0.550226800       0.067123921   8.19718    -5.678572
13803 PAUPA   (  0)      -0.090108962       0.130452823  -0.69074     1.386994

SE of equation            =     0.354950654
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.4103746       0.370707909E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.276667131
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.6500766    
R squared                 =   0.31820
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22232
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.4   2012.4    165

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.4!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                        +            *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.4!                 *       +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.4!           *             +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.1!               +             *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!         *         +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                +     *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!     *           +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.2!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.3!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.4!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                     +        *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!*             +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.3!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!             *         +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!   *          +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.3!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!             +          *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                +          *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.2!                         +          * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.3!          *                 +         !0         .    .    .         !
 2009.4!              +             *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2010.1!            *          +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1715 LAAFRPA C LAFRPA(-1) PFRPA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1715 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEPA=GEPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEPA=LOG(AAGEPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEPA=LOG(AGEPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEPA=EXP(LAAGEPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1716 LAAGEPA C LAGEPA(-1) PGEPA;                                         
EQUATION 1133  LAAGEPA  
   RHS     C  LAGEPA(-1)  PGEPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1133 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1133
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.791118554

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.182900734       0.083978736  -2.17794     1.000000
13808 LAGEPA  ( -1)       0.849751044       0.041506086  20.47293    -2.782811
13806 PGEPA   (  0)      -0.181390593       0.076003393  -2.38661     1.342523

SE of equation            =     0.183144349
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.20524274      -0.266897615E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.143701501
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0158821    
R squared                 =   0.84590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46813
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                          *      +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                   *      +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!         *        +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4! *        +                           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4*    +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!*    +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!    *     +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITPA=ITPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITPA=LOG(AAITPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITPA=LOG(AITPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITPA=EXP(LAAITPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1717 LAAITPA C LAITPA(-1) PITPA;                                         
EQUATION 1134  LAAITPA  
   RHS     C  LAITPA(-1)  PITPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1134 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1134
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.329722007

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.940687503       0.149045215  -6.31142     1.000000
13811 LAITPA  ( -1)       0.529636139       0.066890644   7.91794    -3.326596
13809 PITPA   (  0)      -0.530854900       0.102885354  -5.15967     1.181395

SE of equation            =     0.250983266
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.6536310      -0.113820064E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.189452852
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.6171361    
R squared                 =   0.68268
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21228
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                     +                *!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                           +         *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                   *           +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!          *           +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!       *         +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!             *         +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                      +               *!          .   .   .         0!
 1981.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!+          *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2009.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4*          +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.1!  +      *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3*          +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1718 LAANEPA C LANEPA(-1) PNEPA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1718 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTPA=STPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTPA=LOG(AASTPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTPA=LOG(ASTPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTPA=EXP(LAASTPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1719 LAASTPA C LASTPA(-1) PSTPA;                                         
EQUATION 1135  LAASTPA  
   RHS     C  LASTPA(-1)  PSTPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1135 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1135
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.205739420

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.412161549       0.209673255  -6.73506     1.000000
13814 LASTPA  ( -1)       0.548011099       0.061880376   8.85598    -4.197427
13812 PSTPA   (  0)      -0.403136699       0.087269866  -4.61943     1.223756

SE of equation            =     0.329794590
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.1214272      -0.121591626E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.257336535
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.3792686    
R squared                 =   0.58184
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09029
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!                +          *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1966.4!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!                +         *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.3!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 1972.1!                    *         +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4! *           +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!     *        +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!    *         +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2000.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.2!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKPA=UKPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKPA=LOG(AAUKPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKPA=LOG(AUKPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKPA=EXP(LAAUKPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1720 LAAUKPA C LAUKPA(-1) PUKPA;                                         
EQUATION 1136  LAAUKPA  
   RHS     C  LAUKPA(-1)  PUKPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1136 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1136
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.903189563

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.083991256       0.071387428  -1.17656     1.000000
13817 LAUKPA  ( -1)       0.916920705       0.031005271  29.57306    -2.890815
13815 PUKPA   (  0)      -0.127344819       0.074641687  -1.70608     1.323574

SE of equation            =     0.192501993
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.85554822       0.365441011E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148732981
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.9618004    
R squared                 =   0.91625
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67012
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                                     +*!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                           *       +  !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                          *      +    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                        *    +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                    *   +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.2!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                      *      +        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                        * +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.4!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                     +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                    + *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!               *    +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                * +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!             *  +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!            *   +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!        *   +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!         +*                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!        *+                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!       * +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!       *    +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.2!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!          *   +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!         *    +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.4!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!    *    +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.4!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!   *    +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4*       +                              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2011.1! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1721 LAAFIPA C LAFIPA(-1) PFIPA;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1721 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASPA=ASPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASPA=LOG(AAASPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASPA=LOG(AASPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASPA=EXP(LAAASPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1722 LAAASPA C LAASPA(-1) PASPA;                                         
EQUATION 1137  LAAASPA  
   RHS     C  LAASPA(-1)  PASPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1137 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1137
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.288492241

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.981988912       0.285179497  -6.94997     1.000000
13820 LAASPA  ( -1)       0.432261908       0.067248584   6.42782    -4.294600
13818 PASPA   (  0)      -0.311270767       0.137414800  -2.26519     1.446044

SE of equation            =     0.547327201
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.4199069       0.387245791E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.410798475
Sum of ABS residuals      =  77.2301133    
R squared                 =   0.26544
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15032
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!            *         +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1*                  +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                +                     *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +            *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!        *            +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!         *              +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1723 LAASOPA C LASOPA(-1) PSOPA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1723 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOPA=KOPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOPA=LOG(AAKOPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOPA=LOG(AKOPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOPA=EXP(LAAKOPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1724 LAAKOPA C LAKOPA(-1) PKOPA;                                         
EQUATION 1138  LAAKOPA  
   RHS     C  LAKOPA(-1)  PKOPA  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1138 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1138
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOPA 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.926937701

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.690355880       0.174262669  -3.96158     1.000000
13823 LAKOPA  ( -1)       0.772521078       0.051114470  15.11355    -3.936163
13821 PKOPA   (  0)      -0.100681958       0.042945036  -2.34444     1.944863

SE of equation            =     0.209654556
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.10974957      -0.154631863E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.160880448
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8450235    
R squared                 =   0.72673
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28916
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!   *            +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1978.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!   *         +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!*          +                          !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1980.2!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.3!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!   *         +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.1!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!     *           +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 1984.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4*       +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.1*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!               +         *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                *     +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.3!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                    *        +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1998.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                                +     *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.3!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.3!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                       *     +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                          *   +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                       *       +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !


     27.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEPA=BEPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEPA=LOG(AABEPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEPA=LOG(ABEPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEPA=EXP(LAABEPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1725 LAABEPA C LABEPA(-1) PBEPA;                                         
EQUATION 1139  LAABEPA  
   RHS     C  LABEPA(-1)  PBEPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1139 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1139
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.385914407

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.181464773       0.275701087  -7.91243     1.000000
13826 LABEPA  ( -1)       0.382776628       0.069218638   5.52996    -4.383592
13824 PBEPA   (  0)      -0.409696763       0.112924614  -3.62806     1.285128

SE of equation            =     0.299210794
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.5625134      -0.176214598E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.217629368
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.9143211    
R squared                 =   0.28691
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12464
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!  *            +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!             +          *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!            +              *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!               +                  *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!            +          *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1726 LAADEPA C LADEPA(-1) PDEPA;SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1726 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOPA=NOPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOPA=LOG(AANOPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOPA=LOG(ANOPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOPA=EXP(LAANOPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1727 LAANOPA C LANOPA(-1) PNOPA;                                         
EQUATION 1140  LAANOPA  
   RHS     C  LANOPA(-1)  PNOPA  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1140 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1140
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOPA 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.391143674

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.117401388       0.354956284  -5.96525     1.000000
13829 LANOPA  ( -1)       0.443883810       0.076973766   5.76669    -6.380898
13827 PNOPA   (  0)      -1.200951509       0.230079554  -5.21972     1.200186

SE of equation            =     0.637224267
Sum of squared residuals  =  56.0355577       0.150093271E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.493720773
Sum of ABS residuals      =  69.6146291    
R squared                 =   0.60687
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09375
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                    +                *!!         .    .    .         0
 1978.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!              *         +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.3!                         +            *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.4!             *              +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!              +              *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1981.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.1!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                +            *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1986.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                           +         *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.2!                  *        +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                 *            +       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                +         *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!         *          +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!     *          +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!       *       +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!     * +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!     +    *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!*     +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!+         *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!        +   *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!   *         +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!*  +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2*     +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!* +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4! +    *                               !!         .    .   0.         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.67 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1728 LAASWPA C LASWPA(-1) PSWPA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1728 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1729 LAAGRPA C LAGRPA(-1) PGRPA;SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1729 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1730 LAAIRPA C LAIRPA(-1) PIRPA;SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1730 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1731 LAAPOPA C LAPOPA(-1) PPOPA;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1731 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPPA=SPPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPPA=LOG(AASPPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPPA=LOG(ASPPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPPA=EXP(LAASPPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1732 LAASPPA C LASPPA(-1) PSPPA;                                         
EQUATION 1141  LAASPPA  
   RHS     C  LASPPA(-1)  PSPPA  
 SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    96 to   244
 OLS;EST 1141 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1141
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPPA 

 1975.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  149 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.302497541

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.286974850       0.349554459  -3.68176     1.000000
13832 LASPPA  ( -1)       0.688728977       0.058530362  11.76704    -5.307047
13830 PSPPA   (  0)      -0.245849598       0.179782140  -1.36749     1.465961

SE of equation            =     0.339368325
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.8149455       0.128417277E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.265018637
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.4877768    
R squared                 =   0.52442
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30598
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.4   2012.4    149

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.4!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.4!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1! *          +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.2*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.4!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!            +            *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1978.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.2!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!         *          +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!        *       +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.2!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!               +           *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.2!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                          +           *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1984.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                        *        +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.1!               *          +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                *       +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!               +         *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.3!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !


     30.20 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZPA=NZPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZPA=LOG(AANZPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZPA=LOG(ANZPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZPA=EXP(LAANZPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1733 LAANZPA C LANZPA(-1) PNZPA;                                         
EQUATION 1142  LAANZPA  
   RHS     C  LANZPA(-1)  PNZPA  
 SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    95 to   244
 OLS;EST 1142 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1142
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZPA 

 1975.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  150 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.347076666

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.633175783       0.365290413  -4.47090     1.000000
13835 LANZPA  ( -1)       0.644743222       0.063479117  10.15678    -6.345930
13833 PNZPA   (  0)      -0.455876928       0.184631510  -2.46912     1.365293

SE of equation            =     0.384514016
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.7341012      -0.473576733E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.294716793
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.2075190    
R squared                 =   0.53300
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15098
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.3   2012.4    150

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!    *                  +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1976.1!          +            *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!       *          +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.3!     +        *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.4!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                  +                *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1980.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!              +          *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.1!                           +          *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!              *        +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                      *      +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                *       +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!              +          *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.2!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!          *          +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.4!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!    *           +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!*     +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!     +  *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!*       +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!*      +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!       *    +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !


     30.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.67 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1734 LAASAPA C LASAPA(-1) PSAPA;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1734 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1735 LAAVEPA C LAVEPA(-1) PVEPA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1735 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1736 LAACOPA C LACOPA(-1) PCOPA;SMPL 2003.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1736 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOPA=JOPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOPA=LOG(AAJOPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOPA=LOG(AJOPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOPA=EXP(LAAJOPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1737 LAAJOPA C LAJOPA(-1) PJOPA;                                         
EQUATION 1143  LAAJOPA  
   RHS     C  LAJOPA(-1)  PJOPA  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1143 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1143
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOPA 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.386463368

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.651063132       0.709574621  -5.14543     1.000000
13838 LAJOPA  ( -1)       0.366225605       0.102704363   3.56582    -7.357972
13836 PJOPA   (  0)      -0.617860722       0.294394942  -2.09875     1.684397

SE of equation            =     1.022776193
Sum of squared residuals  =  91.0081893       0.172573067E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.818451174
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.6606056    
R squared                 =   0.25055
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02279
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.3!                   *     +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.2!                *        +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.3!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                         +   *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.1!                 *        +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.4!                  *     +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.2!                     +                *!        .     .     .      0 !
 1994.3!                  *        +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.2!                       +   *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!                 *      +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.4!                    +         *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.1!                    *   +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.3!                     +             *  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1996.4!                        * +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!         *          +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.3!                +    *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!                      +              *!!        .     .     .     0  !
 1998.1!            *              +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1998.2!                  +   *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.3!    *                 +               !!0       .     .     .        !
 1998.4!               +      *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.2!                   +      *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!                      +     *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.4!                       +         *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.1!                         +           *!!        .     .     .   0    !
 2000.2!                          +           *!        .     .     .  0     !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                 *     +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!                   +     *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.2!                      +           *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2001.3!                         +     *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2002.1!         *            +               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2002.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!                  +                  *!!        .     .     .        0
 2002.4!                           +        * !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.1!                  *        +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.2!                    +             *   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2003.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                    *     +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!                       +      *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.4!                      *   +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!                  *    +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!                     +         *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2005.3!                       *  +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.4!             *        +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.1!                *  +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.3!        *            +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2006.4!           *     +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.1!              *  +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.4!               *       +              !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.1!            *      +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3!   *           +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.4*        +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.1!   +      *                           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!   *        +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.3!       *     +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.4!           *  +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.1!                +  *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.2!      *            +                  !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2010.3!       *       +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.4!              + *                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!          *          +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.3!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!               + *                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !


     33.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1738 LAASYPA C LASYPA(-1) PSYPA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1738 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1739 LAAIDPA C LAIDPA(-1) PIDPA;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1739 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAPA=MAPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAPA=LOG(AAMAPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAPA=LOG(AMAPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAPA=EXP(LAAMAPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1740 LAAMAPA C LAMAPA(-1) PMAPA;                                         
EQUATION 1144  LAAMAPA  
   RHS     C  LAMAPA(-1)  PMAPA  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1144 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1144
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAPA 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.883185422

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.337415448       0.156904132  -2.15046     1.000000
13841 LAMAPA  ( -1)       0.897773320       0.030956215  29.00139    -3.902227
13839 PMAPA   (  0)      -0.026335824       0.083887032  -0.31394     1.612035

SE of equation            =     0.438652289
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.4424337      -0.208277839E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.312444518
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.8649023    
R squared                 =   0.83732
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53687
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!    +        *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!            +       *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!        *         +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3! *                   +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1979.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!     +               *                !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1980.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!              *       +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1985.1!         *              +             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.2!           +          *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                      *        +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.3!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                               *    + !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                               *    + !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !


     23.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1741 LAAPHPA C LAPHPA(-1) PPHPA;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1741 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1742 LAATHPA C LATHPA(-1) PTHPA;SMPL 1974.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1742 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHPA=CHPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHPA=LOG(AACHPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHPA=LOG(ACHPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHPA=EXP(LAACHPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1743 LAACHPA C LACHPA(-1) PCHPA;                                         
EQUATION 1145  LAACHPA  
   RHS     C  LACHPA(-1)  PCHPA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1145 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1145
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHPA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.702414842

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.234432481       0.193554167  -1.21120     1.000000
13844 LACHPA  ( -1)       0.883354282       0.047805701  18.47801    -2.717342
13842 PCHPA   (  0)      -0.041955859       0.128523146  -0.32645     1.611367

SE of equation            =     0.345656138
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.6958144      -0.264410716E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267489035
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.7036184    
R squared                 =   0.77611
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62297
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2! *     +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.1*             +                        !0         .    .    .         !
 1986.2!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!        +      *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.2!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!        *          +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.2!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!            +        *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!              *         +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!           *          +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!           *        +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.2!            +         *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!        *           +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.2!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!           *         +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!        *         +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!          *       +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                      *      +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1744 LAAARPA C LAARPA(-1) PARPA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1744 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRPA=BRPX$Q/PAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRPA=LOG(AABRPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRPA=LOG(ABRPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRPA=EXP(LAABRPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1745 LAABRPA C LABRPA(-1) PBRPA;                                         
EQUATION 1146  LAABRPA  
   RHS     C  LABRPA(-1)  PBRPA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1146 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1146
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRPA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.134356295

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.346906295       0.409824628  -5.72661     1.000000
13847 LABRPA  ( -1)       0.325898135       0.082465422   3.95194    -5.129012
13845 PBRPA   (  0)      -0.805715451       0.212902271  -3.78444     1.384998

SE of equation            =     0.532461132
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.8723274      -0.126432198E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.395058544
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.7773766    
R squared                 =   0.28905
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97149
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                       +              *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!              *         +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!           *           +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!         *           +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +          *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!*              +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.1!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!            +              *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1998.3!      *              +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!       *        +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!   *            +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!           +                 *        !!         .    .    .        0!
 2001.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2*           +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.3!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!     *            +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2003.1!  *            +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2003.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!         *            +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2004.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                 +                  * !!         .    .    .         0
 2005.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!            *       +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                +                 *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 2010.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!       *          +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !


     26.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1746 LAACEPA C LACEPA(-1) PCEPA;SMPL 2003.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1746 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1747 LAAMEPA C LAMEPA(-1) PMEPA;SMPL 1987.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1747 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1748 LAAPEPA C LAPEPA(-1) PPEPA;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1748 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1749 LAATUPA C LATUPA(-1) PTUPA;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1749 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1750 LAAPDPA C LAPDPA(-1) PPDPA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1750 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1751 LAARUPA C LARUPA(-1) PRUPA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1751 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1752 LAAUEPA C LAUEPA(-1) PUEPA;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1752 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1753 LAAEGPA C LAEGPA(-1) PEGPA;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1753 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1754 LAAISPA C LAISPA(-1) PISPA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1754 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1755 LAAKEPA C LAKEPA(-1) PKEPA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1755 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1756 LAABAPA C LABAPA(-1) PBAPA;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1756 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKPA=HKPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKPA=LOG(AAHKPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKPA=LOG(AHKPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKPA=EXP(LAAHKPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1757 LAAHKPA C LAHKPA(-1) PHKPA;                                         
EQUATION 1147  LAAHKPA  
   RHS     C  LAHKPA(-1)  PHKPA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1147 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1147
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKPA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.415008107

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.700972857       0.175564864  -3.99267     1.000000
13850 LAHKPA  ( -1)       0.838915740       0.038134039  21.99913    -5.420652
13848 PHKPA   (  0)      -0.082973903       0.030711463  -2.70172     2.007438

SE of equation            =     0.185569848
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.37069114       0.424815738E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.138047215
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.9528765    
R squared                 =   0.83331
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26423
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.1*      +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!          *               +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!      +      *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.4!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                               *   +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                               +     *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                           *      +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                  *         +         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!                       *    +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                               +      *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.4!                               *     +!!         0 .  .  .           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIPA=SIPX$/PAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIPA=LOG(AASIPA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIPA=LOG(ASIPA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIPA=EXP(LAASIPA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1758 LAASIPA C LASIPA(-1) PSIPA;                                         
EQUATION 1148  LAASIPA  
   RHS     C  LASIPA(-1)  PSIPA  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1148 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1148
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIPA 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.145203438

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.326781444       0.124646457  -2.62167     1.000000
13853 LASIPA  ( -1)       0.887607570       0.031488669  28.18816    -4.157165
13851 PSIPA   (  0)      -0.064004715       0.049426894  -1.29494     2.007528

SE of equation            =     0.243106394
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3426258      -0.928590538E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.181661103
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.3356763    
R squared                 =   0.85643
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35497
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!       *         +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                  *     +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                      *     +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                        *    +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                             *   +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!                        *    +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2011.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!                          *          +!0          .   .   .          !
 2011.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                           *       +  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !


     25.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1759 LAAVIPA C LAVIPA(-1) PVIPA;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1759 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1760 LAANIPA C LANIPA(-1) PNIPA;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1760 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1761 LAAALPA C LAALPA(-1) PALPA;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1761 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1762 LAAIAPA C LAIAPA(-1) PIAPA;SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1762 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1763 LAAINPA C LAINPA(-1) PINPA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1763 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1764 LAAIQPA C LAIQPA(-1) PIQPA;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1764 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1765 LAAKUPA C LAKUPA(-1) PKUPA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1765 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1766 LAALIPA C LALIPA(-1) PLIPA;SMPL 2004.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1766 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1767 LAAUAPA C LAUAPA(-1) PUAPA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1767 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1768 LAAUSPH C LAUSPH(-1) PUSPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1768 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1769 LAACAPH C LACAPH(-1) PCAPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1769 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1770 LAAJAPH C LAJAPH(-1) PJAPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1770 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUPH=AUPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUPH=LOG(AAAUPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUPH=LOG(AAUPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUPH=EXP(LAAAUPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1771 LAAAUPH C LAAUPH(-1) PAUPH;                                         
EQUATION 1149  LAAAUPH  
   RHS     C  LAAUPH(-1)  PAUPH  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1149 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1149
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUPH 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.199965498

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.353581836       0.429561298  -5.47904     1.000000
13856 LAAUPH  ( -1)       0.503231568       0.070291381   7.15922    -6.206559
13854 PAUPH   (  0)      -0.685358218       0.317009921  -2.16195     1.054992

SE of equation            =     0.459627838
Sum of squared residuals  =  32.7449512      -0.243627341E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.321486476
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.7948632    
R squared                 =   0.34661
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96486
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4*     +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!   +         *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!  *              +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!  *        +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!     +           *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.4!    *         +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!  *     +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!  *      +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!             +                 *      !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!   *            +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.2!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!            +           *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!          +           *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!                    +                 *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.1!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                *       +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!    *         +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!      *  +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!             +         *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2*         +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!      *     +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!    *    +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!  *     +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3! *       +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!    *    +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!   *     +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!     *      +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!         *    +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!         *    +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!         +                          * !!           .  .  .          0!
 2004.1!                       +           *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.2!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!        +                             *!           .  .  .           0
 2005.2!                        +    *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!         *          +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.4!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.99 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.80 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRPH=FRPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRPH=LOG(AAFRPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRPH=LOG(AFRPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRPH=EXP(LAAFRPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1772 LAAFRPH C LAFRPH(-1) PFRPH;                                         
EQUATION 1150  LAAFRPH  
   RHS     C  LAFRPH(-1)  PFRPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1150 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1150
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.242903499

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.043224852       0.315103925  -6.48429     1.000000
13859 LAFRPH  ( -1)       0.503548914       0.063358322   7.94764    -4.246040
13857 PFRPH   (  0)      -0.050772714       0.145301204  -0.34943     1.213054

SE of equation            =     0.351755819
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.8904489      -0.188489224E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.264365264
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.7006697    
R squared                 =   0.25623
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12818
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!   *       +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!              +          *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                +                *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.1!    *                 +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!     *      +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!            +                     *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.2!          *            +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!              +              *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1997.3!                     +                *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1997.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!           *          +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!           +   *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2! *      +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!*             +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2009.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!         +   *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEPH=GEPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEPH=LOG(AAGEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEPH=LOG(AGEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEPH=EXP(LAAGEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1773 LAAGEPH C LAGEPH(-1) PGEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1151  LAAGEPH  
   RHS     C  LAGEPH(-1)  PGEPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1151 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1151
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.266177194

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.198549865       0.101568507  -1.95484     1.000000
13862 LAGEPH  ( -1)       0.907183486       0.032415610  27.98601    -3.260421
13860 PGEPH   (  0)      -0.106785145       0.092339194  -1.15644     1.028488

SE of equation            =     0.156319706
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.52063235      -0.190958360E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.117866908
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.1589786    
R squared                 =   0.85452
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45713
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                                *   + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!            +         *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                 *      +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                *     +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1986.3!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.2!                 *     +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!              *    +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.3!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2006.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!    *        +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2007.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!  *    +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.4!+*                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITPH=ITPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITPH=LOG(AAITPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITPH=LOG(AITPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITPH=EXP(LAAITPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1774 LAAITPH C LAITPH(-1) PITPH;                                         
EQUATION 1152  LAAITPH  
   RHS     C  LAITPH(-1)  PITPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1152 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1152
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.624577111

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.113722145       0.203591621  -5.47037     1.000000
13865 LAITPH  ( -1)       0.626398901       0.057119836  10.96640    -4.622147
13863 PITPH   (  0)      -0.682805725       0.155491984  -4.39126     0.901497

SE of equation            =     0.274008183
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.8898896      -0.391895405E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.212096682
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.8741761    
R squared                 =   0.65584
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39937
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                        *      +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!  *                   +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                     +              * !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.4!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                         *      +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!            *             +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!        *            +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                         +        *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +          *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEPH=NEPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEPH=LOG(AANEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEPH=LOG(ANEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEPH=EXP(LAANEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1775 LAANEPH C LANEPH(-1) PNEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1153  LAANEPH  
   RHS     C  LANEPH(-1)  PNEPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1153 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1153
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.772754958

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.844750207       0.207941227  -4.06245     1.000000
13868 LANEPH  ( -1)       0.779877984       0.045895126  16.99261    -4.764866
13866 PNEPH   (  0)      -0.181950349       0.122135825  -1.48974     1.165102

SE of equation            =     0.244390872
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0494762       0.274091860E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.180189760
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.8756749    
R squared                 =   0.66799
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37344
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.4!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                   +                  *!           .  .  .           0
 1970.3!                           *     +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!    *     +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!      +         *                     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.2!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!      *         +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.1!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!           +          *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.1!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1988.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1997.1!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.4!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.3!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTPH=STPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTPH=LOG(AASTPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTPH=LOG(ASTPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTPH=EXP(LAASTPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1776 LAASTPH C LASTPH(-1) PSTPH;                                         
EQUATION 1154  LAASTPH  
   RHS     C  LASTPH(-1)  PSTPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1154 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1154
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.861525949

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.528375480       0.140114340  -3.77103     1.000000
13871 LASTPH  ( -1)       0.833944317       0.042896506  19.44085    -4.851646
13869 PSTPH   (  0)      -0.309196853       0.113343086  -2.72797     0.928690

SE of equation            =     0.202998386
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.62354376      -0.430326885E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.152665385
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.7010923    
R squared                 =   0.87513
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65576
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                          *        +  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                        *       +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.2!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                *        +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!               *       +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!               +            *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!        *     +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3! + *                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKPH=UKPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKPH=LOG(AAUKPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKPH=LOG(AUKPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKPH=EXP(LAAUKPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1777 LAAUKPH C LAUKPH(-1) PUKPH;                                         
EQUATION 1155  LAAUKPH  
   RHS     C  LAUKPH(-1)  PUKPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1155 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1155
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.777262159

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.023694444       0.121596809   0.19486     1.000000
13874 LAUKPH  ( -1)       0.951368723       0.023763931  40.03415    -3.765860
13872 PUKPH   (  0)      -0.216444463       0.143229999  -1.51117     1.008275

SE of equation            =     0.200529601
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.43924234      -0.915045817E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.154507202
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.0473539    
R squared                 =   0.92866
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51348
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                                +*    !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.4!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.2!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                                  *   +!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                                *    +!!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                            * +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.4!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                          *    +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                          *  +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1976.2!                            *  +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1976.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                         *    +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                      *   +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                     *    +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.2!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1989.4!                       +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.3!                    *     +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!               *    +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!         +*                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!       *  +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!*  +                                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!+                                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIPH=FIPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIPH=LOG(AAFIPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIPH=LOG(AFIPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIPH=EXP(LAAFIPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1778 LAAFIPH C LAFIPH(-1) PFIPH;                                         
EQUATION 1156  LAAFIPH  
   RHS     C  LAFIPH(-1)  PFIPH  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1156 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1156
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIPH 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.892986447

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.279347046       0.521458296  -4.37110     1.000000
13877 LAFIPH  ( -1)       0.524716732       0.071916002   7.29624    -5.899733
13875 PFIPH   (  0)      -0.520401399       0.412775248  -1.26074     0.995290

SE of equation            =     0.560964561
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.7406922       0.188666860E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.369066930
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.4075040    
R squared                 =   0.30915
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52744
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!    *    +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!    *    +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!   *         +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!         +    *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!  *           +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!*          +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!*           +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.4!       +                             *!!           .  .  .           0
 1981.1*                           +          !!0          .  .  .           !
 1981.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!         *    +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!    *       +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!  *      +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!      *    +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!    *        +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!           +      *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!       *        +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!            +    *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!           +    *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!              +    *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!               +        *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                    +              *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.2!              *           +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!               +                      *!           .  .  .       0   !
 1993.4!                    *      +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!               +    *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!              +        *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!              +    *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                      +    *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                      +            *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.3!                          +      *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                       +         *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                +    *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!           *    +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!            *    +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !


     18.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASPH=ASPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASPH=LOG(AAASPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASPH=LOG(AASPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASPH=EXP(LAAASPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1779 LAAASPH C LAASPH(-1) PASPH;                                         
EQUATION 1157  LAAASPH  
   RHS     C  LAASPH(-1)  PASPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1157 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1157
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.659622521

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.407567527       0.123705690  -3.29465     1.000000
13880 LAASPH  ( -1)       0.872197455       0.038572402  22.61196    -3.658991
13878 PASPH   (  0)      -0.053859894       0.053941145  -0.99849     1.126855

SE of equation            =     0.187097191
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.47599138       0.280175882E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.143606443
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9980113    
R squared                 =   0.79293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41680
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1966.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!    *           +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.3!                 *               +    !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                 *         +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2! *    +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!  +      *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1780 LAASOPH C LASOPH(-1) PSOPH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1780 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOPH=KOPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOPH=LOG(AAKOPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOPH=LOG(AKOPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOPH=EXP(LAAKOPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1781 LAAKOPH C LAKOPH(-1) PKOPH;                                         
EQUATION 1158  LAAKOPH  
   RHS     C  LAKOPH(-1)  PKOPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1158 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1158
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.133328073

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.033140215       0.063771909   0.51967     1.000000
13883 LAKOPH  ( -1)       0.965505645       0.017912953  53.89986    -4.162668
13881 PKOPH   (  0)      -0.090762163       0.068648707  -1.32212     1.623905

SE of equation            =     0.225726225
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.42618084       0.499311703E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.158038766
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7112881    
R squared                 =   0.98370
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38312
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3! +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2*+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2*+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1*+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!*+                                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1! +       *                            !!           .  .  .           0
 1971.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!         + *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.2!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!       * +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!          +*                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1976.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                * +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!                + *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                     +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                   *  +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.1!                           *   +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1998.1!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                 *  + !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                                 * +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 * +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                    + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                     *+!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                     *+!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEPH=BEPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEPH=LOG(AABEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEPH=LOG(ABEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEPH=EXP(LAABEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1782 LAABEPH C LABEPH(-1) PBEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1159  LAABEPH  
   RHS     C  LABEPH(-1)  PBEPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1159 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1159
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.159528453

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.258276589       0.262313353  -4.79685     1.000000
13886 LABEPH  ( -1)       0.731998801       0.051016546  14.34826    -5.152662
13884 PBEPH   (  0)      -0.130841353       0.139716602  -0.93648     0.989822

SE of equation            =     0.278706737
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.3703273      -0.265147904E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.214970272
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.4144112    
R squared                 =   0.55559
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22864
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1966.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!    *          +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                +           *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!              *        +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!             +         *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.2!                          +           *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.3!                        *      +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!          +              *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!             *        +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1! *            +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!             +            *           !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1982.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                  +              *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!           *            +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!    *              +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!             +         *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!         *       +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.3!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!  *        +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1999.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2! *    +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1*     +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!      + *                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEPH=DEPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEPH=LOG(AADEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEPH=LOG(ADEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEPH=EXP(LAADEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1783 LAADEPH C LADEPH(-1) PDEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1160  LAADEPH  
   RHS     C  LADEPH(-1)  PDEPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1160 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1160
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.972213131

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.256318182       0.330199350  -3.80473     1.000000
13889 LADEPH  ( -1)       0.744996847       0.049074125  15.18105    -5.969875
13887 PDEPH   (  0)      -0.261082037       0.189535464  -1.37748     1.027864

SE of equation            =     0.339693011
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.3473983       0.101474384E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.244441482
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.9549985    
R squared                 =   0.56713
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46522
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!             +        *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!       +      *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!  +        *                          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 1983.4!                  *             +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!*       +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3*            +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1986.4!  +            *                      !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1987.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!  *       +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.3!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!   +   *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOPH=NOPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOPH=LOG(AANOPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOPH=LOG(ANOPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOPH=EXP(LAANOPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1784 LAANOPH C LANOPH(-1) PNOPH;                                         
EQUATION 1161  LAANOPH  
   RHS     C  LANOPH(-1)  PNOPH  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST 1161 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1161
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOPH 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.067655985

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.329912317       0.507090264  -6.56671     1.000000
13892 LANOPH  ( -1)       0.491562504       0.073092150   6.72524    -7.055516
13890 PNOPH   (  0)      -0.298540844       0.192937158  -1.54735     0.902779

SE of equation            =     0.653494123
Sum of squared residuals  =  57.2253123      -0.330224736E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.472274604
Sum of ABS residuals      =  64.7016208    
R squared                 =   0.29324
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20078
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!                     +       *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!              +            *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!   *       +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!             +                       *!!           .  .  .           0
 1987.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!       *        +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!      *  +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!          +          *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!             +                        *!           .  .  .           0
 1996.3!                 *       +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.4!         +           *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2001.1!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!           +        *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!   *       +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1*        +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2*        +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.3!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!*      +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!    +          *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2008.3!   *        +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !


     25.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.92 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWPH=SWPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWPH=LOG(AASWPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWPH=LOG(ASWPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWPH=EXP(LAASWPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1785 LAASWPH C LASWPH(-1) PSWPH;                                         
EQUATION 1162  LAASWPH  
   RHS     C  LASWPH(-1)  PSWPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1162 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1162
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.519543763

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.464524415       0.323585911  -4.52592     1.000000
13895 LASWPH  ( -1)       0.726885517       0.052339453  13.88791    -5.512656
13893 PSWPH   (  0)      -0.041649712       0.175661931  -0.23710     1.151261

SE of equation            =     0.381894392
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.9810154      -0.198241423E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.261091128
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.0851320    
R squared                 =   0.51957
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22856
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!               +        *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!             +           *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.1!           *          +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                +          *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!             +         *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!               +                      *!           .  .  .           0
 1984.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                *            +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1985.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!              +                     * !!           .  .  .          0!
 1988.4!                    *        +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1! *        +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1786 LAAGRPH C LAGRPH(-1) PGRPH;SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1786 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRPH=IRPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRPH=LOG(AAIRPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRPH=LOG(AIRPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRPH=EXP(LAAIRPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1787 LAAIRPH C LAIRPH(-1) PIRPH;                                         
EQUATION 1163  LAAIRPH  
   RHS     C  LAIRPH(-1)  PIRPH  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1163 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1163
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRPH 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.875817765

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.439496795       0.361060223  -1.21724     1.000000
13898 LAIRPH  ( -1)       0.875606735       0.043905955  19.94278    -5.879866
13896 PIRPH   (  0)      -0.247969896       0.354623182  -0.69925     1.160911

SE of equation            =     0.456604834
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.7713405       0.157558411E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.347475767
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.9940831    
R squared                 =   0.80031
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58609
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.2!     *         +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1978.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!     +       *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!     *       +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1980.2!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.3!      *      +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.4!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4*           +                          !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.1! +          *                         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!       *         +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.2!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!    *           +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.1!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1998.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.1!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                            *    +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1788 LAAPOPH C LAPOPH(-1) PPOPH;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1788 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1789 LAASPPH C LASPPH(-1) PSPPH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1789 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1790 LAANZPH C LANZPH(-1) PNZPH;SMPL 1975.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1790 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1791 LAASAPH C LASAPH(-1) PSAPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1791 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1792 LAAVEPH C LAVEPH(-1) PVEPH;SMPL 2000.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1792 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1793 LAACOPH C LACOPH(-1) PCOPH;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1793 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1794 LAAJOPH C LAJOPH(-1) PJOPH;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1794 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1795 LAASYPH C LASYPH(-1) PSYPH;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1795 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDPH=IDPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDPH=LOG(AAIDPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDPH=LOG(AIDPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDPH=EXP(LAAIDPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1796 LAAIDPH C LAIDPH(-1) PIDPH;                                         
EQUATION 1164  LAAIDPH  
   RHS     C  LAIDPH(-1)  PIDPH  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST 1164 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1164
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDPH 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.645325436

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.448990146       0.255062504  -1.76031     1.000000
13901 LAIDPH  ( -1)       0.892477257       0.036106013  24.71824    -5.659261
13899 PIDPH   (  0)      -0.121514847       0.162721278  -0.74677     1.197987

SE of equation            =     0.416197430
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.1562654      -0.115729648E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.300278860
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.2429445    
R squared                 =   0.81013
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69114
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               *        +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!   *       +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.1!     +                 *              !!           .  .  .           0
 1979.2!                *      +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!         *      +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1*        +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!   +    *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!  *     +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1985.1!       *       +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!            +         *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!             *        +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1993.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                +        *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.2!                  *      +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                             +        *!           .  .  .   0       !
 2002.4!                                 *   +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !


     27.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAPH=MAPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAPH=LOG(AAMAPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAPH=LOG(AMAPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAPH=EXP(LAAMAPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1797 LAAMAPH C LAMAPH(-1) PMAPH;                                         
EQUATION 1165  LAAMAPH  
   RHS     C  LAMAPH(-1)  PMAPH  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1165 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1165
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAPH 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.633811588

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.586030821       0.140422132  -4.17335     1.000000
13904 LAMAPH  ( -1)       0.747665958       0.056779102  13.16798    -3.640965
13902 PMAPH   (  0)      -0.261967240       0.098110373  -2.67013     1.242732

SE of equation            =     0.298917475
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9939466       0.827560243E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.198829318
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1869358    
R squared                 =   0.75667
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53678
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!    *       +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.1!      + *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4*               +                      !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.1!  +            *                      !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1975.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!            *       +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!              *       +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!               *       +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.4!                 *      +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                 +          *         !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1984.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.1!                             *      + !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !


     23.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAPH=PAPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAPH=LOG(AAPAPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAPH=LOG(APAPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAPH=EXP(LAAPAPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1798 LAAPAPH C LAPAPH(-1) PPAPH;                                         
EQUATION 1166  LAAPAPH  
   RHS     C  LAPAPH(-1)  PPAPH  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1166 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1166
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAPH 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.250169941

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.155267182       0.509484513  -2.26752     1.000000
13907 LAPAPH  ( -1)       0.621256983       0.065915840   9.42500    -7.240723
13905 PPAPH   (  0)      -1.242703407       0.374207721  -3.32089     1.284742

SE of equation            =     0.707137805
Sum of squared residuals  =  64.0056160      -0.111617382E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.502748418
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.8600428    
R squared                 =   0.55350
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21190
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!      *               +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!    *               +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.3!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!  *            +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1*              +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.2!      +            *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1! *            +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1984.2!        +         *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                       +            * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                            +      *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                              +       *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                             +       *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                    *        +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                        *    +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.4!                          *     +     !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!                          +           *!         .    .    .     0   !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                       *      +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !


     22.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.87 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHPH=THPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHPH=LOG(AATHPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHPH=LOG(ATHPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHPH=EXP(LAATHPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1799 LAATHPH C LATHPH(-1) PTHPH;                                         
EQUATION 1167  LAATHPH  
   RHS     C  LATHPH(-1)  PTHPH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1167 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1167
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHPH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.538363432

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.202880073       0.268709555  -0.75502     1.000000
13910 LATHPH  ( -1)       0.877980562       0.035217291  24.93038    -4.545853
13908 PTHPH   (  0)      -0.285940650       0.208707410  -1.37006     1.204140

SE of equation            =     0.550946821
Sum of squared residuals  =  56.1553439       0.106772369E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.347988626
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.4218617    
R squared                 =   0.78445
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27104
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1*                      +               !0           .  .  .           !
 1968.2!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1! *          +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.2! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!     +                     *          !!           .  .  .           0
 1971.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!        *                   +         !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1973.2!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!      *              +                !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1974.4!       +       *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!            *          +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!            +  *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!        *         +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!    *             +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1981.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!       +        *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!           *             +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!              *            +          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHPH=CHPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHPH=LOG(AACHPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHPH=LOG(ACHPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHPH=EXP(LAACHPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1800 LAACHPH C LACHPH(-1) PCHPH;                                         
EQUATION 1168  LAACHPH  
   RHS     C  LACHPH(-1)  PCHPH  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1168 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1168
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHPH 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.116346180

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.045746713       0.373398286  -0.12251     1.000000
13913 LACHPH  ( -1)       0.944669691       0.035183929  26.84947    -3.130078
13911 PCHPH   (  0)      -0.097570687       0.345434694  -0.28246     1.165408

SE of equation            =     0.291350790
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.4408898       0.850564064E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.206727026
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.0476053    
R squared                 =   0.87554
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.80878
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!  *        +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3! *      +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.4!  +          *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!           *      +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!    *         +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1*            +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!+        *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!   *         +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!           *        +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1996.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1801 LAAARPH C LAARPH(-1) PARPH;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1801 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRPH=BRPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRPH=LOG(AABRPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRPH=LOG(ABRPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRPH=EXP(LAABRPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1802 LAABRPH C LABRPH(-1) PBRPH;                                         
EQUATION 1169  LAABRPH  
   RHS     C  LABRPH(-1)  PBRPH  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1169 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1169
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRPH 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.867181423

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.960095324       0.326162938  -2.94361     1.000000
13916 LABRPH  ( -1)       0.762945041       0.058587556  13.02231    -4.870271
13914 PBRPH   (  0)      -0.189490067       0.233743773  -0.81067     1.009747

SE of equation            =     0.439154938
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.7214184      -0.453237448E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.327542281
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.2703275    
R squared                 =   0.60191
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20801
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.4!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!  *                   +               !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      +                   *           !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                 *        +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!   *          +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!         +       *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!         +       *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1803 LAACEPH C LACEPH(-1) PCEPH;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1803 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEPH=MEPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEPH=LOG(AAMEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEPH=LOG(AMEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEPH=EXP(LAAMEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1804 LAAMEPH C LAMEPH(-1) PMEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1170  LAAMEPH  
   RHS     C  LAMEPH(-1)  PMEPH  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1170 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1170
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEPH 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.629110911

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.933803955       1.063005770  -0.87846     1.000000
13919 LAMEPH  ( -1)       0.541708751       0.077095585   7.02646    -7.625208
13917 PMEPH   (  0)      -2.245005172       0.866686061  -2.59033     1.142387

SE of equation            =     0.515778223
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.4649078      -0.103295150E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.388396314
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.7235946    
R squared                 =   0.37479
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00983
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!     *              +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.4!           +                    *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1986.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!             *       +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!         +           *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                +        *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.4!             *            +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.1*               +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1990.2!*     +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!              *   +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!*            +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.4!       +           *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!  *              +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!         *         +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!          *          +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!       *              +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.3!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                    +         *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!          *         +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                 *     +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!                            +      *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!                     *        +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !


     24.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.55 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEPH=PEPX$Q/PHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEPH=LOG(AAPEPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEPH=LOG(APEPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEPH=EXP(LAAPEPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1805 LAAPEPH C LAPEPH(-1) PPEPH;                                         
EQUATION 1171  LAAPEPH  
   RHS     C  LAPEPH(-1)  PPEPH  
 SMPL 1985.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   133 to   244
 OLS;EST 1171 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1171
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEPH 

 1985.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  112 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.394096073

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.637203819       0.610391390  -7.59710     1.000000
13922 LAPEPH  ( -1)       0.220552865       0.092675849   2.37983    -7.411936
13920 PPEPH   (  0)      -1.223443331       0.302281757  -4.04736     0.917222

SE of equation            =     1.149589873
Sum of squared residuals  =  144.049699      -0.331290551E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.902609339
Sum of ABS residuals      =  101.092246    
R squared                 =   0.27672
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08609
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.1   2012.4    112

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.1!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                       *     +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                          +           *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2! *                      +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                +     *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!            *              +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2*                           +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.4!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                             +     *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                            +        *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                           +         *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                  *        +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                           +    *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!            *              +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!               *             +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!               *           +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                 *          +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                      *  +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                   *      +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                  *     +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!               *        +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                *     +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!            *        +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!       *       +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!             +                  *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.4!         *         +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!     *        +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!        *       +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                +         *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!         *         +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!                +             *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!       *           +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!   *          +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!             +            *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.4!                 +          *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.1!                +                *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.2!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!               +          *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!    *             +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!    *        +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!    *          +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   . 0        !


     32.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.57 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1806 LAATUPH C LATUPH(-1) PTUPH;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1806 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1807 LAAPDPH C LAPDPH(-1) PPDPH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1807 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1808 LAARUPH C LARUPH(-1) PRUPH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1808 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1809 LAAUEPH C LAUEPH(-1) PUEPH;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1809 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1810 LAAEGPH C LAEGPH(-1) PEGPH;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1810 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1811 LAAISPH C LAISPH(-1) PISPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1811 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1812 LAAKEPH C LAKEPH(-1) PKEPH;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1812 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1813 LAABAPH C LABAPH(-1) PBAPH;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1813 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1814 LAAHKPH C LAHKPH(-1) PHKPH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1814 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIPH=SIPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIPH=LOG(AASIPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIPH=LOG(ASIPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIPH=EXP(LAASIPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1815 LAASIPH C LASIPH(-1) PSIPH;                                         
EQUATION 1172  LAASIPH  
   RHS     C  LASIPH(-1)  PSIPH  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1172 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1172
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIPH 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.440382731

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.065359646       0.070300775  -0.92971     1.000000
13925 LASIPH  ( -1)       0.942276647       0.021445676  43.93784    -3.460207
13923 PSIPH   (  0)      -0.073761728       0.059315227  -1.24355     1.552984

SE of equation            =     0.219919853
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.46382981      -0.550226531E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.160176629
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.5114400    
R squared                 =   0.95541
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49563
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!    *  +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.1! *    +                               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1970.2*   +                                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.3! +*                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!       + *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!            *+                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!            *+                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!        *    +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.2!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.4!                *  +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!              *  +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!              *   +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                     * +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                        +*            !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                       +              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                       *   +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.2!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                     *   +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                        *   +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1994.3!                              *   +   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                        *        +    !0           .  .  .           !
 1995.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1995.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                               *   +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                               *+     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                                 *  + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                    * +!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !


     21.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIPH=VIPX$/PHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIPH=LOG(AAVIPH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIPH=LOG(AVIPH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIPH=EXP(LAAVIPH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1816 LAAVIPH C LAVIPH(-1) PVIPH;                                         
EQUATION 1173  LAAVIPH  
   RHS     C  LAVIPH(-1)  PVIPH  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1173 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1173
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIPH 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.480160466

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       4.720499921       2.142666222   2.20310     1.000000
13928 LAVIPH  ( -1)       0.897579130       0.042625819  21.05717    -5.489486
13926 PVIPH   (  0)      -4.673307925       1.926551523  -2.42574     1.128411

SE of equation            =     0.795085948
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.9980649      -0.539395195E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.553814442
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.8432997    
R squared                 =   0.84851
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95003
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                   *        +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.1!*                 +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.2+                                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3! +      *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                       *       +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                             *     +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                              *      +!!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.44 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1817 LAANIPH C LANIPH(-1) PNIPH;SMPL 2005.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1817 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1818 LAAALPH C LAALPH(-1) PALPH;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1818 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1819 LAAIAPH C LAIAPH(-1) PIAPH;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1819 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1820 LAAINPH C LAINPH(-1) PINPH;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1820 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1821 LAAIQPH C LAIQPH(-1) PIQPH;SMPL 2007.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1821 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1822 LAAKUPH C LAKUPH(-1) PKUPH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1822 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1823 LAALIPH C LALIPH(-1) PLIPH;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1823 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1824 LAAUAPH C LAUAPH(-1) PUAPH;SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1824 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSTH=USPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSTH=LOG(AAUSTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSTH=LOG(AUSTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSTH=EXP(LAAUSTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1825 LAAUSTH C LAUSTH(-1) PUSTH;                                         
EQUATION 1174  LAAUSTH  
   RHS     C  LAUSTH(-1)  PUSTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1174 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1174
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.203025281

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.248991346       0.133490269  -1.86524     1.000000
13931 LAUSTH  ( -1)       0.831434006       0.039919070  20.82799    -2.195501
13929 PUSTH   (  0)      -0.114225027       0.109590860  -1.04229     1.126023

SE of equation            =     0.158361638
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.63950555      -0.290079072E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.119632360
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.4908837    
R squared                 =   0.71882
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72893
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                *   + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.1!               +           *          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1972.2!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                *      +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.1!                 *        +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.2!                +       *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.3!          *           +               !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.4!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.1!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!             +         *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1980.1!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                *     +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                     +            *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1988.1!                   *            +     !0         .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.2!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!               *         +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!               *      +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.1!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!             *      +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!      *       +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.2! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCATH=CAPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACATH=LOG(AACATH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACATH=LOG(ACATH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACATH=EXP(LAACATH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1826 LAACATH C LACATH(-1) PCATH;                                         
EQUATION 1175  LAACATH  
   RHS     C  LACATH(-1)  PCATH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1175 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1175
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACATH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.773954003

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.619072731       0.185315066  -3.34065     1.000000
13934 LACATH  ( -1)       0.864359226       0.040866535  21.15078    -4.769117
13932 PCATH   (  0)      -0.032124504       0.125103480  -0.25678     1.016382

SE of equation            =     0.259382846
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.4467003      -0.118580701E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.199195789
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.4488084    
R squared                 =   0.74536
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57093
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1966.3!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!    *             +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!        *       +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!     *         +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!             *      +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!               *      +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.2!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1990.3!                         *         +  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.1!                        *      +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!            *         +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!       *       +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!      *       +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1827 LAAJATH C LAJATH(-1) PJATH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1827 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUTH=AUPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUTH=LOG(AAAUTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUTH=LOG(AAUTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUTH=EXP(LAAAUTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1828 LAAAUTH C LAAUTH(-1) PAUTH;                                         
EQUATION 1176  LAAAUTH  
   RHS     C  LAAUTH(-1)  PAUTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1176 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1176
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.764940583

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.846882639       0.244340391  -3.46600     1.000000
13937 LAAUTH  ( -1)       0.816320406       0.042579463  19.17169    -5.758585
13935 PAUTH   (  0)      -0.221563137       0.173155195  -1.27956     0.980343

SE of equation            =     0.313446460
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.1760064      -0.664712729E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.231753699
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.5696954    
R squared                 =   0.70560
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39084
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                       +            * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                  *        +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                     *        +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!        +            *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!*        +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!*            +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!         +            *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!              *         +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.4!  *           +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.1!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!         +                  *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1999.2!               *         +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.2! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3*    +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!  +    *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!*            +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2002.2!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.1!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRTH=FRPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRTH=LOG(AAFRTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRTH=LOG(AFRTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRTH=EXP(LAAFRTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1829 LAAFRTH C LAFRTH(-1) PFRTH;                                         
EQUATION 1177  LAAFRTH  
   RHS     C  LAFRTH(-1)  PFRTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1177 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1177
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.110344486

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.514994706       0.341259139  -4.43943     1.000000
13940 LAFRTH  ( -1)       0.498182303       0.062595666   7.95873    -4.113953
13938 PFRTH   (  0)      -0.475049779       0.224995669  -2.11137     1.149040

SE of equation            =     0.432925395
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.6735136      -0.206394901E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.336487400
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.2596313    
R squared                 =   0.28451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20598
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!       *          +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!         +             *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!       *             +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!   *       +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!             +                *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!        +                   *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.2!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.4!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!               *      +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           *     +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.4!                           +        * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!             *           +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!              +                       *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.1!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!           *        +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!            *  +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!       *           +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!            *          +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                +     *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!       *          +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!      *     +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!    *         +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.2!      *           +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!  *         +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGETH=GEPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGETH=LOG(AAGETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGETH=LOG(AGETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGETH=EXP(LAAGETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1830 LAAGETH C LAGETH(-1) PGETH;                                         
EQUATION 1178  LAAGETH  
   RHS     C  LAGETH(-1)  PGETH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1178 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1178
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGETH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.928250236

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.076862518       0.068953963  -1.11469     1.000000
13943 LAGETH  ( -1)       0.884231796       0.031705761  27.88868    -2.920747
13941 PGETH   (  0)      -0.274598034       0.096052995  -2.85882     0.978779

SE of equation            =     0.130953063
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.17251035      -0.263566946E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.103609042
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.4784998    
R squared                 =   0.91321
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57288
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .    0         !
 1966.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1974.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                 *       +            !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.3!                      *   +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                 *   +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                  *      +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                 *   +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.2!                  *       +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                         *    +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!                   *    +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                     *   +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                 *     +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.2!           *      +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.4!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1*   +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITTH=ITPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITTH=LOG(AAITTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITTH=LOG(AITTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITTH=EXP(LAAITTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1831 LAAITTH C LAITTH(-1) PITTH;                                         
EQUATION 1179  LAAITTH  
   RHS     C  LAITTH(-1)  PITTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1179 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1179
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.014684649

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.953101800       0.146388487  -6.51077     1.000000
13946 LAITTH  ( -1)       0.595409944       0.054346947  10.95572    -4.007495
13944 PITTH   (  0)      -0.782794843       0.121954705  -6.41873     0.862909

SE of equation            =     0.194274873
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.98240438       0.268527423E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.147777804
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.7822272    
R squared                 =   0.81482
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29687
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                  *       +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1979.4!                       *       +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.2!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.1!                    *           +     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            *       +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!    *       +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!*+                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNETH=NEPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANETH=LOG(AANETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANETH=LOG(ANETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANETH=EXP(LAANETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1832 LAANETH C LANETH(-1) PNETH;                                         
EQUATION 1180  LAANETH  
   RHS     C  LANETH(-1)  PNETH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1180 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1180
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANETH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.522364700

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.066357332       0.210868206  -5.05698     1.000000
13949 LANETH  ( -1)       0.725717759       0.048522366  14.95636    -4.514251
13947 PNETH   (  0)      -0.162875554       0.112993092  -1.44146     1.104739

SE of equation            =     0.195304262
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.05659464      -0.341646711E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.144393069
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.1458970    
R squared                 =   0.59806
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40470
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!    *           +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.2*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3! +                 *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!          +               *           !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.3!              *        +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTTH=STPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTTH=LOG(AASTTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTTH=LOG(ASTTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTTH=EXP(LAASTTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1833 LAASTTH C LASTTH(-1) PSTTH;                                         
EQUATION 1181  LAASTTH  
   RHS     C  LASTTH(-1)  PSTTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1181 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1181
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.282360412

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.958357169       0.152822444  -6.27105     1.000000
13952 LASTTH  ( -1)       0.650595974       0.052432502  12.40826    -4.274092
13950 PSTTH   (  0)      -0.611414554       0.100078988  -6.10932     0.888588

SE of equation            =     0.157722659
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.60214088      -0.380584453E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.119411923
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.4494415    
R squared                 =   0.88261
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48195
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.1!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                   *          +       !0         .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1970.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.1!                          *        +  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                  *        +          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!            *      +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!             *     +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.3!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                 *    +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                  *       +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.1!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1992.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!            *      +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!            *   +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4! *     +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4! +*                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3+                                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!+    *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKTH=UKPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKTH=LOG(AAUKTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKTH=LOG(AUKTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKTH=EXP(LAAUKTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1834 LAAUKTH C LAUKTH(-1) PUKTH;                                         
EQUATION 1182  LAAUKTH  
   RHS     C  LAUKTH(-1)  PUKTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1182 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1182
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.487483413

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.064965832       0.098213896   0.66147     1.000000
13955 LAUKTH  ( -1)       0.862108252       0.036339181  23.72393    -3.474778
13953 PUKTH   (  0)      -0.580349964       0.183799345  -3.15752     0.959447

SE of equation            =     0.173877385
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.59316881      -0.905542308E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128431237
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.1450726    
R squared                 =   0.92900
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.80497
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!                               *    + !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!             *     +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!     *       +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2010.2!    *         +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 2010.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.1!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2011.2!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!    *     +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3*         +                            !!0         .   .   .          !
 2012.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFITH=FIPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFITH=LOG(AAFITH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFITH=LOG(AFITH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFITH=EXP(LAAFITH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1835 LAAFITH C LAFITH(-1) PFITH;                                         
EQUATION 1183  LAAFITH  
   RHS     C  LAFITH(-1)  PFITH  
 SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   102 to   244
 OLS;EST 1183 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1183
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFITH 

 1977.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  143 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.834528135

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.067987900       0.420288507  -2.54108     1.000000
13958 LAFITH  ( -1)       0.780742489       0.052381918  14.90481    -5.836219
13956 PFITH   (  0)      -0.221686239       0.359242141  -0.61709     0.947087

SE of equation            =     0.378725702
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.0806420      -0.178195236E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.294508083
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1146559    
R squared                 =   0.62319
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23797
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.2   2012.4    143

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      +                  *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1978.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                   *          +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                *           +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!     *             +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4! *         +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                         +            *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                +            *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +             * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2002.3!                         *      +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2010.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASTH=ASPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASTH=LOG(AAASTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASTH=LOG(AASTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASTH=EXP(LAAASTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1836 LAAASTH C LAASTH(-1) PASTH;                                         
EQUATION 1184  LAAASTH  
   RHS     C  LAASTH(-1)  PASTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1184 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1184
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.665685402

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.136324459       0.190767130  -5.95661     1.000000
13961 LAASTH  ( -1)       0.657244161       0.055011935  11.94730    -3.664210
13959 PASTH   (  0)      -0.112619600       0.042006340  -2.68101     1.075129

SE of equation            =     0.161780333
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.84198208      -0.637294661E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.121822679
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9026636    
R squared                 =   0.51571
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11806
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!            *          +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!              *          +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!   *                +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1! *        +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!       +             *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1976.4!            *       +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!   *                 +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.4!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.2!            *            +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!     *         +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.4!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!            +        *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!     *        +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2005.1!                            +        *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.2!                       *       +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!     *               +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 2010.3!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2010.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .   0.         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1837 LAASOTH C LASOTH(-1) PSOTH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1837 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOTH=KOPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOTH=LOG(AAKOTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOTH=LOG(AKOTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOTH=EXP(LAAKOTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1838 LAAKOTH C LAKOTH(-1) PKOTH;                                         
EQUATION 1185  LAAKOTH  
   RHS     C  LAKOTH(-1)  PKOTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1185 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1185
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.105573679

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.046590954       0.060474761  -0.77042     1.000000
13964 LAKOTH  ( -1)       0.888689843       0.032714694  27.16485    -4.120929
13962 PKOTH   (  0)      -0.259759122       0.085729918  -3.02997     1.527397

SE of equation            =     0.198834730
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.31402123       0.364508423E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.143399295
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9590674    
R squared                 =   0.96320
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35875
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2+*                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!     *       +                        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!    *   +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1976.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                   *   +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!            *   +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!              +       *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.4!                      *   +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                                    * +!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBETH=BEPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABETH=LOG(AABETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABETH=LOG(ABETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABETH=EXP(LAABETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1839 LAABETH C LABETH(-1) PBETH;                                         
EQUATION 1186  LAABETH  
   RHS     C  LABETH(-1)  PBETH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1186 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1186
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABETH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.435518289

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.740165400       0.160401854  -4.61444     1.000000
13967 LABETH  ( -1)       0.723525052       0.048647274  14.87288    -4.433576
13965 PBETH   (  0)      -0.516766383       0.117833631  -4.38556     0.943463

SE of equation            =     0.193203033
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.90557120       0.387516685E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.149427294
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.0923313    
R squared                 =   0.77609
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10818
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                 *         +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!   *               +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.2!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!              +          *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.3!                         *        +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                 *        +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.1!      *       +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!    *          +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!               *           +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!           +         *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                             *     +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                        *        +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                           +        * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDETH=DEPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADETH=LOG(AADETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADETH=LOG(ADETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADETH=EXP(LAADETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1840 LAADETH C LADETH(-1) PDETH;                                         
EQUATION 1187  LAADETH  
   RHS     C  LADETH(-1)  PDETH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1187 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1187
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADETH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.480006964

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.577061601       0.190131053  -3.03507     1.000000
13970 LADETH  ( -1)       0.778320003       0.043939397  17.71349    -5.468448
13968 PDETH   (  0)      -0.661346516       0.181745244  -3.63887     0.977919

SE of equation            =     0.264448622
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9376186      -0.100150999E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.201276659
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.8400120    
R squared                 =   0.78411
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15484
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                           +        * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                   *       +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!               *        +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                *        +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1980.2!                        *        +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!         *      +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!            +        *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!       *     +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOTH=NOPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOTH=LOG(AANOTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOTH=LOG(ANOTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOTH=EXP(LAANOTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1841 LAANOTH C LANOTH(-1) PNOTH;                                         
EQUATION 1188  LAANOTH  
   RHS     C  LANOTH(-1)  PNOTH  
 SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    94 to   244
 OLS;EST 1188 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1188
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOTH 

 1975.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  151 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.902451222

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.028251067       0.383320450  -7.90005     1.000000
13973 LANOTH  ( -1)       0.365909452       0.077739944   4.70684    -5.896999
13971 PNOTH   (  0)      -0.816148335       0.150765902  -5.41335     0.877822

SE of equation            =     0.431006811
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.4934969       0.261595190E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.340994574
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.4901806    
R squared                 =   0.51630
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16455
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.2   2012.4    151

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.2!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!               +                    * !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.2!           *           +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.3!             +         *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!                   +               *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1977.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!        *           +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.2!               +                  *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1978.3!                  *       +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                 +               *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.2!                         +            *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                           +        * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.4!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                     *    +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                *        +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!               *       +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!               *         +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                  *     +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                      *     +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                     *    +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                    *       +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!             *           +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!      *                    +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1999.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!      *           +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.4!     *          +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!          *       +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!        *        +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!    *       +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2*            +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.3!*      +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2*        +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!+     *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!    +    *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!*        +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4! *         +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!   *    +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!   * +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!*   +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!   +  *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!   * +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!   +   *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3! *  +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!   +     *                            !!         .    .   0.         !


     29.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.31 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWTH=SWPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWTH=LOG(AASWTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWTH=LOG(ASWTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWTH=EXP(LAASWTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1842 LAASWTH C LASWTH(-1) PSWTH;                                         
EQUATION 1189  LAASWTH  
   RHS     C  LASWTH(-1)  PSWTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1189 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1189
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.946377274

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.026154722       0.249436289  -4.11390     1.000000
13976 LASWTH  ( -1)       0.723238171       0.051084646  14.15764    -4.943615
13974 PSWTH   (  0)      -0.315355423       0.155904538  -2.02275     1.093405

SE of equation            =     0.294557058
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.0513141      -0.389999144E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.222704466
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.8684397    
R squared                 =   0.58328
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40272
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!           *           +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1967.4!              +              *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.2!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                +          *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                       +              *!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.1!                  *            +      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!               +             *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.3!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                       *      +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                  *        +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!            *       +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!          *      +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!    *        +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2*         +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.3! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!             +               *        !!         .    .    .        0!
 2011.2!         *                +           !0         .    .    .         !
 2011.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!           +         *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.1!        *           +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1843 LAAGRTH C LAGRTH(-1) PGRTH;SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1843 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1844 LAAIRTH C LAIRTH(-1) PIRTH;SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1844 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1845 LAAPOTH C LAPOTH(-1) PPOTH;SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1845 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1846 LAASPTH C LASPTH(-1) PSPTH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1846 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1847 LAANZTH C LANZTH(-1) PNZTH;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1847 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1848 LAASATH C LASATH(-1) PSATH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1848 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1849 LAAVETH C LAVETH(-1) PVETH;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1849 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1850 LAACOTH C LACOTH(-1) PCOTH;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1850 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1851 LAAJOTH C LAJOTH(-1) PJOTH;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1851 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1852 LAASYTH C LASYTH(-1) PSYTH;SMPL 2009.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1852 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDTH=IDPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDTH=LOG(AAIDTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDTH=LOG(AIDTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDTH=EXP(LAAIDTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1853 LAAIDTH C LAIDTH(-1) PIDTH;                                         
EQUATION 1190  LAAIDTH  
   RHS     C  LAIDTH(-1)  PIDTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1190 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1190
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.898441128

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.595789707       0.194426774  -3.06434     1.000000
13979 LAIDTH  ( -1)       0.857592911       0.037287452  22.99950    -4.906153
13977 PIDTH   (  0)      -0.081095301       0.086272282  -0.93999     1.173549

SE of equation            =     0.244206566
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0328166      -0.213997708E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.178118128
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4862080    
R squared                 =   0.74925
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17483
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!           *         +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2*            +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.3!  +             *                     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!              *       +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!   *           +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!             *         +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!            *         +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.1!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!     *        +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1998.1!                          *     +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMATH=MAPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMATH=LOG(AAMATH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMATH=LOG(AMATH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMATH=EXP(LAAMATH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1854 LAAMATH C LAMATH(-1) PMATH;                                         
EQUATION 1191  LAAMATH  
   RHS     C  LAMATH(-1)  PMATH  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1191 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1191
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMATH 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.303345518

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.169932729       0.090268720  -1.88252     1.000000
13982 LAMATH  ( -1)       0.927522175       0.028670416  32.35119    -3.315607
13980 PMATH   (  0)      -0.049119179       0.075585130  -0.64985     1.183115

SE of equation            =     0.264453089
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.5184431       0.137134748E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.186438010
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.9317179    
R squared                 =   0.89480
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39123
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!          *   +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2*      +                               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.3! +               *                    !!           .  .  .           0
 1974.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!         *         +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.2!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!              *        +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!             *        +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!              *     +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                          *     +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPATH=PAPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPATH=LOG(AAPATH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPATH=LOG(APATH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPATH=EXP(LAAPATH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1855 LAAPATH C LAPATH(-1) PPATH;                                         
EQUATION 1192  LAAPATH  
   RHS     C  LAPATH(-1)  PPATH  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1192 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1192
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPATH 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.971745647

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.752741407       0.500987088  -3.49858     1.000000
13985 LAPATH  ( -1)       0.541098671       0.070668435   7.65687    -6.964114
13983 PPATH   (  0)      -1.162982027       0.362377208  -3.20931     1.247424

SE of equation            =     0.691691009
Sum of squared residuals  =  66.0242303       0.123776545E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.517969280
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.0336685    
R squared                 =   0.45155
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13927
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!  *                +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.3!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!             +           *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!             +                  *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.3*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!     *       +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!    *           +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!               +              *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                        +            *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                        *     +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                          +         * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                         *     +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                   *      +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!             *          +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!           *          +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                  *     +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                *  +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !


     24.82 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.96 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1856 LAAPHTH C LAPHTH(-1) PPHTH;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1856 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1857 LAACHTH C LACHTH(-1) PCHTH;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1857 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1858 LAAARTH C LAARTH(-1) PARTH;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1858 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRTH=BRPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRTH=LOG(AABRTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRTH=LOG(ABRTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRTH=EXP(LAABRTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1859 LAABRTH C LABRTH(-1) PBRTH;                                         
EQUATION 1193  LAABRTH  
   RHS     C  LABRTH(-1)  PBRTH  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1193 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1193
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRTH 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.789355051

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.299766698       0.364861980  -6.30311     1.000000
13988 LABRTH  ( -1)       0.473354380       0.071462462   6.62382    -4.807122
13986 PBRTH   (  0)      -0.219629944       0.170446248  -1.28856     0.974894

SE of equation            =     0.407146755
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.3895230      -0.154294355E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.318475569
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.1279217    
R squared                 =   0.28200
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.82523
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!     +        *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.4!                  +                 * !!         .    .    .        0!
 1982.1!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!              *          +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!          *         +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                 *       +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4! *                  +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!      *      +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                          +         * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                           +         *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.4!                       *      +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                  *        +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                         +          * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!               *        +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                 *     +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.3!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!   *             +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!  *                  +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!      *         +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1*                 +                    !!0        .    .    .         !
 2001.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!        *           +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                *        +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.4!                  *       +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.4!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCETH=CEPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACETH=LOG(AACETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACETH=LOG(ACETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACETH=EXP(LAACETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1860 LAACETH C LACETH(-1) PCETH;                                         
EQUATION 1194  LAACETH  
   RHS     C  LACETH(-1)  PCETH  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1194 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1194
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACETH 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.545687274

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.432711523       0.630870165  -2.27101     1.000000
13991 LACETH  ( -1)       0.679098340       0.076119277   8.92150    -6.544138
13989 PCETH   (  0)      -0.605323811       0.461462828  -1.31175     1.104967

SE of equation            =     0.356083901
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.5384127      -0.232862618E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.278642688
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1924127    
R squared                 =   0.49952
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15295
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!            *    +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!             *   +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.4!                +    *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.1!             *       +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.2!           *    +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.3!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.1!       *            +                 !!0       .     .     .        !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.2!              *   +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.3!                 +       *            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.4!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!              *     +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!                 +           *        !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1994.3!                           +    *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1995.2!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.4!                           +   *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.1!                 *          +         !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1996.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.3!                     +      *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.4!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                       +       *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!             *      +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1998.2!              +     *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.3!            *      +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.1!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.2!                +                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!     *             +                  !0        .     .     .        !
 2000.1!    *    +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.2!        +   *                         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.3!   *          +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2000.4!      * +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.1*         +                            !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2001.2!    +         *                       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2001.3!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.4!      *        +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2002.1!         + *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.4!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.1!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.4!          *    +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.1!             +           *            !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2004.2!                      +    *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.3!             *          +             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2004.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.2!                *     +               !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.3!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.4!                +      *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.2!                       +            * !!        .     .     .       0!
 2006.3!                              +      *!!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.4!                              +       *!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.1!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.3!                   *     +            !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.4!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.2!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.4!              *   +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.1!        *      +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.2!           +      *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2009.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.3!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.2!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.4!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.1!                      +    *          !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.2!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.4!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1861 LAAMETH C LAMETH(-1) PMETH;SMPL 1984.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1861 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPETH=PEPX$Q/THPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPETH=LOG(AAPETH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPETH=LOG(APETH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPETH=EXP(LAAPETH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1862 LAAPETH C LAPETH(-1) PPETH;                                         
EQUATION 1195  LAAPETH  
   RHS     C  LAPETH(-1)  PPETH  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1195 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1195
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPETH 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.708748174

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.379938188       0.442302586  -3.11990     1.000000
13994 LAPETH  ( -1)       0.813551525       0.053933683  15.08429    -7.738517
13992 PPETH   (  0)      -0.035251863       0.148435791  -0.23749     0.939754

SE of equation            =     0.666023455
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.3664391      -0.570210545E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.523072340
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.1687999    
R squared                 =   0.71463
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25895
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3*+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!  *        +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.3!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.4*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1*   +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4! *       +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.2!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!              *         +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1995.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                       *     +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.3!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                            *      +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                             +        *!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.3!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.4!                +         *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.1!              *          +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2005.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!          *       +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.2!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!          *             +             !0         .    .    .         !
 2007.2!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.4!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                        *      +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !


     34.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1863 LAATUTH C LATUTH(-1) PTUTH;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1863 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDTH=PDPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDTH=LOG(AAPDTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDTH=LOG(APDTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDTH=EXP(LAAPDTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1864 LAAPDTH C LAPDTH(-1) PPDTH;                                         
EQUATION 1196  LAAPDTH  
   RHS     C  LAPDTH(-1)  PPDTH  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1196 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1196
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDTH 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.898974534

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.890268095       0.527452108  -1.68787     1.000000
13997 LAPDTH  ( -1)       0.456682069       0.084013518   5.43582    -6.898059
13995 PPDTH   (  0)      -2.604423097       0.597303028  -4.36030     1.097551

SE of equation            =     0.378716706
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.3466187      -0.478133089E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.270231227
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7254350    
R squared                 =   0.55754
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27513
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!              *          +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1992.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                     *       +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.3!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1*              +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 2003.2!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.3!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     20.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1865 LAARUTH C LARUTH(-1) PRUTH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1865 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1866 LAAUETH C LAUETH(-1) PUETH;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1866 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1867 LAAEGTH C LAEGTH(-1) PEGTH;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1867 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1868 LAAISTH C LAISTH(-1) PISTH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1868 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1869 LAAKETH C LAKETH(-1) PKETH;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1869 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1870 LAABATH C LABATH(-1) PBATH;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1870 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKTH=HKPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKTH=LOG(AAHKTH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKTH=LOG(AHKTH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKTH=EXP(LAAHKTH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1871 LAAHKTH C LAHKTH(-1) PHKTH;                                         
EQUATION 1197  LAAHKTH  
   RHS     C  LAHKTH(-1)  PHKTH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1197 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1197
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKTH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.746147328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.450090233       0.105676731  -4.25912     1.000000
14000 LAHKTH  ( -1)       0.825913040       0.039207372  21.06525    -3.747278
13998 PHKTH   (  0)      -0.136114578       0.033863553  -4.01950     1.477661

SE of equation            =     0.097709123
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.76620847       0.473283635E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.069766891
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.1161755    
R squared                 =   0.93697
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01455
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1! *     +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3+      *                               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.3!                   *         +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                   *    +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSITH=SIPX$/THPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASITH=LOG(AASITH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASITH=LOG(ASITH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASITH=EXP(LAASITH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1872 LAASITH C LASITH(-1) PSITH;                                         
EQUATION 1198  LAASITH  
   RHS     C  LASITH(-1)  PSITH  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1198 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1198
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASITH 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.638171783

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.098100635       0.049811998  -1.96942     1.000000
14003 LASITH  ( -1)       0.952313421       0.027525347  34.59769    -2.643117
14001 PSITH   (  0)      -0.015564533       0.036827473  -0.42263     1.477440

SE of equation            =     0.109638458
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.10360351      -0.933031430E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.077709144
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.8322276    
R squared                 =   0.93856
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37601
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!     *       +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2*      +                               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.3!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!*   +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1! +       *                            !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!  *        +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.2!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.1!         *      +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!   *      +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                      *    +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                    *    +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                         *   +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                               *    + !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1989.1!                                *     +!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !


     26.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.87 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1873 LAAVITH C LAVITH(-1) PVITH;SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1873 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1874 LAANITH C LANITH(-1) PNITH;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1874 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1875 LAAALTH C LAALTH(-1) PALTH;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1875 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1876 LAAIATH C LAIATH(-1) PIATH;SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1876 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1877 LAAINTH C LAINTH(-1) PINTH;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1877 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1878 LAAIQTH C LAIQTH(-1) PIQTH;SMPL 2006.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1878 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1879 LAAKUTH C LAKUTH(-1) PKUTH;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1879 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1880 LAALITH C LALITH(-1) PLITH;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1880 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1881 LAAUATH C LAUATH(-1) PUATH;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1881 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSCH=USPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSCH=LOG(AAUSCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSCH=LOG(AUSCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSCH=EXP(LAAUSCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1882 LAAUSCH C LAUSCH(-1) PUSCH;                                         
EQUATION 1199  LAAUSCH  
   RHS     C  LAUSCH(-1)  PUSCH  
 SMPL 1973.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    85 to   244
 OLS;EST 1199 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1199
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSCH 

 1973.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  160 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.367223497

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.081519353       0.381015726  -0.21395     1.000000
14006 LAUSCH  ( -1)       0.796787119       0.047746260  16.68795    -2.367822
14004 PUSCH   (  0)      -0.391792721       0.367258748  -1.06680     1.018533

SE of equation            =     0.300722376
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.1981298       0.301050296E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.172937886
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.6700618    
R squared                 =   0.64532
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15240
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.1   2012.4    160

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.1!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1973.2!                         +    *       !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.3!                              +       *!            . . .    0       !
 1973.4!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!                               *    + !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                 *             +      !!  0         . . .            !
 1975.1!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1975.2!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                 *      +             !!         0  . . .            !
 1975.4!                   +     *            !!            . . . 0          !
 1976.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!               *       +              !!       0    . . .            !
 1976.3*                 +                    !0            . . .            !
 1976.4!     +  *                             !!            . . .0           !
 1977.1!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!               +   *                  !!            . . .0           !
 1977.3!           *        +                 !!      0     . . .            !
 1977.4!              +      *                !!            . . .  0         !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                        +    *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1978.4!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1979.1!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1979.2!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1979.3!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                              +   *   !!            . . .0           !
 1980.1!                                 +  * !!            . . .0           !
 1980.2!                                   +  !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 1980.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                                +  *  !!            . . .0           !
 1981.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1982.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!                             +   *    !!            . . .0           !
 1983.2!                          *    +      !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                          +    *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1984.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1986.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                            +   *     !!            . . .0           !
 1989.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                           +          !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                          +   *       !!            . . .0           !
 1999.1!                         *   +        !!          0 . . .            !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                          +           !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!            . . .0           !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 2010.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !


     15.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1883 LAACACH C LACACH(-1) PCACH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1883 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1884 LAAJACH C LAJACH(-1) PJACH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1884 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUCH=AUPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUCH=LOG(AAAUCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUCH=LOG(AAUCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUCH=EXP(LAAAUCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1885 LAAAUCH C LAAUCH(-1) PAUCH;                                         
EQUATION 1200  LAAAUCH  
   RHS     C  LAAUCH(-1)  PAUCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1200 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1200
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.479850902

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.916018208       0.336152949  -5.69984     1.000000
14009 LAAUCH  ( -1)       0.562253832       0.059764186   9.40787    -5.481032
14007 PAUCH   (  0)      -0.534469550       0.221263089  -2.41554     0.902018

SE of equation            =     0.357932499
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.7013997       0.366879860E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.260867467
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.0430839    
R squared                 =   0.38245
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17029
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.2!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!                          +         * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                +         *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!              *         +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.4!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              +            *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1972.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           +               *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!*              +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.2*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!         *            +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!             +            *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!      *        +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!   *      +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!              +            *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2003.1!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1886 LAAFRCH C LAFRCH(-1) PFRCH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1886 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGECH=GEPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGECH=LOG(AAGECH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGECH=LOG(AGECH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGECH=EXP(LAAGECH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1887 LAAGECH C LAGECH(-1) PGECH;                                         
EQUATION 1201  LAAGECH  
   RHS     C  LAGECH(-1)  PGECH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1201 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1201
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGECH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.551234256

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.067419079       0.092784728  -0.72662     1.000000
14012 LAGECH  ( -1)       0.894879156       0.030934224  28.92845    -2.547143
14010 PGECH   (  0)      -0.227297564       0.107517460  -2.11405     0.899394

SE of equation            =     0.156703296
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.54284576      -0.626609875E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.114119050
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.4543815    
R squared                 =   0.86095
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57476
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .         0!
 1967.2!                                *   + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                             *     +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                       *        +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.2!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!        *               +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!   +*                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITCH=ITPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITCH=LOG(AAITCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITCH=LOG(AITCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITCH=EXP(LAAITCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1888 LAAITCH C LAITCH(-1) PITCH;                                         
EQUATION 1202  LAAITCH  
   RHS     C  LAITCH(-1)  PITCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1202 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1202
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.655076563

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.282509148       0.091258343  -3.09571     1.000000
14015 LAITCH  ( -1)       0.824628219       0.037310132  22.10199    -3.642697
14013 PITCH   (  0)      -0.463469012       0.122297426  -3.78969     0.795514

SE of equation            =     0.209989342
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.15767193      -0.366906505E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.157300928
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.5725745    
R squared                 =   0.88604
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11117
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                           *     +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .         0
 1967.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.2!                           *   +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1970.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.4!                          *   +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                              +     * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.3!                             *   +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                      *    +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!                *   +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!               *      +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!             *      +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1975.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.1!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!                    *       +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1977.1!             *      +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1977.2!         *     +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                 *      +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                  *      +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.4!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!          *    +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!              *   +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!             *   +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!             *    +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.3!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                  *   +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!          *      +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!      *    +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!     *    +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.1!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3+*                                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4+ *                                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!* +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1889 LAANECH C LANECH(-1) PNECH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1889 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTCH=STPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTCH=LOG(AASTCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTCH=LOG(ASTCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTCH=EXP(LAASTCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1890 LAASTCH C LASTCH(-1) PSTCH;                                         
EQUATION 1203  LAASTCH  
   RHS     C  LASTCH(-1)  PSTCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1203 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1203
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.613701183

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.491394420       0.125094119  -3.92820     1.000000
14018 LASTCH  ( -1)       0.838956848       0.037910155  22.13013    -4.603819
14016 PSTCH   (  0)      -0.318200195       0.104383895  -3.04836     0.816787

SE of equation            =     0.209212703
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.09744166      -0.188680183E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.163197969
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.6812182    
R squared                 =   0.88110
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76320
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!                                +     *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.2!                               *   +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                         *   +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1970.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                          *   +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1971.1!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.2!                      *     +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!                    *     +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!              *        +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!            *      +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!                 *    +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!          *        +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1981.2!            +         *               !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!              +         *             !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.3!                 *     +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!              *       +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!          *      +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.1!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!   *     +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1! *      +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.4!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1! *      +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1*       +                              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.2!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!  +   *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!  *   +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!    +   *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!  +     *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .   0.         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKCH=UKPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKCH=LOG(AAUKCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKCH=LOG(AUKCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKCH=EXP(LAAUKCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1891 LAAUKCH C LAUKCH(-1) PUKCH;                                         
EQUATION 1204  LAAUKCH  
   RHS     C  LAUKCH(-1)  PUKCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1204 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1204
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.903457232

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.027038759       0.138955008   0.19459     1.000000
14021 LAUKCH  ( -1)       0.902425485       0.030666948  29.42665    -3.891131
14019 PUKCH   (  0)      -0.474157702       0.217616171  -2.17887     0.883756

SE of equation            =     0.246560733
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.2465561       0.372590847E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.185445634
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.8637792    
R squared                 =   0.91112
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35167
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                         *      +     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                             +       *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                     *        +       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.4!                         *     +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                          *     +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.2!                     *    +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                   *      +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!            *      +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1978.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.4!                   *        +         !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!              *    +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!      *     +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.3!              *      +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1984.4!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!     *    +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .         0
 1985.4!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!           *    +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!       *     +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.4!        *    +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!      +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!     *    +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!   +*                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!   *    +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.3!  *+                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2! +   *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFICH=FIPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFICH=LOG(AAFICH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFICH=LOG(AFICH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFICH=EXP(LAAFICH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1892 LAAFICH C LAFICH(-1) PFICH;                                         
EQUATION 1205  LAAFICH  
   RHS     C  LAFICH(-1)  PFICH  
 SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    98 to   244
 OLS;EST 1205 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1205
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFICH 

 1976.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  147 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.443906481

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.426368932       0.488508234  -4.96689     1.000000
14024 LAFICH  ( -1)       0.501238655       0.072068783   6.95500    -5.440412
14022 PFICH   (  0)      -0.334199796       0.380307619  -0.87876     0.869518

SE of equation            =     0.379590501
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.7488086      -0.556887869E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.282915945
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.5886439    
R squared                 =   0.26090
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12753
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.2   2012.4    147

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                         *   +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!              *           +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!               *           +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                  *         +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!         *           +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!               *      +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!         *                +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.2*                 +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.3!            +               *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1983.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                  *       +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                *         +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                  *      +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!            *           +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!       *           +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.3!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!               *         +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.1!                    *       +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                         +           *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !


     29.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.12 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1893 LAAASCH C LAASCH(-1) PASCH;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1893 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1894 LAASOCH C LASOCH(-1) PSOCH;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1894 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1895 LAAKOCH C LAKOCH(-1) PKOCH;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1895 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBECH=BEPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABECH=LOG(AABECH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABECH=LOG(ABECH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABECH=EXP(LAABECH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1896 LAABECH C LABECH(-1) PBECH;                                         
EQUATION 1206  LAABECH  
   RHS     C  LABECH(-1)  PBECH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1206 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1206
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABECH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.667756729

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.991840863       0.213642188  -4.64253     1.000000
14027 LABECH  ( -1)       0.687104975       0.051145365  13.43435    -4.660264
14025 PBECH   (  0)      -0.545858436       0.164358581  -3.32114     0.868037

SE of equation            =     0.295604413
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.1656643       0.160893521E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.217222444
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.8378194    
R squared                 =   0.61840
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17018
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                *          +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.3!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                          +         * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!           *              +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.1!     +            *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!    *          +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!           +             *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!               +           *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                 +                    *!          .   .   .          0
 1978.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!          *            +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                     +               *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.4!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!     +   *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!    +    *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDECH=DEPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADECH=LOG(AADECH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADECH=LOG(ADECH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADECH=EXP(LAADECH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1897 LAADECH C LADECH(-1) PDECH;                                         
EQUATION 1207  LAADECH  
   RHS     C  LADECH(-1)  PDECH  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1207 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1207
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADECH 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.963490829

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.634750817       0.370335197  -4.41425     1.000000
14030 LADECH  ( -1)       0.642655123       0.062699059  10.24984    -5.969466
14028 PDECH   (  0)      -0.548676326       0.253680959  -2.16286     0.897492

SE of equation            =     0.345796946
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.6209983       0.305915293E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.219667899
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.1928416    
R squared                 =   0.50002
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48538
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!   *       +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1977.4!        +                 *           !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1978.1!  *                    +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1978.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3*            +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1978.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!              +          *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                       +              *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1982.2!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !


     19.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1898 LAANOCH C LANOCH(-1) PNOCH;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1898 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWCH=SWPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWCH=LOG(AASWCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWCH=LOG(ASWCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWCH=EXP(LAASWCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1899 LAASWCH C LASWCH(-1) PSWCH;                                         
EQUATION 1208  LAASWCH  
   RHS     C  LASWCH(-1)  PSWCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1208 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1208
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.893540347

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.123966563       0.356736051  -3.15070     1.000000
14033 LASWCH  ( -1)       0.731093391       0.049422596  14.79270    -4.884918
14031 PSWCH   (  0)      -0.197444091       0.278588422  -0.70873     1.004043

SE of equation            =     0.382880697
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.1205612      -0.416555679E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.274727597
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.6487882    
R squared                 =   0.54558
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71498
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.1!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1967.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2*              +                       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.3!   +            *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.4!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1! *          +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!           *          +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1900 LAAGRCH C LAGRCH(-1) PGRCH;SMPL 1982.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1900 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRCH=IRPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRCH=LOG(AAIRCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRCH=LOG(AIRCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRCH=EXP(LAAIRCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1901 LAAIRCH C LAIRCH(-1) PIRCH;                                         
EQUATION 1209  LAAIRCH  
   RHS     C  LAIRCH(-1)  PIRCH  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST 1209 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1209
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRCH 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.485213462

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.033753831       1.123448183  -0.92016     1.000000
14036 LAIRCH  ( -1)       0.819865793       0.051021365  16.06907    -7.496377
14034 PIRCH   (  0)      -0.302527355       1.000261867  -0.30245     1.009616

SE of equation            =     0.712152365
Sum of squared residuals  =  65.9309288      -0.121991306E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.452486933
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.1807620    
R squared                 =   0.66740
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63597
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!              *        +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.3!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!*          +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2!     +                *               !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1981.3*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!  *       +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!      +                      *        !!           .  .  .          0!
 1982.4!                  *         +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!        *                +            !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1984.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!           +        *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                 *          +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!             *        +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                +       *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.1!               *        +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                            +        *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              +     * !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !


     17.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1902 LAAPOCH C LAPOCH(-1) PPOCH;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1902 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPCH=SPPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPCH=LOG(AASPCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPCH=LOG(ASPCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPCH=EXP(LAASPCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1903 LAASPCH C LASPCH(-1) PSPCH;                                         
EQUATION 1210  LAASPCH  
   RHS     C  LASPCH(-1)  PSPCH  
 SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    75 to   244
 OLS;EST 1210 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1210
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPCH 

 1970.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.492701977

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.458321925       0.216839737  -2.11364     1.000000
14039 LASPCH  ( -1)       0.800086030       0.042386684  18.87588    -5.504433
14037 PSPCH   (  0)      -0.643574831       0.241781665  -2.66180     0.979467

SE of equation            =     0.333794621
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.6069478      -0.217967866E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.239905854
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.7839952    
R squared                 =   0.79206
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45044
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.3   2012.4    170

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4*       +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1973.2!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1975.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                *        +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!              *           +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1981.1!                       *     +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                                    + *!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                             *    +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                        *     +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.29 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZCH=NZPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZCH=LOG(AANZCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZCH=LOG(ANZCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZCH=EXP(LAANZCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1904 LAANZCH C LANZCH(-1) PNZCH;                                         
EQUATION 1211  LAANZCH  
   RHS     C  LANZCH(-1)  PNZCH  
 SMPL 1975.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    93 to   244
 OLS;EST 1211 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1211
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZCH 

 1975.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  152 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.523769990

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.193952611       0.304519305  -3.92078     1.000000
14042 LANZCH  ( -1)       0.731998330       0.056468327  12.96299    -5.527762
14040 PNZCH   (  0)      -0.318336586       0.225474659  -1.41185     0.890581

SE of equation            =     0.377308355
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.2118776       0.744293516E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.277412657
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1667238    
R squared                 =   0.58719
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22866
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.1   2012.4    152

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                +                  *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1976.3!               *              +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                   +                  *!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.2!                   *            +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                +                *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                      +             * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!             +                   *    !!          .   .   .         0!
 1982.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                +                    *!!          .   .   .          0
 1983.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                         *    +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!             *             +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!    *         +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                   *       +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!    *           +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!     *  +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!* +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !


     26.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1905 LAASACH C LASACH(-1) PSACH;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1905 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1906 LAAVECH C LAVECH(-1) PVECH;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1906 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1907 LAACOCH C LACOCH(-1) PCOCH;SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1907 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1908 LAAJOCH C LAJOCH(-1) PJOCH;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1908 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1909 LAASYCH C LASYCH(-1) PSYCH;SMPL 2002.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1909 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1910 LAAIDCH C LAIDCH(-1) PIDCH;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1910 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMACH=MAPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMACH=LOG(AAMACH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMACH=LOG(AMACH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMACH=EXP(LAAMACH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1911 LAAMACH C LAMACH(-1) PMACH;                                         
EQUATION 1212  LAAMACH  
   RHS     C  LAMACH(-1)  PMACH  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1212 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1212
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMACH 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.320415646

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.543719459       0.163713445  -3.32117     1.000000
14045 LAMACH  ( -1)       0.792542585       0.039928432  19.84908    -4.332764
14043 PMACH   (  0)      -0.319158443       0.100417507  -3.17831     1.074062

SE of equation            =     0.282400973
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.2753054       0.565414382E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.194232318
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3502819    
R squared                 =   0.75312
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28863
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1!                              +     * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!              *      +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!    *      +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.2!      +            *                  !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1975.3!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!    *             +                   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1976.3!        +                *            !!           .  .  .           0
 1976.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1977.3!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!              *         +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1979.3!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!               +          *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.3!                *       +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2*           +                          !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.3!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.4!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!          *      +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!    *      +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     *       +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                    *      +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.95 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1912 LAAPACH C LAPACH(-1) PPACH;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1912 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1913 LAAPHCH C LAPHCH(-1) PPHCH;SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1913 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1914 LAATHCH C LATHCH(-1) PTHCH;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1914 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARCH=ARPX$Q/CHPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARCH=LOG(AAARCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARCH=LOG(AARCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARCH=EXP(LAAARCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1915 LAAARCH C LAARCH(-1) PARCH;                                         
EQUATION 1213  LAAARCH  
   RHS     C  LAARCH(-1)  PARCH  
 SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    75 to   244
 OLS;EST 1213 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1213
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARCH 

 1970.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  170 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.440691481

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.012193790       0.469092163  -4.28955     1.000000
14048 LAARCH  ( -1)       0.612871692       0.060970856  10.05188    -5.444451
14046 PARCH   (  0)      -0.086635030       0.315801534  -0.27433     1.059016

SE of equation            =     0.769192179
Sum of squared residuals  =  98.8066537       0.259703370E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.583718956
Sum of ABS residuals      =  99.2322225    
R squared                 =   0.37759
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.83803
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.3   2012.4    170

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.3!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.4!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!      *         +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!            *              +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1975.3!      *         +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!  *             +                     !!0        .    .    .         !
 1976.2*          +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1976.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.2!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!            *          +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.2!                +           *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                        +            *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.2!                              +       *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!              *       +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.1!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!               *       +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1916 LAABRCH C LABRCH(-1) PBRCH;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1916 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1917 LAACECH C LACECH(-1) PCECH;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1917 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1918 LAAMECH C LAMECH(-1) PMECH;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1918 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1919 LAAPECH C LAPECH(-1) PPECH;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1919 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1920 LAATUCH C LATUCH(-1) PTUCH;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1920 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1921 LAAPDCH C LAPDCH(-1) PPDCH;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1921 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1922 LAARUCH C LARUCH(-1) PRUCH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1922 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1923 LAAUECH C LAUECH(-1) PUECH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1923 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1924 LAAEGCH C LAEGCH(-1) PEGCH;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1924 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1925 LAAISCH C LAISCH(-1) PISCH;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1925 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1926 LAAKECH C LAKECH(-1) PKECH;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1926 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1927 LAABACH C LABACH(-1) PBACH;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1927 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKCH=HKPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKCH=LOG(AAHKCH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKCH=LOG(AHKCH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKCH=EXP(LAAHKCH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1928 LAAHKCH C LAHKCH(-1) PHKCH;                                         
EQUATION 1214  LAAHKCH  
   RHS     C  LAHKCH(-1)  PHKCH  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1214 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1214
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKCH 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.581781814

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.182400931       0.058217900   3.13307     1.000000
14051 LAHKCH  ( -1)       0.949525079       0.013601300  69.81135    -2.600176
14049 PHKCH   (  0)      -0.216822786       0.061786990  -3.50920     1.361714

SE of equation            =     0.179830253
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.98270016       0.260902411E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.121572863
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8556982    
R squared                 =   0.99095
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14400
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!     * +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!  *+                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3! +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4! +*                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!* +                                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.1*+                                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2+*                                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!+                                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!+ *                                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!   +*                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!   +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!  +                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!   + *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!     +*                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!    *  +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.3!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!      +*                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!     * +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!     + *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.3!     * +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!  *  +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.1!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1975.2!   *      +                           !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.3!   * +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!   *+                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!  * +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!    +  *                              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.4!        +*                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!       *  +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.2!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!     *   +                            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1977.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!        +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!      *  +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.4!     * +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1979.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.3!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                    + *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                                    +*!!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                                     +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                                    + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                    + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                                   +  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSICH=SIPX$/CHPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASICH=LOG(AASICH+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASICH=LOG(ASICH+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASICH=EXP(LAASICH)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1929 LAASICH C LASICH(-1) PSICH;                                         
EQUATION 1215  LAASICH  
   RHS     C  LASICH(-1)  PSICH  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1215 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1215
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASICH 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.198033189

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.240213594       0.130495599  -1.84078     1.000000
14054 LASICH  ( -1)       0.828170822       0.042998804  19.26032    -4.205099
14052 PSICH   (  0)      -0.355551268       0.120498720  -2.95066     1.336740

SE of equation            =     0.278076839
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.5321775       0.750999263E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177564302
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.6064458    
R squared                 =   0.84634
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04536
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.2!                   *     +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.3!     *              +                 !!0          .  .  .           !
 1974.4*        +                             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.1!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!       *      +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!           +               *          !!           .  .  .           0
 1977.1!               *          +           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1977.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!            *          +              !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1978.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!           *    +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!             +        *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.4!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !


     17.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1930 LAAVICH C LAVICH(-1) PVICH;SMPL 1991.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1930 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1931 LAANICH C LANICH(-1) PNICH;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1931 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1932 LAAALCH C LAALCH(-1) PALCH;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1932 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1933 LAAIACH C LAIACH(-1) PIACH;SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1933 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1934 LAAINCH C LAINCH(-1) PINCH;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1934 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1935 LAAIQCH C LAIQCH(-1) PIQCH;SMPL 2002.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1935 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1936 LAAKUCH C LAKUCH(-1) PKUCH;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1936 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1937 LAALICH C LALICH(-1) PLICH;SMPL 2003.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1937 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1938 LAAUACH C LAUACH(-1) PUACH;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1938 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSAR=USPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSAR=LOG(AAUSAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSAR=LOG(AUSAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSAR=EXP(LAAUSAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1939 LAAUSAR C LAUSAR(-1) PUSAR;                                         
EQUATION 1216  LAAUSAR  
   RHS     C  LAUSAR(-1)  PUSAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1216 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1216
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.657378930

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.343758901       0.091452367  -3.75888     1.000000
14057 LAUSAR  ( -1)       0.757813106       0.048008465  15.78499    -1.657039
14055 PUSAR   (  0)      -0.049968139       0.052205840  -0.95714     1.158614

SE of equation            =     0.104871182
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.03462349       0.548627810E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.080546553
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.1427519    
R squared                 =   0.58743
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24766
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *  +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1966.2*       +                              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1966.3! +                                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1966.4!   +         *                        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1967.1!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1967.2!       *     +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1967.3!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.4!   *   +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1968.1!     + *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.2!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1969.1!        *  +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1969.2!        +    *                        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1969.3!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1969.4!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.1!          +      *                    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.3!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1970.4!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1971.1!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.4! *          +                         !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1972.1!    +           *                     !!        .     .     .       0!
 1972.2!        *      +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1972.3!         +     *                      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.1!      *       +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1973.2!        +       *                     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1973.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1973.4!               + *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.1!     *          +                     !!0       .     .     .        !
 1974.2!  *   +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 1974.3!*   +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1974.4!   +   *                              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1975.1!       *+                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.2!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.3!*         +                           !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1975.4!   +                                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1976.1!     +    *                           !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.3!          +*                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.4!           +      *                   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1977.1!       *         +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1977.2!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.3!       + *                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1977.4!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.1!            +    *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.1!               +           *          !!        .     .     .        0
 1979.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1979.3!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.4!                   +        *         !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1980.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.2!                          +           *!        .     .     .       0!
 1980.3!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.1!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.2!                  *    +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.3!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.1!                 +       *            !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1982.2!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.4!             *    +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.1!        *    +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.2!     *   +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.3!      +   *                           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.4! *         +                          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1984.1!    + *                               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.2!  *     +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.3!    + *                               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.4!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.1!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.2!       +  *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.3!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.4!    *   +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.1!      + *                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.2!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!    *     +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1986.4!      +          *                    !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.2!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1987.3!     *      +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.4!       +    *                         !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.1!            +      *                  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.2!         *       +                    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1988.3!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.4!          +       *                   !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.3!                 +   *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.1!                *     +               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1990.2!               +      *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                     +         *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1991.1!                 *         +          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1991.2!                +        *            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1991.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.4!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.2!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.1!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1994.2!                    *  +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.3!             *    +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.4!             +  *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.3!          *    +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.4!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.2!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.3!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.4!           +      *                   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.2!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!             +  *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.3!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.4!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!              +  *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.3!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.4!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.1!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.2!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!    *         +                       !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2002.4!      +      *                        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2003.1!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.2!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.1!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!      *   +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.3!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2004.4!     *  +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.1!       +  *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.3!  *        +                          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2005.4!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.1!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!      *  +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!   *    +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.4!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.2!   *    +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.3!  *   +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.4!     +  *                             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.1!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.3!      *    +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.4!        +  *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.1!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!    *       +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2009.4!  *   +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.1!     +                                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.2!   *    +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.3*      +                               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.4!   +   *                              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2011.1!        *+                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.3!     *   +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.4!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.1!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.2!              + *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.3!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1940 LAACAAR C LACAAR(-1) PCAAR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1940 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1941 LAAJAAR C LAJAAR(-1) PJAAR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1941 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUAR=AUPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUAR=LOG(AAAUAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUAR=LOG(AAUAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUAR=EXP(LAAAUAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1942 LAAAUAR C LAAUAR(-1) PAUAR;                                         
EQUATION 1217  LAAAUAR  
   RHS     C  LAAUAR(-1)  PAUAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1217 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1217
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.208745468

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.861928634       0.266583406  -3.23324     1.000000
14060 LAAUAR  ( -1)       0.719059575       0.049396324  14.55695    -5.207352
14058 PAUAR   (  0)      -0.602782523       0.212735477  -2.83348     0.999400

SE of equation            =     0.257375052
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.2547547      -0.455502303E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.201393819
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.8620379    
R squared                 =   0.61115
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46565
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!           +         *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.3!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!             *        +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!             +           *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.3!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.1!                          +           *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1978.2!                         *     +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                +           *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                   +             *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.3!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                       *      +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                         *      +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4!                        *      +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.1!                  *        +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.4!        +  *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!   *       +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!   *        +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.4!   *  +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!    *      +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3*         +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.4!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.2!          *       +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.3!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRAR=FRPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRAR=LOG(AAFRAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRAR=LOG(AFRAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRAR=EXP(LAAFRAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1943 LAAFRAR C LAFRAR(-1) PFRAR;                                         
EQUATION 1218  LAAFRAR  
   RHS     C  LAFRAR(-1)  PFRAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1218 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1218
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.240271883

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.732577196       0.155722389  -4.70438     1.000000
14063 LAFRAR  ( -1)       0.744103089       0.050429608  14.75528    -3.240066
14061 PFRAR   (  0)      -0.081546139       0.068262035  -1.19460     1.186466

SE of equation            =     0.181993795
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.12752220      -0.617994544E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.135804179
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.5311857    
R squared                 =   0.58710
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25887
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!*        +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.4*   +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!     +      *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.2!  *        +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.3!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!         +  *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!            +                      *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1976.3!               *              +       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1976.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!            +          *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!         *         +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.3!          +       *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                           +          *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                +                 *   !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1989.2!                      *       +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                 +        *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!     *           +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!           *          +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2002.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.4!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!      +      *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!    *         +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2012.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEAR=GEPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEAR=LOG(AAGEAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEAR=LOG(AGEAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEAR=EXP(LAAGEAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1944 LAAGEAR C LAGEAR(-1) PGEAR;                                         
EQUATION 1219  LAAGEAR  
   RHS     C  LAGEAR(-1)  PGEAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1219 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1219
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.346130883

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.040780505       0.153851061  -0.26506     1.000000
14066 LAGEAR  ( -1)       0.905507440       0.031992281  28.30393    -2.342630
14064 PGEAR   (  0)      -0.184779427       0.166033782  -1.11290     0.996222

SE of equation            =     0.186368779
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.42566452       0.442934578E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.132413229
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8936870    
R squared                 =   0.83960
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66089
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!          *          +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                         +            *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                              *     + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                             *     +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                 *         +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!           +               *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.2!          *              +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITAR=ITPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITAR=LOG(AAITAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITAR=LOG(AITAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITAR=EXP(LAAITAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1945 LAAITAR C LAITAR(-1) PITAR;                                         
EQUATION 1220  LAAITAR  
   RHS     C  LAITAR(-1)  PITAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1220 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1220
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.754461884

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.053229188       0.091127965   0.58411     1.000000
14069 LAITAR  ( -1)       0.849586149       0.036700835  23.14896    -2.747959
14067 PITAR   (  0)      -0.543177922       0.150864562  -3.60043     0.870917

SE of equation            =     0.160976605
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.79399148      -0.106048503E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.122152421
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.9646551    
R squared                 =   0.88483
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52573
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!               *          +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                     *     +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                   *     +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                           +         *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1978.3!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                              *      +!!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                       *      +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                 *     +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.2!                      *       +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       *      +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!+    *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!   * +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!    *    +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1946 LAANEAR C LANEAR(-1) PNEAR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1946 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTAR=STPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTAR=LOG(AASTAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTAR=LOG(ASTAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTAR=EXP(LAASTAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1947 LAASTAR C LASTAR(-1) PSTAR;                                         
EQUATION 1221  LAASTAR  
   RHS     C  LASTAR(-1)  PSTAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1221 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1221
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.871544328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.057987033       0.086377859  -0.67132     1.000000
14072 LASTAR  ( -1)       0.818084886       0.037988370  21.53514    -3.863465
14070 PSTAR   (  0)      -0.733152631       0.162021295  -4.52504     0.890558

SE of equation            =     0.183568751
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.23403501      -0.158539848E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.142972714
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8788702    
R squared                 =   0.91744
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33871
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                        *    +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1968.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                     *        +       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.2!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.2!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.1!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.4!                          *   +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.4!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                               +      *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                             *     +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                       *  +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                     *         +      !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                             *    +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                     *  +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!             *   +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.3!      +    *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!      *    +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!        *   +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.3!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1999.4!          *    +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.1!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2003.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2! +                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3! *+                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!+                                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1! +     *                              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2012.2!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKAR=UKPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKAR=LOG(AAUKAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKAR=LOG(AUKAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKAR=EXP(LAAUKAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1948 LAAUKAR C LAUKAR(-1) PUKAR;                                         
EQUATION 1222  LAAUKAR  
   RHS     C  LAUKAR(-1)  PUKAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1222 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1222
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.969074357

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.192872739       0.265189070   0.72730     1.000000
14075 LAUKAR  ( -1)       0.951515055       0.021146716  44.99588    -3.958585
14073 PUKAR   (  0)      -0.403698083       0.265594124  -1.51998     0.979183

SE of equation            =     0.332617574
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.4673733      -0.178967952E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.197466773
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.1237533    
R squared                 =   0.91791
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95707
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1966.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1967.2!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.4!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1968.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1968.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1969.3!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 1970.1!                                   * +!!            0 . .            !
 1970.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 1971.3!                                     +*!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!                                   *+ !!            .0. .            !
 1973.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.4!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1976.2!                                 * +  !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1977.4!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 1978.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                            +  *      !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1981.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                      *     +         !!          0 . . .            !
 1982.3*                     +                !0            . . .            !
 1982.4!+ *                                   !!            . . 0            !
 1983.1!   +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!   + *                                !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!   *  +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1983.4!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!     +  *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!  *     +                             !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.4! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1! *    +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1986.2!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1986.3! +           *                        !!            . . .     0      !
 1986.4!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!       *      +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1987.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!          +    *                      !!            . . . 0          !
 1988.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                +      *              !!            . . .  0         !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                       +              !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                          +           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                     +                !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 2011.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !


     11.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIAR=FIPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIAR=LOG(AAFIAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIAR=LOG(AFIAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIAR=EXP(LAAFIAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1949 LAAFIAR C LAFIAR(-1) PFIAR;                                         
EQUATION 1223  LAAFIAR  
   RHS     C  LAFIAR(-1)  PFIAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1223 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1223
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.239510396

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.287418850       0.338579856  -3.80241     1.000000
14078 LAFIAR  ( -1)       0.737297551       0.049023320  15.03973    -5.231291
14076 PFIAR   (  0)      -0.101569726       0.255903165  -0.39691     0.936043

SE of equation            =     0.386993598
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.7063483       0.532640598E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267868368
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.3592532    
R squared                 =   0.55267
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40340
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                 +        *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!       *              +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!              +                       *!           .  .  .           0
 1979.1!           *                   +      !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1979.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!           +        *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!  *         +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.1!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4! *       +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!    +      *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2! *         +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.3*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!  +       *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!*        +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!      *  +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!   *     +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!  *       +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3! *       +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASAR=ASPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASAR=LOG(AAASAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASAR=LOG(AASAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASAR=EXP(LAAASAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1950 LAAASAR C LAASAR(-1) PASAR;                                         
EQUATION 1224  LAAASAR  
   RHS     C  LAASAR(-1)  PASAR  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1224 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1224
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASAR 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.185244044

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.560657590       0.341200427  -4.57402     1.000000
14081 LAASAR  ( -1)       0.661512579       0.057292152  11.54630    -5.187965
14079 PASAR   (  0)      -0.181932076       0.201330402  -0.90365     1.059090

SE of equation            =     0.582832654
Sum of squared residuals  =  57.4082696       0.401900735E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.441565150
Sum of ABS residuals      =  75.9492057    
R squared                 =   0.45414
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26122
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!  *          +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!     *       +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!            +        *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!  *             +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.2*       +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!        +          *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.1!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                           +        * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.3!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                       +        *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                    *    +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                     +        *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!          *              +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.4!             +          *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!*                           +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.3!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                        +    *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                   *    +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                   +        *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                    *     +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                         +          * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                                +    *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                     *       +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!             *        +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!             *       +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!              *       +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!             *       +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!           *      +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!               +       *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !


     27.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOAR=SOPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOAR=LOG(AASOAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOAR=LOG(ASOAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOAR=EXP(LAASOAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1951 LAASOAR C LASOAR(-1) PSOAR;                                         
EQUATION 1225  LAASOAR  
   RHS     C  LASOAR(-1)  PSOAR  
 SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    98 to   244
 OLS;EST 1225 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1225
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOAR 

 1976.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  147 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.574178674

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.096532573       0.366156549  -5.72578     1.000000
14084 LASOAR  ( -1)       0.523736561       0.069200580   7.56838    -5.581571
14082 PSOAR   (  0)      -0.567603704       0.179324216  -3.16524     0.976690

SE of equation            =     0.313368743
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.1407956      -0.465343319E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.233272008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.2909852    
R squared                 =   0.39736
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18245
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.2   2012.4    147

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!             +            *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!              +             *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!            +            *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3! *           +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.2!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!          +          *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!        *         +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +           *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.3!           *           +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +             * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.2!                  *           +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.3!                    *        +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!    *            +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .    0     !


     24.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOAR=KOPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOAR=LOG(AAKOAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOAR=LOG(AKOAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOAR=EXP(LAAKOAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1952 LAAKOAR C LAKOAR(-1) PKOAR;                                         
EQUATION 1226  LAAKOAR  
   RHS     C  LAKOAR(-1)  PKOAR  
 SMPL 1977.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   102 to   244
 OLS;EST 1226 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1226
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOAR 

 1977.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  143 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.791478135

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.261950599       0.133168626  -1.96706     1.000000
14087 LAKOAR  ( -1)       0.899818913       0.033264388  27.05052    -4.815076
14085 PKOAR   (  0)      -0.142456288       0.090715388  -1.57037     1.381693

SE of equation            =     0.326750323
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.9472083       0.799360578E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.221455647
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.6681575    
R squared                 =   0.89888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09930
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.2   2012.4    143

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.2!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4! +          *                         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.1!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!              *      +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!   *         +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.1!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!         *       +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                *       +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                                  *   +!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                       *          +   !0          .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !


     21.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.99 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEAR=BEPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEAR=LOG(AABEAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEAR=LOG(ABEAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEAR=EXP(LAABEAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1953 LAABEAR C LABEAR(-1) PBEAR;                                         
EQUATION 1227  LAABEAR  
   RHS     C  LABEAR(-1)  PBEAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1227 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1227
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.417806280

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.274821100       0.273741945  -4.65702     1.000000
14090 LABEAR  ( -1)       0.591488408       0.058804317  10.05859    -4.417194
14088 PBEAR   (  0)      -0.553686036       0.213145491  -2.59769     0.957702

SE of equation            =     0.252236767
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.7703266       0.800248756E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.194549585
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.5753219    
R squared                 =   0.43038
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24489
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!              +              *        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!     *         +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!              +         *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!         *          +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!      *           +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.1!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!          *         +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1! *        +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1954 LAADEAR C LADEAR(-1) PDEAR;SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1954 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOAR=NOPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOAR=LOG(AANOAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOAR=LOG(ANOAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOAR=EXP(LAANOAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1955 LAANOAR C LANOAR(-1) PNOAR;                                         
EQUATION 1228  LAANOAR  
   RHS     C  LANOAR(-1)  PNOAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1228 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1228
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.283715244

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.173378029       0.312079244  -3.75987     1.000000
14093 LANOAR  ( -1)       0.752890099       0.048263610  15.59954    -6.269985
14091 PNOAR   (  0)      -0.465639426       0.230458979  -2.02049     0.836973

SE of equation            =     0.603854663
Sum of squared residuals  =  67.4584839      -0.137383438E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.478540768
Sum of ABS residuals      =  89.9656644    
R squared                 =   0.60968
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17865
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                    +         *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                   *      +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!               +              *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1978.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!         *      +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!              +         *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.4!                     *       +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!          +          *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                  *           +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!  *            +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!      +     *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.3!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                +                *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1996.1!                  *           +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.1!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!   *           +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1997.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!     *         +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2000.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.4!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!      + *                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!   + *                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!      +  *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.4!*              +                      !!0        .    .    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1956 LAASWAR C LASWAR(-1) PSWAR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1956 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1957 LAAGRAR C LAGRAR(-1) PGRAR;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1957 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1958 LAAIRAR C LAIRAR(-1) PIRAR;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1958 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOAR=POPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOAR=LOG(AAPOAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOAR=LOG(APOAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOAR=EXP(LAAPOAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1959 LAAPOAR C LAPOAR(-1) PPOAR;                                         
EQUATION 1229  LAAPOAR  
   RHS     C  LAPOAR(-1)  PPOAR  
 SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   107 to   244
 OLS;EST 1229 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1229
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOAR 

 1978.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.841569070

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.116585518       0.634773054  -3.33440     1.000000
14096 LAPOAR  ( -1)       0.523666339       0.074035737   7.07316    -6.842466
14094 PPOAR   (  0)      -1.036680981       0.534580176  -1.93924     1.101413

SE of equation            =     0.612094008
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.5789750       0.580779869E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.456503335
Sum of ABS residuals      =  62.9974603    
R squared                 =   0.34595
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47657
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.3   2012.4    138

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!                      *       +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!           *            +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!       *            +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!     *                +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.2!              +                  *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1987.3!          *                  +        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!          *           +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1*                     +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!           *               +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.3!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!           *           +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.2!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                       *   +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                       *  +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !


     23.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.80 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPAR=SPPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPAR=LOG(AASPAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPAR=LOG(ASPAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPAR=EXP(LAASPAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1960 LAASPAR C LASPAR(-1) PSPAR;                                         
EQUATION 1230  LAASPAR  
   RHS     C  LASPAR(-1)  PSPAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1230 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1230
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.586161933

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.172165179       0.167981486  -6.97794     1.000000
14099 LASPAR  ( -1)       0.533216617       0.057273063   9.31008    -3.597532
14097 PSPAR   (  0)      -0.433835238       0.114661914  -3.78360     1.142676

SE of equation            =     0.324113261
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.4341401      -0.743360928E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.254021864
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.7561104    
R squared                 =   0.54284
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17635
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+          *                           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1966.2!            +            *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1966.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!          +            *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.4!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!     *                  +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                        *       +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZAR=NZPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZAR=LOG(AANZAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZAR=LOG(ANZAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZAR=EXP(LAANZAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1961 LAANZAR C LANZAR(-1) PNZAR;                                         
EQUATION 1231  LAANZAR  
   RHS     C  LANZAR(-1)  PNZAR  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST 1231 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1231
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZAR 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.623066325

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.844547062       0.901383442  -2.04635     1.000000
14102 LANZAR  ( -1)       0.619719717       0.067073368   9.23943    -7.630803
14100 PNZAR   (  0)      -1.097231125       0.909147478  -1.20688     0.956554

SE of equation            =     0.739401193
Sum of squared residuals  =  73.2596926      -0.561426461E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.526953441
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.1926214    
R squared                 =   0.42114
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29175
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!        *               +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1980.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2! *           +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!      *         +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.2!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1! *               +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                    +                *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1991.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !


     21.17 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.84 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1962 LAASAAR C LASAAR(-1) PSAAR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1962 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1963 LAAVEAR C LAVEAR(-1) PVEAR;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1963 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1964 LAACOAR C LACOAR(-1) PCOAR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1964 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1965 LAAJOAR C LAJOAR(-1) PJOAR;SMPL 2010.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 1965 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1966 LAASYAR C LASYAR(-1) PSYAR;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1966 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDAR=IDPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDAR=LOG(AAIDAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDAR=LOG(AIDAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDAR=EXP(LAAIDAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1967 LAAIDAR C LAIDAR(-1) PIDAR;                                         
EQUATION 1232  LAAIDAR  
   RHS     C  LAIDAR(-1)  PIDAR  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1232 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1232
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDAR 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.287746380

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.017564249       0.377891820   0.04648     1.000000
14105 LAIDAR  ( -1)       0.911290526       0.033544575  27.16655    -6.313978
14103 PIDAR   (  0)      -0.509363773       0.368703386  -1.38150     1.082610

SE of equation            =     0.490984859
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.8564649       0.122479804E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.321937105
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.1737608    
R squared                 =   0.87461
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.68293
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1! *                +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2!   +         *                        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!    *      +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3! *       +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.4!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1! *      +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1*      +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2! +            *                       !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1986.3!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!        *      +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!      *         +                     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1989.4!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!          *       +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                     *     +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                                *    +!!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !


     22.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAAR=MAPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAAR=LOG(AAMAAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAAR=LOG(AMAAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAAR=EXP(LAAMAAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1968 LAAMAAR C LAMAAR(-1) PMAAR;                                         
EQUATION 1233  LAAMAAR  
   RHS     C  LAMAAR(-1)  PMAAR  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1233 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1233
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAAR 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.826187250

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.451883064       0.265902774  -5.46020     1.000000
14108 LAMAAR  ( -1)       0.689380294       0.051242278  13.45335    -5.828128
14106 PMAAR   (  0)      -0.296151412       0.074405226  -3.98025     1.203801

SE of equation            =     0.287458108
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7911573      -0.640900666E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.214235966
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.9909458    
R squared                 =   0.65256
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41956
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          +           *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!        *           +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!        *             +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!           *             +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.4!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAAR=PAPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAAR=LOG(AAPAAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAAR=LOG(APAAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAAR=EXP(LAAPAAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1969 LAAPAAR C LAPAAR(-1) PPAAR;                                         
EQUATION 1234  LAAPAAR  
   RHS     C  LAPAAR(-1)  PPAAR  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1234 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1234
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAAR 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.026692673

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.214727169       0.292409191  -0.73434     1.000000
14111 LAPAAR  ( -1)       0.791536787       0.045288311  17.47773    -8.037926
14109 PPAAR   (  0)      -1.166546733       0.295975747  -3.94136     1.242686

SE of equation            =     0.518653776
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.3912418      -0.105710996E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.358380171
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.8899843    
R squared                 =   0.85023
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13677
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           +          *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!     *         +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!*         +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.4!    +                *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                   *       +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!     *             +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.4*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.1!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.2!        *         +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                   *       +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                     *+!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !


     24.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1970 LAAPHAR C LAPHAR(-1) PPHAR;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1970 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHAR=THPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHAR=LOG(AATHAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHAR=LOG(ATHAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHAR=EXP(LAATHAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1971 LAATHAR C LATHAR(-1) PTHAR;                                         
EQUATION 1235  LAATHAR  
   RHS     C  LATHAR(-1)  PTHAR  
 SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   154 to   244
 OLS;EST 1235 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1235
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHAR 

 1990.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   91 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.634678083

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.290282431       0.822592712   0.35289     1.000000
14114 LATHAR  ( -1)       0.862516438       0.041025816  21.02375    -5.692530
14112 PTHAR   (  0)      -0.950851968       0.726733142  -1.30839     1.067527

SE of equation            =     0.448214968
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.6789059       0.248956411E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.277139275
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.2196740    
R squared                 =   0.83398
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57404
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.2   2012.4     91

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3*        +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1990.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!           +            *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.2!            *            +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.3!          *       +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                      *      +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !


     17.58 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHAR=CHPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHAR=LOG(AACHAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHAR=LOG(ACHAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHAR=EXP(LAACHAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1972 LAACHAR C LACHAR(-1) PCHAR;                                         
EQUATION 1236  LAACHAR  
   RHS     C  LACHAR(-1)  PCHAR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1236 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1236
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHAR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.451297618

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.199760056       0.528189469   2.27146     1.000000
14117 LACHAR  ( -1)       0.908625078       0.034636254  26.23335    -4.480596
14115 PCHAR   (  0)      -1.431472291       0.574476400  -2.49179     1.103672

SE of equation            =     0.453863850
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.3370645       0.182700521E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.313282980
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.4736555    
R squared                 =   0.93766
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32504
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!        *   +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4! *        +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.3*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!+       *                             !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1986.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!     *         +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!        *     +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!   *         +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                     *+!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                      +!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRAR=BRPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRAR=LOG(AABRAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRAR=LOG(ABRAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRAR=EXP(LAABRAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1973 LAABRAR C LABRAR(-1) PBRAR;                                         
EQUATION 1237  LAABRAR  
   RHS     C  LABRAR(-1)  PBRAR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1237 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1237
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRAR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.334528010

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.169128972       0.164834844  -1.02605     1.000000
14120 LABRAR  ( -1)       0.832126590       0.047429175  17.54461    -1.342560
14118 PBRAR   (  0)      -0.050875493       0.144478612  -0.35213     0.947793

SE of equation            =     0.177707182
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.88432063      -0.466349181E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.121522989
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3118966    
R squared                 =   0.72421
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44857
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1*            +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!      *             +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!     *           +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!    *              +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!    *             +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +               *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   *        +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1974 LAACEAR C LACEAR(-1) PCEAR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1974 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEAR=MEPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEAR=LOG(AAMEAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEAR=LOG(AMEAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEAR=EXP(LAAMEAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1975 LAAMEAR C LAMEAR(-1) PMEAR;                                         
EQUATION 1238  LAAMEAR  
   RHS     C  LAMEAR(-1)  PMEAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1238 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1238
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.347806068

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.225664981       0.142420540  -1.58450     1.000000
14123 LAMEAR  ( -1)       0.913274111       0.036508601  25.01531    -4.358224
14121 PMEAR   (  0)      -0.122463156       0.161570787  -0.75795     1.158614

SE of equation            =     0.242307291
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8618723       0.252233789E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.163915036
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.8160268    
R squared                 =   0.86708
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03218
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!           *        +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!        *         +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!  *          +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1*      +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2! +        *                           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.3!           +            *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!              *         +             !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!          *      +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1987.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.1!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                +    *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEAR=PEPX$Q/ARPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEAR=LOG(AAPEAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEAR=LOG(APEAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEAR=EXP(LAAPEAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1976 LAAPEAR C LAPEAR(-1) PPEAR;                                         
EQUATION 1239  LAAPEAR  
   RHS     C  LAPEAR(-1)  PPEAR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1239 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1239
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEAR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.697436635

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.849243487       0.273773859  -3.10199     1.000000
14126 LAPEAR  ( -1)       0.815922737       0.050020194  16.31187    -5.694480
14124 PPEAR   (  0)      -0.240309964       0.119700279  -2.00760     0.840322

SE of equation            =     0.391622367
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.8642737       0.574917891E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.291414046
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.7181697    
R squared                 =   0.72237
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27469
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3*            +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.4!  +               *                   !!          .   .   .          0
 1982.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                        *      +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!            *         +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!               *         +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!*            +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1994.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.3!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!       *       +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1977 LAATUAR C LATUAR(-1) PTUAR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1977 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1978 LAAPDAR C LAPDAR(-1) PPDAR;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1978 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1979 LAARUAR C LARUAR(-1) PRUAR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1979 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1980 LAAUEAR C LAUEAR(-1) PUEAR;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1980 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1981 LAAEGAR C LAEGAR(-1) PEGAR;SMPL 1996.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 1981 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISAR=ISPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISAR=LOG(AAISAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISAR=LOG(AISAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISAR=EXP(LAAISAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1982 LAAISAR C LAISAR(-1) PISAR;                                         
EQUATION 1240  LAAISAR  
   RHS     C  LAISAR(-1)  PISAR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1240 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1240
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISAR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.134844256

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.237357602       0.524886072  -2.35738     1.000000
14129 LAISAR  ( -1)       0.696120692       0.051657931  13.47558    -6.140870
14127 PISAR   (  0)      -0.610343006       0.448921307  -1.35958     1.020245

SE of equation            =     0.519892220
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.0032652       0.601554362E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.389281099
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.1848466    
R squared                 =   0.50799
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53553
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!          *       +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                +        *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!               *         +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                   *          +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +        * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                     *        +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.1!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1983 LAAKEAR C LAKEAR(-1) PKEAR;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1983 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1984 LAABAAR C LABAAR(-1) PBAAR;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1984 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKAR=HKPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKAR=LOG(AAHKAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKAR=LOG(AHKAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKAR=EXP(LAAHKAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1985 LAAHKAR C LAHKAR(-1) PHKAR;                                         
EQUATION 1241  LAAHKAR  
   RHS     C  LAHKAR(-1)  PHKAR  
 SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   128 to   244
 OLS;EST 1241 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1241
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKAR 

 1983.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  117 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.141715116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.296698291       0.277331631  -1.06983     1.000000
14132 LAHKAR  ( -1)       0.901494060       0.033185621  27.16520    -5.173076
14130 PHKAR   (  0)      -0.151222975       0.235829713  -0.64124     1.200344

SE of equation            =     0.414208255
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.5588066       0.894173624E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.268599595
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.4261526    
R squared                 =   0.88252
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40945
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.4   2012.4    117

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.4+*                                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!   +   *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!  *     +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!  *       +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!     +    *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!       *            +                 !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1987.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1! *         +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1988.2!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!       *       +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1989.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3*            +                         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1989.4!  +               *                   !!           .  .  .           0
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                  *      +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !


     17.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIAR=SIPX$/ARPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIAR=LOG(AASIAR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIAR=LOG(ASIAR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIAR=EXP(LAASIAR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1986 LAASIAR C LASIAR(-1) PSIAR;                                         
EQUATION 1242  LAASIAR  
   RHS     C  LASIAR(-1)  PSIAR  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1242 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1242
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIAR 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.662591544

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.930843080       0.324437859  -5.95135     1.000000
14135 LASIAR  ( -1)       0.625553317       0.058804355  10.63787    -5.663923
14133 PSIAR   (  0)      -0.125674920       0.077172037  -1.62850     1.501194

SE of equation            =     0.384532667
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.8764401       0.168336456E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.270724666
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.1889905    
R squared                 =   0.43305
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36012
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1*        +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!    +             *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!   *        +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!      +            *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1! *       +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!         +        *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!  *          +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3! *       +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!   *   +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!    *        +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.3! *      +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1! *     +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!           +                          *!           .  .  .           0
 2004.3!      *                      +        !! 0         .  .  .           !
 2004.4!         +       *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.1!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2005.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2! *            +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2006.3! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!      +     *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!   *            +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2007.3!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!         +        *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!         *        +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!   *         +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 1987 LAAVIAR C LAVIAR(-1) PVIAR;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1987 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1988 LAANIAR C LANIAR(-1) PNIAR;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1988 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1989 LAAALAR C LAALAR(-1) PALAR;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1989 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1990 LAAIAAR C LAIAAR(-1) PIAAR;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1990 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1991 LAAINAR C LAINAR(-1) PINAR;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1991 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1992 LAAIQAR C LAIQAR(-1) PIQAR;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1992 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1993 LAAKUAR C LAKUAR(-1) PKUAR;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 1993 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1994 LAALIAR C LALIAR(-1) PLIAR;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1994 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 1995 LAAUAAR C LAUAAR(-1) PUAAR;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1995 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSBR=USPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSBR=LOG(AAUSBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSBR=LOG(AUSBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSBR=EXP(LAAUSBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1996 LAAUSBR C LAUSBR(-1) PUSBR;                                         
EQUATION 1243  LAAUSBR  
   RHS     C  LAUSBR(-1)  PUSBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1243 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1243
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.546144387

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.544779033       0.081469855  -6.68688     1.000000
14138 LAUSBR  ( -1)       0.552262174       0.063714097   8.66782    -1.544732
14136 PUSBR   (  0)      -0.100071402       0.031188763  -3.20857     1.481625

SE of equation            =     0.112274761
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.33204004      -0.743849426E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.083320763
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6643034    
R squared                 =   0.48798
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.3!   *         +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1*         +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!         *         +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!          *       +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!        *             +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1993.1!                  *            +      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  1997 LAACABR C LACABR(-1) PCABR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1997 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  1998 LAAJABR C LAJABR(-1) PJABR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 1998 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUBR=AUPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUBR=LOG(AAAUBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUBR=LOG(AAUBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUBR=EXP(LAAAUBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 1999 LAAAUBR C LAAUBR(-1) PAUBR;                                         
EQUATION 1244  LAAAUBR  
   RHS     C  LAAUBR(-1)  PAUBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1244 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1244
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.721250933

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.930234731       0.226088430  -4.11447     1.000000
14141 LAAUBR  ( -1)       0.760606688       0.055170186  13.78655    -5.729754
14139 PAUBR   (  0)      -0.342246370       0.167555138  -2.04259     1.264957

SE of equation            =     0.293595299
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9466669      -0.301714209E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.216017155
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6112251    
R squared                 =   0.71416
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29340
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                *        +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.2!       *        +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!            *        +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!          *       +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!            +        *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!          *          +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!          *       +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2*                         +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1983.3!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!*           +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!      +              *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1984.3!           *          +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                 +        *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                 *       +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!         *        +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!             +          *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!            *          +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!              +          *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                           *   +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             +        *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRBR=FRPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRBR=LOG(AAFRBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRBR=LOG(AFRBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRBR=EXP(LAAFRBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2000 LAAFRBR C LAFRBR(-1) PFRBR;                                         
EQUATION 1245  LAAFRBR  
   RHS     C  LAFRBR(-1)  PFRBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1245 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1245
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.517199601

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.701651795       0.146592568  -4.78641     1.000000
14144 LAFRBR  ( -1)       0.767768845       0.048537684  15.81800    -3.520327
14142 PFRBR   (  0)      -0.074403508       0.043581884  -1.70721     1.515393

SE of equation            =     0.177327217
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.81731428      -0.105324638E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.137246420
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.8023269    
R squared                 =   0.68374
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32977
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!  +      *                            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1966.3! *        +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.4!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2! *      +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.3!    + *                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!            *     +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.3!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!          *      +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.4!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                *       +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!    *        +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!           *   +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!          *      +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .         0
 2000.2!                       *      +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2000.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .         0
 2002.1!                           *      +   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                          +          *!!         .    .    .         0
 2002.3!                                 +    *!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!                          *       +   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2001 LAAGEBR C LAGEBR(-1) PGEBR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2001 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITBR=ITPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITBR=LOG(AAITBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITBR=LOG(AITBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITBR=EXP(LAAITBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2002 LAAITBR C LAITBR(-1) PITBR;                                         
EQUATION 1246  LAAITBR  
   RHS     C  LAITBR(-1)  PITBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1246 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1246
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.266364578

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.596070075       0.145258045  -4.10353     1.000000
14147 LAITBR  ( -1)       0.804516976       0.048828386  16.47642    -3.269156
14145 PITBR   (  0)      -0.036682253       0.119769105  -0.30627     1.095972

SE of equation            =     0.191016304
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.75013728      -0.223554508E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.143471797
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9726979    
R squared                 =   0.67233
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50054
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!               *         +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!      *               +               !!0         .   .   .          !
 1979.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!      *           +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!*                 +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!         *           +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!               +            *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEBR=NEPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEBR=LOG(AANEBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEBR=LOG(ANEBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEBR=EXP(LAANEBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2003 LAANEBR C LANEBR(-1) PNEBR;                                         
EQUATION 1247  LAANEBR  
   RHS     C  LANEBR(-1)  PNEBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1247 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1247
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.416511224

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.518641112       0.241910497  -6.27770     1.000000
14150 LANEBR  ( -1)       0.597520839       0.062992970   9.48552    -4.419589
14148 PNEBR   (  0)      -0.177389505       0.061486277  -2.88503     1.449205

SE of equation            =     0.215807008
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.61594298       0.217292850E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.168314499
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.6431258    
R squared                 =   0.49763
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06800
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!            *       +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.2!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1977.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!                        +             *!         .    .    .         0
 1977.4!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3*         +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!        *         +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.3!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.3!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!               +           *          !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1989.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!           *         +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.1!             +       *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                +             *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1992.4!                           +          *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.1!                         *      +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.1!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                  *        +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.2!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTBR=STPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTBR=LOG(AASTBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTBR=LOG(ASTBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTBR=EXP(LAASTBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2004 LAASTBR C LASTBR(-1) PSTBR;                                         
EQUATION 1248  LAASTBR  
   RHS     C  LASTBR(-1)  PSTBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1248 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1248
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.987407363

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.484183554       0.141887310  -3.41245     1.000000
14153 LASTBR  ( -1)       0.861832235       0.042099981  20.47108    -3.982430
14151 PSTBR   (  0)      -0.063409199       0.082824095  -0.76559     1.120304

SE of equation            =     0.173546378
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.57189390       0.217044160E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.139240567
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1772266    
R squared                 =   0.76863
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48814
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!                             *     +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!               *      +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!             *         +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!               *      +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1! *        +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!  +          *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.3!             +          *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1992.4!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!        +   *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!      *             +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 2000.4!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.3!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!            +      *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!  *    +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2*        +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !


     35.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKBR=UKPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKBR=LOG(AAUKBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKBR=LOG(AUKBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKBR=EXP(LAAUKBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2005 LAAUKBR C LAUKBR(-1) PUKBR;                                         
EQUATION 1249  LAAUKBR  
   RHS     C  LAUKBR(-1)  PUKBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1249 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1249
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.620685612

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.401239835       0.137902574  -2.90959     1.000000
14156 LAUKBR  ( -1)       0.884735217       0.035789179  24.72075    -3.618180
14154 PUKBR   (  0)      -0.014684740       0.060134231  -0.24420     1.247200

SE of equation            =     0.188020135
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.54004065      -0.894262442E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.145826688
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.4154173    
R squared                 =   0.77432
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52123
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!                         *     +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                         *        +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                    +                *!!          .   .   .          0
 1979.2!                             *    +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                      *      +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!         *         +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!         *          +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.3* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIBR=FIPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIBR=LOG(AAFIBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIBR=LOG(AFIBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIBR=EXP(LAAFIBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2006 LAAFIBR C LAFIBR(-1) PFIBR;                                         
EQUATION 1250  LAAFIBR  
   RHS     C  LAFIBR(-1)  PFIBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1250 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1250
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.480048451

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.700573076       0.273046205  -6.22815     1.000000
14159 LAFIBR  ( -1)       0.592613073       0.063234647   9.37165    -5.483027
14157 PFIBR   (  0)      -0.443605810       0.113951027  -3.89295     1.195120

SE of equation            =     0.282397040
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7533963      -0.271498379E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.215036063
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.4267798    
R squared                 =   0.60858
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19846
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1966.2!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1966.3!               +    *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1966.4!              *    +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.1!                +         *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1967.2!                       +              *!        .     .     .        0
 1967.3!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1967.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.1!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.3!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.4!                     + *              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.2!         *            +               !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1969.3!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1969.4!                    +          *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1970.1!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.2!                  *    +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.3!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.4!                  *  +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1971.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.3!                      +   *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1971.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.2!                       +     *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1972.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!                *       +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1973.1!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1973.2!                 *        +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.4!         *          +                 !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.1!            +            *            !!        .     .     .       0!
 1974.2!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.3!            *         +               !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1974.4!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.1!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.2!   *            +                     !!0       .     .     .        !
 1975.3!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.4!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.1!       *     +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.2!          +     *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.4!       *     +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.1!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.2!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.3!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.4!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.2!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.3!                 *  +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.4!               *   +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.1!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.2!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!          *      +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1981.1!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!   *         +                        !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.4!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.2!  *    +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.3!      + *                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!        * +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.1!         +   *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.3!        *   +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.1!    *    +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.2*       +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.3!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.4!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.1!*          +                          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1985.2!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.4! *         +                          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1986.1!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!         *+                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1986.4!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.1!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.3!       *     +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1987.4!   *    +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.1*      +                               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.2!  +     *                             !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.3!        +     *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.1!         +   *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.2!           +           *              !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.4!              +    *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.3!        +  *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!        *  +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.1!        +          *                  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.3!             +            *           !!        .     .     .       0!
 1991.4!                *    +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.1! *             +                      !!0       .     .     .        !
 1992.2!+          *                          !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1992.3!          +    *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.4!                  +     *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.1!              *         +             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1993.2!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.4!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.2!               +  *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.3!          *       +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.1!             +   *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.2!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.3!         *    +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.4!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.2!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.3!          *   +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.4!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.2!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!            *     +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.1!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!                   +         *        !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.2!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.4!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.1!                      +          *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.4!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!                         +            *!        .     .     .      0 !
 2001.4!                                +     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.1!                            +        *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.3!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.2!                   *   +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!                      +       *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.3!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.4!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.2!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.4!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.1!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.2!                      +     *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.4!                          +      *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.1!                             +   *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.4!                    *   +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.1!                         +         *  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2009.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.3!                            +     *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.4!                          *   +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.1!                *        +            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2010.2!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.3!                   *      +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.4!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.1!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.2!            *         +               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2011.3!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.4!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASBR=ASPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASBR=LOG(AAASBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASBR=LOG(AASBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASBR=EXP(LAAASBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2007 LAAASBR C LAASBR(-1) PASBR;                                         
EQUATION 1251  LAAASBR  
   RHS     C  LAASBR(-1)  PASBR  
 SMPL 1967.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    61 to   244
 OLS;EST 1251 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1251
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASBR 

 1967.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  184 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.762412043

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.987765640       0.249864130  -3.95321     1.000000
14162 LAASBR  ( -1)       0.664559459       0.051867106  12.81273    -5.771391
14160 PASBR   (  0)      -0.684440222       0.162569984  -4.21013     1.372237

SE of equation            =     0.583624650
Sum of squared residuals  =  61.6518096      -0.386091159E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.402191857
Sum of ABS residuals      =  74.0033017    
R squared                 =   0.67541
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40429
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.1   2012.4    184

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!             +                        *!           .  .  .           0
 1967.3!                       *         +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.4!                       +           *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.1!         *                     +      !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1968.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3*            +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!*            +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1970.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.3!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1971.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!        *            +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!           *            +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.2!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                   *      +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                   +    *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                       *    +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                                *   + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                             *   +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                              *  +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            *     +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             *   +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                        *  +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !


     20.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.89 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2008 LAASOBR C LASOBR(-1) PSOBR;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2008 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOBR=KOPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOBR=LOG(AAKOBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOBR=LOG(AKOBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOBR=EXP(LAAKOBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2009 LAAKOBR C LAKOBR(-1) PKOBR;                                         
EQUATION 1252  LAAKOBR  
   RHS     C  LAKOBR(-1)  PKOBR  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1252 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1252
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOBR 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.198270562

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.120621328       0.157415806  -0.76626     1.000000
14165 LAKOBR  ( -1)       0.833014255       0.049138822  16.95226    -5.232063
14163 PKOBR   (  0)      -0.396695253       0.144867468  -2.73833     1.813146

SE of equation            =     0.673061370
Sum of squared residuals  =  62.9686135      -0.216759943E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.388552010
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.1743854    
R squared                 =   0.90131
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37349
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!   *       +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!*        +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.1!   +          *                       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1981.2*              +                       !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1981.3! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!   +             *                    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1982.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!       +                *             !!           .  .  .           0
 1983.3!       *             +                !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1983.4*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2! +  *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!   +      *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                      +!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !


     14.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEBR=BEPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEBR=LOG(AABEBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEBR=LOG(ABEBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEBR=EXP(LAABEBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2010 LAABEBR C LABEBR(-1) PBEBR;                                         
EQUATION 1253  LAABEBR  
   RHS     C  LABEBR(-1)  PBEBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1253 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1253
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.406485644

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.572823594       0.167379604  -3.42230     1.000000
14168 LABEBR  ( -1)       0.838771766       0.044480201  18.85719    -4.406492
14166 PBEBR   (  0)      -0.113593122       0.116332314  -0.97645     1.211526

SE of equation            =     0.218796322
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.85628866       0.262923017E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.164496331
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9253102    
R squared                 =   0.74567
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18198
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                 *         +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.3!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!             *         +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.4!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!  *         +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.4! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!   +         *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.1!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1995.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                *          +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEBR=DEPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEBR=LOG(AADEBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEBR=LOG(ADEBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEBR=EXP(LAADEBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2011 LAADEBR C LADEBR(-1) PDEBR;                                         
EQUATION 1254  LAADEBR  
   RHS     C  LADEBR(-1)  PDEBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1254 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1254
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.736362069

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.234324793       0.297455338  -4.14961     1.000000
14171 LADEBR  ( -1)       0.765613291       0.047948068  15.96755    -5.738278
14169 PDEBR   (  0)      -0.085807391       0.128548781  -0.66751     1.267206

SE of equation            =     0.354927325
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.3050801      -0.948574552E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.263757557
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.5864206    
R squared                 =   0.58955
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58391
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1970.1!                     *          +     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!*        +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!*           +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.2!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!*          +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.4!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!       *         +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOBR=NOPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOBR=LOG(AANOBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOBR=LOG(ANOBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOBR=EXP(LAANOBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2012 LAANOBR C LANOBR(-1) PNOBR;                                         
EQUATION 1255  LAANOBR  
   RHS     C  LANOBR(-1)  PNOBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1255 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1255
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.133425925

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.872635399       0.277205269  -6.75541     1.000000
14174 LANOBR  ( -1)       0.549991987       0.062243688   8.83611    -5.126033
14172 PNOBR   (  0)      -0.417540943       0.111448867  -3.74648     1.057414

SE of equation            =     0.332312015
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.4297859      -0.572857317E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.257802220
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.4668174    
R squared                 =   0.48601
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37225
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                        +             *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1967.3!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1969.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                +            *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1978.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!*               +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.4!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!    *      +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.1!                     *     +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!     *           +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.1!                *         +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1995.4!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!           *              +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!        *            +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2001.4!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.2!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1*              +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 2008.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!   *          +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2013 LAASWBR C LASWBR(-1) PSWBR;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2013 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRBR=GRPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRBR=LOG(AAGRBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRBR=LOG(AGRBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRBR=EXP(LAAGRBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2014 LAAGRBR C LAGRBR(-1) PGRBR;                                         
EQUATION 1256  LAAGRBR  
   RHS     C  LAGRBR(-1)  PGRBR  
 SMPL 1984.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   132 to   244
 OLS;EST 1256 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1256
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRBR 

 1984.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  113 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.222520335

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.731426401       0.574062148  -1.27412     1.000000
14177 LAGRBR  ( -1)       0.525307952       0.075148748   6.99024    -8.259365
14175 PGRBR   (  0)      -2.721177604       0.615227711  -4.42304     1.158463

SE of equation            =     0.837279170
Sum of squared residuals  =  77.1140050       0.162891922E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.640519153
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.3786643    
R squared                 =   0.62714
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15289
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.4   2012.4    113

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.4! *     +                              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.1!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.2!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.3!    *   +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1985.4*       +                              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1986.1!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.3!*           +                         !!0       .     .     .        !
 1986.4!       +      *                       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1987.1!          *    +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1987.2*           +                          !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1987.3!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.4! *      +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.1!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2*  +                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.3! *  +                                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.4!    +            *                    !!        .     .     .        0
 1989.1!   *         +                        !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1989.2!       + *                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.3!       *   +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1989.4!      *+                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.1!     *    +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.2!    *    +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.3!      +     *                         !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.4!             +       *                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1991.1!                +      *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.2!         *           +                !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1991.3!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.4!                +    *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.1!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.2!      +       *                       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1992.3!            +    *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.4!                       +         *    !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1993.1!                                +     *!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!                    *        +        !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.1!                       +     *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.3!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.4!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.2!                        +    *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.3!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.4!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.1!                      +          *    !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1996.2!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!                  *       +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1997.3!                *     +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.1!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.3!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.4!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.2!                 *        +           !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1999.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.1!                     *    +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.2!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.3!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.4!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.1!                   *       +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2001.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!              *           +           !!0       .     .     .        !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.1!                 *       +            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.2!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.3!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.4!                      +    *          !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.2!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.3!                     *   +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                  +       *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.2!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.1!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.3!                  +     *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!                     +          *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2006.2!                    *     +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.3!                    +   *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!                  +     *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 2008.3!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.2!                  *  +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.4!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!              *   +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.2!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2010.3!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.4!                 *       +            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.1!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.4!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.1!              *    +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.2!                +                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!                  +         *         !!        .     .     .     0  !


     32.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.31 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRBR=IRPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRBR=LOG(AAIRBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRBR=LOG(AIRBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRBR=EXP(LAAIRBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2015 LAAIRBR C LAIRBR(-1) PIRBR;                                         
EQUATION 1257  LAAIRBR  
   RHS     C  LAIRBR(-1)  PIRBR  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1257 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1257
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRBR 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.563426009

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.961831851       0.362616647  -5.41021     1.000000
14180 LAIRBR  ( -1)       0.566599607       0.072920572   7.77009    -6.560162
14178 PIRBR   (  0)      -0.625264585       0.167190139  -3.73984     1.414776

SE of equation            =     0.503846364
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.0328399       0.119246835E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.349040395
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.2146957    
R squared                 =   0.60944
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03373
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!         *                +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +           *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!              *          +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1*             +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                       +             *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +            *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                      +              *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!             *              +         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +          *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOBR=POPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOBR=LOG(AAPOBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOBR=LOG(APOBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOBR=EXP(LAAPOBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2016 LAAPOBR C LAPOBR(-1) PPOBR;                                         
EQUATION 1258  LAAPOBR  
   RHS     C  LAPOBR(-1)  PPOBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1258 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1258
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.119152777

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.268323091       0.306377676  -7.40368     1.000000
14183 LAPOBR  ( -1)       0.496602617       0.064845673   7.65822    -6.127864
14181 PPOBR   (  0)      -0.545155775       0.106406938  -5.12331     1.481625

SE of equation            =     0.328464028
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.9593943       0.334674510E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.243513833
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.7806005    
R squared                 =   0.60846
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20096
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +            *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                  *        +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                  +                *  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1986.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1986.4!              *              +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!          *         +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPBR=SPPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPBR=LOG(AASPBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPBR=LOG(ASPBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPBR=EXP(LAASPBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2017 LAASPBR C LASPBR(-1) PSPBR;                                         
EQUATION 1259  LAASPBR  
   RHS     C  LASPBR(-1)  PSPBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1259 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1259
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.646310233

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.687476993       0.161278285  -4.26268     1.000000
14186 LASPBR  ( -1)       0.772654133       0.048427643  15.95482    -4.655623
14184 PSPBR   (  0)      -0.249138465       0.083439859  -2.98584     1.451590

SE of equation            =     0.282997053
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8161564       0.659472477E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.218370307
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.0536177    
R squared                 =   0.79447
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38965
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! +    *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.4!  +    *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!            +         *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1968.2!          *       +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!        +    *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                 +     *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!         *         +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!             *          +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1979.4!               +          *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.1!    *         +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!    *        +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!  *             +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.1! *    +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!    *         +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!      *         +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!     *         +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.4*       +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!      +  *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.3!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.1!  *       +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!  +          *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.1!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.2!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.2!                           *    +     !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZBR=NZPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZBR=LOG(AANZBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZBR=LOG(ANZBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZBR=EXP(LAANZBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2018 LAANZBR C LANZBR(-1) PNZBR;                                         
EQUATION 1260  LAANZBR  
   RHS     C  LANZBR(-1)  PNZBR  
 SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   137 to   244
 OLS;EST 1260 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1260
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZBR 

 1986.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  108 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.830301339

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.339902867       0.733339657  -3.19075     1.000000
14189 LANZBR  ( -1)       0.336490846       0.088436683   3.80488    -7.824251
14187 PNZBR   (  0)      -2.467308970       0.610366243  -4.04234     1.158189

SE of equation            =     0.991039376
Sum of squared residuals  =  103.126700      -0.773248132E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.683257424
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.7918018    
R squared                 =   0.35192
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.86252
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.1   2012.4    108

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.1! *                 +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.2!            +               *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4*                +                     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1988.1! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!*    +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4! *     +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!            +            *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.4!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!   *        +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!          +      *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!               +           *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!           +       *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +                  *!         .    .    .         0
 1993.3!                    *     +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                 *   +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                *    +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!*                  +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                  +           *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.4!              *         +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!              *    +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !


     20.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2019 LAASABR C LASABR(-1) PSABR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2019 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2020 LAAVEBR C LAVEBR(-1) PVEBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2020 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2021 LAACOBR C LACOBR(-1) PCOBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2021 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2022 LAAJOBR C LAJOBR(-1) PJOBR;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2022 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2023 LAASYBR C LASYBR(-1) PSYBR;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2023 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDBR=IDPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDBR=LOG(AAIDBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDBR=LOG(AIDBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDBR=EXP(LAAIDBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2024 LAAIDBR C LAIDBR(-1) PIDBR;                                         
EQUATION 1261  LAAIDBR  
   RHS     C  LAIDBR(-1)  PIDBR  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1261 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1261
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDBR 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.461529615

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.064945760       0.223025491   0.29120     1.000000
14192 LAIDBR  ( -1)       0.900237373       0.035909272  25.06978    -6.498653
14190 PIDBR   (  0)      -0.486936520       0.217164498  -2.24225     1.388569

SE of equation            =     0.596043316
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.4742572      -0.398481248E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.432251774
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.6249824    
R squared                 =   0.91579
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28534
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2*       +                              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3! +   *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!      *      +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!     *     +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.2!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!         *         +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1989.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!          *     +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                    *      +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.1!                        *      +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                              *   +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !


     25.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMABR=MAPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMABR=LOG(AAMABR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMABR=LOG(AMABR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMABR=EXP(LAAMABR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2025 LAAMABR C LAMABR(-1) PMABR;                                         
EQUATION 1262  LAAMABR  
   RHS     C  LAMABR(-1)  PMABR  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1262 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1262
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMABR 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.845313196

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.988787659       0.231822206  -4.26528     1.000000
14195 LAMABR  ( -1)       0.760584128       0.051080976  14.88977    -5.864756
14193 PMABR   (  0)      -0.267839728       0.088356325  -3.03136     1.478066

SE of equation            =     0.431968506
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.0565345      -0.405719902E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.295683489
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.7611564    
R squared                 =   0.79625
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39189
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!  *         +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.3! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!     +        *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3*             +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1978.4!    +       *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!               +                   *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1983.4!                  *          +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                +              *      !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1984.2!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                   *         +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.4!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                     *        +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1992.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                              *    +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !


     18.92 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPABR=PAPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPABR=LOG(AAPABR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPABR=LOG(APABR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPABR=EXP(LAAPABR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2026 LAAPABR C LAPABR(-1) PPABR;                                         
EQUATION 1263  LAAPABR  
   RHS     C  LAPABR(-1)  PPABR  
 SMPL 1984.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   129 to   244
 OLS;EST 1263 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1263
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPABR 

 1984.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  116 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.487935966

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.045460983       0.620843658  -4.90536     1.000000
14198 LAPABR  ( -1)       0.524231960       0.076981044   6.80988    -8.481035
14196 PPABR   (  0)      -0.678712350       0.232923964  -2.91388     1.468141

SE of equation            =     0.871807814
Sum of squared residuals  =  85.8855217      -0.120454757E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.555197232
Sum of ABS residuals      =  64.4028790    
R squared                 =   0.41555
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92042
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2012.4    116

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.1!*                +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!   *      +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!*       +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2*      +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!      +                               *!           .  .  .           0
 1986.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!              *       +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!             +                    *   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!       *       +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!        +         *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.1!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!     *    +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!        +          *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.1!                +    *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!     *            +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!        *    +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!         *      +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!      *         +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!           *     +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!             *    +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!            *    +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !


     20.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHBR=PHPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHBR=LOG(AAPHBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHBR=LOG(APHBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHBR=EXP(LAAPHBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2027 LAAPHBR C LAPHBR(-1) PPHBR;                                         
EQUATION 1264  LAAPHBR  
   RHS     C  LAPHBR(-1)  PPHBR  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1264 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1264
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHBR 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.945962797

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.138445623       0.633662454  -3.37474     1.000000
14201 LAPHBR  ( -1)       0.719332554       0.062732449  11.46667    -7.977580
14199 PPHBR   (  0)      -0.052116169       0.377571601  -0.13803     1.323668

SE of equation            =     0.507964915
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.5126938      -0.886757334E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.353466763
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.6397427    
R squared                 =   0.59192
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07603
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3*         +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.4!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!  *                  +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1990.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2007.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !


     18.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHBR=THPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHBR=LOG(AATHBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHBR=LOG(ATHBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHBR=EXP(LAATHBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2028 LAATHBR C LATHBR(-1) PTHBR;                                         
EQUATION 1265  LAATHBR  
   RHS     C  LATHBR(-1)  PTHBR  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST 1265 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1265
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHBR 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.625627478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.025725611       0.564682905  -0.04556     1.000000
14204 LATHBR  ( -1)       0.479014519       0.082099053   5.83459    -6.620352
14202 PTHBR   (  0)      -2.491626140       0.592396659  -4.20601     1.376072

SE of equation            =     1.225448362
Sum of squared residuals  =  195.224079      -0.377298193E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.805172693
Sum of ABS residuals      =  107.087968    
R squared                 =   0.59606
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05905
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4!                            *    +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!    *                     +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1980.2!     *       +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3! *            +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.4!           +                    *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!  *                  +                !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1981.3!  *     +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1*         +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!      *    +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.4!    *      +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!       +                 *            !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.4!               +                  *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.1!*                    +                !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.2!      +                     *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!      *                +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.1!     *        +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.2!        *    +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!              +               *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!            *                  +      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.4!        *                   +         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1987.1!        *         +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!            *   +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!       *         +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!    *       +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!    *        +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!        +              *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1989.2!         *        +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!     *       +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.4!        +      *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!             *    +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                 *   +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!                  *      +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!            +         *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!                      *         +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                       *     +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                          +*          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                            +   *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                          *  +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                             *  +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                               + *    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                                  + * !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                +    *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                                 +   *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                                  +  *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                                  +   *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                                 +   *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                                 +    *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!         .    . 0  .         !


     21.80 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.02 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHBR=CHPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHBR=LOG(AACHBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHBR=LOG(ACHBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHBR=EXP(LAACHBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2029 LAACHBR C LACHBR(-1) PCHBR;                                         
EQUATION 1266  LAACHBR  
   RHS     C  LACHBR(-1)  PCHBR  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1266 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1266
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHBR 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.874531345

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.006350056       0.204067747  -0.03112     1.000000
14207 LACHBR  ( -1)       0.879615870       0.042495674  20.69895    -3.895376
14205 PCHBR   (  0)      -0.311958236       0.159831911  -1.95179     1.416046

SE of equation            =     0.534932809
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.1968325       0.488498131E-14
Average absolute error    =     0.347065091
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.7302014    
R squared                 =   0.84172
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44588
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                 *      +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1*            +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.2!  +          *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!      *        +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!      *         +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!        *       +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.2!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARBR=ARPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARBR=LOG(AAARBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARBR=LOG(AARBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARBR=EXP(LAAARBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2030 LAAARBR C LAARBR(-1) PARBR;                                         
EQUATION 1267  LAAARBR  
   RHS     C  LAARBR(-1)  PARBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1267 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1267
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.958131629

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.215304788       0.101656613  -2.11796     1.000000
14210 LAARBR  ( -1)       0.849750462       0.047400359  17.92709    -2.957828
14208 PARBR   (  0)      -0.152301456       0.097602261  -1.56043     1.506294

SE of equation            =     0.249057090
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.4754453       0.318567395E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.177673818
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4026778    
R squared                 =   0.82335
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14747
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *       +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!            *            +            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1967.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!            *         +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!   *         +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!             *              +         !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.3!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!       *           +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4! +             *                      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!  *    +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!    +         *                       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.3!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1992.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEBR=CEPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEBR=LOG(AACEBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEBR=LOG(ACEBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEBR=EXP(LAACEBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2031 LAACEBR C LACEBR(-1) PCEBR;                                         
EQUATION 1268  LAACEBR  
   RHS     C  LACEBR(-1)  PCEBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1268 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1268
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.272871452

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.375254313       0.133849267  -2.80356     1.000000
14213 LACEBR  ( -1)       0.904325563       0.035437896  25.51860    -4.277806
14211 PCEBR   (  0)      -0.019632622       0.066020037  -0.29737     1.481625

SE of equation            =     0.251277974
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.6810148      -0.504485342E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.186380240
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.0394852    
R squared                 =   0.82698
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94790
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *         +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!       *     +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.1*         +                            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                         *    +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.1!                                 *   +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                        *     +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                            *     +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                    + *!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEBR=MEPX$Q/BRPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEBR=LOG(AAMEBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEBR=LOG(AMEBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEBR=EXP(LAAMEBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2032 LAAMEBR C LAMEBR(-1) PMEBR;                                         
EQUATION 1269  LAAMEBR  
   RHS     C  LAMEBR(-1)  PMEBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1269 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1269
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.501184192

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.372517455       0.150731101  -2.47140     1.000000
14216 LAMEBR  ( -1)       0.912640875       0.030223267  30.19663    -4.508961
14214 PMEBR   (  0)      -0.009182405       0.058199945  -0.15777     1.481625

SE of equation            =     0.253524729
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8908359       0.144497747E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.175769067
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.0445846    
R squared                 =   0.83492
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28519
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.4!                            *    +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                           +        * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!               *          +           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                +           *         !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1985.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!           *         +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!   *           +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1987.4!    +      *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.1!  *        +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.2!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!    *   +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                   +                  *!           .  .  .           0
 1992.4!                   *                + !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1993.1!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !


     22.87 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2033 LAAPEBR C LAPEBR(-1) PPEBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2033 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2034 LAATUBR C LATUBR(-1) PTUBR;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2034 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2035 LAAPDBR C LAPDBR(-1) PPDBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2035 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2036 LAARUBR C LARUBR(-1) PRUBR;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2036 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2037 LAAUEBR C LAUEBR(-1) PUEBR;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2037 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2038 LAAEGBR C LAEGBR(-1) PEGBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2038 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISBR=ISPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISBR=LOG(AAISBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISBR=LOG(AISBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISBR=EXP(LAAISBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2039 LAAISBR C LAISBR(-1) PISBR;                                         
EQUATION 1270  LAAISBR  
   RHS     C  LAISBR(-1)  PISBR  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1270 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1270
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISBR 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.083272801

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.766426170       0.246118378  -3.11406     1.000000
14219 LAISBR  ( -1)       0.853307011       0.040164745  21.24517    -6.098478
14217 PISBR   (  0)      -0.087313596       0.177122339  -0.49296     1.293867

SE of equation            =     0.415788249
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.9827756      -0.134789957E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.297796149
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.9856759    
R squared                 =   0.76219
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62946
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!   *        +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!      +           *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!   *         +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.2!            *         +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!        *               +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.1!          +           *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             *           +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.2!              +             *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1992.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2040 LAAKEBR C LAKEBR(-1) PKEBR;SMPL 2005.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2040 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2041 LAABABR C LABABR(-1) PBABR;SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2041 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKBR=HKPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKBR=LOG(AAHKBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKBR=LOG(AHKBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKBR=EXP(LAAHKBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2042 LAAHKBR C LAHKBR(-1) PHKBR;                                         
EQUATION 1271  LAAHKBR  
   RHS     C  LAHKBR(-1)  PHKBR  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1271 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1271
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKBR 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.977986238

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.134591208       0.077499048  -1.73668     1.000000
14222 LAHKBR  ( -1)       0.953863671       0.021073711  45.26320    -6.000339
14220 PHKBR   (  0)      -0.062494040       0.040901173  -1.52793     1.918424

SE of equation            =     0.234332008
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.60951077      -0.576116932E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.167132375
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7495628    
R squared                 =   0.97534
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35734
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1+     *                                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1969.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!      +*                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!      *    +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!      *  +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!     *+                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.3!         * +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!         *  +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!            * +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!       *  +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!        +*                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!       *      +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!     *   +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.1!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!               +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!          *    +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                    *   +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                                      +!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                     +!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !


     22.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIBR=SIPX$/BRPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIBR=LOG(AASIBR+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIBR=LOG(ASIBR+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIBR=EXP(LAASIBR)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2043 LAASIBR C LASIBR(-1) PSIBR;                                         
EQUATION 1272  LAASIBR  
   RHS     C  LASIBR(-1)  PSIBR  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1272 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1272
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIBR 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.765880758

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.761554448       0.194506660  -3.91531     1.000000
14225 LASIBR  ( -1)       0.806123874       0.045308025  17.79208    -5.781621
14223 PSIBR   (  0)      -0.175006327       0.059602919  -2.93620     1.963494

SE of equation            =     0.380717454
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.3655114      -0.804245559E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.274312525
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.8276295    
R squared                 =   0.83505
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51809
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!   *      +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.2*      +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.3*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!         *        +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                         +           *!!          .   .   .          0
 1993.3!                           *       +  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.4!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.1!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.1!                            *       + !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2010.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2010.3!                            *       + !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !


     21.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.74 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2044 LAAVIBR C LAVIBR(-1) PVIBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2044 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2045 LAANIBR C LANIBR(-1) PNIBR;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2045 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2046 LAAALBR C LAALBR(-1) PALBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2046 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2047 LAAIABR C LAIABR(-1) PIABR;SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2047 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2048 LAAINBR C LAINBR(-1) PINBR;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2048 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2049 LAAIQBR C LAIQBR(-1) PIQBR;SMPL 2002.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2049 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2050 LAAKUBR C LAKUBR(-1) PKUBR;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2050 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2051 LAALIBR C LALIBR(-1) PLIBR;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2051 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2052 LAAUABR C LAUABR(-1) PUABR;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2052 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2053 LAAUSCE C LAUSCE(-1) PUSCE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2053 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCACE=CAPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACACE=LOG(AACACE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACACE=LOG(ACACE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACACE=EXP(LAACACE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2054 LAACACE C LACACE(-1) PCACE;                                         
EQUATION 1273  LAACACE  
   RHS     C  LACACE(-1)  PCACE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1273 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1273
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACACE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.035519079

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.707556131       0.270448791  -6.31379     1.000000
14228 LACACE  ( -1)       0.542706161       0.061831616   8.77716    -4.035836
14226 PCACE   (  0)      -0.131167871       0.142455784  -0.92076     1.049721

SE of equation            =     0.283322340
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8502365      -0.388622468E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.217883564
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.9621101    
R squared                 =   0.30860
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19746
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!               +            *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1967.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!        *             +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.4!             +         *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                 +                 *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1969.4!                *          +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!*                  +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2*                 +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.3!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.4!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!              *        +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!         *     +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.4!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.3!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                        +           * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                         +            *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!              *         +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!             *           +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                *       +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!       *          +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2002.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!              *    +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!             *        +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!         *       +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJACE=JAPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJACE=LOG(AAJACE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJACE=LOG(AJACE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJACE=EXP(LAAJACE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2055 LAAJACE C LAJACE(-1) PJACE;                                         
EQUATION 1274  LAAJACE  
   RHS     C  LAJACE(-1)  PJACE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1274 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1274
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJACE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.169909038

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.294564799       0.123648717  -2.38227     1.000000
14231 LAJACE  ( -1)       0.832677823       0.040207831  20.70934    -3.168461
14229 PJACE   (  0)      -0.173419000       0.080534493  -2.15335     1.366844

SE of equation            =     0.298132555
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.4433588      -0.282085466E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.219729726
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.3091884    
R squared                 =   0.77050
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27746
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *     +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3! *                 +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1966.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!              +           *           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1971.3!                *        +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.3!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                  *      +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.3!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!              +                *      !!           .  .  .          0!
 1976.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                     *    +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                        *     +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                    *        +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                    *       +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUCE=AUPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUCE=LOG(AAAUCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUCE=LOG(AAUCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUCE=EXP(LAAAUCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2056 LAAAUCE C LAAUCE(-1) PAUCE;                                         
EQUATION 1275  LAAAUCE  
   RHS     C  LAAUCE(-1)  PAUCE  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1275 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1275
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUCE 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.720567792

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.140553385       0.407865173  -5.24819     1.000000
14234 LAAUCE  ( -1)       0.478378766       0.066850365   7.15596    -5.726457
14232 PAUCE   (  0)      -0.838598142       0.289226912  -2.89945     1.002386

SE of equation            =     0.320097649
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9841508       0.208117967E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.246184038
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1432620    
R squared                 =   0.33461
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10012
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!        +            *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.3!  *              +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.4!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                      +              *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1975.4!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.1*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!*         +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +               *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!                       +             *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.2!             *             +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                       +         *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                          +          *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2001.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2006.1!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !


     23.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.29 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRCE=FRPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRCE=LOG(AAFRCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRCE=LOG(AFRCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRCE=EXP(LAAFRCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2057 LAAFRCE C LAFRCE(-1) PFRCE;                                         
EQUATION 1276  LAAFRCE  
   RHS     C  LAFRCE(-1)  PFRCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1276 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1276
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.600396394

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.865155974       0.196990047  -4.39188     1.000000
14237 LAFRCE  ( -1)       0.741285907       0.049196571  15.06784    -3.601136
14235 PFRCE   (  0)      -0.054904452       0.096330638  -0.56996     1.197886

SE of equation            =     0.254535679
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.9858562       0.551381163E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.194023624
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4764414    
R squared                 =   0.56002
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36362
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!           +                *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1976.2!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!        *              +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.4!                         +            *!          .   .   .       0  !
 2001.1!                       *        +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .     0    !
 2002.1!                         *      +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!   *           +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2004.1!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2004.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.4*         +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2005.1!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2005.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.1!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGECE=GEPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGECE=LOG(AAGECE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGECE=LOG(AGECE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGECE=EXP(LAAGECE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2058 LAAGECE C LAGECE(-1) PGECE;                                         
EQUATION 1277  LAAGECE  
   RHS     C  LAGECE(-1)  PGECE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1277 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1277
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGECE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.644970561

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.096095403       0.136437662  -0.70432     1.000000
14240 LAGECE  ( -1)       0.907962544       0.029782371  30.48658    -2.640559
14238 PGECE   (  0)      -0.150284503       0.129652167  -1.15914     1.007069

SE of equation            =     0.152023184
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.27554398       0.844657677E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.117724395
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.1321862    
R squared                 =   0.84393
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38058
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.3!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!               +         *            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.2!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1984.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                           *        + !!0        .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.2!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .         0
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.2!              *     +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!       *      +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.3*   +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!+   *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!  *    +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!    +   *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.3!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!  *      +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2005.2!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.4!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!   *     +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!+   *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.2!   *       +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2009.3! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!+    *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITCE=ITPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITCE=LOG(AAITCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITCE=LOG(AITCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITCE=EXP(LAAITCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2059 LAAITCE C LAITCE(-1) PITCE;                                         
EQUATION 1278  LAAITCE  
   RHS     C  LAITCE(-1)  PITCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1278 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1278
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.592810175

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.530538230       0.163544975  -3.24399     1.000000
14243 LAITCE  ( -1)       0.785824051       0.044839110  17.52542    -3.594108
14241 PITCE   (  0)      -0.270357415       0.146810965  -1.84153     0.880076

SE of equation            =     0.203826114
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.68584066       0.108553166E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.149976473
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.1955769    
R squared                 =   0.68095
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42983
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!       +         *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                       +          *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.2!                       *       +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                +         *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.4!                         +          * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1972.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!        *                     +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3*               +                      !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1974.4!   +          *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!           *          +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!  *         +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.2!       +        *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.3!        *        +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4! *          +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                   +            *     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.4!                      *       +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!              *        +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.2!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!   *       +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!          +       *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.3!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNECE=NEPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANECE=LOG(AANECE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANECE=LOG(ANECE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANECE=EXP(LAANECE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2060 LAANECE C LANECE(-1) PNECE;                                         
EQUATION 1279  LAANECE  
   RHS     C  LANECE(-1)  PNECE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1279 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1279
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANECE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.549484224

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.770888454       0.306045551  -5.78636     1.000000
14246 LANECE  ( -1)       0.539192433       0.061525456   8.76373    -4.550452
14244 PNECE   (  0)      -0.283982680       0.157634523  -1.80153     1.144529

SE of equation            =     0.268781793
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.3650757      -0.154161128E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.201487439
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.8796385    
R squared                 =   0.32299
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24244
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                     +               *!!          .   .   .          0
 1973.2!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!      *              +                !!0         .   .   .          !
 1975.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!      *           +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!        *         +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!         *          +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2008.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!           *         +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!              *       +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTCE=STPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTCE=LOG(AASTCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTCE=LOG(ASTCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTCE=EXP(LAASTCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2061 LAASTCE C LASTCE(-1) PSTCE;                                         
EQUATION 1280  LAASTCE  
   RHS     C  LASTCE(-1)  PSTCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1280 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1280
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.475593727

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.234358732       0.114832227  -2.04088     1.000000
14249 LASTCE  ( -1)       0.821319144       0.040731827  20.16406    -4.467280
14247 PSTCE   (  0)      -0.634655429       0.171765926  -3.69489     0.901548

SE of equation            =     0.225488252
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.40631610      -0.239421816E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.179371391
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.7218216    
R squared                 =   0.88275
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66966
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                            *    +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                            *    +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                            *     +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                                *    +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                           *     +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!              *       +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!         *           +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.4!           +            *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2000.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!  *     +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!*    +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!+  *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKCE=UKPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKCE=LOG(AAUKCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKCE=LOG(AUKCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKCE=EXP(LAAUKCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2062 LAAUKCE C LAUKCE(-1) PUKCE;                                         
EQUATION 1281  LAAUKCE  
   RHS     C  LAUKCE(-1)  PUKCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1281 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1281
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.627983679

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.152386420       0.296870415  -0.51331     1.000000
14252 LAUKCE  ( -1)       0.789156948       0.043597032  18.10116    -3.620651
14250 PUKCE   (  0)      -0.624298624       0.298446545  -2.09183     0.990448

SE of equation            =     0.378827985
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.5494688       0.135846889E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.295950831
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.6387562    
R squared                 =   0.67217
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.76036
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.1!                          *     +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                      *       +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                      +               *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.4!                          *       +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                           +         *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                      *           +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!               *           +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!             *         +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!             *         +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!*                   +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 2009.4!    +             *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!   *          +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.1!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.2!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!    *         +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2*         +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2063 LAAFICE C LAFICE(-1) PFICE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2063 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASCE=ASPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASCE=LOG(AAASCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASCE=LOG(AASCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASCE=EXP(LAAASCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2064 LAAASCE C LAASCE(-1) PASCE;                                         
EQUATION 1282  LAAASCE  
   RHS     C  LAASCE(-1)  PASCE  
 SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   105 to   244
 OLS;EST 1282 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1282
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASCE 

 1978.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  140 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.432082308

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.759644687       0.368633833  -4.77342     1.000000
14255 LAASCE  ( -1)       0.582623436       0.066949389   8.70245    -5.450414
14253 PASCE   (  0)      -0.480273108       0.265739026  -1.80731     1.034617

SE of equation            =     0.611891250
Sum of squared residuals  =  51.2942936       0.674393874E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.419832942
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.7766118    
R squared                 =   0.43583
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44985
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.1   2012.4    140

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.1!*             +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.2*           +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!      *              +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!      *                   +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!   *                   +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +                *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.2!             *                 +      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1983.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                        *     +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                        *   +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                      *     +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                         *     +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                               +      *!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2065 LAASOCE C LASOCE(-1) PSOCE;SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2065 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOCE=KOPX$/CEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOCE=LOG(AAKOCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOCE=LOG(AKOCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOCE=EXP(LAAKOCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2066 LAAKOCE C LAKOCE(-1) PKOCE;                                         
EQUATION 1283  LAAKOCE  
   RHS     C  LAKOCE(-1)  PKOCE  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1283 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1283
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOCE 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.767636407

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.515667573       0.137404675  -3.75291     1.000000
14258 LAKOCE  ( -1)       0.677757739       0.055594445  12.19111    -3.792603
14256 PKOCE   (  0)      -0.483133399       0.114953715  -4.20285     1.410590

SE of equation            =     0.350406807
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.0671053      -0.573319170E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.236120175
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.5290648    
R squared                 =   0.81327
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51962
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3*       +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1977.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!              *      +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!                 *     +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!               *        +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.2!           *     +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.3!               *      +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.2!              +             *         !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.3!                   *     +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                 *       +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                +    *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !


     18.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.75 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBECE=BEPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABECE=LOG(AABECE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABECE=LOG(ABECE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABECE=EXP(LAABECE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2067 LAABECE C LABECE(-1) PBECE;                                         
EQUATION 1284  LAABECE  
   RHS     C  LABECE(-1)  PBECE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1284 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1284
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABECE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.461234129

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.114477682       0.334848785  -3.32830     1.000000
14261 LABECE  ( -1)       0.629622591       0.056189306  11.20538    -4.458154
14259 PBECE   (  0)      -0.557868396       0.269090373  -2.07316     0.967616

SE of equation            =     0.306233353
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.3490903       0.168451919E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.231293265
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.4831337    
R squared                 =   0.42995
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34420
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!       *           +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.3!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1973.2!                *             +       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +          *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.4!             *         +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1*            +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.2!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.3!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!               *          +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!             *         +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!        *                +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2068 LAADECE C LADECE(-1) PDECE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2068 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOCE=NOPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOCE=LOG(AANOCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOCE=LOG(ANOCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOCE=EXP(LAANOCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2069 LAANOCE C LANOCE(-1) PNOCE;                                         
EQUATION 1285  LAANOCE  
   RHS     C  LANOCE(-1)  PNOCE  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST 1285 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1285
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOCE 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.901982009

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.482424966       0.400017118  -6.20580     1.000000
14264 LANOCE  ( -1)       0.464309331       0.074344332   6.24539    -5.894062
14262 PNOCE   (  0)      -0.797018057       0.234373260  -3.40064     0.856805

SE of equation            =     0.564747998
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.3758810       0.158824065E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.429428025
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.6904955    
R squared                 =   0.38072
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17281
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                +               *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.2!   *                   +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1980.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!*           +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1997.1!                        *   +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!    *          +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !


     21.58 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWCE=SWPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWCE=LOG(AASWCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWCE=LOG(ASWCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWCE=EXP(LAASWCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2070 LAASWCE C LASWCE(-1) PSWCE;                                         
EQUATION 1286  LAASWCE  
   RHS     C  LASWCE(-1)  PSWCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1286 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1286
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.622922389

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.063544106       0.350299858  -5.89079     1.000000
14267 LASWCE  ( -1)       0.548147783       0.062082040   8.82941    -4.619850
14265 PSWCE   (  0)      -0.023890547       0.163313476  -0.14629     1.130888

SE of equation            =     0.281920246
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7036197      -0.443201031E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.218855845
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.1448988    
R squared                 =   0.29679
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25184
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                +        *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.3!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!            +        *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                +       *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!                     +                *!         .    .    .         0
 1972.1!                     *      +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!            +         *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!       *         +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4*                 +                    !0         .    .    .         !
 1976.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3*              +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1976.4!       +         *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.1!       *         +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.2!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!    *         +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!        *          +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!   *        +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!   *         +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!               +         *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.3!          +             *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1991.4!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.1!               *        +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.2!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!     *         +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2071 LAAGRCE C LAGRCE(-1) PGRCE;SMPL 1987.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2071 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2072 LAAIRCE C LAIRCE(-1) PIRCE;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2072 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOCE=POPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOCE=LOG(AAPOCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOCE=LOG(APOCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOCE=EXP(LAAPOCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2073 LAAPOCE C LAPOCE(-1) PPOCE;                                         
EQUATION 1287  LAAPOCE  
   RHS     C  LAPOCE(-1)  PPOCE  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1287 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1287
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOCE 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.468800261

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.932523982       0.349383168  -2.66906     1.000000
14270 LAPOCE  ( -1)       0.747667062       0.060432016  12.37204    -6.471234
14268 PPOCE   (  0)      -0.618629016       0.306891868  -2.01579     1.128216

SE of equation            =     0.355325872
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.1608289      -0.568434189E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.269823065
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3468215    
R squared                 =   0.67817
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44792
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                  +              *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.1!                 *             +      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1*             +                        !!0        .    .    .         !
 1982.2!    +              *                  !!         .    .    .         0
 1982.3!         *         +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!   *          +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!               +         *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.1!           *            +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1987.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!        *         +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!             *        +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.2!              +        *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1994.4!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                               +  *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.1!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.3!                            *     +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                                +  *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                    *      +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.1!                          *      +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !


     24.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPCE=SPPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPCE=LOG(AASPCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPCE=LOG(ASPCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPCE=EXP(LAASPCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2074 LAASPCE C LASPCE(-1) PSPCE;                                         
EQUATION 1288  LAASPCE  
   RHS     C  LASPCE(-1)  PSPCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1288 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1288
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.689038593

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.433930365       0.186525095  -7.68760     1.000000
14273 LASPCE  ( -1)       0.342603488       0.064567782   5.30611    -3.697608
14271 PSPCE   (  0)      -0.858020249       0.136722350  -6.27564     1.151832

SE of equation            =     0.339657365
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.3429182       0.895017394E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.263108269
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.4643545    
R squared                 =   0.49754
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09700
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!           *       +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.1!                            +       * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.3!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                    *     +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.2!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!                 *        +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                              +      *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                      *    +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                    *      +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                          *    +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZCE=NZPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZCE=LOG(AANZCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZCE=LOG(ANZCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZCE=EXP(LAANZCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2075 LAANZCE C LANZCE(-1) PNZCE;                                         
EQUATION 1289  LAANZCE  
   RHS     C  LANZCE(-1)  PNZCE  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1289 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1289
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZCE 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.612238180

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.707341836       1.043883549  -1.63557     1.000000
14276 LANZCE  ( -1)       0.550822292       0.066926418   8.23027    -6.636034
14274 PNZCE   (  0)      -1.278258387       1.065551713  -1.19962     0.977596

SE of equation            =     0.843217673
Sum of squared residuals  =  98.8312302       0.206608064E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.530476742
Sum of ABS residuals      =  75.3276973    
R squared                 =   0.35620
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40540
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4*           +                          !!        0   . . .            !
 1978.1!       +    *                         !!            . . 0            !
 1978.2!     *        +                       !!         0  . . .            !
 1978.3!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1978.4!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1979.1!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!       *      +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.3!   *       +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1979.4!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!    *        +                        !!         0  . . .            !
 1980.3!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!     *         +                      !!        0   . . .            !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!   *         +                        !!         0  . . .            !
 1982.2!         +                            *!            . . .            0
 1982.3!           *                 +        !!     0      . . .            !
 1982.4!      *      +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.1!           +    *                     !!            . . 0            !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                  +     *             !!            . . .0           !
 1983.4!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                    +      *          !!            . . . 0          !
 1984.2!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1984.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                   +    *             !!            . . .0           !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1986.1!           *     +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1986.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!               *    +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1987.1!                +     *               !!            . . .0           !
 1987.2!                    +     *           !!            . . .0           !
 1987.3!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1987.4!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 1988.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!             *     +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1989.1!              +    *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                  +       *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1990.3!                 *    +               !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1991.1!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                 +     *              !!            . . .0           !
 1992.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                   +     *            !!            . . .0           !
 1994.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                   +   *              !!            . . 0            !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                   +     *            !!            . . .0           !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                    +     *           !!            . . .0           !
 1996.3!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!            . . 0            !
 1997.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                  +  *                !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2003.2!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!             *   +                    !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!               +*                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !


     16.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2076 LAASACE C LASACE(-1) PSACE;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2076 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2077 LAAVECE C LAVECE(-1) PVECE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2077 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2078 LAACOCE C LACOCE(-1) PCOCE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2078 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2079 LAAJOCE C LAJOCE(-1) PJOCE;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2079 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2080 LAASYCE C LASYCE(-1) PSYCE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2080 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDCE=IDPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDCE=LOG(AAIDCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDCE=LOG(AIDCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDCE=EXP(LAAIDCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2081 LAAIDCE C LAIDCE(-1) PIDCE;                                         
EQUATION 1290  LAAIDCE  
   RHS     C  LAIDCE(-1)  PIDCE  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1290 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1290
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDCE 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.663964585

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.553076533       0.396471614  -1.39500     1.000000
14279 LAIDCE  ( -1)       0.842186789       0.044747350  18.82093    -5.707761
14277 PIDCE   (  0)      -0.282705000       0.354425245  -0.79764     1.074926

SE of equation            =     0.479696096
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.8602928      -0.800159938E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.284254462
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.8569373    
R squared                 =   0.80638
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64238
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!*       +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!    +                      *          !!           .  .  .           0
 1989.2!         *                +           !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1989.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.2!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                              *    +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                              +       *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !


     11.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMACE=MAPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMACE=LOG(AAMACE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMACE=LOG(AMACE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMACE=EXP(LAAMACE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2082 LAAMACE C LAMACE(-1) PMACE;                                         
EQUATION 1291  LAAMACE  
   RHS     C  LAMACE(-1)  PMACE  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST 1291 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1291
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMACE 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.223769425

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.898602005       0.344559067  -5.51024     1.000000
14282 LAMACE  ( -1)       0.417085522       0.073926170   5.64192    -6.219088
14280 PMACE   (  0)      -1.500374525       0.271409491  -5.52808     1.153896

SE of equation            =     0.736100258
Sum of squared residuals  =  77.4836333      -0.125055521E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.521693622
Sum of ABS residuals      =  76.1672688    
R squared                 =   0.57325
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21809
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4! *          +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!  *        +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!*       +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1986.4!                 *           +        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1988.1!                  *         +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1988.3!                   *      +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                   *         +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          +          *!!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2001.4!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !


     18.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.53 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPACE=PAPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPACE=LOG(AAPACE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPACE=LOG(APACE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPACE=EXP(LAAPACE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2083 LAAPACE C LAPACE(-1) PPACE;                                         
EQUATION 1292  LAAPACE  
   RHS     C  LAPACE(-1)  PPACE  
 SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   140 to   244
 OLS;EST 1292 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1292
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPACE 

 1986.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  105 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.978717532

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.257515723       0.443159053  -0.58109     1.000000
14285 LAPACE  ( -1)       0.827856397       0.050433427  16.41484    -6.996158
14283 PPACE   (  0)      -0.794120371       0.399961308  -1.98549     1.170336

SE of equation            =     0.531145015
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.7757328      -0.146194168E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.332581529
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9210605    
R squared                 =   0.78906
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70786
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.4   2012.4    105

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.4*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!   *            +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1988.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!  *                +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.1!       +           *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.2!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!               *        +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !


     17.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.71 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2084 LAAPHCE C LAPHCE(-1) PPHCE;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2084 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHCE=THPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHCE=LOG(AATHCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHCE=LOG(ATHCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHCE=EXP(LAATHCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2085 LAATHCE C LATHCE(-1) PTHCE;                                         
EQUATION 1293  LAATHCE  
   RHS     C  LATHCE(-1)  PTHCE  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST 1293 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1293
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHCE 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.909306105

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.689058238       1.093458745  -0.63016     1.000000
14288 LATHCE  ( -1)       0.655460005       0.071302168   9.19271    -5.952576
14286 PTHCE   (  0)      -1.206615445       1.086955896  -1.11009     1.092786

SE of equation            =     0.818500228
Sum of squared residuals  =  71.0139181      -0.136797240E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.497390825
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.2156000    
R squared                 =   0.51277
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43371
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!           +          *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.1!     *                  +             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1986.2!            +           *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4! *                          +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!         *         +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1*             +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.2!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!*                     +               !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1989.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!               *            +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.1!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                   +           *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                     *     +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.3!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.1!                                  +   *!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                *  +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !


     15.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.42 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHCE=CHPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHCE=LOG(AACHCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHCE=LOG(ACHCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHCE=EXP(LAACHCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2086 LAACHCE C LACHCE(-1) PCHCE;                                         
EQUATION 1294  LAACHCE  
   RHS     C  LACHCE(-1)  PCHCE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1294 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1294
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHCE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.655044501

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.619117726       0.423580273   1.46163     1.000000
14291 LACHCE  ( -1)       0.902833143       0.044062352  20.48990    -3.683491
14289 PCHCE   (  0)      -0.839190360       0.487073242  -1.72292     1.130357

SE of equation            =     0.361665104
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.0886026      -0.461630734E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.248313929
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.2875550    
R squared                 =   0.93219
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72318
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!  *     +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2*      +                               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.3!+        *                            !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.4!    *    +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1! *  +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!      *      +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.2!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 1989.3!            *    +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.1!           *         +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!           *        +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!             *    +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                *     +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARCE=ARPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARCE=LOG(AAARCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARCE=LOG(AARCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARCE=EXP(LAAARCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2087 LAAARCE C LAARCE(-1) PARCE;                                         
EQUATION 1295  LAAARCE  
   RHS     C  LAARCE(-1)  PARCE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1295 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1295
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARCE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.484801914

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.168631827       0.155787940  -1.08244     1.000000
14294 LAARCE  ( -1)       0.877803919       0.036577238  23.99864    -2.483551
14292 PARCE   (  0)      -0.113813660       0.138378651  -0.82248     1.195806

SE of equation            =     0.239685900
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.6281262      -0.299138492E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.169051748
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.7817286    
R squared                 =   0.79024
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22607
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!          +         *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1966.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.1!                      *        +      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1972.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                        *         +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                 +          *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1976.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                       *       +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1! *                   +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2*    +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!  +      *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!     +         *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.1!      *        +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!            *         +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1999.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRCE=BRPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRCE=LOG(AABRCE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRCE=LOG(ABRCE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRCE=EXP(LAABRCE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2088 LAABRCE C LABRCE(-1) PBRCE;                                         
EQUATION 1296  LAABRCE  
   RHS     C  LABRCE(-1)  PBRCE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1296 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1296
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRCE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.299866988

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.277663842       0.157379407  -1.76430     1.000000
14297 LABRCE  ( -1)       0.647054850       0.061196200  10.57345    -2.294042
14295 PBRCE   (  0)      -0.554652742       0.133852682  -4.14376     0.969674

SE of equation            =     0.165093944
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.35248928       0.171040959E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.132411988
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.6839104    
R squared                 =   0.59005
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34762
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.4!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.1!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.3!                *             +       !!0       .     .     .        !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.1!                   +      *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.2!                  *     +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.3!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.4!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.1!          *     +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.2!              +            *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1984.3!               *    +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.4!              +         *             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1985.1!            *       +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.2!            +      *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.3!                  +    *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.4!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.1!                   *       +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.4!             *         +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.4!                           +       *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.1!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!                        +             *!        .     .     .       0!
 1988.4!                                 + *  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.1!                               +  *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.4!                                +   * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.1!                                *   + !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.2!                  *             +     !0        .     .     .        !
 1990.3!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.4!                   *     +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1991.1!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1991.2!                           *    +     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.3!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!                          +       *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.1!                       *      +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.3!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.3!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.1!                      *     +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.1!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.2!                 *      +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.4!                     *   +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!            *           +             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1996.2!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.1!         *       +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1997.2!       *     +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.3!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!               *   +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.2!          *      +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.3!      *       +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1998.4!        *   +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!      *      +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!                 *   +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.1!               *    +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!               *   +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.4!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.1!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!                         +        *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.2!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                           +      *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.1!                                 +    *!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.2!                         *    +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.3!                         +         *  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.1!                          +  *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.2!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.3!                       +             *!!        .     .     .        0
 2005.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!                     +             *  !!        .     .     .        0
 2006.4!                      *     +         !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.1!                    +         *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2007.2!                    *    +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.3!                   +     *            !!        .     .     0        !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!            *    +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.2!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.3!              +  *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.4!            +    *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.1!        *         +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2009.2!        *   +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.4!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.2!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.3!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.4!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.1!     *         +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.2!     +        *                       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2011.3!    *      +                          !!       0.     .     .        !
 2011.4!      +     *                         !!        .     .     .0       !
 2012.1!*         +                           !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2012.2!  +                                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.3*    +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.4!     +  *                             !!        .     .  0  .        !


     30.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMECE=MEPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMECE=LOG(AAMECE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMECE=LOG(AMECE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMECE=EXP(LAAMECE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2089 LAAMECE C LAMECE(-1) PMECE;                                         
EQUATION 1297  LAAMECE  
   RHS     C  LAMECE(-1)  PMECE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1297 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1297
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMECE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.183411337

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.099605360       0.213534571  -0.46646     1.000000
14300 LAMECE  ( -1)       0.771430403       0.047464718  16.25271    -4.186962
14298 PMECE   (  0)      -0.729284819       0.236426086  -3.08462     1.170813

SE of equation            =     0.355551173
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.3870777      -0.855360227E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.258123589
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.5272347    
R squared                 =   0.75893
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24245
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!               *        +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!             *      +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!           *           +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!               *         +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!             *     +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!             *      +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!  *         +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!      *            +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!          *      +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1*           +                          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!       +             *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.4!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.1!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!              *       +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                      *        +      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                             *   +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPECE=PEPX$Q/CEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPECE=LOG(AAPECE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPECE=LOG(APECE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPECE=EXP(LAAPECE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2090 LAAPECE C LAPECE(-1) PPECE;                                         
EQUATION 1298  LAAPECE  
   RHS     C  LAPECE(-1)  PPECE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1298 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1298
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPECE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.938405840

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.432297902       0.202541777  -2.13436     1.000000
14303 LAPECE  ( -1)       0.865617343       0.046142437  18.75968    -3.935893
14301 PPECE   (  0)      -0.115537559       0.080833541  -1.42933     0.857997

SE of equation            =     0.276617401
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.41161395      -0.409761114E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.198485251
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.0091416    
R squared                 =   0.74116
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53192
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!              *        +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1*                +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.2!  +              *                    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1991.3!        *         +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2091 LAATUCE C LATUCE(-1) PTUCE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2091 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2092 LAAPDCE C LAPDCE(-1) PPDCE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2092 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2093 LAARUCE C LARUCE(-1) PRUCE;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2093 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2094 LAAUECE C LAUECE(-1) PUECE;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2094 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2095 LAAEGCE C LAEGCE(-1) PEGCE;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2095 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2096 LAAISCE C LAISCE(-1) PISCE;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2096 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2097 LAAKECE C LAKECE(-1) PKECE;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2097 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2098 LAABACE C LABACE(-1) PBACE;SMPL 2005.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2098 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2099 LAAHKCE C LAHKCE(-1) PHKCE;SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2099 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2100 LAASICE C LASICE(-1) PSICE;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2100 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2101 LAAVICE C LAVICE(-1) PVICE;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2101 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2102 LAANICE C LANICE(-1) PNICE;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2102 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2103 LAAALCE C LAALCE(-1) PALCE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2103 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2104 LAAIACE C LAIACE(-1) PIACE;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2104 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2105 LAAINCE C LAINCE(-1) PINCE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2105 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2106 LAAIQCE C LAIQCE(-1) PIQCE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2106 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2107 LAAKUCE C LAKUCE(-1) PKUCE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2107 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2108 LAALICE C LALICE(-1) PLICE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2108 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2109 LAAUACE C LAUACE(-1) PUACE;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2109 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSME=USPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSME=LOG(AAUSME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSME=LOG(AUSME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSME=EXP(LAAUSME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2110 LAAUSME C LAUSME(-1) PUSME;                                         
EQUATION 1299  LAAUSME  
   RHS     C  LAUSME(-1)  PUSME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1299 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1299
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -0.392760878

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.007164135       0.063576505   0.11269     1.000000
14306 LAUSME  ( -1)       0.938925879       0.030753561  30.53064    -0.392956
14304 PUSME   (  0)      -0.029777450       0.068089306  -0.43733     1.039998

SE of equation            =     0.028291572
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.148076417       0.171217485E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.020484717
Sum of ABS residuals      =  3.85112679    
R squared                 =   0.90013
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33405
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!           *      +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!*       +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1! *      +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.2*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.1!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!*        +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2! +    *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!               *      +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!          *        +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                     *     +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2111 LAACAME C LACAME(-1) PCAME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2111 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAME=JAPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAME=LOG(AAJAME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAME=LOG(AJAME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAME=EXP(LAAJAME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2112 LAAJAME C LAJAME(-1) PJAME;                                         
EQUATION 1300  LAAJAME  
   RHS     C  LAJAME(-1)  PJAME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1300 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1300
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.239653599

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.404944063       0.102407548  -3.95424     1.000000
14309 LAJAME  ( -1)       0.849534920       0.033596515  25.28640    -3.244611
14307 PJAME   (  0)      -0.064862508       0.051003639  -1.27172     1.207151

SE of equation            =     0.127751372
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.01927639       0.853095372E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.100073474
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.8138132    
R squared                 =   0.80984
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14673
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+   *                                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1966.2!      + *                             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.3!      *   +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1966.4!       * +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1967.1!         +     *                      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.2!                +        *            !!        .     .     .        0
 1967.3!                     *   +            !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.4!                   *  +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1968.1!                   +    *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1968.2!                 *      +             !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1968.3!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1969.1!                  *   +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1969.2!           *       +                  !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1969.3!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1970.1!              *  +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.2!         *     +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1970.3!           +*                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1970.4!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.1!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1971.4!               *   +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1972.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.2!                *  +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1972.3!                 +   *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1972.4!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.1!                  * +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.3!             *    +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1973.4!     *        +                       !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1974.1!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1974.2!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.3!           +      *                   !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1974.4!                   +      *           !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1975.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.2!                     *   +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1975.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1975.4!                 *       +            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.1!                              +      *!!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.2!                                *  +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.3!                           *   +      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1977.4!                          +        *  !!        .     .     .        0
 1978.1!                                  + * !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.2!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.3!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.4!                      *        +      !!0       .     .     .        !
 1979.1!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1979.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.3!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.4!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.1!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1980.3!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.4!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.1!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.2!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                                +     *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1981.4!                                    + !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.1!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.2!                                *+    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.3!                                + *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.4!                         *       +    !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1983.1!                          + *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.2!                        *   +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.3!                         +   *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1983.4!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1984.1!                               +   *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.2!                                  +*  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.3!                              *   +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1985.1!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1985.2!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.3!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.4!                               +     *!!        .     .     .    0   !
 1986.1!                                    + !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!                               *   +  !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.4!                              *  +    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.1!                             +    *   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1987.2!                                 +   *!!        .     .     0        !
 1987.3!                                   + *!!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.4!                                  *+  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.1!                                 +  * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.2!                                 *+   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.3!                               +    * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.4!                          *       +   !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1989.2!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                        *       +     !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.2!                           +    *     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1990.3!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.4!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.1!                                +     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.2!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!                                +    *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 1992.2!                                   *+ !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.3!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.4!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.1!                              +    *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!                                 + *  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.3!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.4!                          * +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.4!                         *  +         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.1!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.3!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.4!                       *   +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.2!                      *+              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!                   *   +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.1!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.3!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.4!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!               *  +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!                *   +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.4!             *   +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.3!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!              *   +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.4!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.1!                    *  +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.2!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.3!                        +   *         !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.1!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.3!                              +  *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2006.4!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!                              +   *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.2!                               *  +   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.4!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.4!                          *   +       !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.1!                        * +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.2!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.3!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.4!                      *    +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.2!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!                   *    +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.3!                     *   +            !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2113 LAAAUME C LAAUME(-1) PAUME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2113 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2114 LAAFRME C LAFRME(-1) PFRME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2114 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEME=GEPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEME=LOG(AAGEME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEME=LOG(AGEME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEME=EXP(LAAGEME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2115 LAAGEME C LAGEME(-1) PGEME;                                         
EQUATION 1301  LAAGEME  
   RHS     C  LAGEME(-1)  PGEME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1301 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1301
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.922839549

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.074328951       0.063520596  -1.17016     1.000000
14312 LAGEME  ( -1)       0.929220675       0.024200687  38.39646    -2.917873
14310 PGEME   (  0)      -0.151649088       0.074173198  -2.04453     0.904476

SE of equation            =     0.093960794
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.63329669      -0.687538915E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.071473161
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.4369543    
R squared                 =   0.92751
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17298
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!                          *   +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1973.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1976.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.2!           *      +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1977.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!              +       *               !!         .    .    .        0!
 1978.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                *  +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                     *     +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!               *     +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!                *    +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                    *    +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.3!                 *     +              !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!        *     +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!      +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!     *       +                        !!0        .    .    .         !
 1993.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3*    +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.4+  *                                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2*    +                                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.3+ *                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1! +  *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!  * +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!    *     +                           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2000.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!+     *                               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!    +*                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!  +  *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1! *   +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2* +                                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3+ *                                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!*+                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1! + *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!*  +                                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!*+                                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITME=ITPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITME=LOG(AAITME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITME=LOG(AITME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITME=EXP(LAAITME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2116 LAAITME C LAITME(-1) PITME;                                         
EQUATION 1302  LAAITME  
   RHS     C  LAITME(-1)  PITME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1302 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1302
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.943989861

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.535583964       0.135574047  -3.95049     1.000000
14315 LAITME  ( -1)       0.812833031       0.042557825  19.09950    -3.939529
14313 PITME   (  0)      -0.259579893       0.096831559  -2.68074     0.794463

SE of equation            =     0.162046935
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.85795368       0.115241150E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.121496104
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8412676    
R squared                 =   0.78975
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28873
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                 *      +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!           *        +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!      *        +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.3!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!              +     *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.2!              +           *           !!         .    .    .         0
 1977.3!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.1!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.2!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.3!                       *          +   !!0        .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.2!               *    +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.4!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!           *            +             !0         .    .    .         !
 1985.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.1!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2! *   +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.3!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.4!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!  *    +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.2!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.1!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4+ *                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2117 LAANEME C LANEME(-1) PNEME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2117 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTME=STPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTME=LOG(AASTME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTME=LOG(ASTME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTME=EXP(LAASTME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2118 LAASTME C LASTME(-1) PSTME;                                         
EQUATION 1303  LAASTME  
   RHS     C  LASTME(-1)  PSTME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1303 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1303
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.568643511

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.237114306       0.072136294  -3.28703     1.000000
14318 LASTME  ( -1)       0.876124504       0.029245881  29.95719    -4.554518
14316 PSTME   (  0)      -0.417362312       0.111134693  -3.75546     0.817526

SE of equation            =     0.150064340
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.16607162       0.348912010E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.113443391
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.3273575    
R squared                 =   0.95933
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.74246
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   *  +!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                                  * + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.1!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                        +*            !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                          + *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                         * +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!               *     +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                *      +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!            *   +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!             *  +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!      *      +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .         0!
 1991.3!       *     +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.4!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!     *  +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.3!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.4!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!  + *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!   + *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4+ *                                    !!          .   .  0.          !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKME=UKPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKME=LOG(AAUKME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKME=LOG(AUKME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKME=EXP(LAAUKME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2119 LAAUKME C LAUKME(-1) PUKME;                                         
EQUATION 1304  LAAUKME  
   RHS     C  LAUKME(-1)  PUKME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1304 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1304
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.262346922

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.096077275       0.124002600   0.77480     1.000000
14321 LAUKME  ( -1)       0.905198197       0.028042464  32.27955    -4.252133
14319 PUKME   (  0)      -0.574345547       0.202671422  -2.83388     0.886925

SE of equation            =     0.187205333
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.48347978      -0.226272334E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.142411440
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.7733508    
R squared                 =   0.93218
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86688
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                                *    +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                              *   +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                              *+      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                       *    +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!              * +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.4!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                *   +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!              *     +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.3!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.1!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!              *        +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1986.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!          *      +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!         *   +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!     *       +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2000.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!  *    +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2*     +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIME=FIPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIME=LOG(AAFIME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIME=LOG(AFIME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIME=EXP(LAAFIME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2120 LAAFIME C LAFIME(-1) PFIME;                                         
EQUATION 1305  LAAFIME  
   RHS     C  LAFIME(-1)  PFIME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1305 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1305
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.502331560

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.291393827       0.394931778  -5.80200     1.000000
14324 LAFIME  ( -1)       0.489323436       0.063746714   7.67606    -6.497047
14322 PFIME   (  0)      -1.218444101       0.349410740  -3.48714     0.846801

SE of equation            =     0.451672436
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.7414780       0.224185115E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.345881221
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.0256696    
R squared                 =   0.38239
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33830
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!                         +          * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1966.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                             +        *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.4!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                          *  +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!               *           +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!             *              +         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.3!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.4!              *            +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!              *        +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!               *       +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.2!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.3!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2121 LAAASME C LAASME(-1) PASME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2121 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2122 LAASOME C LASOME(-1) PSOME;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2122 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOME=KOPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOME=LOG(AAKOME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOME=LOG(AKOME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOME=EXP(LAAKOME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2123 LAAKOME C LAKOME(-1) PKOME;                                         
EQUATION 1306  LAAKOME  
   RHS     C  LAKOME(-1)  PKOME  
 SMPL 1971.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    79 to   244
 OLS;EST 1306 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1306
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOME 

 1971.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  166 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.167981105

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.061234440       0.105951226  -0.57795     1.000000
14327 LAKOME  ( -1)       0.930069966       0.027831086  33.41839    -5.200619
14325 PKOME   (  0)      -0.201619876       0.123859058  -1.62782     1.338198

SE of equation            =     0.337879162
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.6084595      -0.493827201E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.221072281
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6979987    
R squared                 =   0.95154
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57466
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.3   2012.4    166

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!+     *                               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.2!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!      + *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!      +   *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!      *    +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1977.2!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!       *       +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1977.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!         * +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!      *   +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!         +      *                     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.4!        *       +                     !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1980.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!          *    +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!            *   +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1982.1!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!               *    +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!       *           +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!           *  +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                     *+!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                   * +!!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !


     18.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.02 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEME=BEPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEME=LOG(AABEME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEME=LOG(ABEME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEME=EXP(LAABEME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2124 LAABEME C LABEME(-1) PBEME;                                         
EQUATION 1307  LAABEME  
   RHS     C  LABEME(-1)  PBEME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1307 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1307
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.023090378

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.768544504       0.221428093  -3.47085     1.000000
14330 LABEME  ( -1)       0.783653186       0.044918769  17.44601    -5.017874
14328 PBEME   (  0)      -0.370181000       0.160104917  -2.31212     0.870582

SE of equation            =     0.256808205
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.2008341       0.738964445E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.183429174
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4846847    
R squared                 =   0.67393
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41816
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                          +         * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.4!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.2!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                *        +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                          +         * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!         *                      +     !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!        *               +             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!         *      +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!           +            *             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!*        +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4*      +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.1!  +           *                       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.2!     *        +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!  *        +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.1!      +      *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.4! *        +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2125 LAADEME C LADEME(-1) PDEME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2125 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOME=NOPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOME=LOG(AANOME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOME=LOG(ANOME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOME=EXP(LAANOME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2126 LAANOME C LANOME(-1) PNOME;                                         
EQUATION 1308  LAANOME  
   RHS     C  LANOME(-1)  PNOME  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1308 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1308
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOME 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.098036797

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.386478111       0.488814510  -6.92794     1.000000
14333 LANOME  ( -1)       0.452495094       0.071965373   6.28768    -7.090017
14331 PNOME   (  0)      -0.637807093       0.266525410  -2.39304     0.789205

SE of equation            =     0.798326722
Sum of squared residuals  =  98.7854611      -0.120561339E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.546621069
Sum of ABS residuals      =  86.3661289    
R squared                 =   0.28411
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08768
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!             +                *       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1976.4!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!            +                         *!           .  .  .           0
 1977.3!                       +        *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!          +       *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1!               +              *       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!           +          *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!            +              *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1981.3!        *         +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.1!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!           +       *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.1!                 +           *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!             +          *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!            +   *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!      *    +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!   *     +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!    *        +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!     *       +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!       +      *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1! *         +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.2! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1*         +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !


     21.52 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWME=SWPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWME=LOG(AASWME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWME=LOG(ASWME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWME=EXP(LAASWME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2127 LAASWME C LASWME(-1) PSWME;                                         
EQUATION 1309  LAASWME  
   RHS     C  LASWME(-1)  PSWME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1309 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1309
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.018638157

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.338675819       0.229429203  -1.47617     1.000000
14336 LASWME  ( -1)       0.929374789       0.027581854  33.69515    -5.010610
14334 PSWME   (  0)      -0.022988539       0.180000903  -0.12771     1.010409

SE of equation            =     0.251850558
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.7343101       0.235722553E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.197352386
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.1022485    
R squared                 =   0.85989
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73366
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1966.2!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.3!                                  *+  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.4!                                +  *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.1!                                  +  *!!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.2!                                    + *!        .     .   0 .        !
 1967.3!                                 *  + !!        0     .     .        !
 1967.4!                                +   * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1968.1!                                   +  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1968.2!                             *   +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1968.3!                            +         *!        .     .     .        0
 1968.4!                                *   + !!        0     .     .        !
 1969.1!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.2!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1969.3!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.4!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.1!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1970.2!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1970.3!                               + *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1970.4!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.1!                             +  *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1971.2!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1971.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.4!                           * +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.1!                          +     *     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1972.2!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1972.3!                             + *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.4!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.1!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.2!                          *  +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1973.4!                       *   +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.2!                   *    +             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.3!                   +         *        !!        .     .     .        0
 1974.4!                     *      +         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1975.1!                     +                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.2!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1975.3!                        * +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.1!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.3!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.4!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.1!                        *  +          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.2!                       +   *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1977.3!                        * +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.4!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.1!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.2!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.3!                    *  +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.1!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.2!                   *  +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1979.3!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!                +                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.1!                +     *               !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1980.2!              *       +               !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1980.3!              +       *               !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.1!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.2!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1981.3!                     *  +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.3!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!                *   +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.2!               + *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.3!                 +    *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1984.1!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.2!                +      *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1984.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.4!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.2!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.3!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .       0!
 1985.4!                       *       +      !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                       +    *         !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!                         * +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1986.4!                   *    +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.2!                  *  +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.2!                  *  +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.1!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.2!                 *   +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.4!             *     +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1992.1!             + *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.2!           *   +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.3!           +    *                     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.4!        *       +                     !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1993.1!         +*                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.2!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.3!           + *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.4!        *    +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1994.1!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.2!        + *                           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.4!       *  +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.1!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!     * +                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.3!  *  +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.4*   +                                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1996.1!+*                                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!  +                                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.3!   +*                                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.4!    *+                                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!     +  *                             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.2!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.3!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!    *   +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 1998.1!     +                                !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.2!    * +                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!     +*                               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!   *   +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.1!    +       *                         !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1999.3!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.1!                +     *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.3!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.4!               *   +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.1!        *       +                     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2002.2!       *+                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.3!        +                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.4!      *  +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2003.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!             *   +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.1!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!              +                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!           *   +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.1!           +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.3!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2006.1!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.2!        *   +                         !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.3!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.4!   *    +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2007.1!    +*                                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.3!      +  *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2007.4!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.1!      * +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.2!      +    *                          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2008.3!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!    *      +                          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.1!     +    *                           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.2!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!*        +                            !!0       .     .     .        !
 2010.1! +   *                                !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.2!      +  *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.3!       *  +                           !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.4!      *+                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.1!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!   *  +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.3!    + *                               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!    *  +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.3!     +*                               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.4!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2128 LAAGRME C LAGRME(-1) PGRME;SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2128 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2129 LAAIRME C LAIRME(-1) PIRME;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2129 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOME=POPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOME=LOG(AAPOME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOME=LOG(APOME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOME=EXP(LAAPOME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2130 LAAPOME C LAPOME(-1) PPOME;                                         
EQUATION 1310  LAAPOME  
   RHS     C  LAPOME(-1)  PPOME  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1310 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1310
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOME 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.132428236

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.802505646       1.800930343   1.00087     1.000000
14339 LAPOME  ( -1)       0.797947028       0.053080195  15.03286    -8.140310
14337 PPOME   (  0)      -3.356449350       1.900803000  -1.76581     1.024713

SE of equation            =     0.550084686
Sum of squared residuals  =  38.7319247       0.640847375E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.391886309
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.3371065    
R squared                 =   0.70962
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58407
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!   +                 *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.3!    *              +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!     *           +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                            *     +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2009.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                           *     +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPME=SPPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPME=LOG(AASPME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPME=LOG(ASPME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPME=EXP(LAASPME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2131 LAASPME C LASPME(-1) PSPME;                                         
EQUATION 1311  LAASPME  
   RHS     C  LASPME(-1)  PSPME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1311 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1311
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.315313114

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.830932459       0.181623524  -4.57503     1.000000
14342 LASPME  ( -1)       0.730530014       0.046791378  15.61249    -4.321075
14340 PSPME   (  0)      -0.319872475       0.117064117  -2.73246     1.024488

SE of equation            =     0.231895878
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.94850420       0.428821423E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.160579413
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.1889297    
R squared                 =   0.66743
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48941
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1966.2!            +   *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1966.3!             *  +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1966.4!             +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!              +     *                 !!            . . .  0         !
 1967.2!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1968.1!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1968.3!                 +       *            !!            . . .   0        !
 1968.4!               *       +              !!        0   . . .            !
 1969.1!                +      *              !!            . . .  0         !
 1969.2!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1969.3!                   *    +             !!          0 . . .            !
 1969.4!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1970.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1970.4!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                  +       *           !!            . . .   0        !
 1971.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1971.4!                     +    *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1972.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                       +      *       !!            . . .  0         !
 1972.3!                      *    +          !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1973.1!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1973.2!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!              *     +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!            *   +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1975.3!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4*                   +                  !0            . . .            !
 1976.1!     +          *                     !!            . . .     0      !
 1976.2!                * +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1978.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1978.4!                   +  *               !!            . . 0            !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1979.3!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                        +    *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1980.1!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 1980.3!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                       +       *      !!            . . .   0        !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                           +  *       !!            . . .0           !
 1981.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                             +   *    !!            . . .0           !
 1982.1!                               +     *!!            . . . 0          !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                                +     *!            . . . 0          !
 1982.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1983.2!                                  +  *!!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!                             *     +  !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                        *   +         !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.3!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 1984.4!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                      *   +           !!           0. . .            !
 1987.1!                 *     +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1987.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!               *    +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1988.4!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!                   *    +             !!           0. . .            !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1991.2!                    *   +             !!           0. . .            !
 1991.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1992.2!                        +             !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                       +              !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                        +   *         !!            . . .0           !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1994.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1995.3!                 *  +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1995.4!              *   +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1996.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!             *     +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1997.1!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 2004.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                           +          !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                          +           !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                         +   *        !!            . . .0           !
 2007.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!            . . .0           !
 2009.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2132 LAANZME C LANZME(-1) PNZME;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2132 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2133 LAASAME C LASAME(-1) PSAME;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2133 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2134 LAAVEME C LAVEME(-1) PVEME;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2134 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOME=COPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOME=LOG(AACOME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOME=LOG(ACOME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOME=EXP(LAACOME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2135 LAACOME C LACOME(-1) PCOME;                                         
EQUATION 1312  LAACOME  
   RHS     C  LACOME(-1)  PCOME  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1312 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1312
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOME 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.673134033

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.927560997       0.407289971  -4.73265     1.000000
14345 LACOME  ( -1)       0.552016276       0.072347303   7.63009    -6.683729
14343 PCOME   (  0)      -0.935390297       0.247834668  -3.77425     1.128989

SE of equation            =     0.578175170
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.1172429      -0.118545174E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.346154959
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.6155248    
R squared                 =   0.54840
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51957
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!          *              +            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.3!               +         *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!        *                  +          !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1984.2!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!    *                 +               !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.2!            +          *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.3!      *                +              !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1985.4!          *  +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4*                         +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.1!            +     *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                *            +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                             *  +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                  +   *!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !


     12.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2136 LAAJOME C LAJOME(-1) PJOME;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2136 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2137 LAASYME C LASYME(-1) PSYME;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2137 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDME=IDPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDME=LOG(AAIDME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDME=LOG(AIDME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDME=EXP(LAAIDME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2138 LAAIDME C LAIDME(-1) PIDME;                                         
EQUATION 1313  LAAIDME  
   RHS     C  LAIDME(-1)  PIDME  
 SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   110 to   244
 OLS;EST 1313 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1313
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDME 

 1979.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  135 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.096468364

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.440742297       0.367504557  -1.19928     1.000000
14348 LAIDME  ( -1)       0.929241890       0.033514416  27.72663    -7.115488
14346 PIDME   (  0)      -0.043004720       0.243869242  -0.17634     1.016559

SE of equation            =     0.427724028
Sum of squared residuals  =  24.1491155       0.124682487E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.256932679
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.6859116    
R squared                 =   0.85538
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.97143
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.2   2012.4    135

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!         +          *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1980.4*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.1! +     *                              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!       *         +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1*              +                       !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1983.2! +    *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4*              +                       !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1987.1! +       *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !


     14.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAME=MAPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAME=LOG(AAMAME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAME=LOG(AMAME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAME=EXP(LAAMAME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2139 LAAMAME C LAMAME(-1) PMAME;                                         
EQUATION 1314  LAAMAME  
   RHS     C  LAMAME(-1)  PMAME  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1314 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1314
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAME 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.453717988

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.203770441       0.165616818  -1.23037     1.000000
14351 LAMAME  ( -1)       0.863334497       0.030800444  28.02994    -6.460732
14349 PMAME   (  0)      -0.619289605       0.148206177  -4.17857     1.085396

SE of equation            =     0.394226833
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.8192484       0.286082269E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.254434490
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.3070772    
R squared                 =   0.89331
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39059
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.4!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                *   +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!              *    +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!      *         +                     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1980.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!            + *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.3!           +*                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!         *      +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.4*          +                           !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  +            *                      !!           .  .  .           0
 1983.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!     *          +                     !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1984.2!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                *    +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.1!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!               *      +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                                    * +!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !


     19.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAME=PAPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAME=LOG(AAPAME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAME=LOG(APAME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAME=EXP(LAAPAME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2140 LAAPAME C LAPAME(-1) PPAME;                                         
EQUATION 1315  LAAPAME  
   RHS     C  LAPAME(-1)  PPAME  
 SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   131 to   244
 OLS;EST 1315 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1315
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAME 

 1984.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  114 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.829260855

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.045845220       0.423871594   0.10816     1.000000
14354 LAPAME  ( -1)       0.906160203       0.034010387  26.64363    -8.857232
14352 PPAME   (  0)      -0.774269646       0.362945653  -2.13329     1.096562

SE of equation            =     0.374758421
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5892700      -0.223163710E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.263483657
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.0371369    
R squared                 =   0.88067
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57375
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.3   2012.4    114

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!    +  *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.4!     *             +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!   *       +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!   *        +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!   *          +                       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!               *       +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!        *         +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.4!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !


     21.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.02 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2141 LAAPHME C LAPHME(-1) PPHME;SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2141 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2142 LAATHME C LATHME(-1) PTHME;SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2142 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHME=CHPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHME=LOG(AACHME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHME=LOG(ACHME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHME=EXP(LAACHME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2143 LAACHME C LACHME(-1) PCHME;                                         
EQUATION 1316  LAACHME  
   RHS     C  LACHME(-1)  PCHME  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1316 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1316
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHME 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.203048240

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.473094126       1.824988614   0.80718     1.000000
14357 LACHME  ( -1)       0.955116693       0.028417139  33.61059    -5.233535
14355 PCHME   (  0)      -1.636399315       1.833865537  -0.89232     1.025120

SE of equation            =     0.532144761
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.8308998       0.687445656E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.339121365
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.7292920    
R squared                 =   0.91844
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77460
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!   *      +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.3!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.4*           +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.1!+       *                             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2! *      +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3! +*                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!       *        +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!    *        +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!     *    +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                     *+!          .   0   .          !


     16.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARME=ARPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARME=LOG(AAARME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARME=LOG(AARME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARME=EXP(LAAARME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2144 LAAARME C LAARME(-1) PARME;                                         
EQUATION 1317  LAAARME  
   RHS     C  LAARME(-1)  PARME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1317 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1317
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.311332283

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.688507084       0.380632944  -4.43605     1.000000
14360 LAARME  ( -1)       0.602886939       0.058477481  10.30973    -5.309596
14358 PARME   (  0)      -0.394331051       0.255979116  -1.54048     1.069506

SE of equation            =     0.460514791
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.2336664       0.196891392E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.325960939
Sum of ABS residuals      =  61.2806566    
R squared                 =   0.38722
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.91569
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1975.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!              +              *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!    *                 +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!     *        +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                   +               *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.3!                    *       +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!     *            +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                +                 *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!               *          +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!          *            +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.2!  *         +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!   *      +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!            +             *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1996.1!      *               +               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1996.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!*            +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1997.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1! *         +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRME=BRPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRME=LOG(AABRME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRME=LOG(ABRME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRME=EXP(LAABRME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2145 LAABRME C LABRME(-1) PBRME;                                         
EQUATION 1318  LAABRME  
   RHS     C  LABRME(-1)  PBRME  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1318 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1318
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRME 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.134574830

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.846991764       0.260606782  -3.25008     1.000000
14363 LABRME  ( -1)       0.729760069       0.059523266  12.26008    -4.129150
14361 PBRME   (  0)      -0.307773504       0.133709124  -2.30181     0.891222

SE of equation            =     0.240033772
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.08679405       0.565858471E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.162501404
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.4751769    
R squared                 =   0.57285
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13118
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                  *            +      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                   +          *       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.3!              *             +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!                 +               *    !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1984.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.4!                    *          +      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1985.1!           *         +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.1!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.1!                            *     +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!            *         +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.1!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          +        *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !


     19.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2146 LAACEME C LACEME(-1) PCEME;SMPL 1984.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2146 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEME=PEPX$Q/MEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEME=LOG(AAPEME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEME=LOG(APEME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEME=EXP(LAAPEME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2147 LAAPEME C LAPEME(-1) PPEME;                                         
EQUATION 1319  LAAPEME  
   RHS     C  LAPEME(-1)  PPEME  
 SMPL 1984.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   129 to   244
 OLS;EST 1319 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1319
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEME 

 1984.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  116 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.446623627

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.207442455       0.496289343  -6.46285     1.000000
14366 LAPEME  ( -1)       0.452401377       0.080910963   5.59135    -6.436331
14364 PPEME   (  0)      -0.403329375       0.136332588  -2.95842     0.811685

SE of equation            =     0.507881334
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.1476098      -0.131974431E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.348527123
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.4291462    
R squared                 =   0.33954
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96841
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.1   2012.4    116

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.1!                         *     +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.3!                        *      +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!           *                +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.3!                     *       +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                   *      +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                *        +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1986.4!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!                   +              *   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1987.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                        *     +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                       +            * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                        *     +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              +     * !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                          *     +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2148 LAATUME C LATUME(-1) PTUME;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2148 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDME=PDPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDME=LOG(AAPDME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDME=LOG(APDME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDME=EXP(LAAPDME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2149 LAAPDME C LAPDME(-1) PPDME;                                         
EQUATION 1320  LAAPDME  
   RHS     C  LAPDME(-1)  PPDME  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1320 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1320
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDME 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.856718773

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       6.431414674       2.954559559   2.17678     1.000000
14369 LAPDME  ( -1)       0.764490570       0.058140517  13.14902    -7.880484
14367 PPDME   (  0)      -8.127010030       2.992849893  -2.71548     1.016804

SE of equation            =     0.573872804
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.2383095      -0.628057606E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.376492971
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.4142268    
R squared                 =   0.66730
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06421
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!  *            +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.4*     +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!   +           *                      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!      *      +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!            *         +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                     *          +     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                        *      +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!               *        +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                       +          *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.1!            *                    +    !0           .  .  .           !
 1996.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !


     17.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.36 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2150 LAARUME C LARUME(-1) PRUME;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2150 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2151 LAAUEME C LAUEME(-1) PUEME;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2151 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGME=EGPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGME=LOG(AAEGME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGME=LOG(AEGME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGME=EXP(LAAEGME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2152 LAAEGME C LAEGME(-1) PEGME;                                         
EQUATION 1321  LAAEGME  
   RHS     C  LAEGME(-1)  PEGME  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1321 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1321
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGME 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.359885789

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       1.772873808       2.722038815   0.65130     1.000000
14372 LAEGME  ( -1)       0.945991679       0.032643389  28.97958   -10.383585
14370 PEGME   (  0)      -2.274680830       2.772281939  -0.82051     1.015516

SE of equation            =     0.432812490
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.7960319       0.109833920E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.246976566
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2037034    
R squared                 =   0.91014
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05479
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!+*                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!+    *                                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!*+                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!*+                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!*+                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!+*                                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4! +*                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!*        +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2001.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!  *+                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                   +              *   !!           .  .  .           0
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                            *    +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                 *          +         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2010.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.4!                *      +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.1!       *        +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2011.2!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !


     17.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.12 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2153 LAAISME C LAISME(-1) PISME;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2153 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2154 LAAKEME C LAKEME(-1) PKEME;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2154 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2155 LAABAME C LABAME(-1) PBAME;SMPL 2008.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2155 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKME=HKPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKME=LOG(AAHKME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKME=LOG(AHKME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKME=EXP(LAAHKME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2156 LAAHKME C LAHKME(-1) PHKME;                                         
EQUATION 1322  LAAHKME  
   RHS     C  LAHKME(-1)  PHKME  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1322 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1322
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKME 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.949815130

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.138549354       0.084709777  -1.63558     1.000000
14375 LAHKME  ( -1)       0.952001776       0.017744022  53.65197    -5.962402
14373 PHKME   (  0)      -0.098124099       0.039486517  -2.48500     1.376300

SE of equation            =     0.188899658
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.60136998      -0.456168436E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.139033575
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1383121    
R squared                 =   0.96420
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11047
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.2!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!      *+                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!      *    +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!            *    +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!            *   +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!    *        +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.1!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!+      *                              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!         *   +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                        *  +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                             +        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                    * +!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIME=SIPX$/MEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIME=LOG(AASIME+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIME=LOG(ASIME+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIME=EXP(LAASIME)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2157 LAASIME C LASIME(-1) PSIME;                                         
EQUATION 1323  LAASIME  
   RHS     C  LASIME(-1)  PSIME  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1323 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1323
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIME 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.188876275

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.750501626       0.190480676  -3.94004     1.000000
14378 LASIME  ( -1)       0.752676467       0.047648865  15.79631    -6.196641
14376 PSIME   (  0)      -0.569916681       0.138061959  -4.12798     1.358636

SE of equation            =     0.323210751
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.2814082       0.221715979E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.225132726
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.0736252    
R squared                 =   0.84451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44556
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!             + *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!               + *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!               +       *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!           *      +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1974.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!              + *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4*          +                           !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  +   *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!     *     +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!            *    +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                  *+                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                              +      *!!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.2!                           *       +  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2008.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                           +          *!           .  .  .        0  !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                              +     * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                          *    +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                          +           *!           .  .  .        0  !
 2012.1!                     *             +  !0           .  .  .           !
 2012.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2012.4!                       *        +     !!     0     .  .  .           !


     20.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2158 LAAVIME C LAVIME(-1) PVIME;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2158 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2159 LAANIME C LANIME(-1) PNIME;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2159 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2160 LAAALME C LAALME(-1) PALME;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2160 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2161 LAAIAME C LAIAME(-1) PIAME;SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2161 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2162 LAAINME C LAINME(-1) PINME;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2162 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2163 LAAIQME C LAIQME(-1) PIQME;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2163 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2164 LAAKUME C LAKUME(-1) PKUME;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2164 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2165 LAALIME C LALIME(-1) PLIME;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2165 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2166 LAAUAME C LAUAME(-1) PUAME;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2166 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSPE=USPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSPE=LOG(AAUSPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSPE=LOG(AUSPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSPE=EXP(LAAUSPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2167 LAAUSPE C LAUSPE(-1) PUSPE;                                         
EQUATION 1324  LAAUSPE  
   RHS     C  LAUSPE(-1)  PUSPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1324 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1324
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.247767464

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.178828707       0.102718187  -1.74096     1.000000
14381 LAUSPE  ( -1)       0.725771871       0.049501321  14.66167    -1.246625
14379 PUSPE   (  0)      -0.144171418       0.085553878  -1.68515     1.138738

SE of equation            =     0.106627050
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.10332564       0.217648122E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.083042874
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.6120603    
R squared                 =   0.56734
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45600
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1*          +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.2!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!           *       +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1972.2!               *      +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                +        *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.3!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.4!                               +      *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                   *             +    !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                    *       +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.3!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.2!                   *      +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.2!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!          *     +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.1!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!     *         +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2006.4!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!             *      +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2168 LAACAPE C LACAPE(-1) PCAPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2168 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2169 LAAJAPE C LAJAPE(-1) PJAPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2169 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUPE=AUPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUPE=LOG(AAAUPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUPE=LOG(AAUPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUPE=EXP(LAAAUPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2170 LAAAUPE C LAAUPE(-1) PAUPE;                                         
EQUATION 1325  LAAAUPE  
   RHS     C  LAAUPE(-1)  PAUPE  
 SMPL 1970.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    76 to   244
 OLS;EST 1325 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1325
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUPE 

 1970.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  169 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.576336020

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.780759705       0.330717700  -5.38453     1.000000
14384 LAAUPE  ( -1)       0.545549575       0.063335940   8.61359    -5.572499
14382 PAUPE   (  0)      -0.760219371       0.226880324  -3.35075     0.993795

SE of equation            =     0.319483431
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.9435640      -0.201882955E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.233137878
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.4003014    
R squared                 =   0.44459
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.4   2012.4    169

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!           *          +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!    *             +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!         *           +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.3!                        *    +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1988.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2*              +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!          +                   *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 2000.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.3!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.33 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2171 LAAFRPE C LAFRPE(-1) PFRPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2171 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEPE=GEPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEPE=LOG(AAGEPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEPE=LOG(AGEPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEPE=EXP(LAAGEPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2172 LAAGEPE C LAGEPE(-1) PGEPE;                                         
EQUATION 1326  LAAGEPE  
   RHS     C  LAGEPE(-1)  PGEPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1326 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1326
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.760496710

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.008435313       0.125992622  -0.06695     1.000000
14387 LAGEPE  ( -1)       0.867720232       0.036003985  24.10067    -2.752046
14385 PGEPE   (  0)      -0.368828345       0.162238045  -2.27338     0.987058

SE of equation            =     0.207426369
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.95975425      -0.443689530E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148819450
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.9780566    
R squared                 =   0.85291
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.72641
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!                       *     +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!              +        *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                 +                  * !!           .  .  .           0
 1981.2!                        *          +  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!                     *         +      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.4!                  *                  +!0           .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!            +        *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!+                                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2! +   *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!     +*                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1! +  *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!*    +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2! *      +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITPE=ITPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITPE=LOG(AAITPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITPE=LOG(AITPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITPE=EXP(LAAITPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2173 LAAITPE C LAITPE(-1) PITPE;                                         
EQUATION 1327  LAAITPE  
   RHS     C  LAITPE(-1)  PITPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1327 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1327
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.323287546

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.607186431       0.174508548  -3.47941     1.000000
14390 LAITPE  ( -1)       0.422019517       0.064383316   6.55480    -3.320128
14388 PITPE   (  0)      -1.520661438       0.239210683  -6.35700     0.864717

SE of equation            =     0.357951556
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.7039235       0.797362176E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.240965310
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.3014783    
R squared                 =   0.57276
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27899
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!               +                   *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1979.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                   +                  *!           .  .  .          0!
 1979.4!               *        +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!             +                *       !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1980.3!          *         +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.4!             +        *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!       *      +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!               +         *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!    +  *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!    +    *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!   +   *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2174 LAANEPE C LANEPE(-1) PNEPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2174 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTPE=STPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTPE=LOG(AASTPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTPE=LOG(ASTPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTPE=EXP(LAASTPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2175 LAASTPE C LASTPE(-1) PSTPE;                                         
EQUATION 1328  LAASTPE  
   RHS     C  LASTPE(-1)  PSTPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1328 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1328
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.149724458

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.205208012       0.095966148  -2.13834     1.000000
14393 LASTPE  ( -1)       0.769985641       0.045858284  16.79055    -4.136287
14391 PSTPE   (  0)      -0.853804060       0.186034889  -4.58948     0.889707

SE of equation            =     0.248318468
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.4074814      -0.232347475E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188258414
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.3925819    
R squared                 =   0.90534
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73540
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    + !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                              *     + !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.1!                                +     *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!                                   *  +!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                                 *  + !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                               *   +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                              *    +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                     *      +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                     +                *!           .  .  .           0
 1979.3!                          *        +  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.2!                       *        +     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                          *      +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                              *    +  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!        *    +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.1!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.1!         +     *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!         *     +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!+ *                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1! +  *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.4*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKPE=UKPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKPE=LOG(AAUKPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKPE=LOG(AUKPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKPE=EXP(LAAUKPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2176 LAAUKPE C LAUKPE(-1) PUKPE;                                         
EQUATION 1329  LAAUKPE  
   RHS     C  LAUKPE(-1)  PUKPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1329 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1329
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.862630961

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.039745031       0.152146180  -0.26123     1.000000
14396 LAUKPE  ( -1)       0.910512362       0.028383033  32.07946    -3.849068
14394 PUKPE   (  0)      -0.328326202       0.178929659  -1.83495     0.969346

SE of equation            =     0.242751094
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.9016973       0.173554504E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190106162
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.7399585    
R squared                 =   0.88810
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75564
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                *     +!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.4!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                             *    +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                              +     * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1971.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                    *           +     !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1973.1!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                          *    +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!                                 *  + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                              *  +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                   *        +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!                    *      +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                *       +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!         *  +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!     *    +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!      * +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.4!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3! *   +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.1!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.2!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!   *     +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.4!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2! *       +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIPE=FIPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIPE=LOG(AAFIPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIPE=LOG(AFIPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIPE=EXP(LAAFIPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2177 LAAFIPE C LAFIPE(-1) PFIPE;                                         
EQUATION 1330  LAAFIPE  
   RHS     C  LAFIPE(-1)  PFIPE  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST 1330 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1330
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIPE 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.606284069

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.429246769       0.461071502  -5.26870     1.000000
14399 LAFIPE  ( -1)       0.473068350       0.076190902   6.20899    -5.606285
14397 PFIPE   (  0)      -0.550005752       0.322836640  -1.70367     0.954320

SE of equation            =     0.469344731
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.5181199      -0.198143724E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.370082144
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.7012537    
R squared                 =   0.27162
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20043
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                    +                *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.2!                *           +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!           *       +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!         *          +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!      *          +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.4!              *      +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!      *             +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.1!              +                   *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.2!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!             *          +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.4!          *       +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                *           +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!              *        +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.3*              +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.4!        +         *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!    *        +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2! *             +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!  *               +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!          +              *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.3!           *         +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!        *      +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!         *        +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!            *    +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                +         *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.2!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!               +     *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1996.2!              *         +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!           *     +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.3!                      *    +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                     +              * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2001.1!                           +          *!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2008.2!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                   *    +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !


     28.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.84 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2178 LAAASPE C LAASPE(-1) PASPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2178 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2179 LAASOPE C LASOPE(-1) PSOPE;SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2179 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2180 LAAKOPE C LAKOPE(-1) PKOPE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2180 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEPE=BEPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEPE=LOG(AABEPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEPE=LOG(ABEPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEPE=EXP(LAABEPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2181 LAABEPE C LABEPE(-1) PBEPE;                                         
EQUATION 1331  LAABEPE  
   RHS     C  LABEPE(-1)  PBEPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1331 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1331
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.354156765

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.924543424       0.258314539  -3.57914     1.000000
14402 LABEPE  ( -1)       0.571032751       0.060178943   9.48891    -4.347682
14400 PBEPE   (  0)      -0.999412622       0.270826934  -3.69023     0.947501

SE of equation            =     0.344257653
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.9249664       0.270858891E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.269152386
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.6006485    
R squared                 =   0.50355
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48644
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.1!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1968.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1976.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.3!             *          +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.4!            +               *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1980.1!           *           +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1980.2!             +               *        !!         .    .    .        0!
 1980.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!               *       +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!       *          +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!        *            +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!          *          +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.2!           *              +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                     *     +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.3!                              +       *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                  *             +     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.1!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2!        *       +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +                *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1987.3!                *           +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!         +       *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2*                +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.3!      +         *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!               +        *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.3!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!    *     +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4! *       +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.1!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!      + *                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!   *        +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2182 LAADEPE C LADEPE(-1) PDEPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2182 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOPE=NOPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOPE=LOG(AANOPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOPE=LOG(ANOPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOPE=EXP(LAANOPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2183 LAANOPE C LANOPE(-1) PNOPE;                                         
EQUATION 1332  LAANOPE  
   RHS     C  LANOPE(-1)  PNOPE  
 SMPL 1978.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   108 to   244
 OLS;EST 1332 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1332
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOPE 

 1978.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  137 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.545104375

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.073535452       0.430355526  -7.14185     1.000000
14405 LANOPE  ( -1)       0.302622649       0.081599686   3.70863    -6.527854
14403 PNOPE   (  0)      -1.752447628       0.328847355  -5.32906     0.853716

SE of equation            =     0.726119712
Sum of squared residuals  =  70.6514781      -0.379607457E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.572887792
Sum of ABS residuals      =  78.4856274    
R squared                 =   0.43799
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21937
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.4   2012.4    137

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!                       +             *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                         +           *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                       *  +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!             *          +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                   *      +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                   *       +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 *       +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                 *          +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                   *     +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!           *        +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!            *     +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!             *       +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!            *        +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2003.2!            *            +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!          *     +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!      *         +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!     *           +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                +     *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!            +                         *!          .   .   .          0
 2006.1! *                  +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2006.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1! *         +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!       +             *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1*      +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2*  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!        *        +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!  *          +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1! *      +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!          +            *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !


     29.20 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.92 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2184 LAASWPE C LASWPE(-1) PSWPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2184 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2185 LAAGRPE C LAGRPE(-1) PGRPE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2185 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2186 LAAIRPE C LAIRPE(-1) PIRPE;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2186 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2187 LAAPOPE C LAPOPE(-1) PPOPE;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2187 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2188 LAASPPE C LASPPE(-1) PSPPE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2188 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZPE=NZPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZPE=LOG(AANZPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZPE=LOG(ANZPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZPE=EXP(LAANZPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2189 LAANZPE C LANZPE(-1) PNZPE;                                         
EQUATION 1333  LAANZPE  
   RHS     C  LANZPE(-1)  PNZPE  
 SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    96 to   244
 OLS;EST 1333 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1333
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZPE 

 1975.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  149 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.135191053

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.145559198       0.782255755  -0.18608     1.000000
14408 LANZPE  ( -1)       0.374077402       0.076246062   4.90619    -5.122671
14406 PNZPE   (  0)      -3.155671569       0.876792311  -3.59911     0.973915

SE of equation            =     0.866892682
Sum of squared residuals  =  109.719427      -0.315250048E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.567278186
Sum of ABS residuals      =  84.5244498    
R squared                 =   0.29849
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10925
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.4   2012.4    149

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                             +    *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                          +    *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!               *              +       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.4!                       +         *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!   *                           +      !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +        *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                     *           +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                              +    *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3*                           +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                +              *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                       *      +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                              +      *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!              *        +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.4!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                *          +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                  *      +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !


     16.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.03 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2190 LAASAPE C LASAPE(-1) PSAPE;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2190 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2191 LAAVEPE C LAVEPE(-1) PVEPE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2191 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOPE=COPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOPE=LOG(AACOPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOPE=LOG(ACOPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOPE=EXP(LAACOPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2192 LAACOPE C LACOPE(-1) PCOPE;                                         
EQUATION 1334  LAACOPE  
   RHS     C  LACOPE(-1)  PCOPE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1334 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1334
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOPE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.275148983

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.032900181       0.082437746  -0.39909     1.000000
14411 LACOPE  ( -1)       0.868784837       0.038783868  22.40068    -3.286993
14409 PCOPE   (  0)      -0.314444917       0.119420315  -2.63309     1.229338

SE of equation            =     0.186277439
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.26801196      -0.350919294E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128875963
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.2383714    
R squared                 =   0.94245
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30005
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3! *    +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.4*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!              +*                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                 *        +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.4!                   *    +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                          *     +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                              *   +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2193 LAAJOPE C LAJOPE(-1) PJOPE;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2193 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2194 LAASYPE C LASYPE(-1) PSYPE;SMPL 2005.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2194 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDPE=IDPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDPE=LOG(AAIDPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDPE=LOG(AIDPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDPE=EXP(LAAIDPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2195 LAAIDPE C LAIDPE(-1) PIDPE;                                         
EQUATION 1335  LAAIDPE  
   RHS     C  LAIDPE(-1)  PIDPE  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST 1335 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1335
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDPE 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.301856843

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.017306680       0.395682417  -0.04374     1.000000
14414 LAIDPE  ( -1)       0.967083459       0.022909187  42.21378    -6.330391
14412 PIDPE   (  0)      -0.147890050       0.323092232  -0.45773     1.099018

SE of equation            =     0.429217094
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.3968688      -0.557287549E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.298996102
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.8694932    
R squared                 =   0.93375
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34349
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!          *     +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!  *     +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!   +        *                         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3*     +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!   *     +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!    +          *                      !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!          *        +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1993.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     *      +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!                                 *    +!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !


     24.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.69 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAPE=MAPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAPE=LOG(AAMAPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAPE=LOG(AMAPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAPE=EXP(LAAMAPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2196 LAAMAPE C LAMAPE(-1) PMAPE;                                         
EQUATION 1336  LAAMAPE  
   RHS     C  LAMAPE(-1)  PMAPE  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1336 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1336
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAPE 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.687332880

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.519243303       0.409287338  -3.71192     1.000000
14417 LAMAPE  ( -1)       0.639001134       0.062940271  10.15250    -6.698748
14415 PMAPE   (  0)      -0.775019384       0.280723130  -2.76080     1.145239

SE of equation            =     0.824530083
Sum of squared residuals  =  98.5782293      -0.552802248E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.540018359
Sum of ABS residuals      =  79.9227171    
R squared                 =   0.53504
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39348
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!     *            +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1980.1!         +       *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3*                  +                   !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1984.4!     +            *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.1!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                    +                 *!           .  .  .        0  !
 1988.4!           *                     +    !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !


     18.92 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.05 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2197 LAAPAPE C LAPAPE(-1) PPAPE;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2197 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2198 LAAPHPE C LAPHPE(-1) PPHPE;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2198 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2199 LAATHPE C LATHPE(-1) PTHPE;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2199 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHPE=CHPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHPE=LOG(AACHPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHPE=LOG(ACHPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHPE=EXP(LAACHPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2200 LAACHPE C LACHPE(-1) PCHPE;                                         
EQUATION 1337  LAACHPE  
   RHS     C  LACHPE(-1)  PCHPE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1337 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1337
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHPE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.035731681

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.814835158       0.754387728   1.08013     1.000000
14420 LACHPE  ( -1)       0.870594027       0.043591886  19.97147    -4.071779
14418 PCHPE   (  0)      -1.162458617       0.734934706  -1.58172     1.123223

SE of equation            =     0.629669021
Sum of squared residuals  =  48.7674184      -0.799360578E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.411994697
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.9113319    
R squared                 =   0.82470
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57494
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!    +              *                  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1986.3!      *            +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!   *               +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1987.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.1!  *                +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.2! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!       +          *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!             +        *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!            *          +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!            +        *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                     *      +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     +*!          .   0   .          !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARPE=ARPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARPE=LOG(AAARPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARPE=LOG(AARPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARPE=EXP(LAAARPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2201 LAAARPE C LAARPE(-1) PARPE;                                         
EQUATION 1338  LAAARPE  
   RHS     C  LAARPE(-1)  PARPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1338 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1338
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.135732618

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.972046504       0.328512284  -2.95894     1.000000
14423 LAARPE  ( -1)       0.679040156       0.054126100  12.54552    -3.134564
14421 PARPE   (  0)      -0.030195213       0.253112559  -0.11930     1.165466

SE of equation            =     0.391412186
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.3426473      -0.423527879E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.267032441
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.2020989    
R squared                 =   0.46200
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18692
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                         +   *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!       *               +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1971.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1! *            +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!        *              +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!    *           +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2*          +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!             +                *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.3!           *                +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!   *                  +               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1977.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!             +          *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1979.4!       +               *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!           *                   +      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1980.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!      *               +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!           *                +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                         *     +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                        *   +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          *    +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                               +   *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                     *      +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                       *  +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRPE=BRPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRPE=LOG(AABRPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRPE=LOG(ABRPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRPE=EXP(LAABRPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2202 LAABRPE C LABRPE(-1) PBRPE;                                         
EQUATION 1339  LAABRPE  
   RHS     C  LABRPE(-1)  PBRPE  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1339 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1339
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRPE 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.590404771

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.573651744       0.202366776  -2.83471     1.000000
14426 LABRPE  ( -1)       0.657160480       0.065843313   9.98067    -2.588162
14424 PBRPE   (  0)      -0.326210442       0.138082688  -2.36243     0.968439

SE of equation            =     0.205135329
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.17590188      -0.841771097E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.151470498
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.0852827    
R squared                 =   0.48079
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95890
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!       *               +              !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3! *           +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.4*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!      + *                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!             +            *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.3!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.4!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!           *               +          !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                  *        +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!        *             +               !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!                       +              *!         .    .    .       0 !
 2006.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.1!                   *     +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEPE=CEPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEPE=LOG(AACEPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEPE=LOG(ACEPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEPE=EXP(LAACEPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2203 LAACEPE C LACEPE(-1) PCEPE;                                         
EQUATION 1340  LAACEPE  
   RHS     C  LACEPE(-1)  PCEPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1340 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1340
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.604067348

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.002773638       0.277691643   0.00999     1.000000
14429 LACEPE  ( -1)       0.936696153       0.025326861  36.98430    -3.615229
14427 PCEPE   (  0)      -0.193609212       0.262206586  -0.73838     1.138738

SE of equation            =     0.310476878
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.8332399       0.290611979E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.207981765
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1005719    
R squared                 =   0.89796
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62149
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *       +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1966.4!  *           +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!       *     +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4*        +                             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.1!+         *                           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.2!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               *        +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.3!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                  *      +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.4!                 *        +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                           +         *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.1!                            *        +!!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEPE=MEPX$Q/PEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEPE=LOG(AAMEPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEPE=LOG(AMEPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEPE=EXP(LAAMEPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2204 LAAMEPE C LAMEPE(-1) PMEPE;                                         
EQUATION 1341  LAAMEPE  
   RHS     C  LAMEPE(-1)  PMEPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1341 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1341
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.084489529

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.159173009       0.262775282  -0.60574     1.000000
14432 LAMEPE  ( -1)       0.901711598       0.032138587  28.05698    -4.095659
14430 PMEPE   (  0)      -0.203921609       0.249785780  -0.81639     1.138738

SE of equation            =     0.294017539
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9925680      -0.244257947E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.192489592
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1880433    
R squared                 =   0.83783
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58536
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!        *           +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!   *            +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1977.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!         *         +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2! *        +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3! *          +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1*              +                       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1984.2! +    *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!  *         +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!            +          *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.4!       *               +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +           *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                    *       +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.3!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2205 LAATUPE C LATUPE(-1) PTUPE;SMPL 1995.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2205 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2206 LAAPDPE C LAPDPE(-1) PPDPE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2206 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2207 LAARUPE C LARUPE(-1) PRUPE;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2207 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2208 LAAUEPE C LAUEPE(-1) PUEPE;SMPL 1995.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2208 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2209 LAAEGPE C LAEGPE(-1) PEGPE;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2209 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2210 LAAISPE C LAISPE(-1) PISPE;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2210 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2211 LAAKEPE C LAKEPE(-1) PKEPE;SMPL 2006.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2211 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2212 LAABAPE C LABAPE(-1) PBAPE;SMPL 2004.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2212 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKPE=HKPX$/PEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKPE=LOG(AAHKPE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKPE=LOG(AHKPE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKPE=EXP(LAAHKPE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2213 LAAHKPE C LAHKPE(-1) PHKPE;                                         
EQUATION 1342  LAAHKPE  
   RHS     C  LAHKPE(-1)  PHKPE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1342 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1342
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKPE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.045445183

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.455314406       0.169764438  -2.68204     1.000000
14435 LAHKPE  ( -1)       0.880506639       0.033597532  26.20748    -6.056648
14433 PHKPE   (  0)      -0.170828236       0.071317634  -2.39532     1.505677

SE of equation            =     0.384034379
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.2842448       0.270716782E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.255165220
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.9710614    
R squared                 =   0.85948
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66868
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                    + *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!          +      *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.2!          *    +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!    *      +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.1*             +                        !!0          .  .  .           !
 1979.2!  +           *                       !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1979.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!              +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!               *        +             !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!            *       +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.3!              +       *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!               *      +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!          *           +               !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.4!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                  *      +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.4!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!               *    +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.2!            *               +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!           *     +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!           *       +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.4!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                              *      +!!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !


     17.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2214 LAASIPE C LASIPE(-1) PSIPE;SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2214 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2215 LAAVIPE C LAVIPE(-1) PVIPE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2215 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2216 LAANIPE C LANIPE(-1) PNIPE;SMPL 2009.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2216 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2217 LAAALPE C LAALPE(-1) PALPE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2217 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2218 LAAIAPE C LAIAPE(-1) PIAPE;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2218 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2219 LAAINPE C LAINPE(-1) PINPE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2219 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2220 LAAIQPE C LAIQPE(-1) PIQPE;SMPL 2008.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2220 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2221 LAAKUPE C LAKUPE(-1) PKUPE;SMPL 2007.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2221 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2222 LAALIPE C LALIPE(-1) PLIPE;SMPL 2012.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2222 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2223 LAAUAPE C LAUAPE(-1) PUAPE;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2223 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2224 LAAUSTU C LAUSTU(-1) PUSTU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2224 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2225 LAACATU C LACATU(-1) PCATU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2225 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJATU=JAPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJATU=LOG(AAJATU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJATU=LOG(AJATU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJATU=EXP(LAAJATU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2226 LAAJATU C LAJATU(-1) PJATU;                                         
EQUATION 1343  LAAJATU  
   RHS     C  LAJATU(-1)  PJATU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1343 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1343
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJATU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.872836937

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.919317967       0.198461006  -4.63223     1.000000
14438 LAJATU  ( -1)       0.761675513       0.047873685  15.91011    -3.872780
14436 PJATU   (  0)      -0.002251941       0.053552659  -0.04205     1.650760

SE of equation            =     0.302565312
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.9359670       0.307842640E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.221115798
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.5697700    
R squared                 =   0.58035
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33291
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.2!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.3!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3! *           +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.4!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!*                +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1970.1!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!      *        +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.1!                     *         +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!        *             +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUTU=AUPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUTU=LOG(AAAUTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUTU=LOG(AAUTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUTU=EXP(LAAAUTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2227 LAAAUTU C LAAUTU(-1) PAUTU;                                         
EQUATION 1344  LAAAUTU  
   RHS     C  LAAUTU(-1)  PAUTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1344 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1344
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.430509733

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.013325115       0.214406327  -4.72619     1.000000
14441 LAAUTU  ( -1)       0.767224192       0.049211150  15.59045    -4.429643
14439 PAUTU   (  0)      -0.015346674       0.094606071  -0.16222     1.215585

SE of equation            =     0.211729405
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.29342805       0.244702036E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.155470336
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2284232    
R squared                 =   0.59223
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38055
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              *  +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!               *     +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!             *    +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!          *      +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!         *        +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1972.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!             *      +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .         0!
 1980.1!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!                        *    +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!              *       +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!           *     +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.4!        *   +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!     *       +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!        *    +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1994.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRTU=FRPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRTU=LOG(AAFRTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRTU=LOG(AFRTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRTU=EXP(LAAFRTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2228 LAAFRTU C LAFRTU(-1) PFRTU;                                         
EQUATION 1345  LAAFRTU  
   RHS     C  LAFRTU(-1)  PFRTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1345 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1345
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.042903505

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.527338140       0.121571896  -4.33766     1.000000
14444 LAFRTU  ( -1)       0.719591954       0.052852805  13.61502    -3.046023
14442 PFRTU   (  0)      -0.224247679       0.071125652  -3.15284     1.443366

SE of equation            =     0.205417201
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.80630186      -0.154081192E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.145951784
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.4389354    
R squared                 =   0.70846
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37319
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!   *         +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1967.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!*          +                          !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1967.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!*         +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1968.3*     +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!           *    +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.4!                  *       +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                *           +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.2!              +        *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!      +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3! *       +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!           +                 *        !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.3!              *           +           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1985.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!           *        +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!                +        *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.4!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!               +         *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGETU=GEPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGETU=LOG(AAGETU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGETU=LOG(AGETU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGETU=EXP(LAAGETU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2229 LAAGETU C LAGETU(-1) PGETU;                                         
EQUATION 1346  LAAGETU  
   RHS     C  LAGETU(-1)  PGETU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1346 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1346
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGETU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.749853707

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.434322309       0.087994679  -4.93578     1.000000
14447 LAGETU  ( -1)       0.745335405       0.054433777  13.69252    -1.749639
14445 PGETU   (  0)      -0.009438332       0.051718452  -0.18249     1.214555

SE of equation            =     0.117809601
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.56763387      -0.269850808E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.086038372
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.1752140    
R squared                 =   0.56172
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30102
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.4!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.1!                   *         +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!   *                    +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3*              +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.4!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITTU=ITPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITTU=LOG(AAITTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITTU=LOG(AITTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITTU=EXP(LAAITTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2230 LAAITTU C LAITTU(-1) PITTU;                                         
EQUATION 1347  LAAITTU  
   RHS     C  LAITTU(-1)  PITTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1347 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1347
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.315096426

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.335271765       0.089449927  -3.74815     1.000000
14450 LAITTU  ( -1)       0.642780510       0.059694261  10.76788    -2.314583
14448 PITTU   (  0)      -0.465068289       0.108486708  -4.28687     1.058029

SE of equation            =     0.152221528
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.28670779       0.964517355E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.113713850
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.3782038    
R squared                 =   0.73078
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45873
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!       *              +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!                    +             *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1978.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                       +             *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1979.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                 *       +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!       *                  +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!           +       *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNETU=NEPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANETU=LOG(AANETU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANETU=LOG(ANETU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANETU=EXP(LAANETU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2231 LAANETU C LANETU(-1) PNETU;                                         
EQUATION 1348  LAANETU  
   RHS     C  LANETU(-1)  PNETU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1348 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1348
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANETU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.621493656

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.888714548       0.155944554  -5.69891     1.000000
14453 LANETU  ( -1)       0.632620944       0.054657344  11.57431    -3.627023
14451 PNETU   (  0)      -0.315735663       0.070825328  -4.45795     1.388024

SE of equation            =     0.211598965
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.28321256       0.348441276E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.163122870
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.6670996    
R squared                 =   0.66720
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49115
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.3!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4*        +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!        *             +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!  *              +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.3!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!               +                     *!!          .   .   .          0
 1973.2!                    *         +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                       +              *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                       *        +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.2!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          *   +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                             +       *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTTU=STPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTTU=LOG(AASTTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTTU=LOG(ASTTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTTU=EXP(LAASTTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2232 LAASTTU C LASTTU(-1) PSTTU;                                         
EQUATION 1349  LAASTTU  
   RHS     C  LASTTU(-1)  PSTTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1349 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1349
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.678668734

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.367299075       0.122244751  -3.00462     1.000000
14456 LASTTU  ( -1)       0.860333104       0.038222228  22.50871    -3.672239
14454 PSTTU   (  0)      -0.139549214       0.070031138  -1.99267     1.089368

SE of equation            =     0.188431546
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.56869280      -0.654543086E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.150990764
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.3862636    
R squared                 =   0.80079
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45778
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                         *      +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                         *   +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                        +           * !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.3!                              *   +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.1!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!                  *        +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.2!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 1989.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!           *    +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!          *   +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.3!        *      +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!      *     +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.1!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!  *     +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!*      +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.2*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4! +  *                                 !!         .    .   0.         !


     32.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKTU=UKPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKTU=LOG(AAUKTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKTU=LOG(AUKTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKTU=EXP(LAAUKTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2233 LAAUKTU C LAUKTU(-1) PUKTU;                                         
EQUATION 1350  LAAUKTU  
   RHS     C  LAUKTU(-1)  PUKTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1350 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1350
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.857362558

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.191418373       0.078150568  -2.44935     1.000000
14459 LAUKTU  ( -1)       0.932755522       0.029274096  31.86283    -2.851517
14457 PUKTU   (  0)      -0.005123265       0.042967782  -0.11924     1.205557

SE of equation            =     0.140089691
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.63064747       0.285682589E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.107149662
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.1441365    
R squared                 =   0.87008
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52022
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.1!                            +         *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.2!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                               *     +!!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.1!                            *     +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                             +       *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                               +     *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                       *      +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!     *                 +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!             *    +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!+    *                                !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!*       +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.3! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFITU=FIPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFITU=LOG(AAFITU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFITU=LOG(AFITU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFITU=EXP(LAAFITU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2234 LAAFITU C LAFITU(-1) PFITU;                                         
EQUATION 1351  LAAFITU  
   RHS     C  LAFITU(-1)  PFITU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1351 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1351
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFITU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.305167565

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.451304702       0.340781266  -7.19319     1.000000
14462 LAFITU  ( -1)       0.473805802       0.062830957   7.54096    -5.317936
14460 PFITU   (  0)      -0.290081163       0.159455871  -1.81919     1.152071

SE of equation            =     0.543978432
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.7438188      -0.113464793E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.392471523
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.7846464    
R squared                 =   0.27898
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17794
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4*                    +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!         *            +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!      *           +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!       *                 +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                   +                 *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 1979.3!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                   *         +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!         *              +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.4!  *          +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.1!          +           *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!           *      +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!        *         +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                 *  +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASTU=ASPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASTU=LOG(AAASTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASTU=LOG(AASTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASTU=EXP(LAAASTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2235 LAAASTU C LAASTU(-1) PASTU;                                         
EQUATION 1352  LAAASTU  
   RHS     C  LAASTU(-1)  PASTU  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1352 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1352
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASTU 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.610510863

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.689485861       0.347273497  -4.86500     1.000000
14465 LAASTU  ( -1)       0.637880244       0.068693381   9.28591    -5.615429
14463 PASTU   (  0)      -0.260431193       0.153121912  -1.70081     1.301893

SE of equation            =     0.533272626
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.2537399       0.129585231E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.381577941
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.1314441    
R squared                 =   0.49927
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36198
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!       *          +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!          *             +             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3*                      +               !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.4!       +             *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                             +       *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                           *     +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                                *  +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                           *     +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                  *        +          !!         0 .  .  .           !


     23.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2236 LAASOTU C LASOTU(-1) PSOTU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2236 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2237 LAAKOTU C LAKOTU(-1) PKOTU;SMPL 1995.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2237 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBETU=BEPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABETU=LOG(AABETU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABETU=LOG(ABETU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABETU=EXP(LAABETU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2238 LAABETU C LABETU(-1) PBETU;                                         
EQUATION 1353  LAABETU  
   RHS     C  LABETU(-1)  PBETU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1353 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1353
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABETU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.551719909

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.110010299       0.190601813  -5.82371     1.000000
14468 LABETU  ( -1)       0.640018042       0.060157537  10.63903    -3.554181
14466 PBETU   (  0)      -0.143466793       0.094120330  -1.52429     1.163819

SE of equation            =     0.176518168
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.76435275      -0.530873123E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.130710126
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.5735037    
R squared                 =   0.47212
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30433
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1966.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!      *          +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.3*           +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!              *         +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                +                *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!    *              +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.1!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!         +            *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!        *            +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!            *           +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                +             *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1! *                    +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!   *          +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!           *                +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           +               *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.3!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!*           +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!   *             +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!    *      +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2239 LAADETU C LADETU(-1) PDETU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2239 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOTU=NOPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOTU=LOG(AANOTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOTU=LOG(ANOTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOTU=EXP(LAANOTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2240 LAANOTU C LANOTU(-1) PNOTU;                                         
EQUATION 1354  LAANOTU  
   RHS     C  LANOTU(-1)  PNOTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1354 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1354
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.363136179

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.123690107       0.333826893  -9.35722     1.000000
14471 LANOTU  ( -1)       0.259589142       0.070455337   3.68445    -5.361366
14469 PNOTU   (  0)      -0.830834393       0.158198104  -5.25186     1.020292

SE of equation            =     0.531028616
Sum of squared residuals  =  52.1684074      -0.195488070E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.419268866
Sum of ABS residuals      =  78.8225467    
R squared                 =   0.29641
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08422
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!        *        +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1967.4!                      +               *!         .    .    .         0
 1968.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.1!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1971.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                   +           *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!    *            +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!               +         *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!               +        *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                +            *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.2!       *          +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.3!              +          *            !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.2!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!              +             *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                +           *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!       *        +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1981.3!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!      +            *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.1!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!       *  +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.1!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1! *         +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!        *       +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.3!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!       *        +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!     *           +                    !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!         *       +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!*        +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!   *        +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWTU=SWPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWTU=LOG(AASWTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWTU=LOG(ASWTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWTU=EXP(LAASWTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2241 LAASWTU C LASWTU(-1) PSWTU;                                         
EQUATION 1355  LAASWTU  
   RHS     C  LASWTU(-1)  PSWTU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1355 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1355
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWTU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.525927764

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.571383386       0.249737588  -6.29214     1.000000
14474 LASWTU  ( -1)       0.601980852       0.062258205   9.66910    -4.527382
14472 PSWTU   (  0)      -0.168211788       0.094152936  -1.78658     1.362253

SE of equation            =     0.247393645
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.3226689       0.147881707E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190208889
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.7592711    
R squared                 =   0.43864
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17485
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.4!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!      *        +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!     *       +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.2!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!     *        +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1977.4!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!        *         +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!             *        +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!*              +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1981.2!    +         *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!       *         +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!   *     +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!   *            +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1998.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                        +             *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1999.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                *       +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2242 LAAGRTU C LAGRTU(-1) PGRTU;SMPL 1969.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2242 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRTU=IRPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRTU=LOG(AAIRTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRTU=LOG(AIRTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRTU=EXP(LAAIRTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2243 LAAIRTU C LAIRTU(-1) PIRTU;                                         
EQUATION 1356  LAAIRTU  
   RHS     C  LAIRTU(-1)  PIRTU  
 SMPL 1980.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   113 to   244
 OLS;EST 1356 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1356
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRTU 

 1980.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  132 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.299694783

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.827187308       0.254239624  -3.25357     1.000000
14477 LAIRTU  ( -1)       0.695698150       0.064913853  10.71725    -6.309539
14475 PIRTU   (  0)      -0.764793516       0.211559192  -3.61503     1.416033

SE of equation            =     0.508643402
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.3746362       0.240429898E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.296213841
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1002270    
R squared                 =   0.79887
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31773
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.1   2012.4    132

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.1!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!       *               +              !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.4*              +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1981.1!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!            +                    *    !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1981.4!  *                       +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!       +        *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                 +        *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.3!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !


     10.61 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.55 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOTU=POPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOTU=LOG(AAPOTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOTU=LOG(APOTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOTU=EXP(LAAPOTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2244 LAAPOTU C LAPOTU(-1) PPOTU;                                         
EQUATION 1357  LAAPOTU  
   RHS     C  LAPOTU(-1)  PPOTU  
 SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   115 to   244
 OLS;EST 1357 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1357
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOTU 

 1980.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  130 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.583164681

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.687604070       0.440265312  -6.10451     1.000000
14480 LAPOTU  ( -1)       0.479415786       0.081644313   5.87200    -6.576227
14478 PPOTU   (  0)      -0.512705856       0.170407585  -3.00870     1.448811

SE of equation            =     0.582936414
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.1564876      -0.312549986E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.395779989
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.4513986    
R squared                 =   0.44096
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92750
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.3   2012.4    130

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.3!                                    + *!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                            *      +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!               *             +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.4*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!    *                +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.1!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *         +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!               *           +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                     *       +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.92 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPTU=SPPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPTU=LOG(AASPTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPTU=LOG(ASPTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPTU=EXP(LAASPTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2245 LAASPTU C LASPTU(-1) PSPTU;                                         
EQUATION 1358  LAASPTU  
   RHS     C  LASPTU(-1)  PSPTU  
 SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    70 to   244
 OLS;EST 1358 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1358
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPTU 

 1969.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  175 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.045896986

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.347244581       0.158052730  -2.19702     1.000000
14483 LASPTU  ( -1)       0.783219771       0.046807040  16.73295    -4.059189
14481 PSPTU   (  0)      -0.385980784       0.140674581  -2.74378     1.345703

SE of equation            =     0.322233884
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.8595642      -0.434097203E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.227048704
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.7335231    
R squared                 =   0.78239
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50464
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.2   2012.4    175

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1969.3!*               +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.4!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!*          +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.2*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4*            +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1971.1*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3! *               +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!      *             +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                 *          +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                       *        +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   *        +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                               *     +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !


     22.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.29 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2246 LAANZTU C LANZTU(-1) PNZTU;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2246 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2247 LAASATU C LASATU(-1) PSATU;SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2247 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2248 LAAVETU C LAVETU(-1) PVETU;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2248 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2249 LAACOTU C LACOTU(-1) PCOTU;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2249 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2250 LAAJOTU C LAJOTU(-1) PJOTU;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2250 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2251 LAASYTU C LASYTU(-1) PSYTU;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2251 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2252 LAAIDTU C LAIDTU(-1) PIDTU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2252 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMATU=MAPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMATU=LOG(AAMATU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMATU=LOG(AMATU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMATU=EXP(LAAMATU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2253 LAAMATU C LAMATU(-1) PMATU;                                         
EQUATION 1359  LAAMATU  
   RHS     C  LAMATU(-1)  PMATU  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1359 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1359
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMATU 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.662030539

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.010428462       0.227118318  -4.44891     1.000000
14486 LAMATU  ( -1)       0.783401370       0.044995757  17.41056    -5.672575
14484 PMATU   (  0)      -0.139333032       0.058781153  -2.37037     1.490666

SE of equation            =     0.363147436
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.6058148      -0.597211169E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.269688170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.0832469    
R squared                 =   0.72001
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16990
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3! *                +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2*               +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.3!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!         *           +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!          +           *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.2!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                         +          * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.3!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                         +            *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2001.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                            *     +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!                 *        +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !


     24.73 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPATU=PAPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPATU=LOG(AAPATU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPATU=LOG(APATU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPATU=EXP(LAAPATU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2254 LAAPATU C LAPATU(-1) PPATU;                                         
EQUATION 1360  LAAPATU  
   RHS     C  LAPATU(-1)  PPATU  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1360 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1360
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPATU 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.748657599

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.471144970       0.444654822  -7.80638     1.000000
14489 LAPATU  ( -1)       0.103482305       0.082703816   1.25124    -6.771513
14487 PPATU   (  0)      -1.592804185       0.240912597  -6.61154     1.617764

SE of equation            =     1.078462279
Sum of squared residuals  =  168.646729      -0.211208828E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.715353820
Sum of ABS residuals      =  105.872365    
R squared                 =   0.38997
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17027
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!         *                +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1976.3!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!        *              +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                     *  +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!          *               +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                *        +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!              *            +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!    *                     +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         +                     *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1981.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!            +             *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.4!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!        *     +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!               +           *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!               +           *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2*                 +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.3!       *          +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!              *         +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                        *    +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    *      +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHTU=PHPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHTU=LOG(AAPHTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHTU=LOG(APHTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHTU=EXP(LAAPHTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2255 LAAPHTU C LAPHTU(-1) PPHTU;                                         
EQUATION 1361  LAAPHTU  
   RHS     C  LAPHTU(-1)  PPHTU  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST 1361 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1361
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHTU 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.494061022

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.466155609       0.723573941  -4.79033     1.000000
14492 LAPHTU  ( -1)       0.419849821       0.085409532   4.91573    -8.510067
14490 PPHTU   (  0)      -1.078944938       0.425938749  -2.53310     1.348498

SE of equation            =     0.628406822
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.8588842       0.493738384E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.426150484
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.4504028    
R squared                 =   0.31461
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97081
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!    *                  +              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1988.2*               +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.3!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!   *                      +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                      *     +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!        *           +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           +          *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.10 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.42 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHTU=THPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHTU=LOG(AATHTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHTU=LOG(ATHTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHTU=EXP(LAATHTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2256 LAATHTU C LATHTU(-1) PTHTU;                                         
EQUATION 1362  LAATHTU  
   RHS     C  LATHTU(-1)  PTHTU  
 SMPL 1984.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   132 to   244
 OLS;EST 1362 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1362
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHTU 

 1984.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  113 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.351450378

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.320170279       0.406708278  -0.78722     1.000000
14495 LATHTU  ( -1)       0.794883700       0.065576886  12.12140    -6.388864
14493 PTHTU   (  0)      -0.712216060       0.457748656  -1.55591     1.337903

SE of equation            =     0.667035303
Sum of squared residuals  =  48.9429705       0.369748676E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.374022279
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.2645175    
R squared                 =   0.79194
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19943
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.4   2012.4    113

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!          +                   *       !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.2!                   *        +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.3*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1986.2!      *               +               !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1986.3!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!    *         +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1987.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!   *        +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                   *       +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                       *       +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                     +*!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !


     15.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHTU=CHPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHTU=LOG(AACHTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHTU=LOG(ACHTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHTU=EXP(LAACHTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2257 LAACHTU C LACHTU(-1) PCHTU;                                         
EQUATION 1363  LAACHTU  
   RHS     C  LACHTU(-1)  PCHTU  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1363 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1363
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHTU 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.746770852

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.301980120       0.230787534   1.30848     1.000000
14498 LACHTU  ( -1)       0.782715852       0.061349622  12.75828    -4.799522
14496 PCHTU   (  0)      -0.890553871       0.314110922  -2.83516     1.450882

SE of equation            =     0.547357002
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.8507616      -0.692335078E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.327523136
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.2679152    
R squared                 =   0.91580
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33151
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.1! +      *                             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!       +                *             !!           .  .  .           0
 1985.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!           *         +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1986.3!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                +        *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.1!                 *      +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!              +        *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !


     17.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARTU=ARPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARTU=LOG(AAARTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARTU=LOG(AARTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARTU=EXP(LAAARTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2258 LAAARTU C LAARTU(-1) PARTU;                                         
EQUATION 1364  LAAARTU  
   RHS     C  LAARTU(-1)  PARTU  
 SMPL 1982.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   124 to   244
 OLS;EST 1364 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1364
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARTU 

 1982.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  121 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.458952109

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.525545251       0.436469164  -3.49520     1.000000
14501 LAARTU  ( -1)       0.655192865       0.070513208   9.29178    -6.482943
14499 PARTU   (  0)      -0.464807804       0.279077409  -1.66552     1.475510

SE of equation            =     0.831110459
Sum of squared residuals  =  81.5078623       0.127338140E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.596237879
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.1447834    
R squared                 =   0.54768
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07028
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.4   2012.4    121

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4*             +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.1!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!        +            *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                +                  *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                         +          * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!         *               +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.1!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                   *         +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                      *          +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                       *       +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !


     23.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRTU=BRPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRTU=LOG(AABRTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRTU=LOG(ABRTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRTU=EXP(LAABRTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2259 LAABRTU C LABRTU(-1) PBRTU;                                         
EQUATION 1365  LAABRTU  
   RHS     C  LABRTU(-1)  PBRTU  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1365 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1365
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRTU 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.034384107

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.919435886       0.489151187  -3.92401     1.000000
14504 LABRTU  ( -1)       0.575642161       0.083238971   6.91554    -5.030444
14502 PBRTU   (  0)      -0.193315833       0.212514131  -0.90966     1.133962

SE of equation            =     0.279792413
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.43696048      -0.430677716E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.218653979
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.4280899    
R squared                 =   0.33736
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09421
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.4!                 +             *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1989.1!                       +            * !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1989.2!                           +         *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.3!                            +         *!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.4!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.2!                     +     *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.3!                       +     *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.1!                   +     *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1991.2!                      +      *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.3!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!                  +     *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.2!                     +      *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.3!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.4!                       +       *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.4!                   * +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.2!       *       +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.3!          +      *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.4!                +       *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.2!              *     +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.1!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.2!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.1!      *          +                    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1997.2!          +            *              !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1997.3!             *      +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!               +            *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1998.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!     *               +                !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1999.1!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.2!            +      *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1999.4*                 +                    !0        .     .     .        !
 2000.1!     * +                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.3!                +     *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.4!         *         +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2001.1!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.2!       *        +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2001.3!*          +                          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2001.4!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.1!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.2*            +                         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2002.3!        +               *             !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2002.4!      *              +                !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2003.1!           +    *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.2!                +     *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!              *     +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.4!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.2!               +                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.4!        *         +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!             +    *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.4!       *        +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.1!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.2!       *      +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.4!           *   +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!     *       +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 2007.2!         +*                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!      *        +                      !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.1!  *       +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.2!        +      *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 2008.3!    *          +                      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.4! *     +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.1!  *    +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.2!        +  *                          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.3!              +   *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.4!            *    +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2010.1!        *     +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.2!           +        *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2010.3!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4!         *        +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.1!         * +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!           +       *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.3!                 +    *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.4!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.1!       *   +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2012.2!         +      *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !


     31.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.10 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2260 LAACETU C LACETU(-1) PCETU;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2260 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMETU=MEPX$Q/TUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMETU=LOG(AAMETU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMETU=LOG(AMETU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMETU=EXP(LAAMETU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2261 LAAMETU C LAMETU(-1) PMETU;                                         
EQUATION 1366  LAAMETU  
   RHS     C  LAMETU(-1)  PMETU  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1366 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1366
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMETU 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.911919359

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.972592033       0.566902203  -3.47960     1.000000
14507 LAMETU  ( -1)       0.638997185       0.078738153   8.11547    -7.916288
14505 PMETU   (  0)      -0.683748932       0.296505153  -2.30603     1.288253

SE of equation            =     0.501528656
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.8954443      -0.213598028E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.365982974
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.8663315    
R squared                 =   0.53851
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.1!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!          +          *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!    *              +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!            +           *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1995.4!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!     *           +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1996.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                          +          *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 2012.2!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2262 LAAPETU C LAPETU(-1) PPETU;SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2262 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDTU=PDPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDTU=LOG(AAPDTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDTU=LOG(APDTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDTU=EXP(LAAPDTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2263 LAAPDTU C LAPDTU(-1) PPDTU;                                         
EQUATION 1367  LAAPDTU  
   RHS     C  LAPDTU(-1)  PPDTU  
 SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   154 to   244
 OLS;EST 1367 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1367
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDTU 

 1990.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   91 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.337643851

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.104635442       0.324465674   0.32249     1.000000
14510 LAPDTU  ( -1)       0.851488033       0.062598324  13.60241    -5.361081
14508 PPDTU   (  0)      -0.698989446       0.407292374  -1.71619     1.255216

SE of equation            =     0.367421605
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8798800       0.593791682E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.260815582
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.7342180    
R squared                 =   0.87049
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25160
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.2   2012.4     91

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.2!          +            *              !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.4!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!              *        +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!              *      +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.1!  *            +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1994.2!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3! *      +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.4! +    *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2! *         +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1996.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1*       +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.2*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!  +        *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4! *          +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!      *     +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                               * +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                  +   *!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!                                    + *!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                                     +*!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !


     25.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2264 LAARUTU C LARUTU(-1) PRUTU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2264 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2265 LAAUETU C LAUETU(-1) PUETU;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2265 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGTU=EGPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGTU=LOG(AAEGTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGTU=LOG(AEGTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGTU=EXP(LAAEGTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2266 LAAEGTU C LAEGTU(-1) PEGTU;                                         
EQUATION 1368  LAAEGTU  
   RHS     C  LAEGTU(-1)  PEGTU  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1368 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1368
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGTU 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.089762905

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.718090083       0.335874403  -2.13797     1.000000
14513 LAEGTU  ( -1)       0.603499999       0.081300413   7.42309    -6.119980
14511 PEGTU   (  0)      -1.302745026       0.349342841  -3.72913     1.288253

SE of equation            =     0.432726473
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.7889591       0.689492907E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.314758355
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.8463188    
R squared                 =   0.73256
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37940
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.1!   +               *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1989.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!     *           +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!           *      +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !


     22.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISTU=ISPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISTU=LOG(AAISTU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISTU=LOG(AISTU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISTU=EXP(LAAISTU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2267 LAAISTU C LAISTU(-1) PISTU;                                         
EQUATION 1369  LAAISTU  
   RHS     C  LAISTU(-1)  PISTU  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1369 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1369
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISTU 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.291393680

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.524336743       0.295908237  -5.15138     1.000000
14516 LAISTU  ( -1)       0.645757181       0.058732701  10.99485    -5.296083
14514 PISTU   (  0)      -0.277195858       0.151769281  -1.82643     1.252088

SE of equation            =     0.423590710
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.5795197       0.109618981E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.302797619
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.2007738    
R squared                 =   0.48435
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29447
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!         *         +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.4!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                        *  +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!   *                      +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4*                   +                  !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1974.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                   *        +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.1!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1978.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                            *    +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.1!                  +               *   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1980.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                     *      +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!        *                  +          !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!              +        *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.1!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!   *             +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!         *         +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                *  +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2268 LAAKETU C LAKETU(-1) PKETU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2268 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBATU=BAPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABATU=LOG(AABATU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABATU=LOG(ABATU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABATU=EXP(LAABATU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2269 LAABATU C LABATU(-1) PBATU;                                         
EQUATION 1370  LAABATU  
   RHS     C  LABATU(-1)  PBATU  
 SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    92 to   244
 OLS;EST 1370 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1370
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABATU 

 1974.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  153 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.247295365

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.204189714       0.412272610  -5.34644     1.000000
14519 LABATU  ( -1)       0.656906308       0.058848291  11.16271    -7.267667
14517 PBATU   (  0)      -0.154196011       0.067263079  -2.29243     1.744073

SE of equation            =     0.497798325
Sum of squared residuals  =  37.1704759      -0.277493584E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.364002595
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.6923970    
R squared                 =   0.51110
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18179
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.4   2012.4    153

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!           +         *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!               +            *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1977.4!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.3!                    +          *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!            *         +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!              +           *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.1!              *        +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1*                      +               !0           .  .  .           !
 1986.2!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!      *             +                 !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!           +          *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1987.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!          *           +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1989.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!         *        +                   !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                              +      *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !


     22.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2270 LAAHKTU C LAHKTU(-1) PHKTU;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2270 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSITU=SIPX$/TUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASITU=LOG(AASITU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASITU=LOG(ASITU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASITU=EXP(LAASITU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2271 LAASITU C LASITU(-1) PSITU;                                         
EQUATION 1371  LAASITU  
   RHS     C  LASITU(-1)  PSITU  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1371 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1371
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASITU 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.121058309

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.603574986       0.388945062  -6.69394     1.000000
14522 LASITU  ( -1)       0.526638083       0.070280897   7.49333    -6.121800
14520 PSITU   (  0)      -0.158027043       0.043639837  -3.62116     1.857344

SE of equation            =     0.316431717
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5199999       0.738165085E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.222244605
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.1146476    
R squared                 =   0.49963
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23314
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.2!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.2!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4*              +                       !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1976.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.3!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!        +            *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                      +               *!          .   .   .         0!
 2012.1!                    *          +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2012.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2012.4!                     *      +         !!        0 .   .   .          !


     22.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2272 LAAVITU C LAVITU(-1) PVITU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2272 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2273 LAANITU C LANITU(-1) PNITU;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2273 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2274 LAAALTU C LAALTU(-1) PALTU;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2274 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2275 LAAIATU C LAIATU(-1) PIATU;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2275 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2276 LAAINTU C LAINTU(-1) PINTU;SMPL 1982.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2276 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2277 LAAIQTU C LAIQTU(-1) PIQTU;SMPL 2003.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2277 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2278 LAAKUTU C LAKUTU(-1) PKUTU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2278 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2279 LAALITU C LALITU(-1) PLITU;SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2279 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2280 LAAUATU C LAUATU(-1) PUATU;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2280 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2281 LAAUSPD C LAUSPD(-1) PUSPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2281 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2282 LAACAPD C LACAPD(-1) PCAPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2282 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2283 LAAJAPD C LAJAPD(-1) PJAPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2283 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUPD=AUPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUPD=LOG(AAAUPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUPD=LOG(AAUPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUPD=EXP(LAAAUPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2284 LAAAUPD C LAAUPD(-1) PAUPD;                                         
EQUATION 1372  LAAAUPD  
   RHS     C  LAAUPD(-1)  PAUPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1372 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1372
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.250636250

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.031940770       0.183095086  -0.17445     1.000000
14525 LAAUPD  ( -1)       0.865906597       0.035494486  24.39552    -3.247426
14523 PAUPD   (  0)      -0.408564352       0.193388824  -2.11266     0.995505

SE of equation            =     0.145166879
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.89858318      -0.113811183E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.103665378
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.4890910    
R squared                 =   0.80169
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32288
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1966.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *           +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!          *           +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.1!                       *         +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!                              *    +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                      *      +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.2!                      *         +     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.3!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!         *            +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1988.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!             +               *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1989.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!  *    +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1! *         +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1999.2!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRPD=FRPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRPD=LOG(AAFRPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRPD=LOG(AFRPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRPD=EXP(LAAFRPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2285 LAAFRPD C LAFRPD(-1) PFRPD;                                         
EQUATION 1373  LAAFRPD  
   RHS     C  LAFRPD(-1)  PFRPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1373 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1373
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.824328524

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.552775813       0.149429698  -3.69924     1.000000
14528 LAFRPD  ( -1)       0.787807069       0.045666200  17.25143    -2.824918
14526 PFRPD   (  0)      -0.039086040       0.088279659  -0.44275     1.178495

SE of equation            =     0.184025548
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.26509942      -0.133715261E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.126061314
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.6995271    
R squared                 =   0.62860
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06439
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.3!        *                   +         !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.4! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!    +         *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!           +                *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!      +            *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                       +             *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!           +             *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!       *            +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!*              +                      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            +   *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2286 LAAGEPD C LAGEPD(-1) PGEPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2286 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITPD=ITPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITPD=LOG(AAITPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITPD=LOG(AITPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITPD=EXP(LAAITPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2287 LAAITPD C LAITPD(-1) PITPD;                                         
EQUATION 1374  LAAITPD  
   RHS     C  LAITPD(-1)  PITPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1374 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1374
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.473213280

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.547978085       0.138613033  -3.95329     1.000000
14531 LAITPD  ( -1)       0.749725267       0.047924473  15.64389    -2.470650
14529 PITPD   (  0)      -0.083867521       0.097243257  -0.86245     0.869542

SE of equation            =     0.145628894
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.92343831       0.213518092E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.100778208
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.9463031    
R squared                 =   0.57563
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53125
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        *       +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.2!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.4!                       +           *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.1!              *            +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                        +       *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.1!                      *       +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                    +          *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!          *        +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!        *            +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1988.4!     +              *                 !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.1!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                          +       *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                         *  +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!             *           +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!              *  +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEPD=NEPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEPD=LOG(AANEPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEPD=LOG(ANEPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEPD=EXP(LAANEPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2288 LAANEPD C LANEPD(-1) PNEPD;                                         
EQUATION 1375  LAANEPD  
   RHS     C  LANEPD(-1)  PNEPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1375 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1375
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.250606393

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.176995836       0.187870615   0.94212     1.000000
14534 LANEPD  ( -1)       0.661629867       0.057228419  11.56121    -3.257230
14532 PNEPD   (  0)      -1.127978910       0.253092634  -4.45678     1.128143

SE of equation            =     0.219958206
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.95059831       0.193556282E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176391685
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.1616367    
R squared                 =   0.75031
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.55310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*           +                          !0        .     .     .        !
 1966.2!  * +                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.3*       +                              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1966.4!   *+                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.1!      +   *                           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1967.2!  *          +                        !!0       .     .     .        !
 1967.3! *     +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1967.4!      + *                             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.1!       *  +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.2!          +*                          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1968.3!      *     +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1968.4!        +       *                     !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1969.1!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1969.2!        *     +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1969.3!      *    +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 1969.4!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.1!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1970.2!           *   +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.3!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.4!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.2!               +    *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.3!                *   +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.1!             *      +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1972.2!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1972.3!           *     +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1972.4!               +      *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1973.1!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.2!               *     +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.3!          *       +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.1!            *     +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1974.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.3!         *    +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1974.4!           +       *                  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1975.1!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1975.2!            * +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.3!       *      +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1975.4!           +     *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.1!         *       +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1976.2!     *     +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.3!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.4!       +       *                      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.1!           *  +                       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.3!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.4!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1978.2!           +                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.3!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.4!             +       *                !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1979.1!          *        +                  !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1979.2!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.3!            *  +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1979.4!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.1!              +         *             !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1980.2!              *      +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1980.3!        *      +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1980.4!           +    *                     !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.1!     *           +                    !!0       .     .     .        !
 1981.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.3!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.4!              +      *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1982.1!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.2!               +     *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1982.3!            *      +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1982.4!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.2!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1984.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.2!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.3!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1984.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.4!               +      *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.3!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.4!                   +    *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.1!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1987.2!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.3!               *     +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.4!                +     *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.3!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!                  +     *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.2!                   +     *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1990.3!                 *   +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.4!                 +       *            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.2!                       +      *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.4!                      +         *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1992.1!                           +          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.4!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.1!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.2!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.1!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.3!                         +            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.4!                       +     *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.1!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.3!                      * +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.4!                      +      *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                      *   +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.3!                    *   +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.4!                      +   *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.1!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1999.1!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.3!                         *   +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.4!                           +    *     !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.1!                             *  +     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2000.2!                             *+       !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.3!                          *   +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.4!                            +    *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.1!                             *   +    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!                             *+       !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                          *   +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!                            +    *    !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.1!                              *  +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.3!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.4!                             +    *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.1!                             *   +    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                           *  +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.4!                            +   *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.1!                            *  +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!                              +     * !!        .     .     .0       !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.2!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!                             +     *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.1!                            *    +    !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.4!                             +      * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.2!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.4!                            +      *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!                            +       * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!                              * +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.4!                              +     * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.4!                               +     *!!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.1!                                *  +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.4!                              +      *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 2012.1!                                * +   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.3!                               *+     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.4!                               +      *!        .     .     .  0     !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTPD=STPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTPD=LOG(AASTPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTPD=LOG(ASTPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTPD=EXP(LAASTPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2289 LAASTPD C LASTPD(-1) PSTPD;                                         
EQUATION 1376  LAASTPD  
   RHS     C  LASTPD(-1)  PSTPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1376 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1376
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.756462731

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.201620995       0.075884911  -2.65693     1.000000
14537 LASTPD  ( -1)       0.841167940       0.036972299  22.75130    -3.748840
14535 PSTPD   (  0)      -0.449995476       0.110186614  -4.08394     0.892092

SE of equation            =     0.127487985
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.00683946      -0.817479417E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.097822177
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.3905693    
R squared                 =   0.93156
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70775
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                              *   +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                               *  +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!                         *     +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                       *    +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!                             *    +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.3!                                *    +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                             *    +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                            *    +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                       *    +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                  *    +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                         *    +       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1984.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                              *    +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1986.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                           *   +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                 *     +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.4!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!*+                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3+ *                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKPD=UKPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKPD=LOG(AAUKPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKPD=LOG(AUKPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKPD=EXP(LAAUKPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2290 LAAUKPD C LAUKPD(-1) PUKPD;                                         
EQUATION 1377  LAAUKPD  
   RHS     C  LAUKPD(-1)  PUKPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1377 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1377
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.797357150

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.034611397       0.112421518  -0.30787     1.000000
14540 LAUKPD  ( -1)       0.936445593       0.024177628  38.73191    -2.789976
14538 PUKPD   (  0)      -0.153351111       0.118891948  -1.28984     0.978701

SE of equation            =     0.146045020
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.94589237      -0.281885626E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.105340615
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.8040356    
R squared                 =   0.90479
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15943
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.1!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                         *    +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!    *          +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!           *      +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!            +        *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1987.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!               *     +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!      *   +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!   *         +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2006.4!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!  *         +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2011.3!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2! +*                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIPD=FIPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIPD=LOG(AAFIPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIPD=LOG(AFIPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIPD=EXP(LAAFIPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2291 LAAFIPD C LAFIPD(-1) PFIPD;                                         
EQUATION 1378  LAAFIPD  
   RHS     C  LAFIPD(-1)  PFIPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1378 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1378
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.217883922

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.613511490       0.226179204  -2.71250     1.000000
14543 LAFIPD  ( -1)       0.829315261       0.041173004  20.14221    -4.210913
14541 PFIPD   (  0)      -0.120135909       0.220664983  -0.54443     0.933927

SE of equation            =     0.290467062
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.6086561      -0.451727544E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188854922
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.5047254    
R squared                 =   0.71100
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40180
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.2!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.1!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.2!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                      *         +     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                *       +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                *           +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2*                +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.3!    +           *                     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1981.4!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                    *        +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                    *       +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1992.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !


     15.96 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2292 LAAASPD C LAASPD(-1) PASPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2292 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2293 LAASOPD C LASOPD(-1) PSOPD;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2293 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2294 LAAKOPD C LAKOPD(-1) PKOPD;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2294 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2295 LAABEPD C LABEPD(-1) PBEPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2295 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2296 LAADEPD C LADEPD(-1) PDEPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2296 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOPD=NOPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOPD=LOG(AANOPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOPD=LOG(ANOPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOPD=EXP(LAANOPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2297 LAANOPD C LANOPD(-1) PNOPD;                                         
EQUATION 1379  LAANOPD  
   RHS     C  LANOPD(-1)  PNOPD  
 SMPL 1971.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    79 to   244
 OLS;EST 1379 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1379
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOPD 

 1971.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  166 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.312380094

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.626433973       0.245391752  -6.62791     1.000000
14546 LANOPD  ( -1)       0.520849548       0.067118926   7.76010    -4.309667
14544 PNOPD   (  0)      -0.521872365       0.132460002  -3.93985     0.845529

SE of equation            =     0.316773104
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.3562675       0.364908104E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.240835262
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9786536    
R squared                 =   0.49842
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32335
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.3   2012.4    166

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                +                    *!!          .   .   .          0
 1976.3!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!                +           *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!            +            *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!      *        +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1*           +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.3!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                  +                *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       +              *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.3!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                          +   *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.4!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!*      +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!  +                *                  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2008.4!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.3!    *         +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !


     25.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.42 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2298 LAASWPD C LASWPD(-1) PSWPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2298 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2299 LAAGRPD C LAGRPD(-1) PGRPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2299 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRPD=IRPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRPD=LOG(AAIRPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRPD=LOG(AIRPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRPD=EXP(LAAIRPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2300 LAAIRPD C LAIRPD(-1) PIRPD;                                         
EQUATION 1380  LAAIRPD  
   RHS     C  LAIRPD(-1)  PIRPD  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1380 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1380
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRPD 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.955077221

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.469247238       0.410094309  -1.14424     1.000000
14549 LAIRPD  ( -1)       0.512459116       0.063519840   8.06770    -5.962332
14547 PIRPD   (  0)      -2.128512862       0.436295962  -4.87860     1.141820

SE of equation            =     0.565492164
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.9617429      -0.276880741E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.393873211
Sum of ABS residuals      =  70.1094315    
R squared                 =   0.54672
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33578
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!           *            +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!     *                     +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.2!            +           *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!        *         +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!       *         +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    *               +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +                 *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.4!    *                      +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.1*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.2! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!       *          +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!         *           +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.1!                    *        +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                +           *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                             +   *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                               *   +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !


     20.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2301 LAAPOPD C LAPOPD(-1) PPOPD;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2301 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPPD=SPPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPPD=LOG(AASPPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPPD=LOG(ASPPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPPD=EXP(LAASPPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2302 LAASPPD C LASPPD(-1) PSPPD;                                         
EQUATION 1381  LAASPPD  
   RHS     C  LASPPD(-1)  PSPPD  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1381 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1381
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPPD 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.353413795

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.693994690       0.201326348  -3.44711     1.000000
14552 LASPPD  ( -1)       0.751481741       0.048989698  15.33959    -4.358240
14550 PSPPD   (  0)      -0.339288706       0.137217429  -2.47264     1.132608

SE of equation            =     0.329053816
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.0311365      -0.407407441E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.239794379
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.0813433    
R squared                 =   0.65090
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.71372
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2*                +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1971.3!    +                    *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1971.4!       *               +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1972.1!           +                 *        !!          .   .   .         0!
 1972.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!           *         +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!           *           +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!        *          +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!       *          +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                           *   +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                               +    * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .0         !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2303 LAANZPD C LANZPD(-1) PNZPD;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2303 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2304 LAASAPD C LASAPD(-1) PSAPD;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2304 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2305 LAAVEPD C LAVEPD(-1) PVEPD;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2305 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2306 LAACOPD C LACOPD(-1) PCOPD;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2306 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2307 LAAJOPD C LAJOPD(-1) PJOPD;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2307 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2308 LAASYPD C LASYPD(-1) PSYPD;SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2308 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2309 LAAIDPD C LAIDPD(-1) PIDPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2309 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2310 LAAMAPD C LAMAPD(-1) PMAPD;SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2310 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2311 LAAPAPD C LAPAPD(-1) PPAPD;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2311 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2312 LAAPHPD C LAPHPD(-1) PPHPD;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2312 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHPD=THPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHPD=LOG(AATHPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHPD=LOG(ATHPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHPD=EXP(LAATHPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2313 LAATHPD C LATHPD(-1) PTHPD;                                         
EQUATION 1382  LAATHPD  
   RHS     C  LATHPD(-1)  PTHPD  
 SMPL 1982.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   124 to   244
 OLS;EST 1382 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1382
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHPD 

 1982.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  121 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.768615683

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.578179490       0.666937881  -0.86692     1.000000
14555 LATHPD  ( -1)       0.840008041       0.048708336  17.24567    -5.778206
14553 PTHPD   (  0)      -0.306435250       0.573104871  -0.53469     1.098754

SE of equation            =     0.577001336
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.2858039      -0.359294816E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.372823797
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.1116794    
R squared                 =   0.71917
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35212
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.4   2012.4    121

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.4*           +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  +                    *              !!           .  .  .           0
 1983.2!           *          +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!             +         *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!       *            +                 !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.3!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!             +           *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!            *         +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1985.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.3!*         +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.4!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!      +          *                    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!           *       +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                               *   +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !


     19.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2314 LAACHPD C LACHPD(-1) PCHPD;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2314 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2315 LAAARPD C LAARPD(-1) PARPD;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2315 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRPD=BRPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRPD=LOG(AABRPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRPD=LOG(ABRPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRPD=EXP(LAABRPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2316 LAABRPD C LABRPD(-1) PBRPD;                                         
EQUATION 1383  LAABRPD  
   RHS     C  LABRPD(-1)  PBRPD  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1383 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1383
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRPD 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.994767853

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.352446166       0.329613813  -1.06927     1.000000
14558 LABRPD  ( -1)       0.913817652       0.033959087  26.90937    -4.964520
14556 PBRPD   (  0)      -0.108628448       0.318516778  -0.34104     0.972630

SE of equation            =     0.509096161
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.8790049       0.683098023E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.366959942
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.2369527    
R squared                 =   0.85897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31223
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                              *     + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.2!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.4!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!    +    *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1! +               *                    !!          .   .   .          0
 2004.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2! +          *                         !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.3!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!+          *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2009.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!*    +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2! +     *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2! +      *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !


     30.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2317 LAACEPD C LACEPD(-1) PCEPD;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2317 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2318 LAAMEPD C LAMEPD(-1) PMEPD;SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2318 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEPD=PEPX$Q/PDPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEPD=LOG(AAPEPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEPD=LOG(APEPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEPD=EXP(LAAPEPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2319 LAAPEPD C LAPEPD(-1) PPEPD;                                         
EQUATION 1384  LAAPEPD  
   RHS     C  LAPEPD(-1)  PPEPD  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1384 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1384
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEPD 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.190926365

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.115885474       0.498257792  -4.24657     1.000000
14561 LAPEPD  ( -1)       0.707875935       0.064232592  11.02051    -8.159931
14559 PPEPD   (  0)      -0.346650100       0.277828399  -1.24771     0.862028

SE of equation            =     0.941836362
Sum of squared residuals  =  109.107855      -0.166098246E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.645148909
Sum of ABS residuals      =  81.2887625    
R squared                 =   0.55434
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60331
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                              +     * !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                         +           *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!                                +    *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                                +    *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                                +     *!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                      *      +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                  +             *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.2*                             +        !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!  *      +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!       +           *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                  *     +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                  *       +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!             *      +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!                +           *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1998.1!                   *      +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!   *                       +          !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1999.2!         +                 *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1999.3!            *            +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1999.4!               +            *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.1!               *          +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!       *      +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!            *    +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!               +         *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!           *           +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!            *    +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!          +         *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.1!          *        +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!          +  *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUPD=TUPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUPD=LOG(AATUPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUPD=LOG(ATUPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUPD=EXP(LAATUPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2320 LAATUPD C LATUPD(-1) PTUPD;                                         
EQUATION 1385  LAATUPD  
   RHS     C  LATUPD(-1)  PTUPD  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1385 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1385
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUPD 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.099009854

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.048522079       0.424094229  -2.47238     1.000000
14564 LATUPD  ( -1)       0.621161839       0.062883459   9.87798    -5.105301
14562 PTUPD   (  0)      -0.779486394       0.365841705  -2.13067     1.128012

SE of equation            =     0.532470859
Sum of squared residuals  =  44.2299337      -0.156683555E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.350148256
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.6735727    
R squared                 =   0.46331
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24584
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!    *             +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2! *                     +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.3!*         +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2*                  +                   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.3!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!         *      +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!          *          +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!*               +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.4!         +           *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!           *               +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                         *     +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!          *             +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                +                     *!          .   .   .          0
 1983.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!            *               +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!           +           *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !


     23.27 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.92 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2321 LAARUPD C LARUPD(-1) PRUPD;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2321 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2322 LAAUEPD C LAUEPD(-1) PUEPD;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2322 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2323 LAAEGPD C LAEGPD(-1) PEGPD;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2323 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISPD=ISPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISPD=LOG(AAISPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISPD=LOG(AISPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISPD=EXP(LAAISPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2324 LAAISPD C LAISPD(-1) PISPD;                                         
EQUATION 1386  LAAISPD  
   RHS     C  LAISPD(-1)  PISPD  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1386 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1386
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISPD 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.310515084

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.758898578       0.726732472  -2.42028     1.000000
14567 LAISPD  ( -1)       0.563550629       0.082683558   6.81575    -6.299926
14565 PISPD   (  0)      -0.949921061       0.461878564  -2.05665     1.054076

SE of equation            =     0.310586460
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.77821935       0.569189140E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.227925022
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.4249520    
R squared                 =   0.35331
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20903
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!              *           +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4!               +               *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.1*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1990.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!              +             *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!               *  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!        *            +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!      *           +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2325 LAAKEPD C LAKEPD(-1) PKEPD;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2325 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAPD=BAPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAPD=LOG(AABAPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAPD=LOG(ABAPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAPD=EXP(LAABAPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2326 LAABAPD C LABAPD(-1) PBAPD;                                         
EQUATION 1387  LAABAPD  
   RHS     C  LABAPD(-1)  PBAPD  
 SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   145 to   244
 OLS;EST 1387 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1387
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAPD 

 1988.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  100 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.038164394

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.161708399       0.734075815  -1.58255     1.000000
14570 LABAPD  ( -1)       0.808591940       0.062366129  12.96524    -8.040513
14568 PBAPD   (  0)      -0.323910868       0.399743185  -0.81030     1.157608

SE of equation            =     0.467679375
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.2162278      -0.147197809E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.329412920
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.9412920    
R squared                 =   0.63604
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34614
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.1   2012.4    100

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.1!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                         +          * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!            *           +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.1!            +                 *       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.2!*                          +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1990.3!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!            +            *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.1!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!       *            +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.1!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!               *           +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.3!      *         +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.4!        +    *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!               *         +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!               *       +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!    *     +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.4!   *  +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2*       +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.3! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!  *     +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!  *  +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                     +         *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.3!                             +       *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                               +    * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                                +     *!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!                                  +   *!           .  . 0.           !


     21.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKPD=HKPX$/PDPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKPD=LOG(AAHKPD+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKPD=LOG(AHKPD+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKPD=EXP(LAAHKPD)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2327 LAAHKPD C LAHKPD(-1) PHKPD;                                         
EQUATION 1388  LAAHKPD  
   RHS     C  LAHKPD(-1)  PHKPD  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1388 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1388
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKPD 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.570077756

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.470234974       0.169660511  -2.77162     1.000000
14573 LAHKPD  ( -1)       0.896488267       0.032061354  27.96165    -5.585888
14571 PHKPD   (  0)      -0.071281052       0.108065866  -0.65961     1.292901

SE of equation            =     0.260442984
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.83542947       0.763833441E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.179123327
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.5102524    
R squared                 =   0.87553
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32388
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!*+                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3! +        *                           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1976.4!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!*             +                       !0           .  .  .           !
 1977.3!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4! *+                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3*         +                            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1978.4*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!               *    +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!        *     +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.1!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                           *   +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1988.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1990.1!                                  *  +!!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                           *    +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.1!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !


     18.92 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2328 LAASIPD C LASIPD(-1) PSIPD;SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2328 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2329 LAAVIPD C LAVIPD(-1) PVIPD;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2329 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2330 LAANIPD C LANIPD(-1) PNIPD;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2330 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2331 LAAALPD C LAALPD(-1) PALPD;SMPL 2008.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2331 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2332 LAAIAPD C LAIAPD(-1) PIAPD;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2332 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2333 LAAINPD C LAINPD(-1) PINPD;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2333 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2334 LAAIQPD C LAIQPD(-1) PIQPD;SMPL 2009.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2334 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2335 LAAKUPD C LAKUPD(-1) PKUPD;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2335 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2336 LAALIPD C LALIPD(-1) PLIPD;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2336 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2337 LAAUAPD C LAUAPD(-1) PUAPD;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2337 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2338 LAAUSRU C LAUSRU(-1) PUSRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2338 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2339 LAACARU C LACARU(-1) PCARU;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2339 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2340 LAAJARU C LAJARU(-1) PJARU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2340 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2341 LAAAURU C LAAURU(-1) PAURU;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2341 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2342 LAAFRRU C LAFRRU(-1) PFRRU;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2342 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2343 LAAGERU C LAGERU(-1) PGERU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2343 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2344 LAAITRU C LAITRU(-1) PITRU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2344 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2345 LAANERU C LANERU(-1) PNERU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2345 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2346 LAASTRU C LASTRU(-1) PSTRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2346 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2347 LAAUKRU C LAUKRU(-1) PUKRU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2347 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2348 LAAFIRU C LAFIRU(-1) PFIRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2348 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2349 LAAASRU C LAASRU(-1) PASRU;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2349 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2350 LAASORU C LASORU(-1) PSORU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2350 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2351 LAAKORU C LAKORU(-1) PKORU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2351 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2352 LAABERU C LABERU(-1) PBERU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2352 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2353 LAADERU C LADERU(-1) PDERU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2353 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2354 LAANORU C LANORU(-1) PNORU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2354 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2355 LAASWRU C LASWRU(-1) PSWRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2355 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2356 LAAGRRU C LAGRRU(-1) PGRRU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2356 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2357 LAAIRRU C LAIRRU(-1) PIRRU;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2357 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2358 LAAPORU C LAPORU(-1) PPORU;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2358 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2359 LAASPRU C LASPRU(-1) PSPRU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2359 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2360 LAANZRU C LANZRU(-1) PNZRU;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2360 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2361 LAASARU C LASARU(-1) PSARU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2361 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2362 LAAVERU C LAVERU(-1) PVERU;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2362 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2363 LAACORU C LACORU(-1) PCORU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2363 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2364 LAAJORU C LAJORU(-1) PJORU;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2364 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2365 LAASYRU C LASYRU(-1) PSYRU;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2365 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2366 LAAIDRU C LAIDRU(-1) PIDRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2366 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2367 LAAMARU C LAMARU(-1) PMARU;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2367 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2368 LAAPARU C LAPARU(-1) PPARU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2368 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2369 LAAPHRU C LAPHRU(-1) PPHRU;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2369 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2370 LAATHRU C LATHRU(-1) PTHRU;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2370 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2371 LAACHRU C LACHRU(-1) PCHRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2371 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2372 LAAARRU C LAARRU(-1) PARRU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2372 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2373 LAABRRU C LABRRU(-1) PBRRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2373 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2374 LAACERU C LACERU(-1) PCERU;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2374 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2375 LAAMERU C LAMERU(-1) PMERU;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2375 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2376 LAAPERU C LAPERU(-1) PPERU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2376 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2377 LAATURU C LATURU(-1) PTURU;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2377 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2378 LAAPDRU C LAPDRU(-1) PPDRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2378 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2379 LAAUERU C LAUERU(-1) PUERU;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2379 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2380 LAAEGRU C LAEGRU(-1) PEGRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2380 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2381 LAAISRU C LAISRU(-1) PISRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2381 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2382 LAAKERU C LAKERU(-1) PKERU;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2382 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2383 LAABARU C LABARU(-1) PBARU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2383 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2384 LAAHKRU C LAHKRU(-1) PHKRU;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2384 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2385 LAASIRU C LASIRU(-1) PSIRU;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2385 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2386 LAAVIRU C LAVIRU(-1) PVIRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2386 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2387 LAANIRU C LANIRU(-1) PNIRU;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2387 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2388 LAAALRU C LAALRU(-1) PALRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2388 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2389 LAAIARU C LAIARU(-1) PIARU;SMPL 1997.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2389 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2390 LAAINRU C LAINRU(-1) PINRU;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2390 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2391 LAAIQRU C LAIQRU(-1) PIQRU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2391 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2392 LAAKURU C LAKURU(-1) PKURU;SMPL 2011.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2392 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2393 LAALIRU C LALIRU(-1) PLIRU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2393 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2394 LAAUARU C LAUARU(-1) PUARU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2394 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2395 LAAUSUE C LAUSUE(-1) PUSUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2395 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2396 LAACAUE C LACAUE(-1) PCAUE;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2396 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2397 LAAJAUE C LAJAUE(-1) PJAUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2397 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2398 LAAAUUE C LAAUUE(-1) PAUUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2398 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2399 LAAFRUE C LAFRUE(-1) PFRUE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2399 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2400 LAAGEUE C LAGEUE(-1) PGEUE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2400 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2401 LAAITUE C LAITUE(-1) PITUE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2401 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2402 LAANEUE C LANEUE(-1) PNEUE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2402 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2403 LAASTUE C LASTUE(-1) PSTUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2403 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2404 LAAUKUE C LAUKUE(-1) PUKUE;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2404 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2405 LAAFIUE C LAFIUE(-1) PFIUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2405 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2406 LAAASUE C LAASUE(-1) PASUE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2406 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2407 LAASOUE C LASOUE(-1) PSOUE;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2407 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2408 LAAKOUE C LAKOUE(-1) PKOUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2408 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2409 LAABEUE C LABEUE(-1) PBEUE;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2409 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2410 LAADEUE C LADEUE(-1) PDEUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2410 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2411 LAANOUE C LANOUE(-1) PNOUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2411 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2412 LAASWUE C LASWUE(-1) PSWUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2412 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2413 LAAGRUE C LAGRUE(-1) PGRUE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2413 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2414 LAAIRUE C LAIRUE(-1) PIRUE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2414 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2415 LAAPOUE C LAPOUE(-1) PPOUE;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2415 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2416 LAASPUE C LASPUE(-1) PSPUE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2416 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2417 LAANZUE C LANZUE(-1) PNZUE;SMPL 1995.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2417 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2418 LAASAUE C LASAUE(-1) PSAUE;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2418 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2419 LAAVEUE C LAVEUE(-1) PVEUE;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2419 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2420 LAACOUE C LACOUE(-1) PCOUE;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2420 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2421 LAAJOUE C LAJOUE(-1) PJOUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2421 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2422 LAASYUE C LASYUE(-1) PSYUE;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2422 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2423 LAAIDUE C LAIDUE(-1) PIDUE;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2423 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2424 LAAMAUE C LAMAUE(-1) PMAUE;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2424 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2425 LAAPAUE C LAPAUE(-1) PPAUE;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2425 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2426 LAAPHUE C LAPHUE(-1) PPHUE;SMPL 1999.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2426 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2427 LAATHUE C LATHUE(-1) PTHUE;SMPL 1995.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2427 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2428 LAACHUE C LACHUE(-1) PCHUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2428 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2429 LAAARUE C LAARUE(-1) PARUE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2429 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2430 LAABRUE C LABRUE(-1) PBRUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2430 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2431 LAACEUE C LACEUE(-1) PCEUE;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2431 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2432 LAAMEUE C LAMEUE(-1) PMEUE;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2432 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2433 LAAPEUE C LAPEUE(-1) PPEUE;SMPL 2002.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2433 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2434 LAATUUE C LATUUE(-1) PTUUE;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2434 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2435 LAAPDUE C LAPDUE(-1) PPDUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2435 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2436 LAARUUE C LARUUE(-1) PRUUE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2436 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2437 LAAEGUE C LAEGUE(-1) PEGUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2437 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2438 LAAISUE C LAISUE(-1) PISUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2438 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2439 LAAKEUE C LAKEUE(-1) PKEUE;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2439 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2440 LAABAUE C LABAUE(-1) PBAUE;SMPL 2003.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2440 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2441 LAAHKUE C LAHKUE(-1) PHKUE;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2441 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2442 LAASIUE C LASIUE(-1) PSIUE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2442 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2443 LAAVIUE C LAVIUE(-1) PVIUE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2443 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2444 LAANIUE C LANIUE(-1) PNIUE;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2444 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2445 LAAALUE C LAALUE(-1) PALUE;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2445 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2446 LAAIAUE C LAIAUE(-1) PIAUE;SMPL 1997.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2446 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2447 LAAINUE C LAINUE(-1) PINUE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2447 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2448 LAAIQUE C LAIQUE(-1) PIQUE;SMPL 2010.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2448 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2449 LAAKUUE C LAKUUE(-1) PKUUE;SMPL 2010.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2449 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2450 LAALIUE C LALIUE(-1) PLIUE;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2450 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2451 LAAUAUE C LAUAUE(-1) PUAUE;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2451 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSEG=USPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSEG=LOG(AAUSEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSEG=LOG(AUSEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSEG=EXP(LAAUSEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2452 LAAUSEG C LAUSEG(-1) PUSEG;                                         
EQUATION 1389  LAAUSEG  
   RHS     C  LAUSEG(-1)  PUSEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1389 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1389
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.864655668

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.577006816       0.155092156  -3.72041     1.000000
14576 LAUSEG  ( -1)       0.639896312       0.059887714  10.68493    -1.863732
14574 PUSEG   (  0)      -0.078608297       0.125708236  -0.62532     1.209208

SE of equation            =     0.289004000
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.4518128       0.598898708E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.212395370
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9303297    
R squared                 =   0.42398
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50583
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1968.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!           *         +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1970.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!*                   +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.3!         +        *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!             *           +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!           *                 +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1974.1!               +             *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.4!                         *      +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                              +     * !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!                              *   +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                      *        +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!              *          +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2453 LAACAEG C LACAEG(-1) PCAEG;SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2453 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAEG=JAPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAEG=LOG(AAJAEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAEG=LOG(AJAEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAEG=EXP(LAAJAEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2454 LAAJAEG C LAJAEG(-1) PJAEG;                                         
EQUATION 1390  LAAJAEG  
   RHS     C  LAJAEG(-1)  PJAEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1390 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1390
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.456730683

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.329859861       0.109760038  -3.00528     1.000000
14579 LAJAEG  ( -1)       0.834600722       0.041940908  19.89944    -3.458992
14577 PJAEG   (  0)      -0.169921220       0.072842222  -2.33273     1.412381

SE of equation            =     0.272766300
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.7642690       0.419886348E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.208179112
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1376731    
R squared                 =   0.81947
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38866
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!          *        +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1967.3!   *       +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1967.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!*      +                              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3*       +                              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1968.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!       *      +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.2!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .         0
 1971.3!             *      +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.4!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!           *     +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1972.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!           *       +                  !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.2!   *        +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.3!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!*    +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.1+    *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1976.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                                 * +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!                                  +   *!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                                 *  + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!                            +        *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                               +      *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.1!                                *   + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.1!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                     *   +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.3!                       *       +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2003.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2004.1!                        *     +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.3!                     *       +        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2004.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.1!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUEG=AUPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUEG=LOG(AAAUEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUEG=LOG(AAUEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUEG=EXP(LAAAUEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2455 LAAAUEG C LAAUEG(-1) PAUEG;                                         
EQUATION 1391  LAAAUEG  
   RHS     C  LAAUEG(-1)  PAUEG  
 SMPL 1967.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    64 to   244
 OLS;EST 1391 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1391
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUEG 

 1967.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  181 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.883371724

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.214966557       0.240394937  -5.05404     1.000000
14582 LAAUEG  ( -1)       0.653959100       0.057389019  11.39520    -4.879884
14580 PAUEG   (  0)      -0.458747726       0.146879714  -3.12329     1.040138

SE of equation            =     0.237097062
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.0062730       0.220525820E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.184929308
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4722047    
R squared                 =   0.57520
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52684
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.4   2012.4    181

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!              +         *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!   *            +                     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.2!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!     *           +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1974.1+                                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.2!  +         *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!               +       *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                +          *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1980.1!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                         *    +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                        +           * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.1!                      *         +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.4!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.1!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!                             *    +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                           +         *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.4!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.4!              +               *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.1!          *               +           !0         .    .    .         !
 1990.2!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!     *           +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1990.4!        +     *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!      *         +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1993.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!     *      +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1! *         +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.2!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.3!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !


     30.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2456 LAAFREG C LAFREG(-1) PFREG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2456 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2457 LAAGEEG C LAGEEG(-1) PGEEG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2457 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITEG=ITPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITEG=LOG(AAITEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITEG=LOG(AITEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITEG=EXP(LAAITEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2458 LAAITEG C LAITEG(-1) PITEG;                                         
EQUATION 1392  LAAITEG  
   RHS     C  LAITEG(-1)  PITEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1392 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1392
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.377567885

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.666182576       0.116897535  -5.69886     1.000000
14585 LAITEG  ( -1)       0.554820533       0.067940709   8.16625    -2.376738
14583 PITEG   (  0)      -0.429527124       0.115644297  -3.71421     0.914313

SE of equation            =     0.186726116
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.45032884      -0.142241774E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.131932448
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8033001    
R squared                 =   0.56283
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31195
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.3!  *              +                    !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1966.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.3*                     +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.4!     +            *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1968.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!               +        *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1968.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!                *         +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                         +            *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1970.4!                *              +      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1971.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                 *     +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!         *           +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1973.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!*               +                     !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1974.1!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.3!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1974.4!                    +           *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.1!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3!                *      +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                         +          * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1981.4!                         *     +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.3!                        +          *  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!     *         +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2012.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEEG=NEPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEEG=LOG(AANEEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEEG=LOG(ANEEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEEG=EXP(LAANEEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2459 LAANEEG C LANEEG(-1) PNEEG;                                         
EQUATION 1393  LAANEEG  
   RHS     C  LANEEG(-1)  PNEEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1393 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1393
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.678245699

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.818346201       0.227980335  -7.97589     1.000000
14588 LANEEG  ( -1)       0.421626064       0.066860964   6.30601    -3.681462
14586 PNEEG   (  0)      -0.260346751       0.099563102  -2.61489     1.181882

SE of equation            =     0.205740890
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.83092306       0.623545660E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148398749
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.8989649    
R squared                 =   0.27536
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04817
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.1*              +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1967.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1969.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!       *               +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1971.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                           +         *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.2!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!      *                +              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!            *         +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!       *             +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1977.4!               +        *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                          +         * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!            *         +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTEG=STPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTEG=LOG(AASTEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTEG=LOG(ASTEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTEG=EXP(LAASTEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2460 LAASTEG C LASTEG(-1) PSTEG;                                         
EQUATION 1394  LAASTEG  
   RHS     C  LASTEG(-1)  PSTEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1394 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1394
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.945104001

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.095124523       0.163992398  -6.67790     1.000000
14591 LASTEG  ( -1)       0.489510900       0.063729663   7.68105    -3.939815
14589 PSTEG   (  0)      -0.985897869       0.153750760  -6.41231     0.934577

SE of equation            =     0.244424036
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0524752      -0.115378818E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.186650408
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.0902768    
R squared                 =   0.72047
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23401
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1966.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!               *           +          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!        *          +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1968.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.1!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                            +        *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1971.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                    *        +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1972.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                 *         +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!          *              +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!             +       *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!        *         +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!               *        +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1991.3!    *          +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!*    +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!   *   +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKEG=UKPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKEG=LOG(AAUKEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKEG=LOG(AUKEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKEG=EXP(LAAUKEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2461 LAAUKEG C LAUKEG(-1) PUKEG;                                         
EQUATION 1395  LAAUKEG  
   RHS     C  LAUKEG(-1)  PUKEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1395 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1395
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.954980097

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.274508524       0.140256082  -1.95720     1.000000
14594 LAUKEG  ( -1)       0.870093722       0.040087487  21.70487    -2.948177
14592 PUKEG   (  0)      -0.112807008       0.139376163  -0.80937     1.021932

SE of equation            =     0.187006111
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.46968785       0.146678225E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.142600149
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8088280    
R squared                 =   0.76531
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.90126
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.1!                      *        +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                      +             * !!          .   .   .          0
 1971.3!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                 *        +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                +             *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!                    *        +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!                                 *  + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                    *     +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!           *          +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!              *        +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!   *    +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2462 LAAFIEG C LAFIEG(-1) PFIEG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2462 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASEG=ASPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASEG=LOG(AAASEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASEG=LOG(AASEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASEG=EXP(LAAASEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2463 LAAASEG C LAASEG(-1) PASEG;                                         
EQUATION 1396  LAAASEG  
   RHS     C  LAASEG(-1)  PASEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1396 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1396
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.001768351

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.081707573       0.228856945  -4.72657     1.000000
14597 LAASEG  ( -1)       0.723683135       0.056037784  12.91420    -4.000491
14595 PASEG   (  0)      -0.021784535       0.166325316  -0.13098     1.146363

SE of equation            =     0.657704030
Sum of squared residuals  =  80.0262994      -0.282796009E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.489509241
Sum of ABS residuals      =  92.0277374    
R squared                 =   0.52666
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27829
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3*         +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!*   +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!    *              +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.4!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       +      *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!           +            *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                          +           *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!  *                    +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.1!      +                 *             !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                       +        *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!         *           +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!               *      +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!*               +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2464 LAASOEG C LASOEG(-1) PSOEG;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2464 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOEG=KOPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOEG=LOG(AAKOEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOEG=LOG(AKOEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOEG=EXP(LAAKOEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2465 LAAKOEG C LAKOEG(-1) PKOEG;                                         
EQUATION 1397  LAAKOEG  
   RHS     C  LAKOEG(-1)  PKOEG  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1397 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1397
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOEG 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.182075195

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.663919392       0.144941932  -4.58059     1.000000
14600 LAKOEG  ( -1)       0.593579795       0.062632523   9.47718    -4.199203
14598 PKOEG   (  0)      -0.723498823       0.125953346  -5.74418     1.417547

SE of equation            =     0.264080964
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.69368703       0.367705866E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.188976117
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8346087    
R squared                 =   0.85456
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13039
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     +    *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!*          +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.1! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!     *            +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!   *       +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!     *     +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!   *     +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!      +           *                   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1984.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!    *            +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.2!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.4!      *         +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!       *     +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!      *     +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !


     24.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2466 LAABEEG C LABEEG(-1) PBEEG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2466 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEEG=DEPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEEG=LOG(AADEEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEEG=LOG(ADEEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEEG=EXP(LAADEEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2467 LAADEEG C LADEEG(-1) PDEEG;                                         
EQUATION 1398  LAADEEG  
   RHS     C  LADEEG(-1)  PDEEG  
 SMPL 1970.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    74 to   244
 OLS;EST 1398 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1398
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEEG 

 1970.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  171 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.929560011

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.336258292       0.283242473  -4.71772     1.000000
14603 LADEEG  ( -1)       0.620000551       0.058819577  10.54072    -4.922596
14601 PDEEG   (  0)      -0.528214321       0.177405126  -2.97745     1.024754

SE of equation            =     0.284093981
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.5591776       0.405613321E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.216238700
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.9768177    
R squared                 =   0.49137
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24730
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.2   2012.4    171

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!              *         +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                +            *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1971.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.3!                *              +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!     *            +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!               +            *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4! *            +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!       *               +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.1!               *           +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!              *            +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.1!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +                    *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.4!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!  *        +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !


     26.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.02 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOEG=NOPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOEG=LOG(AANOEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOEG=LOG(ANOEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOEG=EXP(LAANOEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2468 LAANOEG C LANOEG(-1) PNOEG;                                         
EQUATION 1399  LAANOEG  
   RHS     C  LANOEG(-1)  PNOEG  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST 1399 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1399
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOEG 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.205750116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.316109064       0.462213484  -7.17441     1.000000
14606 LANOEG  ( -1)       0.370949412       0.077902941   4.76169    -6.205420
14604 PNOEG   (  0)      -0.664963140       0.207115247  -3.21059     0.883875

SE of equation            =     0.633240687
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.5351524      -0.668443079E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.459034856
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.8058449    
R squared                 =   0.25915
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.91034
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                    +                 *!          .   .   .         0!
 1979.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.2!              *           +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.3!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                +                  *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.2!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2*               +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2469 LAASWEG C LASWEG(-1) PSWEG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2469 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2470 LAAGREG C LAGREG(-1) PGREG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2470 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIREG=IRPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIREG=LOG(AAIREG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIREG=LOG(AIREG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIREG=EXP(LAAIREG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2471 LAAIREG C LAIREG(-1) PIREG;                                         
EQUATION 1400  LAAIREG  
   RHS     C  LAIREG(-1)  PIREG  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1400 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1400
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIREG 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.541666308

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.468333945       0.295046670  -1.58732     1.000000
14609 LAIREG  ( -1)       0.835263096       0.036661053  22.78339    -5.564930
14607 PIREG   (  0)      -0.362866395       0.264721223  -1.37075     1.171648

SE of equation            =     0.500265018
Sum of squared residuals  =  39.0413537       0.277911028E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.371087540
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.0029188    
R squared                 =   0.80874
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44974
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!+     *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3*        +                             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.4!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2! *          +                         !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.3!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1977.1!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                *      +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!               *        +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .         0!
 1980.4!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                              *     + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                               *   +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                          *      +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                            *     +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                            *     +   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                   *      +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2011.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.42 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2472 LAAPOEG C LAPOEG(-1) PPOEG;SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2472 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPEG=SPPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPEG=LOG(AASPEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPEG=LOG(ASPEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPEG=EXP(LAASPEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2473 LAASPEG C LASPEG(-1) PSPEG;                                         
EQUATION 1401  LAASPEG  
   RHS     C  LASPEG(-1)  PSPEG  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1401 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1401
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPEG 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.907860543

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.941994621       0.194262689  -4.84908     1.000000
14612 LASPEG  ( -1)       0.747005607       0.050656631  14.74645    -3.909336
14610 PSPEG   (  0)      -0.038094269       0.082971416  -0.45913     1.196245

SE of equation            =     0.328672411
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.9847274      -0.115130128E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.227766307
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.8200656    
R squared                 =   0.56893
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35018
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1966.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!              *        +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                +              *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1968.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1969.2!                            *    +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!      *             +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!        *          +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3*            +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.4!    +      *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!            *      +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!            *      +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2004.3!                        *       +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2474 LAANZEG C LANZEG(-1) PNZEG;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2474 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2475 LAASAEG C LASAEG(-1) PSAEG;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2475 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2476 LAAVEEG C LAVEEG(-1) PVEEG;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2476 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOEG=COPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOEG=LOG(AACOEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOEG=LOG(ACOEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOEG=EXP(LAACOEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2477 LAACOEG C LACOEG(-1) PCOEG;                                         
EQUATION 1402  LAACOEG  
   RHS     C  LACOEG(-1)  PCOEG  
 SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   148 to   244
 OLS;EST 1402 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1402
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOEG 

 1988.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   97 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.778368905

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.200018655       0.777523210  -2.82952     1.000000
14615 LACOEG  ( -1)       0.739265065       0.068832318  10.74009    -9.772272
14613 PCOEG   (  0)      -0.307353827       0.344471304  -0.89225     1.151934

SE of equation            =     0.557075704
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.1713340      -0.730082661E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.317734108
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.8202085    
R squared                 =   0.55341
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.77757
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.4   2012.4     97

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.4! *           +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.1!   +  *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1*          +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2*  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!      +    *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!     *      +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!     *  +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!    *   +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!       +            *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!        +       *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!              +           *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!     *                +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1998.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!         +                           *!!           .  .  .           0
 2003.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!           *                   +      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1! *        +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3! *  +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!      *+                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!          +            *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!         *         +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !


     17.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOEG=JOPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOEG=LOG(AAJOEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOEG=LOG(AJOEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOEG=EXP(LAAJOEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2478 LAAJOEG C LAJOEG(-1) PJOEG;                                         
EQUATION 1403  LAAJOEG  
   RHS     C  LAJOEG(-1)  PJOEG  
 SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   130 to   244
 OLS;EST 1403 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1403
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOEG 

 1984.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  115 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.760116303

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.161475975       0.285811545  -4.06378     1.000000
14618 LAJOEG  ( -1)       0.805942214       0.038786207  20.77909    -6.792519
14616 PJOEG   (  0)      -0.107959182       0.108598693  -0.99411     1.151011

SE of equation            =     0.339665770
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9217576      -0.278763679E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.216561974
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.9046271    
R squared                 =   0.79614
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.78972
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.2   2012.4    115

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.2*         +                            !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.3!     +*                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1985.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.2!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                              +      *!!           .  .  .      0    !
 1987.2!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.1!                                 *  + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                           *     +    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                             +      * !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1989.1!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                              * +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                        *   +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                       *  +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                       *  +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                             +  *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                          + *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                           + *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !


     20.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.09 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSYEG=SYPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASYEG=LOG(AASYEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASYEG=LOG(ASYEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASYEG=EXP(LAASYEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2479 LAASYEG C LASYEG(-1) PSYEG;                                         
EQUATION 1404  LAASYEG  
   RHS     C  LASYEG(-1)  PSYEG  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1404 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1404
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASYEG 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.908103582

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.903246904       0.445750384  -2.02635     1.000000
14621 LASYEG  ( -1)       0.709070895       0.074801826   9.47933    -5.926965
14619 PSYEG   (  0)      -0.722677381       0.392578417  -1.84085     1.110064

SE of equation            =     0.596482497
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.9538491      -0.591748872E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.337549047
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.3794143    
R squared                 =   0.62768
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.79784
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.1!                  *        +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!*                +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!     +            *                   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!      *             +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!           *           +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2004.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !


     15.56 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2480 LAAIDEG C LAIDEG(-1) PIDEG;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2480 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAEG=MAPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAEG=LOG(AAMAEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAEG=LOG(AMAEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAEG=EXP(LAAMAEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2481 LAAMAEG C LAMAEG(-1) PMAEG;                                         
EQUATION 1405  LAAMAEG  
   RHS     C  LAMAEG(-1)  PMAEG  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST 1405 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1405
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAEG 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.086468386

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.064937997       0.221353625   0.29337     1.000000
14624 LAMAEG  ( -1)       0.731189481       0.051119051  14.30366    -5.101463
14622 PMAEG   (  0)      -1.220849597       0.278147424  -4.38922     1.164165

SE of equation            =     0.582243555
Sum of squared residuals  =  48.1390731       0.310862447E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.411698471
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.6962783    
R squared                 =   0.83514
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67540
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!       *        +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!   *            +                     !!0         .   .   .          !
 1981.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!    *         +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1*          +                           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1983.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!         +             *              !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.2!       *           +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1985.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                *      +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                 *       +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                      *     +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                             *      + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !


     22.07 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAEG=PAPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAEG=LOG(AAPAEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAEG=LOG(APAEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAEG=EXP(LAAPAEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2482 LAAPAEG C LAPAEG(-1) PPAEG;                                         
EQUATION 1406  LAAPAEG  
   RHS     C  LAPAEG(-1)  PPAEG  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1406 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1406
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAEG 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.552307185

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.104064495       0.456508388   0.22796     1.000000
14627 LAPAEG  ( -1)       0.862761241       0.040279813  21.41920    -7.581643
14625 PPAEG   (  0)      -0.877328140       0.395759864  -2.21682     1.271159

SE of equation            =     0.630760877
Sum of squared residuals  =  52.1195662       0.423838742E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.414223231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.5059130    
R squared                 =   0.83061
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73857
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!    +            *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.3*                 +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1980.4!  +  *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!    *             +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4! +    *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!     +             *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.3!*                +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.4!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3! *        +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3! *                +                   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1991.4!    +       *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                                *    +!!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                 *           +        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !


     15.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2483 LAAPHEG C LAPHEG(-1) PPHEG;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2483 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2484 LAATHEG C LATHEG(-1) PTHEG;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2484 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHEG=CHPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHEG=LOG(AACHEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHEG=LOG(ACHEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHEG=EXP(LAACHEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2485 LAACHEG C LACHEG(-1) PCHEG;                                         
EQUATION 1407  LAACHEG  
   RHS     C  LACHEG(-1)  PCHEG  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1407 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1407
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHEG 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.563700991

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.516601873       0.623823758   0.82812     1.000000
14630 LACHEG  ( -1)       0.852993636       0.047838607  17.83065    -3.581816
14628 PCHEG   (  0)      -0.885832500       0.582397461  -1.52101     1.157145

SE of equation            =     0.494504204
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.0777321       0.203725925E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.350693434
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.1873726    
R squared                 =   0.77139
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.10167
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!           *          +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1982.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!      *           +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.2!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!    *           +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.4!      +              *                !!         .    .    .        0!
 1984.1!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!  *            +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.1!  +       *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2*          +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3! +      *                             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!   +    *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.4!     +               *                !!         .    .    .         0
 1987.1!       *             +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 1987.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!        *             +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1988.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!*            +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!     +    *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!  *         +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.2!    +  *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1*           +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!  +    *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                                   +* !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!                                   + *!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!         .    . 0  .         !


     23.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2486 LAAAREG C LAAREG(-1) PAREG;SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2486 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2487 LAABREG C LABREG(-1) PBREG;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2487 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2488 LAACEEG C LACEEG(-1) PCEEG;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2488 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEEG=MEPX$Q/EGPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEEG=LOG(AAMEEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEEG=LOG(AMEEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEEG=EXP(LAAMEEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2489 LAAMEEG C LAMEEG(-1) PMEEG;                                         
EQUATION 1408  LAAMEEG  
   RHS     C  LAMEEG(-1)  PMEEG  
 SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   128 to   244
 OLS;EST 1408 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1408
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEEG 

 1983.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  117 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.614545109

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.093143544       0.757587887  -0.12295     1.000000
14633 LAMEEG  ( -1)       0.678376014       0.066391485  10.21782    -7.637120
14631 PMEEG   (  0)      -2.029849078       0.740460363  -2.74133     1.153072

SE of equation            =     0.594457984
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.2853536      -0.236086706E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.403193466
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.1736356    
R squared                 =   0.61252
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32221
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.4   2012.4    117

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!   *           +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4*       +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!  +     *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!            +           *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3! *               +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.4!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                     *      +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!   *                      +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!        *             +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.4!              +                 *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1994.1!             *                +       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1994.2!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                    *        +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                        +             *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1996.3!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                +   * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                             *    +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                                +    *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !


     20.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.84 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2490 LAAPEEG C LAPEEG(-1) PPEEG;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2490 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTUEG=TUPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATUEG=LOG(AATUEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATUEG=LOG(ATUEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATUEG=EXP(LAATUEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2491 LAATUEG C LATUEG(-1) PTUEG;                                         
EQUATION 1409  LAATUEG  
   RHS     C  LATUEG(-1)  PTUEG  
 SMPL 1982.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   122 to   244
 OLS;EST 1409 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1409
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATUEG 

 1982.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  123 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.004244789

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.091044753       0.362794215   0.25095     1.000000
14636 LATUEG  ( -1)       0.807445782       0.054848770  14.72131    -4.016958
14634 PTUEG   (  0)      -0.736521522       0.350732134  -2.09995     1.156536

SE of equation            =     0.290663928
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.1382623      -0.260298449E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.222216031
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.3325718    
R squared                 =   0.72500
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43879
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.2   2012.4    123

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       *       +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3*             +                        !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!          *      +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2009.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !


     27.64 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2492 LAAPDEG C LAPDEG(-1) PPDEG;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2492 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2493 LAARUEG C LARUEG(-1) PRUEG;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2493 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2494 LAAUEEG C LAUEEG(-1) PUEEG;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2494 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2495 LAAISEG C LAISEG(-1) PISEG;SMPL 1980.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2495 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2496 LAAKEEG C LAKEEG(-1) PKEEG;SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2496 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2497 LAABAEG C LABAEG(-1) PBAEG;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2497 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKEG=HKPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKEG=LOG(AAHKEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKEG=LOG(AHKEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKEG=EXP(LAAHKEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2498 LAAHKEG C LAHKEG(-1) PHKEG;                                         
EQUATION 1410  LAAHKEG  
   RHS     C  LAHKEG(-1)  PHKEG  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST 1410 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1410
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKEG 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.132238221

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.331591485       0.110901320  -2.98997     1.000000
14639 LAHKEG  ( -1)       0.903586872       0.024282908  37.21082    -5.155696
14637 PHKEG   (  0)      -0.105174784       0.077328377  -1.36011     1.350391

SE of equation            =     0.236041320
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.41304120       0.793543009E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.170900392
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.3186603    
R squared                 =   0.93299
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01766
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!*  +                                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4* +                                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!  +*                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!   * +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!  *  +                                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.4! *  +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.1!    +        *                        !!           .  .  .           0
 1976.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                        *  +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                        * +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                          *    +      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                        *  +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.4!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                                +     *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1992.2!                                  *  +!!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                                   +* !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                 *  + !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                                +  *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                                  +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                               *+     !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                          *  +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !


     24.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.95 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIEG=SIPX$/EGPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIEG=LOG(AASIEG+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIEG=LOG(ASIEG+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIEG=EXP(LAASIEG)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2499 LAASIEG C LASIEG(-1) PSIEG;                                         
EQUATION 1411  LAASIEG  
   RHS     C  LASIEG(-1)  PSIEG  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST 1411 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1411
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIEG 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.371489277

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.796247343       0.318372414  -8.78294     1.000000
14642 LASIEG  ( -1)       0.195661225       0.078953787   2.47817    -5.376214
14640 PSIEG   (  0)      -1.034696612       0.146786459  -7.04899     1.472243

SE of equation            =     0.419190822
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.5338627       0.283506552E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.273049433
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.0496127    
R squared                 =   0.50289
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.05675
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3*             +                        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!*              +                      !!0         .   .   .          !
 1976.3!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!     *          +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!          *         +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                +            *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             +                *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!  *              +                    !!0         .   .   .          !
 1983.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                         +            *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.4!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2011.2!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.3!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !


     18.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2500 LAAVIEG C LAVIEG(-1) PVIEG;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2500 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2501 LAANIEG C LANIEG(-1) PNIEG;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2501 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2502 LAAALEG C LAALEG(-1) PALEG;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2502 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2503 LAAIAEG C LAIAEG(-1) PIAEG;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2503 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2504 LAAINEG C LAINEG(-1) PINEG;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2504 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2505 LAAIQEG C LAIQEG(-1) PIQEG;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2505 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2506 LAAKUEG C LAKUEG(-1) PKUEG;SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2506 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2507 LAALIEG C LALIEG(-1) PLIEG;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2507 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2508 LAAUAEG C LAUAEG(-1) PUAEG;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2508 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2509 LAAUSIS C LAUSIS(-1) PUSIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2509 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2510 LAACAIS C LACAIS(-1) PCAIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2510 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAIS=JAPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAIS=LOG(AAJAIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAIS=LOG(AJAIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAIS=EXP(LAAJAIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2511 LAAJAIS C LAJAIS(-1) PJAIS;                                         
EQUATION 1412  LAAJAIS  
   RHS     C  LAJAIS(-1)  PJAIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1412 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1412
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.783735612

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.463623626       0.133982860  -3.46032     1.000000
14645 LAJAIS  ( -1)       0.744520308       0.048568868  15.32917    -3.782921
14643 PJAIS   (  0)      -0.393302894       0.105527366  -3.72702     1.280566

SE of equation            =     0.243659929
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.9834798      -0.533306732E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.164902898
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.0017449    
R squared                 =   0.77303
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31368
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4*                     +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1967.1!   +                     *            !!           .  .  .           0
 1967.2!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!        *               +             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1967.4!  *       +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!       +   *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.1!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        *  +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                          *      +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                         *  +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                         *      +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUIS=AUPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUIS=LOG(AAAUIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUIS=LOG(AAUIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUIS=EXP(LAAAUIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2512 LAAAUIS C LAAUIS(-1) PAUIS;                                         
EQUATION 1413  LAAAUIS  
   RHS     C  LAAUIS(-1)  PAUIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1413 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1413
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.168747209

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.204012767       0.328741131  -6.70440     1.000000
14648 LAAUIS  ( -1)       0.514750720       0.061842587   8.32356    -5.165632
14646 PAUIS   (  0)      -0.320558511       0.170279317  -1.88255     0.953716

SE of equation            =     0.177501415
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.82874921       0.344444473E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.139236240
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1764132    
R squared                 =   0.30774
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24172
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!         *      +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.2!             +              *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                  *      +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.1!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!             +            *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1973.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                    +        *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!  *            +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1! *           +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1980.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.1!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +            *          !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.2!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                     +                *!         .    .    .         0
 1985.4!                   *         +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!              *     +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!    *            +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.4!         +       *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!      *         +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.4!   *       +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!    *           +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!       *       +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1*           +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!           +          *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.2!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!          *    +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!             +           *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2008.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2009.1!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!               +             *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2011.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2513 LAAFRIS C LAFRIS(-1) PFRIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2513 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEIS=GEPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEIS=LOG(AAGEIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEIS=LOG(AGEIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEIS=EXP(LAAGEIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2514 LAAGEIS C LAGEIS(-1) PGEIS;                                         
EQUATION 1414  LAAGEIS  
   RHS     C  LAGEIS(-1)  PGEIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1414 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1414
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.230046472

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.092934035       0.092013290  -1.01001     1.000000
14651 LAGEIS  ( -1)       0.847677689       0.037720351  22.47269    -2.228717
14649 PGEIS   (  0)      -0.260474454       0.101802540  -2.55862     0.951644

SE of equation            =     0.100200596
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.85742951      -0.864641692E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.079283439
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.9052865    
R squared                 =   0.80243
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52239
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.3!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1974.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!                       *       +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1980.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                      *     +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                          *      +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                            *     +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                     *     +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1999.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!          *            +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1999.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!         *     +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2003.3!          *       +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!   *         +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2004.4!    +     *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!     *     +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3*    +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !


     32.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITIS=ITPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITIS=LOG(AAITIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITIS=LOG(AITIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITIS=EXP(LAAITIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2515 LAAITIS C LAITIS(-1) PITIS;                                         
EQUATION 1415  LAAITIS  
   RHS     C  LAITIS(-1)  PITIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1415 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1415
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.661515290

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.252416537       0.093414612  -2.70211     1.000000
14654 LAITIS  ( -1)       0.801729233       0.041112611  19.50081    -2.660715
14652 PITIS   (  0)      -0.330919136       0.095009810  -3.48300     0.833816

SE of equation            =     0.134298349
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.33666862      -0.884625706E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.099664204
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.7368703    
R squared                 =   0.78500
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42257
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!     *            +                   !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1966.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!          *         +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                    +             *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1972.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!              *               +       !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!           *         +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!           *         +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!      *        +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.3!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.4!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!              *         +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1983.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!+   *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1+        *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!      +     *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEIS=NEPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEIS=LOG(AANEIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEIS=LOG(ANEIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEIS=EXP(LAANEIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2516 LAANEIS C LANEIS(-1) PNEIS;                                         
EQUATION 1416  LAANEIS  
   RHS     C  LANEIS(-1)  PNEIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1416 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1416
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.600635123

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.052166987       0.226304032  -4.64935     1.000000
14657 LANEIS  ( -1)       0.490234666       0.063022754   7.77869    -3.602634
14655 PNEIS   (  0)      -0.725637913       0.185578498  -3.91014     1.078130

SE of equation            =     0.191816653
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.80682122      -0.369615449E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.134666600
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.3173208    
R squared                 =   0.41006
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39576
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1966.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!           +    *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!            +                         *!           .  .  .           0
 1973.2!             *            +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!          +                *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!    *          +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!       +             *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1977.3!               +        *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.1!               +              *       !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1978.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!*              +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1979.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2!       +             *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.3!          *       +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.4!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!     *        +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!       *     +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!      *     +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                      +    *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !


     20.74 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTIS=STPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTIS=LOG(AASTIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTIS=LOG(ASTIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTIS=EXP(LAASTIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2517 LAASTIS C LASTIS(-1) PSTIS;                                         
EQUATION 1417  LAASTIS  
   RHS     C  LASTIS(-1)  PSTIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1417 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1417
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.213482404

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.094152436       0.087355411  -1.07781     1.000000
14660 LASTIS  ( -1)       0.905097013       0.030535418  29.64089    -3.207421
14658 PSTIS   (  0)      -0.252484991       0.105143093  -2.40135     0.856696

SE of equation            =     0.200484893
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.43592562      -0.215871765E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.153520977
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.8619437    
R squared                 =   0.88793
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.77855
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                      *   +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!               *     +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                            *      +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                            *   +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                   *       +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                *        +            !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1988.4!                         *    +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.1!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1! *            +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 2002.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.1!      *  +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!     +*                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKIS=UKPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKIS=LOG(AAUKIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKIS=LOG(AUKIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKIS=EXP(LAAUKIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2518 LAAUKIS C LAUKIS(-1) PUKIS;                                         
EQUATION 1418  LAAUKIS  
   RHS     C  LAUKIS(-1)  PUKIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1418 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1418
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.425848841

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.198545668       0.110262389   1.80067     1.000000
14663 LAUKIS  ( -1)       0.923577862       0.023108330  39.96731    -2.416040
14661 PUKIS   (  0)      -0.420104997       0.146038326  -2.87668     0.935466

SE of equation            =     0.133437219
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.29401593       0.109803278E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.103958710
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.5442375    
R squared                 =   0.94096
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57959
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.3!                                  +   *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                                    + *!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                                   + *!!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                                 *  + !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                              *  +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!                           *    +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!                               +    * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1971.4!                                 * +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                                  + * !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.4!                             *      + !0         .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                            *+        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.3!                               *   +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.4!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                            *  +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                             * +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!                            + *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                         *    +       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.1!                       *    +         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.2!                    *   +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                   *  +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1979.1!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!       *   +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.4!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!         *+                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!             *   +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!               +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.1!               +                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!            *  +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!           + *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!           *  +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!       *     +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.3!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.4!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2006.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.1!        *  +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!  *    +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2! *   +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.3!   + *                                !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!   *  +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2! *    +                               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4! + *                                  !!         .    .    .0        !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIIS=FIPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIIS=LOG(AAFIIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIIS=LOG(AFIIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIIS=EXP(LAAFIIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2519 LAAFIIS C LAFIIS(-1) PFIIS;                                         
EQUATION 1419  LAAFIIS  
   RHS     C  LAFIIS(-1)  PFIIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1419 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1419
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.956105225

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.133534661       0.243361579  -4.65782     1.000000
14666 LAFIIS  ( -1)       0.687090531       0.052591741  13.06461    -4.951205
14664 PFIIS   (  0)      -0.470769736       0.170882499  -2.75493     0.893525

SE of equation            =     0.212047720
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.31838360      -0.505666620E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.167497256
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.4894842    
R squared                 =   0.57258
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29259
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1966.2!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1966.3!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.4!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.1!                           +       *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1967.2!                              +     * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1967.3!                             *  +     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1967.4!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1968.1!                        +   *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.2!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1968.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1968.4!                   *     +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1969.1!                   +          *       !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1969.2!                       *   +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1969.3!                       +    *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.4!                          +           *!        .     .     .      0 !
 1970.1!                              *  +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1970.3!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1970.4!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.1!                        +         *   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1971.2!                           *  +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.3!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.4!                     +         *      !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1972.1!                         *  +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1972.2!                       +       *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1972.3!                            +     *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1972.4!                       *     +        !!       0.     .     .        !
 1973.1!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1973.2!                      +     *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1973.3!                        *+            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.4!                  *   +               !!        .0    .     .        !
 1974.1!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1974.2!                         +          * !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1974.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.4!               *        +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1975.1!              +             *         !!        .     .     .        0
 1975.2!             *         +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1975.3!             +     *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1975.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.2!                 *+                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.3!            *   +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1976.4!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1977.2!      *       +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1977.3!        +     *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1977.4!             +             *          !!        .     .     .       0!
 1978.1!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1978.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.3!                *     +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.1!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1979.2!                 +             *      !!        .     .     .       0!
 1979.3!                        * +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.4!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.1!             *      +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1980.2!              +        *              !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.4!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!               +           *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1981.4!              *     +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.1!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.3!               +   *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.1!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1983.2!             *  +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.3!              +*                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.4!                +    *                !!        .     .     0        !
 1984.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1984.2!             *    +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1984.3!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.4!            *       +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1985.1!              +       *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1985.2!       *             +                !0        .     .     .        !
 1985.3!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.4!      *    +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.1!         +    *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.3!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.3!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1987.4!           +   *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.1!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.3!              +     *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!        *       +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.1!        +       *                     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.2!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1989.4!          +  *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.1!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1990.2!         +  *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!        *+                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.1!    *   +                             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1991.2*      +                               !!       0.     .     .        !
 1991.3!   +        *                         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1991.4!   *        +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1992.1!      +*                              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.2!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.3!      *    +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.4!    *    +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.1!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!         *      +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1993.4!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.1!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1994.3!   *          +                       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1994.4!      +  *                            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.1!         +     *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1995.2!             +      *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1996.1!     *    +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.2!    *  +                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3! *   +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.4!   +      *                           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1997.1!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.1!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.2!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.3!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.4!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.1!               +  *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.2!           *     +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1999.3!            + *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!            *  +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.1!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.4!            *    +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!           *  +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.1!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!                  *   +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.1!           *   +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.4!        *    +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.1!      *   +                           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.2!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.4!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.1!   *      +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.2!    *  +                              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.3!        +          *                  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2005.4!            *      +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.1!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!       *       +                      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2007.1!          + *                         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.2!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!       *      +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2007.4!    *     +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.1!        +*                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.2!           +                          !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.3!      *      +                        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2008.4!         +      *                     !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.1!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.3!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2009.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.1!            *      +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.3!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.4!       *    +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.1!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.2!    *       +                         !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.3*         +                            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2011.4! *    +                               !!        .0    .     .        !
 2012.1!       +                              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.2!   *       +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.3!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.4!    *      +                          !!      0 .     .     .        !


     35.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2520 LAAASIS C LAASIS(-1) PASIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2520 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOIS=SOPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOIS=LOG(AASOIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOIS=LOG(ASOIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOIS=EXP(LAASOIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2521 LAASOIS C LASOIS(-1) PSOIS;                                         
EQUATION 1420  LAASOIS  
   RHS     C  LASOIS(-1)  PSOIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1420 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1420
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.357152267

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.825727222       0.257489704  -3.20684     1.000000
14669 LASOIS  ( -1)       0.781269123       0.044497046  17.55778    -4.363946
14667 PSOIS   (  0)      -0.132176817       0.176372137  -0.74942     0.923071

SE of equation            =     0.372303298
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.6428030      -0.554889468E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.271502713
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.0425101    
R squared                 =   0.62506
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29973
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!           *         +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.4!                     *       +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                         *       +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                            +  *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                                +     *!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                       *       +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                     *        +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2004.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                     *      +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.2!                      +             * !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2007.3!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.2!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!   *                      +           !0           .  .  .           !
 2010.2*       +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.3!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4*        +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.1!     +                   *            !!           .  .  .         0 !
 2011.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2522 LAAKOIS C LAKOIS(-1) PKOIS;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2522 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEIS=BEPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEIS=LOG(AABEIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEIS=LOG(ABEIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEIS=EXP(LAABEIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2523 LAABEIS C LABEIS(-1) PBEIS;                                         
EQUATION 1421  LAABEIS  
   RHS     C  LABEIS(-1)  PBEIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1421 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1421
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.540163096

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.093250019       0.134305192   0.69431     1.000000
14672 LABEIS  ( -1)       0.921617425       0.026447749  34.84672    -2.540302
14670 PBEIS   (  0)      -0.319376282       0.142824720  -2.23614     0.914991

SE of equation            =     0.168787934
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.27053282       0.104225517E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.120121364
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.5828164    
R squared                 =   0.87630
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66980
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!  *       +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!     *         +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.2!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.3!       *         +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2! *               +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.3!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!  +            *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.3!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                                  +   *!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                                  * + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!   *       +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2011.4!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEIS=DEPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEIS=LOG(AADEIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEIS=LOG(ADEIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEIS=EXP(LAADEIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2524 LAADEIS C LADEIS(-1) PDEIS;                                         
EQUATION 1422  LAADEIS  
   RHS     C  LADEIS(-1)  PDEIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1422 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1422
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.263762750

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.380961942       0.304240584  -4.53905     1.000000
14675 LADEIS  ( -1)       0.647218130       0.053476924  12.10276    -5.257629
14673 PDEIS   (  0)      -0.504520613       0.221645263  -2.27625     0.951334

SE of equation            =     0.187218324
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.48437965       0.272626366E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.143619228
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0004148    
R squared                 =   0.49096
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32919
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!    *            +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1969.3!       +            *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1969.4!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.1!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.2!           +         *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1972.3!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.4!   *     +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.1*     +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!  +         *                         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!      +       *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!    *          +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.3!      +         *                     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.4!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!*         +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.1!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.2!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!         +      *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!              +         *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.3!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.4!                       +              *!         .    .    .         0
 1993.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!             *         +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!            +         *               !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!           *+                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.1!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.4!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!   *          +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2006.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4! *    +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.4!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!*  +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2*   +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!  +   *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!        * +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!  *  +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOIS=NOPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOIS=LOG(AANOIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOIS=LOG(ANOIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOIS=EXP(LAANOIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2525 LAANOIS C LANOIS(-1) PNOIS;                                         
EQUATION 1423  LAANOIS  
   RHS     C  LANOIS(-1)  PNOIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1423 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1423
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.409787710

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.759502750       0.281234121  -6.25636     1.000000
14678 LANOIS  ( -1)       0.472534185       0.065960873   7.16386    -5.401735
14676 PNOIS   (  0)      -1.366675349       0.277058698  -4.93280     0.803249

SE of equation            =     0.635097007
Sum of squared residuals  =  74.6194185       0.109405818E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.431781963
Sum of ABS residuals      =  81.1750090    
R squared                 =   0.51698
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34983
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                   +                  *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1968.2!                  *        +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                 +                   *!!          .   .   .        0 !
 1969.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!     *        +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!          +        *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!               +            *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!             +                   *    !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1984.3!         *             +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!            +                     *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1985.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                    +          *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                    +            *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!       *            +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.3!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!     *                 +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!         *          +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4!            +           *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1! * +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!   +  *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!    + *                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2526 LAASWIS C LASWIS(-1) PSWIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2526 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRIS=GRPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRIS=LOG(AAGRIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRIS=LOG(AGRIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRIS=EXP(LAAGRIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2527 LAAGRIS C LAGRIS(-1) PGRIS;                                         
EQUATION 1424  LAAGRIS  
   RHS     C  LAGRIS(-1)  PGRIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1424 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1424
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.676756385

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.291171426       0.375085636  -3.44234     1.000000
14681 LAGRIS  ( -1)       0.708905739       0.054905076  12.91148    -5.682475
14679 PGRIS   (  0)      -0.375792953       0.307586977  -1.22175     0.950645

SE of equation            =     0.393828561
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.6936731      -0.150981450E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.286140780
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.7944667    
R squared                 =   0.50128
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46368
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2*             +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!    *    +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!*          +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!          *           +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2001.4!            +           *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2002.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.3!            *        +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.4!             +                *       !!          .   .   .          0
 2011.1!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2012.2!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .         0!


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRIS=IRPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRIS=LOG(AAIRIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRIS=LOG(AIRIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRIS=EXP(LAAIRIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2528 LAAIRIS C LAIRIS(-1) PIRIS;                                         
EQUATION 1425  LAAIRIS  
   RHS     C  LAIRIS(-1)  PIRIS  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1425 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1425
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRIS 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.770763838

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.490357564       0.409054479   1.19876     1.000000
14684 LAIRIS  ( -1)       0.721029393       0.051856137  13.90442    -5.786932
14682 PIRIS   (  0)      -1.910815614       0.504751579  -3.78566     1.093027

SE of equation            =     0.520098309
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.7148804      -0.253272958E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.338468743
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.2166238    
R squared                 =   0.76030
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.84725
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!          *     +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1970.2!  *           +                       !!       0    . . .            !
 1970.3!     *  +                             !!            0 . .            !
 1970.4!          +        *                  !!            . . .  0         !
 1971.1!                     +      *         !!            . . . 0          !
 1971.2!                      *    +          !!           0. . .            !
 1971.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                       +     *        !!            . . .0           !
 1972.1!      *                   +           !!  0         . . .            !
 1972.2!*       +                             !!         0  . . .            !
 1972.3*     +                                !!          0 . . .            !
 1972.4!    +   *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1973.1!    *    +                            !!           0. . .            !
 1973.2*      +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.3!   +                         *        !!            . . .            0
 1973.4!                         +     *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1974.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1974.2!                *      +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1974.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1975.2!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!                +          *          !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.4!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                    *    +            !!           0. . .            !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!              *     +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1976.4!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                     +   *            !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!                 *     +              !!          0 . . .            !
 1977.3!             *   +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1978.1!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1978.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!               +  *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!             *    +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1979.3!               +     *                !!            . . . 0          !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!               *   +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1980.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!              *        +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                 *   +                !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!               *   +                  !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                      +*              !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                     *  +             !!            0 . .            !
 1984.1!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                     *    +           !!           0. . .            !
 1984.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                      +     *         !!            . . .0           !
 1987.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                      *   +           !!           0. . .            !
 1988.1!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1992.2!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                             +    *   !!            . . .0           !
 1998.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                              +     * !!            . . .0           !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2006.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                   *  +!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                                      +!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                                     *+!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                  *   +!            0 . .            !


     19.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOIS=POPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOIS=LOG(AAPOIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOIS=LOG(APOIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOIS=EXP(LAAPOIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2529 LAAPOIS C LAPOIS(-1) PPOIS;                                         
EQUATION 1426  LAAPOIS  
   RHS     C  LAPOIS(-1)  PPOIS  
 SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    92 to   244
 OLS;EST 1426 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1426
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOIS 

 1974.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  153 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.051670330

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.753998780       0.412029278  -4.25698     1.000000
14687 LAPOIS  ( -1)       0.609804890       0.062888213   9.69665    -6.057740
14685 PPOIS   (  0)      -0.557837343       0.292010915  -1.91033     1.082094

SE of equation            =     0.283055206
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.0180374       0.113024257E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.202145849
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9283148    
R squared                 =   0.44718
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22902
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.4   2012.4    153

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.4!         +                     *      !!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.1!                *          +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!  *               +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1976.3!         +        *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2! *                    +               !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.3! *       +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!         +            *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.1*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                  *       +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!        *             +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!      *         +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!   *       +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                +           *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                        *    +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                         +           *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                               +      *!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.1!                 *         +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                  *       +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !


     23.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.92 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2530 LAASPIS C LASPIS(-1) PSPIS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2530 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2531 LAANZIS C LANZIS(-1) PNZIS;SMPL 1981.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2531 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2532 LAASAIS C LASAIS(-1) PSAIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2532 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2533 LAAVEIS C LAVEIS(-1) PVEIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2533 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2534 LAACOIS C LACOIS(-1) PCOIS;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2534 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2535 LAAJOIS C LAJOIS(-1) PJOIS;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2535 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2536 LAASYIS C LASYIS(-1) PSYIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2536 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDIS=IDPX$Q/ISPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDIS=LOG(AAIDIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDIS=LOG(AIDIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDIS=EXP(LAAIDIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2537 LAAIDIS C LAIDIS(-1) PIDIS;                                         
EQUATION 1427  LAAIDIS  
   RHS     C  LAIDIS(-1)  PIDIS  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1427 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1427
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDIS 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.877964792

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.059214687       0.199084806  -0.29743     1.000000
14690 LAIDIS  ( -1)       0.962499070       0.020522477  46.89975    -4.903882
14688 PIDIS   (  0)      -0.091419360       0.172918112  -0.52869     1.080383

SE of equation            =     0.296764614
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.7700393       0.878408457E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.223992120
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.1508337    
R squared                 =   0.93984
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.98259
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1! +                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!        *          +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1*     +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!+   *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!        *    +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!           *   +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                     *    +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                 *  + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2538 LAAMAIS C LAMAIS(-1) PMAIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2538 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2539 LAAPAIS C LAPAIS(-1) PPAIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2539 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2540 LAAPHIS C LAPHIS(-1) PPHIS;SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2540 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2541 LAATHIS C LATHIS(-1) PTHIS;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2541 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2542 LAACHIS C LACHIS(-1) PCHIS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2542 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2543 LAAARIS C LAARIS(-1) PARIS;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2543 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2544 LAABRIS C LABRIS(-1) PBRIS;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2544 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2545 LAACEIS C LACEIS(-1) PCEIS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2545 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2546 LAAMEIS C LAMEIS(-1) PMEIS;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2546 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2547 LAAPEIS C LAPEIS(-1) PPEIS;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2547 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2548 LAATUIS C LATUIS(-1) PTUIS;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2548 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDIS=PDPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDIS=LOG(AAPDIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDIS=LOG(APDIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDIS=EXP(LAAPDIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2549 LAAPDIS C LAPDIS(-1) PPDIS;                                         
EQUATION 1428  LAAPDIS  
   RHS     C  LAPDIS(-1)  PPDIS  
 SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   152 to   244
 OLS;EST 1428 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1428
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDIS 

 1989.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   93 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.085054062

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.088215793       0.684474649   0.12888     1.000000
14693 LAPDIS  ( -1)       0.874831444       0.053522252  16.34519    -6.093177
14691 PPDIS   (  0)      -0.806365005       0.743926542  -1.08393     1.045144

SE of equation            =     0.393070580
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.9054033      -0.341504602E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.273334050
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.4200666    
R squared                 =   0.80494
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65718
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.4   2012.4     93

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!    *       +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!     +         *                      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.2*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.3! +   *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!      +       *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!              +          *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!            *          +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !


     23.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2550 LAARUIS C LARUIS(-1) PRUIS;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2550 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2551 LAAUEIS C LAUEIS(-1) PUEIS;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2551 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2552 LAAEGIS C LAEGIS(-1) PEGIS;SMPL 1984.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2552 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKEIS=KEPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKEIS=LOG(AAKEIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKEIS=LOG(AKEIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKEIS=EXP(LAAKEIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2553 LAAKEIS C LAKEIS(-1) PKEIS;                                         
EQUATION 1429  LAAKEIS  
   RHS     C  LAKEIS(-1)  PKEIS  
 SMPL 1985.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   134 to   244
 OLS;EST 1429 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1429
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKEIS 

 1985.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  111 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.735967804

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.914969440       0.686397758  -4.24676     1.000000
14696 LAKEIS  ( -1)       0.598883997       0.075872594   7.89328    -7.739916
14694 PKEIS   (  0)      -0.175103939       0.389362370  -0.44972     1.060435

SE of equation            =     0.294992419
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.39821693       0.845048476E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.220420200
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.4666422    
R squared                 =   0.37104
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.2   2012.4    111

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!*          +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1990.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1*             +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1995.2!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!     *         +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!          +      *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2554 LAABAIS C LABAIS(-1) PBAIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2554 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKIS=HKPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKIS=LOG(AAHKIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKIS=LOG(AHKIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKIS=EXP(LAAHKIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2555 LAAHKIS C LAHKIS(-1) PHKIS;                                         
EQUATION 1430  LAAHKIS  
   RHS     C  LAHKIS(-1)  PHKIS  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1430 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1430
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKIS 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.486835925

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.351445244       0.111791087  -3.14377     1.000000
14699 LAHKIS  ( -1)       0.876708843       0.031778252  27.58833    -4.499074
14697 PHKIS   (  0)      -0.130693944       0.044815485  -2.91627     1.461525

SE of equation            =     0.222567547
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.16421789       0.152406976E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.147702283
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.7680292    
R squared                 =   0.89524
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29108
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!     *  +                             !!            0 . .            !
 1966.4!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!      +                 *             !!            . . .            0
 1967.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1967.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1967.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!                *   +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!              +   *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1968.4!                 +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1969.2!             +      *                 !!            . . .   0        !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!            . . 0            !
 1969.4!                 *  +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1970.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1970.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!               +     *                !!            . . .  0         !
 1971.3!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1971.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!               +     *                !!            . . .  0         !
 1972.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                 +   *                !!            . . .0           !
 1973.1!    *              +                  !! 0          . . .            !
 1973.2*    +                                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.3!+     *                               !!            . . .  0         !
 1973.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!      + *                             !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!      +*                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!   *   +                              !!           0. . .            !
 1975.1!     +       *                        !!            . . .   0        !
 1975.2!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!          *  +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1975.4!        *  +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1976.1!         +   *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1976.2!            * +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!          *  +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1976.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!          +  *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!           *   +                      !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.1!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!              +  *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1978.3!              *   +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1979.3!                *  +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1979.4!               * +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1980.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1980.2!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                     +  *             !!            . . .0           !
 1981.4!                    *   +             !!           0. . .            !
 1982.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!               *     +                !!         0  . . .            !
 1982.3!                + *                   !!            . . 0            !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!               *  +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1983.2!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!             *     +                  !!         0  . . .            !
 1983.4!              +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!          *    +                      !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.2!      *    +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.3!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!    *    +                            !!          0 . . .            !
 1985.1!      +   *                           !!            . . .0           !
 1985.2!      *    +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1985.3!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!        *  +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1986.1!          +   *                       !!            . . . 0          !
 1986.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!            0 . .            !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1990.3!                     * +              !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                      *+              !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                        * +           !!            0 . .            !
 1994.3!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                        + *           !!            . . 0            !
 1995.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2002.4!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!            . . .0           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                   +* !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                                *  +  !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!                                +   * !!            . . .0           !
 2008.1!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 2008.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                                   * +!!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIIS=SIPX$/ISPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIIS=LOG(AASIIS+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIIS=LOG(ASIIS+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIIS=EXP(LAASIIS)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2556 LAASIIS C LASIIS(-1) PSIIS;                                         
EQUATION 1431  LAASIIS  
   RHS     C  LASIIS(-1)  PSIIS  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1431 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1431
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIIS 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.543931149

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.647991939       0.221058531  -7.45500     1.000000
14702 LASIIS  ( -1)       0.467103904       0.063826624   7.31832    -5.550009
14700 PSIIS   (  0)      -0.904962658       0.122882309  -7.36447     1.440400

SE of equation            =     0.275248706
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.2583238      -0.379039022E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.198286976
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.2950817    
R squared                 =   0.81937
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22652
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!   *            +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1972.4!  *     +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2*            +                         !!0         .   .   .          !
 1973.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!    *      +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!     *       +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!     *     +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!     *        +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!              *     +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!               *       +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        +             *!          .   .   .          0
 1995.2!                    *        +        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +         *!          .   .   .     0    !
 2005.2!                           *      +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !


     20.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.18 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2557 LAAVIIS C LAVIIS(-1) PVIIS;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2557 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2558 LAANIIS C LANIIS(-1) PNIIS;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2558 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2559 LAAALIS C LAALIS(-1) PALIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2559 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2560 LAAIAIS C LAIAIS(-1) PIAIS;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2560 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2561 LAAINIS C LAINIS(-1) PINIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2561 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2562 LAAIQIS C LAIQIS(-1) PIQIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2562 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2563 LAAKUIS C LAKUIS(-1) PKUIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2563 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2564 LAALIIS C LALIIS(-1) PLIIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2564 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2565 LAAUAIS C LAUAIS(-1) PUAIS;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2565 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2566 LAAUSKE C LAUSKE(-1) PUSKE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2566 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2567 LAACAKE C LACAKE(-1) PCAKE;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2567 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAKE=JAPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAKE=LOG(AAJAKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAKE=LOG(AJAKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAKE=EXP(LAAJAKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2568 LAAJAKE C LAJAKE(-1) PJAKE;                                         
EQUATION 1432  LAAJAKE  
   RHS     C  LAJAKE(-1)  PJAKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1432 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1432
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.870583805

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.356672023       0.114772515  -3.10764     1.000000
14705 LAJAKE  ( -1)       0.845933500       0.038750395  21.83032    -2.872864
14703 PJAKE   (  0)      -0.048973262       0.045764419  -1.07012     1.708268

SE of equation            =     0.204643269
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.74759049       0.212452278E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.154277530
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.0041757    
R squared                 =   0.74778
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25463
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *          +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1966.2! *        +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1966.3*     +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.4!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                              +      *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                                 *+   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                      *     +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .        0!
 1980.1!                                 *   +!!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.2!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                             *     +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.3!                            *    +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                          *    +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.1!                     *     +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                *     +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.3!              *   +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.1!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2003.1!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                    *       +         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                          *    +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUKE=AUPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUKE=LOG(AAAUKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUKE=LOG(AAUKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUKE=EXP(LAAAUKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2569 LAAAUKE C LAAUKE(-1) PAUKE;                                         
EQUATION 1433  LAAAUKE  
   RHS     C  LAAUKE(-1)  PAUKE  
 SMPL 1973.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    85 to   244
 OLS;EST 1433 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1433
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUKE 

 1973.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  160 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.708331773

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.076307237       0.360365059  -2.98671     1.000000
14708 LAAUKE  ( -1)       0.752393354       0.053460190  14.07390    -5.696567
14706 PAUKE   (  0)      -0.268271714       0.239671371  -1.11933     1.289607

SE of equation            =     0.506499122
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.2769936       0.132649447E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.373762025
Sum of ABS residuals      =  59.8019240    
R squared                 =   0.59750
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47558
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.1   2012.4    160

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.1!     *               +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!            +         *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1976.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.1!                      *          +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                   *       +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                 *       +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!             +            *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.3!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!          +           *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.2!      *             +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2006.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2! *      +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!      *          +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2012.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2570 LAAFRKE C LAFRKE(-1) PFRKE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2570 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEKE=GEPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEKE=LOG(AAGEKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEKE=LOG(AGEKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEKE=EXP(LAAGEKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2571 LAAGEKE C LAGEKE(-1) PGEKE;                                         
EQUATION 1434  LAAGEKE  
   RHS     C  LAGEKE(-1)  PGEKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1434 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1434
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.787315299

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.080780170       0.106262246  -0.76020     1.000000
14711 LAGEKE  ( -1)       0.919814446       0.030310672  30.34622    -2.781462
14709 PGEKE   (  0)      -0.116636568       0.084215290  -1.38498     1.269813

SE of equation            =     0.190171826
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.69058483       0.933431110E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.148239601
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.8690449    
R squared                 =   0.86186
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60992
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                        *     +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.2!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                   *      +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1969.4!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.4!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                      *      +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1975.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.3!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!                          *    +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!                         +      *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.3!                              +       *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.4!                                  *  +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1981.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                            *     +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.4!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                      *       +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                *     +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1992.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.2!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!     +         *                      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2001.1!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.4!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.3!         *     +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.4!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1! *       +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!  *    +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3! +    *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2! *      +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.3!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!   *    +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2! *     +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4*      +                               !!     0   .    .    .         !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITKE=ITPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITKE=LOG(AAITKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITKE=LOG(AITKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITKE=EXP(LAAITKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2572 LAAITKE C LAITKE(-1) PITKE;                                         
EQUATION 1435  LAAITKE  
   RHS     C  LAITKE(-1)  PITKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1435 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1435
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.291174407

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.305229048       0.120695097  -2.52893     1.000000
14714 LAITKE  ( -1)       0.727973377       0.048189986  15.10632    -3.285834
14712 PITKE   (  0)      -0.533832040       0.117329626  -4.54985     1.112608

SE of equation            =     0.237237171
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.4120729      -0.677014000E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.181114694
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.0495625    
R squared                 =   0.77163
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25057
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                         *     +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                             *+       !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                               +     *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                            *      +  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                  *          +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                   *       +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                              *    +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.1!                               *    + !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!                    *         +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.4!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.3!                         *    +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.4!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                  *       +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.3!                        *     +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                       +             *!!         .    .    .         0
 1989.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.4!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!                +         *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2000.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.3!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.1!        + *                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2008.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2011.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!    *       +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.3*         +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!  *         +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.4! *      +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2573 LAANEKE C LANEKE(-1) PNEKE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2573 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTKE=STPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTKE=LOG(AASTKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTKE=LOG(ASTKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTKE=EXP(LAASTKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2574 LAASTKE C LASTKE(-1) PSTKE;                                         
EQUATION 1436  LAASTKE  
   RHS     C  LASTKE(-1)  PSTKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1436 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1436
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.519889281

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.528573817       0.146166565  -3.61624     1.000000
14717 LASTKE  ( -1)       0.811207271       0.044785262  18.11326    -4.513412
14715 PSTKE   (  0)      -0.288105199       0.096401069  -2.98861     1.145424

SE of equation            =     0.243386354
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.9588297      -0.407229805E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.191883513
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.0741004    
R squared                 =   0.82178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67400
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1968.2!                               *   +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                                +     *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!                        *            +!0         .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1973.3!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!                             *    +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                    *       +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.2!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                           +        * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.4!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                            *   +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1981.4!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                     *      +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                       *    +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.4!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!         *      +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.1!         +   *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!          *        +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2000.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!     *   +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!    *      +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!*         +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2009.3!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!  *      +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.2!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!  *     +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!*   +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!  *+                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!  *      +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKKE=UKPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKKE=LOG(AAUKKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKKE=LOG(AUKKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKKE=EXP(LAAUKKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2575 LAAUKKE C LAUKKE(-1) PUKKE;                                         
EQUATION 1437  LAAUKKE  
   RHS     C  LAUKKE(-1)  PUKKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1437 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1437
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.956775230

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.002248532       0.059433763  -0.03783     1.000000
14720 LAUKKE  ( -1)       0.982608889       0.015052345  65.27945    -1.945959
14718 PUKKE   (  0)      -0.033774624       0.049964084  -0.67598     1.255678

SE of equation            =     0.142655008
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.76483349       0.157251989E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.114226194
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.4745244    
R squared                 =   0.96424
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41886
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.4!                                    +*!!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                                      +!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                                    *+!!         0    .    .         !
 1967.4!                               *   +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.3!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                                   * +!!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.3!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1973.1!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                                   * +!!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                                 * +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                               * +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                            *  +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!                          + *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.4!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!                               +      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                                +     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                              * +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.3!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                             *  +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                          *  +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      *   +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.1!                        *+            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                    *    +            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                  *   +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.2!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                    *   +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.1!                      + *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.2!                         * +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.3!                 * +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                   +                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                 +                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!               * +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!           *   +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    .        0!
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!              +*                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!           *    +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!            +                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.2!            +                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!            +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!           + *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!          *+                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!          *+                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!      *  +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.3!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!     *  +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.1!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!     +*                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2! *  +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.3* +                                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4+*                                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!+  *                                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!   *   +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!    * +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!*   +                                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3*+                                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4+*                                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1! +   *                                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.2!     + *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2576 LAAFIKE C LAFIKE(-1) PFIKE;SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2576 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASKE=ASPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASKE=LOG(AAASKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASKE=LOG(AASKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASKE=EXP(LAAASKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2577 LAAASKE C LAASKE(-1) PASKE;                                         
EQUATION 1438  LAAASKE  
   RHS     C  LAASKE(-1)  PASKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1438 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1438
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.073502825

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.782078093       0.412333022  -4.32194     1.000000
14723 LAASKE  ( -1)       0.472964146       0.063720027   7.42254    -5.066805
14721 PASKE   (  0)      -0.655332222       0.236403242  -2.77209     1.365731

SE of equation            =     0.678670230
Sum of squared residuals  =  85.2097570      -0.139221967E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.527967170
Sum of ABS residuals      =  99.2578280    
R squared                 =   0.28486
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29513
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                    +   *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                        +   *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                          +           *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                              +      *!!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                         *   +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!           *     +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!               *         +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!                +          *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.3!                +                 *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.4!                    *     +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!              *     +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!                 +               *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1977.3!                *         +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.4!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1978.1!                   *      +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                *        +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.1!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                      +       *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.2!                 *    +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!         *     +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!               +       *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                *   +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!                  +   *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.1! *                 +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.2!          +                *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.3!           *           +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!                     +          *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!*                       +             !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.3!         +                  *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!                       +            * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!                  *         +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!        *         +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.3!               +      *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!          *            +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2*                 +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!       *       +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!               +     *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!          *         +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!               +          *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!        *             +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3! *               +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!              *    +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!             *    +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!              *   +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!        *          +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!           *       +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!        *           +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!         *        +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!         *       +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!         *      +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.1!    *           +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.2!        *      +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!              *       +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!              *     +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                       +    *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!      *                  +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1997.2!              +                    *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1997.3!                       *   +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!            *        +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                           +         *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.2!                       *   +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                      +            *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.4!                           +       *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                  *        +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!            *             +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                 *    +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                 *    +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!           *        +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!             *    +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!             *  +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!        *    +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4! *             +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!      *     +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!*         +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4!        +   *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!          *   +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!          + *                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!        *    +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOKE=SOPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOKE=LOG(AASOKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOKE=LOG(ASOKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOKE=EXP(LAASOKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2578 LAASOKE C LASOKE(-1) PSOKE;                                         
EQUATION 1439  LAASOKE  
   RHS     C  LASOKE(-1)  PSOKE  
 SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1991.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   157 to   244
 OLS;EST 1439 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1439
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOKE 

 1991.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   88 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.733498649

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.288297888       0.337098148  -0.85523     1.000000
14726 LASOKE  ( -1)       0.840924499       0.042417502  19.82494    -2.754503
14724 PSOKE   (  0)      -0.105940260       0.269161932  -0.39359     1.216457

SE of equation            =     0.284399832
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.87507749       0.320254934E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.181393382
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.9626176    
R squared                 =   0.82451
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44076
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1991.1   2012.4     88

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1991.1!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2*       +                              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.3!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.1!    +               *                 !!           .  .  .           0
 1992.2!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1994.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                             *  +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.3!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                 *   +!!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                              *  +    !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                *  +  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                             *   +    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !


     15.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.68 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2579 LAAKOKE C LAKOKE(-1) PKOKE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2579 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEKE=BEPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEKE=LOG(AABEKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEKE=LOG(ABEKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEKE=EXP(LAABEKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2580 LAABEKE C LABEKE(-1) PBEKE;                                         
EQUATION 1440  LAABEKE  
   RHS     C  LABEKE(-1)  PBEKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1440 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1440
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.911728043

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.617810363       0.300951330  -5.37565     1.000000
14729 LABEKE  ( -1)       0.579803103       0.060025900   9.65922    -3.910087
14727 PBEKE   (  0)      -0.022086535       0.159031902  -0.13888     1.215079

SE of equation            =     0.282058985
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7180951      -0.204729567E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.217405285
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.8721936    
R squared                 =   0.33560
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31545
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!          *        +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.4!             +            *           !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1968.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!        *         +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.3!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.4!       *            +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1969.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!       *           +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1970.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.1!        *       +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!         *         +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.1!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.2!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1979.3!               *         +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.2!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!              +             *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1982.1!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!         *      +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                 +           *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.2!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                        +             *!         .    .    .        0!
 1991.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!           *         +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1998.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2003.2!              *         +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2003.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!      *        +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!           +        *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!        *        +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4*               +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 2010.1!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2! *         +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.3!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!    *            +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2012.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!   *      +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2581 LAADEKE C LADEKE(-1) PDEKE;SMPL 1968.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2581 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2582 LAANOKE C LANOKE(-1) PNOKE;SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2582 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWKE=SWPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWKE=LOG(AASWKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWKE=LOG(ASWKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWKE=EXP(LAASWKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2583 LAASWKE C LASWKE(-1) PSWKE;                                         
EQUATION 1441  LAASWKE  
   RHS     C  LASWKE(-1)  PSWKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1441 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1441
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.694950906

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.176181709       0.308063384  -3.81799     1.000000
14732 LASWKE  ( -1)       0.739689365       0.050737865  14.57865    -4.688523
14730 PSWKE   (  0)      -0.035744861       0.166428433  -0.21478     1.418913

SE of equation            =     0.381927958
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.9857586      -0.275850454E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.284813645
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.5449653    
R squared                 =   0.54250
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40592
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.2!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.1!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.2!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!               +              *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1971.2!              *           +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.3!               +       *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.4!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!            *      +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!             +          *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1977.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                        +           * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                   *      +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!               *       +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.1!                   *         +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.1!                         *      +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!           *         +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.2!            +                 *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!         *            +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1990.1!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.2!       *      +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.3!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!    *    +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!       * +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!         *      +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.4!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!        *       +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!            +        *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.3!   *                +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 2009.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2*             +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2010.3!  * +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!             +            *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2011.3!         *              +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2011.4!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!     *   +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!    *      +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2584 LAAGRKE C LAGRKE(-1) PGRKE;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2584 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2585 LAAIRKE C LAIRKE(-1) PIRKE;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2585 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2586 LAAPOKE C LAPOKE(-1) PPOKE;SMPL 1984.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2586 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2587 LAASPKE C LASPKE(-1) PSPKE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2587 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2588 LAANZKE C LANZKE(-1) PNZKE;SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2588 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2589 LAASAKE C LASAKE(-1) PSAKE;SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2589 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2590 LAAVEKE C LAVEKE(-1) PVEKE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2590 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2591 LAACOKE C LACOKE(-1) PCOKE;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2591 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2592 LAAJOKE C LAJOKE(-1) PJOKE;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2592 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2593 LAASYKE C LASYKE(-1) PSYKE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2593 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDKE=IDPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDKE=LOG(AAIDKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDKE=LOG(AIDKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDKE=EXP(LAAIDKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2594 LAAIDKE C LAIDKE(-1) PIDKE;                                         
EQUATION 1442  LAAIDKE  
   RHS     C  LAIDKE(-1)  PIDKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1442 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1442
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.459868695

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.007586224       0.139470438   0.05439     1.000000
14735 LAIDKE  ( -1)       0.953445058       0.025300527  37.68479    -3.472614
14733 PIDKE   (  0)      -0.103230142       0.099744517  -1.03495     1.516110

SE of equation            =     0.265356007
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.0265550      -0.627076169E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.192797254
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.2458838    
R squared                 =   0.90638
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.69196
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!        *  +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1*        +                             !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1973.2!+     *                               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1973.3!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!         *    +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!          *   +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.2!      *     +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!         +  *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!           *   +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!       *         +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1979.3!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.1!      *            +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1980.2!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1980.3!        *      +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.4!      *  +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.3!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!     +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!     *   +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!  *  +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!  +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1985.2!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!     *    +                           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.3!      +  *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!          *   +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                    *    +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.3!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2002.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                         * +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                         *    +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                           *  +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                              *  +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2012.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAKE=MAPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAKE=LOG(AAMAKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAKE=LOG(AMAKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAKE=EXP(LAAMAKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2595 LAAMAKE C LAMAKE(-1) PMAKE;                                         
EQUATION 1443  LAAMAKE  
   RHS     C  LAMAKE(-1)  PMAKE  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1443 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1443
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAKE 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.416444002

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.909063775       0.377157412  -5.06172     1.000000
14738 LAMAKE  ( -1)       0.542234013       0.068977290   7.86105    -5.417890
14736 PMAKE   (  0)      -0.379768700       0.154331576  -2.46073     1.499903

SE of equation            =     0.692901711
Sum of squared residuals  =  69.6163533      -0.272493139E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.493244418
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.0001738    
R squared                 =   0.37954
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32459
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!          *        +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1! *       +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!  *                     +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!       *         +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!    *                 +               !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1990.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!      *              +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!   *           +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!            +                   *     !!          .   .   .         0!
 1993.2!         *                +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1993.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                  +                   *!          .   .   .         0!
 1997.2!           *                 +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1997.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !


     23.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAKE=PAPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAKE=LOG(AAPAKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAKE=LOG(APAKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAKE=EXP(LAAPAKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2596 LAAPAKE C LAPAKE(-1) PPAKE;                                         
EQUATION 1444  LAAPAKE  
   RHS     C  LAPAKE(-1)  PPAKE  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1444 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1444
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAKE 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.416629792

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.647523543       0.314562796  -2.05849     1.000000
14741 LAPAKE  ( -1)       0.749885562       0.053796977  13.93918    -5.421538
14739 PPAKE   (  0)      -0.421952390       0.197954405  -2.13156     1.667424

SE of equation            =     0.691251627
Sum of squared residuals  =  75.9747810      -0.247224463E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.535955956
Sum of ABS residuals      =  86.8248648    
R squared                 =   0.66042
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.42483
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1972.4!                   *    +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1973.2!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.3!              *        +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1973.4!                +         *           !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1974.1!                  *     +             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.4!                 *   +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.1!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.2!             *       +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1975.3!               +     *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1975.4!              *      +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.2!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.3!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.4!              *       +               !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.2!          *       +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1977.3!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.4!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.1!            *   +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.3!         *      +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1978.4!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1979.1!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.2!                +         *           !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1979.3!                 *       +            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1979.4!                  +     *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.1!                        +      *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.2!                      *      +        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1980.3!               *      +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1980.4!           *      +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.1!       *      +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.2*         +                            !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1981.3!  +           *                       !!        .     .     .       0!
 1981.4!       *      +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1982.1!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!          *  +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1982.3!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!     *         +                      !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1983.1!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.2!             +  *                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.3!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!          *            +              !0        .     .     .        !
 1984.2!            +*                        !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.3!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.4!               *+                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.1!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1985.2!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.3!         *   +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1985.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1986.1!            +       *                 !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1986.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.3!              *     +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1986.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.1!                +        *            !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1987.2!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.3!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1987.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.1!            *       +                 !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1988.2!              +      *                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.3!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.4!           *         +                !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1989.1!             * +                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!              *     +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1990.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .     0        !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!                   *   +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1990.4!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.2!                         +    *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.3!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1991.4!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.2!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.4!                         *    +       !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.1!                         +    *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.2!                  *          +        !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1993.3!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.4!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.1!                     +       *        !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.2!                            +*        !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                            + *       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.3!                   *    +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.3!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.4!                         +    *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1997.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.4!                           +   *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.1!                           +        * !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1998.2!                           *   +      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.3!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1999.4!                    *     +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2000.1!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.2!                 +   *                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.3!                     +     *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.4!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.1!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2001.4!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 2002.2!                            +       * !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2002.3!                                 +    *!        .     .     0        !
 2002.4!                                 * +  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.1!                               +   *  !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.2!                                 +  * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!                                *+    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.2!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.3!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.1!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!                             +        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2006.2!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!                           *  +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.2!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.3!                             +   *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.4!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.4!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2011.2!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.3!                             +  *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.1!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.2!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.3!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.4!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !


     31.48 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2597 LAAPHKE C LAPHKE(-1) PPHKE;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2597 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHKE=THPX$Q/KEPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHKE=LOG(AATHKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHKE=LOG(ATHKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHKE=EXP(LAATHKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2598 LAATHKE C LATHKE(-1) PTHKE;                                         
EQUATION 1445  LAATHKE  
   RHS     C  LATHKE(-1)  PTHKE  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1445 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1445
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHKE 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.154362914

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.216472476       0.588078711  -2.06855     1.000000
14744 LATHKE  ( -1)       0.689107853       0.066143340  10.41840    -5.160385
14742 PTHKE   (  0)      -0.261359595       0.403895979  -0.64710     1.460933

SE of equation            =     0.839344716
Sum of squared residuals  =  90.1759428      -0.659028387E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.526514062
Sum of ABS residuals      =  68.9733421    
R squared                 =   0.49409
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01756
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!           *          +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1! *           +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!           *        +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!              +             *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.1!               *          +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!         *            +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4*             +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.1!      +     *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!      *        +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!           +                       *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1984.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.1!                  *              +    !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1985.2!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!           *         +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !


     17.56 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2599 LAACHKE C LACHKE(-1) PCHKE;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2599 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2600 LAAARKE C LAARKE(-1) PARKE;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2600 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2601 LAABRKE C LABRKE(-1) PBRKE;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2601 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2602 LAACEKE C LACEKE(-1) PCEKE;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2602 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2603 LAAMEKE C LAMEKE(-1) PMEKE;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2603 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2604 LAAPEKE C LAPEKE(-1) PPEKE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2604 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2605 LAATUKE C LATUKE(-1) PTUKE;SMPL 1995.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2605 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2606 LAAPDKE C LAPDKE(-1) PPDKE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2606 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2607 LAARUKE C LARUKE(-1) PRUKE;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2607 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2608 LAAUEKE C LAUEKE(-1) PUEKE;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2608 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGKE=EGPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGKE=LOG(AAEGKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGKE=LOG(AEGKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGKE=EXP(LAAEGKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2609 LAAEGKE C LAEGKE(-1) PEGKE;                                         
EQUATION 1446  LAAEGKE  
   RHS     C  LAEGKE(-1)  PEGKE  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1446 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1446
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGKE 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.357135668

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.115313373       0.426713734   0.27024     1.000000
14747 LAEGKE  ( -1)       0.941528840       0.033805685  27.85120    -6.398147
14745 PEGKE   (  0)      -0.309116686       0.298607651  -1.03519     1.450614

SE of equation            =     0.673918718
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.1458116       0.103872466E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.348774606
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.1799114    
R squared                 =   0.90208
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.80777
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1*                +                     !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1989.2*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1! +                   *                !!           .  .  .           0
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!         *          +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1993.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1999.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !


      8.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2610 LAAISKE C LAISKE(-1) PISKE;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2610 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2611 LAABAKE C LABAKE(-1) PBAKE;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2611 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKKE=HKPX$/KEPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKKE=LOG(AAHKKE+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKKE=LOG(AHKKE+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKKE=EXP(LAAHKKE)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2612 LAAHKKE C LAHKKE(-1) PHKKE;                                         
EQUATION 1447  LAAHKKE  
   RHS     C  LAHKKE(-1)  PHKKE  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1447 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1447
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKKE 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.862702795

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.818543429       0.195417083  -4.18870     1.000000
14750 LAHKKE  ( -1)       0.781572438       0.043790842  17.84785    -4.866455
14748 PHKKE   (  0)      -0.124684976       0.043721914  -2.85177     1.930241

SE of equation            =     0.311565287
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.9584917      -0.730704386E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.232716499
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.7507017    
R squared                 =   0.70621
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43451
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4! *          +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.1!      +                *              !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.1*         +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!     *              +                 !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1986.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.4!                     *        +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                            +        *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                 *  + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2613 LAASIKE C LASIKE(-1) PSIKE;SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2613 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2614 LAAVIKE C LAVIKE(-1) PVIKE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2614 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2615 LAANIKE C LANIKE(-1) PNIKE;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2615 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2616 LAAALKE C LAALKE(-1) PALKE;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2616 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2617 LAAIAKE C LAIAKE(-1) PIAKE;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2617 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2618 LAAINKE C LAINKE(-1) PINKE;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2618 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2619 LAAIQKE C LAIQKE(-1) PIQKE;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2619 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2620 LAAKUKE C LAKUKE(-1) PKUKE;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2620 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2621 LAALIKE C LALIKE(-1) PLIKE;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2621 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2622 LAAUAKE C LAUAKE(-1) PUAKE;SMPL 1982.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2622 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSBA=USPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSBA=LOG(AAUSBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSBA=LOG(AUSBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSBA=EXP(LAAUSBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2623 LAAUSBA C LAUSBA(-1) PUSBA;                                         
EQUATION 1448  LAAUSBA  
   RHS     C  LAUSBA(-1)  PUSBA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1448 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1448
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSBA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.823950614

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.302654168       0.428954009  -0.70556     1.000000
14753 LAUSBA  ( -1)       0.783527895       0.048896159  16.02432    -2.801992
14751 PUSBA   (  0)      -0.285614377       0.389908389  -0.73252     1.140900

SE of equation            =     0.492739730
Sum of squared residuals  =  38.3612058       0.122701849E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.377892472
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.8406879    
R squared                 =   0.64446
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39752
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                           *     +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                           *     +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +         *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!             *           +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!         +                  *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                *       +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!           +         *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!        +       *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!     *         +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!     +                     *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1! *             +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !


     31.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2624 LAACABA C LACABA(-1) PCABA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2624 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2625 LAAJABA C LAJABA(-1) PJABA;SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2625 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2626 LAAAUBA C LAAUBA(-1) PAUBA;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2626 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2627 LAAFRBA C LAFRBA(-1) PFRBA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2627 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEBA=GEPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEBA=LOG(AAGEBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEBA=LOG(AGEBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEBA=EXP(LAAGEBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2628 LAAGEBA C LAGEBA(-1) PGEBA;                                         
EQUATION 1449  LAAGEBA  
   RHS     C  LAGEBA(-1)  PGEBA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1449 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1449
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEBA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.347631269

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.400289776       0.227432346  -1.76004     1.000000
14756 LAGEBA  ( -1)       0.626012167       0.061112849  10.24354    -3.340761
14754 PGEBA   (  0)      -0.839760231       0.246098688  -3.41229     1.019320

SE of equation            =     0.364469688
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.9884282       0.511146681E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.267681794
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.0967688    
R squared                 =   0.57221
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26192
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.1!              *           +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +          *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.3!                       +              *!          .   .   .         0!
 1973.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!               *          +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!              +                *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1977.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.3!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.4!           +              *           !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1978.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!               +           *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4*            +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1993.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !


     24.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2629 LAAITBA C LAITBA(-1) PITBA;SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2629 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2630 LAANEBA C LANEBA(-1) PNEBA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2630 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTBA=STPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTBA=LOG(AASTBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTBA=LOG(ASTBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTBA=EXP(LAASTBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2631 LAASTBA C LASTBA(-1) PSTBA;                                         
EQUATION 1450  LAASTBA  
   RHS     C  LASTBA(-1)  PSTBA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1450 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1450
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTBA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.991034723

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.021560902       0.297035883  -6.80578     1.000000
14759 LASTBA  ( -1)       0.470921405       0.071585258   6.57847    -4.985526
14757 PSTBA   (  0)      -0.643630111       0.146763597  -4.38549     0.965901

SE of equation            =     0.300918735
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.0355732      -0.246380694E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.230380260
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4000811    
R squared                 =   0.48929
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97644
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!             *         +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1973.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1974.1!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1974.2!                              +       *!        .     .     .  0     !
 1974.3!                      *         +     !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1974.4!          *             +             !!0       .     .     .        !
 1975.1!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.2!             *       +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1975.3!                   +              *   !!        .     .     .        0
 1975.4!                     *       +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                *      +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.2!        *         +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1976.3!              +      *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.4!                   +       *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1977.1!                       +   *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1977.2!          *             +             !0        .     .     .        !
 1977.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1977.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.1!                *     +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.3!            *      +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1978.4!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.1!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1979.2!            *           +             !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1979.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.2!                    *  +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.3!              *      +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1980.4!               *   +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.2!                     +   *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1981.3!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1981.4!                     +     *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.3!              *       +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.4!                  +*                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.1!                    +      *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1983.2!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.3!                        +        *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1983.4!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1984.1!                    *     +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.2!              *       +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1984.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.4!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.3!                         +    *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.1!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.2!                        +            *!!        .     .     .      0 !
 1986.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.4!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.1!                     +     *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.2!                     +      *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 1987.3!                      +       *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1987.4!                   *    +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1988.1!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1988.2!                +      *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.3!                     +   *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.2!               *       +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1989.3!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.1!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.2!                  +   *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!       *             +                !0        .     .     .        !
 1991.4!            +       *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1992.1!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.1!             *    +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.2!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.3!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.2!                *   +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!          *       +                   !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.4!        *       +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.1!            +             *           !!        .     .     .       0!
 1996.2!                 *   +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1996.3!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.4!         *      +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1997.1!              +                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!                   + *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.2!               +      *               !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.4!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.1!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.2!       *    +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.3!            + *                       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!                +     *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2000.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2000.3!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.2!                * +                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.1!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.1!             +    *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!              *+                      !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!             + *                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.4!              + *                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.3!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!             +                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!            *+                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.3!             +    *                   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.4!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.1! *           +                        !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2009.2!  *  +                                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.4!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.1!    *    +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.2!  *     +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.3*       +                              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.4!  *  +                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.1!       +                              !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.4!      *  +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.1!  *      +                            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.2!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.3!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.4!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !


     29.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKBA=UKPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKBA=LOG(AAUKBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKBA=LOG(AUKBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKBA=EXP(LAAUKBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2632 LAAUKBA C LAUKBA(-1) PUKBA;                                         
EQUATION 1451  LAAUKBA  
   RHS     C  LAUKBA(-1)  PUKBA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1451 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1451
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKBA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.644849548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.008200467       0.208584478  -0.03931     1.000000
14762 LAUKBA  ( -1)       0.906013102       0.032743776  27.66978    -3.623373
14760 PUKBA   (  0)      -0.349935985       0.234707909  -1.49094     1.011114

SE of equation            =     0.330918124
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.9735548       0.581446002E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.260703531
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.1911578    
R squared                 =   0.87278
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.60836
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!                               *   +  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1973.4!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.1!                         *   +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1974.2!                   *     +            !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1974.3!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1974.4!                         * +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1975.1!                      *  +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.2!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1975.3!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1975.4!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.1!                        +        *    !!        .     .     .       0!
 1976.2!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1976.3!                            * +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.4!                           +      *   !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1977.1!                             *  +     !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.2!                           *+         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1977.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1977.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.1!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.2!                             +    *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1978.3!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.4!                              +       *!        .     .     .      0 !
 1979.1!                                  * + !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.2!                             *   +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1979.4!                                +    *!!        .     .     . 0      !
 1980.1!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.2!                                 +    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1980.3!                               +   *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.4!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1981.1!                           *    +     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1981.2!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                    *     +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.1!                    +       *         !!        .     .     .       0!
 1982.2!                      *    +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1982.4!                       +   *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.1!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.3!                        * +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.3!                   * +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.1!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.2!                  +      *            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.1!                    *  +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.3!                    +                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.1!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.4!                +       *             !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1988.1!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!        .     .     0        !
 1988.4!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1989.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1989.2!                   *     +            !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.1!                  *     +             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.3!                  +        *          !!        .     .     .        0
 1990.4!                      *   +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.1!                  *   +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.2!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1991.3!               *  +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1992.2!              + *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!             *  +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.1!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.4!              +     *                 !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.1!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.4!                +                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.1!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.2!            *  +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.3!            +  *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.4!              +  *                    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.3!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.4!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.1!               +*                     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.2!              * +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.3!              +                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.1!           *     +                    !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1999.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.1!          * +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2000.2!          +     *                     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.4!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.1!          * +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.2!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.4!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.3!           *+                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.4!        *  +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.1!        +*                            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.2!      *  +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2003.3!      + *                             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.1!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2004.2!      *   +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.3!      +   *                           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.4!        * +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.2!      +  *                            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2005.3!         +*                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.4!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.1!         +                            !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!    *  +                              !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.4!     +   *                            !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.1!     *   +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3! *  +                                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.4!  +  *                                !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.1!    *+                                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.2! *  +                                 !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.3* +                                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.4! +   *                                !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2009.1! *    +                               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2009.2!  +  *                                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.3!  *   +                               !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.4!  *+                                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.1!  * +                                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.2!   +   *                              !!        .     .     .0       !
 2010.3!   *    +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.4!   *+                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.1!    +  *                              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.2!    *   +                             !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.3!  *  +                                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2011.4!   +                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.1!   *+                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2012.2*    +                                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.4! * +                                  !!        .  0  .     .        !


     32.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2633 LAAFIBA C LAFIBA(-1) PFIBA;SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2633 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASBA=ASPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASBA=LOG(AAASBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASBA=LOG(AASBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASBA=EXP(LAAASBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2634 LAAASBA C LAASBA(-1) PASBA;                                         
EQUATION 1452  LAAASBA  
   RHS     C  LAASBA(-1)  PASBA  
 SMPL 1974.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    91 to   244
 OLS;EST 1452 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1452
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASBA 

 1974.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  154 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.866031502

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.394098011       0.265221804  -5.25635     1.000000
14765 LAASBA  ( -1)       0.509767630       0.069601060   7.32414    -3.848859
14763 PASBA   (  0)      -0.473672396       0.185151473  -2.55830     1.076504

SE of equation            =     0.556233555
Sum of squared residuals  =  46.7187609       0.413757917E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.414531456
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.8378442    
R squared                 =   0.37354
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10338
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.3   2012.4    154

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.1!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!              *         +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!    *           +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.4!          +                 *         !!          .   .   .         0!
 1977.1!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1977.4!                *         +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.2!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                         +            *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                  *      +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!      *             +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!             +         *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!         *          +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1*                  +                   !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!   *               +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1990.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !


     28.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2635 LAASOBA C LASOBA(-1) PSOBA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2635 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2636 LAAKOBA C LAKOBA(-1) PKOBA;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2636 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEBA=BEPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEBA=LOG(AABEBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEBA=LOG(ABEBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEBA=EXP(LAABEBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2637 LAABEBA C LABEBA(-1) PBEBA;                                         
EQUATION 1453  LAABEBA  
   RHS     C  LABEBA(-1)  PBEBA  
 SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   106 to   244
 OLS;EST 1453 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1453
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEBA 

 1978.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  139 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.044200418

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.238490953       0.402619286  -5.55982     1.000000
14768 LABEBA  ( -1)       0.273117547       0.081850247   3.33680    -5.044822
14766 PBEBA   (  0)      -1.444450183       0.345871147  -4.17627     0.988528

SE of equation            =     0.546049017
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.5510559      -0.652544685E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.386261119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.6902956    
R squared                 =   0.27538
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.93371
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.2   2012.4    139

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!              +                   *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.2!                     +             *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                    +                 *!          .   .   .        0 !
 1982.4!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.2!           *           +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!   *              +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                +             *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!   *         +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3! *           +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2*              +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !


     23.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEBA=DEPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEBA=LOG(AADEBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEBA=LOG(ADEBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEBA=EXP(LAADEBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2638 LAADEBA C LADEBA(-1) PDEBA;                                         
EQUATION 1454  LAADEBA  
   RHS     C  LADEBA(-1)  PDEBA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1454 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1454
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEBA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.074793237

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.623277148       0.389820292  -1.59888     1.000000
14771 LADEBA  ( -1)       0.646699958       0.061144874  10.57652    -5.060876
14769 PDEBA   (  0)      -1.172915181       0.411701365  -2.84895     1.004888

SE of equation            =     0.549982325
Sum of squared residuals  =  46.8844865       0.562039304E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.428416883
Sum of ABS residuals      =  67.6898675    
R squared                 =   0.54586
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46308
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!             +         *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!         *         +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!           +           *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!               +            *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.3!     *                  +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1979.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!         *                +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                *         +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                         +           *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                       *     +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                 +                   *!!          .   .   .          0
 1987.3!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                     +               *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1991.1!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1992.2!                         *   +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!                     *     +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!            +           *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !


     29.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2639 LAANOBA C LANOBA(-1) PNOBA;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2639 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWBA=SWPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWBA=LOG(AASWBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWBA=LOG(ASWBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWBA=EXP(LAASWBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2640 LAASWBA C LASWBA(-1) PSWBA;                                         
EQUATION 1455  LAASWBA  
   RHS     C  LASWBA(-1)  PSWBA  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1455 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1455
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWBA 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.460731535

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.214130285       0.608627418  -1.99487     1.000000
14774 LASWBA  ( -1)       0.703114815       0.058710682  11.97593    -5.438554
14772 PSWBA   (  0)      -0.381500982       0.477410767  -0.79910     1.107922

SE of equation            =     0.626090051
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.0944478       0.167554859E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.479502085
Sum of ABS residuals      =  67.6097941    
R squared                 =   0.51256
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.51456
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!                   *            +     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1978.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.3!               *         +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1979.3!                  *         +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +              *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1981.1!                     *        +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!              *         +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                +             *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.3!                 +               *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1985.4!                      *      +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1988.1!         *              +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1988.2!            +          *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!           *          +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2*            +                         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1990.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!      *  +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!     *       +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!  *      +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!    *       +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.2!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!            *        +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!     *            +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1998.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                   +          *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                             +      * !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.3!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!            *     +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !


     29.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.96 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2641 LAAGRBA C LAGRBA(-1) PGRBA;SMPL 1999.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2641 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2642 LAAIRBA C LAIRBA(-1) PIRBA;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2642 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2643 LAAPOBA C LAPOBA(-1) PPOBA;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2643 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2644 LAASPBA C LASPBA(-1) PSPBA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2644 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2645 LAANZBA C LANZBA(-1) PNZBA;SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2645 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2646 LAASABA C LASABA(-1) PSABA;SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2646 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2647 LAAVEBA C LAVEBA(-1) PVEBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2647 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2648 LAACOBA C LACOBA(-1) PCOBA;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2648 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2649 LAAJOBA C LAJOBA(-1) PJOBA;SMPL 1999.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2649 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2650 LAASYBA C LASYBA(-1) PSYBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2650 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDBA=IDPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDBA=LOG(AAIDBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDBA=LOG(AIDBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDBA=EXP(LAAIDBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2651 LAAIDBA C LAIDBA(-1) PIDBA;                                         
EQUATION 1456  LAAIDBA  
   RHS     C  LAIDBA(-1)  PIDBA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1456 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1456
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDBA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.394003972

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.142048161       0.153646647  -0.92451     1.000000
14777 LAIDBA  ( -1)       0.878574122       0.036126482  24.31939    -2.389102
14775 PIDBA   (  0)      -0.132618045       0.131878583  -1.00561     1.153334

SE of equation            =     0.258109391
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5260323       0.474975614E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.192803217
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.0413179    
R squared                 =   0.80646
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64745
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.2!                         *         +  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!      *                +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!   *       +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!       +      *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!*         +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMABA=MAPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMABA=LOG(AAMABA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMABA=LOG(AMABA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMABA=EXP(LAAMABA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2652 LAAMABA C LAMABA(-1) PMABA;                                         
EQUATION 1457  LAAMABA  
   RHS     C  LAMABA(-1)  PMABA  
 SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   107 to   244
 OLS;EST 1457 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1457
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMABA 

 1978.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.815710575

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.762051340       0.211246971  -3.60740     1.000000
14780 LAMABA  ( -1)       0.667955382       0.059132064  11.29599    -3.837932
14778 PMABA   (  0)      -0.427330680       0.152627567  -2.79983     1.146868

SE of equation            =     0.377346770
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.2227290      -0.127897692E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.296528805
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.9209751    
R squared                 =   0.61679
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38260
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.3   2012.4    138

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.3+  *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.1!              *      +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1981.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.1!      +         *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!     *       +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!   *                +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.1!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.3!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!          *         +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.1!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                           +          *!          .   .   .     0    !
 2011.2!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !


     31.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.07 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2653 LAAPABA C LAPABA(-1) PPABA;SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2653 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2654 LAAPHBA C LAPHBA(-1) PPHBA;SMPL 1980.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2654 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2655 LAATHBA C LATHBA(-1) PTHBA;SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2655 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHBA=CHPX$Q/BAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHBA=LOG(AACHBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHBA=LOG(ACHBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHBA=EXP(LAACHBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2656 LAACHBA C LACHBA(-1) PCHBA;                                         
EQUATION 1458  LAACHBA  
   RHS     C  LACHBA(-1)  PCHBA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1458 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1458
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHBA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.355550878

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.272726650       0.510897971   0.53382     1.000000
14783 LACHBA  ( -1)       0.851484305       0.048346312  17.61219    -2.370287
14781 PCHBA   (  0)      -0.524259829       0.461076123  -1.13704     1.163575

SE of equation            =     0.391741678
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.8757697       0.119697585E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.269629308
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.9732928    
R squared                 =   0.74841
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   3.02169
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!      *             +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1*                +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +         *                         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.1!      *                +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!        *         +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1988.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!     *          +                     !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.1!           *              +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!              *       +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                  *+  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !


     15.08 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2657 LAAARBA C LAARBA(-1) PARBA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2657 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2658 LAABRBA C LABRBA(-1) PBRBA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2658 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2659 LAACEBA C LACEBA(-1) PCEBA;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2659 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2660 LAAMEBA C LAMEBA(-1) PMEBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2660 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2661 LAAPEBA C LAPEBA(-1) PPEBA;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2661 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2662 LAATUBA C LATUBA(-1) PTUBA;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2662 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2663 LAAPDBA C LAPDBA(-1) PPDBA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2663 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2664 LAARUBA C LARUBA(-1) PRUBA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2664 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2665 LAAUEBA C LAUEBA(-1) PUEBA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2665 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2666 LAAEGBA C LAEGBA(-1) PEGBA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2666 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2667 LAAISBA C LAISBA(-1) PISBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2667 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2668 LAAKEBA C LAKEBA(-1) PKEBA;SMPL 2009.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2668 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKBA=HKPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKBA=LOG(AAHKBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKBA=LOG(AHKBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKBA=EXP(LAAHKBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2669 LAAHKBA C LAHKBA(-1) PHKBA;                                         
EQUATION 1459  LAAHKBA  
   RHS     C  LAHKBA(-1)  PHKBA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1459 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1459
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKBA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.541722819

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.081844685       0.094803024  -0.86331     1.000000
14786 LAHKBA  ( -1)       0.959586189       0.021866784  43.88328    -3.553057
14784 PHKBA   (  0)      -0.037042414       0.076756713  -0.48260     1.360980

SE of equation            =     0.224749396
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.82940513       0.159738889E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.153644737
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2758685    
R squared                 =   0.94440
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48373
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!          +        *                  !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1974.2!       *           +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1974.3!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!    *  +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.3! +      *                             !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1*        +                             !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1977.2!+ *                                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!*   +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!  +    *                              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!       *    +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.3!   *    +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!    + *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!         + *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!         *  +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.3!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1983.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                         *   +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                                    * +!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                 * +  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                          * +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !


     20.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIBA=SIPX$/BAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIBA=LOG(AASIBA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIBA=LOG(ASIBA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIBA=EXP(LAASIBA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2670 LAASIBA C LASIBA(-1) PSIBA;                                         
EQUATION 1460  LAASIBA  
   RHS     C  LASIBA(-1)  PSIBA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1460 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1460
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIBA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.755269055

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.465232636       0.158429046  -2.93654     1.000000
14789 LASIBA  ( -1)       0.819855323       0.043748244  18.74030    -2.765307
14787 PSIBA   (  0)      -0.015709665       0.085280636  -0.18421     1.456749

SE of equation            =     0.302159472
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.4254547       0.116529009E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.214427277
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.5227915    
R squared                 =   0.69783
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62146
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!     *          +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.1*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!     +               *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1973.3!          *            +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.2!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!          *            +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                              *   +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                              *     + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                            *       + !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                             *      + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                            *      +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                               *    + !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                              *  +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     23.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2671 LAAVIBA C LAVIBA(-1) PVIBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2671 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2672 LAANIBA C LANIBA(-1) PNIBA;SMPL 2007.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2672 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2673 LAAALBA C LAALBA(-1) PALBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2673 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2674 LAAIABA C LAIABA(-1) PIABA;SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2674 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2675 LAAINBA C LAINBA(-1) PINBA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2675 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2676 LAAIQBA C LAIQBA(-1) PIQBA;SMPL 2009.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2676 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2677 LAAKUBA C LAKUBA(-1) PKUBA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2677 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2678 LAALIBA C LALIBA(-1) PLIBA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2678 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2679 LAAUABA C LAUABA(-1) PUABA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2679 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSHK=USPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSHK=LOG(AAUSHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSHK=LOG(AUSHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSHK=EXP(LAAUSHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2680 LAAUSHK C LAUSHK(-1) PUSHK;                                         
EQUATION 1461  LAAUSHK  
   RHS     C  LAUSHK(-1)  PUSHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1461 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1461
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.249020040

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.021854033       0.119528280  -0.18284     1.000000
14792 LAUSHK  ( -1)       0.972968671       0.017619017  55.22264    -2.243335
14790 PUSHK   (  0)      -0.043332699       0.104725081  -0.41378     1.026275

SE of equation            =     0.092562834
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.58505748       0.266164868E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.069059856
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.9832530    
R squared                 =   0.94365
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48340
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *  +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                                  *  +!!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                                 *  + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                          *       +   !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                                  *  +!!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                         *        +   !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.2!             *      +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1986.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               *     +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.2!                *    +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!               + *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                * +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                 *   +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!          * +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!*   +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!  *   +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.2!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3*       +                              !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2012.4+    *                                 !!          .   .   .   0      !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAHK=CAPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAHK=LOG(AACAHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAHK=LOG(ACAHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAHK=EXP(LAACAHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2681 LAACAHK C LACAHK(-1) PCAHK;                                         
EQUATION 1462  LAACAHK  
   RHS     C  LACAHK(-1)  PCAHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1462 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1462
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.868646981

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.669608264       0.204076213  -3.28117     1.000000
14795 LACAHK  ( -1)       0.807518069       0.044038227  18.33675    -4.862378
14793 PCAHK   (  0)      -0.294884563       0.150674792  -1.95709     0.924363

SE of equation            =     0.228776417
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.68265008      -0.110897957E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.177683899
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4045731    
R squared                 =   0.70363
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50710
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1966.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.3!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                  *        +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.3!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1985.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                        +             *!         .    .    .         0
 1988.2!                             *     +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.4!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!                             +      * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                      *       +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.3!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!         *            +               !!0        .    .    .         !
 1992.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.4!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!          *    +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!      *        +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!      *     +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!       *   +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!    *  +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!     +*                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!     *    +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.2!  *           +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 2011.3!    + *                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!       +     *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3*       +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2682 LAAJAHK C LAJAHK(-1) PJAHK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2682 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUHK=AUPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUHK=LOG(AAAUHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUHK=LOG(AAUHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUHK=EXP(LAAAUHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2683 LAAAUHK C LAAUHK(-1) PAUHK;                                         
EQUATION 1463  LAAAUHK  
   RHS     C  LAAUHK(-1)  PAUHK  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1463 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1463
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUHK 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.165600006

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.862738082       0.334704873  -5.56532     1.000000
14798 LAAUHK  ( -1)       0.639866819       0.055750485  11.47733    -6.160370
14796 PAUHK   (  0)      -0.404079559       0.135622785  -2.97944     0.893501

SE of equation            =     0.196464719
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.79331591      -0.568158853E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.133286452
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8582749    
R squared                 =   0.48875
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57494
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1969.2!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!             +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!          *+                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!         * +                          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!       * +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1972.2!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!        +         *                   !!            . . .    0       !
 1972.4!    *           +                     !!      0     . . .            !
 1973.1!      +     *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1973.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!         +   *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1974.1!             +   *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1975.2!         +     *                      !!            . . .0           !
 1975.3!      *       +                       !!         0  . . .            !
 1975.4!        +          *                  !!            . . .    0       !
 1976.1!          *      +                    !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.2!           +     *                    !!            . . . 0          !
 1976.3!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!     *      +                         !!         0  . . .            !
 1977.2!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1977.3!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!      *     +                         !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.2!        + *                           !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1978.4!         + *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1979.1!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!    *    +                            !!           0. . .            !
 1979.3!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4! *     +                              !!          0 . . .            !
 1980.1! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1980.2!     + *                              !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!     *     +                          !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!      *    +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1981.4!         +                            !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!      *    +                          !!           0. . .            !
 1982.2!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1983.3!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1984.1!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!         *   +                        !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!             * +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!             + *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!            +    *                    !!            . . .0           !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1987.4!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!          +   *                       !!            . . 0            !
 1989.2!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!        *    +                        !!           0. . .            !
 1989.4!         +    *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!          +     *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!           + *                        !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!       *   +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!        +    *                        !!            . . .0           !
 1993.2!            +   *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1993.3!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!            +  *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!          +*                          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!          +   *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!      *   +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!         +    *                       !!            . . .0           !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!           + *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!          * +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!        +   *                         !!            . . .0           !
 1999.1!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!           +  *                       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!         *  +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1999.4!          + *                         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!              +*                      !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!              +                       *!            . . .            0
 2001.1!                *            +        !!      0     . . .            !
 2001.2!               +   *                  !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                +   *                 !!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                 +   *                !!            . . .0           !
 2002.2!                 +      *             !!            . . . 0          !
 2002.3!                   +    *             !!            . . .0           !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!            +                         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!        +*                            !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!         + *                          !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!         +*                           !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!      *  +                            !!            0 . .            !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!     +   *                            !!            . . .0           !
 2007.2!    *   +                             !!           0. . .            !
 2007.3!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!     + *                              !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!  *   +                               !!           0. . .            !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4! *   +                                !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!   +*                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1! * +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2011.2!*  +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2011.3*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!* +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2*    +                                 !!           0. . .            !
 2012.3! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4! *  +                                 !!            0 . .            !


     22.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRHK=FRPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRHK=LOG(AAFRHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRHK=LOG(AFRHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRHK=EXP(LAAFRHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2684 LAAFRHK C LAFRHK(-1) PFRHK;                                         
EQUATION 1464  LAAFRHK  
   RHS     C  LAFRHK(-1)  PFRHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1464 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1464
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.177408167

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.587540499       0.166985004  -3.51852     1.000000
14801 LAFRHK  ( -1)       0.821252071       0.041893883  19.60315    -4.178580
14799 PFRHK   (  0)      -0.150786942       0.103435238  -1.45779     1.049162

SE of equation            =     0.157276012
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.57611266       0.375641740E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.119877946
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.5370538    
R squared                 =   0.72182
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48954
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                  *    +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 2001.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2002.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                 *        +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.1!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2004.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!      *       +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!       *     +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.1!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!          *         +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2005.4!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4*          +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2008.1!  +    *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!   *     +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!*     +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.1!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEHK=GEPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEHK=LOG(AAGEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEHK=LOG(AGEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEHK=EXP(LAAGEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2685 LAAGEHK C LAGEHK(-1) PGEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1465  LAAGEHK  
   RHS     C  LAGEHK(-1)  PGEHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1465 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1465
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.418881680

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.009775086       0.061468376  -0.15903     1.000000
14804 LAGEHK  ( -1)       0.963860650       0.021402918  45.03408    -3.410176
14802 PGEHK   (  0)      -0.137124274       0.085607650  -1.60178     0.890962

SE of equation            =     0.095343951
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.68173676      -0.403677092E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.069565361
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.0782879    
R squared                 =   0.95383
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48753
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                               *  +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                            *     +   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1980.2!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                       *      +       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                        *  +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                      *   +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.2!                   *    +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1993.2!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                    *   +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                     * +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITHK=ITPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITHK=LOG(AAITHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITHK=LOG(AITHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITHK=EXP(LAAITHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2686 LAAITHK C LAITHK(-1) PITHK;                                         
EQUATION 1466  LAAITHK  
   RHS     C  LAITHK(-1)  PITHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1466 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1466
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.814982922

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.296782709       0.093492035  -3.17442     1.000000
14807 LAITHK  ( -1)       0.863175964       0.034381371  25.10592    -3.807500
14805 PITHK   (  0)      -0.294990012       0.079310828  -3.71942     0.785307

SE of equation            =     0.117596387
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.55834839      -0.955058255E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.093479636
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.5741715    
R squared                 =   0.90872
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46221
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.4!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                    *    +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.3!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                         *   +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                     *  +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.1!                *         +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                *      +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1975.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                   *     +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                    *    +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                 *      +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.2!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                     *    +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1993.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.2!                                 *  + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!  +   *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1+  *                                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!    * +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!   *    +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEHK=NEPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEHK=LOG(AANEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEHK=LOG(ANEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEHK=EXP(LAANEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2687 LAANEHK C LANEHK(-1) PNEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1467  LAANEHK  
   RHS     C  LANEHK(-1)  PNEHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1467 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1467
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.939106978

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.233194526       0.204605342  -1.13973     1.000000
14810 LANEHK  ( -1)       0.937586037       0.025290653  37.07243    -4.931165
14808 PNEHK   (  0)      -0.082114649       0.159848064  -0.51370     1.004952

SE of equation            =     0.154158661
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.39650515       0.194719796E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.115931927
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.7952022    
R squared                 =   0.88136
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54409
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                     *      +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1967.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.2!                          *     +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1970.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1971.1!                                   +  *!         .    .    0         !
 1971.2!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                         *      +     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                  *     +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                  +        *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.1!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.4!                      *  +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                *    +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                 +    *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                *     +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1979.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!                +      *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1980.2!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.3!           *      +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1980.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!     *      +                         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1982.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!          *+                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.1!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!          *   +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.2!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!   *       +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.1!    +     *                           !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1993.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!            *  +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                *  +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!           *   +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.4!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!             + *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!     *   +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.3!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3! +*                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1! +*                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!*  +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!+ *                                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.2!     *   +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!*   +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.45 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTHK=STPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTHK=LOG(AASTHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTHK=LOG(ASTHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTHK=EXP(LAASTHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2688 LAASTHK C LASTHK(-1) PSTHK;                                         
EQUATION 1468  LAASTHK  
   RHS     C  LASTHK(-1)  PSTHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1468 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1468
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.570462210

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.111082291       0.049094621  -2.26262     1.000000
14813 LASTHK  ( -1)       0.916736713       0.026914031  34.06167    -3.560665
14811 PSTHK   (  0)      -0.241965924       0.085182221  -2.84057     0.806673

SE of equation            =     0.112228125
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.33010311      -0.609734485E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.085227873
Sum of ABS residuals      =  16.0228401    
R squared                 =   0.96928
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54775
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1966.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                                  * + !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.1!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                                  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                           * +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .          0
 1980.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                      *   +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!               * +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!            *    +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!              +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!          *   +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!               + *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!           *  +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.3!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!         *  +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.3!         +                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!       *   +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1998.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!           +                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!          *+                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!     *   +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!     * +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1! +     *                              !!          .   .   .         0!
 2006.2!  *    +                              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2006.3! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!  * +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!   + *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!   *   +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1+    *                                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3! *    +                               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKHK=UKPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKHK=LOG(AAUKHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKHK=LOG(AUKHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKHK=EXP(LAAUKHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2689 LAAUKHK C LAUKHK(-1) PUKHK;                                         
EQUATION 1469  LAAUKHK  
   RHS     C  LAUKHK(-1)  PUKHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1469 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1469
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.080071325

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.086578603       0.087731586   0.98686     1.000000
14816 LAUKHK  ( -1)       0.954192288       0.018823940  50.69036    -3.065258
14814 PUKHK   (  0)      -0.276375862       0.138331472  -1.99792     0.874911

SE of equation            =     0.130076424
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.13017705      -0.231239472E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.100466495
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.8877011    
R squared                 =   0.97043
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.85223
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                      +!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.4!                                    +*!!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!                                +   * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                               *  +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                             * +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                            * +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                      *    +          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                       + *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                         +            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                    *     +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                    + *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                       + *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                    *  +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                     +                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!               * +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!             +*                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!             +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!           +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.2!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!           *   +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!            + *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!            *+                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!           + *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!          *  +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.2!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!     * +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.1!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!    * +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!     +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!     + *                              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!   * +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!   + *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.3!*  +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!+*                                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!*+                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4+                                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1+      *                               !!          .   .   .          0
 2008.2!   * +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!     +                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!  *  +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!* +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1! + *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!*  +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!+ *                                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4*  +                                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!+     *                               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2011.2!*     +                               !!0         .   .   .          !
 2011.3!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4! + *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.2! + *                                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!        0 .   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2690 LAAFIHK C LAFIHK(-1) PFIHK;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2690 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASHK=ASPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASHK=LOG(AAASHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASHK=LOG(AASHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASHK=EXP(LAAASHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2691 LAAASHK C LAASHK(-1) PASHK;                                         
EQUATION 1470  LAAASHK  
   RHS     C  LAASHK(-1)  PASHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1470 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1470
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.953309971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.049955996       0.079850644  -0.62562     1.000000
14819 LAASHK  ( -1)       0.966209329       0.023116046  41.79821    -3.937700
14817 PASHK   (  0)      -0.101280036       0.069446432  -1.45839     0.974643

SE of equation            =     0.192602292
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.86269395      -0.596145355E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.155957080
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.3199311    
R squared                 =   0.93293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75658
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1966.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                                  * + !!         0    .    .         !
 1966.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                                  + * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                                  * + !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.4!                                   *+ !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                                  +   *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.4!                                 *   +!!    0    .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                                +   * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                                 *  + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                                   +  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                               *  +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                           *   +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!                              * +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.4!                              *  +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                             *  +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4!                            +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.3!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                        *+            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                         * +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1981.4!                        *   +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                         *  +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                     *   +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                        +             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                        + *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.2!                           *   +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                         *   +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.2!                            *   +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.2!                               *   +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                            * +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                          * +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                    *    +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                      *      +        !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.2!                           *  +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                          *  +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                       *  +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                       *   +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                         *   +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1999.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                      *+              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                   *   +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                *   +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!        + *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.2!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!         *+                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.3!     + *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.4!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2! * +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4*   +                                  !!     0   .    .    .         !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSOHK=SOPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASOHK=LOG(AASOHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASOHK=LOG(ASOHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASOHK=EXP(LAASOHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2692 LAASOHK C LASOHK(-1) PSOHK;                                         
EQUATION 1471  LAASOHK  
   RHS     C  LASOHK(-1)  PSOHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1471 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1471
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASOHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.987625626

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.067655821       0.114815108  -0.58926     1.000000
14822 LASOHK  ( -1)       0.964045198       0.019374073  49.75955    -4.973853
14820 PSOHK   (  0)      -0.145141776       0.120683767  -1.20266     0.860886

SE of equation            =     0.221483451
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.07515999      -0.525801624E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.164730439
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9693226    
R squared                 =   0.93983
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32880
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                                    * +!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.2!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!                                   +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                              *  +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.1!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                        *      +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.2!                           *     +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.2!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!           *    +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!       *   +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2006.4!  *        +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 2007.1*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2+       *                              !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!      + *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!    +      *                          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2009.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!    *    +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.2!*   +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1! +        *                           !!          .   .   .          0
 2011.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.4!    *      +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOHK=KOPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOHK=LOG(AAKOHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOHK=LOG(AKOHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOHK=EXP(LAAKOHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2693 LAAKOHK C LAKOHK(-1) PKOHK;                                         
EQUATION 1472  LAAKOHK  
   RHS     C  LAKOHK(-1)  PKOHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1472 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1472
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.416678502

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.093432533       0.039006788  -2.39529     1.000000
14825 LAKOHK  ( -1)       0.907042796       0.027664985  32.78667    -3.430698
14823 PKOHK   (  0)      -0.150406720       0.056245406  -2.67412     1.405896

SE of equation            =     0.123084133
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.80269521      -0.396660482E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.091769148
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.2525999    
R squared                 =   0.97785
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04857
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *  +                                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1966.2*  +                                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3* +                                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1! + *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!    +                                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!     +*                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!      +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!    * +                               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!   * +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.3!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!     +*                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!      *+                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!      *+                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!       +*                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!          + *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.1!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                 +                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                    +*                !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                     *   +            !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .         0!
 1980.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                           +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                           +          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                        *    +        !!0         .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                      *  +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                       +              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                         + *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                          +*          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.4!                            *  +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                             *+       !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                          *  +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                        * +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                          +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                             +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.2!                             *+       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1998.1!                                    + *!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                                     *+!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                  * + !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                 +    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                               * +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                *+    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                +*    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2009.2!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                                 * +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                                  *  +!!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                                  *+  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEHK=BEPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEHK=LOG(AABEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEHK=LOG(ABEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEHK=EXP(LAABEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2694 LAABEHK C LABEHK(-1) PBEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1473  LAABEHK  
   RHS     C  LABEHK(-1)  PBEHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1473 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1473
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.232552134

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.093794296       0.090868174  -1.03220     1.000000
14828 LABEHK  ( -1)       0.940483195       0.025013704  37.59872    -4.221643
14826 PBEHK   (  0)      -0.196173054       0.116787132  -1.67975     0.858291

SE of equation            =     0.159260052
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.69229636      -0.142383882E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.122543422
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.0381634    
R squared                 =   0.92889
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63891
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.3!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                                    +*!!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.2!                                *   + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.4!                                *   + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                          +         * !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                            *      +  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!                           *    +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                             *  +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                         *     +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 *  +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!            *  +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!     *   +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!    +   *                             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3*       +                              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2011.4+*                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4+  *                                   !!          .   .  0.          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEHK=DEPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEHK=LOG(AADEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEHK=LOG(ADEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEHK=EXP(LAADEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2695 LAADEHK C LADEHK(-1) PDEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1474  LAADEHK  
   RHS     C  LADEHK(-1)  PDEHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1474 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1474
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.573960205

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.425734050       0.306107310  -4.65763     1.000000
14831 LADEHK  ( -1)       0.666704036       0.054638198  12.20216    -5.571055
14829 PDEHK   (  0)      -0.487624324       0.215797398  -2.25964     0.889990

SE of equation            =     0.256107174
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.1343137      -0.658770816E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.181016651
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.0311304    
R squared                 =   0.50560
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38085
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!          +           *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.3!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1971.2!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.3!                 *          +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                 +              *     !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                 *          +         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!      *      +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4! *      +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!     +       *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1! *            +                       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2007.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!*     +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!   +       *                          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOHK=NOPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOHK=LOG(AANOHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOHK=LOG(ANOHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOHK=EXP(LAANOHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2696 LAANOHK C LANOHK(-1) PNOHK;                                         
EQUATION 1475  LAANOHK  
   RHS     C  LANOHK(-1)  PNOHK  
 SMPL 1972.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
 OLS;EST 1475 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1475
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOHK 

 1972.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.579451051

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.051614161       0.419123837  -9.66687     1.000000
14834 LANOHK  ( -1)       0.209996085       0.076817285   2.73371    -6.566368
14832 PNOHK   (  0)      -1.492120656       0.216655970  -6.88705     0.769995

SE of equation            =     0.546674124
Sum of squared residuals  =  48.1152683      -0.108739684E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.358350053
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.7694086    
R squared                 =   0.45667
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.03148
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4    164

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!               +              *       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1974.3!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!              +                      *!!           .  .  .           0
 1975.1!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!              +                       *!           .  .  .           0
 1976.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!     *         +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!               +           *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!              +            *          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1981.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!              +       *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                +            *        !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1984.3!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!              +                 *     !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1986.1!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!        *       +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!          *     +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!       +*                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!      +*                              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!   +     *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2! +  *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3! +  *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!  *   +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4! *     +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !


     18.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWHK=SWPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWHK=LOG(AASWHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWHK=LOG(ASWHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWHK=EXP(LAASWHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2697 LAASWHK C LASWHK(-1) PSWHK;                                         
EQUATION 1476  LAASWHK  
   RHS     C  LASWHK(-1)  PSWHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1476 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1476
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.720476777

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.732561955       0.288165056  -2.54216     1.000000
14837 LASWHK  ( -1)       0.833259494       0.042904488  19.42127    -5.713248
14835 PSWHK   (  0)      -0.228363464       0.234005019  -0.97589     0.995327

SE of equation            =     0.292599830
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.8387122       0.759392549E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.207869294
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.0794274    
R squared                 =   0.69484
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52746
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.4!              *           +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1968.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1968.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.4!            +          *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                       +             *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!              +         *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                   +        *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1985.2!                     *         +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                     +                *!          .   .   .          0
 1986.4!                      *            +  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4! *     +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!* +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !


     19.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRHK=GRPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRHK=LOG(AAGRHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRHK=LOG(AGRHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRHK=EXP(LAAGRHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2698 LAAGRHK C LAGRHK(-1) PGRHK;                                         
EQUATION 1477  LAAGRHK  
   RHS     C  LAGRHK(-1)  PGRHK  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST 1477 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1477
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRHK 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.535353368

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.028844081       0.566409864  -5.34744     1.000000
14840 LAGRHK  ( -1)       0.579413340       0.067252688   8.61547    -8.537161
14838 PGRHK   (  0)      -0.630647159       0.305634123  -2.06341     0.887920

SE of equation            =     0.485512294
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.4725506      -0.103522524E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.343412919
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.7948733    
R squared                 =   0.40084
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29065
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!             +                  *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1977.1!       *                  +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!              +              *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.3!             *           +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.4!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.1!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4*              +                       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2! *        +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!    *        +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                      +             * !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.3!            *                +        !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +             *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1995.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1996.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.3!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.4!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !


     20.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.90 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRHK=IRPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRHK=LOG(AAIRHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRHK=LOG(AIRHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRHK=EXP(LAAIRHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2699 LAAIRHK C LAIRHK(-1) PIRHK;                                         
EQUATION 1478  LAAIRHK  
   RHS     C  LAIRHK(-1)  PIRHK  
 SMPL 1976.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    98 to   244
 OLS;EST 1478 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1478
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRHK 

 1976.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  147 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.596885954

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.283689844       0.283871533  -0.99936     1.000000
14843 LAIRHK  ( -1)       0.954721361       0.025412369  37.56916    -6.598108
14841 PIRHK   (  0)      -0.013785338       0.280238237  -0.04919     1.004079

SE of equation            =     0.220639785
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.01019572       0.106563647E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.168412117
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.7565812    
R squared                 =   0.91443
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47261
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.2   2012.4    147

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4* +                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!+      *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!        *   +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!             *      +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!            *      +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!            *    +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!                          *    +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                *           +         !0          .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !


     24.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOHK=POPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOHK=LOG(AAPOHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOHK=LOG(APOHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOHK=EXP(LAAPOHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2700 LAAPOHK C LAPOHK(-1) PPOHK;                                         
EQUATION 1479  LAAPOHK  
   RHS     C  LAPOHK(-1)  PPOHK  
 SMPL 1978.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1978.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   107 to   244
 OLS;EST 1479 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1479
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOHK 

 1978.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  138 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.034110414

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.982748825       0.763818140  -3.90505     1.000000
14846 LAPOHK  ( -1)       0.504489710       0.074292566   6.79058    -8.030306
14844 PPOHK   (  0)      -0.989469809       0.611154520  -1.61902     1.010799

SE of equation            =     0.316781558
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.5473250       0.403055367E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.235456584
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.4930086    
R squared                 =   0.29251
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31767
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1978.3   2012.4    138

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1978.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!               *        +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3*                +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!*           +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!        *       +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                +                     *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.4!                      *      +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!             *       +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2006.1!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.3!            *           +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.4!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !


     25.36 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.07 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPHK=SPPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPHK=LOG(AASPHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPHK=LOG(ASPHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPHK=EXP(LAASPHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2701 LAASPHK C LASPHK(-1) PSPHK;                                         
EQUATION 1480  LAASPHK  
   RHS     C  LASPHK(-1)  PSPHK  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1480 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1480
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPHK 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.008344311

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.946684861       0.228974320  -4.13446     1.000000
14849 LASPHK  ( -1)       0.732569716       0.050363409  14.54567    -6.008753
14847 PSPHK   (  0)      -0.677359160       0.179384916  -3.77601     0.974120

SE of equation            =     0.219510374
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.14323195      -0.543671774E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.156567545
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.9296177    
R squared                 =   0.75850
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24751
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!   +      *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1! *        +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1975.2*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!              +             *         !!          .   .   .          0
 1978.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!         *       +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.4!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!         *             +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.3!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!               *        +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!             *           +            !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                       *      +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                   *     +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1997.3!                               +      *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !


     22.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.81 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZHK=NZPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZHK=LOG(AANZHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZHK=LOG(ANZHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZHK=EXP(LAANZHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2702 LAANZHK C LANZHK(-1) PNZHK;                                         
EQUATION 1481  LAANZHK  
   RHS     C  LANZHK(-1)  PNZHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1481 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1481
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.873078336

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.430128179       0.175722044  -2.44778     1.000000
14852 LANZHK  ( -1)       0.880993219       0.036858948  23.90175    -5.868280
14850 PNZHK   (  0)      -0.303622665       0.153430362  -1.97890     0.899259

SE of equation            =     0.214637097
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.52278046       0.509814413E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.164564850
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.9381917    
R squared                 =   0.83943
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73014
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       *      +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1966.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.3!      +        *                      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.4!       *       +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.1!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1968.1!              *    +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!            *       +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.4!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!             *        +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1970.3!              +        *              !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.4!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.1!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.4!                          *      +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.3!                           *     +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.4!                           +         *!!         .    .    .      0  !
 1977.1!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 1977.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                      *      +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!                            *    +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                    *    +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               *     +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!              +          *            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1989.2!               *        +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.4!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!*    +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.1! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!* +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2! * +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.3!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1* +                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3*+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2703 LAASAHK C LASAHK(-1) PSAHK;SMPL 1984.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2703 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2704 LAAVEHK C LAVEHK(-1) PVEHK;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2704 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOHK=COPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOHK=LOG(AACOHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOHK=LOG(ACOHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOHK=EXP(LAACOHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2705 LAACOHK C LACOHK(-1) PCOHK;                                         
EQUATION 1482  LAACOHK  
   RHS     C  LACOHK(-1)  PCOHK  
 SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   139 to   244
 OLS;EST 1482 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1482
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOHK 

 1986.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  106 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.830034487

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.900697695       0.658916594  -4.40222     1.000000
14855 LACOHK  ( -1)       0.644445977       0.074124585   8.69409    -8.862997
14853 PCOHK   (  0)      -0.208559175       0.377581814  -0.55235     1.043417

SE of equation            =     0.652528167
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.8566799       0.852740101E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.474298910
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.2756845    
R squared                 =   0.45716
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34164
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.3   2012.4    106

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.3!    +         *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4*               +                      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1987.1!      +    *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!          +                  *        !!         .    .    .         0
 1988.1!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                 *      +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!             *           +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.3!                +          *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.4!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                        +             *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                          *  +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                            +       * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                *             +       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!         *      +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!       *     +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!              +        *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.1!              +                 *     !!         .    .    .        0!
 2012.2!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                          + *         !!         .    .0   .         !


     21.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2706 LAAJOHK C LAJOHK(-1) PJOHK;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2706 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2707 LAASYHK C LASYHK(-1) PSYHK;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2707 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDHK=IDPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDHK=LOG(AAIDHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDHK=LOG(AIDHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDHK=EXP(LAAIDHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2708 LAAIDHK C LAIDHK(-1) PIDHK;                                         
EQUATION 1483  LAAIDHK  
   RHS     C  LAIDHK(-1)  PIDHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1483 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1483
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.583406633

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.458082196       0.164422769  -2.78600     1.000000
14858 LAIDHK  ( -1)       0.862818208       0.035826694  24.08311    -4.586065
14856 PIDHK   (  0)      -0.157212495       0.089267236  -1.76114     1.071060

SE of equation            =     0.218179026
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.80638614       0.383693077E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.149018706
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.0155167    
R squared                 =   0.78300
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.85394
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!         *      +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3!           +         *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1973.4!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                   *       +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.2!                 +      *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.1!           *                  +       !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2*             +                        !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1981.3!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!            +          *              !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1982.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                     *      +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.2!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                                  * + !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAHK=MAPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAHK=LOG(AAMAHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAHK=LOG(AMAHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAHK=EXP(LAAMAHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2709 LAAMAHK C LAMAHK(-1) PMAHK;                                         
EQUATION 1484  LAAMAHK  
   RHS     C  LAMAHK(-1)  PMAHK  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1484 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1484
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAHK 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.178420782

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.134565962       0.067317302  -1.99898     1.000000
14861 LAMAHK  ( -1)       0.913142752       0.021948984  41.60296    -4.183897
14859 PMAHK   (  0)      -0.210006058       0.058436565  -3.59374     1.063587

SE of equation            =     0.127735253
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.92061677      -0.211093365E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.101481378
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.4696109    
R squared                 =   0.95388
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40127
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3! +  *                                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.4!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.2!         *  +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1969.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!       + *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.3!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!          * +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!    *   +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.2!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.1!      +*                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.2!   *   +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1975.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.3!           * +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!   *   +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.2!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.1!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.3!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!          *    +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3!       +*                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!         + *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.3!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!       * +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!       *   +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2! *  +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2*    +                                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!               *   +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.2!                  *   +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                   * +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.4!                  *     +             !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.2!                       *+             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1993.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                               +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                            * +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1996.2!                                    *+!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                                  * + !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.3!                                +*    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.4!                               *  +   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                                  +*  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                                 *+   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                                +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                              *  +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.3!                              +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                          *  +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!                         *    +       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2009.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.2!                           *  +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!                        *  +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.2!                       *   +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                    *   +             !!     0   .    .    .         !


     34.07 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAHK=PAPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAHK=LOG(AAPAHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAHK=LOG(APAHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAHK=EXP(LAAPAHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2710 LAAPAHK C LAPAHK(-1) PPAHK;                                         
EQUATION 1485  LAAPAHK  
   RHS     C  LAPAHK(-1)  PPAHK  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1485 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1485
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAHK 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.686162428

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.217994393       0.294535832  -0.74013     1.000000
14864 LAPAHK  ( -1)       0.935048249       0.028810601  32.45501    -5.661035
14862 PPAHK   (  0)      -0.152126825       0.184496438  -0.82455     1.149219

SE of equation            =     0.317540372
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.0322702       0.128563826E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.223334079
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.1801208    
R squared                 =   0.87282
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28225
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 1972.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                        *      +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1974.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                            *    +    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!              *        +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!               *     +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.4!         *     +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!    *    +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.2!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!           *      +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.1!           +         *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1989.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                    + *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!     *  +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.3*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !


     27.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHHK=PHPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHHK=LOG(AAPHHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHHK=LOG(APHHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHHK=EXP(LAAPHHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2711 LAAPHHK C LAPHHK(-1) PPHHK;                                         
EQUATION 1486  LAAPHHK  
   RHS     C  LAPHHK(-1)  PPHHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1486 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1486
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.902551125

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.318243913       0.116188813  -2.73902     1.000000
14867 LAPHHK  ( -1)       0.914499854       0.026515753  34.48893    -4.907832
14865 PPHHK   (  0)      -0.093883035       0.065408135  -1.43534     1.023564

SE of equation            =     0.164035497
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.97791418       0.258904009E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.127493351
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.9687499    
R squared                 =   0.89484
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07393
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.2!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!*   +                                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.2* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .          0
 1973.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.4!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.2!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.3!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                            *  +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                          *      +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.3!              *   +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                 *  +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2002.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.1!                                    + *!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   .          0
 2007.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!               *   +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!               +       *              !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2012.2!                  *    +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   .    0     !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2712 LAATHHK C LATHHK(-1) PTHHK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2712 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2713 LAACHHK C LACHHK(-1) PCHHK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2713 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARHK=ARPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARHK=LOG(AAARHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARHK=LOG(AARHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARHK=EXP(LAAARHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2714 LAAARHK C LAARHK(-1) PARHK;                                         
EQUATION 1487  LAAARHK  
   RHS     C  LAARHK(-1)  PARHK  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1487 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1487
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARHK 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.254459668

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.010647498       0.395001593  -2.55859     1.000000
14870 LAARHK  ( -1)       0.825152120       0.062378045  13.22825    -7.243361
14868 PARHK   (  0)      -0.245503128       0.172424277  -1.42383     1.087308

SE of equation            =     0.278102173
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.03801451       0.122284405E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.196768053
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.4961970    
R squared                 =   0.74052
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62092
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                              +      *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                              +       *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                    *        +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1*                +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1998.2!  +                   *               !!          .   .   .          0
 1998.3!       *             +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1998.4!         +           *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3! +*                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4! +       *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRHK=BRPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRHK=LOG(AABRHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRHK=LOG(ABRHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRHK=EXP(LAABRHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2715 LAABRHK C LABRHK(-1) PBRHK;                                         
EQUATION 1488  LAABRHK  
   RHS     C  LABRHK(-1)  PBRHK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1488 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1488
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRHK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.465903360

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.377997852       0.384952080  -6.17739     1.000000
14873 LABRHK  ( -1)       0.489544056       0.075331717   6.49851    -5.466158
14871 PBRHK   (  0)      -0.464388715       0.138375064  -3.35601     0.887146

SE of equation            =     0.249116496
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.63326052       0.613020745E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.178554331
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.4978457    
R squared                 =   0.39445
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.81525
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!              *              +        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +                 *  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1983.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                  +              *    !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1984.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4*                   +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1988.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                 *           +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2716 LAACEHK C LACEHK(-1) PCEHK;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2716 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEHK=MEPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEHK=LOG(AAMEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEHK=LOG(AMEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEHK=EXP(LAAMEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2717 LAAMEHK C LAMEHK(-1) PMEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1489  LAAMEHK  
   RHS     C  LAMEHK(-1)  PMEHK  
 SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   109 to   244
 OLS;EST 1489 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1489
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEHK 

 1979.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  136 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.097451950

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.167866291       0.882573493  -1.32325     1.000000
14876 LAMEHK  ( -1)       0.814970011       0.049659836  16.41105    -7.108013
14874 PMEHK   (  0)      -0.135122317       0.765328446  -0.17655     1.012182

SE of equation            =     0.390722271
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.3042978      -0.220801155E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.287524283
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1033025    
R squared                 =   0.67108
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32474
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.1   2012.4    136

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.2!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!*            +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1981.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!       *          +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.1*          +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!*         +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.2!    +              *                  !!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                *        +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                *    +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!        *         +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.4!              *          +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1990.1!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!          *        +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1992.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                   *    +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !


     27.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.88 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEHK=PEPX$Q/HKPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEHK=LOG(AAPEHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEHK=LOG(APEHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEHK=EXP(LAAPEHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2718 LAAPEHK C LAPEHK(-1) PPEHK;                                         
EQUATION 1490  LAAPEHK  
   RHS     C  LAPEHK(-1)  PPEHK  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1490 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1490
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEHK 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.083675328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.033748895       0.516341896  -5.87547     1.000000
14879 LAPEHK  ( -1)       0.556616182       0.072249191   7.70412    -8.074686
14877 PPEHK   (  0)      -0.695007397       0.152838628  -4.54733     0.799165

SE of equation            =     0.480068183
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.3472516      -0.645528075E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.370328448
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.6613844    
R squared                 =   0.62908
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07360
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                    *     +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!         *          +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.4!     *         +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.1!             +                *       !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                  *        +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                         +           *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1988.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!                            +         *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.2!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                              +       *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!                        +            *!!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!               *         +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.2!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.3!                           +         *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1995.4!                       *       +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.3!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!            *             +           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1999.1!           *       +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.4!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                  *       +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.3!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!             *      +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.4!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!        +     *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!       *   +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!         +       *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!        *         +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.4!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.2! *           +                        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.3!    +     *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4*        +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.1! +              *                     !!         .    .    .        0!
 2011.2!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!   +   *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!  *     +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!     +             *                  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2012.2!    *         +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.3! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4! *  +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2719 LAATUHK C LATUHK(-1) PTUHK;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2719 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDHK=PDPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDHK=LOG(AAPDHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDHK=LOG(APDHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDHK=EXP(LAAPDHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2720 LAAPDHK C LAPDHK(-1) PPDHK;                                         
EQUATION 1491  LAAPDHK  
   RHS     C  LAPDHK(-1)  PPDHK  
 SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   135 to   244
 OLS;EST 1491 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1491
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDHK 

 1985.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  110 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.310759141

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.469727631       1.478296761  -1.67066     1.000000
14882 LAPDHK  ( -1)       0.562597195       0.079808290   7.04936    -8.331439
14880 PPDHK   (  0)      -1.139234963       1.401249245  -0.81301     1.012774

SE of equation            =     0.515726892
Sum of squared residuals  =  28.4592423       0.914983644E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.402094949
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.2304444    
R squared                 =   0.33178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17602
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.3   2012.4    110

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.3!           +        *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.1!                 * +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.2!        *         +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1986.3!             +        *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1986.4!                     +   *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1987.2!                 *     +              !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.3!            *      +                  !!        0     .     .        !
 1987.4!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.1!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1988.4!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.1!        *         +                   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1989.2!             +     *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.1!        *            +                !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1990.2!      *       +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1990.3!        *    +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.2!            *        +                !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.2!                     * +              !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.3!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1992.4!                       *   +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1993.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1993.2!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.3!                      +    *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.4!                         +   *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.1!                          +        *  !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.3!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.1!                         +          * !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1995.2!                  *           +       !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.1!               *     +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1996.2!                  +              *    !!        .     .     .       0!
 1996.3!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.4!           *             +            !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1997.1!           *   +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.2!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!            *     +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1998.2!  *                +                  !0        .     .     .        !
 1998.3*          +                           !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1998.4!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.1!             +   *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!          *          +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1999.4!               + *                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.1!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.2!                *    +                !!        .0    .     .        !
 2000.3!                  +       *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.4!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 2001.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.2!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.1!               *    +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.2!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2003.1!                *   +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.2!                 *+                   !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!                  +    *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2004.2!            *          +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2004.3!        *       +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2005.1!         *       +                    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.2!              +            *          !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2005.3!                 *      +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.4!                 * +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.1!               *   +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.2!                  +           *       !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2006.3!                  *       +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.4!                   + *                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.3!                    + *               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.4!                     +                *!        .     .     .        0
 2008.1!                     *         +      !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2008.2!                     +           *    !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2008.3!                        *   +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.4!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.2!                         +      *     !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.3!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!                       +      *       !!        .     .     0        !
 2010.1!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2010.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.3!                        +             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.4!                       +    *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.3!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 2011.4!                           +      *   !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.1!                            +    *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.2!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.3!                          +    *      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.4!                           +      *   !!        .     .     .0       !


     30.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.64 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2721 LAARUHK C LARUHK(-1) PRUHK;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2721 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2722 LAAUEHK C LAUEHK(-1) PUEHK;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2722 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2723 LAAEGHK C LAEGHK(-1) PEGHK;SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2723 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISHK=ISPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISHK=LOG(AAISHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISHK=LOG(AISHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISHK=EXP(LAAISHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2724 LAAISHK C LAISHK(-1) PISHK;                                         
EQUATION 1492  LAAISHK  
   RHS     C  LAISHK(-1)  PISHK  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1492 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1492
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISHK 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.443328978

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.077146650       0.101642142  -0.75900     1.000000
14885 LAISHK  ( -1)       0.919445054       0.026021024  35.33470    -4.437019
14883 PISHK   (  0)      -0.314123663       0.126413215  -2.48490     0.912339

SE of equation            =     0.147155505
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.00612738      -0.168132175E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.110604748
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.7936926    
R squared                 =   0.92237
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36378
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                   + *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.1!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                         *      +     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1974.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.2!                              + *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.4!                              +       *!         .    .    .         0
 1975.1!                                   * +!!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.4!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                                * +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                               + *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.1!                            *   +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.2!                     *     +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1978.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                     *      +         !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1979.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                 *    +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1979.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                *     +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!         *     +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1981.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.1!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!          + *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!      *     +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.3!  *    +                              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.3!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.1!     *  +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.1!           +*                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!         *    +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.3!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.2!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.3!      * +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.4!      +   *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.1!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.2!  *   +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!  +*                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.1!  *   +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3! * +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4! +   *                                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.1!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!       +*                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.3!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!   *   +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.3!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!       +                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4! *     +                              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1998.1!*+                                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3*+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.1!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!       *+                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!       +                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!      + *                             !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2008.2!        *  +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3! + *                                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2010.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3! *   +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.4!+*                                    !!         .    . 0  .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2725 LAAKEHK C LAKEHK(-1) PKEHK;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2725 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAHK=BAPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAHK=LOG(AABAHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAHK=LOG(ABAHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAHK=EXP(LAABAHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2726 LAABAHK C LABAHK(-1) PBAHK;                                         
EQUATION 1493  LAABAHK  
   RHS     C  LABAHK(-1)  PBAHK  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST 1493 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1493
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAHK 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.076010071

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.742564362       0.508188514  -7.36452     1.000000
14888 LABAHK  ( -1)       0.388188090       0.075851016   5.11777    -8.089989
14886 PBAHK   (  0)      -0.990531450       0.225046285  -4.40146     1.204412

SE of equation            =     0.540184587
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.7273126      -0.643618492E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.359127139
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.4325623    
R squared                 =   0.43181
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.96237
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!         +                 *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1976.4!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!      *    +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!*          +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.1!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!*         +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.4!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!             +                  *     !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1980.3!   *                +                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1980.4!            +                         *!           .  .  .           0
 1981.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!             *         +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                  +            *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.4!                  *       +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!             *        +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!         *        +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!          *           +               !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1983.3!  *              +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1983.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!         *       +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!         +          *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.2!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!            *        +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!              *       +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!     *               +                !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                        +    *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !


     18.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIHK=SIPX$/HKPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIHK=LOG(AASIHK+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIHK=LOG(ASIHK+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIHK=EXP(LAASIHK)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2727 LAASIHK C LASIHK(-1) PSIHK;                                         
EQUATION 1494  LAASIHK  
   RHS     C  LASIHK(-1)  PSIHK  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1494 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1494
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIHK 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.016671368

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.100718907       0.050161012  -2.00791     1.000000
14891 LASIHK  ( -1)       0.931455416       0.024039163  38.74741    -3.024636
14889 PSIHK   (  0)      -0.074362574       0.043055286  -1.72714     1.326464

SE of equation            =     0.097832736
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.67496774       0.198863148E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.073847845
Sum of ABS residuals      =  13.1449163    
R squared                 =   0.95187
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27228
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!  * +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.4! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!  +                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!*  +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3* +                                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2! *+                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.1!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .         0!
 1974.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                        *  +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                   *       +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                         + *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!                        * +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                  *   +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.2!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                *  +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                *+                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                  *  +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                            *  +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.3!                       *    +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1997.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                                   *+ !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.2!                                    * +!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  *+  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                               *  +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                               +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !


     28.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2728 LAAVIHK C LAVIHK(-1) PVIHK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2728 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2729 LAANIHK C LANIHK(-1) PNIHK;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2729 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2730 LAAALHK C LAALHK(-1) PALHK;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2730 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2731 LAAIAHK C LAIAHK(-1) PIAHK;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2731 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2732 LAAINHK C LAINHK(-1) PINHK;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2732 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2733 LAAIQHK C LAIQHK(-1) PIQHK;SMPL 2008.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2733 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2734 LAAKUHK C LAKUHK(-1) PKUHK;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2734 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2735 LAALIHK C LALIHK(-1) PLIHK;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2735 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2736 LAAUAHK C LAUAHK(-1) PUAHK;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2736 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSSI=USPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSSI=LOG(AAUSSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSSI=LOG(AUSSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSSI=EXP(LAAUSSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2737 LAAUSSI C LAUSSI(-1) PUSSI;                                         
EQUATION 1495  LAAUSSI  
   RHS     C  LAUSSI(-1)  PUSSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1495 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1495
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.092587313

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.334541911       0.082325186  -4.06366     1.000000
14894 LAUSSI  ( -1)       0.799349377       0.037661203  21.22474    -2.097588
14892 PUSSI   (  0)      -0.061923751       0.051910062  -1.19290     1.313541

SE of equation            =     0.112109335
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.28746755      -0.984057280E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.082291951
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.2240109    
R squared                 =   0.75311
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.50437
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1*     +                                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1967.2!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.1*           +                          !!0         .   .   .          !
 1968.2!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1968.3!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1968.4!        *     +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1969.1!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1969.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.4!                          *     +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.4!                              *     + !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                      *           +   !0          .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                          *     +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2003.4!                           *     +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                         *      +     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2007.1!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                       *    +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2738 LAACASI C LACASI(-1) PCASI;SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2738 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2739 LAAJASI C LAJASI(-1) PJASI;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2739 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUSI=AUPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUSI=LOG(AAAUSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUSI=LOG(AAUSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUSI=EXP(LAAAUSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2740 LAAAUSI C LAAUSI(-1) PAUSI;                                         
EQUATION 1496  LAAAUSI  
   RHS     C  LAAUSI(-1)  PAUSI  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1496 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1496
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUSI 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.339700583

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.543358354       0.369309785  -6.88679     1.000000
14897 LAAUSI  ( -1)       0.542296536       0.065323608   8.30169    -6.336301
14895 PAUSI   (  0)      -0.315303064       0.111306525  -2.83275     1.142355

SE of equation            =     0.190637992
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.17828345      -0.955120427E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.146276340
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.3058068    
R squared                 =   0.43521
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19548
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                            +       * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                  +                  *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!             *              +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                +                     *!          .   .   .          0
 1975.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1*             +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.2!  * +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!    +        *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!      *        +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!          *           +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!     *            +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!          +         *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                +           *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!         *          +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!       *        +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!*            +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!*        +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.4! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!              +          *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!            +                   *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2004.3!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.4!                    *      +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.1!          *           +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!           *      +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!              +          *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.59 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.20 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRSI=FRPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRSI=LOG(AAFRSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRSI=LOG(AFRSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRSI=EXP(LAAFRSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2741 LAAFRSI C LAFRSI(-1) PFRSI;                                         
EQUATION 1497  LAAFRSI  
   RHS     C  LAFRSI(-1)  PFRSI  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1497 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1497
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRSI 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.132336805

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.104356227       0.190921016  -5.78436     1.000000
14900 LAFRSI  ( -1)       0.581587244       0.058089347  10.01194    -4.141423
14898 PFRSI   (  0)      -0.466506000       0.106203966  -4.39255     1.327704

SE of equation            =     0.250814682
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.0089008      -0.129021238E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.184437403
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.8298577    
R squared                 =   0.61419
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38908
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.2!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.1!       *                   +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!      *            +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!      *         +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!        +              *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1976.4!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!         +             *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.2!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!             +              *         !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.2!            *          +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                 +               *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1983.4!            *               +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!             *      +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1985.1!                               +      *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                *             +       !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1996.3!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.1!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!                             +      * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGESI=GEPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGESI=LOG(AAGESI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGESI=LOG(AGESI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGESI=EXP(LAAGESI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2742 LAAGESI C LAGESI(-1) PGESI;                                         
EQUATION 1498  LAAGESI  
   RHS     C  LAGESI(-1)  PGESI  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1498 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1498
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGESI 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.341786852

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.767416421       0.148879891  -5.15460     1.000000
14903 LAGESI  ( -1)       0.682117492       0.053496269  12.75075    -3.340737
14901 PGESI   (  0)      -0.258757346       0.064599224  -4.00558     1.142365

SE of equation            =     0.108007025
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.04146557      -0.786317678E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.082398239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  14.6668865    
R squared                 =   0.67172
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17345
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.2!            +              *          !!         .    .    .         0
 1969.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1970.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                       *      +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                         +            *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1971.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                             +       *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                *        +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1*            +                         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.2! +   *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.4!            +     *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!      +      *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.1!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!    +       *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.3!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!   +        *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1978.1!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!    +      *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.2!             +           *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!       *          +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.1!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!               +        *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.2!                *      +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                        +          *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.1!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!           +   *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!         +    *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!             +          *             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1990.2!        *          +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!*      +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.3!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.2! *  +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!      *    +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!           +          *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2003.4!          *       +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2004.1!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!     +*                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.3!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!       * +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!  *   +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !


     26.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITSI=ITPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITSI=LOG(AAITSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITSI=LOG(AITSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITSI=EXP(LAAITSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2743 LAAITSI C LAITSI(-1) PITSI;                                         
EQUATION 1499  LAAITSI  
   RHS     C  LAITSI(-1)  PITSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1499 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1499
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.211698381

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.186302246       0.183514288  -6.46436     1.000000
14906 LAITSI  ( -1)       0.556092460       0.058265293   9.54415    -4.211724
14904 PITSI   (  0)      -0.685969471       0.118452387  -5.79110     0.996091

SE of equation            =     0.192476857
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.74261598      -0.521040988E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.151497348
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.0270093    
R squared                 =   0.68675
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46346
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!                *     +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!           *            +             !0         .    .    .         !
 1969.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.3!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                          *      +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.4!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.1!                      *        +      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1972.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!             *        +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1976.2!        *     +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.3!         *      +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1977.4!           +     *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.1!        *       +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.2!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!              *      +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!         *        +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1981.2!              +         *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!             *      +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.2!               +     *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.3!                *    +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.1!                   *    +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +        *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                     +     *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!            *       +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.1!               *       +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .         0
 2003.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.1!      *      +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!       +         *                    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2007.3!     *       +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!      +*                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2! *    +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.3*    +                                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!      *     +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!    *       +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!      *    +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !


     33.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNESI=NEPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANESI=LOG(AANESI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANESI=LOG(ANESI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANESI=EXP(LAANESI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2744 LAANESI C LANESI(-1) PNESI;                                         
EQUATION 1500  LAANESI  
   RHS     C  LANESI(-1)  PNESI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1500 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1500
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANESI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.623506625

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.662775049       0.172183882  -3.84923     1.000000
14909 LANESI  ( -1)       0.813359111       0.041842618  19.43853    -4.623375
14907 PNESI   (  0)      -0.154862275       0.063832889  -2.42606     1.293198

SE of equation            =     0.168170439
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.14719598       0.285100832E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.129559212
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.9684542    
R squared                 =   0.74897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22476
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.1!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1967.2!                             * +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                   *        +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!        *        +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1974.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2! *+                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!  +           *                       !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!  +    *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!+*                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!          *     +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!     *      +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!*      +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!  *+                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!*  +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!   *+                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!           +           *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.1!    *                +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1994.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!       *      +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2007.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !


     27.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTSI=STPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTSI=LOG(AASTSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTSI=LOG(ASTSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTSI=EXP(LAASTSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2745 LAASTSI C LASTSI(-1) PSTSI;                                         
EQUATION 1501  LAASTSI  
   RHS     C  LASTSI(-1)  PSTSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1501 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1501
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.482454899

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.170966527       0.208412632  -5.61850     1.000000
14912 LASTSI  ( -1)       0.664618632       0.059944684  11.08720    -4.480201
14910 PSTSI   (  0)      -0.324121981       0.090057694  -3.59905     1.030055

SE of equation            =     0.177176539
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.71325773      -0.321533911E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.134591425
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.8994136    
R squared                 =   0.71236
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36529
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.1!                       *      +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                 *          +         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.2!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.1!                      *          +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1972.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!         *      +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1984.2!                     *       +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3!            *       +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3*           +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!   +      *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!         *     +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!   *      +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!     +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1! *     +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !


     26.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKSI=UKPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKSI=LOG(AAUKSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKSI=LOG(AUKSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKSI=EXP(LAAUKSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2746 LAAUKSI C LAUKSI(-1) PUKSI;                                         
EQUATION 1502  LAAUKSI  
   RHS     C  LAUKSI(-1)  PUKSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1502 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1502
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.325773670

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.105148493       0.070635725  -1.48860     1.000000
14915 LAUKSI  ( -1)       0.948816355       0.019597339  48.41557    -3.316378
14913 PUKSI   (  0)      -0.066112723       0.066594546  -0.99276     1.119170

SE of equation            =     0.125435795
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.86361322       0.625144381E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.095337675
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.6374699    
R squared                 =   0.94626
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.75448
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                                   +  *!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!                               * +    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                               +    * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.1!                                 * +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                       *       +      !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .          0
 1973.1!                         *    +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.4!                          * +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!             *   +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.3!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!        *  +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!       +   *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!        +*                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!            *     +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!          +*                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.4!          *   +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!        +*                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!      *  +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!          + *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!         *  +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.3!         +  *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!    *    +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.1!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!     *  +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.1!   +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!     +*                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!*    +                                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.3!    + *                               !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3! *    +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2006.4! +   *                                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2007.1!    *+                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1! * +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!  +*                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!   + *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!    *  +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1! *  +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1! *+                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2* +                                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!+*                                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4! +  *                                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !


     29.73 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFISI=FIPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFISI=LOG(AAFISI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFISI=LOG(AFISI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFISI=EXP(LAAFISI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2747 LAAFISI C LAFISI(-1) PFISI;                                         
EQUATION 1503  LAAFISI  
   RHS     C  LAFISI(-1)  PFISI  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST 1503 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1503
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFISI 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.401535976

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.272632896       0.319191652  -3.98705     1.000000
14918 LAFISI  ( -1)       0.735044994       0.056722343  12.95865    -6.406830
14916 PFISI   (  0)      -0.377715498       0.203596623  -1.85521     1.110875

SE of equation            =     0.310522908
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.6922756      -0.162021507E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.231408404
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.5542185    
R squared                 =   0.64683
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54044
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3! *           +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.4!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2*           +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!     *        +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!        *       +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.2!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!               *        +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1995.1!                           *      +   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                        +           * !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1998.1!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                       *       +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !


     27.59 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.83 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASSI=ASPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASSI=LOG(AAASSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASSI=LOG(AASSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASSI=EXP(LAAASSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2748 LAAASSI C LAASSI(-1) PASSI;                                         
EQUATION 1504  LAAASSI  
   RHS     C  LAASSI(-1)  PASSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1504 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1504
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.562156541

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.427900211       0.122848604  -3.48315     1.000000
14921 LAASSI  ( -1)       0.852323254       0.039377793  21.64477    -3.554903
14919 PASSI   (  0)      -0.083974544       0.055770404  -1.50572     1.242401

SE of equation            =     0.207439433
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.83166354       0.906252851E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.159723743
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.5488925    
R squared                 =   0.78464
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58837
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1969.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                          +          *!!         .    .    .        0!
 1969.4!                        *         +   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1970.1!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1970.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.3!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1971.2!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.3!                        *    +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.3!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!          *     +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.3!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!        *      +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!             +    *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.2!         *        +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1983.3!          +         *                 !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1983.4!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!             +          *             !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.2!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!               *      +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1984.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.1!           *   +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!        *   +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.3!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                    *     +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.4!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!           *       +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.4!            +      *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.4!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!      *     +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2006.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!       +  *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.2!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!    *    +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!       *   +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.1!    *   +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!  *  +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!   +  *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4*       +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.1! + *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!  *   +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!      +     *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.4!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.95 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2749 LAASOSI C LASOSI(-1) PSOSI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2749 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOSI=KOPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOSI=LOG(AAKOSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOSI=LOG(AKOSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOSI=EXP(LAAKOSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2750 LAAKOSI C LAKOSI(-1) PKOSI;                                         
EQUATION 1505  LAAKOSI  
   RHS     C  LAKOSI(-1)  PKOSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1505 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1505
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.083327643

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.071212288       0.054556307  -1.30530     1.000000
14924 LAKOSI  ( -1)       0.943791878       0.026014158  36.27993    -4.108601
14922 PKOSI   (  0)      -0.074822898       0.053522661  -1.39797     1.796925

SE of equation            =     0.200463178
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.31375838       0.210942375E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.142267697
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.3195240    
R squared                 =   0.96979
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62107
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1+     *                                !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1967.2!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!    *+                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!     +     *                          !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1968.2!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!          + *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!          *+                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.2!         *+                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!        * +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!       * +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.2!      * +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.3!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!     * +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!    * +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.2!        * +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!         +*                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1974.2!            * +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!            + *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.2!           *   +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1975.3!            + *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!           *   +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.2!           +  *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!               +                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!              *+                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!               +*                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                *+                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                +*                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                 +*                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                   *  +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.3!                 *       +            !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                   +                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.1!                      *  +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                    +*                !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.2!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!                        +             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!                       +*             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                         +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                             + *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                            *  +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                            + *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                            * +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                             * +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                            * +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                              +       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                                  *+  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                                    *+!!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                   + *!!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                     +*!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                     *+!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                                     +!!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !


     22.70 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBESI=BEPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABESI=LOG(AABESI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABESI=LOG(ABESI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABESI=EXP(LAABESI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2751 LAABESI C LABESI(-1) PBESI;                                         
EQUATION 1506  LAABESI  
   RHS     C  LABESI(-1)  PBESI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1506 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1506
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABESI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.221215655

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.174405018       0.244697637  -4.79941     1.000000
14927 LABESI  ( -1)       0.747230634       0.053998298  13.83804    -5.216888
14925 PBESI   (  0)      -0.135636988       0.097405161  -1.39250     1.095511

SE of equation            =     0.188579236
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.47230736       0.475788298E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.136025028
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.1646302    
R squared                 =   0.61523
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.25608
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1967.2!                            *    +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!     *                +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.3!        +         *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.4!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1971.3!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!    *        +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.4!       +   *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!              *     +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.4!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!*     +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2010.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!  * +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3*           +                          !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!     +             *                  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2012.2!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !


     23.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDESI=DEPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADESI=LOG(AADESI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADESI=LOG(ADESI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADESI=EXP(LAADESI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2752 LAADESI C LADESI(-1) PDESI;                                         
EQUATION 1507  LAADESI  
   RHS     C  LADESI(-1)  PDESI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1507 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1507
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADESI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.921418009

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.384895047       0.380166430  -6.27329     1.000000
14930 LADESI  ( -1)       0.570650525       0.061261650   9.31497    -5.916345
14928 PDESI   (  0)      -0.140981396       0.172947053  -0.81517     1.137437

SE of equation            =     0.378175979
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.0291069      -0.447988313E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.265205133
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.0629495    
R squared                 =   0.33918
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31273
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!               +              *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1968.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!           +          *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                  +                   *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1970.4!                    *      +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!  *         +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!     +      *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!             +                    *   !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1974.2!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!             +                *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.4!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!        *+                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!           +                 *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.3!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!          +            *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!           +                    *     !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!      *             +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!       +                    *         !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1992.4!   *                +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.1!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!    *    +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!   *   +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!               +         *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!            *      +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!       *     +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!  *     +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1! *          +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.2!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!  *        +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!  *   +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!  *   +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!       +                        *     !!          .   .   .          0
 2010.1!   *                   +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2010.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3! *     +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!*     +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4*     +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          .  0.   .          !


     16.76 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOSI=NOPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOSI=LOG(AANOSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOSI=LOG(ANOSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOSI=EXP(LAANOSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2753 LAANOSI C LANOSI(-1) PNOSI;                                         
EQUATION 1508  LAANOSI  
   RHS     C  LANOSI(-1)  PNOSI  
 SMPL 1967.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    64 to   244
 OLS;EST 1508 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1508
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOSI 

 1967.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  181 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.595227885

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.468205422       0.367066593  -6.72414     1.000000
14933 LANOSI  ( -1)       0.496968292       0.064697248   7.68144    -5.592215
14931 PNOSI   (  0)      -0.360236480       0.180538995  -1.99534     0.965668

SE of equation            =     0.687346093
Sum of squared residuals  =  84.0951481       0.572342174E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.469996586
Sum of ABS residuals      =  85.0693820    
R squared                 =   0.29374
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10432
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.4   2012.4    181

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                            +       * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!                            +       * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.1!                         *      +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                *            +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1975.1!                     +          *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.2!                      *      +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1976.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.2!                           *    +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!                  *          +        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                      +   *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.4!                      *       +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                              +      *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                       *      +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.4!                         +          * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2004.1!                       *        +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                        +          *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2005.3!                       *      +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1! *                      +             !0           .  .  .           !
 2006.2! *           +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2006.3!  *          +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2006.4*             +                        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2007.1!            +             *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2007.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.89 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWSI=SWPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWSI=LOG(AASWSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWSI=LOG(ASWSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWSI=EXP(LAASWSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2754 LAASWSI C LASWSI(-1) PSWSI;                                         
EQUATION 1509  LAASWSI  
   RHS     C  LASWSI(-1)  PSWSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1509 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1509
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.312261079

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.167590508       0.324824129  -6.67312     1.000000
14936 LASWSI  ( -1)       0.559653344       0.061748477   9.06344    -5.317033
14934 PSWSI   (  0)      -0.132611293       0.111895983  -1.18513     1.274215

SE of equation            =     0.286024065
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.8893773       0.864552874E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.203132171
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.5794516    
R squared                 =   0.34195
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19502
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1969.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.1!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.2!            *      +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2*               +                      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1973.3!     +   *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!   *     +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3! *     +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!    *    +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!         *  +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.2!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!           +                          *!           .  .  .           0
 1980.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                    +         *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!                      +         *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!           *         +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!            +               *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1981.4!                     +         *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!          *            +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                 +             *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1982.4!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                 +       *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                 +                *   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1987.2!              *          +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!       *  +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!        *  +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!       *      +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!    *     +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!  *     +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!        +           *                 !!           .  .  .   0       !


     24.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRSI=GRPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRSI=LOG(AAGRSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRSI=LOG(AGRSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRSI=EXP(LAAGRSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2755 LAAGRSI C LAGRSI(-1) PGRSI;                                         
EQUATION 1510  LAAGRSI  
   RHS     C  LAGRSI(-1)  PGRSI  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1510 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1510
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRSI 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.182020480

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.617831318       0.633607841  -4.13163     1.000000
14939 LAGRSI  ( -1)       0.671663217       0.062305250  10.78020    -8.203915
14937 PGRSI   (  0)      -0.047044420       0.333328402  -0.14114     1.146181

SE of equation            =     0.725034725
Sum of squared residuals  =  76.2229260      -0.166924252E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.530503786
Sum of ABS residuals      =  78.5145603    
R squared                 =   0.44523
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.56018
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!  *          +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!         *     +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.1!      *            +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.2!         +           *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!   *             +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.2!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1*                +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.1!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!       *      +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!       *         +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!            +            *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.1!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!        *         +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!              +        *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!             *          +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!          *              +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2005.2!             +                      * !!          .   .   .          0
 2005.3!                   *          +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                +          *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!                *          +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                +     *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2011.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                            +         *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                           +   *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   0          !


     29.05 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRSI=IRPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRSI=LOG(AAIRSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRSI=LOG(AIRSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRSI=EXP(LAAIRSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2756 LAAIRSI C LAIRSI(-1) PIRSI;                                         
EQUATION 1511  LAAIRSI  
   RHS     C  LAIRSI(-1)  PIRSI  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST 1511 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1511
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRSI 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.372382035

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.259251032       0.159144199  -1.62903     1.000000
14942 LAIRSI  ( -1)       0.908210910       0.036587183  24.82320    -6.382039
14940 PIRSI   (  0)      -0.242471999       0.162646691  -1.49079     1.306927

SE of equation            =     0.272049109
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5835326       0.335731443E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.200826116
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.3206129    
R squared                 =   0.91626
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46814
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!      *+                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!   *      +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1978.1!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!   +    *                             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!*       +                             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1979.1! +      *                             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.3!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!     *    +                           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.4!         *    +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1*          +                           !0          .   .   .          !
 1981.2! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!        *  +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!        *        +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!            +*                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!               *    +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 2004.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                +     *!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.4!                              *      +!!     0    .   .   .          !
 2006.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !


     23.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOSI=POPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOSI=LOG(AAPOSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOSI=LOG(APOSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOSI=EXP(LAAPOSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2757 LAAPOSI C LAPOSI(-1) PPOSI;                                         
EQUATION 1512  LAAPOSI  
   RHS     C  LAPOSI(-1)  PPOSI  
 SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   110 to   244
 OLS;EST 1512 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1512
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOSI 

 1979.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  135 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.572399782

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.239003753       0.329267038  -0.72587     1.000000
14945 LAPOSI  ( -1)       0.894950762       0.038274593  23.38237    -7.571676
14943 PPOSI   (  0)      -0.433929478       0.282087732  -1.53828     1.283892

SE of equation            =     0.389655856
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.0417826       0.644995168E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.278177003
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.5538954    
R squared                 =   0.85781
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30563
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.2   2012.4    135

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2+   *                                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!      +         *                     !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1984.2!     *         +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.3!      +       *                       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.4!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.1!    *    +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!    +  *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1! *    +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.2!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!   *     +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!      *   +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!     *     +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!      +   *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!       +                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!         +        *                   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.2!          *       +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!             +        *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1996.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!    *        +                        !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1999.2!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2003.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               +      *!           .  .  .   0       !
 2006.4!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                        *         +   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2009.2!       *               +              !0           .  .  .           !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!    *     +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPSI=SPPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPSI=LOG(AASPSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPSI=LOG(ASPSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPSI=EXP(LAASPSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2758 LAASPSI C LASPSI(-1) PSPSI;                                         
EQUATION 1513  LAASPSI  
   RHS     C  LASPSI(-1)  PSPSI  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1513 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1513
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPSI 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.115609419

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.203455785       0.307454345  -7.16677     1.000000
14948 LASPSI  ( -1)       0.320019372       0.077413187   4.13391    -6.126457
14946 PSPSI   (  0)      -1.559075291       0.232962399  -6.69239     1.251748

SE of equation            =     0.363415362
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.6030332      -0.127950983E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.257754173
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.9829136    
R squared                 =   0.63424
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23189
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!  *  +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.1! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.2*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!     +        *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!             +                *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1981.1!       *             +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1981.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!           *        +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!            *            +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.2!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                        +   *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 2009.3!               *         +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                   +               *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2010.2!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                     +       *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !


     21.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.77 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2759 LAANZSI C LANZSI(-1) PNZSI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2759 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2760 LAASASI C LASASI(-1) PSASI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2760 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2761 LAAVESI C LAVESI(-1) PVESI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2761 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOSI=COPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOSI=LOG(AACOSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOSI=LOG(ACOSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOSI=EXP(LAACOSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2762 LAACOSI C LACOSI(-1) PCOSI;                                         
EQUATION 1514  LAACOSI  
   RHS     C  LACOSI(-1)  PCOSI  
 SMPL 1983.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   125 to   244
 OLS;EST 1514 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1514
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOSI 

 1983.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  120 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.434661660

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.177043955       0.604262960  -3.60281     1.000000
14951 LACOSI  ( -1)       0.721109156       0.066411946  10.85812    -9.474544
14949 PCOSI   (  0)      -0.310450925       0.238076163  -1.30400     1.370384

SE of equation            =     0.889816745
Sum of squared residuals  =  92.6375392      -0.265298894E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.579177607
Sum of ABS residuals      =  69.5013129    
R squared                 =   0.55788
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57181
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.1   2012.4    120

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!*   +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!*  +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!*  +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1*   +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!* +                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!       +     *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.2!   *         +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!   *   +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!*       +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!   +    *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!     *        +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!        +   *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!   *      +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!      +   *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!      *     +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!               +         *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.1!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!           *         +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!     *     +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!            +      *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!                  +           *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2007.3!                 *        +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                +                    *!!           .  .  .        0  !
 2008.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                        +             *!           .  .  .    0      !
 2009.1!                     *         +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                    +         *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.1!                         +         *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                         +           *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 2010.4!              *                +      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2011.1!              +                *      !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2011.2!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!        *                +            !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2012.3!         +                          * !!           .  .  .           0
 2012.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !


     22.50 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOSI=JOPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOSI=LOG(AAJOSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOSI=LOG(AJOSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOSI=EXP(LAAJOSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2763 LAAJOSI C LAJOSI(-1) PJOSI;                                         
EQUATION 1515  LAAJOSI  
   RHS     C  LAJOSI(-1)  PJOSI  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1515 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1515
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOSI 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable      -10.645558024

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -4.803615561       0.902067774  -5.32512     1.000000
14954 LAJOSI  ( -1)       0.522498240       0.087938974   5.94160   -10.615534
14952 PJOSI   (  0)      -0.229518451       0.196888970  -1.16573     1.286802

SE of equation            =     0.594448642
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.7431194      -0.386890520E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.443759860
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9383874    
R squared                 =   0.33293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33457
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!                       +             *!!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                        +            *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.3!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                    +                 *!         .    .    .     0   !
 1992.1!     *                   +            !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1992.2!        +              *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1992.3!                 +         *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!             +      *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!           *    +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!           +       *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!               +   *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!    *       +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4! *    +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!*     +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2*     +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.2!   *    +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!       +   *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!  *        +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!      +   *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!     *  +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!         +         *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!         *    +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!   *           +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.1!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!     *   +                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!*        +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!*    +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.3!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!*             +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.1!     +     *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!    *      +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!       +        *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4*             +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.1! *  +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!   *  +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!     +       *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!  *         +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!*      +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!   +    *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4*     +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!   +     *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!        +                       *     !!         .    .    .         0
 2009.4*                    +                 !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2010.1!*  +                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2*    +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!   +             *                    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.4!       *    +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2011.2!        *     +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!    * +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2! *   +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!*     +                               !!         .0   .    .         !


     26.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2764 LAASYSI C LASYSI(-1) PSYSI;SMPL 2005.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2764 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDSI=IDPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDSI=LOG(AAIDSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDSI=LOG(AIDSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDSI=EXP(LAAIDSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2765 LAAIDSI C LAIDSI(-1) PIDSI;                                         
EQUATION 1516  LAAIDSI  
   RHS     C  LAIDSI(-1)  PIDSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1516 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1516
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.683358733

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.178573117       0.132295873  -1.34980     1.000000
14957 LAIDSI  ( -1)       0.953809418       0.024223999  39.37456    -4.692067
14955 PIDSI   (  0)      -0.021600841       0.061369692  -0.35198     1.363266

SE of equation            =     0.221796517
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.95325248       0.793232147E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.164539751
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4398539    
R squared                 =   0.89705
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.41007
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.2!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!      *  +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.2!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!   +        *                         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1973.4!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!        *       +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!    *   +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.1!     + *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.3!        +*                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.1!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.1!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!    *      +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1979.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.2!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!   *     +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1980.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!    *    +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!* +                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2! +    *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.2!    *         +                       !0         .    .    .         !
 1983.3!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.2!    *     +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!    +     *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!   *      +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4*+                                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!+     *                               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!  *       +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1987.2!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.3!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.1!      *   +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!       +                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!       +*                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!      *+                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!         *+                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!           *  +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!            *+                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.1!       *+                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!          + *                         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!        *   +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2006.4!                          *      +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2007.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                            *    +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!                              *    +  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.3!                             +        *!         .    .    .       0 !
 2012.4!                                *    +!!      0  .    .    .         !


     25.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMASI=MAPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMASI=LOG(AAMASI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMASI=LOG(AMASI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMASI=EXP(LAAMASI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2766 LAAMASI C LAMASI(-1) PMASI;                                         
EQUATION 1517  LAAMASI  
   RHS     C  LAMASI(-1)  PMASI  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1517 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1517
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMASI 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.121611788

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.245059410       0.052962986  -4.62699     1.000000
14960 LAMASI  ( -1)       0.811228243       0.035404395  22.91321    -2.118539
14958 PMASI   (  0)      -0.114364678       0.024243363  -4.71736     1.380966

SE of equation            =     0.085645067
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.31297887       0.335886874E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.066312894
Sum of ABS residuals      =  12.0689468    
R squared                 =   0.91533
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21502
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1969.1!                              +       *!          .   .   .          0
 1969.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.3!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!                      *  +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                      * +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!             +*                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!        *    +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.3!       *+                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!  *  +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.2!   +*                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!     +    *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!         * +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!    *+                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3*   +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.4!+  *                                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2! *   +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!   + *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!    +    *                            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!     *   +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!      +  *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.3!      +*                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!         *  +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!         + *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!         + *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!           +*                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!             *     +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                   *+                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     *  +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.3!                     *   +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      +*              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                       +*             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                 * +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                   * +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                  * +                 !!         0.   .   .          !


     31.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2767 LAAPASI C LAPASI(-1) PPASI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2767 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2768 LAAPHSI C LAPHSI(-1) PPHSI;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2768 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHSI=THPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHSI=LOG(AATHSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHSI=LOG(ATHSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHSI=EXP(LAATHSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2769 LAATHSI C LATHSI(-1) PTHSI;                                         
EQUATION 1518  LAATHSI  
   RHS     C  LATHSI(-1)  PTHSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1518 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1518
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.383973001

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.246415392       0.093843582  -2.62581     1.000000
14963 LATHSI  ( -1)       0.878254104       0.034105513  25.75109    -3.382139
14961 PTHSI   (  0)      -0.125540483       0.053444099  -2.34901     1.331682

SE of equation            =     0.138648682
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.49866919       0.405142586E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.103887920
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.2192652    
R squared                 =   0.86155
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45312
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.1!           *    +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1973.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.3!*       +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.4! +    *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1974.2!  *         +                         !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.3!  +        *                          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.4*           +                          !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.1!+                                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2! +   *                                !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!      +     *                         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!     *          +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     +*                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1! +    *                               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!    *      +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1980.3!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!       +   *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!       *   +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!  *     +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!           *   +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                +    *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                         +   *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.4!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.4!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!                      *    +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2008.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                 *    +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.4!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                *    +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !


     27.03 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.86 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2770 LAACHSI C LACHSI(-1) PCHSI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2770 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2771 LAAARSI C LAARSI(-1) PARSI;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2771 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2772 LAABRSI C LABRSI(-1) PBRSI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2772 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2773 LAACESI C LACESI(-1) PCESI;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2773 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMESI=MEPX$Q/SIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMESI=LOG(AAMESI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMESI=LOG(AMESI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMESI=EXP(LAAMESI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2774 LAAMESI C LAMESI(-1) PMESI;                                         
EQUATION 1519  LAAMESI  
   RHS     C  LAMESI(-1)  PMESI  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1519 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1519
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMESI 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.216266137

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.193616991       0.429556200   0.45074     1.000000
14966 LAMESI  ( -1)       0.860836790       0.048255573  17.83912    -7.237986
14964 PMESI   (  0)      -0.919515288       0.489806598  -1.87730     1.282370

SE of equation            =     0.507446030
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.7326930      -0.188826732E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.365293784
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.9493670    
R squared                 =   0.87116
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58886
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!            * +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.4!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.2!*         +                           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1980.3!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.1!     *      +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!        +    *                        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.4!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1*          +                           !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.2!+  *                                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.4!+          *                          !!         .    .    .         0
 1983.1!   *       +                          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.2!    +    *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.3!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!       *   +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.2!        +          *                  !!         .    .    .        0!
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!       *        +                     !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!         * +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!       *     +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.2!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.3!           *     +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                +      *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                  *      +            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!           *       +                  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.2!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.4!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.4!                             *    +   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                     *          +     !!0        .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.2!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                                 +*   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                                    + *!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                              *    +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                             *+       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                              *   +   !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !


     23.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2775 LAAPESI C LAPESI(-1) PPESI;SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2775 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2776 LAATUSI C LATUSI(-1) PTUSI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2776 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2777 LAAPDSI C LAPDSI(-1) PPDSI;SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2777 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2778 LAARUSI C LARUSI(-1) PRUSI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2778 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2779 LAAUESI C LAUESI(-1) PUESI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2779 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2780 LAAEGSI C LAEGSI(-1) PEGSI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2780 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PISSI=ISPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAISSI=LOG(AAISSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAISSI=LOG(AISSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAISSI=EXP(LAAISSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2781 LAAISSI C LAISSI(-1) PISSI;                                         
EQUATION 1520  LAAISSI  
   RHS     C  LAISSI(-1)  PISSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1520 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1520
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAISSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.006581798

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.805617593       0.243798192  -3.30444     1.000000
14969 LAISSI  ( -1)       0.831852678       0.039682156  20.96289    -6.001828
14967 PISSI   (  0)      -0.178960789       0.125165323  -1.42980     1.164096

SE of equation            =     0.243319052
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.7751573       0.228457253E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.180700355
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4295657    
R squared                 =   0.73083
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64580
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!                          +        *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1967.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                    *     +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!              +                    *  !!           .  .  .           0
 1971.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.3!                             +       *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1973.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.1!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.2!                         +         *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1976.3!                         *      +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!     *       +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.4!      +        *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.1!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!           +         *                !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                   +     *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!         +           *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1983.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!               +       *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!     *        +                       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.4*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.1!  +         *                         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1988.2!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.3!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!     +    *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!    *      +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.4!      +           *                   !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1990.1!         *       +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!     +                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!     *       +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!   *         +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.2!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!     *      +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !


     25.41 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.41 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2782 LAAKESI C LAKESI(-1) PKESI;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2782 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2783 LAABASI C LABASI(-1) PBASI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2783 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKSI=HKPX$/SIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKSI=LOG(AAHKSI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKSI=LOG(AHKSI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKSI=EXP(LAAHKSI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2784 LAAHKSI C LAHKSI(-1) PHKSI;                                         
EQUATION 1521  LAAHKSI  
   RHS     C  LAHKSI(-1)  PHKSI  
 SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    60 to   244
 OLS;EST 1521 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1521
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKSI 

 1966.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  185 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.489572614

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.640729495       0.139669352  -4.58747     1.000000
14972 LAHKSI  ( -1)       0.792984939       0.044017324  18.01529    -3.487466
14970 PHKSI   (  0)      -0.048370253       0.014400992  -3.35881     1.722851

SE of equation            =     0.086829675
Sum of squared residuals  =  1.37216943      -0.692912394E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.062456183
Sum of ABS residuals      =  11.5543939    
R squared                 =   0.78528
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01788
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.4   2012.4    185

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                +             *       !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1969.2!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1970.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.3!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2! *        +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.3!  +      *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!    +                   *             !!           .  .  .           0
 1975.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!                    *     +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                             *    +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.3!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.4!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !


     23.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.24 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2785 LAAVISI C LAVISI(-1) PVISI;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2785 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2786 LAANISI C LANISI(-1) PNISI;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2786 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2787 LAAALSI C LAALSI(-1) PALSI;SMPL 2010.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2787 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2788 LAAIASI C LAIASI(-1) PIASI;SMPL 1966.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2788 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2789 LAAINSI C LAINSI(-1) PINSI;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2789 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2790 LAAIQSI C LAIQSI(-1) PIQSI;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2790 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2791 LAAKUSI C LAKUSI(-1) PKUSI;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2791 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2792 LAALISI C LALISI(-1) PLISI;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2792 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2793 LAAUASI C LAUASI(-1) PUASI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2793 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2794 LAAUSVI C LAUSVI(-1) PUSVI;SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2794 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2795 LAACAVI C LACAVI(-1) PCAVI;SMPL 1987.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2795 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2796 LAAJAVI C LAJAVI(-1) PJAVI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2796 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUVI=AUPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUVI=LOG(AAAUVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUVI=LOG(AAUVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUVI=EXP(LAAAUVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2797 LAAAUVI C LAAUVI(-1) PAUVI;                                         
EQUATION 1522  LAAAUVI  
   RHS     C  LAAUVI(-1)  PAUVI  
 SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   152 to   244
 OLS;EST 1522 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1522
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUVI 

 1989.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   93 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.077026078

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.014276200       0.672503227  -2.99519     1.000000
14975 LAAUVI  ( -1)       0.459319040       0.090486713   5.07609    -6.082115
14973 PAUVI   (  0)      -1.294183536       0.591852020  -2.18667     0.980633

SE of equation            =     0.503204355
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.7893160      -0.199804617E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.368483730
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.2689869    
R squared                 =   0.31178
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.82284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.4   2012.4     93

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.4!      +                    *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!              +                       *!          .   .   .          0
 1991.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.4!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!*         +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!*     +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!              +         *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!            +                  *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2000.1!           *           +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2000.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!     +         *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.1!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3! *      +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!        +      *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!    +  *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!    +     *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!    *   +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!     +         *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.4!   *      +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!   *     +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4*      +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !


     23.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2798 LAAFRVI C LAFRVI(-1) PFRVI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2798 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEVI=GEPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEVI=LOG(AAGEVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEVI=LOG(AGEVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEVI=EXP(LAAGEVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2799 LAAGEVI C LAGEVI(-1) PGEVI;                                         
EQUATION 1523  LAAGEVI  
   RHS     C  LAGEVI(-1)  PGEVI  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1523 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1523
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEVI 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.468007964

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.582948261       0.354092521  -4.47044     1.000000
14978 LAGEVI  ( -1)       0.538555266       0.070092473   7.68350    -3.460968
14976 PGEVI   (  0)      -0.023082721       0.278236498  -0.08296     0.915723

SE of equation            =     0.439146290
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.8060755      -0.475752771E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.306062174
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.4608287    
R squared                 =   0.29812
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02960
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.4!          *          +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.4!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!       *         +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.4!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1*             +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1983.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.2!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!   *       +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!               +                 *    !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.4!                        +             *!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !


     24.65 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.34 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITVI=ITPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITVI=LOG(AAITVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITVI=LOG(AITVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITVI=EXP(LAAITVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2800 LAAITVI C LAITVI(-1) PITVI;                                         
EQUATION 1524  LAAITVI  
   RHS     C  LAITVI(-1)  PITVI  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1524 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1524
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITVI 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.962984400

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.137321260       0.302619416  -3.75826     1.000000
14981 LAITVI  ( -1)       0.354497165       0.077540074   4.57179    -3.947998
14979 PITVI   (  0)      -1.724061958       0.362560348  -4.75524     0.827180

SE of equation            =     0.715531376
Sum of squared residuals  =  71.1659358      -0.169908532E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.497644365
Sum of ABS residuals      =  70.6654998    
R squared                 =   0.39523
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21346
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.3!                        +             *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.4!                           +          *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                        +           * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!       *              +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                +                  *  !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1983.1!                 *        +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                *         +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!     *                 +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1984.4!        *        +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!                  +         *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!         *            +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!*                +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.2!             +           *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.3*                      +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.4!             +             *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!      *              +                !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.3!        *       +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!             +           *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!   *              +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!        +   *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!        +*                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !


     21.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2801 LAANEVI C LANEVI(-1) PNEVI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2801 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTVI=STPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTVI=LOG(AASTVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTVI=LOG(ASTVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTVI=EXP(LAASTVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2802 LAASTVI C LASTVI(-1) PSTVI;                                         
EQUATION 1525  LAASTVI  
   RHS     C  LASTVI(-1)  PSTVI  
 SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   149 to   244
 OLS;EST 1525 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1525
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTVI 

 1989.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   96 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.438489432

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.613869207       0.475980317  -5.49155     1.000000
14984 LASTVI  ( -1)       0.380954763       0.098659715   3.86130    -5.429893
14982 PSTVI   (  0)      -0.770287917       0.285501004  -2.69802     0.981550

SE of equation            =     0.384984939
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.7838465       0.230220287E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.275574026
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.4551065    
R squared                 =   0.30542
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.89243
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.1   2012.4     96

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.1!                +                     *!          .   .   .          0
 1989.2!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!    *             +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!             +          *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.2!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!            +        *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!              *  +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!               +          *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                +            *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.2!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!     *    +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!        +                *            !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2009.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2010.1!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!  *    +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2! *   +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1*       +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!     +    *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !


     28.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.21 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2803 LAAUKVI C LAUKVI(-1) PUKVI;SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2803 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIVI=FIPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIVI=LOG(AAFIVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIVI=LOG(AFIVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIVI=EXP(LAAFIVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2804 LAAFIVI C LAFIVI(-1) PFIVI;                                         
EQUATION 1526  LAAFIVI  
   RHS     C  LAFIVI(-1)  PFIVI  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1526 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1526
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIVI 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.878102394

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.199403200       0.704953378  -3.11993     1.000000
14987 LAFIVI  ( -1)       0.603642916       0.068068912   8.86811    -5.865950
14985 PFIVI   (  0)      -0.158875925       0.673385575  -0.23594     0.867091

SE of equation            =     0.831087736
Sum of squared residuals  =  96.0082487      -0.105666587E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.615389279
Sum of ABS residuals      =  87.3852776    
R squared                 =   0.36179
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.38501
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!     *                +               !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.4!           +            *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!     *              +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1978.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.4*                   +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.1!       +                  *           !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!                 +        *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!               *        +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.2!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                        +            *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.4!                       *      +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!            *         +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!               +    *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                    +                *!!         .    .    .       0 !
 1986.2!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.3!                        +           * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.4!                             +       *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                              +       *!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                          *  +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                      *  +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                +          *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!          *              +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.4!             +       *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!                 +      *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!           *      +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.4!              +      *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.1!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!          *    +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !


     27.46 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASVI=ASPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASVI=LOG(AAASVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASVI=LOG(AASVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASVI=EXP(LAAASVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2805 LAAASVI C LAASVI(-1) PASVI;                                         
EQUATION 1527  LAAASVI  
   RHS     C  LAASVI(-1)  PASVI  
 SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   127 to   244
 OLS;EST 1527 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1527
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASVI 

 1983.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  118 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.021491117

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.236314311       0.311717813  -3.96613     1.000000
14990 LAASVI  ( -1)       0.621446342       0.071740184   8.66246    -4.022000
14988 PASVI   (  0)      -0.298914608       0.180852576  -1.65281     0.955857

SE of equation            =     0.598028210
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.1283401      -0.190825133E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.332949314
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.2880190    
R squared                 =   0.42888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06982
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.3   2012.4    118

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!    *             +                   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1984.2!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.1*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.2!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!               *      +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!                           +          *!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.4!                          *     +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !


     15.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2806 LAASOVI C LASOVI(-1) PSOVI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2806 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2807 LAAKOVI C LAKOVI(-1) PKOVI;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2807 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEVI=BEPX$Q/VIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEVI=LOG(AABEVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEVI=LOG(ABEVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEVI=EXP(LAABEVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2808 LAABEVI C LABEVI(-1) PBEVI;                                         
EQUATION 1528  LAABEVI  
   RHS     C  LABEVI(-1)  PBEVI  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST 1528 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1528
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEVI 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.233062690

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.284310696       0.416581670  -5.48346     1.000000
14993 LABEVI  ( -1)       0.356632575       0.088660689   4.02244    -5.231296
14991 PBEVI   (  0)      -1.179494252       0.305292164  -3.86349     0.918276

SE of equation            =     0.419432341
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.6478898      -0.171773706E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.289887390
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.5977255    
R squared                 =   0.35559
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22727
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!          *         +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                      +               *!           .  .  .       0   !
 1987.2!                   *       +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1988.2!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!          *          +                !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!        *           +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!            *       +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.1!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                +      *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!           *        +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1990.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.3!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !


     24.77 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.42 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2809 LAADEVI C LADEVI(-1) PDEVI;SMPL 1967.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2809 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2810 LAANOVI C LANOVI(-1) PNOVI;SMPL 1992.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2810 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWVI=SWPX$Q/VIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWVI=LOG(AASWVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWVI=LOG(ASWVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWVI=EXP(LAASWVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2811 LAASWVI C LASWVI(-1) PSWVI;                                         
EQUATION 1529  LAASWVI  
   RHS     C  LASWVI(-1)  PSWVI  
 SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    95 to   244
 OLS;EST 1529 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1529
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWVI 

 1975.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  150 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.573589587

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.251544037       0.372042739   0.67612     1.000000
14996 LASWVI  ( -1)       0.910623880       0.034043110  26.74914    -4.549200
14994 PSWVI   (  0)      -0.692467439       0.401501164  -1.72470     0.985640

SE of equation            =     0.524749547
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.4782268      -0.571542813E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.404060842
Sum of ABS residuals      =  60.6091262    
R squared                 =   0.85444
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61450
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.3   2012.4    150

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.2!                            *      +  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                            +     *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                               *   +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                           +        * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                             *    +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                           *      +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.3!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                               +      *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.2!                                *   + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                        *        +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                           *    +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                       *     +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                        *        +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1988.2!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!  *              +                    !0          .   .   .          !
 1992.2!   +   *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!       *    +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!      +   *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.4!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.1!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!   *+                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4*   +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!+    *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!*   +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !


     26.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.67 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2812 LAAGRVI C LAGRVI(-1) PGRVI;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2812 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2813 LAAIRVI C LAIRVI(-1) PIRVI;SMPL 1991.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2813 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2814 LAAPOVI C LAPOVI(-1) PPOVI;SMPL 1991.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2814 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2815 LAASPVI C LASPVI(-1) PSPVI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2815 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZVI=NZPX$Q/VIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZVI=LOG(AANZVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZVI=LOG(ANZVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZVI=EXP(LAANZVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2816 LAANZVI C LANZVI(-1) PNZVI;                                         
EQUATION 1530  LAANZVI  
   RHS     C  LANZVI(-1)  PNZVI  
 SMPL 1990.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   153 to   244
 OLS;EST 1530 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1530
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZVI 

 1990.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   92 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.660785826

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.827249309       0.670197396  -2.72643     1.000000
14999 LANZVI  ( -1)       0.635880505       0.080554804   7.89376    -5.647258
14997 PNZVI   (  0)      -0.258457683       0.515852573  -0.50103     0.938473

SE of equation            =     0.699254663
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.5171805      -0.339150930E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.416736987
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.3398028    
R squared                 =   0.41262
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.98832
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.1   2012.4     92

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.1!                          *     +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!      *                    +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1990.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.4*                +                     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1991.1!          +      *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.3!                     *        +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2002.1!                             *    +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !


     17.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2817 LAASAVI C LASAVI(-1) PSAVI;SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2817 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2818 LAAVEVI C LAVEVI(-1) PVEVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2818 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2819 LAACOVI C LACOVI(-1) PCOVI;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2819 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2820 LAAJOVI C LAJOVI(-1) PJOVI;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2820 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2821 LAASYVI C LASYVI(-1) PSYVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2821 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2822 LAAIDVI C LAIDVI(-1) PIDVI;SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2822 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2823 LAAMAVI C LAMAVI(-1) PMAVI;SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2823 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2824 LAAPAVI C LAPAVI(-1) PPAVI;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2824 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHVI=PHPX$Q/VIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHVI=LOG(AAPHVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHVI=LOG(APHVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHVI=EXP(LAAPHVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2825 LAAPHVI C LAPHVI(-1) PPHVI;                                         
EQUATION 1531  LAAPHVI  
   RHS     C  LAPHVI(-1)  PPHVI  
 SMPL 1988.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   146 to   244
 OLS;EST 1531 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1531
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHVI 

 1988.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   99 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.762864712

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.169356301       0.491507627  -4.41368     1.000000
15002 LAPHVI  ( -1)       0.129537646       0.097978983   1.32210    -4.742522
15000 PPHVI   (  0)      -1.814016729       0.414688665  -4.37441     1.091045

SE of equation            =     0.725401237
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.5158676      -0.178834725E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.478033114
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.3252783    
R squared                 =   0.25077
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06004
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.2   2012.4     99

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.2!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!              *            +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                         +          * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1*                          +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.2!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                         +        *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                    *     +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.2!               *        +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                *       +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                       +      *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!              *         +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                       +              *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1994.2!                         +            *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.3!                        +             *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1994.4!                       +            * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!              *    +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!               *     +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!               *    +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.4!                       +          *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !


     19.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2826 LAATHVI C LATHVI(-1) PTHVI;SMPL 1979.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2826 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2827 LAACHVI C LACHVI(-1) PCHVI;SMPL 1991.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2827 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2828 LAAARVI C LAARVI(-1) PARVI;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2828 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2829 LAABRVI C LABRVI(-1) PBRVI;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2829 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2830 LAACEVI C LACEVI(-1) PCEVI;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2830 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2831 LAAMEVI C LAMEVI(-1) PMEVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2831 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2832 LAAPEVI C LAPEVI(-1) PPEVI;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2832 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2833 LAATUVI C LATUVI(-1) PTUVI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2833 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2834 LAAPDVI C LAPDVI(-1) PPDVI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2834 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2835 LAARUVI C LARUVI(-1) PRUVI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2835 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2836 LAAUEVI C LAUEVI(-1) PUEVI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2836 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2837 LAAEGVI C LAEGVI(-1) PEGVI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2837 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2838 LAAISVI C LAISVI(-1) PISVI;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2838 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2839 LAAKEVI C LAKEVI(-1) PKEVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2839 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2840 LAABAVI C LABAVI(-1) PBAVI;SMPL 1994.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2840 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKVI=HKPX$/VIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKVI=LOG(AAHKVI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKVI=LOG(AHKVI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKVI=EXP(LAAHKVI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2841 LAAHKVI C LAHKVI(-1) PHKVI;                                         
EQUATION 1532  LAAHKVI  
   RHS     C  LAHKVI(-1)  PHKVI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1532 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1532
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKVI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.986583764

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.046551326       0.101942319  -0.45664     1.000000
15005 LAHKVI  ( -1)       0.861808092       0.035114545  24.54277    -2.992813
15003 PHKVI   (  0)      -0.280455162       0.101504130  -2.76299     1.286487

SE of equation            =     0.306435032
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.3719494       0.158895119E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.220640386
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.4803925    
R squared                 =   0.87105
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18714
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!             *+                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!          * +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!         + *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!  *      +                            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.3!  +     *                             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.4!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3*+                                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!+    *                                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.4!           *         +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1976.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1976.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                  *    +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!              *   +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.4!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!             *     +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.3!              +         *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.4!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.3!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.4!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                               +*     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!                           *   +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                     *  +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                      * +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                *  +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                  *  +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                  * +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2842 LAASIVI C LASIVI(-1) PSIVI;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2842 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2843 LAANIVI C LANIVI(-1) PNIVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2843 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2844 LAAALVI C LAALVI(-1) PALVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2844 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2845 LAAIAVI C LAIAVI(-1) PIAVI;SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2845 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2846 LAAINVI C LAINVI(-1) PINVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2846 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2847 LAAIQVI C LAIQVI(-1) PIQVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2847 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2848 LAAKUVI C LAKUVI(-1) PKUVI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2848 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2849 LAALIVI C LALIVI(-1) PLIVI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2849 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2850 LAAUAVI C LAUAVI(-1) PUAVI;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2850 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSNI=USPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSNI=LOG(AAUSNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSNI=LOG(AUSNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSNI=EXP(LAAUSNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2851 LAAUSNI C LAUSNI(-1) PUSNI;                                         
EQUATION 1533  LAAUSNI  
   RHS     C  LAUSNI(-1)  PUSNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1533 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1533
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.291121338

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.713517918       0.172891299  -4.12697     1.000000
15008 LAUSNI  ( -1)       0.644068046       0.056691416  11.36094    -2.291451
15006 PUSNI   (  0)      -0.089990024       0.121167983  -0.74269     1.130718

SE of equation            =     0.165246943
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.05171218      -0.233988384E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.124993299
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.4987403    
R squared                 =   0.42396
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28336
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                       +              *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1966.3!                      *        +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.4!                    +             *   !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1967.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.2!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!               +        *             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!              +            *          !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.2!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.2!      *          +                    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!               +            *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1974.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.2!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!               *  +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.3!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!              + *                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.2!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.3!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!     *      +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2*         +                            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.3!      +           *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1986.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!      *          +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.2!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.3*            +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!             +      *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.2!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.4!               *        +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!        *         +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1990.4!            +             *           !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1991.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                  *      +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.2!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                      +     *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                     *   +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                  +       *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.4!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.2!    *                +                !0         .    .    .         !
 2000.3!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.1!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1! *         +                          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.1!             *          +             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2005.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!                    *  +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2852 LAACANI C LACANI(-1) PCANI;SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2852 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2853 LAAJANI C LAJANI(-1) PJANI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2853 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUNI=AUPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUNI=LOG(AAAUNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUNI=LOG(AAUNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUNI=EXP(LAAAUNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2854 LAAAUNI C LAAUNI(-1) PAUNI;                                         
EQUATION 1534  LAAAUNI  
   RHS     C  LAAUNI(-1)  PAUNI  
 SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    70 to   244
 OLS;EST 1534 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1534
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUNI 

 1969.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  175 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.719227420

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.117862682       0.393951051  -2.83757     1.000000
15011 LAAUNI  ( -1)       0.615868060       0.060041009  10.25746    -4.715694
15009 PAUNI   (  0)      -0.711918490       0.362739811  -1.96261     0.979212

SE of equation            =     0.397121661
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.1253655      -0.350119933E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.296988634
Sum of ABS residuals      =  51.9730110    
R squared                 =   0.42677
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28514
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.2   2012.4    175

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!              +        *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.2!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1971.1!               *       +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.3!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!             *     +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!              +                 *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1972.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.1!                *   +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!         *     +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!           +                    *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1974.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.3!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!            *      +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!          *   +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!            + *                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!               *    +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.3!                *     +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!               *      +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!            *     +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!      *         +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.4!            +                *        !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.1!        *                 +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1984.2!             +        *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                *      +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                    +         *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.1!             *            +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1986.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.2!                         +         *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.1!               *     +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!                +          *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                     +                *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!        *               +             !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.3!          +            *              !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.4!                    +              *  !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1991.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.2!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                       +   *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!              *       +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.2!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.2!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!           +             *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.2!          *     +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!         * +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!           +            *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                *+                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!         *       +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!          *    +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!   *       +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.4!        +    *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!            *     +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!              +  *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!             *    +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!            +       *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!    *           +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!        *  +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!            *   +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!           +*                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1*           +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!*        +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2*      +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4! *       +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1*       +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2*     +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!  *  +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!   *     +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!   *    +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!  *      +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!         .   0.    .         !


     26.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.29 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRNI=FRPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRNI=LOG(AAFRNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRNI=LOG(AFRNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRNI=EXP(LAAFRNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2855 LAAFRNI C LAFRNI(-1) PFRNI;                                         
EQUATION 1535  LAAFRNI  
   RHS     C  LAFRNI(-1)  PFRNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1535 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1535
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.684490625

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.182900958       0.142091842  -1.28720     1.000000
15014 LAFRNI  ( -1)       0.764724540       0.046259919  16.53104    -2.687393
15012 PFRNI   (  0)      -0.386919257       0.143248587  -2.70103     1.153920

SE of equation            =     0.221011493
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.03652479       0.121360699E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.166147059
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.2356470    
R squared                 =   0.72093
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.59039
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!    *   +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2*      +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1968.3! +  *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1! *  +                                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.4! *   +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.1! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.1!                       *          +   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.2!                    *        +        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                 *       +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1988.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.4!                  *       +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1989.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                   *    +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2002.4!                     *     +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                 *     +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2004.4!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!                *     +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!             *   +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!             *        +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2009.4!       *       +                      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2010.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2010.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!         *            +               !0          .   .   .          !
 2011.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!        *        +                    !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2011.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!          *        +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGENI=GEPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGENI=LOG(AAGENI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGENI=LOG(AGENI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGENI=EXP(LAAGENI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2856 LAAGENI C LAGENI(-1) PGENI;                                         
EQUATION 1536  LAAGENI  
   RHS     C  LAGENI(-1)  PGENI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1536 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1536
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGENI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.257754741

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.039844733       0.165760160   0.24038     1.000000
15017 LAGENI  ( -1)       0.892459875       0.034368947  25.96704    -2.250708
15015 PGENI   (  0)      -0.296033589       0.183265343  -1.61533     0.976015

SE of equation            =     0.198579246
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.29523767       0.113793419E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.161739250
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.4069791    
R squared                 =   0.81852
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.79351
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.4!                                *    +!!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.1!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.4!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.4!                          *    +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1974.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.4!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                             *   +    !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.4!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.2!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                           *     +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                          *        +  !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                  *         +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                   +     *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.2!                  *       +           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1984.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                   *   +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                               *  +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.4!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.4!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                  *      +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.4!                     *      +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1997.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                      *     +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                    *     +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!             *     +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.4!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.1!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!   *      +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.1!    +           *                     !!         .    .    .         0
 2004.2!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4! *          +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 2005.1!   +      *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.2!     *     +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!      +   *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!    *       +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.1!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4*        +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2009.1! +     *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2009.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!*           +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 2010.1!  +  *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4*        +                             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2011.1!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3! +   *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!      *  +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITNI=ITPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITNI=LOG(AAITNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITNI=LOG(AITNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITNI=EXP(LAAITNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2857 LAAITNI C LAITNI(-1) PITNI;                                         
EQUATION 1537  LAAITNI  
   RHS     C  LAITNI(-1)  PITNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1537 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1537
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.791605874

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.307083417       0.100706078  -3.04930     1.000000
15020 LAITNI  ( -1)       0.641846089       0.055676159  11.52820    -2.786238
15018 PITNI   (  0)      -0.812969935       0.151553492  -5.36424     0.856350

SE of equation            =     0.180618471
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.03526094      -0.143098866E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.146556735
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.5526662    
R squared                 =   0.77210
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31817
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       *+             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1966.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1966.3!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1966.4!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.1!                   *      +           !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1967.2!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1967.3!                       *+             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.1!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.2!                        +     *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1968.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1968.4!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.1!                        *   +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1969.2!                        +  *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.3!                        *+            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1969.4!                   *    +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1970.2!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.3!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.4!                   *   +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1971.1!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1971.2!                    *   +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.3!                  *    +              !!       0.     .     .        !
 1971.4!                    *+                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.1!                       +              !!        .     .0    .        !
 1972.2!                   *     +            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1972.3!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!                  *    +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1973.1!                 *   +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1973.2!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1973.3!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.4!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1974.1!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.2!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1974.3!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1974.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1975.1!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.4!                       *    +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1976.1!                     *   +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 1976.2!                       +    *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.3!                            +*        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1976.4!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.1!                           +   *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1977.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.3!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1977.4!                             +*       !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.1!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.2!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.3!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1978.4!                              +       *!        .     .     .     0  !
 1979.1!                                  +*  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.2!                              *  +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.3!                       *      +       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1979.4!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.1!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1980.2!                        *  +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.4!                        *   +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.2!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.4!                        *    +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1982.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     0        !
 1982.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.3!                         *   +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.4!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.1!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1983.2!                           * +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.3!                           +     *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.4!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!                               +    * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.2!                           *     +    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1984.3!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.4!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.1!                             + *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.2!                    *         +       !0        .     .     .        !
 1985.3!                       +         *    !!        .     .     .        0
 1985.4!                      *        +      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                       +*             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1986.2!                         +    *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1986.3!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1986.4!                       +   *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.2!                           +   *      !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.3!                             +     *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1987.4!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.1!                             +       *!!        .     .     .    0   !
 1988.2!                                + *   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.3!                     *         +      !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1988.4!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.2!                        +       *     !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1989.3!                        *    +        !!        0     .     .        !
 1989.4!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1990.1!                  *      +            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1990.2!                  + *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1990.4!               *      +               !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                +     *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.2!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1991.3!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.1!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.3!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1992.4!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!                           +          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!                        * +           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.4!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1995.2!                     *    +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.2!               *    +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.1!                   +*                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!                     +    *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.3!                         +     *      !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.4!                       *    +         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.2!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.3!                   +    *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.4!                *     +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1999.1!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.2!                  *+                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                    +    *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.1!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2000.3!                    *      +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2000.4!                  *  +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!                   +     *            !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2001.2!                    *   +             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.3!               *    +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 2001.4!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2002.2!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.4!                +   *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.1!                  +   *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.2!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2003.3!                 +  *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.4!                 +    *               !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.1!                  +    *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.4!          *   +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.1!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.3!           * +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!            +  *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.1!              +    *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.2!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.4!             +*                       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.1!            +                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.2!          +                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.3!         +    *                       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.4!        *   +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.1!   *   +                              !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.2!  * +                                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2008.3*   +                                  !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.4!  + *                                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.1!    +    *                            !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.2!     * +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2009.3!     +  *                             !!        .     .    0.        !
 2009.4!       +      *                       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2010.1!        *  +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.2!    *   +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.4*     +                                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2011.1! * +                                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.2!     * +                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.3!  *      +                            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2011.4!      *+                              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2012.1!    *     +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.3!    *     +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.4!  *      +                            !!     0  .     .     .        !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNENI=NEPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANENI=LOG(AANENI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANENI=LOG(ANENI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANENI=EXP(LAANENI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2858 LAANENI C LANENI(-1) PNENI;                                         
EQUATION 1538  LAANENI  
   RHS     C  LANENI(-1)  PNENI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1538 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1538
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANENI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.964429971

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.348236126       0.258535805  -1.34696     1.000000
15023 LANENI  ( -1)       0.716857758       0.051831616  13.83051    -2.965695
15021 PNENI   (  0)      -0.443657776       0.250426248  -1.77161     1.104934

SE of equation            =     0.240347138
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.6868482       0.215911733E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.193775588
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.4298106    
R squared                 =   0.57811
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53155
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.2!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1966.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!            +     *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.2!           *      +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1967.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!       *       +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1968.2!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.1!                +       *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1969.2!             *        +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1969.3!              +      *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.4!            *      +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.1!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.1!         *      +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1971.4!          *      +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!            +    *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.4!              *          +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.1!               +            *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1973.2!                 *        +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!            *    +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!        *      +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.2!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1975.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!           *    +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.1!             +          *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1979.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.4!                       *   +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.1!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.2!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.1!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2!          +*                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.4*          +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.1!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.2!      *       +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                +     *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                *    +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.1!      *         +                     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1988.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!             +     *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.1!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.2!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!           *       +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!           *         +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1992.1!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.3!              +    *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                  *     +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.2!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!               *        +             !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2002.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.4!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.2!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!                           +        * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                            +       * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                              +      *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 2010.2!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.3!                            +        *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 2010.4!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.1!                *   +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!             *       +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !


     34.57 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTNI=STPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTNI=LOG(AASTNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTNI=LOG(ASTNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTNI=EXP(LAASTNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2859 LAASTNI C LASTNI(-1) PSTNI;                                         
EQUATION 1539  LAASTNI  
   RHS     C  LASTNI(-1)  PSTNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1539 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1539
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.115564209

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.288147562       0.117583165  -2.45059     1.000000
15026 LASTNI  ( -1)       0.773261994       0.044483131  17.38326    -4.108189
15024 PSTNI   (  0)      -0.740191323       0.165047080  -4.48473     0.879111

SE of equation            =     0.258652802
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.3767353       0.962163682E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.194835950
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.6291587    
R squared                 =   0.85592
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49397
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *    +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1966.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1966.4!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.1!                 *        +           !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1968.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                     +                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1969.4!                       *     +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.1!                         +            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1971.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                      *    +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                       + *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.4!                     *      +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                   *       +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!                           *    +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                         + *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                    *    +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                   +        *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1988.2!                        +             *!           .  .  .           0
 1988.3!                            *    +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.1!               +       *              !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1991.2!                *    +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 +      *             !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!            *  +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!            * +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!         *   +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.1!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!        *   +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!        *+                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!          +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!   *  +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!       *+                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.2!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3*     +                                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2008.4! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!   +                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!*  +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.3! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.1!  *  +                                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2010.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!     *+                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!  + *                                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.4!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!    +   *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.2!   *   +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!*    +                                !!         0 .  .  .           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKNI=UKPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKNI=LOG(AAUKNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKNI=LOG(AUKNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKNI=EXP(LAAUKNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2860 LAAUKNI C LAUKNI(-1) PUKNI;                                         
EQUATION 1540  LAAUKNI  
   RHS     C  LAUKNI(-1)  PUKNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1540 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1540
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.819621311

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.107958142       0.113655474   0.94987     1.000000
15029 LAUKNI  ( -1)       0.963838406       0.020265755  47.55996    -1.808709
15027 PUKNI   (  0)      -0.192085109       0.136934191  -1.40275     0.959349

SE of equation            =     0.132096597
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.22815955      -0.870103989E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.102798231
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.3260674    
R squared                 =   0.95190
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.82901
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                                  + * !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                                 *+   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!                                    + !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                                   + *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.4!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                                    *+!!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                                  * + !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                                   +* !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                         *   +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.1!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                    *   +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                     *   +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.4!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                      *  +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                 *   +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!               +*                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!              +*                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!            *  +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.3!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!          *  +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.3!         *    +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!          +                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!       * +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!       +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!       +*                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.1!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!        *    +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!      + *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2*        +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 2011.3!+    *                                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.4!  *  +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!  *   +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3!  + *                                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!  * +                                 !!          0   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2861 LAAFINI C LAFINI(-1) PFINI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2861 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASNI=ASPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASNI=LOG(AAASNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASNI=LOG(AASNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASNI=EXP(LAAASNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2862 LAAASNI C LAASNI(-1) PASNI;                                         
EQUATION 1541  LAAASNI  
   RHS     C  LAASNI(-1)  PASNI  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1541 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1541
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASNI 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.286706004

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.038864137       0.615764683  -4.93511     1.000000
15032 LAASNI  ( -1)       0.551893112       0.073157496   7.54390    -7.301160
15030 PASNI   (  0)      -0.214206438       0.344461777  -0.62186     1.019493

SE of equation            =     0.970384317
Sum of squared residuals  =  120.530653       0.160573776E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.755321142
Sum of ABS residuals      =  98.9470696    
R squared                 =   0.31468
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32204
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.1!                  *    +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!           *        +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1981.3!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3! *                  +                 !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.1!             *      +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2! *                +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1984.3!           +      *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!             *      +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.1!       *          +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.2*              +                       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.3!          +          *                !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                  *    +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.3!             *       +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +               *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1987.1!                   *         +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.2!         *           +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.3!     *         +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1987.4!             *+                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                     *    +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!           *        +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.2!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!           *              +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                    *    +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                  *   +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.3!                          *  +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!          *               +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                +              *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1994.3!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                         +            *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                       *        +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.3!                       +           *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1997.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                           +       *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.1!                            +  *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!                       *    +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2005.2!                       *     +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.4!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                  *       +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.4!                       * +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.2!                     +        *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !


     26.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.11 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2863 LAASONI C LASONI(-1) PSONI;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2863 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKONI=KOPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKONI=LOG(AAKONI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKONI=LOG(AKONI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKONI=EXP(LAAKONI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2864 LAAKONI C LAKONI(-1) PKONI;                                         
EQUATION 1542  LAAKONI  
   RHS     C  LAKONI(-1)  PKONI  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1542 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1542
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKONI 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.486392939

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.256765746       0.111061736  -2.31192     1.000000
15035 LAKONI  ( -1)       0.860081207       0.037591894  22.87943    -4.502157
15033 PKONI   (  0)      -0.233180650       0.087359287  -2.66921     1.532745

SE of equation            =     0.352187994
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.2025126      -0.377475828E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.236911690
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.1179276    
R squared                 =   0.89570
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09284
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3! +*                                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.1!   +          *                       !!          .   .   .          0
 1968.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.3!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1971.2!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!      *    +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!    *    +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1! *   +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!   +  *                               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.4!    *     +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!         +*                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!     *     +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.2!     *+                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!*     +                               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.4! *+                                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2*     +                                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!    *    +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!   *  +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!     +       *                        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1979.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!             *    +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.2!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!       *  +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!        *      +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.2!         +    *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.3!          *   +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!      *      +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.3!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!  *      +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1986.1!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1995.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                *     +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2007.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                         *    +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                           +          *!          .   .   .          0
 2011.3!                           *        + !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2011.4!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                     *     +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2012.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !


     20.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.59 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBENI=BEPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABENI=LOG(AABENI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABENI=LOG(ABENI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABENI=EXP(LAABENI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2865 LAABENI C LABENI(-1) PBENI;                                         
EQUATION 1543  LAABENI  
   RHS     C  LABENI(-1)  PBENI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1543 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1543
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABENI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.585656043

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.057383299       0.243110532  -4.34939     1.000000
15038 LABENI  ( -1)       0.657103370       0.055614194  11.81539    -3.587323
15036 PBENI   (  0)      -0.182235572       0.194786120  -0.93557     0.938516

SE of equation            =     0.241934234
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.8284521      -0.473310280E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.199670702
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.5380920    
R squared                 =   0.44900
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23736
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    *         +                       !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1966.2!    *    +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1966.3!     *   +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1966.4!     *   +                            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1967.1!   *      +                           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1967.2!      * +                             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1967.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.4!             +           *            !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1968.1!                      +               *!        .     .     .        0
 1968.2!                         *     +      !!        0     .     .        !
 1968.3!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.4!         *         +                  !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1969.1!            +*                        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.2!         *     +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1969.3!    *       +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1969.4!  *      +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.1!   *    +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.2!        + *                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1970.3!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1970.4!             +        *               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1971.1!       *             +                !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1971.2!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1971.3!       *    +                         !!        .0    .     .        !
 1971.4!           +  *                       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1972.1!           *   +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.2!         *   +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1972.3!            +      *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 1972.4!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1973.1!               *    +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1973.2!                +   *                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1973.4!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1974.1!             *       +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1974.2!               +    *                 !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.3!            *      +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1974.4!              +   *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1975.1!                  +   *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.2!                    +   *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.3!            *         +               !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1975.4!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1976.1!              +           *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1976.2!                       +    *         !!        .     .    0.        !
 1976.3!                     *   +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.4!                   +      *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.2!                 *   +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1977.3!           *     +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.4!              +        *              !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1978.1!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1978.2!                   +     *            !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.3!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.4!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1979.1!                     +    *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.2!                       +         *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1979.3!                            +    *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.4!                            +       * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.1!                              +   *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.2!                             +     *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1980.3!                             +   *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.4!                            +     *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1981.1!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.2!                     *      +         !!        0     .     .        !
 1981.3!                   * +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.4!                   +     *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.1!                 *     +              !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.2!                  +         *         !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1982.3!                   *     +            !!        0     .     .        !
 1982.4!                   +        *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1983.1!                         +      *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1983.2!                            +   *     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.3!                        *   +         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1983.4!                       +      *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.1!                           + *        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.2!                          +   *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.3!                    *      +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.1!                     +                !!        .     0     .        !
 1985.2!         *           +                !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1985.3!            +              *          !!        .     .     .       0!
 1985.4!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1986.1!                     +             *  !!        .     .     .       0!
 1986.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1986.4!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1987.1!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.2!                   *       +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.4!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.1!                 *  +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!          *       +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1988.3!             +    *                   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1988.4!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.1!              *     +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1989.2!               +          *           !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1989.4!                    *  +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.1!                   +  *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!                 *+                   !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.1!         *           +                !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1991.2!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.4!           *     +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.1!          *  +                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.2!             +  *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1992.3!             *   +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!               +            *         !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1993.1!            *           +             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1993.2!              +        *              !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1993.3!        *             +               !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1993.4!            +     *                   !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.1!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.2!              *     +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.3!           *   +                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.1!                 +     *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.3!           *       +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1995.4!             +       *                !!        .     .     .0       !
 1996.1!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.2!             *   +                    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.3!      *       +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1996.4!          +                           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.1!             +             *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1997.2!                    *   +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.4!                *   +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.1!         *       +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1998.2!            +   *                     !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.3!           *     +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1998.4!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.1!        *     +                       !!        0     .     .        !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.3!             *  +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.4!               +    *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.1!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                    +    *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2000.3!               *       +              !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.4!                +  *                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.1!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!                 *  +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2001.4!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.2!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 2002.3!          *         +                 !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2002.4!             +   *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.1!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.2!    *          +                      !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2003.3!       * +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.4!          + *                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!     *        +                       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2004.2*         +                            !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2004.3!   * +                                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.4!    *   +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!     *  +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.2!  *      +                            !!        0     .     .        !
 2005.3!   *   +                              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.4!*       +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.1!      +   *                           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2006.3!           +     *                    !!        .     .     0        !
 2006.4!                 +   *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2007.1!                   +     *            !!        .     .    0.        !
 2007.2!                  *   +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.3!                *+                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!            *   +                     !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.1!             + *                      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.2!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.3!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.4!                  + *                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.1!                 *+                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.2!                +            *        !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2009.3!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2009.4!                     +  *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.1!               *     +                !!        0     .     .        !
 2010.2!          *     +                     !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.3!    *       +                         !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.4!        +           *                 !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2011.1!                   +            *     !!        .     .     .      0 !
 2011.2!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!                     * +              !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2011.4!                   +          *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 2012.1!                   *     +            !!        0     .     .        !
 2012.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.3!            *      +                  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2012.4!             +      *                 !!        .     .     .0       !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDENI=DEPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADENI=LOG(AADENI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADENI=LOG(ADENI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADENI=EXP(LAADENI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2866 LAADENI C LADENI(-1) PDENI;                                         
EQUATION 1544  LAADENI  
   RHS     C  LADENI(-1)  PDENI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1544 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1544
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADENI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.226928116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.251514089       0.377458247  -3.31564     1.000000
15041 LADENI  ( -1)       0.713686535       0.052075053  13.70496    -5.225689
15039 PDENI   (  0)      -0.251995915       0.312272908  -0.80697     0.975851

SE of equation            =     0.290322454
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.5931185      -0.406608081E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.217540357
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.8975870    
R squared                 =   0.51471
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.39103
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.3!           *       +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1966.4!*            +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1967.1!     +                     *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1967.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.2!                           *   +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1968.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                         +            *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1970.1!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                    *         +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.4!                            +     *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                  *          +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                   *           +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!            *            +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1985.3!               +        *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!        *                  +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1986.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!            *     +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.2!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!     *              +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.1!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!        *           +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!          *         +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.1!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.1!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1*           +                          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!    +*                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!*       +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2! *        +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.4!     * +                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !


     29.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNONI=NOPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANONI=LOG(AANONI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANONI=LOG(ANONI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANONI=EXP(LAANONI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2867 LAANONI C LANONI(-1) PNONI;                                         
EQUATION 1545  LAANONI  
   RHS     C  LANONI(-1)  PNONI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1545 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1545
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANONI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.026309468

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.458227884       0.282635171  -5.15940     1.000000
15044 LANONI  ( -1)       0.672269954       0.053376944  12.59476    -5.017391
15042 PNONI   (  0)      -0.236667638       0.191176019  -1.23796     0.824111

SE of equation            =     0.567486803
Sum of squared residuals  =  59.5776352      -0.758504370E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.451989675
Sum of ABS residuals      =  84.9740590    
R squared                 =   0.48648
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31796
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                             +        *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!              *      +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!               *       +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.1!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!             +          *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.1!                   *        +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!               +       *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!              *        +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2*               +                      !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.3!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2*              +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.3!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!          +       *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!              +                *      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1986.3!    *                      +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.1!            *       +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!    *            +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.2! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.3!      +        *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                   *       +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!      *         +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.3!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!       +        *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.2!             *          +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.3!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!           +        *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.2!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!          +   *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2! *            +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.3! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2! *            +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2001.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!     *       +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!         +       *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!          *      +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!              +       *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!       *            +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2004.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!     *         +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.4!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!       *   +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!  *       +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.4!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!    *       +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!    * +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!       +*                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.2!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!        +      *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!        *        +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!          +        *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWNI=SWPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWNI=LOG(AASWNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWNI=LOG(ASWNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWNI=EXP(LAASWNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2868 LAASWNI C LASWNI(-1) PSWNI;                                         
EQUATION 1546  LAASWNI  
   RHS     C  LASWNI(-1)  PSWNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1546 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1546
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.769652494

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.518343788       0.439309567  -3.45620     1.000000
15047 LASWNI  ( -1)       0.548450822       0.060668840   9.04007    -4.768097
15045 PSWNI   (  0)      -0.582035645       0.340946114  -1.70712     1.093133

SE of equation            =     0.430179713
Sum of squared residuals  =  34.2350984       0.742073070E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.339927588
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.9063866    
R squared                 =   0.32932
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27360
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1966.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1967.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1968.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                  *    +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                +   *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!            *      +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.3!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!          *          +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.2!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!           *        +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!    *             +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.2!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1*            +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!       *      +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 +   *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!        *     +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!            +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!       *       +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!   *         +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!           +              *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1999.3!*                      +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1999.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.3!                         +            *!          .   .   .    0     !
 2011.4!                     *        +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2869 LAAGRNI C LAGRNI(-1) PGRNI;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2869 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRNI=IRPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRNI=LOG(AAIRNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRNI=LOG(AIRNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRNI=EXP(LAAIRNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2870 LAAIRNI C LAIRNI(-1) PIRNI;                                         
EQUATION 1547  LAAIRNI  
   RHS     C  LAIRNI(-1)  PIRNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1547 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1547
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.030755878

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.638655781       0.302707490  -2.10981     1.000000
15050 LAIRNI  ( -1)       0.788284299       0.041314836  19.07993    -5.043503
15048 PIRNI   (  0)      -0.370194696       0.274631965  -1.34797     1.124775

SE of equation            =     0.350886467
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.7774428       0.437569980E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.270421887
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.8393148    
R squared                 =   0.70716
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.67988
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+      *                               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.4!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.3!          *     +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.4!       *    +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1*           +                          !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1968.2!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1968.3!     *       +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1968.4!        +      *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.1!    *            +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1969.2!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!       +   *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!     *      +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.2!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1970.3!        *       +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.2!        *    +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!          +    *                      !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!          +        *                  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!            *   +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!               +       *              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.2!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                     +*               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.1!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1984.1!                  *             +     !0         .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                   +         *        !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1984.3!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.1!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                           *     +    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                          +         * !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.1!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                         *     +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1988.1!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                             + *      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                             +        *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.1!                           *      +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                          +       *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.1!                        *       +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1996.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                            + *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.4!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.1!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!                     +      *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.2!                      *     +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                      *    +          !!        0.    .    .         !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2871 LAAPONI C LAPONI(-1) PPONI;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2871 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPNI=SPPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPNI=LOG(AASPNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPNI=LOG(ASPNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPNI=EXP(LAASPNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2872 LAASPNI C LASPNI(-1) PSPNI;                                         
EQUATION 1548  LAASPNI  
   RHS     C  LASPNI(-1)  PSPNI  
 SMPL 1971.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    77 to   244
 OLS;EST 1548 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1548
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPNI 

 1971.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  168 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.223016723

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.567060024       0.260708376  -2.17507     1.000000
15053 LASPNI  ( -1)       0.517228550       0.066864139   7.73551    -4.230393
15051 PSPNI   (  0)      -1.383248659       0.321264564  -4.30564     1.061181

SE of equation            =     0.366955494
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.2182952      -0.919264664E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.269940431
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.3499924    
R squared                 =   0.57440
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.36323
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.1   2012.4    168

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.1! *    +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3*            +                         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1971.4!      +          *                    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1972.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.1!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!    *     +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.2!      * +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!               +         *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1983.3!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                    *        +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                *       +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!              *           +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                  +               *   !!          .   .   .         0!
 1988.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!        *          +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +                * !!          .   .   .          0
 1996.3!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.2!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !


     26.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.36 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2873 LAANZNI C LANZNI(-1) PNZNI;SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2873 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2874 LAASANI C LASANI(-1) PSANI;SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2874 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2875 LAAVENI C LAVENI(-1) PVENI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2875 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCONI=COPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACONI=LOG(AACONI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACONI=LOG(ACONI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACONI=EXP(LAACONI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2876 LAACONI C LACONI(-1) PCONI;                                         
EQUATION 1549  LAACONI  
   RHS     C  LACONI(-1)  PCONI  
 SMPL 1988.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   148 to   244
 OLS;EST 1549 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1549
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACONI 

 1988.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   97 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.790586803

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.389746571       0.616642023  -2.25373     1.000000
15056 LACONI  ( -1)       0.814348270       0.057944612  14.05391    -8.827372
15054 PCONI   (  0)      -0.194063077       0.408937926  -0.47455     1.093897

SE of equation            =     0.597503619
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.5589940      -0.121174182E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.329799921
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.9905924    
R squared                 =   0.68813
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.87351
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.4   2012.4     97

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.4*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!  * +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!   *  +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!              +                       *!           .  .  .           0
 1992.2!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                *                 +   !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!          +     *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!               *           +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2004.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!        *         +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2007.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!        +             *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2009.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!           *        +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!             +                  *     !!           .  .  .        0  !
 2011.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !


     13.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2877 LAAJONI C LAJONI(-1) PJONI;SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2877 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2878 LAASYNI C LASYNI(-1) PSYNI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2878 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDNI=IDPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDNI=LOG(AAIDNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDNI=LOG(AIDNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDNI=EXP(LAAIDNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2879 LAAIDNI C LAIDNI(-1) PIDNI;                                         
EQUATION 1550  LAAIDNI  
   RHS     C  LAIDNI(-1)  PIDNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1550 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1550
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.321871720

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.096060502       0.116695594   0.82317     1.000000
15059 LAIDNI  ( -1)       0.952992504       0.019716727  48.33422    -4.331144
15057 PIDNI   (  0)      -0.246781598       0.103774641  -2.37805     1.176685

SE of equation            =     0.253176158
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8581609      -0.315525384E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.183021539
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4080493    
R squared                 =   0.94169
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35096
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.4!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.3!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                 + *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.1!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.1!      *   +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!     +   *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!            *   +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1973.4!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.2!             *    +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!           * +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1975.1!               *    +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!            *    +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.2!       *    +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.3!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!      * +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.4*   +                                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!+      *                              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.2!        + *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!         *+                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!         +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!   *      +                           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.2!    +   *                             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.1!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.1!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!          *+                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!*         +                           !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.2! +                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!*+                                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!*+                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1! +          *                         !!          .   .   .          0
 1986.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!               *  +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                             * +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                               *  +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                            *   +     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.2!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.3!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                               +     *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1!                                   *+ !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                              *   +   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMANI=MAPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMANI=LOG(AAMANI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMANI=LOG(AMANI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMANI=EXP(LAAMANI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2880 LAAMANI C LAMANI(-1) PMANI;                                         
EQUATION 1551  LAAMANI  
   RHS     C  LAMANI(-1)  PMANI  
 SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1980.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   114 to   244
 OLS;EST 1551 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1551
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMANI 

 1980.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  131 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.615080168

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.901186830       0.397164889  -4.78690     1.000000
15062 LAMANI  ( -1)       0.445157079       0.077578547   5.73815    -5.632105
15060 PMANI   (  0)      -1.118755868       0.294141925  -3.80346     1.078628

SE of equation            =     0.710224076
Sum of squared residuals  =  64.5655345      -0.330402372E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.501754165
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.7297956    
R squared                 =   0.41732
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22408
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1980.2   2012.4    131

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1980.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                 *+                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.2!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!                 +    *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!    *            +                    !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1984.2!       +     *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!   *           +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1985.1!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.2*            +                         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.3!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1985.4!     *             +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1986.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1986.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.3!               *            +         !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1986.4!          *          +                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.2!       *             +                !!0        .    .    .         !
 1987.3!       *        +                     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1987.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.1!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.2!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                      *    +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.3!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.4!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!                       +              *!         .    .    .         0
 2005.4!                   *          +       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.4!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.2!                       *   +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.4!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2011.2!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !


     22.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPANI=PAPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPANI=LOG(AAPANI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPANI=LOG(APANI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPANI=EXP(LAAPANI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2881 LAAPANI C LAPANI(-1) PPANI;                                         
EQUATION 1552  LAAPANI  
   RHS     C  LAPANI(-1)  PPANI  
 SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   137 to   244
 OLS;EST 1552 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1552
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPANI 

 1986.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  108 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.530200923

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.275324307       0.605793490  -2.10521     1.000000
15065 LAPANI  ( -1)       0.782120782       0.054080927  14.46204    -6.569954
15063 PPANI   (  0)      -0.099536749       0.519480349  -0.19161     1.169203

SE of equation            =     0.637966663
Sum of squared residuals  =  42.7351536       0.416422452E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.430465565
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.4902810    
R squared                 =   0.68900
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26589
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.1   2012.4    108

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.1!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2*    +                                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!   +       *                          !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!             *    +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!    *          +                      !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1988.2!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!           *  +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                       +              *!           .  .  .           0
 2004.3!                       *          +   !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2004.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2007.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!            *      +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2010.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!            *      +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!             *     +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.2!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !


     21.30 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.63 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2882 LAAPHNI C LAPHNI(-1) PPHNI;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2882 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2883 LAATHNI C LATHNI(-1) PTHNI;SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2883 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHNI=CHPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHNI=LOG(AACHNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHNI=LOG(ACHNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHNI=EXP(LAACHNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2884 LAACHNI C LACHNI(-1) PCHNI;                                         
EQUATION 1553  LAACHNI  
   RHS     C  LACHNI(-1)  PCHNI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1553 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1553
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHNI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.698095167

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.898102128       0.473291828   1.89757     1.000000
15068 LACHNI  ( -1)       0.950247455       0.023922867  39.72130    -3.731254
15066 PCHNI   (  0)      -0.944992359       0.468260226  -2.01809     1.111736

SE of equation            =     0.380806251
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.8366483       0.294653191E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.271484243
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.2070146    
R squared                 =   0.95552
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.80350
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.1!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         *  +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!         +*                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!       + *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!      *  +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!   *      +                           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1985.1*   +                                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2+*                                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!   +                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1! * +                                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.2!  +  *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.3!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!         +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.3!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!            *       +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1989.2!            + *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!            *    +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!            +   *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.3!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                + *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!             *     +                  !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.2!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!             *    +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.3!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                   * +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                    *   +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.3!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                      *   +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1998.1!                           *  +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.4!                             +*       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                               * +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                   +  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                                   +* !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                                     *+!          .  0.   .          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2885 LAAARNI C LAARNI(-1) PARNI;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2885 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRNI=BRPX$Q/NIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRNI=LOG(AABRNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRNI=LOG(ABRNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRNI=EXP(LAABRNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2886 LAABRNI C LABRNI(-1) PBRNI;                                         
EQUATION 1554  LAABRNI  
   RHS     C  LABRNI(-1)  PBRNI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1554 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1554
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRNI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.129205354

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.641896882       0.240659102  -2.66725     1.000000
15071 LABRNI  ( -1)       0.696532883       0.064021918  10.87960    -3.125378
15069 PBRNI   (  0)      -0.323351441       0.197453902  -1.63760     0.959885

SE of equation            =     0.310734015
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8763423      -0.756728014E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.235731023
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.7021089    
R squared                 =   0.52945
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10313
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!  *                 +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!            +              *          !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1984.2!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1984.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!            *          +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1997.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1*               +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2000.2!    +      *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!        *        +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2005.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2006.4!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!*           +                         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2009.1!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!    +  *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.4!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.3!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3*       +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2012.4!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !


     24.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2887 LAACENI C LACENI(-1) PCENI;SMPL 1999.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2887 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2888 LAAMENI C LAMENI(-1) PMENI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2888 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2889 LAAPENI C LAPENI(-1) PPENI;SMPL 1995.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2889 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2890 LAATUNI C LATUNI(-1) PTUNI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2890 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2891 LAAPDNI C LAPDNI(-1) PPDNI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2891 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2892 LAARUNI C LARUNI(-1) PRUNI;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2892 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2893 LAAUENI C LAUENI(-1) PUENI;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2893 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGNI=EGPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGNI=LOG(AAEGNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGNI=LOG(AEGNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGNI=EXP(LAAEGNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2894 LAAEGNI C LAEGNI(-1) PEGNI;                                         
EQUATION 1555  LAAEGNI  
   RHS     C  LAEGNI(-1)  PEGNI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1555 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1555
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGNI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.788547906

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.891968668       0.543137237   1.64225     1.000000
15074 LAEGNI  ( -1)       0.886497296       0.036207115  24.48406    -7.815467
15072 PEGNI   (  0)      -1.576026989       0.595228684  -2.64777     1.111736

SE of equation            =     0.485651199
Sum of squared residuals  =  29.0104217      -0.861533067E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.313833017
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.5429601    
R squared                 =   0.89690
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.04105
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!        +                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.1!        *        +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!          +                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!  *       +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.2!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4+    *                                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!   + *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!  *  +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.4!+  *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!              *     +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!               *   +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                    +                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                 *      +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2007.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                       +             *!!           .  .  .           0
 2008.2!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                            *    +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2895 LAAISNI C LAISNI(-1) PISNI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2895 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2896 LAAKENI C LAKENI(-1) PKENI;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2896 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2897 LAABANI C LABANI(-1) PBANI;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2897 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKNI=HKPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKNI=LOG(AAHKNI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKNI=LOG(AHKNI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKNI=EXP(LAAHKNI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2898 LAAHKNI C LAHKNI(-1) PHKNI;                                         
EQUATION 1556  LAAHKNI  
   RHS     C  LAHKNI(-1)  PHKNI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1556 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1556
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKNI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.306873023

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.305468277       0.123992493  -2.46360     1.000000
15077 LAHKNI  ( -1)       0.919163931       0.028252787  32.53357    -4.310556
15075 PHKNI   (  0)      -0.026207762       0.036587584  -0.71630     1.499449

SE of equation            =     0.246944810
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.2816217       0.245581333E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.178152967
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.4927579    
R squared                 =   0.85796
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.40444
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.4!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1967.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.1!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.2!    *      +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!       +   *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.3!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                    *     +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                 *          +         !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1983.3!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!          *     +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!    *      +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!   *   +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1987.3!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                             *+       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                         *      +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                                   +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.3!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.1!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.4!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!            *   +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.3!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.1!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!      *+                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3! *     +                              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.4! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!      +     *                         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.4!       *     +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.1!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!     +             *                  !!           .  .  .        0  !
 2008.1!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3*                 +                    !0           .  .  .           !
 2009.4! +        *                           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2010.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!       +   *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!  *          +                        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2012.1!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.2!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSINI=SIPX$/NIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASINI=LOG(AASINI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASINI=LOG(ASINI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASINI=EXP(LAASINI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2899 LAASINI C LASINI(-1) PSINI;                                         
EQUATION 1557  LAASINI  
   RHS     C  LASINI(-1)  PSINI  
 SMPL 1968.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    67 to   244
 OLS;EST 1557 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1557
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASINI 

 1968.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  178 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.965472005

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.235642187       0.131816660  -1.78765     1.000000
15080 LASINI  ( -1)       0.912930334       0.031155421  29.30246    -4.976268
15078 PSINI   (  0)      -0.126802748       0.097911491  -1.29508     1.473501

SE of equation            =     0.339787309
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.2046976       0.873701111E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.255652883
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.5062132    
R squared                 =   0.89561
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27121
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.3   2012.4    178

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.3!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.4!       *   +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1970.1*        +                             !0         .    .    .         !
 1970.2! +                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!   +   *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1970.4!         +  *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!             *   +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.2!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!               *+                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.4!           *     +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1976.1!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.2!            *  +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.3!          *  +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.1!              +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!           *       +                  !!0        .    .    .         !
 1979.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                             *   +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1981.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.2!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                   *      +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                      *    +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.4!                         +*           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                    *        +        !!0        .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                    * +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.3!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .        0!
 1985.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!                               *    + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                         *     +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1987.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.4!                              +     * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.1!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.4!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1992.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.3!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!                                  +   *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.2!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                                   + *!!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.1!                                    + *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.3!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.2!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                                   + *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!                                *  +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.1!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                               +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                             *+       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.3!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.3!                         *      +     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                           *   +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                         *      +     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2009.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.4!                           *   +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.1!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2!                          *   +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.4!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !


     25.84 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2900 LAAVINI C LAVINI(-1) PVINI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2900 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2901 LAAALNI C LAALNI(-1) PALNI;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2901 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2902 LAAIANI C LAIANI(-1) PIANI;SMPL 1988.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2902 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2903 LAAINNI C LAINNI(-1) PINNI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2903 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2904 LAAIQNI C LAIQNI(-1) PIQNI;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2904 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2905 LAAKUNI C LAKUNI(-1) PKUNI;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2905 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2906 LAALINI C LALINI(-1) PLINI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2906 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2907 LAAUANI C LAUANI(-1) PUANI;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2907 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSAL=USPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSAL=LOG(AAUSAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSAL=LOG(AUSAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSAL=EXP(LAAUSAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2908 LAAUSAL C LAUSAL(-1) PUSAL;                                         
EQUATION 1558  LAAUSAL  
   RHS     C  LAUSAL(-1)  PUSAL  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1558 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1558
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSAL 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.743064514

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.829016927       0.287385272  -2.88469     1.000000
15083 LAUSAL  ( -1)       0.659875945       0.055783916  11.82914    -2.741725
15081 PUSAL   (  0)      -0.096387758       0.222667804  -0.43288     1.087789

SE of equation            =     0.321691799
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.1448385       0.116604504E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.248044978
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.6324559    
R squared                 =   0.43098
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37670
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           +        *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.2!                   +        *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.3!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                        +           * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!                      *       +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3! *                 +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1967.4!       +        *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!            *          +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!               +        *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1969.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                 +   *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1970.3!          * +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.1!                +        *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.2!          *            +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1971.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.4!           *         +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.1!             +         *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.2!             *       +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.4!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.2!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.3!                          *+          !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.4!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1976.1!                 *          +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1976.2!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1976.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!         *        +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.3!            +  *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.4!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!               +       *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.4!               +          *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.3!              *   +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.4!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!        *   +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.1!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.3!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1985.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!             +    *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                    +       *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                       +  *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.3!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.1!                           +          *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.2!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!            *   +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                  +          *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                *       +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.4!                +     *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.3!        *               +             !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2002.4!           +         *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2003.1!      *             +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2003.2!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.2!           *      +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.3!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.4!            *        +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!          *       +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!               +  *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                *   +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.2!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.3!*            +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.4!  *    +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!      *   +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  *           +                       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2012.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3*            +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.4!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAAL=CAPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAAL=LOG(AACAAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAAL=LOG(ACAAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAAL=EXP(LAACAAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2909 LAACAAL C LACAAL(-1) PCAAL;                                         
EQUATION 1559  LAACAAL  
   RHS     C  LACAAL(-1)  PCAAL  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1559 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1559
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAAL 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.827596309

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.671566169       0.450735882  -1.48993     1.000000
15086 LACAAL  ( -1)       0.528424945       0.064233771   8.22659    -3.835531
15084 PCAAL   (  0)      -1.155887062       0.483236637  -2.39197     0.976946

SE of equation            =     0.598273754
Sum of squared residuals  =  60.8483525       0.101385567E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.424862957
Sum of ABS residuals      =  73.5012916    
R squared                 =   0.37017
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31086
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!            *       +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.4!                +           *         !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1971.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!   *                  +               !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.4!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1974.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3*                           +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1975.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                     *       +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!             *              +         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                     *       +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                            +         *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                 *             +      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1996.1!                      +              *!!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.3!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                            +       * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.4!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                          +    *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.1!                    *       +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!              *           +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2003.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                *     +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!               *  +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!             *       +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.2!                *    +                !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!         *       +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.2!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1*                 +                    !!    0      .  .  .           !
 2012.2!         +         *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.3!     *              +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2012.4!             +       *                !!           .  .  . 0         !


     21.97 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJAAL=JAPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAJAAL=LOG(AAJAAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJAAL=LOG(AJAAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJAAL=EXP(LAAJAAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2910 LAAJAAL C LAJAAL(-1) PJAAL;                                         
EQUATION 1560  LAAJAAL  
   RHS     C  LAJAAL(-1)  PJAAL  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1560 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1560
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJAAL 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.686778154

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.218920884       0.303252300  -4.01949     1.000000
15089 LAJAAL  ( -1)       0.629087172       0.059745383  10.52947    -3.685111
15087 PJAAL   (  0)      -0.119944735       0.182327385  -0.65785     1.247249

SE of equation            =     0.459467780
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.8888089      -0.921041021E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.322151779
Sum of ABS residuals      =  55.7322578    
R squared                 =   0.40061
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29907
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1970.1!              *               +       !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                  *        +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!             *       +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2*                 +                    !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1972.3!        +               *             !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1972.4!                 *      +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                          +         * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1977.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1978.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                           +       *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.1!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                           +    *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                             +        *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                          +      *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              *          +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.4!                  +          *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1990.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.2!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!   *                    +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1996.2!           +         *                !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                  *        +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!            *          +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1998.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                   *     +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2000.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.1!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                    *      +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !


     22.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.20 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUAL=AUPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUAL=LOG(AAAUAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUAL=LOG(AAUAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUAL=EXP(LAAAUAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2911 LAAAUAL C LAAUAL(-1) PAUAL;                                         
EQUATION 1561  LAAAUAL  
   RHS     C  LAAUAL(-1)  PAUAL  
 SMPL 1968.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    68 to   244
 OLS;EST 1561 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1561
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUAL 

 1968.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  177 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.712608081

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.778603826       0.379446333  -2.05195     1.000000
15092 LAAUAL  ( -1)       0.782756835       0.047072695  16.62868    -4.712174
15090 PAUAL   (  0)      -0.257299328       0.346383037  -0.74282     0.954210

SE of equation            =     0.329292926
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.8674866      -0.116973098E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.251585288
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.5305960    
R squared                 =   0.61892
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47501
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.4   2012.4    177

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.2!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1970.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!    *             +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1970.3!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1971.1!   *            +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1971.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!     +              *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1972.1*                   +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1972.2!   +       *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!         *+                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3*                 +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1974.4!   +   *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!      *     +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.3!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.4!      *          +                    !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.3!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!  *          +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.2!     +      *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                              +      *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                       *    +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                          +          *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.4!                             *   +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.3!                 +             *      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1992.4!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                  *          +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!  *                +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1996.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!     + *                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!              +       *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!      *               +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2002.2!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!  *         +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.2!     +   *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.3!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!  *        +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2011.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !


     25.99 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRAL=FRPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRAL=LOG(AAFRAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRAL=LOG(AFRAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRAL=EXP(LAAFRAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2912 LAAFRAL C LAFRAL(-1) PFRAL;                                         
EQUATION 1562  LAAFRAL  
   RHS     C  LAFRAL(-1)  PFRAL  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1562 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1562
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRAL 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.256644658

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.112530598       0.115703439  -0.97258     1.000000
15095 LAFRAL  ( -1)       0.912563353       0.025378433  35.95822    -1.249745
15093 PFRAL   (  0)      -0.003296020       0.098602700  -0.03343     1.105149

SE of equation            =     0.107561883
Sum of squared residuals  =  2.14036836       0.920441501E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.081730848
Sum of ABS residuals      =  15.3653995    
R squared                 =   0.87527
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.63856
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                     +!!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.2!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.3!                                 +   *!!         .    .    0         !
 1966.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1967.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                                +     *!         .    .    .    0    !
 1967.4!                                   *+ !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.1!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.2!                               *+     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.2!                         +            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.2!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                 *   +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.1!       *        +                     !0         .    .    .         !
 1972.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1972.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.4!           *    +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!             +  *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!              +   *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.4!         *    +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.1!         +    *                       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.2!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.4!          * +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.2!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!    *   +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.2!*   +                                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1978.3* +                                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4*+                                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!+ *                                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!   +   *                              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1979.3!   *    +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.1!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.3!      *   +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.4!     *+                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.1!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.2!     + *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!       +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.4!   *   +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.1!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.2!*   +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.3! +      *                             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1982.4!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!     *      +                         !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1983.3!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!         * +                          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!          +      *                    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1984.4!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!            +                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!           +  *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!            + *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.2!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.1!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1988.2!  *     +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.3!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!*    +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.1! +       *                            !!         .    .    .        0!
 1989.2!      *  +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.3!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!     +    *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.2!          *  +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.3!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!       *  +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!        *   +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.1!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.2!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.3!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!          +   *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.2!            *+                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!             +*                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!         *    +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!            + *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.1!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.3!              + *                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!               +*                     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.4!            *   +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2005.1!            +      *                  !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2005.2!            *     +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2005.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!         *+                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.2! *    +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!  + *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.4!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!      +                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1!   *  +                               !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.2*     +                                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.3!+   *                                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEAL=GEPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEAL=LOG(AAGEAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEAL=LOG(AGEAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEAL=EXP(LAAGEAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2913 LAAGEAL C LAGEAL(-1) PGEAL;                                         
EQUATION 1563  LAAGEAL  
   RHS     C  LAGEAL(-1)  PGEAL  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1563 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1563
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEAL 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.406782020

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.109125171       0.133745770   0.81591     1.000000
15098 LAGEAL  ( -1)       0.896618199       0.027218686  32.94127    -2.410974
15096 PGEAL   (  0)      -0.376573017       0.135268334  -2.78390     0.940544

SE of equation            =     0.182824784
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.18360682      -0.184208204E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.146481783
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.5385751    
R squared                 =   0.86200
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.61672
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1+     *                                !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1966.2!    *    +                            !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1966.3! *      +                             !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1966.4! *   +                                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1967.1!     +   *                            !!        .     .     0        !
 1967.2!           *+                         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.3!        *     +                       !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1967.4!           + *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.1!            *   +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1968.2!               +     *                !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1968.3!                     * +              !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1968.4!                       +  *           !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.1!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.2!                          *  +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1969.3!                           +  *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.4!                          *   +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1970.1!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 1970.4!                   *         +        !0        .     .     .        !
 1971.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .    0.        !
 1971.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1971.3!                        +   *         !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.4!                            + *       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.1!                             +     *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1972.2!                                  + * !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1972.3!                                   +  !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.4!                            *     +   !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.1!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1973.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1973.3!                               *+     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1973.4!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.1!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1974.2!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.3!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1974.4!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.1!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1975.2!                          *+          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1975.3!                          +     *     !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1975.4!                          *     +     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1976.1!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .       0!
 1976.2!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1976.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.4!                                 +    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.1!                                +     *!        .     .     .   0    !
 1977.2!                                *   + !!        0     .     .        !
 1977.3!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.4!                              +  *    !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1978.1!                               +   *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1978.2!                                 +*   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1978.4!                                 *+   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.1!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1979.4!                              *   +   !!        0     .     .        !
 1980.1!                             + *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1980.2!                              +  *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1980.3!                                +*    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1980.4!                               *+     !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.1!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.2!                               +*     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1981.3!                                +     !!        .     0     .        !
 1981.4!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.1!                              +  *    !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.2!                                + *   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.3!                                 +  * !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.4!                                *   + !!        0     .     .        !
 1983.1!                               +*     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.2!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1983.3!                          *   +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.4!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1984.1!                        +    *        !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1984.2!                           * +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.3!                         * +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.4!                          +           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1985.1!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1985.2!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1985.3!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.4!                           *     +    !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.2!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.4!                         * +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1987.1!                      * +             !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1988.1!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.2!                         + *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1989.2!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!                        +*            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.4!                     *  +             !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.1!                     +      *         !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1990.2!                       *   +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1990.3!                       +  *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1990.4!                   *     +            !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1991.2!                      *   +           !!        0     .     .        !
 1991.3!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.4!                *      +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.2!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.4!             *    +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.1!           *  +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1993.2!         * +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.3!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.4!        +     *                       !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.2!              +*                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1994.3!       *      +                       !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1994.4!       +*                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.1!        +    *                        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1995.2!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.3!           +  *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.4!            * +                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.1!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.2!           +    *                     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.3!          *     +                     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1996.4!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.1!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 1997.2!          +*                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!         *  +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1997.4!  *       +                           !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1998.1!    +    *                            !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1998.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.3!               +    *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.4!             *     +                  !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1999.1!             +    *                   !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.2!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.3!                + *                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1999.4!              *   +                   !!        0     .     .        !
 2000.1!               +   *                  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.2!             *     +                  !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2000.3!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.4!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.1!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.3!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.1!                 +    *               !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2002.2!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2002.3!                *  +                  !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.4!           *    +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2003.1!            + *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.2!           *  +                       !!        .0    .     .        !
 2003.3!           + *                        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!         *   +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 2004.1!          +   *                       !!        .     .     .0       !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.3!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.4!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.1!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 2005.2!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2005.3!               + *                    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.4!              *  +                    !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2006.3!              +  *                    !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.4!              *  +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 2007.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.2!            * +                       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.4!          *  +                        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2008.1!           + *                        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.2!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.3!            *+                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.1!             + *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.2!              * +                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.3!             *+                       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.4!             + *                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2010.1!            *  +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.2!         *   +                        !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.3!         *+                           !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.4!      *   +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.1!       +    *                         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2011.2!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!        0     .     .        !
 2011.4!        *+                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.1!          +  *                        !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.2!          *   +                       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!           +*                         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.4!         *  +                         !!        .0    .     .        !


     34.04 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITAL=ITPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITAL=LOG(AAITAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITAL=LOG(AITAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITAL=EXP(LAAITAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2914 LAAITAL C LAITAL(-1) PITAL;                                         
EQUATION 1564  LAAITAL  
   RHS     C  LAITAL(-1)  PITAL  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1564 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1564
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITAL 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.088909919

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.175392863       0.083326939  -2.10488     1.000000
15101 LAITAL  ( -1)       0.867213601       0.034118268  25.41787    -2.092222
15099 PITAL   (  0)      -0.120094646       0.077355108  -1.55251     0.825294

SE of equation            =     0.143720220
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.82126782       0.458899585E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.110598013
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.7924265    
R squared                 =   0.79463
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11896
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!  *     +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.2*     +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.3! * +                                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4*    +                                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.1!*  +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.4!  *    +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!       +          *                   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1968.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.1!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                      *   +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1970.3!                  *         +         !!0        .    .    .         !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                      *      +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                 *      +             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1975.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.2!                     *        +       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1976.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.1!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.2!                           +          *!         .    .    .         0
 1978.3!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.2!                                   *+ !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.3!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                                *+    !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.1!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.2!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.1!                               +     *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!                       *       +      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.2!             *         +              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1982.3!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                    +     *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.4!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                      *     +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.2!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.3!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1989.1!                              +     * !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.2!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.1!                                +    *!!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                         *    +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.2!                  *      +            !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                   *    +             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!           *        +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1997.4!            +        *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                 *  +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.1!              *       +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1999.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.1!              *     +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                  +   *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.3!             *    +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2003.4!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!            *    +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2004.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.3!        *  +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.4!         +    *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.1!         *    +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.2!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.2!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!          *    +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.4!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!       *    +                         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!        +     *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2007.4!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.4!                *   +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.2!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.4!           +       *                  !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2011.1!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .   0     !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2915 LAANEAL C LANEAL(-1) PNEAL;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2915 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTAL=STPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTAL=LOG(AASTAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTAL=LOG(ASTAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTAL=EXP(LAASTAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2916 LAASTAL C LASTAL(-1) PSTAL;                                         
EQUATION 1565  LAASTAL  
   RHS     C  LASTAL(-1)  PSTAL  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1565 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1565
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTAL 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.354019655

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.233741560       0.222478839  -5.54543     1.000000
15104 LASTAL  ( -1)       0.591650899       0.061783697   9.57617    -4.347952
15102 PSTAL   (  0)      -0.628478282       0.154808154  -4.05972     0.871643

SE of equation            =     0.300197513
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.8608642       0.334043904E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.231896585
Sum of ABS residuals      =  41.5094887    
R squared                 =   0.56249
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16971
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.3!               *             +        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.3!          *                 +         !0          .   .   .          !
 1969.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!                *        +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1972.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.3!                    *       +         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1978.1!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.2!                  *         +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                      +            *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1981.1!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.2!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             *       +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                 +          *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!    *       +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.3*        +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1994.4!     +          *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.3!           *       +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1997.2!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!    *      +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.2!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!          +   *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!             +     *                  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!           +      *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.3! *              +                     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2012.4*    +                                 !!          0   .   .          !


     27.37 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.47 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKAL=UKPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKAL=LOG(AAUKAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKAL=LOG(AUKAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKAL=EXP(LAAUKAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2917 LAAUKAL C LAUKAL(-1) PUKAL;                                         
EQUATION 1566  LAAUKAL  
   RHS     C  LAUKAL(-1)  PUKAL  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1566 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1566
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKAL 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.778925032

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.125995658       0.147610554  -0.85357     1.000000
15107 LAUKAL  ( -1)       0.880009625       0.033000339  26.66668    -3.777945
15105 PUKAL   (  0)      -0.353960720       0.152696739  -2.31806     0.927508

SE of equation            =     0.241422226
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.7826679      -0.552713431E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.186366059
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.0368190    
R squared                 =   0.83132
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33409
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1966.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!         *              +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.4!    *      +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1968.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.1!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1972.2!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!                              *   +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!      *      +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!       + *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!    *     +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!        +     *                       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!     *        +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3! *    +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1! +   *                                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!      +*                              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!      *       +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1997.1!       +      *                       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       *+                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.3!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!        *    +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!           +                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!       +                              !!          .   0   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2918 LAAFIAL C LAFIAL(-1) PFIAL;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2918 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASAL=ASPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASAL=LOG(AAASAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASAL=LOG(AASAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASAL=EXP(LAAASAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2919 LAAASAL C LAASAL(-1) PASAL;                                         
EQUATION 1567  LAAASAL  
   RHS     C  LAASAL(-1)  PASAL  
 SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   127 to   244
 OLS;EST 1567 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1567
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASAL 

 1983.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  118 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.339928478

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.654954376       0.587568156  -4.51855     1.000000
15110 LAASAL  ( -1)       0.173195929       0.092446830   1.87347    -6.322809
15108 PASAL   (  0)      -2.589753145       0.559781520  -4.62636     1.000053

SE of equation            =     1.337801606
Sum of squared residuals  =  205.817011      -0.640554276E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.833989234
Sum of ABS residuals      =  98.4107296    
R squared                 =   0.27897
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09044
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.3   2012.4    118

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.3!                *        +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!      *                 +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1984.1!                      +    *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                          +      *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.1!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                            +    *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                     *     +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 1991.1!                                +    *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                               +     *!!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3! *                               +    !!0          .  .  .           !
 1992.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.1!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2*                                +     !0           .  .  .           !
 1994.3!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1*                               +      !!0          .  .  .           !
 1995.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!*                              +      !!0          .  .  .           !
 1996.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                           *  +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                              +    *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                +   * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                               +      *!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                          *    +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                      *        +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                           +    *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                          +       *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                   *      +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.2!                      +         *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                      +     *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                    *    +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!          *            +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2010.1!            *        +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!          *    +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!       *       +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.3!    *          +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.4!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !


     11.86 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.24 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2920 LAASOAL C LASOAL(-1) PSOAL;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2920 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2921 LAAKOAL C LAKOAL(-1) PKOAL;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2921 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2922 LAABEAL C LABEAL(-1) PBEAL;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2922 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEAL=DEPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEAL=LOG(AADEAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEAL=LOG(ADEAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEAL=EXP(LAADEAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2923 LAADEAL C LADEAL(-1) PDEAL;                                         
EQUATION 1568  LAADEAL  
   RHS     C  LADEAL(-1)  PDEAL  
 SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1970.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    73 to   244
 OLS;EST 1568 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1568
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEAL 

 1970.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  172 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.417340289

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.261909928       0.771312823  -0.33956     1.000000
15113 LADEAL  ( -1)       0.468565631       0.066708154   7.02411    -5.417125
15111 PDEAL   (  0)      -2.755351432       0.856381076  -3.21744     0.949843

SE of equation            =     0.443543922
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.2475746      -0.115678134E-09
Average absolute error    =     0.337604845
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.0680333    
R squared                 =   0.33357
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17682
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1970.1   2012.4    172

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1970.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!               +           *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1972.1!            *        +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.2!              +              *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1973.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!               +         *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.3!   *        +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!             +       *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1978.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1978.4!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!         *     +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!               +                  *   !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.3!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.4!                *        +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.1!                           +       *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                            +         *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.3! *           +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1986.4!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!               +        *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1987.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.4!           +        *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!             +        *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1994.2!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!       *     +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.2!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!            *+                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2001.1!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.4!        +*                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!*               +                     !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2009.4!      +               *               !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2010.1!       *          +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !


     29.07 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.49 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2924 LAANOAL C LANOAL(-1) PNOAL;SMPL 2001.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2924 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2925 LAASWAL C LASWAL(-1) PSWAL;SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2925 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2926 LAAGRAL C LAGRAL(-1) PGRAL;SMPL 1971.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2926 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2927 LAAIRAL C LAIRAL(-1) PIRAL;SMPL 1978.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2927 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOAL=POPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOAL=LOG(AAPOAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOAL=LOG(APOAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOAL=EXP(LAAPOAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2928 LAAPOAL C LAPOAL(-1) PPOAL;                                         
EQUATION 1569  LAAPOAL  
   RHS     C  LAPOAL(-1)  PPOAL  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST 1569 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1569
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOAL 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.898781986

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.814911699       0.532428596  -1.53056     1.000000
15116 LAPOAL  ( -1)       0.743785228       0.055956216  13.29227    -5.919442
15114 PPOAL   (  0)      -0.621968159       0.418592030  -1.48586     1.095035

SE of equation            =     0.564648810
Sum of squared residuals  =  45.2736156       0.980815429E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.427194083
Sum of ABS residuals      =  61.9431420    
R squared                 =   0.56828
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20144
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.4!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!       *             +                !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.4!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!               *        +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                       +        *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1988.1!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                     *        +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.4!                *         +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1992.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2*               +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.3!      +                 *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1992.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                          *    +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                                 +    *!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                +    *!!          .   .   0          !


     26.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPAL=SPPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPAL=LOG(AASPAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPAL=LOG(ASPAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPAL=EXP(LAASPAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2929 LAASPAL C LASPAL(-1) PSPAL;                                         
EQUATION 1570  LAASPAL  
   RHS     C  LASPAL(-1)  PSPAL  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1570 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1570
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPAL 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.910264082

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.289207935       0.196129435  -1.47458     1.000000
15119 LASPAL  ( -1)       0.850564344       0.035783116  23.76999    -2.927630
15117 PSPAL   (  0)      -0.124526017       0.212003217  -0.58738     1.051333

SE of equation            =     0.237473297
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.92526772       0.109066089E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.170900747
Sum of ABS residuals      =  30.5912337    
R squared                 =   0.81072
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08235
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!  +   *                               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1968.3!    *    +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.4!       +*                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                *    +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.1!                *    +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.3!              *      +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1972.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.2!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.4!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                        *  +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!                          + *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                      *     +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1981.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.3!                              *  +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.4!                              + *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!               *            +         !0           .  .  .           !
 1984.4!     *           +                    !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1985.1*         +                            !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.2!   +  *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.3!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.1!                   *     +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                       *   +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.4!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                           +          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.1!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.1!                                  * + !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1996.1!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                            *   +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                        *    +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                        +         *   !!           .  .  .       0   !
 2005.3!                             *   +    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.4!                             +    *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                               *+     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                             +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                             + *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  . 0         !


     22.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.47 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2930 LAANZAL C LANZAL(-1) PNZAL;SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2930 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2931 LAASAAL C LASAAL(-1) PSAAL;SMPL 1983.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2931 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2932 LAAVEAL C LAVEAL(-1) PVEAL;SMPL 2009.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2932 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2933 LAACOAL C LACOAL(-1) PCOAL;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2933 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOAL=JOPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOAL=LOG(AAJOAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOAL=LOG(AJOAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOAL=EXP(LAAJOAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2934 LAAJOAL C LAJOAL(-1) PJOAL;                                         
EQUATION 1571  LAAJOAL  
   RHS     C  LAJOAL(-1)  PJOAL  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1571 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1571
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOAL 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.454323342

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.857739987       0.357307962  -2.40056     1.000000
15122 LAJOAL  ( -1)       0.854116461       0.037236670  22.93751    -6.513633
15120 PJOAL   (  0)      -0.029657996       0.187972544  -0.15778     1.118838

SE of equation            =     0.457581069
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.2160978      -0.944133660E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.304138712
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.3724841    
R squared                 =   0.86360
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21760
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1990.4*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!    +        *                        !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1991.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!              *        +              !!0         .   .   .          !
 1993.2!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1994.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1997.2!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!                               * +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                     +*!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                                  *  +!!          0   .   .          !
 2003.4!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.1!                                   +  *!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                     +!!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                               *   +  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2005.2!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                              *  +    !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                                + *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !


     16.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2935 LAASYAL C LASYAL(-1) PSYAL;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2935 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2936 LAAIDAL C LAIDAL(-1) PIDAL;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2936 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2937 LAAMAAL C LAMAAL(-1) PMAAL;SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2937 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2938 LAAPAAL C LAPAAL(-1) PPAAL;SMPL 1990.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2938 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2939 LAAPHAL C LAPHAL(-1) PPHAL;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2939 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHAL=THPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHAL=LOG(AATHAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHAL=LOG(ATHAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHAL=EXP(LAATHAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2940 LAATHAL C LATHAL(-1) PTHAL;                                         
EQUATION 1572  LAATHAL  
   RHS     C  LATHAL(-1)  PTHAL  
 SMPL 1988.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   146 to   244
 OLS;EST 1572 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1572
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHAL 

 1988.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   99 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.030220456

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.612861954       0.934816221  -0.65560     1.000000
15125 LATHAL  ( -1)       0.758262522       0.067745080  11.19288    -6.039743
15123 PTHAL   (  0)      -0.780298217       0.743812300  -1.04905     1.073497

SE of equation            =     0.617911504
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.6542041      -0.118216548E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.410674384
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6567640    
R squared                 =   0.56617
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15329
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.2   2012.4     99

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!  *                     +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1989.1!        +            *                !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1989.2!                       +        *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!               *               +      !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1990.1!       *          +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1990.2*            +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1990.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!              *          +            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                         *      +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                            *   +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                       *        +     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.1!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!                         *       +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                                *  +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.3!                                *   + !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2007.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !


     21.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.06 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHAL=CHPX$Q/ALPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHAL=LOG(AACHAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHAL=LOG(ACHAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHAL=EXP(LAACHAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2941 LAACHAL C LACHAL(-1) PCHAL;                                         
EQUATION 1573  LAACHAL  
   RHS     C  LACHAL(-1)  PCHAL  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1573 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1573
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHAL 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.188996211

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.503935790       0.823225896   0.61215     1.000000
15128 LACHAL  ( -1)       0.708357543       0.063274307  11.19503    -4.214999
15126 PCHAL   (  0)      -1.549174656       0.799033574  -1.93881     1.102010

SE of equation            =     0.978021133
Sum of squared residuals  =  117.652616       0.132578393E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.676743159
Sum of ABS residuals      =  85.2696380    
R squared                 =   0.57914
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.86399
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                    *     +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.1!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!            +     *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!           *            +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1987.2!               +      *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.4!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!             *          +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!*                      +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.4!       +             *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!            *         +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!        *             +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!             +             *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.3!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.1!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3*                 +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1991.4!       +               *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1992.1!    *                   +             !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1992.2!           +      *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!     *              +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                   +   *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!               *       +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!               *     +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                    +        *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                                +   * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                  +   *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2942 LAAARAL C LAARAL(-1) PARAL;SMPL 1971.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2942 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2943 LAABRAL C LABRAL(-1) PBRAL;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2943 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2944 LAACEAL C LACEAL(-1) PCEAL;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2944 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2945 LAAMEAL C LAMEAL(-1) PMEAL;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2945 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2946 LAAPEAL C LAPEAL(-1) PPEAL;SMPL 1998.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2946 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2947 LAATUAL C LATUAL(-1) PTUAL;SMPL 1980.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2947 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2948 LAAPDAL C LAPDAL(-1) PPDAL;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2948 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2949 LAARUAL C LARUAL(-1) PRUAL;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2949 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2950 LAAUEAL C LAUEAL(-1) PUEAL;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2950 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGAL=EGPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGAL=LOG(AAEGAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGAL=LOG(AEGAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGAL=EXP(LAAEGAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2951 LAAEGAL C LAEGAL(-1) PEGAL;                                         
EQUATION 1574  LAAEGAL  
   RHS     C  LAEGAL(-1)  PEGAL  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1574 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1574
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGAL 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.660426902

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.049510130       0.448735733   0.11033     1.000000
15131 LAEGAL  ( -1)       0.895045409       0.041813598  21.40561    -6.704052
15129 PEGAL   (  0)      -0.643829008       0.550545425  -1.16944     1.102010

SE of equation            =     0.499238495
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.6564062      -0.213677964E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.319252591
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.2258264    
R squared                 =   0.89532
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48600
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!         +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1*             +                        !0           .  .  .           !
 1983.2*  +                                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!  +      *                            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1984.2!       *  +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!      +       *                       !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1985.1!         *    +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.2!         +         *                  !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1985.3!               *   +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.2!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.1!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1992.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                       *   +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                        * +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                         *      +     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                          +*          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2009.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                                   +  !!           .  .0 .           !


     18.25 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2952 LAAISAL C LAISAL(-1) PISAL;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2952 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2953 LAAKEAL C LAKEAL(-1) PKEAL;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2953 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2954 LAABAAL C LABAAL(-1) PBAAL;SMPL 2006.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2954 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKAL=HKPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKAL=LOG(AAHKAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKAL=LOG(AHKAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKAL=EXP(LAAHKAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2955 LAAHKAL C LAHKAL(-1) PHKAL;                                         
EQUATION 1575  LAAHKAL  
   RHS     C  LAHKAL(-1)  PHKAL  
 SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   138 to   244
 OLS;EST 1575 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1575
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKAL 

 1986.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.231172231

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.936296729       0.559550812  -3.46045     1.000000
15134 LAHKAL  ( -1)       0.692880084       0.065336387  10.60481    -7.256087
15132 PHKAL   (  0)      -0.228630676       0.320587320  -0.71316     1.169036

SE of equation            =     0.496086332
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.5945715       0.351629836E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.399882806
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.7874602    
R squared                 =   0.53165
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30017
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.2   2012.4    107

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.2*           +                          !!0       .     .     .        !
 1986.3!*      +                              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1986.4!  *     +                             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1987.1!   *      +                           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1987.2!          +    *                      !!        .     .     0        !
 1987.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.4!                  *     +             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.1!              *      +                !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.2!                 *+                   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.3!                    +    *            !!        .     .     .0       !
 1988.4!                    *     +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.1!                      +       *       !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.2!                          *  +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1989.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.1!                *            +        !0        .     .     .        !
 1990.2!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!                        +          *  !!        .     .     .       0!
 1991.1!                          *      +    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.2!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.3!                   *      +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.4!               *     +                !!       0.     .     .        !
 1992.1!                   +           *      !!        .     .     .       0!
 1992.2!                        *     +       !!        0     .     .        !
 1992.3!               *         +            !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1992.4!                  +   *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.1!                        +        *    !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1993.2!                               +      !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.3!                             +        !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.4!                            +    *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1994.1!                         *     +      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.2!                         +   *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1994.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1994.4!                              +       !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.1!                         *   +        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.2!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1995.3!                                + *   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1995.4!                                + *   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.2!                             +       *!!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.3!                                * +   !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1996.4!                               + *    !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1997.1!                               + *    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1997.3!                              * +     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.4!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1998.1!                             +    *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.2!                                +     *!        .     .     . 0      !
 1998.3!                                * +   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1998.4!                              +    *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1999.1!                              *  +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.3!                             + *      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.1!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.3!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2000.4!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.1!                           +*         !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.3!                            + *       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.4!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                         +    *       !!        .     .     0        !
 2002.3!                         *   +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 2002.4!                       *  +           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2003.1!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.2!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!                            +   *     !!        .     .    0.        !
 2003.4!                             * +      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                  *          +        !! 0      .     .     .        !
 2004.2!                     +    *           !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.3!                       *   +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.4!                   *     +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2005.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2005.2!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.3!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.4!                        +     *       !!        .     .     .0       !
 2006.1!                              +       !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.2!                        *     +       !!       0.     .     .        !
 2006.3!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 2006.4!                             +      * !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2007.1!                              *   +   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2007.2!                            * +       !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!                            +      *  !!        .     .     .0       !
 2007.4!                           *     +    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.1!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2008.2!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2008.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2008.4!                           *     +    !!       0.     .     .        !
 2009.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2009.2!                              +*      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2009.3!                              +   *   !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2009.4!                                *+    !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.1!                       *       +      !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2010.2!                         +   *        !!        .     .    0.        !
 2010.3!                      *      +        !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.4!                        +   *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.1!                            +         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.2!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !
 2011.3!                          *  +        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4!                           +       *  !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2012.1!                               * +    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2012.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .    0.        !
 2012.3!                         *      +     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2012.4!                          +     *     !!        .     .     .0       !


     32.71 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.61 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2956 LAASIAL C LASIAL(-1) PSIAL;SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2956 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIAL=VIPX$/ALPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIAL=LOG(AAVIAL+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIAL=LOG(AVIAL+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIAL=EXP(LAAVIAL)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2957 LAAVIAL C LAVIAL(-1) PVIAL;                                         
EQUATION 1576  LAAVIAL  
   RHS     C  LAVIAL(-1)  PVIAL  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1576 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1576
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIAL 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.877393089

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.313502806       0.502428947   0.62397     1.000000
15137 LAVIAL  ( -1)       0.737525994       0.051870818  14.21851    -6.918801
15135 PVIAL   (  0)      -1.970317234       0.537930353  -3.66277     1.059779

SE of equation            =     0.377387400
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.9603337       0.419930757E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.236330069
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.2150265    
R squared                 =   0.79565
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01621
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3! *     +                              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4*       +                              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.1!       +             *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1990.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!             *             +          !0          .   .   .          !
 1998.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!             *          +             !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2002.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                  +           *       !!          .   .   .        0 !
 2003.2!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                         *    +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                                *+    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                                    + !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                                  * + !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                    +*!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                     +!!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                                  *  +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !


     14.89 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2958 LAANIAL C LANIAL(-1) PNIAL;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2958 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2959 LAAIAAL C LAIAAL(-1) PIAAL;SMPL 1982.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2959 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2960 LAAINAL C LAINAL(-1) PINAL;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2960 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2961 LAAIQAL C LAIQAL(-1) PIQAL;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2961 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2962 LAAKUAL C LAKUAL(-1) PKUAL;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2962 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2963 LAALIAL C LALIAL(-1) PLIAL;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2963 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2964 LAAUAAL C LAUAAL(-1) PUAAL;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2964 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUSIA=USPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUSIA=LOG(AAUSIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUSIA=LOG(AUSIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUSIA=EXP(LAAUSIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2965 LAAUSIA C LAUSIA(-1) PUSIA;                                         
EQUATION 1577  LAAUSIA  
   RHS     C  LAUSIA(-1)  PUSIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1577 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1577
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUSIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.276817097

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.043967856       0.131752099  -0.33372     1.000000
15140 LAUSIA  ( -1)       0.933121777       0.027581814  33.83105    -2.275115
15138 PUSIA   (  0)      -0.101815505       0.128853382  -0.79017     1.079308

SE of equation            =     0.197413421
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.20983088       0.131894495E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.146989487
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.6340236    
R squared                 =   0.87769
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65513
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!       +     *                        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1966.3!              +          *            !!          .   .   .          0
 1966.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.2!                    *   +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!              *     +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1967.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1968.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.2!                              +       *!          .   .   .     0    !
 1968.3!                              *      +!!     0    .   .   .          !
 1968.4!                             +      * !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.1!                          *        +  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1969.2!                          +         * !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1969.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                                   +  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                                * +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.3!                               +    * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.4!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                                + *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1971.4!                          *         + !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1972.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1972.2!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                             + *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.4!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1975.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                       *   +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.2!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                        *     +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!                        *     +       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!              + *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                *       +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1987.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.3!              +  *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                   *   +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1994.1!                   *      +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!               + *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                +    *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!          *      +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!          *  +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!          +  *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!         *   +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!       *     +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2001.1!        +   *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!         *  +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!         +                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!           +*                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!     *     +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.2!  *   +                               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!*+                                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1! + *                                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!*  +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!*+                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2! +*                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3! * +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4*  +                                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1*+                                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!+  *                                  !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!  *  +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.3!    + *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!   *   +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!    +                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!  *     +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!   +   *                              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!     *  +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!    * +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!  *  +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!  *+                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!*   +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAIA=CAPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAIA=LOG(AACAIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAIA=LOG(ACAIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAIA=EXP(LAACAIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2966 LAACAIA C LACAIA(-1) PCAIA;                                         
EQUATION 1578  LAACAIA  
   RHS     C  LACAIA(-1)  PCAIA  
 SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    70 to   244
 OLS;EST 1578 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1578
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAIA 

 1969.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  175 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.320864640

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.989057271       0.292712434  -3.37894     1.000000
15143 LACAIA  ( -1)       0.604088877       0.060029799  10.06315    -4.323236
15141 PCAIA   (  0)      -0.746008179       0.278524512  -2.67843     0.965389

SE of equation            =     0.384661932
Sum of squared residuals  =  25.4499459      -0.102486908E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.279574171
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.9254799    
R squared                 =   0.47119
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33999
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.2   2012.4    175

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.2!    *       +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.4!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1970.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!*                    +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1971.2*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.3!       +                   *          !!          .   .   .         0!
 1971.4!          *             +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1972.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1! *                  +                 !!0         .   .   .          !
 1973.2!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.2!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!        *           +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.4!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1980.2!             *        +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!              +            *          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.4!        *              +              !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.1!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!    *      +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!          +          *                !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!             *        +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.4!              +         *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.1!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                  +        *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.3!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1984.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                     +        *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.3!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                       +              *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.3!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                      +           *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!              +         *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!   *           +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!           +*                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!          *     +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.4!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !


     28.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.57 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2967 LAAJAIA C LAJAIA(-1) PJAIA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2967 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2968 LAAAUIA C LAAUIA(-1) PAUIA;SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2968 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRIA=FRPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRIA=LOG(AAFRIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRIA=LOG(AFRIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRIA=EXP(LAAFRIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2969 LAAFRIA C LAFRIA(-1) PFRIA;                                         
EQUATION 1579  LAAFRIA  
   RHS     C  LAFRIA(-1)  PFRIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1579 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1579
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.900673542

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.456045454       0.339887121  -1.34176     1.000000
15146 LAFRIA  ( -1)       0.867520722       0.037055577  23.41134    -3.896174
15144 PFRIA   (  0)      -0.058976211       0.263699139  -0.22365     1.095635

SE of equation            =     0.321120733
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.0769272      -0.262980748E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.245730243
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.1972857    
R squared                 =   0.75029
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43911
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1966.2!                 *            +       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1966.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!           *     +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.2!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!    *        +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1967.4!      +    *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!            +           *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1968.2!          *            +              !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1968.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.1!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.4!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.1!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1972.3!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1972.4!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.2!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.3!                     *   +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1976.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.4!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.2!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                 *     +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                        +             *!         .    .    .         0
 1982.2!                          *        +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!                        *        +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.2!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1983.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                         *      +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                         +          * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.1!                           *  +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.3!                         *  +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                        *  +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                      *+              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.4!                     *       +        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                         +      *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.3!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1993.1!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.2!                        *     +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.2!                        *+            !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.2!             +    *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.3!        *+                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!  *    +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.2! +   *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!   *   +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2007.4!  +    *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.1!  *     +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.2!       +       *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2009.3!         *     +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.4!      *   +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!   *    +                             !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.4!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.1!         *+                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.3!*      +                              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!*        +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.3!  +                                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!     +      *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEIA=GEPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEIA=LOG(AAGEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEIA=LOG(AGEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEIA=EXP(LAAGEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2970 LAAGEIA C LAGEIA(-1) PGEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1580  LAAGEIA  
   RHS     C  LAGEIA(-1)  PGEIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1580 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1580
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.667949008

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.083688974       0.083488753   1.00240     1.000000
15149 LAGEIA  ( -1)       0.932353615       0.024646463  37.82910    -2.660220
15147 PGEIA   (  0)      -0.289689049       0.120832258  -2.39745     0.936772

SE of equation            =     0.165836787
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.08784041       0.603161965E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128245172
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.1100923    
R squared                 =   0.94204
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28473
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   .          0
 1966.2!                                    + *!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!                                *  +  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                                 * +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!                            *      +  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1968.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1968.4!                            *    +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.2!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.1!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.2!                           *+         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.4!                       *+             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                          *    +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.1!                           + *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                          *   +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                        *+            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                    *  +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1990.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                     *    +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       + *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.3!             + *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.1!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!             +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!              + *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!             *   +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!             +                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!        *    +                        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!      +                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2004.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!       *   +                          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!      *+                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!     * +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!       + *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!   *     +                            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2006.3!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!     + *                              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.1!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.2!    +                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!   +*                                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!    +*                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!   * +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!   +                                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!  * +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!  *+                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3*  +                                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!+                                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1! + *                                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!     + *                              !!          .   .   0          !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITIA=ITPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITIA=LOG(AAITIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITIA=LOG(AITIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITIA=EXP(LAAITIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2971 LAAITIA C LAITIA(-1) PITIA;                                         
EQUATION 1581  LAAITIA  
   RHS     C  LAITIA(-1)  PITIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1581 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1581
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.994613643

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.364257435       0.117518423  -3.09958     1.000000
15152 LAITIA  ( -1)       0.815273889       0.039905021  20.43036    -3.985472
15150 PITIA   (  0)      -0.460608183       0.133353563  -3.45404     0.827394

SE of equation            =     0.255975051
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.1217970      -0.261746180E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.191172558
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.9404409    
R squared                 =   0.84232
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19066
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        +             *!           .  .  .           0
 1966.2!                                  +  *!!           .  .  0           !
 1966.3!                              *   +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!                         +  *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.4!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!              *        +              !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1969.2!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!               +      *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.3!             *    +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!             * +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!               *+                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                +      *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1974.4!                   *  +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1975.2!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.3!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.4!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!              *   +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1976.2!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!            *      +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.4!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!           *     +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!           *+                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.4!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!          *        +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.1!           +  *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.3!          *  +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!          *     +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1983.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                * +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!               +  *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.4!               +   *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                + *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!             *   +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!         *   +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!       +  *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!          *  +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!      *   +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.4!    +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2007.1!   *     +                            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2007.2!   +*                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4! *  +                                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1! + *                                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!*  +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!+*                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1! +                                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.3!* +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4*+                                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!+ *                                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3! *  +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEIA=NEPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEIA=LOG(AANEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEIA=LOG(ANEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEIA=EXP(LAANEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2972 LAANEIA C LANEIA(-1) PNEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1582  LAANEIA  
   RHS     C  LANEIA(-1)  PNEIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1582 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1582
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.930966308

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.151963837       0.256275954  -0.59297     1.000000
15155 LANEIA  ( -1)       0.902366044       0.032288683  27.94682    -3.914339
15153 PNEIA   (  0)      -0.233899646       0.254597311  -0.91870     1.055308

SE of equation            =     0.341000812
Sum of squared residuals  =  21.5120874      -0.746958051E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.254065932
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.7643952    
R squared                 =   0.83011
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64190
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                               *  +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1966.3!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.1!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.2!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.4!                                    +*!!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.3!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1969.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1970.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1971.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.1!                             *  +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!                        *    +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1974.3!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.3!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.4!                *           +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.1!                +               *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1980.2!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1980.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!               +       *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1982.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.4!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                   *    +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                   *     +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.4!                            *   +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                   *       +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!              +      *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1995.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.2!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.2!      +  *                            !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!           *     +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!         *+                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!       +*                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!    + *                               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!      +   *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2007.4!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.2!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!      +  *                            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!         +    *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.3! *       +                            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.4!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3*      +                               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4* +                                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3*     +                                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4! +                                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3! *  +                                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!*  +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTIA=STPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTIA=LOG(AASTIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTIA=LOG(ASTIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTIA=EXP(LAASTIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2973 LAASTIA C LASTIA(-1) PSTIA;                                         
EQUATION 1583  LAASTIA  
   RHS     C  LASTIA(-1)  PSTIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1583 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1583
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.705465456

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.844203611       0.166888834  -5.05848     1.000000
15158 LASTIA  ( -1)       0.663331493       0.054952498  12.07100    -4.693793
15156 PSTIA   (  0)      -0.874974045       0.169567565  -5.16003     0.854564

SE of equation            =     0.324337158
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.4609995      -0.318145510E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.234549677
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.0953393    
R squared                 =   0.80783
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.58438
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1966.4!                      *     +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1967.1!                        +      *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1967.2!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.4!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                          +           *!           .  .  .      0    !
 1968.4!                             *    +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.1!                            +       * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1969.2!                         *        +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1969.3!                          +          *!!           .  .  .     0     !
 1969.4!                            *     +   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1970.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.3!        *                  +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1970.4!               +          *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1971.1!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!               *            +         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.1!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.3!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                     +  *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.4!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.4!              +     *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.2!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!             +  *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!       *  +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!      +   *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!  +   *                               !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!    +                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3! *  +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!  +*                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3! *+                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !


     21.81 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKIA=UKPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKIA=LOG(AAUKIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKIA=LOG(AUKIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKIA=EXP(LAAUKIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2974 LAAUKIA C LAUKIA(-1) PUKIA;                                         
EQUATION 1584  LAAUKIA  
   RHS     C  LAUKIA(-1)  PUKIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1584 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1584
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.791862116

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.196902406       0.143046669  -1.37649     1.000000
15161 LAUKIA  ( -1)       0.871717676       0.035516034  24.54434    -3.776289
15159 PUKIA   (  0)      -0.327271927       0.161046915  -2.03215     0.926148

SE of equation            =     0.315425646
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.4062676      -0.309618997E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.253764821
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.7077863    
R squared                 =   0.82711
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.64728
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            *         +!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                      *     +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1966.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!                           +     *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                              *  +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.4!                     *        +       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1968.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1969.2!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.2!                           *+         !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.3!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1971.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1972.1!                                *    +!!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                         *      +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                         +            *!         .    .    .         0
 1973.1!                               *     +!!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1973.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.1!                                *  +  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.1!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                             +    *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1977.1!                              *   +   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.1!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.3!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.4!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.1!                       *  +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1982.4!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.3!                       *      +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                       +          *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1986.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.4!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.1!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!                             +     *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.1!                            *    +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1990.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.4!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.2!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.1!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.2!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1996.1!                        *   +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.3!                             +        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.2!                       *  +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1999.1!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.3!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.1!                    *  +              !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.2!              *     +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!              +   *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.1!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2005.2!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!           +                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!         *    +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2006.2!          +*                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!   *       +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2006.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!    *     +                           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2007.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.2!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.1!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.2!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.3!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!   *       +                          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.2!   * +                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3*      +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.4!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3! *    +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!     * +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2! *    +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2975 LAAFIIA C LAFIIA(-1) PFIIA;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2975 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASIA=ASPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASIA=LOG(AAASIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASIA=LOG(AASIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASIA=EXP(LAAASIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2976 LAAASIA C LAASIA(-1) PASIA;                                         
EQUATION 1585  LAAASIA  
   RHS     C  LAASIA(-1)  PASIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1585 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1585
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.110716984

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.431253020       0.095818145  -4.50074     1.000000
15164 LAASIA  ( -1)       0.699946449       0.043524971  16.08149    -3.115634
15162 PASIA   (  0)      -0.490773105       0.093468799  -5.25066     1.016126

SE of equation            =     0.204734154
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.75447366      -0.660627109E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.149369465
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.0814595    
R squared                 =   0.81885
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47274
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1966.2*             +                        !0           .  .  .           !
 1966.3!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.1!           *     +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.2!           *    +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.4!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.1!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.2!                  *   +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1968.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1969.2!                        *    +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!                          +   *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1970.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                          *+          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.3!                           *    +     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.1!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1972.2!                           +         *!!           .  .  .       0   !
 1972.3!                                *  +  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.4!                          *    +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.2!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1973.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                          *  +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1974.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!                       *     +        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                    *     +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1979.2!                         *   +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.4!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.1!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                  *    +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                    *   +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                        *    +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1986.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                           *      +   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.4!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                              +    *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                                + *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                                * +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                                +*    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.1!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                                 +   *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.3!                                   +  *!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                 +  * !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                +    *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.4!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                               +*     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                           * +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                        *  +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                     *    +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2005.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                     *  +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!           + *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!           +   *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !


     26.06 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2977 LAASOIA C LASOIA(-1) PSOIA;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2977 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOIA=KOPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOIA=LOG(AAKOIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOIA=LOG(AKOIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOIA=EXP(LAAKOIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2978 LAAKOIA C LAKOIA(-1) PKOIA;                                         
EQUATION 1586  LAAKOIA  
   RHS     C  LAKOIA(-1)  PKOIA  
 SMPL 1968.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    65 to   244
 OLS;EST 1586 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1586
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOIA 

 1968.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  180 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.441695698

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.142320980       0.107620245  -1.32244     1.000000
15167 LAKOIA  ( -1)       0.901791178       0.033612991  26.82865    -3.460411
15165 PKOIA   (  0)      -0.124926759       0.094727910  -1.31880     1.431290

SE of equation            =     0.311151225
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1362700       0.114042109E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.204823570
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.8682426    
R squared                 =   0.88532
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.62493
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.1   2012.4    180

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.1! * +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.2*   +                                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3! +    *                               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!         +     *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1969.3!        *       +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1969.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1970.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1971.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!      *                 +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1973.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!      *           +                   !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1975.2!         +  *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!    *         +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1976.2!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!     *     +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!        *  +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.4!         +    *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.1!            *  +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.1!           *        +                 !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!              +       *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                  *     +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1981.1!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!             *         +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1981.4!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!               *    +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.3!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                +     *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                                     *+!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                   * +!!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                               *    + !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                                +     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                                  +*  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    + *!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !


     21.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEIA=BEPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEIA=LOG(AABEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEIA=LOG(ABEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEIA=EXP(LAABEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2979 LAABEIA C LABEIA(-1) PBEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1587  LAABEIA  
   RHS     C  LABEIA(-1)  PBEIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1587 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1587
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.710673471

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.963326165       0.207882607  -4.63399     1.000000
15170 LABEIA  ( -1)       0.559140643       0.059567646   9.38665    -4.701196
15168 PBEIA   (  0)      -1.242205864       0.234356537  -5.30050     0.900589

SE of equation            =     0.331965130
Sum of squared residuals  =  20.3871568      -0.170583547E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.268450010
Sum of ABS residuals      =  50.4686018    
R squared                 =   0.64871
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46310
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1966.2!             *           +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1966.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                     *  +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.3!                    *    +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.4!                  *    +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.1!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!                   *   +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.3!               *      +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1968.4!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                   * +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.4!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.1!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.2!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!             *       +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1973.1!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                    *   +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.4!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.3!                      *     +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.4!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.1!                 *     +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1976.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.4!                       +              *!         .    .    .         0
 1977.1!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1977.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.1!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!                 +          *         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.3!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.1!               * +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.1!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!                    *       +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1985.4!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.3!              *        +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +      *            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1987.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                       +      *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.4!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.2!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.3!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.1!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.4!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1994.4!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.1!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.1!             *      +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!               +       *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.1!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!            *   +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2003.1!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!      *      +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2003.4!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!           +                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!             +             *          !!         .    .    .        0!
 2004.4!              *      +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.1!       *    +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!   *        +                         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.4!       +    *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.2!         *  +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!*         +                           !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.4!     +   *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.2!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!   +     *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.1!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3*      +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.4!    +    *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2009.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2!     *   +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3! *     +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1! *      +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.2! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.3*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!   *    +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!*     +                               !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.3! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !


     32.98 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2980 LAADEIA C LADEIA(-1) PDEIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2980 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOIA=NOPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOIA=LOG(AANOIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOIA=LOG(ANOIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOIA=EXP(LAANOIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2981 LAANOIA C LANOIA(-1) PNOIA;                                         
EQUATION 1588  LAANOIA  
   RHS     C  LANOIA(-1)  PNOIA  
 SMPL 1975.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    94 to   244
 OLS;EST 1588 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1588
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOIA 

 1975.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  151 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.423009746

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.808448194       0.404533711  -6.94243     1.000000
15173 LANOIA  ( -1)       0.427640913       0.073759209   5.79780    -6.408068
15171 PNOIA   (  0)      -1.030598042       0.236436608  -4.35888     0.848254

SE of equation            =     0.648518765
Sum of squared residuals  =  62.2453351       0.647037979E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.458355870
Sum of ABS residuals      =  69.2117364    
R squared                 =   0.43359
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16646
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.2   2012.4    151

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.2!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.3!                 +          *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.4!           *        +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!            +                *        !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1976.3!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!               +         *            !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1977.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.4!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 1978.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.2!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1978.3!         *          +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.4!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!            +         *               !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.1!       *        +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.2!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!         +      *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!           +          *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!             +    *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.1!          *      +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!             +            *           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1990.4!   *              +                   !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1991.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!         *    +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!      *       +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!          +   *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!         *   +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!      *     +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.2!    *    +                            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.3!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!  *    +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!      +  *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2! +*                                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!   +*                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!      +       *                       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2010.2!*         +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2010.3!   *+                                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!     +  *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!   + *                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !


     22.52 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.62 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2982 LAASWIA C LASWIA(-1) PSWIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2982 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRIA=GRPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRIA=LOG(AAGRIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRIA=LOG(AGRIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRIA=EXP(LAAGRIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2983 LAAGRIA C LAGRIA(-1) PGRIA;                                         
EQUATION 1589  LAAGRIA  
   RHS     C  LAGRIA(-1)  PGRIA  
 SMPL 1986.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   138 to   244
 OLS;EST 1589 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1589
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRIA 

 1986.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  107 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.704174140

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.506552509       0.666253100  -3.76216     1.000000
15176 LAGRIA  ( -1)       0.623832799       0.070182000   8.88879    -7.737574
15174 PGRIA   (  0)      -0.380239411       0.447979747  -0.84879     0.974832

SE of equation            =     0.650360410
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.9887409      -0.903899178E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.462891154
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.5293535    
R squared                 =   0.44069
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.31226
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.2   2012.4    107

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.2!      +    *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!     *          +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1986.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3*                     +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.4!        +    *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!  *                +                  !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1991.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!           *      +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.1!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                        +            *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.1!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.1!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!                               +      *!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.3!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!       *                  +           !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2001.4!             +       *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.1!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!            *        +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!          *        +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2011.1!                *       +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                 +        *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!                 +         *          !!          .   .   . 0        !


     21.50 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.67 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2984 LAAIRIA C LAIRIA(-1) PIRIA;SMPL 1980.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 2984 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2985 LAAPOIA C LAPOIA(-1) PPOIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2985 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPIA=SPPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPIA=LOG(AASPIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPIA=LOG(ASPIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPIA=EXP(LAASPIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2986 LAASPIA C LASPIA(-1) PSPIA;                                         
EQUATION 1590  LAASPIA  
   RHS     C  LASPIA(-1)  PSPIA  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1590 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1590
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPIA 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.296293519

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.528332844       0.412894035  -1.27958     1.000000
15179 LASPIA  ( -1)       0.632999340       0.061256356  10.33361    -5.302876
15177 PSPIA   (  0)      -1.369881996       0.446859564  -3.06558     1.030194

SE of equation            =     0.425814287
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.2910820      -0.661604105E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.321423008
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.5706053    
R squared                 =   0.57427
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.22608
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1976.4!      *       +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1977.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.2!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3*               +                      !0          .   .   .          !
 1977.4!       +             *                !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1978.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1978.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.3!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!            +            *            !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1980.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!     *          +                     !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.4!        +              *              !!          .   .   .         0!
 1981.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!               *        +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1981.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.4!                          +         * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.1!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.3!                                 *+   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                        *     +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.2!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1985.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!                           +       *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.3!                        *      +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.4!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!      *       +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2009.4!        +   *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!        *     +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!        *  +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.4!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !


     26.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.73 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZIA=NZPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZIA=LOG(AANZIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZIA=LOG(ANZIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZIA=EXP(LAANZIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2987 LAANZIA C LANZIA(-1) PNZIA;                                         
EQUATION 1591  LAANZIA  
   RHS     C  LANZIA(-1)  PNZIA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1591 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1591
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZIA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.147447453

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.401851073       0.320231740  -4.37761     1.000000
15182 LANZIA  ( -1)       0.648618712       0.060085179  10.79499    -5.145896
15180 PNZIA   (  0)      -0.426904693       0.212752672  -2.00658     0.955416

SE of equation            =     0.291519767
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.5124202       0.952571355E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.217287120
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.2005135    
R squared                 =   0.47465
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20993
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1972.4!           *        +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1973.1!  *            +                      !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1973.2!         +           *                !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.3!       *             +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.4*             +                        !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.1!        +      *                      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1974.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!        *               +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1975.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.4!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1977.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.1!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.3!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.3!                             +*       !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                            +       * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                      *       +       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                             +        *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                         *        +   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                         *       +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                         +         *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.1!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                     +     *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      *     +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                            +    *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!             *         +              !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1998.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.1!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                           +      *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.1!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                * +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.94 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2988 LAASAIA C LASAIA(-1) PSAIA;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2988 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2989 LAAVEIA C LAVEIA(-1) PVEIA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2989 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 2990 LAACOIA C LACOIA(-1) PCOIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2990 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOIA=JOPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOIA=LOG(AAJOIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOIA=LOG(AJOIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOIA=EXP(LAAJOIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2991 LAAJOIA C LAJOIA(-1) PJOIA;                                         
EQUATION 1592  LAAJOIA  
   RHS     C  LAJOIA(-1)  PJOIA  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1592 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1592
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOIA 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.107169333

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.268765877       0.568769604  -3.98890     1.000000
15185 LAJOIA  ( -1)       0.663799522       0.078044451   8.50540    -7.091707
15183 PJOIA   (  0)      -0.112172826       0.234413622  -0.47853     1.167234

SE of equation            =     0.637767389
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.3870101       0.365307784E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.394328972
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.4896075    
R squared                 =   0.47117
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37100
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1990.4!                           *      +   !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.1!                            +     *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1991.2!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1992.1!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1992.2!                             *     +  !!           0. . .            !
 1992.3!                             +      * !!            . . . 0          !
 1992.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1993.2!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1993.3!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                               *   +  !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1997.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 2002.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 2003.4!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 2004.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                     *      +         !!          0 . . .            !
 2004.4!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 2005.2*                        +             !0            . . .            !
 2005.3!         +       *                    !!            . . .  0         !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!              *       +               !!         0  . . .            !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 2006.4!               *          +           !!       0    . . .            !
 2007.1!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                 *     +              !!           0. . .            !
 2007.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                          +   *       !!            . . .0           !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2010.2!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 2011.2!                         +    *       !!            . . .0           !
 2011.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !


     16.67 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.22 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 2992 LAASYIA C LASYIA(-1) PSYIA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2992 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2993 LAAIDIA C LAIDIA(-1) PIDIA;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2993 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAIA=MAPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAIA=LOG(AAMAIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAIA=LOG(AMAIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAIA=EXP(LAAMAIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2994 LAAMAIA C LAMAIA(-1) PMAIA;                                         
EQUATION 1593  LAAMAIA  
   RHS     C  LAMAIA(-1)  PMAIA  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1593 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1593
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAIA 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.088994370

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.024214911       0.095304518   0.25408     1.000000
15188 LAMAIA  ( -1)       0.919917296       0.024755171  37.16061    -4.101697
15186 PMAIA   (  0)      -0.302465161       0.104868574  -2.88423     1.124055

SE of equation            =     0.286704313
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.7136860      -0.327515792E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.215349660
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.1936382    
R squared                 =   0.93674
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37930
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.4!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.1!                     +*               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.2!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.3!                       + *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1968.4!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1969.1!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.2!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                      *   +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!                    * +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.3!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1971.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.1!                  *  +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.3!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!          *  +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.1!         *   +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!              + *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!            *    +                    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1976.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!          *  +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!        *  +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!   *    +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.4!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.1!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1978.3!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!        *   +                         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1979.3!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4*       +                              !!0        .    .    .         !
 1980.1!+     *                               !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1980.2!       +*                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!       + *                            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.2!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.3!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1981.4!       *       +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 1982.1!     * +                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!      +*                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.3!   *    +                             !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.4!             +*                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.1!             +  *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.2!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.4!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.1!                 +    *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1985.2!             *      +                 !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1985.3!         *   +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                     *+               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                      + *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                       *    +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1988.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                                * +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.2!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                              *      +!!  0      .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                            *   +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.3!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.1!                       *     +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1991.2!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1991.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.1!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!                             * +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                               +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.3!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.4!                           *     +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.4!                             *  +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                                + *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.2!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                                 +  * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                                  +*  !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.2!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                                   +* !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.2!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                                * +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                               +    * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2002.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!                                  +   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.1!                                  +*  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                                  +*  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                                    +*!!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                                    *+!!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                                   + *!!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                                    + !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                                    +*!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                                     +*!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                  *  +!!       0 .    .    .         !
 2009.1!                                 +  * !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!                                   +* !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!                                   +* !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.2!                                   *+ !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                                  +   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.1!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.3!                                    + !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !


     29.12 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAIA=PAPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAIA=LOG(AAPAIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAIA=LOG(APAIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAIA=EXP(LAAPAIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2995 LAAPAIA C LAPAIA(-1) PPAIA;                                         
EQUATION 1594  LAAPAIA  
   RHS     C  LAPAIA(-1)  PPAIA  
 SMPL 1979.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   110 to   244
 OLS;EST 1594 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1594
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAIA 

 1979.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  135 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.607891012

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.102626383       0.706861131  -4.38930     1.000000
15191 LAPAIA  ( -1)       0.523557905       0.073852053   7.08928    -6.614945
15189 PPAIA   (  0)      -0.033908950       0.411083403  -0.08249     1.237363

SE of equation            =     0.849350650
Sum of squared residuals  =  95.2243416       0.301270120E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.619479922
Sum of ABS residuals      =  83.6297895    
R squared                 =   0.27582
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.86196
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.2   2012.4    135

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.2!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!       *               +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1980.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!             *              +         !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1984.3*                   +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1984.4!            +        *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.2!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                            +        *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.2!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                 *             +      !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.3!                       *      +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                        +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                            *   +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.2!                   *      +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.1!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                     *       +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                        +        *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.1!                             +       *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                             +      * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                 *            +       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1999.1!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                      *      +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                          *  +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                    *      +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                   *    +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.3!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                 *        +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2010.3!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                      *   +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.41 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHIA=PHPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHIA=LOG(AAPHIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHIA=LOG(APHIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHIA=EXP(LAAPHIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 2996 LAAPHIA C LAPHIA(-1) PPHIA;                                         
EQUATION 1595  LAAPHIA  
   RHS     C  LAPHIA(-1)  PPHIA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1595 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1595
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHIA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.458740264

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.576430717       0.323443730  -4.87389     1.000000
15194 LAPHIA  ( -1)       0.706210148       0.049946033  14.13946    -5.468430
15192 PPHIA   (  0)      -0.019097305       0.187401939  -0.10191     1.070762

SE of equation            =     0.520226949
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.0676745       0.149320556E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.345651914
Sum of ABS residuals      =  64.9825597    
R squared                 =   0.52264
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.94735
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1! *  +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2*      +                               !!          0 . . .            !
 1966.3*     +                                !!           0. . .            !
 1966.4*     +                                !!           0. . .            !
 1967.1!     +                            *   !!            . . .            0
 1967.2!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1967.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1967.4!                             +    *   !!            . . 0            !
 1968.1!                      *      +        !!          0 . . .            !
 1968.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                    +                 *!            . . .      0     !
 1969.2!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1969.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1969.4!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1970.1!          *                   +       !!    0       . . .            !
 1970.2!            *+                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!           *  +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1970.4!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!             +   *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!               *  +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!                +   *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1973.2!                    +      *          !!            . . . 0          !
 1973.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!         *      +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.1!            +     *                   !!            . . .0           !
 1975.2!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 1975.3!                 *   +                !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!                 +     *              !!            . . .0           !
 1976.1!              *       +               !!          0 . . .            !
 1976.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1976.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1977.3!              +      *                !!            . . . 0          !
 1977.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                     +    *           !!            . . 0            !
 1978.2!                        +      *      !!            . . . 0          !
 1978.3!                           +      *   !!            . . .0           !
 1978.4!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                   *    +             !!            0 . .            !
 1979.4!                   +    *             !!            . . .0           !
 1980.1!                       +   *          !!            . . 0            !
 1980.2!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                     +            *   !!            . . .    0       !
 1981.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1981.2!                              +    *  !!            . . 0            !
 1981.3!                      *       +       !!          0 . . .            !
 1981.4!                *    +                !!           0. . .            !
 1982.1!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                +     *               !!            . . .0           !
 1982.3!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!              *      +                !!          0 . . .            !
 1983.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                +   *                 !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!            *       +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1984.1!   *          +                       !!         0  . . .            !
 1984.2!       *+                             !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!      *   +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1984.4!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1985.1!       *  +                           !!            0 . .            !
 1985.2!          +    *                      !!            . . 0            !
 1985.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1986.2!               +   *                  !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                     +         *      !!            . . .  0         !
 1987.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!               *  +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                  +      *            !!            . . .0           !
 1989.2!                 *     +              !!           0. . .            !
 1989.3!                  +  *                !!            . . 0            !
 1989.4!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!              *     +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1990.3!               +     *                !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!               *    +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1991.2!        *       +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.3!           +    *                     !!            . . .0           !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!           *     +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1992.2!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!          *    +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!           *  +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1993.3!             *  +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1993.4!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1994.2!             + *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.1!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                 +   *                !!            . . 0            !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                *  +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1999.3!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                  + *                 !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                   +   *              !!            . . 0            !
 2001.1!                *     +               !!           0. . .            !
 2001.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                  +   *               !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                     +   *            !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                 *+                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                 +*                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                  +                   !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!             *    +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                +*                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 2011.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !


     22.34 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  2997 LAATHIA C LATHIA(-1) PTHIA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 2997 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2998 LAACHIA C LACHIA(-1) PCHIA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 2998 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  2999 LAAARIA C LAARIA(-1) PARIA;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 2999 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3000 LAABRIA C LABRIA(-1) PBRIA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3000 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCEIA=CEPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACEIA=LOG(AACEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACEIA=LOG(ACEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACEIA=EXP(LAACEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3001 LAACEIA C LACEIA(-1) PCEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1596  LAACEIA  
   RHS     C  LACEIA(-1)  PCEIA  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1596 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1596
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACEIA 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.103651996

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.817895636       0.580797123  -3.13000     1.000000
15197 LACEIA  ( -1)       0.674547290       0.084978101   7.93790    -6.091515
15195 PCEIA   (  0)      -0.160251373       0.386107149  -0.41504     1.102901

SE of equation            =     0.367762853
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.3077060      -0.169437797E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.285855743
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.8704399    
R squared                 =   0.43293
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11329
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!         *         +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                     *        +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.2!               *     +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!                  *      +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                           +          *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.4!                            *    +    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                                +   * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.3!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                           +     *    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                   *         +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1998.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                    *       +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                    +        *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!  *                     +             !0          .   .   .          !
 2001.2!        +   *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2006.2!                     *      +         !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                 *       +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!        *              +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.1!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3*                 +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 2012.4*      +                               !!         0.   .   .          !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMEIA=MEPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMEIA=LOG(AAMEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMEIA=LOG(AMEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMEIA=EXP(LAAMEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3002 LAAMEIA C LAMEIA(-1) PMEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1597  LAAMEIA  
   RHS     C  LAMEIA(-1)  PMEIA  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST 1597 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1597
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMEIA 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.561378643

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.282282949       0.823824685  -2.77035     1.000000
15200 LAMEIA  ( -1)       0.574434787       0.079139521   7.25851    -7.572440
15198 PMEIA   (  0)      -0.846408772       0.602980598  -1.40371     1.097842

SE of equation            =     0.643397382
Sum of squared residuals  =  43.8797803      -0.222257768E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.413649222
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.0877652    
R squared                 =   0.35840
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10545
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1! *         +                          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!   *           +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1988.2!        *+                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!             +        *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!       *           +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.3*          +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1991.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!            +        *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1992.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                    +            *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.1!                          +           *!           .  .  .    0      !
 1993.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.4!                        +          *  !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!  *                       +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1994.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4*            +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.1!      +             *                 !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1995.2!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1995.3!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!     *         +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1996.2!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.4!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.4*            +                         !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1998.1!     +       *                        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.2!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!               +      *               !!           .  .  .0          !


     22.02 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPEIA=PEPX$Q/IAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPEIA=LOG(AAPEIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPEIA=LOG(APEIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPEIA=EXP(LAAPEIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3003 LAAPEIA C LAPEIA(-1) PPEIA;                                         
EQUATION 1598  LAAPEIA  
   RHS     C  LAPEIA(-1)  PPEIA  
 SMPL 1989.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   149 to   244
 OLS;EST 1598 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1598
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPEIA 

 1989.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   96 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.732848118

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.470858773       0.461431451  -3.18760     1.000000
15203 LAPEIA  ( -1)       0.770986686       0.064410434  11.96990    -7.741105
15201 PPEIA   (  0)      -0.322447702       0.209391496  -1.53993     0.910848

SE of equation            =     0.726103495
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.0320446       0.642064180E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.542659952
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.0953554    
R squared                 =   0.67452
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30578
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.1   2012.4     96

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.1!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.4!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.3!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!            *             +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1991.1!              +       *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.2!              *        +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!    *             +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1992.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!*             +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1992.3*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!         +            *               !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1993.3!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                      *           +   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.1!                        +            *!!         .    .    .        0!
 1994.2!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                                   +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.4!                              *  +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.2!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!                         *    +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.4!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1999.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.3!                                 *+   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                                 *+   !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.2!                                +     *!         .    .    0         !
 2001.3!                                   +  *!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                               *   +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                           +        * !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2002.3!                                * +   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.2!                           *   +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                      *   +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!                      *   +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.2!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2005.3!                        *    +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.4!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +    *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.2!            *     +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.3!             +        *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2007.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.3!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !


     19.79 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.25 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3004 LAATUIA C LATUIA(-1) PTUIA;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3004 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3005 LAAPDIA C LAPDIA(-1) PPDIA;SMPL 1987.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3005 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3006 LAARUIA C LARUIA(-1) PRUIA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3006 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3007 LAAUEIA C LAUEIA(-1) PUEIA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3007 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3008 LAAEGIA C LAEGIA(-1) PEGIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3008 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3009 LAAISIA C LAISIA(-1) PISIA;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3009 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3010 LAAKEIA C LAKEIA(-1) PKEIA;SMPL 1996.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3010 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAIA=BAPX$/IAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAIA=LOG(AABAIA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAIA=LOG(ABAIA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAIA=EXP(LAABAIA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3011 LAABAIA C LABAIA(-1) PBAIA;                                         
EQUATION 1599  LAABAIA  
   RHS     C  LABAIA(-1)  PBAIA  
 SMPL 1985.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1985.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   136 to   244
 OLS;EST 1599 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1599
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAIA 

 1985.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  109 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.780178854

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.485359696       0.779696495  -3.18760     1.000000
15206 LABAIA  ( -1)       0.543708196       0.078716480   6.90717    -8.781541
15204 PBAIA   (  0)      -1.286072604       0.507598907  -2.53364     1.182067

SE of equation            =     0.632290257
Sum of squared residuals  =  42.3778428      -0.134505740E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.477958048
Sum of ABS residuals      =  52.0974273    
R squared                 =   0.39599
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92390
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1985.4   2012.4    109

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1985.4!  *            +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.1! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!   *    +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!   *          +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.1!            +         *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4*                       +              !0          .   .   .          !
 1988.1!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!          +       *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!     *          +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!      *     +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!   *         +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.3!                   *       +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!        *            +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.4!                  *       +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1992.1!                    +         *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.2!                          +         * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.3!                        *      +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.1!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                            +         *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.1!                          *     +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.2!                 *      +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                    *    +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!           *          +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1996.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.3!                +    *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                  *        +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    +   *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                *      +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                    +              *  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.2!                     *       +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                        +           * !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2010.2!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                 *     +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !


     26.61 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.50 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3012 LAAHKIA C LAHKIA(-1) PHKIA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3012 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3013 LAASIIA C LASIIA(-1) PSIIA;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3013 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3014 LAAVIIA C LAVIIA(-1) PVIIA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3014 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3015 LAANIIA C LANIIA(-1) PNIIA;SMPL 1991.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3015 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3016 LAAALIA C LAALIA(-1) PALIA;SMPL 2010.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3016 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3017 LAAINIA C LAINIA(-1) PINIA;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3017 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3018 LAAIQIA C LAIQIA(-1) PIQIA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3018 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3019 LAAKUIA C LAKUIA(-1) PKUIA;SMPL 1993.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3019 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3020 LAALIIA C LALIIA(-1) PLIIA;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3020 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3021 LAAUAIA C LAUAIA(-1) PUAIA;SMPL 1987.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3021 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3022 LAAUSIN C LAUSIN(-1) PUSIN;SMPL 1999.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3022 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAIN=CAPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAIN=LOG(AACAIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAIN=LOG(ACAIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAIN=EXP(LAACAIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3023 LAACAIN C LACAIN(-1) PCAIN;                                         
EQUATION 1600  LAACAIN  
   RHS     C  LACAIN(-1)  PCAIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1600 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1600
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.803866440

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.467072311       0.408567462  -1.14320     1.000000
15209 LACAIN  ( -1)       0.679354303       0.055980835  12.13548    -4.797228
15207 PCAIN   (  0)      -0.968436707       0.411604501  -2.35283     1.112904

SE of equation            =     0.650180104
Sum of squared residuals  =  78.2058210      -0.399325017E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.480299566
Sum of ABS residuals      =  90.2963185    
R squared                 =   0.55737
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29354
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.2!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1967.1!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1967.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.3!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.4!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.3!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.2!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1973.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.3!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.1!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                  *       +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!          *         +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1979.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!        *         +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1980.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!       *             +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!  *                +                  !!0         .   .   .          !
 1981.3!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!           +           *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1982.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                      *    +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.4!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.1!                    *      +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.3!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                       *  +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.3!                  *     +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!         *        +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.4!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!             *        +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1987.4!                 +                 *  !!          .   .   .          0
 1988.1!                          *     +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                *          +          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                     +            *   !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.4!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                       *   +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                   *       +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                           +        * !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.4!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!                              +       *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                            +        *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.1!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1999.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                                +     *!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.2!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                     *    +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              *       +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.3!                *     +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.2!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2007.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.1!                    *   +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                 *     +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.4!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!      *    +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.3*             +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2012.4!    +     *                           !!          .   .   .0         !


     30.85 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3024 LAAJAIN C LAJAIN(-1) PJAIN;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3024 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUIN=AUPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUIN=LOG(AAAUIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUIN=LOG(AAUIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUIN=EXP(LAAAUIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3025 LAAAUIN C LAAUIN(-1) PAUIN;                                         
EQUATION 1601  LAAAUIN  
   RHS     C  LAAUIN(-1)  PAUIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1601 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1601
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.315655281

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.480460684       0.182425137  -2.63374     1.000000
15212 LAAUIN  ( -1)       0.869922946       0.039429320  22.06284    -4.308231
15210 PAUIN   (  0)      -0.080689491       0.100073558  -0.80630     1.082734

SE of equation            =     0.230355649
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.81678913      -0.169060321E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.181375272
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.0985511    
R squared                 =   0.73639
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35701
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.3!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1967.4!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1968.1!                  *   +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1968.2!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!                 *    +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.4!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.2!                +    *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1970.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1970.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.1!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.4!                  +*                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!               *   +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.3!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!               *    +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!         *       +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.1!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!         *    +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1979.2!          +         *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                         +*           !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                         +            *!          .   .   .          0
 1980.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                                *  +  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                           *  +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.1!                             +   *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1985.2!                            *    +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.2!                      *    +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                    *  +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.3!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                     *    +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1993.2!                    *      +          !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.4!                             +   *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                       *       +      !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1996.2!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                    *      +          !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1996.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.2!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.4!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                      *     +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                     *  +             !!          0   .   .          !
 2000.4!                     + *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2001.2!                        *    +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2001.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                   +  *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                 *  +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                 *   +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                    * +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.3!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!               *  +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.1!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!          *    +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.4!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!           *    +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!     *    +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3*        +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2012.4!  +                                   !!          .   .0  .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3026 LAAFRIN C LAFRIN(-1) PFRIN;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3026 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEIN=GEPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEIN=LOG(AAGEIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEIN=LOG(AGEIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEIN=EXP(LAAGEIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3027 LAAGEIN C LAGEIN(-1) PGEIN;                                         
EQUATION 1602  LAAGEIN  
   RHS     C  LAGEIN(-1)  PGEIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1602 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1602
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.843051998

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.032158611       0.065850823   0.48836     1.000000
15215 LAGEIN  ( -1)       0.861806037       0.039575340  21.77634    -1.836524
15213 PGEIN   (  0)      -0.270524499       0.090000310  -3.00582     1.081170

SE of equation            =     0.146810026
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.98733901      -0.201239025E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.111787390
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.0160293    
R squared                 =   0.87562
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45024
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1966.2!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.1!                                 *+   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                                 + *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.3!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1968.1!                                     +!!         .   0.    .         !
 1968.2!                                    + !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                                   +  !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                                 * +  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.1!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.3!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.4!                                 +    !!         .    0    .         !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.2!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!                                  + * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.4!                               *   +  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.1!                               +  *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1971.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                           *  +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1973.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.3!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.3!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.4!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                              +  *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                           *    +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1978.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.4!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.1!                             +        *!         .    .    .         0
 1979.2!                            *       + !!0        .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.4!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1980.4!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.2!                          *      +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.4!                           *    +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1983.1!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.2!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.4!                                *  +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                               * +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.4!                               * +    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.1!                                + *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!                               *  +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.4!                           *   +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1987.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.4!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.4!                           *    +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                       *   +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!                    *   +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1990.4!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.2!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.4!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!                      +*              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                   *  +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.2!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                 *   +                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.4!               *    +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                 *     +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1998.1!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!               *    +                 !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.1!                 +*                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                    +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                   +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.2!                 +                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2005.2!                      +*              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.4!                  *     +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2006.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.1!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!              + *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.4!                +*                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!           *+                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!           +   *                      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!             *  +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!    *       +                         !!0        .    .    .         !
 2011.1!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!    *  +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2011.4! *    +                               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2012.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2*     +                                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4! + *                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITIN=ITPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITIN=LOG(AAITIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITIN=LOG(AITIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITIN=EXP(LAAITIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3028 LAAITIN C LAITIN(-1) PITIN;                                         
EQUATION 1603  LAAITIN  
   RHS     C  LAITIN(-1)  PITIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1603 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1603
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.599749338

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.412494858       0.104448344  -3.94927     1.000000
15218 LAITIN  ( -1)       0.756506097       0.048065645  15.73902    -2.593627
15216 PITIN   (  0)      -0.235746155       0.064552552  -3.65200     0.955094

SE of equation            =     0.172686875
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.51684001       0.157629465E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.133912862
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.1756180    
R squared                 =   0.71888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.35163
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   *      +           !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1966.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1967.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                         *   +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1967.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1967.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!                    *    +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1970.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                      *   +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1971.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1971.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                    *     +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.1!              *       +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1974.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                        *   +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                *         +           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1981.2!                   +            *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1981.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                           +         *!!          .   .   .      0   !
 1982.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                                *  +  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                        *        +    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.2!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                            *   +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                            +         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.1!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.3!                        +    *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.4!                     *      +         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                     +                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                        *+            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                      *  +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.2!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.1!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.2!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!              *    +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!        *+                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.1!       *+                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!*         +                           !!   0      .   .   .          !
 2012.3*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEIN=NEPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEIN=LOG(AANEIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEIN=LOG(ANEIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEIN=EXP(LAANEIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3029 LAANEIN C LANEIN(-1) PNEIN;                                         
EQUATION 1604  LAANEIN  
   RHS     C  LANEIN(-1)  PNEIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1604 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1604
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.887127703

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.629336436       0.243014583  -2.58971     1.000000
15221 LANEIN  ( -1)       0.775879764       0.049504531  15.67290    -3.879754
15219 PNEIN   (  0)      -0.204119262       0.184997895  -1.10336     1.212863

SE of equation            =     0.231668296
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.92898690      -0.468913797E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.182985226
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.4012224    
R squared                 =   0.61044
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23635
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    *        +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1966.2!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1966.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1967.1!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.2!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                              +      *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1967.4!                           *      +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1968.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.1!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1969.2!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1969.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.2!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.1!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1971.2!                       *   +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.3!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                  +            *      !!         .    .    .         0
 1972.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.4!                        *        +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1974.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.2!                     *    +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1975.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.1!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.4!                  *     +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1978.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.2!                   +            *     !!         .    .    .        0!
 1979.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                               +      *!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.2!                               *  +   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1981.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.2!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                                 * +  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                            *  +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1982.1!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                       +        *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1982.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.4!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.3!                   *       +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.1!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.2!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                         *  +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!                         +          * !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1985.1!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                        *        +    !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!                     *     +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1987.2!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                             *    +   !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.2!                            +       * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                           *     +    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.4!                          +           *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1989.1!                        *          +  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1989.3!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.4!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1990.4!                             +      * !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!                               * +    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.2!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.4!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.3!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                  *    +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.3!                 +       *            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.4!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.1!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!                     *  +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.1!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.4!                      +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!             *     +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                  *  +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.4!                  +     *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.2!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!                    +  *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.3!                  *            +      !!0        .    .    .         !
 2006.4!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!              +      *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2007.2!                 *   +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.3!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.4!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!          *    +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.3!          *  +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2!             + *                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.3!                 +                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!       *         +                    !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2010.2!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!       *        +                     !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2011.1!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.4!          +  *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1! *             +                      !0         .    .    .         !
 2012.2*     +                                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.3!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.4!  *  +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTIN=STPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTIN=LOG(AASTIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTIN=LOG(ASTIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTIN=EXP(LAASTIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3030 LAASTIN C LASTIN(-1) PSTIN;                                         
EQUATION 1605  LAASTIN  
   RHS     C  LASTIN(-1)  PSTIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1605 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1605
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.783288802

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.894102143       0.139132758  -6.42625     1.000000
15224 LASTIN  ( -1)       0.587520848       0.059943841   9.80119    -3.772688
15222 PSTIN   (  0)      -0.680902477       0.105031814  -6.48282     0.987886

SE of equation            =     0.176033649
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.73275145      -0.450572912E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.135022874
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.3843003    
R squared                 =   0.88886
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.12356
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.2!                           *   +      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                            +  *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.4!                              *+      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!                            * +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1967.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.3!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!                        *   +         !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.2!                           + *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.3!                              +       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1968.4!                          *   +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1969.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1969.2!                          *  +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.3!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1969.4!                            +*        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.1!                              + *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                                +     *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1970.3!                                *  +  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1971.1!                             *   +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                              +*      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1971.3!                           *   +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1971.4!                            +      *  !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1972.1!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.4!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1973.2!                            *  +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1973.3!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.2!                          *     +     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1974.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                       *   +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1975.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.1!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.2!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1976.3!                           +*         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                          *+          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1977.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                    *  +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.1!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .         0
 1979.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.4!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1980.2!                           +*         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.2!                            *+        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.3!                        *  +          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.4!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .        0!
 1982.2!                          *  +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.3!                        * +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.1!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1983.3!                       * +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.4!                      *  +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.1!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.1!                       *    +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.2!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.3!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.4!                          + *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                     +      *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1987.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.3!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.4!                        + *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1988.3!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                      * +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!                      +*              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.3!              *     +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.1!                 +     *              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1990.4!                   *  +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!                 *  +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.3!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.2!              *   +                   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1993.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1993.4!                 * +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.1!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                *+                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1995.3!              *   +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.4!              +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.2!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                 + *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                   + *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.1!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1998.2!               *+                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.1!               + *                    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.2!                +*                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.4!                   +    *             !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2000.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                  +  *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.2!                   *+                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.3!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.4!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.2!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!            +                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.1!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.2!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.4!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!            * +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!           * +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!           + *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!             *+                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!          +                           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!    *     +                           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 2010.2!     +*                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!      +  *                            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!    +*                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.2!*    +                                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.3*  +                                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2012.4! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !


     32.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3031 LAAUKIN C LAUKIN(-1) PUKIN;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3031 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFIIN=FIPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFIIN=LOG(AAFIIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFIIN=LOG(AFIIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFIIN=EXP(LAAFIIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3032 LAAFIIN C LAFIIN(-1) PFIIN;                                         
EQUATION 1606  LAAFIIN  
   RHS     C  LAFIIN(-1)  PFIIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1606 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1606
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFIIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.172531548

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.248866875       0.300954105  -4.14969     1.000000
15227 LAFIIN  ( -1)       0.703939167       0.055982012  12.57438    -5.160158
15225 PFIIN   (  0)      -0.287481037       0.192751942  -1.49146     1.013031

SE of equation            =     0.424430947
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.3262014      -0.615418827E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.307882239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.8818610    
R squared                 =   0.50120
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24899
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.2!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.2!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                           +        * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1970.1!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1971.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.4!                            *  +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.2!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!   *                      +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1979.2!          +               *           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1979.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.2!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1981.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                             +       *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                        *      +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!              *        +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!                 +   *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!           *         +                !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1986.4!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                     +        *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.1!                      *    +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.1!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1994.2!                              +     * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                    +        *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.3!                          *     +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.4!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                  *           +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1998.2!           *       +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1998.3!              +           *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1998.4!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                     +         *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1999.2!                   *        +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2000.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                          +   *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!                  *    +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                       +       *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!            *        +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2009.1!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!            *     +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!         *     +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!     *          +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2011.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.4!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2*               +                      !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2012.3!      +    *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.4*               +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !


     25.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASIN=ASPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASIN=LOG(AAASIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASIN=LOG(AASIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASIN=EXP(LAAASIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3033 LAAASIN C LAASIN(-1) PASIN;                                         
EQUATION 1607  LAAASIN  
   RHS     C  LAASIN(-1)  PASIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1607 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1607
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.397245232

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.657943702       0.190811122  -3.44814     1.000000
15230 LAASIN  ( -1)       0.675774061       0.058171699  11.61689    -4.395532
15228 PASIN   (  0)      -0.654175203       0.190871566  -3.42731     1.175396

SE of equation            =     0.570382683
Sum of squared residuals  =  60.1872349      -0.548894263E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.435083626
Sum of ABS residuals      =  81.7957217    
R squared                 =   0.68642
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16714
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.2!                   *      +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1966.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1967.1!             *        +               !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1967.2!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1967.3!               *     +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1967.4!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.1!       *      +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1968.2!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.3!             *  +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.4!        *       +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1969.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.2!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.3!                 * +                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.4!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1970.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.2!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1970.3!                 *     +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1970.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1971.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!                          +*          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1972.1!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.2!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1972.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.1!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1974.3!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1975.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.4!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.1!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.3!                    * +               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                   *   +              !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.2!                    + *               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.3!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.4!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1979.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.4!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1981.1!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                         *+           !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.3!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1983.1!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.3!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.4!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                       +         *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.4!                             +  *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                        *   +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.2!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                          +   *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.4!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1987.3!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1987.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.2!                          *    +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1988.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                         +       *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.1!                  *          +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.2!                  +              *    !!         .    .    .         0
 1989.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.4!                     *    +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1990.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.3!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1991.1!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.4!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.1!               *     +                !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                 +*                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.3!      *             +                 !!0        .    .    .         !
 1992.4!            +            *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1993.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                     +        *       !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1994.1!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.2!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                 *         +          !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.1!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.3!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.4!                         +        *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1996.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!                             *  +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.4!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.2!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                       *         +    !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.1!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.2!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.1!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2001.4!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.3!                        *   +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.4!                   *    +             !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!          *           +               !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2003.4!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.2!    *         +                       !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2004.3!         +*                           !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!    *           +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2006.1!           +    *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.2!                 +    *               !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.3!        *            +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2006.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!         *   +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.2!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!      *   +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!         + *                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2008.2!*        +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.3!   *+                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.4!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.1!         +           *                !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!     *          +                     !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2009.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!   *      +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.2*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.4!  +   *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.1*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2+*                                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!+                                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!+ *                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!  +   *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!   +       *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2012.4!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !


     31.38 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3034 LAASOIN C LASOIN(-1) PSOIN;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3034 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3035 LAAKOIN C LAKOIN(-1) PKOIN;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3035 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEIN=BEPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEIN=LOG(AABEIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEIN=LOG(ABEIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEIN=EXP(LAABEIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3036 LAABEIN C LABEIN(-1) PBEIN;                                         
EQUATION 1608  LAABEIN  
   RHS     C  LABEIN(-1)  PBEIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1608 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1608
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.931257431

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.735585034       0.165214840  -4.45229     1.000000
15233 LABEIN  ( -1)       0.647257728       0.058203718  11.12056    -3.919092
15231 PBEIN   (  0)      -0.633690588       0.126224576  -5.02034     1.039955

SE of equation            =     0.227288394
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.55710262       0.161510805E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.176028058
Sum of ABS residuals      =  33.0932749    
R squared                 =   0.71006
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26000
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +    *!         .    .    .0        !
 1966.2!                            *      +  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1966.3!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.4!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1967.1!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1967.2!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1967.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1967.4!                           * +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1968.1!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.3!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 1968.4!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1969.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1969.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1970.1!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1970.2!                              +       *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1970.3!                                  *+  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!                                +    *!!         .    .    .0        !
 1971.1!                             *    +   !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2!                        *     +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.3!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1971.4!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                    *     +           !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1972.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.1!                                 +*   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.2!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!                              * +     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!                           * +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.1!                            + *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1974.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1974.4!                      *     +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                        *+            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1975.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1975.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                          *     +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.1!                        *  +          !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.3!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1976.4!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.2!                     *    +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.3!                        +  *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                        *    +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1978.3!                          + *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                       *    +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                      *   +           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1979.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.1!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                                +   * !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                                 +    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.1!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.2!                                  +   !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.3!                                *+    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1981.4!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.1!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.2!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.3!                          *     +     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1983.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1983.2!                           *   +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.3!                      *      +        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1984.4!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!                               *+     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.2!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.3!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.4!                           *    +     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1986.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1986.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.4!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.3!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.1!                           +          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.2!                       *   +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.3!                         +    *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                     *       +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1989.1!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.1!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1990.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.4!                             + *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.1!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.2!                         +  *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                     *     +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1991.4!                      +        *      !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1992.1!                         *  +         !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                    *    +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1992.4!                     +    *           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.1!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!                          +  *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.2!                           +      *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1994.3!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                       +     *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.2!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                         *+           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1997.2!                            * +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.3!                            +    *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.4!                               +      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!                              +    *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1998.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                               +     *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.4!                             *  +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.2!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1999.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .        0!
 1999.4!                                +*    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.1!                             * +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                          *  +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.3!                        * +           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.2!                           +          !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!                         +            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                         +   *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.1!                       +*             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                        +*            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.1!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                     +*               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.4!                  *  +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.3!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.4!               + *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.1!              *  +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.2!               +    *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2008.3!             *     +                  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2008.4!               +  *                   !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!             *   +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.2!             + *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!             * +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!     *      +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!  *      +                            !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.4*          +                           !0         .    .    .         !


     30.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEIN=DEPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEIN=LOG(AADEIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEIN=LOG(ADEIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEIN=EXP(LAADEIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3037 LAADEIN C LADEIN(-1) PDEIN;                                         
EQUATION 1609  LAADEIN  
   RHS     C  LADEIN(-1)  PDEIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1609 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1609
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.018924623

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.511907092       0.195131123  -2.62340     1.000000
15236 LADEIN  ( -1)       0.811873053       0.046086423  17.61632    -5.013972
15234 PDEIN   (  0)      -0.405592272       0.184032586  -2.20392     1.075733

SE of equation            =     0.266634783
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.1524099       0.104707354E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.196094056
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.8656826    
R squared                 =   0.75341
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20463
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1966.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.1!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!                *             +       !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1967.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1967.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.1!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1969.2!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.4!               *          +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1970.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1970.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.3!                         *    +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.4!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.1!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.3!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.2!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                               +  *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                           *   +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                              +    *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.2!                              *  +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.4!                  *       +           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 1982.2!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                                *  +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                            +      *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                                * +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!                      *        +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!                *      +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.3!                  +       *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.1!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.3!                            +    *    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!               *             +        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                +       *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.3!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                   +           *      !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1993.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!        *      +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1998.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.4!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.4!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.1!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2006.4*   +                                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!  +*                                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!     +     *                          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.3!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.1!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!*       +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2009.1!  +*                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.1!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!      +  *                            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!     *   +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!   *  +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !


     23.94 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOIN=NOPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOIN=LOG(AANOIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOIN=LOG(ANOIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOIN=EXP(LAANOIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3038 LAANOIN C LANOIN(-1) PNOIN;                                         
EQUATION 1610  LAANOIN  
   RHS     C  LANOIN(-1)  PNOIN  
 SMPL 1972.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    81 to   244
 OLS;EST 1610 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1610
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOIN 

 1972.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  164 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.605997694

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.911637722       0.403056585  -7.22389     1.000000
15239 LANOIN  ( -1)       0.434884021       0.070650191   6.15545    -6.585330
15237 PNOIN   (  0)      -0.875934375       0.197593534  -4.43301     0.948136

SE of equation            =     0.700327816
Sum of squared residuals  =  78.9639069      -0.940580946E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.566311442
Sum of ABS residuals      =  92.8750765    
R squared                 =   0.42666
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11900
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.1   2012.4    164

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.1!                          +    *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1972.2!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.3!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.4!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.2!                     +           *    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1973.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1974.2!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1974.3!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1974.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1975.1!                    +        *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1975.2!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.1!              *       +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.3!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.4!                 *   +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.2!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.3!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1978.3!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1978.4!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.1!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!               *      +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1979.3!                 +             *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1979.4!                        +  *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                      +*              !!         .    0    .         !
 1980.2!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.4!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.1!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                    +     *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                     +     *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.3!              *    +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.4!                +               *     !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.1!                *    +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1984.2!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.3!               +     *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1984.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.1!                  +      *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!          *          +                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1985.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1985.4!        *        +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1986.1!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1986.2!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!               *   +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                  +                  *!!         .    .    .         0
 1987.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.3!               *    +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                     +  *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!                      +               *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1988.3!                    *        +        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.1!                    +   *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.3!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                     +       *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1990.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!                      + *             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.1!                      +           *   !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.3!                       +      *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1991.4!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                         + *          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                    *   +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.4!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.2!                     +      *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.3!                 *      +             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.4!                   +     *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.1!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!           *       +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.3!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.2!         *          +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1995.3!          *     +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.1!                    +     *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!            *          +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1996.3!         *       +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!                +       *             !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1997.1!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!              *       +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1997.3!         *         +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1997.4!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!    *             +                   !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1998.3!              +   *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!      *              +                !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1999.1!      *        +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.2!       *       +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.3!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1999.4!          *   +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!         *     +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.2!     *         +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.3!            +          *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.4!                    +          *      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2001.1!                   *    +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!         *        +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2001.3!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  +        *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!             *         +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2002.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.4!       *          +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2003.1!             + *                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!          *      +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!               *     +                !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.3!               +          *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2004.4!                 *  +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                +  *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!           *    +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.3!       *    +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.1!             +       *                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.2!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.3!      *    +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!         +  *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.3!     *     +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.4! *     +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.1!     +      *                         !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.2!  *     +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!     +      *                         !!         .    .    .0        !
 2008.4!      *     +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1*         +                            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2009.2!  *   +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.3!        +           *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2009.4!    *          +                      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2010.1*        +                             !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.2!     +  *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.3!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!          +     *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.1!  *        +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!   +                                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!     +   *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.4!   *   +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.1*    +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.2!  +  *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!     +  *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!*     +                               !!         0    .    .         !


     32.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWIN=SWPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWIN=LOG(AASWIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWIN=LOG(ASWIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWIN=EXP(LAASWIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3039 LAASWIN C LASWIN(-1) PSWIN;                                         
EQUATION 1611  LAASWIN  
   RHS     C  LASWIN(-1)  PSWIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1611 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1611
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.383293304

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.229593227       0.220663581  -1.04047     1.000000
15242 LASWIN  ( -1)       0.825606402       0.045050343  18.32631    -4.372303
15240 PSWIN   (  0)      -0.452802758       0.191859653  -2.36007     1.201182

SE of equation            =     0.286647879
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.2008963       0.263811195E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.216363413
Sum of ABS residuals      =  40.6763216    
R squared                 =   0.72922
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13903
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                       * +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.1!                      *  +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!                      *   +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.2!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1968.3!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                         +*           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.2!                      *   +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.3!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.4!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!                   * +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                      * +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.2!                     *+               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                    * +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                      + *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!                      +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                    +    *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                    *    +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1980.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                           *   +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                           *+         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                              * +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!                              +  *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                                 +    *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1984.2!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                             * +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                         *    +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                     *   +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                       +              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                     * +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                    +*                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.2!                  * +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                  +  *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1990.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                         +   *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                            +    *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                       *       +      !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                        +*            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.4!                    *   +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                      *+              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!            *      +                  !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1994.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                 * +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                 +     *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                    *  +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                   *+                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2000.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.3!                        *+            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                        +  *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                         +  *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.1!                           + *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           +  *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.1!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                             +*       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                              +*      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                            +  *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                       *      +       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                   *  +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.2!                *  +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2007.3!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.1!                     *   +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                *   +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.3!                 *   +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2011.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!       *            +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 2012.2!   *     +                            !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2012.3*      +                               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2012.4!   + *                                !!           .  .  0           !


     28.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRIN=GRPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRIN=LOG(AAGRIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRIN=LOG(AGRIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRIN=EXP(LAAGRIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3040 LAAGRIN C LAGRIN(-1) PGRIN;                                         
EQUATION 1612  LAAGRIN  
   RHS     C  LAGRIN(-1)  PGRIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1612 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1612
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.996344537

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.850959976       0.440210771  -4.20471     1.000000
15245 LAGRIN  ( -1)       0.512981321       0.062823528   8.16543    -6.987782
15243 PGRIN   (  0)      -1.450663124       0.375094932  -3.86746     1.075910

SE of equation            =     0.766337573
Sum of squared residuals  =  108.645556       0.121964661E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.582228314
Sum of ABS residuals      =  109.458923    
R squared                 =   0.43379
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37549
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1966.2!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1966.4!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.1!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1967.2!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.3!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1967.4!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.1!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1968.2!         *     +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1968.3!        *    +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1968.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.1!         *   +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1969.2!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1969.3!            +    *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.4!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1970.1!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1970.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.3!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1970.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.1!        *        +                    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1971.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.2!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1972.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.4!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1973.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.3!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1973.4!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1974.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                 +   *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.3!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1976.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.2!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.1!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1977.2!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.3!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1977.4!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1978.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.4!            *    +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1979.1!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1979.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1980.1!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!                       +       *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1980.3!                        +         *   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.4!                         +            *!         .    .    .      0  !
 1981.1!                            +         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1981.2!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1981.3!                       +   *          !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                      +      *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                       +  *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.2!              *       +               !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1982.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1983.2!                 +     *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.3!                  *  +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.1!                     +   *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                    * +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.3!                   +       *          !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.4!                      +       *       !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.2!                      +      *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.3!                        +    *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                 *  +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.4!  *               +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1987.1!         +          *                 !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1987.2!     *             +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1987.3!           + *                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1988.2!      *       +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1988.3!            +      *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.1!    *             +                   !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1989.2*        +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.3!      +      *                        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1989.4!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!           +             *            !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.1!          *     +                     !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.3!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                +    *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.4!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!   *           +                      !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1993.3!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!       *          +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1994.2!           +            *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.3!       *            +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1994.4!           +*                         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!         *   +                        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.3!            *    +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.4!   *         +                        !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.1!         +  *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.3!              * +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.4!               +      *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.1!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.3!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!               +                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!        *      +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1999.3!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.4!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.1!            *  +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.2!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2001.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2001.2!                   +   *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!       *            +                 !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2001.4!           +  *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2002.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2003.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2003.2!          *+                          !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.4!         *  +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!          +    *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.2!      *      +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.3!         +     *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 2004.4!        *     +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!          +             *             !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2005.2!      *           +                   !!   0     .    .    .         !
 2005.3!         +      *                     !!         .    .    .0        !
 2005.4!              +    *                  !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.2!           *   +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!     *     +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 2006.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!         +*                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!     *    +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.4!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!        *+                            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.2!      *+                              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4!      * +                             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!        + *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!       + *                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.1!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!        +                             !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.3!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!        +*                            !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.2!       +   *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2011.4!       + *                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.1!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !


     26.60 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3041 LAAIRIN C LAIRIN(-1) PIRIN;SMPL 1970.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3041 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOIN=POPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOIN=LOG(AAPOIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOIN=LOG(APOIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOIN=EXP(LAAPOIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3042 LAAPOIN C LAPOIN(-1) PPOIN;                                         
EQUATION 1613  LAAPOIN  
   RHS     C  LAPOIN(-1)  PPOIN  
 SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   127 to   244
 OLS;EST 1613 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1613
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOIN 

 1983.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  118 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.306413722

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.842787626       1.107547611  -2.56674     1.000000
15248 LAPOIN  ( -1)       0.572254983       0.077644534   7.37019    -7.306510
15246 PPOIN   (  0)      -0.218387093       0.823065923  -0.26533     1.293298

SE of equation            =     0.829639598
Sum of squared residuals  =  79.1547142      -0.968469749E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.611434423
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.1492619    
R squared                 =   0.33256
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.43714
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.3   2012.4    118

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!         *               +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1985.1!             +                        *!          .   .   .          0
 1985.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                          +        *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!                            +         *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                           +          *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.4!                              +   *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                           +      *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                       *    +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!              +             *         !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1990.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!      *              +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.3!           +         *                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!     *               +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!           +       *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                  *     +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!       *        +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.3!            +           *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!             *        +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!               +           *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.2!                   *    +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                   *     +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.2!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.3!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4*              +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1997.1!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!         *      +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!         *   +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!           *    +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!          *   +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!       *         +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!           *     +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.3!              +       *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.4!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.2!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.3!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!              *     +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!             *     +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.4!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!        *      +                      !!          0   .   .          !


     29.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.08 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPIN=SPPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPIN=LOG(AASPIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPIN=LOG(ASPIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPIN=EXP(LAASPIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3043 LAASPIN C LASPIN(-1) PSPIN;                                         
EQUATION 1614  LAASPIN  
   RHS     C  LASPIN(-1)  PSPIN  
 SMPL 1971.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    78 to   244
 OLS;EST 1614 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1614
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPIN 

 1971.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  167 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.261756228

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.401353812       0.244935045  -1.63861     1.000000
15251 LASPIN  ( -1)       0.741896133       0.053138384  13.96159    -4.260572
15249 PSPIN   (  0)      -0.590532843       0.233284011  -2.53139     1.184524

SE of equation            =     0.344338961
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.4453685      -0.742472750E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.252756633
Sum of ABS residuals      =  42.2103577    
R squared                 =   0.67583
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.26115
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.2   2012.4    167

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1971.3!          *       +                   !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1971.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1972.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1972.2!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1972.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!    *          +                      !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1973.1!        +*                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.2!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!          *   +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1973.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.1!       *    +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.2!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1974.3*        +                             !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1974.4!    +      *                          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1975.1!       *     +                        !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1975.2!          +*                          !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.3!             +   *                    !!         .    .    0         !
 1975.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1976.2!             *     +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1976.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.1!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.2!           *   +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1977.3!            *  +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1977.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.1!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.4!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.2!         *            +               !0         .    .    .         !
 1979.3!            + *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.4!                +           *         !!         .    .    .         0
 1980.1!                        *  +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.2!                        +   *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1980.3!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.4!                            +         *!         .    .    .       0 !
 1981.1!                            *      +  !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.2!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.3!                           +    *     !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.4!                              +  *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1982.1!                            *  +      !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1982.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.1!                              *    +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1983.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.3!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.4!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.4!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1985.1!                        +   *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.3!                     *  +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1986.4!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!                     +  *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.2!                  *    +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!             *       +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.3!       *       +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1988.4!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1989.1!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.2!                  +  *                !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.3!            *       +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1989.4!             +           *            !!         .    .    .         0
 1990.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.2!                    +*                !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.1!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1991.2!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1991.3!                 *  +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.4!                +        *            !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.1!                 *     +              !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                +   *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1992.3!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!               *+                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.1!     *         +                      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1993.2!         + *                          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.3!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!               +*                     !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.1!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.2!                  *   +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1995.3!                   + *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.4!                    +  *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                      +    *          !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.3!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.4!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.1!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                       +      *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1998.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.3!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.2!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                         +     *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2000.2!                             +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.3!                       +              !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                       +*             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.1!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                     * +              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                   +   *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2005.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                *   +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                * +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.3!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                +                     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!                + *                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.1!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!                *  +                  !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!               *   +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.1!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!            +   *                     !!         .    .    0         !
 2009.3!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.4!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!               + *                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                +                     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!                +  *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!               *+                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !


     22.75 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZIN=NZPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZIN=LOG(AANZIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZIN=LOG(ANZIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZIN=EXP(LAANZIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3044 LAANZIN C LANZIN(-1) PNZIN;                                         
EQUATION 1615  LAANZIN  
   RHS     C  LANZIN(-1)  PNZIN  
 SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   112 to   244
 OLS;EST 1615 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1615
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZIN 

 1979.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  133 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.429891828

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.777043459       0.498365281  -1.55918     1.000000
15254 LANZIN  ( -1)       0.564153639       0.071773618   7.86018    -5.423140
15252 PNZIN   (  0)      -1.425193202       0.482995218  -2.95074     1.117999

SE of equation            =     0.820554600
Sum of squared residuals  =  87.5302806       0.139888101E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.601630980
Sum of ABS residuals      =  80.0169203    
R squared                 =   0.47903
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.95422
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.4   2012.4    133

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.4!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                        +        *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                              +     * !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!                            +        *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.2!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1*                           +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1982.2!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                +                  *  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1982.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                           +       *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1983.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                            +     *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!             *               +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1988.3!                 +            *       !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.1!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                   +        *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.1!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!           *           +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.3!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1990.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.2!                      +    *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!              *          +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!         *          +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.4!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                  +        *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.2!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.1!                     +           *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!              *           +           !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1997.1*                 +                    !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1997.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.4!                +      *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!               *      +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.3!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!               *    +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2005.2!     *        +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!           *     +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!            *   +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.4!          +           *               !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!             +    *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !


     22.56 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.01 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3045 LAASAIN C LASAIN(-1) PSAIN;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3045 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3046 LAAVEIN C LAVEIN(-1) PVEIN;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3046 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3047 LAACOIN C LACOIN(-1) PCOIN;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3047 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOIN=JOPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOIN=LOG(AAJOIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOIN=LOG(AJOIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOIN=EXP(LAAJOIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3048 LAAJOIN C LAJOIN(-1) PJOIN;                                         
EQUATION 1616  LAAJOIN  
   RHS     C  LAJOIN(-1)  PJOIN  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1616 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1616
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOIN 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.491015391

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.787955595       0.458879426  -3.89635     1.000000
15257 LAJOIN  ( -1)       0.570611514       0.082491202   6.91724    -7.489384
15255 PJOIN   (  0)      -1.036822545       0.260207990  -3.98459     1.378762

SE of equation            =     0.686495658
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.0010370       0.262367905E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.520269684
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.8242716    
R squared                 =   0.68942
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09172
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!       *       +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.4!       *       +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.1!                  +             *     !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1991.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.4!                                 +    *!         .    .   0.         !
 1992.1!                              *    +  !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.2!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                        *      +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                           + *        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                   *     +            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.2!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.3!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                     + *              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.1!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.2!                            +    *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.3!                             +     *  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1995.4!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.3!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                            +     *   !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.1!                     *         +      !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.2!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.3!                       *+             !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                       *  +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!                        +       *     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1998.2!                              +  *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1!                         *     +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1999.3!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                  *        +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.3!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                      +               !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.3!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.2!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                       *+             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                         +       *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.2!                  *           +       !!  0      .    .    .         !
 2003.3!                     +          *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2003.4!              *               +       !0         .    .    .         !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.3!                          +           *!         .    .    .     0   !
 2004.4!                            *    +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2005.1!                 *          +         !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2005.4!                            *+        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                          +      *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 2006.2!                           * +        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.3!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2006.4!                            *+        !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.2!                      *  +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2007.3!                *     +               !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!        *          +                  !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2008.1!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2008.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.3!    *    +                            !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!  +*                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!+*                                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.2! +       *                            !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2009.3!          +  *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.1!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.2!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!  *       +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!    *  +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.1!        +   *                         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.2!            +  *                      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.3!      *       +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.4!       +  *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.1*         +                            !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.2!+  *                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.3!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !


     27.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.44 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3049 LAASYIN C LASYIN(-1) PSYIN;SMPL 1982.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3049 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3050 LAAIDIN C LAIDIN(-1) PIDIN;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3050 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAIN=MAPX$Q/INPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAIN=LOG(AAMAIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAIN=LOG(AMAIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAIN=EXP(LAAMAIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3051 LAAMAIN C LAMAIN(-1) PMAIN;                                         
EQUATION 1617  LAAMAIN  
   RHS     C  LAMAIN(-1)  PMAIN  
 SMPL 1967.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1967.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    63 to   244
 OLS;EST 1617 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1617
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAIN 

 1967.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  182 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.810505493

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.467796247       0.298529770  -1.56700     1.000000
15260 LAMAIN  ( -1)       0.841719752       0.041480390  20.29199    -5.825314
15258 PMAIN   (  0)      -0.343169201       0.229447821  -1.49563     1.280498

SE of equation            =     0.639129405
Sum of squared residuals  =  73.1190649      -0.160405023E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.457307878
Sum of ABS residuals      =  83.2300338    
R squared                 =   0.74610
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.78299
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1967.3   2012.4    182

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1967.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.1!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.4!                +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.3!        *      +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1974.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1975.3!        +  *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.1!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.4!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!      *   +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.4!       +    *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1979.4!         *          +                 !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1980.1!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!           +    *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.4!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!                +        *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                *       +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.2!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.2!          *        +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.3!            +            *            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1985.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!  *                     +             !0           .  .  .           !
 1987.1!      +             *                 !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1987.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4*                     +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1988.1!    +              *                  !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1988.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!                     *      +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                      +       *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.2!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                          +           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                   *       +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                   *      +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                *        +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1992.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.4!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.4!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                              *  +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.4!                              *  +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2007.4!                               *    + !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                                  +   *!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                               *    + !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.30 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3052 LAAPAIN C LAPAIN(-1) PPAIN;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3052 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3053 LAAPHIN C LAPHIN(-1) PPHIN;SMPL 1999.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3053 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3054 LAATHIN C LATHIN(-1) PTHIN;SMPL 1980.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3054 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3055 LAACHIN C LACHIN(-1) PCHIN;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3055 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3056 LAAARIN C LAARIN(-1) PARIN;SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3056 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3057 LAABRIN C LABRIN(-1) PBRIN;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3057 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3058 LAACEIN C LACEIN(-1) PCEIN;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3058 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3059 LAAMEIN C LAMEIN(-1) PMEIN;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3059 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3060 LAAPEIN C LAPEIN(-1) PPEIN;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3060 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3061 LAATUIN C LATUIN(-1) PTUIN;SMPL 1971.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3061 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDIN=PDPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDIN=LOG(AAPDIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDIN=LOG(APDIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDIN=EXP(LAAPDIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3062 LAAPDIN C LAPDIN(-1) PPDIN;                                         
EQUATION 1618  LAAPDIN  
   RHS     C  LAPDIN(-1)  PPDIN  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1618 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1618
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDIN 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.992758920

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.415664441       0.454129890  -0.91530     1.000000
15263 LAPDIN  ( -1)       0.799145019       0.053915219  14.82225    -5.973178
15261 PPDIN   (  0)      -0.622580361       0.337918411  -1.84240     1.290852

SE of equation            =     0.332192308
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.5732627      -0.249666954E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.231805818
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.2075331    
R squared                 =   0.68452
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.16666
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.2!                                  +  *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.3!                                 +  * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                                *+    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!                            + *       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                *          +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                   +          *       !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!            *                +        !0          .   .   .          !
 1986.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                +    *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.1!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1992.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!                *          +          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1993.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!            *           +             !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1998.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!           +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.4!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!           +           *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 2001.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2002.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!               *     +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2005.2!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2006.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!               *      +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2010.4!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.4!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.2!   *     +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.3*     +                                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!   +                                  !!          .   0   .          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3063 LAARUIN C LARUIN(-1) PRUIN;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3063 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3064 LAAUEIN C LAUEIN(-1) PUEIN;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3064 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGIN=EGPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGIN=LOG(AAEGIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGIN=LOG(AEGIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGIN=EXP(LAAEGIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3065 LAAEGIN C LAEGIN(-1) PEGIN;                                         
EQUATION 1619  LAAEGIN  
   RHS     C  LAEGIN(-1)  PEGIN  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1619 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1619
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGIN 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -8.695029571

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.443952291       1.157159308  -0.38366     1.000000
15266 LAEGIN  ( -1)       0.886323095       0.049970736  17.73684    -8.705712
15264 PEGIN   (  0)      -0.413117453       0.781799410  -0.52842     1.295040

SE of equation            =     0.721346762
Sum of squared residuals  =  49.4324093       0.244977372E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.376386393
Sum of ABS residuals      =  36.8858665    
R squared                 =   0.77007
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.97196
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!         *            +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!            +   *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!*                  +                  !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1994.2!  +                                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!    +*                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!  *   +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1*     +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.3*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!  +                     *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1997.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!   *                    +             !!0         .   .   .          !
 1998.2!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!   * +                                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!    +                                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!         +                    *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 2000.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                             + *      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                      *      +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.1!        *               +             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2004.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!        * +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!         +*                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!           *+                         !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!            +       *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                     +           *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2008.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                            +      *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!                                   +  *!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                   + *!!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                             +  *     !!          .   . 0 .          !


     12.24 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3066 LAAISIN C LAISIN(-1) PISIN;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3066 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3067 LAAKEIN C LAKEIN(-1) PKEIN;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3067 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAIN=BAPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAIN=LOG(AABAIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAIN=LOG(ABAIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAIN=EXP(LAABAIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3068 LAABAIN C LABAIN(-1) PBAIN;                                         
EQUATION 1620  LAABAIN  
   RHS     C  LABAIN(-1)  PBAIN  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1620 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1620
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAIN 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.545680578

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.126946387       0.406525404  -5.23201     1.000000
15269 LABAIN  ( -1)       0.634540904       0.057690932  10.99897    -6.560243
15267 PBAIN   (  0)      -0.167306152       0.167484945  -0.99893     1.530078

SE of equation            =     0.563784753
Sum of squared residuals  =  50.5386664       0.750866036E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.435363425
Sum of ABS residuals      =  70.5288749    
R squared                 =   0.45841
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27216
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!*       +                             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1972.4*        +                             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.1!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1974.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.4!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!             *      +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.3!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                    +       *         !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.3!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.2!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.3!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.4!          *        +                  !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1983.1!               +          *           !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1983.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1983.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.1!                      +  *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!                       +    *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1986.1!                    *           +     !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1986.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!               *           +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1987.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.1!                            +   *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                 *           +        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.3!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.4!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1989.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.3!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.1!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.2!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                       +      *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1998.3!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                     *      +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.3!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                  *     +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.4!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !


     25.93 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKIN=HKPX$/INPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKIN=LOG(AAHKIN+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKIN=LOG(AHKIN+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKIN=EXP(LAAHKIN)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3069 LAAHKIN C LAHKIN(-1) PHKIN;                                         
EQUATION 1621  LAAHKIN  
   RHS     C  LAHKIN(-1)  PHKIN  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1621 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1621
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKIN 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.855830957

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.126669642       0.292640490  -3.85001     1.000000
15272 LAHKIN  ( -1)       0.808902316       0.042689447  18.94853    -6.856252
15270 PHKIN   (  0)      -0.113826141       0.078915838  -1.44237     1.608800

SE of equation            =     0.410513722
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.1764805       0.276756396E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.307263945
Sum of ABS residuals      =  57.7656216    
R squared                 =   0.68071
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.23530
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!               *+                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1966.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1966.4!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1969.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.2!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.2!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1972.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.2!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.3!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.4!               +      *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.1!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.4!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1975.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!             *  +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1975.4!           * +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                  + *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +             *          !!          .   .   .          0
 1979.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.1!                             +     *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                                +   * !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.1!                 *       +            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.2!     *           +                    !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1982.3!    *  +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!       +        *                     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1983.2!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.1!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.2!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!       *      +                       !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.3!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!    *         +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1988.1!  *   +                               !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.2!     + *                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!         +     *                      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.4!           *    +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1989.1!            +*                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.4!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.1!        *        +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!          + *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.3!   *         +                        !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1991.4!      +                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!          +   *                       !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.3!           *  +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.2!         *       +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!    *       +                         !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1994.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1994.2!      *     +                         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.3!     *  +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.1!  +  *                                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!         * +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.4!          +*                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.2!     *   +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!       +       *                      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.4!            *  +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.2!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!         *        +                   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1999.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                *+                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                 * +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                      + *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                    +*                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3070 LAASIIN C LASIIN(-1) PSIIN;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3070 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3071 LAAVIIN C LAVIIN(-1) PVIIN;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3071 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3072 LAANIIN C LANIIN(-1) PNIIN;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3072 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3073 LAAALIN C LAALIN(-1) PALIN;SMPL 2011.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3073 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3074 LAAIAIN C LAIAIN(-1) PIAIN;SMPL 1986.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3074 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3075 LAAIQIN C LAIQIN(-1) PIQIN;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3075 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3076 LAAKUIN C LAKUIN(-1) PKUIN;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3076 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3077 LAALIIN C LALIIN(-1) PLIIN;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3077 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3078 LAAUAIN C LAUAIN(-1) PUAIN;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3078 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3079 LAAUSIQ C LAUSIQ(-1) PUSIQ;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3079 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3080 LAACAIQ C LACAIQ(-1) PCAIQ;SMPL 2003.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3080 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3081 LAAJAIQ C LAJAIQ(-1) PJAIQ;SMPL 1996.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3081 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3082 LAAAUIQ C LAAUIQ(-1) PAUIQ;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3082 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3083 LAAFRIQ C LAFRIQ(-1) PFRIQ;SMPL 1997.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3083 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEIQ=GEPX$/IQPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEIQ=LOG(AAGEIQ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEIQ=LOG(AGEIQ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEIQ=EXP(LAAGEIQ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3084 LAAGEIQ C LAGEIQ(-1) PGEIQ;                                         
EQUATION 1622  LAAGEIQ  
   RHS     C  LAGEIQ(-1)  PGEIQ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1622 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1622
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEIQ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.701783343

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.648828217       0.363644831   1.78424     1.000000
15275 LAGEIQ  ( -1)       0.723126732       0.046940324  15.40524    -2.693351
15273 PGEIQ   (  0)      -1.407281028       0.387709354  -3.62973     0.996942

SE of equation            =     0.544126390
Sum of squared residuals  =  54.7736027      -0.151079149E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.349597075
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.7242502    
R squared                 =   0.64227
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.44814
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                         *  +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.2!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1969.4!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.1!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                       *     +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                                   +  *!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.3!                                  +   *!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                                  +  *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!                                  +  *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.2!                                   + *!!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                                *+    !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                               *+     !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                         +        *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!             *               +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1991.1*      +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.2!     +      *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!          *      +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.3!       *    +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.4!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!           +           *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                  *    +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                 *            +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!             *          +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1995.4!    *           +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1996.1!         +         *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.2!              *      +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!  *                 +                 !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1997.1!         +                 *          !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1997.2!*                          +          !0           .  .  .           !
 1997.3!    *  +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.4!         +        *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                   +        *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!       *              +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2000.2!            +          *              !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.3!                    *        +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2001.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                        *   +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                       +      *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2003.2!                    *       +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.3!                    +   *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                  *    +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                    *  +              !!           . 0.  .           !


     16.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3085 LAAITIQ C LAITIQ(-1) PITIQ;SMPL 1998.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3085 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3086 LAANEIQ C LANEIQ(-1) PNEIQ;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3086 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3087 LAASTIQ C LASTIQ(-1) PSTIQ;SMPL 1998.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3087 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKIQ=UKPX$/IQPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKIQ=LOG(AAUKIQ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKIQ=LOG(AUKIQ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKIQ=EXP(LAAUKIQ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3088 LAAUKIQ C LAUKIQ(-1) PUKIQ;                                         
EQUATION 1623  LAAUKIQ  
   RHS     C  LAUKIQ(-1)  PUKIQ  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1623 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1623
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKIQ 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.112532857

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.039770736       0.305810225   0.13005     1.000000
15278 LAUKIQ  ( -1)       0.811624045       0.041673670  19.47570    -3.096082
15276 PUKIQ   (  0)      -0.649756402       0.325769468  -1.99453     0.984137

SE of equation            =     0.589545515
Sum of squared residuals  =  64.2993241      -0.769118103E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.377076978
Sum of ABS residuals      =  70.8904720    
R squared                 =   0.71375
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32001
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1966.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1967.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1968.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1969.3!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1969.4!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.2!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 1974.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 1975.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1982.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                         +    *       !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                           +     *    !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!  *                           +       !0            . . .            !
 1991.1*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1991.2!   +           *                      !!            . . .   0        !
 1991.3!                + *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                     +           *    !!            . . .   0        !
 1992.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                          *     +     !!           0. . .            !
 1993.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                    *    +            !!           0. . .            !
 1993.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!             *          +             !!        0   . . .            !
 1994.4!               +       *              !!            . . . 0          !
 1995.1!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!              *        +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1995.3!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!             *      +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 1996.3!          *     +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1996.4!             +                *       !!            . . .      0     !
 1997.1!             *               +        !!      0     . . .            !
 1997.2!      *        +                      !!         0  . . .            !
 1997.3!         +      *                     !!            . . . 0          !
 1997.4!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1998.1!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!                 +    *               !!            . . .0           !
 1998.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                  *   +               !!            0 . .            !
 1999.1!                   +      *           !!            . . . 0          !
 1999.2!                    *    +            !!            0 . .            !
 1999.3!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1999.4!          *           +               !!       0    . . .            !
 2000.1!            +       *                 !!            . . .  0         !
 2000.2!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 2000.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!             *       +                !!          0 . . .            !
 2001.1!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                +  *                  !!            . . 0            !
 2001.3!                   *+                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!              *     +                 !!           0. . .            !
 2002.1!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!             *  +                     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!               +    *                 !!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                   +         *        !!            . . .   0        !
 2003.3!                    *       +         !!          0 . . .            !
 2003.4!                     +       *        !!            . . . 0          !
 2004.1!                    *       +         !!          0 . . .            !
 2004.2!            *       +                 !!          0 . . .            !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!            . . 0            !
 2004.4!                  +*                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                   +  *               !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                   *  +               !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 2005.4!             *    +                   !!           0. . .            !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 2006.3!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!            *    +                    !!           0. . .            !
 2007.1!              + *                     !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                 +*                   !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2008.1!                 + *                  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!            *      +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 2008.3!              +                       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!              *   +                   !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!           *    +                     !!           0. . .            !
 2009.3!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!             *    +                   !!           0. . .            !
 2010.2!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!            *   +                     !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!              *+                      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!         *      +                     !!          0 . . .            !
 2011.3!           +                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!          *   +                       !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!             * +                      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.4!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.26 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3089 LAAFIIQ C LAFIIQ(-1) PFIIQ;SMPL 1998.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3089 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3090 LAAASIQ C LAASIQ(-1) PASIQ;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3090 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3091 LAASOIQ C LASOIQ(-1) PSOIQ;SMPL 2001.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3091 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3092 LAAKOIQ C LAKOIQ(-1) PKOIQ;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3092 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3093 LAABEIQ C LABEIQ(-1) PBEIQ;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3093 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3094 LAADEIQ C LADEIQ(-1) PDEIQ;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3094 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3095 LAANOIQ C LANOIQ(-1) PNOIQ;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3095 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3096 LAASWIQ C LASWIQ(-1) PSWIQ;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3096 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3097 LAAGRIQ C LAGRIQ(-1) PGRIQ;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3097 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3098 LAAIRIQ C LAIRIQ(-1) PIRIQ;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3098 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3099 LAAPOIQ C LAPOIQ(-1) PPOIQ;SMPL 2004.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3099 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3100 LAASPIQ C LASPIQ(-1) PSPIQ;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3100 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3101 LAANZIQ C LANZIQ(-1) PNZIQ;SMPL 2008.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3101 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3102 LAASAIQ C LASAIQ(-1) PSAIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3102 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3103 LAAVEIQ C LAVEIQ(-1) PVEIQ;SMPL 2010.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3103 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3104 LAACOIQ C LACOIQ(-1) PCOIQ;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3104 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOIQ=JOPX$Q/IQPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOIQ=LOG(AAJOIQ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOIQ=LOG(AJOIQ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOIQ=EXP(LAAJOIQ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3105 LAAJOIQ C LAJOIQ(-1) PJOIQ;                                         
EQUATION 1624  LAAJOIQ  
   RHS     C  LAJOIQ(-1)  PJOIQ  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1624 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1624
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOIQ 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.886560901

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.136893507       0.155114844  -0.88253     1.000000
15281 LAJOIQ  ( -1)       0.944731860       0.030853525  30.61990    -2.890316
15279 PJOIQ   (  0)      -0.016884121       0.145295797  -0.11621     1.130855

SE of equation            =     0.369620704
Sum of squared residuals  =  16.8041942       0.812239165E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.253850349
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.9851439    
R squared                 =   0.90175
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.70901
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!  *   +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.1*   +                                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1983.2!+*                                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!     + *                              !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!        + *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!       *   +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!        *   +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!             +  *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!          *      +                    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1988.3!      *   +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.4!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!            +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!           *   +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!            +   *                     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                +            *        !!           .  .  .           0
 1991.1!                            +         *!           .  .  .       0   !
 1991.2!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                              *    +  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.1!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                        +  *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                            + *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                              +     * !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                            +         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                            *+        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                           *  +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!                      *  +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1998.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                      +               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2001.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                        + *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                    +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                  +                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.2!                 *+                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!              *   +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!           +                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!           +*                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!             +                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!          *+                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!         *+                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!         +                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.35 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3106 LAASYIQ C LASYIQ(-1) PSYIQ;SMPL 2004.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3106 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3107 LAAIDIQ C LAIDIQ(-1) PIDIQ;SMPL 1993.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3107 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3108 LAAMAIQ C LAMAIQ(-1) PMAIQ;SMPL 2004.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3108 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAIQ=PAPX$Q/IQPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAIQ=LOG(AAPAIQ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAIQ=LOG(APAIQ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAIQ=EXP(LAAPAIQ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3109 LAAPAIQ C LAPAIQ(-1) PPAIQ;                                         
EQUATION 1625  LAAPAIQ  
   RHS     C  LAPAIQ(-1)  PPAIQ  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1625 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1625
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAIQ 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.192196449

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.366727965       0.588192378  -2.32361     1.000000
15284 LAPAIQ  ( -1)       0.635237451       0.061448950  10.33765    -6.190603
15282 PPAIQ   (  0)      -0.683042806       0.413802549  -1.65065     1.307334

SE of equation            =     1.121509105
Sum of squared residuals  =  196.214097      -0.821209767E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.852047795
Sum of ABS residuals      =  135.475599    
R squared                 =   0.44506
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.21069
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!                    +               * !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.3!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.1!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!                  +             *     !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1974.3!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.3!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!                    +       *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.2!                        + *           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.1!                      +   *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.2!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!              *         +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!               +             *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.2!                  *     +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.4!                +        *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                 +     *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.2!        *      +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!           +    *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4!       *       +                      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!      *       +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!    *     +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.4!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.1!    *        +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        + *                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.4!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.3!       *    +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.4! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.2!*         +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!       *             +                !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.1!          +     *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                 +           *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1991.3!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!    *                 +               !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1992.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.1!                          +        *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.2!                               +    * !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                            *   +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                          +           *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1994.3!                                +     *!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                       *   +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                   +              *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1996.2!                             +    *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                *         +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1997.3!         *       +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.4!        *    +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                  +          *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.3!                         +   *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!               *         +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.1!                +         *           !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1999.2!           *           +              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1999.3!         *    +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!             +      *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.1!       *            +                 !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2000.2!            + *                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                 *    +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                  +      *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!                     +     *          !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.4!          *              +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2002.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2002.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2*                     +                !0          .   .   .          !
 2003.3!       +     *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!      *          +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2004.2!        *   +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!           *  +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.2!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.2!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !


     25.16 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3110 LAAPHIQ C LAPHIQ(-1) PPHIQ;SMPL 2009.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3110 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3111 LAATHIQ C LATHIQ(-1) PTHIQ;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3111 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3112 LAACHIQ C LACHIQ(-1) PCHIQ;SMPL 1997.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3112 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3113 LAAARIQ C LAARIQ(-1) PARIQ;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3113 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3114 LAABRIQ C LABRIQ(-1) PBRIQ;SMPL 1998.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3114 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3115 LAACEIQ C LACEIQ(-1) PCEIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3115 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3116 LAAMEIQ C LAMEIQ(-1) PMEIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3116 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3117 LAAPEIQ C LAPEIQ(-1) PPEIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3117 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3118 LAATUIQ C LATUIQ(-1) PTUIQ;SMPL 2003.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3118 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3119 LAAPDIQ C LAPDIQ(-1) PPDIQ;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3119 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3120 LAARUIQ C LARUIQ(-1) PRUIQ;SMPL 1998.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3120 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3121 LAAUEIQ C LAUEIQ(-1) PUEIQ;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3121 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3122 LAAEGIQ C LAEGIQ(-1) PEGIQ;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3122 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3123 LAAISIQ C LAISIQ(-1) PISIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3123 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3124 LAAKEIQ C LAKEIQ(-1) PKEIQ;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3124 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3125 LAABAIQ C LABAIQ(-1) PBAIQ;SMPL 2011.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3125 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3126 LAAHKIQ C LAHKIQ(-1) PHKIQ;SMPL 2005.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3126 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3127 LAASIIQ C LASIIQ(-1) PSIIQ;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3127 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PVIIQ=VIPX$/IQPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAVIIQ=LOG(AAVIIQ+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAVIIQ=LOG(AVIIQ+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAVIIQ=EXP(LAAVIIQ)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3128 LAAVIIQ C LAVIIQ(-1) PVIIQ;                                         
EQUATION 1626  LAAVIIQ  
   RHS     C  LAVIIQ(-1)  PVIIQ  
 SMPL 1989.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   151 to   244
 OLS;EST 1626 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1626
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAVIIQ 

 1989.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   94 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.087703680

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.217471568       0.600063972  -0.36241     1.000000
15287 LAVIIQ  ( -1)       0.913018592       0.038006538  24.02267    -4.107629
15285 PVIIQ   (  0)      -0.108412694       0.520086041  -0.20845     1.105875

SE of equation            =     0.598994426
Sum of squared residuals  =  32.6502834       0.964472946E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.350786724
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.9739521    
R squared                 =   0.86379
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.02419
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.3   2012.4     94

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.3!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1*    +                                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.2!*+                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!  +  *                                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!       +         *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!      *       +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1991.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!       +                    *         !!           .  .  .           0
 1992.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                         *  +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.2!                                   *+ !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                              +       *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                                    + *!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                                    *+!!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                   +  *!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.2!                                   * +!!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                                   +* !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               *  +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                     +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!      *              +                !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2007.2!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!        +        *                    !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2008.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !


     13.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3129 LAANIIQ C LANIIQ(-1) PNIIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3129 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3130 LAAALIQ C LAALIQ(-1) PALIQ;SMPL 2009.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3130 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3131 LAAIAIQ C LAIAIQ(-1) PIAIQ;SMPL 1995.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3131 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3132 LAAINIQ C LAINIQ(-1) PINIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3132 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3133 LAAKUIQ C LAKUIQ(-1) PKUIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3133 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3134 LAALIIQ C LALIIQ(-1) PLIIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3134 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3135 LAAUAIQ C LAUAIQ(-1) PUAIQ;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3135 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3136 LAAUSKU C LAUSKU(-1) PUSKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3136 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3137 LAACAKU C LACAKU(-1) PCAKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3137 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3138 LAAJAKU C LAJAKU(-1) PJAKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3138 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3139 LAAAUKU C LAAUKU(-1) PAUKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3139 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PFRKU=FRPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAFRKU=LOG(AAFRKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAFRKU=LOG(AFRKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAFRKU=EXP(LAAFRKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3140 LAAFRKU C LAFRKU(-1) PFRKU;                                         
EQUATION 1627  LAAFRKU  
   RHS     C  LAFRKU(-1)  PFRKU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1627 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1627
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAFRKU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.228775032

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.232247883       0.186865326  -6.59431     1.000000
15290 LAFRKU  ( -1)       0.555441213       0.066201811   8.39012    -3.230345
15288 PFRKU   (  0)      -0.158683833       0.084281963  -1.88277     1.274614

SE of equation            =     0.442573161
Sum of squared residuals  =  36.2361355      -0.125321975E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.285967529
Sum of ABS residuals      =  53.7618954    
R squared                 =   0.39650
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15484
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                     *  +             !!            .0. .            !
 1966.2!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1966.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1967.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1967.2!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.3!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 1967.4!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1968.1!                    *  +              !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2!                   *   +              !!            0 . .            !
 1968.3!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1969.1!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1970.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1972.2!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1973.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1975.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1976.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1978.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                          +     *     !!            . . . 0          !
 1979.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                         *    +       !!           0. . .            !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1980.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                            +         *!            . . .  0         !
 1984.3!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4*                          +           !0            . . .            !
 1991.1!         +   *                        !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!             +*                       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                           +      *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1993.1!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1993.2!                            +         *!            . . .   0        !
 1993.3!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 1993.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1994.2!                         *     +      !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                          +       *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1995.2!                               +     *!!            . . . 0          !
 1995.3!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1995.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1996.2!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 1996.3!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2003.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                           +   *      !!            . . 0            !
 2005.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 2005.4!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 2006.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 2006.2!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 2007.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 2007.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                           +          !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 2011.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !


     18.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.66 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3141 LAAGEKU C LAGEKU(-1) PGEKU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3141 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3142 LAAITKU C LAITKU(-1) PITKU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3142 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEKU=NEPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEKU=LOG(AANEKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEKU=LOG(ANEKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEKU=EXP(LAANEKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3143 LAANEKU C LANEKU(-1) PNEKU;                                         
EQUATION 1628  LAANEKU  
   RHS     C  LANEKU(-1)  PNEKU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1628 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1628
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEKU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.962216832

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.505724729       0.245355590  -6.13691     1.000000
15293 LANEKU  ( -1)       0.589766123       0.073054482   8.07296    -3.962140
15291 PNEKU   (  0)      -0.098067524       0.064226652  -1.52690     1.221157

SE of equation            =     0.274821669
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.9724857       0.828226376E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.170365239
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.0286650    
R squared                 =   0.44761
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00915
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!                         *    +       !!            0 . .            !
 1967.2!                           +    *     !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1968.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1969.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1969.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1970.1!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1970.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.3!                               +     *!!            . . .0           !
 1970.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1972.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                          *    +      !!            0 . .            !
 1973.1!                            +        *!!            . . . 0          !
 1973.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1974.1!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.2!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1975.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1977.3!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1977.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                       *      +       !!           0. . .            !
 1978.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!                        *  +          !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                      *    +          !!            0 . .            !
 1983.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 1986.3!                            +    *    !!            . . 0            !
 1986.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                             +    *   !!            . . .0           !
 1989.4!                             *  +     !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                             +     *  !!            . . .0           !
 1990.4!   *                             +    !0            . . .            !
 1991.1*           +                          !!        0   . . .            !
 1991.2!     +      *                         !!            . . . 0          !
 1991.3!                   +    *             !!            . . .0           !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                       *    +         !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1994.2!                              +      *!!            . . .0           !
 1994.3!                             *   +    !!            0 . .            !
 1994.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1995.2!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1995.3!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 1996.2!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                       *    +         !!           0. . .            !
 1997.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2004.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 2006.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2009.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2012.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                              +    *  !!            . . 0            !
 2012.4!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !


     18.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTKU=STPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTKU=LOG(AASTKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTKU=LOG(ASTKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTKU=EXP(LAASTKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3144 LAASTKU C LASTKU(-1) PSTKU;                                         
EQUATION 1629  LAASTKU  
   RHS     C  LASTKU(-1)  PSTKU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1629 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1629
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTKU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.001033197

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.663571785       0.297062380  -5.60008     1.000000
15296 LASTKU  ( -1)       0.536495232       0.100366512   5.34536    -3.995640
15294 PSTKU   (  0)      -0.196609051       0.139910798  -1.40525     0.985813

SE of equation            =     0.439591659
Sum of squared residuals  =  35.7495529       0.175814918E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.243041361
Sum of ABS residuals      =  45.6917759    
R squared                 =   0.43820
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.09641
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.2!                                  +   !!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1967.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1967.4!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 1968.1!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.2!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 1968.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1968.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1969.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!                                 +   *!!            . . .0           !
 1970.3!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.1!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 1972.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1973.1!                                +   * !!            . . .0           !
 1973.2!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.3!                                  + * !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.1!                                  +   *!            . . .0           !
 1974.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1974.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1977.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                                 +  * !!            . . 0            !
 1978.3!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1979.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                                 +    !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                                 + *  !!            . . 0            !
 1982.2!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.4!                               * +    !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1984.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1986.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 1988.1!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!                               +      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!               *               +      !!  0         . . .            !
 1991.1*                    +                 !0            . . .            !
 1991.2!         +            *               !!            . . .      0     !
 1991.3!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.2!                          *   +       !!           0. . .            !
 1993.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1994.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1996.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1998.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!                             +    *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1998.3!                             *   +    !!           0. . .            !
 1998.4!                              +   *   !!            . . .0           !
 1999.1!                            *   +     !!           0. . .            !
 1999.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2001.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2002.1!                             +   *    !!            . . .0           !
 2002.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!            0 . .            !
 2003.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!                              +       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 2010.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !


     13.83 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3145 LAAUKKU C LAUKKU(-1) PUKKU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3145 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3146 LAAFIKU C LAFIKU(-1) PFIKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3146 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASKU=ASPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASKU=LOG(AAASKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASKU=LOG(AASKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASKU=EXP(LAAASKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3147 LAAASKU C LAASKU(-1) PASKU;                                         
EQUATION 1630  LAAASKU  
   RHS     C  LAASKU(-1)  PASKU  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1630 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1630
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASKU 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.037087762

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.102372222       0.208004168  -5.29976     1.000000
15299 LAASKU  ( -1)       0.697751244       0.056314370  12.39029    -4.036773
15297 PASKU   (  0)      -0.101435381       0.099735312  -1.01705     1.163815

SE of equation            =     0.457514241
Sum of squared residuals  =  38.7240669       0.985034276E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.291184820
Sum of ABS residuals      =  54.7427463    
R squared                 =   0.52485
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33230
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1966.2!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1966.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1966.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.1!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1967.3!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1967.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1968.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1968.2!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1968.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1969.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1971.1!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.3!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1971.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1972.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1973.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1974.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 1976.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1976.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                             +     *  !!            . . .0           !
 1978.1!                            *     +   !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                        *     +       !!           0. . .            !
 1978.4!                          +     *     !!            . . .0           !
 1979.1!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1981.1!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 1981.2!                                   *+ !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1981.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                           *   +      !!           0. . .            !
 1983.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.2!                            *    +    !!           0. . .            !
 1986.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 1988.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1989.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1990.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                        *  +          !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4*                          +           !0            . . .            !
 1991.1!        +  *                          !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!            * +                       !!            .0. .            !
 1991.3!                 +  *                 !!            . .0.            !
 1991.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1993.4!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1995.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1996.2!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1996.4!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1997.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                             *  +     !!            0 . .            !
 1998.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 2000.1!                                 *  + !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2000.4!                                +     *!            . . .0           !
 2001.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                                  +*  !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                                 +    *!            . . 0            !
 2002.1!                                    + !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                                  +  *!!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2003.1!                                   +* !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 2006.4!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2007.1!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2011.3!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 2011.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2012.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                            * +       !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      0.53 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3148 LAASOKU C LASOKU(-1) PSOKU;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3148 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOKU=KOPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOKU=LOG(AAKOKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOKU=LOG(AKOKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOKU=EXP(LAAKOKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3149 LAAKOKU C LAKOKU(-1) PKOKU;                                         
EQUATION 1631  LAAKOKU  
   RHS     C  LAKOKU(-1)  PKOKU  
 SMPL 1969.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    70 to   244
 OLS;EST 1631 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1631
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOKU 

 1969.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  175 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.638418194

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.132613049       0.248746530  -8.57344     1.000000
15302 LAKOKU  ( -1)       0.229305158       0.087652975   2.61606    -3.640439
15300 PKOKU   (  0)      -0.410060013       0.106717415  -3.84248     1.636428

SE of equation            =     0.814117172
Sum of squared residuals  =  113.999324       0.100475184E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.489341930
Sum of ABS residuals      =  85.6348378    
R squared                 =   0.26779
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11533
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.2   2012.4    175

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.2!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1969.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 1971.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1971.4!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1972.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1972.3!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1972.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1973.1!                      *         +     !!         0  . . .            !
 1973.2!                       *     +        !!           0. . .            !
 1973.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!                        *     +       !!           0. . .            !
 1974.1!                        *    +        !!           0. . .            !
 1974.2!                         *    +       !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1974.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1975.1!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 1975.2!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1975.3!                           *   +      !!            0 . .            !
 1975.4!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 1976.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                               +    * !!            . . 0            !
 1977.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1977.2!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1977.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1977.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1978.2!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1978.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1981.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1983.2!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1986.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1989.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                               +     *!!            . . .0           !
 1991.1*                            +         !0            . . .            !
 1991.2!          +            *              !!            . . .    0       !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                             +       *!!            . . . 0          !
 1992.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.1!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1993.2!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1993.3!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                          *   +       !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1994.4!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.2!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1995.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1998.2!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                            *   +     !!            0 . .            !
 1999.2!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2002.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 2011.1!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2011.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!                                 +   *!!            . . 0            !
 2012.1!                                  +  *!!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!                                  +   *!            . . 0            !
 2012.3!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !


     16.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.29 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3150 LAABEKU C LABEKU(-1) PBEKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3150 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3151 LAADEKU C LADEKU(-1) PDEKU;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3151 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3152 LAANOKU C LANOKU(-1) PNOKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3152 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3153 LAASWKU C LASWKU(-1) PSWKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3153 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGRKU=GRPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAGRKU=LOG(AAGRKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGRKU=LOG(AGRKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGRKU=EXP(LAAGRKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3154 LAAGRKU C LAGRKU(-1) PGRKU;                                         
EQUATION 1632  LAAGRKU  
   RHS     C  LAGRKU(-1)  PGRKU  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1632 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1632
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGRKU 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.064987992

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.413134766       0.287478363  -4.91562     1.000000
15305 LAGRKU  ( -1)       0.672742365       0.051263410  13.12325    -6.067556
15303 PGRKU   (  0)      -0.533913864       0.125481926  -4.25491     1.067497

SE of equation            =     0.509196326
Sum of squared residuals  =  44.0777527       0.115196741E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.367088160
Sum of ABS residuals      =  63.5062517    
R squared                 =   0.62288
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.13785
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!                    +  *              !!            . . 0            !
 1970.1!                  *     +             !!           0. . .            !
 1970.2!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1970.3!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.1!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1971.2!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1971.3!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1971.4!                             +     *  !!            . . .0           !
 1972.1!                           *     +    !!           0. . .            !
 1972.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1972.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1973.2!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1973.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1973.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1974.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1974.2!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 1974.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1974.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1975.2!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1975.3!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1975.4!                                   + *!!            . . 0            !
 1976.1!                                * +   !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1976.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1976.4!                                +  *  !!            . .0.            !
 1977.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1977.2!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1977.3!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1977.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                          *     +     !!           0. . .            !
 1978.2!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 1978.3!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 1979.2!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1979.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1979.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1980.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1980.3!                               +      *!            . . . 0          !
 1980.4!                                   +  *!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                              +     * !!            . . . 0          !
 1981.3!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1982.2!                                 + *  !!            . .0.            !
 1982.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1982.4!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1983.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1983.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1986.1!                         *     +      !!          0 . . .            !
 1986.2!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1987.2!                         * +          !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                        *     +       !!           0. . .            !
 1988.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1990.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 1991.1!           *             +            !!      0     . . .            !
 1991.2+      *                               !!            . . . 0          !
 1991.3!           +                         *!!            . . .            0
 1991.4!                                 +*   !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                         *      +     !!          0 . . .            !
 1992.2!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                          +    *      !!            . . .0           !
 1993.3!                        *     +       !!           0. . .            !
 1993.4!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 1994.1!                     *      +         !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.2!                       +      *       !!            . . . 0          !
 1994.3!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1994.4!                         +        *   !!            . . .  0         !
 1995.1!                  *            +      !!       0    . . .            !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                      +   *           !!            . . 0            !
 1995.4!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 1996.1!                      *    +          !!           0. . .            !
 1996.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!            .0. .            !
 1998.1!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                       *+             !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1999.2!                    + *               !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                    *   +             !!            0 . .            !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2000.3!                      *+              !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                   *    +             !!            0 . .            !
 2001.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                *       +             !!         0  . . .            !
 2001.4!                   +     *            !!            . . .0           !
 2002.1!                   *     +            !!           0. . .            !
 2002.2!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                  *      +            !!          0 . . .            !
 2003.4!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 2004.1!                   +   *              !!            . . 0            !
 2004.2!                   *    +             !!           0. . .            !
 2004.3!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2005.2!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                  *    +              !!           0. . .            !
 2005.4!                  *  +                !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 2006.4!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 2007.1!                    *    +            !!            0 . .            !
 2007.2!                *     +               !!           0. . .            !
 2007.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2007.4!                 *+                   !!            .0. .            !
 2008.1!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2008.2!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.2!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2009.4!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2010.2!                *  +                  !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!             *     +                  !!           0. . .            !
 2010.4!              *  +                    !!            .0. .            !
 2011.1!              *  +                    !!            0 . .            !
 2011.2!                *+                    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!               *     +                !!           0. . .            !
 2012.1!                * +                   !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !


     22.54 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.89 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3155 LAAIRKU C LAIRKU(-1) PIRKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3155 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3156 LAAPOKU C LAPOKU(-1) PPOKU;SMPL 1992.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3156 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPKU=SPPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPKU=LOG(AASPKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPKU=LOG(ASPKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPKU=EXP(LAASPKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3157 LAASPKU C LASPKU(-1) PSPKU;                                         
EQUATION 1633  LAASPKU  
   RHS     C  LASPKU(-1)  PSPKU  
 SMPL 1972.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
 OLS;EST 1633 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1633
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPKU 

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.415045129

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.570451347       0.274145753  -9.37622     1.000000
15308 LASPKU  ( -1)       0.316927595       0.064734616   4.89580    -4.422602
15306 PSPKU   (  0)      -0.377111245       0.059376166  -6.35122     1.174585

SE of equation            =     0.327735216
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1856595       0.657252031E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.218701207
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.6482967    
R squared                 =   0.36587
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34585
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.2!            *     +                   !!         0  . . .            !
 1972.3!            *     +                   !!         0  . . .            !
 1972.4!          *        +                  !!       0    . . .            !
 1973.1!             *    +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!            . .0.            !
 1973.3!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1973.4!                *   +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1974.1!                   +         *        !!            . . .    0       !
 1974.2!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1974.3!                     +     *          !!            . . .  0         !
 1974.4!                *      +              !!         0  . . .            !
 1975.1!               *   +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1975.2!                   +                  *!            . . .            0
 1975.3!                *         +           !!      0     . . .            !
 1975.4!                   +      *           !!            . . .  0         !
 1976.1!                   *   +              !!           0. . .            !
 1976.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1976.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.4!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1977.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1978.2!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1978.3!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 1979.2!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 1979.3!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1980.1!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1980.4!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1981.1!                    *  +              !!            0 . .            !
 1981.2!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 1981.3!                     +     *          !!            . . .  0         !
 1981.4!                       *+             !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                    * +               !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1982.4!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1984.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 1984.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                       +              !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 1985.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                     * +              !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                   * +                !!            0 . .            !
 1986.4!                     + *              !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1988.3!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!                    +  *              !!            . . .0           !
 1989.2!                     +     *          !!            . . . 0          !
 1989.3!                *     +               !!         0  . . .            !
 1989.4!                  *+                  !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1990.4!                    + *               !!            . . 0            !
 1991.1!          *   +                       !!          0 . . .            !
 1991.2+ *                                    !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!         *  +                         !!           0. . .            !
 1991.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                  *+                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!                 * +                  !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                 *  +                 !!           0. . .            !
 1993.3!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1993.4!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!                 *  +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2!                   +                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 1996.3!                  *  +                !!            0 . .            !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!                  * +                 !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                   + *                !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                     +*               !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                     +  *             !!            . . .0           !
 1999.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                      +    *          !!            . . . 0          !
 2000.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!                      +   *           !!            . . .0           !
 2001.1!                       + *            !!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                      + *             !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 2002.1!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!            . . 0            !
 2002.3!                      +  *            !!            . . 0            !
 2002.4!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2003.1!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 2003.4!                      +*              !!            . .0.            !
 2004.1!                      +  *            !!            . . .0           !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!            .0. .            !
 2004.3!                     +*               !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                     +                !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                    *+                !!            .0. .            !
 2006.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!            . . 0            !
 2007.2!                     *+               !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                 *   +                !!           0. . .            !
 2008.1!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                     +  *             !!            . . .0           !
 2009.1!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                  * +                 !!            0 . .            !
 2010.2!                   *+                 !!            .0. .            !
 2010.3!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                  *  +                !!           0. . .            !
 2011.1!                    +*                !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                     +   *            !!            . . .0           !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                     + *              !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                      +               !!            . 0 .            !


     22.09 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.52 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3158 LAANZKU C LANZKU(-1) PNZKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3158 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3159 LAASAKU C LASAKU(-1) PSAKU;SMPL 1966.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3159 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3160 LAAVEKU C LAVEKU(-1) PVEKU;SMPL 2001.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3160 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOKU=COPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOKU=LOG(AACOKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOKU=LOG(ACOKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOKU=EXP(LAACOKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3161 LAACOKU C LACOKU(-1) PCOKU;                                         
EQUATION 1634  LAACOKU  
   RHS     C  LACOKU(-1)  PCOKU  
 SMPL 1983.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1983.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   128 to   244
 OLS;EST 1634 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1634
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOKU 

 1983.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  117 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.647094328

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.227965186       0.545681678  -4.08290     1.000000
15311 LACOKU  ( -1)       0.734860714       0.056725650  12.95465    -9.644909
15309 PCOKU   (  0)      -0.238409281       0.056280027  -4.23613     1.390318

SE of equation            =     0.299900109
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.2531686       0.840287839E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.195426576
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.8649094    
R squared                 =   0.63525
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15355
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1983.4   2012.4    117

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1983.4!                +                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1! *            +                       !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1984.2! * +                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.3!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!   +      *                           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!  *        +                          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.2!  *+                                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!    * +                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1988.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3*       +                              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1988.4!  +     *                             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.1!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1990.4!                  +                   *!           .  .  .           0
 1991.1!                *          +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!  +        *                          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.3!     *    +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!   *    +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1992.1!       +      *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!              *   +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.2!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.2!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!               +            *         !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2004.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                    *      +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.2!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!            *    +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.2!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.1!              +     *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.13 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOKU=JOPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOKU=LOG(AAJOKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOKU=LOG(AJOKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOKU=EXP(LAAJOKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3162 LAAJOKU C LAJOKU(-1) PJOKU;                                         
EQUATION 1635  LAAJOKU  
   RHS     C  LAJOKU(-1)  PJOKU  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1635 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1635
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOKU 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.079632140

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.355930037       0.283134345  -1.25711     1.000000
15314 LAJOKU  ( -1)       0.896223284       0.038647675  23.18958    -6.078715
15312 PJOKU   (  0)      -0.217787454       0.133959107  -1.62578     1.266448

SE of equation            =     0.672702813
Sum of squared residuals  =  55.6610761       0.123279165E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.383653537
Sum of ABS residuals      =  48.3403456    
R squared                 =   0.81782
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24518
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1983.3!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1983.4!                           + *        !!            . . 0            !
 1984.1!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 1984.2!                             * +      !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 1984.4!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1985.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1985.3!                         *   +        !!           0. . .            !
 1985.4!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!            . . 0            !
 1987.3!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1990.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1990.4!                              +       *!            . . .  0         !
 1991.1!              *                     + !0            . . .            !
 1991.2!            +*                        !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!           *  +                       !!            0 . .            !
 1991.4!           * +                        !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!       *     +                        !!          0 . . .            !
 1992.2!         *+                           !!            .0. .            !
 1992.3!        *  +                          !!            0 . .            !
 1992.4!        * +                           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1*          +                           !!      0     . . .            !
 1993.2*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1993.3*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1993.4*  +                                   !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!  +           *                       !!            . . .      0     !
 1994.2!               +                      !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!               *+                     !!            .0. .            !
 1995.1!            *   +                     !!           0. . .            !
 1995.2!            *+                        !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!             +                        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!             *+                       !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!              +           *           !!            . . .      0     !
 1996.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1996.4!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.1!                          +   *       !!            . . .0           !
 1997.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1999.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2000.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                             +        !!            .0. .            !
 2001.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2001.4!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 2003.4!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2004.1!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2004.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 2005.2!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 2005.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2006.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2006.3!                             +   *    !!            . . .0           !
 2006.4!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 2007.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                        +*            !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                        +             !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2009.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2010.3!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2011.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2!                             + *      !!            . . 0            !
 2011.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2012.2!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2012.3!                          +  *        !!            . . 0            !
 2012.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !


     10.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3163 LAASYKU C LASYKU(-1) PSYKU;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3163 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDKU=IDPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDKU=LOG(AAIDKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDKU=LOG(AIDKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDKU=EXP(LAAIDKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3164 LAAIDKU C LAIDKU(-1) PIDKU;                                         
EQUATION 1636  LAAIDKU  
   RHS     C  LAIDKU(-1)  PIDKU  
 SMPL 1969.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1969.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    72 to   244
 OLS;EST 1636 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1636
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDKU 

 1969.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  173 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.772582911

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.982660548       0.191533941  -5.13048     1.000000
15317 LAIDKU  ( -1)       0.722111111       0.048552865  14.87268    -3.785104
15315 PIDKU   (  0)      -0.045201331       0.053369182  -0.84696     1.253431

SE of equation            =     0.319726262
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.3782300      -0.154631863E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.220550580
Sum of ABS residuals      =  38.1552503    
R squared                 =   0.57055
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.47936
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1969.4   2012.4    173

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1969.4!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.2!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1970.3! *        +                           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.4!      +          *                    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1971.1!       *         +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.3!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1972.1!            +          *              !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1972.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1973.1!                *       +             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1973.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.2!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!           *       +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!             +     *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1979.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.1!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.4!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.3!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.3!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!             * +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!              +          *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1989.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4*                    +                 !0           .  .  .           !
 1991.1!   +             *                    !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1991.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.3!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.4!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.1!        +    *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.2!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!              *    +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                      +               *!           .  .  .       0   !
 2010.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !


     21.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3165 LAAMAKU C LAMAKU(-1) PMAKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3165 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3166 LAAPAKU C LAPAKU(-1) PPAKU;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3166 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3167 LAAPHKU C LAPHKU(-1) PPHKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3167 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTHKU=THPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAATHKU=LOG(AATHKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATHKU=LOG(ATHKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATHKU=EXP(LAATHKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3168 LAATHKU C LATHKU(-1) PTHKU;                                         
EQUATION 1637  LAATHKU  
   RHS     C  LATHKU(-1)  PTHKU  
 SMPL 1976.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    97 to   244
 OLS;EST 1637 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1637
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATHKU 

 1976.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  148 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.768351645

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.387262840       0.308770865  -4.49286     1.000000
15320 LATHKU  ( -1)       0.674941878       0.060181419  11.21512    -4.778864
15318 PTHKU   (  0)      -0.125095333       0.094510767  -1.32361     1.244118

SE of equation            =     0.464432405
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.2761316       0.132338585E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.296199180
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.8374786    
R squared                 =   0.47060
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52339
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.1   2012.4    148

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.1!                *   +                 !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!              *    +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1976.3!            *     +                   !!           0. . .            !
 1976.4!          *      +                    !!           0. . .            !
 1977.1!               *+                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!          *        +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1977.3!           *   +                      !!            0 . .            !
 1977.4!                +                     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.1!           *       +                  !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.2!              * +                     !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!          *       +                   !!          0 . . .            !
 1978.4!               +  *                   !!            . .0.            !
 1979.1!                *    +                !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!             *     +                  !!           0. . .            !
 1979.3!             *    +                   !!            0 . .            !
 1979.4!                 +                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                    +*                !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                    *  +              !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 1981.1!                     +       *        !!            . . . 0          !
 1981.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                          +  *        !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!                           +  *       !!            . . 0            !
 1982.2!                        *    +        !!            0 . .            !
 1982.3!                    *    +            !!            0 . .            !
 1982.4!                  *    +              !!            0 . .            !
 1983.1!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                      +     *         !!            . . .0           !
 1983.3!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1983.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.2!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 1984.3!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 1984.4!                         +  *         !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1985.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1985.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 1987.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1987.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 1988.1!                          +    *      !!            . . .0           !
 1988.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.4!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                            +       * !!            . . . 0          !
 1989.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                            +    *    !!            . . .0           !
 1990.1!                               +      *!            . . . 0          !
 1990.2!                                  +*  !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4*                              +       !0            . . .            !
 1991.1!      +                   *           !!            . . .       0    !
 1991.2!         *           +                !!        0   . . .            !
 1991.3!              +         *             !!            . . .  0         !
 1991.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1992.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.1!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 1993.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1!                  *       +           !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.2!                     +        *       !!            . . .  0         !
 1994.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                            +     *   !!            . . .0           !
 1995.2!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 1995.3!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1996.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1997.1!                        +  *          !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!                      *  +            !!            .0. .            !
 1998.1!                       +  *           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1998.3!                       +*             !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!            .0. .            !
 1999.1!                       +  *           !!            . . 0            !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.1!                         + *          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2001.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2002.1!                         +  *         !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.3!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2003.1!                        +*            !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!                         +   *        !!            . . 0            !
 2003.3!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 2003.4!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 2004.1!                        +  *          !!            . .0.            !
 2004.2!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2005.3!                          +     *     !!            . . .0           !
 2005.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                             +    *   !!            . . .0           !
 2006.2!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2007.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2008.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2008.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2008.4!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                               +    * !!            . . .0           !
 2009.2!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                              +    *  !!            . . .0           !
 2009.4!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 2011.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2011.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                            +      *  !!            . . .0           !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !


     21.62 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3169 LAACHKU C LACHKU(-1) PCHKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3169 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PARKU=ARPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAARKU=LOG(AAARKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAARKU=LOG(AARKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAARKU=EXP(LAAARKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3170 LAAARKU C LAARKU(-1) PARKU;                                         
EQUATION 1638  LAAARKU  
   RHS     C  LAARKU(-1)  PARKU  
 SMPL 1982.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   121 to   244
 OLS;EST 1638 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1638
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAARKU 

 1982.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  124 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.925381718

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.881183093       0.547210588  -3.43777     1.000000
15323 LAARKU  ( -1)       0.723403493       0.063981663  11.30642    -6.931011
15321 PARKU   (  0)      -0.022350638       0.174384308  -0.12817     1.354819

SE of equation            =     0.891418667
Sum of squared residuals  =  96.1498961      -0.641087183E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.533970160
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.2122998    
R squared                 =   0.52220
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45975
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.1   2012.4    124

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.1!     *           +                    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1982.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!      *      +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.1!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1984.3!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!    *        +                        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.2!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!        *      +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.2!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.4!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!          +    *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.4!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!          +              *            !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                           +          *!           .  .  .  0        !
 1991.1!                              *  +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1994.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!          *   +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!              +         *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.3!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.4!                 +          *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.1!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.2!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                  +       *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1*                          +           !0           .  .  .           !
 1998.2!     +                   *            !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1998.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                      +    *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                       * +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.2!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !


     18.55 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.65 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRKU=BRPX$Q/KUPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRKU=LOG(AABRKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRKU=LOG(ABRKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRKU=EXP(LAABRKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3171 LAABRKU C LABRKU(-1) PBRKU;                                         
EQUATION 1639  LAABRKU  
   RHS     C  LABRKU(-1)  PBRKU  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1639 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1639
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRKU 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.728639103

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.319331792       0.399049623  -3.30618     1.000000
15326 LABRKU  ( -1)       0.654459435       0.072007287   9.08879    -4.730859
15324 PBRKU   (  0)      -0.281954625       0.124910226  -2.25726     1.110648

SE of equation            =     0.438625534
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.6642602       0.635402841E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.311713225
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.2758664    
R squared                 =   0.40180
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15197
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!         *            +               !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1982.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.3!          *  +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.3!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1983.4!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!   *                  +               !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!         +  *                         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1991.1!                 *           +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!        +  *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.3!  *         +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1991.4*        +                             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.1!      +     *                         !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1994.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.3!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.3!               +             *        !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2000.4!            *            +            !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2001.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2002.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.4!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!                 +*                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.4!                   +      *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.1!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                    +    *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2009.4!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !


     20.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3172 LAACEKU C LACEKU(-1) PCEKU;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3172 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3173 LAAMEKU C LAMEKU(-1) PMEKU;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3173 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3174 LAAPEKU C LAPEKU(-1) PPEKU;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3174 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3175 LAATUKU C LATUKU(-1) PTUKU;SMPL 1971.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3175 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3176 LAAPDKU C LAPDKU(-1) PPDKU;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3176 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3177 LAARUKU C LARUKU(-1) PRUKU;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3177 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3178 LAAUEKU C LAUEKU(-1) PUEKU;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3178 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGKU=EGPX$/KUPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGKU=LOG(AAEGKU+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGKU=LOG(AEGKU+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGKU=EXP(LAAEGKU)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3179 LAAEGKU C LAEGKU(-1) PEGKU;                                         
EQUATION 1640  LAAEGKU  
   RHS     C  LAEGKU(-1)  PEGKU  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1640 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1640
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGKU 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.827958518

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.617321129       0.295543384  -2.08877     1.000000
15329 LAEGKU  ( -1)       0.859931182       0.046838621  18.35945    -5.846163
15327 PEGKU   (  0)      -0.140943579       0.075609451  -1.86410     1.300802

SE of equation            =     0.401640108
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.8417175      -0.101314512E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.277733743
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.9944516    
R squared                 =   0.73376
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.34032
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!         +      *                     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!           *     +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!           +  *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!        *      +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.2! *       +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1984.3*    +                                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.4!  +             *                     !!          .   .   .         0!
 1985.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!     *       +                        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.3!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!          +     *                     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!          *      +                    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           +    *                     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                +      *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1990.4!                       +              *!          .   .   .          0
 1991.1!                        *        +    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1991.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.3!               *     +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!              +           *           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1992.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                     *   +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.4!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.1!              *           +           !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.3!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.4!                  *      +            !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1995.1!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!              *  +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.4!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!            *    +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.2!            + *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.2!                +*                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                +*                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!            +  *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.2!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!              +                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                  *   +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.2!                  *+                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2008.2!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2008.3!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.1!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.2!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.1!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.4!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3180 LAAISKU C LAISKU(-1) PISKU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3180 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3181 LAAKEKU C LAKEKU(-1) PKEKU;SMPL 1991.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3181 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3182 LAABAKU C LABAKU(-1) PBAKU;SMPL 1992.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3182 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3183 LAAHKKU C LAHKKU(-1) PHKKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3183 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3184 LAASIKU C LASIKU(-1) PSIKU;SMPL 1991.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3184 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3185 LAAVIKU C LAVIKU(-1) PVIKU;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3185 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3186 LAANIKU C LANIKU(-1) PNIKU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3186 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3187 LAAALKU C LAALKU(-1) PALKU;SMPL 2000.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3187 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3188 LAAIAKU C LAIAKU(-1) PIAKU;SMPL 1994.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3188 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3189 LAAINKU C LAINKU(-1) PINKU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3189 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3190 LAAIQKU C LAIQKU(-1) PIQKU;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3190 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3191 LAALIKU C LALIKU(-1) PLIKU;SMPL 1999.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3191 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3192 LAAUAKU C LAUAKU(-1) PUAKU;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3192 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3193 LAAUSLI C LAUSLI(-1) PUSLI;SMPL 2004.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3193 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCALI=CAPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACALI=LOG(AACALI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACALI=LOG(ACALI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACALI=EXP(LAACALI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3194 LAACALI C LACALI(-1) PCALI;                                         
EQUATION 1641  LAACALI  
   RHS     C  LACALI(-1)  PCALI  
 SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    92 to   244
 OLS;EST 1641 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1641
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACALI 

 1974.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  153 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.851179415

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.084474650       0.528130693  -2.05342     1.000000
15332 LACALI  ( -1)       0.457475698       0.071903339   6.36237    -4.858059
15330 PCALI   (  0)      -1.538786245       0.536481415  -2.86829     1.003558

SE of equation            =     0.727171948
Sum of squared residuals  =  79.3168563       0.174171788E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.525596119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  80.4162063    
R squared                 =   0.32227
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.92172
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.4   2012.4    153

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.1!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.1!                 *  +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!       *           +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1976.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                  *   +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.2!             *         +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1978.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!                  *  +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                    +      *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                     +      *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.3!                       +    *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                     +     *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.3!                        +       *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                         *  +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.3!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.4!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                           +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.3!                  *          +        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1990.4!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.4!                         *      +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.2!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                     *       +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.3!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!           *                 +        !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1995.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1996.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                               +   *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.2!                               +      *!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                                +     *!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                *          +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2000.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!            *              +          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2000.3!       *           +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2000.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!               *       +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.1!             *      +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                   +           *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2002.3!                    *       +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.4!                *      +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2003.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 2007.3!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.4!                       +            * !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                       *  +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                        +         *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2009.2!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.1!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2*                         +            !0           .  .  .           !
 2011.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !


     22.88 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3195 LAAJALI C LAJALI(-1) PJALI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3195 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAULI=AUPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAULI=LOG(AAAULI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAULI=LOG(AAULI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAULI=EXP(LAAAULI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3196 LAAAULI C LAAULI(-1) PAULI;                                         
EQUATION 1642  LAAAULI  
   RHS     C  LAAULI(-1)  PAULI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1642 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1642
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAULI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.472302113

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.355912575       0.464917260  -2.91646     1.000000
15335 LAAULI  ( -1)       0.662837440       0.054929788  12.06699    -4.473627
15333 PAULI   (  0)      -0.151071578       0.433851106  -0.34821     1.000204

SE of equation            =     0.324089727
Sum of squared residuals  =  19.4313180       0.498534547E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.231791761
Sum of ABS residuals      =  43.5768511    
R squared                 =   0.44886
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53406
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.4!                    *         +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1967.1!                      +    *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1967.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.3!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1967.4!                      *   +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1968.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1969.3!                 *    +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.2!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1971.3!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1971.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1972.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.3!               *         +            !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.2!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.3!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.2!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!                      *      +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.4!                            *  +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!                             +      * !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                               +     *!!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.1!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                                 +   *!!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.1!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                              +       *!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.3!                               *   +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.2!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.1!                               +    * !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.3!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                             +   *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                             *+       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                          *  +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.1!                            *   +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.1!                          *   +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.3!                              +  *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!                          +        *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.2!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.3!                           *  +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!                            +     *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                                +   * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                          *    +      !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                          *   +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 2004.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2005.1!                             * +      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                        *    +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.2!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.3!                    *     +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                    *     +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2*                        +             !0           .  .  .           !
 2011.3!         +            *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2011.4!           *            +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2012.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                  *     +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !


     25.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3197 LAAFRLI C LAFRLI(-1) PFRLI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3197 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGELI=GEPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGELI=LOG(AAGELI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGELI=LOG(AGELI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGELI=EXP(LAAGELI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3198 LAAGELI C LAGELI(-1) PGELI;                                         
EQUATION 1643  LAAGELI  
   RHS     C  LAGELI(-1)  PGELI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1643 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1643
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGELI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.109149583

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.303828960       0.244443558  -1.24294     1.000000
15338 LAGELI  ( -1)       0.822434432       0.045439419  18.09958    -2.105333
15336 PGELI   (  0)      -0.073973537       0.213384816  -0.34667     0.997954

SE of equation            =     0.178191681
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.87417088       0.316755511E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.136446400
Sum of ABS residuals      =  25.6519233    
R squared                 =   0.64169
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.45196
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                   +   *              !!        .     .    0.        !
 1966.2!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1966.3!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1966.4!                   * +                !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1967.1!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1967.2!                *     +               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1967.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1967.4!             *   +                    !!        .0    .     .        !
 1968.1!               +    *                 !!        .     .     0        !
 1968.2!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 1968.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1968.4!                    * +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1969.1!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1969.2!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1969.3!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1969.4!                *    +                !!        0     .     .        !
 1970.1!        *         +                   !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1970.2!         * +                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1970.3!            +         *               !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1970.4!               *       +              !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1971.1!               * +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1971.2!                + *                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1971.3!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 1972.1!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.2!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1972.3!                   +        *         !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1972.4!                 *         +          !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1973.1!                  +          *        !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1973.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.3!                 *        +           !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1973.4!                  +    *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1974.1!                       +   *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1974.2!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1974.3!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1974.4!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1975.1!                     *    +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.2!                      +    *          !!        .     .     .0       !
 1975.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.4!                            +   *     !!        .     .     0        !
 1976.1!                            *  +      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1976.2!                     *     +          !!       0.     .     .        !
 1976.3!                     +    *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 1976.4!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1977.1!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1977.2!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.3!                          *  +        !!        .0    .     .        !
 1977.4!                         +*           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1978.1!                          + *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.2!                      *    +          !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.3!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1978.4!                              + *     !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.1!                              +     * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1979.2!                              *  +    !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1979.3!                             +   *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1979.4!                          *    +      !!       0.     .     .        !
 1980.1!                         +  *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.2!                           +     *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1980.3!                             * +      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.1!                        *  +          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1981.3!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.4!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1982.1!                        +      *      !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1982.2!                             +        *!        .     .     .    0   !
 1982.3!                                   + *!!        .     . 0   .        !
 1982.4!                            *      +  !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1983.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.2!                             +        !!        .     .0    .        !
 1983.3!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1983.4!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 1984.1!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1984.2!                            +    *    !!        .     .     .0       !
 1984.3!                               +      !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.4!                              + *     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.1!                              +*      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.2!                            * +       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.3!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.4!               *           +          !0        .     .     .        !
 1986.1!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1986.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1986.3!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.4!                          +   *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.1!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.2!                  *        +          !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1987.3!                   +       *          !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1987.4!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1988.1!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.2!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.3!                        +             !!        .     0     .        !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.1!                         +       *    !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1989.2!                              *+      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.3!                            +  *      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!                             *+       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.1!                            +  *      !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1990.2!                             +        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1990.3!                            +      *  !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1990.4!                           *     +    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1991.1!                          +  *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1991.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1991.3!                          + *         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.4!                        *  +          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1992.1!                       +  *           !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1992.2!                         +    *       !!        .     .     0        !
 1992.3!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1992.4!                         +            !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1993.3!                            +         !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.4!                          +       *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.2!                               +    * !!        .     .     .0       !
 1994.3!                              *   +   !!        .0    .     .        !
 1994.4!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.1!                      *   +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1995.3!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1995.4!                         +            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1996.1!                      *  +            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.2!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.3!                        +     *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1996.4!                           *+         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1997.1!                         *+           !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.2!                     *   +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1997.3!                     +     *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.4!                 *        +           !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1998.1!                  +     *             !!        .     .     .0       !
 1998.2!                       *+             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.3!                       +   *          !!        .     .     0        !
 1998.4!                    *     +           !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1999.1!                     +          *     !!        .     .     .        0
 1999.2!                            * +       !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.3!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1999.4!                     *     +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.1!                     *+               !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.2!                     +     *          !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2000.3!                    *      +          !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2001.1!                      +    *          !!        .     .     0        !
 2001.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.3!                          +           !!        .     .0    .        !
 2001.4!                         +  *         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.1!                         * +          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!                    *    +            !!        0     .     .        !
 2002.3!                    +                 !!        .     0     .        !
 2002.4!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.1!                    +     *           !!        .     .     .0       !
 2003.2!                   *     +            !!       0.     .     .        !
 2003.3!                    + *               !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2003.4!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.2!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2004.3!                     *+               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.4!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.1!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2005.2!                     *  +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2005.3!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!                  *    +              !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.1!                 * +                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.2!              *   +                   !!        .0    .     .        !
 2006.3!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2006.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 2007.1!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2007.2!                * +                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.3!              *  +                    !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.4!          *     +                     !!       0.     .     .        !
 2008.1!         *  +                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.2!           +  *                       !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2008.3!                +                     !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.4!                 +     *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.1!                       +              !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.2!              *        +              !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2009.3!             * +                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2009.4!        *      +                      !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2010.1!           +                          !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.2!       *     +                        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 2010.3!      *  +                            !!        .0    .     .        !
 2010.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2011.1!        *  +                          !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2011.2*          +                           !!0       .     .     .        !
 2011.3!  *+                                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.4!      +   *                           !!        .     .     0        !
 2012.1!    *        +                        !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2012.2!  *    +                              !!       0.     .     .        !
 2012.3!      +*                              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.4! *        +                           !!   0    .     .     .        !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITLI=ITPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITLI=LOG(AAITLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITLI=LOG(AITLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITLI=EXP(LAAITLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3199 LAAITLI C LAITLI(-1) PITLI;                                         
EQUATION 1644  LAAITLI  
   RHS     C  LAITLI(-1)  PITLI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1644 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1644
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITLI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -1.235470888

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.226558520       0.132358499   1.71170     1.000000
15341 LAITLI  ( -1)       0.763281984       0.050328879  15.16588    -1.226908
15339 PITLI   (  0)      -0.601608649       0.182090040  -3.30391     0.873579

SE of equation            =     0.216082314
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.63793978       0.988098492E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.101756787
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1302760    
R squared                 =   0.71907
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07876
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1966.2!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1966.3!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1966.4!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1967.1!                                    +*!!             ..0             !
 1967.2!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1967.3!                                   + *!!             ..0             !
 1967.4!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1968.1!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1968.2!                                   *+ !!             .0.             !
 1968.3!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1968.4!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1969.1!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1969.2!                                  *+  !!             0..             !
 1969.3!                                 *+   !!             0..             !
 1969.4!                                * +   !!             0..             !
 1970.1!                                *+    !!             .0.             !
 1970.2!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1970.3!                                 *+   !!             0..             !
 1970.4!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1971.1!                                 *+   !!             .0.             !
 1971.2!                                  +*  !!             .0.             !
 1971.3!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1971.4!                                   *+ !!             .0.             !
 1972.1!                                  *+  !!             .0.             !
 1972.2!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1972.3!                                   + *!!             ..0             !
 1972.4!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1973.1!                                 *   +!!            0...             !
 1973.2!                                  + * !!             ..0             !
 1973.3!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1973.4!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1974.1!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1974.2!                                   * +!!             0..             !
 1974.3!                                   + *!!             ..0             !
 1974.4!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1975.1!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1975.2!                                   *+ !!             .0.             !
 1975.3!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1975.4!                                 * +  !!             0..             !
 1976.1!                                  +*  !!             ..0             !
 1976.2!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1976.3!                                  *+  !!             .0.             !
 1976.4!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1977.1!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1977.2!                                   *+ !!             .0.             !
 1977.3!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1977.4!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1978.1!                                  *+  !!             .0.             !
 1978.2!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1978.3!                                  *+  !!             0..             !
 1978.4!                                  + * !!             ..0             !
 1979.1!                                  * + !!             0..             !
 1979.2!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1979.3!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1979.4!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1980.1!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1980.2!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1980.3!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1980.4!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1981.1!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1981.2!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1981.3!                                    + *!             ..0             !
 1981.4!                                     +!!             .0.             !
 1982.1!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1982.2!                                   *+ !!             .0.             !
 1982.3!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1982.4!                                   +* !!             .0.             !
 1983.1!                                   +  *!             ..0             !
 1983.2!                                    *+!!             .0.             !
 1983.3!                                    +*!!             ..0             !
 1983.4!                                     +!!             .0.             !
 1984.1!                                    +*!!             .0.             !
 1984.2!                                  * + !!             0..             !
 1984.3!                                   +* !!             ..0             !
 1984.4!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1985.1!                                    +*!!             ..0             !
 1985.2!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1985.3!                                    + !!             .0.             !
 1985.4!                                  * + !!             0..             !
 1986.1!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1986.2!                                  +*  !!             .0.             !
 1986.3!                                  +*  !!             .0.             !
 1986.4!                                *  +  !!             0..             !
 1987.1!                                + *   !!             ..0             !
 1987.2!                                  + * !!             ..0             !
 1987.3!                                   +  !!             .0.             !
 1987.4!                                  *+  !!             .0.             !
 1988.1!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1988.2!                                  +*  !!             .0.             !
 1988.3!                                 * +  !!             0..             !
 1988.4!                                 +*   !!             .0.             !
 1989.1!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1989.2!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1989.3!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1989.4!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1990.1!                              *   +   !!            0...             !
 1990.2!                               +      !!             .0.             !
 1990.3!                               + *    !!             ..0             !
 1990.4!                                 +*   !!             ..0             !
 1991.1!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1991.2!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1991.3!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1991.4!                                 +*   !!             .0.             !
 1992.1!                                 *+   !!             .0.             !
 1992.2!                                *+    !!             .0.             !
 1992.3!                                + *   !!             ..0             !
 1992.4!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1993.1!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1993.2!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1993.3!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 1993.4!                               *  +   !!             0..             !
 1994.1!                                +     !!             .0.             !
 1994.2!                                *+    !!             0..             !
 1994.3!                                +     !!             .0.             !
 1994.4!                                *+    !!             .0.             !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1995.2!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1995.3!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1995.4!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1996.1!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1996.2!                                *+    !!             .0.             !
 1996.3!                                +     !!             .0.             !
 1996.4!                              * +     !!             0..             !
 1997.1!                              +  *    !!             ..0             !
 1997.2!                               * +    !!             0..             !
 1997.3!                               +      !!             .0.             !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!             ..0             !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!             .0.             !
 1998.2!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 1998.3!                               *+     !!             0..             !
 1998.4!                              *+      !!             0..             !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!             ..0             !
 1999.2!                               + *    !!             ..0             !
 1999.3!                                 +*   !!             ..0             !
 1999.4!                                 +*   !!             .0.             !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!             ..0             !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!             .0.             !
 2000.3!                                 +  * !!             ...0            !
 2000.4!                                  *+  !!             0..             !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!             ..0             !
 2001.2!                                  +*  !!             ..0             !
 2001.3!                                  + * !!             ..0             !
 2001.4!                                  +*  !!             .0.             !
 2002.1!                                 *+   !!             0..             !
 2002.2!                                +     !!             .0.             !
 2002.3!                                + *   !!             ..0             !
 2002.4!                                 +*   !!             ..0             !
 2003.1!                                 +    !!             .0.             !
 2003.2!                                +  *  !!             ..0             !
 2003.3!                                 +*   !!             .0.             !
 2003.4!                                 +*   !!             .0.             !
 2004.1!                                + *   !!             ..0             !
 2004.2!                              * +     !!             0..             !
 2004.3!                              +   *   !!             ...0            !
 2004.4!                               * +    !!             0..             !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!             ..0             !
 2005.2!                              *+      !!             .0.             !
 2005.3!                              +       !!             .0.             !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!             ..0             !
 2006.1!                              +*      !!             ..0             !
 2006.2!                             * +      !!             0..             !
 2006.3!                           * +        !!             0..             !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!             .0.             !
 2007.1!                           +          !!             .0.             !
 2007.2!                           + *        !!             ..0             !
 2007.3!                           * +        !!             0..             !
 2007.4!                          + *         !!             ..0             !
 2008.1!                           + *        !!             ..0             !
 2008.2!                            +*        !!             ..0             !
 2008.3!                            +*        !!             .0.             !
 2008.4!                            + *       !!             ..0             !
 2009.1!                           * +        !!             0..             !
 2009.2!                          +*          !!             .0.             !
 2009.3!                          +           !!             .0.             !
 2009.4!                         + *          !!             ..0             !
 2010.1!                           +          !!             .0.             !
 2010.2!                        *  +          !!             0..             !
 2010.3!                         +            !!             .0.             !
 2010.4!                        +  *          !!             ..0             !
 2011.1!                          *+          !!             .0.             !
 2011.2*                           +          !0             ...             !
 2011.3!      +*                              !!             ..0             !
 2011.4!             +     *                  !!             ... 0           !
 2012.1!                      +               !!             .0.             !
 2012.2!                    *   +             !!            0...             !
 2012.3!                      +               !!             .0.             !
 2012.4!                 *      +             !!          0  ...             !


      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNELI=NEPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANELI=LOG(AANELI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANELI=LOG(ANELI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANELI=EXP(LAANELI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3200 LAANELI C LANELI(-1) PNELI;                                         
EQUATION 1645  LAANELI  
   RHS     C  LANELI(-1)  PNELI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1645 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1645
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANELI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.613615325

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.776190820       0.238870561  -3.24942     1.000000
15344 LANELI  ( -1)       0.634436687       0.057545037  11.02505    -3.613543
15342 PNELI   (  0)      -0.480483666       0.203367879  -2.36263     1.133983

SE of equation            =     0.257959283
Sum of squared residuals  =  12.3104534      -0.755617791E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.197103694
Sum of ABS residuals      =  37.0554945    
R squared                 =   0.49244
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48614
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.2!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1966.3!            *    +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1966.4!        *     +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1967.1!           +       *                  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.2!                  +    *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.3!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1967.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.1!                   *  +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1968.3!                +     *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1968.4!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.1!                  +     *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                     +    *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.2!                  *      +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.3!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.4!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1971.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1971.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1972.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1972.3!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.1!              +      *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.3!             *  +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!        *          +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1974.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!           *   +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1976.2!             *+                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.3!   *          +                       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.1!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.2!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!         +    *                       !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.3!         +*                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4*            +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1979.1!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!       +  *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.2!*           +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1980.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.1!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!      *       +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.3!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!        +                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.1!    *      +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.2!        +          *                  !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!               *      +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.4!               +          *           !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1984.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!            *     +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!             +          *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1985.4!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.1!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                      +     *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                      *    +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.4!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                  *         +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1989.2!                   +        *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         +         *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                             +    *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.1!                     +       *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.2!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                      +        *      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!                         +      *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.1!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                   *     +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                   +      *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.1!             *     +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.2!                +  *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!             *       +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                +        *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.3!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.4!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                         +     *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.2!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                         +    *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                           +         *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.2!                        *       +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                          +     *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                       *     +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                 *     +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!            *         +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2004.4!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!          *        +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2005.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!            *         +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.4!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                     +  *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                   *   +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.1!           *       +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.2!      *        +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.3!       *       +                      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.4!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2011.2!     *                +               !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2011.3!           +                          *!           .  .  .           0
 2011.4!                             *  +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.1!                 *         +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2012.2!                   +       *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTLI=STPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTLI=LOG(AASTLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTLI=LOG(ASTLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTLI=EXP(LAASTLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3201 LAASTLI C LASTLI(-1) PSTLI;                                         
EQUATION 1646  LAASTLI  
   RHS     C  LASTLI(-1)  PSTLI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1646 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1646
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTLI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.091239982

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.666857881       0.270165208  -6.16977     1.000000
15347 LASTLI  ( -1)       0.460402575       0.064635906   7.12302    -4.091116
15345 PSTLI   (  0)      -0.602917120       0.201311916  -2.99494     0.897009

SE of equation            =     0.426746967
Sum of squared residuals  =  33.6909002       0.711919412E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.301807119
Sum of ABS residuals      =  56.7397383    
R squared                 =   0.30628
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24190
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.2!                       *       +      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1966.3!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1966.4!                        *      +      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1967.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.3!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.4!                             +     *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1968.1!                        *        +    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1968.2!                           +          *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1968.3!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                                +    *!!           .  .  0           !
 1969.1!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 1969.2!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                                +   * !!           .  .  0           !
 1969.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1970.1!                       *         +    !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1970.2!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1971.3!                     *           +    !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1971.4!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1972.1!                         *    +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1972.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1973.2!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3!                           *  +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.1!                         *    +       !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.1!                     *        +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1975.2!                         +*           !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1976.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.1!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.2!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.4!                       *    +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.4!                     *   +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                       *    +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.2!                   *      +           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.3!                    *    +            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.1!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.2!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!                           * +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.4!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                             +        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!                          *  +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                       *   +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.2!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3!                       *     +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.4!                         +  *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                           +         *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1991.4!                             *  +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                         *  +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                        *    +        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!                          +      *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.2!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.4!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!               *           +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1996.2!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                     *       +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1997.2!                        +  *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                   *       +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1998.2!                       +     *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                           +  *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                            +   *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                 *      +             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.3!              *      +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.4!               *    +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!      *                +              !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2010.4*                +                     !!  0        .  .  .           !
 2011.1!             +       *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.2! *                    +               !0           .  .  .           !
 2011.3!            +             *           !!           .  .  .      0    !
 2011.4!                         +       *    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2012.1!                      *     +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                       +   *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !


     21.28 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKLI=UKPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKLI=LOG(AAUKLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKLI=LOG(AUKLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKLI=EXP(LAAUKLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3202 LAAUKLI C LAUKLI(-1) PUKLI;                                         
EQUATION 1647  LAAUKLI  
   RHS     C  LAUKLI(-1)  PUKLI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1647 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1647
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKLI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.600720155

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.452792929       0.285218851  -1.58753     1.000000
15350 LAUKLI  ( -1)       0.790536281       0.045898276  17.22366    -2.587778
15348 PUKLI   (  0)      -0.103877958       0.278114577  -0.37351     0.983794

SE of equation            =     0.378523189
Sum of squared residuals  =  26.5067638      -0.271693779E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.191127777
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.9320221    
R squared                 =   0.62129
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65988
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1966.2!                                    + *!            . .0.            !
 1966.3!                                    +*!!            . .0.            !
 1966.4!                                   +  *!            . .0.            !
 1967.1!                                    +*!!            . 0 .            !
 1967.2!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1967.3!                                 * +  !!            .0. .            !
 1967.4!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.1!                                +   * !!            . . 0            !
 1968.2!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1968.3!                                   +  !!            . 0 .            !
 1968.4!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1969.1!                                  + * !!            . .0.            !
 1969.2!                                  +  *!!            . .0.            !
 1969.3!                                    + !!            . .0.            !
 1969.4!                                   + *!!            . .0.            !
 1970.1!                                  * + !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1970.3!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1970.4!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.1!                                *+    !!            . 0 .            !
 1971.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1971.3!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                                 +  * !!            . .0.            !
 1972.1!                                   +* !!            . .0.            !
 1972.2!                                  *+  !!            . 0 .            !
 1972.3!                                * +   !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1973.1!                                 +*   !!            . .0.            !
 1973.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1973.3!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1973.4!                               *  +   !!            0 . .            !
 1974.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1974.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1976.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1976.3!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1976.4!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.1!                              *+      !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1977.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1978.1!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1980.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1980.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1981.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1981.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1981.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.1!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1984.2!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1985.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1986.1!                              +  *    !!            . . 0            !
 1986.2!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 1986.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.4!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1987.1!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.2!                              *  +    !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1987.4!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1988.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1989.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                               * +    !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                                +     !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1992.2!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1992.4!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1993.1!                              * +     !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 1994.1!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.2!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 1994.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.1!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1996.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1997.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.2!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.1!                               *+     !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.3!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!                               +*     !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.2!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 2003.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 2004.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 2005.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 2006.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                           +*         !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2007.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                          +*          !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                         *  +         !!            .0. .            !
 2008.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                      *    +          !!           0. . .            !
 2008.4!                       + *            !!            . .0.            !
 2009.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2010.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                       *    +         !!            0 . .            !
 2010.3!                       * +            !!            .0. .            !
 2010.4!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!                       +*             !!            . .0.            !
 2011.2*                         +            !0            . . .            !
 2011.3!     +              *                 !!            . . .     0      !
 2011.4!                    * +               !!            .0. .            !
 2012.1!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2!                   * +                !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                   *  +               !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!                     +                !!            . 0 .            !


      8.51 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      1.60 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3203 LAAFILI C LAFILI(-1) PFILI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3203 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3204 LAAASLI C LAASLI(-1) PASLI;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3204 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3205 LAASOLI C LASOLI(-1) PSOLI;SMPL 2011.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3205 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3206 LAAKOLI C LAKOLI(-1) PKOLI;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3206 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBELI=BEPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABELI=LOG(AABELI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABELI=LOG(ABELI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABELI=EXP(LAABELI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3207 LAABELI C LABELI(-1) PBELI;                                         
EQUATION 1648  LAABELI  
   RHS     C  LABELI(-1)  PBELI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1648 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1648
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABELI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.727331087

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.775253000       0.348013630  -2.22765     1.000000
15353 LABELI  ( -1)       0.663267290       0.054570616  12.15429    -3.730531
15351 PBELI   (  0)      -0.497927320       0.348435141  -1.42904     0.959454

SE of equation            =     0.320255519
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.9742656      -0.301603187E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.246097900
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.2664053    
R squared                 =   0.47554
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.46111
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1966.2!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1966.3!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1967.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1967.2!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1967.3!               *        +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1967.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1968.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1968.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1969.1!                   *    +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1969.2!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1969.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1969.4!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1970.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1970.3!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1970.4!           *          +               !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1971.1!      *        +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1971.2!       *    +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1971.3!            +     *                   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1971.4!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.1!               +        *             !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1972.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1972.3!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1972.4!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1973.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.4!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1974.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.4!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                       +    *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1975.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1976.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.1!                            +    *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1977.2!                             +      * !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1977.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.4!                              +*      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.2!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.2!             *       +                !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.3!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.4!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1980.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.2!                      +      *        !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1980.4!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.1!                         +        *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!                            * +       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.2!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                 *    +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1986.2!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.4!                *     +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.2!                    *  +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.4!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                     +   *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                        +     *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!                     +      *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.4!                *         +           !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                      +         *     !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1993.3!                            *+        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!                        +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.4!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.2!                           +         *!!           .  .  .   0       !
 1995.3!                           *   +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.4!                   *     +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1996.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1996.2!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.4!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1997.1!                              +    *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                            +         *!           .  .  .   0       !
 1997.4!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                            +  *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                          +     *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                        +      *      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2001.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.1!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2002.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                    *      +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.2!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.3!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2006.4!                  *      +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.3!                + *                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!         *        +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2008.1!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!         *      +                     !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2008.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.4!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!               +    *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.2*                   +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 2011.3!     +           *                    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 2011.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !


     29.26 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.72 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDELI=DEPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADELI=LOG(AADELI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADELI=LOG(ADELI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADELI=EXP(LAADELI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3208 LAADELI C LADELI(-1) PDELI;                                         
EQUATION 1649  LAADELI  
   RHS     C  LADELI(-1)  PDELI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1649 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1649
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADELI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.377066755

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.304702522       0.565670278  -2.30647     1.000000
15356 LADELI  ( -1)       0.700697612       0.052288095  13.40071    -5.375919
15354 PDELI   (  0)      -0.305866393       0.498993699  -0.61297     0.998707

SE of equation            =     0.359632969
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.9271364      -0.819193602E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.265760288
Sum of ABS residuals      =  49.9629341    
R squared                 =   0.49395
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.28640
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1966.2!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1966.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.1!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1967.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.3!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1968.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1968.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1969.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1969.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.3!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1970.1!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.2!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1970.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.2!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1971.3!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1971.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1972.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.3!                     *     +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1972.4!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1973.3!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1976.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!              *     +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.3!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                *   +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.1!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.1!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                     *     +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.2!       *                +             !0          .   .   .          !
 1985.3!            +              *          !!          .   .   .        0 !
 1985.4!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.2!                         +        *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.3!                        *     +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.1!                            +     *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                          +           *!          .   .   .      0   !
 1989.1!                      *           +   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1989.2!                       +*             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1990.2!                      *        +      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1990.3!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                  *      +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.4!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1994.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!              *         +             !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!                 +      *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2000.2!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.1!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.1!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.2!                         *   +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                  *     +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!                *  +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!       *          +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 2006.2! *         +                          !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2006.3!   *    +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.4*         +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2007.1!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!           +         *                !!          .   .   .    0     !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.2!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.3!       *        +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2008.4!      *     +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.1!      *    +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 2009.2!           +    *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!          *       +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2009.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!            *        +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.4!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.2!                     *   +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !


     28.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3209 LAANOLI C LANOLI(-1) PNOLI;SMPL 2012.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3209 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWLI=SWPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWLI=LOG(AASWLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWLI=LOG(ASWLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWLI=EXP(LAASWLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3210 LAASWLI C LASWLI(-1) PSWLI;                                         
EQUATION 1650  LAASWLI  
   RHS     C  LASWLI(-1)  PSWLI  
 SMPL 1968.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1968.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    66 to   244
 OLS;EST 1650 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1650
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWLI 

 1968.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  179 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.591252982

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.884136318       0.571867440  -3.29471     1.000000
15359 LASWLI  ( -1)       0.502573731       0.065939967   7.62169    -4.588022
15357 PSWLI   (  0)      -0.359965843       0.473199877  -0.76071     1.114821

SE of equation            =     0.547962994
Sum of squared residuals  =  52.8463660       0.161826108E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.369842906
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.2018802    
R squared                 =   0.25888
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19361
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1968.2   2012.4    179

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1968.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1968.3!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1968.4!                        *    +        !!            0 . .            !
 1969.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1969.2!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1969.3!                       *  +           !!            .0. .            !
 1969.4!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1970.2!                        *  +          !!            0 . .            !
 1970.3!                         *+           !!            . 0 .            !
 1970.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1971.3!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1971.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1972.1!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.2!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1972.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1972.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1973.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1973.2!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1973.3!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1973.4!                        * +           !!            .0. .            !
 1974.1!                          +   *       !!            . . 0            !
 1974.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1974.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.1!                           +        * !!            . . .  0         !
 1975.2!                           *    +     !!           0. . .            !
 1975.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1975.4!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1976.1!                       *  +           !!            0 . .            !
 1976.2!                         +            *!            . . .    0       !
 1976.3!                                 +    *!            . . .0           !
 1976.4!                             *   +    !!            0 . .            !
 1977.1!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 1977.2!                      *   +           !!            0 . .            !
 1977.3!                    *    +            !!           0. . .            !
 1977.4!                      * +             !!            .0. .            !
 1978.1!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1978.2!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 1978.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 1979.1!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1979.2!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1979.4!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1980.3!                       *   +          !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1981.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!                           +  *       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.3!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1981.4!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1982.1!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1982.2!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!                            +  *      !!            . .0.            !
 1983.1!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1983.2!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1983.3!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.4!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!                             +*       !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1984.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1985.4!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 1986.1!                           *+         !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1986.3!                            * +       !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.1!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1987.2!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.4!                            + *       !!            . .0.            !
 1988.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!                        *    +        !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1989.1!                          * +         !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1989.3!                          *  +        !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 1990.3!                           *  +       !!            .0. .            !
 1990.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 1991.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.2!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 1991.3!                         *    +       !!           0. . .            !
 1991.4!                           +      *   !!            . . . 0          !
 1992.1!                              *+      !!            .0. .            !
 1992.2!              *              +        !!      0     . . .            !
 1992.3!                     +      *         !!            . . . 0          !
 1992.4!                            +   *     !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!                         *     +      !!           0. . .            !
 1993.2!                           +    *     !!            . . .0           !
 1993.3!                             * +      !!            .0. .            !
 1993.4!                         *   +        !!            0 . .            !
 1994.1!                           +     *    !!            . . .0           !
 1994.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1994.3!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                                +    *!!            . . .0           !
 1995.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1995.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 1996.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 1996.2!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1996.3!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1996.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 1997.1!                                + *   !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1997.3!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1997.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1998.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!            . . 0            !
 1998.3!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 1998.4!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1999.1!                                +     !!            . .0.            !
 1999.2!                               +  *   !!            . . 0            !
 1999.3!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!                             +  *     !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                               + *    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.2!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.3!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!                               +      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.3!                               +  *   !!            . .0.            !
 2003.4!                                +  *  !!            . . 0            !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!            . .0.            !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2005.1!                              +       !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!            . .0.            !
 2005.3!                              +  *    !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                            *  +      !!            .0. .            !
 2006.1!                             +   *    !!            . . 0            !
 2006.2!                            *  +      !!            0 . .            !
 2006.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2006.4!                             +*       !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                             +     *  !!            . . .0           !
 2007.2!                           *    +     !!            0 . .            !
 2007.3!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                          *  +        !!            0 . .            !
 2008.4!                            +  *      !!            . . 0            !
 2009.1!                        *     +       !!           0. . .            !
 2009.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 2009.3!                           * +        !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                        *   +         !!            0 . .            !
 2010.1!                         * +          !!            .0. .            !
 2010.2!                           + *        !!            . .0.            !
 2010.3!                             + *      !!            . .0.            !
 2010.4!                           *  +       !!            0 . .            !
 2011.1!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 2011.2*                           +          !0            . . .            !
 2011.3!              +       *               !!            . . . 0          !
 2011.4!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                      *  +            !!            0 . .            !
 2012.2!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !
 2012.3!                    *    +            !!            0 . .            !
 2012.4!                     *   +            !!            0 . .            !


     16.76 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3211 LAAGRLI C LAGRLI(-1) PGRLI;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3211 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3212 LAAIRLI C LAIRLI(-1) PIRLI;SMPL 2012.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3212 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3213 LAAPOLI C LAPOLI(-1) PPOLI;SMPL 1994.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3213 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPLI=SPPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPLI=LOG(AASPLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPLI=LOG(ASPLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPLI=EXP(LAASPLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3214 LAASPLI C LASPLI(-1) PSPLI;                                         
EQUATION 1651  LAASPLI  
   RHS     C  LASPLI(-1)  PSPLI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1651 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1651
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPLI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.903889921

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.728649105       0.228549289  -3.18815     1.000000
15362 LASPLI  ( -1)       0.496631897       0.062088615   7.99876    -3.919885
15360 PSPLI   (  0)      -1.080932672       0.236123824  -4.57782     1.136520

SE of equation            =     0.468689950
Sum of squared residuals  =  40.6389999       0.128341782E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.350947787
Sum of ABS residuals      =  65.9781839    
R squared                 =   0.52977
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.07417
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1*              +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1966.2!         +          *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1966.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1966.4!         *           +                !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1967.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1967.2!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1967.3!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.4!               *      +               !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1968.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.2!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.4!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1969.1!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1969.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1969.4!                *      +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1970.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.4!                 *      +             !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.2!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                *        +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1971.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1972.1!                   *  +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.3!                       * +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1973.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1973.2!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.3!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.1!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.2!                        +          *  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!                           +  *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.4!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                             +  *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1977.3!                               +     *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1977.4!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.2!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.4!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                           +     *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.3!                              +  *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.4!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                                 + *  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.1!                                  + * !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!                                 +   *!!          .   .   0          !
 1984.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                              +      *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.1!                                 * +  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.2!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.3!                               * +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                                +     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                         *     +      !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                        *       +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1988.4!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.1!                           * +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.3!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.2!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.3!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                *         +           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.3!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.2!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.4!                                +   * !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.1!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 1995.2!                               * +    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                               +   *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                                +*    !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!                             * +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                              +    *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1997.3!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                             +    *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.4!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 1999.1!                                * +   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                              * +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!                              *+      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.1!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                             *  +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.3!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                             *  +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!                             +    *   !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                                + *   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.3!                           *    +     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                           *  +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                             +       *!!          .   .   .   0      !
 2006.1!                         *        +   !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2006.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!                     *      +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2007.4!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                          *  +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2010.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!               *           +          !! 0        .   .   .          !
 2011.3!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .       0  !
 2011.4!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !


     23.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3215 LAANZLI C LANZLI(-1) PNZLI;SMPL 2002.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3215 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3216 LAASALI C LASALI(-1) PSALI;SMPL 1983.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3216 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3217 LAAVELI C LAVELI(-1) PVELI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3217 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3218 LAACOLI C LACOLI(-1) PCOLI;SMPL 2006.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3218 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOLI=JOPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOLI=LOG(AAJOLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOLI=LOG(AJOLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOLI=EXP(LAAJOLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3219 LAAJOLI C LAJOLI(-1) PJOLI;                                         
EQUATION 1652  LAAJOLI  
   RHS     C  LAJOLI(-1)  PJOLI  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1652 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1652
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOLI 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.755035317

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.365338703       0.362515123  -3.76629     1.000000
15365 LAJOLI  ( -1)       0.684412378       0.073721298   9.28378    -5.763246
15363 PJOLI   (  0)      -0.390610967       0.146182595  -2.67208     1.139906

SE of equation            =     0.302694994
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.97131056       0.102851061E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.225851000
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.3265900    
R squared                 =   0.66531
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11956
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!    *        +                        !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1990.4!     *    +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.1!            +        *                !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.2!                      +     *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1991.3!                           +  *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.1!                  *            +      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!                        + *           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!            *             +           !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1993.2!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.3!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.4!                    +  *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.2!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.3!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.4!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                   +    *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1995.4!                      *+              !!         .    0    .         !
 1996.1!          *          +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1996.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.2!              *  +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.4!                 *   +                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.4!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.1!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.3!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!                            +  *      !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.2!                              +    *  !!         .    .    0         !
 2000.3!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.4!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.1!                               +    * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.2!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.3!                               +     *!!         .    .    .0        !
 2001.4!                                +     *!         .    .    0         !
 2002.1!                           *     +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.2!                         +    *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                    *       +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2003.2!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.3!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 2003.4!                           *   +      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!                     *     +          !!         0    .    .         !
 2004.2!                      +          *    !!         .    .    .    0    !
 2004.3!                        *      +      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.1!                      +  *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.2!                         +            !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.3!                        +             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                   *   +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2006.3!                  *   +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!                *  +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.1!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!                * +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!   *               +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 2008.2!      +  *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.3!    *   +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2008.4*   +                                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!+ *                                   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2*    +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.3!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!          + *                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.1!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.2!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.3!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.4!         +   *                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.2!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.3!           +           *              !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2011.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!             +  *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!            +         *               !!         .    .    .   0     !


     21.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.78 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3220 LAASYLI C LASYLI(-1) PSYLI;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3220 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDLI=IDPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDLI=LOG(AAIDLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDLI=LOG(AIDLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDLI=EXP(LAAIDLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3221 LAAIDLI C LAIDLI(-1) PIDLI;                                         
EQUATION 1653  LAAIDLI  
   RHS     C  LAIDLI(-1)  PIDLI  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1653 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1653
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDLI 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.941954484

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.316679241       0.404273142  -3.25691     1.000000
15368 LAIDLI  ( -1)       0.733146966       0.050101583  14.63321    -5.950631
15366 PIDLI   (  0)      -0.217482083       0.255130607  -0.85243     1.207402

SE of equation            =     0.729819834
Sum of squared residuals  =  98.5378432      -0.641886544E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.480576428
Sum of ABS residuals      =  90.3483685    
R squared                 =   0.54493
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.30318
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1966.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1966.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.1!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1967.4!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1968.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1968.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1969.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1969.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1970.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1970.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1970.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.3!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 1971.4!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1972.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!                      +      *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1973.2!                    *      +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1973.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1973.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1974.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.4!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1975.1!                   *     +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.1!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.4!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1977.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!                        +    *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!                          +    *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.4!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.2!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!                   *       +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.3!                    *   +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.4!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1*                       +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1981.2!     +  *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.3!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.4!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!               +*                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!              *   +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1983.3!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                   +     *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!           *            +             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1986.2!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                    *+                !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.2!                *   +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!        *          +                  !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.2!            +      *                  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1989.3!              *     +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.4!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!    *             +                   !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1990.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.3! *              +                     !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1990.4!       +            *                 !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1991.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.2!                 *      +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.4!                   * +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.4!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1!                +   *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.2!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.1!                     *    +           !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!            *         +               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1994.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!       *          +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1995.1!           +        *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1995.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                     +    *           !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.3!                            +      *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                           *    +     !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.1!      *                   +           !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1997.2!           +     *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.3!                   +             *    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1997.4!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                        *     +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1998.2!                        +     *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                          +   *       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                        *  +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                      +  *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                      *  +            !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                        *+            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.2!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.1!                          +         * !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2004.2!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                                 +  * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                 +    *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.1!                                  + * !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                             + *      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                             +  *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!                            * +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                          +*          !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                           +   *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                              +   *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                             +  *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.2!                             +*       !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4!                         +   *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.2!                  *        +          !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                   +           *      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2011.4!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                          +  *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.2!                           +    *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2012.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                            + *       !!           .  .0 .           !


     19.68 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.38 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3222 LAAMALI C LAMALI(-1) PMALI;SMPL 1997.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3222 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3223 LAAPALI C LAPALI(-1) PPALI;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3223 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3224 LAAPHLI C LAPHLI(-1) PPHLI;SMPL 2012.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3224 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3225 LAATHLI C LATHLI(-1) PTHLI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3225 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHLI=CHPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHLI=LOG(AACHLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHLI=LOG(ACHLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHLI=EXP(LAACHLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3226 LAACHLI C LACHLI(-1) PCHLI;                                         
EQUATION 1654  LAACHLI  
   RHS     C  LACHLI(-1)  PCHLI  
 SMPL 1981.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   120 to   244
 OLS;EST 1654 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1654
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHLI 

 1981.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  125 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.981716404

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.477422499       0.516926251   0.92358     1.000000
15371 LACHLI  ( -1)       0.690124599       0.068426864  10.08558    -4.001017
15369 PCHLI   (  0)      -1.498188842       0.560636371  -2.67230     1.133327

SE of equation            =     0.705607812
Sum of squared residuals  =  60.7416510       0.943023437E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.529607466
Sum of ABS residuals      =  66.2009333    
R squared                 =   0.65410
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.49264
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.4   2012.4    125

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1982.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.2!             *    +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!              +           *           !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.4!                      +  *            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.1!           *          +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1983.2!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1983.3!              +                       !!         .    0    .         !
 1983.4!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.1!       *     +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1984.2!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1984.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.4!              +  *                    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1985.1*              +                       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1985.2!  +       *                           !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.4!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 1986.1!  *               +                   !0         .    .    .         !
 1986.2!       +         *                    !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1986.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.4!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.1!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.4!                      +    *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1988.1!                    *     +           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1988.2!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.3!                +   *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.4!                *    +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.4!          *        +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.1!              *+                      !!         .    0    .         !
 1990.2!                 + *                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!              *      +                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1990.4!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1991.1!          *        +                  !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1991.2!              +        *              !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!                  *     +             !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!              *       +               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                  +     *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                 *       +            !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                   +        *         !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1993.1!                    *      +          !!        0.    .    .         !
 1993.2!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.3!               *  +                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1993.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.1!             *   +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.2!                +     *               !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!           *          +               !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.4!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.1!          *      +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.3!                     * +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!                 *    +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1997.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.2!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.3!             *         +              !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1997.4!                +      *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                   +  *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                      *+              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                     +*               !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.3!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                   *  +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2000.1!                    + *               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.2!                     + *              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                 *    +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.4!           *     +                    !!         0    .    .         !
 2001.1!         *    +                       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.2!            +      *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2001.3!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!               *   +                  !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!               +  *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                    +    *            !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.4!                        +*            !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2003.2!                         *+           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                        +*            !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2004.1!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.2!                        * +           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.4!                          +   *       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.1!                             +        !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.4!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!                              +    *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2006.4!                                + *   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.1!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.2!                               +  *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.1!                              +  *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.2!                                +   * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.1!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.2!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.3!                                 + *  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.4!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.1!                                +   * !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                                 +*   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2012.1!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.2!                                +     *!         .    .    .0        !
 2012.3!                                  +  *!!         .    .  0 .         !
 2012.4!                                 + *  !!         .    .0   .         !


     28.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.80 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3227 LAAARLI C LAARLI(-1) PARLI;SMPL 1986.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3227 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRLI=BRPX$Q/LIPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRLI=LOG(AABRLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRLI=LOG(ABRLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRLI=EXP(LAABRLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3228 LAABRLI C LABRLI(-1) PBRLI;                                         
EQUATION 1655  LAABRLI  
   RHS     C  LABRLI(-1)  PBRLI  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1655 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1655
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRLI 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.569733051

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.285990069       0.328051052  -0.87179     1.000000
15374 LABRLI  ( -1)       0.814149050       0.046335215  17.57085    -4.599606
15372 PBRLI   (  0)      -0.551961960       0.301560170  -1.83035     0.976477

SE of equation            =     0.506235137
Sum of squared residuals  =  31.5217037       0.225242047E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.351739140
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.3191317    
R squared                 =   0.73488
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.48410
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.3!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.4!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!    *            +                    !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1983.2!        +         *                   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.4!                *     +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.2!          *      +                    !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!         *  +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.4!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1*                +                     !0           .  .  .           !
 1985.2!    +          *                      !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1985.3!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.1!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.3!                        * +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!               *         +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.2!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!                          * +         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                            +  *      !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!                               * +    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.3!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.3!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.2!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.1!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                                +*    !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!                                +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!                              * +     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.2!                              +       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.2!                             +   *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!                            *  +      !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                               +      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.3!                               +   *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2000.1!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.2!                              +  *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.4!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                             +   *    !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                       *        +     !!      0    .  .  .           !
 2001.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.4!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                    *       +         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.4!                          *  +        !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!                          *   +       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2004.1!                           +   *      !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                             +     *  !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2004.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                                *+    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                                    +*!!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                                 *  + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.4!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.1!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                              * +     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                            *   +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.2!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 2009.3!                         +    *       !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.4!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.1!                               +   *  !!           .  .  .0          !
 2010.2!                            *    +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.3!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2010.4!                               +     *!!           .  .  . 0         !
 2011.1!                                * +   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                       *      +       !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                       +    *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 2011.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.1!                           +      *   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2012.2!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                              + *     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2012.4!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !


     22.22 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3229 LAACELI C LACELI(-1) PCELI;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3229 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3230 LAAMELI C LAMELI(-1) PMELI;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3230 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3231 LAAPELI C LAPELI(-1) PPELI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3231 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PTULI=TUPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAATULI=LOG(AATULI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LATULI=LOG(ATULI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AATULI=EXP(LAATULI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3232 LAATULI C LATULI(-1) PTULI;                                         
EQUATION 1656  LAATULI  
   RHS     C  LATULI(-1)  PTULI  
 SMPL 1971.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1971.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    78 to   244
 OLS;EST 1656 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1656
**********************

Dependent variable = LAATULI 

 1971.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  167 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.751069814

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.373408513       0.347935477   1.07321     1.000000
15377 LATULI  ( -1)       0.871171800       0.036786293  23.68197    -3.770559
15375 PTULI   (  0)      -0.734294319       0.337960523  -2.17272     1.143511

SE of equation            =     0.500568255
Sum of squared residuals  =  41.0932467       0.100479625E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.348349063
Sum of ABS residuals      =  58.1742934    
R squared                 =   0.82528
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.53923
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1971.2   2012.4    167

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1971.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1971.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1971.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.1!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.2!           *+                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1972.3!          * +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.1!               +*                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!               * +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!       *        +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1974.3!       *     +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.4!       * +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.1!*        +                            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1975.2!   +            *                     !!          .   .   .         0!
 1975.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1975.4!      *             +                 !0          .   .   .          !
 1976.1!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.2!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!    *   +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.4!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!     * +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2*       +                              !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.4!            +                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.2!    *        +                        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1978.3!       +             *                !!          .   .   .          0
 1978.4!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!           *         +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1979.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.4!         *        +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.1!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.3!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!                      +   *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.4!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.3!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.2!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.4!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.1!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.1!                             +        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.3!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.2!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                          *    +      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1993.3!                           *   +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.4!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.1!                           *  +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.3!                            *  +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.1!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                         *   +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.4!                         +       *    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1997.1!                              * +     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.3!                         *  +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      *+              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.4!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2000.1!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2000.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                    *    +            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2000.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                 *      +             !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2001.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.3!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.2!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.2!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                               *+     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                               +*     !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!                                 + *  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.3!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   +  *!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                                  +  *!!          .   .  0.          !


     19.76 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.19 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3233 LAAPDLI C LAPDLI(-1) PPDLI;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3233 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3234 LAARULI C LARULI(-1) PRULI;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3234 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3235 LAAUELI C LAUELI(-1) PUELI;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3235 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGLI=EGPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGLI=LOG(AAEGLI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGLI=LOG(AEGLI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGLI=EXP(LAAEGLI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3236 LAAEGLI C LAEGLI(-1) PEGLI;                                         
EQUATION 1657  LAAEGLI  
   RHS     C  LAEGLI(-1)  PEGLI  
 SMPL 1986.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1986.1 to  2012.4 Internally:   137 to   244
 OLS;EST 1657 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1657
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGLI 

 1986.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  108 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.722968315

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)       0.281426567       0.656960333   0.42838     1.000000
15380 LAEGLI  ( -1)       0.938014023       0.026261608  35.71807    -4.792069
15378 PEGLI   (  0)      -0.467661188       0.631025679  -0.74111     1.089180

SE of equation            =     0.560187135
Sum of squared residuals  =  32.9500107      -0.121087584E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.315553213
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.0797470    
R squared                 =   0.93327
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.17139
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1986.1   2012.4    108

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1986.1!   *+                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1986.2! *  +                                 !!           0. . .            !
 1986.3! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1986.4!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1987.1!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1987.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!    * +                               !!            0 . .            !
 1988.1*      +                               !!        0   . . .            !
 1988.2* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1988.3* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1988.4* +                                    !!            0 . .            !
 1989.1! +               *                    !!            . . .            0
 1989.2!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!                *+                    !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1!                 +       *            !!            . . .     0      !
 1990.2!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1991.2!                            + *       !!            . . 0            !
 1991.3!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 1991.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.1!                           * +        !!            0 . .            !
 1992.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1992.3!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1992.4!                          * +         !!            0 . .            !
 1993.1!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1993.2!                         +            !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 1993.4!                          +  *        !!            . . .0           !
 1994.1!                        *   +         !!          0 . . .            !
 1994.2!                        + *           !!            . .0.            !
 1994.3!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 1994.4!                         *  +         !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.2!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1995.3!                          *+          !!            0 . .            !
 1995.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!                         +*           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.4!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 1997.2!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 1997.3!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.4!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.2!                          + *         !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!                           *+         !!            .0. .            !
 1998.4!                           +*         !!            . .0.            !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!           0. . .            !
 1999.2!                          +           !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 1999.4!                         +*           !!            . .0.            !
 2000.1!                          +           !!            . .0.            !
 2000.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.3!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.4!                          +*          !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2001.2!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2001.3!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2001.4!                         +            !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.1!                         + *          !!            . . 0            !
 2002.2!                           +          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!                          *+          !!            .0. .            !
 2002.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 2003.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.3!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!                            +*        !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!                          *  +        !!           0. . .            !
 2004.2!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!                         *+           !!            .0. .            !
 2004.4!                          +           !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!                          + *         !!            . . 0            !
 2005.2!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2005.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!                            *+        !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!                            +         !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!                            +*        !!            . .0.            !
 2007.2!                             *+       !!            .0. .            !
 2007.3!                            *+        !!            .0. .            !
 2007.4!                             +        !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!                             +   *    !!            . . .0           !
 2008.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2008.4!                               *+     !!            .0. .            !
 2009.1!                               +*     !!            . .0.            !
 2009.2!                                +*    !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2009.4!                                +*    !!            . .0.            !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!                                *+    !!            .0. .            !
 2011.2!                                +     *!            . . .   0        !
 2011.3!                                    *+!!            .0. .            !
 2011.4!                                  * + !!            0 . .            !
 2012.1!                                  +*  !!            . . 0            !
 2012.2!                                  *+  !!            .0. .            !
 2012.3!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!                                  +   !!            . 0 .            !


     11.11 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.70 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3237 LAAISLI C LAISLI(-1) PISLI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3237 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3238 LAAKELI C LAKELI(-1) PKELI;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3238 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3239 LAABALI C LABALI(-1) PBALI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3239 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3240 LAAHKLI C LAHKLI(-1) PHKLI;SMPL 1987.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3240 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSILI=SIPX$/LIPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASILI=LOG(AASILI+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASILI=LOG(ASILI+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASILI=EXP(LAASILI)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3241 LAASILI C LASILI(-1) PSILI;                                         
EQUATION 1658  LAASILI  
   RHS     C  LASILI(-1)  PSILI  
 SMPL 1976.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   100 to   244
 OLS;EST 1658 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1658
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASILI 

 1976.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  145 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.386416248

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.329990736       0.356274226  -6.53988     1.000000
15383 LASILI  ( -1)       0.342820043       0.081299113   4.21677    -6.388177
15381 PSILI   (  0)      -1.296680322       0.223256855  -5.80802     1.439391

SE of equation            =     0.700868833
Sum of squared residuals  =  69.7528313      -0.389022148E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.497157271
Sum of ABS residuals      =  72.0878043    
R squared                 =   0.58430
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.01530
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.4   2012.4    145

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.1!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.2!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1977.4!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.1!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.1!              +                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.2!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!        *    +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.4*            +                         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1981.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!     *   +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!          +  *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!*          +                          !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1982.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.3!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!   *      +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1984.2!     *    +                           !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!        +     *                       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.4!           +     *                    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1985.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!      *    +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.3!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!           +      *                   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!*                 +                   !0           .  .  .           !
 1986.3!            + *                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.4!                 +     *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1987.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!            *     +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.3!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1987.4!                *+                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.1!                  +  *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                    +  *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.2!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.4!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.1!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                   +     *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1993.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1994.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1997.2!                 +       *            !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1997.3!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                     +    *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.1!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1998.4!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                    +   *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2002.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.3!                     + *              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2003.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.2!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.3!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2007.1!                     *+               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                     *  +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.3!                       +              *!           .  .  .        0  !
 2008.4!                      *      +        !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2009.1!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                     * +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                 *     +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.2!                *      +              !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2011.3!                *   +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.4!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.1!                 *  +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.4!             *      +                 !!        0  .  .  .           !


     23.45 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3242 LAAVILI C LAVILI(-1) PVILI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3242 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3243 LAANILI C LANILI(-1) PNILI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3243 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3244 LAAALLI C LAALLI(-1) PALLI;SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3244 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3245 LAAIALI C LAIALI(-1) PIALI;SMPL 1989.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3245 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3246 LAAINLI C LAINLI(-1) PINLI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3246 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3247 LAAIQLI C LAIQLI(-1) PIQLI;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3247 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3248 LAAKULI C LAKULI(-1) PKULI;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3248 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3249 LAAUALI C LAUALI(-1) PUALI;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3249 PLOT=0;EN
@EQ  3250 LAAUSUA C LAUSUA(-1) PUSUA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3250 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCAUA=CAPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAACAUA=LOG(AACAUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACAUA=LOG(ACAUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACAUA=EXP(LAACAUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3251 LAACAUA C LACAUA(-1) PCAUA;                                         
EQUATION 1659  LAACAUA  
   RHS     C  LACAUA(-1)  PCAUA  
 SMPL 1974.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1974.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    92 to   244
 OLS;EST 1659 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1659
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACAUA 

 1974.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  153 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.431633909

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.016910319       0.559588934  -3.60427     1.000000
15386 LACAUA  ( -1)       0.619732196       0.063878593   9.70172    -5.436999
15384 PCAUA   (  0)      -0.043851639       0.410417480  -0.10685     1.031671

SE of equation            =     0.383377635
Sum of squared residuals  =  22.0467617       0.137783118E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.290375764
Sum of ABS residuals      =  44.4274919    
R squared                 =   0.38578
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.37275
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1974.4   2012.4    153

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1974.4!         +     *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.1!  *            +                      !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.2*       +                              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.3!*    +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1975.4!     +  *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.2!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.1!       *     +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!          +     *                     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!     *            +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.2!        +     *                       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.3!              +                       *!          .   .   .          0
 1978.4!                  *          +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1979.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.3!              +             *         !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1979.4!        *              +              !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.1!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.2!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!           +          *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1980.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.2!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.3!              +     *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.2!                +      *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.3!              *     +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.4!              +   *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!         *      +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.3!           +     *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.4!     *          +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!          +      *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1985.1!   *            +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1985.2!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!      *    +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.4*         +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.1!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!   *     +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.4!        +           *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.1!         *        +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1987.2!          *+                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3! *          +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.4!   *  +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.2!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.3!          +                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4! *         +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1989.1! *    +                               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.2!      +*                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!      *       +                       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1990.1!     *   +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.4!*       +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.1!     *+                               !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!  *      +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!      *  +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.1!      *   +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!   *     +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!      *      +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!     *          +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.2!         + *                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.3!          * +                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.1!               + *                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.2!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!           *   +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.1!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.2!                 +         *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1997.3!               *      +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!            +            *            !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1998.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.4!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!             +   *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.1!             +      *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.3!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.4!              *   +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                + *                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2007.3!                   +        *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                  *   +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.2!                      +    *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!                    +      *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2010.1!                      +*              !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.4!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.4!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.3!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !


     25.49 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3252 LAAJAUA C LAJAUA(-1) PJAUA;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3252 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PAUUA=AUPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAAUUA=LOG(AAAUUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAAUUA=LOG(AAUUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAAUUA=EXP(LAAAUUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3253 LAAAUUA C LAAUUA(-1) PAUUA;                                         
EQUATION 1660  LAAAUUA  
   RHS     C  LAAUUA(-1)  PAUUA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1660 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1660
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAAUUA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.334597002

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.582650295       0.287137095  -5.51183     1.000000
15389 LAAUUA  ( -1)       0.556706255       0.063768994   8.73005    -5.327054
15387 PAUUA   (  0)      -0.754474540       0.194898495  -3.87112     1.042238

SE of equation            =     0.317438506
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.9212184       0.198507877E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.216075687
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.7881856    
R squared                 =   0.53407
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15802
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 1973.1!   *               +                  !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1973.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1973.3! *     +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.4*    +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1974.1!     +    *                           !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.2!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1974.3!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!         *       +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1975.1!    *     +                           !!          0.  .  .           !
 1975.2!        +                 *           !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1975.3!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1975.4!                      +       *       !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.1!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1976.2!                    +       *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                      +              *!!           .  .  .     0     !
 1976.4!                       *  +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.1!                   +   *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!                   +         *        !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.2!    *       +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.3!         +   *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1!         *    +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.2!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1979.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.1! *           +                        !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1980.2! *      +                             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1980.3!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.4!          +       *                   !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1981.1!      *           +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1981.2!            +            *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1981.3!                  *    +              !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!                  +       *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1982.1!                     * +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1982.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.4!                      +            *  !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1983.1!                           *+         !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.4!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1984.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!                     *  +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.1!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.2!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!             *        +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1985.4!               +    *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!           *     +                    !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!          +                 *         !!           .  .  .       0   !
 1987.1!            *       +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!     *  +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.1!      * +                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.2!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.1!        * +                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!          + *                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.2!      *    +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!       + *                            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!   *   +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.1!   *   +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.2!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!  *   +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.1! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.2!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.3!    +   *                             !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!   *    +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!*    +                                !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!  +                                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.4! *+                                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!  +   *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.2!    + *                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!    +*                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!    +   *                             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.4!       +*                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!       + *                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!     + *                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!      + *                             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!    +     *                           !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!        + *                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!         +*                           !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!       *     +                        !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.3!       *   +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!             +                        *!           .  .  .           0
 2002.1!                *          +          !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2002.2!         *     +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2002.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!          +   *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.4!         + *                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.1!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.3!          +*                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!            +  *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.4!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.1!          *  +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!         *   +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!          *+                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !


     17.39 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.21 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3254 LAAFRUA C LAFRUA(-1) PFRUA;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3254 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PGEUA=GEPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAGEUA=LOG(AAGEUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAGEUA=LOG(AGEUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAGEUA=EXP(LAAGEUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3255 LAAGEUA C LAGEUA(-1) PGEUA;                                         
EQUATION 1661  LAAGEUA  
   RHS     C  LAGEUA(-1)  PGEUA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1661 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1661
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAGEUA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.647381204

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.626220802       0.139778915  -4.48008     1.000000
15392 LAGEUA  ( -1)       0.605436949       0.058885291  10.28163    -2.651387
15390 PGEUA   (  0)      -0.396709151       0.105726312  -3.75223     1.048407

SE of equation            =     0.178734532
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.07941925       0.969535563E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.129546402
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.9865172    
R squared                 =   0.57066
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.33836
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.4!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!  *            +                      !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1973.2!   *    +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1973.3!       *+                             !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4*           +                          !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1974.1!       +    *                         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1974.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1974.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.1!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.2!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1975.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!                   * +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.3!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1976.4!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.1!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.2!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.1!                          +   *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!                          *+          !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!                         +    *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                           +   *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.2!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.3!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.4!                     * +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.2!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.2!                        +       *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1981.3!                              +       *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.4!                           *     +    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                           +    *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 1982.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.3!                             +     *  !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.1!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                      *    +          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1984.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.4!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                         +            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1986.4!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1987.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.4!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1988.1!               *            +         !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1988.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                 *    +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.1!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1990.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                   +         *        !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1990.4!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!               *       +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!              +              *        !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.4!             *           +            !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.1!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.1!              +        *              !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1993.2!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!               +        *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1994.3!                  * +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1997.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.2!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!              + *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!            +  *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.4!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2000.1!               +              *       !!          .   .   .         0!
 2000.2!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.4!                    *  +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.1!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                      +      *        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.4!                      *   +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.2!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.3!                  +     *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!                *     +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2004.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.2!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.4!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!             *    +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                   +  *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.2!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.3!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                *    +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!            *     +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !


     24.07 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PITUA=ITPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAITUA=LOG(AAITUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAITUA=LOG(AITUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAITUA=EXP(LAAITUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3256 LAAITUA C LAITUA(-1) PITUA;                                         
EQUATION 1662  LAAITUA  
   RHS     C  LAITUA(-1)  PITUA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1662 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1662
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAITUA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.872167426

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.201945517       0.095937556  -2.10497     1.000000
15395 LAITUA  ( -1)       0.840877164       0.034484869  24.38395    -2.877320
15393 PITUA   (  0)      -0.272911689       0.088686914  -3.07725     0.918794

SE of equation            =     0.158319234
Sum of squared residuals  =  3.98533178      -0.218647322E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.123728262
Sum of ABS residuals      =  20.0439785    
R squared                 =   0.84297
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70787
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3! *+                                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1972.4! *   +                                !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1973.1*     +                                !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1973.4!        *    +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1974.1!           +  *                       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!        *       +                     !!0        .    .    .         !
 1974.3!           +    *                     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.1!              * +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.2!                + *                   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1975.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1975.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.1!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1976.3!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1976.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.1!                      +*              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1977.2!                       + *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 1977.3!                      *  +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1977.4!                    * +               !!         0    .    .         !
 1978.1!                     + *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1978.2!                        +*            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.3!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1978.4!                          *+          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.1!                          +*          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.2!                           + *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1979.3!                           *+         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1979.4!                         * +          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.1!                         + *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.2!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1980.3!                          + *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.4!                        *   +         !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                          +*          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1981.3!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1981.4!                          *  +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.1!                          +     *     !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1982.2!                           *   +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.3!                           +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1982.4!                          +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.1!                          +   *       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1983.2!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1983.3!                            +     *   !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1983.4!                            *    +    !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1984.1!                            +       * !!         .    .    .         0
 1984.2!                                  + * !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1984.3!                                   +  *!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.4!                               *    + !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1985.1!                              +  *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1985.2!                             *  +     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1985.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1985.4!                            *  +      !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.1!                          * +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.2!                         + *          !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1986.3!                        * +           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                     * +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1987.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.2!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1987.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .    0         !
 1987.4!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.1!                 *     +              !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1988.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1988.4!                     +  *             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1989.1!                       +              !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.2!                     *+               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.3!                     +  *             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1989.4!                  *    +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.1!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.3!                 +      *             !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1990.4!                  *    +              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1991.1!               *  +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 1991.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1992.2!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.4!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                    +  *              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1993.2!                   *   +              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.3!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.4!                     +                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.1!                     + *              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1994.3!                        +     *       !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1994.4!                         *  +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1995.2!                         * +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.3!                        +             !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                     * +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                    + *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                     + *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.4!                    * +               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.1!                  * +                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.3!                   +  *               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.4!                  *  +                !!         0    .    .         !
 1998.1!                 + *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.2!                  + *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!                  + *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                  * +                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2000.1!                  +   *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 2000.2!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!                     +                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!                    *+                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.1!                   *+                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  * +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2002.1!                * +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.4!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.1!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.3!               + *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2003.4!               * +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2004.1!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.2!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.3!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.4!             *  +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2005.1!           * +                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.2!           *+                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.1!            +*                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.2!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!             *+                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.4!             + *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.2!                +                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                +                     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!              * +                     !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!             +   *                    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2008.3!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.4!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.1!            +*                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.4!         *  +                         !!        0.    .    .         !
 2010.1!         + *                          !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.2!         *  +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!          +                           !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!       *   +                          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2011.1!        +  *                          !!         .    .    .0        !
 2011.2!             +                        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.4!            *  +                      !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!              +                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!              *+                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !


     28.40 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNEUA=NEPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAANEUA=LOG(AANEUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANEUA=LOG(ANEUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANEUA=EXP(LAANEUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3257 LAANEUA C LANEUA(-1) PNEUA;                                         
EQUATION 1663  LAANEUA  
   RHS     C  LANEUA(-1)  PNEUA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1663 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1663
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANEUA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.832588553

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.610861022       0.248414574  -6.48457     1.000000
15398 LANEUA  ( -1)       0.490405753       0.065359043   7.50326    -3.826852
15396 PNEUA   (  0)      -0.296599897       0.142888535  -2.07574     1.163242

SE of equation            =     0.209094387
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.95155359       0.143374201E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.147051615
Sum of ABS residuals      =  23.8223617    
R squared                 =   0.33769
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.06982
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                   *        +         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1972.4!        *         +                   !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1973.1!        *    +                        !!           0  .  .           !
 1973.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.3!         *  +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1974.1!     *      +                         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1974.2!           +  *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1974.4!                 +         *          !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1975.1!                     +              * !!           .  .  .      0    !
 1975.2!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1975.3!                   +            *     !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1975.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 1976.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.2!               +       *              !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                   +       *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.4!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1977.3!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!               +                      *!           .  .  .           0
 1978.1!              *            +          !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1978.2!               +                 *    !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1978.3!                        +   *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                   *  +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.4!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.4!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!             *    +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!               +     *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.1!                 *+                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.4!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!                   +    *             !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.1!               *     +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1985.2!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                 +*                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1986.1!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!              +      *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1986.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!               *   +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.2!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.3!               + *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.4!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.1!          *       +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.2!             +    *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.4!              * +                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.3!              +  *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.3!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!            *+                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.4!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.2!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!             +   *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.1!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!    *          +                      !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1994.2!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!     *     +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!         +     *                      !!           .  .  .0          !
 1995.1!  *           +                       !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.2!     * +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!       * +                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.4!          +*                          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.1*            +                         !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1996.2!*     +                               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1996.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.1!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1997.2!      *    +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 1997.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!        *  +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.1!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.2!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                +    *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                  +    *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.1!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2001.1!                 *   +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2001.2!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                   + *                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                    +   *             !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                  +   *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2005.1!                 * +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.1!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.2!                 +*                   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 2008.1!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.1!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.3!               +  *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.1!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.2!               * +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.1!             *     +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.2!           *    +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.3!            *  +                      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!           *      +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.3!            *  +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !


     19.14 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.17 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSTUA=STPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASTUA=LOG(AASTUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASTUA=LOG(ASTUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASTUA=EXP(LAASTUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3258 LAASTUA C LASTUA(-1) PSTUA;                                         
EQUATION 1664  LAASTUA  
   RHS     C  LASTUA(-1)  PSTUA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1664 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1664
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASTUA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.582978959

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.114200477       0.084281517  -1.35499     1.000000
15401 LASTUA  ( -1)       0.909051782       0.028142812  32.30138    -3.566531
15399 PSTUA   (  0)      -0.242286623       0.133021843  -1.82140     0.935325

SE of equation            =     0.245454333
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.1458485       0.431388258E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.183790586
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.5526301    
R squared                 =   0.93378
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.70519
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                                  *+  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1966.2!                                 +   *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1966.3!                                   +  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1966.4!                                  +   *!         .    .    .   0     !
 1967.1!                                 *  + !!         0    .    .         !
 1967.2!                               +   *  !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1967.3!                                *+    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1967.4!                              +   *   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1968.1!                             *  +     !!         0    .    .         !
 1968.2!                            +  *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1968.3!                             +*       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1968.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1969.1!                             +    *   !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1969.2!                                +     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1969.3!                               +*     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1969.4!                              +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1970.1!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1970.2!                              +*      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1970.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1970.4!                             + *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.1!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1971.2!                             +*       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1971.3!                            *+        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1971.4!                           + *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.1!                            +   *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1972.2!                           *  +       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1972.3!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1972.4!                          +           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.1!                   *     +            !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1973.3!               *  +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 1973.4!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.1!                +  *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1974.3!                *   +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1974.4!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1975.1!       *      +                       !! 0       .    .    .         !
 1975.2!        +*                            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.3!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.4!         + *                          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.1!         * +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1976.2!         + *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1976.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1976.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .    0         !
 1977.1!          *   +                       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1977.2!          +  *                        !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!             +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1978.1!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.2!          * +                         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1978.3!        * +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.4!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.1!         +                            !!         .    0    .         !
 1979.2!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.3!        * +                           !!         0    .    .         !
 1979.4!     *  +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.1!      +   *                           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1980.2!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1980.3!      * +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.4!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1981.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1981.2!        *    +                        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.3!       * +                            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.1!         + *                          !!         .    .    0         !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1982.3!          +                           !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.4!          +    *                      !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1983.1!        *      +                      !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.2!        + *                           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.3!           +                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!           +*                         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.1!            +  *                      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1984.2!               +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1984.3!              *+                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1984.4!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.1!             * +                      !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1985.3!            *+                        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1985.4!            +*                        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1986.1!       *     +                        !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1986.2!       +  *                           !!         .    .    0         !
 1986.3!       *  +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1986.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!         +                            !!         .    .0   .         !
 1987.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1987.3!       * +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1987.4!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1988.1!         +*                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.2!         +                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!        + *                           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.1!        * +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1989.3!        +                             !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.4!       *+                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1990.1!       +   *                          !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1990.2!       *   +                          !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!  *    +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1990.4!  +    *                              !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1991.1!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.2!    +  *                              !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1991.3!*      +                              !0         .    .    .         !
 1991.4!+      *                              !!         .    .    .        0!
 1992.1!       +    *                         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1992.2!       *    +                         !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1992.3!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1992.4!     +  *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 1993.1!        +                             !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!      *+                              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!     *+                               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.4!     +                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.1!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.3!   *+                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1994.4!   +    *                             !!         .    .    .     0   !
 1995.1!    *  +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1995.2!  * +                                 !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.3!  +                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1995.4!  + *                                 !!         .    .    0         !
 1996.1!    + *                               !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.2!    *+                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.3!   +                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1997.1!     +                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1997.3!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.4!    + *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.2!  *  +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1998.3!  +                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.1!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1999.2!  +   *                               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3! *   +                                !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1999.4*  +                                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2000.1!+   *                                 !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2000.2!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.3!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.4!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.2!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!    +  *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2002.2!       +                              !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.3!      *+                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!      +                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!    +*                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.2!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.4!   *+                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2005.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.4!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.1!  +*                                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!    +                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2006.3!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!    +                                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2007.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.3!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2007.4!   +                                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!   +*                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2008.2!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2008.3!   + *                                !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.4!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2009.3!  * +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2009.4!  +  *                                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2010.1!    *+                                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!         0    .    .         !
 2010.3!  +*                                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.4!   + *                                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2011.1!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.2!     +*                               !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!   *  +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2011.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .    0         !
 2012.1!     + *                              !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!    * +                               !!         .0   .    .         !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.4!   +  *                               !!         .    .    .0        !


     27.66 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.85 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PUKUA=UKPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAUKUA=LOG(AAUKUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAUKUA=LOG(AUKUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAUKUA=EXP(LAAUKUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3259 LAAUKUA C LAUKUA(-1) PUKUA;                                         
EQUATION 1665  LAAUKUA  
   RHS     C  LAUKUA(-1)  PUKUA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1665 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1665
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAUKUA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.164803947

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.048362705       0.085955490  -0.56265     1.000000
15404 LAUKUA  ( -1)       0.973784483       0.021192452  45.94959    -2.157619
15402 PUKUA   (  0)      -0.015036330       0.093513976  -0.16079     1.023190

SE of equation            =     0.166907254
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.15373579      -0.535282929E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.130100924
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.4589737    
R squared                 =   0.93542
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19042
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!                    +   *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1966.2!                       +   *          !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1966.3!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1966.4!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1967.1!                          +    *      !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1967.2!                              +   *   !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1967.3!                            *    +    !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1967.4!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.1!                            + *       !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1968.2!                         *   +        !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1968.3!                         +     *      !!        .     .     .       0!
 1968.4!                              +       !!        .    0.     .        !
 1969.1!                              +  *    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1969.2!                                 + *  !!        .     .     0        !
 1969.3!                                   +* !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1969.4!                                   +  *!        .     .     .0       !
 1970.1!                                   * +!!        .0    .     .        !
 1970.2!                                 * +  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1970.3!                              *  +    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1970.4!                             +  *     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.1!                             *  +     !!       0.     .     .        !
 1971.2!                             + *      !!        .     .     .0       !
 1971.3!                               + *    !!        .     .     0        !
 1971.4!                              *  +    !!        0     .     .        !
 1972.1!                             *+       !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1972.2!                             +  *     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1972.3!                            *   +     !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1972.4!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 1973.1!                       *   +          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1973.2!                       +  *           !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1973.3!                          +*          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1973.4!                      *    +          !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1974.1!                      +   *           !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1974.2!                          +           !!        .     0     .        !
 1974.3!                          + *         !!        .     .     .0       !
 1974.4!                            +*        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1975.1!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.2!                             +*       !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1975.3!                            * +       !!        .0    .     .        !
 1975.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 1976.1!                           +  *       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1976.2!                           *  +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1976.3!                          +*          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1976.4!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1977.1!                            + *       !!        .     .    0.        !
 1977.2!                          *   +       !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1977.3!                          +  *        !!        .     .     .0       !
 1977.4!                            *+        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.1!                            +         !!        .     .0    .        !
 1978.2!                           *+         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1978.3!                          *+          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1978.4!                          +*          !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1979.1!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.2!                           +*         !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1979.3!                          * +         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1979.4!                         *+           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1980.1!                        *+            !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.2!                       + *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1980.3!                      *  +            !!        .0    .     .        !
 1980.4!                 *    +               !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1981.1!                 +  *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1981.2!                  * +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1981.3!                  +                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1982.1!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.2!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1982.3!                 *+                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1982.4!                 +*                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.1!                  + *                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.2!                  * +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1983.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1983.4!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1984.2!                  *+                  !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1984.3!                 *+                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1984.4!                 +   *                !!        .     .     .     0  !
 1985.1!                    *+                !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1985.2!                    +*                !!        .     .0    .        !
 1985.3!                  * +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 1985.4!                  +*                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.1!                   +*                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1986.2!                    +  *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1986.3!                   *   +              !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1986.4!                   +*                 !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.1!                    +*                !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1987.2!                 *   +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1987.3!                *+                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.4!                +                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.1!                +*                    !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1988.2!             *  +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 1988.3!             +  *                     !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1988.4!               *+                     !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1989.1!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1989.2!              * +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1989.3!              +*                      !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1989.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.1!               +*                     !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.2!               *+                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1990.3!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1990.4!               +                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1991.1!              *+                      !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.2!              +*                      !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1991.3!            *  +                      !!        .0    .     .        !
 1991.4!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1992.1!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1992.2!             + *                      !!        .     .    0.        !
 1992.3!               +                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.4!              *+                      !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1993.1!              +                       !!        .     0     .        !
 1993.2!              +  *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.1!            *  +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1994.2!           *+                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1994.3!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1994.4!         + *                          !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1995.1!          *+                          !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1995.2!          +*                          !!        .     0     .        !
 1995.3!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.4!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1996.1!          + *                         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1996.2!           *+                         !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1996.3!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 1996.4!          +   *                       !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1997.1!            *+                        !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1997.2!            +*                        !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1997.3!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.4!           *+                         !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1998.1!           +*                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1998.2!            +                         !!        .     0     .        !
 1998.3!           *+                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1998.4!         * +                          !!        .0    .     .        !
 1999.1!         +                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.2!         +                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1999.3!         +                            !!        .     .0    .        !
 1999.4!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2000.1!         +*                           !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2000.2!          +  *                        !!        .     .     .0       !
 2000.3!             +                        !!        .    0.     .        !
 2000.4!           * +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2001.1!          *+                          !!        .    0.     .        !
 2001.2!          +                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2001.3!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2001.4!         *+                           !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.1!        *+                            !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2002.2!     *  +                             !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2002.3! *   +                                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2002.4!  +  *                                !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2003.1!     *+                               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!     +  *                             !!        .     .     0        !
 2003.3!        +                             !!        .    0.     .        !
 2003.4!        +                             !!        .     .0    .        !
 2004.1!      * +                             !!        .0    .     .        !
 2004.2!       + *                            !!        .     .     0        !
 2004.3!         +                            !!        .     0     .        !
 2004.4!         + *                          !!        .     .     0        !
 2005.1!            +    *                    !!        .     .     .       0!
 2005.2!                 +     *              !!        .     .     .        0
 2005.3!                       +*             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2005.4!                        +*            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2006.1!                      * +             !!        0     .     .        !
 2006.2!                *     +               !0        .     .     .        !
 2006.3!           *    +                     !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2006.4!         * +                          !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.1!         +  *                         !!        .     .     0        !
 2007.2!       *    +                         !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2007.3!      * +                             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2007.4!   *  +                               !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2008.1!    +*                                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!        0     .     .        !
 2008.3!   +  *                               !!        .     .     .  0     !
 2008.4!      +  *                            !!        .     .     .0       !
 2009.1!          +                           !!        .     0     .        !
 2009.2!       *  +                           !!        0     .     .        !
 2009.3!   *    +                             !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2009.4!   +*                                 !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2010.1!    +                                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.2! *  +                                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 2010.3!* +                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2010.4!*+                                    !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.1! +   *                                !!        .     .     .     0  !
 2011.2! *    +                               !!   0    .     .     .        !
 2011.3!* +                                   !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2011.4! +*                                   !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.1!  +*                                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.2!   +*                                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 2012.3*    +                                 !!  0     .     .     .        !
 2012.4+ *                                    !!        .     .  0  .        !


     31.91 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      6.91 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3260 LAAFIUA C LAFIUA(-1) PFIUA;SMPL 1978.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3260 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PASUA=ASPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAASUA=LOG(AAASUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAASUA=LOG(AASUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAASUA=EXP(LAAASUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3261 LAAASUA C LAASUA(-1) PASUA;                                         
EQUATION 1666  LAAASUA  
   RHS     C  LAASUA(-1)  PASUA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1666 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1666
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAASUA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.144755989

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.508319540       0.222026479  -6.79342     1.000000
15407 LAASUA  ( -1)       0.486925844       0.063480595   7.67047    -4.145021
15405 PASUA   (  0)      -0.549675189       0.121309490  -4.53118     1.124516

SE of equation            =     0.292832609
Sum of squared residuals  =  15.8639234      -0.651478871E-12
Average absolute error    =     0.212524358
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.9545794    
R squared                 =   0.47324
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.27597
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!        +          *                  !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1966.2!       *       +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.3!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.1!           +     *                    !!          .   .   .0         !
 1967.2!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1967.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1967.4!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1968.1!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.2!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1968.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1969.1!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1969.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1969.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.1!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                 +        *           !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1970.4!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.1!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1971.2!                  +     *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1971.3!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.1!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1972.2!            *       +                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1972.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!              *   +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1973.1!              +            *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1973.4!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.1!           + *                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.1!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.1!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1976.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!              +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.2!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1977.3*            +                         !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!              +  *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.2!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!      *        +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.4!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1979.4!     *            +                   !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1980.1!             +          *             !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1980.2!                 *   +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.3!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.4!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.2!            *       +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.3!               +     *                !!          .   .   .0         !
 1981.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.1!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.1!                +  *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1983.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.2!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1985.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.3!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.2!              *      +                !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.4!                       +   *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.1!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.3!                    *+                !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.2!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1989.3!                     +    *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!               * +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.4!                 +   *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.1!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.2!                   *+                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!                 *  +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                   +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.2!                *     +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!          *     +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.3!               +    *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1998.1!                       +  *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                       +*             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                     * +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                    +                 *!          .   .   .          0
 2003.3!                   *         +        !!     0    .   .   .          !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2004.4!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.1!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.4!         *     +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 2006.1!             +*                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.4!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                  +      *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2007.4!             *      +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.1!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!           * +                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!         *    +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.4!            +*                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.1!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!        +                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!      * +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !


     27.13 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3262 LAASOUA C LASOUA(-1) PSOUA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3262 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKOUA=KOPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKOUA=LOG(AAKOUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKOUA=LOG(AKOUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKOUA=EXP(LAAKOUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3263 LAAKOUA C LAKOUA(-1) PKOUA;                                         
EQUATION 1667  LAAKOUA  
   RHS     C  LAKOUA(-1)  PKOUA  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1667 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1667
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKOUA 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.586312659

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.342373238       0.131419294  -2.60520     1.000000
15410 LAKOUA  ( -1)       0.870701213       0.040622934  21.43374    -3.597417
15408 PKOUA   (  0)      -0.076261586       0.058639463  -1.30052     1.464227

SE of equation            =     0.250280675
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.70701788       0.843769499E-13
Average absolute error    =     0.160314247
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.7646230    
R squared                 =   0.81899
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.14460
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!       *   +                          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.4!   *     +                            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1978.1!     *+                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1978.3!*       +                             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1978.4!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.1*      +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1979.2!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.3!      +          *                    !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                  *  +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1980.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1980.3!   *                 +                !0           .  .  .           !
 1980.4!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.1!         +       *                    !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1981.3!                * +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1981.4!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1982.1!            *   +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1982.2!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1982.4!       *          +                   !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1983.1!         *+                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.2!           +               *          !!           .  .  .          0!
 1983.3!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!               *         +            !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1984.3!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.4!    *         +                       !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1985.1!      +    *                          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1985.2!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.3!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.1!             + *                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1986.2!                +  *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.3!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1988.1!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1988.2!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.3!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                        +   *         !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.1!                         * +          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.1!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1990.2!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                        +   *         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.4!                           + *        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!                     *      +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!                       +*             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.2!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.2!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.1!                       *   +          !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                       +   *          !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                          *+          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.2!                          +*          !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.4!                          + *         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                          + *         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!                           +     *    !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.1!                                 +   *!!           .  .  0           !
 1998.2!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1998.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                         *     +      !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1999.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!                            +*        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.2!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!                              *   +   !!           0  .  .           !
 2003.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                              *+      !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                             *+       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.1!                           * +        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                          +           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                         *+           !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                          *+          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.2!                            +         !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                           *+         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                            +   *     !!           .  .  0           !
 2008.2!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                             * +      !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.4!                             +        !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                               +  *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                                  +   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                             *    +   !!          0.  .  .           !
 2010.2!                              +  *    !!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.4!                               +      *!           .  .  .  0        !
 2011.1!                                  *  +!!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                                 * +  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                 +*   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !


     19.01 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.93 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBEUA=BEPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABEUA=LOG(AABEUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABEUA=LOG(ABEUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABEUA=EXP(LAABEUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3264 LAABEUA C LABEUA(-1) PBEUA;                                         
EQUATION 1668  LAABEUA  
   RHS     C  LABEUA(-1)  PBEUA  
 SMPL 1972.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.4 to  2012.4 Internally:    84 to   244
 OLS;EST 1668 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1668
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABEUA 

 1972.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  161 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.124498397

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.359468408       0.225685651  -6.02373     1.000000
15413 LABEUA  ( -1)       0.479403825       0.067630918   7.08853    -4.125828
15411 PBEUA   (  0)      -0.788841338       0.160692526  -4.90901     0.997783

SE of equation            =     0.201640306
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.42409248       0.847011350E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.162354979
Sum of ABS residuals      =  26.1391517    
R squared                 =   0.52903
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.15844
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.4   2012.4    161

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.4!   *               +                  !0         .    .    .         !
 1973.1!               +      *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1973.2!        *           +                 !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.3!        *  +                          !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1973.4!           +      *                   !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 1974.2!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1974.3!                  *+                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1974.4!                  * +                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1975.1!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1975.2!               *    +                 !!         0    .    .         !
 1975.3!           *     +                    !!        0.    .    .         !
 1975.4!       *        +                     !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.1!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 1976.2!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !
 1976.3!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.4!            *  +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.1!                +     *               !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.2!                   *  +               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1977.3!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 1977.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.1!                   +             *    !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1978.2!                         * +          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1978.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1978.4!                       +              !!         .    .0   .         !
 1979.1!                     +     *          !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.2!                       +     *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1979.3!                        *+            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1979.4!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1980.1!                        +        *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1980.2!                     *      +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.3!                *     +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1980.4!           *        +                 !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1981.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1981.2!                        +     *       !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.3!                          *  +        !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1981.4!                  *      +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1982.1!                *      +              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1982.2!                      +         *     !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1982.3!                     *        +       !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1982.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1983.1!                           +         *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 1983.2!                      *         +     !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1983.3!            *             +           !!0        .    .    .         !
 1983.4!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1984.1!                           *  +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1984.2!                           +  *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.3!                       *     +        !!        0.    .    .         !
 1984.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.1!                              +   *   !!         .    .   0.         !
 1985.2!                               +    * !!         .    .    0         !
 1985.3!                             * +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1985.4!               *           +          !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1986.1!                    +            *    !!         .    .    .      0  !
 1986.2!                 *         +          !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1986.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1987.1!           *      +                   !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1987.2!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1987.3!          *         +                 !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1987.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1988.1!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.2!       *           +                  !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1988.3!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1988.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.1!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 1989.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1989.3!         *        +                   !!     0   .    .    .         !
 1989.4!        *    +                        !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!            +   *                     !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.2!        *      +                      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1990.3!          +   *                       !!         .    .   0.         !
 1990.4!       *      +                       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1991.3!            *      +                  !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1991.4!             +     *                  !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.1!             *   +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1992.2!              + *                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1992.3!         *    +                       !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.4!      *     +                         !!         0    .    .         !
 1993.1!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1993.3!              *   +                   !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.4!               +     *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1994.1!             *     +                  !!         0    .    .         !
 1994.2!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 1994.3!    *     +                           !!        0.    .    .         !
 1994.4!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.1!    *  +                              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1995.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1996.2! *      +                             !!        0.    .    .         !
 1996.3*      +                               !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1996.4!     *+                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.1!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1997.2!      *        +                      !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1997.3!          *+                          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1997.4!            + *                       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.1!              +*                      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.2!             *+                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!            +                         !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.4!           +  *                       !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.2!          +       *                   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!               +   *                  !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.4!                  +  *                !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!         .   0.    .         !
 2000.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2000.3!                         +  *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                           +         *!!         .    .    .    0    !
 2001.1!                            * +       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2001.2!                          +           *!         .    .    .     0   !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.4!                           +      *   !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2002.1!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.2!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2002.3!                            + *       !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.4!                          +         * !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2003.1!                            +*        !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.2!                      * +             !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                     +                !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!                    +    *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.1!                     +    *           !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2004.3!                      +  *            !!         .    .   0.         !
 2004.4!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.1!                 +                    !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.2!                +  *                  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2005.3!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.4!                 +  *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                  +  *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    0         !
 2007.1!                  +    *              !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2007.3!                +*                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2007.4!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2008.1!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2008.2!               + *                    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!            * +                       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2008.4!             +*                       !!         .    0    .         !
 2009.1!           *  +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2009.2!             +   *                    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!               +    *                 !!         .    .    0         !
 2010.1!              *  +                    !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2010.2!             *  +                     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2010.3!             * +                      !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!              +*                      !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!               +*                     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.2!                + *                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2011.3!                +    *                !!         .    .    0         !
 2011.4!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                 +  *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.2!             *    +                   !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.3!           *  +                       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2012.4!              +     *                 !!         .    .    .0        !


     32.30 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.97 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PDEUA=DEPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAADEUA=LOG(AADEUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LADEUA=LOG(ADEUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AADEUA=EXP(LAADEUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3265 LAADEUA C LADEUA(-1) PDEUA;                                         
EQUATION 1669  LAADEUA  
   RHS     C  LADEUA(-1)  PDEUA  
 SMPL 1972.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    82 to   244
 OLS;EST 1669 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1669
**********************

Dependent variable = LAADEUA 

 1972.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  163 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.237804920

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.467173676       0.199569487  -2.34091     1.000000
15416 LADEUA  ( -1)       0.909158024       0.033244009  27.34803    -5.226494
15414 PDEUA   (  0)      -0.018409970       0.133373871  -0.13803     1.027805

SE of equation            =     0.186978912
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.59377819      -0.419309032E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.137192023
Sum of ABS residuals      =  22.3622997    
R squared                 =   0.82971
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.57826
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.2   2012.4    163

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.2!                                     +!!         .    0    .         !
 1972.3!                                   +  *!         .    .   0.         !
 1972.4!                              *     + !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1973.1!                    *        +        !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1973.2!                  * +                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1973.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1973.4!                   +      *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1974.1!                         +    *       !!         .    .    .0        !
 1974.2!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 1974.3!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1974.4!                   *          +       !!0        .    .    .         !
 1975.1!                  +         *         !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1975.2!                        *  +          !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.3!                    *  +              !!         .0   .    .         !
 1975.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1976.1!                     *     +          !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1976.2!                    +           *     !!         .    .    .         0
 1976.3!                               + *    !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1976.4!                      *         +     !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1977.1!                 *    +               !!        0.    .    .         !
 1977.2!                 +   *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 1977.3!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1977.4!                  +    *              !!         .    .    .0        !
 1978.1!                   *  +               !!         .0   .    .         !
 1978.2!                   +       *          !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1978.3!                   *      +           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1978.4!                  + *                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1979.1!                    +      *          !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1979.2!                 *        +           !!   0     .    .    .         !
 1979.3!                 +  *                 !!         .    .   0.         !
 1979.4!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1980.1!                      +   *           !!         .    .    0         !
 1980.2!                       * +            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1980.3!                       +  *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1980.4!                         +   *        !!         .    .    0         !
 1981.1!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 1981.2!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1981.3!                           *  +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 1981.4!                          +    *      !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1982.1!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1982.2!                           * +        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1982.3!                          + *         !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1982.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .    0         !
 1983.1!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1983.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.3!                           *+         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1983.4!                          +     *     !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1984.1!                               + *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1984.2!                                +     !!         .    .0   .         !
 1984.3!                               + *    !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1984.4!                               +     *!!         .    .    .  0      !
 1985.1!                               *    + !!         0    .    .         !
 1985.2!                              + *     !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1985.3!                              *+      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1985.4!                             +   *    !!         .    .    .0        !
 1986.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 1986.2!                          *   +       !!         0    .    .         !
 1986.3!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1986.4!                       +    *         !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.1!                           +   *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1987.2!                              +       !!         .    0    .         !
 1987.3!                        *   +         !!        0.    .    .         !
 1987.4!                       + *            !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1988.1!                        +    *        !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1988.2!                            +         !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1988.4!                         +*           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1989.1!                         +  *         !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1989.2!                           +     *    !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1989.3!                      *        +      !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1989.4!                     +   *            !!         .    .    0         !
 1990.1!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.2!                       * +            !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1990.3!                    *  +              !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.4!                    +       *         !!         .    .    .    0    !
 1991.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                      *  +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.3!                     *+               !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.4!                     +                !!         .    0    .         !
 1992.1!                    +*                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1992.2!                     +    *           !!         .    .    .0        !
 1992.3!                   *     +            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 1993.1!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.2!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.3!                    + *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!                      +               !!         .    .0   .         !
 1994.1!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 1994.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1994.3!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1994.4!                   +  *               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                   * +                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1995.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1995.3!                   +                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1995.4!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.1!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1996.3!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!                   +*                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.2!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.3!                  *+                  !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1998.4!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.1!                *+                    !!         .   0.    .         !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.3!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2000.1!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2000.2!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.3!                  +*                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                   +                  !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!                  *+                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!                  +                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2001.4!                  +                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2002.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.2!                  +*                  !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.3!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!                 +*                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.1!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.2!              * +                     !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2003.3!               +                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2003.4!             * +                      !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.1!             +*                       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2004.2!            * +                       !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!            *+                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.2!     *    +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.3!    * +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2005.4!   * +                                !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2006.1!   *+                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2006.2!    + *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.3!       + *                            !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.4!    *     +                           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2007.1!      + *                             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.2!     *  +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!   *   +                              !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4! *  +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.1!   +*                                 !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.2!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!   +   *                              !!         .    .    0         !
 2008.4! *      +                             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2009.1!  + *                                 !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2009.2!    *+                                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.3!   * +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.4!    +                                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2010.1!     +        *                       !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2010.2!      *       +                       !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2010.3!  *    +                              !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2010.4!   + *                                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.1!     *+                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.2!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2011.3!      *  +                            !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2011.4*       +                              !!    0    .    .    .         !
 2012.1! +*                                   !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.2!  *+                                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2012.3*   +                                  !!         0    .    .         !
 2012.4! +                                    !!         .    0    .         !


     26.99 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.98 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNOUA=NOPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANOUA=LOG(AANOUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANOUA=LOG(ANOUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANOUA=EXP(LAANOUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3266 LAANOUA C LANOUA(-1) PNOUA;                                         
EQUATION 1670  LAANOUA  
   RHS     C  LANOUA(-1)  PNOUA  
 SMPL 1976.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1976.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    99 to   244
 OLS;EST 1670 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1670
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANOUA 

 1976.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  146 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.965428276

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -3.076508166       0.389168013  -7.90535     1.000000
15419 LANOUA  ( -1)       0.344126017       0.076721942   4.48537    -5.957529
15417 PNOUA   (  0)      -0.950044913       0.176099743  -5.39493     0.882884

SE of equation            =     0.359801431
Sum of squared residuals  =  18.5123610      -0.763655805E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.271755340
Sum of ABS residuals      =  39.6762796    
R squared                 =   0.44926
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11912
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1976.3   2012.4    146

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1976.3!       *        +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.4!            +       *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1977.1!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1977.2!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!    *            +                    !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!     *     +                          !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.1!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!   *        +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1978.3!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!               +         *            !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1979.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.4!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.1!        *     +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!               +   *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.4!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.1!            +          *              !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.4!      *      +                        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.1!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.2!     *     +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!   *      +                           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.4!  *      +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.2!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!  *           +                       !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.1!          + *                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!         *   +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1984.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1985.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1986.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.4!                  +                   *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.1!                 *      +             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.3!                  +                  *!!          .   .   .         0!
 1987.4!                    *    +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1988.1!                   +       *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1988.2!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!                +       *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.3!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                +     *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1991.3!             *    +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.4!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.3!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.4!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!                 +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.3!     *          +                     !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.4!             +           *            !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1996.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1997.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.2!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.3!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.2!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.3!               +   *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                +     *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2001.1!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.2!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                +   *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!           *   +                      !!          0   .   .          !
 2002.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                +      *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!     *      +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.2!         +  *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.3!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2005.4!   *   +                              !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!      +                               !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.4!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!       +   *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!  *     +                             !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.4!   +     *                            !!          .   .   .0         !
 2008.1! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!+              *                      !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2008.3! *   +                                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!     +*                               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!        +        *                    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2009.2!             +  *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.3!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2010.3!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.1! * +                                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!   + *                                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.3!     +                                !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4! *  +                                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.1*  +                                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.2!   + *                                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !


     23.29 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.48 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSWUA=SWPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASWUA=LOG(AASWUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASWUA=LOG(ASWUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASWUA=EXP(LAASWUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3267 LAASWUA C LASWUA(-1) PSWUA;                                         
EQUATION 1671  LAASWUA  
   RHS     C  LASWUA(-1)  PSWUA  
 SMPL 1973.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.2 to  2012.4 Internally:    86 to   244
 OLS;EST 1671 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1671
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASWUA 

 1973.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  159 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -5.056944551

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.382033337       0.313889250  -4.40293     1.000000
15422 LASWUA  ( -1)       0.725696173       0.055648199  13.04078    -5.055405
15420 PSWUA   (  0)      -0.005423255       0.125925461  -0.04307     1.147508

SE of equation            =     0.243176020
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.22499397       0.431699121E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.178547780
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.3890971    
R squared                 =   0.52174
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32740
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.2   2012.4    159

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.2!        *   +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1973.3!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1973.4!          +     *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.1!    *          +                      !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1974.2!       +     *                        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1974.3!              +    *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1974.4!               *  +                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.1!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1975.2!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1975.3!                +   *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1975.4!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1976.1!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.2!                         +      *     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1976.3!                          * +         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1976.4!              *        +              !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1977.1!              +   *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1977.2!             *   +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1977.3!              +*                      !!           .  .0 .           !
 1977.4!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1978.1!               * +                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1978.2!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.3!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1978.4!                *  +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1979.1!                +       *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1979.2!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.3!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.4!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.2!                    +      *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.3!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 1980.4!                 *     +              !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1981.1!                +     *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.2!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1981.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.1!                     +  *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1982.2!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1982.3!                   *    +             !!          0.  .  .           !
 1982.4!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1983.1!                   +        *         !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1983.2!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 1983.3!                 *       +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1983.4!                 +                *   !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1984.1!                         *   +        !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.2!               *      +               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1984.3!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1984.4!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.1!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1985.2!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1985.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!                  +        *          !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1986.1!                      * +             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!                +                     *!           .  .  .           0
 1986.4!             *                  +     !! 0         .  .  .           !
 1987.1!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!                *+                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1987.4!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1988.1!              +          *            !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1988.2!                      +           *   !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1988.3!                         *   +        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                       +       *      !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1989.1!                     *     +          !!          0.  .  .           !
 1989.2!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.1!            * +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1991.3!           *  +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.4!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!               +   *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!           *      +                   !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1992.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!        *     +                       !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 1993.2!        +      *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.4!              +  *                    !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.1!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!          *     +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1994.4!           +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.2!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!           +   *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.3!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!               + *                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.2!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!               +      *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1998.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                    +  *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.1!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.2!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1999.3!           * +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!            +        *                !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2000.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.1!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.1!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 2002.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.1!            *      +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.3!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!          *+                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!           +    *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.2!               *+                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.2!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.4!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!            +    *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.2!              * +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2006.3!          *   +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.4!            + *                       !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!       *      +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2007.2!         +  *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.3!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!             +  *                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!      *         +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 2008.3!         +                            !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.4!       *   +                          !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1*         +                            !!       0   .  .  .           !
 2009.2!    +                                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.3!     * +                              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!    *   +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.1!  *    +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.2! *    +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.4! *     +                              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2011.1! *   +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.2!   * +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2011.3!      +*                              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!     *    +                           !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.1!*       +                             !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2012.2!  *  +                                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!     +*                               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!     *   +                            !!           .0 .  .           !


     24.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.40 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3268 LAAGRUA C LAGRUA(-1) PGRUA;SMPL 1975.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3268 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIRUA=IRPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIRUA=LOG(AAIRUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIRUA=LOG(AIRUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIRUA=EXP(LAAIRUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3269 LAAIRUA C LAIRUA(-1) PIRUA;                                         
EQUATION 1672  LAAIRUA  
   RHS     C  LAIRUA(-1)  PIRUA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1672 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1672
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIRUA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.210622612

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.231367939       0.348111795  -3.53728     1.000000
15425 LAIRUA  ( -1)       0.788005080       0.046944421  16.78592    -6.221510
15423 PIRUA   (  0)      -0.064912780       0.203715417  -0.31864     1.181175

SE of equation            =     0.416348782
Sum of squared residuals  =  27.5620630       0.101509912E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.294393624
Sum of ABS residuals      =  47.6917671    
R squared                 =   0.64705
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.52400
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3! *            +                       !!0         .   .   .          !
 1972.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.1*              +                       !0          .   .   .          !
 1973.2!     +        *                       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1973.3!      *         +                     !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1973.4!       *  +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1974.1!           +      *                   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1974.2!             *     +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .0         !
 1975.1!                 *     +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.2!           *       +                  !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1975.3!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.1!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1976.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1976.3!                       +       *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1976.4!                          *   +       !!          0   .   .          !
 1977.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1977.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.3!                     *    +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.4!                      +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1978.1!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.3!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.4!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.1!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1979.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1979.3!                 *        +           !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1979.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1980.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.3!                          +     *     !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1980.4!                       *       +      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                     *  +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.3!                        *   +         !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1982.1!                         +  *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!                       *   +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1982.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.2!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.1!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.2!                      *      +        !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.3!                       +              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                        +  *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                        *  +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                         * +          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1986.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.3!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!                         *+           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                        *   +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!                          + *         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!                        * +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                         +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                        *+            !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.1!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.2!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.3!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.1!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.1!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!                          +       *   !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.4!                         *      +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1994.1!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1994.2!                          * +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                          +   *       !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.4!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.3!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.1!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                          +    *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                              +*      !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.3!                            + *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.2!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!                              +   *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.4!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                               +    * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.2!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                                 +    *!          .   .   .0         !
 2001.1!                                   *+ !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2001.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.2!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                              + *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.4!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                           * +        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2004.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                       *     +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.2!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.3!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                             +  *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.4!                            +         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.1!                           +  *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                            +   *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.4!                            *  +      !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                       *    +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.1!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.2!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.3!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !


     24.69 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.32 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPOUA=POPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPOUA=LOG(AAPOUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPOUA=LOG(APOUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPOUA=EXP(LAAPOUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3270 LAAPOUA C LAPOUA(-1) PPOUA;                                         
EQUATION 1673  LAAPOUA  
   RHS     C  LAPOUA(-1)  PPOUA  
 SMPL 1984.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   131 to   244
 OLS;EST 1673 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1673
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPOUA 

 1984.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  114 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.549328762

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.825180140       0.565390820  -4.99686     1.000000
15428 LAPOUA  ( -1)       0.556626876       0.078606515   7.08118    -7.557064
15426 PPOUA   (  0)      -0.434683874       0.274447708  -1.58385     1.190943

SE of equation            =     0.393046802
Sum of squared residuals  =  17.1479225      -0.938005229E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.282968525
Sum of ABS residuals      =  32.2584119    
R squared                 =   0.38713
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.24232
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.3   2012.4    114

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.3!       *       +                      !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.4*            +                         !!   0       .  .  .           !
 1985.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!        *   +                         !!           0  .  .           !
 1985.3!      *      +                        !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.4!            +   *                     !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1986.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.4!              *     +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.2!            *      +                  !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1987.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.4!             *     +                  !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1988.1!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.2!              *  +                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.4!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1989.1!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1989.2!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1989.3!                 *   +                !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1990.1!                 +  *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.2!                 *  +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.2!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.3!                    +                 *!           .  .  .           0
 1991.4!                      *       +       !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1992.1!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1992.3!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 1993.1!                  +      *            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                      +     *         !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1993.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1994.3!                     +     *          !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                  *   +               !!          0.  .  .           !
 1995.2!                   +  *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1995.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                    +        *        !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.2!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.2!                   +    *             !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1997.3!                    * +               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.1!                  + *                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.3!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.1!                  +  *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.3!                   +   *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.4!                *    +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                   +   *              !!           .  .  0           !
 2000.3!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2000.4!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.1!                 *   +                !!          0.  .  .           !
 2001.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2002.1!               *     +                !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2002.2!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 2003.1!                       +              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                    *+                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.3!                       +  *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2004.4!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                      +  *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.3!                      +   *           !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.4!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.1!                     *    +           !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.2!                     +   *            !!           .  .  0           !
 2006.3!                        +             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.1!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                      +  *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2008.4!                    *   +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2009.1!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.2!                      +*              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.4!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                        + *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2012.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.3!                      +    *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2012.4!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !


     27.19 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.51 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSPUA=SPPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAASPUA=LOG(AASPUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASPUA=LOG(ASPUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASPUA=EXP(LAASPUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3271 LAASPUA C LASPUA(-1) PSPUA;                                         
EQUATION 1674  LAASPUA  
   RHS     C  LASPUA(-1)  PSPUA  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1674 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1674
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASPUA 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.712530988

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.697506144       0.297558264  -5.70479     1.000000
15431 LASPUA  ( -1)       0.533228037       0.068704902   7.76114    -4.711781
15429 PSPUA   (  0)      -0.460756071       0.131286372  -3.50955     1.090753

SE of equation            =     0.181618429
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.58495026       0.979061276E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.135023249
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1733013    
R squared                 =   0.44653
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.10036
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!           *        +                 !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1977.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1978.1!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.2!          *    +                      !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.3!     *        +                       !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.4!        * +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1979.1!       *    +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.2!*          +                          !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3!       +           *                  !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1979.4!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!  *              +                    !! 0        .   .   .          !
 1980.2*          +                           !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1980.3!        +    *                        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!         *      +                     !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1981.1!             + *                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                 *+                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1981.3!                   +     *            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1981.4!                *      +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.1!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1982.4!                  *    +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!             *       +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1983.3!          *       +                   !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1983.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.1!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.2!                      +     *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.4!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.1!                      * +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.2!                     +          *     !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1985.3!                   *      +           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.4!                    +         *       !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1986.1!                      *  +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!               *    +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 1986.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.4!              +           *           !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1987.1!                      +               *!          .   .   .          0
 1987.2!                         *  +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!            *  +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!           *  +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.3!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.4!  *       +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.1!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1991.2!           *  +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!         +   *                        !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.1!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.2!       *   +                          !!          0   .   .          !
 1992.3!  *      +                            !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.4!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!     *      +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1993.2!          +                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.3!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.3!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1994.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.4!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!          +  *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.3!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.4!            +    *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.2!              +     *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                 +     *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.1!          *   +                       !!          0   .   .          !
 1999.2!          +    *                      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.4!              +  *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.1!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                    +      *          !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2002.3!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.2!                       +              !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.4!                    +           *     !!          .   .   .      0   !
 2004.1!                   *     +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 2004.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.3!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                  +  *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.1!               +      *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2008.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.1!                 + *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!             *  +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.2!                + *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2010.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!             *   +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.2!                +   *                 !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2011.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.1!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.2!                 *+                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                  +  *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !


     25.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.04 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PNZUA=NZPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAANZUA=LOG(AANZUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LANZUA=LOG(ANZUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AANZUA=EXP(LAANZUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3272 LAANZUA C LANZUA(-1) PNZUA;                                         
EQUATION 1675  LAANZUA  
   RHS     C  LANZUA(-1)  PNZUA  
 SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    95 to   244
 OLS;EST 1675 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1675
**********************

Dependent variable = LAANZUA 

 1975.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  150 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.316132923

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -2.842043006       0.468323659  -6.06854     1.000000
15434 LANZUA  ( -1)       0.462700947       0.066667904   6.94039    -6.327243
15432 PNZUA   (  0)      -0.538415189       0.252237590  -2.13456     1.014958

SE of equation            =     0.299987155
Sum of squared residuals  =  13.2288671       0.875566286E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.227425773
Sum of ABS residuals      =  34.1138660    
R squared                 =   0.27894
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.18663
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.3   2012.4    150

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.3!        +             *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.4!   *                   +              !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.1!              +                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2*                   +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1976.3!            +                         !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!                  +            *      !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1977.1! *                        +           !0          .   .   .          !
 1977.2!             +  *                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.3!*                   +                 !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1977.4!            +      *                  !!          .   .   0          !
 1978.1!               *      +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.2!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1978.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!              *      +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!                     +   *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.4!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                          +     *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.3!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.4!                         +   *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.1!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1981.2!                         +            *!          .   .   .   0      !
 1981.3!                          *   +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                        +     *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1982.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.2!                        +            *!!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                       +          *   !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1983.2!                            +*        !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.3!                          +    *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!                        +      *      !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.2!                           +    *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1984.3!                            +   *     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1984.4!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.1!                         *+           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.2!                         +   *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.3!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.4!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.1!                      *    +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.2!                       +   *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1987.1!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!                       +           *  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1987.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.4!                     *    +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!                      +        *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1988.2!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.3!                          +  *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.1!                      +       *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1989.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!             *      +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                 +       *            !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                  *  +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.4!                  *  +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!                     +         *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1991.2!                   *     +            !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.3!                 *   +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.4!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.2!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1993.1!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.2!              *    +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.3!        *         +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1993.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.1!            *     +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!          *    +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.3!             * +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!      *         +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1995.1!   *         +                        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1995.2!           +          *               !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                    +          *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!              *        +              !!         0.   .   .          !
 1996.1!                +  *                  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.1!                *    +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1998.1!                    *   +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.1!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.2!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.3!               *    +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                      +      *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                         +      *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                           +        * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2001.1!                            *+        !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                         + *          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                     *   +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.1!                     +    *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.2!             *          +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2002.3!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.1!              *       +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 2003.2!       *           +                  !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2003.3!            *  +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.1!             *     +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!               * +                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!               *   +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.4!                  +   *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.1!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.2!           *        +                 !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!             *   +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!            *     +                   !!          0   .   .          !
 2006.2!                  +    *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 2006.3!             *         +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2006.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                *   +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.3!          *       +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 2007.4!               +  *                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.1!             *    +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!            *   +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!       *        +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.4!              +    *                  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.1!                     + *              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.2!                        +*            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.3!                      * +             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                       +     *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2010.1!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.2!                       + *            !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                     +  *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                     +      *         !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                     +       *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2012.2!                       +         *    !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2012.3!                      *   +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.4!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !


     26.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3273 LAASAUA C LASAUA(-1) PSAUA;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3273 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3274 LAAVEUA C LAVEUA(-1) PVEUA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3274 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCOUA=COPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACOUA=LOG(AACOUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACOUA=LOG(ACOUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACOUA=EXP(LAACOUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3275 LAACOUA C LACOUA(-1) PCOUA;                                         
EQUATION 1676  LAACOUA  
   RHS     C  LACOUA(-1)  PCOUA  
 SMPL 1989.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1989.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   150 to   244
 OLS;EST 1676 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1676
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACOUA 

 1989.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   95 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -9.936710821

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.134657261       0.482090996  -2.35362     1.000000
15437 LACOUA  ( -1)       0.849681034       0.050734903  16.74747    -9.950672
15435 PCOUA   (  0)      -0.294139754       0.217449317  -1.35268     1.180241

SE of equation            =     0.339026434
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.5743809      -0.199804617E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.192582548
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.2953421    
R squared                 =   0.78622
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.87863
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1989.2   2012.4     95

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1989.2!  * +                                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.3!   * +                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.4!   *  +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.1!      +                               !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.2!      * +                             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.3!       *+                             !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.4!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.1!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.2!        *+                            !!           . 0.  .           !
 1991.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1992.1!          +             *             !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1992.2!                        + *           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                          +           !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                        +             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.3!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.4!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.1!             *         +              !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1994.2!           * +                        !!           .0 .  .           !
 1994.3!         * +                          !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.4!         *+                           !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.1*          +                           !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1995.2* +                                    !!           . 0.  .           !
 1995.3* +                                    !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.4*  +                                   !!           .0 .  .           !
 1996.1!  +  *                                !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.2!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.3!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.4!      *+                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1997.1!       +    *                         !!           .  .  .0          !
 1997.2!           + *                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!   *        +                         !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1998.2!    *+                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1998.4!    * +                               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1999.1!     +   *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.2!         + *                          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!            +                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.1!            +         *               !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2000.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2001.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.4!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.4!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!             *      +                 !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2003.2!             * +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2003.4!             *  +                     !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.1!              +        *              !!           .  .  .   0       !
 2004.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                        +*            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.4!                       * +            !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                       +         *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2005.2!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.4!                              +*      !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.1!                  *          +        !!     0     .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2006.3!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.1!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.3!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.4!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.1!                   + *                !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.2!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.3!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.1!                  +                  *!!           .  .  .           0
 2010.2!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2010.3!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2010.4!                                  +   *!           .  .  0           !
 2011.1!                     *             +  !!   0       .  .  .           !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 2011.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.3!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.4!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !


     12.63 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      9.47 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PJOUA=JOPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAJOUA=LOG(AAJOUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAJOUA=LOG(AJOUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAJOUA=EXP(LAAJOUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3276 LAAJOUA C LAJOUA(-1) PJOUA;                                         
EQUATION 1677  LAAJOUA  
   RHS     C  LAJOUA(-1)  PJOUA  
 SMPL 1990.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1990.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   155 to   244
 OLS;EST 1677 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1677
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAJOUA 

 1990.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   90 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.218246234

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.382683937       0.393982685  -3.50950     1.000000
15440 LAJOUA  ( -1)       0.707751070       0.078030553   9.07018    -6.203371
15438 PJOUA   (  0)      -0.361376674       0.131233168  -2.75370     1.231735

SE of equation            =     0.236992592
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.88639750       0.269091416E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.190583124
Sum of ABS residuals      =  17.1524812    
R squared                 =   0.72369
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.08964
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1990.3   2012.4     90

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1990.3!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 1990.4!                             +*       !!         .    0    .         !
 1991.1!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 1991.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 1991.3!                                +  *  !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.4!                                 +    *!         .    .    0         !
 1992.1!                            *       + !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1992.2!                             +  *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1992.3!                            *   +     !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.4!                             + *      !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1993.1!                        *      +      !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1993.2!                          +           !!         .    0    .         !
 1993.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1993.4!                                + *   !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1994.1!                       *      +       !!      0  .    .    .         !
 1994.2!                      +   *           !!         .    .   0.         !
 1994.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1994.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.1!                     *   +            !!         .0   .    .         !
 1995.2!                    +   *             !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1995.3!                       +    *         !!         .    .    0         !
 1995.4!                         +*           !!         .    .0   .         !
 1996.1!                        + *           !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1996.2!                       +    *         !!         .    .   0.         !
 1996.3!                         +     *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1996.4!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.1!                           +*         !!         .    .0   .         !
 1997.2!                          +  *        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1997.3!                           +     *    !!         .    .    0         !
 1997.4!                             * +      !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 1998.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1998.3!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 1998.4!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 1999.1!                          * +         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1999.2!                        +      *      !!         .    .    .0        !
 1999.3!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1999.4!                              +*      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!                       *      +       !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2000.2!                         +   *        !!         .    .   0.         !
 2000.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.4!                          *   +       !!         .0   .    .         !
 2001.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.2!                           +  *       !!         .    .   0.         !
 2001.3!                              + *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2001.4!                               +      !!         .    0    .         !
 2002.1!                          *   +       !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2002.2!                          +  *        !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2002.3!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2002.4!                            * +       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2003.1!                         *   +        !!         .0   .    .         !
 2003.2!                          +      *    !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2003.3!                              * +     !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.4!                            *  +      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.1!                   *         +        !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2004.2!                       +   *          !!         .    .    0         !
 2004.3!                          * +         !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2004.4!                         * +          !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                   *      +           !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2005.2!                     *+               !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                       +*             !!         .    0    .         !
 2005.4!                        +  *          !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.2!                          +        *  !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2006.3!                             *   +    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.4!                            +   *     !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2007.1!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2007.2!                               +     *!!         .    .    .0        !
 2007.3!                            *    +    !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!                           +   *      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2008.1!              *              +        !0         .    .    .         !
 2008.2!           *   +                      !!         .0   .    .         !
 2008.3!  *      +                            !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2008.4! *+                                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2009.1*  +                                   !!         . 0  .    .         !
 2009.2!  +     *                             !!         .    .    .0        !
 2009.3!           +   *                      !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.4!                +   *                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 2010.1!            *       +                 !!      0  .    .    .         !
 2010.2!              +       *               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 2010.3!                    *+                !!         .   0.    .         !
 2010.4!              *     +                 !!        0.    .    .         !
 2011.1!         *      +                     !!       0 .    .    .         !
 2011.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.3!             * +                      !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!        *     +                       !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.1!     *     +                          !!        0.    .    .         !
 2012.2!       +  *                           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2012.3!           *+                         !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.4!       *     +                        !!        0.    .    .         !


     30.00 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.22 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3277 LAASYUA C LASYUA(-1) PSYUA;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3277 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PIDUA=IDPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAIDUA=LOG(AAIDUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAIDUA=LOG(AIDUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAIDUA=EXP(LAAIDUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3278 LAAIDUA C LAIDUA(-1) PIDUA;                                         
EQUATION 1678  LAAIDUA  
   RHS     C  LAIDUA(-1)  PIDUA  
 SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1973.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    87 to   244
 OLS;EST 1678 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1678
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAIDUA 

 1973.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  158 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -2.975735772

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.252474259       0.201767586  -1.25131     1.000000
15443 LAIDUA  ( -1)       0.905103836       0.032331797  27.99423    -2.990549
15441 PIDUA   (  0)      -0.014011100       0.167471883  -0.08366     1.177903

SE of equation            =     0.258401342
Sum of squared residuals  =  10.3495443       0.139768197E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.180123705
Sum of ABS residuals      =  28.4595453    
R squared                 =   0.84111
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.66042
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1973.3   2012.4    158

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1973.3+     *                                !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1973.4!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .          0
 1974.2!          *         +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1974.3!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1975.1!          * +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!     *     +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1975.3!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1975.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1976.1!         + *                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1976.2!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1976.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.4!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1977.1!                + *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.2!              *   +                   !!         0.   .   .          !
 1977.3!    *         +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1977.4!      +    *                          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1978.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.2!         *   +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 1978.3!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1978.4!         *    +                       !!         0.   .   .          !
 1979.1!          +                           !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.2!           +                          !!          .   0   .          !
 1979.3!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1979.4!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.1!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1980.2!        +  *                          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1980.3!        *   +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1980.4!     *   +                            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.1!      + *                             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.2!          +*                          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1981.3!        *   +                         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1981.4!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!        + *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1982.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!       *  +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1983.1!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 1983.2!         * +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1983.3!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1985.2!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1985.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!         *+                           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!         *  +                         !!          .0  .   .          !
 1986.3!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!            *+                        !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.1!             +*                       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1988.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.2!           * +                        !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.3!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.4!        *   +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.1!         +        *                   !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1989.2!            *     +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.3!            *+                        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.4!          *  +                        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.1!           +   *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.2!             * +                      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.3!            * +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1990.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.1!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.2!              *    +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1991.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.4!                *+                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1992.2!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.3!  *          +                        !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.4!    +    *                            !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.1!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!            +      *                  !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.3!    *              +                  !0          .   .   .          !
 1993.4!      +      *                        !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.1!              +   *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.2!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1994.4!                  +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.1!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.2!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.4!               +  *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.3!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1998.4!                  *  +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.2!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2000.1!                     +  *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.2!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.4!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                       *+             !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                      +   *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                        *+            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                        +    *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                          +*          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 2004.2!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.3!                           + *        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.4!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!                          +    *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.2!                         *    +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.3!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.1!                       +    *         !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.2!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.2!                          +      *    !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2008.3!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.4!                             * +      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                            +  *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                              +  *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.4!                               *  +   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.1!                              +     * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.2!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                                  +   !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!                                 +    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                                +     *!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.2!                                *   + !!          0   .   .          !
 2011.3!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                               +*     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2012.1!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                                +*    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3!                                + *   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.4!                             *   +    !!          0   .   .          !


     22.15 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.43 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PMAUA=MAPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAMAUA=LOG(AAMAUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAMAUA=LOG(AMAUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAMAUA=EXP(LAAMAUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3279 LAAMAUA C LAMAUA(-1) PMAUA;                                         
EQUATION 1679  LAAMAUA  
   RHS     C  LAMAUA(-1)  PMAUA  
 SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   103 to   244
 OLS;EST 1679 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1679
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAMAUA 

 1977.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  142 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.525137482

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.001375260       0.122539992  -0.01122     1.000000
15446 LAMAUA  ( -1)       0.893626239       0.031158335  28.68017    -4.538880
15444 PMAUA   (  0)      -0.396699859       0.132119566  -3.00258     1.178976

SE of equation            =     0.291861276
Sum of squared residuals  =  11.8404376      -0.605293593E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.190199168
Sum of ABS residuals      =  27.0082819    
R squared                 =   0.92652
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.65187
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.3   2012.4    142

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.3!      *    +                          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1977.4!    * +                               !!           0  .  .           !
 1978.1!      +  *                            !!           .  .  0           !
 1978.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.3!           +                          !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.4!          * +                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1979.1!           + *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1979.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1979.3!      *     +                         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1979.4!       +       *                      !!           .  .  .   0       !
 1980.1!             *+                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1980.2!             +   *                    !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.3!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 1980.4!       *         +                    !!     0     .  .  .           !
 1981.1!        +*                            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1981.2!          + *                         !!           .  . 0.           !
 1981.3!           *+                         !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.4*           +                          !!  0        .  .  .           !
 1982.1! + *                                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.2!    +*                                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1982.3! *    +                               !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1982.4!  +*                                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1983.1!    +    *                            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1983.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.3!       * +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!    *  +                              !!           0  .  .           !
 1984.1!    +    *                            !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1984.2! *      +                             !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1984.3!  + *                                 !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.4!    + *                               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.1!     *+                               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.2!     + *                              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.3!       +                              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1985.4!     *  +                             !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.1!        +  *                          !!           .  .  0           !
 1986.2!           *  +                       !!           0  .  .           !
 1986.3!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1986.4!        *     +                       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1987.1!           +*                         !!           .  .0 .           !
 1987.2!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1987.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1987.4!       *               +              !0           .  .  .           !
 1988.1!          +            *              !!           .  .  .         0 !
 1988.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1988.4!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                        *   +         !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.3!                         + *          !!           .  . 0.           !
 1989.4!                        *   +         !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                         +   *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 1990.2!                              +       !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                          *   +       !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1991.1!                           +  *       !!           .  .  0           !
 1991.2!                              +   *   !!           .  .  .0          !
 1991.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.4!                               *  +   !!           0  .  .           !
 1992.1!                               +*     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.3!                                 +    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.4!                            *    +    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1993.1!                            +*        !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                             + *      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1993.4!                                  *+  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1994.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.3!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.4!                                +  *  !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!                                +  *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 1996.4!                                  +   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!                               +  *   !!           .  .  0           !
 1997.4!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.1!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.3!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                              *+      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!                             +*       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.2!                            +   *     !!           .  .  .0          !
 1999.3!                               + *    !!           .  .  0           !
 1999.4!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.1!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                                  +*  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                                +*    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2001.3!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                               +      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!                              + *     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.3!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2002.4!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                               +*     !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                                +     !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!           .  . 0.           !
 2003.4!                                 +    !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                                 + *  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2004.2!                                  +*  !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.1!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.2!                                 +*   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.3!                                 *+   !!           .  0  .           !
 2005.4!                                *+    !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.1!                               *+     !!           . 0.  .           !
 2006.2!                                + *   !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                                  + * !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.4!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.2!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2007.3!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.1!                                    + !!           .  0  .           !
 2008.2!                                   *+ !!           .0 .  .           !
 2008.3!                                   +* !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                  * + !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.1!                                * +   !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.2!                                 + *  !!           .  . 0.           !
 2009.3!                                   +  !!           .  0  .           !
 2009.4!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                                   + *!!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.3!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                                     +!!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                                    * +!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.2!                                     +*!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.3!                                     *+!           . 0.  .           !
 2011.4!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.1!                                    *+!!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.2!                                   *+ !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                                 * +  !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.4!                                 *+   !!           . 0.  .           !


     16.90 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.23 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPAUA=PAPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPAUA=LOG(AAPAUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPAUA=LOG(APAUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPAUA=EXP(LAAPAUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3280 LAAPAUA C LAPAUA(-1) PPAUA;                                         
EQUATION 1680  LAAPAUA  
   RHS     C  LAPAUA(-1)  PPAUA  
 SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1972.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    83 to   244
 OLS;EST 1680 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1680
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPAUA 

 1972.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  162 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.262863842

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.862214592       0.290549236  -6.40929     1.000000
15449 LAPAUA  ( -1)       0.500739183       0.068803068   7.27786    -4.256374
15447 PPAUA   (  0)      -0.200733026       0.110981514  -1.80871     1.341664

SE of equation            =     0.301983280
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.4998303      -0.105715436E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.217131401
Sum of ABS residuals      =  35.1752870    
R squared                 =   0.30186
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.32149
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1972.3   2012.4    162

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1972.3!                        +     *       !!          .   .   .0         !
 1972.4!                       * +            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1973.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1973.4!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1974.1!         *       +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1974.2!             +             *          !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1974.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1974.4!                      +         *     !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1975.1!                        * +           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1975.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1975.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1975.4!           *         +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1976.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.2!        *       +                     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!             +   *                    !!          .   .   0          !
 1976.4!                *+                    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1977.1!          *      +                    !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.2!             +   *                    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1977.3!*                 +                   !!0         .   .   .          !
 1977.4*         +                            !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1978.1!         +         *                  !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1978.2!    *              +                  !!  0       .   .   .          !
 1978.3!   *       +                          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1978.4!      *   +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1979.1!            +     *                   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1979.2!      *           +                   !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1979.3!            +         *               !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1979.4!                    +    *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1980.1!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1980.2!              *      +                !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .0         !
 1980.4!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1981.1!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1981.2!                 *  +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                  +    *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1981.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1982.2!                +       *             !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1982.3!           *         +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1982.4!              +        *              !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.1!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.2!                   +                  *!          .   .   .          0
 1983.3!                            +  *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1984.1!                 *      +             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1984.2!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 1984.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.4!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.2!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                  *  +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1!                  +       *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1986.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!               *   +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 1987.1!                +      *              !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1987.2!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 1987.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.1!                    +  *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!                     +   *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.1!                      +    *          !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.2!                  *    +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1989.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.2!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.3!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                    +*                !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.1!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1991.2!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!                 * +                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                   + *                !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!                    + *               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1992.2!                     +     *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.3!                        + *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.2!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.3!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.4!                   *   +              !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.1!                   +     *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1994.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                 *    +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1994.4!               *  +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.2!               +                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.4!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.1!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.2!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.3!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                * +                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1997.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!              * +                     !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1998.2!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!           *   +                      !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!             *+                       !!          .   0   .          !
 1999.2!              +*                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.3!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                 +                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.1!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!                   +*                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!                   + *                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 2001.1!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.2!                    +  *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                      +  *            !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                       +     *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2003.2!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2004.1!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.2!                 +   *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.1!                     +                !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.2!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.4!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                    +                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2006.4!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.2!                     *+               !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                     *+               !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.2!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.3!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.4!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.1!                *   +                 !!          .0  .   .          !
 2009.2!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 2010.1!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.2!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                * +                   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.4!           *      +                   !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2011.1!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.2!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.3!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.4!          *      +                    !!         0.   .   .          !
 2012.1!              *+                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2012.2!             *   +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.3!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.4!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !


     25.31 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.56 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPHUA=PHPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAAPHUA=LOG(AAPHUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPHUA=LOG(APHUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPHUA=EXP(LAAPHUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3281 LAAPHUA C LAPHUA(-1) PPHUA;                                         
EQUATION 1681  LAAPHUA  
   RHS     C  LAPHUA(-1)  PPHUA  
 SMPL 1984.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1984.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   132 to   244
 OLS;EST 1681 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1681
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPHUA 

 1984.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  113 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.099132220

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.457941573       0.291094865  -1.57317     1.000000
15452 LAPHUA  ( -1)       0.903366041       0.041870720  21.57513    -6.096645
15450 PPHUA   (  0)      -0.110627173       0.116757425  -0.94750     1.208461

SE of equation            =     0.260309403
Sum of squared residuals  =  7.45370837      -0.136601841E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.193651483
Sum of ABS residuals      =  21.8826176    
R squared                 =   0.80936
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.29068
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1984.4   2012.4    113

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1984.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1985.1!    +     *                           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1985.2!          *+                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.3!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.4!     *    +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!       + *                            !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.2!          +  *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1986.4!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.1!             *     +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1987.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!            *      +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1988.1!             +        *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1988.2!                    * +               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1988.3!        *            +                !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1988.4!          +            *              !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1989.1!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.2!                      +          *    !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1989.3!                                +*    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.4!                           *    +     !!          0   .   .          !
 1990.1!                         * +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                         +     *      !!          .   .   .0         !
 1990.3!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.4!                       *      +       !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1991.1!              *        +              !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1991.2!               +                *     !!          .   .   .          0
 1991.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.4!                             +    *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 1992.1!                                 +  * !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.2!                                 * +  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.4!                             +        *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1993.1!                                    + *!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.2!                                    + *!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!                                   +* !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.2!                               + *    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.4!                          *  +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!                    *   +             !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.3!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1995.4!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1996.1!                   * +                !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1996.2!                  +   *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 1996.4!                        +      *      !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1997.1!                        *    +        !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                        +   *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.4!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                          + *         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.2!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!                      +*              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.4!                   *  +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.1!          *       +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1999.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.3!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 1999.4!          + *                         !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!            +*                        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.2!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.3!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!              *    +                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2001.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.3!              +      *                !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2001.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.1!                 *   +                !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.2!              *  +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.3!              +*                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.4!               + *                    !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.1!            *    +                    !!          0   .   .          !
 2003.2!             + *                      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2003.3!               +                      !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.4!                +                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!             *  +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2004.2!            * +                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.3!             +                        !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.4!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.1!        *    +                        !!          0   .   .          !
 2005.2!      *  +                            !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!       +  *                           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2005.4!       *   +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2006.1!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.3!        +     *                       !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!            * +                       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.1!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!       *    +                         !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!         +*                           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.1!      *   +                           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.2!       +  *                           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2008.3!        *  +                          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.4!    *    +                            !!          0   .   .          !
 2009.1!     +  *                             !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!         +                            !!          .   0   .          !
 2009.3!          +*                          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.4!        *  +                          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.1!        *+                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2010.3!        +                             !!          .   0   .          !
 2010.4!       * +                            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.1!     *  +                             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.2!    * +                               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2011.3!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.4! *   +                                !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.1*  +                                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.3*   +                                  !!          0   .   .          !
 2012.4!+*                                    !!          .   .0  .          !


     24.78 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      3.54 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3282 LAATHUA C LATHUA(-1) PTHUA;SMPL 1977.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3282 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PCHUA=CHPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAACHUA=LOG(AACHUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LACHUA=LOG(ACHUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AACHUA=EXP(LAACHUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3283 LAACHUA C LACHUA(-1) PCHUA;                                         
EQUATION 1682  LAACHUA  
   RHS     C  LACHUA(-1)  PCHUA  
 SMPL 1982.2 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1982.2 to  2012.4 Internally:   122 to   244
 OLS;EST 1682 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1682
**********************

Dependent variable = LAACHUA 

 1982.2 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  123 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.189091025

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.049388873       0.225188866  -0.21932     1.000000
15455 LACHUA  ( -1)       0.950850934       0.032846230  28.94856    -3.213907
15453 PCHUA   (  0)      -0.070098804       0.231957421  -0.30221     1.194828

SE of equation            =     0.274097066
Sum of squared residuals  =  9.01550420       0.555910873E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.199643282
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.5561236    
R squared                 =   0.92409
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.73375
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1982.2   2012.4    123

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1982.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!    *+                                !!          .   0   .          !
 1982.4!      +*                              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1983.1! *      +                             !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1983.2!  + *                                 !!          .   .   0          !
 1983.3!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.4!     *+                               !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.1!*     +                               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1984.2! +    *                               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1984.3!      *+                              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1984.4!   *   +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1985.1*    +                                 !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1985.2!+ *                                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1985.3!   +  *                               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!       +                              !!          .   .0  .          !
 1986.1!    *   +                             !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.2!    *+                                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1986.3!     +     *                          !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1986.4!           *+                         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.1!       *    +                         !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1987.2!        + *                           !!          .   .   0          !
 1987.3!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.1!               +*                     !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.2!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1988.3!             +*                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1988.4!              *+                      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1989.1!          *    +                      !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1989.2!           + *                        !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.3!             +  *                     !!          .   .   0          !
 1989.4!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!           *     +                    !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1990.2!            +  *                      !!          .   .   0          !
 1990.3!            *   +                     !!         0.   .   .          !
 1990.4!             + *                      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1991.1!     *          +                     !0          .   .   .          !
 1991.2!      +        *                      !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1991.3!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1991.4!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.1!             *      +                 !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1992.2!             +     *                  !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1992.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1992.4!                   +*                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1993.1!               *     +                !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1993.2!               +  *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.3!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1993.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!              *       +               !!   0      .   .   .          !
 1994.2!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1994.3!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.1!                 *    +               !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1995.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1995.3!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1995.4!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1996.1!                  *   +               !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1996.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1996.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.4!                    *+                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1997.1!                  *  +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.2!                  +  *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.3!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.4!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1998.1!                   *  +               !!         0.   .   .          !
 1998.2!                   + *                !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.3!                    *+                !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1999.1!                *  +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.2!                 +  *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1999.3!                     +*               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1999.4!                      +*              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.1!                       *+             !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.2!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.3!                          +*          !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.4!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2001.2!                        +*            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                         +*           !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.4!                          +           !!          .   0   .          !
 2002.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 2002.2!                          + *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.3!                            +*        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2003.1!                            * +       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2003.2!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.3!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2003.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.1!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.2!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2004.3!                                *+    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2005.1!                              * +     !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.2!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 2005.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                               +      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.1!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.2!                               + *    !!          .   .   0          !
 2006.3!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 2006.4!                                 *+   !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.1!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 2007.2!                                 +  * !!          .   .   .0         !
 2007.3!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.4!                                   *+ !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2008.1!                                  *+  !!          .  0.   .          !
 2008.2!                                  +*  !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2008.3!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2008.4!                                   * +!!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                                  *+  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.2!                                  + * !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.3!                                   + *!!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                                  +  *!!          .   .   0          !
 2010.3!                                     +!!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.4!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2011.1!                                  * + !!          .0  .   .          !
 2011.2!                                  +   *!          .   .   .0         !
 2011.3!                                     +*!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.4!                                     *+!          .   0   .          !
 2012.1!                                   * +!!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.2!                                   + *!!          .   .   0          !
 2012.3!                                    *+!!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.4!                                    +*!!          .   .0  .          !


     21.95 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      5.69 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3284 LAAARUA C LAARUA(-1) PARUA;SMPL 2000.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3284 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBRUA=BRPX$Q/UAPMM;                                                     
 GENR LAABRUA=LOG(AABRUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABRUA=LOG(ABRUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABRUA=EXP(LAABRUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3285 LAABRUA C LABRUA(-1) PBRUA;                                         
EQUATION 1683  LAABRUA  
   RHS     C  LABRUA(-1)  PBRUA  
 SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1981.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   119 to   244
 OLS;EST 1683 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1683
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABRUA 

 1981.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  126 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -4.936574872

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.261456855       0.428022713  -2.94717     1.000000
15458 LABRUA  ( -1)       0.740839305       0.060687096  12.20753    -4.949292
15456 PBRUA   (  0)      -0.008293740       0.247610835  -0.03350     1.023396

SE of equation            =     0.340699087
Sum of squared residuals  =  14.2773317      -0.294999580E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.252449488
Sum of ABS residuals      =  31.8086355    
R squared                 =   0.55601
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.11649
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1981.3   2012.4    126

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1981.3!       * +                            !!          .  0.   .          !
 1981.4!       *  +                           !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.1!  *       +                           !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1982.2!  *    +                              !!          0   .   .          !
 1982.3!    *  +                              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1982.4!  *     +                             !!         0.   .   .          !
 1983.1*       +                              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1983.2!   *+                                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!       +         *                    !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1983.4!         *        +                   !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1984.1!           +*                         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.2!          *   +                       !!          .0  .   .          !
 1984.3!             +      *                 !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1984.4!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.2!        *                +            !!0         .   .   .          !
 1985.3!         * +                          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1985.4!         *  +                         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1986.1! *          +                         !!      0   .   .   .          !
 1986.2!      +             *                 !!          .   .   .      0   !
 1986.3!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.4!  *                  +                !0          .   .   .          !
 1987.1!      + *                             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.2!           +  *                       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1987.3!               +*                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 1987.4!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1988.1!               +     *                !!          .   .   0          !
 1988.2!                    +   *             !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.3!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.4!                   *   +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1989.1!                   +*                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                    +*                !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1989.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1990.1!                  *+                  !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.3!                   +   *              !!          .   .  0.          !
 1990.4!                   *  +               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1991.1!                   +  *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.2!                   * +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1991.3!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1991.4!              * +                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1992.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1992.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1992.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1992.4!                  +                   !!          .   0   .          !
 1993.1!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1993.2!               *+                     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1993.3!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.4!              *   +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.1!            *   +                     !!          .0  .   .          !
 1994.2!              + *                     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1994.3!                 + *                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.4!               *   +                  !!          .0  .   .          !
 1995.1!           *    +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1995.2!             *+                       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!               +                      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1995.4!            *   +                     !!          0   .   .          !
 1996.1!              +     *                 !!          .   .   .0         !
 1996.2!                  * +                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                  +*                  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1997.1!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1997.2!                 +    *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1997.3!                     +  *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.4!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.1!                *    +                !!          0   .   .          !
 1998.2!            *    +                    !!          .0  .   .          !
 1998.3!              +   *                   !!          .   .  0.          !
 1998.4!                  +*                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1999.1!           *       +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1999.2!             +    *                   !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!               *  +                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1999.4!               *+                     !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.1!              *  +                    !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2000.2!                +                     !!          .   .0  .          !
 2000.3!                 +      *             !!          .   .   .0         !
 2000.4!                       +*             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.1!                       +  *           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.2!                        +  *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.3!                         +  *         !!          .   .  0.          !
 2001.4!                          +     *     !!          .   .   .0         !
 2002.1!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.2!                         *  +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2002.3!                       +              *!          .   .   .      0   !
 2002.4!                                 +   *!!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.1!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2003.2!                   *         +        !!      0   .   .   .          !
 2003.3!                   +      *           !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2003.4!                         +   *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.1!                           +  *       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2004.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                         +     *      !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.4!                     *      +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2005.2!                   +                  !!          .   .0  .          !
 2005.3!                   +    *             !!          .   .   0          !
 2005.4!                    *  +              !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                   *+                 !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                   +                  !!          .   0   .          !
 2006.3!                   +       *          !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.1!                      *  +            !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2007.2!                      +               !!          .   .0  .          !
 2007.3!                      + *             !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.4!                      *+              !!          .   0   .          !
 2008.1!                  *   +               !!          .0  .   .          !
 2008.2!                  + *                 !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.3!               *    +                 !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                +*                    !!          .   .0  .          !
 2009.1!                  + *                 !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2009.2!                    +     *           !!          .   .   0          !
 2009.3!                        +         *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2009.4!                            * +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.1!                       *  +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.2!                      + *             !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.3!                       +      *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2010.4!                           + *        !!          .   .0  .          !
 2011.1!                    *     +           !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.2!                    + *               !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                      +       *       !!          .   .   . 0        !
 2011.4!                        *  +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2012.1!                      +  *            !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2012.2!                     *  +             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2012.3!                     +   *            !!          .   .   0          !
 2012.4!                        +    *        !!          .   .   0          !


     21.43 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.76 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@EQ  3286 LAACEUA C LACEUA(-1) PCEUA;SMPL 1977.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3286 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3287 LAAMEUA C LAMEUA(-1) PMEUA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3287 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3288 LAAPEUA C LAPEUA(-1) PPEUA;SMPL 1998.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3288 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3289 LAATUUA C LATUUA(-1) PTUUA;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3289 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PPDUA=PDPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAPDUA=LOG(AAPDUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAPDUA=LOG(APDUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAPDUA=EXP(LAAPDUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3290 LAAPDUA C LAPDUA(-1) PPDUA;                                         
EQUATION 1684  LAAPDUA  
   RHS     C  LAPDUA(-1)  PPDUA  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1684 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1684
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAPDUA 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.648170961

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.838687248       0.347896510  -2.41074     1.000000
15461 LAPDUA  ( -1)       0.791370943       0.063687303  12.42588    -6.660748
15459 PPDUA   (  0)      -0.455790660       0.254472388  -1.79112     1.181159

SE of equation            =     0.302975139
Sum of squared residuals  =  8.72042383      -0.833200176E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.185100707
Sum of ABS residuals      =  18.1398693    
R squared                 =   0.74766
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.84188
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!          +     *                     !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1988.4!        *       +                     !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1989.1!      *   +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.2!        +     *                       !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.3!           *   +                      !!           0  .  .           !
 1989.4!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1990.1!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1990.2!            +*                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1990.3!              + *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1990.4!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!         *         +                  !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1991.2!        * +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1991.3!      *  +                            !!           0  .  .           !
 1991.4!        +   *                         !!           .  .  0           !
 1992.1!             +      *                 !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1992.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.3!                     +*               !!           .  0  .           !
 1992.4!                   * +                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1993.1*                   +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1993.2!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.3!*  +                                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.4!*   +                                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.1!   +                                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.2!     +                                !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.3!       +                              !!           .  0  .           !
 1994.4!      *  +                            !!           .0 .  .           !
 1995.1!        +      *                      !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1995.2!               +*                     !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.3!                +*                    !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.4!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 1996.1!               +          *           !!           .  .  .    0      !
 1996.2!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 1996.3!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.4!                         +*           !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.1!               *        +             !!       0   .  .  .           !
 1997.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.3!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.4!             +*                       !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!              +                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.2!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.4!            *+                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!           *+                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1999.2!          +  *                        !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!            +*                        !!           .  .0 .           !
 1999.4!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!            * +                       !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.2!             +                        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2000.3!             +                        !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.4!              +*                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.2!              *+                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.3!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!               +                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 2002.1!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.2!               +                      !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                +                     !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                +*                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.1!                 + *                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.2!                   +                  !!           .  0  .           !
 2003.3!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.1!                   *+                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.2!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2004.3!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2004.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 2005.1!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 2005.2!                  +     *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 2005.3!                   *   +              !!           0  .  .           !
 2005.4!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 2006.2!                  +         *         !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2006.3!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2006.4!                         *+           !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.1!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                       *+             !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.3!                      *+              !!           . 0.  .           !
 2007.4!                      +          *    !!           .  .  .    0      !
 2008.1!                               +      *!           .  .  . 0         !
 2008.2!                                  *+  !!           . 0.  .           !
 2008.3!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.4!                                + *   !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.1!                               + *    !!           .  .0 .           !
 2009.2!                               +    * !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.3!                               * +    !!           .0 .  .           !
 2009.4!                            *+        !!           . 0.  .           !
 2010.1!                     *     +          !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.2!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 2010.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 2010.4!                  *   +               !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.1!                    +                 !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2011.4!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.1!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.2!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2012.4!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !


     17.35 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      7.14 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3291 LAARUUA C LARUUA(-1) PRUUA;SMPL 1992.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3291 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3292 LAAUEUA C LAUEUA(-1) PUEUA;SMPL 1996.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3292 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PEGUA=EGPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAEGUA=LOG(AAEGUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAEGUA=LOG(AEGUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAEGUA=EXP(LAAEGUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3293 LAAEGUA C LAEGUA(-1) PEGUA;                                         
EQUATION 1685  LAAEGUA  
   RHS     C  LAEGUA(-1)  PEGUA  
 SMPL 1988.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1988.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   147 to   244
 OLS;EST 1685 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1685
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAEGUA 

 1988.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,   98 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -6.316446060

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.646187947       0.290124788  -2.22728     1.000000
15464 LAEGUA  ( -1)       0.789560053       0.068292921  11.56137    -6.327745
15462 PEGUA   (  0)      -0.570730513       0.267611100  -2.13269     1.181159

SE of equation            =     0.263533210
Sum of squared residuals  =  6.59772649      -0.115321086E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.196543510
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.2612640    
R squared                 =   0.80471
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.19411
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1988.3   2012.4     98

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1988.3!        * +                           !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1988.4!    *    +                            !!        0.    .    .         !
 1989.1!   *  +                               !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1989.2!  *  +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1989.3!  * +                                 !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1989.4!*    +                                !!         0    .    .         !
 1990.1!   +  *                               !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1990.2!     *  +                             !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1990.3!      + *                             !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1990.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1991.1*          +                           !!  0      .    .    .         !
 1991.2! +  *                                 !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1991.3!*    +                                !!        0.    .    .         !
 1991.4!*   +                                 !!         .0   .    .         !
 1992.1!   +      *                           !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1992.2!      *    +                          !!         0    .    .         !
 1992.3!        *+                            !!         .   0.    .         !
 1992.4!*         +                           !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1993.1!  *+                                  !!         .   0.    .         !
 1993.2! *   +                                !!         .0   .    .         !
 1993.3!    +  *                              !!         .    .  0 .         !
 1993.4!        +       *                     !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1994.1!     *         +                      !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1994.2!     +      *                         !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1994.3!            +          *              !!         .    .    .       0 !
 1994.4!            *        +                !!    0    .    .    .         !
 1995.1!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1995.2!          +       *                   !!         .    .    .   0     !
 1995.3!          *      +                    !!       0 .    .    .         !
 1995.4!       *  +                           !!         .0   .    .         !
 1996.1!       +      *                       !!         .    .    .  0      !
 1996.2!           * +                        !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1996.3!           + *                        !!         .    . 0  .         !
 1996.4!          * +                         !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.1!       *  +                           !!         . 0  .    .         !
 1997.2!     * +                              !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1997.3!      +                               !!         .    0    .         !
 1997.4!    * +                               !!         .  0 .    .         !
 1998.1!    +*                                !!         .    .0   .         !
 1998.2!     +   *                            !!         .    .    0         !
 1998.3!    *   +                             !!         .0   .    .         !
 1998.4!    +   *                             !!         .    .   0.         !
 1999.1! *     +                              !!        0.    .    .         !
 1999.2!+     *                               !!         .    .    . 0       !
 1999.3!     +                                !!         .    0    .         !
 1999.4!     +*                               !!         .    .0   .         !
 2000.1!       +             *                !!         .    .    .         0
 2000.2!                   + *                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.3!                    +*                !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2000.4!                    +                 !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.1!             *    +                   !!        0.    .    .         !
 2001.2!             +                        !!         .    0    .         !
 2001.3!           * +                        !!         .   0.    .         !
 2001.4!        *   +                         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2002.1!         +        *                   !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2002.2!                 + *                  !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2002.3!                 *+                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2002.4!               * +                    !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.1!                +    *                !!         .    .    .0        !
 2003.2!                   * +                !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2003.3!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2003.4!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.1!                  +                   !!         .    0    .         !
 2004.2!                 * +                  !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2004.3!                 *+                   !!         .   0.    .         !
 2004.4!                * +                   !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2005.1!                  +       *           !!         .    .    .   0     !
 2005.2!                         *+           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2005.3!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2005.4!                         +    *       !!         .    .    0         !
 2006.1!                         *  +         !!         .0   .    .         !
 2006.2!                        + *           !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2006.3!                        * +           !!         .   0.    .         !
 2006.4!                        +             !!         .   0.    .         !
 2007.1!               *        +             !!     0   .    .    .         !
 2007.2!              *  +                    !!         .0   .    .         !
 2007.3!           *    +                     !!         0    .    .         !
 2007.4!              +*                      !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.1!                 +            *       !!         .    .    .       0 !
 2008.2!                             +*       !!         .    .0   .         !
 2008.3!                         *   +        !!         0    .    .         !
 2008.4!                    *   +             !!         .0   .    .         !
 2009.1!                     +         *      !!         .    .    .     0   !
 2009.2!                             +   *    !!         .    .   0.         !
 2009.3!                               +*     !!         .    .0   .         !
 2009.4!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2010.1!                                 +    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.2!                                + *   !!         .    . 0  .         !
 2010.3!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2010.4!                                +     !!         .    0    .         !
 2011.1!                               +   *  !!         .    .   0.         !
 2011.2!                                  +   *!         .    .    0         !
 2011.3!                                  * + !!         .  0 .    .         !
 2011.4!                                +*    !!         .    .0   .         !
 2012.1!                               *+     !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!         .   0.    .         !
 2012.3!                            +         !!         .    0    .         !
 2012.4!                           + *        !!         .    . 0  .         !


     26.53 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      8.16 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3294 LAAISUA C LAISUA(-1) PISUA;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3294 PLOT=0;EN
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PKEUA=KEPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAKEUA=LOG(AAKEUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAKEUA=LOG(AKEUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAKEUA=EXP(LAAKEUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3295 LAAKEUA C LAKEUA(-1) PKEUA;                                         
EQUATION 1686  LAAKEUA  
   RHS     C  LAKEUA(-1)  PKEUA  
 SMPL 1979.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1979.3 to  2012.4 Internally:   111 to   244
 OLS;EST 1686 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1686
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAKEUA 

 1979.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  134 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.596885378

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.738306934       0.518266168  -3.35408     1.000000
15467 LAKEUA  ( -1)       0.752984280       0.057587236  13.07554    -7.594081
15465 PKEUA   (  0)      -0.118694821       0.299082371  -0.39686     1.182486

SE of equation            =     0.486245408
Sum of squared residuals  =  30.9729322       0.217701412E-10
Average absolute error    =     0.219328822
Sum of ABS residuals      =  29.3900622    
R squared                 =   0.57513
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.65785
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1979.3   2012.4    134

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1979.3!            +  *                      !!            . .0.            !
 1979.4!             +  *                     !!            . .0.            !
 1980.1!              +  *                    !!            . .0.            !
 1980.2!              *+                      !!            .0. .            !
 1980.3!        *   +                         !!            0 . .            !
 1980.4!    *   +                             !!            0 . .            !
 1981.1!  *  +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1981.2!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1981.3!     +   *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1981.4!       * +                            !!            .0. .            !
 1982.1!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1982.2!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1982.3!     *+                               !!            .0. .            !
 1982.4!    *+                                !!            .0. .            !
 1983.1!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.2!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1983.3!     +*                               !!            . .0.            !
 1983.4!    *  +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1984.1!     + *                              !!            . .0.            !
 1984.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1984.3!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1984.4!      +*                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.1!     * +                              !!            .0. .            !
 1985.2!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.3!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1985.4!      +                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.1!      +*                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.2!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 1986.3!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1986.4!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 1987.1!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1987.2!      *+                              !!            .0. .            !
 1987.3!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1987.4!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.1!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1988.2!    +                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1988.3!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1988.4! *   +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1989.1!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1989.2! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1989.3!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1989.4!* +                                   !!            .0. .            !
 1990.1! *+                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.2!  *+                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1990.3!   +*                                 !!            . 0 .            !
 1990.4!    *+                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.1!   * +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1991.2!*   +                                 !!            0 . .            !
 1991.3!  +                                   !!            . 0 .            !
 1991.4! * +                                  !!            .0. .            !
 1992.1!   +                               *  !!            . . .            0
 1992.2!                            +       * !!            . . . 0          !
 1992.3!                             +        *!            . . . 0          !
 1992.4!                               +   *  !!            . . 0            !
 1993.1!   *                         +        !!  0         . . .            !
 1993.2!  *  +                                !!            .0. .            !
 1993.3!   +                                  !!            . 0 .            !
 1993.4!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1994.1*   +                                  !!            0 . .            !
 1994.2! +                                    !!            . 0 .            !
 1994.3!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1994.4! *   +                                !!            0 . .            !
 1995.1!   +*                                 !!            . .0.            !
 1995.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.3!     +*                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1995.4!    * +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1996.1!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.2!     +                                !!            . 0 .            !
 1996.3!   *  +                               !!            .0. .            !
 1996.4!  * +                                 !!            .0. .            !
 1997.1!    +    *                            !!            . . 0            !
 1997.2!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1997.3!      * +                             !!            .0. .            !
 1997.4!     *+                               !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.1!      +  *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1998.2!        + *                           !!            . .0.            !
 1998.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1998.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.1!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 1999.2!       + *                            !!            . .0.            !
 1999.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 1999.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2000.1!         +   *                        !!            . . 0            !
 2000.2!           +*                         !!            . .0.            !
 2000.3!           +  *                       !!            . .0.            !
 2000.4!            +  *                      !!            . .0.            !
 2001.1!             +   *                    !!            . . 0            !
 2001.2!               + *                    !!            . .0.            !
 2001.3!              +   *                   !!            . . 0            !
 2001.4!                +*                    !!            . .0.            !
 2002.1!          *    +                      !!            0 . .            !
 2002.2!          +*                          !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.3!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2002.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.1!         *+                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 2003.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2003.4!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.1!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2004.4!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.1!       +*                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.2!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.3!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2005.4!      *+                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.1!       +                              !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2006.4!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.1!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.2!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.3!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2007.4!        +                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.1!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.2!        *+                            !!            .0. .            !
 2008.3!       *+                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2008.4!       +*                             !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.1!        +*                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2009.4!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.1!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.2!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2010.4!          +                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.2!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.3!         +*                           !!            . 0 .            !
 2011.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.1!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.2!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.3!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !
 2012.4!         +                            !!            . 0 .            !


      6.72 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      2.24 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PBAUA=BAPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAABAUA=LOG(AABAUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LABAUA=LOG(ABAUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AABAUA=EXP(LAABAUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3296 LAABAUA C LABAUA(-1) PBAUA;                                         
EQUATION 1687  LAABAUA  
   RHS     C  LABAUA(-1)  PBAUA  
 SMPL 1977.4 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1977.4 to  2012.4 Internally:   104 to   244
 OLS;EST 1687 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1687
**********************

Dependent variable = LAABAUA 

 1977.4 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  141 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -7.944189923

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.734890096       0.434217965  -3.99544     1.000000
15470 LABAUA  ( -1)       0.751629947       0.055135575  13.63240    -7.957745
15468 PBAUA   (  0)      -0.165037237       0.122007856  -1.35268     1.381629

SE of equation            =     0.414652469
Sum of squared residuals  =  23.7272604      -0.887379059E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.326468211
Sum of ABS residuals      =  46.0320177    
R squared                 =   0.59966
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.00733
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1977.4   2012.4    141

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1977.4!          + *                         !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1978.1!         *   +                        !!        0     .     .        !
 1978.2!           +     *                    !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1978.3!          *      +                    !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1978.4!          * +                         !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1979.1!       *    +                         !!       0.     .     .        !
 1979.2!         +      *                     !!        .     .     .   0    !
 1979.3!            *   +                     !!        0     .     .        !
 1979.4!          *  +                        !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1980.1!     *     +                          !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1980.2!        +                             !!        .     0     .        !
 1980.3!       *  +                           !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1980.4!*         +                           !!0       .     .     .        !
 1981.1!    +*                                !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1981.2*         +                            !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1981.3!    +         *                       !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1981.4!               +   *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1982.1!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1982.2!                 +*                   !!        .     .0    .        !
 1982.3!                  +                   !!        .     0     .        !
 1982.4!             *    +                   !!       0.     .     .        !
 1983.1!              *+                      !!        .     0     .        !
 1983.2!                +  *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1983.3!                   +   *              !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1983.4!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.1!                      +*              !!        .     0     .        !
 1984.2!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1984.3!                     +      *         !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1984.4!                   *    +             !!       0.     .     .        !
 1985.1!                 +*                   !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1985.2!                +  *                  !!        .     .  0  .        !
 1985.3!                  +    *              !!        .     .     .0       !
 1985.4!                 *    +               !!        0     .     .        !
 1986.1!                  +*                  !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1986.2!                   +                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1986.3!                   +  *               !!        .     .    0.        !
 1986.4!                      +  *            !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1987.1!                        +  *          !!        .     .    0.        !
 1987.2!                      *   +           !!        .0    .     .        !
 1987.3!                     +                !!        .    0.     .        !
 1987.4!              *      +                !!    0   .     .     .        !
 1988.1!              *+                      !!        .   0 .     .        !
 1988.2!               +   *                  !!        .     .    0.        !
 1988.3!                   +*                 !!        .     .0    .        !
 1988.4!               *    +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1989.1!                +*                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 1989.2!       *         +                    !! 0      .     .     .        !
 1989.3!          +     *                     !!        .     .     .0       !
 1989.4!                 +         *          !!        .     .     .      0 !
 1990.1!                         + *          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1990.2!                      *  +            !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1990.3!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 1990.4!                      +     *         !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1991.1!                     *    +           !!       0.     .     .        !
 1991.2!                  * +                 !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1991.3!                  +    *              !!        .     .     0        !
 1991.4!                      +        *      !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1992.1!                    *       +         !!   0    .     .     .        !
 1992.2!                 *  +                 !!        .0    .     .        !
 1992.3!                  +*                  !!        .     .0    .        !
 1992.4!                  *+                  !!        .    0.     .        !
 1993.1!             *     +                  !!       0.     .     .        !
 1993.2!           *   +                      !!        0     .     .        !
 1993.3!             +    *                   !!        .     .     .0       !
 1993.4!                   +*                 !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1994.1!               *    +                 !!       0.     .     .        !
 1994.2!                +                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 1994.3!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1994.4!                       + *            !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.1!                     *  +             !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1995.2!                     + *              !!        .     . 0   .        !
 1995.3!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1995.4!          *        +                  !!  0     .     .     .        !
 1996.1!            +   *                     !!        .     .    0.        !
 1996.2!                 +      *             !!        .     .     .  0     !
 1996.3!                    *  +              !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1996.4!                   *+                 !!        .    0.     .        !
 1997.1!             *     +                  !!     0  .     .     .        !
 1997.2!              +*                      !!        .     .0    .        !
 1997.3!                +       *             !!        .     .     .    0   !
 1997.4!                       +  *           !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.1!                        +             !!        .    0.     .        !
 1998.2!                      +   *           !!        .     .    0.        !
 1998.3!                        +   *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 1998.4!                       *  +           !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.1!                   *  +               !!        .  0  .     .        !
 1999.2!                *  +                  !!        . 0   .     .        !
 1999.3!                +      *              !!        .     .     . 0      !
 1999.4!                      + *             !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2000.1!                       +        *     !!        .     .     .    0   !
 2000.2!                             +       *!!        .     .     .    0   !
 2000.3!                                 +   *!!        .     .    0.        !
 2000.4!                                 +   *!!        .     .     0        !
 2001.1!                                 +    *!        .     .     .0       !
 2001.2!                                  + * !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2001.3!                     *          +     !0        .     .     .        !
 2001.4!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.1!                      +  *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.2!                     *  +             !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2002.3!                     + *              !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2002.4!                   *  +               !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2003.1!                  * +                 !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2003.2!                   +  *               !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2003.3!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 2003.4!                    * +               !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2004.1!                *   +                 !!        0     .     .        !
 2004.2!                  +  *                !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2004.3!                  *  +                !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2004.4!                 * +                  !!        .  0  .     .        !
 2005.1!          *       +                   !!    0   .     .     .        !
 2005.2!           * +                        !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2005.3!              +     *                 !!        .     .     . 0      !
 2005.4!              *     +                 !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.1!          *     +                     !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2006.2!             +                        !!        .     0     .        !
 2006.3!               +*                     !!        .     .0    .        !
 2006.4!                *+                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2007.1!           *     +                    !!      0 .     .     .        !
 2007.2!             *+                       !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.3!               *+                     !!        .    0.     .        !
 2007.4!                 +                    !!        .     .0    .        !
 2008.1!                   +                  !!        .     0     .        !
 2008.2!                 *  +                 !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.3!               *  +                   !!        . 0   .     .        !
 2008.4!               * +                    !!        .   0 .     .        !
 2009.1!                 +   *                !!        .     .     0        !
 2009.2!                     +*               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.3!                      +*              !!        .     .0    .        !
 2009.4!                      *+              !!        .    0.     .        !
 2010.1!                      +               !!        .     0     .        !
 2010.2!                      +               !!        .     .0    .        !
 2010.3!                      + *             !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2010.4!                       + *            !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2011.1!                         +   *        !!        .     .     0        !
 2011.2!                           *+         !!        .    0.     .        !
 2011.3!                          + *         !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2011.4!                           +          !!        .     0     .        !
 2012.1!                          +*          !!        .     . 0   .        !
 2012.2!                          +  *        !!        .     .   0 .        !
 2012.3!                           + *        !!        .     .  0  .        !
 2012.4!                            +*        !!        .     .0    .        !


     31.21 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.96 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PHKUA=HKPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAAHKUA=LOG(AAHKUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LAHKUA=LOG(AHKUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AAHKUA=EXP(LAAHKUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3297 LAAHKUA C LAHKUA(-1) PHKUA;                                         
EQUATION 1688  LAAHKUA  
   RHS     C  LAHKUA(-1)  PHKUA  
 SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1966.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    57 to   244
 OLS;EST 1688 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1688
**********************

Dependent variable = LAAHKUA 

 1966.1 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  188 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.939493446

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -0.521336766       0.123531471  -4.22027     1.000000
15473 LAHKUA  ( -1)       0.839806104       0.036939853  22.73442    -3.947194
15471 PHKUA   (  0)      -0.064661201       0.029387274  -2.20031     1.597237

SE of equation            =     0.175880173
Sum of squared residuals  =  5.72275954      -0.965316715E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.128821738
Sum of ABS residuals      =  24.2184867    
R squared                 =   0.83418
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.54090
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1966.1   2012.4    188

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1966.1!      * +                             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1966.2!        +                             !!          .  0.   .          !
 1966.3!      *   +                           !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1966.4*        +                             !0          .   .   .          !
 1967.1!  +       *                           !!          .   .   .       0  !
 1967.2!           + *                        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1967.3!        *     +                       !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1967.4!        * +                           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1968.1!          +        *                  !!          .   .   .         0!
 1968.2!                 *+                   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1968.3!                 +  *                 !!          .   .  0.          !
 1968.4!              *     +                 !!    0     .   .   .          !
 1969.1!               +    *                 !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1969.2!                 *  +                 !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1969.3!                 +*                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1969.4!               *   +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1970.1!                +     *               !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1970.2!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1970.3!                     + *              !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1970.4!                   *   +              !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1971.1!                   +    *             !!          .   .   .   0      !
 1971.2!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1971.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1971.4!                    * +               !!          0   .   .          !
 1972.1!                    +   *             !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1972.2!                      *+              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1972.3!                     +*               !!          .   .0  .          !
 1972.4!                *     +               !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1973.1!                 +*                   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1973.2!                 *+                   !!          .0  .   .          !
 1973.3!                 +     *              !!          .   .   .     0    !
 1973.4!                     *+               !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1974.1!                    + *               !!          .   .  0.          !
 1974.2!                     +*               !!          .   0   .          !
 1974.3!                     +                !!          .  0.   .          !
 1974.4!            *        +                !!0         .   .   .          !
 1975.1!              +         *             !!          .   .   .          0
 1975.2!                        +             !!          .   0   .          !
 1975.3!                     *   +            !!         0.   .   .          !
 1975.4!                      +               !!          .   0   .          !
 1976.1!                     * +              !!          .0  .   .          !
 1976.2!                 *   +                !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1976.3!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1976.4!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.1!                  *+                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1977.2!                *  +                  !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1977.3!                 +                    !!          .   0   .          !
 1977.4!                 * +                  !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1978.1!                *  +                  !!         0.   .   .          !
 1978.2!                  +                   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1978.3!                    +                 !!          .   0   .          !
 1978.4!                     + *              !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.1!                        +             !!          .   .0  .          !
 1979.2!                         +*           !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1979.3!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 1979.4!                         *  +         !!         0.   .   .          !
 1980.1!                          +*          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1980.2!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1980.3!                        *  +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1980.4!                    *    +            !!     0    .   .   .          !
 1981.1!                     +    *           !!          .   .   .    0     !
 1981.2!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1981.3!                        * +           !!          .0  .   .          !
 1981.4!                       * +            !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.1!                      * +             !!          .0  .   .          !
 1982.2!                      *+              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.3!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1982.4!                       +              !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.1!                       +   *          !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1983.2!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 1983.3!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1983.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.1!                           *+         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1984.2!                           +          !!          .   0   .          !
 1984.3!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 1984.4!                          *+          !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1985.1!                        * +           !!          0   .   .          !
 1985.2!                         +            !!          .   0   .          !
 1985.3!                         + *          !!          .   .  0.          !
 1985.4!                         * +          !!          0   .   .          !
 1986.1!                         + *          !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1986.2!                       *   +          !!        0 .   .   .          !
 1986.3!                        +*            !!          .   .  0.          !
 1986.4!                          +  *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 1987.1!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1987.2!                             *+       !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1987.3!                            *+        !!          .  0.   .          !
 1987.4!                            +         !!          .   0   .          !
 1988.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.2!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1988.3!                              + *     !!          .   .  0.          !
 1988.4!                              *+      !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1989.1!                              +       !!          .   .0  .          !
 1989.2!                             *+       !!          .   0   .          !
 1989.3!                             + *      !!          .   .  0.          !
 1989.4!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1990.1!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1990.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 1990.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1990.4!                              +*      !!          .   .0  .          !
 1991.1!                            *  +      !!          0   .   .          !
 1991.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1991.3!                               +*     !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1991.4!                                +*    !!          .   .  0.          !
 1992.1!                            *   +     !!       0  .   .   .          !
 1992.2!                            +   *     !!          .   .   .  0       !
 1992.3!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1992.4!                                 +*   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1993.1!                                 + *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1993.2!                                 *+   !!          . 0 .   .          !
 1993.3!                                +   * !!          .   .   . 0        !
 1993.4!                                  +*  !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.1!                                  +   !!          .   .0  .          !
 1994.2!                                 +    !!          .  0.   .          !
 1994.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1994.4!                                 +    !!          .   0   .          !
 1995.1!                                +  *  !!          .   .   .0         !
 1995.2!                                  +   !!          .  0.   .          !
 1995.3!                                 +   *!!          .   .   . 0        !
 1995.4!                                   +  !!          .   0   .          !
 1996.1!                                  +   *!          .   .   .  0       !
 1996.2!                                    + !!          .  0.   .          !
 1996.3!                                  + * !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1996.4!                                * +   !!          0   .   .          !
 1997.1!                               +  *   !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.2!                                 +*   !!          .   . 0 .          !
 1997.3!                                +  *  !!          .   .   0          !
 1997.4!                                 +*   !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.1!                                +     !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.2!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 1998.3!                              +       !!          .   0   .          !
 1998.4!                          *  +        !!         0.   .   .          !
 1999.1!                          +           !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.2!                          + *         !!          .   .   0          !
 1999.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 1999.4!                           + *        !!          .   .  0.          !
 2000.1!                            + *       !!          .   .   0          !
 2000.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2000.3!                               +      !!          .   0   .          !
 2000.4!                              +       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.1!                             +        !!          .  0.   .          !
 2001.2!                             +*       !!          .   .0  .          !
 2001.3!                             + *      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2001.4!                            * +       !!          .0  .   .          !
 2002.1!                            + *       !!          .   .  0.          !
 2002.2!                              +*      !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2002.3!                               +      !!          .   .0  .          !
 2002.4!                              *+      !!          .  0.   .          !
 2003.1!                              +   *   !!          .   .   .   0      !
 2003.2!                                *+    !!          .0  .   .          !
 2003.3!                               + *    !!          .   .  0.          !
 2003.4!                              * +     !!          0   .   .          !
 2004.1!                              + *     !!          .   .   0          !
 2004.2!                                +     !!          .   0   .          !
 2004.3!                               *+     !!          .  0.   .          !
 2004.4!                               +  *   !!          .   .   .0         !
 2005.1!                             *   +    !!       0  .   .   .          !
 2005.2!                           * +        !!          .0  .   .          !
 2005.3!                           +          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2005.4!                          * +         !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2006.1!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2006.3!                           + *        !!          .   .   .0         !
 2006.4!                           * +        !!          0   .   .          !
 2007.1!                           +*         !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.2!                            +*        !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2007.3!                             +        !!          .   0   .          !
 2007.4!                          *   +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2008.1!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2008.2!                         *  +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2008.3!                       *  +           !!          0   .   .          !
 2008.4!                       *+             !!          . 0 .   .          !
 2009.1!                        + *           !!          .   .  0.          !
 2009.2!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.3!                          *+          !!          .  0.   .          !
 2009.4!                           +*         !!          .   .0  .          !
 2010.1!                           *+         !!          .  0.   .          !
 2010.2!                          * +         !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.3!                         * +          !!          .0  .   .          !
 2010.4!                         *+           !!          .   0   .          !
 2011.1!                          +  *        !!          .   .   0          !
 2011.2!                             +*       !!          .   . 0 .          !
 2011.3!                           *  +       !!         0.   .   .          !
 2011.4!                        *   +         !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.1!                         +    *       !!          .   .   .  0       !
 2012.2!                             *+       !!          .  0.   .          !
 2012.3!                          *  +        !!        0 .   .   .          !
 2012.4!                           +*         !!          .   . 0 .          !


     24.47 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.79 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
 SMPL 1960.1 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2012.4 Internally:    33 to   244
 GENR PSIUA=SIPX$/UAPMM;                                                      
 GENR LAASIUA=LOG(AASIUA+.00001);                                             
 GENR LASIUA=LOG(ASIUA+.00001);                                               
 LHS AASIUA=EXP(LAASIUA)-.00001;                                              
  EQ 3298 LAASIUA C LASIUA(-1) PSIUA;                                         
EQUATION 1689  LAASIUA  
   RHS     C  LASIUA(-1)  PSIUA  
 SMPL 1975.3 2012.4;                                                          
Sample period is now  1975.3 to  2012.4 Internally:    95 to   244
 OLS;EST 1689 PLOT=0;END;                                                     

Equation number = 1689
**********************

Dependent variable = LAASIUA 

 1975.3 -   2012.4,    0 missing obs.,  150 obs. used.

Mean of dependent variable       -3.761000883

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
   40 C       (  0)      -1.437914808       0.216716307  -6.63501     1.000000
15476 LASIUA  ( -1)       0.517063828       0.070139796   7.37190    -3.766016
15474 PSIUA   (  0)      -0.252308531       0.057961529  -4.35303     1.489507

SE of equation            =     0.172677489
Sum of squared residuals  =  4.38317475       0.823208168E-11
Average absolute error    =     0.127420062
Sum of ABS residuals      =  19.1130093    
R squared                 =   0.58786
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   2.20844
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1975.3   2012.4    150

Plot of actual(*) and fitted(+) values and residuals(0)


 1975.3!       *  +                           !!           .0 .  .           !
 1975.4!         * +                          !!           .0 .  .           !
 1976.1!    *       +                         !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1976.2!         +   *                        !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.3!              +   *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1976.4!             *  +                     !!           0  .  .           !
 1977.1!          *    +                      !!          0.  .  .           !
 1977.2!             +      *                 !!           .  .  .  0        !
 1977.3! *                 +                  !0           .  .  .           !
 1977.4!        +*                            !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.1!             +*                       !!           .  0  .           !
 1978.2!                +   *                 !!           .  .  .0          !
 1978.3!               *    +                 !!          0.  .  .           !
 1978.4!              *  +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1979.1!           *    +                     !!          0.  .  .           !
 1979.2!              +         *             !!           .  .  .     0     !
 1979.3!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1979.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.1!                 +    *               !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1980.2!                  * +                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1980.3!                 +    *               !!           .  .  .0          !
 1980.4!              *    +                  !!          0.  .  .           !
 1981.1!             +             *          !!           .  .  .        0  !
 1981.2!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1981.3!             *   +                    !!           0  .  .           !
 1981.4!             +   *                    !!           .  .  0           !
 1982.1!    *          +                      !!    0      .  .  .           !
 1982.2*        +                             !!      0    .  .  .           !
 1982.3*      +                               !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1982.4!    *+                                !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.1!       *+                             !!           . 0.  .           !
 1983.2!          +                           !!           .  0  .           !
 1983.3!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1983.4!          * +                         !!           .0 .  .           !
 1984.1!            +                         !!           .  0  .           !
 1984.2!             + *                      !!           .  . 0.           !
 1984.3!               +  *                   !!           .  .  0           !
 1984.4!         *      +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1985.1!           +   *                      !!           .  .  0           !
 1985.2!           *  +                       !!           .0 .  .           !
 1985.3!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1985.4!         *      +                     !!        0  .  .  .           !
 1986.1!             +  *                     !!           .  . 0.           !
 1986.2!           *     +                    !!         0 .  .  .           !
 1986.3!              *+                      !!           . 0.  .           !
 1986.4!                +  *                  !!           .  .  0           !
 1987.1!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1987.2!                  +*                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1987.3!                 * +                  !!           .0 .  .           !
 1987.4!               *  +                   !!           0  .  .           !
 1988.1!                 +   *                !!           .  .  0           !
 1988.2!                    + *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1988.3!                  *  +                !!           .0 .  .           !
 1988.4!                  *+                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1989.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1989.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1989.3!                  * +                 !!           .0 .  .           !
 1989.4!             *    +                   !!          0.  .  .           !
 1990.1!                +    *                !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.2!                    +     *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1990.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 1990.4!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.1!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1991.2!                   +      *           !!           .  .  . 0         !
 1991.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 1991.4!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.1!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 1992.2!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1992.3!                    +    *            !!           .  .  .0          !
 1992.4!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 1993.1!                   +*                 !!           .  0  .           !
 1993.2!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1993.3!                   +  *               !!           .  . 0.           !
 1993.4!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1994.1!                *  +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1994.2!                +    *                !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.3!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1994.4!                     +*               !!           .  .0 .           !
 1995.1!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1995.2!                 + *                  !!           .  . 0.           !
 1995.3!                  +   *               !!           .  .  0           !
 1995.4!                   +                  !!           . 0.  .           !
 1996.1!                  +    *              !!           .  .  .0          !
 1996.2!                *   +                 !!           0  .  .           !
 1996.3!                 +  *                 !!           .  .  0           !
 1996.4!                  *+                  !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.1!                  +                   !!           .  0  .           !
 1997.2!                  +*                  !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.3!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1997.4!                   +*                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.1!                   +    *             !!           .  .  .0          !
 1998.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 1998.3!                    +*                !!           .  .0 .           !
 1998.4!                   *+                 !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.1!               *   +                  !!           0  .  .           !
 1999.2!                + *                   !!           .  . 0.           !
 1999.3!                * +                   !!           . 0.  .           !
 1999.4!                 +                    !!           .  0  .           !
 2000.1!                  + *                 !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.2!                    + *               !!           .  .0 .           !
 2000.3!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2000.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.1!                    *+                !!           . 0.  .           !
 2001.2!                     + *              !!           .  . 0.           !
 2001.3!                      +*              !!           .  0  .           !
 2001.4!                      +               !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.1!                    * +               !!           .0 .  .           !
 2002.2!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.3!                     +                !!           .  0  .           !
 2002.4!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.1!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2003.2!                      +*              !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.3!                       + *            !!           .  .0 .           !
 2003.4!                     *  +             !!           0  .  .           !
 2004.1!                       + *            !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.2!                      * +             !!           .0 .  .           !
 2004.3!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2004.4!                         + *          !!           .  .0 .           !
 2005.1!                          +  *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2005.2!                           +      *   !!           .  .  .  0        !
 2005.3!                             +        *!           .  .  .   0       !
 2005.4!                          *     +     !!          0.  .  .           !
 2006.1!                   *     +            !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2006.2!                      + *             !!           .  . 0.           !
 2006.3!                        +    *        !!           .  .  .0          !
 2006.4!                           + *        !!           .  . 0.           !
 2007.1!                           +          !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.2!                        * +           !!           .0 .  .           !
 2007.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2007.4!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.1!                       +*             !!           .  .0 .           !
 2008.2!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2008.3!                   *   +              !!          0.  .  .           !
 2008.4!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.1!                       +   *          !!           .  .  .0          !
 2009.2!                         * +          !!           . 0.  .           !
 2009.3!                         +   *        !!           .  .  0           !
 2009.4!                     *      +         !!         0 .  .  .           !
 2010.1!                       +  *           !!           .  . 0.           !
 2010.2!                      *   +           !!           0  .  .           !
 2010.3!                       *+             !!           .  0  .           !
 2010.4!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.1!                     *   +            !!           0  .  .           !
 2011.2!                       +*             !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.3!                        *+            !!           .  0  .           !
 2011.4!                         +            !!           .  0  .           !
 2012.1!                    *    +            !!          0.  .  .           !
 2012.2!                    *  +              !!           .0 .  .           !
 2012.3!                     *+               !!           . 0.  .           !
 2012.4!                       +              !!           .  0  .           !


     25.33 percent of the residuals exceed 1 SE
      4.00 percent of the residuals exceed 2 SE
@@EQ 3299 LAAVIUA C LAVIUA(-1) PVIUA;SMPL 1997.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3299 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3300 LAANIUA C LANIUA(-1) PNIUA;SMPL 2002.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3300 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3301 LAAALUA C LAALUA(-1) PALUA;SMPL 1993.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3301 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3302 LAAIAUA C LAIAUA(-1) PIAUA;SMPL 1985.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3302 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3303 LAAINUA C LAINUA(-1) PINUA;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3303 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3304 LAAIQUA C LAIQUA(-1) PIQUA;SMPL 2003.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3304 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3305 LAAKUUA C LAKUUA(-1) PKUUA;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3305 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3306 LAALIUA C LALIUA(-1) PLIUA;SMPL 1998.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3306 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3307 LAAUSAO C LAUSAO(-1) PUSAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3307 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3308 LAACAAO C LACAAO(-1) PCAAO;SMPL 2006.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3308 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3309 LAAJAAO C LAJAAO(-1) PJAAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3309 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3310 LAAAUAO C LAAUAO(-1) PAUAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3310 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3311 LAAFRAO C LAFRAO(-1) PFRAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3311 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3312 LAAGEAO C LAGEAO(-1) PGEAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3312 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3313 LAAITAO C LAITAO(-1) PITAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3313 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3314 LAANEAO C LANEAO(-1) PNEAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3314 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3315 LAASTAO C LASTAO(-1) PSTAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3315 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3316 LAAUKAO C LAUKAO(-1) PUKAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3316 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3317 LAAFIAO C LAFIAO(-1) PFIAO;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3317 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3318 LAAASAO C LAASAO(-1) PASAO;SMPL 1970.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3318 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3319 LAASOAO C LASOAO(-1) PSOAO;SMPL 1969.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3319 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3320 LAAKOAO C LAKOAO(-1) PKOAO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3320 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3321 LAABEAO C LABEAO(-1) PBEAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3321 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3322 LAADEAO C LADEAO(-1) PDEAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3322 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3323 LAANOAO C LANOAO(-1) PNOAO;SMPL 2003.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3323 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3324 LAASWAO C LASWAO(-1) PSWAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3324 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3325 LAAGRAO C LAGRAO(-1) PGRAO;SMPL 1993.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3325 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3326 LAAIRAO C LAIRAO(-1) PIRAO;SMPL 2006.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3326 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3327 LAAPOAO C LAPOAO(-1) PPOAO;SMPL 2007.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3327 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3328 LAASPAO C LASPAO(-1) PSPAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3328 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3329 LAANZAO C LANZAO(-1) PNZAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3329 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3330 LAASAAO C LASAAO(-1) PSAAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3330 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3331 LAAVEAO C LAVEAO(-1) PVEAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3331 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3332 LAACOAO C LACOAO(-1) PCOAO;SMPL 1994.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3332 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3333 LAAJOAO C LAJOAO(-1) PJOAO;SMPL 1981.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3333 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3334 LAASYAO C LASYAO(-1) PSYAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3334 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3335 LAAIDAO C LAIDAO(-1) PIDAO;SMPL 1966.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3335 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3336 LAAMAAO C LAMAAO(-1) PMAAO;SMPL 1973.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3336 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3337 LAAPAAO C LAPAAO(-1) PPAAO;SMPL 1972.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3337 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3338 LAAPHAO C LAPHAO(-1) PPHAO;SMPL 2010.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3338 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3339 LAATHAO C LATHAO(-1) PTHAO;SMPL 1979.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3339 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3340 LAACHAO C LACHAO(-1) PCHAO;SMPL 1990.4 2012.4;OLS;EST 3340 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3341 LAAARAO C LAARAO(-1) PARAO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3341 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3342 LAABRAO C LABRAO(-1) PBRAO;SMPL 1999.2 2012.4;OLS;EST 3342 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3343 LAACEAO C LACEAO(-1) PCEAO;SMPL 2012.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3343 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3344 LAAMEAO C LAMEAO(-1) PMEAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3344 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3345 LAAPEAO C LAPEAO(-1) PPEAO;SMPL 1995.3 2012.4;OLS;EST 3345 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3346 LAATUAO C LATUAO(-1) PTUAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3346 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3347 LAAPDAO C LAPDAO(-1) PPDAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3347 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3348 LAARUAO C LARUAO(-1) PRUAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3348 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3349 LAAUEAO C LAUEAO(-1) PUEAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3349 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3350 LAAEGAO C LAEGAO(-1) PEGAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3350 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3351 LAAISAO C LAISAO(-1) PISAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3351 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3352 LAAKEAO C LAKEAO(-1) PKEAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3352 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3353 LAABAAO C LABAAO(-1) PBAAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3353 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3354 LAAHKAO C LAHKAO(-1) PHKAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3354 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3355 LAASIAO C LASIAO(-1) PSIAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3355 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3356 LAAVIAO C LAVIAO(-1) PVIAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3356 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3357 LAANIAO C LANIAO(-1) PNIAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3357 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3358 LAAALAO C LAALAO(-1) PALAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3358 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3359 LAAIAAO C LAIAAO(-1) PIAAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3359 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3360 LAAINAO C LAINAO(-1) PINAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3360 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3361 LAAIQAO C LAIQAO(-1) PIQAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3361 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3362 LAAKUAO C LAKUAO(-1) PKUAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3362 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3363 LAALIAO C LALIAO(-1) PLIAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3363 PLOT=0;EN
@@EQ 3364 LAAUAAO C LAUAAO(-1) PUAAO;SMPL 2013.1 2012.4;OLS;EST 3364 PLOT=0;EN
RETURN;                                                                       
Control returned to previous input data set.
SMPL 1952.1 2022.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  2022.4 Internally:     1 to   284
@                                                                             
@  Summation of alphas, divide by sums, compute PMP, X00$, and PW$            
@                                                                             
INPUT FILE=MCSHR2.INP;                                                        
Control passed to data set MCSHR2.INP      
@                                                                             
@ Summation of alphas (for trade share calculations)                          
@                                                                             
GENR SUMUS=                                                                   
       AACAUS+AAJAUS+AAAUUS+AAFRUS+AAGEUS+AAITUS+AANEUS+AASTUS+AAUKUS+AAFIUS+ 
AAASUS+AASOUS+AAKOUS+AABEUS+AADEUS+AANOUS+AASWUS+AAGRUS+AAIRUS+AAPOUS+AASPUS+ 
AANZUS+AASAUS+AAVEUS+AACOUS+AAJOUS+AASYUS+AAIDUS+AAMAUS+AAPAUS+AAPHUS+AATHUS+ 
AACHUS+AAARUS+AABRUS+AACEUS+AAMEUS+AAPEUS+AATUUS+AAPDUS+AARUUS+AAUEUS+AAEGUS+ 
AAISUS+AAKEUS+AABAUS+AAHKUS+AASIUS+AAVIUS+AANIUS+AAALUS+AAIAUS+AAINUS+AAIQUS+ 
AAKUUS+AALIUS+AAUAUS;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMUS;                                                               

NAME          SUMUS   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.003733    
  2013.2  1.003554    
  2013.3  1.003045    
  2013.4  1.002682    
  2014.1  1.001762    
  2014.2  1.001303    
  2014.3  1.001026    
  2014.4  1.000822    
  2015.1 0.9997739    
  2015.2 0.9992266    
  2015.3 0.9988752    
  2015.4 0.9986125    
  2016.1 0.9975441    
  2016.2 0.9969795    
  2016.3 0.9966218    
  2016.4 0.9963651    
  2017.1 0.9953442    
  2017.2 0.9948125    
  2017.3 0.9944847    
  2017.4 0.9942575    
  2018.1 0.9933031    
  2018.2 0.9928125    
  2018.3 0.9925172    
  2018.4 0.9923198    
  2019.1 0.9914289    
  2019.2 0.9909815    
  2019.3 0.9907230    
  2019.4 0.9905601    
  2020.1 0.9897280    
  2020.2 0.9893222    
  2020.3 0.9890987    
  2020.4 0.9889676    
  2021.1 0.9881914    
  2021.2 0.9878236    
  2021.3 0.9876306    
  2021.4 0.9875266    
  2022.1 0.9868053    
  2022.2 0.9864715    
  2022.3 0.9863045    
  2022.4 0.9862227    
GENR SUMCA=                                                                   
AAUSCA+       AAJACA+AAAUCA+AAFRCA+AAGECA+AAITCA+AANECA+AASTCA+AAUKCA+AAFICA+ 
AAASCA+AASOCA+AAKOCA+AABECA+AADECA+AANOCA+AASWCA+AAGRCA+AAIRCA+AAPOCA+AASPCA+ 
AANZCA+AASACA+AAVECA+AACOCA+AAJOCA+AASYCA+AAIDCA+AAMACA+AAPACA+AAPHCA+AATHCA+ 
AACHCA+AAARCA+AABRCA+AACECA+AAMECA+AAPECA+AATUCA+AAPDCA+AARUCA+AAUECA+AAEGCA+ 
AAISCA+AAKECA+AABACA+AAHKCA+AASICA+AAVICA+AANICA+AAALCA+AAIACA+AAINCA+AAIQCA+ 
AAKUCA+AALICA+AAUACA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMCA;                                                               

NAME          SUMCA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.002756    
  2013.2  1.004044    
  2013.3  1.004590    
  2013.4  1.004924    
  2014.1  1.004719    
  2014.2  1.004816    
  2014.3  1.004911    
  2014.4  1.005008    
  2015.1  1.004591    
  2015.2  1.004602    
  2015.3  1.004657    
  2015.4  1.004727    
  2016.1  1.004318    
  2016.2  1.004314    
  2016.3  1.004347    
  2016.4  1.004390    
  2017.1  1.003973    
  2017.2  1.003944    
  2017.3  1.003948    
  2017.4  1.003961    
  2018.1  1.003546    
  2018.2  1.003497    
  2018.3  1.003478    
  2018.4  1.003466    
  2019.1  1.003050    
  2019.2  1.002982    
  2019.3  1.002940    
  2019.4  1.002904    
  2020.1  1.002485    
  2020.2  1.002403    
  2020.3  1.002347    
  2020.4  1.002296    
  2021.1  1.001886    
  2021.2  1.001799    
  2021.3  1.001736    
  2021.4  1.001678    
  2022.1  1.001289    
  2022.2  1.001203    
  2022.3  1.001139    
  2022.4  1.001079    
GENR SUMJA=                                                                   
AAUSJA+AACAJA+       AAAUJA+AAFRJA+AAGEJA+AAITJA+AANEJA+AASTJA+AAUKJA+AAFIJA+ 
AAASJA+AASOJA+AAKOJA+AABEJA+AADEJA+AANOJA+AASWJA+AAGRJA+AAIRJA+AAPOJA+AASPJA+ 
AANZJA+AASAJA+AAVEJA+AACOJA+AAJOJA+AASYJA+AAIDJA+AAMAJA+AAPAJA+AAPHJA+AATHJA+ 
AACHJA+AAARJA+AABRJA+AACEJA+AAMEJA+AAPEJA+AATUJA+AAPDJA+AARUJA+AAUEJA+AAEGJA+ 
AAISJA+AAKEJA+AABAJA+AAHKJA+AASIJA+AAVIJA+AANIJA+AAALJA+AAIAJA+AAINJA+AAIQJA+ 
AAKUJA+AALIJA+AAUAJA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMJA;                                                               

NAME          SUMJA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9946003    
  2013.2 0.9922577    
  2013.3 0.9914602    
  2013.4 0.9912193    
  2014.1 0.9903682    
  2014.2 0.9900047    
  2014.3 0.9898304    
  2014.4 0.9897439    
  2015.1 0.9888147    
  2015.2 0.9883778    
  2015.3 0.9881531    
  2015.4 0.9880366    
  2016.1 0.9871480    
  2016.2 0.9867290    
  2016.3 0.9865211    
  2016.4 0.9864264    
  2017.1 0.9856062    
  2017.2 0.9852304    
  2017.3 0.9850577    
  2017.4 0.9849952    
  2018.1 0.9842404    
  2018.2 0.9839059    
  2018.3 0.9837658    
  2018.4 0.9837336    
  2019.1 0.9830321    
  2019.2 0.9827373    
  2019.3 0.9826330    
  2019.4 0.9826355    
  2020.1 0.9819800    
  2020.2 0.9817247    
  2020.3 0.9816571    
  2020.4 0.9816948    
  2021.1 0.9810848    
  2021.2 0.9808675    
  2021.3 0.9808340    
  2021.4 0.9809032    
  2022.1 0.9803395    
  2022.2 0.9801572    
  2022.3 0.9801534    
  2022.4 0.9802490    
GENR SUMAU=                                                                   
AAUSAU+AACAAU+AAJAAU+       AAFRAU+AAGEAU+AAITAU+AANEAU+AASTAU+AAUKAU+AAFIAU+ 
AAASAU+AASOAU+AAKOAU+AABEAU+AADEAU+AANOAU+AASWAU+AAGRAU+AAIRAU+AAPOAU+AASPAU+ 
AANZAU+AASAAU+AAVEAU+AACOAU+AAJOAU+AASYAU+AAIDAU+AAMAAU+AAPAAU+AAPHAU+AATHAU+ 
AACHAU+AAARAU+AABRAU+AACEAU+AAMEAU+AAPEAU+AATUAU+AAPDAU+AARUAU+AAUEAU+AAEGAU+ 
AAISAU+AAKEAU+AABAAU+AAHKAU+AASIAU+AAVIAU+AANIAU+AAALAU+AAIAAU+AAINAU+AAIQAU+ 
AAKUAU+AALIAU+AAUAAU;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMAU;                                                               

NAME          SUMAU   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9950145    
  2013.2 0.9935084    
  2013.3 0.9926722    
  2013.4 0.9921520    
  2014.1 0.9919541    
  2014.2 0.9917721    
  2014.3 0.9916513    
  2014.4 0.9915794    
  2015.1 0.9916663    
  2015.2 0.9916872    
  2015.3 0.9917166    
  2015.4 0.9917593    
  2016.1 0.9919396    
  2016.2 0.9920285    
  2016.3 0.9921075    
  2016.4 0.9921846    
  2017.1 0.9923868    
  2017.2 0.9924893    
  2017.3 0.9925785    
  2017.4 0.9926631    
  2018.1 0.9928703    
  2018.2 0.9929720    
  2018.3 0.9930582    
  2018.4 0.9931366    
  2019.1 0.9933357    
  2019.2 0.9934197    
  2019.3 0.9934868    
  2019.4 0.9935454    
  2020.1 0.9937269    
  2020.2 0.9937849    
  2020.3 0.9938273    
  2020.4 0.9938628    
  2021.1 0.9940239    
  2021.2 0.9940556    
  2021.3 0.9940738    
  2021.4 0.9940870    
  2022.1 0.9942275    
  2022.2 0.9942354    
  2022.3 0.9942319    
  2022.4 0.9942252    
GENR SUMFR=                                                                   
AAUSFR+AACAFR+AAJAFR+AAAUFR+       AAGEFR+AAITFR+AANEFR+AASTFR+AAUKFR+AAFIFR+ 
AAASFR+AASOFR+AAKOFR+AABEFR+AADEFR+AANOFR+AASWFR+AAGRFR+AAIRFR+AAPOFR+AASPFR+ 
AANZFR+AASAFR+AAVEFR+AACOFR+AAJOFR+AASYFR+AAIDFR+AAMAFR+AAPAFR+AAPHFR+AATHFR+ 
AACHFR+AAARFR+AABRFR+AACEFR+AAMEFR+AAPEFR+AATUFR+AAPDFR+AARUFR+AAUEFR+AAEGFR+ 
AAISFR+AAKEFR+AABAFR+AAHKFR+AASIFR+AAVIFR+AANIFR+AAALFR+AAIAFR+AAINFR+AAIQFR+ 
AAKUFR+AALIFR+AAUAFR;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMFR;                                                               

NAME          SUMFR   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000008    
  2013.2 0.9996407    
  2013.3 0.9993938    
  2013.4 0.9992268    
  2014.1 0.9989717    
  2014.2 0.9988355    
  2014.3 0.9987481    
  2014.4 0.9986873    
  2015.1 0.9984751    
  2015.2 0.9983852    
  2015.3 0.9983365    
  2015.4 0.9983076    
  2016.1 0.9981514    
  2016.2 0.9981025    
  2016.3 0.9980908    
  2016.4 0.9980979    
  2017.1 0.9979897    
  2017.2 0.9979792    
  2017.3 0.9979996    
  2017.4 0.9980337    
  2018.1 0.9979592    
  2018.2 0.9979714    
  2018.3 0.9980103    
  2018.4 0.9980620    
  2019.1 0.9980070    
  2019.2 0.9980407    
  2019.3 0.9981026    
  2019.4 0.9981777    
  2020.1 0.9981330    
  2020.2 0.9981851    
  2020.3 0.9982666    
  2020.4 0.9983606    
  2021.1 0.9983193    
  2021.2 0.9983831    
  2021.3 0.9984775    
  2021.4 0.9985839    
  2022.1 0.9985428    
  2022.2 0.9986129    
  2022.3 0.9987146    
  2022.4 0.9988278    
GENR SUMGE=                                                                   
AAUSGE+AACAGE+AAJAGE+AAAUGE+AAFRGE+       AAITGE+AANEGE+AASTGE+AAUKGE+AAFIGE+ 
AAASGE+AASOGE+AAKOGE+AABEGE+AADEGE+AANOGE+AASWGE+AAGRGE+AAIRGE+AAPOGE+AASPGE+ 
AANZGE+AASAGE+AAVEGE+AACOGE+AAJOGE+AASYGE+AAIDGE+AAMAGE+AAPAGE+AAPHGE+AATHGE+ 
AACHGE+AAARGE+AABRGE+AACEGE+AAMEGE+AAPEGE+AATUGE+AAPDGE+AARUGE+AAUEGE+AAEGGE+ 
AAISGE+AAKEGE+AABAGE+AAHKGE+AASIGE+AAVIGE+AANIGE+AAALGE+AAIAGE+AAINGE+AAIQGE+ 
AAKUGE+AALIGE+AAUAGE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMGE;                                                               

NAME          SUMGE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9994047    
  2013.2 0.9991669    
  2013.3 0.9991980    
  2013.4 0.9992790    
  2014.1 0.9990213    
  2014.2 0.9989626    
  2014.3 0.9989509    
  2014.4 0.9989517    
  2015.1 0.9985910    
  2015.2 0.9984719    
  2015.3 0.9984177    
  2015.4 0.9983896    
  2016.1 0.9980661    
  2016.2 0.9979565    
  2016.3 0.9979106    
  2016.4 0.9978948    
  2017.1 0.9976157    
  2017.2 0.9975337    
  2017.3 0.9975097    
  2017.4 0.9975119    
  2018.1 0.9972755    
  2018.2 0.9972152    
  2018.3 0.9972078    
  2018.4 0.9972268    
  2019.1 0.9970273    
  2019.2 0.9969979    
  2019.3 0.9970208    
  2019.4 0.9970696    
  2020.1 0.9969018    
  2020.2 0.9969045    
  2020.3 0.9969575    
  2020.4 0.9970334    
  2021.1 0.9968882    
  2021.2 0.9969165    
  2021.3 0.9969934    
  2021.4 0.9970907    
  2022.1 0.9969627    
  2022.2 0.9970112    
  2022.3 0.9971071    
  2022.4 0.9972216    
GENR SUMIT=                                                                   
AAUSIT+AACAIT+AAJAIT+AAAUIT+AAFRIT+AAGEIT+       AANEIT+AASTIT+AAUKIT+AAFIIT+ 
AAASIT+AASOIT+AAKOIT+AABEIT+AADEIT+AANOIT+AASWIT+AAGRIT+AAIRIT+AAPOIT+AASPIT+ 
AANZIT+AASAIT+AAVEIT+AACOIT+AAJOIT+AASYIT+AAIDIT+AAMAIT+AAPAIT+AAPHIT+AATHIT+ 
AACHIT+AAARIT+AABRIT+AACEIT+AAMEIT+AAPEIT+AATUIT+AAPDIT+AARUIT+AAUEIT+AAEGIT+ 
AAISIT+AAKEIT+AABAIT+AAHKIT+AASIIT+AAVIIT+AANIIT+AAALIT+AAIAIT+AAINIT+AAIQIT+ 
AAKUIT+AALIIT+AAUAIT;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIT;                                                               

NAME          SUMIT   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9937830    
  2013.2 0.9905527    
  2013.3 0.9889894    
  2013.4 0.9882302    
  2014.1 0.9883016    
  2014.2 0.9882566    
  2014.3 0.9881832    
  2014.4 0.9881127    
  2015.1 0.9883761    
  2015.2 0.9883923    
  2015.3 0.9883159    
  2015.4 0.9882149    
  2016.1 0.9884426    
  2016.2 0.9884300    
  2016.3 0.9883344    
  2016.4 0.9882247    
  2017.1 0.9884071    
  2017.2 0.9883850    
  2017.3 0.9882959    
  2017.4 0.9881989    
  2018.1 0.9883471    
  2018.2 0.9883232    
  2018.3 0.9882476    
  2018.4 0.9881736    
  2019.1 0.9882802    
  2019.2 0.9882725    
  2019.3 0.9882409    
  2019.4 0.9882238    
  2020.1 0.9882880    
  2020.2 0.9883073    
  2020.3 0.9883306    
  2020.4 0.9883772    
  2021.1 0.9884105    
  2021.2 0.9884590    
  2021.3 0.9885338    
  2021.4 0.9886376    
  2022.1 0.9886544    
  2022.2 0.9887309    
  2022.3 0.9888489    
  2022.4 0.9889989    
GENR SUMNE=                                                                   
AAUSNE+AACANE+AAJANE+AAAUNE+AAFRNE+AAGENE+AAITNE+       AASTNE+AAUKNE+AAFINE+ 
AAASNE+AASONE+AAKONE+AABENE+AADENE+AANONE+AASWNE+AAGRNE+AAIRNE+AAPONE+AASPNE+ 
AANZNE+AASANE+AAVENE+AACONE+AAJONE+AASYNE+AAIDNE+AAMANE+AAPANE+AAPHNE+AATHNE+ 
AACHNE+AAARNE+AABRNE+AACENE+AAMENE+AAPENE+AATUNE+AAPDNE+AARUNE+AAUENE+AAEGNE+ 
AAISNE+AAKENE+AABANE+AAHKNE+AASINE+AAVINE+AANINE+AAALNE+AAIANE+AAINNE+AAIQNE+ 
AAKUNE+AALINE+AAUANE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMNE;                                                               

NAME          SUMNE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.004096    
  2013.2  1.005718    
  2013.3  1.006499    
  2013.4  1.006796    
  2014.1  1.006230    
  2014.2  1.005744    
  2014.3  1.005360    
  2014.4  1.005078    
  2015.1  1.004143    
  2015.2  1.003522    
  2015.3  1.003108    
  2015.4  1.002838    
  2016.1  1.001987    
  2016.2  1.001430    
  2016.3  1.001066    
  2016.4  1.000835    
  2017.1  1.000072    
  2017.2 0.9995757    
  2017.3 0.9992543    
  2017.4 0.9990525    
  2018.1 0.9983705    
  2018.2 0.9979257    
  2018.3 0.9976375    
  2018.4 0.9974589    
  2019.1 0.9968484    
  2019.2 0.9964569    
  2019.3 0.9962118    
  2019.4 0.9960698    
  2020.1 0.9955291    
  2020.2 0.9951924    
  2020.3 0.9949919    
  2020.4 0.9948865    
  2021.1 0.9944072    
  2021.2 0.9941184    
  2021.3 0.9939557    
  2021.4 0.9938806    
  2022.1 0.9934544    
  2022.2 0.9932056    
  2022.3 0.9930738    
  2022.4 0.9930229    
GENR SUMST=                                                                   
AAUSST+AACAST+AAJAST+AAAUST+AAFRST+AAGEST+AAITST+AANEST+       AAUKST+AAFIST+ 
AAASST+AASOST+AAKOST+AABEST+AADEST+AANOST+AASWST+AAGRST+AAIRST+AAPOST+AASPST+ 
AANZST+AASAST+AAVEST+AACOST+AAJOST+AASYST+AAIDST+AAMAST+AAPAST+AAPHST+AATHST+ 
AACHST+AAARST+AABRST+AACEST+AAMEST+AAPEST+AATUST+AAPDST+AARUST+AAUEST+AAEGST+ 
AAISST+AAKEST+AABAST+AAHKST+AASIST+AAVIST+AANIST+AAALST+AAIAST+AAINST+AAIQST+ 
AAKUST+AALIST+AAUAST;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMST;                                                               

NAME          SUMST   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9728593    
  2013.2 0.9802320    
  2013.3 0.9863230    
  2013.4 0.9903385    
  2014.1 0.9931787    
  2014.2 0.9950711    
  2014.3 0.9964006    
  2014.4 0.9973587    
  2015.1 0.9981440    
  2015.2 0.9986933    
  2015.3 0.9991128    
  2015.4 0.9994474    
  2016.1 0.9997903    
  2016.2  1.000020    
  2016.3  1.000202    
  2016.4  1.000354    
  2017.1  1.000495    
  2017.2  1.000605    
  2017.3  1.000704    
  2017.4  1.000800    
  2018.1  1.000836    
  2018.2  1.000903    
  2018.3  1.000978    
  2018.4  1.001065    
  2019.1  1.001018    
  2019.2  1.001075    
  2019.3  1.001156    
  2019.4  1.001261    
  2020.1  1.001127    
  2020.2  1.001183    
  2020.3  1.001275    
  2020.4  1.001396    
  2021.1  1.001185    
  2021.2  1.001237    
  2021.3  1.001335    
  2021.4  1.001466    
  2022.1  1.001194    
  2022.2  1.001241    
  2022.3  1.001339    
  2022.4  1.001474    
GENR SUMUK=                                                                   
AAUSUK+AACAUK+AAJAUK+AAAUUK+AAFRUK+AAGEUK+AAITUK+AANEUK+AASTUK+       AAFIUK+ 
AAASUK+AASOUK+AAKOUK+AABEUK+AADEUK+AANOUK+AASWUK+AAGRUK+AAIRUK+AAPOUK+AASPUK+ 
AANZUK+AASAUK+AAVEUK+AACOUK+AAJOUK+AASYUK+AAIDUK+AAMAUK+AAPAUK+AAPHUK+AATHUK+ 
AACHUK+AAARUK+AABRUK+AACEUK+AAMEUK+AAPEUK+AATUUK+AAPDUK+AARUUK+AAUEUK+AAEGUK+ 
AAISUK+AAKEUK+AABAUK+AAHKUK+AASIUK+AAVIUK+AANIUK+AAALUK+AAIAUK+AAINUK+AAIQUK+ 
AAKUUK+AALIUK+AAUAUK;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMUK;                                                               

NAME          SUMUK   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.002266    
  2013.2  1.002098    
  2013.3  1.002228    
  2013.4  1.002285    
  2014.1  1.001576    
  2014.2  1.001517    
  2014.3  1.001538    
  2014.4  1.001579    
  2015.1  1.000963    
  2015.2  1.000971    
  2015.3  1.001063    
  2015.4  1.001173    
  2016.1  1.000739    
  2016.2  1.000801    
  2016.3  1.000924    
  2016.4  1.001054    
  2017.1  1.000727    
  2017.2  1.000796    
  2017.3  1.000911    
  2017.4  1.001026    
  2018.1  1.000765    
  2018.2  1.000822    
  2018.3  1.000913    
  2018.4  1.001004    
  2019.1  1.000790    
  2019.2  1.000827    
  2019.3  1.000888    
  2019.4  1.000947    
  2020.1  1.000771    
  2020.2  1.000783    
  2020.3  1.000813    
  2020.4  1.000840    
  2021.1  1.000689    
  2021.2  1.000680    
  2021.3  1.000682    
  2021.4  1.000683    
  2022.1  1.000547    
  2022.2  1.000520    
  2022.3  1.000502    
  2022.4  1.000485    
GENR SUMFI=                                                                   
AAUSFI+AACAFI+AAJAFI+AAAUFI+AAFRFI+AAGEFI+AAITFI+AANEFI+AASTFI+AAUKFI+        
AAASFI+AASOFI+AAKOFI+AABEFI+AADEFI+AANOFI+AASWFI+AAGRFI+AAIRFI+AAPOFI+AASPFI+ 
AANZFI+AASAFI+AAVEFI+AACOFI+AAJOFI+AASYFI+AAIDFI+AAMAFI+AAPAFI+AAPHFI+AATHFI+ 
AACHFI+AAARFI+AABRFI+AACEFI+AAMEFI+AAPEFI+AATUFI+AAPDFI+AARUFI+AAUEFI+AAEGFI+ 
AAISFI+AAKEFI+AABAFI+AAHKFI+AASIFI+AAVIFI+AANIFI+AAALFI+AAIAFI+AAINFI+AAIQFI+ 
AAKUFI+AALIFI+AAUAFI;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMFI;                                                               

NAME          SUMFI   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.001342    
  2013.2  1.001706    
  2013.3  1.001596    
  2013.4  1.001281    
  2014.1  1.001968    
  2014.2  1.001674    
  2014.3  1.001258    
  2014.4  1.000915    
  2015.1  1.001778    
  2015.2  1.001607    
  2015.3  1.001285    
  2015.4  1.001013    
  2016.1  1.002028    
  2016.2  1.001912    
  2016.3  1.001613    
  2016.4  1.001349    
  2017.1  1.002370    
  2017.2  1.002258    
  2017.3  1.001954    
  2017.4  1.001675    
  2018.1  1.002656    
  2018.2  1.002532    
  2018.3  1.002214    
  2018.4  1.001913    
  2019.1  1.002804    
  2019.2  1.002658    
  2019.3  1.002321    
  2019.4  1.001990    
  2020.1  1.002739    
  2020.2  1.002561    
  2020.3  1.002204    
  2020.4  1.001842    
  2021.1  1.002454    
  2021.2  1.002244    
  2021.3  1.001867    
  2021.4  1.001477    
  2022.1  1.001979    
  2022.2  1.001742    
  2022.3  1.001346    
  2022.4  1.000933    
GENR SUMAS=                                                                   
AAUSAS+AACAAS+AAJAAS+AAAUAS+AAFRAS+AAGEAS+AAITAS+AANEAS+AASTAS+AAUKAS+AAFIAS+ 
       AASOAS+AAKOAS+AABEAS+AADEAS+AANOAS+AASWAS+AAGRAS+AAIRAS+AAPOAS+AASPAS+ 
AANZAS+AASAAS+AAVEAS+AACOAS+AAJOAS+AASYAS+AAIDAS+AAMAAS+AAPAAS+AAPHAS+AATHAS+ 
AACHAS+AAARAS+AABRAS+AACEAS+AAMEAS+AAPEAS+AATUAS+AAPDAS+AARUAS+AAUEAS+AAEGAS+ 
AAISAS+AAKEAS+AABAAS+AAHKAS+AASIAS+AAVIAS+AANIAS+AAALAS+AAIAAS+AAINAS+AAIQAS+ 
AAKUAS+AALIAS+AAUAAS;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMAS;                                                               

NAME          SUMAS   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.004080    
  2013.2  1.005772    
  2013.3  1.005872    
  2013.4  1.005638    
  2014.1  1.005077    
  2014.2  1.004745    
  2014.3  1.004540    
  2014.4  1.004412    
  2015.1  1.004110    
  2015.2  1.003913    
  2015.3  1.003795    
  2015.4  1.003726    
  2016.1  1.003477    
  2016.2  1.003303    
  2016.3  1.003193    
  2016.4  1.003122    
  2017.1  1.002856    
  2017.2  1.002672    
  2017.3  1.002557    
  2017.4  1.002485    
  2018.1  1.002195    
  2018.2  1.002013    
  2018.3  1.001904    
  2018.4  1.001838    
  2019.1  1.001523    
  2019.2  1.001340    
  2019.3  1.001236    
  2019.4  1.001178    
  2020.1  1.000841    
  2020.2  1.000669    
  2020.3  1.000584    
  2020.4  1.000547    
  2021.1  1.000203    
  2021.2  1.000054    
  2021.3 0.9999963    
  2021.4 0.9999875    
  2022.1 0.9996482    
  2022.2 0.9995264    
  2022.3 0.9994979    
  2022.4 0.9995178    
GENR SUMSO=                                                                   
AAUSSO+AACASO+AAJASO+AAAUSO+AAFRSO+AAGESO+AAITSO+AANESO+AASTSO+AAUKSO+AAFISO+ 
AAASSO+       AAKOSO+AABESO+AADESO+AANOSO+AASWSO+AAGRSO+AAIRSO+AAPOSO+AASPSO+ 
AANZSO+AASASO+AAVESO+AACOSO+AAJOSO+AASYSO+AAIDSO+AAMASO+AAPASO+AAPHSO+AATHSO+ 
AACHSO+AAARSO+AABRSO+AACESO+AAMESO+AAPESO+AATUSO+AAPDSO+AARUSO+AAUESO+AAEGSO+ 
AAISSO+AAKESO+AABASO+AAHKSO+AASISO+AAVISO+AANISO+AAALSO+AAIASO+AAINSO+AAIQSO+ 
AAKUSO+AALISO+AAUASO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSO;                                                               

NAME          SUMSO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.017110    
  2013.2  1.026322    
  2013.3  1.031085    
  2013.4  1.033453    
  2014.1  1.034725    
  2014.2  1.035349    
  2014.3  1.035670    
  2014.4  1.035862    
  2015.1  1.036262    
  2015.2  1.036498    
  2015.3  1.036659    
  2015.4  1.036788    
  2016.1  1.037239    
  2016.2  1.037479    
  2016.3  1.037611    
  2016.4  1.037683    
  2017.1  1.038098    
  2017.2  1.038272    
  2017.3  1.038329    
  2017.4  1.038327    
  2018.1  1.038695    
  2018.2  1.038814    
  2018.3  1.038813    
  2018.4  1.038753    
  2019.1  1.039069    
  2019.2  1.039124    
  2019.3  1.039055    
  2019.4  1.038927    
  2020.1  1.039178    
  2020.2  1.039168    
  2020.3  1.039037    
  2020.4  1.038853    
  2021.1  1.039052    
  2021.2  1.038993    
  2021.3  1.038819    
  2021.4  1.038597    
  2022.1  1.038760    
  2022.2  1.038670    
  2022.3  1.038471    
  2022.4  1.038228    
GENR SUMKO=                                                                   
AAUSKO+AACAKO+AAJAKO+AAAUKO+AAFRKO+AAGEKO+AAITKO+AANEKO+AASTKO+AAUKKO+AAFIKO+ 
AAASKO+AASOKO+       AABEKO+AADEKO+AANOKO+AASWKO+AAGRKO+AAIRKO+AAPOKO+AASPKO+ 
AANZKO+AASAKO+AAVEKO+AACOKO+AAJOKO+AASYKO+AAIDKO+AAMAKO+AAPAKO+AAPHKO+AATHKO+ 
AACHKO+AAARKO+AABRKO+AACEKO+AAMEKO+AAPEKO+AATUKO+AAPDKO+AARUKO+AAUEKO+AAEGKO+ 
AAISKO+AAKEKO+AABAKO+AAHKKO+AASIKO+AAVIKO+AANIKO+AAALKO+AAIAKO+AAINKO+AAIQKO+ 
AAKUKO+AALIKO+AAUAKO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMKO;                                                               

NAME          SUMKO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9779433    
  2013.2 0.9651660    
  2013.3 0.9595850    
  2013.4 0.9576155    
  2014.1 0.9548311    
  2014.2 0.9542666    
  2014.3 0.9547613    
  2014.4 0.9557437    
  2015.1 0.9540287    
  2015.2 0.9538416    
  2015.3 0.9543875    
  2015.4 0.9552727    
  2016.1 0.9535304    
  2016.2 0.9532167    
  2016.3 0.9536084    
  2016.4 0.9543438    
  2017.1 0.9525790    
  2017.2 0.9521969    
  2017.3 0.9525080    
  2017.4 0.9531656    
  2018.1 0.9514296    
  2018.2 0.9510316    
  2018.3 0.9513106    
  2018.4 0.9519345    
  2019.1 0.9502389    
  2019.2 0.9498549    
  2019.3 0.9501372    
  2019.4 0.9507624    
  2020.1 0.9491043    
  2020.2 0.9487467    
  2020.3 0.9490477    
  2020.4 0.9496877    
  2021.1 0.9480729    
  2021.2 0.9477466    
  2021.3 0.9480694    
  2021.4 0.9487253    
  2022.1 0.9471609    
  2022.2 0.9468661    
  2022.3 0.9472080    
  2022.4 0.9478756    
GENR SUMBE=                                                                   
AAUSBE+AACABE+AAJABE+AAAUBE+AAFRBE+AAGEBE+AAITBE+AANEBE+AASTBE+AAUKBE+AAFIBE+ 
AAASBE+AASOBE+AAKOBE+       AADEBE+AANOBE+AASWBE+AAGRBE+AAIRBE+AAPOBE+AASPBE+ 
AANZBE+AASABE+AAVEBE+AACOBE+AAJOBE+AASYBE+AAIDBE+AAMABE+AAPABE+AAPHBE+AATHBE+ 
AACHBE+AAARBE+AABRBE+AACEBE+AAMEBE+AAPEBE+AATUBE+AAPDBE+AARUBE+AAUEBE+AAEGBE+ 
AAISBE+AAKEBE+AABABE+AAHKBE+AASIBE+AAVIBE+AANIBE+AAALBE+AAIABE+AAINBE+AAIQBE+ 
AAKUBE+AALIBE+AAUABE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMBE;                                                               

NAME          SUMBE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.002645    
  2013.2  1.002180    
  2013.3  1.001615    
  2013.4  1.001218    
  2014.1  1.001105    
  2014.2  1.000981    
  2014.3  1.000903    
  2014.4  1.000861    
  2015.1  1.000802    
  2015.2  1.000774    
  2015.3  1.000763    
  2015.4  1.000767    
  2016.1  1.000705    
  2016.2  1.000703    
  2016.3  1.000723    
  2016.4  1.000758    
  2017.1  1.000610    
  2017.2  1.000619    
  2017.3  1.000668    
  2017.4  1.000738    
  2018.1  1.000500    
  2018.2  1.000519    
  2018.3  1.000598    
  2018.4  1.000706    
  2019.1  1.000360    
  2019.2  1.000401    
  2019.3  1.000530    
  2019.4  1.000695    
  2020.1  1.000220    
  2020.2  1.000282    
  2020.3  1.000458    
  2020.4  1.000674    
  2021.1  1.000084    
  2021.2  1.000163    
  2021.3  1.000374    
  2021.4  1.000628    
  2022.1 0.9999578    
  2022.2  1.000048    
  2022.3  1.000284    
  2022.4  1.000562    
GENR SUMDE=                                                                   
AAUSDE+AACADE+AAJADE+AAAUDE+AAFRDE+AAGEDE+AAITDE+AANEDE+AASTDE+AAUKDE+AAFIDE+ 
AAASDE+AASODE+AAKODE+AABEDE+       AANODE+AASWDE+AAGRDE+AAIRDE+AAPODE+AASPDE+ 
AANZDE+AASADE+AAVEDE+AACODE+AAJODE+AASYDE+AAIDDE+AAMADE+AAPADE+AAPHDE+AATHDE+ 
AACHDE+AAARDE+AABRDE+AACEDE+AAMEDE+AAPEDE+AATUDE+AAPDDE+AARUDE+AAUEDE+AAEGDE+ 
AAISDE+AAKEDE+AABADE+AAHKDE+AASIDE+AAVIDE+AANIDE+AAALDE+AAIADE+AAINDE+AAIQDE+ 
AAKUDE+AALIDE+AAUADE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMDE;                                                               

NAME          SUMDE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9955103    
  2013.2 0.9948146    
  2013.3 0.9949241    
  2013.4 0.9951429    
  2014.1 0.9963778    
  2014.2 0.9966837    
  2014.3 0.9967876    
  2014.4 0.9968601    
  2015.1 0.9980647    
  2015.2 0.9982662    
  2015.3 0.9982612    
  2015.4 0.9982299    
  2016.1 0.9993819    
  2016.2 0.9994965    
  2016.3 0.9993963    
  2016.4 0.9992668    
  2017.1  1.000332    
  2017.2  1.000352    
  2017.3  1.000156    
  2017.4 0.9999326    
  2018.1  1.000905    
  2018.2  1.000841    
  2018.3  1.000564    
  2018.4  1.000258    
  2019.1  1.001133    
  2019.2  1.000985    
  2019.3  1.000624    
  2019.4  1.000234    
  2020.1  1.001008    
  2020.2  1.000784    
  2020.3  1.000357    
  2020.4 0.9999035    
  2021.1  1.000596    
  2021.2  1.000321    
  2021.3 0.9998497    
  2021.4 0.9993557    
  2022.1 0.9999909    
  2022.2 0.9996850    
  2022.3 0.9991898    
  2022.4 0.9986737    
GENR SUMNO=                                                                   
AAUSNO+AACANO+AAJANO+AAAUNO+AAFRNO+AAGENO+AAITNO+AANENO+AASTNO+AAUKNO+AAFINO+ 
AAASNO+AASONO+AAKONO+AABENO+AADENO+       AASWNO+AAGRNO+AAIRNO+AAPONO+AASPNO+ 
AANZNO+AASANO+AAVENO+AACONO+AAJONO+AASYNO+AAIDNO+AAMANO+AAPANO+AAPHNO+AATHNO+ 
AACHNO+AAARNO+AABRNO+AACENO+AAMENO+AAPENO+AATUNO+AAPDNO+AARUNO+AAUENO+AAEGNO+ 
AAISNO+AAKENO+AABANO+AAHKNO+AASINO+AAVINO+AANINO+AAALNO+AAIANO+AAINNO+AAIQNO+ 
AAKUNO+AALINO+AAUANO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMNO;                                                               

NAME          SUMNO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9731890    
  2013.2 0.9785308    
  2013.3 0.9818412    
  2013.4 0.9839616    
  2014.1 0.9849051    
  2014.2 0.9865396    
  2014.3 0.9877723    
  2014.4 0.9887645    
  2015.1 0.9888714    
  2015.2 0.9901417    
  2015.3 0.9910252    
  2015.4 0.9916847    
  2016.1 0.9914616    
  2016.2 0.9925438    
  2016.3 0.9932223    
  2016.4 0.9936806    
  2017.1 0.9932239    
  2017.2 0.9941922    
  2017.3 0.9947277    
  2017.4 0.9950384    
  2018.1 0.9943985    
  2018.2 0.9952841    
  2018.3 0.9957123    
  2018.4 0.9959059    
  2019.1 0.9950816    
  2019.2 0.9958913    
  2019.3 0.9962075    
  2019.4 0.9962786    
  2020.1 0.9952454    
  2020.2 0.9960025    
  2020.3 0.9962309    
  2020.4 0.9962062    
  2021.1 0.9950062    
  2021.2 0.9957329    
  2021.3 0.9959017    
  2021.4 0.9958108    
  2022.1 0.9944971    
  2022.2 0.9952078    
  2022.3 0.9953391    
  2022.4 0.9952055    
GENR SUMSW=                                                                   
AAUSSW+AACASW+AAJASW+AAAUSW+AAFRSW+AAGESW+AAITSW+AANESW+AASTSW+AAUKSW+AAFISW+ 
AAASSW+AASOSW+AAKOSW+AABESW+AADESW+AANOSW+       AAGRSW+AAIRSW+AAPOSW+AASPSW+ 
AANZSW+AASASW+AAVESW+AACOSW+AAJOSW+AASYSW+AAIDSW+AAMASW+AAPASW+AAPHSW+AATHSW+ 
AACHSW+AAARSW+AABRSW+AACESW+AAMESW+AAPESW+AATUSW+AAPDSW+AARUSW+AAUESW+AAEGSW+ 
AAISSW+AAKESW+AABASW+AAHKSW+AASISW+AAVISW+AANISW+AAALSW+AAIASW+AAINSW+AAIQSW+ 
AAKUSW+AALISW+AAUASW;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSW;                                                               

NAME          SUMSW   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9962078    
  2013.2 0.9956206    
  2013.3 0.9953131    
  2013.4 0.9951057    
  2014.1 0.9950424    
  2014.2 0.9949306    
  2014.3 0.9948633    
  2014.4 0.9948439    
  2015.1 0.9949794    
  2015.2 0.9950012    
  2015.3 0.9950305    
  2015.4 0.9950780    
  2016.1 0.9953055    
  2016.2 0.9953669    
  2016.3 0.9954203    
  2016.4 0.9954834    
  2017.1 0.9957450    
  2017.2 0.9958148    
  2017.3 0.9958694    
  2017.4 0.9959294    
  2018.1 0.9961958    
  2018.2 0.9962592    
  2018.3 0.9963041    
  2018.4 0.9963521    
  2019.1 0.9965876    
  2019.2 0.9966362    
  2019.3 0.9966679    
  2019.4 0.9967023    
  2020.1 0.9968743    
  2020.2 0.9969058    
  2020.3 0.9969259    
  2020.4 0.9969494    
  2021.1 0.9970619    
  2021.2 0.9970792    
  2021.3 0.9970903    
  2021.4 0.9971054    
  2022.1 0.9971753    
  2022.2 0.9971819    
  2022.3 0.9971861    
  2022.4 0.9971946    
GENR SUMGR=                                                                   
AAUSGR+AACAGR+AAJAGR+AAAUGR+AAFRGR+AAGEGR+AAITGR+AANEGR+AASTGR+AAUKGR+AAFIGR+ 
AAASGR+AASOGR+AAKOGR+AABEGR+AADEGR+AANOGR+AASWGR+       AAIRGR+AAPOGR+AASPGR+ 
AANZGR+AASAGR+AAVEGR+AACOGR+AAJOGR+AASYGR+AAIDGR+AAMAGR+AAPAGR+AAPHGR+AATHGR+ 
AACHGR+AAARGR+AABRGR+AACEGR+AAMEGR+AAPEGR+AATUGR+AAPDGR+AARUGR+AAUEGR+AAEGGR+ 
AAISGR+AAKEGR+AABAGR+AAHKGR+AASIGR+AAVIGR+AANIGR+AAALGR+AAIAGR+AAINGR+AAIQGR+ 
AAKUGR+AALIGR+AAUAGR;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMGR;                                                               

NAME          SUMGR   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9826869    
  2013.2 0.9730020    
  2013.3 0.9669885    
  2013.4 0.9628402    
  2014.1 0.9595965    
  2014.2 0.9571708    
  2014.3 0.9553040    
  2014.4 0.9538373    
  2015.1 0.9524250    
  2015.2 0.9513043    
  2015.3 0.9503900    
  2015.4 0.9496292    
  2016.1 0.9488103    
  2016.2 0.9481444    
  2016.3 0.9475908    
  2016.4 0.9471272    
  2017.1 0.9466119    
  2017.2 0.9461960    
  2017.3 0.9458543    
  2017.4 0.9455737    
  2018.1 0.9452624    
  2018.2 0.9450144    
  2018.3 0.9448169    
  2018.4 0.9446645    
  2019.1 0.9445018    
  2019.2 0.9443825    
  2019.3 0.9443045    
  2019.4 0.9442677    
  2020.1 0.9442314    
  2020.2 0.9442241    
  2020.3 0.9442518    
  2020.4 0.9443169    
  2021.1 0.9443868    
  2021.2 0.9444724    
  2021.3 0.9445864    
  2021.4 0.9447338    
  2022.1 0.9448883    
  2022.2 0.9450469    
  2022.3 0.9452277    
  2022.4 0.9454376    
GENR SUMIR=                                                                   
AAUSIR+AACAIR+AAJAIR+AAAUIR+AAFRIR+AAGEIR+AAITIR+AANEIR+AASTIR+AAUKIR+AAFIIR+ 
AAASIR+AASOIR+AAKOIR+AABEIR+AADEIR+AANOIR+AASWIR+AAGRIR+       AAPOIR+AASPIR+ 
AANZIR+AASAIR+AAVEIR+AACOIR+AAJOIR+AASYIR+AAIDIR+AAMAIR+AAPAIR+AAPHIR+AATHIR+ 
AACHIR+AAARIR+AABRIR+AACEIR+AAMEIR+AAPEIR+AATUIR+AAPDIR+AARUIR+AAUEIR+AAEGIR+ 
AAISIR+AAKEIR+AABAIR+AAHKIR+AASIIR+AAVIIR+AANIIR+AAALIR+AAIAIR+AAINIR+AAIQIR+ 
AAKUIR+AALIIR+AAUAIR;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIR;                                                               

NAME          SUMIR   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9869354    
  2013.2 0.9828674    
  2013.3 0.9814301    
  2013.4 0.9809747    
  2014.1 0.9809681    
  2014.2 0.9810377    
  2014.3 0.9811770    
  2014.4 0.9813598    
  2015.1 0.9816417    
  2015.2 0.9818234    
  2015.3 0.9819810    
  2015.4 0.9821419    
  2016.1 0.9824191    
  2016.2 0.9825932    
  2016.3 0.9827644    
  2016.4 0.9829670    
  2017.1 0.9833153    
  2017.2 0.9835618    
  2017.3 0.9837975    
  2017.4 0.9840530    
  2018.1 0.9844363    
  2018.2 0.9847102    
  2018.3 0.9849653    
  2018.4 0.9852346    
  2019.1 0.9856132    
  2019.2 0.9858980    
  2019.3 0.9861686    
  2019.4 0.9864524    
  2020.1 0.9868133    
  2020.2 0.9871021    
  2020.3 0.9873805    
  2020.4 0.9876696    
  2021.1 0.9880030    
  2021.2 0.9882866    
  2021.3 0.9885645    
  2021.4 0.9888519    
  2022.1 0.9891563    
  2022.2 0.9894298    
  2022.3 0.9897018    
  2022.4 0.9899822    
GENR SUMPO=                                                                   
AAUSPO+AACAPO+AAJAPO+AAAUPO+AAFRPO+AAGEPO+AAITPO+AANEPO+AASTPO+AAUKPO+AAFIPO+ 
AAASPO+AASOPO+AAKOPO+AABEPO+AADEPO+AANOPO+AASWPO+AAGRPO+AAIRPO+       AASPPO+ 
AANZPO+AASAPO+AAVEPO+AACOPO+AAJOPO+AASYPO+AAIDPO+AAMAPO+AAPAPO+AAPHPO+AATHPO+ 
AACHPO+AAARPO+AABRPO+AACEPO+AAMEPO+AAPEPO+AATUPO+AAPDPO+AARUPO+AAUEPO+AAEGPO+ 
AAISPO+AAKEPO+AABAPO+AAHKPO+AASIPO+AAVIPO+AANIPO+AAALPO+AAIAPO+AAINPO+AAIQPO+ 
AAKUPO+AALIPO+AAUAPO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMPO;                                                               

NAME          SUMPO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9928917    
  2013.2 0.9906979    
  2013.3 0.9901535    
  2013.4 0.9901339    
  2014.1 0.9903819    
  2014.2 0.9903714    
  2014.3 0.9903547    
  2014.4 0.9903396    
  2015.1 0.9904492    
  2015.2 0.9903354    
  2015.3 0.9902650    
  2015.4 0.9902344    
  2016.1 0.9903956    
  2016.2 0.9903352    
  2016.3 0.9903231    
  2016.4 0.9903529    
  2017.1 0.9905994    
  2017.2 0.9906057    
  2017.3 0.9906499    
  2017.4 0.9907287    
  2018.1 0.9910268    
  2018.2 0.9910794    
  2018.3 0.9911608    
  2018.4 0.9912709    
  2019.1 0.9915715    
  2019.2 0.9916583    
  2019.3 0.9917680    
  2019.4 0.9918989    
  2020.1 0.9921533    
  2020.2 0.9922607    
  2020.3 0.9923872    
  2020.4 0.9925265    
  2021.1 0.9927233    
  2021.2 0.9928379    
  2021.3 0.9929696    
  2021.4 0.9931076    
  2022.1 0.9932545    
  2022.2 0.9933665    
  2022.3 0.9934945    
  2022.4 0.9936246    
GENR SUMSP=                                                                   
AAUSSP+AACASP+AAJASP+AAAUSP+AAFRSP+AAGESP+AAITSP+AANESP+AASTSP+AAUKSP+AAFISP+ 
AAASSP+AASOSP+AAKOSP+AABESP+AADESP+AANOSP+AASWSP+AAGRSP+AAIRSP+AAPOSP+        
AANZSP+AASASP+AAVESP+AACOSP+AAJOSP+AASYSP+AAIDSP+AAMASP+AAPASP+AAPHSP+AATHSP+ 
AACHSP+AAARSP+AABRSP+AACESP+AAMESP+AAPESP+AATUSP+AAPDSP+AARUSP+AAUESP+AAEGSP+ 
AAISSP+AAKESP+AABASP+AAHKSP+AASISP+AAVISP+AANISP+AAALSP+AAIASP+AAINSP+AAIQSP+ 
AAKUSP+AALISP+AAUASP;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSP;                                                               

NAME          SUMSP   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000075    
  2013.2  1.000059    
  2013.3 0.9997435    
  2013.4 0.9993525    
  2014.1 0.9988780    
  2014.2 0.9985066    
  2014.3 0.9982300    
  2014.4 0.9980267    
  2015.1 0.9977050    
  2015.2 0.9974927    
  2015.3 0.9973445    
  2015.4 0.9972393    
  2016.1 0.9970138    
  2016.2 0.9968760    
  2016.3 0.9967921    
  2016.4 0.9967458    
  2017.1 0.9965414    
  2017.2 0.9964520    
  2017.3 0.9964165    
  2017.4 0.9964129    
  2018.1 0.9961960    
  2018.2 0.9961333    
  2018.3 0.9961307    
  2018.4 0.9961597    
  2019.1 0.9958953    
  2019.2 0.9958541    
  2019.3 0.9958870    
  2019.4 0.9959519    
  2020.1 0.9956092    
  2020.2 0.9955795    
  2020.3 0.9956413    
  2020.4 0.9957356    
  2021.1 0.9953186    
  2021.2 0.9952949    
  2021.3 0.9953781    
  2021.4 0.9954944    
  2022.1 0.9950219    
  2022.2 0.9950023    
  2022.3 0.9951007    
  2022.4 0.9952324    
GENR SUMNZ=                                                                   
AAUSNZ+AACANZ+AAJANZ+AAAUNZ+AAFRNZ+AAGENZ+AAITNZ+AANENZ+AASTNZ+AAUKNZ+AAFINZ+ 
AAASNZ+AASONZ+AAKONZ+AABENZ+AADENZ+AANONZ+AASWNZ+AAGRNZ+AAIRNZ+AAPONZ+AASPNZ+ 
       AASANZ+AAVENZ+AACONZ+AAJONZ+AASYNZ+AAIDNZ+AAMANZ+AAPANZ+AAPHNZ+AATHNZ+ 
AACHNZ+AAARNZ+AABRNZ+AACENZ+AAMENZ+AAPENZ+AATUNZ+AAPDNZ+AARUNZ+AAUENZ+AAEGNZ+ 
AAISNZ+AAKENZ+AABANZ+AAHKNZ+AASINZ+AAVINZ+AANINZ+AAALNZ+AAIANZ+AAINNZ+AAIQNZ+ 
AAKUNZ+AALINZ+AAUANZ;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMNZ;                                                               

NAME          SUMNZ   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9820530    
  2013.2 0.9790653    
  2013.3 0.9799748    
  2013.4 0.9819432    
  2014.1 0.9837590    
  2014.2 0.9856430    
  2014.3 0.9874473    
  2014.4 0.9891197    
  2015.1 0.9904427    
  2015.2 0.9915034    
  2015.3 0.9924633    
  2015.4 0.9933410    
  2016.1 0.9940413    
  2016.2 0.9944361    
  2016.3 0.9947767    
  2016.4 0.9950972    
  2017.1 0.9953695    
  2017.2 0.9953342    
  2017.3 0.9952847    
  2017.4 0.9952610    
  2018.1 0.9952737    
  2018.2 0.9949897    
  2018.3 0.9947150    
  2018.4 0.9944895    
  2019.1 0.9943390    
  2019.2 0.9939070    
  2019.3 0.9934987    
  2019.4 0.9931545    
  2020.1 0.9929015    
  2020.2 0.9923940    
  2020.3 0.9919206    
  2020.4 0.9915188    
  2021.1 0.9912086    
  2021.2 0.9906707    
  2021.3 0.9901718    
  2021.4 0.9897463    
  2022.1 0.9894060    
  2022.2 0.9888616    
  2022.3 0.9883584    
  2022.4 0.9879276    
GENR SUMSA=                                                                   
AAUSSA+AACASA+AAJASA+AAAUSA+AAFRSA+AAGESA+AAITSA+AANESA+AASTSA+AAUKSA+AAFISA+ 
AAASSA+AASOSA+AAKOSA+AABESA+AADESA+AANOSA+AASWSA+AAGRSA+AAIRSA+AAPOSA+AASPSA+ 
AANZSA+       AAVESA+AACOSA+AAJOSA+AASYSA+AAIDSA+AAMASA+AAPASA+AAPHSA+AATHSA+ 
AACHSA+AAARSA+AABRSA+AACESA+AAMESA+AAPESA+AATUSA+AAPDSA+AARUSA+AAUESA+AAEGSA+ 
AAISSA+AAKESA+AABASA+AAHKSA+AASISA+AAVISA+AANISA+AAALSA+AAIASA+AAINSA+AAIQSA+ 
AAKUSA+AALISA+AAUASA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSA;                                                               

NAME          SUMSA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9971972    
  2013.2 0.9987194    
  2013.3  1.000163    
  2013.4  1.001034    
  2014.1  1.000096    
  2014.2  1.000065    
  2014.3  1.000125    
  2014.4  1.000176    
  2015.1 0.9992853    
  2015.2 0.9990354    
  2015.3 0.9989519    
  2015.4 0.9989322    
  2016.1 0.9983531    
  2016.2 0.9981282    
  2016.3 0.9980378    
  2016.4 0.9980088    
  2017.1 0.9975648    
  2017.2 0.9973620    
  2017.3 0.9972731    
  2017.4 0.9972421    
  2018.1 0.9968525    
  2018.2 0.9966771    
  2018.3 0.9965994    
  2018.4 0.9965696    
  2019.1 0.9961513    
  2019.2 0.9959936    
  2019.3 0.9959196    
  2019.4 0.9958829    
  2020.1 0.9953669    
  2020.2 0.9952308    
  2020.3 0.9951715    
  2020.4 0.9951391    
  2021.1 0.9945268    
  2021.2 0.9944188    
  2021.3 0.9943819    
  2021.4 0.9943618    
  2022.1 0.9936754    
  2022.2 0.9935960    
  2022.3 0.9935832    
  2022.4 0.9935782    
GENR SUMVE=                                                                   
AAUSVE+AACAVE+AAJAVE+AAAUVE+AAFRVE+AAGEVE+AAITVE+AANEVE+AASTVE+AAUKVE+AAFIVE+ 
AAASVE+AASOVE+AAKOVE+AABEVE+AADEVE+AANOVE+AASWVE+AAGRVE+AAIRVE+AAPOVE+AASPVE+ 
AANZVE+AASAVE+       AACOVE+AAJOVE+AASYVE+AAIDVE+AAMAVE+AAPAVE+AAPHVE+AATHVE+ 
AACHVE+AAARVE+AABRVE+AACEVE+AAMEVE+AAPEVE+AATUVE+AAPDVE+AARUVE+AAUEVE+AAEGVE+ 
AAISVE+AAKEVE+AABAVE+AAHKVE+AASIVE+AAVIVE+AANIVE+AAALVE+AAIAVE+AAINVE+AAIQVE+ 
AAKUVE+AALIVE+AAUAVE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMVE;                                                               

NAME          SUMVE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9958790    
  2013.2 0.9896110    
  2013.3 0.9873988    
  2013.4 0.9870844    
  2014.1 0.9841594    
  2014.2 0.9833910    
  2014.3 0.9836963    
  2014.4 0.9845662    
  2015.1 0.9825792    
  2015.2 0.9821488    
  2015.3 0.9825358    
  2015.4 0.9833469    
  2016.1 0.9823203    
  2016.2 0.9821585    
  2016.3 0.9824788    
  2016.4 0.9830529    
  2017.1 0.9824279    
  2017.2 0.9822428    
  2017.3 0.9823577    
  2017.4 0.9826551    
  2018.1 0.9821994    
  2018.2 0.9819399    
  2018.3 0.9818766    
  2018.4 0.9819522    
  2019.1 0.9814843    
  2019.2 0.9810994    
  2019.3 0.9808574    
  2019.4 0.9807347    
  2020.1 0.9801101    
  2020.2 0.9795835    
  2020.3 0.9792025    
  2020.4 0.9789448    
  2021.1 0.9781671    
  2021.2 0.9775414    
  2021.3 0.9770778    
  2021.4 0.9767451    
  2022.1 0.9758599    
  2022.2 0.9751802    
  2022.3 0.9746794    
  2022.4 0.9743160    
GENR SUMCO=                                                                   
AAUSCO+AACACO+AAJACO+AAAUCO+AAFRCO+AAGECO+AAITCO+AANECO+AASTCO+AAUKCO+AAFICO+ 
AAASCO+AASOCO+AAKOCO+AABECO+AADECO+AANOCO+AASWCO+AAGRCO+AAIRCO+AAPOCO+AASPCO+ 
AANZCO+AASACO+AAVECO+       AAJOCO+AASYCO+AAIDCO+AAMACO+AAPACO+AAPHCO+AATHCO+ 
AACHCO+AAARCO+AABRCO+AACECO+AAMECO+AAPECO+AATUCO+AAPDCO+AARUCO+AAUECO+AAEGCO+ 
AAISCO+AAKECO+AABACO+AAHKCO+AASICO+AAVICO+AANICO+AAALCO+AAIACO+AAINCO+AAIQCO+ 
AAKUCO+AALICO+AAUACO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMCO;                                                               

NAME          SUMCO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9891138    
  2013.2 0.9893014    
  2013.3 0.9891519    
  2013.4 0.9886703    
  2014.1 0.9883827    
  2014.2 0.9877130    
  2014.3 0.9870925    
  2014.4 0.9865452    
  2015.1 0.9863180    
  2015.2 0.9857914    
  2015.3 0.9853455    
  2015.4 0.9849704    
  2016.1 0.9848736    
  2016.2 0.9844768    
  2016.3 0.9841400    
  2016.4 0.9838520    
  2017.1 0.9837904    
  2017.2 0.9834496    
  2017.3 0.9831568    
  2017.4 0.9829026    
  2018.1 0.9828374    
  2018.2 0.9825240    
  2018.3 0.9822495    
  2018.4 0.9820033    
  2019.1 0.9819020    
  2019.2 0.9815889    
  2019.3 0.9813043    
  2019.4 0.9810409    
  2020.1 0.9808784    
  2020.2 0.9805602    
  2020.3 0.9802643    
  2020.4 0.9799858    
  2021.1 0.9797709    
  2021.2 0.9794527    
  2021.3 0.9791519    
  2021.4 0.9788653    
  2022.1 0.9786144    
  2022.2 0.9783015    
  2022.3 0.9780024    
  2022.4 0.9777154    
GENR SUMJO=                                                                   
AAUSJO+AACAJO+AAJAJO+AAAUJO+AAFRJO+AAGEJO+AAITJO+AANEJO+AASTJO+AAUKJO+AAFIJO+ 
AAASJO+AASOJO+AAKOJO+AABEJO+AADEJO+AANOJO+AASWJO+AAGRJO+AAIRJO+AAPOJO+AASPJO+ 
AANZJO+AASAJO+AAVEJO+AACOJO+       AASYJO+AAIDJO+AAMAJO+AAPAJO+AAPHJO+AATHJO+ 
AACHJO+AAARJO+AABRJO+AACEJO+AAMEJO+AAPEJO+AATUJO+AAPDJO+AARUJO+AAUEJO+AAEGJO+ 
AAISJO+AAKEJO+AABAJO+AAHKJO+AASIJO+AAVIJO+AANIJO+AAALJO+AAIAJO+AAINJO+AAIQJO+ 
AAKUJO+AALIJO+AAUAJO;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMJO;                                                               

NAME          SUMJO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.013060    
  2013.2  1.018809    
  2013.3  1.021665    
  2013.4  1.023164    
  2014.1  1.021581    
  2014.2  1.021087    
  2014.3  1.021079    
  2014.4  1.021311    
  2015.1  1.019211    
  2015.2  1.018514    
  2015.3  1.018435    
  2015.4  1.018652    
  2016.1  1.016808    
  2016.2  1.016233    
  2016.3  1.016221    
  2016.4  1.016481    
  2017.1  1.014848    
  2017.2  1.014372    
  2017.3  1.014413    
  2017.4  1.014706    
  2018.1  1.013222    
  2018.2  1.012818    
  2018.3  1.012895    
  2018.4  1.013209    
  2019.1  1.011811    
  2019.2  1.011454    
  2019.3  1.011560    
  2019.4  1.011893    
  2020.1  1.010530    
  2020.2  1.010206    
  2020.3  1.010340    
  2020.4  1.010694    
  2021.1  1.009356    
  2021.2  1.009061    
  2021.3  1.009221    
  2021.4  1.009596    
  2022.1  1.008286    
  2022.2  1.008020    
  2022.3  1.008203    
  2022.4  1.008597    
GENR SUMSY=                                                                   
AAUSSY+AACASY+AAJASY+AAAUSY+AAFRSY+AAGESY+AAITSY+AANESY+AASTSY+AAUKSY+AAFISY+ 
AAASSY+AASOSY+AAKOSY+AABESY+AADESY+AANOSY+AASWSY+AAGRSY+AAIRSY+AAPOSY+AASPSY+ 
AANZSY+AASASY+AAVESY+AACOSY+AAJOSY+       AAIDSY+AAMASY+AAPASY+AAPHSY+AATHSY+ 
AACHSY+AAARSY+AABRSY+AACESY+AAMESY+AAPESY+AATUSY+AAPDSY+AARUSY+AAUESY+AAEGSY+ 
AAISSY+AAKESY+AABASY+AAHKSY+AASISY+AAVISY+AANISY+AAALSY+AAIASY+AAINSY+AAIQSY+ 
AAKUSY+AALISY+AAUASY;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSY;                                                               

NAME          SUMSY   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9985658    
  2013.2 0.9993298    
  2013.3  1.000872    
  2013.4  1.002766    
  2014.1  1.005287    
  2014.2  1.007750    
  2014.3  1.010132    
  2014.4  1.012407    
  2015.1  1.014887    
  2015.2  1.017105    
  2015.3  1.019090    
  2015.4  1.020867    
  2016.1  1.022772    
  2016.2  1.024388    
  2016.3  1.025771    
  2016.4  1.026961    
  2017.1  1.028275    
  2017.2  1.029342    
  2017.3  1.030219    
  2017.4  1.030946    
  2018.1  1.031808    
  2018.2  1.032474    
  2018.3  1.032991    
  2018.4  1.033391    
  2019.1  1.033904    
  2019.2  1.034266    
  2019.3  1.034511    
  2019.4  1.034662    
  2020.1  1.034871    
  2020.2  1.034984    
  2020.3  1.035014    
  2020.4  1.034974    
  2021.1  1.034942    
  2021.2  1.034867    
  2021.3  1.034739    
  2021.4  1.034563    
  2022.1  1.034360    
  2022.2  1.034155    
  2022.3  1.033922    
  2022.4  1.033657    
GENR SUMID=                                                                   
AAUSID+AACAID+AAJAID+AAAUID+AAFRID+AAGEID+AAITID+AANEID+AASTID+AAUKID+AAFIID+ 
AAASID+AASOID+AAKOID+AABEID+AADEID+AANOID+AASWID+AAGRID+AAIRID+AAPOID+AASPID+ 
AANZID+AASAID+AAVEID+AACOID+AAJOID+AASYID+       AAMAID+AAPAID+AAPHID+AATHID+ 
AACHID+AAARID+AABRID+AACEID+AAMEID+AAPEID+AATUID+AAPDID+AARUID+AAUEID+AAEGID+ 
AAISID+AAKEID+AABAID+AAHKID+AASIID+AAVIID+AANIID+AAALID+AAIAID+AAINID+AAIQID+ 
AAKUID+AALIID+AAUAID;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMID;                                                               

NAME          SUMID   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9882573    
  2013.2 0.9905451    
  2013.3 0.9947545    
  2013.4 0.9984932    
  2014.1  1.002003    
  2014.2  1.004395    
  2014.3  1.006073    
  2014.4  1.007275    
  2015.1  1.008805    
  2015.2  1.009683    
  2015.3  1.010231    
  2015.4  1.010592    
  2016.1  1.011509    
  2016.2  1.011909    
  2016.3  1.012082    
  2016.4  1.012144    
  2017.1  1.012814    
  2017.2  1.013017    
  2017.3  1.013029    
  2017.4  1.012960    
  2018.1  1.013509    
  2018.2  1.013619    
  2018.3  1.013555    
  2018.4  1.013420    
  2019.1  1.013889    
  2019.2  1.013938    
  2019.3  1.013820    
  2019.4  1.013634    
  2020.1  1.014027    
  2020.2  1.014026    
  2020.3  1.013868    
  2020.4  1.013645    
  2021.1  1.013979    
  2021.2  1.013945    
  2021.3  1.013762    
  2021.4  1.013518    
  2022.1  1.013813    
  2022.2  1.013759    
  2022.3  1.013564    
  2022.4  1.013310    
GENR SUMMA=                                                                   
AAUSMA+AACAMA+AAJAMA+AAAUMA+AAFRMA+AAGEMA+AAITMA+AANEMA+AASTMA+AAUKMA+AAFIMA+ 
AAASMA+AASOMA+AAKOMA+AABEMA+AADEMA+AANOMA+AASWMA+AAGRMA+AAIRMA+AAPOMA+AASPMA+ 
AANZMA+AASAMA+AAVEMA+AACOMA+AAJOMA+AASYMA+AAIDMA+       AAPAMA+AAPHMA+AATHMA+ 
AACHMA+AAARMA+AABRMA+AACEMA+AAMEMA+AAPEMA+AATUMA+AAPDMA+AARUMA+AAUEMA+AAEGMA+ 
AAISMA+AAKEMA+AABAMA+AAHKMA+AASIMA+AAVIMA+AANIMA+AAALMA+AAIAMA+AAINMA+AAIQMA+ 
AAKUMA+AALIMA+AAUAMA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMMA;                                                               

NAME          SUMMA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  0.000000    
  1960.2  0.000000    
  1960.3  0.000000    
  1960.4  0.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  0.000000    
  1964.2  0.000000    
  1964.3  0.000000    
  1964.4  0.000000    
  1965.1  0.000000    
  1965.2  0.000000    
  1965.3  0.000000    
  1965.4  0.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.022426    
  2013.2  1.031957    
  2013.3  1.035906    
  2013.4  1.037744    
  2014.1  1.039311    
  2014.2  1.040119    
  2014.3  1.040604    
  2014.4  1.040924    
  2015.1  1.041982    
  2015.2  1.042385    
  2015.3  1.042543    
  2015.4  1.042590    
  2016.1  1.043482    
  2016.2  1.043699    
  2016.3  1.043679    
  2016.4  1.043565    
  2017.1  1.044372    
  2017.2  1.044479    
  2017.3  1.044354    
  2017.4  1.044149    
  2018.1  1.044919    
  2018.2  1.044972    
  2018.3  1.044796    
  2018.4  1.044545    
  2019.1  1.045306    
  2019.2  1.045331    
  2019.3  1.045125    
  2019.4  1.044847    
  2020.1  1.045618    
  2020.2  1.045631    
  2020.3  1.045409    
  2020.4  1.045117    
  2021.1  1.045901    
  2021.2  1.045910    
  2021.3  1.045680    
  2021.4  1.045381    
  2022.1  1.046175    
  2022.2  1.046183    
  2022.3  1.045951    
  2022.4  1.045649    
GENR SUMPA=                                                                   
AAUSPA+AACAPA+AAJAPA+AAAUPA+AAFRPA+AAGEPA+AAITPA+AANEPA+AASTPA+AAUKPA+AAFIPA+ 
AAASPA+AASOPA+AAKOPA+AABEPA+AADEPA+AANOPA+AASWPA+AAGRPA+AAIRPA+AAPOPA+AASPPA+ 
AANZPA+AASAPA+AAVEPA+AACOPA+AAJOPA+AASYPA+AAIDPA+AAMAPA+       AAPHPA+AATHPA+ 
AACHPA+AAARPA+AABRPA+AACEPA+AAMEPA+AAPEPA+AATUPA+AAPDPA+AARUPA+AAUEPA+AAEGPA+ 
AAISPA+AAKEPA+AABAPA+AAHKPA+AASIPA+AAVIPA+AANIPA+AAALPA+AAIAPA+AAINPA+AAIQPA+ 
AAKUPA+AALIPA+AAUAPA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMPA;                                                               

NAME          SUMPA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9795975    
  2013.2 0.9731229    
  2013.3 0.9716153    
  2013.4 0.9721768    
  2014.1 0.9734204    
  2014.2 0.9748328    
  2014.3 0.9762793    
  2014.4 0.9776706    
  2015.1 0.9789787    
  2015.2 0.9799599    
  2015.3 0.9808070    
  2015.4 0.9815753    
  2016.1 0.9823674    
  2016.2 0.9828547    
  2016.3 0.9832493    
  2016.4 0.9836118    
  2017.1 0.9840761    
  2017.2 0.9842809    
  2017.3 0.9844333    
  2017.4 0.9845900    
  2018.1 0.9848885    
  2018.2 0.9849630    
  2018.3 0.9850046    
  2018.4 0.9850620    
  2019.1 0.9852618    
  2019.2 0.9852579    
  2019.3 0.9852266    
  2019.4 0.9852137    
  2020.1 0.9853333    
  2020.2 0.9852763    
  2020.3 0.9851995    
  2020.4 0.9851443    
  2021.1 0.9852087    
  2021.2 0.9851217    
  2021.3 0.9850211    
  2021.4 0.9849437    
  2022.1 0.9849724    
  2022.2 0.9848703    
  2022.3 0.9847595    
  2022.4 0.9846724    
GENR SUMPH=                                                                   
AAUSPH+AACAPH+AAJAPH+AAAUPH+AAFRPH+AAGEPH+AAITPH+AANEPH+AASTPH+AAUKPH+AAFIPH+ 
AAASPH+AASOPH+AAKOPH+AABEPH+AADEPH+AANOPH+AASWPH+AAGRPH+AAIRPH+AAPOPH+AASPPH+ 
AANZPH+AASAPH+AAVEPH+AACOPH+AAJOPH+AASYPH+AAIDPH+AAMAPH+AAPAPH+       AATHPH+ 
AACHPH+AAARPH+AABRPH+AACEPH+AAMEPH+AAPEPH+AATUPH+AAPDPH+AARUPH+AAUEPH+AAEGPH+ 
AAISPH+AAKEPH+AABAPH+AAHKPH+AASIPH+AAVIPH+AANIPH+AAALPH+AAIAPH+AAINPH+AAIQPH+ 
AAKUPH+AALIPH+AAUAPH;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMPH;                                                               

NAME          SUMPH   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9739956    
  2013.2 0.9679706    
  2013.3 0.9678229    
  2013.4 0.9696624    
  2014.1 0.9719022    
  2014.2 0.9741727    
  2014.3 0.9762810    
  2014.4 0.9781835    
  2015.1 0.9795801    
  2015.2 0.9809749    
  2015.3 0.9822684    
  2015.4 0.9834363    
  2016.1 0.9840977    
  2016.2 0.9849159    
  2016.3 0.9857179    
  2016.4 0.9864518    
  2017.1 0.9866968    
  2017.2 0.9871714    
  2017.3 0.9876751    
  2017.4 0.9881452    
  2018.1 0.9881524    
  2018.2 0.9884207    
  2018.3 0.9887414    
  2018.4 0.9890477    
  2019.1 0.9889115    
  2019.2 0.9890484    
  2019.3 0.9892504    
  2019.4 0.9894508    
  2020.1 0.9892246    
  2020.2 0.9892802    
  2020.3 0.9894105    
  2020.4 0.9895482    
  2021.1 0.9892730    
  2021.2 0.9892834    
  2021.3 0.9893740    
  2021.4 0.9894776    
  2022.1 0.9891809    
  2022.2 0.9891694    
  2022.3 0.9892405    
  2022.4 0.9893277    
GENR SUMTH=                                                                   
AAUSTH+AACATH+AAJATH+AAAUTH+AAFRTH+AAGETH+AAITTH+AANETH+AASTTH+AAUKTH+AAFITH+ 
AAASTH+AASOTH+AAKOTH+AABETH+AADETH+AANOTH+AASWTH+AAGRTH+AAIRTH+AAPOTH+AASPTH+ 
AANZTH+AASATH+AAVETH+AACOTH+AAJOTH+AASYTH+AAIDTH+AAMATH+AAPATH+AAPHTH+        
AACHTH+AAARTH+AABRTH+AACETH+AAMETH+AAPETH+AATUTH+AAPDTH+AARUTH+AAUETH+AAEGTH+ 
AAISTH+AAKETH+AABATH+AAHKTH+AASITH+AAVITH+AANITH+AAALTH+AAIATH+AAINTH+AAIQTH+ 
AAKUTH+AALITH+AAUATH;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMTH;                                                               

NAME          SUMTH   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.009054    
  2013.2  1.014488    
  2013.3  1.017684    
  2013.4  1.019550    
  2014.1  1.021541    
  2014.2  1.022393    
  2014.3  1.022685    
  2014.4  1.022700    
  2015.1  1.023674    
  2015.2  1.023845    
  2015.3  1.023693    
  2015.4  1.023419    
  2016.1  1.024235    
  2016.2  1.024277    
  2016.3  1.024016    
  2016.4  1.023642    
  2017.1  1.024377    
  2017.2  1.024340    
  2017.3  1.024009    
  2017.4  1.023577    
  2018.1  1.024264    
  2018.2  1.024191    
  2018.3  1.023828    
  2018.4  1.023366    
  2019.1  1.024012    
  2019.2  1.023897    
  2019.3  1.023494    
  2019.4  1.022991    
  2020.1  1.023580    
  2020.2  1.023423    
  2020.3  1.022986    
  2020.4  1.022455    
  2021.1  1.023000    
  2021.2  1.022817    
  2021.3  1.022363    
  2021.4  1.021821    
  2022.1  1.022339    
  2022.2  1.022145    
  2022.3  1.021689    
  2022.4  1.021148    
GENR SUMCH=                                                                   
AAUSCH+AACACH+AAJACH+AAAUCH+AAFRCH+AAGECH+AAITCH+AANECH+AASTCH+AAUKCH+AAFICH+ 
AAASCH+AASOCH+AAKOCH+AABECH+AADECH+AANOCH+AASWCH+AAGRCH+AAIRCH+AAPOCH+AASPCH+ 
AANZCH+AASACH+AAVECH+AACOCH+AAJOCH+AASYCH+AAIDCH+AAMACH+AAPACH+AAPHCH+AATHCH+ 
       AAARCH+AABRCH+AACECH+AAMECH+AAPECH+AATUCH+AAPDCH+AARUCH+AAUECH+AAEGCH+ 
AAISCH+AAKECH+AABACH+AAHKCH+AASICH+AAVICH+AANICH+AAALCH+AAIACH+AAINCH+AAIQCH+ 
AAKUCH+AALICH+AAUACH;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMCH;                                                               

NAME          SUMCH   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9958420    
  2013.2 0.9938039    
  2013.3 0.9934809    
  2013.4 0.9940744    
  2014.1 0.9946383    
  2014.2 0.9955805    
  2014.3 0.9966212    
  2014.4 0.9976278    
  2015.1 0.9981854    
  2015.2 0.9988578    
  2015.3 0.9995313    
  2015.4  1.000161    
  2016.1  1.000432    
  2016.2  1.000822    
  2016.3  1.001241    
  2016.4  1.001651    
  2017.1  1.001779    
  2017.2  1.002036    
  2017.3  1.002340    
  2017.4  1.002654    
  2018.1  1.002729    
  2018.2  1.002935    
  2018.3  1.003193    
  2018.4  1.003468    
  2019.1  1.003518    
  2019.2  1.003701    
  2019.3  1.003937    
  2019.4  1.004192    
  2020.1  1.004222    
  2020.2  1.004394    
  2020.3  1.004626    
  2020.4  1.004881    
  2021.1  1.004905    
  2021.2  1.005083    
  2021.3  1.005328    
  2021.4  1.005598    
  2022.1  1.005631    
  2022.2  1.005828    
  2022.3  1.006095    
  2022.4  1.006389    
GENR SUMAR=                                                                   
AAUSAR+AACAAR+AAJAAR+AAAUAR+AAFRAR+AAGEAR+AAITAR+AANEAR+AASTAR+AAUKAR+AAFIAR+ 
AAASAR+AASOAR+AAKOAR+AABEAR+AADEAR+AANOAR+AASWAR+AAGRAR+AAIRAR+AAPOAR+AASPAR+ 
AANZAR+AASAAR+AAVEAR+AACOAR+AAJOAR+AASYAR+AAIDAR+AAMAAR+AAPAAR+AAPHAR+AATHAR+ 
AACHAR+       AABRAR+AACEAR+AAMEAR+AAPEAR+AATUAR+AAPDAR+AARUAR+AAUEAR+AAEGAR+ 
AAISAR+AAKEAR+AABAAR+AAHKAR+AASIAR+AAVIAR+AANIAR+AAALAR+AAIAAR+AAINAR+AAIQAR+ 
AAKUAR+AALIAR+AAUAAR;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMAR;                                                               

NAME          SUMAR   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.002471    
  2013.2 0.9977130    
  2013.3 0.9972033    
  2013.4 0.9971907    
  2014.1 0.9943392    
  2014.2 0.9944063    
  2014.3 0.9948752    
  2014.4 0.9954833    
  2015.1 0.9931611    
  2015.2 0.9934842    
  2015.3 0.9941127    
  2015.4 0.9948066    
  2016.1 0.9933043    
  2016.2 0.9936661    
  2016.3 0.9942334    
  2016.4 0.9948301    
  2017.1 0.9938140    
  2017.2 0.9940981    
  2017.3 0.9945229    
  2017.4 0.9949636    
  2018.1 0.9942504    
  2018.2 0.9944254    
  2018.3 0.9946990    
  2018.4 0.9949810    
  2019.1 0.9944119    
  2019.2 0.9944669    
  2019.3 0.9945876    
  2019.4 0.9947102    
  2020.1 0.9941544    
  2020.2 0.9940970    
  2020.3 0.9940867    
  2020.4 0.9940763    
  2021.1 0.9934958    
  2021.2 0.9933502    
  2021.3 0.9932407    
  2021.4 0.9931306    
  2022.1 0.9925262    
  2022.2 0.9923188    
  2022.3 0.9921407    
  2022.4 0.9919624    
GENR SUMBR=                                                                   
AAUSBR+AACABR+AAJABR+AAAUBR+AAFRBR+AAGEBR+AAITBR+AANEBR+AASTBR+AAUKBR+AAFIBR+ 
AAASBR+AASOBR+AAKOBR+AABEBR+AADEBR+AANOBR+AASWBR+AAGRBR+AAIRBR+AAPOBR+AASPBR+ 
AANZBR+AASABR+AAVEBR+AACOBR+AAJOBR+AASYBR+AAIDBR+AAMABR+AAPABR+AAPHBR+AATHBR+ 
AACHBR+AAARBR+       AACEBR+AAMEBR+AAPEBR+AATUBR+AAPDBR+AARUBR+AAUEBR+AAEGBR+ 
AAISBR+AAKEBR+AABABR+AAHKBR+AASIBR+AAVIBR+AANIBR+AAALBR+AAIABR+AAINBR+AAIQBR+ 
AAKUBR+AALIBR+AAUABR;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMBR;                                                               

NAME          SUMBR   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9759199    
  2013.2 0.9726459    
  2013.3 0.9719852    
  2013.4 0.9716984    
  2014.1 0.9717982    
  2014.2 0.9717643    
  2014.3 0.9716997    
  2014.4 0.9716276    
  2015.1 0.9715786    
  2015.2 0.9715139    
  2015.3 0.9714197    
  2015.4 0.9713091    
  2016.1 0.9711682    
  2016.2 0.9710540    
  2016.3 0.9709283    
  2016.4 0.9707993    
  2017.1 0.9706035    
  2017.2 0.9704810    
  2017.3 0.9703567    
  2017.4 0.9702329    
  2018.1 0.9700102    
  2018.2 0.9698952    
  2018.3 0.9697840    
  2018.4 0.9696774    
  2019.1 0.9694389    
  2019.2 0.9693526    
  2019.3 0.9692775    
  2019.4 0.9692096    
  2020.1 0.9689614    
  2020.2 0.9689152    
  2020.3 0.9688847    
  2020.4 0.9688601    
  2021.1 0.9686094    
  2021.2 0.9686025    
  2021.3 0.9686134    
  2021.4 0.9686272    
  2022.1 0.9683798    
  2022.2 0.9684061    
  2022.3 0.9684504    
  2022.4 0.9684947    
GENR SUMCE=                                                                   
AAUSCE+AACACE+AAJACE+AAAUCE+AAFRCE+AAGECE+AAITCE+AANECE+AASTCE+AAUKCE+AAFICE+ 
AAASCE+AASOCE+AAKOCE+AABECE+AADECE+AANOCE+AASWCE+AAGRCE+AAIRCE+AAPOCE+AASPCE+ 
AANZCE+AASACE+AAVECE+AACOCE+AAJOCE+AASYCE+AAIDCE+AAMACE+AAPACE+AAPHCE+AATHCE+ 
AACHCE+AAARCE+AABRCE+       AAMECE+AAPECE+AATUCE+AAPDCE+AARUCE+AAUECE+AAEGCE+ 
AAISCE+AAKECE+AABACE+AAHKCE+AASICE+AAVICE+AANICE+AAALCE+AAIACE+AAINCE+AAIQCE+ 
AAKUCE+AALICE+AAUACE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMCE;                                                               

NAME          SUMCE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.022485    
  2013.2  1.023711    
  2013.3  1.021769    
  2013.4  1.019879    
  2014.1  1.017578    
  2014.2  1.015918    
  2014.3  1.014813    
  2014.4  1.014094    
  2015.1  1.012609    
  2015.2  1.011499    
  2015.3  1.010815    
  2015.4  1.010425    
  2016.1  1.009535    
  2016.2  1.008687    
  2016.3  1.008160    
  2016.4  1.007874    
  2017.1  1.007222    
  2017.2  1.006495    
  2017.3  1.006027    
  2017.4  1.005765    
  2018.1  1.005235    
  2018.2  1.004577    
  2018.3  1.004137    
  2018.4  1.003880    
  2019.1  1.003384    
  2019.2  1.002785    
  2019.3  1.002377    
  2019.4  1.002127    
  2020.1  1.001593    
  2020.2  1.001055    
  2020.3  1.000685    
  2020.4  1.000450    
  2021.1 0.9998758    
  2021.2 0.9993941    
  2021.3 0.9990625    
  2021.4 0.9988426    
  2022.1 0.9982456    
  2022.2 0.9978142    
  2022.3 0.9975164    
  2022.4 0.9973109    
GENR SUMME=                                                                   
AAUSME+AACAME+AAJAME+AAAUME+AAFRME+AAGEME+AAITME+AANEME+AASTME+AAUKME+AAFIME+ 
AAASME+AASOME+AAKOME+AABEME+AADEME+AANOME+AASWME+AAGRME+AAIRME+AAPOME+AASPME+ 
AANZME+AASAME+AAVEME+AACOME+AAJOME+AASYME+AAIDME+AAMAME+AAPAME+AAPHME+AATHME+ 
AACHME+AAARME+AABRME+AACEME+       AAPEME+AATUME+AAPDME+AARUME+AAUEME+AAEGME+ 
AAISME+AAKEME+AABAME+AAHKME+AASIME+AAVIME+AANIME+AAALME+AAIAME+AAINME+AAIQME+ 
AAKUME+AALIME+AAUAME;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMME;                                                               

NAME          SUMME   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9963612    
  2013.2 0.9951929    
  2013.3 0.9958806    
  2013.4 0.9965990    
  2014.1 0.9951003    
  2014.2 0.9958758    
  2014.3 0.9965913    
  2014.4 0.9971812    
  2015.1 0.9960578    
  2015.2 0.9966489    
  2015.3 0.9971943    
  2015.4 0.9976319    
  2016.1 0.9970515    
  2016.2 0.9974499    
  2016.3 0.9977975    
  2016.4 0.9980651    
  2017.1 0.9977467    
  2017.2 0.9979699    
  2017.3 0.9981554    
  2017.4 0.9982912    
  2018.1 0.9980994    
  2018.2 0.9982050    
  2018.3 0.9982868    
  2018.4 0.9983394    
  2019.1 0.9981957    
  2019.2 0.9982288    
  2019.3 0.9982469    
  2019.4 0.9982482    
  2020.1 0.9981055    
  2020.2 0.9980996    
  2020.3 0.9980852    
  2020.4 0.9980611    
  2021.1 0.9979114    
  2021.2 0.9978894    
  2021.3 0.9978624    
  2021.4 0.9978290    
  2022.1 0.9976783    
  2022.2 0.9976533    
  2022.3 0.9976247    
  2022.4 0.9975912    
GENR SUMPE=                                                                   
AAUSPE+AACAPE+AAJAPE+AAAUPE+AAFRPE+AAGEPE+AAITPE+AANEPE+AASTPE+AAUKPE+AAFIPE+ 
AAASPE+AASOPE+AAKOPE+AABEPE+AADEPE+AANOPE+AASWPE+AAGRPE+AAIRPE+AAPOPE+AASPPE+ 
AANZPE+AASAPE+AAVEPE+AACOPE+AAJOPE+AASYPE+AAIDPE+AAMAPE+AAPAPE+AAPHPE+AATHPE+ 
AACHPE+AAARPE+AABRPE+AACEPE+AAMEPE+       AATUPE+AAPDPE+AARUPE+AAUEPE+AAEGPE+ 
AAISPE+AAKEPE+AABAPE+AAHKPE+AASIPE+AAVIPE+AANIPE+AAALPE+AAIAPE+AAINPE+AAIQPE+ 
AAKUPE+AALIPE+AAUAPE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMPE;                                                               

NAME          SUMPE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9919265    
  2013.2 0.9868766    
  2013.3 0.9858322    
  2013.4 0.9858053    
  2014.1 0.9830336    
  2014.2 0.9830269    
  2014.3 0.9835075    
  2014.4 0.9841163    
  2015.1 0.9817638    
  2015.2 0.9818685    
  2015.3 0.9823939    
  2015.4 0.9830191    
  2016.1 0.9810127    
  2016.2 0.9811360    
  2016.3 0.9815958    
  2016.4 0.9821305    
  2017.1 0.9802771    
  2017.2 0.9803670    
  2017.3 0.9807485    
  2017.4 0.9811969    
  2018.1 0.9794438    
  2018.2 0.9795080    
  2018.3 0.9798228    
  2018.4 0.9801893    
  2019.1 0.9784768    
  2019.2 0.9784921    
  2019.3 0.9787260    
  2019.4 0.9790032    
  2020.1 0.9772872    
  2020.2 0.9772568    
  2020.3 0.9774271    
  2020.4 0.9776367    
  2021.1 0.9759208    
  2021.2 0.9758609    
  2021.3 0.9759884    
  2021.4 0.9761523    
  2022.1 0.9744506    
  2022.2 0.9743769    
  2022.3 0.9744798    
  2022.4 0.9746168    
GENR SUMTU=                                                                   
AAUSTU+AACATU+AAJATU+AAAUTU+AAFRTU+AAGETU+AAITTU+AANETU+AASTTU+AAUKTU+AAFITU+ 
AAASTU+AASOTU+AAKOTU+AABETU+AADETU+AANOTU+AASWTU+AAGRTU+AAIRTU+AAPOTU+AASPTU+ 
AANZTU+AASATU+AAVETU+AACOTU+AAJOTU+AASYTU+AAIDTU+AAMATU+AAPATU+AAPHTU+AATHTU+ 
AACHTU+AAARTU+AABRTU+AACETU+AAMETU+AAPETU+       AAPDTU+AARUTU+AAUETU+AAEGTU+ 
AAISTU+AAKETU+AABATU+AAHKTU+AASITU+AAVITU+AANITU+AAALTU+AAIATU+AAINTU+AAIQTU+ 
AAKUTU+AALITU+AAUATU;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMTU;                                                               

NAME          SUMTU   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9928437    
  2013.2 0.9920314    
  2013.3 0.9932474    
  2013.4 0.9945417    
  2014.1 0.9945583    
  2014.2 0.9949830    
  2014.3 0.9956541    
  2014.4 0.9963781    
  2015.1 0.9961311    
  2015.2 0.9962912    
  2015.3 0.9967647    
  2015.4 0.9973386    
  2016.1 0.9971898    
  2016.2 0.9972737    
  2016.3 0.9976317    
  2016.4 0.9980805    
  2017.1 0.9979179    
  2017.2 0.9979043    
  2017.3 0.9981520    
  2017.4 0.9984942    
  2018.1 0.9983085    
  2018.2 0.9982193    
  2018.3 0.9983827    
  2018.4 0.9986434    
  2019.1 0.9984196    
  2019.2 0.9982729    
  2019.3 0.9983765    
  2019.4 0.9985817    
  2020.1 0.9983094    
  2020.2 0.9981233    
  2020.3 0.9981893    
  2020.4 0.9983607    
  2021.1 0.9980519    
  2021.2 0.9978412    
  2021.3 0.9978852    
  2021.4 0.9980372    
  2022.1 0.9977088    
  2022.2 0.9974840    
  2022.3 0.9975158    
  2022.4 0.9976577    
GENR SUMPD=                                                                   
AAUSPD+AACAPD+AAJAPD+AAAUPD+AAFRPD+AAGEPD+AAITPD+AANEPD+AASTPD+AAUKPD+AAFIPD+ 
AAASPD+AASOPD+AAKOPD+AABEPD+AADEPD+AANOPD+AASWPD+AAGRPD+AAIRPD+AAPOPD+AASPPD+ 
AANZPD+AASAPD+AAVEPD+AACOPD+AAJOPD+AASYPD+AAIDPD+AAMAPD+AAPAPD+AAPHPD+AATHPD+ 
AACHPD+AAARPD+AABRPD+AACEPD+AAMEPD+AAPEPD+AATUPD+       AARUPD+AAUEPD+AAEGPD+ 
AAISPD+AAKEPD+AABAPD+AAHKPD+AASIPD+AAVIPD+AANIPD+AAALPD+AAIAPD+AAINPD+AAIQPD+ 
AAKUPD+AALIPD+AAUAPD;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMPD;                                                               

NAME          SUMPD   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9865741    
  2013.2 0.9837821    
  2013.3 0.9848808    
  2013.4 0.9871857    
  2014.1 0.9899621    
  2014.2 0.9923386    
  2014.3 0.9943479    
  2014.4 0.9960553    
  2015.1 0.9978811    
  2015.2 0.9992932    
  2015.3  1.000455    
  2015.4  1.001452    
  2016.1  1.002709    
  2016.2  1.003643    
  2016.3  1.004393    
  2016.4  1.005026    
  2017.1  1.005910    
  2017.2  1.006539    
  2017.3  1.007021    
  2017.4  1.007412    
  2018.1  1.008024    
  2018.2  1.008440    
  2018.3  1.008735    
  2018.4  1.008950    
  2019.1  1.009333    
  2019.2  1.009574    
  2019.3  1.009710    
  2019.4  1.009769    
  2020.1  1.009928    
  2020.2  1.010010    
  2020.3  1.010007    
  2020.4  1.009933    
  2021.1  1.009906    
  2021.2  1.009856    
  2021.3  1.009738    
  2021.4  1.009556    
  2022.1  1.009388    
  2022.2  1.009235    
  2022.3  1.009026    
  2022.4  1.008760    
GENR SUMRU=                                                                   
AAUSRU+AACARU+AAJARU+AAAURU+AAFRRU+AAGERU+AAITRU+AANERU+AASTRU+AAUKRU+AAFIRU+ 
AAASRU+AASORU+AAKORU+AABERU+AADERU+AANORU+AASWRU+AAGRRU+AAIRRU+AAPORU+AASPRU+ 
AANZRU+AASARU+AAVERU+AACORU+AAJORU+AASYRU+AAIDRU+AAMARU+AAPARU+AAPHRU+AATHRU+ 
AACHRU+AAARRU+AABRRU+AACERU+AAMERU+AAPERU+AATURU+AAPDRU+       AAUERU+AAEGRU+ 
AAISRU+AAKERU+AABARU+AAHKRU+AASIRU+AAVIRU+AANIRU+AAALRU+AAIARU+AAINRU+AAIQRU+ 
AAKURU+AALIRU+AAUARU;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMRU;                                                               

NAME          SUMRU   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  0.000000    
  1960.2  0.000000    
  1960.3  0.000000    
  1960.4  0.000000    
  1961.1  0.000000    
  1961.2  0.000000    
  1961.3  0.000000    
  1961.4  0.000000    
  1962.1  0.000000    
  1962.2  0.000000    
  1962.3  0.000000    
  1962.4  0.000000    
  1963.1  0.000000    
  1963.2  0.000000    
  1963.3  0.000000    
  1963.4  0.000000    
  1964.1  0.000000    
  1964.2  0.000000    
  1964.3  0.000000    
  1964.4  0.000000    
  1965.1  0.000000    
  1965.2  0.000000    
  1965.3  0.000000    
  1965.4  0.000000    
  1966.1  0.000000    
  1966.2  0.000000    
  1966.3  0.000000    
  1966.4  0.000000    
  1967.1  0.000000    
  1967.2  0.000000    
  1967.3  0.000000    
  1967.4  0.000000    
  1968.1  0.000000    
  1968.2  0.000000    
  1968.3  0.000000    
  1968.4  0.000000    
  1969.1  0.000000    
  1969.2  0.000000    
  1969.3  0.000000    
  1969.4  0.000000    
  1970.1  0.000000    
  1970.2  0.000000    
  1970.3  0.000000    
  1970.4  0.000000    
  1971.1  0.000000    
  1971.2  0.000000    
  1971.3  0.000000    
  1971.4  0.000000    
  1972.1  0.000000    
  1972.2  0.000000    
  1972.3  0.000000    
  1972.4  0.000000    
  1973.1  0.000000    
  1973.2  0.000000    
  1973.3  0.000000    
  1973.4  0.000000    
  1974.1  0.000000    
  1974.2  0.000000    
  1974.3  0.000000    
  1974.4  0.000000    
  1975.1  0.000000    
  1975.2  0.000000    
  1975.3  0.000000    
  1975.4  0.000000    
  1976.1  0.000000    
  1976.2  0.000000    
  1976.3  0.000000    
  1976.4  0.000000    
  1977.1  0.000000    
  1977.2  0.000000    
  1977.3  0.000000    
  1977.4  0.000000    
  1978.1  0.000000    
  1978.2  0.000000    
  1978.3  0.000000    
  1978.4  0.000000    
  1979.1  0.000000    
  1979.2  0.000000    
  1979.3  0.000000    
  1979.4  0.000000    
  1980.1  0.000000    
  1980.2  0.000000    
  1980.3  0.000000    
  1980.4  0.000000    
  1981.1  0.000000    
  1981.2  0.000000    
  1981.3  0.000000    
  1981.4  0.000000    
  1982.1  0.000000    
  1982.2  0.000000    
  1982.3  0.000000    
  1982.4  0.000000    
  1983.1  0.000000    
  1983.2  0.000000    
  1983.3  0.000000    
  1983.4  0.000000    
  1984.1  0.000000    
  1984.2  0.000000    
  1984.3  0.000000    
  1984.4  0.000000    
  1985.1  0.000000    
  1985.2  0.000000    
  1985.3  0.000000    
  1985.4  0.000000    
  1986.1  0.000000    
  1986.2  0.000000    
  1986.3  0.000000    
  1986.4  0.000000    
  1987.1  0.000000    
  1987.2  0.000000    
  1987.3  0.000000    
  1987.4  0.000000    
  1988.1  0.000000    
  1988.2  0.000000    
  1988.3  0.000000    
  1988.4  0.000000    
  1989.1  0.000000    
  1989.2  0.000000    
  1989.3  0.000000    
  1989.4  0.000000    
  1990.1  0.000000    
  1990.2  0.000000    
  1990.3  0.000000    
  1990.4  0.000000    
  1991.1  0.000000    
  1991.2  0.000000    
  1991.3  0.000000    
  1991.4  0.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000000    
  2013.2  1.000000    
  2013.3  1.000000    
  2013.4  1.000000    
  2014.1  1.000000    
  2014.2  1.000000    
  2014.3  1.000000    
  2014.4  1.000000    
  2015.1  1.000000    
  2015.2  1.000000    
  2015.3  1.000000    
  2015.4  1.000000    
  2016.1  1.000000    
  2016.2  1.000000    
  2016.3  1.000000    
  2016.4  1.000000    
  2017.1  1.000000    
  2017.2  1.000000    
  2017.3  1.000000    
  2017.4  1.000000    
  2018.1  1.000000    
  2018.2  1.000000    
  2018.3  1.000000    
  2018.4  1.000000    
  2019.1  1.000000    
  2019.2  1.000000    
  2019.3  1.000000    
  2019.4  1.000000    
  2020.1  1.000000    
  2020.2  1.000000    
  2020.3  1.000000    
  2020.4  1.000000    
  2021.1  1.000000    
  2021.2  1.000000    
  2021.3  1.000000    
  2021.4  1.000000    
  2022.1  1.000000    
  2022.2  1.000000    
  2022.3  1.000000    
  2022.4  1.000000    
GENR SUMUE=                                                                   
AAUSUE+AACAUE+AAJAUE+AAAUUE+AAFRUE+AAGEUE+AAITUE+AANEUE+AASTUE+AAUKUE+AAFIUE+ 
AAASUE+AASOUE+AAKOUE+AABEUE+AADEUE+AANOUE+AASWUE+AAGRUE+AAIRUE+AAPOUE+AASPUE+ 
AANZUE+AASAUE+AAVEUE+AACOUE+AAJOUE+AASYUE+AAIDUE+AAMAUE+AAPAUE+AAPHUE+AATHUE+ 
AACHUE+AAARUE+AABRUE+AACEUE+AAMEUE+AAPEUE+AATUUE+AAPDUE+AARUUE+       AAEGUE+ 
AAISUE+AAKEUE+AABAUE+AAHKUE+AASIUE+AAVIUE+AANIUE+AAALUE+AAIAUE+AAINUE+AAIQUE+ 
AAKUUE+AALIUE+AAUAUE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMUE;                                                               

NAME          SUMUE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  0.000000    
  1960.2  0.000000    
  1960.3  0.000000    
  1960.4  0.000000    
  1961.1  0.000000    
  1961.2  0.000000    
  1961.3  0.000000    
  1961.4  0.000000    
  1962.1  0.000000    
  1962.2  0.000000    
  1962.3  0.000000    
  1962.4  0.000000    
  1963.1  0.000000    
  1963.2  0.000000    
  1963.3  0.000000    
  1963.4  0.000000    
  1964.1  0.000000    
  1964.2  0.000000    
  1964.3  0.000000    
  1964.4  0.000000    
  1965.1  0.000000    
  1965.2  0.000000    
  1965.3  0.000000    
  1965.4  0.000000    
  1966.1  0.000000    
  1966.2  0.000000    
  1966.3  0.000000    
  1966.4  0.000000    
  1967.1  0.000000    
  1967.2  0.000000    
  1967.3  0.000000    
  1967.4  0.000000    
  1968.1  0.000000    
  1968.2  0.000000    
  1968.3  0.000000    
  1968.4  0.000000    
  1969.1  0.000000    
  1969.2  0.000000    
  1969.3  0.000000    
  1969.4  0.000000    
  1970.1  0.000000    
  1970.2  0.000000    
  1970.3  0.000000    
  1970.4  0.000000    
  1971.1  0.000000    
  1971.2  0.000000    
  1971.3  0.000000    
  1971.4  0.000000    
  1972.1  0.000000    
  1972.2  0.000000    
  1972.3  0.000000    
  1972.4  0.000000    
  1973.1  0.000000    
  1973.2  0.000000    
  1973.3  0.000000    
  1973.4  0.000000    
  1974.1  0.000000    
  1974.2  0.000000    
  1974.3  0.000000    
  1974.4  0.000000    
  1975.1  0.000000    
  1975.2  0.000000    
  1975.3  0.000000    
  1975.4  0.000000    
  1976.1  0.000000    
  1976.2  0.000000    
  1976.3  0.000000    
  1976.4  0.000000    
  1977.1  0.000000    
  1977.2  0.000000    
  1977.3  0.000000    
  1977.4  0.000000    
  1978.1  0.000000    
  1978.2  0.000000    
  1978.3  0.000000    
  1978.4  0.000000    
  1979.1  0.000000    
  1979.2  0.000000    
  1979.3  0.000000    
  1979.4  0.000000    
  1980.1  0.000000    
  1980.2  0.000000    
  1980.3  0.000000    
  1980.4  0.000000    
  1981.1  0.000000    
  1981.2  0.000000    
  1981.3  0.000000    
  1981.4  0.000000    
  1982.1  0.000000    
  1982.2  0.000000    
  1982.3  0.000000    
  1982.4  0.000000    
  1983.1  0.000000    
  1983.2  0.000000    
  1983.3  0.000000    
  1983.4  0.000000    
  1984.1  0.000000    
  1984.2  0.000000    
  1984.3  0.000000    
  1984.4  0.000000    
  1985.1  0.000000    
  1985.2  0.000000    
  1985.3  0.000000    
  1985.4  0.000000    
  1986.1  0.000000    
  1986.2  0.000000    
  1986.3  0.000000    
  1986.4  0.000000    
  1987.1  0.000000    
  1987.2  0.000000    
  1987.3  0.000000    
  1987.4  0.000000    
  1988.1  0.000000    
  1988.2  0.000000    
  1988.3  0.000000    
  1988.4  0.000000    
  1989.1  0.000000    
  1989.2  0.000000    
  1989.3  0.000000    
  1989.4  0.000000    
  1990.1  0.000000    
  1990.2  0.000000    
  1990.3  0.000000    
  1990.4  0.000000    
  1991.1  0.000000    
  1991.2  0.000000    
  1991.3  0.000000    
  1991.4  0.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000000    
  2013.2  1.000000    
  2013.3  1.000000    
  2013.4  1.000000    
  2014.1  1.000000    
  2014.2  1.000000    
  2014.3  1.000000    
  2014.4  1.000000    
  2015.1  1.000000    
  2015.2  1.000000    
  2015.3  1.000000    
  2015.4  1.000000    
  2016.1  1.000000    
  2016.2  1.000000    
  2016.3  1.000000    
  2016.4  1.000000    
  2017.1  1.000000    
  2017.2  1.000000    
  2017.3  1.000000    
  2017.4  1.000000    
  2018.1  1.000000    
  2018.2  1.000000    
  2018.3  1.000000    
  2018.4  1.000000    
  2019.1  1.000000    
  2019.2  1.000000    
  2019.3  1.000000    
  2019.4  1.000000    
  2020.1  1.000000    
  2020.2  1.000000    
  2020.3  1.000000    
  2020.4  1.000000    
  2021.1  1.000000    
  2021.2  1.000000    
  2021.3  1.000000    
  2021.4  1.000000    
  2022.1  1.000000    
  2022.2  1.000000    
  2022.3  1.000000    
  2022.4  1.000000    
GENR SUMEG=                                                                   
AAUSEG+AACAEG+AAJAEG+AAAUEG+AAFREG+AAGEEG+AAITEG+AANEEG+AASTEG+AAUKEG+AAFIEG+ 
AAASEG+AASOEG+AAKOEG+AABEEG+AADEEG+AANOEG+AASWEG+AAGREG+AAIREG+AAPOEG+AASPEG+ 
AANZEG+AASAEG+AAVEEG+AACOEG+AAJOEG+AASYEG+AAIDEG+AAMAEG+AAPAEG+AAPHEG+AATHEG+ 
AACHEG+AAAREG+AABREG+AACEEG+AAMEEG+AAPEEG+AATUEG+AAPDEG+AARUEG+AAUEEG+        
AAISEG+AAKEEG+AABAEG+AAHKEG+AASIEG+AAVIEG+AANIEG+AAALEG+AAIAEG+AAINEG+AAIQEG+ 
AAKUEG+AALIEG+AAUAEG;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMEG;                                                               

NAME          SUMEG   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.007043    
  2013.2  1.010101    
  2013.3  1.013161    
  2013.4  1.015280    
  2014.1  1.012603    
  2014.2  1.012213    
  2014.3  1.012494    
  2014.4  1.013015    
  2015.1  1.010241    
  2015.2  1.009680    
  2015.3  1.009869    
  2015.4  1.010350    
  2016.1  1.008163    
  2016.2  1.007761    
  2016.3  1.007961    
  2016.4  1.008395    
  2017.1  1.006579    
  2017.2  1.006241    
  2017.3  1.006409    
  2017.4  1.006783    
  2018.1  1.005218    
  2018.2  1.004919    
  2018.3  1.005061    
  2018.4  1.005386    
  2019.1  1.004002    
  2019.2  1.003726    
  2019.3  1.003843    
  2019.4  1.004130    
  2020.1  1.002889    
  2020.2  1.002636    
  2020.3  1.002743    
  2020.4  1.003013    
  2021.1  1.001890    
  2021.2  1.001665    
  2021.3  1.001774    
  2021.4  1.002038    
  2022.1  1.001014    
  2022.2  1.000818    
  2022.3  1.000937    
  2022.4  1.001204    
GENR SUMIS=                                                                   
AAUSIS+AACAIS+AAJAIS+AAAUIS+AAFRIS+AAGEIS+AAITIS+AANEIS+AASTIS+AAUKIS+AAFIIS+ 
AAASIS+AASOIS+AAKOIS+AABEIS+AADEIS+AANOIS+AASWIS+AAGRIS+AAIRIS+AAPOIS+AASPIS+ 
AANZIS+AASAIS+AAVEIS+AACOIS+AAJOIS+AASYIS+AAIDIS+AAMAIS+AAPAIS+AAPHIS+AATHIS+ 
AACHIS+AAARIS+AABRIS+AACEIS+AAMEIS+AAPEIS+AATUIS+AAPDIS+AARUIS+AAUEIS+AAEGIS+ 
       AAKEIS+AABAIS+AAHKIS+AASIIS+AAVIIS+AANIIS+AAALIS+AAIAIS+AAINIS+AAIQIS+ 
AAKUIS+AALIIS+AAUAIS;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIS;                                                               

NAME          SUMIS   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.001550    
  2013.2  1.007795    
  2013.3  1.012416    
  2013.4  1.015119    
  2014.1  1.016890    
  2014.2  1.017817    
  2014.3  1.018248    
  2014.4  1.018423    
  2015.1  1.019009    
  2015.2  1.019367    
  2015.3  1.019616    
  2015.4  1.019812    
  2016.1  1.020593    
  2016.2  1.021084    
  2016.3  1.021418    
  2016.4  1.021649    
  2017.1  1.022377    
  2017.2  1.022789    
  2017.3  1.023024    
  2017.4  1.023145    
  2018.1  1.023685    
  2018.2  1.023940    
  2018.3  1.024035    
  2018.4  1.024019    
  2019.1  1.024297    
  2019.2  1.024352    
  2019.3  1.024270    
  2019.4  1.024089    
  2020.1  1.024054    
  2020.2  1.023895    
  2020.3  1.023646    
  2020.4  1.023321    
  2021.1  1.023030    
  2021.2  1.022704    
  2021.3  1.022328    
  2021.4  1.021899    
  2022.1  1.021438    
  2022.2  1.021001    
  2022.3  1.020541    
  2022.4  1.020044    
GENR SUMKE=                                                                   
AAUSKE+AACAKE+AAJAKE+AAAUKE+AAFRKE+AAGEKE+AAITKE+AANEKE+AASTKE+AAUKKE+AAFIKE+ 
AAASKE+AASOKE+AAKOKE+AABEKE+AADEKE+AANOKE+AASWKE+AAGRKE+AAIRKE+AAPOKE+AASPKE+ 
AANZKE+AASAKE+AAVEKE+AACOKE+AAJOKE+AASYKE+AAIDKE+AAMAKE+AAPAKE+AAPHKE+AATHKE+ 
AACHKE+AAARKE+AABRKE+AACEKE+AAMEKE+AAPEKE+AATUKE+AAPDKE+AARUKE+AAUEKE+AAEGKE+ 
AAISKE+       AABAKE+AAHKKE+AASIKE+AAVIKE+AANIKE+AAALKE+AAIAKE+AAINKE+AAIQKE+ 
AAKUKE+AALIKE+AAUAKE;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMKE;                                                               

NAME          SUMKE   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.002535    
  2013.2  1.005301    
  2013.3  1.006954    
  2013.4  1.007548    
  2014.1  1.008623    
  2014.2  1.008824    
  2014.3  1.008477    
  2014.4  1.007810    
  2015.1  1.008118    
  2015.2  1.008004    
  2015.3  1.007611    
  2015.4  1.007048    
  2016.1  1.007456    
  2016.2  1.007466    
  2016.3  1.007206    
  2016.4  1.006769    
  2017.1  1.007253    
  2017.2  1.007316    
  2017.3  1.007104    
  2017.4  1.006716    
  2018.1  1.007231    
  2018.2  1.007311    
  2018.3  1.007113    
  2018.4  1.006739    
  2019.1  1.007264    
  2019.2  1.007331    
  2019.3  1.007116    
  2019.4  1.006722    
  2020.1  1.007242    
  2020.2  1.007286    
  2020.3  1.007045    
  2020.4  1.006630    
  2021.1  1.007146    
  2021.2  1.007174    
  2021.3  1.006916    
  2021.4  1.006488    
  2022.1  1.007006    
  2022.2  1.007027    
  2022.3  1.006762    
  2022.4  1.006329    
GENR SUMBA=                                                                   
AAUSBA+AACABA+AAJABA+AAAUBA+AAFRBA+AAGEBA+AAITBA+AANEBA+AASTBA+AAUKBA+AAFIBA+ 
AAASBA+AASOBA+AAKOBA+AABEBA+AADEBA+AANOBA+AASWBA+AAGRBA+AAIRBA+AAPOBA+AASPBA+ 
AANZBA+AASABA+AAVEBA+AACOBA+AAJOBA+AASYBA+AAIDBA+AAMABA+AAPABA+AAPHBA+AATHBA+ 
AACHBA+AAARBA+AABRBA+AACEBA+AAMEBA+AAPEBA+AATUBA+AAPDBA+AARUBA+AAUEBA+AAEGBA+ 
AAISBA+AAKEBA+       AAHKBA+AASIBA+AAVIBA+AANIBA+AAALBA+AAIABA+AAINBA+AAIQBA+ 
AAKUBA+AALIBA+AAUABA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMBA;                                                               

NAME          SUMBA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  0.000000    
  1960.2  0.000000    
  1960.3  0.000000    
  1960.4  0.000000    
  1961.1  0.000000    
  1961.2  0.000000    
  1961.3  0.000000    
  1961.4  0.000000    
  1962.1  0.000000    
  1962.2  0.000000    
  1962.3  0.000000    
  1962.4  0.000000    
  1963.1  0.000000    
  1963.2  0.000000    
  1963.3  0.000000    
  1963.4  0.000000    
  1964.1  0.000000    
  1964.2  0.000000    
  1964.3  0.000000    
  1964.4  0.000000    
  1965.1  0.000000    
  1965.2  0.000000    
  1965.3  0.000000    
  1965.4  0.000000    
  1966.1  0.000000    
  1966.2  0.000000    
  1966.3  0.000000    
  1966.4  0.000000    
  1967.1  0.000000    
  1967.2  0.000000    
  1967.3  0.000000    
  1967.4  0.000000    
  1968.1  0.000000    
  1968.2  0.000000    
  1968.3  0.000000    
  1968.4  0.000000    
  1969.1  0.000000    
  1969.2  0.000000    
  1969.3  0.000000    
  1969.4  0.000000    
  1970.1  0.000000    
  1970.2  0.000000    
  1970.3  0.000000    
  1970.4  0.000000    
  1971.1  0.000000    
  1971.2  0.000000    
  1971.3  0.000000    
  1971.4  0.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9526870    
  2013.2 0.9451713    
  2013.3 0.9472217    
  2013.4 0.9505171    
  2014.1 0.9478983    
  2014.2 0.9493048    
  2014.3 0.9515189    
  2014.4 0.9537027    
  2015.1 0.9505426    
  2015.2 0.9512733    
  2015.3 0.9529742    
  2015.4 0.9548099    
  2016.1 0.9519774    
  2016.2 0.9525795    
  2016.3 0.9540732    
  2016.4 0.9557130    
  2017.1 0.9530999    
  2017.2 0.9536011    
  2017.3 0.9549213    
  2017.4 0.9563847    
  2018.1 0.9538857    
  2018.2 0.9542910    
  2018.3 0.9554614    
  2018.4 0.9567679    
  2019.1 0.9542943    
  2019.2 0.9546015    
  2019.3 0.9556366    
  2019.4 0.9568050    
  2020.1 0.9542994    
  2020.2 0.9545316    
  2020.3 0.9554714    
  2020.4 0.9565429    
  2021.1 0.9540144    
  2021.2 0.9542026    
  2021.3 0.9550814    
  2021.4 0.9560883    
  2022.1 0.9535605    
  2022.2 0.9537271    
  2022.3 0.9545668    
  2022.4 0.9555292    
GENR SUMHK=                                                                   
AAUSHK+AACAHK+AAJAHK+AAAUHK+AAFRHK+AAGEHK+AAITHK+AANEHK+AASTHK+AAUKHK+AAFIHK+ 
AAASHK+AASOHK+AAKOHK+AABEHK+AADEHK+AANOHK+AASWHK+AAGRHK+AAIRHK+AAPOHK+AASPHK+ 
AANZHK+AASAHK+AAVEHK+AACOHK+AAJOHK+AASYHK+AAIDHK+AAMAHK+AAPAHK+AAPHHK+AATHHK+ 
AACHHK+AAARHK+AABRHK+AACEHK+AAMEHK+AAPEHK+AATUHK+AAPDHK+AARUHK+AAUEHK+AAEGHK+ 
AAISHK+AAKEHK+AABAHK+       AASIHK+AAVIHK+AANIHK+AAALHK+AAIAHK+AAINHK+AAIQHK+ 
AAKUHK+AALIHK+AAUAHK;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMHK;                                                               

NAME          SUMHK   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.006879    
  2013.2  1.011970    
  2013.3  1.015126    
  2013.4  1.017040    
  2014.1  1.019125    
  2014.2  1.020246    
  2014.3  1.020809    
  2014.4  1.021041    
  2015.1  1.022175    
  2015.2  1.022664    
  2015.3  1.022809    
  2015.4  1.022762    
  2016.1  1.023711    
  2016.2  1.024062    
  2016.3  1.024099    
  2016.4  1.023960    
  2017.1  1.024829    
  2017.2  1.025106    
  2017.3  1.025073    
  2017.4  1.024872    
  2018.1  1.025686    
  2018.2  1.025913    
  2018.3  1.025835    
  2018.4  1.025590    
  2019.1  1.026361    
  2019.2  1.026545    
  2019.3  1.026424    
  2019.4  1.026135    
  2020.1  1.026859    
  2020.2  1.027002    
  2020.3  1.026841    
  2020.4  1.026514    
  2021.1  1.027198    
  2021.2  1.027308    
  2021.3  1.027117    
  2021.4  1.026761    
  2022.1  1.027414    
  2022.2  1.027500    
  2022.3  1.027288    
  2022.4  1.026914    
GENR SUMSI=                                                                   
AAUSSI+AACASI+AAJASI+AAAUSI+AAFRSI+AAGESI+AAITSI+AANESI+AASTSI+AAUKSI+AAFISI+ 
AAASSI+AASOSI+AAKOSI+AABESI+AADESI+AANOSI+AASWSI+AAGRSI+AAIRSI+AAPOSI+AASPSI+ 
AANZSI+AASASI+AAVESI+AACOSI+AAJOSI+AASYSI+AAIDSI+AAMASI+AAPASI+AAPHSI+AATHSI+ 
AACHSI+AAARSI+AABRSI+AACESI+AAMESI+AAPESI+AATUSI+AAPDSI+AARUSI+AAUESI+AAEGSI+ 
AAISSI+AAKESI+AABASI+AAHKSI+       AAVISI+AANISI+AAALSI+AAIASI+AAINSI+AAIQSI+ 
AAKUSI+AALISI+AAUASI;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMSI;                                                               

NAME          SUMSI   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.004900    
  2013.2  1.009182    
  2013.3  1.011412    
  2013.4  1.012384    
  2014.1  1.012569    
  2014.2  1.012396    
  2014.3  1.012165    
  2014.4  1.011955    
  2015.1  1.011905    
  2015.2  1.011614    
  2015.3  1.011369    
  2015.4  1.011206    
  2016.1  1.011369    
  2016.2  1.011169    
  2016.3  1.010978    
  2016.4  1.010853    
  2017.1  1.011113    
  2017.2  1.010946    
  2017.3  1.010771    
  2017.4  1.010657    
  2018.1  1.010962    
  2018.2  1.010808    
  2018.3  1.010636    
  2018.4  1.010517    
  2019.1  1.010818    
  2019.2  1.010651    
  2019.3  1.010456    
  2019.4  1.010313    
  2020.1  1.010577    
  2020.2  1.010391    
  2020.3  1.010180    
  2020.4  1.010020    
  2021.1  1.010250    
  2021.2  1.010055    
  2021.3  1.009838    
  2021.4  1.009673    
  2022.1  1.009877    
  2022.2  1.009681    
  2022.3  1.009465    
  2022.4  1.009300    
GENR SUMVI=                                                                   
AAUSVI+AACAVI+AAJAVI+AAAUVI+AAFRVI+AAGEVI+AAITVI+AANEVI+AASTVI+AAUKVI+AAFIVI+ 
AAASVI+AASOVI+AAKOVI+AABEVI+AADEVI+AANOVI+AASWVI+AAGRVI+AAIRVI+AAPOVI+AASPVI+ 
AANZVI+AASAVI+AAVEVI+AACOVI+AAJOVI+AASYVI+AAIDVI+AAMAVI+AAPAVI+AAPHVI+AATHVI+ 
AACHVI+AAARVI+AABRVI+AACEVI+AAMEVI+AAPEVI+AATUVI+AAPDVI+AARUVI+AAUEVI+AAEGVI+ 
AAISVI+AAKEVI+AABAVI+AAHKVI+AASIVI+       AANIVI+AAALVI+AAIAVI+AAINVI+AAIQVI+ 
AAKUVI+AALIVI+AAUAVI;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMVI;                                                               

NAME          SUMVI   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.009729    
  2013.2  1.015231    
  2013.3  1.018370    
  2013.4  1.020462    
  2014.1  1.023612    
  2014.2  1.025072    
  2014.3  1.026048    
  2014.4  1.026803    
  2015.1  1.029215    
  2015.2  1.030087    
  2015.3  1.030597    
  2015.4  1.030979    
  2016.1  1.033065    
  2016.2  1.033696    
  2016.3  1.033994    
  2016.4  1.034181    
  2017.1  1.036051    
  2017.2  1.036524    
  2017.3  1.036683    
  2017.4  1.036747    
  2018.1  1.038469    
  2018.2  1.038840    
  2018.3  1.038910    
  2018.4  1.038889    
  2019.1  1.040488    
  2019.2  1.040763    
  2019.3  1.040745    
  2019.4  1.040640    
  2020.1  1.042120    
  2020.2  1.042307    
  2020.3  1.042212    
  2020.4  1.042040    
  2021.1  1.043420    
  2021.2  1.043537    
  2021.3  1.043385    
  2021.4  1.043165    
  2022.1  1.044465    
  2022.2  1.044530    
  2022.3  1.044339    
  2022.4  1.044086    
GENR SUMNI=                                                                   
AAUSNI+AACANI+AAJANI+AAAUNI+AAFRNI+AAGENI+AAITNI+AANENI+AASTNI+AAUKNI+AAFINI+ 
AAASNI+AASONI+AAKONI+AABENI+AADENI+AANONI+AASWNI+AAGRNI+AAIRNI+AAPONI+AASPNI+ 
AANZNI+AASANI+AAVENI+AACONI+AAJONI+AASYNI+AAIDNI+AAMANI+AAPANI+AAPHNI+AATHNI+ 
AACHNI+AAARNI+AABRNI+AACENI+AAMENI+AAPENI+AATUNI+AAPDNI+AARUNI+AAUENI+AAEGNI+ 
AAISNI+AAKENI+AABANI+AAHKNI+AASINI+AAVINI+       AAALNI+AAIANI+AAINNI+AAIQNI+ 
AAKUNI+AALINI+AAUANI;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMNI;                                                               

NAME          SUMNI   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.004463    
  2013.2  1.005882    
  2013.3  1.007090    
  2013.4  1.007302    
  2014.1  1.002632    
  2014.2  1.001274    
  2014.3  1.000544    
  2014.4  1.000060    
  2015.1 0.9959230    
  2015.2 0.9947346    
  2015.3 0.9942246    
  2015.4 0.9939982    
  2016.1 0.9911199    
  2016.2 0.9903684    
  2016.3 0.9901372    
  2016.4 0.9901307    
  2017.1 0.9882186    
  2017.2 0.9878335    
  2017.3 0.9878230    
  2017.4 0.9879680    
  2018.1 0.9867852    
  2018.2 0.9866580    
  2018.3 0.9867745    
  2018.4 0.9869766    
  2019.1 0.9862296    
  2019.2 0.9862222    
  2019.3 0.9863542    
  2019.4 0.9865152    
  2020.1 0.9859365    
  2020.2 0.9859508    
  2020.3 0.9860390    
  2020.4 0.9861188    
  2021.1 0.9855733    
  2021.2 0.9855639    
  2021.3 0.9855888    
  2021.4 0.9855820    
  2022.1 0.9850151    
  2022.2 0.9849689    
  2022.3 0.9849344    
  2022.4 0.9848545    
GENR SUMAL=                                                                   
AAUSAL+AACAAL+AAJAAL+AAAUAL+AAFRAL+AAGEAL+AAITAL+AANEAL+AASTAL+AAUKAL+AAFIAL+ 
AAASAL+AASOAL+AAKOAL+AABEAL+AADEAL+AANOAL+AASWAL+AAGRAL+AAIRAL+AAPOAL+AASPAL+ 
AANZAL+AASAAL+AAVEAL+AACOAL+AAJOAL+AASYAL+AAIDAL+AAMAAL+AAPAAL+AAPHAL+AATHAL+ 
AACHAL+AAARAL+AABRAL+AACEAL+AAMEAL+AAPEAL+AATUAL+AAPDAL+AARUAL+AAUEAL+AAEGAL+ 
AAISAL+AAKEAL+AABAAL+AAHKAL+AASIAL+AAVIAL+AANIAL+       AAIAAL+AAINAL+AAIQAL+ 
AAKUAL+AALIAL+AAUAAL;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMAL;                                                               

NAME          SUMAL   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9692635    
  2013.2 0.9741241    
  2013.3 0.9826310    
  2013.4 0.9882803    
  2014.1 0.9900463    
  2014.2 0.9921523    
  2014.3 0.9938065    
  2014.4 0.9950816    
  2015.1 0.9947672    
  2015.2 0.9955308    
  2015.3 0.9963880    
  2015.4 0.9971669    
  2016.1 0.9967441    
  2016.2 0.9972517    
  2016.3 0.9978776    
  2016.4 0.9984671    
  2017.1 0.9980382    
  2017.2 0.9984200    
  2017.3 0.9989143    
  2017.4 0.9993872    
  2018.1 0.9989601    
  2018.2 0.9992650    
  2018.3 0.9996790    
  2018.4  1.000083    
  2019.1 0.9996592    
  2019.2 0.9999255    
  2019.3  1.000295    
  2019.4  1.000655    
  2020.1  1.000213    
  2020.2  1.000449    
  2020.3  1.000784    
  2020.4  1.001108    
  2021.1  1.000637    
  2021.2  1.000849    
  2021.3  1.001158    
  2021.4  1.001457    
  2022.1  1.000959    
  2022.2  1.001154    
  2022.3  1.001447    
  2022.4  1.001730    
GENR SUMIA=                                                                   
AAUSIA+AACAIA+AAJAIA+AAAUIA+AAFRIA+AAGEIA+AAITIA+AANEIA+AASTIA+AAUKIA+AAFIIA+ 
AAASIA+AASOIA+AAKOIA+AABEIA+AADEIA+AANOIA+AASWIA+AAGRIA+AAIRIA+AAPOIA+AASPIA+ 
AANZIA+AASAIA+AAVEIA+AACOIA+AAJOIA+AASYIA+AAIDIA+AAMAIA+AAPAIA+AAPHIA+AATHIA+ 
AACHIA+AAARIA+AABRIA+AACEIA+AAMEIA+AAPEIA+AATUIA+AAPDIA+AARUIA+AAUEIA+AAEGIA+ 
AAISIA+AAKEIA+AABAIA+AAHKIA+AASIIA+AAVIIA+AANIIA+AAALIA+       AAINIA+AAIQIA+ 
AAKUIA+AALIIA+AAUAIA;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIA;                                                               

NAME          SUMIA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.003083    
  2013.2  1.006096    
  2013.3  1.009022    
  2013.4  1.011689    
  2014.1  1.013767    
  2014.2  1.015629    
  2014.3  1.017336    
  2014.4  1.018923    
  2015.1  1.020365    
  2015.2  1.021587    
  2015.3  1.022690    
  2015.4  1.023719    
  2016.1  1.024871    
  2016.2  1.025730    
  2016.3  1.026445    
  2016.4  1.027084    
  2017.1  1.027994    
  2017.2  1.028568    
  2017.3  1.028990    
  2017.4  1.029345    
  2018.1  1.030076    
  2018.2  1.030455    
  2018.3  1.030681    
  2018.4  1.030846    
  2019.1  1.031425    
  2019.2  1.031650    
  2019.3  1.031721    
  2019.4  1.031732    
  2020.1  1.032142    
  2020.2  1.032225    
  2020.3  1.032169    
  2020.4  1.032058    
  2021.1  1.032321    
  2021.2  1.032293    
  2021.3  1.032141    
  2021.4  1.031944    
  2022.1  1.032094    
  2022.2  1.031986    
  2022.3  1.031771    
  2022.4  1.031516    
GENR SUMIN=                                                                   
AAUSIN+AACAIN+AAJAIN+AAAUIN+AAFRIN+AAGEIN+AAITIN+AANEIN+AASTIN+AAUKIN+AAFIIN+ 
AAASIN+AASOIN+AAKOIN+AABEIN+AADEIN+AANOIN+AASWIN+AAGRIN+AAIRIN+AAPOIN+AASPIN+ 
AANZIN+AASAIN+AAVEIN+AACOIN+AAJOIN+AASYIN+AAIDIN+AAMAIN+AAPAIN+AAPHIN+AATHIN+ 
AACHIN+AAARIN+AABRIN+AACEIN+AAMEIN+AAPEIN+AATUIN+AAPDIN+AARUIN+AAUEIN+AAEGIN+ 
AAISIN+AAKEIN+AABAIN+AAHKIN+AASIIN+AAVIIN+AANIIN+AAALIN+AAIAIN+       AAIQIN+ 
AAKUIN+AALIIN+AAUAIN;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIN;                                                               

NAME          SUMIN   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000015    
  2013.2  1.005272    
  2013.3  1.011357    
  2013.4  1.016909    
  2014.1  1.021696    
  2014.2  1.025609    
  2014.3  1.028746    
  2014.4  1.031269    
  2015.1  1.033716    
  2015.2  1.035672    
  2015.3  1.037278    
  2015.4  1.038640    
  2016.1  1.040344    
  2016.2  1.041717    
  2016.3  1.042859    
  2016.4  1.043843    
  2017.1  1.045260    
  2017.2  1.046376    
  2017.3  1.047286    
  2017.4  1.048058    
  2018.1  1.049278    
  2018.2  1.050213    
  2018.3  1.050953    
  2018.4  1.051560    
  2019.1  1.052571    
  2019.2  1.053304    
  2019.3  1.053841    
  2019.4  1.054242    
  2020.1  1.054972    
  2020.2  1.055453    
  2020.3  1.055758    
  2020.4  1.055941    
  2021.1  1.056392    
  2021.2  1.056633    
  2021.3  1.056727    
  2021.4  1.056720    
  2022.1  1.056936    
  2022.2  1.056982    
  2022.3  1.056908    
  2022.4  1.056753    
GENR SUMIQ=                                                                   
AAUSIQ+AACAIQ+AAJAIQ+AAAUIQ+AAFRIQ+AAGEIQ+AAITIQ+AANEIQ+AASTIQ+AAUKIQ+AAFIIQ+ 
AAASIQ+AASOIQ+AAKOIQ+AABEIQ+AADEIQ+AANOIQ+AASWIQ+AAGRIQ+AAIRIQ+AAPOIQ+AASPIQ+ 
AANZIQ+AASAIQ+AAVEIQ+AACOIQ+AAJOIQ+AASYIQ+AAIDIQ+AAMAIQ+AAPAIQ+AAPHIQ+AATHIQ+ 
AACHIQ+AAARIQ+AABRIQ+AACEIQ+AAMEIQ+AAPEIQ+AATUIQ+AAPDIQ+AARUIQ+AAUEIQ+AAEGIQ+ 
AAISIQ+AAKEIQ+AABAIQ+AAHKIQ+AASIIQ+AAVIIQ+AANIIQ+AAALIQ+AAIAIQ+AAINIQ+        
AAKUIQ+AALIIQ+AAUAIQ;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMIQ;                                                               

NAME          SUMIQ   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.012960    
  2013.2  1.024915    
  2013.3  1.034964    
  2013.4  1.043011    
  2014.1  1.049433    
  2014.2  1.054297    
  2014.3  1.057951    
  2014.4  1.060708    
  2015.1  1.063116    
  2015.2  1.064938    
  2015.3  1.066357    
  2015.4  1.067499    
  2016.1  1.068812    
  2016.2  1.069824    
  2016.3  1.070620    
  2016.4  1.071257    
  2017.1  1.072192    
  2017.2  1.072856    
  2017.3  1.073329    
  2017.4  1.073667    
  2018.1  1.074367    
  2018.2  1.074805    
  2018.3  1.075057    
  2018.4  1.075167    
  2019.1  1.075651    
  2019.2  1.075826    
  2019.3  1.075773    
  2019.4  1.075548    
  2020.1  1.075712    
  2020.2  1.075544    
  2020.3  1.075142    
  2020.4  1.074573    
  2021.1  1.074431    
  2021.2  1.073965    
  2021.3  1.073281    
  2021.4  1.072449    
  2022.1  1.072087    
  2022.2  1.071418    
  2022.3  1.070553    
  2022.4  1.069563    
GENR SUMKU=                                                                   
AAUSKU+AACAKU+AAJAKU+AAAUKU+AAFRKU+AAGEKU+AAITKU+AANEKU+AASTKU+AAUKKU+AAFIKU+ 
AAASKU+AASOKU+AAKOKU+AABEKU+AADEKU+AANOKU+AASWKU+AAGRKU+AAIRKU+AAPOKU+AASPKU+ 
AANZKU+AASAKU+AAVEKU+AACOKU+AAJOKU+AASYKU+AAIDKU+AAMAKU+AAPAKU+AAPHKU+AATHKU+ 
AACHKU+AAARKU+AABRKU+AACEKU+AAMEKU+AAPEKU+AATUKU+AAPDKU+AARUKU+AAUEKU+AAEGKU+ 
AAISKU+AAKEKU+AABAKU+AAHKKU+AASIKU+AAVIKU+AANIKU+AAALKU+AAIAKU+AAINKU+AAIQKU+ 
       AALIKU+AAUAKU;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMKU;                                                               

NAME          SUMKU   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9631916    
  2013.2 0.9593928    
  2013.3 0.9592648    
  2013.4 0.9593311    
  2014.1 0.9594975    
  2014.2 0.9594299    
  2014.3 0.9592767    
  2014.4 0.9591096    
  2015.1 0.9592965    
  2015.2 0.9593143    
  2015.3 0.9592772    
  2015.4 0.9592215    
  2016.1 0.9595238    
  2016.2 0.9596082    
  2016.3 0.9596134    
  2016.4 0.9595841    
  2017.1 0.9598958    
  2017.2 0.9599800    
  2017.3 0.9599809    
  2017.4 0.9599449    
  2018.1 0.9602368    
  2018.2 0.9603052    
  2018.3 0.9602923    
  2018.4 0.9602432    
  2019.1 0.9605053    
  2019.2 0.9605528    
  2019.3 0.9605223    
  2019.4 0.9604567    
  2020.1 0.9606822    
  2020.2 0.9607078    
  2020.3 0.9606606    
  2020.4 0.9605807    
  2021.1 0.9607743    
  2021.2 0.9607823    
  2021.3 0.9607227    
  2021.4 0.9606325    
  2022.1 0.9608012    
  2022.2 0.9607966    
  2022.3 0.9607286    
  2022.4 0.9606317    
GENR SUMLI=                                                                   
AAUSLI+AACALI+AAJALI+AAAULI+AAFRLI+AAGELI+AAITLI+AANELI+AASTLI+AAUKLI+AAFILI+ 
AAASLI+AASOLI+AAKOLI+AABELI+AADELI+AANOLI+AASWLI+AAGRLI+AAIRLI+AAPOLI+AASPLI+ 
AANZLI+AASALI+AAVELI+AACOLI+AAJOLI+AASYLI+AAIDLI+AAMALI+AAPALI+AAPHLI+AATHLI+ 
AACHLI+AAARLI+AABRLI+AACELI+AAMELI+AAPELI+AATULI+AAPDLI+AARULI+AAUELI+AAEGLI+ 
AAISLI+AAKELI+AABALI+AAHKLI+AASILI+AAVILI+AANILI+AAALLI+AAIALI+AAINLI+AAIQLI+ 
AAKULI+       AAUALI;                                                         
PRINTVAR SUMLI;                                                               

NAME          SUMLI   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9592264    
  2013.2 0.9665614    
  2013.3 0.9794284    
  2013.4 0.9888954    
  2014.1 0.9943743    
  2014.2 0.9976792    
  2014.3 0.9995376    
  2014.4  1.000531    
  2015.1  1.000816    
  2015.2  1.000845    
  2015.3  1.000793    
  2015.4  1.000725    
  2016.1  1.000647    
  2016.2  1.000390    
  2016.3  1.000175    
  2016.4  1.000027    
  2017.1 0.9999770    
  2017.2 0.9997155    
  2017.3 0.9994980    
  2017.4 0.9993515    
  2018.1 0.9993521    
  2018.2 0.9991110    
  2018.3 0.9989036    
  2018.4 0.9987615    
  2019.1 0.9987899    
  2019.2 0.9985760    
  2019.3 0.9983874    
  2019.4 0.9982569    
  2020.1 0.9982991    
  2020.2 0.9981327    
  2020.3 0.9979879    
  2020.4 0.9978940    
  2021.1 0.9979638    
  2021.2 0.9978678    
  2021.3 0.9977910    
  2021.4 0.9977580    
  2022.1 0.9978767    
  2022.2 0.9978679    
  2022.3 0.9978761    
  2022.4 0.9979209    
GENR SUMUA=                                                                   
AAUSUA+AACAUA+AAJAUA+AAAUUA+AAFRUA+AAGEUA+AAITUA+AANEUA+AASTUA+AAUKUA+AAFIUA+ 
AAASUA+AASOUA+AAKOUA+AABEUA+AADEUA+AANOUA+AASWUA+AAGRUA+AAIRUA+AAPOUA+AASPUA+ 
AANZUA+AASAUA+AAVEUA+AACOUA+AAJOUA+AASYUA+AAIDUA+AAMAUA+AAPAUA+AAPHUA+AATHUA+ 
AACHUA+AAARUA+AABRUA+AACEUA+AAMEUA+AAPEUA+AATUUA+AAPDUA+AARUUA+AAUEUA+AAEGUA+ 
AAISUA+AAKEUA+AABAUA+AAHKUA+AASIUA+AAVIUA+AANIUA+AAALUA+AAIAUA+AAINUA+AAIQUA+ 
AAKUUA+AALIUA+0;                                                              
PRINTVAR SUMUA;                                                               

NAME          SUMUA   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1 0.9956415    
  2013.2 0.9937297    
  2013.3 0.9924644    
  2013.4 0.9916449    
  2014.1 0.9892445    
  2014.2 0.9885032    
  2014.3 0.9883881    
  2014.4 0.9885806    
  2015.1 0.9874932    
  2015.2 0.9873717    
  2015.3 0.9876275    
  2015.4 0.9880636    
  2016.1 0.9874910    
  2016.2 0.9875219    
  2016.3 0.9878235    
  2016.4 0.9882645    
  2017.1 0.9878722    
  2017.2 0.9879205    
  2017.3 0.9881943    
  2017.4 0.9885944    
  2018.1 0.9882705    
  2018.2 0.9883130    
  2018.3 0.9885553    
  2018.4 0.9889106    
  2019.1 0.9885805    
  2019.2 0.9885951    
  2019.3 0.9887921    
  2019.4 0.9890925    
  2020.1 0.9887026    
  2020.2 0.9886892    
  2020.3 0.9888548    
  2020.4 0.9891183    
  2021.1 0.9886715    
  2021.2 0.9886441    
  2021.3 0.9887951    
  2021.4 0.9890387    
  2022.1 0.9885505    
  2022.2 0.9885197    
  2022.3 0.9886671    
  2022.4 0.9889025    
GENR SUMAO=                                                                   
AAUSAO+AACAAO+AAJAAO+AAAUAO+AAFRAO+AAGEAO+AAITAO+AANEAO+AASTAO+AAUKAO+AAFIAO+ 
AAASAO+AASOAO+AAKOAO+AABEAO+AADEAO+AANOAO+AASWAO+AAGRAO+AAIRAO+AAPOAO+AASPAO+ 
AANZAO+AASAAO+AAVEAO+AACOAO+AAJOAO+AASYAO+AAIDAO+AAMAAO+AAPAAO+AAPHAO+AATHAO+ 
AACHAO+AAARAO+AABRAO+AACEAO+AAMEAO+AAPEAO+AATUAO+AAPDAO+AARUAO+AAUEAO+AAEGAO+ 
AAISAO+AAKEAO+AABAAO+AAHKAO+AASIAO+AAVIAO+AANIAO+AAALAO+AAIAAO+AAINAO+AAIQAO+ 
AAKUAO+AALIAO+0;                                                              
PRINTVAR SUMAO;                                                               

NAME          SUMAO   
  1952.1  1.000000    
  1952.2  1.000000    
  1952.3  1.000000    
  1952.4  1.000000    
  1953.1  1.000000    
  1953.2  1.000000    
  1953.3  1.000000    
  1953.4  1.000000    
  1954.1  1.000000    
  1954.2  1.000000    
  1954.3  1.000000    
  1954.4  1.000000    
  1955.1  1.000000    
  1955.2  1.000000    
  1955.3  1.000000    
  1955.4  1.000000    
  1956.1  1.000000    
  1956.2  1.000000    
  1956.3  1.000000    
  1956.4  1.000000    
  1957.1  1.000000    
  1957.2  1.000000    
  1957.3  1.000000    
  1957.4  1.000000    
  1958.1  1.000000    
  1958.2  1.000000    
  1958.3  1.000000    
  1958.4  1.000000    
  1959.1  1.000000    
  1959.2  1.000000    
  1959.3  1.000000    
  1959.4  1.000000    
  1960.1  1.000000    
  1960.2  1.000000    
  1960.3  1.000000    
  1960.4  1.000000    
  1961.1  1.000000    
  1961.2  1.000000    
  1961.3  1.000000    
  1961.4  1.000000    
  1962.1  1.000000    
  1962.2  1.000000    
  1962.3  1.000000    
  1962.4  1.000000    
  1963.1  1.000000    
  1963.2  1.000000    
  1963.3  1.000000    
  1963.4  1.000000    
  1964.1  1.000000    
  1964.2  1.000000    
  1964.3  1.000000    
  1964.4  1.000000    
  1965.1  1.000000    
  1965.2  1.000000    
  1965.3  1.000000    
  1965.4  1.000000    
  1966.1  1.000000    
  1966.2  1.000000    
  1966.3  1.000000    
  1966.4  1.000000    
  1967.1  1.000000    
  1967.2  1.000000    
  1967.3  1.000000    
  1967.4  1.000000    
  1968.1  1.000000    
  1968.2  1.000000    
  1968.3  1.000000    
  1968.4  1.000000    
  1969.1  1.000000    
  1969.2  1.000000    
  1969.3  1.000000    
  1969.4  1.000000    
  1970.1  1.000000    
  1970.2  1.000000    
  1970.3  1.000000    
  1970.4  1.000000    
  1971.1  1.000000    
  1971.2  1.000000    
  1971.3  1.000000    
  1971.4  1.000000    
  1972.1  1.000000    
  1972.2  1.000000    
  1972.3  1.000000    
  1972.4  1.000000    
  1973.1  1.000000    
  1973.2  1.000000    
  1973.3  1.000000    
  1973.4  1.000000    
  1974.1  1.000000    
  1974.2  1.000000    
  1974.3  1.000000    
  1974.4  1.000000    
  1975.1  1.000000    
  1975.2  1.000000    
  1975.3  1.000000    
  1975.4  1.000000    
  1976.1  1.000000    
  1976.2  1.000000    
  1976.3  1.000000    
  1976.4  1.000000    
  1977.1  1.000000    
  1977.2  1.000000    
  1977.3  1.000000    
  1977.4  1.000000    
  1978.1  1.000000    
  1978.2  1.000000    
  1978.3  1.000000    
  1978.4  1.000000    
  1979.1  1.000000    
  1979.2  1.000000    
  1979.3  1.000000    
  1979.4  1.000000    
  1980.1  1.000000    
  1980.2  1.000000    
  1980.3  1.000000    
  1980.4  1.000000    
  1981.1  1.000000    
  1981.2  1.000000    
  1981.3  1.000000    
  1981.4  1.000000    
  1982.1  1.000000    
  1982.2  1.000000    
  1982.3  1.000000    
  1982.4  1.000000    
  1983.1  1.000000    
  1983.2  1.000000    
  1983.3  1.000000    
  1983.4  1.000000    
  1984.1  1.000000    
  1984.2  1.000000    
  1984.3  1.000000    
  1984.4  1.000000    
  1985.1  1.000000    
  1985.2  1.000000    
  1985.3  1.000000    
  1985.4  1.000000    
  1986.1  1.000000    
  1986.2  1.000000    
  1986.3  1.000000    
  1986.4  1.000000    
  1987.1  1.000000    
  1987.2  1.000000    
  1987.3  1.000000    
  1987.4  1.000000    
  1988.1  1.000000    
  1988.2  1.000000    
  1988.3  1.000000    
  1988.4  1.000000    
  1989.1  1.000000    
  1989.2  1.000000    
  1989.3  1.000000    
  1989.4  1.000000    
  1990.1  1.000000    
  1990.2  1.000000    
  1990.3  1.000000    
  1990.4  1.000000    
  1991.1  1.000000    
  1991.2  1.000000    
  1991.3  1.000000    
  1991.4  1.000000    
  1992.1  1.000000    
  1992.2  1.000000    
  1992.3  1.000000    
  1992.4  1.000000    
  1993.1  1.000000    
  1993.2  1.000000    
  1993.3  1.000000    
  1993.4  1.000000    
  1994.1  1.000000    
  1994.2  1.000000    
  1994.3  1.000000    
  1994.4  1.000000    
  1995.1  1.000000    
  1995.2  1.000000    
  1995.3  1.000000    
  1995.4  1.000000    
  1996.1  1.000000    
  1996.2  1.000000    
  1996.3  1.000000    
  1996.4  1.000000    
  1997.1  1.000000    
  1997.2  1.000000    
  1997.3  1.000000    
  1997.4  1.000000    
  1998.1  1.000000    
  1998.2  1.000000    
  1998.3  1.000000    
  1998.4  1.000000    
  1999.1  1.000000    
  1999.2  1.000000    
  1999.3  1.000000    
  1999.4  1.000000    
  2000.1  1.000000    
  2000.2  1.000000    
  2000.3  1.000000    
  2000.4  1.000000    
  2001.1  1.000000    
  2001.2  1.000000    
  2001.3  1.000000    
  2001.4  1.000000    
  2002.1  1.000000    
  2002.2  1.000000    
  2002.3  1.000000    
  2002.4  1.000000    
  2003.1  1.000000    
  2003.2  1.000000    
  2003.3  1.000000    
  2003.4  1.000000    
  2004.1  1.000000    
  2004.2  1.000000    
  2004.3  1.000000    
  2004.4  1.000000    
  2005.1  1.000000    
  2005.2  1.000000    
  2005.3  1.000000    
  2005.4  1.000000    
  2006.1  1.000000    
  2006.2  1.000000    
  2006.3  1.000000    
  2006.4  1.000000    
  2007.1  1.000000    
  2007.2  1.000000    
  2007.3  1.000000    
  2007.4  1.000000    
  2008.1  1.000000    
  2008.2  1.000000    
  2008.3  1.000000    
  2008.4  1.000000    
  2009.1  1.000000    
  2009.2  1.000000    
  2009.3  1.000000    
  2009.4  1.000000    
  2010.1  1.000000    
  2010.2  1.000000    
  2010.3  1.000000    
  2010.4  1.000000    
  2011.1  1.000000    
  2011.2  1.000000    
  2011.3  1.000000    
  2011.4  1.000000    
  2012.1  1.000000    
  2012.2  1.000000    
  2012.3  1.000000    
  2012.4  1.000000    
  2013.1  1.000000    
  2013.2  1.000000    
  2013.3  1.000000    
  2013.4  1.000000    
  2014.1  1.000000    
  2014.2  1.000000    
  2014.3  1.000000    
  2014.4  1.000000    
  2015.1  1.000000    
  2015.2  1.000000    
  2015.3  1.000000    
  2015.4  1.000000    
  2016.1  1.000000    
  2016.2  1.000000    
  2016.3  1.000000    
  2016.4  1.000000    
  2017.1  1.000000    
  2017.2  1.000000    
  2017.3  1.000000    
  2017.4  1.000000    
  2018.1  1.000000    
  2018.2  1.000000    
  2018.3  1.000000    
  2018.4  1.000000    
  2019.1  1.000000    
  2019.2  1.000000    
  2019.3  1.000000    
  2019.4  1.000000    
  2020.1  1.000000    
  2020.2  1.000000    
  2020.3  1.000000    
  2020.4  1.000000    
  2021.1  1.000000    
  2021.2  1.000000    
  2021.3  1.000000    
  2021.4  1.000000    
  2022.1  1.000000    
  2022.2  1.000000    
  2022.3  1.000000    
  2022.4  1.000000    
@                                                                             
@ End of summation of alphas                                                  
@                                                                             
@ Begin dividing by sums                                                      
@                                                                             
GENR ACAUS=AACAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AJAUS=AAJAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AAUUS=AAAUUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AFRUS=AAFRUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AGEUS=AAGEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AITUS=AAITUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ANEUS=AANEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASTUS=AASTUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AUKUS=AAUKUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AFIUS=AAFIUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AASUS=AAASUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASOUS=AASOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AKOUS=AAKOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ABEUS=AABEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ADEUS=AADEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ANOUS=AANOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASWUS=AASWUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AGRUS=AAGRUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AIRUS=AAIRUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR APOUS=AAPOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASPUS=AASPUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ANZUS=AANZUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASAUS=AASAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AVEUS=AAVEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ACOUS=AACOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AJOUS=AAJOUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASYUS=AASYUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AIDUS=AAIDUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AMAUS=AAMAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR APAUS=AAPAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR APHUS=AAPHUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ATHUS=AATHUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ACHUS=AACHUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AARUS=AAARUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ABRUS=AABRUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ACEUS=AACEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AMEUS=AAMEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR APEUS=AAPEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ATUUS=AATUUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR APDUS=AAPDUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ARUUS=AARUUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AUEUS=AAUEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AEGUS=AAEGUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AISUS=AAISUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AKEUS=AAKEUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ABAUS=AABAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AHKUS=AAHKUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ASIUS=AASIUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AVIUS=AAVIUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ANIUS=AANIUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AALUS=AAALUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AIAUS=AAIAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AINUS=AAINUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AIQUS=AAIQUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AKUUS=AAKUUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR ALIUS=AALIUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AUAUS=AAUAUS/SUMUS;                                                      
GENR AUSCA=AAUSCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AJACA=AAJACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AAUCA=AAAUCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AFRCA=AAFRCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AGECA=AAGECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AITCA=AAITCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ANECA=AANECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASTCA=AASTCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AUKCA=AAUKCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AFICA=AAFICA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AASCA=AAASCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASOCA=AASOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AKOCA=AAKOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ABECA=AABECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ADECA=AADECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ANOCA=AANOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASWCA=AASWCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AGRCA=AAGRCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AIRCA=AAIRCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR APOCA=AAPOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASPCA=AASPCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ANZCA=AANZCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASACA=AASACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AVECA=AAVECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ACOCA=AACOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AJOCA=AAJOCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASYCA=AASYCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AIDCA=AAIDCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AMACA=AAMACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR APACA=AAPACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR APHCA=AAPHCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ATHCA=AATHCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ACHCA=AACHCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AARCA=AAARCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ABRCA=AABRCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ACECA=AACECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AMECA=AAMECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR APECA=AAPECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ATUCA=AATUCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR APDCA=AAPDCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ARUCA=AARUCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AUECA=AAUECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AEGCA=AAEGCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AISCA=AAISCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AKECA=AAKECA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ABACA=AABACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AHKCA=AAHKCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ASICA=AASICA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AVICA=AAVICA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ANICA=AANICA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AALCA=AAALCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AIACA=AAIACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AINCA=AAINCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AIQCA=AAIQCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AKUCA=AAKUCA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR ALICA=AALICA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AUACA=AAUACA/SUMCA;                                                      
GENR AUSJA=AAUSJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ACAJA=AACAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AAUJA=AAAUJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AFRJA=AAFRJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AGEJA=AAGEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AITJA=AAITJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ANEJA=AANEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASTJA=AASTJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AUKJA=AAUKJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AFIJA=AAFIJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AASJA=AAASJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASOJA=AASOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AKOJA=AAKOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ABEJA=AABEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ADEJA=AADEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ANOJA=AANOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASWJA=AASWJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AGRJA=AAGRJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AIRJA=AAIRJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR APOJA=AAPOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASPJA=AASPJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ANZJA=AANZJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASAJA=AASAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AVEJA=AAVEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ACOJA=AACOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AJOJA=AAJOJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASYJA=AASYJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AIDJA=AAIDJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AMAJA=AAMAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR APAJA=AAPAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR APHJA=AAPHJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ATHJA=AATHJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ACHJA=AACHJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AARJA=AAARJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ABRJA=AABRJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ACEJA=AACEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AMEJA=AAMEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR APEJA=AAPEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ATUJA=AATUJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR APDJA=AAPDJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ARUJA=AARUJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AUEJA=AAUEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AEGJA=AAEGJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AISJA=AAISJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AKEJA=AAKEJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ABAJA=AABAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AHKJA=AAHKJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ASIJA=AASIJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AVIJA=AAVIJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ANIJA=AANIJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AALJA=AAALJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AIAJA=AAIAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AINJA=AAINJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AIQJA=AAIQJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AKUJA=AAKUJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR ALIJA=AALIJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AUAJA=AAUAJA/SUMJA;                                                      
GENR AUSAU=AAUSAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ACAAU=AACAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AJAAU=AAJAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AFRAU=AAFRAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AGEAU=AAGEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AITAU=AAITAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ANEAU=AANEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASTAU=AASTAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AUKAU=AAUKAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AFIAU=AAFIAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AASAU=AAASAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASOAU=AASOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AKOAU=AAKOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ABEAU=AABEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ADEAU=AADEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ANOAU=AANOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASWAU=AASWAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AGRAU=AAGRAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AIRAU=AAIRAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR APOAU=AAPOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASPAU=AASPAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ANZAU=AANZAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASAAU=AASAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AVEAU=AAVEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ACOAU=AACOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AJOAU=AAJOAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASYAU=AASYAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AIDAU=AAIDAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AMAAU=AAMAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR APAAU=AAPAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR APHAU=AAPHAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ATHAU=AATHAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ACHAU=AACHAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AARAU=AAARAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ABRAU=AABRAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ACEAU=AACEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AMEAU=AAMEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR APEAU=AAPEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ATUAU=AATUAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR APDAU=AAPDAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ARUAU=AARUAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AUEAU=AAUEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AEGAU=AAEGAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AISAU=AAISAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AKEAU=AAKEAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ABAAU=AABAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AHKAU=AAHKAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ASIAU=AASIAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AVIAU=AAVIAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ANIAU=AANIAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AALAU=AAALAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AIAAU=AAIAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AINAU=AAINAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AIQAU=AAIQAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AKUAU=AAKUAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR ALIAU=AALIAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AUAAU=AAUAAU/SUMAU;                                                      
GENR AUSFR=AAUSFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ACAFR=AACAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AJAFR=AAJAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AAUFR=AAAUFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AGEFR=AAGEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AITFR=AAITFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ANEFR=AANEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASTFR=AASTFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AUKFR=AAUKFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AFIFR=AAFIFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AASFR=AAASFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASOFR=AASOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AKOFR=AAKOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ABEFR=AABEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ADEFR=AADEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ANOFR=AANOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASWFR=AASWFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AGRFR=AAGRFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AIRFR=AAIRFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR APOFR=AAPOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASPFR=AASPFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ANZFR=AANZFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASAFR=AASAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AVEFR=AAVEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ACOFR=AACOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AJOFR=AAJOFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASYFR=AASYFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AIDFR=AAIDFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AMAFR=AAMAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR APAFR=AAPAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR APHFR=AAPHFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ATHFR=AATHFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ACHFR=AACHFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AARFR=AAARFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ABRFR=AABRFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ACEFR=AACEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AMEFR=AAMEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR APEFR=AAPEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ATUFR=AATUFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR APDFR=AAPDFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ARUFR=AARUFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AUEFR=AAUEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AEGFR=AAEGFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AISFR=AAISFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AKEFR=AAKEFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ABAFR=AABAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AHKFR=AAHKFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ASIFR=AASIFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AVIFR=AAVIFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ANIFR=AANIFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AALFR=AAALFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AIAFR=AAIAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AINFR=AAINFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AIQFR=AAIQFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AKUFR=AAKUFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR ALIFR=AALIFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AUAFR=AAUAFR/SUMFR;                                                      
GENR AUSGE=AAUSGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ACAGE=AACAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AJAGE=AAJAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AAUGE=AAAUGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AFRGE=AAFRGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AITGE=AAITGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ANEGE=AANEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASTGE=AASTGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AUKGE=AAUKGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AFIGE=AAFIGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AASGE=AAASGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASOGE=AASOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AKOGE=AAKOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ABEGE=AABEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ADEGE=AADEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ANOGE=AANOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASWGE=AASWGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AGRGE=AAGRGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AIRGE=AAIRGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR APOGE=AAPOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASPGE=AASPGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ANZGE=AANZGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASAGE=AASAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AVEGE=AAVEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ACOGE=AACOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AJOGE=AAJOGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASYGE=AASYGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AIDGE=AAIDGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AMAGE=AAMAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR APAGE=AAPAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR APHGE=AAPHGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ATHGE=AATHGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ACHGE=AACHGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AARGE=AAARGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ABRGE=AABRGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ACEGE=AACEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AMEGE=AAMEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR APEGE=AAPEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ATUGE=AATUGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR APDGE=AAPDGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ARUGE=AARUGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AUEGE=AAUEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AEGGE=AAEGGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AISGE=AAISGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AKEGE=AAKEGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ABAGE=AABAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AHKGE=AAHKGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ASIGE=AASIGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AVIGE=AAVIGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ANIGE=AANIGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AALGE=AAALGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AIAGE=AAIAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AINGE=AAINGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AIQGE=AAIQGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AKUGE=AAKUGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR ALIGE=AALIGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AUAGE=AAUAGE/SUMGE;                                                      
GENR AUSIT=AAUSIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ACAIT=AACAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AJAIT=AAJAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AAUIT=AAAUIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AFRIT=AAFRIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AGEIT=AAGEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ANEIT=AANEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASTIT=AASTIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AUKIT=AAUKIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AFIIT=AAFIIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AASIT=AAASIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASOIT=AASOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AKOIT=AAKOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ABEIT=AABEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ADEIT=AADEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ANOIT=AANOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASWIT=AASWIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AGRIT=AAGRIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AIRIT=AAIRIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR APOIT=AAPOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASPIT=AASPIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ANZIT=AANZIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASAIT=AASAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AVEIT=AAVEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ACOIT=AACOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AJOIT=AAJOIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASYIT=AASYIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AIDIT=AAIDIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AMAIT=AAMAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR APAIT=AAPAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR APHIT=AAPHIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ATHIT=AATHIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ACHIT=AACHIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AARIT=AAARIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ABRIT=AABRIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ACEIT=AACEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AMEIT=AAMEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR APEIT=AAPEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ATUIT=AATUIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR APDIT=AAPDIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ARUIT=AARUIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AUEIT=AAUEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AEGIT=AAEGIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AISIT=AAISIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AKEIT=AAKEIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ABAIT=AABAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AHKIT=AAHKIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ASIIT=AASIIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AVIIT=AAVIIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ANIIT=AANIIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AALIT=AAALIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AIAIT=AAIAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AINIT=AAINIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AIQIT=AAIQIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AKUIT=AAKUIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR ALIIT=AALIIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AUAIT=AAUAIT/SUMIT;                                                      
GENR AUSNE=AAUSNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ACANE=AACANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AJANE=AAJANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AAUNE=AAAUNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AFRNE=AAFRNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AGENE=AAGENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AITNE=AAITNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASTNE=AASTNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AUKNE=AAUKNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AFINE=AAFINE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AASNE=AAASNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASONE=AASONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AKONE=AAKONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ABENE=AABENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ADENE=AADENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ANONE=AANONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASWNE=AASWNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AGRNE=AAGRNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AIRNE=AAIRNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR APONE=AAPONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASPNE=AASPNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ANZNE=AANZNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASANE=AASANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AVENE=AAVENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ACONE=AACONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AJONE=AAJONE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASYNE=AASYNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AIDNE=AAIDNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AMANE=AAMANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR APANE=AAPANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR APHNE=AAPHNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ATHNE=AATHNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ACHNE=AACHNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AARNE=AAARNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ABRNE=AABRNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ACENE=AACENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AMENE=AAMENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR APENE=AAPENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ATUNE=AATUNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR APDNE=AAPDNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ARUNE=AARUNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AUENE=AAUENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AEGNE=AAEGNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AISNE=AAISNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AKENE=AAKENE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ABANE=AABANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AHKNE=AAHKNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ASINE=AASINE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AVINE=AAVINE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ANINE=AANINE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AALNE=AAALNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AIANE=AAIANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AINNE=AAINNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AIQNE=AAIQNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AKUNE=AAKUNE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR ALINE=AALINE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AUANE=AAUANE/SUMNE;                                                      
GENR AUSST=AAUSST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ACAST=AACAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AJAST=AAJAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AAUST=AAAUST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AFRST=AAFRST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AGEST=AAGEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AITST=AAITST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ANEST=AANEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AUKST=AAUKST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AFIST=AAFIST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AASST=AAASST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASOST=AASOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AKOST=AAKOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ABEST=AABEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ADEST=AADEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ANOST=AANOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASWST=AASWST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AGRST=AAGRST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AIRST=AAIRST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR APOST=AAPOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASPST=AASPST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ANZST=AANZST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASAST=AASAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AVEST=AAVEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ACOST=AACOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AJOST=AAJOST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASYST=AASYST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AIDST=AAIDST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AMAST=AAMAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR APAST=AAPAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR APHST=AAPHST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ATHST=AATHST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ACHST=AACHST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AARST=AAARST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ABRST=AABRST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ACEST=AACEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AMEST=AAMEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR APEST=AAPEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ATUST=AATUST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR APDST=AAPDST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ARUST=AARUST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AUEST=AAUEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AEGST=AAEGST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AISST=AAISST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AKEST=AAKEST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ABAST=AABAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AHKST=AAHKST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ASIST=AASIST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AVIST=AAVIST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ANIST=AANIST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AALST=AAALST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AIAST=AAIAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AINST=AAINST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AIQST=AAIQST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AKUST=AAKUST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR ALIST=AALIST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AUAST=AAUAST/SUMST;                                                      
GENR AUSUK=AAUSUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ACAUK=AACAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AJAUK=AAJAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AAUUK=AAAUUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AFRUK=AAFRUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AGEUK=AAGEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AITUK=AAITUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ANEUK=AANEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASTUK=AASTUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AFIUK=AAFIUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AASUK=AAASUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASOUK=AASOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AKOUK=AAKOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ABEUK=AABEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ADEUK=AADEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ANOUK=AANOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASWUK=AASWUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AGRUK=AAGRUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AIRUK=AAIRUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR APOUK=AAPOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASPUK=AASPUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ANZUK=AANZUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASAUK=AASAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AVEUK=AAVEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ACOUK=AACOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AJOUK=AAJOUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASYUK=AASYUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AIDUK=AAIDUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AMAUK=AAMAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR APAUK=AAPAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR APHUK=AAPHUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ATHUK=AATHUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ACHUK=AACHUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AARUK=AAARUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ABRUK=AABRUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ACEUK=AACEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AMEUK=AAMEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR APEUK=AAPEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ATUUK=AATUUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR APDUK=AAPDUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ARUUK=AARUUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AUEUK=AAUEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AEGUK=AAEGUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AISUK=AAISUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AKEUK=AAKEUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ABAUK=AABAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AHKUK=AAHKUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ASIUK=AASIUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AVIUK=AAVIUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ANIUK=AANIUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AALUK=AAALUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AIAUK=AAIAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AINUK=AAINUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AIQUK=AAIQUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AKUUK=AAKUUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR ALIUK=AALIUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AUAUK=AAUAUK/SUMUK;                                                      
GENR AUSFI=AAUSFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ACAFI=AACAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AJAFI=AAJAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AAUFI=AAAUFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AFRFI=AAFRFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AGEFI=AAGEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AITFI=AAITFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ANEFI=AANEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASTFI=AASTFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AUKFI=AAUKFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AASFI=AAASFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASOFI=AASOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AKOFI=AAKOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ABEFI=AABEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ADEFI=AADEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ANOFI=AANOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASWFI=AASWFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AGRFI=AAGRFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AIRFI=AAIRFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR APOFI=AAPOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASPFI=AASPFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ANZFI=AANZFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASAFI=AASAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AVEFI=AAVEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ACOFI=AACOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AJOFI=AAJOFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASYFI=AASYFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AIDFI=AAIDFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AMAFI=AAMAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR APAFI=AAPAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR APHFI=AAPHFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ATHFI=AATHFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ACHFI=AACHFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AARFI=AAARFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ABRFI=AABRFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ACEFI=AACEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AMEFI=AAMEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR APEFI=AAPEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ATUFI=AATUFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR APDFI=AAPDFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ARUFI=AARUFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AUEFI=AAUEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AEGFI=AAEGFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AISFI=AAISFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AKEFI=AAKEFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ABAFI=AABAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AHKFI=AAHKFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ASIFI=AASIFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AVIFI=AAVIFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ANIFI=AANIFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AALFI=AAALFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AIAFI=AAIAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AINFI=AAINFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AIQFI=AAIQFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AKUFI=AAKUFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR ALIFI=AALIFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AUAFI=AAUAFI/SUMFI;                                                      
GENR AUSAS=AAUSAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ACAAS=AACAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AJAAS=AAJAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AAUAS=AAAUAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AFRAS=AAFRAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AGEAS=AAGEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AITAS=AAITAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ANEAS=AANEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASTAS=AASTAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AUKAS=AAUKAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AFIAS=AAFIAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASOAS=AASOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AKOAS=AAKOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ABEAS=AABEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ADEAS=AADEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ANOAS=AANOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASWAS=AASWAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AGRAS=AAGRAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AIRAS=AAIRAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR APOAS=AAPOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASPAS=AASPAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ANZAS=AANZAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASAAS=AASAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AVEAS=AAVEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ACOAS=AACOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AJOAS=AAJOAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASYAS=AASYAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AIDAS=AAIDAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AMAAS=AAMAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR APAAS=AAPAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR APHAS=AAPHAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ATHAS=AATHAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ACHAS=AACHAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AARAS=AAARAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ABRAS=AABRAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ACEAS=AACEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AMEAS=AAMEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR APEAS=AAPEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ATUAS=AATUAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR APDAS=AAPDAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ARUAS=AARUAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AUEAS=AAUEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AEGAS=AAEGAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AISAS=AAISAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AKEAS=AAKEAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ABAAS=AABAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AHKAS=AAHKAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ASIAS=AASIAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AVIAS=AAVIAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ANIAS=AANIAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AALAS=AAALAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AIAAS=AAIAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AINAS=AAINAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AIQAS=AAIQAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AKUAS=AAKUAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR ALIAS=AALIAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AUAAS=AAUAAS/SUMAS;                                                      
GENR AUSSO=AAUSSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ACASO=AACASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AJASO=AAJASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AAUSO=AAAUSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AFRSO=AAFRSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AGESO=AAGESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AITSO=AAITSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ANESO=AANESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASTSO=AASTSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AUKSO=AAUKSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AFISO=AAFISO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AASSO=AAASSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AKOSO=AAKOSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ABESO=AABESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ADESO=AADESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ANOSO=AANOSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASWSO=AASWSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AGRSO=AAGRSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AIRSO=AAIRSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR APOSO=AAPOSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASPSO=AASPSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ANZSO=AANZSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASASO=AASASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AVESO=AAVESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ACOSO=AACOSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AJOSO=AAJOSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASYSO=AASYSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AIDSO=AAIDSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AMASO=AAMASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR APASO=AAPASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR APHSO=AAPHSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ATHSO=AATHSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ACHSO=AACHSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AARSO=AAARSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ABRSO=AABRSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ACESO=AACESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AMESO=AAMESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR APESO=AAPESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ATUSO=AATUSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR APDSO=AAPDSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ARUSO=AARUSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AUESO=AAUESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AEGSO=AAEGSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AISSO=AAISSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AKESO=AAKESO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ABASO=AABASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AHKSO=AAHKSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ASISO=AASISO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AVISO=AAVISO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ANISO=AANISO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AALSO=AAALSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AIASO=AAIASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AINSO=AAINSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AIQSO=AAIQSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AKUSO=AAKUSO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR ALISO=AALISO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AUASO=AAUASO/SUMSO;                                                      
GENR AUSKO=AAUSKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ACAKO=AACAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AJAKO=AAJAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AAUKO=AAAUKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AFRKO=AAFRKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AGEKO=AAGEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AITKO=AAITKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ANEKO=AANEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASTKO=AASTKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AUKKO=AAUKKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AFIKO=AAFIKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AASKO=AAASKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASOKO=AASOKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ABEKO=AABEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ADEKO=AADEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ANOKO=AANOKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASWKO=AASWKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AGRKO=AAGRKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AIRKO=AAIRKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR APOKO=AAPOKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASPKO=AASPKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ANZKO=AANZKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASAKO=AASAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AVEKO=AAVEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ACOKO=AACOKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AJOKO=AAJOKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASYKO=AASYKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AIDKO=AAIDKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AMAKO=AAMAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR APAKO=AAPAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR APHKO=AAPHKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ATHKO=AATHKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ACHKO=AACHKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AARKO=AAARKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ABRKO=AABRKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ACEKO=AACEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AMEKO=AAMEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR APEKO=AAPEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ATUKO=AATUKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR APDKO=AAPDKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ARUKO=AARUKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AUEKO=AAUEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AEGKO=AAEGKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AISKO=AAISKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AKEKO=AAKEKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ABAKO=AABAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AHKKO=AAHKKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ASIKO=AASIKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AVIKO=AAVIKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ANIKO=AANIKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AALKO=AAALKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AIAKO=AAIAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AINKO=AAINKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AIQKO=AAIQKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AKUKO=AAKUKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR ALIKO=AALIKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AUAKO=AAUAKO/SUMKO;                                                      
GENR AUSBE=AAUSBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ACABE=AACABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AJABE=AAJABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AAUBE=AAAUBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AFRBE=AAFRBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AGEBE=AAGEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AITBE=AAITBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ANEBE=AANEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASTBE=AASTBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AUKBE=AAUKBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AFIBE=AAFIBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AASBE=AAASBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASOBE=AASOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AKOBE=AAKOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ADEBE=AADEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ANOBE=AANOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASWBE=AASWBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AGRBE=AAGRBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AIRBE=AAIRBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR APOBE=AAPOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASPBE=AASPBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ANZBE=AANZBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASABE=AASABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AVEBE=AAVEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ACOBE=AACOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AJOBE=AAJOBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASYBE=AASYBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AIDBE=AAIDBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AMABE=AAMABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR APABE=AAPABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR APHBE=AAPHBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ATHBE=AATHBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ACHBE=AACHBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AARBE=AAARBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ABRBE=AABRBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ACEBE=AACEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AMEBE=AAMEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR APEBE=AAPEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ATUBE=AATUBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR APDBE=AAPDBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ARUBE=AARUBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AUEBE=AAUEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AEGBE=AAEGBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AISBE=AAISBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AKEBE=AAKEBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ABABE=AABABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AHKBE=AAHKBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ASIBE=AASIBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AVIBE=AAVIBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ANIBE=AANIBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AALBE=AAALBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AIABE=AAIABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AINBE=AAINBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AIQBE=AAIQBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AKUBE=AAKUBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR ALIBE=AALIBE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AUABE=AAUABE/SUMBE;                                                      
GENR AUSDE=AAUSDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ACADE=AACADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AJADE=AAJADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AAUDE=AAAUDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AFRDE=AAFRDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AGEDE=AAGEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AITDE=AAITDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ANEDE=AANEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASTDE=AASTDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AUKDE=AAUKDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AFIDE=AAFIDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AASDE=AAASDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASODE=AASODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AKODE=AAKODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ABEDE=AABEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ANODE=AANODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASWDE=AASWDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AGRDE=AAGRDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AIRDE=AAIRDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR APODE=AAPODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASPDE=AASPDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ANZDE=AANZDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASADE=AASADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AVEDE=AAVEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ACODE=AACODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AJODE=AAJODE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASYDE=AASYDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AIDDE=AAIDDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AMADE=AAMADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR APADE=AAPADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR APHDE=AAPHDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ATHDE=AATHDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ACHDE=AACHDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AARDE=AAARDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ABRDE=AABRDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ACEDE=AACEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AMEDE=AAMEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR APEDE=AAPEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ATUDE=AATUDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR APDDE=AAPDDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ARUDE=AARUDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AUEDE=AAUEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AEGDE=AAEGDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AISDE=AAISDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AKEDE=AAKEDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ABADE=AABADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AHKDE=AAHKDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ASIDE=AASIDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AVIDE=AAVIDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ANIDE=AANIDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AALDE=AAALDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AIADE=AAIADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AINDE=AAINDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AIQDE=AAIQDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AKUDE=AAKUDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR ALIDE=AALIDE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AUADE=AAUADE/SUMDE;                                                      
GENR AUSNO=AAUSNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ACANO=AACANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AJANO=AAJANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AAUNO=AAAUNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AFRNO=AAFRNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AGENO=AAGENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AITNO=AAITNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ANENO=AANENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASTNO=AASTNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AUKNO=AAUKNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AFINO=AAFINO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AASNO=AAASNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASONO=AASONO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AKONO=AAKONO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ABENO=AABENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ADENO=AADENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASWNO=AASWNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AGRNO=AAGRNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AIRNO=AAIRNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR APONO=AAPONO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASPNO=AASPNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ANZNO=AANZNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASANO=AASANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AVENO=AAVENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ACONO=AACONO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AJONO=AAJONO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASYNO=AASYNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AIDNO=AAIDNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AMANO=AAMANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR APANO=AAPANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR APHNO=AAPHNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ATHNO=AATHNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ACHNO=AACHNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AARNO=AAARNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ABRNO=AABRNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ACENO=AACENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AMENO=AAMENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR APENO=AAPENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ATUNO=AATUNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR APDNO=AAPDNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ARUNO=AARUNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AUENO=AAUENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AEGNO=AAEGNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AISNO=AAISNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AKENO=AAKENO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ABANO=AABANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AHKNO=AAHKNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ASINO=AASINO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AVINO=AAVINO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ANINO=AANINO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AALNO=AAALNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AIANO=AAIANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AINNO=AAINNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AIQNO=AAIQNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AKUNO=AAKUNO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR ALINO=AALINO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AUANO=AAUANO/SUMNO;                                                      
GENR AUSSW=AAUSSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ACASW=AACASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AJASW=AAJASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AAUSW=AAAUSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AFRSW=AAFRSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AGESW=AAGESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AITSW=AAITSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ANESW=AANESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASTSW=AASTSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AUKSW=AAUKSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AFISW=AAFISW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AASSW=AAASSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASOSW=AASOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AKOSW=AAKOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ABESW=AABESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ADESW=AADESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ANOSW=AANOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AGRSW=AAGRSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AIRSW=AAIRSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR APOSW=AAPOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASPSW=AASPSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ANZSW=AANZSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASASW=AASASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AVESW=AAVESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ACOSW=AACOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AJOSW=AAJOSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASYSW=AASYSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AIDSW=AAIDSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AMASW=AAMASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR APASW=AAPASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR APHSW=AAPHSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ATHSW=AATHSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ACHSW=AACHSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AARSW=AAARSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ABRSW=AABRSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ACESW=AACESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AMESW=AAMESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR APESW=AAPESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ATUSW=AATUSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR APDSW=AAPDSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ARUSW=AARUSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AUESW=AAUESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AEGSW=AAEGSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AISSW=AAISSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AKESW=AAKESW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ABASW=AABASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AHKSW=AAHKSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ASISW=AASISW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AVISW=AAVISW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ANISW=AANISW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AALSW=AAALSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AIASW=AAIASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AINSW=AAINSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AIQSW=AAIQSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AKUSW=AAKUSW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR ALISW=AALISW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AUASW=AAUASW/SUMSW;                                                      
GENR AUSGR=AAUSGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ACAGR=AACAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AJAGR=AAJAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AAUGR=AAAUGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AFRGR=AAFRGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AGEGR=AAGEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AITGR=AAITGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ANEGR=AANEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASTGR=AASTGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AUKGR=AAUKGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AFIGR=AAFIGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AASGR=AAASGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASOGR=AASOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AKOGR=AAKOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ABEGR=AABEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ADEGR=AADEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ANOGR=AANOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASWGR=AASWGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AIRGR=AAIRGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR APOGR=AAPOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASPGR=AASPGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ANZGR=AANZGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASAGR=AASAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AVEGR=AAVEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ACOGR=AACOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AJOGR=AAJOGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASYGR=AASYGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AIDGR=AAIDGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AMAGR=AAMAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR APAGR=AAPAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR APHGR=AAPHGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ATHGR=AATHGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ACHGR=AACHGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AARGR=AAARGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ABRGR=AABRGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ACEGR=AACEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AMEGR=AAMEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR APEGR=AAPEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ATUGR=AATUGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR APDGR=AAPDGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ARUGR=AARUGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AUEGR=AAUEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AEGGR=AAEGGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AISGR=AAISGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AKEGR=AAKEGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ABAGR=AABAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AHKGR=AAHKGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ASIGR=AASIGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AVIGR=AAVIGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ANIGR=AANIGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AALGR=AAALGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AIAGR=AAIAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AINGR=AAINGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AIQGR=AAIQGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AKUGR=AAKUGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR ALIGR=AALIGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AUAGR=AAUAGR/SUMGR;                                                      
GENR AUSIR=AAUSIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ACAIR=AACAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AJAIR=AAJAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AAUIR=AAAUIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AFRIR=AAFRIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AGEIR=AAGEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AITIR=AAITIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ANEIR=AANEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASTIR=AASTIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AUKIR=AAUKIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AFIIR=AAFIIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AASIR=AAASIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASOIR=AASOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AKOIR=AAKOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ABEIR=AABEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ADEIR=AADEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ANOIR=AANOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASWIR=AASWIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AGRIR=AAGRIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR APOIR=AAPOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASPIR=AASPIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ANZIR=AANZIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASAIR=AASAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AVEIR=AAVEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ACOIR=AACOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AJOIR=AAJOIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASYIR=AASYIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AIDIR=AAIDIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AMAIR=AAMAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR APAIR=AAPAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR APHIR=AAPHIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ATHIR=AATHIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ACHIR=AACHIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AARIR=AAARIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ABRIR=AABRIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ACEIR=AACEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AMEIR=AAMEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR APEIR=AAPEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ATUIR=AATUIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR APDIR=AAPDIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ARUIR=AARUIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AUEIR=AAUEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AEGIR=AAEGIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AISIR=AAISIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AKEIR=AAKEIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ABAIR=AABAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AHKIR=AAHKIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ASIIR=AASIIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AVIIR=AAVIIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ANIIR=AANIIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AALIR=AAALIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AIAIR=AAIAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AINIR=AAINIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AIQIR=AAIQIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AKUIR=AAKUIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR ALIIR=AALIIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AUAIR=AAUAIR/SUMIR;                                                      
GENR AUSPO=AAUSPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ACAPO=AACAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AJAPO=AAJAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AAUPO=AAAUPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AFRPO=AAFRPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AGEPO=AAGEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AITPO=AAITPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ANEPO=AANEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASTPO=AASTPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AUKPO=AAUKPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AFIPO=AAFIPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AASPO=AAASPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASOPO=AASOPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AKOPO=AAKOPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ABEPO=AABEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ADEPO=AADEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ANOPO=AANOPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASWPO=AASWPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AGRPO=AAGRPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AIRPO=AAIRPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASPPO=AASPPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ANZPO=AANZPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASAPO=AASAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AVEPO=AAVEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ACOPO=AACOPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AJOPO=AAJOPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASYPO=AASYPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AIDPO=AAIDPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AMAPO=AAMAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR APAPO=AAPAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR APHPO=AAPHPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ATHPO=AATHPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ACHPO=AACHPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AARPO=AAARPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ABRPO=AABRPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ACEPO=AACEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AMEPO=AAMEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR APEPO=AAPEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ATUPO=AATUPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR APDPO=AAPDPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ARUPO=AARUPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AUEPO=AAUEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AEGPO=AAEGPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AISPO=AAISPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AKEPO=AAKEPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ABAPO=AABAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AHKPO=AAHKPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ASIPO=AASIPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AVIPO=AAVIPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ANIPO=AANIPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AALPO=AAALPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AIAPO=AAIAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AINPO=AAINPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AIQPO=AAIQPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AKUPO=AAKUPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR ALIPO=AALIPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AUAPO=AAUAPO/SUMPO;                                                      
GENR AUSSP=AAUSSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ACASP=AACASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AJASP=AAJASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AAUSP=AAAUSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AFRSP=AAFRSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AGESP=AAGESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AITSP=AAITSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ANESP=AANESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASTSP=AASTSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AUKSP=AAUKSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AFISP=AAFISP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AASSP=AAASSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASOSP=AASOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AKOSP=AAKOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ABESP=AABESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ADESP=AADESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ANOSP=AANOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASWSP=AASWSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AGRSP=AAGRSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AIRSP=AAIRSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR APOSP=AAPOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ANZSP=AANZSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASASP=AASASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AVESP=AAVESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ACOSP=AACOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AJOSP=AAJOSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASYSP=AASYSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AIDSP=AAIDSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AMASP=AAMASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR APASP=AAPASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR APHSP=AAPHSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ATHSP=AATHSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ACHSP=AACHSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AARSP=AAARSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ABRSP=AABRSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ACESP=AACESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AMESP=AAMESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR APESP=AAPESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ATUSP=AATUSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR APDSP=AAPDSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ARUSP=AARUSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AUESP=AAUESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AEGSP=AAEGSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AISSP=AAISSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AKESP=AAKESP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ABASP=AABASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AHKSP=AAHKSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ASISP=AASISP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AVISP=AAVISP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ANISP=AANISP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AALSP=AAALSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AIASP=AAIASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AINSP=AAINSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AIQSP=AAIQSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AKUSP=AAKUSP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR ALISP=AALISP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AUASP=AAUASP/SUMSP;                                                      
GENR AUSNZ=AAUSNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ACANZ=AACANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AJANZ=AAJANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AAUNZ=AAAUNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AFRNZ=AAFRNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AGENZ=AAGENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AITNZ=AAITNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ANENZ=AANENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASTNZ=AASTNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AUKNZ=AAUKNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AFINZ=AAFINZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AASNZ=AAASNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASONZ=AASONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AKONZ=AAKONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ABENZ=AABENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ADENZ=AADENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ANONZ=AANONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASWNZ=AASWNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AGRNZ=AAGRNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AIRNZ=AAIRNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR APONZ=AAPONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASPNZ=AASPNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASANZ=AASANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AVENZ=AAVENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ACONZ=AACONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AJONZ=AAJONZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASYNZ=AASYNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AIDNZ=AAIDNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AMANZ=AAMANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR APANZ=AAPANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR APHNZ=AAPHNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ATHNZ=AATHNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ACHNZ=AACHNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AARNZ=AAARNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ABRNZ=AABRNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ACENZ=AACENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AMENZ=AAMENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR APENZ=AAPENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ATUNZ=AATUNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR APDNZ=AAPDNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ARUNZ=AARUNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AUENZ=AAUENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AEGNZ=AAEGNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AISNZ=AAISNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AKENZ=AAKENZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ABANZ=AABANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AHKNZ=AAHKNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ASINZ=AASINZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AVINZ=AAVINZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ANINZ=AANINZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AALNZ=AAALNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AIANZ=AAIANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AINNZ=AAINNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AIQNZ=AAIQNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AKUNZ=AAKUNZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR ALINZ=AALINZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AUANZ=AAUANZ/SUMNZ;                                                      
GENR AUSSA=AAUSSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ACASA=AACASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AJASA=AAJASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AAUSA=AAAUSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AFRSA=AAFRSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AGESA=AAGESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AITSA=AAITSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ANESA=AANESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASTSA=AASTSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AUKSA=AAUKSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AFISA=AAFISA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AASSA=AAASSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASOSA=AASOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AKOSA=AAKOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ABESA=AABESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ADESA=AADESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ANOSA=AANOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASWSA=AASWSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AGRSA=AAGRSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AIRSA=AAIRSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR APOSA=AAPOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASPSA=AASPSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ANZSA=AANZSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AVESA=AAVESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ACOSA=AACOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AJOSA=AAJOSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASYSA=AASYSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AIDSA=AAIDSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AMASA=AAMASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR APASA=AAPASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR APHSA=AAPHSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ATHSA=AATHSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ACHSA=AACHSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AARSA=AAARSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ABRSA=AABRSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ACESA=AACESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AMESA=AAMESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR APESA=AAPESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ATUSA=AATUSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR APDSA=AAPDSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ARUSA=AARUSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AUESA=AAUESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AEGSA=AAEGSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AISSA=AAISSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AKESA=AAKESA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ABASA=AABASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AHKSA=AAHKSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ASISA=AASISA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AVISA=AAVISA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ANISA=AANISA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AALSA=AAALSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AIASA=AAIASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AINSA=AAINSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AIQSA=AAIQSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AKUSA=AAKUSA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR ALISA=AALISA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AUASA=AAUASA/SUMSA;                                                      
GENR AUSVE=AAUSVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ACAVE=AACAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AJAVE=AAJAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AAUVE=AAAUVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AFRVE=AAFRVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AGEVE=AAGEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AITVE=AAITVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ANEVE=AANEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASTVE=AASTVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AUKVE=AAUKVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AFIVE=AAFIVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AASVE=AAASVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASOVE=AASOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AKOVE=AAKOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ABEVE=AABEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ADEVE=AADEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ANOVE=AANOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASWVE=AASWVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AGRVE=AAGRVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AIRVE=AAIRVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR APOVE=AAPOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASPVE=AASPVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ANZVE=AANZVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASAVE=AASAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ACOVE=AACOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AJOVE=AAJOVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASYVE=AASYVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AIDVE=AAIDVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AMAVE=AAMAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR APAVE=AAPAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR APHVE=AAPHVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ATHVE=AATHVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ACHVE=AACHVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AARVE=AAARVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ABRVE=AABRVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ACEVE=AACEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AMEVE=AAMEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR APEVE=AAPEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ATUVE=AATUVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR APDVE=AAPDVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ARUVE=AARUVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AUEVE=AAUEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AEGVE=AAEGVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AISVE=AAISVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AKEVE=AAKEVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ABAVE=AABAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AHKVE=AAHKVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ASIVE=AASIVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AVIVE=AAVIVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ANIVE=AANIVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AALVE=AAALVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AIAVE=AAIAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AINVE=AAINVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AIQVE=AAIQVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AKUVE=AAKUVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR ALIVE=AALIVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AUAVE=AAUAVE/SUMVE;                                                      
GENR AUSCO=AAUSCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ACACO=AACACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AJACO=AAJACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AAUCO=AAAUCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AFRCO=AAFRCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AGECO=AAGECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AITCO=AAITCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ANECO=AANECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASTCO=AASTCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AUKCO=AAUKCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AFICO=AAFICO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AASCO=AAASCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASOCO=AASOCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AKOCO=AAKOCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ABECO=AABECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ADECO=AADECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ANOCO=AANOCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASWCO=AASWCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AGRCO=AAGRCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AIRCO=AAIRCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR APOCO=AAPOCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASPCO=AASPCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ANZCO=AANZCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASACO=AASACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AVECO=AAVECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AJOCO=AAJOCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASYCO=AASYCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AIDCO=AAIDCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AMACO=AAMACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR APACO=AAPACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR APHCO=AAPHCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ATHCO=AATHCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ACHCO=AACHCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AARCO=AAARCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ABRCO=AABRCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ACECO=AACECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AMECO=AAMECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR APECO=AAPECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ATUCO=AATUCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR APDCO=AAPDCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ARUCO=AARUCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AUECO=AAUECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AEGCO=AAEGCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AISCO=AAISCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AKECO=AAKECO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ABACO=AABACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AHKCO=AAHKCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ASICO=AASICO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AVICO=AAVICO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ANICO=AANICO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AALCO=AAALCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AIACO=AAIACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AINCO=AAINCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AIQCO=AAIQCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AKUCO=AAKUCO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR ALICO=AALICO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AUACO=AAUACO/SUMCO;                                                      
GENR AUSJO=AAUSJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ACAJO=AACAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AJAJO=AAJAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AAUJO=AAAUJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AFRJO=AAFRJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AGEJO=AAGEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AITJO=AAITJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ANEJO=AANEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASTJO=AASTJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AUKJO=AAUKJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AFIJO=AAFIJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AASJO=AAASJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASOJO=AASOJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AKOJO=AAKOJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ABEJO=AABEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ADEJO=AADEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ANOJO=AANOJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASWJO=AASWJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AGRJO=AAGRJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AIRJO=AAIRJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR APOJO=AAPOJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASPJO=AASPJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ANZJO=AANZJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASAJO=AASAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AVEJO=AAVEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ACOJO=AACOJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASYJO=AASYJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AIDJO=AAIDJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AMAJO=AAMAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR APAJO=AAPAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR APHJO=AAPHJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ATHJO=AATHJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ACHJO=AACHJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AARJO=AAARJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ABRJO=AABRJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ACEJO=AACEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AMEJO=AAMEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR APEJO=AAPEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ATUJO=AATUJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR APDJO=AAPDJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ARUJO=AARUJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AUEJO=AAUEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AEGJO=AAEGJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AISJO=AAISJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AKEJO=AAKEJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ABAJO=AABAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AHKJO=AAHKJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ASIJO=AASIJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AVIJO=AAVIJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ANIJO=AANIJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AALJO=AAALJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AIAJO=AAIAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AINJO=AAINJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AIQJO=AAIQJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AKUJO=AAKUJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR ALIJO=AALIJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AUAJO=AAUAJO/SUMJO;                                                      
GENR AUSSY=AAUSSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ACASY=AACASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AJASY=AAJASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AAUSY=AAAUSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AFRSY=AAFRSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AGESY=AAGESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AITSY=AAITSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ANESY=AANESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASTSY=AASTSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AUKSY=AAUKSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AFISY=AAFISY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AASSY=AAASSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASOSY=AASOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AKOSY=AAKOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ABESY=AABESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ADESY=AADESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ANOSY=AANOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASWSY=AASWSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AGRSY=AAGRSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AIRSY=AAIRSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR APOSY=AAPOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASPSY=AASPSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ANZSY=AANZSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASASY=AASASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AVESY=AAVESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ACOSY=AACOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AJOSY=AAJOSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AIDSY=AAIDSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AMASY=AAMASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR APASY=AAPASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR APHSY=AAPHSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ATHSY=AATHSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ACHSY=AACHSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AARSY=AAARSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ABRSY=AABRSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ACESY=AACESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AMESY=AAMESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR APESY=AAPESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ATUSY=AATUSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR APDSY=AAPDSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ARUSY=AARUSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AUESY=AAUESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AEGSY=AAEGSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AISSY=AAISSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AKESY=AAKESY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ABASY=AABASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AHKSY=AAHKSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ASISY=AASISY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AVISY=AAVISY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ANISY=AANISY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AALSY=AAALSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AIASY=AAIASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AINSY=AAINSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AIQSY=AAIQSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AKUSY=AAKUSY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR ALISY=AALISY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AUASY=AAUASY/SUMSY;                                                      
GENR AUSID=AAUSID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ACAID=AACAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AJAID=AAJAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AAUID=AAAUID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AFRID=AAFRID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AGEID=AAGEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AITID=AAITID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ANEID=AANEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASTID=AASTID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AUKID=AAUKID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AFIID=AAFIID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AASID=AAASID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASOID=AASOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AKOID=AAKOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ABEID=AABEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ADEID=AADEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ANOID=AANOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASWID=AASWID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AGRID=AAGRID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AIRID=AAIRID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR APOID=AAPOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASPID=AASPID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ANZID=AANZID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASAID=AASAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AVEID=AAVEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ACOID=AACOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AJOID=AAJOID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASYID=AASYID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AMAID=AAMAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR APAID=AAPAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR APHID=AAPHID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ATHID=AATHID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ACHID=AACHID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AARID=AAARID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ABRID=AABRID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ACEID=AACEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AMEID=AAMEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR APEID=AAPEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ATUID=AATUID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR APDID=AAPDID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ARUID=AARUID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AUEID=AAUEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AEGID=AAEGID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AISID=AAISID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AKEID=AAKEID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ABAID=AABAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AHKID=AAHKID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ASIID=AASIID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AVIID=AAVIID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ANIID=AANIID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AALID=AAALID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AIAID=AAIAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AINID=AAINID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AIQID=AAIQID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AKUID=AAKUID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR ALIID=AALIID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AUAID=AAUAID/SUMID;                                                      
GENR AUSMA=AAUSMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ACAMA=AACAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AJAMA=AAJAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AAUMA=AAAUMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AFRMA=AAFRMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AGEMA=AAGEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AITMA=AAITMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ANEMA=AANEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASTMA=AASTMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AUKMA=AAUKMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AFIMA=AAFIMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AASMA=AAASMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASOMA=AASOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AKOMA=AAKOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ABEMA=AABEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ADEMA=AADEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ANOMA=AANOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASWMA=AASWMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AGRMA=AAGRMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AIRMA=AAIRMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR APOMA=AAPOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASPMA=AASPMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ANZMA=AANZMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASAMA=AASAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AVEMA=AAVEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ACOMA=AACOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AJOMA=AAJOMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASYMA=AASYMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AIDMA=AAIDMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR APAMA=AAPAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR APHMA=AAPHMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ATHMA=AATHMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ACHMA=AACHMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AARMA=AAARMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ABRMA=AABRMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ACEMA=AACEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AMEMA=AAMEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR APEMA=AAPEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ATUMA=AATUMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR APDMA=AAPDMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ARUMA=AARUMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AUEMA=AAUEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AEGMA=AAEGMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AISMA=AAISMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AKEMA=AAKEMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ABAMA=AABAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AHKMA=AAHKMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ASIMA=AASIMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AVIMA=AAVIMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ANIMA=AANIMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AALMA=AAALMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AIAMA=AAIAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AINMA=AAINMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AIQMA=AAIQMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AKUMA=AAKUMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR ALIMA=AALIMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AUAMA=AAUAMA/SUMMA;                                                      
GENR AUSPA=AAUSPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ACAPA=AACAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AJAPA=AAJAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AAUPA=AAAUPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AFRPA=AAFRPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AGEPA=AAGEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AITPA=AAITPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ANEPA=AANEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASTPA=AASTPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AUKPA=AAUKPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AFIPA=AAFIPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AASPA=AAASPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASOPA=AASOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AKOPA=AAKOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ABEPA=AABEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ADEPA=AADEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ANOPA=AANOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASWPA=AASWPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AGRPA=AAGRPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AIRPA=AAIRPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR APOPA=AAPOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASPPA=AASPPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ANZPA=AANZPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASAPA=AASAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AVEPA=AAVEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ACOPA=AACOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AJOPA=AAJOPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASYPA=AASYPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AIDPA=AAIDPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AMAPA=AAMAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR APHPA=AAPHPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ATHPA=AATHPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ACHPA=AACHPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AARPA=AAARPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ABRPA=AABRPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ACEPA=AACEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AMEPA=AAMEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR APEPA=AAPEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ATUPA=AATUPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR APDPA=AAPDPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ARUPA=AARUPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AUEPA=AAUEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AEGPA=AAEGPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AISPA=AAISPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AKEPA=AAKEPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ABAPA=AABAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AHKPA=AAHKPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ASIPA=AASIPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AVIPA=AAVIPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ANIPA=AANIPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AALPA=AAALPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AIAPA=AAIAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AINPA=AAINPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AIQPA=AAIQPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AKUPA=AAKUPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR ALIPA=AALIPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AUAPA=AAUAPA/SUMPA;                                                      
GENR AUSPH=AAUSPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ACAPH=AACAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AJAPH=AAJAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AAUPH=AAAUPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AFRPH=AAFRPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AGEPH=AAGEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AITPH=AAITPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ANEPH=AANEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASTPH=AASTPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AUKPH=AAUKPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AFIPH=AAFIPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AASPH=AAASPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASOPH=AASOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AKOPH=AAKOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ABEPH=AABEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ADEPH=AADEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ANOPH=AANOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASWPH=AASWPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AGRPH=AAGRPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AIRPH=AAIRPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR APOPH=AAPOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASPPH=AASPPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ANZPH=AANZPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASAPH=AASAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AVEPH=AAVEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ACOPH=AACOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AJOPH=AAJOPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASYPH=AASYPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AIDPH=AAIDPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AMAPH=AAMAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR APAPH=AAPAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ATHPH=AATHPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ACHPH=AACHPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AARPH=AAARPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ABRPH=AABRPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ACEPH=AACEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AMEPH=AAMEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR APEPH=AAPEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ATUPH=AATUPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR APDPH=AAPDPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ARUPH=AARUPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AUEPH=AAUEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AEGPH=AAEGPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AISPH=AAISPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AKEPH=AAKEPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ABAPH=AABAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AHKPH=AAHKPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ASIPH=AASIPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AVIPH=AAVIPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ANIPH=AANIPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AALPH=AAALPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AIAPH=AAIAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AINPH=AAINPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AIQPH=AAIQPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AKUPH=AAKUPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR ALIPH=AALIPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AUAPH=AAUAPH/SUMPH;                                                      
GENR AUSTH=AAUSTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ACATH=AACATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AJATH=AAJATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AAUTH=AAAUTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AFRTH=AAFRTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AGETH=AAGETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AITTH=AAITTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ANETH=AANETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASTTH=AASTTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AUKTH=AAUKTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AFITH=AAFITH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AASTH=AAASTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASOTH=AASOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AKOTH=AAKOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ABETH=AABETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ADETH=AADETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ANOTH=AANOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASWTH=AASWTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AGRTH=AAGRTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AIRTH=AAIRTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR APOTH=AAPOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASPTH=AASPTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ANZTH=AANZTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASATH=AASATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AVETH=AAVETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ACOTH=AACOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AJOTH=AAJOTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASYTH=AASYTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AIDTH=AAIDTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AMATH=AAMATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR APATH=AAPATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR APHTH=AAPHTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ACHTH=AACHTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AARTH=AAARTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ABRTH=AABRTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ACETH=AACETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AMETH=AAMETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR APETH=AAPETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ATUTH=AATUTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR APDTH=AAPDTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ARUTH=AARUTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AUETH=AAUETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AEGTH=AAEGTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AISTH=AAISTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AKETH=AAKETH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ABATH=AABATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AHKTH=AAHKTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ASITH=AASITH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AVITH=AAVITH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ANITH=AANITH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AALTH=AAALTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AIATH=AAIATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AINTH=AAINTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AIQTH=AAIQTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AKUTH=AAKUTH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR ALITH=AALITH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AUATH=AAUATH/SUMTH;                                                      
GENR AUSCH=AAUSCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ACACH=AACACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AJACH=AAJACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AAUCH=AAAUCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AFRCH=AAFRCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AGECH=AAGECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AITCH=AAITCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ANECH=AANECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASTCH=AASTCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AUKCH=AAUKCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AFICH=AAFICH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AASCH=AAASCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASOCH=AASOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AKOCH=AAKOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ABECH=AABECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ADECH=AADECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ANOCH=AANOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASWCH=AASWCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AGRCH=AAGRCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AIRCH=AAIRCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR APOCH=AAPOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASPCH=AASPCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ANZCH=AANZCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASACH=AASACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AVECH=AAVECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ACOCH=AACOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AJOCH=AAJOCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASYCH=AASYCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AIDCH=AAIDCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AMACH=AAMACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR APACH=AAPACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR APHCH=AAPHCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ATHCH=AATHCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AARCH=AAARCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ABRCH=AABRCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ACECH=AACECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AMECH=AAMECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR APECH=AAPECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ATUCH=AATUCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR APDCH=AAPDCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ARUCH=AARUCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AUECH=AAUECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AEGCH=AAEGCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AISCH=AAISCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AKECH=AAKECH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ABACH=AABACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AHKCH=AAHKCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ASICH=AASICH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AVICH=AAVICH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ANICH=AANICH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AALCH=AAALCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AIACH=AAIACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AINCH=AAINCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AIQCH=AAIQCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AKUCH=AAKUCH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR ALICH=AALICH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AUACH=AAUACH/SUMCH;                                                      
GENR AUSAR=AAUSAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ACAAR=AACAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AJAAR=AAJAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AAUAR=AAAUAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AFRAR=AAFRAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AGEAR=AAGEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AITAR=AAITAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ANEAR=AANEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASTAR=AASTAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AUKAR=AAUKAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AFIAR=AAFIAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AASAR=AAASAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASOAR=AASOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AKOAR=AAKOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ABEAR=AABEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ADEAR=AADEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ANOAR=AANOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASWAR=AASWAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AGRAR=AAGRAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AIRAR=AAIRAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR APOAR=AAPOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASPAR=AASPAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ANZAR=AANZAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASAAR=AASAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AVEAR=AAVEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ACOAR=AACOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AJOAR=AAJOAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASYAR=AASYAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AIDAR=AAIDAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AMAAR=AAMAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR APAAR=AAPAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR APHAR=AAPHAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ATHAR=AATHAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ACHAR=AACHAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ABRAR=AABRAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ACEAR=AACEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AMEAR=AAMEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR APEAR=AAPEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ATUAR=AATUAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR APDAR=AAPDAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ARUAR=AARUAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AUEAR=AAUEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AEGAR=AAEGAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AISAR=AAISAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AKEAR=AAKEAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ABAAR=AABAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AHKAR=AAHKAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ASIAR=AASIAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AVIAR=AAVIAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ANIAR=AANIAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AALAR=AAALAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AIAAR=AAIAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AINAR=AAINAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AIQAR=AAIQAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AKUAR=AAKUAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR ALIAR=AALIAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AUAAR=AAUAAR/SUMAR;                                                      
GENR AUSBR=AAUSBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ACABR=AACABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AJABR=AAJABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AAUBR=AAAUBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AFRBR=AAFRBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AGEBR=AAGEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AITBR=AAITBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ANEBR=AANEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASTBR=AASTBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AUKBR=AAUKBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AFIBR=AAFIBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AASBR=AAASBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASOBR=AASOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AKOBR=AAKOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ABEBR=AABEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ADEBR=AADEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ANOBR=AANOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASWBR=AASWBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AGRBR=AAGRBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AIRBR=AAIRBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR APOBR=AAPOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASPBR=AASPBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ANZBR=AANZBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASABR=AASABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AVEBR=AAVEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ACOBR=AACOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AJOBR=AAJOBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASYBR=AASYBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AIDBR=AAIDBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AMABR=AAMABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR APABR=AAPABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR APHBR=AAPHBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ATHBR=AATHBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ACHBR=AACHBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AARBR=AAARBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ACEBR=AACEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AMEBR=AAMEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR APEBR=AAPEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ATUBR=AATUBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR APDBR=AAPDBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ARUBR=AARUBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AUEBR=AAUEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AEGBR=AAEGBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AISBR=AAISBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AKEBR=AAKEBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ABABR=AABABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AHKBR=AAHKBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ASIBR=AASIBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AVIBR=AAVIBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ANIBR=AANIBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AALBR=AAALBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AIABR=AAIABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AINBR=AAINBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AIQBR=AAIQBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AKUBR=AAKUBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR ALIBR=AALIBR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AUABR=AAUABR/SUMBR;                                                      
GENR AUSCE=AAUSCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ACACE=AACACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AJACE=AAJACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AAUCE=AAAUCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AFRCE=AAFRCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AGECE=AAGECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AITCE=AAITCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ANECE=AANECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASTCE=AASTCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AUKCE=AAUKCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AFICE=AAFICE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AASCE=AAASCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASOCE=AASOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AKOCE=AAKOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ABECE=AABECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ADECE=AADECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ANOCE=AANOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASWCE=AASWCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AGRCE=AAGRCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AIRCE=AAIRCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR APOCE=AAPOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASPCE=AASPCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ANZCE=AANZCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASACE=AASACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AVECE=AAVECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ACOCE=AACOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AJOCE=AAJOCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASYCE=AASYCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AIDCE=AAIDCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AMACE=AAMACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR APACE=AAPACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR APHCE=AAPHCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ATHCE=AATHCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ACHCE=AACHCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AARCE=AAARCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ABRCE=AABRCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AMECE=AAMECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR APECE=AAPECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ATUCE=AATUCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR APDCE=AAPDCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ARUCE=AARUCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AUECE=AAUECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AEGCE=AAEGCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AISCE=AAISCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AKECE=AAKECE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ABACE=AABACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AHKCE=AAHKCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ASICE=AASICE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AVICE=AAVICE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ANICE=AANICE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AALCE=AAALCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AIACE=AAIACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AINCE=AAINCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AIQCE=AAIQCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AKUCE=AAKUCE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR ALICE=AALICE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AUACE=AAUACE/SUMCE;                                                      
GENR AUSME=AAUSME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ACAME=AACAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AJAME=AAJAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AAUME=AAAUME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AFRME=AAFRME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AGEME=AAGEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AITME=AAITME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ANEME=AANEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASTME=AASTME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AUKME=AAUKME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AFIME=AAFIME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AASME=AAASME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASOME=AASOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AKOME=AAKOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ABEME=AABEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ADEME=AADEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ANOME=AANOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASWME=AASWME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AGRME=AAGRME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AIRME=AAIRME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR APOME=AAPOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASPME=AASPME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ANZME=AANZME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASAME=AASAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AVEME=AAVEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ACOME=AACOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AJOME=AAJOME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASYME=AASYME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AIDME=AAIDME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AMAME=AAMAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR APAME=AAPAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR APHME=AAPHME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ATHME=AATHME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ACHME=AACHME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AARME=AAARME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ABRME=AABRME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ACEME=AACEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR APEME=AAPEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ATUME=AATUME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR APDME=AAPDME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ARUME=AARUME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AUEME=AAUEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AEGME=AAEGME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AISME=AAISME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AKEME=AAKEME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ABAME=AABAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AHKME=AAHKME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ASIME=AASIME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AVIME=AAVIME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ANIME=AANIME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AALME=AAALME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AIAME=AAIAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AINME=AAINME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AIQME=AAIQME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AKUME=AAKUME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR ALIME=AALIME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AUAME=AAUAME/SUMME;                                                      
GENR AUSPE=AAUSPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ACAPE=AACAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AJAPE=AAJAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AAUPE=AAAUPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AFRPE=AAFRPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AGEPE=AAGEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AITPE=AAITPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ANEPE=AANEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASTPE=AASTPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AUKPE=AAUKPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AFIPE=AAFIPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AASPE=AAASPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASOPE=AASOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AKOPE=AAKOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ABEPE=AABEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ADEPE=AADEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ANOPE=AANOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASWPE=AASWPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AGRPE=AAGRPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AIRPE=AAIRPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR APOPE=AAPOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASPPE=AASPPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ANZPE=AANZPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASAPE=AASAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AVEPE=AAVEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ACOPE=AACOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AJOPE=AAJOPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASYPE=AASYPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AIDPE=AAIDPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AMAPE=AAMAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR APAPE=AAPAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR APHPE=AAPHPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ATHPE=AATHPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ACHPE=AACHPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AARPE=AAARPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ABRPE=AABRPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ACEPE=AACEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AMEPE=AAMEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ATUPE=AATUPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR APDPE=AAPDPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ARUPE=AARUPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AUEPE=AAUEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AEGPE=AAEGPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AISPE=AAISPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AKEPE=AAKEPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ABAPE=AABAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AHKPE=AAHKPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ASIPE=AASIPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AVIPE=AAVIPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ANIPE=AANIPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AALPE=AAALPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AIAPE=AAIAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AINPE=AAINPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AIQPE=AAIQPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AKUPE=AAKUPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR ALIPE=AALIPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AUAPE=AAUAPE/SUMPE;                                                      
GENR AUSTU=AAUSTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ACATU=AACATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AJATU=AAJATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AAUTU=AAAUTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AFRTU=AAFRTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AGETU=AAGETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AITTU=AAITTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ANETU=AANETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASTTU=AASTTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AUKTU=AAUKTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AFITU=AAFITU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AASTU=AAASTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASOTU=AASOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AKOTU=AAKOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ABETU=AABETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ADETU=AADETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ANOTU=AANOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASWTU=AASWTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AGRTU=AAGRTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AIRTU=AAIRTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR APOTU=AAPOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASPTU=AASPTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ANZTU=AANZTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASATU=AASATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AVETU=AAVETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ACOTU=AACOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AJOTU=AAJOTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASYTU=AASYTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AIDTU=AAIDTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AMATU=AAMATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR APATU=AAPATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR APHTU=AAPHTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ATHTU=AATHTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ACHTU=AACHTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AARTU=AAARTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ABRTU=AABRTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ACETU=AACETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AMETU=AAMETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR APETU=AAPETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR APDTU=AAPDTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ARUTU=AARUTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AUETU=AAUETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AEGTU=AAEGTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AISTU=AAISTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AKETU=AAKETU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ABATU=AABATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AHKTU=AAHKTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ASITU=AASITU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AVITU=AAVITU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ANITU=AANITU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AALTU=AAALTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AIATU=AAIATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AINTU=AAINTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AIQTU=AAIQTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AKUTU=AAKUTU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR ALITU=AALITU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AUATU=AAUATU/SUMTU;                                                      
GENR AUSPD=AAUSPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ACAPD=AACAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AJAPD=AAJAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AAUPD=AAAUPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AFRPD=AAFRPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AGEPD=AAGEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AITPD=AAITPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ANEPD=AANEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASTPD=AASTPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AUKPD=AAUKPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AFIPD=AAFIPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AASPD=AAASPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASOPD=AASOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AKOPD=AAKOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ABEPD=AABEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ADEPD=AADEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ANOPD=AANOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASWPD=AASWPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AGRPD=AAGRPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AIRPD=AAIRPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR APOPD=AAPOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASPPD=AASPPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ANZPD=AANZPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASAPD=AASAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AVEPD=AAVEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ACOPD=AACOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AJOPD=AAJOPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASYPD=AASYPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AIDPD=AAIDPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AMAPD=AAMAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR APAPD=AAPAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR APHPD=AAPHPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ATHPD=AATHPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ACHPD=AACHPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AARPD=AAARPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ABRPD=AABRPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ACEPD=AACEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AMEPD=AAMEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR APEPD=AAPEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ATUPD=AATUPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ARUPD=AARUPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AUEPD=AAUEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AEGPD=AAEGPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AISPD=AAISPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AKEPD=AAKEPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ABAPD=AABAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AHKPD=AAHKPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ASIPD=AASIPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AVIPD=AAVIPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ANIPD=AANIPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AALPD=AAALPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AIAPD=AAIAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AINPD=AAINPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AIQPD=AAIQPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AKUPD=AAKUPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR ALIPD=AALIPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AUAPD=AAUAPD/SUMPD;                                                      
GENR AUSRU=AAUSRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ACARU=AACARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AJARU=AAJARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AAURU=AAAURU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AFRRU=AAFRRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AGERU=AAGERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AITRU=AAITRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ANERU=AANERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASTRU=AASTRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AUKRU=AAUKRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AFIRU=AAFIRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AASRU=AAASRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASORU=AASORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AKORU=AAKORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ABERU=AABERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ADERU=AADERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ANORU=AANORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASWRU=AASWRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AGRRU=AAGRRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AIRRU=AAIRRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR APORU=AAPORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASPRU=AASPRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ANZRU=AANZRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASARU=AASARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AVERU=AAVERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ACORU=AACORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AJORU=AAJORU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASYRU=AASYRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AIDRU=AAIDRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AMARU=AAMARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR APARU=AAPARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR APHRU=AAPHRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ATHRU=AATHRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ACHRU=AACHRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AARRU=AAARRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ABRRU=AABRRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ACERU=AACERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AMERU=AAMERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR APERU=AAPERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ATURU=AATURU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR APDRU=AAPDRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AUERU=AAUERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AEGRU=AAEGRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AISRU=AAISRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AKERU=AAKERU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ABARU=AABARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AHKRU=AAHKRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ASIRU=AASIRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AVIRU=AAVIRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ANIRU=AANIRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AALRU=AAALRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AIARU=AAIARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AINRU=AAINRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AIQRU=AAIQRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AKURU=AAKURU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR ALIRU=AALIRU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AUARU=AAUARU/SUMRU;                                                      
GENR AUSUE=AAUSUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ACAUE=AACAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AJAUE=AAJAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AAUUE=AAAUUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AFRUE=AAFRUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AGEUE=AAGEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AITUE=AAITUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ANEUE=AANEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASTUE=AASTUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AUKUE=AAUKUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AFIUE=AAFIUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AASUE=AAASUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASOUE=AASOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AKOUE=AAKOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ABEUE=AABEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ADEUE=AADEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ANOUE=AANOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASWUE=AASWUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AGRUE=AAGRUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AIRUE=AAIRUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR APOUE=AAPOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASPUE=AASPUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ANZUE=AANZUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASAUE=AASAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AVEUE=AAVEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ACOUE=AACOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AJOUE=AAJOUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASYUE=AASYUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AIDUE=AAIDUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AMAUE=AAMAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR APAUE=AAPAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR APHUE=AAPHUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ATHUE=AATHUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ACHUE=AACHUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AARUE=AAARUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ABRUE=AABRUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ACEUE=AACEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AMEUE=AAMEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR APEUE=AAPEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ATUUE=AATUUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR APDUE=AAPDUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ARUUE=AARUUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AEGUE=AAEGUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AISUE=AAISUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AKEUE=AAKEUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ABAUE=AABAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AHKUE=AAHKUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ASIUE=AASIUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AVIUE=AAVIUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ANIUE=AANIUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AALUE=AAALUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AIAUE=AAIAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AINUE=AAINUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AIQUE=AAIQUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AKUUE=AAKUUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR ALIUE=AALIUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AUAUE=AAUAUE/SUMUE;                                                      
GENR AUSEG=AAUSEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ACAEG=AACAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AJAEG=AAJAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AAUEG=AAAUEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AFREG=AAFREG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AGEEG=AAGEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AITEG=AAITEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ANEEG=AANEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASTEG=AASTEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AUKEG=AAUKEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AFIEG=AAFIEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AASEG=AAASEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASOEG=AASOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AKOEG=AAKOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ABEEG=AABEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ADEEG=AADEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ANOEG=AANOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASWEG=AASWEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AGREG=AAGREG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AIREG=AAIREG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR APOEG=AAPOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASPEG=AASPEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ANZEG=AANZEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASAEG=AASAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AVEEG=AAVEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ACOEG=AACOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AJOEG=AAJOEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASYEG=AASYEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AIDEG=AAIDEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AMAEG=AAMAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR APAEG=AAPAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR APHEG=AAPHEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ATHEG=AATHEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ACHEG=AACHEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AAREG=AAAREG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ABREG=AABREG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ACEEG=AACEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AMEEG=AAMEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR APEEG=AAPEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ATUEG=AATUEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR APDEG=AAPDEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ARUEG=AARUEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AUEEG=AAUEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AISEG=AAISEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AKEEG=AAKEEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ABAEG=AABAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AHKEG=AAHKEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ASIEG=AASIEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AVIEG=AAVIEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ANIEG=AANIEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AALEG=AAALEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AIAEG=AAIAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AINEG=AAINEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AIQEG=AAIQEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AKUEG=AAKUEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR ALIEG=AALIEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AUAEG=AAUAEG/SUMEG;                                                      
GENR AUSIS=AAUSIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ACAIS=AACAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AJAIS=AAJAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AAUIS=AAAUIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AFRIS=AAFRIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AGEIS=AAGEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AITIS=AAITIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ANEIS=AANEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASTIS=AASTIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AUKIS=AAUKIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AFIIS=AAFIIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AASIS=AAASIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASOIS=AASOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AKOIS=AAKOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ABEIS=AABEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ADEIS=AADEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ANOIS=AANOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASWIS=AASWIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AGRIS=AAGRIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AIRIS=AAIRIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR APOIS=AAPOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASPIS=AASPIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ANZIS=AANZIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASAIS=AASAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AVEIS=AAVEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ACOIS=AACOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AJOIS=AAJOIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASYIS=AASYIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AIDIS=AAIDIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AMAIS=AAMAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR APAIS=AAPAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR APHIS=AAPHIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ATHIS=AATHIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ACHIS=AACHIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AARIS=AAARIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ABRIS=AABRIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ACEIS=AACEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AMEIS=AAMEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR APEIS=AAPEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ATUIS=AATUIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR APDIS=AAPDIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ARUIS=AARUIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AUEIS=AAUEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AEGIS=AAEGIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AKEIS=AAKEIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ABAIS=AABAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AHKIS=AAHKIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ASIIS=AASIIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AVIIS=AAVIIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ANIIS=AANIIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AALIS=AAALIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AIAIS=AAIAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AINIS=AAINIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AIQIS=AAIQIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AKUIS=AAKUIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR ALIIS=AALIIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AUAIS=AAUAIS/SUMIS;                                                      
GENR AUSKE=AAUSKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ACAKE=AACAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AJAKE=AAJAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AAUKE=AAAUKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AFRKE=AAFRKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AGEKE=AAGEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AITKE=AAITKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ANEKE=AANEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASTKE=AASTKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AUKKE=AAUKKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AFIKE=AAFIKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AASKE=AAASKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASOKE=AASOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AKOKE=AAKOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ABEKE=AABEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ADEKE=AADEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ANOKE=AANOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASWKE=AASWKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AGRKE=AAGRKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AIRKE=AAIRKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR APOKE=AAPOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASPKE=AASPKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ANZKE=AANZKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASAKE=AASAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AVEKE=AAVEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ACOKE=AACOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AJOKE=AAJOKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASYKE=AASYKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AIDKE=AAIDKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AMAKE=AAMAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR APAKE=AAPAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR APHKE=AAPHKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ATHKE=AATHKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ACHKE=AACHKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AARKE=AAARKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ABRKE=AABRKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ACEKE=AACEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AMEKE=AAMEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR APEKE=AAPEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ATUKE=AATUKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR APDKE=AAPDKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ARUKE=AARUKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AUEKE=AAUEKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AEGKE=AAEGKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AISKE=AAISKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ABAKE=AABAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AHKKE=AAHKKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ASIKE=AASIKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AVIKE=AAVIKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ANIKE=AANIKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AALKE=AAALKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AIAKE=AAIAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AINKE=AAINKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AIQKE=AAIQKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AKUKE=AAKUKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR ALIKE=AALIKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AUAKE=AAUAKE/SUMKE;                                                      
GENR AUSBA=AAUSBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ACABA=AACABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AJABA=AAJABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AAUBA=AAAUBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AFRBA=AAFRBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AGEBA=AAGEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AITBA=AAITBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ANEBA=AANEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASTBA=AASTBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AUKBA=AAUKBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AFIBA=AAFIBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AASBA=AAASBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASOBA=AASOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AKOBA=AAKOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ABEBA=AABEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ADEBA=AADEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ANOBA=AANOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASWBA=AASWBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AGRBA=AAGRBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AIRBA=AAIRBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR APOBA=AAPOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASPBA=AASPBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ANZBA=AANZBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASABA=AASABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AVEBA=AAVEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ACOBA=AACOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AJOBA=AAJOBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASYBA=AASYBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AIDBA=AAIDBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AMABA=AAMABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR APABA=AAPABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR APHBA=AAPHBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ATHBA=AATHBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ACHBA=AACHBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AARBA=AAARBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ABRBA=AABRBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ACEBA=AACEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AMEBA=AAMEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR APEBA=AAPEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ATUBA=AATUBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR APDBA=AAPDBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ARUBA=AARUBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AUEBA=AAUEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AEGBA=AAEGBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AISBA=AAISBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AKEBA=AAKEBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AHKBA=AAHKBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ASIBA=AASIBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AVIBA=AAVIBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ANIBA=AANIBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AALBA=AAALBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AIABA=AAIABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AINBA=AAINBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AIQBA=AAIQBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AKUBA=AAKUBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR ALIBA=AALIBA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AUABA=AAUABA/SUMBA;                                                      
GENR AUSHK=AAUSHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ACAHK=AACAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AJAHK=AAJAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AAUHK=AAAUHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AFRHK=AAFRHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AGEHK=AAGEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AITHK=AAITHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ANEHK=AANEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASTHK=AASTHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AUKHK=AAUKHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AFIHK=AAFIHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AASHK=AAASHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASOHK=AASOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AKOHK=AAKOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ABEHK=AABEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ADEHK=AADEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ANOHK=AANOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASWHK=AASWHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AGRHK=AAGRHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AIRHK=AAIRHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR APOHK=AAPOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASPHK=AASPHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ANZHK=AANZHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASAHK=AASAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AVEHK=AAVEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ACOHK=AACOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AJOHK=AAJOHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASYHK=AASYHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AIDHK=AAIDHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AMAHK=AAMAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR APAHK=AAPAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR APHHK=AAPHHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ATHHK=AATHHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ACHHK=AACHHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AARHK=AAARHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ABRHK=AABRHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ACEHK=AACEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AMEHK=AAMEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR APEHK=AAPEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ATUHK=AATUHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR APDHK=AAPDHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ARUHK=AARUHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AUEHK=AAUEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AEGHK=AAEGHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AISHK=AAISHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AKEHK=AAKEHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ABAHK=AABAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ASIHK=AASIHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AVIHK=AAVIHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ANIHK=AANIHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AALHK=AAALHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AIAHK=AAIAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AINHK=AAINHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AIQHK=AAIQHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AKUHK=AAKUHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR ALIHK=AALIHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AUAHK=AAUAHK/SUMHK;                                                      
GENR AUSSI=AAUSSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ACASI=AACASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AJASI=AAJASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AAUSI=AAAUSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AFRSI=AAFRSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AGESI=AAGESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AITSI=AAITSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ANESI=AANESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASTSI=AASTSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AUKSI=AAUKSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AFISI=AAFISI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AASSI=AAASSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASOSI=AASOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AKOSI=AAKOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ABESI=AABESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ADESI=AADESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ANOSI=AANOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASWSI=AASWSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AGRSI=AAGRSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AIRSI=AAIRSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR APOSI=AAPOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASPSI=AASPSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ANZSI=AANZSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASASI=AASASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AVESI=AAVESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ACOSI=AACOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AJOSI=AAJOSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ASYSI=AASYSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AIDSI=AAIDSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AMASI=AAMASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR APASI=AAPASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR APHSI=AAPHSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ATHSI=AATHSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ACHSI=AACHSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AARSI=AAARSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ABRSI=AABRSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ACESI=AACESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AMESI=AAMESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR APESI=AAPESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ATUSI=AATUSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR APDSI=AAPDSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ARUSI=AARUSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AUESI=AAUESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AEGSI=AAEGSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AISSI=AAISSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AKESI=AAKESI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ABASI=AABASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AHKSI=AAHKSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AVISI=AAVISI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ANISI=AANISI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AALSI=AAALSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AIASI=AAIASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AINSI=AAINSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AIQSI=AAIQSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AKUSI=AAKUSI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR ALISI=AALISI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AUASI=AAUASI/SUMSI;                                                      
GENR AUSVI=AAUSVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ACAVI=AACAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AJAVI=AAJAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AAUVI=AAAUVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AFRVI=AAFRVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AGEVI=AAGEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AITVI=AAITVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ANEVI=AANEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASTVI=AASTVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AUKVI=AAUKVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AFIVI=AAFIVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AASVI=AAASVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASOVI=AASOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AKOVI=AAKOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ABEVI=AABEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ADEVI=AADEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ANOVI=AANOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASWVI=AASWVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AGRVI=AAGRVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AIRVI=AAIRVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR APOVI=AAPOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASPVI=AASPVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ANZVI=AANZVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASAVI=AASAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AVEVI=AAVEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ACOVI=AACOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AJOVI=AAJOVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASYVI=AASYVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AIDVI=AAIDVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AMAVI=AAMAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR APAVI=AAPAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR APHVI=AAPHVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ATHVI=AATHVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ACHVI=AACHVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AARVI=AAARVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ABRVI=AABRVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ACEVI=AACEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AMEVI=AAMEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR APEVI=AAPEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ATUVI=AATUVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR APDVI=AAPDVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ARUVI=AARUVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AUEVI=AAUEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AEGVI=AAEGVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AISVI=AAISVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AKEVI=AAKEVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ABAVI=AABAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AHKVI=AAHKVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ASIVI=AASIVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ANIVI=AANIVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AALVI=AAALVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AIAVI=AAIAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AINVI=AAINVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AIQVI=AAIQVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AKUVI=AAKUVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR ALIVI=AALIVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AUAVI=AAUAVI/SUMVI;                                                      
GENR AUSNI=AAUSNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ACANI=AACANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AJANI=AAJANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AAUNI=AAAUNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AFRNI=AAFRNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AGENI=AAGENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AITNI=AAITNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ANENI=AANENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASTNI=AASTNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AUKNI=AAUKNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AFINI=AAFINI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AASNI=AAASNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASONI=AASONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AKONI=AAKONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ABENI=AABENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ADENI=AADENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ANONI=AANONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASWNI=AASWNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AGRNI=AAGRNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AIRNI=AAIRNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR APONI=AAPONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASPNI=AASPNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ANZNI=AANZNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASANI=AASANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AVENI=AAVENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ACONI=AACONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AJONI=AAJONI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASYNI=AASYNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AIDNI=AAIDNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AMANI=AAMANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR APANI=AAPANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR APHNI=AAPHNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ATHNI=AATHNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ACHNI=AACHNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AARNI=AAARNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ABRNI=AABRNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ACENI=AACENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AMENI=AAMENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR APENI=AAPENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ATUNI=AATUNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR APDNI=AAPDNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ARUNI=AARUNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AUENI=AAUENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AEGNI=AAEGNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AISNI=AAISNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AKENI=AAKENI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ABANI=AABANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AHKNI=AAHKNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ASINI=AASINI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AVINI=AAVINI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AALNI=AAALNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AIANI=AAIANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AINNI=AAINNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AIQNI=AAIQNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AKUNI=AAKUNI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR ALINI=AALINI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AUANI=AAUANI/SUMNI;                                                      
GENR AUSAL=AAUSAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ACAAL=AACAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AJAAL=AAJAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AAUAL=AAAUAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AFRAL=AAFRAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AGEAL=AAGEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AITAL=AAITAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ANEAL=AANEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASTAL=AASTAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AUKAL=AAUKAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AFIAL=AAFIAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AASAL=AAASAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASOAL=AASOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AKOAL=AAKOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ABEAL=AABEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ADEAL=AADEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ANOAL=AANOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASWAL=AASWAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AGRAL=AAGRAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AIRAL=AAIRAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR APOAL=AAPOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASPAL=AASPAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ANZAL=AANZAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASAAL=AASAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AVEAL=AAVEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ACOAL=AACOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AJOAL=AAJOAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASYAL=AASYAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AIDAL=AAIDAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AMAAL=AAMAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR APAAL=AAPAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR APHAL=AAPHAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ATHAL=AATHAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ACHAL=AACHAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AARAL=AAARAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ABRAL=AABRAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ACEAL=AACEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AMEAL=AAMEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR APEAL=AAPEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ATUAL=AATUAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR APDAL=AAPDAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ARUAL=AARUAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AUEAL=AAUEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AEGAL=AAEGAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AISAL=AAISAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AKEAL=AAKEAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ABAAL=AABAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AHKAL=AAHKAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ASIAL=AASIAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AVIAL=AAVIAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ANIAL=AANIAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AIAAL=AAIAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AINAL=AAINAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AIQAL=AAIQAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AKUAL=AAKUAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR ALIAL=AALIAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AUAAL=AAUAAL/SUMAL;                                                      
GENR AUSIA=AAUSIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ACAIA=AACAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AJAIA=AAJAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AAUIA=AAAUIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AFRIA=AAFRIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AGEIA=AAGEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AITIA=AAITIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ANEIA=AANEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASTIA=AASTIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AUKIA=AAUKIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AFIIA=AAFIIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AASIA=AAASIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASOIA=AASOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AKOIA=AAKOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ABEIA=AABEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ADEIA=AADEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ANOIA=AANOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASWIA=AASWIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AGRIA=AAGRIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AIRIA=AAIRIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR APOIA=AAPOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASPIA=AASPIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ANZIA=AANZIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASAIA=AASAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AVEIA=AAVEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ACOIA=AACOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AJOIA=AAJOIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASYIA=AASYIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AIDIA=AAIDIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AMAIA=AAMAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR APAIA=AAPAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR APHIA=AAPHIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ATHIA=AATHIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ACHIA=AACHIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AARIA=AAARIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ABRIA=AABRIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ACEIA=AACEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AMEIA=AAMEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR APEIA=AAPEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ATUIA=AATUIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR APDIA=AAPDIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ARUIA=AARUIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AUEIA=AAUEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AEGIA=AAEGIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AISIA=AAISIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AKEIA=AAKEIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ABAIA=AABAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AHKIA=AAHKIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ASIIA=AASIIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AVIIA=AAVIIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ANIIA=AANIIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AALIA=AAALIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AINIA=AAINIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AIQIA=AAIQIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AKUIA=AAKUIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR ALIIA=AALIIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AUAIA=AAUAIA/SUMIA;                                                      
GENR AUSIN=AAUSIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ACAIN=AACAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AJAIN=AAJAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AAUIN=AAAUIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AFRIN=AAFRIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AGEIN=AAGEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AITIN=AAITIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ANEIN=AANEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASTIN=AASTIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AUKIN=AAUKIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AFIIN=AAFIIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AASIN=AAASIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASOIN=AASOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AKOIN=AAKOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ABEIN=AABEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ADEIN=AADEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ANOIN=AANOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASWIN=AASWIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AGRIN=AAGRIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AIRIN=AAIRIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR APOIN=AAPOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASPIN=AASPIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ANZIN=AANZIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASAIN=AASAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AVEIN=AAVEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ACOIN=AACOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AJOIN=AAJOIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASYIN=AASYIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AIDIN=AAIDIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AMAIN=AAMAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR APAIN=AAPAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR APHIN=AAPHIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ATHIN=AATHIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ACHIN=AACHIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AARIN=AAARIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ABRIN=AABRIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ACEIN=AACEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AMEIN=AAMEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR APEIN=AAPEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ATUIN=AATUIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR APDIN=AAPDIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ARUIN=AARUIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AUEIN=AAUEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AEGIN=AAEGIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AISIN=AAISIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AKEIN=AAKEIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ABAIN=AABAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AHKIN=AAHKIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ASIIN=AASIIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AVIIN=AAVIIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ANIIN=AANIIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AALIN=AAALIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AIAIN=AAIAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AIQIN=AAIQIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AKUIN=AAKUIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR ALIIN=AALIIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AUAIN=AAUAIN/SUMIN;                                                      
GENR AUSIQ=AAUSIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ACAIQ=AACAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AJAIQ=AAJAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AAUIQ=AAAUIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AFRIQ=AAFRIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AGEIQ=AAGEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AITIQ=AAITIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ANEIQ=AANEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASTIQ=AASTIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AUKIQ=AAUKIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AFIIQ=AAFIIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AASIQ=AAASIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASOIQ=AASOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AKOIQ=AAKOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ABEIQ=AABEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ADEIQ=AADEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ANOIQ=AANOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASWIQ=AASWIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AGRIQ=AAGRIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AIRIQ=AAIRIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR APOIQ=AAPOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASPIQ=AASPIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ANZIQ=AANZIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASAIQ=AASAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AVEIQ=AAVEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ACOIQ=AACOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AJOIQ=AAJOIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASYIQ=AASYIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AIDIQ=AAIDIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AMAIQ=AAMAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR APAIQ=AAPAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR APHIQ=AAPHIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ATHIQ=AATHIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ACHIQ=AACHIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AARIQ=AAARIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ABRIQ=AABRIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ACEIQ=AACEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AMEIQ=AAMEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR APEIQ=AAPEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ATUIQ=AATUIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR APDIQ=AAPDIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ARUIQ=AARUIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AUEIQ=AAUEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AEGIQ=AAEGIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AISIQ=AAISIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AKEIQ=AAKEIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ABAIQ=AABAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AHKIQ=AAHKIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ASIIQ=AASIIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AVIIQ=AAVIIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ANIIQ=AANIIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AALIQ=AAALIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AIAIQ=AAIAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AINIQ=AAINIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AKUIQ=AAKUIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR ALIIQ=AALIIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AUAIQ=AAUAIQ/SUMIQ;                                                      
GENR AUSKU=AAUSKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ACAKU=AACAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AJAKU=AAJAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AAUKU=AAAUKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AFRKU=AAFRKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AGEKU=AAGEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AITKU=AAITKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ANEKU=AANEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASTKU=AASTKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AUKKU=AAUKKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AFIKU=AAFIKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AASKU=AAASKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASOKU=AASOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AKOKU=AAKOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ABEKU=AABEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ADEKU=AADEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ANOKU=AANOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASWKU=AASWKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AGRKU=AAGRKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AIRKU=AAIRKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR APOKU=AAPOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASPKU=AASPKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ANZKU=AANZKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASAKU=AASAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AVEKU=AAVEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ACOKU=AACOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AJOKU=AAJOKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASYKU=AASYKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AIDKU=AAIDKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AMAKU=AAMAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR APAKU=AAPAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR APHKU=AAPHKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ATHKU=AATHKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ACHKU=AACHKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AARKU=AAARKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ABRKU=AABRKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ACEKU=AACEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AMEKU=AAMEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR APEKU=AAPEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ATUKU=AATUKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR APDKU=AAPDKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ARUKU=AARUKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AUEKU=AAUEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AEGKU=AAEGKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AISKU=AAISKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AKEKU=AAKEKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ABAKU=AABAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AHKKU=AAHKKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ASIKU=AASIKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AVIKU=AAVIKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ANIKU=AANIKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AALKU=AAALKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AIAKU=AAIAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AINKU=AAINKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AIQKU=AAIQKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR ALIKU=AALIKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AUAKU=AAUAKU/SUMKU;                                                      
GENR AUSLI=AAUSLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ACALI=AACALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AJALI=AAJALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AAULI=AAAULI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AFRLI=AAFRLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AGELI=AAGELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AITLI=AAITLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ANELI=AANELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASTLI=AASTLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AUKLI=AAUKLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AFILI=AAFILI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AASLI=AAASLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASOLI=AASOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AKOLI=AAKOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ABELI=AABELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ADELI=AADELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ANOLI=AANOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASWLI=AASWLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AGRLI=AAGRLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AIRLI=AAIRLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR APOLI=AAPOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASPLI=AASPLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ANZLI=AANZLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASALI=AASALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AVELI=AAVELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ACOLI=AACOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AJOLI=AAJOLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASYLI=AASYLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AIDLI=AAIDLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AMALI=AAMALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR APALI=AAPALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR APHLI=AAPHLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ATHLI=AATHLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ACHLI=AACHLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AARLI=AAARLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ABRLI=AABRLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ACELI=AACELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AMELI=AAMELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR APELI=AAPELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ATULI=AATULI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR APDLI=AAPDLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ARULI=AARULI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AUELI=AAUELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AEGLI=AAEGLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AISLI=AAISLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AKELI=AAKELI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ABALI=AABALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AHKLI=AAHKLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ASILI=AASILI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AVILI=AAVILI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR ANILI=AANILI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AALLI=AAALLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AIALI=AAIALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AINLI=AAINLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AIQLI=AAIQLI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AKULI=AAKULI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AUALI=AAUALI/SUMLI;                                                      
GENR AUSUA=AAUSUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ACAUA=AACAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AJAUA=AAJAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AAUUA=AAAUUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AFRUA=AAFRUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AGEUA=AAGEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AITUA=AAITUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ANEUA=AANEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASTUA=AASTUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AUKUA=AAUKUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AFIUA=AAFIUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AASUA=AAASUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASOUA=AASOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AKOUA=AAKOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ABEUA=AABEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ADEUA=AADEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ANOUA=AANOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASWUA=AASWUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AGRUA=AAGRUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AIRUA=AAIRUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR APOUA=AAPOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASPUA=AASPUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ANZUA=AANZUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASAUA=AASAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AVEUA=AAVEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ACOUA=AACOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AJOUA=AAJOUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASYUA=AASYUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AIDUA=AAIDUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AMAUA=AAMAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR APAUA=AAPAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR APHUA=AAPHUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ATHUA=AATHUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ACHUA=AACHUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AARUA=AAARUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ABRUA=AABRUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ACEUA=AACEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AMEUA=AAMEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR APEUA=AAPEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ATUUA=AATUUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR APDUA=AAPDUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ARUUA=AARUUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AUEUA=AAUEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AEGUA=AAEGUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AISUA=AAISUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AKEUA=AAKEUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ABAUA=AABAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AHKUA=AAHKUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ASIUA=AASIUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AVIUA=AAVIUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ANIUA=AANIUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AALUA=AAALUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AIAUA=AAIAUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AINUA=AAINUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AIQUA=AAIQUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AKUUA=AAKUUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR ALIUA=AALIUA/SUMUA;                                                      
GENR AUSAO=AAUSAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ACAAO=AACAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AJAAO=AAJAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AAUAO=AAAUAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AFRAO=AAFRAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AGEAO=AAGEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AITAO=AAITAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ANEAO=AANEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASTAO=AASTAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AUKAO=AAUKAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AFIAO=AAFIAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AASAO=AAASAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASOAO=AASOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AKOAO=AAKOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ABEAO=AABEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ADEAO=AADEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ANOAO=AANOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASWAO=AASWAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AGRAO=AAGRAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AIRAO=AAIRAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR APOAO=AAPOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASPAO=AASPAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ANZAO=AANZAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASAAO=AASAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AVEAO=AAVEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ACOAO=AACOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AJOAO=AAJOAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASYAO=AASYAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AIDAO=AAIDAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AMAAO=AAMAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR APAAO=AAPAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR APHAO=AAPHAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ATHAO=AATHAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ACHAO=AACHAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AARAO=AAARAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ABRAO=AABRAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ACEAO=AACEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AMEAO=AAMEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR APEAO=AAPEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ATUAO=AATUAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR APDAO=AAPDAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ARUAO=AARUAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AUEAO=AAUEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AEGAO=AAEGAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AISAO=AAISAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AKEAO=AAKEAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ABAAO=AABAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AHKAO=AAHKAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ASIAO=AASIAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AVIAO=AAVIAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ANIAO=AANIAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AALAO=AAALAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AIAAO=AAIAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AINAO=AAINAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AIQAO=AAIQAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AKUAO=AAKUAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR ALIAO=AALIAO/SUMAO;                                                      
GENR AUAAO=AAUAAO/SUMAO;                                                      
@                                                                             
@ End of dividing by sums                                                     
@                                                                             
@ Begin PMP, X00$, and PW$                                                    
@                                                                             
IDENT USPMP =(USE /USE00 )*(                                                  
             ACAUS*CAPX$ +AJAUS*JAPX$ +AAUUS*AUPX$ +AFRUS*FRPX$ +AGEUS*GEPX$ +
AITUS*ITPX$ +ANEUS*NEPX$ +ASTUS*STPX$ +AUKUS*UKPX$ +AFIUS*FIPX$ +AASUS*ASPX$ +
ASOUS*SOPX$ +AKOUS*KOPX$ +ABEUS*BEPX$Q+ADEUS*DEPX$Q+ANOUS*NOPX$Q+ASWUS*SWPX$Q+
AGRUS*GRPX$Q+AIRUS*IRPX$Q+APOUS*POPX$Q+ASPUS*SPPX$Q+ANZUS*NZPX$Q+ASAUS*SAPX$Q+
AVEUS*VEPX$Q+ACOUS*COPX$Q+AJOUS*JOPX$Q+ASYUS*SYPX$Q+AIDUS*IDPX$Q+AMAUS*MAPX$Q+
APAUS*PAPX$Q+APHUS*PHPX$Q+ATHUS*THPX$Q+ACHUS*CHPX$Q+AARUS*ARPX$Q+ABRUS*BRPX$Q+
ACEUS*CEPX$Q+AMEUS*MEPX$Q+APEUS*PEPX$Q+ATUUS*TUPX$ +APDUS*PDPX$ +ARUUS*RUPX$ +
AUEUS*UEPX$ +AEGUS*EGPX$ +AISUS*ISPX$ +AKEUS*KEPX$ +ABAUS*BAPX$ +AHKUS*HKPX$ +
ASIUS*SIPX$ +AVIUS*VIPX$ +ANIUS*NIPX$ +AALUS*ALPX$ +AIAUS*IAPX$ +AINUS*INPX$ +
AIQUS*IQPX$ +AKUUS*KUPX$ +ALIUS*LIPX$ +AUAUS*UAPX$);                          
IDENT CAPMP =(CAE /CAE00 )*(                                                  
AUSCA*USPX$ +             AJACA*JAPX$ +AAUCA*AUPX$ +AFRCA*FRPX$ +AGECA*GEPX$ +
AITCA*ITPX$ +ANECA*NEPX$ +ASTCA*STPX$ +AUKCA*UKPX$ +AFICA*FIPX$ +AASCA*ASPX$ +
ASOCA*SOPX$ +AKOCA*KOPX$ +ABECA*BEPX$Q+ADECA*DEPX$Q+ANOCA*NOPX$Q+ASWCA*SWPX$Q+
AGRCA*GRPX$Q+AIRCA*IRPX$Q+APOCA*POPX$Q+ASPCA*SPPX$Q+ANZCA*NZPX$Q+ASACA*SAPX$Q+
AVECA*VEPX$Q+ACOCA*COPX$Q+AJOCA*JOPX$Q+ASYCA*SYPX$Q+AIDCA*IDPX$Q+AMACA*MAPX$Q+
APACA*PAPX$Q+APHCA*PHPX$Q+ATHCA*THPX$Q+ACHCA*CHPX$Q+AARCA*ARPX$Q+ABRCA*BRPX$Q+
ACECA*CEPX$Q+AMECA*MEPX$Q+APECA*PEPX$Q+ATUCA*TUPX$ +APDCA*PDPX$ +ARUCA*RUPX$ +
AUECA*UEPX$ +AEGCA*EGPX$ +AISCA*ISPX$ +AKECA*KEPX$ +ABACA*BAPX$ +AHKCA*HKPX$ +
ASICA*SIPX$ +AVICA*VIPX$ +ANICA*NIPX$ +AALCA*ALPX$ +AIACA*IAPX$ +AINCA*INPX$ +
AIQCA*IQPX$ +AKUCA*KUPX$ +ALICA*LIPX$ +AUACA*UAPX$);                          
IDENT JAPMP =(JAE /JAE00 )*(                                                  
AUSJA*USPX$ +ACAJA*CAPX$ +             AAUJA*AUPX$ +AFRJA*FRPX$ +AGEJA*GEPX$ +
AITJA*ITPX$ +ANEJA*NEPX$ +ASTJA*STPX$ +AUKJA*UKPX$ +AFIJA*FIPX$ +AASJA*ASPX$ +
ASOJA*SOPX$ +AKOJA*KOPX$ +ABEJA*BEPX$Q+ADEJA*DEPX$Q+ANOJA*NOPX$Q+ASWJA*SWPX$Q+
AGRJA*GRPX$Q+AIRJA*IRPX$Q+APOJA*POPX$Q+ASPJA*SPPX$Q+ANZJA*NZPX$Q+ASAJA*SAPX$Q+
AVEJA*VEPX$Q+ACOJA*COPX$Q+AJOJA*JOPX$Q+ASYJA*SYPX$Q+AIDJA*IDPX$Q+AMAJA*MAPX$Q+
APAJA*PAPX$Q+APHJA*PHPX$Q+ATHJA*THPX$Q+ACHJA*CHPX$Q+AARJA*ARPX$Q+ABRJA*BRPX$Q+
ACEJA*CEPX$Q+AMEJA*MEPX$Q+APEJA*PEPX$Q+ATUJA*TUPX$ +APDJA*PDPX$ +ARUJA*RUPX$ +
AUEJA*UEPX$ +AEGJA*EGPX$ +AISJA*ISPX$ +AKEJA*KEPX$ +ABAJA*BAPX$ +AHKJA*HKPX$ +
ASIJA*SIPX$ +AVIJA*VIPX$ +ANIJA*NIPX$ +AALJA*ALPX$ +AIAJA*IAPX$ +AINJA*INPX$ +
AIQJA*IQPX$ +AKUJA*KUPX$ +ALIJA*LIPX$ +AUAJA*UAPX$);                          
IDENT AUPMP =(AUE /AUE00 )*(                                                  
AUSAU*USPX$ +ACAAU*CAPX$ +AJAAU*JAPX$ +             AFRAU*FRPX$ +AGEAU*GEPX$ +
AITAU*ITPX$ +ANEAU*NEPX$ +ASTAU*STPX$ +AUKAU*UKPX$ +AFIAU*FIPX$ +AASAU*ASPX$ +
ASOAU*SOPX$ +AKOAU*KOPX$ +ABEAU*BEPX$Q+ADEAU*DEPX$Q+ANOAU*NOPX$Q+ASWAU*SWPX$Q+
AGRAU*GRPX$Q+AIRAU*IRPX$Q+APOAU*POPX$Q+ASPAU*SPPX$Q+ANZAU*NZPX$Q+ASAAU*SAPX$Q+
AVEAU*VEPX$Q+ACOAU*COPX$Q+AJOAU*JOPX$Q+ASYAU*SYPX$Q+AIDAU*IDPX$Q+AMAAU*MAPX$Q+
APAAU*PAPX$Q+APHAU*PHPX$Q+ATHAU*THPX$Q+ACHAU*CHPX$Q+AARAU*ARPX$Q+ABRAU*BRPX$Q+
ACEAU*CEPX$Q+AMEAU*MEPX$Q+APEAU*PEPX$Q+ATUAU*TUPX$ +APDAU*PDPX$ +ARUAU*RUPX$ +
AUEAU*UEPX$ +AEGAU*EGPX$ +AISAU*ISPX$ +AKEAU*KEPX$ +ABAAU*BAPX$ +AHKAU*HKPX$ +
ASIAU*SIPX$ +AVIAU*VIPX$ +ANIAU*NIPX$ +AALAU*ALPX$ +AIAAU*IAPX$ +AINAU*INPX$ +
AIQAU*IQPX$ +AKUAU*KUPX$ +ALIAU*LIPX$ +AUAAU*UAPX$);                          
IDENT FRPMP =(FRE /FRE00 )*(                                                  
AUSFR*USPX$ +ACAFR*CAPX$ +AJAFR*JAPX$ +AAUFR*AUPX$ +             AGEFR*GEPX$ +
AITFR*ITPX$ +ANEFR*NEPX$ +ASTFR*STPX$ +AUKFR*UKPX$ +AFIFR*FIPX$ +AASFR*ASPX$ +
ASOFR*SOPX$ +AKOFR*KOPX$ +ABEFR*BEPX$Q+ADEFR*DEPX$Q+ANOFR*NOPX$Q+ASWFR*SWPX$Q+
AGRFR*GRPX$Q+AIRFR*IRPX$Q+APOFR*POPX$Q+ASPFR*SPPX$Q+ANZFR*NZPX$Q+ASAFR*SAPX$Q+
AVEFR*VEPX$Q+ACOFR*COPX$Q+AJOFR*JOPX$Q+ASYFR*SYPX$Q+AIDFR*IDPX$Q+AMAFR*MAPX$Q+
APAFR*PAPX$Q+APHFR*PHPX$Q+ATHFR*THPX$Q+ACHFR*CHPX$Q+AARFR*ARPX$Q+ABRFR*BRPX$Q+
ACEFR*CEPX$Q+AMEFR*MEPX$Q+APEFR*PEPX$Q+ATUFR*TUPX$ +APDFR*PDPX$ +ARUFR*RUPX$ +
AUEFR*UEPX$ +AEGFR*EGPX$ +AISFR*ISPX$ +AKEFR*KEPX$ +ABAFR*BAPX$ +AHKFR*HKPX$ +
ASIFR*SIPX$ +AVIFR*VIPX$ +ANIFR*NIPX$ +AALFR*ALPX$ +AIAFR*IAPX$ +AINFR*INPX$ +
AIQFR*IQPX$ +AKUFR*KUPX$ +ALIFR*LIPX$ +AUAFR*UAPX$);                          
IDENT GEPMP =(GEE /GEE00 )*(                                                  
AUSGE*USPX$ +ACAGE*CAPX$ +AJAGE*JAPX$ +AAUGE*AUPX$ +AFRGE*FRPX$ +             
AITGE*ITPX$ +ANEGE*NEPX$ +ASTGE*STPX$ +AUKGE*UKPX$ +AFIGE*FIPX$ +AASGE*ASPX$ +
ASOGE*SOPX$ +AKOGE*KOPX$ +ABEGE*BEPX$Q+ADEGE*DEPX$Q+ANOGE*NOPX$Q+ASWGE*SWPX$Q+
AGRGE*GRPX$Q+AIRGE*IRPX$Q+APOGE*POPX$Q+ASPGE*SPPX$Q+ANZGE*NZPX$Q+ASAGE*SAPX$Q+
AVEGE*VEPX$Q+ACOGE*COPX$Q+AJOGE*JOPX$Q+ASYGE*SYPX$Q+AIDGE*IDPX$Q+AMAGE*MAPX$Q+
APAGE*PAPX$Q+APHGE*PHPX$Q+ATHGE*THPX$Q+ACHGE*CHPX$Q+AARGE*ARPX$Q+ABRGE*BRPX$Q+
ACEGE*CEPX$Q+AMEGE*MEPX$Q+APEGE*PEPX$Q+ATUGE*TUPX$ +APDGE*PDPX$ +ARUGE*RUPX$ +
AUEGE*UEPX$ +AEGGE*EGPX$ +AISGE*ISPX$ +AKEGE*KEPX$ +ABAGE*BAPX$ +AHKGE*HKPX$ +
ASIGE*SIPX$ +AVIGE*VIPX$ +ANIGE*NIPX$ +AALGE*ALPX$ +AIAGE*IAPX$ +AINGE*INPX$ +
AIQGE*IQPX$ +AKUGE*KUPX$ +ALIGE*LIPX$ +AUAGE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT ITPMP =(ITE /ITE00 )*(                                                  
AUSIT*USPX$ +ACAIT*CAPX$ +AJAIT*JAPX$ +AAUIT*AUPX$ +AFRIT*FRPX$ +AGEIT*GEPX$ +
             ANEIT*NEPX$ +ASTIT*STPX$ +AUKIT*UKPX$ +AFIIT*FIPX$ +AASIT*ASPX$ +
ASOIT*SOPX$ +AKOIT*KOPX$ +ABEIT*BEPX$Q+ADEIT*DEPX$Q+ANOIT*NOPX$Q+ASWIT*SWPX$Q+
AGRIT*GRPX$Q+AIRIT*IRPX$Q+APOIT*POPX$Q+ASPIT*SPPX$Q+ANZIT*NZPX$Q+ASAIT*SAPX$Q+
AVEIT*VEPX$Q+ACOIT*COPX$Q+AJOIT*JOPX$Q+ASYIT*SYPX$Q+AIDIT*IDPX$Q+AMAIT*MAPX$Q+
APAIT*PAPX$Q+APHIT*PHPX$Q+ATHIT*THPX$Q+ACHIT*CHPX$Q+AARIT*ARPX$Q+ABRIT*BRPX$Q+
ACEIT*CEPX$Q+AMEIT*MEPX$Q+APEIT*PEPX$Q+ATUIT*TUPX$ +APDIT*PDPX$ +ARUIT*RUPX$ +
AUEIT*UEPX$ +AEGIT*EGPX$ +AISIT*ISPX$ +AKEIT*KEPX$ +ABAIT*BAPX$ +AHKIT*HKPX$ +
ASIIT*SIPX$ +AVIIT*VIPX$ +ANIIT*NIPX$ +AALIT*ALPX$ +AIAIT*IAPX$ +AINIT*INPX$ +
AIQIT*IQPX$ +AKUIT*KUPX$ +ALIIT*LIPX$ +AUAIT*UAPX$);                          
IDENT NEPMP =(NEE /NEE00 )*(                                                  
AUSNE*USPX$ +ACANE*CAPX$ +AJANE*JAPX$ +AAUNE*AUPX$ +AFRNE*FRPX$ +AGENE*GEPX$ +
AITNE*ITPX$ +             ASTNE*STPX$ +AUKNE*UKPX$ +AFINE*FIPX$ +AASNE*ASPX$ +
ASONE*SOPX$ +AKONE*KOPX$ +ABENE*BEPX$Q+ADENE*DEPX$Q+ANONE*NOPX$Q+ASWNE*SWPX$Q+
AGRNE*GRPX$Q+AIRNE*IRPX$Q+APONE*POPX$Q+ASPNE*SPPX$Q+ANZNE*NZPX$Q+ASANE*SAPX$Q+
AVENE*VEPX$Q+ACONE*COPX$Q+AJONE*JOPX$Q+ASYNE*SYPX$Q+AIDNE*IDPX$Q+AMANE*MAPX$Q+
APANE*PAPX$Q+APHNE*PHPX$Q+ATHNE*THPX$Q+ACHNE*CHPX$Q+AARNE*ARPX$Q+ABRNE*BRPX$Q+
ACENE*CEPX$Q+AMENE*MEPX$Q+APENE*PEPX$Q+ATUNE*TUPX$ +APDNE*PDPX$ +ARUNE*RUPX$ +
AUENE*UEPX$ +AEGNE*EGPX$ +AISNE*ISPX$ +AKENE*KEPX$ +ABANE*BAPX$ +AHKNE*HKPX$ +
ASINE*SIPX$ +AVINE*VIPX$ +ANINE*NIPX$ +AALNE*ALPX$ +AIANE*IAPX$ +AINNE*INPX$ +
AIQNE*IQPX$ +AKUNE*KUPX$ +ALINE*LIPX$ +AUANE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT STPMP =(STE /STE00 )*(                                                  
AUSST*USPX$ +ACAST*CAPX$ +AJAST*JAPX$ +AAUST*AUPX$ +AFRST*FRPX$ +AGEST*GEPX$ +
AITST*ITPX$ +ANEST*NEPX$ +             AUKST*UKPX$ +AFIST*FIPX$ +AASST*ASPX$ +
ASOST*SOPX$ +AKOST*KOPX$ +ABEST*BEPX$Q+ADEST*DEPX$Q+ANOST*NOPX$Q+ASWST*SWPX$Q+
AGRST*GRPX$Q+AIRST*IRPX$Q+APOST*POPX$Q+ASPST*SPPX$Q+ANZST*NZPX$Q+ASAST*SAPX$Q+
AVEST*VEPX$Q+ACOST*COPX$Q+AJOST*JOPX$Q+ASYST*SYPX$Q+AIDST*IDPX$Q+AMAST*MAPX$Q+
APAST*PAPX$Q+APHST*PHPX$Q+ATHST*THPX$Q+ACHST*CHPX$Q+AARST*ARPX$Q+ABRST*BRPX$Q+
ACEST*CEPX$Q+AMEST*MEPX$Q+APEST*PEPX$Q+ATUST*TUPX$ +APDST*PDPX$ +ARUST*RUPX$ +
AUEST*UEPX$ +AEGST*EGPX$ +AISST*ISPX$ +AKEST*KEPX$ +ABAST*BAPX$ +AHKST*HKPX$ +
ASIST*SIPX$ +AVIST*VIPX$ +ANIST*NIPX$ +AALST*ALPX$ +AIAST*IAPX$ +AINST*INPX$ +
AIQST*IQPX$ +AKUST*KUPX$ +ALIST*LIPX$ +AUAST*UAPX$);                          
IDENT UKPMP =(UKE /UKE00 )*(                                                  
AUSUK*USPX$ +ACAUK*CAPX$ +AJAUK*JAPX$ +AAUUK*AUPX$ +AFRUK*FRPX$ +AGEUK*GEPX$ +
AITUK*ITPX$ +ANEUK*NEPX$ +ASTUK*STPX$ +             AFIUK*FIPX$ +AASUK*ASPX$ +
ASOUK*SOPX$ +AKOUK*KOPX$ +ABEUK*BEPX$Q+ADEUK*DEPX$Q+ANOUK*NOPX$Q+ASWUK*SWPX$Q+
AGRUK*GRPX$Q+AIRUK*IRPX$Q+APOUK*POPX$Q+ASPUK*SPPX$Q+ANZUK*NZPX$Q+ASAUK*SAPX$Q+
AVEUK*VEPX$Q+ACOUK*COPX$Q+AJOUK*JOPX$Q+ASYUK*SYPX$Q+AIDUK*IDPX$Q+AMAUK*MAPX$Q+
APAUK*PAPX$Q+APHUK*PHPX$Q+ATHUK*THPX$Q+ACHUK*CHPX$Q+AARUK*ARPX$Q+ABRUK*BRPX$Q+
ACEUK*CEPX$Q+AMEUK*MEPX$Q+APEUK*PEPX$Q+ATUUK*TUPX$ +APDUK*PDPX$ +ARUUK*RUPX$ +
AUEUK*UEPX$ +AEGUK*EGPX$ +AISUK*ISPX$ +AKEUK*KEPX$ +ABAUK*BAPX$ +AHKUK*HKPX$ +
ASIUK*SIPX$ +AVIUK*VIPX$ +ANIUK*NIPX$ +AALUK*ALPX$ +AIAUK*IAPX$ +AINUK*INPX$ +
AIQUK*IQPX$ +AKUUK*KUPX$ +ALIUK*LIPX$ +AUAUK*UAPX$);                          
IDENT FIPMP =(FIE /FIE00 )*(                                                  
AUSFI*USPX$ +ACAFI*CAPX$ +AJAFI*JAPX$ +AAUFI*AUPX$ +AFRFI*FRPX$ +AGEFI*GEPX$ +
AITFI*ITPX$ +ANEFI*NEPX$ +ASTFI*STPX$ +AUKFI*UKPX$ +             AASFI*ASPX$ +
ASOFI*SOPX$ +AKOFI*KOPX$ +ABEFI*BEPX$Q+ADEFI*DEPX$Q+ANOFI*NOPX$Q+ASWFI*SWPX$Q+
AGRFI*GRPX$Q+AIRFI*IRPX$Q+APOFI*POPX$Q+ASPFI*SPPX$Q+ANZFI*NZPX$Q+ASAFI*SAPX$Q+
AVEFI*VEPX$Q+ACOFI*COPX$Q+AJOFI*JOPX$Q+ASYFI*SYPX$Q+AIDFI*IDPX$Q+AMAFI*MAPX$Q+
APAFI*PAPX$Q+APHFI*PHPX$Q+ATHFI*THPX$Q+ACHFI*CHPX$Q+AARFI*ARPX$Q+ABRFI*BRPX$Q+
ACEFI*CEPX$Q+AMEFI*MEPX$Q+APEFI*PEPX$Q+ATUFI*TUPX$ +APDFI*PDPX$ +ARUFI*RUPX$ +
AUEFI*UEPX$ +AEGFI*EGPX$ +AISFI*ISPX$ +AKEFI*KEPX$ +ABAFI*BAPX$ +AHKFI*HKPX$ +
ASIFI*SIPX$ +AVIFI*VIPX$ +ANIFI*NIPX$ +AALFI*ALPX$ +AIAFI*IAPX$ +AINFI*INPX$ +
AIQFI*IQPX$ +AKUFI*KUPX$ +ALIFI*LIPX$ +AUAFI*UAPX$);                          
IDENT ASPMP =(ASE /ASE00 )*(                                                  
AUSAS*USPX$ +ACAAS*CAPX$ +AJAAS*JAPX$ +AAUAS*AUPX$ +AFRAS*FRPX$ +AGEAS*GEPX$ +
AITAS*ITPX$ +ANEAS*NEPX$ +ASTAS*STPX$ +AUKAS*UKPX$ +AFIAS*FIPX$ +             
ASOAS*SOPX$ +AKOAS*KOPX$ +ABEAS*BEPX$Q+ADEAS*DEPX$Q+ANOAS*NOPX$Q+ASWAS*SWPX$Q+
AGRAS*GRPX$Q+AIRAS*IRPX$Q+APOAS*POPX$Q+ASPAS*SPPX$Q+ANZAS*NZPX$Q+ASAAS*SAPX$Q+
AVEAS*VEPX$Q+ACOAS*COPX$Q+AJOAS*JOPX$Q+ASYAS*SYPX$Q+AIDAS*IDPX$Q+AMAAS*MAPX$Q+
APAAS*PAPX$Q+APHAS*PHPX$Q+ATHAS*THPX$Q+ACHAS*CHPX$Q+AARAS*ARPX$Q+ABRAS*BRPX$Q+
ACEAS*CEPX$Q+AMEAS*MEPX$Q+APEAS*PEPX$Q+ATUAS*TUPX$ +APDAS*PDPX$ +ARUAS*RUPX$ +
AUEAS*UEPX$ +AEGAS*EGPX$ +AISAS*ISPX$ +AKEAS*KEPX$ +ABAAS*BAPX$ +AHKAS*HKPX$ +
ASIAS*SIPX$ +AVIAS*VIPX$ +ANIAS*NIPX$ +AALAS*ALPX$ +AIAAS*IAPX$ +AINAS*INPX$ +
AIQAS*IQPX$ +AKUAS*KUPX$ +ALIAS*LIPX$ +AUAAS*UAPX$);                          
IDENT SOPMP =(SOE /SOE00 )*(                                                  
AUSSO*USPX$ +ACASO*CAPX$ +AJASO*JAPX$ +AAUSO*AUPX$ +AFRSO*FRPX$ +AGESO*GEPX$ +
AITSO*ITPX$ +ANESO*NEPX$ +ASTSO*STPX$ +AUKSO*UKPX$ +AFISO*FIPX$ +AASSO*ASPX$ +
             AKOSO*KOPX$ +ABESO*BEPX$Q+ADESO*DEPX$Q+ANOSO*NOPX$Q+ASWSO*SWPX$Q+
AGRSO*GRPX$Q+AIRSO*IRPX$Q+APOSO*POPX$Q+ASPSO*SPPX$Q+ANZSO*NZPX$Q+ASASO*SAPX$Q+
AVESO*VEPX$Q+ACOSO*COPX$Q+AJOSO*JOPX$Q+ASYSO*SYPX$Q+AIDSO*IDPX$Q+AMASO*MAPX$Q+
APASO*PAPX$Q+APHSO*PHPX$Q+ATHSO*THPX$Q+ACHSO*CHPX$Q+AARSO*ARPX$Q+ABRSO*BRPX$Q+
ACESO*CEPX$Q+AMESO*MEPX$Q+APESO*PEPX$Q+ATUSO*TUPX$ +APDSO*PDPX$ +ARUSO*RUPX$ +
AUESO*UEPX$ +AEGSO*EGPX$ +AISSO*ISPX$ +AKESO*KEPX$ +ABASO*BAPX$ +AHKSO*HKPX$ +
ASISO*SIPX$ +AVISO*VIPX$ +ANISO*NIPX$ +AALSO*ALPX$ +AIASO*IAPX$ +AINSO*INPX$ +
AIQSO*IQPX$ +AKUSO*KUPX$ +ALISO*LIPX$ +AUASO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT KOPMP =(KOE /KOE00 )*(                                                  
AUSKO*USPX$ +ACAKO*CAPX$ +AJAKO*JAPX$ +AAUKO*AUPX$ +AFRKO*FRPX$ +AGEKO*GEPX$ +
AITKO*ITPX$ +ANEKO*NEPX$ +ASTKO*STPX$ +AUKKO*UKPX$ +AFIKO*FIPX$ +AASKO*ASPX$ +
ASOKO*SOPX$ +             ABEKO*BEPX$Q+ADEKO*DEPX$Q+ANOKO*NOPX$Q+ASWKO*SWPX$Q+
AGRKO*GRPX$Q+AIRKO*IRPX$Q+APOKO*POPX$Q+ASPKO*SPPX$Q+ANZKO*NZPX$Q+ASAKO*SAPX$Q+
AVEKO*VEPX$Q+ACOKO*COPX$Q+AJOKO*JOPX$Q+ASYKO*SYPX$Q+AIDKO*IDPX$Q+AMAKO*MAPX$Q+
APAKO*PAPX$Q+APHKO*PHPX$Q+ATHKO*THPX$Q+ACHKO*CHPX$Q+AARKO*ARPX$Q+ABRKO*BRPX$Q+
ACEKO*CEPX$Q+AMEKO*MEPX$Q+APEKO*PEPX$Q+ATUKO*TUPX$ +APDKO*PDPX$ +ARUKO*RUPX$ +
AUEKO*UEPX$ +AEGKO*EGPX$ +AISKO*ISPX$ +AKEKO*KEPX$ +ABAKO*BAPX$ +AHKKO*HKPX$ +
ASIKO*SIPX$ +AVIKO*VIPX$ +ANIKO*NIPX$ +AALKO*ALPX$ +AIAKO*IAPX$ +AINKO*INPX$ +
AIQKO*IQPX$ +AKUKO*KUPX$ +ALIKO*LIPX$ +AUAKO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT BEPMPQ=(BEEQ/BEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSBE*USPX$ +ACABE*CAPX$ +AJABE*JAPX$ +AAUBE*AUPX$ +AFRBE*FRPX$ +AGEBE*GEPX$ +
AITBE*ITPX$ +ANEBE*NEPX$ +ASTBE*STPX$ +AUKBE*UKPX$ +AFIBE*FIPX$ +AASBE*ASPX$ +
ASOBE*SOPX$ +AKOBE*KOPX$ +             ADEBE*DEPX$Q+ANOBE*NOPX$Q+ASWBE*SWPX$Q+
AGRBE*GRPX$Q+AIRBE*IRPX$Q+APOBE*POPX$Q+ASPBE*SPPX$Q+ANZBE*NZPX$Q+ASABE*SAPX$Q+
AVEBE*VEPX$Q+ACOBE*COPX$Q+AJOBE*JOPX$Q+ASYBE*SYPX$Q+AIDBE*IDPX$Q+AMABE*MAPX$Q+
APABE*PAPX$Q+APHBE*PHPX$Q+ATHBE*THPX$Q+ACHBE*CHPX$Q+AARBE*ARPX$Q+ABRBE*BRPX$Q+
ACEBE*CEPX$Q+AMEBE*MEPX$Q+APEBE*PEPX$Q+ATUBE*TUPX$ +APDBE*PDPX$ +ARUBE*RUPX$ +
AUEBE*UEPX$ +AEGBE*EGPX$ +AISBE*ISPX$ +AKEBE*KEPX$ +ABABE*BAPX$ +AHKBE*HKPX$ +
ASIBE*SIPX$ +AVIBE*VIPX$ +ANIBE*NIPX$ +AALBE*ALPX$ +AIABE*IAPX$ +AINBE*INPX$ +
AIQBE*IQPX$ +AKUBE*KUPX$ +ALIBE*LIPX$ +AUABE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT DEPMPQ=(DEEQ/DEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSDE*USPX$ +ACADE*CAPX$ +AJADE*JAPX$ +AAUDE*AUPX$ +AFRDE*FRPX$ +AGEDE*GEPX$ +
AITDE*ITPX$ +ANEDE*NEPX$ +ASTDE*STPX$ +AUKDE*UKPX$ +AFIDE*FIPX$ +AASDE*ASPX$ +
ASODE*SOPX$ +AKODE*KOPX$ +ABEDE*BEPX$Q+             ANODE*NOPX$Q+ASWDE*SWPX$Q+
AGRDE*GRPX$Q+AIRDE*IRPX$Q+APODE*POPX$Q+ASPDE*SPPX$Q+ANZDE*NZPX$Q+ASADE*SAPX$Q+
AVEDE*VEPX$Q+ACODE*COPX$Q+AJODE*JOPX$Q+ASYDE*SYPX$Q+AIDDE*IDPX$Q+AMADE*MAPX$Q+
APADE*PAPX$Q+APHDE*PHPX$Q+ATHDE*THPX$Q+ACHDE*CHPX$Q+AARDE*ARPX$Q+ABRDE*BRPX$Q+
ACEDE*CEPX$Q+AMEDE*MEPX$Q+APEDE*PEPX$Q+ATUDE*TUPX$ +APDDE*PDPX$ +ARUDE*RUPX$ +
AUEDE*UEPX$ +AEGDE*EGPX$ +AISDE*ISPX$ +AKEDE*KEPX$ +ABADE*BAPX$ +AHKDE*HKPX$ +
ASIDE*SIPX$ +AVIDE*VIPX$ +ANIDE*NIPX$ +AALDE*ALPX$ +AIADE*IAPX$ +AINDE*INPX$ +
AIQDE*IQPX$ +AKUDE*KUPX$ +ALIDE*LIPX$ +AUADE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT NOPMPQ=(NOEQ/NOE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSNO*USPX$ +ACANO*CAPX$ +AJANO*JAPX$ +AAUNO*AUPX$ +AFRNO*FRPX$ +AGENO*GEPX$ +
AITNO*ITPX$ +ANENO*NEPX$ +ASTNO*STPX$ +AUKNO*UKPX$ +AFINO*FIPX$ +AASNO*ASPX$ +
ASONO*SOPX$ +AKONO*KOPX$ +ABENO*BEPX$Q+ADENO*DEPX$Q+             ASWNO*SWPX$Q+
AGRNO*GRPX$Q+AIRNO*IRPX$Q+APONO*POPX$Q+ASPNO*SPPX$Q+ANZNO*NZPX$Q+ASANO*SAPX$Q+
AVENO*VEPX$Q+ACONO*COPX$Q+AJONO*JOPX$Q+ASYNO*SYPX$Q+AIDNO*IDPX$Q+AMANO*MAPX$Q+
APANO*PAPX$Q+APHNO*PHPX$Q+ATHNO*THPX$Q+ACHNO*CHPX$Q+AARNO*ARPX$Q+ABRNO*BRPX$Q+
ACENO*CEPX$Q+AMENO*MEPX$Q+APENO*PEPX$Q+ATUNO*TUPX$ +APDNO*PDPX$ +ARUNO*RUPX$ +
AUENO*UEPX$ +AEGNO*EGPX$ +AISNO*ISPX$ +AKENO*KEPX$ +ABANO*BAPX$ +AHKNO*HKPX$ +
ASINO*SIPX$ +AVINO*VIPX$ +ANINO*NIPX$ +AALNO*ALPX$ +AIANO*IAPX$ +AINNO*INPX$ +
AIQNO*IQPX$ +AKUNO*KUPX$ +ALINO*LIPX$ +AUANO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT SWPMPQ=(SWEQ/SWE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSSW*USPX$ +ACASW*CAPX$ +AJASW*JAPX$ +AAUSW*AUPX$ +AFRSW*FRPX$ +AGESW*GEPX$ +
AITSW*ITPX$ +ANESW*NEPX$ +ASTSW*STPX$ +AUKSW*UKPX$ +AFISW*FIPX$ +AASSW*ASPX$ +
ASOSW*SOPX$ +AKOSW*KOPX$ +ABESW*BEPX$Q+ADESW*DEPX$Q+ANOSW*NOPX$Q+             
AGRSW*GRPX$Q+AIRSW*IRPX$Q+APOSW*POPX$Q+ASPSW*SPPX$Q+ANZSW*NZPX$Q+ASASW*SAPX$Q+
AVESW*VEPX$Q+ACOSW*COPX$Q+AJOSW*JOPX$Q+ASYSW*SYPX$Q+AIDSW*IDPX$Q+AMASW*MAPX$Q+
APASW*PAPX$Q+APHSW*PHPX$Q+ATHSW*THPX$Q+ACHSW*CHPX$Q+AARSW*ARPX$Q+ABRSW*BRPX$Q+
ACESW*CEPX$Q+AMESW*MEPX$Q+APESW*PEPX$Q+ATUSW*TUPX$ +APDSW*PDPX$ +ARUSW*RUPX$ +
AUESW*UEPX$ +AEGSW*EGPX$ +AISSW*ISPX$ +AKESW*KEPX$ +ABASW*BAPX$ +AHKSW*HKPX$ +
ASISW*SIPX$ +AVISW*VIPX$ +ANISW*NIPX$ +AALSW*ALPX$ +AIASW*IAPX$ +AINSW*INPX$ +
AIQSW*IQPX$ +AKUSW*KUPX$ +ALISW*LIPX$ +AUASW*UAPX$);                          
IDENT GRPMPQ=(GREQ/GRE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSGR*USPX$ +ACAGR*CAPX$ +AJAGR*JAPX$ +AAUGR*AUPX$ +AFRGR*FRPX$ +AGEGR*GEPX$ +
AITGR*ITPX$ +ANEGR*NEPX$ +ASTGR*STPX$ +AUKGR*UKPX$ +AFIGR*FIPX$ +AASGR*ASPX$ +
ASOGR*SOPX$ +AKOGR*KOPX$ +ABEGR*BEPX$Q+ADEGR*DEPX$Q+ANOGR*NOPX$Q+ASWGR*SWPX$Q+
             AIRGR*IRPX$Q+APOGR*POPX$Q+ASPGR*SPPX$Q+ANZGR*NZPX$Q+ASAGR*SAPX$Q+
AVEGR*VEPX$Q+ACOGR*COPX$Q+AJOGR*JOPX$Q+ASYGR*SYPX$Q+AIDGR*IDPX$Q+AMAGR*MAPX$Q+
APAGR*PAPX$Q+APHGR*PHPX$Q+ATHGR*THPX$Q+ACHGR*CHPX$Q+AARGR*ARPX$Q+ABRGR*BRPX$Q+
ACEGR*CEPX$Q+AMEGR*MEPX$Q+APEGR*PEPX$Q+ATUGR*TUPX$ +APDGR*PDPX$ +ARUGR*RUPX$ +
AUEGR*UEPX$ +AEGGR*EGPX$ +AISGR*ISPX$ +AKEGR*KEPX$ +ABAGR*BAPX$ +AHKGR*HKPX$ +
ASIGR*SIPX$ +AVIGR*VIPX$ +ANIGR*NIPX$ +AALGR*ALPX$ +AIAGR*IAPX$ +AINGR*INPX$ +
AIQGR*IQPX$ +AKUGR*KUPX$ +ALIGR*LIPX$ +AUAGR*UAPX$);                          
IDENT IRPMPQ=(IREQ/IRE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSIR*USPX$ +ACAIR*CAPX$ +AJAIR*JAPX$ +AAUIR*AUPX$ +AFRIR*FRPX$ +AGEIR*GEPX$ +
AITIR*ITPX$ +ANEIR*NEPX$ +ASTIR*STPX$ +AUKIR*UKPX$ +AFIIR*FIPX$ +AASIR*ASPX$ +
ASOIR*SOPX$ +AKOIR*KOPX$ +ABEIR*BEPX$Q+ADEIR*DEPX$Q+ANOIR*NOPX$Q+ASWIR*SWPX$Q+
AGRIR*GRPX$Q+             APOIR*POPX$Q+ASPIR*SPPX$Q+ANZIR*NZPX$Q+ASAIR*SAPX$Q+
AVEIR*VEPX$Q+ACOIR*COPX$Q+AJOIR*JOPX$Q+ASYIR*SYPX$Q+AIDIR*IDPX$Q+AMAIR*MAPX$Q+
APAIR*PAPX$Q+APHIR*PHPX$Q+ATHIR*THPX$Q+ACHIR*CHPX$Q+AARIR*ARPX$Q+ABRIR*BRPX$Q+
ACEIR*CEPX$Q+AMEIR*MEPX$Q+APEIR*PEPX$Q+ATUIR*TUPX$ +APDIR*PDPX$ +ARUIR*RUPX$ +
AUEIR*UEPX$ +AEGIR*EGPX$ +AISIR*ISPX$ +AKEIR*KEPX$ +ABAIR*BAPX$ +AHKIR*HKPX$ +
ASIIR*SIPX$ +AVIIR*VIPX$ +ANIIR*NIPX$ +AALIR*ALPX$ +AIAIR*IAPX$ +AINIR*INPX$ +
AIQIR*IQPX$ +AKUIR*KUPX$ +ALIIR*LIPX$ +AUAIR*UAPX$);                          
IDENT POPMPQ=(POEQ/POE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSPO*USPX$ +ACAPO*CAPX$ +AJAPO*JAPX$ +AAUPO*AUPX$ +AFRPO*FRPX$ +AGEPO*GEPX$ +
AITPO*ITPX$ +ANEPO*NEPX$ +ASTPO*STPX$ +AUKPO*UKPX$ +AFIPO*FIPX$ +AASPO*ASPX$ +
ASOPO*SOPX$ +AKOPO*KOPX$ +ABEPO*BEPX$Q+ADEPO*DEPX$Q+ANOPO*NOPX$Q+ASWPO*SWPX$Q+
AGRPO*GRPX$Q+AIRPO*IRPX$Q+             ASPPO*SPPX$Q+ANZPO*NZPX$Q+ASAPO*SAPX$Q+
AVEPO*VEPX$Q+ACOPO*COPX$Q+AJOPO*JOPX$Q+ASYPO*SYPX$Q+AIDPO*IDPX$Q+AMAPO*MAPX$Q+
APAPO*PAPX$Q+APHPO*PHPX$Q+ATHPO*THPX$Q+ACHPO*CHPX$Q+AARPO*ARPX$Q+ABRPO*BRPX$Q+
ACEPO*CEPX$Q+AMEPO*MEPX$Q+APEPO*PEPX$Q+ATUPO*TUPX$ +APDPO*PDPX$ +ARUPO*RUPX$ +
AUEPO*UEPX$ +AEGPO*EGPX$ +AISPO*ISPX$ +AKEPO*KEPX$ +ABAPO*BAPX$ +AHKPO*HKPX$ +
ASIPO*SIPX$ +AVIPO*VIPX$ +ANIPO*NIPX$ +AALPO*ALPX$ +AIAPO*IAPX$ +AINPO*INPX$ +
AIQPO*IQPX$ +AKUPO*KUPX$ +ALIPO*LIPX$ +AUAPO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT SPPMPQ=(SPEQ/SPE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSSP*USPX$ +ACASP*CAPX$ +AJASP*JAPX$ +AAUSP*AUPX$ +AFRSP*FRPX$ +AGESP*GEPX$ +
AITSP*ITPX$ +ANESP*NEPX$ +ASTSP*STPX$ +AUKSP*UKPX$ +AFISP*FIPX$ +AASSP*ASPX$ +
ASOSP*SOPX$ +AKOSP*KOPX$ +ABESP*BEPX$Q+ADESP*DEPX$Q+ANOSP*NOPX$Q+ASWSP*SWPX$Q+
AGRSP*GRPX$Q+AIRSP*IRPX$Q+APOSP*POPX$Q+             ANZSP*NZPX$Q+ASASP*SAPX$Q+
AVESP*VEPX$Q+ACOSP*COPX$Q+AJOSP*JOPX$Q+ASYSP*SYPX$Q+AIDSP*IDPX$Q+AMASP*MAPX$Q+
APASP*PAPX$Q+APHSP*PHPX$Q+ATHSP*THPX$Q+ACHSP*CHPX$Q+AARSP*ARPX$Q+ABRSP*BRPX$Q+
ACESP*CEPX$Q+AMESP*MEPX$Q+APESP*PEPX$Q+ATUSP*TUPX$ +APDSP*PDPX$ +ARUSP*RUPX$ +
AUESP*UEPX$ +AEGSP*EGPX$ +AISSP*ISPX$ +AKESP*KEPX$ +ABASP*BAPX$ +AHKSP*HKPX$ +
ASISP*SIPX$ +AVISP*VIPX$ +ANISP*NIPX$ +AALSP*ALPX$ +AIASP*IAPX$ +AINSP*INPX$ +
AIQSP*IQPX$ +AKUSP*KUPX$ +ALISP*LIPX$ +AUASP*UAPX$);                          
IDENT NZPMPQ=(NZEQ/NZE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSNZ*USPX$ +ACANZ*CAPX$ +AJANZ*JAPX$ +AAUNZ*AUPX$ +AFRNZ*FRPX$ +AGENZ*GEPX$ +
AITNZ*ITPX$ +ANENZ*NEPX$ +ASTNZ*STPX$ +AUKNZ*UKPX$ +AFINZ*FIPX$ +AASNZ*ASPX$ +
ASONZ*SOPX$ +AKONZ*KOPX$ +ABENZ*BEPX$Q+ADENZ*DEPX$Q+ANONZ*NOPX$Q+ASWNZ*SWPX$Q+
AGRNZ*GRPX$Q+AIRNZ*IRPX$Q+APONZ*POPX$Q+ASPNZ*SPPX$Q+             ASANZ*SAPX$Q+
AVENZ*VEPX$Q+ACONZ*COPX$Q+AJONZ*JOPX$Q+ASYNZ*SYPX$Q+AIDNZ*IDPX$Q+AMANZ*MAPX$Q+
APANZ*PAPX$Q+APHNZ*PHPX$Q+ATHNZ*THPX$Q+ACHNZ*CHPX$Q+AARNZ*ARPX$Q+ABRNZ*BRPX$Q+
ACENZ*CEPX$Q+AMENZ*MEPX$Q+APENZ*PEPX$Q+ATUNZ*TUPX$ +APDNZ*PDPX$ +ARUNZ*RUPX$ +
AUENZ*UEPX$ +AEGNZ*EGPX$ +AISNZ*ISPX$ +AKENZ*KEPX$ +ABANZ*BAPX$ +AHKNZ*HKPX$ +
ASINZ*SIPX$ +AVINZ*VIPX$ +ANINZ*NIPX$ +AALNZ*ALPX$ +AIANZ*IAPX$ +AINNZ*INPX$ +
AIQNZ*IQPX$ +AKUNZ*KUPX$ +ALINZ*LIPX$ +AUANZ*UAPX$);                          
IDENT SAPMPQ=(SAEQ/SAE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSSA*USPX$ +ACASA*CAPX$ +AJASA*JAPX$ +AAUSA*AUPX$ +AFRSA*FRPX$ +AGESA*GEPX$ +
AITSA*ITPX$ +ANESA*NEPX$ +ASTSA*STPX$ +AUKSA*UKPX$ +AFISA*FIPX$ +AASSA*ASPX$ +
ASOSA*SOPX$ +AKOSA*KOPX$ +ABESA*BEPX$Q+ADESA*DEPX$Q+ANOSA*NOPX$Q+ASWSA*SWPX$Q+
AGRSA*GRPX$Q+AIRSA*IRPX$Q+APOSA*POPX$Q+ASPSA*SPPX$Q+ANZSA*NZPX$Q+             
AVESA*VEPX$Q+ACOSA*COPX$Q+AJOSA*JOPX$Q+ASYSA*SYPX$Q+AIDSA*IDPX$Q+AMASA*MAPX$Q+
APASA*PAPX$Q+APHSA*PHPX$Q+ATHSA*THPX$Q+ACHSA*CHPX$Q+AARSA*ARPX$Q+ABRSA*BRPX$Q+
ACESA*CEPX$Q+AMESA*MEPX$Q+APESA*PEPX$Q+ATUSA*TUPX$ +APDSA*PDPX$ +ARUSA*RUPX$ +
AUESA*UEPX$ +AEGSA*EGPX$ +AISSA*ISPX$ +AKESA*KEPX$ +ABASA*BAPX$ +AHKSA*HKPX$ +
ASISA*SIPX$ +AVISA*VIPX$ +ANISA*NIPX$ +AALSA*ALPX$ +AIASA*IAPX$ +AINSA*INPX$ +
AIQSA*IQPX$ +AKUSA*KUPX$ +ALISA*LIPX$ +AUASA*UAPX$);                          
IDENT VEPMPQ=(VEEQ/VEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSVE*USPX$ +ACAVE*CAPX$ +AJAVE*JAPX$ +AAUVE*AUPX$ +AFRVE*FRPX$ +AGEVE*GEPX$ +
AITVE*ITPX$ +ANEVE*NEPX$ +ASTVE*STPX$ +AUKVE*UKPX$ +AFIVE*FIPX$ +AASVE*ASPX$ +
ASOVE*SOPX$ +AKOVE*KOPX$ +ABEVE*BEPX$Q+ADEVE*DEPX$Q+ANOVE*NOPX$Q+ASWVE*SWPX$Q+
AGRVE*GRPX$Q+AIRVE*IRPX$Q+APOVE*POPX$Q+ASPVE*SPPX$Q+ANZVE*NZPX$Q+ASAVE*SAPX$Q+
             ACOVE*COPX$Q+AJOVE*JOPX$Q+ASYVE*SYPX$Q+AIDVE*IDPX$Q+AMAVE*MAPX$Q+
APAVE*PAPX$Q+APHVE*PHPX$Q+ATHVE*THPX$Q+ACHVE*CHPX$Q+AARVE*ARPX$Q+ABRVE*BRPX$Q+
ACEVE*CEPX$Q+AMEVE*MEPX$Q+APEVE*PEPX$Q+ATUVE*TUPX$ +APDVE*PDPX$ +ARUVE*RUPX$ +
AUEVE*UEPX$ +AEGVE*EGPX$ +AISVE*ISPX$ +AKEVE*KEPX$ +ABAVE*BAPX$ +AHKVE*HKPX$ +
ASIVE*SIPX$ +AVIVE*VIPX$ +ANIVE*NIPX$ +AALVE*ALPX$ +AIAVE*IAPX$ +AINVE*INPX$ +
AIQVE*IQPX$ +AKUVE*KUPX$ +ALIVE*LIPX$ +AUAVE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT COPMPQ=(COEQ/COE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSCO*USPX$ +ACACO*CAPX$ +AJACO*JAPX$ +AAUCO*AUPX$ +AFRCO*FRPX$ +AGECO*GEPX$ +
AITCO*ITPX$ +ANECO*NEPX$ +ASTCO*STPX$ +AUKCO*UKPX$ +AFICO*FIPX$ +AASCO*ASPX$ +
ASOCO*SOPX$ +AKOCO*KOPX$ +ABECO*BEPX$Q+ADECO*DEPX$Q+ANOCO*NOPX$Q+ASWCO*SWPX$Q+
AGRCO*GRPX$Q+AIRCO*IRPX$Q+APOCO*POPX$Q+ASPCO*SPPX$Q+ANZCO*NZPX$Q+ASACO*SAPX$Q+
AVECO*VEPX$Q+             AJOCO*JOPX$Q+ASYCO*SYPX$Q+AIDCO*IDPX$Q+AMACO*MAPX$Q+
APACO*PAPX$Q+APHCO*PHPX$Q+ATHCO*THPX$Q+ACHCO*CHPX$Q+AARCO*ARPX$Q+ABRCO*BRPX$Q+
ACECO*CEPX$Q+AMECO*MEPX$Q+APECO*PEPX$Q+ATUCO*TUPX$ +APDCO*PDPX$ +ARUCO*RUPX$ +
AUECO*UEPX$ +AEGCO*EGPX$ +AISCO*ISPX$ +AKECO*KEPX$ +ABACO*BAPX$ +AHKCO*HKPX$ +
ASICO*SIPX$ +AVICO*VIPX$ +ANICO*NIPX$ +AALCO*ALPX$ +AIACO*IAPX$ +AINCO*INPX$ +
AIQCO*IQPX$ +AKUCO*KUPX$ +ALICO*LIPX$ +AUACO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT JOPMPQ=(JOEQ/JOE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSJO*USPX$ +ACAJO*CAPX$ +AJAJO*JAPX$ +AAUJO*AUPX$ +AFRJO*FRPX$ +AGEJO*GEPX$ +
AITJO*ITPX$ +ANEJO*NEPX$ +ASTJO*STPX$ +AUKJO*UKPX$ +AFIJO*FIPX$ +AASJO*ASPX$ +
ASOJO*SOPX$ +AKOJO*KOPX$ +ABEJO*BEPX$Q+ADEJO*DEPX$Q+ANOJO*NOPX$Q+ASWJO*SWPX$Q+
AGRJO*GRPX$Q+AIRJO*IRPX$Q+APOJO*POPX$Q+ASPJO*SPPX$Q+ANZJO*NZPX$Q+ASAJO*SAPX$Q+
AVEJO*VEPX$Q+ACOJO*COPX$Q+             ASYJO*SYPX$Q+AIDJO*IDPX$Q+AMAJO*MAPX$Q+
APAJO*PAPX$Q+APHJO*PHPX$Q+ATHJO*THPX$Q+ACHJO*CHPX$Q+AARJO*ARPX$Q+ABRJO*BRPX$Q+
ACEJO*CEPX$Q+AMEJO*MEPX$Q+APEJO*PEPX$Q+ATUJO*TUPX$ +APDJO*PDPX$ +ARUJO*RUPX$ +
AUEJO*UEPX$ +AEGJO*EGPX$ +AISJO*ISPX$ +AKEJO*KEPX$ +ABAJO*BAPX$ +AHKJO*HKPX$ +
ASIJO*SIPX$ +AVIJO*VIPX$ +ANIJO*NIPX$ +AALJO*ALPX$ +AIAJO*IAPX$ +AINJO*INPX$ +
AIQJO*IQPX$ +AKUJO*KUPX$ +ALIJO*LIPX$ +AUAJO*UAPX$);                          
IDENT SYPMPQ=(SYEQ/SYE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSSY*USPX$ +ACASY*CAPX$ +AJASY*JAPX$ +AAUSY*AUPX$ +AFRSY*FRPX$ +AGESY*GEPX$ +
AITSY*ITPX$ +ANESY*NEPX$ +ASTSY*STPX$ +AUKSY*UKPX$ +AFISY*FIPX$ +AASSY*ASPX$ +
ASOSY*SOPX$ +AKOSY*KOPX$ +ABESY*BEPX$Q+ADESY*DEPX$Q+ANOSY*NOPX$Q+ASWSY*SWPX$Q+
AGRSY*GRPX$Q+AIRSY*IRPX$Q+APOSY*POPX$Q+ASPSY*SPPX$Q+ANZSY*NZPX$Q+ASASY*SAPX$Q+
AVESY*VEPX$Q+ACOSY*COPX$Q+AJOSY*JOPX$Q+             AIDSY*IDPX$Q+AMASY*MAPX$Q+
APASY*PAPX$Q+APHSY*PHPX$Q+ATHSY*THPX$Q+ACHSY*CHPX$Q+AARSY*ARPX$Q+ABRSY*BRPX$Q+
ACESY*CEPX$Q+AMESY*MEPX$Q+APESY*PEPX$Q+ATUSY*TUPX$ +APDSY*PDPX$ +ARUSY*RUPX$ +
AUESY*UEPX$ +AEGSY*EGPX$ +AISSY*ISPX$ +AKESY*KEPX$ +ABASY*BAPX$ +AHKSY*HKPX$ +
ASISY*SIPX$ +AVISY*VIPX$ +ANISY*NIPX$ +AALSY*ALPX$ +AIASY*IAPX$ +AINSY*INPX$ +
AIQSY*IQPX$ +AKUSY*KUPX$ +ALISY*LIPX$ +AUASY*UAPX$);                          
IDENT IDPMPQ=(IDEQ/IDE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSID*USPX$ +ACAID*CAPX$ +AJAID*JAPX$ +AAUID*AUPX$ +AFRID*FRPX$ +AGEID*GEPX$ +
AITID*ITPX$ +ANEID*NEPX$ +ASTID*STPX$ +AUKID*UKPX$ +AFIID*FIPX$ +AASID*ASPX$ +
ASOID*SOPX$ +AKOID*KOPX$ +ABEID*BEPX$Q+ADEID*DEPX$Q+ANOID*NOPX$Q+ASWID*SWPX$Q+
AGRID*GRPX$Q+AIRID*IRPX$Q+APOID*POPX$Q+ASPID*SPPX$Q+ANZID*NZPX$Q+ASAID*SAPX$Q+
AVEID*VEPX$Q+ACOID*COPX$Q+AJOID*JOPX$Q+ASYID*SYPX$Q+             AMAID*MAPX$Q+
APAID*PAPX$Q+APHID*PHPX$Q+ATHID*THPX$Q+ACHID*CHPX$Q+AARID*ARPX$Q+ABRID*BRPX$Q+
ACEID*CEPX$Q+AMEID*MEPX$Q+APEID*PEPX$Q+ATUID*TUPX$ +APDID*PDPX$ +ARUID*RUPX$ +
AUEID*UEPX$ +AEGID*EGPX$ +AISID*ISPX$ +AKEID*KEPX$ +ABAID*BAPX$ +AHKID*HKPX$ +
ASIID*SIPX$ +AVIID*VIPX$ +ANIID*NIPX$ +AALID*ALPX$ +AIAID*IAPX$ +AINID*INPX$ +
AIQID*IQPX$ +AKUID*KUPX$ +ALIID*LIPX$ +AUAID*UAPX$);                          
IDENT MAPMPQ=(MAEQ/MAE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSMA*USPX$ +ACAMA*CAPX$ +AJAMA*JAPX$ +AAUMA*AUPX$ +AFRMA*FRPX$ +AGEMA*GEPX$ +
AITMA*ITPX$ +ANEMA*NEPX$ +ASTMA*STPX$ +AUKMA*UKPX$ +AFIMA*FIPX$ +AASMA*ASPX$ +
ASOMA*SOPX$ +AKOMA*KOPX$ +ABEMA*BEPX$Q+ADEMA*DEPX$Q+ANOMA*NOPX$Q+ASWMA*SWPX$Q+
AGRMA*GRPX$Q+AIRMA*IRPX$Q+APOMA*POPX$Q+ASPMA*SPPX$Q+ANZMA*NZPX$Q+ASAMA*SAPX$Q+
AVEMA*VEPX$Q+ACOMA*COPX$Q+AJOMA*JOPX$Q+ASYMA*SYPX$Q+AIDMA*IDPX$Q+             
APAMA*PAPX$Q+APHMA*PHPX$Q+ATHMA*THPX$Q+ACHMA*CHPX$Q+AARMA*ARPX$Q+ABRMA*BRPX$Q+
ACEMA*CEPX$Q+AMEMA*MEPX$Q+APEMA*PEPX$Q+ATUMA*TUPX$ +APDMA*PDPX$ +ARUMA*RUPX$ +
AUEMA*UEPX$ +AEGMA*EGPX$ +AISMA*ISPX$ +AKEMA*KEPX$ +ABAMA*BAPX$ +AHKMA*HKPX$ +
ASIMA*SIPX$ +AVIMA*VIPX$ +ANIMA*NIPX$ +AALMA*ALPX$ +AIAMA*IAPX$ +AINMA*INPX$ +
AIQMA*IQPX$ +AKUMA*KUPX$ +ALIMA*LIPX$ +AUAMA*UAPX$);                          
IDENT PAPMPQ=(PAEQ/PAE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSPA*USPX$ +ACAPA*CAPX$ +AJAPA*JAPX$ +AAUPA*AUPX$ +AFRPA*FRPX$ +AGEPA*GEPX$ +
AITPA*ITPX$ +ANEPA*NEPX$ +ASTPA*STPX$ +AUKPA*UKPX$ +AFIPA*FIPX$ +AASPA*ASPX$ +
ASOPA*SOPX$ +AKOPA*KOPX$ +ABEPA*BEPX$Q+ADEPA*DEPX$Q+ANOPA*NOPX$Q+ASWPA*SWPX$Q+
AGRPA*GRPX$Q+AIRPA*IRPX$Q+APOPA*POPX$Q+ASPPA*SPPX$Q+ANZPA*NZPX$Q+ASAPA*SAPX$Q+
AVEPA*VEPX$Q+ACOPA*COPX$Q+AJOPA*JOPX$Q+ASYPA*SYPX$Q+AIDPA*IDPX$Q+AMAPA*MAPX$Q+
             APHPA*PHPX$Q+ATHPA*THPX$Q+ACHPA*CHPX$Q+AARPA*ARPX$Q+ABRPA*BRPX$Q+
ACEPA*CEPX$Q+AMEPA*MEPX$Q+APEPA*PEPX$Q+ATUPA*TUPX$ +APDPA*PDPX$ +ARUPA*RUPX$ +
AUEPA*UEPX$ +AEGPA*EGPX$ +AISPA*ISPX$ +AKEPA*KEPX$ +ABAPA*BAPX$ +AHKPA*HKPX$ +
ASIPA*SIPX$ +AVIPA*VIPX$ +ANIPA*NIPX$ +AALPA*ALPX$ +AIAPA*IAPX$ +AINPA*INPX$ +
AIQPA*IQPX$ +AKUPA*KUPX$ +ALIPA*LIPX$ +AUAPA*UAPX$);                          
IDENT PHPMPQ=(PHEQ/PHE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSPH*USPX$ +ACAPH*CAPX$ +AJAPH*JAPX$ +AAUPH*AUPX$ +AFRPH*FRPX$ +AGEPH*GEPX$ +
AITPH*ITPX$ +ANEPH*NEPX$ +ASTPH*STPX$ +AUKPH*UKPX$ +AFIPH*FIPX$ +AASPH*ASPX$ +
ASOPH*SOPX$ +AKOPH*KOPX$ +ABEPH*BEPX$Q+ADEPH*DEPX$Q+ANOPH*NOPX$Q+ASWPH*SWPX$Q+
AGRPH*GRPX$Q+AIRPH*IRPX$Q+APOPH*POPX$Q+ASPPH*SPPX$Q+ANZPH*NZPX$Q+ASAPH*SAPX$Q+
AVEPH*VEPX$Q+ACOPH*COPX$Q+AJOPH*JOPX$Q+ASYPH*SYPX$Q+AIDPH*IDPX$Q+AMAPH*MAPX$Q+
APAPH*PAPX$Q+             ATHPH*THPX$Q+ACHPH*CHPX$Q+AARPH*ARPX$Q+ABRPH*BRPX$Q+
ACEPH*CEPX$Q+AMEPH*MEPX$Q+APEPH*PEPX$Q+ATUPH*TUPX$ +APDPH*PDPX$ +ARUPH*RUPX$ +
AUEPH*UEPX$ +AEGPH*EGPX$ +AISPH*ISPX$ +AKEPH*KEPX$ +ABAPH*BAPX$ +AHKPH*HKPX$ +
ASIPH*SIPX$ +AVIPH*VIPX$ +ANIPH*NIPX$ +AALPH*ALPX$ +AIAPH*IAPX$ +AINPH*INPX$ +
AIQPH*IQPX$ +AKUPH*KUPX$ +ALIPH*LIPX$ +AUAPH*UAPX$);                          
IDENT THPMPQ=(THEQ/THE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSTH*USPX$ +ACATH*CAPX$ +AJATH*JAPX$ +AAUTH*AUPX$ +AFRTH*FRPX$ +AGETH*GEPX$ +
AITTH*ITPX$ +ANETH*NEPX$ +ASTTH*STPX$ +AUKTH*UKPX$ +AFITH*FIPX$ +AASTH*ASPX$ +
ASOTH*SOPX$ +AKOTH*KOPX$ +ABETH*BEPX$Q+ADETH*DEPX$Q+ANOTH*NOPX$Q+ASWTH*SWPX$Q+
AGRTH*GRPX$Q+AIRTH*IRPX$Q+APOTH*POPX$Q+ASPTH*SPPX$Q+ANZTH*NZPX$Q+ASATH*SAPX$Q+
AVETH*VEPX$Q+ACOTH*COPX$Q+AJOTH*JOPX$Q+ASYTH*SYPX$Q+AIDTH*IDPX$Q+AMATH*MAPX$Q+
APATH*PAPX$Q+APHTH*PHPX$Q+             ACHTH*CHPX$Q+AARTH*ARPX$Q+ABRTH*BRPX$Q+
ACETH*CEPX$Q+AMETH*MEPX$Q+APETH*PEPX$Q+ATUTH*TUPX$ +APDTH*PDPX$ +ARUTH*RUPX$ +
AUETH*UEPX$ +AEGTH*EGPX$ +AISTH*ISPX$ +AKETH*KEPX$ +ABATH*BAPX$ +AHKTH*HKPX$ +
ASITH*SIPX$ +AVITH*VIPX$ +ANITH*NIPX$ +AALTH*ALPX$ +AIATH*IAPX$ +AINTH*INPX$ +
AIQTH*IQPX$ +AKUTH*KUPX$ +ALITH*LIPX$ +AUATH*UAPX$);                          
IDENT CHPMPQ=(CHEQ/CHE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSCH*USPX$ +ACACH*CAPX$ +AJACH*JAPX$ +AAUCH*AUPX$ +AFRCH*FRPX$ +AGECH*GEPX$ +
AITCH*ITPX$ +ANECH*NEPX$ +ASTCH*STPX$ +AUKCH*UKPX$ +AFICH*FIPX$ +AASCH*ASPX$ +
ASOCH*SOPX$ +AKOCH*KOPX$ +ABECH*BEPX$Q+ADECH*DEPX$Q+ANOCH*NOPX$Q+ASWCH*SWPX$Q+
AGRCH*GRPX$Q+AIRCH*IRPX$Q+APOCH*POPX$Q+ASPCH*SPPX$Q+ANZCH*NZPX$Q+ASACH*SAPX$Q+
AVECH*VEPX$Q+ACOCH*COPX$Q+AJOCH*JOPX$Q+ASYCH*SYPX$Q+AIDCH*IDPX$Q+AMACH*MAPX$Q+
APACH*PAPX$Q+APHCH*PHPX$Q+ATHCH*THPX$Q+             AARCH*ARPX$Q+ABRCH*BRPX$Q+
ACECH*CEPX$Q+AMECH*MEPX$Q+APECH*PEPX$Q+ATUCH*TUPX$ +APDCH*PDPX$ +ARUCH*RUPX$ +
AUECH*UEPX$ +AEGCH*EGPX$ +AISCH*ISPX$ +AKECH*KEPX$ +ABACH*BAPX$ +AHKCH*HKPX$ +
ASICH*SIPX$ +AVICH*VIPX$ +ANICH*NIPX$ +AALCH*ALPX$ +AIACH*IAPX$ +AINCH*INPX$ +
AIQCH*IQPX$ +AKUCH*KUPX$ +ALICH*LIPX$ +AUACH*UAPX$);                          
IDENT ARPMPQ=(AREQ/ARE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSAR*USPX$ +ACAAR*CAPX$ +AJAAR*JAPX$ +AAUAR*AUPX$ +AFRAR*FRPX$ +AGEAR*GEPX$ +
AITAR*ITPX$ +ANEAR*NEPX$ +ASTAR*STPX$ +AUKAR*UKPX$ +AFIAR*FIPX$ +AASAR*ASPX$ +
ASOAR*SOPX$ +AKOAR*KOPX$ +ABEAR*BEPX$Q+ADEAR*DEPX$Q+ANOAR*NOPX$Q+ASWAR*SWPX$Q+
AGRAR*GRPX$Q+AIRAR*IRPX$Q+APOAR*POPX$Q+ASPAR*SPPX$Q+ANZAR*NZPX$Q+ASAAR*SAPX$Q+
AVEAR*VEPX$Q+ACOAR*COPX$Q+AJOAR*JOPX$Q+ASYAR*SYPX$Q+AIDAR*IDPX$Q+AMAAR*MAPX$Q+
APAAR*PAPX$Q+APHAR*PHPX$Q+ATHAR*THPX$Q+ACHAR*CHPX$Q+             ABRAR*BRPX$Q+
ACEAR*CEPX$Q+AMEAR*MEPX$Q+APEAR*PEPX$Q+ATUAR*TUPX$ +APDAR*PDPX$ +ARUAR*RUPX$ +
AUEAR*UEPX$ +AEGAR*EGPX$ +AISAR*ISPX$ +AKEAR*KEPX$ +ABAAR*BAPX$ +AHKAR*HKPX$ +
ASIAR*SIPX$ +AVIAR*VIPX$ +ANIAR*NIPX$ +AALAR*ALPX$ +AIAAR*IAPX$ +AINAR*INPX$ +
AIQAR*IQPX$ +AKUAR*KUPX$ +ALIAR*LIPX$ +AUAAR*UAPX$);                          
IDENT BRPMPQ=(BREQ/BRE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSBR*USPX$ +ACABR*CAPX$ +AJABR*JAPX$ +AAUBR*AUPX$ +AFRBR*FRPX$ +AGEBR*GEPX$ +
AITBR*ITPX$ +ANEBR*NEPX$ +ASTBR*STPX$ +AUKBR*UKPX$ +AFIBR*FIPX$ +AASBR*ASPX$ +
ASOBR*SOPX$ +AKOBR*KOPX$ +ABEBR*BEPX$Q+ADEBR*DEPX$Q+ANOBR*NOPX$Q+ASWBR*SWPX$Q+
AGRBR*GRPX$Q+AIRBR*IRPX$Q+APOBR*POPX$Q+ASPBR*SPPX$Q+ANZBR*NZPX$Q+ASABR*SAPX$Q+
AVEBR*VEPX$Q+ACOBR*COPX$Q+AJOBR*JOPX$Q+ASYBR*SYPX$Q+AIDBR*IDPX$Q+AMABR*MAPX$Q+
APABR*PAPX$Q+APHBR*PHPX$Q+ATHBR*THPX$Q+ACHBR*CHPX$Q+AARBR*ARPX$Q+             
ACEBR*CEPX$Q+AMEBR*MEPX$Q+APEBR*PEPX$Q+ATUBR*TUPX$ +APDBR*PDPX$ +ARUBR*RUPX$ +
AUEBR*UEPX$ +AEGBR*EGPX$ +AISBR*ISPX$ +AKEBR*KEPX$ +ABABR*BAPX$ +AHKBR*HKPX$ +
ASIBR*SIPX$ +AVIBR*VIPX$ +ANIBR*NIPX$ +AALBR*ALPX$ +AIABR*IAPX$ +AINBR*INPX$ +
AIQBR*IQPX$ +AKUBR*KUPX$ +ALIBR*LIPX$ +AUABR*UAPX$);                          
IDENT CEPMPQ=(CEEQ/CEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSCE*USPX$ +ACACE*CAPX$ +AJACE*JAPX$ +AAUCE*AUPX$ +AFRCE*FRPX$ +AGECE*GEPX$ +
AITCE*ITPX$ +ANECE*NEPX$ +ASTCE*STPX$ +AUKCE*UKPX$ +AFICE*FIPX$ +AASCE*ASPX$ +
ASOCE*SOPX$ +AKOCE*KOPX$ +ABECE*BEPX$Q+ADECE*DEPX$Q+ANOCE*NOPX$Q+ASWCE*SWPX$Q+
AGRCE*GRPX$Q+AIRCE*IRPX$Q+APOCE*POPX$Q+ASPCE*SPPX$Q+ANZCE*NZPX$Q+ASACE*SAPX$Q+
AVECE*VEPX$Q+ACOCE*COPX$Q+AJOCE*JOPX$Q+ASYCE*SYPX$Q+AIDCE*IDPX$Q+AMACE*MAPX$Q+
APACE*PAPX$Q+APHCE*PHPX$Q+ATHCE*THPX$Q+ACHCE*CHPX$Q+AARCE*ARPX$Q+ABRCE*BRPX$Q+
             AMECE*MEPX$Q+APECE*PEPX$Q+ATUCE*TUPX$ +APDCE*PDPX$ +ARUCE*RUPX$ +
AUECE*UEPX$ +AEGCE*EGPX$ +AISCE*ISPX$ +AKECE*KEPX$ +ABACE*BAPX$ +AHKCE*HKPX$ +
ASICE*SIPX$ +AVICE*VIPX$ +ANICE*NIPX$ +AALCE*ALPX$ +AIACE*IAPX$ +AINCE*INPX$ +
AIQCE*IQPX$ +AKUCE*KUPX$ +ALICE*LIPX$ +AUACE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT MEPMPQ=(MEEQ/MEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSME*USPX$ +ACAME*CAPX$ +AJAME*JAPX$ +AAUME*AUPX$ +AFRME*FRPX$ +AGEME*GEPX$ +
AITME*ITPX$ +ANEME*NEPX$ +ASTME*STPX$ +AUKME*UKPX$ +AFIME*FIPX$ +AASME*ASPX$ +
ASOME*SOPX$ +AKOME*KOPX$ +ABEME*BEPX$Q+ADEME*DEPX$Q+ANOME*NOPX$Q+ASWME*SWPX$Q+
AGRME*GRPX$Q+AIRME*IRPX$Q+APOME*POPX$Q+ASPME*SPPX$Q+ANZME*NZPX$Q+ASAME*SAPX$Q+
AVEME*VEPX$Q+ACOME*COPX$Q+AJOME*JOPX$Q+ASYME*SYPX$Q+AIDME*IDPX$Q+AMAME*MAPX$Q+
APAME*PAPX$Q+APHME*PHPX$Q+ATHME*THPX$Q+ACHME*CHPX$Q+AARME*ARPX$Q+ABRME*BRPX$Q+
ACEME*CEPX$Q+             APEME*PEPX$Q+ATUME*TUPX$ +APDME*PDPX$ +ARUME*RUPX$ +
AUEME*UEPX$ +AEGME*EGPX$ +AISME*ISPX$ +AKEME*KEPX$ +ABAME*BAPX$ +AHKME*HKPX$ +
ASIME*SIPX$ +AVIME*VIPX$ +ANIME*NIPX$ +AALME*ALPX$ +AIAME*IAPX$ +AINME*INPX$ +
AIQME*IQPX$ +AKUME*KUPX$ +ALIME*LIPX$ +AUAME*UAPX$);                          
IDENT PEPMPQ=(PEEQ/PEE00Z)*(                                                  
AUSPE*USPX$ +ACAPE*CAPX$ +AJAPE*JAPX$ +AAUPE*AUPX$ +AFRPE*FRPX$ +AGEPE*GEPX$ +
AITPE*ITPX$ +ANEPE*NEPX$ +ASTPE*STPX$ +AUKPE*UKPX$ +AFIPE*FIPX$ +AASPE*ASPX$ +
ASOPE*SOPX$ +AKOPE*KOPX$ +ABEPE*BEPX$Q+ADEPE*DEPX$Q+ANOPE*NOPX$Q+ASWPE*SWPX$Q+
AGRPE*GRPX$Q+AIRPE*IRPX$Q+APOPE*POPX$Q+ASPPE*SPPX$Q+ANZPE*NZPX$Q+ASAPE*SAPX$Q+
AVEPE*VEPX$Q+ACOPE*COPX$Q+AJOPE*JOPX$Q+ASYPE*SYPX$Q+AIDPE*IDPX$Q+AMAPE*MAPX$Q+
APAPE*PAPX$Q+APHPE*PHPX$Q+ATHPE*THPX$Q+ACHPE*CHPX$Q+AARPE*ARPX$Q+ABRPE*BRPX$Q+
ACEPE*CEPX$Q+AMEPE*MEPX$Q+             ATUPE*TUPX$ +APDPE*PDPX$ +ARUPE*RUPX$ +
AUEPE*UEPX$ +AEGPE*EGPX$ +AISPE*ISPX$ +AKEPE*KEPX$ +ABAPE*BAPX$ +AHKPE*HKPX$ +
ASIPE*SIPX$ +AVIPE*VIPX$ +ANIPE*NIPX$ +AALPE*ALPX$ +AIAPE*IAPX$ +AINPE*INPX$ +
AIQPE*IQPX$ +AKUPE*KUPX$ +ALIPE*LIPX$ +AUAPE*UAPX$);                          
IDENT USX00$ =                                                                
               AUSCA*CAM00$A +AUSJA*JAM00$A +AUSAU*AUM00$A +AUSFR*FRM00$A +   
AUSGE*GEM00$A +AUSIT*ITM00$A +AUSNE*NEM00$A +AUSST*STM00$A +AUSUK*UKM00$A +   
AUSFI*FIM00$A +AUSAS*ASM00$A +AUSSO*SOM00$A +AUSKO*KOM00$A +AUSBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AUSDE*DEM00$AQ+AUSNO*NOM00$AQ+AUSSW*SWM00$AQ+AUSGR*GRM00$AQ+AUSIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AUSPO*POM00$AQ+AUSSP*SPM00$AQ+AUSNZ*NZM00$AQ+AUSSA*SAM00$AQ+AUSVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AUSCO*COM00$AQ+AUSJO*JOM00$AQ+AUSSY*SYM00$AQ+AUSID*IDM00$AQ+AUSMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AUSPA*PAM00$AQ+AUSPH*PHM00$AQ+AUSTH*THM00$AQ+AUSCH*CHM00$AQ+AUSAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AUSBR*BRM00$AQ+AUSCE*CEM00$AQ+AUSME*MEM00$AQ+AUSPE*PEM00$AQ+AUSTU*TUM00$A +   
AUSPD*PDM00$A +AUSRU*RUM00$A +AUSUE*UEM00$A +AUSEG*EGM00$A +AUSIS*ISM00$A +   
AUSKE*KEM00$A +AUSBA*BAM00$A +AUSHK*HKM00$A +AUSSI*SIM00$A +AUSVI*VIM00$A +   
AUSNI*NIM00$A +AUSAL*ALM00$A +AUSIA*IAM00$A +AUSIN*INM00$A +AUSIQ*IQM00$A +   
AUSKU*KUM00$A +AUSLI*LIM00$A +AUSUA*UAM00$A +AUSAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT CAX00$ =                                                                
ACAUS*USM00$A +               ACAJA*JAM00$A +ACAAU*AUM00$A +ACAFR*FRM00$A +   
ACAGE*GEM00$A +ACAIT*ITM00$A +ACANE*NEM00$A +ACAST*STM00$A +ACAUK*UKM00$A +   
ACAFI*FIM00$A +ACAAS*ASM00$A +ACASO*SOM00$A +ACAKO*KOM00$A +ACABE*BEM00$AQ+   
ACADE*DEM00$AQ+ACANO*NOM00$AQ+ACASW*SWM00$AQ+ACAGR*GRM00$AQ+ACAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ACAPO*POM00$AQ+ACASP*SPM00$AQ+ACANZ*NZM00$AQ+ACASA*SAM00$AQ+ACAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ACACO*COM00$AQ+ACAJO*JOM00$AQ+ACASY*SYM00$AQ+ACAID*IDM00$AQ+ACAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ACAPA*PAM00$AQ+ACAPH*PHM00$AQ+ACATH*THM00$AQ+ACACH*CHM00$AQ+ACAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ACABR*BRM00$AQ+ACACE*CEM00$AQ+ACAME*MEM00$AQ+ACAPE*PEM00$AQ+ACATU*TUM00$A +   
ACAPD*PDM00$A +ACARU*RUM00$A +ACAUE*UEM00$A +ACAEG*EGM00$A +ACAIS*ISM00$A +   
ACAKE*KEM00$A +ACABA*BAM00$A +ACAHK*HKM00$A +ACASI*SIM00$A +ACAVI*VIM00$A +   
ACANI*NIM00$A +ACAAL*ALM00$A +ACAIA*IAM00$A +ACAIN*INM00$A +ACAIQ*IQM00$A +   
ACAKU*KUM00$A +ACALI*LIM00$A +ACAUA*UAM00$A +ACAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT JAX00$ =                                                                
AJAUS*USM00$A +AJACA*CAM00$A +               AJAAU*AUM00$A +AJAFR*FRM00$A +   
AJAGE*GEM00$A +AJAIT*ITM00$A +AJANE*NEM00$A +AJAST*STM00$A +AJAUK*UKM00$A +   
AJAFI*FIM00$A +AJAAS*ASM00$A +AJASO*SOM00$A +AJAKO*KOM00$A +AJABE*BEM00$AQ+   
AJADE*DEM00$AQ+AJANO*NOM00$AQ+AJASW*SWM00$AQ+AJAGR*GRM00$AQ+AJAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AJAPO*POM00$AQ+AJASP*SPM00$AQ+AJANZ*NZM00$AQ+AJASA*SAM00$AQ+AJAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AJACO*COM00$AQ+AJAJO*JOM00$AQ+AJASY*SYM00$AQ+AJAID*IDM00$AQ+AJAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AJAPA*PAM00$AQ+AJAPH*PHM00$AQ+AJATH*THM00$AQ+AJACH*CHM00$AQ+AJAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AJABR*BRM00$AQ+AJACE*CEM00$AQ+AJAME*MEM00$AQ+AJAPE*PEM00$AQ+AJATU*TUM00$A +   
AJAPD*PDM00$A +AJARU*RUM00$A +AJAUE*UEM00$A +AJAEG*EGM00$A +AJAIS*ISM00$A +   
AJAKE*KEM00$A +AJABA*BAM00$A +AJAHK*HKM00$A +AJASI*SIM00$A +AJAVI*VIM00$A +   
AJANI*NIM00$A +AJAAL*ALM00$A +AJAIA*IAM00$A +AJAIN*INM00$A +AJAIQ*IQM00$A +   
AJAKU*KUM00$A +AJALI*LIM00$A +AJAUA*UAM00$A +AJAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT AUX00$ =                                                                
AAUUS*USM00$A +AAUCA*CAM00$A +AAUJA*JAM00$A +               AAUFR*FRM00$A +   
AAUGE*GEM00$A +AAUIT*ITM00$A +AAUNE*NEM00$A +AAUST*STM00$A +AAUUK*UKM00$A +   
AAUFI*FIM00$A +AAUAS*ASM00$A +AAUSO*SOM00$A +AAUKO*KOM00$A +AAUBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AAUDE*DEM00$AQ+AAUNO*NOM00$AQ+AAUSW*SWM00$AQ+AAUGR*GRM00$AQ+AAUIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AAUPO*POM00$AQ+AAUSP*SPM00$AQ+AAUNZ*NZM00$AQ+AAUSA*SAM00$AQ+AAUVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AAUCO*COM00$AQ+AAUJO*JOM00$AQ+AAUSY*SYM00$AQ+AAUID*IDM00$AQ+AAUMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AAUPA*PAM00$AQ+AAUPH*PHM00$AQ+AAUTH*THM00$AQ+AAUCH*CHM00$AQ+AAUAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AAUBR*BRM00$AQ+AAUCE*CEM00$AQ+AAUME*MEM00$AQ+AAUPE*PEM00$AQ+AAUTU*TUM00$A +   
AAUPD*PDM00$A +AAURU*RUM00$A +AAUUE*UEM00$A +AAUEG*EGM00$A +AAUIS*ISM00$A +   
AAUKE*KEM00$A +AAUBA*BAM00$A +AAUHK*HKM00$A +AAUSI*SIM00$A +AAUVI*VIM00$A +   
AAUNI*NIM00$A +AAUAL*ALM00$A +AAUIA*IAM00$A +AAUIN*INM00$A +AAUIQ*IQM00$A +   
AAUKU*KUM00$A +AAULI*LIM00$A +AAUUA*UAM00$A +AAUAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT FRX00$ =                                                                
AFRUS*USM00$A +AFRCA*CAM00$A +AFRJA*JAM00$A +AFRAU*AUM00$A +                  
AFRGE*GEM00$A +AFRIT*ITM00$A +AFRNE*NEM00$A +AFRST*STM00$A +AFRUK*UKM00$A +   
AFRFI*FIM00$A +AFRAS*ASM00$A +AFRSO*SOM00$A +AFRKO*KOM00$A +AFRBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AFRDE*DEM00$AQ+AFRNO*NOM00$AQ+AFRSW*SWM00$AQ+AFRGR*GRM00$AQ+AFRIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AFRPO*POM00$AQ+AFRSP*SPM00$AQ+AFRNZ*NZM00$AQ+AFRSA*SAM00$AQ+AFRVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AFRCO*COM00$AQ+AFRJO*JOM00$AQ+AFRSY*SYM00$AQ+AFRID*IDM00$AQ+AFRMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AFRPA*PAM00$AQ+AFRPH*PHM00$AQ+AFRTH*THM00$AQ+AFRCH*CHM00$AQ+AFRAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AFRBR*BRM00$AQ+AFRCE*CEM00$AQ+AFRME*MEM00$AQ+AFRPE*PEM00$AQ+AFRTU*TUM00$A +   
AFRPD*PDM00$A +AFRRU*RUM00$A +AFRUE*UEM00$A +AFREG*EGM00$A +AFRIS*ISM00$A +   
AFRKE*KEM00$A +AFRBA*BAM00$A +AFRHK*HKM00$A +AFRSI*SIM00$A +AFRVI*VIM00$A +   
AFRNI*NIM00$A +AFRAL*ALM00$A +AFRIA*IAM00$A +AFRIN*INM00$A +AFRIQ*IQM00$A +   
AFRKU*KUM00$A +AFRLI*LIM00$A +AFRUA*UAM00$A +AFRAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT GEX00$ =                                                                
AGEUS*USM00$A +AGECA*CAM00$A +AGEJA*JAM00$A +AGEAU*AUM00$A +AGEFR*FRM00$A +   
               AGEIT*ITM00$A +AGENE*NEM00$A +AGEST*STM00$A +AGEUK*UKM00$A +   
AGEFI*FIM00$A +AGEAS*ASM00$A +AGESO*SOM00$A +AGEKO*KOM00$A +AGEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AGEDE*DEM00$AQ+AGENO*NOM00$AQ+AGESW*SWM00$AQ+AGEGR*GRM00$AQ+AGEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AGEPO*POM00$AQ+AGESP*SPM00$AQ+AGENZ*NZM00$AQ+AGESA*SAM00$AQ+AGEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AGECO*COM00$AQ+AGEJO*JOM00$AQ+AGESY*SYM00$AQ+AGEID*IDM00$AQ+AGEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AGEPA*PAM00$AQ+AGEPH*PHM00$AQ+AGETH*THM00$AQ+AGECH*CHM00$AQ+AGEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AGEBR*BRM00$AQ+AGECE*CEM00$AQ+AGEME*MEM00$AQ+AGEPE*PEM00$AQ+AGETU*TUM00$A +   
AGEPD*PDM00$A +AGERU*RUM00$A +AGEUE*UEM00$A +AGEEG*EGM00$A +AGEIS*ISM00$A +   
AGEKE*KEM00$A +AGEBA*BAM00$A +AGEHK*HKM00$A +AGESI*SIM00$A +AGEVI*VIM00$A +   
AGENI*NIM00$A +AGEAL*ALM00$A +AGEIA*IAM00$A +AGEIN*INM00$A +AGEIQ*IQM00$A +   
AGEKU*KUM00$A +AGELI*LIM00$A +AGEUA*UAM00$A +AGEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT ITX00$ =                                                                
AITUS*USM00$A +AITCA*CAM00$A +AITJA*JAM00$A +AITAU*AUM00$A +AITFR*FRM00$A +   
AITGE*GEM00$A +               AITNE*NEM00$A +AITST*STM00$A +AITUK*UKM00$A +   
AITFI*FIM00$A +AITAS*ASM00$A +AITSO*SOM00$A +AITKO*KOM00$A +AITBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AITDE*DEM00$AQ+AITNO*NOM00$AQ+AITSW*SWM00$AQ+AITGR*GRM00$AQ+AITIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AITPO*POM00$AQ+AITSP*SPM00$AQ+AITNZ*NZM00$AQ+AITSA*SAM00$AQ+AITVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AITCO*COM00$AQ+AITJO*JOM00$AQ+AITSY*SYM00$AQ+AITID*IDM00$AQ+AITMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AITPA*PAM00$AQ+AITPH*PHM00$AQ+AITTH*THM00$AQ+AITCH*CHM00$AQ+AITAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AITBR*BRM00$AQ+AITCE*CEM00$AQ+AITME*MEM00$AQ+AITPE*PEM00$AQ+AITTU*TUM00$A +   
AITPD*PDM00$A +AITRU*RUM00$A +AITUE*UEM00$A +AITEG*EGM00$A +AITIS*ISM00$A +   
AITKE*KEM00$A +AITBA*BAM00$A +AITHK*HKM00$A +AITSI*SIM00$A +AITVI*VIM00$A +   
AITNI*NIM00$A +AITAL*ALM00$A +AITIA*IAM00$A +AITIN*INM00$A +AITIQ*IQM00$A +   
AITKU*KUM00$A +AITLI*LIM00$A +AITUA*UAM00$A +AITAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT NEX00$ =                                                                
ANEUS*USM00$A +ANECA*CAM00$A +ANEJA*JAM00$A +ANEAU*AUM00$A +ANEFR*FRM00$A +   
ANEGE*GEM00$A +ANEIT*ITM00$A +               ANEST*STM00$A +ANEUK*UKM00$A +   
ANEFI*FIM00$A +ANEAS*ASM00$A +ANESO*SOM00$A +ANEKO*KOM00$A +ANEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ANEDE*DEM00$AQ+ANENO*NOM00$AQ+ANESW*SWM00$AQ+ANEGR*GRM00$AQ+ANEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ANEPO*POM00$AQ+ANESP*SPM00$AQ+ANENZ*NZM00$AQ+ANESA*SAM00$AQ+ANEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ANECO*COM00$AQ+ANEJO*JOM00$AQ+ANESY*SYM00$AQ+ANEID*IDM00$AQ+ANEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ANEPA*PAM00$AQ+ANEPH*PHM00$AQ+ANETH*THM00$AQ+ANECH*CHM00$AQ+ANEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ANEBR*BRM00$AQ+ANECE*CEM00$AQ+ANEME*MEM00$AQ+ANEPE*PEM00$AQ+ANETU*TUM00$A +   
ANEPD*PDM00$A +ANERU*RUM00$A +ANEUE*UEM00$A +ANEEG*EGM00$A +ANEIS*ISM00$A +   
ANEKE*KEM00$A +ANEBA*BAM00$A +ANEHK*HKM00$A +ANESI*SIM00$A +ANEVI*VIM00$A +   
ANENI*NIM00$A +ANEAL*ALM00$A +ANEIA*IAM00$A +ANEIN*INM00$A +ANEIQ*IQM00$A +   
ANEKU*KUM00$A +ANELI*LIM00$A +ANEUA*UAM00$A +ANEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT STX00$ =                                                                
ASTUS*USM00$A +ASTCA*CAM00$A +ASTJA*JAM00$A +ASTAU*AUM00$A +ASTFR*FRM00$A +   
ASTGE*GEM00$A +ASTIT*ITM00$A +ASTNE*NEM00$A +               ASTUK*UKM00$A +   
ASTFI*FIM00$A +ASTAS*ASM00$A +ASTSO*SOM00$A +ASTKO*KOM00$A +ASTBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASTDE*DEM00$AQ+ASTNO*NOM00$AQ+ASTSW*SWM00$AQ+ASTGR*GRM00$AQ+ASTIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASTPO*POM00$AQ+ASTSP*SPM00$AQ+ASTNZ*NZM00$AQ+ASTSA*SAM00$AQ+ASTVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASTCO*COM00$AQ+ASTJO*JOM00$AQ+ASTSY*SYM00$AQ+ASTID*IDM00$AQ+ASTMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASTPA*PAM00$AQ+ASTPH*PHM00$AQ+ASTTH*THM00$AQ+ASTCH*CHM00$AQ+ASTAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASTBR*BRM00$AQ+ASTCE*CEM00$AQ+ASTME*MEM00$AQ+ASTPE*PEM00$AQ+ASTTU*TUM00$A +   
ASTPD*PDM00$A +ASTRU*RUM00$A +ASTUE*UEM00$A +ASTEG*EGM00$A +ASTIS*ISM00$A +   
ASTKE*KEM00$A +ASTBA*BAM00$A +ASTHK*HKM00$A +ASTSI*SIM00$A +ASTVI*VIM00$A +   
ASTNI*NIM00$A +ASTAL*ALM00$A +ASTIA*IAM00$A +ASTIN*INM00$A +ASTIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASTKU*KUM00$A +ASTLI*LIM00$A +ASTUA*UAM00$A +ASTAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT UKX00$ =                                                                
AUKUS*USM00$A +AUKCA*CAM00$A +AUKJA*JAM00$A +AUKAU*AUM00$A +AUKFR*FRM00$A +   
AUKGE*GEM00$A +AUKIT*ITM00$A +AUKNE*NEM00$A +AUKST*STM00$A +                  
AUKFI*FIM00$A +AUKAS*ASM00$A +AUKSO*SOM00$A +AUKKO*KOM00$A +AUKBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AUKDE*DEM00$AQ+AUKNO*NOM00$AQ+AUKSW*SWM00$AQ+AUKGR*GRM00$AQ+AUKIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AUKPO*POM00$AQ+AUKSP*SPM00$AQ+AUKNZ*NZM00$AQ+AUKSA*SAM00$AQ+AUKVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AUKCO*COM00$AQ+AUKJO*JOM00$AQ+AUKSY*SYM00$AQ+AUKID*IDM00$AQ+AUKMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AUKPA*PAM00$AQ+AUKPH*PHM00$AQ+AUKTH*THM00$AQ+AUKCH*CHM00$AQ+AUKAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AUKBR*BRM00$AQ+AUKCE*CEM00$AQ+AUKME*MEM00$AQ+AUKPE*PEM00$AQ+AUKTU*TUM00$A +   
AUKPD*PDM00$A +AUKRU*RUM00$A +AUKUE*UEM00$A +AUKEG*EGM00$A +AUKIS*ISM00$A +   
AUKKE*KEM00$A +AUKBA*BAM00$A +AUKHK*HKM00$A +AUKSI*SIM00$A +AUKVI*VIM00$A +   
AUKNI*NIM00$A +AUKAL*ALM00$A +AUKIA*IAM00$A +AUKIN*INM00$A +AUKIQ*IQM00$A +   
AUKKU*KUM00$A +AUKLI*LIM00$A +AUKUA*UAM00$A +AUKAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT FIX00$ =                                                                
AFIUS*USM00$A +AFICA*CAM00$A +AFIJA*JAM00$A +AFIAU*AUM00$A +AFIFR*FRM00$A +   
AFIGE*GEM00$A +AFIIT*ITM00$A +AFINE*NEM00$A +AFIST*STM00$A +AFIUK*UKM00$A +   
               AFIAS*ASM00$A +AFISO*SOM00$A +AFIKO*KOM00$A +AFIBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AFIDE*DEM00$AQ+AFINO*NOM00$AQ+AFISW*SWM00$AQ+AFIGR*GRM00$AQ+AFIIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AFIPO*POM00$AQ+AFISP*SPM00$AQ+AFINZ*NZM00$AQ+AFISA*SAM00$AQ+AFIVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AFICO*COM00$AQ+AFIJO*JOM00$AQ+AFISY*SYM00$AQ+AFIID*IDM00$AQ+AFIMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AFIPA*PAM00$AQ+AFIPH*PHM00$AQ+AFITH*THM00$AQ+AFICH*CHM00$AQ+AFIAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AFIBR*BRM00$AQ+AFICE*CEM00$AQ+AFIME*MEM00$AQ+AFIPE*PEM00$AQ+AFITU*TUM00$A +   
AFIPD*PDM00$A +AFIRU*RUM00$A +AFIUE*UEM00$A +AFIEG*EGM00$A +AFIIS*ISM00$A +   
AFIKE*KEM00$A +AFIBA*BAM00$A +AFIHK*HKM00$A +AFISI*SIM00$A +AFIVI*VIM00$A +   
AFINI*NIM00$A +AFIAL*ALM00$A +AFIIA*IAM00$A +AFIIN*INM00$A +AFIIQ*IQM00$A +   
AFIKU*KUM00$A +AFILI*LIM00$A +AFIUA*UAM00$A +AFIAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT ASX00$ =                                                                
AASUS*USM00$A +AASCA*CAM00$A +AASJA*JAM00$A +AASAU*AUM00$A +AASFR*FRM00$A +   
AASGE*GEM00$A +AASIT*ITM00$A +AASNE*NEM00$A +AASST*STM00$A +AASUK*UKM00$A +   
AASFI*FIM00$A +               AASSO*SOM00$A +AASKO*KOM00$A +AASBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AASDE*DEM00$AQ+AASNO*NOM00$AQ+AASSW*SWM00$AQ+AASGR*GRM00$AQ+AASIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AASPO*POM00$AQ+AASSP*SPM00$AQ+AASNZ*NZM00$AQ+AASSA*SAM00$AQ+AASVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AASCO*COM00$AQ+AASJO*JOM00$AQ+AASSY*SYM00$AQ+AASID*IDM00$AQ+AASMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AASPA*PAM00$AQ+AASPH*PHM00$AQ+AASTH*THM00$AQ+AASCH*CHM00$AQ+AASAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AASBR*BRM00$AQ+AASCE*CEM00$AQ+AASME*MEM00$AQ+AASPE*PEM00$AQ+AASTU*TUM00$A +   
AASPD*PDM00$A +AASRU*RUM00$A +AASUE*UEM00$A +AASEG*EGM00$A +AASIS*ISM00$A +   
AASKE*KEM00$A +AASBA*BAM00$A +AASHK*HKM00$A +AASSI*SIM00$A +AASVI*VIM00$A +   
AASNI*NIM00$A +AASAL*ALM00$A +AASIA*IAM00$A +AASIN*INM00$A +AASIQ*IQM00$A +   
AASKU*KUM00$A +AASLI*LIM00$A +AASUA*UAM00$A +AASAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SOX00$ =                                                                
ASOUS*USM00$A +ASOCA*CAM00$A +ASOJA*JAM00$A +ASOAU*AUM00$A +ASOFR*FRM00$A +   
ASOGE*GEM00$A +ASOIT*ITM00$A +ASONE*NEM00$A +ASOST*STM00$A +ASOUK*UKM00$A +   
ASOFI*FIM00$A +ASOAS*ASM00$A +               ASOKO*KOM00$A +ASOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASODE*DEM00$AQ+ASONO*NOM00$AQ+ASOSW*SWM00$AQ+ASOGR*GRM00$AQ+ASOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASOPO*POM00$AQ+ASOSP*SPM00$AQ+ASONZ*NZM00$AQ+ASOSA*SAM00$AQ+ASOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASOCO*COM00$AQ+ASOJO*JOM00$AQ+ASOSY*SYM00$AQ+ASOID*IDM00$AQ+ASOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASOPA*PAM00$AQ+ASOPH*PHM00$AQ+ASOTH*THM00$AQ+ASOCH*CHM00$AQ+ASOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASOBR*BRM00$AQ+ASOCE*CEM00$AQ+ASOME*MEM00$AQ+ASOPE*PEM00$AQ+ASOTU*TUM00$A +   
ASOPD*PDM00$A +ASORU*RUM00$A +ASOUE*UEM00$A +ASOEG*EGM00$A +ASOIS*ISM00$A +   
ASOKE*KEM00$A +ASOBA*BAM00$A +ASOHK*HKM00$A +ASOSI*SIM00$A +ASOVI*VIM00$A +   
ASONI*NIM00$A +ASOAL*ALM00$A +ASOIA*IAM00$A +ASOIN*INM00$A +ASOIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASOKU*KUM00$A +ASOLI*LIM00$A +ASOUA*UAM00$A +ASOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT KOX00$ =                                                                
AKOUS*USM00$A +AKOCA*CAM00$A +AKOJA*JAM00$A +AKOAU*AUM00$A +AKOFR*FRM00$A +   
AKOGE*GEM00$A +AKOIT*ITM00$A +AKONE*NEM00$A +AKOST*STM00$A +AKOUK*UKM00$A +   
AKOFI*FIM00$A +AKOAS*ASM00$A +AKOSO*SOM00$A +               AKOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AKODE*DEM00$AQ+AKONO*NOM00$AQ+AKOSW*SWM00$AQ+AKOGR*GRM00$AQ+AKOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AKOPO*POM00$AQ+AKOSP*SPM00$AQ+AKONZ*NZM00$AQ+AKOSA*SAM00$AQ+AKOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AKOCO*COM00$AQ+AKOJO*JOM00$AQ+AKOSY*SYM00$AQ+AKOID*IDM00$AQ+AKOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AKOPA*PAM00$AQ+AKOPH*PHM00$AQ+AKOTH*THM00$AQ+AKOCH*CHM00$AQ+AKOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AKOBR*BRM00$AQ+AKOCE*CEM00$AQ+AKOME*MEM00$AQ+AKOPE*PEM00$AQ+AKOTU*TUM00$A +   
AKOPD*PDM00$A +AKORU*RUM00$A +AKOUE*UEM00$A +AKOEG*EGM00$A +AKOIS*ISM00$A +   
AKOKE*KEM00$A +AKOBA*BAM00$A +AKOHK*HKM00$A +AKOSI*SIM00$A +AKOVI*VIM00$A +   
AKONI*NIM00$A +AKOAL*ALM00$A +AKOIA*IAM00$A +AKOIN*INM00$A +AKOIQ*IQM00$A +   
AKOKU*KUM00$A +AKOLI*LIM00$A +AKOUA*UAM00$A +AKOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT BEX00$Q=                                                                
ABEUS*USM00$A +ABECA*CAM00$A +ABEJA*JAM00$A +ABEAU*AUM00$A +ABEFR*FRM00$A +   
ABEGE*GEM00$A +ABEIT*ITM00$A +ABENE*NEM00$A +ABEST*STM00$A +ABEUK*UKM00$A +   
ABEFI*FIM00$A +ABEAS*ASM00$A +ABESO*SOM00$A +ABEKO*KOM00$A +                  
ABEDE*DEM00$AQ+ABENO*NOM00$AQ+ABESW*SWM00$AQ+ABEGR*GRM00$AQ+ABEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ABEPO*POM00$AQ+ABESP*SPM00$AQ+ABENZ*NZM00$AQ+ABESA*SAM00$AQ+ABEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ABECO*COM00$AQ+ABEJO*JOM00$AQ+ABESY*SYM00$AQ+ABEID*IDM00$AQ+ABEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ABEPA*PAM00$AQ+ABEPH*PHM00$AQ+ABETH*THM00$AQ+ABECH*CHM00$AQ+ABEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ABEBR*BRM00$AQ+ABECE*CEM00$AQ+ABEME*MEM00$AQ+ABEPE*PEM00$AQ+ABETU*TUM00$A +   
ABEPD*PDM00$A +ABERU*RUM00$A +ABEUE*UEM00$A +ABEEG*EGM00$A +ABEIS*ISM00$A +   
ABEKE*KEM00$A +ABEBA*BAM00$A +ABEHK*HKM00$A +ABESI*SIM00$A +ABEVI*VIM00$A +   
ABENI*NIM00$A +ABEAL*ALM00$A +ABEIA*IAM00$A +ABEIN*INM00$A +ABEIQ*IQM00$A +   
ABEKU*KUM00$A +ABELI*LIM00$A +ABEUA*UAM00$A +ABEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT DEX00$Q=                                                                
ADEUS*USM00$A +ADECA*CAM00$A +ADEJA*JAM00$A +ADEAU*AUM00$A +ADEFR*FRM00$A +   
ADEGE*GEM00$A +ADEIT*ITM00$A +ADENE*NEM00$A +ADEST*STM00$A +ADEUK*UKM00$A +   
ADEFI*FIM00$A +ADEAS*ASM00$A +ADESO*SOM00$A +ADEKO*KOM00$A +ADEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
               ADENO*NOM00$AQ+ADESW*SWM00$AQ+ADEGR*GRM00$AQ+ADEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ADEPO*POM00$AQ+ADESP*SPM00$AQ+ADENZ*NZM00$AQ+ADESA*SAM00$AQ+ADEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ADECO*COM00$AQ+ADEJO*JOM00$AQ+ADESY*SYM00$AQ+ADEID*IDM00$AQ+ADEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ADEPA*PAM00$AQ+ADEPH*PHM00$AQ+ADETH*THM00$AQ+ADECH*CHM00$AQ+ADEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ADEBR*BRM00$AQ+ADECE*CEM00$AQ+ADEME*MEM00$AQ+ADEPE*PEM00$AQ+ADETU*TUM00$A +   
ADEPD*PDM00$A +ADERU*RUM00$A +ADEUE*UEM00$A +ADEEG*EGM00$A +ADEIS*ISM00$A +   
ADEKE*KEM00$A +ADEBA*BAM00$A +ADEHK*HKM00$A +ADESI*SIM00$A +ADEVI*VIM00$A +   
ADENI*NIM00$A +ADEAL*ALM00$A +ADEIA*IAM00$A +ADEIN*INM00$A +ADEIQ*IQM00$A +   
ADEKU*KUM00$A +ADELI*LIM00$A +ADEUA*UAM00$A +ADEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT NOX00$Q=                                                                
ANOUS*USM00$A +ANOCA*CAM00$A +ANOJA*JAM00$A +ANOAU*AUM00$A +ANOFR*FRM00$A +   
ANOGE*GEM00$A +ANOIT*ITM00$A +ANONE*NEM00$A +ANOST*STM00$A +ANOUK*UKM00$A +   
ANOFI*FIM00$A +ANOAS*ASM00$A +ANOSO*SOM00$A +ANOKO*KOM00$A +ANOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ANODE*DEM00$AQ+               ANOSW*SWM00$AQ+ANOGR*GRM00$AQ+ANOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ANOPO*POM00$AQ+ANOSP*SPM00$AQ+ANONZ*NZM00$AQ+ANOSA*SAM00$AQ+ANOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ANOCO*COM00$AQ+ANOJO*JOM00$AQ+ANOSY*SYM00$AQ+ANOID*IDM00$AQ+ANOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ANOPA*PAM00$AQ+ANOPH*PHM00$AQ+ANOTH*THM00$AQ+ANOCH*CHM00$AQ+ANOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ANOBR*BRM00$AQ+ANOCE*CEM00$AQ+ANOME*MEM00$AQ+ANOPE*PEM00$AQ+ANOTU*TUM00$A +   
ANOPD*PDM00$A +ANORU*RUM00$A +ANOUE*UEM00$A +ANOEG*EGM00$A +ANOIS*ISM00$A +   
ANOKE*KEM00$A +ANOBA*BAM00$A +ANOHK*HKM00$A +ANOSI*SIM00$A +ANOVI*VIM00$A +   
ANONI*NIM00$A +ANOAL*ALM00$A +ANOIA*IAM00$A +ANOIN*INM00$A +ANOIQ*IQM00$A +   
ANOKU*KUM00$A +ANOLI*LIM00$A +ANOUA*UAM00$A +ANOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SWX00$Q=                                                                
ASWUS*USM00$A +ASWCA*CAM00$A +ASWJA*JAM00$A +ASWAU*AUM00$A +ASWFR*FRM00$A +   
ASWGE*GEM00$A +ASWIT*ITM00$A +ASWNE*NEM00$A +ASWST*STM00$A +ASWUK*UKM00$A +   
ASWFI*FIM00$A +ASWAS*ASM00$A +ASWSO*SOM00$A +ASWKO*KOM00$A +ASWBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASWDE*DEM00$AQ+ASWNO*NOM00$AQ+               ASWGR*GRM00$AQ+ASWIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASWPO*POM00$AQ+ASWSP*SPM00$AQ+ASWNZ*NZM00$AQ+ASWSA*SAM00$AQ+ASWVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASWCO*COM00$AQ+ASWJO*JOM00$AQ+ASWSY*SYM00$AQ+ASWID*IDM00$AQ+ASWMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASWPA*PAM00$AQ+ASWPH*PHM00$AQ+ASWTH*THM00$AQ+ASWCH*CHM00$AQ+ASWAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASWBR*BRM00$AQ+ASWCE*CEM00$AQ+ASWME*MEM00$AQ+ASWPE*PEM00$AQ+ASWTU*TUM00$A +   
ASWPD*PDM00$A +ASWRU*RUM00$A +ASWUE*UEM00$A +ASWEG*EGM00$A +ASWIS*ISM00$A +   
ASWKE*KEM00$A +ASWBA*BAM00$A +ASWHK*HKM00$A +ASWSI*SIM00$A +ASWVI*VIM00$A +   
ASWNI*NIM00$A +ASWAL*ALM00$A +ASWIA*IAM00$A +ASWIN*INM00$A +ASWIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASWKU*KUM00$A +ASWLI*LIM00$A +ASWUA*UAM00$A +ASWAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT GRX00$Q=                                                                
AGRUS*USM00$A +AGRCA*CAM00$A +AGRJA*JAM00$A +AGRAU*AUM00$A +AGRFR*FRM00$A +   
AGRGE*GEM00$A +AGRIT*ITM00$A +AGRNE*NEM00$A +AGRST*STM00$A +AGRUK*UKM00$A +   
AGRFI*FIM00$A +AGRAS*ASM00$A +AGRSO*SOM00$A +AGRKO*KOM00$A +AGRBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AGRDE*DEM00$AQ+AGRNO*NOM00$AQ+AGRSW*SWM00$AQ+               AGRIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AGRPO*POM00$AQ+AGRSP*SPM00$AQ+AGRNZ*NZM00$AQ+AGRSA*SAM00$AQ+AGRVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AGRCO*COM00$AQ+AGRJO*JOM00$AQ+AGRSY*SYM00$AQ+AGRID*IDM00$AQ+AGRMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AGRPA*PAM00$AQ+AGRPH*PHM00$AQ+AGRTH*THM00$AQ+AGRCH*CHM00$AQ+AGRAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AGRBR*BRM00$AQ+AGRCE*CEM00$AQ+AGRME*MEM00$AQ+AGRPE*PEM00$AQ+AGRTU*TUM00$A +   
AGRPD*PDM00$A +AGRRU*RUM00$A +AGRUE*UEM00$A +AGREG*EGM00$A +AGRIS*ISM00$A +   
AGRKE*KEM00$A +AGRBA*BAM00$A +AGRHK*HKM00$A +AGRSI*SIM00$A +AGRVI*VIM00$A +   
AGRNI*NIM00$A +AGRAL*ALM00$A +AGRIA*IAM00$A +AGRIN*INM00$A +AGRIQ*IQM00$A +   
AGRKU*KUM00$A +AGRLI*LIM00$A +AGRUA*UAM00$A +AGRAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT IRX00$Q=                                                                
AIRUS*USM00$A +AIRCA*CAM00$A +AIRJA*JAM00$A +AIRAU*AUM00$A +AIRFR*FRM00$A +   
AIRGE*GEM00$A +AIRIT*ITM00$A +AIRNE*NEM00$A +AIRST*STM00$A +AIRUK*UKM00$A +   
AIRFI*FIM00$A +AIRAS*ASM00$A +AIRSO*SOM00$A +AIRKO*KOM00$A +AIRBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AIRDE*DEM00$AQ+AIRNO*NOM00$AQ+AIRSW*SWM00$AQ+AIRGR*GRM00$AQ+                  
AIRPO*POM00$AQ+AIRSP*SPM00$AQ+AIRNZ*NZM00$AQ+AIRSA*SAM00$AQ+AIRVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AIRCO*COM00$AQ+AIRJO*JOM00$AQ+AIRSY*SYM00$AQ+AIRID*IDM00$AQ+AIRMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AIRPA*PAM00$AQ+AIRPH*PHM00$AQ+AIRTH*THM00$AQ+AIRCH*CHM00$AQ+AIRAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AIRBR*BRM00$AQ+AIRCE*CEM00$AQ+AIRME*MEM00$AQ+AIRPE*PEM00$AQ+AIRTU*TUM00$A +   
AIRPD*PDM00$A +AIRRU*RUM00$A +AIRUE*UEM00$A +AIREG*EGM00$A +AIRIS*ISM00$A +   
AIRKE*KEM00$A +AIRBA*BAM00$A +AIRHK*HKM00$A +AIRSI*SIM00$A +AIRVI*VIM00$A +   
AIRNI*NIM00$A +AIRAL*ALM00$A +AIRIA*IAM00$A +AIRIN*INM00$A +AIRIQ*IQM00$A +   
AIRKU*KUM00$A +AIRLI*LIM00$A +AIRUA*UAM00$A +AIRAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT POX00$Q=                                                                
APOUS*USM00$A +APOCA*CAM00$A +APOJA*JAM00$A +APOAU*AUM00$A +APOFR*FRM00$A +   
APOGE*GEM00$A +APOIT*ITM00$A +APONE*NEM00$A +APOST*STM00$A +APOUK*UKM00$A +   
APOFI*FIM00$A +APOAS*ASM00$A +APOSO*SOM00$A +APOKO*KOM00$A +APOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
APODE*DEM00$AQ+APONO*NOM00$AQ+APOSW*SWM00$AQ+APOGR*GRM00$AQ+APOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
               APOSP*SPM00$AQ+APONZ*NZM00$AQ+APOSA*SAM00$AQ+APOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
APOCO*COM00$AQ+APOJO*JOM00$AQ+APOSY*SYM00$AQ+APOID*IDM00$AQ+APOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
APOPA*PAM00$AQ+APOPH*PHM00$AQ+APOTH*THM00$AQ+APOCH*CHM00$AQ+APOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
APOBR*BRM00$AQ+APOCE*CEM00$AQ+APOME*MEM00$AQ+APOPE*PEM00$AQ+APOTU*TUM00$A +   
APOPD*PDM00$A +APORU*RUM00$A +APOUE*UEM00$A +APOEG*EGM00$A +APOIS*ISM00$A +   
APOKE*KEM00$A +APOBA*BAM00$A +APOHK*HKM00$A +APOSI*SIM00$A +APOVI*VIM00$A +   
APONI*NIM00$A +APOAL*ALM00$A +APOIA*IAM00$A +APOIN*INM00$A +APOIQ*IQM00$A +   
APOKU*KUM00$A +APOLI*LIM00$A +APOUA*UAM00$A +APOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SPX00$Q=                                                                
ASPUS*USM00$A +ASPCA*CAM00$A +ASPJA*JAM00$A +ASPAU*AUM00$A +ASPFR*FRM00$A +   
ASPGE*GEM00$A +ASPIT*ITM00$A +ASPNE*NEM00$A +ASPST*STM00$A +ASPUK*UKM00$A +   
ASPFI*FIM00$A +ASPAS*ASM00$A +ASPSO*SOM00$A +ASPKO*KOM00$A +ASPBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASPDE*DEM00$AQ+ASPNO*NOM00$AQ+ASPSW*SWM00$AQ+ASPGR*GRM00$AQ+ASPIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASPPO*POM00$AQ+               ASPNZ*NZM00$AQ+ASPSA*SAM00$AQ+ASPVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASPCO*COM00$AQ+ASPJO*JOM00$AQ+ASPSY*SYM00$AQ+ASPID*IDM00$AQ+ASPMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASPPA*PAM00$AQ+ASPPH*PHM00$AQ+ASPTH*THM00$AQ+ASPCH*CHM00$AQ+ASPAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASPBR*BRM00$AQ+ASPCE*CEM00$AQ+ASPME*MEM00$AQ+ASPPE*PEM00$AQ+ASPTU*TUM00$A +   
ASPPD*PDM00$A +ASPRU*RUM00$A +ASPUE*UEM00$A +ASPEG*EGM00$A +ASPIS*ISM00$A +   
ASPKE*KEM00$A +ASPBA*BAM00$A +ASPHK*HKM00$A +ASPSI*SIM00$A +ASPVI*VIM00$A +   
ASPNI*NIM00$A +ASPAL*ALM00$A +ASPIA*IAM00$A +ASPIN*INM00$A +ASPIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASPKU*KUM00$A +ASPLI*LIM00$A +ASPUA*UAM00$A +ASPAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT NZX00$Q=                                                                
ANZUS*USM00$A +ANZCA*CAM00$A +ANZJA*JAM00$A +ANZAU*AUM00$A +ANZFR*FRM00$A +   
ANZGE*GEM00$A +ANZIT*ITM00$A +ANZNE*NEM00$A +ANZST*STM00$A +ANZUK*UKM00$A +   
ANZFI*FIM00$A +ANZAS*ASM00$A +ANZSO*SOM00$A +ANZKO*KOM00$A +ANZBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ANZDE*DEM00$AQ+ANZNO*NOM00$AQ+ANZSW*SWM00$AQ+ANZGR*GRM00$AQ+ANZIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ANZPO*POM00$AQ+ANZSP*SPM00$AQ+               ANZSA*SAM00$AQ+ANZVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ANZCO*COM00$AQ+ANZJO*JOM00$AQ+ANZSY*SYM00$AQ+ANZID*IDM00$AQ+ANZMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ANZPA*PAM00$AQ+ANZPH*PHM00$AQ+ANZTH*THM00$AQ+ANZCH*CHM00$AQ+ANZAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ANZBR*BRM00$AQ+ANZCE*CEM00$AQ+ANZME*MEM00$AQ+ANZPE*PEM00$AQ+ANZTU*TUM00$A +   
ANZPD*PDM00$A +ANZRU*RUM00$A +ANZUE*UEM00$A +ANZEG*EGM00$A +ANZIS*ISM00$A +   
ANZKE*KEM00$A +ANZBA*BAM00$A +ANZHK*HKM00$A +ANZSI*SIM00$A +ANZVI*VIM00$A +   
ANZNI*NIM00$A +ANZAL*ALM00$A +ANZIA*IAM00$A +ANZIN*INM00$A +ANZIQ*IQM00$A +   
ANZKU*KUM00$A +ANZLI*LIM00$A +ANZUA*UAM00$A +ANZAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SAX00$Q=                                                                
ASAUS*USM00$A +ASACA*CAM00$A +ASAJA*JAM00$A +ASAAU*AUM00$A +ASAFR*FRM00$A +   
ASAGE*GEM00$A +ASAIT*ITM00$A +ASANE*NEM00$A +ASAST*STM00$A +ASAUK*UKM00$A +   
ASAFI*FIM00$A +ASAAS*ASM00$A +ASASO*SOM00$A +ASAKO*KOM00$A +ASABE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASADE*DEM00$AQ+ASANO*NOM00$AQ+ASASW*SWM00$AQ+ASAGR*GRM00$AQ+ASAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASAPO*POM00$AQ+ASASP*SPM00$AQ+ASANZ*NZM00$AQ+               ASAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASACO*COM00$AQ+ASAJO*JOM00$AQ+ASASY*SYM00$AQ+ASAID*IDM00$AQ+ASAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASAPA*PAM00$AQ+ASAPH*PHM00$AQ+ASATH*THM00$AQ+ASACH*CHM00$AQ+ASAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASABR*BRM00$AQ+ASACE*CEM00$AQ+ASAME*MEM00$AQ+ASAPE*PEM00$AQ+ASATU*TUM00$A +   
ASAPD*PDM00$A +ASARU*RUM00$A +ASAUE*UEM00$A +ASAEG*EGM00$A +ASAIS*ISM00$A +   
ASAKE*KEM00$A +ASABA*BAM00$A +ASAHK*HKM00$A +ASASI*SIM00$A +ASAVI*VIM00$A +   
ASANI*NIM00$A +ASAAL*ALM00$A +ASAIA*IAM00$A +ASAIN*INM00$A +ASAIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASAKU*KUM00$A +ASALI*LIM00$A +ASAUA*UAM00$A +ASAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT VEX00$Q=                                                                
AVEUS*USM00$A +AVECA*CAM00$A +AVEJA*JAM00$A +AVEAU*AUM00$A +AVEFR*FRM00$A +   
AVEGE*GEM00$A +AVEIT*ITM00$A +AVENE*NEM00$A +AVEST*STM00$A +AVEUK*UKM00$A +   
AVEFI*FIM00$A +AVEAS*ASM00$A +AVESO*SOM00$A +AVEKO*KOM00$A +AVEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AVEDE*DEM00$AQ+AVENO*NOM00$AQ+AVESW*SWM00$AQ+AVEGR*GRM00$AQ+AVEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AVEPO*POM00$AQ+AVESP*SPM00$AQ+AVENZ*NZM00$AQ+AVESA*SAM00$AQ+                  
AVECO*COM00$AQ+AVEJO*JOM00$AQ+AVESY*SYM00$AQ+AVEID*IDM00$AQ+AVEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AVEPA*PAM00$AQ+AVEPH*PHM00$AQ+AVETH*THM00$AQ+AVECH*CHM00$AQ+AVEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AVEBR*BRM00$AQ+AVECE*CEM00$AQ+AVEME*MEM00$AQ+AVEPE*PEM00$AQ+AVETU*TUM00$A +   
AVEPD*PDM00$A +AVERU*RUM00$A +AVEUE*UEM00$A +AVEEG*EGM00$A +AVEIS*ISM00$A +   
AVEKE*KEM00$A +AVEBA*BAM00$A +AVEHK*HKM00$A +AVESI*SIM00$A +AVEVI*VIM00$A +   
AVENI*NIM00$A +AVEAL*ALM00$A +AVEIA*IAM00$A +AVEIN*INM00$A +AVEIQ*IQM00$A +   
AVEKU*KUM00$A +AVELI*LIM00$A +AVEUA*UAM00$A +AVEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT COX00$Q=                                                                
ACOUS*USM00$A +ACOCA*CAM00$A +ACOJA*JAM00$A +ACOAU*AUM00$A +ACOFR*FRM00$A +   
ACOGE*GEM00$A +ACOIT*ITM00$A +ACONE*NEM00$A +ACOST*STM00$A +ACOUK*UKM00$A +   
ACOFI*FIM00$A +ACOAS*ASM00$A +ACOSO*SOM00$A +ACOKO*KOM00$A +ACOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ACODE*DEM00$AQ+ACONO*NOM00$AQ+ACOSW*SWM00$AQ+ACOGR*GRM00$AQ+ACOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ACOPO*POM00$AQ+ACOSP*SPM00$AQ+ACONZ*NZM00$AQ+ACOSA*SAM00$AQ+ACOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
               ACOJO*JOM00$AQ+ACOSY*SYM00$AQ+ACOID*IDM00$AQ+ACOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ACOPA*PAM00$AQ+ACOPH*PHM00$AQ+ACOTH*THM00$AQ+ACOCH*CHM00$AQ+ACOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ACOBR*BRM00$AQ+ACOCE*CEM00$AQ+ACOME*MEM00$AQ+ACOPE*PEM00$AQ+ACOTU*TUM00$A +   
ACOPD*PDM00$A +ACORU*RUM00$A +ACOUE*UEM00$A +ACOEG*EGM00$A +ACOIS*ISM00$A +   
ACOKE*KEM00$A +ACOBA*BAM00$A +ACOHK*HKM00$A +ACOSI*SIM00$A +ACOVI*VIM00$A +   
ACONI*NIM00$A +ACOAL*ALM00$A +ACOIA*IAM00$A +ACOIN*INM00$A +ACOIQ*IQM00$A +   
ACOKU*KUM00$A +ACOLI*LIM00$A +ACOUA*UAM00$A +ACOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT JOX00$Q=                                                                
AJOUS*USM00$A +AJOCA*CAM00$A +AJOJA*JAM00$A +AJOAU*AUM00$A +AJOFR*FRM00$A +   
AJOGE*GEM00$A +AJOIT*ITM00$A +AJONE*NEM00$A +AJOST*STM00$A +AJOUK*UKM00$A +   
AJOFI*FIM00$A +AJOAS*ASM00$A +AJOSO*SOM00$A +AJOKO*KOM00$A +AJOBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AJODE*DEM00$AQ+AJONO*NOM00$AQ+AJOSW*SWM00$AQ+AJOGR*GRM00$AQ+AJOIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AJOPO*POM00$AQ+AJOSP*SPM00$AQ+AJONZ*NZM00$AQ+AJOSA*SAM00$AQ+AJOVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AJOCO*COM00$AQ+               AJOSY*SYM00$AQ+AJOID*IDM00$AQ+AJOMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AJOPA*PAM00$AQ+AJOPH*PHM00$AQ+AJOTH*THM00$AQ+AJOCH*CHM00$AQ+AJOAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AJOBR*BRM00$AQ+AJOCE*CEM00$AQ+AJOME*MEM00$AQ+AJOPE*PEM00$AQ+AJOTU*TUM00$A +   
AJOPD*PDM00$A +AJORU*RUM00$A +AJOUE*UEM00$A +AJOEG*EGM00$A +AJOIS*ISM00$A +   
AJOKE*KEM00$A +AJOBA*BAM00$A +AJOHK*HKM00$A +AJOSI*SIM00$A +AJOVI*VIM00$A +   
AJONI*NIM00$A +AJOAL*ALM00$A +AJOIA*IAM00$A +AJOIN*INM00$A +AJOIQ*IQM00$A +   
AJOKU*KUM00$A +AJOLI*LIM00$A +AJOUA*UAM00$A +AJOAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SYX00$Q=                                                                
ASYUS*USM00$A +ASYCA*CAM00$A +ASYJA*JAM00$A +ASYAU*AUM00$A +ASYFR*FRM00$A +   
ASYGE*GEM00$A +ASYIT*ITM00$A +ASYNE*NEM00$A +ASYST*STM00$A +ASYUK*UKM00$A +   
ASYFI*FIM00$A +ASYAS*ASM00$A +ASYSO*SOM00$A +ASYKO*KOM00$A +ASYBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASYDE*DEM00$AQ+ASYNO*NOM00$AQ+ASYSW*SWM00$AQ+ASYGR*GRM00$AQ+ASYIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASYPO*POM00$AQ+ASYSP*SPM00$AQ+ASYNZ*NZM00$AQ+ASYSA*SAM00$AQ+ASYVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASYCO*COM00$AQ+ASYJO*JOM00$AQ+               ASYID*IDM00$AQ+ASYMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASYPA*PAM00$AQ+ASYPH*PHM00$AQ+ASYTH*THM00$AQ+ASYCH*CHM00$AQ+ASYAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASYBR*BRM00$AQ+ASYCE*CEM00$AQ+ASYME*MEM00$AQ+ASYPE*PEM00$AQ+ASYTU*TUM00$A +   
ASYPD*PDM00$A +ASYRU*RUM00$A +ASYUE*UEM00$A +ASYEG*EGM00$A +ASYIS*ISM00$A +   
ASYKE*KEM00$A +ASYBA*BAM00$A +ASYHK*HKM00$A +ASYSI*SIM00$A +ASYVI*VIM00$A +   
ASYNI*NIM00$A +ASYAL*ALM00$A +ASYIA*IAM00$A +ASYIN*INM00$A +ASYIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASYKU*KUM00$A +ASYLI*LIM00$A +ASYUA*UAM00$A +ASYAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT IDX00$Q=                                                                
AIDUS*USM00$A +AIDCA*CAM00$A +AIDJA*JAM00$A +AIDAU*AUM00$A +AIDFR*FRM00$A +   
AIDGE*GEM00$A +AIDIT*ITM00$A +AIDNE*NEM00$A +AIDST*STM00$A +AIDUK*UKM00$A +   
AIDFI*FIM00$A +AIDAS*ASM00$A +AIDSO*SOM00$A +AIDKO*KOM00$A +AIDBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AIDDE*DEM00$AQ+AIDNO*NOM00$AQ+AIDSW*SWM00$AQ+AIDGR*GRM00$AQ+AIDIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AIDPO*POM00$AQ+AIDSP*SPM00$AQ+AIDNZ*NZM00$AQ+AIDSA*SAM00$AQ+AIDVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AIDCO*COM00$AQ+AIDJO*JOM00$AQ+AIDSY*SYM00$AQ+               AIDMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AIDPA*PAM00$AQ+AIDPH*PHM00$AQ+AIDTH*THM00$AQ+AIDCH*CHM00$AQ+AIDAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AIDBR*BRM00$AQ+AIDCE*CEM00$AQ+AIDME*MEM00$AQ+AIDPE*PEM00$AQ+AIDTU*TUM00$A +   
AIDPD*PDM00$A +AIDRU*RUM00$A +AIDUE*UEM00$A +AIDEG*EGM00$A +AIDIS*ISM00$A +   
AIDKE*KEM00$A +AIDBA*BAM00$A +AIDHK*HKM00$A +AIDSI*SIM00$A +AIDVI*VIM00$A +   
AIDNI*NIM00$A +AIDAL*ALM00$A +AIDIA*IAM00$A +AIDIN*INM00$A +AIDIQ*IQM00$A +   
AIDKU*KUM00$A +AIDLI*LIM00$A +AIDUA*UAM00$A +AIDAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT MAX00$Q=                                                                
AMAUS*USM00$A +AMACA*CAM00$A +AMAJA*JAM00$A +AMAAU*AUM00$A +AMAFR*FRM00$A +   
AMAGE*GEM00$A +AMAIT*ITM00$A +AMANE*NEM00$A +AMAST*STM00$A +AMAUK*UKM00$A +   
AMAFI*FIM00$A +AMAAS*ASM00$A +AMASO*SOM00$A +AMAKO*KOM00$A +AMABE*BEM00$AQ+   
AMADE*DEM00$AQ+AMANO*NOM00$AQ+AMASW*SWM00$AQ+AMAGR*GRM00$AQ+AMAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AMAPO*POM00$AQ+AMASP*SPM00$AQ+AMANZ*NZM00$AQ+AMASA*SAM00$AQ+AMAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AMACO*COM00$AQ+AMAJO*JOM00$AQ+AMASY*SYM00$AQ+AMAID*IDM00$AQ+                  
AMAPA*PAM00$AQ+AMAPH*PHM00$AQ+AMATH*THM00$AQ+AMACH*CHM00$AQ+AMAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AMABR*BRM00$AQ+AMACE*CEM00$AQ+AMAME*MEM00$AQ+AMAPE*PEM00$AQ+AMATU*TUM00$A +   
AMAPD*PDM00$A +AMARU*RUM00$A +AMAUE*UEM00$A +AMAEG*EGM00$A +AMAIS*ISM00$A +   
AMAKE*KEM00$A +AMABA*BAM00$A +AMAHK*HKM00$A +AMASI*SIM00$A +AMAVI*VIM00$A +   
AMANI*NIM00$A +AMAAL*ALM00$A +AMAIA*IAM00$A +AMAIN*INM00$A +AMAIQ*IQM00$A +   
AMAKU*KUM00$A +AMALI*LIM00$A +AMAUA*UAM00$A +AMAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT PAX00$Q=                                                                
APAUS*USM00$A +APACA*CAM00$A +APAJA*JAM00$A +APAAU*AUM00$A +APAFR*FRM00$A +   
APAGE*GEM00$A +APAIT*ITM00$A +APANE*NEM00$A +APAST*STM00$A +APAUK*UKM00$A +   
APAFI*FIM00$A +APAAS*ASM00$A +APASO*SOM00$A +APAKO*KOM00$A +APABE*BEM00$AQ+   
APADE*DEM00$AQ+APANO*NOM00$AQ+APASW*SWM00$AQ+APAGR*GRM00$AQ+APAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
APAPO*POM00$AQ+APASP*SPM00$AQ+APANZ*NZM00$AQ+APASA*SAM00$AQ+APAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
APACO*COM00$AQ+APAJO*JOM00$AQ+APASY*SYM00$AQ+APAID*IDM00$AQ+APAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
               APAPH*PHM00$AQ+APATH*THM00$AQ+APACH*CHM00$AQ+APAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
APABR*BRM00$AQ+APACE*CEM00$AQ+APAME*MEM00$AQ+APAPE*PEM00$AQ+APATU*TUM00$A +   
APAPD*PDM00$A +APARU*RUM00$A +APAUE*UEM00$A +APAEG*EGM00$A +APAIS*ISM00$A +   
APAKE*KEM00$A +APABA*BAM00$A +APAHK*HKM00$A +APASI*SIM00$A +APAVI*VIM00$A +   
APANI*NIM00$A +APAAL*ALM00$A +APAIA*IAM00$A +APAIN*INM00$A +APAIQ*IQM00$A +   
APAKU*KUM00$A +APALI*LIM00$A +APAUA*UAM00$A +APAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT PHX00$Q=                                                                
APHUS*USM00$A +APHCA*CAM00$A +APHJA*JAM00$A +APHAU*AUM00$A +APHFR*FRM00$A +   
APHGE*GEM00$A +APHIT*ITM00$A +APHNE*NEM00$A +APHST*STM00$A +APHUK*UKM00$A +   
APHFI*FIM00$A +APHAS*ASM00$A +APHSO*SOM00$A +APHKO*KOM00$A +APHBE*BEM00$AQ+   
APHDE*DEM00$AQ+APHNO*NOM00$AQ+APHSW*SWM00$AQ+APHGR*GRM00$AQ+APHIR*IRM00$AQ+   
APHPO*POM00$AQ+APHSP*SPM00$AQ+APHNZ*NZM00$AQ+APHSA*SAM00$AQ+APHVE*VEM00$AQ+   
APHCO*COM00$AQ+APHJO*JOM00$AQ+APHSY*SYM00$AQ+APHID*IDM00$AQ+APHMA*MAM00$AQ+   
APHPA*PAM00$AQ+               APHTH*THM00$AQ+APHCH*CHM00$AQ+APHAR*ARM00$AQ+   
APHBR*BRM00$AQ+APHCE*CEM00$AQ+APHME*MEM00$AQ+APHPE*PEM00$AQ+APHTU*TUM00$A +   
APHPD*PDM00$A +APHRU*RUM00$A +APHUE*UEM00$A +APHEG*EGM00$A +APHIS*ISM00$A +   
APHKE*KEM00$A +APHBA*BAM00$A +APHHK*HKM00$A +APHSI*SIM00$A +APHVI*VIM00$A +   
APHNI*NIM00$A +APHAL*ALM00$A +APHIA*IAM00$A +APHIN*INM00$A +APHIQ*IQM00$A +   
APHKU*KUM00$A +APHLI*LIM00$A +APHUA*UAM00$A +APHAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT THX00$Q=                                                                
ATHUS*USM00$A +ATHCA*CAM00$A +ATHJA*JAM00$A +ATHAU*AUM00$A +ATHFR*FRM00$A +   
ATHGE*GEM00$A +ATHIT*ITM00$A +ATHNE*NEM00$A +ATHST*STM00$A +ATHUK*UKM00$A +   
ATHFI*FIM00$A +ATHAS*ASM00$A +ATHSO*SOM00$A +ATHKO*KOM00$A +ATHBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ATHDE*DEM00$AQ+ATHNO*NOM00$AQ+ATHSW*SWM00$AQ+ATHGR*GRM00$AQ+ATHIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ATHPO*POM00$AQ+ATHSP*SPM00$AQ+ATHNZ*NZM00$AQ+ATHSA*SAM00$AQ+ATHVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ATHCO*COM00$AQ+ATHJO*JOM00$AQ+ATHSY*SYM00$AQ+ATHID*IDM00$AQ+ATHMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ATHPA*PAM00$AQ+ATHPH*PHM00$AQ+               ATHCH*CHM00$AQ+ATHAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ATHBR*BRM00$AQ+ATHCE*CEM00$AQ+ATHME*MEM00$AQ+ATHPE*PEM00$AQ+ATHTU*TUM00$A +   
ATHPD*PDM00$A +ATHRU*RUM00$A +ATHUE*UEM00$A +ATHEG*EGM00$A +ATHIS*ISM00$A +   
ATHKE*KEM00$A +ATHBA*BAM00$A +ATHHK*HKM00$A +ATHSI*SIM00$A +ATHVI*VIM00$A +   
ATHNI*NIM00$A +ATHAL*ALM00$A +ATHIA*IAM00$A +ATHIN*INM00$A +ATHIQ*IQM00$A +   
ATHKU*KUM00$A +ATHLI*LIM00$A +ATHUA*UAM00$A +ATHAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT CHX00$Q=                                                                
ACHUS*USM00$A +ACHCA*CAM00$A +ACHJA*JAM00$A +ACHAU*AUM00$A +ACHFR*FRM00$A +   
ACHGE*GEM00$A +ACHIT*ITM00$A +ACHNE*NEM00$A +ACHST*STM00$A +ACHUK*UKM00$A +   
ACHFI*FIM00$A +ACHAS*ASM00$A +ACHSO*SOM00$A +ACHKO*KOM00$A +ACHBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ACHDE*DEM00$AQ+ACHNO*NOM00$AQ+ACHSW*SWM00$AQ+ACHGR*GRM00$AQ+ACHIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ACHPO*POM00$AQ+ACHSP*SPM00$AQ+ACHNZ*NZM00$AQ+ACHSA*SAM00$AQ+ACHVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ACHCO*COM00$AQ+ACHJO*JOM00$AQ+ACHSY*SYM00$AQ+ACHID*IDM00$AQ+ACHMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ACHPA*PAM00$AQ+ACHPH*PHM00$AQ+ACHTH*THM00$AQ+               ACHAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ACHBR*BRM00$AQ+ACHCE*CEM00$AQ+ACHME*MEM00$AQ+ACHPE*PEM00$AQ+ACHTU*TUM00$A +   
ACHPD*PDM00$A +ACHRU*RUM00$A +ACHUE*UEM00$A +ACHEG*EGM00$A +ACHIS*ISM00$A +   
ACHKE*KEM00$A +ACHBA*BAM00$A +ACHHK*HKM00$A +ACHSI*SIM00$A +ACHVI*VIM00$A +   
ACHNI*NIM00$A +ACHAL*ALM00$A +ACHIA*IAM00$A +ACHIN*INM00$A +ACHIQ*IQM00$A +   
ACHKU*KUM00$A +ACHLI*LIM00$A +ACHUA*UAM00$A +ACHAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT ARX00$Q=                                                                
AARUS*USM00$A +AARCA*CAM00$A +AARJA*JAM00$A +AARAU*AUM00$A +AARFR*FRM00$A +   
AARGE*GEM00$A +AARIT*ITM00$A +AARNE*NEM00$A +AARST*STM00$A +AARUK*UKM00$A +   
AARFI*FIM00$A +AARAS*ASM00$A +AARSO*SOM00$A +AARKO*KOM00$A +AARBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AARDE*DEM00$AQ+AARNO*NOM00$AQ+AARSW*SWM00$AQ+AARGR*GRM00$AQ+AARIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AARPO*POM00$AQ+AARSP*SPM00$AQ+AARNZ*NZM00$AQ+AARSA*SAM00$AQ+AARVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AARCO*COM00$AQ+AARJO*JOM00$AQ+AARSY*SYM00$AQ+AARID*IDM00$AQ+AARMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AARPA*PAM00$AQ+AARPH*PHM00$AQ+AARTH*THM00$AQ+AARCH*CHM00$AQ+                  
AARBR*BRM00$AQ+AARCE*CEM00$AQ+AARME*MEM00$AQ+AARPE*PEM00$AQ+AARTU*TUM00$A +   
AARPD*PDM00$A +AARRU*RUM00$A +AARUE*UEM00$A +AAREG*EGM00$A +AARIS*ISM00$A +   
AARKE*KEM00$A +AARBA*BAM00$A +AARHK*HKM00$A +AARSI*SIM00$A +AARVI*VIM00$A +   
AARNI*NIM00$A +AARAL*ALM00$A +AARIA*IAM00$A +AARIN*INM00$A +AARIQ*IQM00$A +   
AARKU*KUM00$A +AARLI*LIM00$A +AARUA*UAM00$A +AARAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT BRX00$Q=                                                                
ABRUS*USM00$A +ABRCA*CAM00$A +ABRJA*JAM00$A +ABRAU*AUM00$A +ABRFR*FRM00$A +   
ABRGE*GEM00$A +ABRIT*ITM00$A +ABRNE*NEM00$A +ABRST*STM00$A +ABRUK*UKM00$A +   
ABRFI*FIM00$A +ABRAS*ASM00$A +ABRSO*SOM00$A +ABRKO*KOM00$A +ABRBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ABRDE*DEM00$AQ+ABRNO*NOM00$AQ+ABRSW*SWM00$AQ+ABRGR*GRM00$AQ+ABRIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ABRPO*POM00$AQ+ABRSP*SPM00$AQ+ABRNZ*NZM00$AQ+ABRSA*SAM00$AQ+ABRVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ABRCO*COM00$AQ+ABRJO*JOM00$AQ+ABRSY*SYM00$AQ+ABRID*IDM00$AQ+ABRMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ABRPA*PAM00$AQ+ABRPH*PHM00$AQ+ABRTH*THM00$AQ+ABRCH*CHM00$AQ+ABRAR*ARM00$AQ+   
               ABRCE*CEM00$AQ+ABRME*MEM00$AQ+ABRPE*PEM00$AQ+ABRTU*TUM00$A +   
ABRPD*PDM00$A +ABRRU*RUM00$A +ABRUE*UEM00$A +ABREG*EGM00$A +ABRIS*ISM00$A +   
ABRKE*KEM00$A +ABRBA*BAM00$A +ABRHK*HKM00$A +ABRSI*SIM00$A +ABRVI*VIM00$A +   
ABRNI*NIM00$A +ABRAL*ALM00$A +ABRIA*IAM00$A +ABRIN*INM00$A +ABRIQ*IQM00$A +   
ABRKU*KUM00$A +ABRLI*LIM00$A +ABRUA*UAM00$A +ABRAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT CEX00$Q=                                                                
ACEUS*USM00$A +ACECA*CAM00$A +ACEJA*JAM00$A +ACEAU*AUM00$A +ACEFR*FRM00$A +   
ACEGE*GEM00$A +ACEIT*ITM00$A +ACENE*NEM00$A +ACEST*STM00$A +ACEUK*UKM00$A +   
ACEFI*FIM00$A +ACEAS*ASM00$A +ACESO*SOM00$A +ACEKO*KOM00$A +ACEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ACEDE*DEM00$AQ+ACENO*NOM00$AQ+ACESW*SWM00$AQ+ACEGR*GRM00$AQ+ACEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ACEPO*POM00$AQ+ACESP*SPM00$AQ+ACENZ*NZM00$AQ+ACESA*SAM00$AQ+ACEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ACECO*COM00$AQ+ACEJO*JOM00$AQ+ACESY*SYM00$AQ+ACEID*IDM00$AQ+ACEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ACEPA*PAM00$AQ+ACEPH*PHM00$AQ+ACETH*THM00$AQ+ACECH*CHM00$AQ+ACEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ACEBR*BRM00$AQ+               ACEME*MEM00$AQ+ACEPE*PEM00$AQ+ACETU*TUM00$A +   
ACEPD*PDM00$A +ACERU*RUM00$A +ACEUE*UEM00$A +ACEEG*EGM00$A +ACEIS*ISM00$A +   
ACEKE*KEM00$A +ACEBA*BAM00$A +ACEHK*HKM00$A +ACESI*SIM00$A +ACEVI*VIM00$A +   
ACENI*NIM00$A +ACEAL*ALM00$A +ACEIA*IAM00$A +ACEIN*INM00$A +ACEIQ*IQM00$A +   
ACEKU*KUM00$A +ACELI*LIM00$A +ACEUA*UAM00$A +ACEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT MEX00$Q=                                                                
AMEUS*USM00$A +AMECA*CAM00$A +AMEJA*JAM00$A +AMEAU*AUM00$A +AMEFR*FRM00$A +   
AMEGE*GEM00$A +AMEIT*ITM00$A +AMENE*NEM00$A +AMEST*STM00$A +AMEUK*UKM00$A +   
AMEFI*FIM00$A +AMEAS*ASM00$A +AMESO*SOM00$A +AMEKO*KOM00$A +AMEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AMEDE*DEM00$AQ+AMENO*NOM00$AQ+AMESW*SWM00$AQ+AMEGR*GRM00$AQ+AMEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AMEPO*POM00$AQ+AMESP*SPM00$AQ+AMENZ*NZM00$AQ+AMESA*SAM00$AQ+AMEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AMECO*COM00$AQ+AMEJO*JOM00$AQ+AMESY*SYM00$AQ+AMEID*IDM00$AQ+AMEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AMEPA*PAM00$AQ+AMEPH*PHM00$AQ+AMETH*THM00$AQ+AMECH*CHM00$AQ+AMEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AMEBR*BRM00$AQ+AMECE*CEM00$AQ+               AMEPE*PEM00$AQ+AMETU*TUM00$A +   
AMEPD*PDM00$A +AMERU*RUM00$A +AMEUE*UEM00$A +AMEEG*EGM00$A +AMEIS*ISM00$A +   
AMEKE*KEM00$A +AMEBA*BAM00$A +AMEHK*HKM00$A +AMESI*SIM00$A +AMEVI*VIM00$A +   
AMENI*NIM00$A +AMEAL*ALM00$A +AMEIA*IAM00$A +AMEIN*INM00$A +AMEIQ*IQM00$A +   
AMEKU*KUM00$A +AMELI*LIM00$A +AMEUA*UAM00$A +AMEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT PEX00$Q=                                                                
APEUS*USM00$A +APECA*CAM00$A +APEJA*JAM00$A +APEAU*AUM00$A +APEFR*FRM00$A +   
APEGE*GEM00$A +APEIT*ITM00$A +APENE*NEM00$A +APEST*STM00$A +APEUK*UKM00$A +   
APEFI*FIM00$A +APEAS*ASM00$A +APESO*SOM00$A +APEKO*KOM00$A +APEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
APEDE*DEM00$AQ+APENO*NOM00$AQ+APESW*SWM00$AQ+APEGR*GRM00$AQ+APEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
APEPO*POM00$AQ+APESP*SPM00$AQ+APENZ*NZM00$AQ+APESA*SAM00$AQ+APEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
APECO*COM00$AQ+APEJO*JOM00$AQ+APESY*SYM00$AQ+APEID*IDM00$AQ+APEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
APEPA*PAM00$AQ+APEPH*PHM00$AQ+APETH*THM00$AQ+APECH*CHM00$AQ+APEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
APEBR*BRM00$AQ+APECE*CEM00$AQ+APEME*MEM00$AQ+               APETU*TUM00$A +   
APEPD*PDM00$A +APERU*RUM00$A +APEUE*UEM00$A +APEEG*EGM00$A +APEIS*ISM00$A +   
APEKE*KEM00$A +APEBA*BAM00$A +APEHK*HKM00$A +APESI*SIM00$A +APEVI*VIM00$A +   
APENI*NIM00$A +APEAL*ALM00$A +APEIA*IAM00$A +APEIN*INM00$A +APEIQ*IQM00$A +   
APEKU*KUM00$A +APELI*LIM00$A +APEUA*UAM00$A +APEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT TUX00$ =                                                                
ATUUS*USM00$A +ATUCA*CAM00$A +ATUJA*JAM00$A +ATUAU*AUM00$A +ATUFR*FRM00$A +   
ATUGE*GEM00$A +ATUIT*ITM00$A +ATUNE*NEM00$A +ATUST*STM00$A +ATUUK*UKM00$A +   
ATUFI*FIM00$A +ATUAS*ASM00$A +ATUSO*SOM00$A +ATUKO*KOM00$A +ATUBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ATUDE*DEM00$AQ+ATUNO*NOM00$AQ+ATUSW*SWM00$AQ+ATUGR*GRM00$AQ+ATUIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ATUPO*POM00$AQ+ATUSP*SPM00$AQ+ATUNZ*NZM00$AQ+ATUSA*SAM00$AQ+ATUVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ATUCO*COM00$AQ+ATUJO*JOM00$AQ+ATUSY*SYM00$AQ+ATUID*IDM00$AQ+ATUMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ATUPA*PAM00$AQ+ATUPH*PHM00$AQ+ATUTH*THM00$AQ+ATUCH*CHM00$AQ+ATUAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ATUBR*BRM00$AQ+ATUCE*CEM00$AQ+ATUME*MEM00$AQ+ATUPE*PEM00$AQ+                  
ATUPD*PDM00$A +ATURU*RUM00$A +ATUUE*UEM00$A +ATUEG*EGM00$A +ATUIS*ISM00$A +   
ATUKE*KEM00$A +ATUBA*BAM00$A +ATUHK*HKM00$A +ATUSI*SIM00$A +ATUVI*VIM00$A +   
ATUNI*NIM00$A +ATUAL*ALM00$A +ATUIA*IAM00$A +ATUIN*INM00$A +ATUIQ*IQM00$A +   
ATUKU*KUM00$A +ATULI*LIM00$A +ATUUA*UAM00$A +ATUAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT PDX00$ =                                                                
APDUS*USM00$A +APDCA*CAM00$A +APDJA*JAM00$A +APDAU*AUM00$A +APDFR*FRM00$A +   
APDGE*GEM00$A +APDIT*ITM00$A +APDNE*NEM00$A +APDST*STM00$A +APDUK*UKM00$A +   
APDFI*FIM00$A +APDAS*ASM00$A +APDSO*SOM00$A +APDKO*KOM00$A +APDBE*BEM00$AQ+   
APDDE*DEM00$AQ+APDNO*NOM00$AQ+APDSW*SWM00$AQ+APDGR*GRM00$AQ+APDIR*IRM00$AQ+   
APDPO*POM00$AQ+APDSP*SPM00$AQ+APDNZ*NZM00$AQ+APDSA*SAM00$AQ+APDVE*VEM00$AQ+   
APDCO*COM00$AQ+APDJO*JOM00$AQ+APDSY*SYM00$AQ+APDID*IDM00$AQ+APDMA*MAM00$AQ+   
APDPA*PAM00$AQ+APDPH*PHM00$AQ+APDTH*THM00$AQ+APDCH*CHM00$AQ+APDAR*ARM00$AQ+   
APDBR*BRM00$AQ+APDCE*CEM00$AQ+APDME*MEM00$AQ+APDPE*PEM00$AQ+APDTU*TUM00$A +   
               APDRU*RUM00$A +APDUE*UEM00$A +APDEG*EGM00$A +APDIS*ISM00$A +   
APDKE*KEM00$A +APDBA*BAM00$A +APDHK*HKM00$A +APDSI*SIM00$A +APDVI*VIM00$A +   
APDNI*NIM00$A +APDAL*ALM00$A +APDIA*IAM00$A +APDIN*INM00$A +APDIQ*IQM00$A +   
APDKU*KUM00$A +APDLI*LIM00$A +APDUA*UAM00$A +APDAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT RUX00$ =                                                                
ARUUS*USM00$A +ARUCA*CAM00$A +ARUJA*JAM00$A +ARUAU*AUM00$A +ARUFR*FRM00$A +   
ARUGE*GEM00$A +ARUIT*ITM00$A +ARUNE*NEM00$A +ARUST*STM00$A +ARUUK*UKM00$A +   
ARUFI*FIM00$A +ARUAS*ASM00$A +ARUSO*SOM00$A +ARUKO*KOM00$A +ARUBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ARUDE*DEM00$AQ+ARUNO*NOM00$AQ+ARUSW*SWM00$AQ+ARUGR*GRM00$AQ+ARUIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ARUPO*POM00$AQ+ARUSP*SPM00$AQ+ARUNZ*NZM00$AQ+ARUSA*SAM00$AQ+ARUVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ARUCO*COM00$AQ+ARUJO*JOM00$AQ+ARUSY*SYM00$AQ+ARUID*IDM00$AQ+ARUMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ARUPA*PAM00$AQ+ARUPH*PHM00$AQ+ARUTH*THM00$AQ+ARUCH*CHM00$AQ+ARUAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ARUBR*BRM00$AQ+ARUCE*CEM00$AQ+ARUME*MEM00$AQ+ARUPE*PEM00$AQ+ARUTU*TUM00$A +   
ARUPD*PDM00$A +               ARUUE*UEM00$A +ARUEG*EGM00$A +ARUIS*ISM00$A +   
ARUKE*KEM00$A +ARUBA*BAM00$A +ARUHK*HKM00$A +ARUSI*SIM00$A +ARUVI*VIM00$A +   
ARUNI*NIM00$A +ARUAL*ALM00$A +ARUIA*IAM00$A +ARUIN*INM00$A +ARUIQ*IQM00$A +   
ARUKU*KUM00$A +ARULI*LIM00$A +ARUUA*UAM00$A +ARUAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT UEX00$ =                                                                
AUEUS*USM00$A +AUECA*CAM00$A +AUEJA*JAM00$A +AUEAU*AUM00$A +AUEFR*FRM00$A +   
AUEGE*GEM00$A +AUEIT*ITM00$A +AUENE*NEM00$A +AUEST*STM00$A +AUEUK*UKM00$A +   
AUEFI*FIM00$A +AUEAS*ASM00$A +AUESO*SOM00$A +AUEKO*KOM00$A +AUEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AUEDE*DEM00$AQ+AUENO*NOM00$AQ+AUESW*SWM00$AQ+AUEGR*GRM00$AQ+AUEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AUEPO*POM00$AQ+AUESP*SPM00$AQ+AUENZ*NZM00$AQ+AUESA*SAM00$AQ+AUEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AUECO*COM00$AQ+AUEJO*JOM00$AQ+AUESY*SYM00$AQ+AUEID*IDM00$AQ+AUEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AUEPA*PAM00$AQ+AUEPH*PHM00$AQ+AUETH*THM00$AQ+AUECH*CHM00$AQ+AUEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AUEBR*BRM00$AQ+AUECE*CEM00$AQ+AUEME*MEM00$AQ+AUEPE*PEM00$AQ+AUETU*TUM00$A +   
AUEPD*PDM00$A +AUERU*RUM00$A +               AUEEG*EGM00$A +AUEIS*ISM00$A +   
AUEKE*KEM00$A +AUEBA*BAM00$A +AUEHK*HKM00$A +AUESI*SIM00$A +AUEVI*VIM00$A +   
AUENI*NIM00$A +AUEAL*ALM00$A +AUEIA*IAM00$A +AUEIN*INM00$A +AUEIQ*IQM00$A +   
AUEKU*KUM00$A +AUELI*LIM00$A +AUEUA*UAM00$A +AUEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT EGX00$ =                                                                
AEGUS*USM00$A +AEGCA*CAM00$A +AEGJA*JAM00$A +AEGAU*AUM00$A +AEGFR*FRM00$A +   
AEGGE*GEM00$A +AEGIT*ITM00$A +AEGNE*NEM00$A +AEGST*STM00$A +AEGUK*UKM00$A +   
AEGFI*FIM00$A +AEGAS*ASM00$A +AEGSO*SOM00$A +AEGKO*KOM00$A +AEGBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AEGDE*DEM00$AQ+AEGNO*NOM00$AQ+AEGSW*SWM00$AQ+AEGGR*GRM00$AQ+AEGIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AEGPO*POM00$AQ+AEGSP*SPM00$AQ+AEGNZ*NZM00$AQ+AEGSA*SAM00$AQ+AEGVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AEGCO*COM00$AQ+AEGJO*JOM00$AQ+AEGSY*SYM00$AQ+AEGID*IDM00$AQ+AEGMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AEGPA*PAM00$AQ+AEGPH*PHM00$AQ+AEGTH*THM00$AQ+AEGCH*CHM00$AQ+AEGAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AEGBR*BRM00$AQ+AEGCE*CEM00$AQ+AEGME*MEM00$AQ+AEGPE*PEM00$AQ+AEGTU*TUM00$A +   
AEGPD*PDM00$A +AEGRU*RUM00$A +AEGUE*UEM00$A +               AEGIS*ISM00$A +   
AEGKE*KEM00$A +AEGBA*BAM00$A +AEGHK*HKM00$A +AEGSI*SIM00$A +AEGVI*VIM00$A +   
AEGNI*NIM00$A +AEGAL*ALM00$A +AEGIA*IAM00$A +AEGIN*INM00$A +AEGIQ*IQM00$A +   
AEGKU*KUM00$A +AEGLI*LIM00$A +AEGUA*UAM00$A +AEGAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT ISX00$ =                                                                
AISUS*USM00$A +AISCA*CAM00$A +AISJA*JAM00$A +AISAU*AUM00$A +AISFR*FRM00$A +   
AISGE*GEM00$A +AISIT*ITM00$A +AISNE*NEM00$A +AISST*STM00$A +AISUK*UKM00$A +   
AISFI*FIM00$A +AISAS*ASM00$A +AISSO*SOM00$A +AISKO*KOM00$A +AISBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AISDE*DEM00$AQ+AISNO*NOM00$AQ+AISSW*SWM00$AQ+AISGR*GRM00$AQ+AISIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AISPO*POM00$AQ+AISSP*SPM00$AQ+AISNZ*NZM00$AQ+AISSA*SAM00$AQ+AISVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AISCO*COM00$AQ+AISJO*JOM00$AQ+AISSY*SYM00$AQ+AISID*IDM00$AQ+AISMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AISPA*PAM00$AQ+AISPH*PHM00$AQ+AISTH*THM00$AQ+AISCH*CHM00$AQ+AISAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AISBR*BRM00$AQ+AISCE*CEM00$AQ+AISME*MEM00$AQ+AISPE*PEM00$AQ+AISTU*TUM00$A +   
AISPD*PDM00$A +AISRU*RUM00$A +AISUE*UEM00$A +AISEG*EGM00$A +                  
AISKE*KEM00$A +AISBA*BAM00$A +AISHK*HKM00$A +AISSI*SIM00$A +AISVI*VIM00$A +   
AISNI*NIM00$A +AISAL*ALM00$A +AISIA*IAM00$A +AISIN*INM00$A +AISIQ*IQM00$A +   
AISKU*KUM00$A +AISLI*LIM00$A +AISUA*UAM00$A +AISAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT KEX00$ =                                                                
AKEUS*USM00$A +AKECA*CAM00$A +AKEJA*JAM00$A +AKEAU*AUM00$A +AKEFR*FRM00$A +   
AKEGE*GEM00$A +AKEIT*ITM00$A +AKENE*NEM00$A +AKEST*STM00$A +AKEUK*UKM00$A +   
AKEFI*FIM00$A +AKEAS*ASM00$A +AKESO*SOM00$A +AKEKO*KOM00$A +AKEBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AKEDE*DEM00$AQ+AKENO*NOM00$AQ+AKESW*SWM00$AQ+AKEGR*GRM00$AQ+AKEIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AKEPO*POM00$AQ+AKESP*SPM00$AQ+AKENZ*NZM00$AQ+AKESA*SAM00$AQ+AKEVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AKECO*COM00$AQ+AKEJO*JOM00$AQ+AKESY*SYM00$AQ+AKEID*IDM00$AQ+AKEMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AKEPA*PAM00$AQ+AKEPH*PHM00$AQ+AKETH*THM00$AQ+AKECH*CHM00$AQ+AKEAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AKEBR*BRM00$AQ+AKECE*CEM00$AQ+AKEME*MEM00$AQ+AKEPE*PEM00$AQ+AKETU*TUM00$A +   
AKEPD*PDM00$A +AKERU*RUM00$A +AKEUE*UEM00$A +AKEEG*EGM00$A +AKEIS*ISM00$A +   
               AKEBA*BAM00$A +AKEHK*HKM00$A +AKESI*SIM00$A +AKEVI*VIM00$A +   
AKENI*NIM00$A +AKEAL*ALM00$A +AKEIA*IAM00$A +AKEIN*INM00$A +AKEIQ*IQM00$A +   
AKEKU*KUM00$A +AKELI*LIM00$A +AKEUA*UAM00$A +AKEAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT BAX00$ =                                                                
ABAUS*USM00$A +ABACA*CAM00$A +ABAJA*JAM00$A +ABAAU*AUM00$A +ABAFR*FRM00$A +   
ABAGE*GEM00$A +ABAIT*ITM00$A +ABANE*NEM00$A +ABAST*STM00$A +ABAUK*UKM00$A +   
ABAFI*FIM00$A +ABAAS*ASM00$A +ABASO*SOM00$A +ABAKO*KOM00$A +ABABE*BEM00$AQ+   
ABADE*DEM00$AQ+ABANO*NOM00$AQ+ABASW*SWM00$AQ+ABAGR*GRM00$AQ+ABAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ABAPO*POM00$AQ+ABASP*SPM00$AQ+ABANZ*NZM00$AQ+ABASA*SAM00$AQ+ABAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ABACO*COM00$AQ+ABAJO*JOM00$AQ+ABASY*SYM00$AQ+ABAID*IDM00$AQ+ABAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ABAPA*PAM00$AQ+ABAPH*PHM00$AQ+ABATH*THM00$AQ+ABACH*CHM00$AQ+ABAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ABABR*BRM00$AQ+ABACE*CEM00$AQ+ABAME*MEM00$AQ+ABAPE*PEM00$AQ+ABATU*TUM00$A +   
ABAPD*PDM00$A +ABARU*RUM00$A +ABAUE*UEM00$A +ABAEG*EGM00$A +ABAIS*ISM00$A +   
ABAKE*KEM00$A +               ABAHK*HKM00$A +ABASI*SIM00$A +ABAVI*VIM00$A +   
ABANI*NIM00$A +ABAAL*ALM00$A +ABAIA*IAM00$A +ABAIN*INM00$A +ABAIQ*IQM00$A +   
ABAKU*KUM00$A +ABALI*LIM00$A +ABAUA*UAM00$A +ABAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT HKX00$ =                                                                
AHKUS*USM00$A +AHKCA*CAM00$A +AHKJA*JAM00$A +AHKAU*AUM00$A +AHKFR*FRM00$A +   
AHKGE*GEM00$A +AHKIT*ITM00$A +AHKNE*NEM00$A +AHKST*STM00$A +AHKUK*UKM00$A +   
AHKFI*FIM00$A +AHKAS*ASM00$A +AHKSO*SOM00$A +AHKKO*KOM00$A +AHKBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AHKDE*DEM00$AQ+AHKNO*NOM00$AQ+AHKSW*SWM00$AQ+AHKGR*GRM00$AQ+AHKIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AHKPO*POM00$AQ+AHKSP*SPM00$AQ+AHKNZ*NZM00$AQ+AHKSA*SAM00$AQ+AHKVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AHKCO*COM00$AQ+AHKJO*JOM00$AQ+AHKSY*SYM00$AQ+AHKID*IDM00$AQ+AHKMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AHKPA*PAM00$AQ+AHKPH*PHM00$AQ+AHKTH*THM00$AQ+AHKCH*CHM00$AQ+AHKAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AHKBR*BRM00$AQ+AHKCE*CEM00$AQ+AHKME*MEM00$AQ+AHKPE*PEM00$AQ+AHKTU*TUM00$A +   
AHKPD*PDM00$A +AHKRU*RUM00$A +AHKUE*UEM00$A +AHKEG*EGM00$A +AHKIS*ISM00$A +   
AHKKE*KEM00$A +AHKBA*BAM00$A +               AHKSI*SIM00$A +AHKVI*VIM00$A +   
AHKNI*NIM00$A +AHKAL*ALM00$A +AHKIA*IAM00$A +AHKIN*INM00$A +AHKIQ*IQM00$A +   
AHKKU*KUM00$A +AHKLI*LIM00$A +AHKUA*UAM00$A +AHKAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT SIX00$ =                                                                
ASIUS*USM00$A +ASICA*CAM00$A +ASIJA*JAM00$A +ASIAU*AUM00$A +ASIFR*FRM00$A +   
ASIGE*GEM00$A +ASIIT*ITM00$A +ASINE*NEM00$A +ASIST*STM00$A +ASIUK*UKM00$A +   
ASIFI*FIM00$A +ASIAS*ASM00$A +ASISO*SOM00$A +ASIKO*KOM00$A +ASIBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ASIDE*DEM00$AQ+ASINO*NOM00$AQ+ASISW*SWM00$AQ+ASIGR*GRM00$AQ+ASIIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ASIPO*POM00$AQ+ASISP*SPM00$AQ+ASINZ*NZM00$AQ+ASISA*SAM00$AQ+ASIVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ASICO*COM00$AQ+ASIJO*JOM00$AQ+ASISY*SYM00$AQ+ASIID*IDM00$AQ+ASIMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ASIPA*PAM00$AQ+ASIPH*PHM00$AQ+ASITH*THM00$AQ+ASICH*CHM00$AQ+ASIAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ASIBR*BRM00$AQ+ASICE*CEM00$AQ+ASIME*MEM00$AQ+ASIPE*PEM00$AQ+ASITU*TUM00$A +   
ASIPD*PDM00$A +ASIRU*RUM00$A +ASIUE*UEM00$A +ASIEG*EGM00$A +ASIIS*ISM00$A +   
ASIKE*KEM00$A +ASIBA*BAM00$A +ASIHK*HKM00$A +               ASIVI*VIM00$A +   
ASINI*NIM00$A +ASIAL*ALM00$A +ASIIA*IAM00$A +ASIIN*INM00$A +ASIIQ*IQM00$A +   
ASIKU*KUM00$A +ASILI*LIM00$A +ASIUA*UAM00$A +ASIAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT VIX00$ =                                                                
AVIUS*USM00$A +AVICA*CAM00$A +AVIJA*JAM00$A +AVIAU*AUM00$A +AVIFR*FRM00$A +   
AVIGE*GEM00$A +AVIIT*ITM00$A +AVINE*NEM00$A +AVIST*STM00$A +AVIUK*UKM00$A +   
AVIFI*FIM00$A +AVIAS*ASM00$A +AVISO*SOM00$A +AVIKO*KOM00$A +AVIBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AVIDE*DEM00$AQ+AVINO*NOM00$AQ+AVISW*SWM00$AQ+AVIGR*GRM00$AQ+AVIIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AVIPO*POM00$AQ+AVISP*SPM00$AQ+AVINZ*NZM00$AQ+AVISA*SAM00$AQ+AVIVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AVICO*COM00$AQ+AVIJO*JOM00$AQ+AVISY*SYM00$AQ+AVIID*IDM00$AQ+AVIMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AVIPA*PAM00$AQ+AVIPH*PHM00$AQ+AVITH*THM00$AQ+AVICH*CHM00$AQ+AVIAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AVIBR*BRM00$AQ+AVICE*CEM00$AQ+AVIME*MEM00$AQ+AVIPE*PEM00$AQ+AVITU*TUM00$A +   
AVIPD*PDM00$A +AVIRU*RUM00$A +AVIUE*UEM00$A +AVIEG*EGM00$A +AVIIS*ISM00$A +   
AVIKE*KEM00$A +AVIBA*BAM00$A +AVIHK*HKM00$A +AVISI*SIM00$A +                  
AVINI*NIM00$A +AVIAL*ALM00$A +AVIIA*IAM00$A +AVIIN*INM00$A +AVIIQ*IQM00$A +   
AVIKU*KUM00$A +AVILI*LIM00$A +AVIUA*UAM00$A +AVIAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT NIX00$ =                                                                
ANIUS*USM00$A +ANICA*CAM00$A +ANIJA*JAM00$A +ANIAU*AUM00$A +ANIFR*FRM00$A +   
ANIGE*GEM00$A +ANIIT*ITM00$A +ANINE*NEM00$A +ANIST*STM00$A +ANIUK*UKM00$A +   
ANIFI*FIM00$A +ANIAS*ASM00$A +ANISO*SOM00$A +ANIKO*KOM00$A +ANIBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ANIDE*DEM00$AQ+ANINO*NOM00$AQ+ANISW*SWM00$AQ+ANIGR*GRM00$AQ+ANIIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ANIPO*POM00$AQ+ANISP*SPM00$AQ+ANINZ*NZM00$AQ+ANISA*SAM00$AQ+ANIVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ANICO*COM00$AQ+ANIJO*JOM00$AQ+ANISY*SYM00$AQ+ANIID*IDM00$AQ+ANIMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ANIPA*PAM00$AQ+ANIPH*PHM00$AQ+ANITH*THM00$AQ+ANICH*CHM00$AQ+ANIAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ANIBR*BRM00$AQ+ANICE*CEM00$AQ+ANIME*MEM00$AQ+ANIPE*PEM00$AQ+ANITU*TUM00$A +   
ANIPD*PDM00$A +ANIRU*RUM00$A +ANIUE*UEM00$A +ANIEG*EGM00$A +ANIIS*ISM00$A +   
ANIKE*KEM00$A +ANIBA*BAM00$A +ANIHK*HKM00$A +ANISI*SIM00$A +ANIVI*VIM00$A +   
               ANIAL*ALM00$A +ANIIA*IAM00$A +ANIIN*INM00$A +ANIIQ*IQM00$A +   
ANIKU*KUM00$A +ANILI*LIM00$A +ANIUA*UAM00$A +ANIAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT ALX00$ =                                                                
AALUS*USM00$A +AALCA*CAM00$A +AALJA*JAM00$A +AALAU*AUM00$A +AALFR*FRM00$A +   
AALGE*GEM00$A +AALIT*ITM00$A +AALNE*NEM00$A +AALST*STM00$A +AALUK*UKM00$A +   
AALFI*FIM00$A +AALAS*ASM00$A +AALSO*SOM00$A +AALKO*KOM00$A +AALBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AALDE*DEM00$AQ+AALNO*NOM00$AQ+AALSW*SWM00$AQ+AALGR*GRM00$AQ+AALIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AALPO*POM00$AQ+AALSP*SPM00$AQ+AALNZ*NZM00$AQ+AALSA*SAM00$AQ+AALVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AALCO*COM00$AQ+AALJO*JOM00$AQ+AALSY*SYM00$AQ+AALID*IDM00$AQ+AALMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AALPA*PAM00$AQ+AALPH*PHM00$AQ+AALTH*THM00$AQ+AALCH*CHM00$AQ+AALAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AALBR*BRM00$AQ+AALCE*CEM00$AQ+AALME*MEM00$AQ+AALPE*PEM00$AQ+AALTU*TUM00$A +   
AALPD*PDM00$A +AALRU*RUM00$A +AALUE*UEM00$A +AALEG*EGM00$A +AALIS*ISM00$A +   
AALKE*KEM00$A +AALBA*BAM00$A +AALHK*HKM00$A +AALSI*SIM00$A +AALVI*VIM00$A +   
AALNI*NIM00$A +               AALIA*IAM00$A +AALIN*INM00$A +AALIQ*IQM00$A +   
AALKU*KUM00$A +AALLI*LIM00$A +AALUA*UAM00$A +AALAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT IAX00$ =                                                                
AIAUS*USM00$A +AIACA*CAM00$A +AIAJA*JAM00$A +AIAAU*AUM00$A +AIAFR*FRM00$A +   
AIAGE*GEM00$A +AIAIT*ITM00$A +AIANE*NEM00$A +AIAST*STM00$A +AIAUK*UKM00$A +   
AIAFI*FIM00$A +AIAAS*ASM00$A +AIASO*SOM00$A +AIAKO*KOM00$A +AIABE*BEM00$AQ+   
AIADE*DEM00$AQ+AIANO*NOM00$AQ+AIASW*SWM00$AQ+AIAGR*GRM00$AQ+AIAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AIAPO*POM00$AQ+AIASP*SPM00$AQ+AIANZ*NZM00$AQ+AIASA*SAM00$AQ+AIAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AIACO*COM00$AQ+AIAJO*JOM00$AQ+AIASY*SYM00$AQ+AIAID*IDM00$AQ+AIAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AIAPA*PAM00$AQ+AIAPH*PHM00$AQ+AIATH*THM00$AQ+AIACH*CHM00$AQ+AIAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AIABR*BRM00$AQ+AIACE*CEM00$AQ+AIAME*MEM00$AQ+AIAPE*PEM00$AQ+AIATU*TUM00$A +   
AIAPD*PDM00$A +AIARU*RUM00$A +AIAUE*UEM00$A +AIAEG*EGM00$A +AIAIS*ISM00$A +   
AIAKE*KEM00$A +AIABA*BAM00$A +AIAHK*HKM00$A +AIASI*SIM00$A +AIAVI*VIM00$A +   
AIANI*NIM00$A +AIAAL*ALM00$A +               AIAIN*INM00$A +AIAIQ*IQM00$A +   
AIAKU*KUM00$A +AIALI*LIM00$A +AIAUA*UAM00$A +AIAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT INX00$ =                                                                
AINUS*USM00$A +AINCA*CAM00$A +AINJA*JAM00$A +AINAU*AUM00$A +AINFR*FRM00$A +   
AINGE*GEM00$A +AINIT*ITM00$A +AINNE*NEM00$A +AINST*STM00$A +AINUK*UKM00$A +   
AINFI*FIM00$A +AINAS*ASM00$A +AINSO*SOM00$A +AINKO*KOM00$A +AINBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AINDE*DEM00$AQ+AINNO*NOM00$AQ+AINSW*SWM00$AQ+AINGR*GRM00$AQ+AINIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AINPO*POM00$AQ+AINSP*SPM00$AQ+AINNZ*NZM00$AQ+AINSA*SAM00$AQ+AINVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AINCO*COM00$AQ+AINJO*JOM00$AQ+AINSY*SYM00$AQ+AINID*IDM00$AQ+AINMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AINPA*PAM00$AQ+AINPH*PHM00$AQ+AINTH*THM00$AQ+AINCH*CHM00$AQ+AINAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AINBR*BRM00$AQ+AINCE*CEM00$AQ+AINME*MEM00$AQ+AINPE*PEM00$AQ+AINTU*TUM00$A +   
AINPD*PDM00$A +AINRU*RUM00$A +AINUE*UEM00$A +AINEG*EGM00$A +AINIS*ISM00$A +   
AINKE*KEM00$A +AINBA*BAM00$A +AINHK*HKM00$A +AINSI*SIM00$A +AINVI*VIM00$A +   
AINNI*NIM00$A +AINAL*ALM00$A +AINIA*IAM00$A +               AINIQ*IQM00$A +   
AINKU*KUM00$A +AINLI*LIM00$A +AINUA*UAM00$A +AINAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT IQX00$ =                                                                
AIQUS*USM00$A +AIQCA*CAM00$A +AIQJA*JAM00$A +AIQAU*AUM00$A +AIQFR*FRM00$A +   
AIQGE*GEM00$A +AIQIT*ITM00$A +AIQNE*NEM00$A +AIQST*STM00$A +AIQUK*UKM00$A +   
AIQFI*FIM00$A +AIQAS*ASM00$A +AIQSO*SOM00$A +AIQKO*KOM00$A +AIQBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AIQDE*DEM00$AQ+AIQNO*NOM00$AQ+AIQSW*SWM00$AQ+AIQGR*GRM00$AQ+AIQIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AIQPO*POM00$AQ+AIQSP*SPM00$AQ+AIQNZ*NZM00$AQ+AIQSA*SAM00$AQ+AIQVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AIQCO*COM00$AQ+AIQJO*JOM00$AQ+AIQSY*SYM00$AQ+AIQID*IDM00$AQ+AIQMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AIQPA*PAM00$AQ+AIQPH*PHM00$AQ+AIQTH*THM00$AQ+AIQCH*CHM00$AQ+AIQAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AIQBR*BRM00$AQ+AIQCE*CEM00$AQ+AIQME*MEM00$AQ+AIQPE*PEM00$AQ+AIQTU*TUM00$A +   
AIQPD*PDM00$A +AIQRU*RUM00$A +AIQUE*UEM00$A +AIQEG*EGM00$A +AIQIS*ISM00$A +   
AIQKE*KEM00$A +AIQBA*BAM00$A +AIQHK*HKM00$A +AIQSI*SIM00$A +AIQVI*VIM00$A +   
AIQNI*NIM00$A +AIQAL*ALM00$A +AIQIA*IAM00$A +AIQIN*INM00$A +                  
AIQKU*KUM00$A +AIQLI*LIM00$A +AIQUA*UAM00$A +AIQAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT KUX00$ =                                                                
AKUUS*USM00$A +AKUCA*CAM00$A +AKUJA*JAM00$A +AKUAU*AUM00$A +AKUFR*FRM00$A +   
AKUGE*GEM00$A +AKUIT*ITM00$A +AKUNE*NEM00$A +AKUST*STM00$A +AKUUK*UKM00$A +   
AKUFI*FIM00$A +AKUAS*ASM00$A +AKUSO*SOM00$A +AKUKO*KOM00$A +AKUBE*BEM00$AQ+   
AKUDE*DEM00$AQ+AKUNO*NOM00$AQ+AKUSW*SWM00$AQ+AKUGR*GRM00$AQ+AKUIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AKUPO*POM00$AQ+AKUSP*SPM00$AQ+AKUNZ*NZM00$AQ+AKUSA*SAM00$AQ+AKUVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AKUCO*COM00$AQ+AKUJO*JOM00$AQ+AKUSY*SYM00$AQ+AKUID*IDM00$AQ+AKUMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AKUPA*PAM00$AQ+AKUPH*PHM00$AQ+AKUTH*THM00$AQ+AKUCH*CHM00$AQ+AKUAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AKUBR*BRM00$AQ+AKUCE*CEM00$AQ+AKUME*MEM00$AQ+AKUPE*PEM00$AQ+AKUTU*TUM00$A +   
AKUPD*PDM00$A +AKURU*RUM00$A +AKUUE*UEM00$A +AKUEG*EGM00$A +AKUIS*ISM00$A +   
AKUKE*KEM00$A +AKUBA*BAM00$A +AKUHK*HKM00$A +AKUSI*SIM00$A +AKUVI*VIM00$A +   
AKUNI*NIM00$A +AKUAL*ALM00$A +AKUIA*IAM00$A +AKUIN*INM00$A +AKUIQ*IQM00$A +   
               AKULI*LIM00$A +AKUUA*UAM00$A +AKUAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT LIX00$ =                                                                
ALIUS*USM00$A +ALICA*CAM00$A +ALIJA*JAM00$A +ALIAU*AUM00$A +ALIFR*FRM00$A +   
ALIGE*GEM00$A +ALIIT*ITM00$A +ALINE*NEM00$A +ALIST*STM00$A +ALIUK*UKM00$A +   
ALIFI*FIM00$A +ALIAS*ASM00$A +ALISO*SOM00$A +ALIKO*KOM00$A +ALIBE*BEM00$AQ+   
ALIDE*DEM00$AQ+ALINO*NOM00$AQ+ALISW*SWM00$AQ+ALIGR*GRM00$AQ+ALIIR*IRM00$AQ+   
ALIPO*POM00$AQ+ALISP*SPM00$AQ+ALINZ*NZM00$AQ+ALISA*SAM00$AQ+ALIVE*VEM00$AQ+   
ALICO*COM00$AQ+ALIJO*JOM00$AQ+ALISY*SYM00$AQ+ALIID*IDM00$AQ+ALIMA*MAM00$AQ+   
ALIPA*PAM00$AQ+ALIPH*PHM00$AQ+ALITH*THM00$AQ+ALICH*CHM00$AQ+ALIAR*ARM00$AQ+   
ALIBR*BRM00$AQ+ALICE*CEM00$AQ+ALIME*MEM00$AQ+ALIPE*PEM00$AQ+ALITU*TUM00$A +   
ALIPD*PDM00$A +ALIRU*RUM00$A +ALIUE*UEM00$A +ALIEG*EGM00$A +ALIIS*ISM00$A +   
ALIKE*KEM00$A +ALIBA*BAM00$A +ALIHK*HKM00$A +ALISI*SIM00$A +ALIVI*VIM00$A +   
ALINI*NIM00$A +ALIAL*ALM00$A +ALIIA*IAM00$A +ALIIN*INM00$A +ALIIQ*IQM00$A +   
ALIKU*KUM00$A +               ALIUA*UAM00$A +ALIAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT UAX00$ =                                                                
AUAUS*USM00$A +AUACA*CAM00$A +AUAJA*JAM00$A +AUAAU*AUM00$A +AUAFR*FRM00$A +   
AUAGE*GEM00$A +AUAIT*ITM00$A +AUANE*NEM00$A +AUAST*STM00$A +AUAUK*UKM00$A +   
AUAFI*FIM00$A +AUAAS*ASM00$A +AUASO*SOM00$A +AUAKO*KOM00$A +AUABE*BEM00$AQ+   
AUADE*DEM00$AQ+AUANO*NOM00$AQ+AUASW*SWM00$AQ+AUAGR*GRM00$AQ+AUAIR*IRM00$AQ+   
AUAPO*POM00$AQ+AUASP*SPM00$AQ+AUANZ*NZM00$AQ+AUASA*SAM00$AQ+AUAVE*VEM00$AQ+   
AUACO*COM00$AQ+AUAJO*JOM00$AQ+AUASY*SYM00$AQ+AUAID*IDM00$AQ+AUAMA*MAM00$AQ+   
AUAPA*PAM00$AQ+AUAPH*PHM00$AQ+AUATH*THM00$AQ+AUACH*CHM00$AQ+AUAAR*ARM00$AQ+   
AUABR*BRM00$AQ+AUACE*CEM00$AQ+AUAME*MEM00$AQ+AUAPE*PEM00$AQ+AUATU*TUM00$A +   
AUAPD*PDM00$A +AUARU*RUM00$A +AUAUE*UEM00$A +AUAEG*EGM00$A +AUAIS*ISM00$A +   
AUAKE*KEM00$A +AUABA*BAM00$A +AUAHK*HKM00$A +AUASI*SIM00$A +AUAVI*VIM00$A +   
AUANI*NIM00$A +AUAAL*ALM00$A +AUAIA*IAM00$A +AUAIN*INM00$A +AUAIQ*IQM00$A +   
AUAKU*KUM00$A +AUALI*LIM00$A +               AUAAO*AOM00$A ;                  
IDENT USPW$ =(                                                                
               CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
        CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT CAPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +               JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +        JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT JAPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +               AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +        AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT AUPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +               FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +        FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT FRPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +                  
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +        GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT GEPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
               ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +        ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT ITPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +               NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +        NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT NEPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +               STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +        STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT STPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +               UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +              
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT UKPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +                  
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
        FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT FIPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
               ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +        ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT ASPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +               SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +        SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT SOPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +               KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +        KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT KOPW$ =(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +               BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +        BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT BEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +                  
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +        DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT DEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
               NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+        NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT NOPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+               SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+        SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT SWPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+               GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+              
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT GRPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+               IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
        IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT IRPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+                  
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+        POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT POPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
               SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+        SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT SPPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+               NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+        NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT NZPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+                                                
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+                        COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT SAPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT VEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT COPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
               JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                        JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT JOPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+               SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+              
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT SYPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+               IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
        IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT IDPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+               MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+        MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT MAPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+                  
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+        PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT PAPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
               PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+        PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT PHPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+               THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+        THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT THPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+               CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+        CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT CHPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+               ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+        ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT ARPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+                  
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+        BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT BRPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
               CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+              
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT CEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+               MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
        MEX00$Q+PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT MEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+               PEPX$Q*PEX00$Q+TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+        PEX00$Q+TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT PEPW$Q=(                                                                
USPX$ *USX00$ +CAPX$ *CAX00$ +JAPX$ *JAX00$ +AUPX$ *AUX00$ +FRPX$ *FRX00$ +   
GEPX$ *GEX00$ +ITPX$ *ITX00$ +NEPX$ *NEX00$ +STPX$ *STX00$ +UKPX$ *UKX00$ +   
FIPX$ *FIX00$ +ASPX$ *ASX00$ +SOPX$ *SOX00$ +KOPX$ *KOX00$ +BEPX$Q*BEX00$Q+   
DEPX$Q*DEX00$Q+NOPX$Q*NOX00$Q+SWPX$Q*SWX00$Q+GRPX$Q*GRX00$Q+IRPX$Q*IRX00$Q+   
POPX$Q*POX00$Q+SPPX$Q*SPX00$Q+NZPX$Q*NZX00$Q+                                 
COPX$Q*COX00$Q+JOPX$Q*JOX00$Q+SYPX$Q*SYX00$Q+IDPX$Q*IDX00$Q+MAPX$Q*MAX00$Q+   
PAPX$Q*PAX00$Q+PHPX$Q*PHX00$Q+THPX$Q*THX00$Q+CHPX$Q*CHX00$Q+ARPX$Q*ARX00$Q+   
BRPX$Q*BRX00$Q+CEPX$Q*CEX00$Q+MEPX$Q*MEX00$Q+               TUPX$ *TUX00$ +   
PDPX$ *PDX00$ +RUPX$ *RUX00$ +UEPX$ *UEX00$ +EGPX$ *EGX00$ +ISPX$ *ISX00$ +   
KEPX$ *KEX00$ +BAPX$ *BAX00$ +HKPX$ *HKX00$ +SIPX$ *SIX00$ +VIPX$*VIX00$)/(   
USX00$ +CAX00$ +JAX00$ +AUX00$ +FRX00$ +GEX00$ +ITX00$ +NEX00$ +STX00$ +      
UKX00$ +FIX00$ +ASX00$ +SOX00$ +KOX00$ +BEX00$Q+DEX00$Q+NOX00$Q+SWX00$Q+      
GRX00$Q+IRX00$Q+POX00$Q+SPX00$Q+NZX00$Q+                COX00$Q+JOX00$Q+      
SYX00$Q+IDX00$Q+MAX00$Q+PAX00$Q+PHX00$Q+THX00$Q+CHX00$Q+ARX00$Q+BRX00$Q+      
CEX00$Q+MEX00$Q+        TUX00$ +PDX00$ +RUX00$ +UEX00$ +EGX00$ +ISX00$ +      
KEX00$ +BAX00$ +HKX00$ +SIX00$ +VIX00$);                                      
IDENT BEPMP=.25*D1*(BEPMPQ+BEPMPQ(1)+BEPMPQ(2)+BEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT BEX00$=D1*(BEX00$Q+BEX00$Q(1)+BEX00$Q(2)+BEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT BEPW$=.25*D1*(BEPW$Q+BEPW$Q(1)+BEPW$Q(2)+BEPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT DEPMP=.25*D1*(DEPMPQ+DEPMPQ(1)+DEPMPQ(2)+DEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT DEX00$=D1*(DEX00$Q+DEX00$Q(1)+DEX00$Q(2)+DEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT DEPW$=.25*D1*(DEPW$Q+DEPW$Q(1)+DEPW$Q(2)+DEPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT NOPMP=.25*D1*(NOPMPQ+NOPMPQ(1)+NOPMPQ(2)+NOPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT NOX00$=D1*(NOX00$Q+NOX00$Q(1)+NOX00$Q(2)+NOX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT NOPW$=.25*D1*(NOPW$Q+NOPW$Q(1)+NOPW$Q(2)+NOPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT SWPMP=.25*D1*(SWPMPQ+SWPMPQ(1)+SWPMPQ(2)+SWPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT SWX00$=D1*(SWX00$Q+SWX00$Q(1)+SWX00$Q(2)+SWX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT SWPW$=.25*D1*(SWPW$Q+SWPW$Q(1)+SWPW$Q(2)+SWPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT GRPMP=.25*D1*(GRPMPQ+GRPMPQ(1)+GRPMPQ(2)+GRPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT GRX00$=D1*(GRX00$Q+GRX00$Q(1)+GRX00$Q(2)+GRX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT GRPW$=.25*D1*(GRPW$Q+GRPW$Q(1)+GRPW$Q(2)+GRPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT IRPMP=.25*D1*(IRPMPQ+IRPMPQ(1)+IRPMPQ(2)+IRPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT IRX00$=D1*(IRX00$Q+IRX00$Q(1)+IRX00$Q(2)+IRX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT IRPW$=.25*D1*(IRPW$Q+IRPW$Q(1)+IRPW$Q(2)+IRPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT POPMP=.25*D1*(POPMPQ+POPMPQ(1)+POPMPQ(2)+POPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT POX00$=D1*(POX00$Q+POX00$Q(1)+POX00$Q(2)+POX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT POPW$=.25*D1*(POPW$Q+POPW$Q(1)+POPW$Q(2)+POPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT SPPMP=.25*D1*(SPPMPQ+SPPMPQ(1)+SPPMPQ(2)+SPPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT SPX00$=D1*(SPX00$Q+SPX00$Q(1)+SPX00$Q(2)+SPX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT SPPW$=.25*D1*(SPPW$Q+SPPW$Q(1)+SPPW$Q(2)+SPPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT NZPMP=.25*D1*(NZPMPQ+NZPMPQ(1)+NZPMPQ(2)+NZPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT NZX00$=D1*(NZX00$Q+NZX00$Q(1)+NZX00$Q(2)+NZX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT NZPW$=.25*D1*(NZPW$Q+NZPW$Q(1)+NZPW$Q(2)+NZPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT SAPMP=.25*D1*(SAPMPQ+SAPMPQ(1)+SAPMPQ(2)+SAPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT SAX00$=D1*(SAX00$Q+SAX00$Q(1)+SAX00$Q(2)+SAX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT SAPW$=.25*D1*(SAPW$Q+SAPW$Q(1)+SAPW$Q(2)+SAPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT VEPMP=.25*D1*(VEPMPQ+VEPMPQ(1)+VEPMPQ(2)+VEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT VEX00$=D1*(VEX00$Q+VEX00$Q(1)+VEX00$Q(2)+VEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT VEPW$=.25*D1*(VEPW$Q+VEPW$Q(1)+VEPW$Q(2)+VEPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT COPMP=.25*D1*(COPMPQ+COPMPQ(1)+COPMPQ(2)+COPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT COX00$=D1*(COX00$Q+COX00$Q(1)+COX00$Q(2)+COX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT COPW$=.25*D1*(COPW$Q+COPW$Q(1)+COPW$Q(2)+COPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT JOPMP=.25*D1*(JOPMPQ+JOPMPQ(1)+JOPMPQ(2)+JOPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT JOX00$=D1*(JOX00$Q+JOX00$Q(1)+JOX00$Q(2)+JOX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT JOPW$=.25*D1*(JOPW$Q+JOPW$Q(1)+JOPW$Q(2)+JOPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT SYPMP=.25*D1*(SYPMPQ+SYPMPQ(1)+SYPMPQ(2)+SYPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT SYX00$=D1*(SYX00$Q+SYX00$Q(1)+SYX00$Q(2)+SYX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT SYPW$=.25*D1*(SYPW$Q+SYPW$Q(1)+SYPW$Q(2)+SYPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT IDPMP=.25*D1*(IDPMPQ+IDPMPQ(1)+IDPMPQ(2)+IDPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT IDX00$=D1*(IDX00$Q+IDX00$Q(1)+IDX00$Q(2)+IDX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT IDPW$=.25*D1*(IDPW$Q+IDPW$Q(1)+IDPW$Q(2)+IDPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT MAPMP=.25*D1*(MAPMPQ+MAPMPQ(1)+MAPMPQ(2)+MAPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT MAX00$=D1*(MAX00$Q+MAX00$Q(1)+MAX00$Q(2)+MAX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT MAPW$=.25*D1*(MAPW$Q+MAPW$Q(1)+MAPW$Q(2)+MAPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT PAPMP=.25*D1*(PAPMPQ+PAPMPQ(1)+PAPMPQ(2)+PAPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT PAX00$=D1*(PAX00$Q+PAX00$Q(1)+PAX00$Q(2)+PAX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT PAPW$=.25*D1*(PAPW$Q+PAPW$Q(1)+PAPW$Q(2)+PAPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT PHPMP=.25*D1*(PHPMPQ+PHPMPQ(1)+PHPMPQ(2)+PHPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT PHX00$=D1*(PHX00$Q+PHX00$Q(1)+PHX00$Q(2)+PHX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT PHPW$=.25*D1*(PHPW$Q+PHPW$Q(1)+PHPW$Q(2)+PHPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT THPMP=.25*D1*(THPMPQ+THPMPQ(1)+THPMPQ(2)+THPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT THX00$=D1*(THX00$Q+THX00$Q(1)+THX00$Q(2)+THX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT THPW$=.25*D1*(THPW$Q+THPW$Q(1)+THPW$Q(2)+THPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT CHPMP=.25*D1*(CHPMPQ+CHPMPQ(1)+CHPMPQ(2)+CHPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT CHX00$=D1*(CHX00$Q+CHX00$Q(1)+CHX00$Q(2)+CHX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT CHPW$=.25*D1*(CHPW$Q+CHPW$Q(1)+CHPW$Q(2)+CHPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT ARPMP=.25*D1*(ARPMPQ+ARPMPQ(1)+ARPMPQ(2)+ARPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT ARX00$=D1*(ARX00$Q+ARX00$Q(1)+ARX00$Q(2)+ARX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT ARPW$=.25*D1*(ARPW$Q+ARPW$Q(1)+ARPW$Q(2)+ARPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT BRPMP=.25*D1*(BRPMPQ+BRPMPQ(1)+BRPMPQ(2)+BRPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT BRX00$=D1*(BRX00$Q+BRX00$Q(1)+BRX00$Q(2)+BRX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT BRPW$=.25*D1*(BRPW$Q+BRPW$Q(1)+BRPW$Q(2)+BRPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT CEPMP=.25*D1*(CEPMPQ+CEPMPQ(1)+CEPMPQ(2)+CEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT CEX00$=D1*(CEX00$Q+CEX00$Q(1)+CEX00$Q(2)+CEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT CEPW$=.25*D1*(CEPW$Q+CEPW$Q(1)+CEPW$Q(2)+CEPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT MEPMP=.25*D1*(MEPMPQ+MEPMPQ(1)+MEPMPQ(2)+MEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT MEX00$=D1*(MEX00$Q+MEX00$Q(1)+MEX00$Q(2)+MEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT MEPW$=.25*D1*(MEPW$Q+MEPW$Q(1)+MEPW$Q(2)+MEPW$Q(3));                    
IDENT PEPMP=.25*D1*(PEPMPQ+PEPMPQ(1)+PEPMPQ(2)+PEPMPQ(3));                    
IDENT PEX00$=D1*(PEX00$Q+PEX00$Q(1)+PEX00$Q(2)+PEX00$Q(3));                   
IDENT PEPW$=.25*D1*(PEPW$Q+PEPW$Q(1)+PEPW$Q(2)+PEPW$Q(3));                    
@                                                                             
@ End of PMP, X00$, and PW$                                                   
@                                                                             
RETURN;                                                                       
Control returned to previous input data set.
@                                                                             
@ Begin XX00$ij                                                               
@                                                                             
INPUT FILE=MCXX95.INP;                                                        
Control passed to data set MCXX95.INP      
@                                                                             
@ The following generate the XX00$ij variables.                               
@                                                                             
GENR XUSUS=0;                                                                 
GENR XCAUS=ACAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAUS=AJAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUUS=AAUUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRUS=AFRUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEUS=AGEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITUS=AITUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEUS=ANEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTUS=ASTUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKUS=AUKUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIUS=AFIUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASUS=AASUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOUS=ASOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOUS=AKOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEUS=ABEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEUS=ADEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOUS=ANOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWUS=ASWUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRUS=AGRUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRUS=AIRUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOUS=APOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPUS=ASPUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZUS=ANZUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAUS=ASAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEUS=AVEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOUS=ACOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOUS=AJOUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYUS=ASYUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDUS=AIDUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAUS=AMAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAUS=APAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHUS=APHUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHUS=ATHUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHUS=ACHUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARUS=AARUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRUS=ABRUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEUS=ACEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEUS=AMEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEUS=APEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUUS=ATUUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDUS=APDUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUUS=ARUUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEUS=AUEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGUS=AEGUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISUS=AISUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEUS=AKEUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAUS=ABAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKUS=AHKUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIUS=ASIUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIUS=AVIUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIUS=ANIUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALUS=AALUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAUS=AIAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINUS=AINUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQUS=AIQUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUUS=AKUUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIUS=ALIUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAUS=AUAUS*USM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOUS=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSCA=AUSCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCACA=0;                                                                 
GENR XJACA=AJACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUCA=AAUCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRCA=AFRCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGECA=AGECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITCA=AITCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNECA=ANECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTCA=ASTCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKCA=AUKCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFICA=AFICA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASCA=AASCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOCA=ASOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOCA=AKOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBECA=ABECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDECA=ADECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOCA=ANOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWCA=ASWCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRCA=AGRCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRCA=AIRCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOCA=APOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPCA=ASPCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZCA=ANZCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSACA=ASACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVECA=AVECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOCA=ACOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOCA=AJOCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYCA=ASYCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDCA=AIDCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMACA=AMACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPACA=APACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHCA=APHCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHCA=ATHCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHCA=ACHCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARCA=AARCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRCA=ABRCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCECA=ACECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMECA=AMECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPECA=APECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUCA=ATUCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDCA=APDCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUCA=ARUCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUECA=AUECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGCA=AEGCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISCA=AISCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKECA=AKECA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBACA=ABACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKCA=AHKCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSICA=ASICA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVICA=AVICA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNICA=ANICA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALCA=AALCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIACA=AIACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINCA=AINCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQCA=AIQCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUCA=AKUCA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLICA=ALICA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUACA=AUACA*CAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOCA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSJA=AUSJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAJA=ACAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAJA=0;                                                                 
GENR XAUJA=AAUJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRJA=AFRJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEJA=AGEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITJA=AITJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEJA=ANEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTJA=ASTJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKJA=AUKJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIJA=AFIJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASJA=AASJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOJA=ASOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOJA=AKOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEJA=ABEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEJA=ADEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOJA=ANOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWJA=ASWJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRJA=AGRJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRJA=AIRJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOJA=APOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPJA=ASPJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZJA=ANZJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAJA=ASAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEJA=AVEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOJA=ACOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOJA=AJOJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYJA=ASYJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDJA=AIDJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAJA=AMAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAJA=APAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHJA=APHJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHJA=ATHJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHJA=ACHJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARJA=AARJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRJA=ABRJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEJA=ACEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEJA=AMEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEJA=APEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUJA=ATUJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDJA=APDJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUJA=ARUJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEJA=AUEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGJA=AEGJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISJA=AISJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEJA=AKEJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAJA=ABAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKJA=AHKJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIJA=ASIJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIJA=AVIJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIJA=ANIJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALJA=AALJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAJA=AIAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINJA=AINJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQJA=AIQJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUJA=AKUJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIJA=ALIJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAJA=AUAJA*JAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOJA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSAU=AUSAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAAU=ACAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAAU=AJAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUAU=0;                                                                 
GENR XFRAU=AFRAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEAU=AGEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITAU=AITAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEAU=ANEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTAU=ASTAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKAU=AUKAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIAU=AFIAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASAU=AASAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOAU=ASOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOAU=AKOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEAU=ABEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEAU=ADEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOAU=ANOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWAU=ASWAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRAU=AGRAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRAU=AIRAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOAU=APOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPAU=ASPAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZAU=ANZAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAAU=ASAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEAU=AVEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOAU=ACOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOAU=AJOAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYAU=ASYAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDAU=AIDAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAAU=AMAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAAU=APAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHAU=APHAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHAU=ATHAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHAU=ACHAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARAU=AARAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRAU=ABRAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEAU=ACEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEAU=AMEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEAU=APEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUAU=ATUAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDAU=APDAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUAU=ARUAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEAU=AUEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGAU=AEGAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISAU=AISAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEAU=AKEAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAAU=ABAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKAU=AHKAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIAU=ASIAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIAU=AVIAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIAU=ANIAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALAU=AALAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAAU=AIAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINAU=AINAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQAU=AIQAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUAU=AKUAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIAU=ALIAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAAU=AUAAU*AUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOAU=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSFR=AUSFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAFR=ACAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAFR=AJAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUFR=AAUFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRFR=0;                                                                 
GENR XGEFR=AGEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITFR=AITFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEFR=ANEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTFR=ASTFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKFR=AUKFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIFR=AFIFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASFR=AASFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOFR=ASOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOFR=AKOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEFR=ABEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEFR=ADEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOFR=ANOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWFR=ASWFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRFR=AGRFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRFR=AIRFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOFR=APOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPFR=ASPFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZFR=ANZFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAFR=ASAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEFR=AVEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOFR=ACOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOFR=AJOFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYFR=ASYFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDFR=AIDFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAFR=AMAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAFR=APAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHFR=APHFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHFR=ATHFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHFR=ACHFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARFR=AARFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRFR=ABRFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEFR=ACEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEFR=AMEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEFR=APEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUFR=ATUFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDFR=APDFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUFR=ARUFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEFR=AUEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGFR=AEGFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISFR=AISFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEFR=AKEFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAFR=ABAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKFR=AHKFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIFR=ASIFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIFR=AVIFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIFR=ANIFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALFR=AALFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAFR=AIAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINFR=AINFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQFR=AIQFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUFR=AKUFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIFR=ALIFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAFR=AUAFR*FRM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOFR=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSGE=AUSGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAGE=ACAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAGE=AJAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUGE=AAUGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRGE=AFRGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEGE=0;                                                                 
GENR XITGE=AITGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEGE=ANEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTGE=ASTGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKGE=AUKGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIGE=AFIGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASGE=AASGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOGE=ASOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOGE=AKOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEGE=ABEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEGE=ADEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOGE=ANOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWGE=ASWGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRGE=AGRGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRGE=AIRGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOGE=APOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPGE=ASPGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZGE=ANZGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAGE=ASAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEGE=AVEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOGE=ACOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOGE=AJOGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYGE=ASYGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDGE=AIDGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAGE=AMAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAGE=APAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHGE=APHGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHGE=ATHGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHGE=ACHGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARGE=AARGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRGE=ABRGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEGE=ACEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEGE=AMEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEGE=APEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUGE=ATUGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDGE=APDGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUGE=ARUGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEGE=AUEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGGE=AEGGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISGE=AISGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEGE=AKEGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAGE=ABAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKGE=AHKGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIGE=ASIGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIGE=AVIGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIGE=ANIGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALGE=AALGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAGE=AIAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINGE=AINGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQGE=AIQGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUGE=AKUGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIGE=ALIGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAGE=AUAGE*GEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOGE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIT=AUSIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAIT=ACAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAIT=AJAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUIT=AAUIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRIT=AFRIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEIT=AGEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITIT=0;                                                                 
GENR XNEIT=ANEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTIT=ASTIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKIT=AUKIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIIT=AFIIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASIT=AASIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOIT=ASOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOIT=AKOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEIT=ABEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEIT=ADEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOIT=ANOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWIT=ASWIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRIT=AGRIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRIT=AIRIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOIT=APOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPIT=ASPIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZIT=ANZIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAIT=ASAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEIT=AVEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOIT=ACOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOIT=AJOIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYIT=ASYIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDIT=AIDIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAIT=AMAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAIT=APAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHIT=APHIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHIT=ATHIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHIT=ACHIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARIT=AARIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRIT=ABRIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEIT=ACEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEIT=AMEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEIT=APEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUIT=ATUIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDIT=APDIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUIT=ARUIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEIT=AUEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGIT=AEGIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISIT=AISIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEIT=AKEIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAIT=ABAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKIT=AHKIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIIT=ASIIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIIT=AVIIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIIT=ANIIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALIT=AALIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAIT=AIAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINIT=AINIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQIT=AIQIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUIT=AKUIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIIT=ALIIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAIT=AUAIT*ITM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOIT=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSNE=AUSNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCANE=ACANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJANE=AJANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUNE=AAUNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRNE=AFRNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGENE=AGENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITNE=AITNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNENE=0;                                                                 
GENR XSTNE=ASTNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKNE=AUKNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFINE=AFINE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASNE=AASNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSONE=ASONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKONE=AKONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBENE=ABENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDENE=ADENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNONE=ANONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWNE=ASWNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRNE=AGRNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRNE=AIRNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPONE=APONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPNE=ASPNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZNE=ANZNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSANE=ASANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVENE=AVENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCONE=ACONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJONE=AJONE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYNE=ASYNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDNE=AIDNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMANE=AMANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPANE=APANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHNE=APHNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHNE=ATHNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHNE=ACHNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARNE=AARNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRNE=ABRNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCENE=ACENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMENE=AMENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPENE=APENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUNE=ATUNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDNE=APDNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUNE=ARUNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUENE=AUENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGNE=AEGNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISNE=AISNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKENE=AKENE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBANE=ABANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKNE=AHKNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSINE=ASINE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVINE=AVINE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNINE=ANINE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALNE=AALNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIANE=AIANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINNE=AINNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQNE=AIQNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUNE=AKUNE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLINE=ALINE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUANE=AUANE*NEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAONE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSST=AUSST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAST=ACAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAST=AJAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUST=AAUST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRST=AFRST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEST=AGEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITST=AITST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEST=ANEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTST=0;                                                                 
GENR XUKST=AUKST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIST=AFIST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASST=AASST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOST=ASOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOST=AKOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEST=ABEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEST=ADEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOST=ANOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWST=ASWST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRST=AGRST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRST=AIRST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOST=APOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPST=ASPST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZST=ANZST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAST=ASAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEST=AVEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOST=ACOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOST=AJOST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYST=ASYST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDST=AIDST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAST=AMAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAST=APAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHST=APHST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHST=ATHST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHST=ACHST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARST=AARST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRST=ABRST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEST=ACEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEST=AMEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEST=APEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUST=ATUST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDST=APDST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUST=ARUST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEST=AUEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGST=AEGST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISST=AISST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEST=AKEST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAST=ABAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKST=AHKST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIST=ASIST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIST=AVIST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIST=ANIST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALST=AALST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAST=AIAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINST=AINST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQST=AIQST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUST=AKUST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIST=ALIST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAST=AUAST*STM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOST=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSUK=AUSUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAUK=ACAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAUK=AJAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUUK=AAUUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRUK=AFRUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEUK=AGEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITUK=AITUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEUK=ANEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTUK=ASTUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKUK=0;                                                                 
GENR XFIUK=AFIUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASUK=AASUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOUK=ASOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOUK=AKOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEUK=ABEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEUK=ADEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOUK=ANOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWUK=ASWUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRUK=AGRUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRUK=AIRUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOUK=APOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPUK=ASPUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZUK=ANZUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAUK=ASAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEUK=AVEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOUK=ACOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOUK=AJOUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYUK=ASYUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDUK=AIDUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAUK=AMAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAUK=APAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHUK=APHUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHUK=ATHUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHUK=ACHUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARUK=AARUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRUK=ABRUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEUK=ACEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEUK=AMEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEUK=APEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUUK=ATUUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDUK=APDUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUUK=ARUUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEUK=AUEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGUK=AEGUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISUK=AISUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEUK=AKEUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAUK=ABAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKUK=AHKUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIUK=ASIUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIUK=AVIUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIUK=ANIUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALUK=AALUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAUK=AIAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINUK=AINUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQUK=AIQUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUUK=AKUUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIUK=ALIUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAUK=AUAUK*UKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOUK=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSFI=AUSFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAFI=ACAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAFI=AJAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUFI=AAUFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRFI=AFRFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEFI=AGEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITFI=AITFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEFI=ANEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTFI=ASTFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKFI=AUKFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIFI=0;                                                                 
GENR XASFI=AASFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOFI=ASOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOFI=AKOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEFI=ABEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEFI=ADEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOFI=ANOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWFI=ASWFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRFI=AGRFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRFI=AIRFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOFI=APOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPFI=ASPFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZFI=ANZFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAFI=ASAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEFI=AVEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOFI=ACOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOFI=AJOFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYFI=ASYFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDFI=AIDFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAFI=AMAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAFI=APAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHFI=APHFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHFI=ATHFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHFI=ACHFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARFI=AARFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRFI=ABRFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEFI=ACEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEFI=AMEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEFI=APEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUFI=ATUFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDFI=APDFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUFI=ARUFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEFI=AUEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGFI=AEGFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISFI=AISFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEFI=AKEFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAFI=ABAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKFI=AHKFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIFI=ASIFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIFI=AVIFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIFI=ANIFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALFI=AALFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAFI=AIAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINFI=AINFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQFI=AIQFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUFI=AKUFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIFI=ALIFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAFI=AUAFI*FIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOFI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSAS=AUSAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAAS=ACAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAAS=AJAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUAS=AAUAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRAS=AFRAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEAS=AGEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITAS=AITAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEAS=ANEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTAS=ASTAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKAS=AUKAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIAS=AFIAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASAS=0;                                                                 
GENR XSOAS=ASOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOAS=AKOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEAS=ABEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEAS=ADEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOAS=ANOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWAS=ASWAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRAS=AGRAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRAS=AIRAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOAS=APOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPAS=ASPAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZAS=ANZAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAAS=ASAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEAS=AVEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOAS=ACOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOAS=AJOAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYAS=ASYAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDAS=AIDAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAAS=AMAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAAS=APAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHAS=APHAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHAS=ATHAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHAS=ACHAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARAS=AARAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRAS=ABRAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEAS=ACEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEAS=AMEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEAS=APEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUAS=ATUAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDAS=APDAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUAS=ARUAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEAS=AUEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGAS=AEGAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISAS=AISAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEAS=AKEAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAAS=ABAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKAS=AHKAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIAS=ASIAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIAS=AVIAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIAS=ANIAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALAS=AALAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAAS=AIAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINAS=AINAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQAS=AIQAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUAS=AKUAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIAS=ALIAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAAS=AUAAS*ASM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOAS=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSO=AUSSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCASO=ACASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJASO=AJASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUSO=AAUSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRSO=AFRSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGESO=AGESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITSO=AITSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNESO=ANESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTSO=ASTSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKSO=AUKSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFISO=AFISO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASSO=AASSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOSO=0;                                                                 
GENR XKOSO=AKOSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBESO=ABESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDESO=ADESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOSO=ANOSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWSO=ASWSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRSO=AGRSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRSO=AIRSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOSO=APOSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPSO=ASPSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZSO=ANZSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSASO=ASASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVESO=AVESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOSO=ACOSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOSO=AJOSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYSO=ASYSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDSO=AIDSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMASO=AMASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPASO=APASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHSO=APHSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHSO=ATHSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHSO=ACHSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARSO=AARSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRSO=ABRSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCESO=ACESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMESO=AMESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPESO=APESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUSO=ATUSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDSO=APDSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUSO=ARUSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUESO=AUESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGSO=AEGSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISSO=AISSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKESO=AKESO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBASO=ABASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKSO=AHKSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSISO=ASISO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVISO=AVISO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNISO=ANISO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALSO=AALSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIASO=AIASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINSO=AINSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQSO=AIQSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUSO=AKUSO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLISO=ALISO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUASO=AUASO*SOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOSO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSKO=AUSKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAKO=ACAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAKO=AJAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUKO=AAUKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRKO=AFRKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEKO=AGEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITKO=AITKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEKO=ANEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTKO=ASTKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKKO=AUKKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIKO=AFIKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASKO=AASKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOKO=ASOKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOKO=0;                                                                 
GENR XBEKO=ABEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEKO=ADEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOKO=ANOKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWKO=ASWKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRKO=AGRKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRKO=AIRKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOKO=APOKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPKO=ASPKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZKO=ANZKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAKO=ASAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEKO=AVEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOKO=ACOKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOKO=AJOKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYKO=ASYKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDKO=AIDKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAKO=AMAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAKO=APAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHKO=APHKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHKO=ATHKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHKO=ACHKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARKO=AARKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRKO=ABRKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEKO=ACEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEKO=AMEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEKO=APEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUKO=ATUKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDKO=APDKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUKO=ARUKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEKO=AUEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGKO=AEGKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISKO=AISKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEKO=AKEKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAKO=ABAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKKO=AHKKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIKO=ASIKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIKO=AVIKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIKO=ANIKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALKO=AALKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAKO=AIAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINKO=AINKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQKO=AIQKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUKO=AKUKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIKO=ALIKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAKO=AUAKO*KOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOKO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSBE=AUSBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCABE=ACABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJABE=AJABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUBE=AAUBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRBE=AFRBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEBE=AGEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITBE=AITBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEBE=ANEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTBE=ASTBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKBE=AUKBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIBE=AFIBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASBE=AASBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOBE=ASOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOBE=AKOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEBE=0;                                                                 
GENR XDEBE=ADEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOBE=ANOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWBE=ASWBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRBE=AGRBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRBE=AIRBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOBE=APOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPBE=ASPBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZBE=ANZBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSABE=ASABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEBE=AVEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOBE=ACOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOBE=AJOBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYBE=ASYBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDBE=AIDBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMABE=AMABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPABE=APABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHBE=APHBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHBE=ATHBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHBE=ACHBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARBE=AARBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRBE=ABRBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEBE=ACEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEBE=AMEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEBE=APEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUBE=ATUBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDBE=APDBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUBE=ARUBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEBE=AUEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGBE=AEGBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISBE=AISBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEBE=AKEBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBABE=ABABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKBE=AHKBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIBE=ASIBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIBE=AVIBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIBE=ANIBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALBE=AALBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIABE=AIABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINBE=AINBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQBE=AIQBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUBE=AKUBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIBE=ALIBE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUABE=AUABE*BEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOBE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSDE=AUSDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCADE=ACADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJADE=AJADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUDE=AAUDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRDE=AFRDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEDE=AGEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITDE=AITDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEDE=ANEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTDE=ASTDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKDE=AUKDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIDE=AFIDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASDE=AASDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSODE=ASODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKODE=AKODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEDE=ABEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEDE=0;                                                                 
GENR XNODE=ANODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWDE=ASWDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRDE=AGRDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRDE=AIRDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPODE=APODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPDE=ASPDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZDE=ANZDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSADE=ASADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEDE=AVEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCODE=ACODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJODE=AJODE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYDE=ASYDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDDE=AIDDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMADE=AMADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPADE=APADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHDE=APHDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHDE=ATHDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHDE=ACHDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARDE=AARDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRDE=ABRDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEDE=ACEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEDE=AMEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEDE=APEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUDE=ATUDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDDE=APDDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUDE=ARUDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEDE=AUEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGDE=AEGDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISDE=AISDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEDE=AKEDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBADE=ABADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKDE=AHKDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIDE=ASIDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIDE=AVIDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIDE=ANIDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALDE=AALDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIADE=AIADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINDE=AINDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQDE=AIQDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUDE=AKUDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIDE=ALIDE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUADE=AUADE*DEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAODE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSNO=AUSNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCANO=ACANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJANO=AJANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUNO=AAUNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRNO=AFRNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGENO=AGENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITNO=AITNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNENO=ANENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTNO=ASTNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKNO=AUKNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFINO=AFINO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASNO=AASNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSONO=ASONO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKONO=AKONO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBENO=ABENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDENO=ADENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNONO=0;                                                                 
GENR XSWNO=ASWNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRNO=AGRNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRNO=AIRNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPONO=APONO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPNO=ASPNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZNO=ANZNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSANO=ASANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVENO=AVENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCONO=ACONO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJONO=AJONO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYNO=ASYNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDNO=AIDNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMANO=AMANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPANO=APANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHNO=APHNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHNO=ATHNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHNO=ACHNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARNO=AARNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRNO=ABRNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCENO=ACENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMENO=AMENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPENO=APENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUNO=ATUNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDNO=APDNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUNO=ARUNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUENO=AUENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGNO=AEGNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISNO=AISNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKENO=AKENO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBANO=ABANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKNO=AHKNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSINO=ASINO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVINO=AVINO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNINO=ANINO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALNO=AALNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIANO=AIANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINNO=AINNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQNO=AIQNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUNO=AKUNO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLINO=ALINO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUANO=AUANO*NOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAONO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSW=AUSSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCASW=ACASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJASW=AJASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUSW=AAUSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRSW=AFRSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGESW=AGESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITSW=AITSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNESW=ANESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTSW=ASTSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKSW=AUKSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFISW=AFISW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASSW=AASSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOSW=ASOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOSW=AKOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBESW=ABESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDESW=ADESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOSW=ANOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWSW=0;                                                                 
GENR XGRSW=AGRSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRSW=AIRSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOSW=APOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPSW=ASPSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZSW=ANZSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSASW=ASASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVESW=AVESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOSW=ACOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOSW=AJOSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYSW=ASYSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDSW=AIDSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMASW=AMASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPASW=APASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHSW=APHSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHSW=ATHSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHSW=ACHSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARSW=AARSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRSW=ABRSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCESW=ACESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMESW=AMESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPESW=APESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUSW=ATUSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDSW=APDSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUSW=ARUSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUESW=AUESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGSW=AEGSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISSW=AISSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKESW=AKESW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBASW=ABASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKSW=AHKSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSISW=ASISW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVISW=AVISW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNISW=ANISW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALSW=AALSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIASW=AIASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINSW=AINSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQSW=AIQSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUSW=AKUSW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLISW=ALISW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUASW=AUASW*SWM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOSW=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSGR=AUSGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAGR=ACAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAGR=AJAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUGR=AAUGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRGR=AFRGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEGR=AGEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITGR=AITGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEGR=ANEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTGR=ASTGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKGR=AUKGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIGR=AFIGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASGR=AASGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOGR=ASOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOGR=AKOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEGR=ABEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEGR=ADEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOGR=ANOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWGR=ASWGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRGR=0;                                                                 
GENR XIRGR=AIRGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOGR=APOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPGR=ASPGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZGR=ANZGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAGR=ASAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEGR=AVEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOGR=ACOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOGR=AJOGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYGR=ASYGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDGR=AIDGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAGR=AMAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAGR=APAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHGR=APHGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHGR=ATHGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHGR=ACHGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARGR=AARGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRGR=ABRGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEGR=ACEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEGR=AMEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEGR=APEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUGR=ATUGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDGR=APDGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUGR=ARUGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEGR=AUEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGGR=AEGGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISGR=AISGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEGR=AKEGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAGR=ABAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKGR=AHKGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIGR=ASIGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIGR=AVIGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIGR=ANIGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALGR=AALGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAGR=AIAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINGR=AINGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQGR=AIQGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUGR=AKUGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIGR=ALIGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAGR=AUAGR*GRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOGR=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIR=AUSIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAIR=ACAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAIR=AJAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUIR=AAUIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRIR=AFRIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEIR=AGEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITIR=AITIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEIR=ANEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTIR=ASTIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKIR=AUKIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIIR=AFIIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASIR=AASIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOIR=ASOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOIR=AKOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEIR=ABEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEIR=ADEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOIR=ANOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWIR=ASWIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRIR=AGRIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRIR=0;                                                                 
GENR XPOIR=APOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPIR=ASPIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZIR=ANZIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAIR=ASAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEIR=AVEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOIR=ACOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOIR=AJOIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYIR=ASYIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDIR=AIDIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAIR=AMAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAIR=APAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHIR=APHIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHIR=ATHIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHIR=ACHIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARIR=AARIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRIR=ABRIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEIR=ACEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEIR=AMEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEIR=APEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUIR=ATUIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDIR=APDIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUIR=ARUIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEIR=AUEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGIR=AEGIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISIR=AISIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEIR=AKEIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAIR=ABAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKIR=AHKIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIIR=ASIIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIIR=AVIIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIIR=ANIIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALIR=AALIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAIR=AIAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINIR=AINIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQIR=AIQIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUIR=AKUIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIIR=ALIIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAIR=AUAIR*IRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOIR=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSPO=AUSPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAPO=ACAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAPO=AJAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUPO=AAUPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRPO=AFRPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEPO=AGEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITPO=AITPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEPO=ANEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTPO=ASTPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKPO=AUKPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIPO=AFIPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASPO=AASPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOPO=ASOPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOPO=AKOPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEPO=ABEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEPO=ADEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOPO=ANOPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWPO=ASWPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRPO=AGRPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRPO=AIRPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOPO=0;                                                                 
GENR XSPPO=ASPPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZPO=ANZPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAPO=ASAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEPO=AVEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOPO=ACOPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOPO=AJOPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYPO=ASYPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDPO=AIDPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAPO=AMAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAPO=APAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHPO=APHPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHPO=ATHPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHPO=ACHPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARPO=AARPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRPO=ABRPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEPO=ACEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEPO=AMEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEPO=APEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUPO=ATUPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDPO=APDPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUPO=ARUPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEPO=AUEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGPO=AEGPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISPO=AISPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEPO=AKEPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAPO=ABAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKPO=AHKPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIPO=ASIPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIPO=AVIPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIPO=ANIPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALPO=AALPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAPO=AIAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINPO=AINPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQPO=AIQPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUPO=AKUPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIPO=ALIPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAPO=AUAPO*POM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOPO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSP=AUSSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCASP=ACASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJASP=AJASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUSP=AAUSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRSP=AFRSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGESP=AGESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITSP=AITSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNESP=ANESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTSP=ASTSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKSP=AUKSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFISP=AFISP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASSP=AASSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOSP=ASOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOSP=AKOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBESP=ABESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDESP=ADESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOSP=ANOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWSP=ASWSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRSP=AGRSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRSP=AIRSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOSP=APOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPSP=0;                                                                 
GENR XNZSP=ANZSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSASP=ASASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVESP=AVESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOSP=ACOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOSP=AJOSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYSP=ASYSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDSP=AIDSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMASP=AMASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPASP=APASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHSP=APHSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHSP=ATHSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHSP=ACHSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARSP=AARSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRSP=ABRSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCESP=ACESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMESP=AMESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPESP=APESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUSP=ATUSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDSP=APDSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUSP=ARUSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUESP=AUESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGSP=AEGSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISSP=AISSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKESP=AKESP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBASP=ABASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKSP=AHKSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSISP=ASISP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVISP=AVISP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNISP=ANISP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALSP=AALSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIASP=AIASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINSP=AINSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQSP=AIQSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUSP=AKUSP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLISP=ALISP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUASP=AUASP*SPM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOSP=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSNZ=AUSNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCANZ=ACANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJANZ=AJANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUNZ=AAUNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRNZ=AFRNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGENZ=AGENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITNZ=AITNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNENZ=ANENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTNZ=ASTNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKNZ=AUKNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFINZ=AFINZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASNZ=AASNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSONZ=ASONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKONZ=AKONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBENZ=ABENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDENZ=ADENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNONZ=ANONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWNZ=ASWNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRNZ=AGRNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRNZ=AIRNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPONZ=APONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPNZ=ASPNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZNZ=0;                                                                 
GENR XSANZ=ASANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVENZ=AVENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCONZ=ACONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJONZ=AJONZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYNZ=ASYNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDNZ=AIDNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMANZ=AMANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPANZ=APANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHNZ=APHNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHNZ=ATHNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHNZ=ACHNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARNZ=AARNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRNZ=ABRNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCENZ=ACENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMENZ=AMENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPENZ=APENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUNZ=ATUNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDNZ=APDNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUNZ=ARUNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUENZ=AUENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGNZ=AEGNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISNZ=AISNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKENZ=AKENZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBANZ=ABANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKNZ=AHKNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSINZ=ASINZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVINZ=AVINZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNINZ=ANINZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALNZ=AALNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIANZ=AIANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINNZ=AINNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQNZ=AIQNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUNZ=AKUNZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLINZ=ALINZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUANZ=AUANZ*NZM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAONZ=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSA=AUSSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCASA=ACASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJASA=AJASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUSA=AAUSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRSA=AFRSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGESA=AGESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITSA=AITSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNESA=ANESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTSA=ASTSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKSA=AUKSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFISA=AFISA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASSA=AASSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOSA=ASOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOSA=AKOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBESA=ABESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDESA=ADESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOSA=ANOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWSA=ASWSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRSA=AGRSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRSA=AIRSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOSA=APOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPSA=ASPSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZSA=ANZSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSASA=0;                                                                 
GENR XVESA=AVESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOSA=ACOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOSA=AJOSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYSA=ASYSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDSA=AIDSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMASA=AMASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPASA=APASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHSA=APHSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHSA=ATHSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHSA=ACHSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARSA=AARSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRSA=ABRSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCESA=ACESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMESA=AMESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPESA=APESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUSA=ATUSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDSA=APDSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUSA=ARUSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUESA=AUESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGSA=AEGSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISSA=AISSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKESA=AKESA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBASA=ABASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKSA=AHKSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSISA=ASISA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVISA=AVISA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNISA=ANISA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALSA=AALSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIASA=AIASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINSA=AINSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQSA=AIQSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUSA=AKUSA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLISA=ALISA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUASA=AUASA*SAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOSA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSVE=AUSVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAVE=ACAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAVE=AJAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUVE=AAUVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRVE=AFRVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEVE=AGEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITVE=AITVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEVE=ANEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTVE=ASTVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKVE=AUKVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIVE=AFIVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASVE=AASVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOVE=ASOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOVE=AKOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEVE=ABEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEVE=ADEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOVE=ANOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWVE=ASWVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRVE=AGRVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRVE=AIRVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOVE=APOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPVE=ASPVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZVE=ANZVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAVE=ASAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEVE=0;                                                                 
GENR XCOVE=ACOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOVE=AJOVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYVE=ASYVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDVE=AIDVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAVE=AMAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAVE=APAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHVE=APHVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHVE=ATHVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHVE=ACHVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARVE=AARVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRVE=ABRVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEVE=ACEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEVE=AMEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEVE=APEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUVE=ATUVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDVE=APDVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUVE=ARUVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEVE=AUEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGVE=AEGVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISVE=AISVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEVE=AKEVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAVE=ABAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKVE=AHKVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIVE=ASIVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIVE=AVIVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIVE=ANIVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALVE=AALVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAVE=AIAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINVE=AINVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQVE=AIQVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUVE=AKUVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIVE=ALIVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAVE=AUAVE*VEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOVE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSCO=AUSCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCACO=ACACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJACO=AJACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUCO=AAUCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRCO=AFRCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGECO=AGECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITCO=AITCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNECO=ANECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTCO=ASTCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKCO=AUKCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFICO=AFICO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASCO=AASCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOCO=ASOCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOCO=AKOCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBECO=ABECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDECO=ADECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOCO=ANOCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWCO=ASWCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRCO=AGRCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRCO=AIRCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOCO=APOCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPCO=ASPCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZCO=ANZCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSACO=ASACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVECO=AVECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOCO=0;                                                                 
GENR XJOCO=AJOCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYCO=ASYCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDCO=AIDCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMACO=AMACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPACO=APACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHCO=APHCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHCO=ATHCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHCO=ACHCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARCO=AARCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRCO=ABRCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCECO=ACECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMECO=AMECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPECO=APECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUCO=ATUCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDCO=APDCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUCO=ARUCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUECO=AUECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGCO=AEGCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISCO=AISCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKECO=AKECO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBACO=ABACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKCO=AHKCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSICO=ASICO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVICO=AVICO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNICO=ANICO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALCO=AALCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIACO=AIACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINCO=AINCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQCO=AIQCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUCO=AKUCO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLICO=ALICO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUACO=AUACO*COM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOCO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSJO=AUSJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAJO=ACAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAJO=AJAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUJO=AAUJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRJO=AFRJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEJO=AGEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITJO=AITJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEJO=ANEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTJO=ASTJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKJO=AUKJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIJO=AFIJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASJO=AASJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOJO=ASOJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOJO=AKOJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEJO=ABEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEJO=ADEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOJO=ANOJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWJO=ASWJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRJO=AGRJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRJO=AIRJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOJO=APOJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPJO=ASPJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZJO=ANZJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAJO=ASAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEJO=AVEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOJO=ACOJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOJO=0;                                                                 
GENR XSYJO=ASYJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDJO=AIDJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAJO=AMAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAJO=APAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHJO=APHJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHJO=ATHJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHJO=ACHJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARJO=AARJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRJO=ABRJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEJO=ACEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEJO=AMEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEJO=APEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUJO=ATUJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDJO=APDJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUJO=ARUJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEJO=AUEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGJO=AEGJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISJO=AISJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEJO=AKEJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAJO=ABAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKJO=AHKJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIJO=ASIJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIJO=AVIJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIJO=ANIJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALJO=AALJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAJO=AIAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINJO=AINJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQJO=AIQJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUJO=AKUJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIJO=ALIJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAJO=AUAJO*JOM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOJO=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSY=AUSSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCASY=ACASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJASY=AJASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUSY=AAUSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRSY=AFRSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGESY=AGESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITSY=AITSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNESY=ANESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTSY=ASTSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKSY=AUKSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFISY=AFISY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASSY=AASSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOSY=ASOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOSY=AKOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBESY=ABESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDESY=ADESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOSY=ANOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWSY=ASWSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRSY=AGRSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRSY=AIRSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOSY=APOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPSY=ASPSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZSY=ANZSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSASY=ASASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVESY=AVESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOSY=ACOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOSY=AJOSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYSY=0;                                                                 
GENR XIDSY=AIDSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMASY=AMASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPASY=APASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHSY=APHSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHSY=ATHSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHSY=ACHSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARSY=AARSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRSY=ABRSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCESY=ACESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMESY=AMESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPESY=APESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUSY=ATUSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDSY=APDSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUSY=ARUSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUESY=AUESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGSY=AEGSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISSY=AISSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKESY=AKESY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBASY=ABASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKSY=AHKSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSISY=ASISY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVISY=AVISY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNISY=ANISY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALSY=AALSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIASY=AIASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINSY=AINSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQSY=AIQSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUSY=AKUSY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLISY=ALISY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUASY=AUASY*SYM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOSY=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSID=AUSID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAID=ACAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAID=AJAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUID=AAUID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRID=AFRID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEID=AGEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITID=AITID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEID=ANEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTID=ASTID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKID=AUKID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIID=AFIID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASID=AASID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOID=ASOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOID=AKOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEID=ABEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEID=ADEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOID=ANOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWID=ASWID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRID=AGRID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRID=AIRID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOID=APOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPID=ASPID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZID=ANZID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAID=ASAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEID=AVEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOID=ACOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOID=AJOID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYID=ASYID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDID=0;                                                                 
GENR XMAID=AMAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAID=APAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHID=APHID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHID=ATHID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHID=ACHID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARID=AARID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRID=ABRID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEID=ACEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEID=AMEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEID=APEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUID=ATUID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDID=APDID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUID=ARUID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEID=AUEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGID=AEGID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISID=AISID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEID=AKEID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAID=ABAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKID=AHKID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIID=ASIID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIID=AVIID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIID=ANIID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALID=AALID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAID=AIAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINID=AINID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQID=AIQID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUID=AKUID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIID=ALIID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAID=AUAID*IDM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOID=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSMA=AUSMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAMA=ACAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAMA=AJAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUMA=AAUMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRMA=AFRMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEMA=AGEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITMA=AITMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEMA=ANEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTMA=ASTMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKMA=AUKMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIMA=AFIMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASMA=AASMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOMA=ASOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOMA=AKOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEMA=ABEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEMA=ADEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOMA=ANOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWMA=ASWMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRMA=AGRMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRMA=AIRMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOMA=APOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPMA=ASPMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZMA=ANZMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAMA=ASAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEMA=AVEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOMA=ACOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOMA=AJOMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYMA=ASYMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDMA=AIDMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAMA=0;                                                                 
GENR XPAMA=APAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHMA=APHMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHMA=ATHMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHMA=ACHMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARMA=AARMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRMA=ABRMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEMA=ACEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEMA=AMEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEMA=APEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUMA=ATUMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDMA=APDMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUMA=ARUMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEMA=AUEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGMA=AEGMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISMA=AISMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEMA=AKEMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAMA=ABAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKMA=AHKMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIMA=ASIMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIMA=AVIMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIMA=ANIMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALMA=AALMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAMA=AIAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINMA=AINMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQMA=AIQMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUMA=AKUMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIMA=ALIMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAMA=AUAMA*MAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOMA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSPA=AUSPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAPA=ACAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAPA=AJAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUPA=AAUPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRPA=AFRPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEPA=AGEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITPA=AITPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEPA=ANEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTPA=ASTPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKPA=AUKPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIPA=AFIPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASPA=AASPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOPA=ASOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOPA=AKOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEPA=ABEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEPA=ADEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOPA=ANOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWPA=ASWPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRPA=AGRPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRPA=AIRPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOPA=APOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPPA=ASPPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZPA=ANZPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAPA=ASAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEPA=AVEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOPA=ACOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOPA=AJOPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYPA=ASYPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDPA=AIDPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAPA=AMAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAPA=0;                                                                 
GENR XPHPA=APHPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHPA=ATHPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHPA=ACHPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARPA=AARPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRPA=ABRPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEPA=ACEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEPA=AMEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEPA=APEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUPA=ATUPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDPA=APDPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUPA=ARUPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEPA=AUEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGPA=AEGPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISPA=AISPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEPA=AKEPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAPA=ABAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKPA=AHKPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIPA=ASIPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIPA=AVIPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIPA=ANIPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALPA=AALPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAPA=AIAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINPA=AINPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQPA=AIQPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUPA=AKUPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIPA=ALIPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAPA=AUAPA*PAM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOPA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSPH=AUSPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAPH=ACAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAPH=AJAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUPH=AAUPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRPH=AFRPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEPH=AGEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITPH=AITPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEPH=ANEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTPH=ASTPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKPH=AUKPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIPH=AFIPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASPH=AASPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOPH=ASOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOPH=AKOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEPH=ABEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEPH=ADEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOPH=ANOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWPH=ASWPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRPH=AGRPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRPH=AIRPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOPH=APOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPPH=ASPPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZPH=ANZPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAPH=ASAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEPH=AVEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOPH=ACOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOPH=AJOPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYPH=ASYPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDPH=AIDPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAPH=AMAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAPH=APAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHPH=0;                                                                 
GENR XTHPH=ATHPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHPH=ACHPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARPH=AARPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRPH=ABRPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEPH=ACEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEPH=AMEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEPH=APEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUPH=ATUPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDPH=APDPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUPH=ARUPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEPH=AUEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGPH=AEGPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISPH=AISPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEPH=AKEPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAPH=ABAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKPH=AHKPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIPH=ASIPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIPH=AVIPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIPH=ANIPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALPH=AALPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAPH=AIAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINPH=AINPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQPH=AIQPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUPH=AKUPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIPH=ALIPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAPH=AUAPH*PHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOPH=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSTH=AUSTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCATH=ACATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJATH=AJATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUTH=AAUTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRTH=AFRTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGETH=AGETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITTH=AITTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNETH=ANETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTTH=ASTTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKTH=AUKTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFITH=AFITH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASTH=AASTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOTH=ASOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOTH=AKOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBETH=ABETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDETH=ADETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOTH=ANOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWTH=ASWTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRTH=AGRTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRTH=AIRTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOTH=APOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPTH=ASPTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZTH=ANZTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSATH=ASATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVETH=AVETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOTH=ACOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOTH=AJOTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYTH=ASYTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDTH=AIDTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMATH=AMATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPATH=APATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHTH=APHTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHTH=0;                                                                 
GENR XCHTH=ACHTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARTH=AARTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRTH=ABRTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCETH=ACETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMETH=AMETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPETH=APETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUTH=ATUTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDTH=APDTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUTH=ARUTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUETH=AUETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGTH=AEGTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISTH=AISTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKETH=AKETH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBATH=ABATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKTH=AHKTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSITH=ASITH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVITH=AVITH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNITH=ANITH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALTH=AALTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIATH=AIATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINTH=AINTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQTH=AIQTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUTH=AKUTH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLITH=ALITH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUATH=AUATH*THM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOTH=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSCH=AUSCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCACH=ACACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJACH=AJACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUCH=AAUCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRCH=AFRCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGECH=AGECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITCH=AITCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNECH=ANECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTCH=ASTCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKCH=AUKCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFICH=AFICH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASCH=AASCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOCH=ASOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOCH=AKOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBECH=ABECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDECH=ADECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOCH=ANOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWCH=ASWCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRCH=AGRCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRCH=AIRCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOCH=APOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPCH=ASPCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZCH=ANZCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSACH=ASACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVECH=AVECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOCH=ACOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOCH=AJOCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYCH=ASYCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDCH=AIDCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMACH=AMACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPACH=APACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHCH=APHCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHCH=ATHCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHCH=0;                                                                 
GENR XARCH=AARCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRCH=ABRCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCECH=ACECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMECH=AMECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPECH=APECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUCH=ATUCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDCH=APDCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUCH=ARUCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUECH=AUECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGCH=AEGCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISCH=AISCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKECH=AKECH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBACH=ABACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKCH=AHKCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSICH=ASICH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVICH=AVICH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNICH=ANICH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALCH=AALCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIACH=AIACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINCH=AINCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQCH=AIQCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUCH=AKUCH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLICH=ALICH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUACH=AUACH*CHM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOCH=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSAR=AUSAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAAR=ACAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAAR=AJAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUAR=AAUAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRAR=AFRAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEAR=AGEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITAR=AITAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEAR=ANEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTAR=ASTAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKAR=AUKAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIAR=AFIAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASAR=AASAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOAR=ASOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOAR=AKOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEAR=ABEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEAR=ADEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOAR=ANOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWAR=ASWAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRAR=AGRAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRAR=AIRAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOAR=APOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPAR=ASPAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZAR=ANZAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAAR=ASAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEAR=AVEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOAR=ACOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOAR=AJOAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYAR=ASYAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDAR=AIDAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAAR=AMAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAAR=APAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHAR=APHAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHAR=ATHAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHAR=ACHAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARAR=0;                                                                 
GENR XBRAR=ABRAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEAR=ACEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEAR=AMEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEAR=APEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUAR=ATUAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDAR=APDAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUAR=ARUAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEAR=AUEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGAR=AEGAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISAR=AISAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEAR=AKEAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAAR=ABAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKAR=AHKAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIAR=ASIAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIAR=AVIAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIAR=ANIAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALAR=AALAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAAR=AIAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINAR=AINAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQAR=AIQAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUAR=AKUAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIAR=ALIAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAAR=AUAAR*ARM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOAR=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSBR=AUSBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCABR=ACABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJABR=AJABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUBR=AAUBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRBR=AFRBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEBR=AGEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITBR=AITBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEBR=ANEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTBR=ASTBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKBR=AUKBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIBR=AFIBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASBR=AASBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOBR=ASOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOBR=AKOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEBR=ABEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEBR=ADEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOBR=ANOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWBR=ASWBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRBR=AGRBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRBR=AIRBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOBR=APOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPBR=ASPBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZBR=ANZBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSABR=ASABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEBR=AVEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOBR=ACOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOBR=AJOBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYBR=ASYBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDBR=AIDBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMABR=AMABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPABR=APABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHBR=APHBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHBR=ATHBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHBR=ACHBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARBR=AARBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRBR=0;                                                                 
GENR XCEBR=ACEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEBR=AMEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEBR=APEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUBR=ATUBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDBR=APDBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUBR=ARUBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEBR=AUEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGBR=AEGBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISBR=AISBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEBR=AKEBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBABR=ABABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKBR=AHKBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIBR=ASIBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIBR=AVIBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIBR=ANIBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALBR=AALBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIABR=AIABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINBR=AINBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQBR=AIQBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUBR=AKUBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIBR=ALIBR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUABR=AUABR*BRM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOBR=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSCE=AUSCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCACE=ACACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJACE=AJACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUCE=AAUCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRCE=AFRCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGECE=AGECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITCE=AITCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNECE=ANECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTCE=ASTCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKCE=AUKCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFICE=AFICE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASCE=AASCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOCE=ASOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOCE=AKOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBECE=ABECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDECE=ADECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOCE=ANOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWCE=ASWCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRCE=AGRCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRCE=AIRCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOCE=APOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPCE=ASPCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZCE=ANZCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSACE=ASACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVECE=AVECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOCE=ACOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOCE=AJOCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYCE=ASYCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDCE=AIDCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMACE=AMACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPACE=APACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHCE=APHCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHCE=ATHCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHCE=ACHCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARCE=AARCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRCE=ABRCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCECE=0;                                                                 
GENR XMECE=AMECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPECE=APECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUCE=ATUCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDCE=APDCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUCE=ARUCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUECE=AUECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGCE=AEGCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISCE=AISCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKECE=AKECE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBACE=ABACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKCE=AHKCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSICE=ASICE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVICE=AVICE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNICE=ANICE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALCE=AALCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIACE=AIACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINCE=AINCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQCE=AIQCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUCE=AKUCE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLICE=ALICE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUACE=AUACE*CEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOCE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSME=AUSME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAME=ACAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAME=AJAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUME=AAUME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRME=AFRME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEME=AGEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITME=AITME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEME=ANEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTME=ASTME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKME=AUKME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIME=AFIME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASME=AASME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOME=ASOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOME=AKOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEME=ABEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEME=ADEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOME=ANOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWME=ASWME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRME=AGRME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRME=AIRME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOME=APOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPME=ASPME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZME=ANZME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAME=ASAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEME=AVEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOME=ACOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOME=AJOME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYME=ASYME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDME=AIDME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAME=AMAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAME=APAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHME=APHME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHME=ATHME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHME=ACHME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARME=AARME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRME=ABRME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEME=ACEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEME=0;                                                                 
GENR XPEME=APEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTUME=ATUME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDME=APDME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUME=ARUME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEME=AUEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGME=AEGME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISME=AISME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEME=AKEME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAME=ABAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKME=AHKME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIME=ASIME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIME=AVIME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIME=ANIME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALME=AALME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAME=AIAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINME=AINME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQME=AIQME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUME=AKUME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIME=ALIME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAME=AUAME*MEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOME=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSPE=AUSPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCAPE=ACAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJAPE=AJAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAUPE=AAUPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFRPE=AFRPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGEPE=AGEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XITPE=AITPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNEPE=ANEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSTPE=ASTPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUKPE=AUKPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XFIPE=AFIPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XASPE=AASPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSOPE=ASOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKOPE=AKOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBEPE=ABEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XDEPE=ADEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNOPE=ANOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSWPE=ASWPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XGRPE=AGRPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIRPE=AIRPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPOPE=APOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSPPE=ASPPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNZPE=ANZPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSAPE=ASAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVEPE=AVEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCOPE=ACOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XJOPE=AJOPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSYPE=ASYPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIDPE=AIDPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMAPE=AMAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPAPE=APAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPHPE=APHPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XTHPE=ATHPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCHPE=ACHPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XARPE=AARPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBRPE=ABRPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XCEPE=ACEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XMEPE=AMEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPEPE=0;                                                                 
GENR XTUPE=ATUPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XPDPE=APDPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XRUPE=ARUPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUEPE=AUEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XEGPE=AEGPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XISPE=AISPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKEPE=AKEPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XBAPE=ABAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XHKPE=AHKPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XSIPE=ASIPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XVIPE=AVIPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XNIPE=ANIPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XALPE=AALPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIAPE=AIAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XINPE=AINPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XIQPE=AIQPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XKUPE=AKUPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XLIPE=ALIPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XUAPE=AUAPE*PEM00$AQ;                                                    
GENR XAOPE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSTU=AUSTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCATU=ACATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJATU=AJATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUTU=AAUTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRTU=AFRTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGETU=AGETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITTU=AITTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNETU=ANETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTTU=ASTTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKTU=AUKTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFITU=AFITU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASTU=AASTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOTU=ASOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOTU=AKOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBETU=ABETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDETU=ADETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOTU=ANOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWTU=ASWTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRTU=AGRTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRTU=AIRTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOTU=APOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPTU=ASPTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZTU=ANZTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSATU=ASATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVETU=AVETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOTU=ACOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOTU=AJOTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYTU=ASYTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDTU=AIDTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMATU=AMATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPATU=APATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHTU=APHTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHTU=ATHTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHTU=ACHTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARTU=AARTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRTU=ABRTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCETU=ACETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMETU=AMETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPETU=APETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUTU=0;                                                                 
GENR XPDTU=APDTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUTU=ARUTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUETU=AUETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGTU=AEGTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISTU=AISTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKETU=AKETU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBATU=ABATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKTU=AHKTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSITU=ASITU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVITU=AVITU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNITU=ANITU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALTU=AALTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIATU=AIATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINTU=AINTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQTU=AIQTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUTU=AKUTU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLITU=ALITU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUATU=AUATU*TUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOTU=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSPD=AUSPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAPD=ACAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAPD=AJAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUPD=AAUPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRPD=AFRPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEPD=AGEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITPD=AITPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEPD=ANEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTPD=ASTPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKPD=AUKPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIPD=AFIPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASPD=AASPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOPD=ASOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOPD=AKOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEPD=ABEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEPD=ADEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOPD=ANOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWPD=ASWPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRPD=AGRPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRPD=AIRPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOPD=APOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPPD=ASPPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZPD=ANZPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAPD=ASAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEPD=AVEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOPD=ACOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOPD=AJOPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYPD=ASYPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDPD=AIDPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAPD=AMAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAPD=APAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHPD=APHPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHPD=ATHPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHPD=ACHPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARPD=AARPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRPD=ABRPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEPD=ACEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEPD=AMEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEPD=APEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUPD=ATUPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDPD=0;                                                                 
GENR XRUPD=ARUPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEPD=AUEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGPD=AEGPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISPD=AISPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEPD=AKEPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAPD=ABAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKPD=AHKPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIPD=ASIPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIPD=AVIPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIPD=ANIPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALPD=AALPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAPD=AIAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINPD=AINPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQPD=AIQPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUPD=AKUPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIPD=ALIPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAPD=AUAPD*PDM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOPD=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSRU=AUSRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCARU=ACARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJARU=AJARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAURU=AAURU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRRU=AFRRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGERU=AGERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITRU=AITRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNERU=ANERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTRU=ASTRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKRU=AUKRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIRU=AFIRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASRU=AASRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSORU=ASORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKORU=AKORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBERU=ABERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDERU=ADERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNORU=ANORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWRU=ASWRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRRU=AGRRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRRU=AIRRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPORU=APORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPRU=ASPRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZRU=ANZRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSARU=ASARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVERU=AVERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCORU=ACORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJORU=AJORU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYRU=ASYRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDRU=AIDRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMARU=AMARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPARU=APARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHRU=APHRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHRU=ATHRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHRU=ACHRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARRU=AARRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRRU=ABRRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCERU=ACERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMERU=AMERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPERU=APERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTURU=ATURU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDRU=APDRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRURU=0;                                                                 
GENR XUERU=AUERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGRU=AEGRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISRU=AISRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKERU=AKERU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBARU=ABARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKRU=AHKRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIRU=ASIRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIRU=AVIRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIRU=ANIRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALRU=AALRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIARU=AIARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINRU=AINRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQRU=AIQRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKURU=AKURU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIRU=ALIRU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUARU=AUARU*RUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAORU=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSUE=AUSUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAUE=ACAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAUE=AJAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUUE=AAUUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRUE=AFRUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEUE=AGEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITUE=AITUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEUE=ANEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTUE=ASTUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKUE=AUKUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIUE=AFIUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASUE=AASUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOUE=ASOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOUE=AKOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEUE=ABEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEUE=ADEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOUE=ANOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWUE=ASWUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRUE=AGRUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRUE=AIRUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOUE=APOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPUE=ASPUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZUE=ANZUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAUE=ASAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEUE=AVEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOUE=ACOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOUE=AJOUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYUE=ASYUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDUE=AIDUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAUE=AMAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAUE=APAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHUE=APHUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHUE=ATHUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHUE=ACHUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARUE=AARUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRUE=ABRUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEUE=ACEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEUE=AMEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEUE=APEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUUE=ATUUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDUE=APDUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUUE=ARUUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEUE=0;                                                                 
GENR XEGUE=AEGUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISUE=AISUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEUE=AKEUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAUE=ABAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKUE=AHKUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIUE=ASIUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIUE=AVIUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIUE=ANIUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALUE=AALUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAUE=AIAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINUE=AINUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQUE=AIQUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUUE=AKUUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIUE=ALIUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAUE=AUAUE*UEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOUE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSEG=AUSEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAEG=ACAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAEG=AJAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUEG=AAUEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFREG=AFREG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEEG=AGEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITEG=AITEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEEG=ANEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTEG=ASTEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKEG=AUKEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIEG=AFIEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASEG=AASEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOEG=ASOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOEG=AKOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEEG=ABEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEEG=ADEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOEG=ANOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWEG=ASWEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGREG=AGREG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIREG=AIREG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOEG=APOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPEG=ASPEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZEG=ANZEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAEG=ASAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEEG=AVEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOEG=ACOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOEG=AJOEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYEG=ASYEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDEG=AIDEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAEG=AMAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAEG=APAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHEG=APHEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHEG=ATHEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHEG=ACHEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAREG=AAREG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBREG=ABREG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEEG=ACEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEEG=AMEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEEG=APEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUEG=ATUEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDEG=APDEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUEG=ARUEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEEG=AUEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGEG=0;                                                                 
GENR XISEG=AISEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEEG=AKEEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAEG=ABAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKEG=AHKEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIEG=ASIEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIEG=AVIEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIEG=ANIEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALEG=AALEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAEG=AIAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINEG=AINEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQEG=AIQEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUEG=AKUEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIEG=ALIEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAEG=AUAEG*EGM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOEG=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIS=AUSIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAIS=ACAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAIS=AJAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUIS=AAUIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRIS=AFRIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEIS=AGEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITIS=AITIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEIS=ANEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTIS=ASTIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKIS=AUKIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIIS=AFIIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASIS=AASIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOIS=ASOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOIS=AKOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEIS=ABEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEIS=ADEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOIS=ANOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWIS=ASWIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRIS=AGRIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRIS=AIRIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOIS=APOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPIS=ASPIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZIS=ANZIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAIS=ASAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEIS=AVEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOIS=ACOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOIS=AJOIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYIS=ASYIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDIS=AIDIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAIS=AMAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAIS=APAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHIS=APHIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHIS=ATHIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHIS=ACHIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARIS=AARIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRIS=ABRIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEIS=ACEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEIS=AMEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEIS=APEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUIS=ATUIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDIS=APDIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUIS=ARUIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEIS=AUEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGIS=AEGIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISIS=0;                                                                 
GENR XKEIS=AKEIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAIS=ABAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKIS=AHKIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIIS=ASIIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIIS=AVIIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIIS=ANIIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALIS=AALIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAIS=AIAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINIS=AINIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQIS=AIQIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUIS=AKUIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIIS=ALIIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAIS=AUAIS*ISM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOIS=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSKE=AUSKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAKE=ACAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAKE=AJAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUKE=AAUKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRKE=AFRKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEKE=AGEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITKE=AITKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEKE=ANEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTKE=ASTKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKKE=AUKKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIKE=AFIKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASKE=AASKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOKE=ASOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOKE=AKOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEKE=ABEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEKE=ADEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOKE=ANOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWKE=ASWKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRKE=AGRKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRKE=AIRKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOKE=APOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPKE=ASPKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZKE=ANZKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAKE=ASAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEKE=AVEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOKE=ACOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOKE=AJOKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYKE=ASYKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDKE=AIDKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAKE=AMAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAKE=APAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHKE=APHKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHKE=ATHKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHKE=ACHKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARKE=AARKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRKE=ABRKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEKE=ACEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEKE=AMEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEKE=APEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUKE=ATUKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDKE=APDKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUKE=ARUKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEKE=AUEKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGKE=AEGKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISKE=AISKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEKE=0;                                                                 
GENR XBAKE=ABAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKKE=AHKKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIKE=ASIKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIKE=AVIKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIKE=ANIKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALKE=AALKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAKE=AIAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINKE=AINKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQKE=AIQKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUKE=AKUKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIKE=ALIKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAKE=AUAKE*KEM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOKE=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSBA=AUSBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCABA=ACABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJABA=AJABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUBA=AAUBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRBA=AFRBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEBA=AGEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITBA=AITBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEBA=ANEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTBA=ASTBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKBA=AUKBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIBA=AFIBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASBA=AASBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOBA=ASOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOBA=AKOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEBA=ABEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEBA=ADEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOBA=ANOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWBA=ASWBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRBA=AGRBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRBA=AIRBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOBA=APOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPBA=ASPBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZBA=ANZBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSABA=ASABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEBA=AVEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOBA=ACOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOBA=AJOBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYBA=ASYBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDBA=AIDBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMABA=AMABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPABA=APABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHBA=APHBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHBA=ATHBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHBA=ACHBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARBA=AARBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRBA=ABRBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEBA=ACEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEBA=AMEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEBA=APEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUBA=ATUBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDBA=APDBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUBA=ARUBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEBA=AUEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGBA=AEGBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISBA=AISBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEBA=AKEBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBABA=0;                                                                 
GENR XHKBA=AHKBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIBA=ASIBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIBA=AVIBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIBA=ANIBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALBA=AALBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIABA=AIABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINBA=AINBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQBA=AIQBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUBA=AKUBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIBA=ALIBA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUABA=AUABA*BAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOBA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSHK=AUSHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAHK=ACAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAHK=AJAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUHK=AAUHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRHK=AFRHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEHK=AGEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITHK=AITHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEHK=ANEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTHK=ASTHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKHK=AUKHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIHK=AFIHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASHK=AASHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOHK=ASOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOHK=AKOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEHK=ABEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEHK=ADEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOHK=ANOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWHK=ASWHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRHK=AGRHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRHK=AIRHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOHK=APOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPHK=ASPHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZHK=ANZHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAHK=ASAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEHK=AVEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOHK=ACOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOHK=AJOHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYHK=ASYHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDHK=AIDHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAHK=AMAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAHK=APAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHHK=APHHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHHK=ATHHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHHK=ACHHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARHK=AARHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRHK=ABRHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEHK=ACEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEHK=AMEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEHK=APEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUHK=ATUHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDHK=APDHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUHK=ARUHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEHK=AUEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGHK=AEGHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISHK=AISHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEHK=AKEHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAHK=ABAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKHK=0;                                                                 
GENR XSIHK=ASIHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIHK=AVIHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIHK=ANIHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALHK=AALHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAHK=AIAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINHK=AINHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQHK=AIQHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUHK=AKUHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIHK=ALIHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAHK=AUAHK*HKM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOHK=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSSI=AUSSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCASI=ACASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJASI=AJASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUSI=AAUSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRSI=AFRSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGESI=AGESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITSI=AITSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNESI=ANESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTSI=ASTSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKSI=AUKSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFISI=AFISI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASSI=AASSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOSI=ASOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOSI=AKOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBESI=ABESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDESI=ADESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOSI=ANOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWSI=ASWSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRSI=AGRSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRSI=AIRSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOSI=APOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPSI=ASPSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZSI=ANZSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSASI=ASASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVESI=AVESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOSI=ACOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOSI=AJOSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYSI=ASYSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDSI=AIDSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMASI=AMASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPASI=APASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHSI=APHSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHSI=ATHSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHSI=ACHSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARSI=AARSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRSI=ABRSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCESI=ACESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMESI=AMESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPESI=APESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUSI=ATUSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDSI=APDSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUSI=ARUSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUESI=AUESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGSI=AEGSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISSI=AISSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKESI=AKESI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBASI=ABASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKSI=AHKSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSISI=0;                                                                 
GENR XVISI=AVISI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNISI=ANISI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALSI=AALSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIASI=AIASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINSI=AINSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQSI=AIQSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUSI=AKUSI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLISI=ALISI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUASI=AUASI*SIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOSI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSVI=AUSVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAVI=ACAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAVI=AJAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUVI=AAUVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRVI=AFRVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEVI=AGEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITVI=AITVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEVI=ANEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTVI=ASTVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKVI=AUKVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIVI=AFIVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASVI=AASVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOVI=ASOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOVI=AKOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEVI=ABEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEVI=ADEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOVI=ANOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWVI=ASWVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRVI=AGRVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRVI=AIRVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOVI=APOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPVI=ASPVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZVI=ANZVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAVI=ASAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEVI=AVEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOVI=ACOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOVI=AJOVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYVI=ASYVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDVI=AIDVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAVI=AMAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAVI=APAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHVI=APHVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHVI=ATHVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHVI=ACHVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARVI=AARVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRVI=ABRVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEVI=ACEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEVI=AMEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEVI=APEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUVI=ATUVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDVI=APDVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUVI=ARUVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEVI=AUEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGVI=AEGVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISVI=AISVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEVI=AKEVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAVI=ABAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKVI=AHKVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIVI=ASIVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIVI=0;                                                                 
GENR XNIVI=ANIVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALVI=AALVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAVI=AIAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINVI=AINVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQVI=AIQVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUVI=AKUVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIVI=ALIVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAVI=AUAVI*VIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOVI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSNI=AUSNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCANI=ACANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJANI=AJANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUNI=AAUNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRNI=AFRNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGENI=AGENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITNI=AITNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNENI=ANENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTNI=ASTNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKNI=AUKNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFINI=AFINI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASNI=AASNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSONI=ASONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKONI=AKONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBENI=ABENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDENI=ADENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNONI=ANONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWNI=ASWNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRNI=AGRNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRNI=AIRNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPONI=APONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPNI=ASPNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZNI=ANZNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSANI=ASANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVENI=AVENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCONI=ACONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJONI=AJONI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYNI=ASYNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDNI=AIDNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMANI=AMANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPANI=APANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHNI=APHNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHNI=ATHNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHNI=ACHNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARNI=AARNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRNI=ABRNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCENI=ACENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMENI=AMENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPENI=APENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUNI=ATUNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDNI=APDNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUNI=ARUNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUENI=AUENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGNI=AEGNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISNI=AISNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKENI=AKENI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBANI=ABANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKNI=AHKNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSINI=ASINI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVINI=AVINI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNINI=0;                                                                 
GENR XALNI=AALNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIANI=AIANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINNI=AINNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQNI=AIQNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUNI=AKUNI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLINI=ALINI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUANI=AUANI*NIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAONI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSAL=AUSAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAAL=ACAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAAL=AJAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUAL=AAUAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRAL=AFRAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEAL=AGEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITAL=AITAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEAL=ANEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTAL=ASTAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKAL=AUKAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIAL=AFIAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASAL=AASAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOAL=ASOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOAL=AKOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEAL=ABEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEAL=ADEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOAL=ANOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWAL=ASWAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRAL=AGRAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRAL=AIRAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOAL=APOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPAL=ASPAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZAL=ANZAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAAL=ASAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEAL=AVEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOAL=ACOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOAL=AJOAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYAL=ASYAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDAL=AIDAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAAL=AMAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAAL=APAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHAL=APHAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHAL=ATHAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHAL=ACHAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARAL=AARAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRAL=ABRAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEAL=ACEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEAL=AMEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEAL=APEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUAL=ATUAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDAL=APDAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUAL=ARUAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEAL=AUEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGAL=AEGAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISAL=AISAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEAL=AKEAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAAL=ABAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKAL=AHKAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIAL=ASIAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIAL=AVIAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIAL=ANIAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALAL=0;                                                                 
GENR XIAAL=AIAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINAL=AINAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQAL=AIQAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUAL=AKUAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIAL=ALIAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAAL=AUAAL*ALM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOAL=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIA=AUSIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAIA=ACAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAIA=AJAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUIA=AAUIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRIA=AFRIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEIA=AGEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITIA=AITIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEIA=ANEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTIA=ASTIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKIA=AUKIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIIA=AFIIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASIA=AASIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOIA=ASOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOIA=AKOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEIA=ABEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEIA=ADEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOIA=ANOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWIA=ASWIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRIA=AGRIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRIA=AIRIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOIA=APOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPIA=ASPIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZIA=ANZIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAIA=ASAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEIA=AVEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOIA=ACOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOIA=AJOIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYIA=ASYIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDIA=AIDIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAIA=AMAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAIA=APAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHIA=APHIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHIA=ATHIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHIA=ACHIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARIA=AARIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRIA=ABRIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEIA=ACEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEIA=AMEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEIA=APEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUIA=ATUIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDIA=APDIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUIA=ARUIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEIA=AUEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGIA=AEGIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISIA=AISIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEIA=AKEIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAIA=ABAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKIA=AHKIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIIA=ASIIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIIA=AVIIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIIA=ANIIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALIA=AALIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAIA=0;                                                                 
GENR XINIA=AINIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQIA=AIQIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUIA=AKUIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIIA=ALIIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAIA=AUAIA*IAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOIA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIN=AUSIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAIN=ACAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAIN=AJAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUIN=AAUIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRIN=AFRIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEIN=AGEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITIN=AITIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEIN=ANEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTIN=ASTIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKIN=AUKIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIIN=AFIIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASIN=AASIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOIN=ASOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOIN=AKOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEIN=ABEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEIN=ADEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOIN=ANOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWIN=ASWIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRIN=AGRIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRIN=AIRIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOIN=APOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPIN=ASPIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZIN=ANZIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAIN=ASAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEIN=AVEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOIN=ACOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOIN=AJOIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYIN=ASYIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDIN=AIDIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAIN=AMAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAIN=APAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHIN=APHIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHIN=ATHIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHIN=ACHIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARIN=AARIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRIN=ABRIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEIN=ACEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEIN=AMEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEIN=APEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUIN=ATUIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDIN=APDIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUIN=ARUIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEIN=AUEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGIN=AEGIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISIN=AISIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEIN=AKEIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAIN=ABAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKIN=AHKIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIIN=ASIIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIIN=AVIIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIIN=ANIIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALIN=AALIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAIN=AIAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XININ=0;                                                                 
GENR XIQIN=AIQIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUIN=AKUIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIIN=ALIIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAIN=AUAIN*INM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOIN=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSIQ=AUSIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAIQ=ACAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAIQ=AJAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUIQ=AAUIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRIQ=AFRIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEIQ=AGEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITIQ=AITIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEIQ=ANEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTIQ=ASTIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKIQ=AUKIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIIQ=AFIIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASIQ=AASIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOIQ=ASOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOIQ=AKOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEIQ=ABEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEIQ=ADEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOIQ=ANOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWIQ=ASWIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRIQ=AGRIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRIQ=AIRIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOIQ=APOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPIQ=ASPIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZIQ=ANZIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAIQ=ASAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEIQ=AVEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOIQ=ACOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOIQ=AJOIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYIQ=ASYIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDIQ=AIDIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAIQ=AMAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAIQ=APAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHIQ=APHIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHIQ=ATHIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHIQ=ACHIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARIQ=AARIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRIQ=ABRIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEIQ=ACEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEIQ=AMEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEIQ=APEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUIQ=ATUIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDIQ=APDIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUIQ=ARUIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEIQ=AUEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGIQ=AEGIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISIQ=AISIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEIQ=AKEIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAIQ=ABAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKIQ=AHKIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIIQ=ASIIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIIQ=AVIIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIIQ=ANIIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALIQ=AALIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAIQ=AIAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINIQ=AINIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQIQ=0;                                                                 
GENR XKUIQ=AKUIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIIQ=ALIIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAIQ=AUAIQ*IQM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOIQ=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSKU=AUSKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAKU=ACAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAKU=AJAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUKU=AAUKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRKU=AFRKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEKU=AGEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITKU=AITKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEKU=ANEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTKU=ASTKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKKU=AUKKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIKU=AFIKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASKU=AASKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOKU=ASOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOKU=AKOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEKU=ABEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEKU=ADEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOKU=ANOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWKU=ASWKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRKU=AGRKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRKU=AIRKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOKU=APOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPKU=ASPKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZKU=ANZKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAKU=ASAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEKU=AVEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOKU=ACOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOKU=AJOKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYKU=ASYKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDKU=AIDKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAKU=AMAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAKU=APAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHKU=APHKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHKU=ATHKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHKU=ACHKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARKU=AARKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRKU=ABRKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEKU=ACEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEKU=AMEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEKU=APEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUKU=ATUKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDKU=APDKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUKU=ARUKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEKU=AUEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGKU=AEGKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISKU=AISKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEKU=AKEKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAKU=ABAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKKU=AHKKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIKU=ASIKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIKU=AVIKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIKU=ANIKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALKU=AALKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAKU=AIAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINKU=AINKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQKU=AIQKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUKU=0;                                                                 
GENR XLIKU=ALIKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAKU=AUAKU*KUM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOKU=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSLI=AUSLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCALI=ACALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJALI=AJALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAULI=AAULI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRLI=AFRLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGELI=AGELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITLI=AITLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNELI=ANELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTLI=ASTLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKLI=AUKLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFILI=AFILI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASLI=AASLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOLI=ASOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOLI=AKOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBELI=ABELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDELI=ADELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOLI=ANOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWLI=ASWLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRLI=AGRLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRLI=AIRLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOLI=APOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPLI=ASPLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZLI=ANZLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSALI=ASALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVELI=AVELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOLI=ACOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOLI=AJOLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYLI=ASYLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDLI=AIDLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMALI=AMALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPALI=APALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHLI=APHLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHLI=ATHLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHLI=ACHLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARLI=AARLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRLI=ABRLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCELI=ACELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMELI=AMELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPELI=APELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTULI=ATULI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDLI=APDLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRULI=ARULI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUELI=AUELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGLI=AEGLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISLI=AISLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKELI=AKELI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBALI=ABALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKLI=AHKLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSILI=ASILI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVILI=AVILI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNILI=ANILI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALLI=AALLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIALI=AIALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINLI=AINLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQLI=AIQLI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKULI=AKULI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLILI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUALI=AUALI*LIM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOLI=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSUA=AUSUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAUA=ACAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAUA=AJAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUUA=AAUUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRUA=AFRUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEUA=AGEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITUA=AITUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEUA=ANEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTUA=ASTUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKUA=AUKUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIUA=AFIUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASUA=AASUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOUA=ASOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOUA=AKOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEUA=ABEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEUA=ADEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOUA=ANOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWUA=ASWUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRUA=AGRUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRUA=AIRUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOUA=APOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPUA=ASPUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZUA=ANZUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAUA=ASAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEUA=AVEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOUA=ACOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOUA=AJOUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYUA=ASYUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDUA=AIDUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAUA=AMAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAUA=APAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHUA=APHUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHUA=ATHUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHUA=ACHUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARUA=AARUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRUA=ABRUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEUA=ACEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEUA=AMEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEUA=APEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUUA=ATUUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDUA=APDUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUUA=ARUUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEUA=AUEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGUA=AEGUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISUA=AISUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEUA=AKEUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAUA=ABAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKUA=AHKUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIUA=ASIUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIUA=AVIUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIUA=ANIUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALUA=AALUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAUA=AIAUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINUA=AINUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQUA=AIQUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUUA=AKUUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIUA=ALIUA*UAM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAUA=0;                                                                 
GENR XAOUA=0;                                                                 
GENR XUSAO=AUSAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCAAO=ACAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJAAO=AJAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAUAO=AAUAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFRAO=AFRAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGEAO=AGEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XITAO=AITAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNEAO=ANEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSTAO=ASTAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUKAO=AUKAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XFIAO=AFIAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XASAO=AASAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSOAO=ASOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKOAO=AKOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBEAO=ABEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XDEAO=ADEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNOAO=ANOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSWAO=ASWAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XGRAO=AGRAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIRAO=AIRAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPOAO=APOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSPAO=ASPAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNZAO=ANZAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSAAO=ASAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVEAO=AVEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCOAO=ACOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XJOAO=AJOAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSYAO=ASYAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIDAO=AIDAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMAAO=AMAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPAAO=APAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPHAO=APHAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTHAO=ATHAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCHAO=ACHAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XARAO=AARAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBRAO=ABRAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XCEAO=ACEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XMEAO=AMEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPEAO=APEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XTUAO=ATUAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XPDAO=APDAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XRUAO=ARUAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUEAO=AUEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XEGAO=AEGAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XISAO=AISAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKEAO=AKEAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XBAAO=ABAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XHKAO=AHKAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XSIAO=ASIAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XVIAO=AVIAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XNIAO=ANIAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XALAO=AALAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIAAO=AIAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XINAO=AINAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XIQAO=AIQAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XKUAO=AKUAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XLIAO=ALIAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XUAAO=AUAAO*AOM00$A ;                                                    
GENR XAOAO=0;                                                                 
RETURN;                                                                       
Control returned to previous input data set.
@                                                                             
@ End XX00$ij                                                                 
@                                                                             
@WRITECOEF FILE=MC.COF;                                                       
@                                                                             
@PRINTMODEL;                                                                  
@SMPL 2000.1 2000.1;                                                          
@TEST IDENT;                                                                  
@TEST LHS;                                                                    
@SMPL 2014.1 2014.4;                                                          
@RMSE DYNAMIC ;                                                               
@SMPL 2005.1 2007.4;                                                          
@RMSE DYNAMIC FILEVAR=FORBIG.VAR;                                             
@QUIT;                                                                        
@                                                                             
@SMPL 2014.1 2022.4;                                                          
@RMSE DYNAMIC FILEVAR=FORBIG.VAR;                                             
@QUIT;                                                                        
@                                                                             
@ Test to compare to SP53                                                     
@                                                                             
@SMPL 2000.1 2001.4;                                                          
@RMSE DYNAMIC FILEVAR=FORBIG.VAR;                                             
@QUIT;                                                                        
@                                                                             
@ More variables for various papers                                           
@                                                                             
SMPL 1952.1 2022.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  2022.4 Internally:     1 to   284
GENR LGDPR=LOG(GDPR);                                                         
Name added to list: LGDPR           
GENR LGDPD=LOG(GDPD);                                                         
Name added to list: LGDPD           
GENR LJF=LOG(JF);                                                             
Name added to list: LJF             
GENR LE=LOG(E);                                                               
Name added to list: LE              
GENR GDPR12=GDPR+GDPR(-1)+GDPR(-2)+GDPR(-3)                                   
 +GDPR(-4)+GDPR(-5)+GDPR(-6)+GDPR(-7)                                         
 +GDPR(-8)+GDPR(-9)+GDPR(-10)+GDPR(-11)                                       
 +GDPR(-12)+GDPR(-13)+GDPR(-14)+GDPR(-15)                                     
 +GDPR(-16)+GDPR(-17)+GDPR(-18)+GDPR(-19)                                     
 +GDPR(-20)+GDPR(-21)+GDPR(-22)+GDPR(-23)                                     
 +GDPR(-24)+GDPR(-25)+GDPR(-26)+GDPR(-27)                                     
 +GDPR(-28)+GDPR(-29)+GDPR(-30)+GDPR(-31)                                     
 +GDPR(-32)+GDPR(-33)+GDPR(-34)+GDPR(-35)                                     
 +GDPR(-36)+GDPR(-37)+GDPR(-38)+GDPR(-39)                                     
 +GDPR(-40)+GDPR(-41)+GDPR(-42)+GDPR(-43)                                     
 +GDPR(-44)+GDPR(-45)+GDPR(-46)+GDPR(-47)                                     
;                                                                             
Name added to list: GDPR12          
GENR UR12=(UR+UR(-1)+UR(-2)+UR(-3)                                            
 +UR(-4)+UR(-5)+UR(-6)+UR(-7)                                                 
 +UR(-8)+UR(-9)+UR(-10)+UR(-11)                                               
 +UR(-12)+UR(-13)+UR(-14)+UR(-15)                                             
 +UR(-16)+UR(-17)+UR(-18)+UR(-19)                                             
 +UR(-20)+UR(-21)+UR(-22)+UR(-23)                                             
 +UR(-24)+UR(-25)+UR(-26)+UR(-27)                                             
 +UR(-28)+UR(-29)+UR(-30)+UR(-31)                                             
 +UR(-32)+UR(-33)+UR(-34)+UR(-35)                                             
 +UR(-36)+UR(-37)+UR(-38)+UR(-39)                                             
 +UR(-40)+UR(-41)+UR(-42)+UR(-43)                                             
 +UR(-44)+UR(-45)+UR(-46)+UR(-47)                                             
 )/48                                                                         
;                                                                             
Name added to list: UR12            
GENR JF12=(JF+JF(-1)+JF(-2)+JF(-3)                                            
 +JF(-4)+JF(-5)+JF(-6)+JF(-7)                                                 
 +JF(-8)+JF(-9)+JF(-10)+JF(-11)                                               
 +JF(-12)+JF(-13)+JF(-14)+JF(-15)                                             
 +JF(-16)+JF(-17)+JF(-18)+JF(-19)                                             
 +JF(-20)+JF(-21)+JF(-22)+JF(-23)                                             
 +JF(-24)+JF(-25)+JF(-26)+JF(-27)                                             
 +JF(-28)+JF(-29)+JF(-30)+JF(-31)                                             
 +JF(-32)+JF(-33)+JF(-34)+JF(-35)                                             
 +JF(-36)+JF(-37)+JF(-38)+JF(-39)                                             
 +JF(-40)+JF(-41)+JF(-42)+JF(-43)                                             
 +JF(-44)+JF(-45)+JF(-46)+JF(-47)                                             
 )/48                                                                         
;                                                                             
Name added to list: JF12            
@                                                                             
@ Input files for various papers                                              
@                                                                             
@INPUT FILE=MCPROG.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCSTIM.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCIDEA.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCDEBT.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCYUAN.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCPIMS.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCEURP.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCFORE.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCPOST.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCNEWE.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCMPRU.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCEURO.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCMPLE.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCFEDR.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCRMSE.INP;                                                       
@INPUT FILE=MCCRIS.INP;                                                       
INPUT FILE=MCCRI23.INP;                                                       
Control passed to data set MCCRI23.INP     
SMPL 1960.1 2013.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1960.1 to  2013.4 Internally:    33 to   248
GENR UR4=(UR+UR(-1)+UR(-2)+UR(-3))/4;                                         
Name added to list: UR4             
GENR JF4=(JF+JF(-1)+JF(-2)+JF(-3))/4;                                         
Name added to list: JF4             
GENR GDPR4=(GDPR+GDPR(-1)+GDPR(-2)+GDPR(-3));                                 
Name added to list: GDPR4           
GENR EXZYS=EX/YS;                                                             
Name added to list: EXZYS           
GENR UR3=(UR+UR(-1)+UR(-2))/3;                                                
Name added to list: UR3             
GENR JF3=(JF+JF(-1)+JF(-2))/3;                                                
Name added to list: JF3             
GENR GDPR3=(GDPR+GDPR(-1)+GDPR(-2));                                          
Name added to list: GDPR3           
@                                                                             
@ Don't print "ERROR IN RESIDT"                                               
@                                                                             
SETLA 120 1;                                                                  
LA( 120) changed from           1 TO           1
@                                                                             
@ UR IS NUMBER 128.  This is set for error checking.                          
@                                                                             
SETLA 247 128;                                                                
LA( 247) changed from           0 TO         128
@                                                                             
LOADDATA FILE=GZ.OUT;                                                         
SMPL 1973.1 2010.3;                                                           
Sample period is now  1973.1 to  2010.3 Internally:    85 to   235
LOAD IDD GZ EBP;                                                              
Name IDD      not found.
Name added to list: IDD     
Name GZ       not found.
Name added to list: GZ      
Name EBP      not found.
Name added to list: EBP     
END;                                                                          
LOADDATA FILE=MCCRIS.DD1;                                                     
SMPL 2008.1 2013.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  2008.1 to  2013.4 Internally:   225 to   248
LOAD IDD  DIFCGZ      DIFPSI14;                                               
Name DIFCGZ   not found.
Name added to list: DIFCGZ  
Name DIFPSI14 not found.
Name added to list: DIFPSI14
END;                                                                          
SMPL 1954.1 2007.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2007.4 Internally:     9 to   224
PRINTVAR STATS CGZ;                                                           
             MEAN      STD DEV       SUM2      MIN         MAX       OBS  MISS
CGZ       0.12658     0.28681     0.31290    -0.88739      1.3343      216   0
SMPL 1952.1 2013.3;                                                           
Sample period is now  1952.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     1 to   247
PLOTVAR FILEVAR=KEYBOARD;                                                     

         Plot of variable(s)
         PSI14     *

Values for PSI14   

 1952.1 0.8026     *                                                          
 1952.2 0.8231     !*                                                         
 1952.3 0.8198     !*                                                         
 1952.4 0.8328     !*                                                         
 1953.1 0.8381     !*                                                         
 1953.2 0.8490     ! *                                                        
 1953.3 0.8617     ! *                                                        
 1953.4 0.8515     ! *                                                        
 1954.1 0.8472     ! *                                                        
 1954.2 0.8479     ! *                                                        
 1954.3 0.8629     ! *                                                        
 1954.4 0.8705     !  *                                                       
 1955.1 0.8696     !  *                                                       
 1955.2 0.8777     !  *                                                       
 1955.3 0.8823     !  *                                                       
 1955.4 0.8853     !  *                                                       
 1956.1 0.8932     !   *                                                      
 1956.2 0.8971     !   *                                                      
 1956.3 0.8956     !   *                                                      
 1956.4 0.8930     !   *                                                      
 1957.1 0.8913     !  *                                                       
 1957.2 0.8953     !   *                                                      
 1957.3 0.8950     !   *                                                      
 1957.4 0.8959     !   *                                                      
 1958.1 0.8875     !  *                                                       
 1958.2 0.8959     !   *                                                      
 1958.3 0.9073     !   *                                                      
 1958.4 0.9176     !   *                                                      
 1959.1 0.9044     !   *                                                      
 1959.2 0.9102     !   *                                                      
 1959.3 0.9154     !   *                                                      
 1959.4 0.9207     !    *                                                     
 1960.1 0.9327     !    *                                                     
 1960.2 0.9261     !    *                                                     
 1960.3 0.9309     !    *                                                     
 1960.4 0.9263     !    *                                                     
 1961.1 0.9237     !    *                                                     
 1961.2 0.9335     !    *                                                     
 1961.3 0.9410     !    *                                                     
 1961.4 0.9459     !     *                                                    
 1962.1 0.9481     !     *                                                    
 1962.2 0.9449     !     *                                                    
 1962.3 0.9451     !     *                                                    
 1962.4 0.9512     !     *                                                    
 1963.1 0.9513     !     *                                                    
 1963.2 0.9450     !     *                                                    
 1963.3 0.9535     !     *                                                    
 1963.4 0.9491     !     *                                                    
 1964.1 0.9394     !    *                                                     
 1964.2 0.9459     !     *                                                    
 1964.3 0.9409     !    *                                                     
 1964.4 0.9509     !     *                                                    
 1965.1 0.9444     !    *                                                     
 1965.2 0.9390     !    *                                                     
 1965.3 0.9326     !    *                                                     
 1965.4 0.9360     !    *                                                     
 1966.1 0.9182     !   *                                                      
 1966.2 0.9434     !    *                                                     
 1966.3 0.9298     !    *                                                     
 1966.4 0.9427     !    *                                                     
 1967.1 0.9440     !    *                                                     
 1967.2 0.9461     !     *                                                    
 1967.3 0.9495     !     *                                                    
 1967.4 0.9615     !     *                                                    
 1968.1 0.9702     !     *                                                    
 1968.2 0.9770     !      *                                                   
 1968.3 0.9771     !      *                                                   
 1968.4  1.004     !       *                                                  
 1969.1  1.013     !       *                                                  
 1969.2  1.014     !       *                                                  
 1969.3  1.010     !       *                                                  
 1969.4  1.017     !       *                                                  
 1970.1  1.011     !       *                                                  
 1970.2  1.027     !        *                                                 
 1970.3  1.016     !       *                                                  
 1970.4  1.025     !        *                                                 
 1971.1  1.030     !        *                                                 
 1971.2  1.036     !        *                                                 
 1971.3  1.043     !        *                                                 
 1971.4  1.047     !        *                                                 
 1972.1  1.065     !         *                                                
 1972.2  1.067     !         *                                                
 1972.3  1.082     !          *                                               
 1972.4  1.108     !           *                                              
 1973.1  1.107     !           *                                              
 1973.2  1.112     !           *                                              
 1973.3  1.130     !            *                                             
 1973.4  1.133     !            *                                             
 1974.1  1.085     !          *                                               
 1974.2  1.046     !        *                                                 
 1974.3  1.016     !       *                                                  
 1974.4  1.016     !       *                                                  
 1975.1  1.035     !        *                                                 
 1975.2  1.056     !         *                                                
 1975.3  1.031     !        *                                                 
 1975.4  1.035     !        *                                                 
 1976.1  1.034     !        *                                                 
 1976.2  1.058     !         *                                                
 1976.3  1.055     !         *                                                
 1976.4  1.060     !         *                                                
 1977.1  1.068     !         *                                                
 1977.2  1.091     !          *                                               
 1977.3  1.102     !           *                                              
 1977.4  1.115     !           *                                              
 1978.1  1.125     !           *                                              
 1978.2  1.137     !            *                                             
 1978.3  1.144     !            *                                             
 1978.4  1.151     !             *                                            
 1979.1  1.174     !             *                                            
 1979.2  1.190     !              *                                           
 1979.3  1.189     !              *                                           
 1979.4  1.189     !              *                                           
 1980.1  1.193     !              *                                           
 1980.2  1.201     !              *                                           
 1980.3  1.213     !               *                                          
 1980.4  1.200     !              *                                           
 1981.1  1.184     !              *                                           
 1981.2  1.217     !               *                                          
 1981.3  1.222     !               *                                          
 1981.4  1.220     !               *                                          
 1982.1  1.230     !                *                                         
 1982.2  1.227     !               *                                          
 1982.3  1.216     !               *                                          
 1982.4  1.216     !               *                                          
 1983.1  1.224     !               *                                          
 1983.2  1.224     !               *                                          
 1983.3  1.216     !               *                                          
 1983.4  1.212     !               *                                          
 1984.1  1.243     !                *                                         
 1984.2  1.259     !                 *                                        
 1984.3  1.278     !                 *                                        
 1984.4  1.294     !                  *                                       
 1985.1  1.309     !                   *                                      
 1985.2  1.332     !                    *                                     
 1985.3  1.356     !                    *                                     
 1985.4  1.382     !                     *                                    
 1986.1  1.392     !                      *                                   
 1986.2  1.416     !                       *                                  
 1986.3  1.427     !                       *                                  
 1986.4  1.440     !                        *                                 
 1987.1  1.458     !                        *                                 
 1987.2  1.466     !                         *                                
 1987.3  1.470     !                         *                                
 1987.4  1.472     !                         *                                
 1988.1  1.479     !                         *                                
 1988.2  1.495     !                          *                               
 1988.3  1.500     !                          *                               
 1988.4  1.500     !                          *                               
 1989.1  1.503     !                          *                               
 1989.2  1.504     !                          *                               
 1989.3  1.526     !                           *                              
 1989.4  1.531     !                           *                              
 1990.1  1.524     !                           *                              
 1990.2  1.513     !                          *                               
 1990.3  1.499     !                          *                               
 1990.4  1.475     !                         *                                
 1991.1  1.471     !                         *                                
 1991.2  1.474     !                         *                                
 1991.3  1.464     !                         *                                
 1991.4  1.463     !                         *                                
 1992.1  1.466     !                         *                                
 1992.2  1.453     !                        *                                 
 1992.3  1.449     !                        *                                 
 1992.4  1.441     !                        *                                 
 1993.1  1.425     !                       *                                  
 1993.2  1.420     !                       *                                  
 1993.3  1.421     !                       *                                  
 1993.4  1.418     !                       *                                  
 1994.1  1.416     !                       *                                  
 1994.2  1.416     !                       *                                  
 1994.3  1.409     !                      *                                   
 1994.4  1.400     !                      *                                   
 1995.1  1.392     !                      *                                   
 1995.2  1.385     !                      *                                   
 1995.3  1.385     !                      *                                   
 1995.4  1.385     !                      *                                   
 1996.1  1.385     !                      *                                   
 1996.2  1.381     !                     *                                    
 1996.3  1.379     !                     *                                    
 1996.4  1.377     !                     *                                    
 1997.1  1.386     !                      *                                   
 1997.2  1.395     !                      *                                   
 1997.3  1.397     !                      *                                   
 1997.4  1.411     !                       *                                  
 1998.1  1.435     !                       *                                  
 1998.2  1.449     !                        *                                 
 1998.3  1.468     !                         *                                
 1998.4  1.485     !                         *                                
 1999.1  1.499     !                          *                               
 1999.2  1.506     !                          *                               
 1999.3  1.528     !                           *                              
 1999.4  1.546     !                            *                             
 2000.1  1.565     !                             *                            
 2000.2  1.598     !                              *                           
 2000.3  1.639     !                               *                          
 2000.4  1.673     !                                 *                        
 2001.1  1.704     !                                  *                       
 2001.2  1.722     !                                   *                      
 2001.3  1.760     !                                    *                     
 2001.4  1.771     !                                     *                    
 2002.1  1.794     !                                     *                    
 2002.2  1.811     !                                      *                   
 2002.3  1.838     !                                       *                  
 2002.4  1.854     !                                        *                 
 2003.1  1.870     !                                        *                 
 2003.2  1.895     !                                         *                
 2003.3  1.920     !                                          *               
 2003.4  1.946     !                                           *              
 2004.1  1.989     !                                             *            
 2004.2  2.032     !                                               *          
 2004.3  2.067     !                                                *         
 2004.4  2.101     !                                                 *        
 2005.1  2.176     !                                                    *     
 2005.2  2.216     !                                                      *   
 2005.3  2.248     !                                                       *  
 2005.4  2.275     !                                                        * 
 2006.1  2.301     !                                                         *
 2006.2  2.259     !                                                       *  
 2006.3  2.234     !                                                      *   
 2006.4  2.234     !                                                      *   
 2007.1  2.191     !                                                     *    
 2007.2  2.126     !                                                  *       
 2007.3  2.073     !                                                *         
 2007.4  1.999     !                                             *            
 2008.1  1.908     !                                          *               
 2008.2  1.806     !                                      *                   
 2008.3  1.727     !                                   *                      
 2008.4  1.658     !                                *                         
 2009.1  1.589     !                             *                            
 2009.2  1.563     !                            *                             
 2009.3  1.556     !                            *                             
 2009.4  1.555     !                            *                             
 2010.1  1.554     !                            *                             
 2010.2  1.556     !                            *                             
 2010.3  1.521     !                           *                              
 2010.4  1.503     !                          *                               
 2011.1  1.483     !                         *                                
 2011.2  1.462     !                         *                                
 2011.3  1.453     !                        *                                 
 2011.4  1.447     !                        *                                 
 2012.1  1.474     !                         *                                
 2012.2  1.496     !                          *                               
 2012.3  1.520     !                           *                              
 2012.4  1.542     !                            *                             
 2013.1  1.604     !                              *                           
 2013.2  1.650     !                                *                         
 2013.3  1.690     !                                 *                        


         Plot of variable(s)
         AH        *

Values for AH      

 1952.1  386.9     *                                                          
 1952.2  398.8     *                                                          
 1952.3  406.6     *                                                          
 1952.4  401.8     *                                                          
 1953.1  397.9     *                                                          
 1953.2  392.9     *                                                          
 1953.3  395.3     *                                                          
 1953.4  416.9     *                                                          
 1954.1  432.7     *                                                          
 1954.2  452.7     *                                                          
 1954.3  479.1     *                                                          
 1954.4  491.9     *                                                          
 1955.1  502.8     *                                                          
 1955.2  529.8     *                                                          
 1955.3  553.7     *                                                          
 1955.4  568.2     *                                                          
 1956.1  596.4     *                                                          
 1956.2  596.5     *                                                          
 1956.3  602.1     *                                                          
 1956.4  632.2     *                                                          
 1957.1  629.1     *                                                          
 1957.2  658.5     *                                                          
 1957.3  645.8     *                                                          
 1957.4  656.5     *                                                          
 1958.1  686.5     *                                                          
 1958.2  713.1     *                                                          
 1958.3  756.3     *                                                          
 1958.4  782.5     *                                                          
 1959.1  795.1     *                                                          
 1959.2  812.0     !*                                                         
 1959.3  812.2     !*                                                         
 1959.4  842.1     !*                                                         
 1960.1  830.3     !*                                                         
 1960.2  844.9     !*                                                         
 1960.3  828.0     !*                                                         
 1960.4  884.3     !*                                                         
 1961.1  936.2     !*                                                         
 1961.2  946.4     !*                                                         
 1961.3  971.5     !*                                                         
 1961.4  1020.     !*                                                         
 1962.1  1017.     !*                                                         
 1962.2  916.1     !*                                                         
 1962.3  947.5     !*                                                         
 1962.4  1045.     !*                                                         
 1963.1  1073.     !*                                                         
 1963.2  1103.     !*                                                         
 1963.3  1130.     !*                                                         
 1963.4  1119.     !*                                                         
 1964.1  1154.     !*                                                         
 1964.2  1185.     !*                                                         
 1964.3  1217.     !*                                                         
 1964.4  1248.     !*                                                         
 1965.1  1275.     !*                                                         
 1965.2  1266.     !*                                                         
 1965.3  1328.     !*                                                         
 1965.4  1392.     !*                                                         
 1966.1  1388.     !*                                                         
 1966.2  1389.     !*                                                         
 1966.3  1346.     !*                                                         
 1966.4  1415.     !*                                                         
 1967.1  1506.     !*                                                         
 1967.2  1535.     !*                                                         
 1967.3  1594.     !*                                                         
 1967.4  1643.     ! *                                                        
 1968.1  1618.     ! *                                                        
 1968.2  1737.     ! *                                                        
 1968.3  1767.     ! *                                                        
 1968.4  1890.     ! *                                                        
 1969.1  1870.     ! *                                                        
 1969.2  1856.     ! *                                                        
 1969.3  1859.     ! *                                                        
 1969.4  1849.     ! *                                                        
 1970.1  1851.     ! *                                                        
 1970.2  1744.     ! *                                                        
 1970.3  1849.     ! *                                                        
 1970.4  1958.     ! *                                                        
 1971.1  2066.     ! *                                                        
 1971.2  2103.     ! *                                                        
 1971.3  2123.     ! *                                                        
 1971.4  2222.     ! *                                                        
 1972.1  2310.     ! *                                                        
 1972.2  2343.     ! *                                                        
 1972.3  2416.     ! *                                                        
 1972.4  2592.     !  *                                                       
 1973.1  2557.     !  *                                                       
 1973.2  2534.     !  *                                                       
 1973.3  2653.     !  *                                                       
 1973.4  2560.     !  *                                                       
 1974.1  2577.     !  *                                                       
 1974.2  2546.     !  *                                                       
 1974.3  2462.     !  *                                                       
 1974.4  2543.     !  *                                                       
 1975.1  2720.     !  *                                                       
 1975.2  2871.     !  *                                                       
 1975.3  2845.     !  *                                                       
 1975.4  2952.     !  *                                                       
 1976.1  3091.     !  *                                                       
 1976.2  3185.     !  *                                                       
 1976.3  3253.     !   *                                                      
 1976.4  3345.     !   *                                                      
 1977.1  3346.     !   *                                                      
 1977.2  3424.     !   *                                                      
 1977.3  3468.     !   *                                                      
 1977.4  3521.     !   *                                                      
 1978.1  3569.     !   *                                                      
 1978.2  3699.     !   *                                                      
 1978.3  3832.     !   *                                                      
 1978.4  3894.     !   *                                                      
 1979.1  4030.     !   *                                                      
 1979.2  4143.     !    *                                                     
 1979.3  4298.     !    *                                                     
 1979.4  4458.     !    *                                                     
 1980.1  4497.     !    *                                                     
 1980.2  4735.     !    *                                                     
 1980.3  4982.     !     *                                                    
 1980.4  5243.     !     *                                                    
 1981.1  5347.     !     *                                                    
 1981.2  5409.     !     *                                                    
 1981.3  5364.     !     *                                                    
 1981.4  5565.     !     *                                                    
 1982.1  5532.     !     *                                                    
 1982.2  5616.     !     *                                                    
 1982.3  5790.     !      *                                                   
 1982.4  6063.     !      *                                                   
 1983.1  6282.     !      *                                                   
 1983.2  6510.     !      *                                                   
 1983.3  6586.     !       *                                                  
 1983.4  6641.     !       *                                                  
 1984.1  6634.     !       *                                                  
 1984.2  6685.     !       *                                                  
 1984.3  6871.     !       *                                                  
 1984.4  6994.     !       *                                                  
 1985.1  7198.     !       *                                                  
 1985.2  7341.     !        *                                                 
 1985.3  7333.     !       *                                                  
 1985.4  7665.     !        *                                                 
 1986.1  7970.     !        *                                                 
 1986.2  8155.     !        *                                                 
 1986.3  8103.     !        *                                                 
 1986.4  8458.     !         *                                                
 1987.1  8929.     !         *                                                
 1987.2  9033.     !          *                                               
 1987.3  9273.     !          *                                               
 1987.4  8969.     !         *                                                
 1988.1  9257.     !          *                                               
 1988.2  9452.     !          *                                               
 1988.3  9592.     !          *                                               
 1988.4  9899.     !           *                                              
 1989.1 0.1015E+05 !           *                                              
 1989.2 0.1039E+05 !           *                                              
 1989.3 0.1073E+05 !            *                                             
 1989.4 0.1095E+05 !            *                                             
 1990.1 0.1090E+05 !            *                                             
 1990.2 0.1106E+05 !            *                                             
 1990.3 0.1078E+05 !            *                                             
 1990.4 0.1126E+05 !            *                                             
 1991.1 0.1174E+05 !             *                                            
 1991.2 0.1172E+05 !             *                                            
 1991.3 0.1193E+05 !             *                                            
 1991.4 0.1244E+05 !              *                                           
 1992.1 0.1244E+05 !              *                                           
 1992.2 0.1245E+05 !              *                                           
 1992.3 0.1265E+05 !              *                                           
 1992.4 0.1315E+05 !               *                                          
 1993.1 0.1345E+05 !               *                                          
 1993.2 0.1359E+05 !               *                                          
 1993.3 0.1382E+05 !               *                                          
 1993.4 0.1416E+05 !                *                                         
 1994.1 0.1418E+05 !                *                                         
 1994.2 0.1424E+05 !                *                                         
 1994.3 0.1447E+05 !                *                                         
 1994.4 0.1462E+05 !                *                                         
 1995.1 0.1506E+05 !                 *                                        
 1995.2 0.1552E+05 !                  *                                       
 1995.3 0.1612E+05 !                  *                                       
 1995.4 0.1671E+05 !                   *                                      
 1996.1 0.1716E+05 !                    *                                     
 1996.2 0.1750E+05 !                    *                                     
 1996.3 0.1775E+05 !                    *                                     
 1996.4 0.1802E+05 !                     *                                    
 1997.1 0.1828E+05 !                     *                                    
 1997.2 0.1958E+05 !                      *                                   
 1997.3 0.2056E+05 !                        *                                 
 1997.4 0.2090E+05 !                        *                                 
 1998.1 0.2240E+05 !                          *                               
 1998.2 0.2267E+05 !                          *                               
 1998.3 0.2150E+05 !                         *                                
 1998.4 0.2363E+05 !                           *                              
 1999.1 0.2400E+05 !                            *                             
 1999.2 0.2498E+05 !                             *                            
 1999.3 0.2453E+05 !                             *                            
 1999.4 0.2736E+05 !                                *                         
 2000.1 0.2818E+05 !                                 *                        
 2000.2 0.2731E+05 !                                *                         
 2000.3 0.2752E+05 !                                *                         
 2000.4 0.2621E+05 !                               *                          
 2001.1 0.2478E+05 !                             *                            
 2001.2 0.2567E+05 !                              *                           
 2001.3 0.2379E+05 !                            *                             
 2001.4 0.2503E+05 !                             *                            
 2002.1 0.2539E+05 !                              *                           
 2002.2 0.2392E+05 !                            *                             
 2002.3 0.2224E+05 !                          *                               
 2002.4 0.2316E+05 !                           *                              
 2003.1 0.2303E+05 !                           *                              
 2003.2 0.2448E+05 !                            *                             
 2003.3 0.2502E+05 !                             *                            
 2003.4 0.2674E+05 !                               *                          
 2004.1 0.2817E+05 !                                 *                        
 2004.2 0.2864E+05 !                                  *                       
 2004.3 0.2889E+05 !                                  *                       
 2004.4 0.3082E+05 !                                    *                     
 2005.1 0.3103E+05 !                                    *                     
 2005.2 0.3158E+05 !                                     *                    
 2005.3 0.3255E+05 !                                      *                   
 2005.4 0.3358E+05 !                                        *                 
 2006.1 0.3489E+05 !                                         *                
 2006.2 0.3471E+05 !                                         *                
 2006.3 0.3521E+05 !                                          *               
 2006.4 0.3723E+05 !                                            *             
 2007.1 0.3834E+05 !                                             *            
 2007.2 0.3926E+05 !                                               *          
 2007.3 0.3979E+05 !                                               *          
 2007.4 0.3920E+05 !                                              *           
 2008.1 0.3769E+05 !                                             *            
 2008.2 0.3701E+05 !                                            *             
 2008.3 0.3534E+05 !                                          *               
 2008.4 0.3169E+05 !                                     *                    
 2009.1 0.3092E+05 !                                    *                     
 2009.2 0.3200E+05 !                                      *                   
 2009.3 0.3379E+05 !                                        *                 
 2009.4 0.3449E+05 !                                         *                
 2010.1 0.3551E+05 !                                          *               
 2010.2 0.3466E+05 !                                         *                
 2010.3 0.3670E+05 !                                           *              
 2010.4 0.3919E+05 !                                              *           
 2011.1 0.4088E+05 !                                                 *        
 2011.2 0.4109E+05 !                                                 *        
 2011.3 0.3856E+05 !                                              *           
 2011.4 0.4032E+05 !                                                *         
 2012.1 0.4215E+05 !                                                  *       
 2012.2 0.4184E+05 !                                                  *       
 2012.3 0.4357E+05 !                                                    *     
 2012.4 0.4443E+05 !                                                     *    
 2013.1 0.4628E+05 !                                                       *  
 2013.2 0.4698E+05 !                                                        * 
 2013.3 0.4782E+05 !                                                         *

GENR AA2=(KH*PKH)/PH;                                                         
Name added to list: AA2             
GENR AA2Z=AA2/POP;                                                            
Name added to list: AA2Z            
GENR AA1=AA-AA2;                                                              
Name added to list: AA1             
PRINTVAR FIXEDF LEVELS AA1 AA2 AA JF UR;                                      
 
          AA1         AA2         AA          JF          UR      
         Level       Level       Level       Level       Level  
1952.1  2709.98728  1913.93331  4623.92059    58.59200     0.03065
1952.2  2776.99831  1975.82673  4752.82504    58.25100     0.02977
1952.3  2827.84277  1981.55976  4809.40253    58.47000     0.03216
1952.4  2759.68891  2020.81610  4780.50501    59.48400     0.02793
1953.1  2736.00773  2039.76434  4775.77207    59.76400     0.02674
1953.2  2698.81838  2082.14493  4780.96331    59.77300     0.02596
1953.3  2706.90380  2132.97406  4839.87786    59.75500     0.02716
1953.4  2819.04019  2118.10782  4937.14802    59.02100     0.03700
1954.1  2925.07551  2132.41255  5057.48805    58.53900     0.05234
1954.2  3055.78619  2163.32287  5219.10906    58.01700     0.05783
1954.3  3248.13311  2234.33143  5482.46454    58.03800     0.05970
1954.4  3303.51545  2277.01943  5580.53488    58.34400     0.05361
1955.1  3352.24487  2285.83624  5638.08111    59.04000     0.04711
1955.2  3479.78864  2329.52047  5809.30911    59.76900     0.04380
1955.3  3602.34205  2377.75908  5980.10114    60.72800     0.04110
1955.4  3677.69140  2426.61582  6104.30721    61.43000     0.04209
1956.1  3848.58475  2481.19953  6329.78429    61.56700     0.04031
1956.2  3822.70736  2516.29438  6339.00175    61.82600     0.04191
1956.3  3828.62896  2540.42124  6369.05020    61.64600     0.04129
1956.4  3962.74353  2545.55005  6508.29358    61.54500     0.04101
1957.1  3913.25310  2564.41630  6477.66940    61.61400     0.03947
1957.2  4060.19954  2598.71802  6658.91756    61.87900     0.04063
1957.3  3961.01410  2619.91290  6580.92700    61.83100     0.04207
1957.4  4011.89443  2637.37785  6649.27228    61.14000     0.04923
1958.1  4161.00207  2600.62074  6761.62281    59.90400     0.06275
1958.2  4301.33905  2635.72114  6937.06018    59.26700     0.07360
1958.3  4560.34411  2690.68517  7251.02928    59.55100     0.07309
1958.4  4689.97506  2737.04876  7427.02382    60.02400     0.06353
1959.1  4740.12149  2718.54129  7458.66278    60.77900     0.05799
1959.2  4815.03213  2762.55246  7577.58458    61.99900     0.05105
1959.3  4787.47680  2791.51116  7578.98796    61.62000     0.05287
1959.4  4930.18211  2830.78627  7760.96838    61.77100     0.05593
1960.1  4850.48670  2888.65665  7739.14334    62.02100     0.05160
1960.2  4888.49389  2889.53113  7778.02502    62.25000     0.05226
1960.3  4782.72567  2911.07273  7693.79841    62.15300     0.05550
1960.4  5069.42083  2915.46867  7984.88950    61.88900     0.06252
1961.1  5369.93267  2915.27694  8285.20962    61.70800     0.06773
1961.2  5419.75673  2970.81445  8390.57118    61.24600     0.06972
1961.3  5525.42956  3007.15196  8532.58152    61.48700     0.06749
1961.4  5748.51789  3046.34470  8794.86259    62.06100     0.06172
1962.1  5713.52106  3073.80667  8787.32773    62.62900     0.05614
1962.2  5167.25836  3092.82446  8260.08282    62.71200     0.05483
1962.3  5306.35950  3105.15385  8411.51335    62.51800     0.05539
1962.4  5782.87118  3137.26956  8920.14074    62.32600     0.05506
1963.1  5928.44983  3165.46730  9093.91713    62.64100     0.05779
1963.2  6077.64250  3169.69496  9247.33746    62.78300     0.05681
1963.3  6204.88810  3214.57077  9419.45887    63.07500     0.05494
1963.4  6124.43016  3232.22322  9356.65338    63.24600     0.05573
1964.1  6281.58900  3226.68545  9508.27446    63.60000     0.05458
1964.2  6407.38967  3274.83449  9682.22416    63.91600     0.05220
1964.3  6546.70135  3285.93906  9832.64040    64.36400     0.04990
1964.4  6698.46538  3346.34473 10044.81011    64.62800     0.04954
1965.1  6771.47403  3348.84166 10120.31568    64.94900     0.04872
1965.2  6717.70229  3370.25396 10087.95625    65.87100     0.04655
1965.3  7031.91709  3388.15280 10420.06989    66.07200     0.04352
1965.4  7296.29644  3438.93722 10735.23366    66.60400     0.04102
1966.1  7233.29469  3415.09484 10648.38953    67.04900     0.03848
1966.2  7172.60218  3533.14189 10705.74407    67.69900     0.03808
1966.3  6915.05872  3511.06015 10426.11888    68.15900     0.03751
1966.4  7168.05887  3574.13013 10742.18900    68.20800     0.03683
1967.1  7605.07505  3589.77842 11194.85347    68.49400     0.03810
1967.2  7695.52545  3614.95570 11310.48115    68.47100     0.03807
1967.3  7949.58769  3645.50052 11595.08821    68.82200     0.03785
1967.4  8118.54884  3706.72400 11825.27284    69.30600     0.03916
1968.1  7876.81755  3753.46029 11630.27784    69.54100     0.03728
1968.2  8327.71749  3797.17463 12124.89212    70.09700     0.03538
1968.3  8388.48306  3808.07464 12196.55770    70.32700     0.03511
1968.4  8853.71652  3945.17382 12798.89034    70.95800     0.03392
1969.1  8662.88695  4012.16089 12675.04784    71.82900     0.03377
1969.2  8484.66009  4041.44134 12526.10143    72.25700     0.03425
1969.3  8398.17474  4043.18220 12441.35694    72.49500     0.03591
1969.4  8262.25615  4097.77719 12360.03334    72.52600     0.03582
1970.1  8212.72844  4079.38279 12292.11123    72.54600     0.04160
1970.2  7675.60090  4157.99272 11833.59362    72.25700     0.04747
1970.3  8094.12887  4125.99525 12220.12412    72.04500     0.05169
1970.4  8443.82704  4181.03830 12624.86535    71.58100     0.05803
1971.1  8757.81512  4212.55241 12970.36752    72.00000     0.05914
1971.2  8839.19501  4278.25244 13117.44744    72.26400     0.05908
1971.3  8846.01689  4330.42179 13176.43868    72.25000     0.05983
1971.4  9136.70598  4388.11196 13524.81794    72.68100     0.05954
1972.1  9427.00443  4521.29028 13948.29471    73.43700     0.05768
1972.2  9502.07055  4571.08378 14073.15434    73.94400     0.05659
1972.3  9685.92901  4678.34377 14364.27278    74.51500     0.05584
1972.4 10254.06147  4846.01976 15100.08122    75.36300     0.05304
1973.1  9985.62116  4890.91981 14876.54097    76.32600     0.04951
1973.2  9757.60215  4977.36701 14734.96916    77.06700     0.04890
1973.3  9993.10964  5104.15148 15097.26112    77.44900     0.04793
1973.4  9507.05203  5162.75222 14669.80425    78.15700     0.04769
1974.1  9325.30164  4992.37406 14317.67570    78.56300     0.05085
1974.2  8982.25155  4858.54219 13840.79374    78.59900     0.05162
1974.3  8469.92725  4777.86899 13247.79623    78.47800     0.05584
1974.4  8603.27985  4836.38539 13439.66524    77.70600     0.06556
1975.1  8996.09848  4955.82221 13951.92069    76.21100     0.08218
1975.2  9379.62320  5073.41957 14453.04277    75.80000     0.08829
1975.3  9083.46468  4962.62694 14046.09162    76.30300     0.08468
1975.4  9251.48516  5010.27686 14261.76202    76.94500     0.08260
1976.1  9588.80781  5060.44964 14649.25744    77.82400     0.07723
1976.2  9787.20279  5220.77800 15007.98078    78.43400     0.07527
1976.3  9830.23218  5250.63736 15080.86954    78.90300     0.07700
1976.4  9964.39706  5332.46634 15296.86340    79.32700     0.07733
1977.1  9817.67101  5426.71365 15244.38466    80.19900     0.07493
1977.2  9873.29590  5605.89249 15479.18839    81.68500     0.07105
1977.3  9845.27015  5724.98596 15570.25611    82.52500     0.06864
1977.4  9821.82933  5862.94125 15684.77058    83.46200     0.06612
1978.1  9858.01002  5986.62290 15844.63292    84.39100     0.06327
1978.2  9963.80400  6113.25517 16077.05917    85.94300     0.05999
1978.3 10186.65169  6270.28730 16456.93899    86.71400     0.06021
1978.4 10128.57508  6378.49408 16507.06916    87.65500     0.05884
1979.1 10308.41377  6578.87687 16887.29064    88.51800     0.05878
1979.2 10358.00870  6730.00151 17088.01021    89.04200     0.05714
1979.3 10480.89067  6802.90722 17283.79789    89.68300     0.05868
1979.4 10607.54576  6861.98625 17469.53201    89.90300     0.05940
1980.1 10390.65691  6920.40941 17311.06632    90.10100     0.06297
1980.2 10676.34112  6958.87569 17635.21681    89.32000     0.07324
1980.3 10965.14647  7051.24451 18016.39099    89.10400     0.07681
1980.4 11245.02598  7010.47663 18255.50261    89.91000     0.07399
1981.1 11110.39417  6868.13495 17978.52911    90.29100     0.07427
1981.2 11086.30532  7121.68989 18207.99521    90.67300     0.07399
1981.3 10814.40558  7198.89518 18013.30076    90.92100     0.07417
1981.4 11113.81548  7234.22396 18348.03944    90.61900     0.08241
1982.1 10931.43976  7332.96136 18264.40112    90.06200     0.08844
1982.2 10988.52317  7331.64512 18320.16829    89.79800     0.09426
1982.3 11177.45839  7254.06941 18431.52779    89.28000     0.09943
1982.4 11563.44809  7252.59806 18816.04615    88.65700     0.10677
1983.1 11920.68052  7295.27577 19215.95629    88.77100     0.10397
1983.2 12181.13283  7280.52443 19461.65726    89.55000     0.10102
1983.3 12160.50980  7269.68899 19430.19879    90.69100     0.09360
1983.4 12118.85874  7283.59213 19402.45088    92.01800     0.08542
1984.1 11955.00459  7489.93364 19444.93823    93.22200     0.07872
1984.2 11925.17945  7638.58040 19563.75986    94.30000     0.07479
1984.3 12147.80777  7803.95895 19951.76673    94.98500     0.07452
1984.4 12275.33417  7942.82746 20218.16162    95.63700     0.07283
1985.1 12508.14436  8075.39116 20583.53552    96.29000     0.07280
1985.2 12651.27172  8260.02797 20911.29969    96.70900     0.07289
1985.3 12527.14285  8438.99944 20966.14229    97.19400     0.07211
1985.4 12997.97080  8670.28887 21668.25967    97.68900     0.07054
1986.1 13436.27877  8765.28060 22201.55937    97.92700     0.07016
1986.2 13782.82817  8976.43545 22759.26362    98.32200     0.07180
1986.3 13595.82650  9092.20064 22688.02714    99.04700     0.06991
1986.4 14152.48040  9248.84340 23401.32380    99.59400     0.06835
1987.1 14790.26574  9405.35055 24195.61629   100.31900     0.06621
1987.2 14805.46657  9508.13870 24313.60527   101.13100     0.06281
1987.3 15014.91104  9592.55809 24607.46913   101.82300     0.06014
1987.4 14449.04747  9673.67352 24122.72099   102.71300     0.05869
1988.1 14755.42653  9788.75300 24544.17952   103.39400     0.05728
1988.2 14909.64531  9954.08884 24863.73415   104.54700     0.05487
1988.3 14974.43218 10055.57522 25030.00740   105.03300     0.05492
1988.4 15255.08214 10130.57672 25385.65886   105.94700     0.05350
1989.1 15466.74465 10202.97596 25669.72060   106.74300     0.05215
1989.2 15599.28694 10259.19683 25858.48377   107.01400     0.05244
1989.3 15971.33940 10468.78186 26440.12127   107.25300     0.05277
1989.4 16202.99753 10576.70161 26779.69913   107.60400     0.05374
1990.1 15870.15135 10536.78359 26406.93494   108.30200     0.05300
1990.2 16035.10584 10521.71974 26556.82558   108.45700     0.05337
1990.3 15442.05750 10459.71836 25901.77585   108.22500     0.05687
1990.4 15867.01545 10303.96222 26170.97767   108.07400     0.06114
1991.1 16465.32100 10259.88820 26725.20920   107.53400     0.06574
1991.2 16359.55808 10292.94067 26652.49875   107.25800     0.06823
1991.3 16522.02330 10226.38409 26748.40739   107.19400     0.06853
1991.4 17109.23920 10213.60762 27322.84683   107.00600     0.07097
1992.1 17068.97029 10274.59741 27343.56770   106.54100     0.07379
1992.2 16990.01171 10246.79868 27236.81039   106.80400     0.07595
1992.3 17178.31677 10275.17949 27453.49626   107.12800     0.07626
1992.4 17779.00356 10294.55318 28073.55674   107.48100     0.07406
1993.1 18049.72748 10245.21840 28294.94588   108.14000     0.07150
1993.2 18087.02040 10260.77164 28347.79204   108.86400     0.07069
1993.3 18351.61000 10329.67569 28681.28569   109.49900     0.06800
1993.4 18670.06068 10358.70329 29028.76398   110.18300     0.06619
1994.1 18574.36482 10397.66117 28972.02599   110.66700     0.06556
1994.2 18518.31902 10451.40974 28969.72877   111.90400     0.06166
1994.3 18672.23109 10477.40714 29149.63822   113.14200     0.06001
1994.4 18729.41848 10486.14190 29215.56039   113.79900     0.05619
1995.1 19202.14446 10517.22582 29719.37028   114.71500     0.05478
1995.2 19673.36737 10556.46928 30229.83665   115.26200     0.05675
1995.3 20281.29311 10616.21863 30897.51174   115.72100     0.05658
1995.4 20872.30755 10668.07544 31540.38299   115.96200     0.05572
1996.1 21317.11859 10740.47042 32057.58900   116.62500     0.05545
1996.2 21561.89145 10779.79465 32341.68610   117.29700     0.05470
1996.3 21763.70752 10841.44485 32605.15237   118.09000     0.05259
1996.4 21871.02449 10868.14493 32739.16943   119.05600     0.05310
1997.1 22061.63381 11025.41734 33087.05116   119.88200     0.05224
1997.2 23511.19422 11136.07095 34647.26517   120.46400     0.04975
1997.3 24526.15900 11251.64505 35777.80405   121.03200     0.04858
1997.4 24835.91759 11433.57584 36269.49343   121.69200     0.04681
1998.1 26561.98352 11712.47460 38274.45811   122.42000     0.04638
1998.2 26834.69838 11926.28685 38760.98523   123.27700     0.04414
1998.3 25377.67981 12169.17044 37546.85025   123.74100     0.04529
1998.4 27749.26788 12412.50698 40161.77486   124.32400     0.04430
1999.1 28104.64777 12624.04937 40728.69713   124.39300     0.04284
1999.2 28991.21167 12767.83904 41759.05071   125.33700     0.04248
1999.3 28303.92081 13042.25961 41346.18043   125.87900     0.04243
1999.4 31330.62467 13291.71794 44622.34260   126.52400     0.04078
2000.1 31920.20869 13585.07516 45505.28385   127.43400     0.04049
2000.2 30803.27222 13983.63926 44786.91147   127.71500     0.03948
2000.3 30801.40065 14456.20002 45257.60066   127.76600     0.04030
2000.4 29201.05781 14854.78151 44055.83932   127.54500     0.03918
2001.1 27459.47776 15198.74901 42658.22676   128.11100     0.04230
2001.2 28294.04555 15463.49998 43757.54553   127.30200     0.04411
2001.3 26219.88737 15896.03103 42115.91840   126.66400     0.04819
2001.4 27516.79562 16085.07192 43601.86753   125.89700     0.05537
2002.1 27813.56009 16387.19711 44200.75720   125.01700     0.05705
2002.2 26019.31397 16638.61717 42657.93114   124.98500     0.05846
2002.3 24086.68916 16965.41408 41052.10324   124.75400     0.05732
2002.4 24974.73837 17242.53147 42217.26984   125.05800     0.05852
2003.1 24612.86838 17510.65809 42123.52647   124.83100     0.05874
2003.2 26080.27627 17853.19199 43933.46826   124.45500     0.06152
2003.3 26453.00100 18230.98111 44683.98211   124.86800     0.06107
2003.4 28103.93268 18634.05329 46737.98596   125.25300     0.05821
2004.1 29301.90267 19192.61259 48494.51527   125.55000     0.05688
2004.2 29501.69685 19794.19256 49295.88941   126.13600     0.05595
2004.3 29544.03349 20345.37437 49889.40786   126.74700     0.05441
2004.4 31234.84601 20865.72907 52100.57508   127.22100     0.05397
2005.1 31215.35776 21777.37489 52992.73265   127.77700     0.05292
2005.2 31473.87812 22360.58549 53834.46361   128.43300     0.05115
2005.3 32010.87395 22888.67365 54899.54760   128.85600     0.04975
2005.4 32727.14994 23386.37223 56113.52218   129.29000     0.04964
2006.1 33784.44346 23851.65424 57636.09770   130.25000     0.04732
2006.2 33332.19030 23606.99100 56939.18130   130.77800     0.04667
2006.3 33594.68729 23524.61208 57119.29938   131.07900     0.04655
2006.4 35515.01541 23704.12022 59219.13564   131.52000     0.04467
2007.1 36243.09884 23384.93389 59628.03272   131.94900     0.04536
2007.2 36791.52965 22796.00528 59587.53494   132.06000     0.04508
2007.3 37030.79307 22286.07986 59316.87293   131.83500     0.04670
2007.4 36160.84054 21553.24060 57714.08114   132.11800     0.04813
2008.1 34582.25066 20659.03565 55241.28631   131.88300     0.05003
2008.2 33657.40761 19584.35545 53241.76305   131.41000     0.05342
2008.3 31879.24972 18771.43702 50650.68674   130.52300     0.06031
2008.4 29135.12305 18054.18975 47189.31280   128.44800     0.06894
2009.1 28615.72459 17299.99382 45915.71841   126.12200     0.08320
2009.2 29548.20919 16932.59278 46480.80197   124.17100     0.09303
2009.3 31008.60337 16820.93015 47829.53352   123.16100     0.09634
2009.4 31372.59188 16783.16068 48155.75256   122.55500     0.09948
2010.1 32171.75447 16790.67949 48962.43395   122.41500     0.09840
2010.2 31381.34606 16825.85420 48207.20026   122.66300     0.09669
2010.3 33125.91449 16443.44515 49569.35964   122.63400     0.09504
2010.4 35226.50547 16284.56138 51511.06685   123.07600     0.09562
2011.1 36502.41811 16059.40137 52561.81948   123.82300     0.09037
2011.2 36415.48255 15826.89139 52242.37394   124.26600     0.09071
2011.3 34190.23832 15768.53855 49958.77687   124.77800     0.09026
2011.4 35668.06782 15704.87673 51372.94455   125.43500     0.08685
2012.1 37069.55993 15997.94787 53067.50779   126.14600     0.08243
2012.2 36729.46571 16264.39416 52993.85987   126.79000     0.08160
2012.3 38111.58636 16554.41752 54666.00388   127.29300     0.08028
2012.4 38764.81807 16808.80616 55573.62423   127.80900     0.07824
2013.1 40250.08244 17486.79072 57736.87316   128.17100     0.07745
2013.2 40849.12219 18032.59877 58881.72096   128.58900     0.07541
2013.3 41406.55518 18502.13015 59908.68533   129.17200     0.07301
@                                                                             
@ Begin experiment 1)                                                         
@                                                                             
MODEQ 4 AA2Z(-1) FSR AA2Z(-1) AA2Z(-2) AA2Z(-3) ;                             
EQUATION 4  IHHZ1  RHO=2  
   RHS     CNST2  C  DKHZIHL1  KHZ(-1)  YDZ  RMALIHHZ  AA2Z(-1)  
   FSR     CNST2  CNST2(-1)  CNST2(-2)  C  KHZ(-1)  RMALIHHZ  
   FSR     YDZ(-1)  KHZ(-2)  KHZ(-3)  RMALIHHZ(-1)  RMALIHHZ(-2)  
   FSR     YDZ(-2)  LCOGSZ  LJHGSZ  LTRGSZ  LEXZ(-1)  LODHM(-1)  
   FSR     LYNLZ(-1)  PCPD(-1)  LIMZ(-1)  DKHZIHL1  DKHZIHL1(-1)  
   FSR     DKHZIHL1(-2)  IHHZ1(-1)  IHHZ1(-2)  AA2Z(-1)  AA2Z(-2)  
   FSR     AA2Z(-3)  
SMPL 1954.1 2013.3;                                                           
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2013.3 Internally:     9 to   247
2SLS; EST 4; END;                                                             

Equation number =    4
**********************

Dependent variable = IHHZ1   

 1954.1 -   2013.3,    0 missing obs.,  239 obs. used.

First stage regressors 

  359 CNST2    (  0)
  359 CNST2    ( -1)
  359 CNST2    ( -2)
   40 C        (  0)
  411 KHZ      ( -1)
  463 RMALIHHZ (  0)
  407 YDZ      ( -1)
  411 KHZ      ( -2)
  411 KHZ      ( -3)
  463 RMALIHHZ ( -1)
  463 RMALIHHZ ( -2)
  407 YDZ      ( -2)
  425 LCOGSZ   (  0)
  427 LJHGSZ   (  0)
  429 LTRGSZ   (  0)
  434 LEXZ     ( -1)
  431 LODHM    ( -1)
  410 LYNLZ    ( -1)
  419 PCPD     ( -1)
  446 LIMZ     ( -1)
  484 DKHZIHL1 (  0)
  484 DKHZIHL1 ( -1)
  484 DKHZIHL1 ( -2)
  485 IHHZ1    ( -1)
  485 IHHZ1    ( -2)
19027 AA2Z     ( -1)
19027 AA2Z     ( -2)
19027 AA2Z     ( -3)

Iter   Rhos:  1            2
   1     0.392344975  0.129843648
   2     0.436915906  0.192360330
   3     0.476825626  0.239801918
   4     0.519442578  0.284806628
   5     0.561680757  0.317253923
   6     0.594067994  0.324704672
   7     0.610904637  0.323292172
   8     0.617979098  0.323086295
   9     0.621168802  0.323575077
  10     0.622829556  0.324128946
  11     0.623809469  0.324582700
  12     0.624439185  0.324925469
  13     0.624866168  0.325179074
  14     0.625165648  0.325366281
  15     0.625380393  0.325504905
  16     0.625536709  0.325607987
  17     0.625651701  0.325684941
  18     0.625736934  0.325742578
  19     0.625800459  0.325785859
  20     0.625847998  0.325818427
  21     0.625883680  0.325842971
  22     0.625910524  0.325861491
  23     0.625930752  0.325875478
  24     0.625946014  0.325886049
  25     0.625957540  0.325894042
  26     0.625966251  0.325900089

Number of iterations for RHO =   26


Mean of dependent variable        0.000416100

                     Coef est             SE           T statistic      Mean
  359 CNST2   (  0)       0.136859399       0.078211930   1.74985     0.583682
   40 C       (  0)       0.889073702       0.213869772   4.15708     1.000000
  484 DKHZIHL1(  0)       0.379353869       0.051649148   7.34482    -0.245763
  411 KHZ     ( -1)      -0.037727315       0.008373536  -4.50554    39.409752
  407 YDZ     (  0)       0.078980993       0.032964144   2.39597     6.883520
  463 RMALIHHZ(  0)      -0.025881100       0.004810360  -5.38028     3.401850
19027 AA2Z    ( -1)       0.003678969       0.000974698   3.77447    47.039551
    0 RHO     ( -1)       0.625966251       0.071563351   8.74702     0.000000
    0 RHO     ( -2)       0.325900089       0.069673388   4.67754     0.000000

SE of equation            =     0.015419671
Sum of squared residuals  = 0.546862386E-01   0.637762633E-04
Average absolute error    =     0.011234921
Sum of ABS residuals      =  2.68514617    
R squared                 =   0.44590
Durbin-Watson statistic   =   1.99340
Overid test: p-value      = 0.06506         (df =  21)
SMPL and No. Obs.         = 1954.1   2013.3    239
UDU for 2SLS              = 0.721783421E-02
@                                                                             
SMPL 1954.1 2020.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  1954.1 to  2020.4 Internally:     9 to   276
CREATE URZZ=UR;                                                               
Name added to list: URZZ            
CREATE RSZZ=RS;                                                               
Name added to list: RSZZ            
SMPL 2008.1 2013.4;                                                           
Sample period is now  2008.1 to  2013.4 Internally:   225 to   248
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE=CGZ;                                                       
Variable CGZ      taken to be exogenous for the sample period in effect.
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE=RS;                                                        
Variable RS       taken to be exogenous for the sample period in effect.
CREATEU;                                                                      
Residuals created for the period  2008.1 -  2013.4
@CREATE CGZ=0.12623;                                                          
@CREATE PSI14=2.0;                                                            
RMSE DYNAMIC FILEVAR=FORSMALL.VAR;                                            

Results for the period  2008.1 -  2013.4
Simulation is dynamic.

          Actual         Predicted      Error     %Error

    42  CS      

 2008.1   1675.9000000   1675.8687650     -0.0312350   -0.00002
 2008.2   1677.6250000   1677.3510210     -0.2739790   -0.00016
 2008.3   1674.1750000   1673.7275435     -0.4474565   -0.00027
 2008.4   1672.9250000   1672.8887749     -0.0362251   -0.00002
 2009.1   1663.8250000   1664.9532048      1.1282048    0.00068
 2009.2   1658.6750000   1661.3414864      2.6664864    0.00161
 2009.3   1659.8750000   1664.0750758      4.2000758    0.00253
 2009.4   1662.1250000   1667.5492417      5.4242417    0.00326
 2010.1   1667.1000000   1673.2935640      6.1935640    0.00372
 2010.2   1676.8000000   1683.3529196      6.5529196    0.00391
 2010.3   1686.1500000   1692.6549587      6.5049587    0.00386
 2010.4   1697.1500000   1703.2632627      6.1132627    0.00360
 2011.1   1704.5750000   1710.0565581      5.4815581    0.00322
 2011.2   1713.5250000   1718.2419262      4.7169262    0.00275
 2011.3   1724.1750000   1728.0411146      3.8661146    0.00224
 2011.4   1728.8750000   1731.8755345      3.0005345    0.00174
 2012.1   1737.8000000   1740.0187440      2.2187440    0.00128
 2012.2   1745.3500000   1746.8856978      1.5356978    0.00088
 2012.3   1748.3750000   1749.3696489      0.9946489    0.00057
 2012.4   1751.1750000   1751.8103517      0.6353517    0.00036
 2013.1   1757.7750000   1758.3233621      0.5483621    0.00031
 2013.2   1762.8750000   1763.4303284      0.5553284    0.00032
 2013.3   1763.3750000   1763.9336442      0.5586442    0.00032
 2013.4   1779.9291061   1780.5002326      0.5711265    0.00032

RMSE     =       3.5524612   RMSE%    =     0.00211
MAE      =       2.6773186   MAE%     =     0.00158
MEANERR  =       2.6115773   MEAN%ERR =    0.00154

    43  CN      

 2008.1    556.5250000    556.5146559     -0.0103441   -0.00002
 2008.2    560.4250000    560.3319684     -0.0930316   -0.00017
 2008.3    553.0250000    552.8637837     -0.1612163   -0.00029
 2008.4    544.6250000    544.5999364     -0.0250636   -0.00005
 2009.1    545.0250000    545.4180462      0.3930462    0.00072
 2009.2    541.1000000    542.0524199      0.9524199    0.00176
 2009.3    543.1250000    544.6172589      1.4922589    0.00275
 2009.4    545.8750000    547.7524335      1.8774335    0.00344
 2010.1    550.4000000    552.4536323      2.0536323    0.00373
 2010.2    553.0250000    555.0578643      2.0328643    0.00368
 2010.3    556.5000000    558.3600356      1.8600356    0.00334
 2010.4    563.6000000    565.1866272      1.5866272    0.00282
 2011.1    565.6250000    566.8711458      1.2461458    0.00220
 2011.2    566.6000000    567.4969604      0.8969604    0.00158
 2011.3    565.9500000    566.5096051      0.5596051    0.00099
 2011.4    567.7500000    568.0119528      0.2619528    0.00046
 2012.1    570.9000000    570.9251146      0.0251146    0.00004
 2012.2    573.4750000    573.3260958     -0.1489042   -0.00026
 2012.3    575.7250000    575.4692833     -0.2557167   -0.00044
 2012.4    576.6500000    576.3602557     -0.2897443   -0.00050
 2013.1    580.5500000    580.3196029     -0.2303971   -0.00040
 2013.2    582.9000000    582.7642410     -0.1357590   -0.00023
 2013.3    586.7750000    586.7172762     -0.0577238   -0.00010
 2013.4    590.3103719    590.3100134     -0.0003585    0.00000

RMSE     =       1.0033654   RMSE%    =     0.00181
MAE      =       0.6935982   MAE%     =     0.00125
MEANERR  =       0.5762432   MEAN%ERR =    0.00104

    44  CD      

 2008.1    280.6250000    280.6010201     -0.0239799   -0.00009
 2008.2    279.7500000    279.5373195     -0.2126805   -0.00076
 2008.3    271.1750000    270.8466212     -0.3283788   -0.00121
 2008.4    251.6750000    251.6871194      0.0121194    0.00005
 2009.1    252.1500000    253.0580500      0.9080500    0.00360
 2009.2    250.6250000    252.6835653      2.0585653    0.00821
 2009.3    262.6250000    265.7485936      3.1235936    0.01189
 2009.4    257.8750000    261.7569211      3.8819211    0.01505
 2010.1    261.2750000    265.5146164      4.2396164    0.01623
 2010.2    269.0750000    273.3345794      4.2595794    0.01583
 2010.3    273.4250000    277.3942452      3.9692452    0.01452
 2010.4    281.8500000    285.2779121      3.4279121    0.01216
 2011.1    285.5750000    288.3260435      2.7510435    0.00963
 2011.2    285.0000000    287.0069072      2.0069072    0.00704
 2011.3    288.6000000    289.8498679      1.2498679    0.00433
 2011.4    297.9250000    298.4840512      0.5590512    0.00188
 2012.1    304.9250000    304.8987084     -0.0262916   -0.00009
 2012.2    307.1500000    306.6512607     -0.4987393   -0.00162
 2012.3    313.3500000    312.5264173     -0.8235827   -0.00263
 2012.4    321.3000000    320.3093057     -0.9906943   -0.00308
 2013.1    325.8750000    324.9374165     -0.9375835   -0.00288
 2013.2    330.8000000    329.9805875     -0.8194125   -0.00248
 2013.3    337.1000000    336.3933041     -0.7066959   -0.00210
 2013.4    336.7761590    336.1788767     -0.5972823   -0.00177

RMSE     =       2.1549606   RMSE%    =     0.00798
MAE      =       1.6005331   MAE%     =     0.00580
MEANERR  =       1.1034230   MEAN%ERR =    0.00424

    45  IHH     

 2008.1    111.6783024    111.6494163     -0.0288861   -0.00026
 2008.2    106.7822324    106.5317310     -0.2505014   -0.00235
 2008.3    101.1614828    100.8194584     -0.3420245   -0.00338
 2008.4     90.7119852     90.8223737      0.1103885    0.00122
 2009.1     82.4380903     83.5814790      1.1433888    0.01387
 2009.2     76.9454922     79.2829811      2.3374889    0.03038
 2009.3     80.5958212     83.8851215      3.2893004    0.04081
 2009.4     80.8947945     84.6937332      3.7989386    0.04696
 2010.1     81.7073218     85.5315694      3.8242475    0.04680
 2010.2     85.0793039     88.5959683      3.5166644    0.04133
 2010.3     78.7729973     81.7198616      2.9468644    0.03741
 2010.4     78.5177299     80.7089484      2.1912185    0.02791
 2011.1     78.3498040     79.7411738      1.3913698    0.01776
 2011.2     79.0587213     79.6752722      0.6165510    0.00780
 2011.3     81.2317973     81.1378709     -0.0939264   -0.00116
 2011.4     83.3770103     82.7153265     -0.6616838   -0.00794
 2012.1     85.6291147     84.5457621     -1.0833526   -0.01265
 2012.2     86.9132347     85.5441531     -1.3690815   -0.01575
 2012.3     89.3131512     87.8173118     -1.4958394   -0.01675
 2012.4     93.3162346     91.8426072     -1.4736275   -0.01579
 2013.1     95.3566741     94.1155890     -1.2410851   -0.01302
 2013.2     98.3204793     97.3098287     -1.0106507   -0.01028
 2013.3    101.7526111    100.9158747     -0.8367363   -0.00822
 2013.4    103.7545294    103.0518716     -0.7026578   -0.00677

RMSE     =       1.9003073   RMSE%    =     0.02314
MAE      =       1.4898531   MAE%     =     0.01777
MEANERR  =       0.6073487   MEAN%ERR =    0.00825

    54  JF      

 2008.1    131.8830000    131.8680790     -0.0149210   -0.00011
 2008.2    131.4100000    131.2897271     -0.1202729   -0.00092
 2008.3    130.5230000    130.3449462     -0.1780538   -0.00136
 2008.4    128.4480000    128.5191955      0.0711955    0.00055
 2009.1    126.1220000    126.8567321      0.7347321    0.00583
 2009.2    124.1710000    125.6499468      1.4789468    0.01191
 2009.3    123.1610000    125.2216405      2.0606405    0.01673
 2009.4    122.5550000    124.8826922      2.3276922    0.01899
 2010.1    122.4150000    124.8085330      2.3935330    0.01955
 2010.2    122.6630000    124.9573806      2.2943806    0.01870
 2010.3    122.6340000    124.7120930      2.0780930    0.01695
 2010.4    123.0760000    124.8535164      1.7775164    0.01444
 2011.1    123.8230000    125.3070400      1.4840400    0.01199
 2011.2    124.2660000    125.4826194      1.2166194    0.00979
 2011.3    124.7780000    125.7446843      0.9666843    0.00775
 2011.4    125.4350000    126.1960056      0.7610056    0.00607
 2012.1    126.1460000    126.7475842      0.6015842    0.00477
 2012.2    126.7900000    127.2689696      0.4789696    0.00378
 2012.3    127.2930000    127.6858586      0.3928586    0.00309
 2012.4    127.8090000    128.1688787      0.3598787    0.00282
 2013.1    128.1710000    128.5827506      0.4117506    0.00321
 2013.2    128.5890000    129.0337425      0.4447425    0.00346
 2013.3    129.1720000    129.6217083      0.4497083    0.00348
 2013.4    129.5589678    130.0021026      0.4431348    0.00342

RMSE     =       1.2541836   RMSE%    =     0.01017
MAE      =       0.9808731   MAE%     =     0.00790
MEANERR  =       0.9547691   MEAN%ERR =    0.00770

   124  GDPR    

 2008.1   3723.8250000   3722.3917906     -1.4332094   -0.00038
 2008.2   3742.2750000   3731.6496946    -10.6253054   -0.00284
 2008.3   3723.7500000   3714.6818822     -9.0681178   -0.00244
 2008.4   3643.6500000   3662.4908774     18.8408774    0.00517
 2009.1   3593.0250000   3659.6198713     66.5948713    0.01853
 2009.2   3589.2250000   3684.4327395     95.2077395    0.02653
 2009.3   3600.6250000   3702.0132080    101.3882080    0.02816
 2009.4   3635.0500000   3722.5975208     87.5475208    0.02408
 2010.1   3649.4250000   3723.7642036     74.3392036    0.02037
 2010.2   3684.5000000   3743.3796224     58.8796224    0.01598
 2010.3   3709.8250000   3753.9631152     44.1381152    0.01190
 2010.4   3735.6000000   3763.6263881     28.0263881    0.00750
 2011.1   3723.5000000   3742.3493224     18.8493224    0.00506
 2011.2   3752.8000000   3765.7387242     12.9387242    0.00345
 2011.3   3765.5250000   3772.1526655      6.6276655    0.00176
 2011.4   3810.5000000   3814.1826174      3.6826174    0.00097
 2012.1   3845.3500000   3847.7571158      2.4071158    0.00063
 2012.2   3856.9000000   3858.5526654      1.6526654    0.00043
 2012.3   3883.5000000   3885.5381909      2.0381909    0.00052
 2012.4   3884.9000000   3890.1052325      5.2052325    0.00134
 2013.1   3895.9750000   3909.3034620     13.3284620    0.00342
 2013.2   3919.9000000   3933.1246212     13.2246212    0.00337
 2013.3   3947.5250000   3959.0212005     11.4962005    0.00291
 2013.4   3971.0240216   3981.7071706     10.6831490    0.00269

RMSE     =      43.2730031   RMSE%    =     0.01192
MAE      =      29.0926311   MAE%     =     0.00793
MEANERR  =      27.3320784   MEAN%ERR =    0.00746

   125  GDPD    

 2008.1      0.9850624      0.9850892      0.0000268    0.00003
 2008.2      0.9898391      0.9899509      0.0001118    0.00011
 2008.3      0.9966029      0.9964779     -0.0001250   -0.00013
 2008.4      0.9980926      0.9973236     -0.0007690   -0.00077
 2009.1      1.0006262      0.9997703     -0.0008559   -0.00086
 2009.2      0.9989691      0.9994547      0.0004855    0.00049
 2009.3      0.9987363      1.0012289      0.0024925    0.00250
 2009.4      1.0016437      1.0064090      0.0047652    0.00476
 2010.1      1.0051309      1.0119063      0.0067754    0.00674
 2010.2      1.0095807      1.0175992      0.0080186    0.00794
 2010.3      1.0141853      1.0233992      0.0092139    0.00908
 2010.4      1.0193610      1.0293897      0.0100286    0.00984
 2011.1      1.0234323      1.0338899      0.0104577    0.01022
 2011.2      1.0300242      1.0403837      0.0103595    0.01006
 2011.3      1.0364889      1.0465677      0.0100788    0.00972
 2011.4      1.0378297      1.0476040      0.0097743    0.00942
 2012.1      1.0429155      1.0522928      0.0093773    0.00899
 2012.2      1.0474993      1.0564220      0.0089227    0.00852
 2012.3      1.0529226      1.0614078      0.0084851    0.00806
 2012.4      1.0564391      1.0643034      0.0078644    0.00744
 2013.1      1.0610502      1.0683045      0.0072543    0.00684
 2013.2      1.0625909      1.0701490      0.0075581    0.00711
 2013.3      1.0676057      1.0749145      0.0073089    0.00685
 2013.4      1.0730716      1.0801484      0.0070768    0.00659

RMSE     =       0.0072302   RMSE%    =     0.00698
MAE      =       0.0061744   MAE%     =     0.00596
MEANERR  =       0.0060286   MEAN%ERR =    0.00581

   128  UR      

 2008.1      0.0500316      0.0501163      0.0000847    0.00169
 2008.2      0.0534230      0.0540959      0.0006728    0.01259
 2008.3      0.0603150      0.0612447      0.0009297    0.01541
 2008.4      0.0689369      0.0683645     -0.0005724   -0.00830
 2009.1      0.0832002      0.0788897     -0.0043105   -0.05181
 2009.2      0.0930272      0.0848327     -0.0081945   -0.08809
 2009.3      0.0963408      0.0854902     -0.0108506   -0.11263
 2009.4      0.0994791      0.0881226     -0.0113565   -0.11416
 2010.1      0.0983968      0.0874204     -0.0109764   -0.11155
 2010.2      0.0966908      0.0870946     -0.0095962   -0.09925
 2010.3      0.0950375      0.0870827     -0.0079548   -0.08370
 2010.4      0.0956208      0.0900019     -0.0056189   -0.05876
 2011.1      0.0903714      0.0865714     -0.0038000   -0.04205
 2011.2      0.0907079      0.0885194     -0.0021886   -0.02413
 2011.3      0.0902619      0.0893681     -0.0008938   -0.00990
 2011.4      0.0868479      0.0868102     -0.0000377   -0.00043
 2012.1      0.0824256      0.0829023      0.0004766    0.00578
 2012.2      0.0815976      0.0825120      0.0009144    0.01121
 2012.3      0.0802800      0.0813882      0.0011081    0.01380
 2012.4      0.0782405      0.0791717      0.0009312    0.01190
 2013.1      0.0774465      0.0778452      0.0003987    0.00515
 2013.2      0.0754096      0.0754056     -0.0000040   -0.00005
 2013.3      0.0730117      0.0728471     -0.0001646   -0.00225
 2013.4      0.0732199      0.0729850     -0.0002348   -0.00321

RMSE     =       0.0052636   RMSE%    =     0.05491
MAE      =       0.0034279   MAE%     =     0.03699
MEANERR  =      -0.0029682   MEAN%ERR =   -0.03053

   139  YS      

 2008.1   3439.5814879   3439.5814879      0.0000000    0.00000
 2008.2   3463.1347348   3463.1347348      0.0000000    0.00000
 2008.3   3493.8663520   3493.8663520      0.0000000    0.00000
 2008.4   3524.5165426   3524.5165426      0.0000000    0.00000
 2009.1   3554.1237761   3554.1237762      0.0000001    0.00000
 2009.2   3582.1013807   3582.1013808      0.0000001    0.00000
 2009.3   3621.4423186   3621.4423186      0.0000000    0.00000
 2009.4   3655.0306401   3655.0306401      0.0000000    0.00000
 2010.1   3682.4814577   3682.4814577      0.0000000    0.00000
 2010.2   3693.6472971   3693.6472971      0.0000000    0.00000
 2010.3   3735.0366968   3735.0366969      0.0000001    0.00000
 2010.4   3769.5238168   3769.5238168      0.0000000    0.00000
 2011.1   3799.2152962   3799.2152963      0.0000001    0.00000
 2011.2   3828.7886824   3828.7886824      0.0000000    0.00000
 2011.3   3861.9838829   3861.9838829      0.0000000    0.00000
 2011.4   3892.3440668   3892.3440667     -0.0000001    0.00000
 2012.1   3930.3447277   3930.3447278      0.0000001    0.00000
 2012.2   3964.2246101   3964.2246102      0.0000001    0.00000
 2012.3   3973.4519294   3973.4519295      0.0000001    0.00000
 2012.4   4007.7164638   4007.7164639      0.0000001    0.00000
 2013.1   4048.7849397   4048.7849397      0.0000000    0.00000
 2013.2   4078.7540070   4078.7540070      0.0000000    0.00000
 2013.3   4110.9850502   4110.9850502      0.0000000    0.00000
 2013.4   4141.6081033   4141.6081033      0.0000000    0.00000

RMSE     =       0.0000001   RMSE%    =     0.00000
MAE      =       0.0000000   MAE%     =     0.00000
MEANERR  =       0.0000000   MEAN%ERR =    0.00000

   224  EX      

 2008.1    433.0433093    433.0428804     -0.0004289    0.00000
 2008.2    436.0086631    436.0056930     -0.0029701   -0.00001
 2008.3    439.8777737    439.8775369     -0.0002368    0.00000
 2008.4    443.7366327    443.7505445      0.0139118    0.00003
 2009.1    447.4641834    447.4968130      0.0326295    0.00007
 2009.2    450.9865638    451.0088721      0.0223083    0.00005
 2009.3    455.9395879    455.9197762     -0.0198117   -0.00004
 2009.4    460.1683576    460.0638010     -0.1045566   -0.00023
 2010.1    463.6244155    463.4583585     -0.1660571   -0.00036
 2010.2    465.0301947    464.7694511     -0.2607437   -0.00056
 2010.3    470.2411201    469.8767640     -0.3643562   -0.00077
 2010.4    474.5830485    474.1105905     -0.4724581   -0.00100
 2011.1    478.3212058    477.8764430     -0.4447628   -0.00093
 2011.2    482.0444951    481.5643403     -0.4801548   -0.00100
 2011.3    486.2237709    485.7238381     -0.4999328   -0.00103
 2011.4    490.0461180    489.5309375     -0.5151806   -0.00105
 2012.1    494.8304012    494.4492584     -0.3811428   -0.00077
 2012.2    499.0958784    498.7397154     -0.3561630   -0.00071
 2012.3    500.2575979    499.9429319     -0.3146660   -0.00063
 2012.4    504.5715028    504.3216319     -0.2498709   -0.00050
 2013.1    509.7420239    509.6270156     -0.1150083   -0.00023
 2013.2    513.5151295    513.5135787     -0.0015508    0.00000
 2013.3    517.5730178    517.6761182      0.1031004    0.00020
 2013.4    521.4284602    521.6274059      0.1989457    0.00038

RMSE     =       0.2817609   RMSE%    =     0.00058
MAE      =       0.2133728   MAE%     =     0.00044
MEANERR  =      -0.1824648   MEAN%ERR =   -0.00038

 19026  AA2     

 2008.1  20659.0356485  20658.9855985     -0.0500501    0.00000
 2008.2  19584.3554466  19583.8568209     -0.4986257   -0.00003
 2008.3  18771.4370235  18770.3878492     -1.0491744   -0.00006
 2008.4  18054.1897498  18053.5426204     -0.6471294   -0.00004
 2009.1  17299.9938182  17301.3392717      1.3454535    0.00008
 2009.2  16932.5927766  16937.7397438      5.1469672    0.00030
 2009.3  16820.9301454  16831.1748457     10.2447003    0.00061
 2009.4  16783.1606820  16798.6274348     15.4667527    0.00092
 2010.1  16790.6794868  16811.1999066     20.5204198    0.00122
 2010.2  16825.8542034  16850.9132846     25.0590812    0.00149
 2010.3  16443.4451476  16471.3462048     27.9010571    0.00170
 2010.4  16284.5613803  16314.3397066     29.7783263    0.00183
 2011.1  16059.4013715  16089.8580981     30.4567266    0.00190
 2011.2  15826.8913907  15856.9059560     30.0145653    0.00190
 2011.3  15768.5385499  15797.5095808     28.9710309    0.00184
 2011.4  15704.8767275  15732.1515450     27.2748175    0.00174
 2012.1  15997.9478650  16023.6820896     25.7342245    0.00161
 2012.2  16264.3941639  16288.2470035     23.8528396    0.00147
 2012.3  16554.4175168  16576.4022325     21.9847158    0.00133
 2012.4  16808.8061610  16828.9999949     20.1938339    0.00120
 2013.1  17486.7907236  17506.2048398     19.4141162    0.00111
 2013.2  18032.5987723  18051.3070449     18.7082726    0.00104
 2013.3  18502.1301528  18520.1310335     18.0008807    0.00097

RMSE     =      20.5082147   RMSE%    =     0.00125
MAE      =      17.4919027   MAE%     =     0.00106
MEANERR  =      17.2966871   MEAN%ERR =    0.00105

 19028  AA1     

 2008.1  34582.2506585  34580.1521800     -2.0984784   -0.00006
 2008.2  33657.4076064  33640.7170149    -16.6905914   -0.00050
 2008.3  31879.2497165  31879.0909179     -0.1587986    0.00000
 2008.4  29135.1230512  29166.6249130     31.5018618    0.00108
 2009.1  28615.7245928  28647.5882123     31.8636195    0.00111
 2009.2  29548.2091914  29558.0083577      9.7991663    0.00033
 2009.3  31008.6033716  30982.7604061    -25.8429655   -0.00083
 2009.4  31372.5918760  31297.5316709    -75.0602050   -0.00239
 2010.1  32171.7544672  32049.6675781   -122.0868891   -0.00379
 2010.2  31381.3460596  31211.3502890   -169.9957707   -0.00542
 2010.3  33125.9144894  32920.8871345   -205.0273548   -0.00619
 2010.4  35226.5054727  34994.4253564   -232.0801163   -0.00659
 2011.1  36502.4181095  36257.7831048   -244.6350047   -0.00670
 2011.2  36415.4825533  36164.9013961   -250.5811572   -0.00688
 2011.3  34190.2383241  33933.4160282   -256.8222958   -0.00751
 2011.4  35668.0678245  35423.1492607   -244.9185637   -0.00687
 2012.1  37069.5599290  36838.3685719   -231.1913571   -0.00624
 2012.2  36729.4657091  36514.0574853   -215.4082238   -0.00586
 2012.3  38111.5863582  37918.0352364   -193.5511219   -0.00508
 2012.4  38764.8180720  38594.6155417   -170.2025304   -0.00439
 2013.1  40250.0824374  40109.2292589   -140.8531785   -0.00350
 2013.2  40849.1221867  40712.8102983   -136.3118884   -0.00334
 2013.3  41406.5551812  41280.0332443   -126.5219369   -0.00306

RMSE     =     163.8768329   RMSE%    =     0.00458
MAE      =     136.2262207   MAE%     =     0.00381
MEANERR  =    -129.8640774   MEAN%ERR =   -0.00359
QUIT;                                                                         
Normal End of Job.
